McGILL UNIVERSITY SENATE Memorandum Deputy Provost (Student Life and Learning) James Administration Building, Room 621 845 Sherbrooke St. West Tel: 514-398-3109 | Fax: 514-398-3576 TO: Senate FROM: Professor Ollivier Dyens, Deputy-Provost (Student Life and Learning) Ms. Kathleen Massey, University Registrar and Executive Director (Enrolment Services) SUBJECT: Annual Report on Enrolment and Strategic Enrolment Management DATE: March 23, 2016 DOCUMENT #: D15-44 ACTION REQUIRED: INFORMATION APPROVAL/DECISION ISSUE The enrolment report for the Fall 2015 enrolment cycle is presented to Senate for information. BACKGROUND & RATIONALE A report is submitted annually to inform Senators about student enrolment at the University as of October 15th each year. All the relevant enrolment information is available online at www.mcgill.ca/es/registration-statistics/. PRIOR CONSULTATION Enrolment data are routinely reviewed by the following: Provost; Deputy Provost (Student Life and Learning); Associate Provost (Graduate Education); Deans; etc. The report will be presented to the Executive Committee of the Board of Governors on March 22, 2016. SUSTAINABILITY CONSIDERATIONS IMPACT OF DECISION AND NEXT STEPS N/A MOTION OR RESOLUTION FOR APPROVAL APPENDICES N/A N/A Appendix A: Sample Enrolment Reports Report to Senate on Strategic Enrolment Management Office of the Deputy Provost (Student Life and Learning) March 23, 2016 The McGill Strategic Enrolment Management (SEM) plan, which was developed through extensive consultation across our campuses, articulates six strategic imperatives, endorsed by Senate in March 2011. The purpose of the Plan is to provide a thoughtful framework for decisions pertaining to enrolment. Most importantly, it ensures a strong alignment with the academic mission of McGill University. Goals and activities that support the plan extend well beyond those in recruitment and admissions. At McGill, they include retention- and graduation-related high impact initiatives such as advising, exchange and study abroad participation, high quality graduate supervision, academic activities such as undergraduate involvement in research, and outside-the-classroom significant practices such as internships, field study, and engagement with the local community. The Senate-endorsed strategic imperatives guiding enrolment planning at McGill are: • • • • • • RESEARCH INTENSITY, STUDENT AND ACADEMIC EXCELLENCE SERVICE TO COMMUNITY AND SOCIETY ENGAGEMENT IN THE UNIVERSITY COMMUNITY INTERNATIONAL STATURE DIVERSITY AND ACCESSIBILITY FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY Broad Enrolment Goals This plan laid out McGill’s enrolment goals which include increasing the number and proportion of research graduate students, improving the time to completion of graduate students as well as effectively serving the educational needs of Quebec society through the active recruitment and support of local students. Further, the Plan seeks to enhance the quality, diversity, retention and graduation rates of McGill’s undergraduates. Finally, the plan lays out the need to enhance and increase continuing studies partnerships and offerings, serving both local and international students. Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 1 of 10 Fall 2015 Enrolment Snapshot Total enrolment (all types of students) 39,988 – 1.2% higher than 2014 (39,497); 9.5% higher than in 2010 (36,531) Undergraduate degree-seeking enrolment 23,700 – (-0.3%) lower than 2014 (23,770) Graduate Degree Enrolment 7,956 – 2.1% higher than 2014 Proportion Graduate (of total degree-seeking) 25.1% - 24.7% in 2014 and 23.3% in 2010 Proportion of Quebec enrolment (University-wide) 52.3% - 52.5% in 2014; 54.7% in 2010 Proportion of international enrolment (University-wide) 25.5% - 1.4% higher than 2014; 5.5% higher than 2010 Indicators of Enrolment Management Success at McGill • • • • • • • 2012 Undergraduate Retention Rate (Year 1): o 92% (highest in U15 Canada) 2012 Undergraduate Graduation Rate (6 year): o 84% (second highest in U15 Canada) Quality of the undergraduate entering class: o Average Quebec CEGEP R-score: 30.3 (highest in Quebec) Satisfaction with quality of McGill education (Canadian University Survey Consortium: CUSC): o 90% (avg of comparator universities: 83%) Graduating students’ satisfaction with decision to attend McGill (CUSC): o 91% (Canadian avg: 83%) Undergraduate participation/involvement in research has increased to 40% (National Survey on Student Engagement, NSSE) and is 15% higher than the rate of Canadian comparator schools for senior students in 2014 (NSSE) Student engagement: Involvement in international exchanges, student clubs/organizations, community service is significantly higher than the average for Canadian comparator institutions. Room for Enhancement, Improvement and Change • Declining yield rates in almost every market o Consistent with US trends (NACAC study, 2012): Students are applying to more institutions, leading to concurrent declines in yield rates Yield rates have been declining over the past 10 years (51.4 to 42.6% in public institutions) o Ontario - Protectionist policy: 30% tuition grant for families with gross incomes up to $160K for students who study at Ontario postsecondary institutions only o Increasing competition o Quebec francophone students (yield: 46%) may need more evidence of the potential for their success at McGill (they may feel it’s an academically risky choice) Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 2 of 10 Tuition inelasticity – Cost of deregulated programs for international students o Constrained resources: Need to offer better service to applicants; more modern, effective tools for communication needed Lower yield of students from Quebec French CEGEPs (46%) compared to English CEGEPs (70%) Academic advising experiences o Surveys show improvement: CUSC satisfaction rates increased from 75% to 82% for 1st year students and and from 61% to 72% for senior students o However, still significantly lower than our peers Competitiveness: Earlier offers of admission o Progress is being made: as of March 8, 2016, early offers have resulted in a 39.3% in confirmations over last year. Graduate supervision Connections between skills acquired during McGill experience and post-McGill opportunities: The CUSC and NSSE results indicate that a smaller proportion of McGill graduates agree that their McGill experience has prepared them for employment than at other comparable Canadian universities. The McGill Commitment is meant to address this (http://www.mcgill.ca/undergraduate-admissions/mcgillexperience/mcgill-commitment). o • • • • • Upcoming consultation, research and planning • The University has launched into the next strategic enrolment management planning exercise, following up on activities such as: o Research regarding the competitiveness of the McGill brand o Tuition elasticity study o Consultation/identification/confirmation of the ideal McGill enrolment mix (geographic, linguistic, socio-economic, level of study, etc.) o Integration of the changes to Quebec tuition policies, following conclusion of the various provincial chantiers o Exploration of advising models and enhancements, to support advising across McGill. o Re-examination of the financial sustainability of potential McGill enrolment profiles Discussion questions • • What could be done differently to increase the yield of new students? What is the ideal student population mix? What is the ideal size for McGill? What is the ideal proportion of graduate to undergraduate students? Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 3 of 10 Appendix A Enrolment Sample Reports Note: An extensive list of Fall 2015 headcounts (as well as archived reports) is available online at http://www.mcgill.ca/es/registration-statistics. They include: 1. Full-Time and Part-Time Enrolments by Level and Citizenship 2. Full-Time and Part-Time Enrolments by Level and Faculty 3. Full-Time and Part-Time Enrolments by Faculty, by Degree and by Gender 4. Full-Time and Part-Time Enrolments by Faculty, by University Year and by Newly-Admitted/Returning 5. Full-Time and Part-Time Canadian and Permanent Residents Enrolments by Provinces at Admit Time and by Faculty 6. Full-Time and Part-Time Enrolments by Mother Tongue 7. Student Curriculum by Department/Unit (Full-Time and Part-Time Enrolments) Graduation Statistics by Academic Year: by Faculty, by Degree, and by Gender Overview by Level Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 4 of 10 Undergraduate New Registrations by Basis of Admission Undergraduate Admit Type Fall 2015 Fall 2010 Δ # Δ % Quebec 8,239 7,540 699 9.3% Ontario 5,695 6,676 -981 -14.7% Rest of Canada 4,341 4,269 72 1.7% International - USA 4,413 5,089 -676 -13.3% International - Other 8,182 5,342 2,840 53.2% Other 138 143 -5 -3.5% Total 31,008 29,059 1,949 6.7% Source: SZRAADS3 Overview by University Year, By Faculty and by New-Admitted-Returning The sample below is for the university, but the report is available for each faculty as well Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 5 of 10 . . . continued from page 5 Overview by University Year, By Faculty and by New-Admitted-Returning The sample below is for the university, but the report is available for each faculty as well Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 6 of 10 Overview by Mother Tongue The sample below is for the university, but the report is available for each faculty as well Overview by Gender The sample below is for the university, but the report is available for each faculty as well Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 7 of 10 Overview by Level and by Citizenship Top Twenty (20) International Fall 2015 Nation Fall 2015 2276 1705 1620 481 337 229 222 209 189 175 159 USA France China India Saudi Arabia South Korea United Kingdom Iran Pakistan Japan Turkey 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 137 127 120 115 92 88 87 76 69 Mexico Germany Brazil Bangladesh Egypt Australia Italy Lebanon Taiwan Fall 2010 Fall 2014 Rank Fall 2014 2238 1578 1331 443 315 262 223 188 209 144 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 8 11 156 115 140 102 119 77 91 82 69 67 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 21 10 14 12 15 13 18 16 17 19 20 Fall 2010 2366 814 450 324 254 225 145 276 233 108 52 140 97 48 96 51 91 68 56 46 Rank % Change % Change 1 2 3 4 6 8 9 5 7 11 1 year 1.7% 8.0% 21.7% 8.6% 7.0% -12.6% -0.4% 11.2% -9.6% 21.5% 5 years -3.8% 109.5% 260.0% 48.5% 32.7% 1.8% 53.1% -24.3% -18.9% 62.0% 18 10 12 22 13 19 14 16 17 23 1.9% 19.1% -9.3% 17.6% -3.4% 19.5% -3.3% 6.1% 10.1% 3.0% 205.8% -2.1% 30.9% 150.0% 19.8% 80.4% -3.3% 27.9% 35.7% 50.0% Deregulated Programs Enrolment – New & Returning Deregulated Enrolment by Degree BCLLLB 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 BCOM 14 14 10 13 19 17 24 383 393 369 360 341 336 356 BENG 714 666 647 589 551 521 522 Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 BSE BENGBR 46 42 31 25 19 15 17 36 34 30 24 17 15 13 BSC UNIVERSITY 581 554 532 504 523 509 539 1,774 1,703 1,619 1,515 1,470 1,413 1,471 8 of 10 Yield Rates by Basis of Admission Yield Rates By Basis of Admission Registrations/Offers 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Quebec CEGEP Ontario HS Other Canadian HS US HS Overseas HS 60.6% 60.3% 63.5% 30.2% 30.2% 36.0% 30.5% 30.0% 39.8% 33.1% 31.1% 32.2% 34.9% 37.3% 38.1% Fall 2015 Fall 2014 Fall 2010 Total CEGEP/High School 39.7% 39.8% 43.9% CEGEP New Registrations in Fall 2015 10,000. Fall 2015 Top English CEGEPs By Number of Registrations 1571 1,000. 446 334 328 100. 261 165 37 10. 1. Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 9 of 10 120 Fall 2015 Top Francophone CEGEPs 100 By Number of Registrations 108 80 60 40 49 38 34 20 34 33 26 24 20 0 Strategic Enrolment Management Report - Senate March 23-2016 10 of 10