FINC6014 Fixed Income Securities Presented by Dr James Cummings Discipline of Finance The University of Sydney Page 1 Welcome to FINC6014 Lecturer Dr James Cummings – Office: Codrington Building H69 Room 420 – Consultation hour: Friday, 10:00-11:00 am – Email: james.cummings@sydney.edu.au The University of Sydney Page 2 Welcome to FINC6014 Tutors Mr Salaar Bin Tassadaq Mr Jun Wu (Andoreal) Chen Dr Adam Corbett Dr Thanh Son (Alex) Luong Mr Qian (Clement) Peng Mr Ahasan Sarkar The University of Sydney Page 3 Assessment Mid-semester test Due: Weeks 7-8 25% Mid-semester test 50% Group assignment Due: 20 October 2023 Group assignment Final exam 25% Final exam Formal exam period Weightings The University of Sydney Page 4 Learning activities Preparation for class – Readings – Homework problems Required text – Fabozzi, F.J. and Fabozzi, F.A. (2021), Bond Markets, Analysis, and Strategies, 10th edition, MIT Press Online support – Canvas (https://canvas.sydney.edu.au) The University of Sydney Page 5 Week 1 Introduction Presented by Dr James Cummings Discipline of Finance The University of Sydney Page 6 Learning Objectives After studying this topic, you will understand – the fundamental features of bonds – the types of issuers – the importance of the term to maturity of a bond – floating-rate and inverse-floating-rate securities – what is meant by a bond with an embedded option and the effect of this option on cash flow – the various types of embedded options – convertible bonds – the types of risks faced by fixed-income investors The University of Sydney Page 7 Sectors of the U.S. Bond Market 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Treasury sector – securities issued by the U.S. government Agency sector – securities issued by federally related institutions and government-sponsored enterprises Municipal sector – securities issued by state and local governments Corporate sector – securities issued in the U.S. by U.S. corporations and foreign corporations Asset-backed sector – securities backed by a pool of assets Mortgage sector – securities backed by mortgage loans The University of Sydney Page 8 Sectors of the U.S. Bond Market – Bond investors include retail investors and institutional investors. – Bond investors have an opportunity to invest in a pooled investment vehicle in lieu of constructing their own portfolio to obtain exposure to the broad bond market and/or specific sectors of the bond market. – For retail investors, the benefits of investing in pooled funds rather than the direct purchase of individual bonds to create a portfolio are 1. better diversification in obtaining the desired exposure 2. better liquidity, and 3. professional management. The University of Sydney Page 9 Overview of Bond Features 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Type of Issuer Term to Maturity Principal and Coupon Rate Amortisation Feature Embedded Options Describing a Bond Issue The University of Sydney Page 10 Overview of Bond Features 1. 2. Type of Issuer – there are three issuers of bonds – the federal government and its agencies – municipal governments – corporations (domestic and foreign) Term to Maturity – refers to the date that the issuer will redeem the bond by paying the principal – There may be provisions in the indenture that allow either the issuer or bondholder to alter a bond’s term to maturity. The University of Sydney Page 11 Overview of Bond Features 3. Principal and Coupon Rate – Principal Value – amount that the issuer agrees to repay the bondholder at the maturity date – Zero-Coupon Bond – interest is paid at the maturity with the exact amount being the difference between the principal value and the price paid for the bond – Coupon Rate – the nominal or interest rate that the issuer agrees to pay each year; the annual amount of the interest payment is called the coupon – Floating-rate bonds – issues where the coupon rate resets periodically (the coupon reset date) based on the coupon reset formula given by: reference rate + quoted margin The University of Sydney Page 12 Overview of Bond Features 3. Principal and Coupon Rate (continued) – LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) – rate at which the highest credit quality banks borrow from each other in the London interbank market. The rate is reported in 10 currencies – Linkers – bonds whose interest rate is tied to the rate of inflation – Inverse-floating-rate bonds – coupon interest rate moves in the opposite direction from the change in interest rates The University of Sydney Page 13 Overview of Bond Features 4. Amortisation Feature – the principal repayment of a bond issue can call for either the total principal to be repaid at maturity or the principal repaid over the life of the bond – In the latter case, there is a schedule of principal repayments called an amortisation schedule. – For amortising securities, a measure called the weighted average life or simply average life of a security is computed. The University of Sydney Page 14 Overview of Bond Features 5. Embedded Options – it is common for a bond issue to include a provision in the indenture that gives either the bondholder and/or the issuer an option – Call provision - grants the issuer the right to retire the debt, fully or partially, before the scheduled maturity date – Put provision - gives the bondholder the right to sell the issue back to the issuer at par value on designated dates – Convertible bond - provides the bondholder the right to exchange the bond for shares of common stock – Exchangeable bond - allows the bondholder to exchange the issue for a specified number of common stock shares of a corporation different from the issuer of the bond The University of Sydney Page 15 Overview of Bond Features 6. Describing a Bond Issue – most securities are identified by a ninecharacter CUSIP number – CUSIP stands for Committee on Uniform Security Identification Procedures – First six characters of CUSIP identify the issuer – The next two characters identify whether the issue is debt or equity and the issuer of the issue – The last character is a check character that allows for accuracy checking – The CUSIP International Numbering System (CINS) identifies foreign securities and includes 12 characters The University of Sydney Page 16 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Interest-rate Risk Reinvestment Risk Call Risk Credit Risk Inflation Risk Exchange Rate Risk Liquidity Risk Volatility Risk Risk Risk The University of Sydney Page 17 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 1. Interest-Rate Risk – Interest-rate risk or market risk refers to an investor having to sell a bond prior to the maturity date. – An increase in interest rates will mean the realisation of a capital loss because the bond sells below the purchase price. – Interest-rate risk is by far the major risk faced by an investor in the bond market. The University of Sydney Page 18 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 2. Reinvestment Risk – Reinvestment risk is the risk that the interest rate at which interim cash flows can be reinvested will fall. – Reinvestment risk is greater for longer holding periods, as well as for bonds with large, early, cash flows, such as high-coupon bonds. – It should be noted that interest-rate risk and reinvestment risk have offsetting effects. The University of Sydney Page 19 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 3. Call Risk – Call risk is the risk that a callable bond will be called when interest rates fall. – Many bonds include a provision that allows the issuer to retire or ‘call’ all or part of the issue before the maturity date; for investors, there are three disadvantages to call provisions: a) cash flow pattern cannot be known with certainty b) investor is exposed to reinvestment risk c) bond’s capital appreciation potential will be reduced The University of Sydney Page 20 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 4. Credit Risk – Credit risk is the default risk that the bond issuer will fail to satisfy the terms of the obligation with respect to the timely payment of interest and principal. – Credit spread is the part of the risk premium or spread attributable to default risk. – Credit spread risk is the risk that a bond price will decline due to an increase in the credit spread. The University of Sydney Page 21 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 5. Inflation Risk – Inflation risk arises because of the variation in the value of cash flows from a security due to declines in purchasing power. – If investors purchase a bond on which they can realise a coupon rate of 7% but the rate of inflation is 8%, the purchasing power of the cash flow falls. – For all but floating-rate bonds, an investor is exposed to inflation risk because the interest rate the issuer promises to make is fixed for the life of the issue. The University of Sydney Page 22 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 6. Exchange-Rate Risk – Exchange-rate risk refers to the unexpected change in one currency compared to another currency. • From the perspective of a U.S. investor, a non-dollar-denominated bond (i.e., a bond whose payments occur in a foreign currency) has unknown U.S. dollar cash flows. • The dollar cash flows are dependent on the exchange rate at the time the payments are received. • The risk of the exchange rate causing smaller cash flows is the exchange-rate risk or currency risk. The University of Sydney Page 23 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 7. Liquidity Risk – Liquidity risk or marketability risk depends on the ease with which an issue can be sold at or near its value. • The primary measure of liquidity is the size of the spread between the bid price and the ask price quoted by a dealer. • The wider the dealer spread, the more the liquidity risk. The University of Sydney Page 24 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 8. Volatility Risk – Volatility risk is the risk that a change in volatility will adversely affect the price of a bond. – The value of an option rises when expected interest-rate volatility increases. • In the case of a bond that is callable, or a mortgage-backed security, in which the investor has granted the borrower an option, the price of the security falls because the investor has given away a more valuable option. The University of Sydney Page 25 Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds 9. Risk Risk – Risk risk refers to not knowing the risk of a security. – Two ways to mitigate or eliminate risk risk are: 1) Keep up with the literature on the state-of-the-art methodologies for analysing securities 2) Avoid securities that are not clearly understood The University of Sydney Page 26 Required reading – Fabozzi, F.J. and Fabozzi, F.A. (2021), Bond Markets, Analysis, and Strategies, 10th edition, MIT Press – Chapter 1 The University of Sydney Page 27 Homework problems – Fabozzi and Fabozzi (2021) – Chapter 1 • Questions 1, 2, 4, 5, 17, 19 The University of Sydney Page 28