写在前面 Hi 有缘人, 你好,我是爱做case的鱿鱼,MBB offeree。从考GMAT到申请学校到求职咨询,我在论坛上学到很 多。如今上岸MBB,我想把我的经验分享给你。 现在市面上有太多casebook,质量层次不齐。这个PDF是我精选的三本casebook,他们都是我在求职 过程中使用并认可的,分别是Kellogg 2020、Duke 2014和Peter K 2020。 希望能对你有帮助。 同时,也请允许我打个广告。我也在抽空帮助有需要的candidate进行辅导case/fit mock(象征性收 费哦~),如果你有需要,也欢迎联系我。 闲鱼&小红书ID均为:鱿鱼Consulting 彩蛋:关注我,送你Peter K 2023最新版! 祝顺利, 鱿鱼 Kellogg Consulting Club 2020 Casebook 23rd October 2019 Welcome to the Kellogg Consulting Club 2020 Casebook! Over the summer of 2019, we made both major and minor changes to the Casebook. Changes have been made in response to feedback in the Spring 2019 KCC survey from 2019 and 2020 consulting candidates. The headline objective has been to bring more structure to the cases to benefit both interviewees and interviewers alike. A sample of changes is provided below: • Fit questions: Appropriate Fit or Experience questions have been introduced at the beginning of every case. • Case navigation: The first page of every case features a numbered list that now clearly aligns with subsequent case solving steps. • Print-friendly: Exhibits now immediately follow the Case title page to facilitate economical printing of the most critical pages only. • Case curriculum: A curated list of 25 cases and proposed timeline for traditional internship candidates (page 7). • References: Easily searchable 3-character reference numbers simplify identification of desired cases by industry, business concept etc. • Hyperlinks: Case contents now link to the relevant page of the Casebook. • Difficulty ratings: Subjective case difficulty ratings have been removed with the intention to introduce evidence-based ratings next year. • Cases archived: Removal of several cases deemed unpopular or out-of-date. • Clear call-outs: For McKinsey-style interviewer-led cases, prompts to hand candidates Exhibits etc. • Eco-friendly: Reduction in number of full-color pages and introduction of low-ink exhibits that are easy to read in black and white. Please don’t hesitate to contact us with any questions, suggestions or corrections that you may have regarding the Casebook. Rohan Maini Kellogg 2020 KCC VP Training 2 Contents All contents Welcome to the KCC 2020 Casebook! 2 How to use this book 6 Planning your case preparation 7 Understanding individual case pages 9 Finding cases 13 Getting the most out of a case 17 Evaluating case performance 20 2020 Cases* 22 *See next page for detailed case contents 3 Contents Detailed case contents Case Page Case type Industry Busch’s Barber Shop NEW! 23 Market entry Hospitality & Leisure Chic Cosmetology 34 Market entry Hospitality & Leisure Chicouver Cycle 43 Market entry Transportation & Logistics Dark Sky 55 New product Aerospace & Defense DigiBooks 66 Market entry Retail & CPG Events.com NEW! 76 Profitability Technology Garthwaite Healthcare 86 Profitability Healthcare Health Coaches 94 Operations Healthcare Healthy Foods 104 Growth Strategy Retail & CPG High Q Plastics 115 Profitability Engineering & Construction Kellogg in India 127 Market entry Government & Public Sector Maine Apples 138 New product Agriculture & Food Money Bank Call Center 144 Cost reduction Legal & Professional Services Montoya Soup 151 Profitability Retail & CPG Mustard Clinic NEW! 163 Operations Healthcare Orrington Office Supplies 173 Operations Engineering & Construction Plastic World 183 Mergers & Acquisitions Private Equity Rotisserie Ranch 192 New product Retail & CPG Salty Sole Shoe 199 Profitability Retail & CPG Format (interview lead) Interviewer-led Interviewer-led Interviewer-led Interviewer-led 4 Contents Detailed case contents (continued) Case Page Case type Industry Format (interview lead) Sosland Sports NEW! 209 Market entry Hospitality & Leisure Interviewer-led Tactole 217 Profitability Agriculture & Food Vitality Insurance 233 Profitability Financial Services Wildcat Wings 243 Operations Transportation & Logistics Wine & Co 253 Opportunity Assessment Agriculture & Food Winter Olympics Bidding 263 Opportunity Assessment Entertainment & Media Zephyr Beverages 271 Mergers & Acquisitions Retail & CPG Zoo Co 278 Mergers & Acquisitions Financial Services 5 How to use this book 6 Planning your case preparation • Cases are of increasing difficulty (as determined subjectively by the KCC Exec team) so don’t feel dejected if you feel as though you’re not getting better at casing Moderate Straightforward cases that challenge candidates’ reliance on pre-canned case-frameworks November Break • The Curriculum features 25 cases, but this is by no means a minimum nor a maximum number of suggested cases Easy Cases selected to build familiarity with the case interview process (primarily profitability and cost cutting) Hard Complex ‘pressure’ cases that challenge multiple skills and cannot be solved with traditional frameworks. Winter Break • The curriculum is provided to support case selection for practice but is completely optional and in no way required Early Jan • New in the 2020 casebook, the Case Curriculum provides a list of cases curated by the KCC Exec team to give candidates a wide range of ‘classic’ and ‘unusual’ cases from a variety of industries and Casebooks September / October Case curriculum Confidence Boosters Cases selected to encourage custom framework creation. No major complexity ahead of impending interviews. Case Casebook DigiBooks Kellogg 2020 Dark Sky Kellogg 2020 Zephyr Beverages Kellogg 2020 Sosland Sports Kellogg 2020 Orange Yoga Studio Fuqua 2014 Maine Apples Kellogg 2020 Chic Cosmetology Kellogg 2020 Goodbye Horses Fuqua 2016 LifeRenew Haas 2015 California Parking Lot Columbia 2017 Tacotle Kellogg 2020 Orrington Office Supply Kellogg 2020 Mexico City Airport Taxi Services Wharton 2009 Garthwaite Healthcare Kellogg 2020 Salty Sole Kellogg 2020 Mustard Clinic Kellogg 2020 Desert City Yale 2013 Coyotes Fuqua 2014 Rock Band Columbia 2017 Ski Resort BCG Contact Lens Manufacturer Darden 2011 Supermarket Deli Turnaround BCG Maldovian Coffins McKinsey 7 Planning your case preparation Use of a single casebook alone is unlikely to prepare you adequately for success in the interview room. Suggested resources to supplement this casebook with include: Other school casebooks Most popular with Kellogg Students: Fuqua 2014, Sloan 2011, Wharton 2012 Firm representatives For internship applicants, cases with firm reps tend to happen in Dec and early Jan Sponsored students Firms make sponsored students known at Presentations or on their school recruiting webpages Recorded case interview analysis Ask your IPG leader for more information on these (eg. Victor Cheng LOMS) Casing textbooks ‘Case Interview Secrets’ and ‘Case in Point’ help get started with basic cases early on Reading cases Regularly reported to be a useful way to quickly gain broad case ‘experience’ when working alone 8 Understanding individual case pages The Case title page contains details that help inform case selection 1 3 2 4 5 6 1 Format Calls out interviews that follow the McKinsey-style, interviewer-led case format 2 Concepts tested Provides a reference to the main concepts that the case tests (see page 16 for more information) 3 Primary sectors Provides a reference to the primary sectors involved in the case (see page 14 for more information) 4 Case type Provides a reference to the predominant case type (see page 15 for more information) 5 Similar cases Provides examples of cases that test similar concepts as this case 6 Additional information Contains miscellaneous information about the case 9 Understanding individual case pages The Interviewer guide provides interviewers with a summary of the case structure 1 2 1 Case prompt This is the information that is provided up front to the interviewee; it introduces the key case context and headline problem that the interviewee is to answer in the course of the case 2 Interviewer guide This section provides a 30-second summary on how the case can be solved. Numbered list not only provides an ideal list of steps to solve the case, but aligns exactly with subsequent areas of the case that may be covered during the course of the interview 10 Understanding individual case pages The Interview prompt page contains all pre-structure information 1 2 3 1 Fit/Experience question New this year, fit questions (experience for Interviewer-led cases) are provided ahead of each case 2 Case prompt As summarized on the previous slide, this section introduces the key case context and headline problem 3 Clarifying information Provides additional pieces of information that should be provided to the interviewee if requested 11 Understanding individual case pages Case solving pages are broken down into numbered parts 1 2 3 1 Part number New to the 2020 Casebook, each part number aligns with the numbered list on the interviewer guide (see page 10 for more information) 2 Interviewer prompts Above the dotted line, interviewer guidance (including instructions about when to provide the interviewee with Exhibits) and contextual / problem voiceover is provided. 3 Solution Below the dotted line: full working, part solutions, takeaways and interviewee assessment criteria are provided. 12 Finding cases Introduction • Consultancies hiring for generalists typically issue a wide range of cases from random industries, functions or problem areas. • If you are interviewing with a boutique consultancy or specific practice area, you should expect to see a higher proportion of cases that are directly related to the type of work they do. For example… – ‘ZS Associates’ cases skew towards pharmaceutical industry clients – ‘BCG Digital Ventures’ cases typically involve a technology problem • In the KCC Casebook, each ‘Case title page’ contains details that help inform case selection to aid easy searching for cases that test a certain industry sector, case type or concept. The casebook uses three character references to aid ‘Ctrl+F’ searching across ‘Case title pages’ (see page 9 for more information). A list of references is provided in the next three pages. 13 Finding cases Industry sectors Industries Description X01 Aerospace & Defense Production, sale, and service of commercial vehicles, military weapons and systems designed to operate on land, sea, and air. Also includes production of aircraft and space vehicles (usually satellites) for both military and commercial use. X02 Agriculture & Food Agriculture, husbandry or farming, is activity of cultivating plants, animals, and other life forms for food, fiber, and fuel. X03 Energy, Utilities & Mining Utilities provide basic amenities, such as water, sewage services, electricity and natural gas. Mining companies locate and extract metal and mineral reserves, then used in jewelry-making, industrial applications, and investments. X04 Engineering & Construction Construction of buildings, civil engineering projects, and other industrial plant construction. The industry includes highway, tunnel, bridge, and other civil engineering operations, as well as commercial, residential and industrial buildings. X05 Entertainment & Media Comprised of businesses that produce and distribute motion pictures, television programs and commercials, streaming content, music and audio recordings, broadcast, radio, book publishing, video games and supplementary services X06 Financial Services Financial services are provided by the finance industry, which encompasses a broad range of businesses that manage money, including banks, credit-card companies, insurers, accountancies, stock brokerages and investment funds. X07 Government & Public sector Includes public goods and governmental services such as law enforcement, public infrastructure, transit, and education, X08 Healthcare The healthcare sector consists of companies that provide medical services, manufacture medical equipment or drugs, provide medical insurance, or otherwise facilitate the provision of healthcare to patients X09 Hospitality & Leisure The leisure and hospitality industry sector includes a broad category of fields within the service industry such as lodging, food services, event planning, theme parks, transportation and other tourism oriented products and services. X10 Legal & Professional Services Professional services are occupations in the tertiary sector of the economy requiring special training in the arts or sciences. Some professional services require holding professional licenses such as architects or lawyers. X11 Pharmaceuticals The pharmaceutical industry discovers, develops, produces, and markets drugs for use as medications to be administered to patients, with the aim to cure them, vaccinate them, or alleviate the symptoms. X12 Retail & CPG Retailers sell products, mainly consumer packaged goods (CPG) to end users/consumers. CPG refers to a broad spectrum of manufacturers, sellers, and marketers of (typically packaged) physical goods. X13 Technology Businesses involved in manufacturing of electronics, creation of software, computers or products and services relating to IT. The technology sector offers a wide arrange of products and services for consumers and businesses. X14 Telecommunications Comprised of companies that make wireless or wired communication possible on a global scale, (eg. phone, internet) X15 Transportation & Logistics Transportation and logistics involves planning, implementing, and controlling movement and storage of goods. 14 Finding cases Case types Case Type Description Y01 Cost reduction Identifying internal or external costs that are out of line Y02 Growth strategy Identifying ways in which a firm can optimally grow Y03 Mergers & Acquisitions Evaluating whether a firm should merge or purchase another company Y04 New product / Market entry Analyzing a firm’s opportunity to expand into a new product, business or segment Y05 Operations Identifying problems in internal or customer-facing processes Y06 Opportunity assessment Examining the potential purchase / sale of a new or existing business or installation / abandonment of infrastructure Y07 Profitability Analyzing causes for recent drop in profits / ways to increase profits 15 Finding cases Qualitative Quantitative Business concepts Business Concept Description Z01 Accounting Tests some aspect of accounting. Typically, this will be a simple Income Statement, Balance Sheet or Statement of Cash flows. Most common concept tested is depreciation/amortization. Z02 Net Present Value Tests ability to calculate the net present value of cash flows over time (or at a point in time). Usually in the context of investment, market entry or company acquisition case. Z03 Breakeven analysis Generally used in market entry cases, break-even analysis tends to test ability to determine how many units (or what price) a product should sell in order to cover a fixed cost. Z04 Capacity Tests understanding of production capacity, in particular long and short run considerations. Z05 Elasticity Tests understanding of price elasticity of demand or supply, usually in the context of price changes’ impact on quantity sold and by extension revenue. Z06 Macroeconomics Tests understanding of macroeconomic variables trends than affect businesses including: inflation, foreign exchange rates, recessions, international trade. Z07 Market share Tests understanding of the client and its competitors’ market share. This may include understanding of typical features of concentrated and fragmented markets. Z08 Market sizing Tests ability to develop a structured approach to sizing a market. Emphasis is on mathematical approach rather than accurate estimation of market size or dependent variables. Z09 Microeconomics Tests understanding of microeconomics, for example the role of demand and supply in market pricing. Z10 Customer marketing strategy Tests understanding of marketing to customer segments. May involve analyzing their needs, WTP, buying decision, preferred distribution channel etc. Z11 Competitive analysis Tests ability to analyze relevant aspects of the competition in relation to the client’s business situation. Z12 Creativity Tests ability to develop creative options, usually as part of a brainstorming exercise. Z13 Organizational changes Tests ability to develop recommendations around the organizational structure, people and/or culture. Z14 Pricing strategy Tests ability to develop options and methodologies to price a new product or reprice an existing one. Z15 Supply/value chain Tests understanding of players and activities involved in sale of a product, from the delivery of source materials from suppliers to manufacturers, to delivery to the end user. Z16 Vertical integration Tests ability to develop a practical solution involving vertical integration of the supply chain. 16 Interviewee Getting the most out of a case Interviewer Best practices before a case Share focus areas Inform your interviewer of any specific areas that you would like feedback on Share your caselog Share an up-to-date caselog with your interviewer so you don’t accidently repeat a case Don’t sneak a peek! Replicate a real-life case interview experience by going in completely in the dark Bring materials Bring several sheets of blank paper and a pen or pencil to the meeting Brush up on the industry Review unfamiliar industries with KCC’s industry primers or online (eg. Vault.com) Review the case Familiarize yourself with the case ahead of time to avoid having to check guidance Do the math beforehand Gain practice with the math required and understand where common traps may lie Print exhibits Interviewers should bring printed out copies of any exhibits needed for the case 17 Interviewee Getting the most out of a case Interviewer Best practices during a case Take it seriously You might be interviewing with a friend, but a formal atmosphere will be more valuable and provide a realistic interview experience Keep quiet! While silence may be uncomfortable, resist the urge to jump in with pointers, hints, or additional information Ask fit questions Almost all interviews start with fit or Experience questions, so the KCC now provides such a suggested question before each case prompt 18 Interviewee Getting the most out of a case Interviewer Best practices after a case Provide high-level performance assessment Be honest with the interviewee about their performance. If it was a good case, tell them. If it was poor, it’s even more important to tell them! Provide detailed feedback After providing a high-level performance assessment, explain why by running the interviewee through each part of their case Give feedback! A case is a two-sided conversation. Tell the interviewer how they could do anything differently in terms of case or performance assessment delivery 19 Evaluating case performance Evaluation criteria Case skills and driving the case Problem definition Clearly understands and defines the problem/ question; summarizes the essence of the issue Problem breakdown Breaks problem into most important components Structure Uses a structured and thoughtful approach to solve the problem (e.g. draw issue tree with critical pieces of analysis) Prioritization Identifies critical path to the recommendation and most important issues/components Information Identifies and addresses key pieces of information and assumptions needed to solve the problem Solution oriented Formulates hypothesis when needed and maintains focus on the recommendation 80-20 approach Deep dives into identified critical issues to develop a recommendation (80% of solution with 20% of analysis) Recommendation Ends up with a pragmatic/ realistic solution that answers the initial question; supported with the analysis Communication skills Structure Shares thinking process throughout the case and aligns his communications with the structure of the case Focus Highlights key insights, important findings and critical issues Questions Ask clear questions related to the case process and solution Engagement Engages with the interviewer during the solution of the case Support Clearly supports any conclusion or important claim with relevant arguments Business language Feels comfortable discussing the case with business terminology Body language Communicates naturally and uses body language to support the communication process Grade Grade 20 Evaluating case performance Evaluation criteria (continued) Polish and interpersonal skills Self confidence Shows confidence when solving and attacking the case without sounding arrogant Quantitative skills Feels comfortable handling complex calculations and analytics; shows clear calculations and data framing Analysis Deep dives in identified critical issues or components and comes up with a solution for each issue Interpersonal skills Drive a conversation and acts naturally Balance Good balance of quantitative and qualitative analysis during the solution Business sense and high level thinking Creativity Identifies or uses different approaches to solve the problem. Out of the box thinking; uses creative methods and arrives at creative solutions Synthesis Summarizes key findings through the solution of the case and translates them into insights or important takeaways Concepts Clearly understands and uses the key business concepts to solve the case “So what” thinking Clearly addresses and articulates what each analysis, conclusion or recommendation means to the case, solution or the client Testing Frequently tests assumptions and conclusions with reality checks or other quick analysis Assessment Assesses risks and consequences for the recommendations; identifies key next steps to further prove the solution Business sense Uses common sense and realistic thinking to get to pragmatic recommendations; has the ability to think from different perspectives (e.g. client, competitor, consumer, etc.) Grade Grade 21 2020 Cases 22 Case 01 Busch’s Barber Shop Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z08 Market sizing (2) • X09 Hospitality & Leisure • Snack Foods Acquisition (Columbia 2017) • Z12 Creativity (5) • Surfboard Wax in Hawaii (Fuqua 2014) Case type • Y04 Market entry • Chic Cosmetology (Kellogg 2020) • Y06 Opportunity assessment Case author(s): Michael Eidem (Kellogg 2020) Edited by: Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 23 Busch’s Barber Shop Interviewer guide Case Question • Your friend, a current MBA student, has his heart set on starting a barbershop in Evanston after graduation. • There are plenty of barbershops and salons near the Northwestern campus, but your eager friend argues they are either (A) vastly overpriced or (B) cheap, but really low quality. • He wants your help coming up with a plan. Interviewer guide • Problem: Develop a market entry strategy for Busch’s Barber Shop • Key case steps: 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Confirm market attractiveness (size) 3. Calculate revenue and costs for two potential locations 4. Evaluate profitability of potential loyalty program 5. Brainstorm other areas of consideration 6. Provide client recommendation 24 Busch’s Barber Shop Fit: Tell me something about yourself that is not on your resume. Case Question • Your friend, a current MBA student, has his heart set on starting a barbershop in Evanston after graduation. • There are plenty of barbershops and salons near the Northwestern campus, but your eager friend argues they are either (A) vastly overpriced or (B) cheap, but really low quality. • He wants your help coming up with a plan. Clarifying information • Customers: For this analysis, your friend wants to focus solely on a target market of the male population of Evanston. • Competitive dynamics: Highly competitive, segmented into two distinct groups (high price & low price). Friend believes there is a profitable space in between these two segments. • Market: Growing at GDP the past five years. • Your Friend: No specific experience in the cosmetology area, has enough savings to fund initial upfront costs and early ongoing costs. Profitability is the main goal in the short term (wants to be profitable in year one to justify his decision not to take a highpaying consulting job). • Product: Barbershop only intends to initially sell haircut service. Any other additional products or services can be considered in the future. 25 Busch’s Barber Shop Exhibit A – Market analysis Where do men in Evanston get their haircut? Competitors’ market share 100% 80% $$$, 33% 10% 10% 25% 20% 60% $, 67% 40% 20% 35% 30% 30% 40% 0% Low-end High-end Notes: • Men’s haircut market split between two groups, high-end (avg price $50) and low-end (avg price $20). • Evanston Adult Population: 60k (50% male) 26 Busch’s Barber Shop Exhibit B – Market Entry Projections Expected Customer Steal Description Upfront Costs Ongoing Costs From Low-end From High-end Equip. Advert. Rent Labor Location #1 Downtown 10% 5% $30k $20k $4k 4 workers, $15/hr Location #2 Not Downtown 5% 5% $30k $25k $1k 2 workers, $15/hr Notes: • Projections of customer steal based on consumer survey. Survey described new barbershop as in-between quality at price point of $30. 27 Busch’s Barber Shop Part 1 1. Develop framework for how to approach this new venture A sample case structure would include the following: • Client: Specific goals, strengths, capabilities, resources • Market: Size, growth, competition, customer segmentation • Profitability • Expected customer volume, target customers • Price elasticity, pricing method (ex: loyalty), service mix • Costs: Fixed costs (rent, equipment, merchandise, advertising), variable costs (labor) • Go-to strategy: Build, acquire, partner with additional co-owner • Barriers: Capital, local regulations, attracting talent • Risks: Competitive response, no differentiation, opportunity cost Following discussion of framework, interviewee should be asked to briefly market size the adult men’s haircut market in Evanston (See next page) 28 Busch’s Barber Shop Parts 2-3 2. Confirm market attractiveness (size) Interviewee should make educated guesses regarding: • City population size (~60k) • Male/female ratio (~50/50) • What % of male population pays for haircuts (i.e. likely omitting young kids, those who cut their own hair, bald men) 3. Calculate revenue and costs for two potential locations Provide Exhibits A & B Your friend thinks there is a profitable middle ground between the low cost/low quality cut and the high cost/high quality cut markets. • What % of men in Evanston get their haircut in Evanston vs downtown Chicago near their place of work. Additional information: • Average annual haircuts per person being considered • Barbershop will be open 10 hours/day, 360 days/year • Price segmentation (average price for cut, high end vs low end portions of the market and distribution between the two) • Assume customers stay with the same barbershop once they make a decision (i.e. customers don’t switch back and forth between shops). • End result should be a total annual dollar amount spent on haircuts by men in Evanston. There is no correct answer to this exercise. A good interviewee will show creativity, structure, and intuition regarding making educated guesses. Push interviewee to move quickly since this is not the primary purpose of the overall case. • An average male in Evanston pays for 10 haircuts per year Lead interviewee towards calculating 1st year profit in each location to determine optimal choice [see next page for solution]. 29 Busch’s Barber Shop Part 3 (continued) 3. Calculate revenue and costs for two potential locations (Exhibit A & B) Adult male population count in each segment: Market Adult Male Customers Low-end = 60k * 50% * 2/3 = 20k High-end = 60k * 50% * 1/3 = 10k Projected revenue calculation of each location: Location Total Customers Stolen Downtown = 20k*10% + 10k*5% = 2.5k Not Downtown = 20k*5% + 10k*5% = 1.5k Revenue = 2.5k * 10 cuts/yr * $30/haircut = $750k = 1.5k * 10 cuts/yr * $30/haircut = $450k Cost calculations of each location: Location Upfront Costs Downtown = 30k+20k = 50k Not Downtown = 30k+25k = 55k Labor = 4*$15/hr*10hr/day*360days = $216k = 2*$15/hr*10hr/day*360days = $108k First year profitability: Location Downtown Not Downtown Revenue = $750k = $450k - Rent = 48k = 12k Total Cost $314k $175k = = = Total $314k $175k Profit $436k $275k Takeaway: Downtown location has higher projected first year profits. Optional brainstorming question: What other factors should be considered when choosing a potential shop location? Potential answers: Long term plans, proximity to other stores, ease of transportation to location, visibility, layout of store, capacity constraint for future growth, preference of target demographic 30 Busch’s Barber Shop Part 4 4. Evaluate profitability of potential loyalty program Your friend (after having chosen the downtown location) is considering implementing a loyalty reward system as part his marketing strategy. He’s decided that such a system would reward customers by giving them their 10th haircut for free. He projects this will result in a 10% increase in total first year customers. Is this a profitable decision? One method is to calculate the new annual customer count, determine expected annual revenue, and compare with previously calculated revenue. Costs assumed to remain constant since no marginal costs for additional haircuts (employees paid hourly, assume no additional employees required). New expected annual customer count: = (Previously calculated total customers) * 110% = 2500 * 1.1 = 2750 customers Expected revenue with loyalty program: = (# of expected customers) * (average # haircuts paid for annually) * (price) = 2750 * (10 – 1) * $30 = $742.5k Takeaway: Revenue without loyalty program was $750k. Since costs do not change, not profitable decision. Additional insight: Revenue decline is minimal (~1%), are there potential advantages of increasing customer base by 10% that would still make implementing loyalty program attractive? (example: implement loyalty program for only the first year to build customer base, upsell products such as shampoo/additional services to this larger customer base, etc.) 31 Busch’s Barber Shop Part 5 5. Brainstorm other areas of consideration (optional) Additional optional brainstorm questions: 1. What changes could be made to make this loyalty program profitable? • Decrease frequency of freebies, make reward 50% off instead of free cut, etc. 2. Instead of the loyalty program, your friend is considering introducing a membership-based pricing. In this system, a customer would pay a set price every month for unlimited haircuts. What are pros and cons of such a system, and if it was implemented, how would you think about setting the price? • Pros (more predictable revenue stream, potentially increased data on customers, differentiation) • Cons (adverse selection likely to occur with only customers who would overuse membership signing up, potentially unhappy employees if tips reduce based on different payment scheme) 3. One key to success will be finding quality employees without having to pay as high of a base wage as high end competition. What are some possible methods of attracting and retaining talent in this scenario? • Possible options: more flexible work schedule, end of year profit sharing to make employees feel invested in store’s success, finding rising stars in the lower end market who haven’t had the chance to move to the high-end yet, etc. 32 Busch’s Barber Shop Part 6 6. Provide client recommendation Overall: • Your friend should choose the downtown location for starting his new barbershop without the loyalty program. • Projected first year profits of ~$430k • Implementing free 10th haircut results in decreased revenue at current growth expectations. Risks: • Numbers assume immediate customers acquisition: unrealistic without effective marketing campaign. • Competitive response: high end stores may offer discounts or decrease price if they experience large loss of customers, although, projected market steal from this segment is only 5%, unlikely to cause drastic response. • Customers might not find quality increase enough to justify increased price compared to other low-end options. • Opportunity costs: what other business options could your friend be pursuing with his saved capital? Are there other locations better suited than Evanston? Would it be more efficient to buy a current existing shop instead of starting a new one? Next steps: • Perform due diligence on buying an existing shop. • Perform more extensive customer surveys to confirm existing projections. • Research how to hire qualified barbers to meet expectations of improved quality compared to low level shops. • Sign lease, purchase equipment, bring on advisor (since friend has no previous experience), develop marketing strategy. • Evaluate changes to proposed loyalty program to improve profitability. 33 Case 02 Chic Cosmetology Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z03 Breakeven analysis (1) • X09 Hospitality & Leisure • Busch’s Barber Shop (Kellogg 2020) • Z12 Creativity (2) • Yumy Co 2012) • Z07 Market share (3) (Yale Case type • Y04 Market entry Case author(s): Peter Manoogian (Kellogg 2012) Edited by: Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 34 Chic Cosmetology Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is a for-profit, specialty college named Chic Cosmetology University (CCU). Founded in 2005, CCU is a program for high school graduates seeking their professional cosmetology license. CCU is currently the market leader for cosmetology education with campuses in ten major metropolitan areas in the US. • CCU has capital to invest in a new campus and is considering Chicagoland as a location – should they do it? Interviewer guide • Problem: Will CCU be able to enroll enough students to offset the initial investment and achieve positive profit? • Key case steps: 1. Evaluate CCU revenue and cost structures 2. Brainstorm CCU customers 3. Project CCU’s market share 4. Provide client recommendation • Note: It is critical that the interviewee lands on the figures presented (or is course corrected toward them before proceeding) 35 Chic Cosmetology Fit: What would be the hardest part about starting at our firm? Case prompt • Our client is a for-profit, specialty college named Chic Cosmetology University (CCU). Founded in 2005, CCU is a program for high school graduates seeking their professional cosmetology license. CCU is currently the market leader for cosmetology education with campuses in ten major metropolitan areas in the US. • CCU has capital to invest in a new campus and is considering Chicagoland as a location – should they do it? Clarifying information • Goal: Achieve positive operating profit for the new campus two years after opening • Format: Enrolled students take classes at a physical campus for one school year to earn degree (FY begins on 9/1) • Reputation: CCU has the best campuses and equipment in the industry, and boasts strong job placement into top local slaons • Growth: CCU and industry enrollments growing at 5% per year • Competitors: 2-3 other large specialty colleges, and lower-cost community colleges • Industry: H.S. Diploma and cosmetology degree required to enter the field • Students: 98% of cosmetologists are women 36 Chic Cosmetology Exhibit A – CCU 2010 financials (31-Aug-2010) Student enrollments (all campuses) Revenue from enrollments 10 $150,000 Total fixed campus costs Buildings and equipment Recruiting, general, and administrative $48,000 $32,000 $16,000 Total variable campus costs Instructors Student supplies $80,000 $40,000 $40,000 Operating profit $22,000 Notes: • All units in ‘000s Chic Cosmetology Exhibit B – CCU and major competitor locations (31-Aug-2010) Campus 2010 share* San Francisco, CA 8% Los Angeles, CA 14% Minneapolis, MN 15% Dallas, TX 14% Houston, TX 10% Atlanta, GA 16% Miami, FL 12% Philadelphia, PA 12% New York City, NY 16% Boston, MA 8% *Measured as share of total ‘potential’ students, as defined by CCU CCU Campus Major competitor campus 38 Chic Cosmetology Part 1 1. Evaluate CCU revenue and cost structures Provide Exhibit A after interviewee asks about revenues or costs • How many students will CCU need to break-even in year 1? • If asked, the investment initial Chicagoland campus cost is $4.5M in initial building costs to renovate its chosen site. These costs can be amortized evenly over a three year period. Assume fixed costs remain flat per year. • Interviewee should calculate • Total fixed costs per year = $6.3M ($4.8M + $1.5M from amortization). • Gross profit per student = $7K • Average revenue per enrollment = $15K (revenue / total enrollments) • Total annual fixed cost per campus = $4.8M ($48M / 10) • Total variable cost per student = $8K ($80M / 10K) • Gross profit per student = $7K ($15K - $8K) • Break-even number of enrollments per year = 900 ($6.3M / $7K) • Next step: Interviewee should tackle the overall opportunity in the area and how many year 1 enrollments CCU could expect 39 Chic Cosmetology Part 2 2. Brainstorm CCU customers • What types of schools / students do you think CCU targets? • Possible responses (schools): • Public schools (private HS more likely to have grads go to 4yr univ) • HS’s in middle-class cities (may be an affordability issue w/lo income) • Closest to the campus (geography) • Possible responses (students) • Female HS graduates • Not attending 4yr college • Interested in cosmetology • After a few of the above criteria are noted, share: • CCU has identified 1,000 targeted high schools in the Chicagoland area • Within these HS, CCU’s market research estimates that on average 6 students per HS have “potential” for CCU enrollment 40 Chic Cosmetology Part 3 3. Project CCU’s market share Provide Exhibit B to the interviewee • 80% of enrolled students come directly from high school, the other 20% of students come from the “Adult” market • What is the highest share we could expect CCU Chicago to capture in Y1? • Campuses w/competitors present tend to have a lower share (10%) than those w/out (15%) • However, presence of >1 competitor does not have an increased negative impact on market share (Boston has 8% share w/only one competitor) • Interviewee should assume a projected 10% market share for a Chicago campus (one competitor) • 10% market share equals 750 enrollments • Takeaway: CCU cannot break even based on the enrollment number estimated 41 Chic Cosmetology Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation • Overall, our client should NOT enter the Chicago market under the current cost structure. Even with a 10% market share assumption in year 1, the Chicago campus will enroll only 750 students, this is 150 fewer than the 900 required to break-even. • The client should also consider several qualitative issues: • Consider offering scholarships to increase the number of potential students and/or conversion rate of potential students • Consider other cities beyond Chicagoland that currently do not have a CCU presence, or add a second campus to a city such as NYC that has high market share and potentially low capacity • Perform market research in other cities to understand if there is a greater potential per target high school to increase ROI • Consider ways to reduce fixed costs (e.g., transporting equipment / materials from campuses that are not at capacity) • Strong interviewees identify several of the qualitative issues listed above as ways in which CCU could proceed • Outstanding interviewees will recognize that the 10% market share is for campuses that have been in place for at least three years, therefore Chicago is unlikely to achieve that share in year 1 or 2; this rules out the feasibility of the follow-up question that suggests the possibility of reducing the one-time investment from $4.5M to $300K. 42 Case 03 Chicouver Cycle Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z12 Creativity (1) • X15 Transportation & Logistics • Fast Food Co. (Columbia 2017) • Z02 Net Present Value (2) • Duck Island Beer Co. (Fuqua 2016) • Z03 Breakeven analysis (3) Case type • Y04 New product / Market entry Case authors: John Ng (Kellogg 2018) Edited By: Michael Eidem (Kellogg 2020) 43 Chicouver Cycle Interviewer Guide Case prompt • Our client, Chicouver Cycle (pronounced “Chai-cover”), is a bikesharing startup. Like other bikeshare operators in cities around the world, Chicouver Cycle owns bicycles and rents them out to users one trip at a time. • Chicouver Cycle wants to know how they should launch operations in the city of Chicouver. They have specifically asked us to recommend one or more of Chicouver’s neighborhoods to enter. Interviewer guide • This case test the interviewee’s ability to move beyond the typical market entry framework to consider practical issues of launching a sharing economy business. • Key case steps: 1. Develop a structure to address the problem - identify factors for comparing different neighborhoods as potential launching grounds. 2. Analyze cost and revenue drivers for different neighborhoods and trip types. 3. Compute profitability for different operating models (docking versus dockless bikeshare systems) 4. Provide client recommendation 44 Chicouver Cycle Fit: You’re interviewing for a generalist role, however, are there particular industries or functions that you’re especially interested in? Case prompt • Our client, Chicouver Cycle (pronounced “Chai-cover”), is a bikesharing startup. Like other bikeshare operators in cities around the world, Chicouver Cycle owns bicycles and rents them out to users one trip at a time. • Chicouver Cycle wants to know how they should launch operations in the city of Chicouver. They have specifically asked us to recommend one or more of Chicouver’s neighborhoods to enter. Clarifying information • Customers: Chicouver residents are avid bicyclists. The city is also a popular tourist destination • Competitive Dynamics: There is currently no existing bikeshare system in Chicouver. • Company: Our client wants to generate cash from initial launch to fund further growth. Profitability is important. • Product: Most bikeshare systems charge $1 per trip. Our client will charge the same. Our client is choosing between two models of bikesharing systems: docking and dockless. • Other: The city of Chicouver has worked with other sharing economy platforms before; permitting will not be an issue. Chicouver has reasonable weather for biking all year round. 45 Chicouver Cycle Exhibit A – Chicouver’s Neighborhoods Mid-income residential neighborhood for Chicouver’s working adults 1 mile Population density Low Wetlands Ritzy residential neighborhood, home to Chicouver’s titans of industry High Capitol Hill Swanville Chicouver’s main tourist district Historic District CBD Bayside Heights Newly gentrified residential neighborhood popular with young professionals Nightlife District Popular with locals Monday through Saturday Recreation District Gyms, museums, nature parks frequented by local residents after work Business district where all of Chicouver’s residents commute to work 46 Chicouver Cycle Exhibit B – Chicouver’s Topography 1 mile Topography Flat Wetlands Very hilly Capitol Hill Swanville Historic District Bayside Heights CBD Nightlife District Recreation District 47 Chicouver Cycle Exhibit C – Projections by Type of Bikeshare Trip Expected No. of Trips Per Week (K) No. of Bikes Needed to Meet Demand (K) Utilization (%) Commuting 500 50 4% Tourism 400 5 24% Recreation 300 4 22% Nightlife 600 30 7% Trip Type Notes: • Utilization = # hours bike is used each week / total # hours in a week 48 Chicouver Cycle Exhibit D – Bikeshare Systems DOCKING System DOCKLESS System Users must start and end trips at a docking station. Users pick up any available bike and end a trip anywhere within the service area. 49 Chicouver Cycle Exhibit E – Projected Costs Costs Docking System Dockless System $200 $200 $10,000 n/a Flat $100 $200 Moderately Hilly $500 $1,000 Very Hilly $2,000 $4,000 Annual cost per bike Annual cost per docking station* Annual distribution cost per bike *Notes: • Each docking station holds 20 bikes 50 Chicouver Cycle Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem An ideal structure focuses mostly on the specific question at hand: which neighborhood(s) should Chicouver Cycle look to launch in first? Additional elements of a new venture/market entry framework help to round out a complete view of the problem. Key elements expected to be included in this framework are: • Overall Market: Who are the target customers and what are their preferences, what does the competitive landscape look like (even though there aren’t other bikesharing companies, what are available substitutes), what are the overall economic trends in the city of Chicouver and how will that impact the sharing economy? • Our Client: What are our core competencies, have we launched in other cities previously and learned from that experience, do we have a current image/brand, how lean are we looking to be at initial launch, what are our future aspirations (other products, services)? • Profitability: What will the expected costs be (marketing, bikes, docking equipment, labor, technology development and maintenance, etc.) and how much revenue can we expect to earn (user volume, ride frequency, payment level and structure)? • Location Choice: The prompt specifically focuses on location, so the interviewee should consider factors that matter when analyzing neighborhoods as potential launching grounds: population density, neighborhood uses, household income, topography (critical for bikeshare!), etc. 51 Chicouver Cycle Part 2 2. Analyze cost and revenue drivers for different neighborhoods and trip types. After discussing initial framework, when interviewee raises questions regarding how to evaluate which neighborhood to enter… Provide Exhibit A & B • There is a lot of info in Exhibit A: population density, what takes place in each neighborhood, and who is in each neighborhood. • There are 3 residential neighborhoods where people commute from home to work in CBD. After work, residents travel from the CBD to the recreation and nightlife districts. Tourists tend to stay within the historic district. • Terrain matters: it’s easier to bike on flat terrain than hilly terrain, and this may affect our revenues or our costs. • Interviewee should discuss how these different characteristics of neighborhoods affect the attractiveness of each for market entry. • Interviewee may need help seeing that there are different types of trips taking place within and between neighborhoods. Provide Exhibit C • Exhibit C lays out 4 types of trips that people take in Chicouver. Interviewee may note that while commuting and nightlife have the greatest number of trips, they require many bikes to provide an acceptable level of service, leading to low utilization. • No calculations needed at this time, but interviewee should raise issue of revenues and costs. If asked about revenues, tell interviewee that our client will charge $1 per trip. When asked about costs, ask interviewee to quickly brainstorm major cost items. 52 Chicouver Cycle Part 3 3. Compute profitability for different operating models (docking versus dockless bikeshare systems) • When the interviewee raises the need to look at costs and revenues… Provide Exhibit D & E Calculate revenue and costs for each distinct trip type to determine which neighborhoods should be targeted: • Revenue = ($1) * (# of weeks) * (# of trips) (Assume 50 weeks in a year) • Cost of bikes = ($200) * (# bikes) • Number of stations = (# bikes) / 20 Cost of Stations = ($10,000) * (# stations) • Distribution costs = (distribution costs) * (# bikes) Type # Trips # Bikes Terrain Revenue Bike Cost # Stations Station Cost Dist. Cost (docking) Dist. Cost (dockless) Docking Profits Dockless Profits Commute 500 50K All 3 (use flat) $1 * 500K * 50 = 25M $200 * 50K = 10M 50K / 20 = 2500 2500 * $10K = 25M $100 * 50K = 5M 5M * 2 = 10M 25 – 10 – 25 – 5 = -15M 25 – 10 – 10 = 5M Tourism 400 5K Very hilly $1 * 400K * 50 = 20M $200 * 5K = 1M 5K / 20 = 250 250 * $10K = 2.5M $2000 * 5K = 10M 10M * 2 = 20M 20 – 1 – 2.5 – 10 = 6.5M 20 – 1 – 20 = -1M Recreation 300 4K Moderate $1 * 500K * 50 = 15M $200 * 4K = 0.8M 4K / 20 = 200 200 * $10K = 2M $500 * 4K = 2M 2M * 2 = 4M 15 – 0.8 – 2 – 2 = 10.2M 15 – 0.8 – 4 = 10.2M Nightlife 600 30K Flat $1 * 500K * 50 = 30M $200 * 30K = 6M 30K / 20 = 1500 1500 * $10K = 15M $100 * 30K = 3M 3M * 2 = 6M 30 – 6 – 15 – 3 = 6M 30 – 6 – 6 = 18M 53 Chicouver Cycle Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation • Recommendation: Chicouver Cycle should launch a dockless system in the nightlife district: • This will generate $18m in profits per year, driven by the nightlife district’s high volume of projected bikeshare trips. • Going dockless will save $15 in station costs in exchange for a doubling of distribution cots to $6m, which are relatively low thanks to the nightlife district’s flat terrain. • Going forward, a dockless system will also entail lower costs and higher profits than a docking system as Chicouver Cycle expands to other neighborhoods and serves other trip types. Choosing the right operating infrastructure with the eye to future growth is important for a bikeshare system. • Next Steps: • Utilization of bicycles for nightlife trips is low. Our client should explore ways to increase utilization and improve margins by using the same bikes to target additional trip types, such as recreation trips. Recreation is a good candidate because the recreating and nightlife districts are geographically adjacent. • Our client should investigate ways to reduce distribution costs. One idea is to incentive users to end trips in specific locations that won’t require Chicouver Cycles to send someone to redistribute the bikes later on. • Chicouver Cycle should increase loyalty among customers and raise switching costs to protect itself from other sharing economy transportation competitors, including other bikeshare companies that may enter the city. 54 Case 04 Dark Sky Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z12 Creativity (1) • X01 Aerospace & Defense • Fruit Cart Vendor (Stern 2012) • Z05 Elasticity (2) • Sgt. Slaughter (Fuqua 2010) • Z14 Pricing strategy (2) Case type • Y04 New product / Market entry • Ice Cream Dream (Darden 2016) Case author(s): Sean Burrow (Kellogg 2011) Edited by: Eugene Kim (Kellogg 2015), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 55 Dark Sky Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client, Dark Sky, is a small manufacturer of unmanned (ie. remotely piloted) data collection aircraft. • Dark Sky produces the Assessor, an aircraft originally designed for unmanned weather exploration. • In 2006, the United States military began purchasing Assessors for use in Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) missions. The Assessor is profitable, but sales have stagnated and the client wishes to grow. • What are some steps Dark Sky could take to achieve growth? Interviewer guide • This case intentionally uses terminology that may not be familiar to the typical MBA student. This is meant to challenge the interviewee to dismiss superfluous information and to focus on the business problem. 1. Analyze historical growth and brainstorm growth strategies 2. Explore attractiveness of prototype products 3. Brainstorm other product selection considerations 4. Provide client recommendation 56 Dark Sky Fit: What is your greatest weakness? Tell me about a team experience when you where hampered by this weakness. Case prompt • Our client, Dark Sky, is a small manufacturer of unmanned (ie. remotely piloted) data collection aircraft. • Dark Sky produces the Assessor, an aircraft originally designed for unmanned weather exploration. • In 2006, the United States military began purchasing Assessors for use in Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) missions. The Assessor is profitable, but sales have stagnated and the client wishes to grow. • What are some steps Dark Sky could take to achieve growth? Clarifying information • Customer / Price: Dark Sky’s only customer is the US Military, with which they have a Cost-Plus-Fixed-Fee contract. The contract has been extended in the past and is up for renegotiation; the Military has agreed to a marginal inflationary price increase • Company: Dark Sky has additional capacity to manufacture. They are too small to acquire competitors. • Product: Dark Sky designs a unique aircraft that is launched from a catapult device; the aircraft can be launched from ships at sea or from harsh terrain (e.g. desert, mountains). Dark Sky only sells the Assessor, but has other prototypes designed. • Competition: There are approximately 20 competitors that manufacture unmanned aircraft. 57 Dark Sky Exhibit A – Historical revenue (2014 – 2019) Revenue ($ millions) 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 58 Dark Sky Exhibit B – New product sales forecast (2020) New Product Sales (units sold) New Product Offering Navy Army Price Per Aircraft SeaBird 50 -- $220,000 SandBird -- 60 $210,000 JointBird 38 52 $180,000 59 Dark Sky Exhibit C – Impact of new product on existing sales (2020) New Product Sales (units sold) New Product Offering Navy Army Price Per Aircraft Assessor unit sales lost (cannibalized) SeaBird 50 -- $220,000 40% SandBird -- 60 $210,000 70% JointBird 38 52 $180,000 90% 60 Dark Sky Part 1 1. Analyze historical growth and brainstorm growth strategies Provide Exhibit A when the interviewee asks about revenue • The military started purchasing the Assessor in 2016. The price of the aircraft has remained constant at $100,000 per unit. Throughout the past decade, The Assessor has been Dark Sky’s only source of revenue. • How many units were sold in 2019 and what was the growth rate from 2015 to 2019? How could Dark Sky grow? • How many units were sold in 2019? • $5,000k ÷ $100k/unit = 50 units • What was the growth rate from 2015 to 2019? • ($5,000k - $500k) ÷ ($500k ) x 100 = 900% Organic • Increase penetration with US military • Product development – develop new products for the military Inorganic • Joint Venture – to increase market accessibility or product offering. • M&A – add additional capacity and/or products. • New market entry to new markets or customers • Increase / reduce prices (based on demand elasticity) 61 Dark Sky Part 2a 2a. Explore attractiveness of prototype products Provide Exhibit B after Exhibit A asks about new products • Dark Sky has developed several aircraft prototypes designed specifically for military missions. The company has the capability to continue producing the Assessor and to introduce one new aircraft. • To maximize short-term growth, which aircraft should Dark Sky produce? • To calculate the revenue for each scenario, the interviewee should add Assessor sales to the sales of the new product. • Assessor sales are based on: • 50 units sold with no new product launch • Cannibalization forecast specific to each new product launch • $110,000 per aircraft • New product sales can be easily calculated using shortcuts. For example: • SeaBird: $220k * 100 = $22m… then half of this • SandBird: $210k * 100 = $21m… then half of it and add (10% of $21m) • JointBird: Add to get 90… then $180k*100 = $18m, subtract (10% of $18m) 62 Dark Sky Part 2b 2b. Explore attractiveness of prototype products Provide Exhibit C only if the interviewee asks about cannibalization • The introduction of a new aircraft will have a negative impact on Assessor sales. Which aircraft should Dark Sky produce? • Assessor Sales (Units, Revenue): • No new product = 50 aircraft, $5,500,000 • With SeaBird = 50 + (50 * (-40%)) = 50 - 20 = 30 aircraft, $3,300,000 • With SandBird = 50 + (50 * (-70%)) = 50 - 35 = 15 aircraft, $1,650,000 • With JointBird = 50 + (50 * (-90%)) = 50 - 45 = 5 aircraft, $550,000 • New Product Revenue: • SeaBird = 50 * $220,000 = $11,000,000 • SandBird = 60 * $210,000 = $12,600,000 • JointBird = (38 + 52) * $180,000 = 90 * $180,000 = $16,200,000 • Total Revenue: • • • • Assessor Only = $5,500,000 Assessor and SeaBird = $3,300,000 + $11,000,000 = $14,300,000 Assessor and SandBird = $1,650,000 + $12,600,000 = $14,250,000 Assessor and JointBird = $550,000 + $16,200,000 = $16,750,000 63 Dark Sky Part 3 3. Brainstorm other product selection considerations • If the candidate doesn’t start by listing other considerations relevant to selection of a new aircraft, as them to brainstorm. Development • Speed: How quickly could Dark Sky start manufacturing a third model (i.e. can Dark Sky produce SandBird this year, and be producing SandBird and SeaBird the following year)? If so, what are the revenue implications? • Costs: How profitable are the four aircraft models in comparison? Note: Because Dark Sky has a Cost-Plus-Fixed-Fee contract, profitability for each aircraft is likely equivalent. For this reason, Dark Sky should focus on maximizing the number of aircraft sold. • How much and how long is the payback period for the investment in manufacturing each type aircraft? Portfolio • If Dark Sky produces JointBird, is $550,000 in Assessor revenue worth the associated cost to produce the aircraft? Should resources be allocated to another project? Customer • Potential benefits of have two customer bases for new product (Navy and Army). 64 Dark Sky Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation • Based on 2020 forecasted revenue alone, Dark Sky should introduce the JointBird to the US Military in order to boost growth. • Among the three new prototype product, the JointBird is forecasted to maximize short-term revenue • However, there are several connected issues that Dark Sky should consider to include profitability, long-term revenue forecasts, competitive response, etc. • Excellent interviewees will identify cannibalization as a consideration before beginning revenue calculations 65 Case 05 DigiBooks Interviewer-led Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z10 Customer strategy (2) • X12 Retail & CPG • Z10 Marketing strategy (3) • X13 Technology • Heavy Things Fitness (Fuqua 2014) • Z12 Creativity (3) • Z08 Market sizing (4) Case type • Z04 New product / Market entry • High Peaks Jacket 2009) (Tuck • Termite Control 2005) (Ross Case authors: Shobhit Chugh (Kellogg ’11) Edited By: Adam Louras (Kellogg 2011), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 66 DigiBooks Interviewer Guide Case prompt • Our client, DigiBooks, is a manufacturer and seller of electronic book readers (tablets). DigiBooks also distributes e-books for the tablets through their website. The tablet is only compatible with books sold through the DigiBooks site. • DigiBooks is planning the launch of its tablets in a country where no electronic book readers are currently sold. Only 1% of the population has ever used an electronic book readers, though 50% is aware of the concept. The Chief Marketing Officer of DigiBooks has come to you to help determine: • What factors should DigiBooks consider when launching and marketing DigiBook tablets in this new country? Interviewer guide • Problem: How should DigiBooks enter this new market? • Key case steps 1. Develop a problem-solving structure 2. Analyze customer segments 3. Brainstorm market entry considerations 4. Estimated profits to identify optimal sales channel 5. Provide CEO recommendation 67 DigiBooks Experience: Tell me about a time that you lead a time to meet an aggressive deadline. Case prompt • Our client, DigiBooks, is a manufacturer and seller of electronic book readers (tablets). DigiBooks also distributes e-books for the tablets through their website. The tablet is only compatible with books sold through the DigiBooks site. • DigiBooks is planning the launch of its tablets in a country where no electronic book readers are currently sold. Only 1% of the population has ever used an electronic book readers though 50% is aware of the concept. The Chief Marketing Officer of DigiBooks has come to you to help determine: • What factors should DigiBooks consider when launching and marketing DigiBook tablets in this new country? Clarifying information • Industry Definitions: Electronic book readers: Is a software, hardware and network platform that utilizes wireless connectivity to enable users to shop for, download, browse, and read e-books, newspapers, magazines, blogs, and other digital media. • Client Characteristics: DigiBook’s Tablet: Uses an e-ink electronic paper display that features 16 shades of grey. This allows for a 12 hour long battery life and easy readability. • Locations: DigiBook has never sold a product outside of the US. • Competitive Dynamics: No competitors in the e-book or tablet space plan to enter this country • Market Characteristics: Total population of the country 76MM, high literacy level 68 DigiBooks Exhibit A – Market segments 250 25 $200 20 $175 15 200 150 $125 Books per year 100 10 eReader WTP 15 5 50 10 5 0 Segment Population Super (SR) SuperReaders Readers (SR) 8M Occasional Readers (OR) Occasional Readers Rare Readers (RR) Rare Readers 20M 10M (OR) 0 (RR) 69 DigiBooks Exhibit B – Channel decisions Channel Reach as a % of Total potential market E book Gross Margin % E-reader Gross Margin % Penetration Overheads Retail 50% 50% 30% 40% $20M Internet 50% 50% 60% 10% $10M 70 DigiBooks Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • A structure should cover the key areas needed to explore in order to determine how DigiBooks should launch and market the tablets in this country. Key elements expected to be included in this framework are: • Segmentation, targeting and positioning: Are there particular segments in the population that will be ideal customers for us? • Product: What key capabilities are people looking for? Can we use our existing products or do we need to develop a new one for this country? • Price: What price should the tablets and books be sold at? What is customers willingness to pay? Should we price the tablet at a low price so as to capture most of the market, and make margin on e-books? • Promotion: How should the tablets be marketed? What promotion mechanisms should be used? • Place/Distribution: Should the tablets be sold through retail channels, internet or other alternative means? • Selection of e-books: Is a wide selection of books available for this country? 71 DigiBooks Part 2 2. Analyze customer segments Provide Exhibit A • Through research, we found several segments. We are only able to target one segment with our product. • Using a 3-year projection, which segment should DigiBook target? • If unclear, the interviewee should answer based on Revenue Potential (i.e. Ignore probability of purchase) assuming all tablet sales happen immediately (Ignore TVM). • The missing data is that the average price of an e-book is $10, for each of the segments, and that e-books and tablets have the same margin • Using Exhibit A, interviewee should calculate: • SR Revenue = [(15 books x $10 X 3 Years) + ($200 x 1 tablet)] x 8M People = $5.2B • OR Revenue = [(10 books x $10 x 3 Years) + ($125 x 1 tablet)] x 20M People = $8.5B • RR Revenue = [(5 books x $10 x 3 Years) + ($175 x 1 tablet)] x 10M People = $3.25B • Takeaway: Segment to be targeted = Occasional Readers (OR) with a Revenue Potential of $8.5B 72 DigiBooks Part 3 3. Brainstorm market entry considerations • DigiBooks is now considering how it should sell its e-book readers: through retail stores or through the internet. • How would you go about evaluating this decision? Retail Pros Cons • Should encourage trial of the product • Lower margin due to value chain expansion • Retailers can help with joint marketing campaigns • Will take time and money to set up and adds training costs Internet • Retailers can help with customer service, returns • Likely cheaper to establish, will result in higher margins • Hard to encourage trial • Takeaway: We should do some sort of financial analysis to determine which channel is more attractive. 73 DigiBooks Part 4 4. Estimated profits to identify optimal sales channel Provide Exhibit B • Based on revised market estimates, we decided to price the e-reader at $100 and target the Occasional Reader segment. • Using this information and Exhibit B, can you estimate the profit potential of each of these sales channels? Which should we choose? • What segment would you recommend to your client? • If unclear, the interviewee should answer this with a 1-year Profitability calculation for each of the Sales Channels and back out the Upfront Investment. They should ignore all other costs. • There is no missing data; however, the Market Size of 20M people in the OR segment is needed from Exhibit A and the price per ebook of $10. • Using Exhibit B, interviewee should calculate: • Retail Profit = [(10 Books x $10/book x 50%) + ($100/tablet x 30%)] x (20M People x 50% reach X 40% Penetration) = $320M $20M = $300M • Internet Profit = [(10 Books x $10/book x 50%) + ($100/tablet x 60%)] x (10M People x 10% Penetration) = $110M - $10M = $100M • Takeaway: Sales Channel to Use = Retail with a profit of $300M 74 DigiBooks Part 5 5. Provide CEO recommendation • Overall, DigiBooks should launch the e-book reader for the Occasional Reader segment through the Retail Sales Channel. • Based on our calculations, we expect to earn a $300MM annual return Other items to consider: • What advertising mechanisms do we use in this case? • Do we setup a manufacturing facility in the country or do we source the products from our current manufacturing facilities? • Are there any prospects of competitors entering the market? • Strong interviewees notice key nuances in the case such as: Time Value of Money impacts on Exhibit A and Probability of Purchase or Penetration on Exhibit A • Outstanding interviewees detail various elements of marketing strategy of a new product launch. They lay out tables appropriately and completes relatively complex calculations at a fast pace. 75 Case 06 Events.com Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z14 Pricing strategy • X13 Technology • Maine Apples (Kellogg 2020) • Z07 Market share • Montoya Soup 2018) (Kellogg Case type • Y07 Profitability Case author(s): Alex Fabry (Kellogg 2020) 76 Events.com Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is Prospect Equity Partners (‘Prospect’), a prominent Private Equity firm that invests in the technology space. They have recently acquired Events.com due to strong commercial wins and momentum in the market • Events.com is a leading SaaS-based registration/ticketing platform for Endurance events (5K runs, Marathons, Triathlons, Mud Runs, etc.). They make money by taking registrations and processing payments for events and charging a fee per transaction (similar to Ticketmaster or Eventbrite) ($100 registration price x 10% Fee = $10 in Revenue for Events.com) • Events.com has doubled market share since 2015, but in the last two years revenue is flat and profits are down, despite growing share. Prospect wants you to determine what is causing this and come up with a plan to improve profitability Interviewer guide • Problem: Are the costs associated with the DM program justified by the savings? • This case is about a PE-portfolio company in Tech that has been undergoing a decline in profitability, despite commercial wins and market share growth. Events.com made a pricing change that has harmed profitability and needs to make a change 1. Analyze profitability issues 2. Identify root cause of issue 3. Quantify price change impact 4. Provide client recommendation 77 Events.com Fit: What has been the most risky project that you have worked on? Case prompt • Our client is Prospect Equity Partners (‘Prospect’), a prominent Private Equity firm that invests in the technology space. They have recently acquired Events.com due to strong commercial wins and momentum in the market • Events.com is a leading SaaS-based registration/ticketing platform for Endurance events (5K runs, Marathons, Triathlons, Mud Runs, etc.). They make money by taking registrations and processing payments for events and charging a fee per transaction (similar to Ticketmaster or Eventbrite) ($100 registration price x 10% Fee = $10 in Revenue for Events.com) • Events.com has doubled market share since 2015, but in the last two years revenue is flat and profits are down, despite growing share. Prospect wants you to determine what is causing this and come up with a plan to improve profitability Clarifying information • Market: The market has declined ~4% per year since 2015, driven by low participation in experiential runs like Color or Mud Runs • Competition: Two main other players in space: Active Network and RunSignUp. No recent entrants. • Customers: Customers are all in the US. Historically, local 5K events are targeted, but Events.com recently signed IRONMAN triathlon in Q4 2017, which has $125M in transaction volume per year, and other premium events • Product: The product platform is called EventWorks Endurance, and has been around for 10+ years • Company: No changes have been made to company since being acquired by Prospect 78 Events.com Exhibit A – Historical P&L and Market Share 2015 Market Share 12% 17% 6% $m 2015 2016 2017 2018 Revenue 25.0 35.0 39.9 39.9 Payment Processing Costs 3.3 4.7 8.0 11.9 Server Hosting Costs 3.8 5.3 4.8 4.8 Total Variable Costs 7.1 9.9 12.8 16.7 Headcount 5.0 5.3 5.5 5.5 Marketing 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 SG&A / Other Costs 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 Total Fixed Expenses 8.5 9.0 9.5 9.7 Operating Income 9.4 16.1 17.6 13.5 Operating Income Margin 38% 46% 44% 34% Variable Costs 65% 2018 Market Share 8% 34% 28% 30% Events.com Active Network RunSignUp Other Fixed Costs 79 Events.com Exhibit B – Payment Processing Breakdown 2017 2018 Number of events 4,023 5,051 Total registrations 8.0M 7.9M Dollars processed $339M $595M Events.com Revenue $39.9M $39.9M Payment Processing Expenses $8.0M $11.9M 80 Events.com Exhibit C – Pricing Structure Old Pricing Structure Fee per transaction 10.0% New Pricing Structure Fixed fee per transaction Price under $50 Price over $50 $3.00 $5.50 81 Events.com Part 1 1. Analyze profitability issues Provide Exhibit A when asked about Profitability (or revenue/costs) • Using Exhibit A, have a discussion around what is driving the decline in profitability • Interviewee should note that market share growth is from stealing share from Active Network, but largely ignore the share data • Interviewee should focus on 2017 and 2018 and notice that payment processing costs have increased drastically, hypothesizing that is due to an increase in processing volume or processing rate (since this is a variable expense), and ask for more information on payment processing • Interviewee should ignore other expenses, as the growth is not material 82 Events.com Part 2 2. Identify root cause of issue Provide Exhibit B when about Payment Processing Costs or Revenue • Provide the additional information along with the exhibit: • Price per Registration declined as higher priced customers (smaller events with fewer total registrations) were acquired (Ironman Triathlon) and lower priced customers did not renew • If interviewee is stuck, start a discussion about pricing and how it affects revenue, and have the interviewee calculate the payment processing rate, average fee, and average price per registration in 2017 and 2018. • Interviewee should now isolate whether the processing costs increase is driven by rate or volume, and should calculate the processing rate to confirm (Payment Processing Expenses / $’s Processed) • 2017: $8m / $399m = 2%; 2018: $11.9m / $595m = 2% • Interviewee should now realize cost increase is driven by volume and that registrations and volume are up, although revenue is down, leading to analysis of the components of revenue • Avg. fee rate (Revenue / $’s Processed): • 2017 = 10%; 2018= 6.7% • Price per registration ($’s Processed/Registrations): • 2017 = $50; 2018 = $75 83 Events.com Part 3 3. Quantify price change impact Provide Exhibit C when asked about Pricing • Provide the additional information along with the exhibit: • Pricing was changed due to competitive pressure • Interviewee should realize that pricing was changed from variable (10% fee) to a tiered fixed fee pricing, and as the price per registration increased, this caused revenue to be flat, despite acquiring customers • Candidate should realize ‘Over $50’ pricing should be changed, and when prompted, let interviewee know that customer surveys have indicated that a 2.25% “Credit Card Fee” can be added to “Over $50” tier with negligible customer losses, and that ~$375m of volume is over $50 • Interviewee should now calculate revenue increase from adding 2.25% fee • 2.25% * $375m = $8,437,500 • Do not allow rounding 84 Events.com Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation • Interviewee should summarize that a change in pricing to fixed fee tiered pricing caused revenue to remain flat and profitability to decline. They should recommend adding a 2.25% variable fee to the ‘Over $30m’, which will add ~$8.4m of revenue and profitability • Risks: Additional increases to average price per registration, customer reaction to pricing increases • Next Steps: Roll-out strategy for pricing change, investigation of ways to further change pricing to guard against additional increases in average price per registrations (add additional pricing tiers, customer/market research to figure out customer willingness to pay, etc.); Could look at targeting new sets of lower priced customers; consider acquiring RunSignUp to take over strong market position and stratify offerings; or exiting market due to its decline. • Excellent interviewees demonstrate the ability to analyze a P&L and think through how variable costs and revenues are related, along with testing brainstorming on pricing strategy. • Outstanding candidates will quickly focus on the correct items in the P&L and make the connections between pricing, revenue, and variable costs and how that has eroded profitability, despite being the market share leader. 85 Case 07 Garthwaite Healthcare Interviewer-led Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z12 Creativity (2) • X08 Healthcare • Mustard Clinic (Kellogg 2020) • Z15 Supply/value chain (4) • Insurance for Underserved (Wharton 2017) • Z16 Vertical integration (4) Case type • Y07 Profitability Case author(s): Aaron Mowery (Kellogg 2013) Edited by: Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 86 Garthwaite Healthcare Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is Garthwaite Healthcare Co (GHC), a health insurance firm located in the Midwest. • Customers pay GHC a fixed monthly premium per person covered under the plan. In exchange, GHC pays for all health services that each member requires (eg. physician care, prescription medications, hospitalization). • In recent years, GHC’s financial and competitive position has begun to decline, and the CEO has retained our firm to help them determine what is causing the problem and how to fix it. Interviewer guide • Problem: How can GHC reduce its total cost to serve its policy holders? 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Brainstorm medical cost sources and solutions 3. Calculate administrative costs 4. Develop commission sharing arrangement 5. Provide client recommendation 87 Garthwaite Healthcare Experience: Tell me about a time when you had to come up with a creative solution for a problem. Case prompt • Our client is Garthwaite Healthcare Co (GHC), a health insurance firm located in the Midwest. • Customers pay GHC a fixed monthly premium per person covered under the plan. In exchange, GHC pays for all health services that each member requires (eg. physician care, prescription medications, hospitalization). • In recent years, GHC’s financial and competitive position has begun to decline, and the CEO has retained our firm to help them determine what is causing the problem and how to fix it. Provide all Clarifying information even if the interviewee does not request it Clarifying information Client Characteristics • GHC is a mutual insurance company, meaning profits are returned to members in the form of lower premiums the following year. As such, GHC does not seek to maximize profit – it seeks to minimize cost, but does expect to earn a 5% profit margin. • GHC’s prices reflect underwriting of risk and the underlying cost to serve a customer Competitive Dynamics • Market share is steady, despite presence of major national health insurance company UHC (which has 30% share) Industry Economics • National medical cost inflation is 10% over the past 5 years. GHC’s cost increase in this period is 12% and UHC’s is 10%. 88 Garthwaite Healthcare Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • The interviewee should lay out a structure for analyzing the case. • The interviewee could have determined that revenue is not relevant to this case based on information given in the Case prompt, so the interviewee should focus on cost. • Costs in this case break out into fixed costs and variable costs: • Variable costs (medical costs – claims made by policyholders) • Fixed costs (administrative costs – e.g., marketing & sales, underwriting, finance, HR) • Specifically, we will need to understand how these costs have changed in recent years. 89 Garthwaite Healthcare Part 2 2. Brainstorm medical cost sources and solutions • Medical costs are the largest component of GHC’s costs. However, GHC’s medical costs are increasing faster than the national average. What are some potential reasons why this is taking place? What potential opportunities could you explore to reverse this trend? • Medical cost = (Number of claims per customer) x (Number of claimants) x (Cost per claim) Solutions Problems Number of claims per customer Number of claimants (% of customers claiming) Cost per claim • GHC customers sicker on average • GHC customers older than average • GHC pays more per procedure than average • Low deductibles incentivize more claims on average • Enhance wellness programs • Increase marketing efforts toward younger customers • Introduce pre-enrollment diagnosis diagnosis to improve cost • Increase deductibles estimates • Conduct benchmarking study to determine competitors’ costs 90 Garthwaite Healthcare Part 3 3. Calculate administrative costs • GHC administrative costs are also higher than average. The biggest driver of this is high cost of sales. GHC policies are sold through independent agents, each of which works with a ‘General Agency’ that acts as a sales support organization. • How much does GHC pay in commissions each year? • What are some potential approaches GHC could take to reduce its cost of sales? • What potential strategic issues exist with these approaches? • After interviewee explains how they would calculate commission expense, provide the below: • Commission (10% of annual premiums) is paid to the General Agency, which passes a share to the independent agent. Total commission paid is, on average, $25 per agent, per month. There are 500,000 agents. • Total commission expense = $25 * 500,000 * 12 = $150,000,000 Approaches • Reduce commission percentage Issues • Cap commission to a certain level per year • Agents could shift business from GHC to another carrier that pays higher commission • Change commissions from percent of premium to flat fee (% increases annually with inflation) • Agents would lose incentive to sell if their commission is capped 91 Garthwaite Healthcare Part 4 4. Develop commission sharing arrangement • The team has decided to pay a flat commission directly to agents, and to pay the General Agencies a separate fee for the support services they provide to agents. If the total commission paid to both parties is set at $20 per member per month, what share should be given to the General Agencies? • If interviewee asks, explain they should find the maximum amount that should be allocated to the General Agencies. Additional information • General Agencies perform three activities: training, application processing, and performance management. • If GHC were to perform these activities internally, they would cost: • Training: $6,000,000 • Application processing: $9,000,000 • Performance management: $15,000,000 Potential approach • The total cost of the activities that General agencies perform is $30,000,000 (=$6,000,000 + $9,000,000 + $15,000,000). • There are 500,000 members and 12 months in a year. • The maximum amount of money GHC should be willing to pay the General Agencies for the activities performed is the per member, per month cost of these activities ($30,000,000 / (500,000 x 12) = $5 92 Garthwaite Healthcare Part 5 5. Provide client recommendation • Taking into account what you’ve learned thus far as well as your own additional hypotheses, what initiatives would you recommend to the CEO at this point? • Our client should take action to reduce both medical costs and administrative costs. • At this point, the interviewee should synthesize the findings from the interview into several clear initiatives, for example: • Enhance marketing efforts to attract more young customers and bring down the average claims per member. • Conduct a benchmarking study to determine opportunities for reductions in payments for medical services. • Change the commission structure to flat fee per member per month. This achieves the goal of reducing commission expense, while at the same time keeping an agent’s incentive to sell more business. • Strong interviewees will demonstrate the ability to analyze issues using a clear structure and will draw out the implications of their analysis. The quantitative calculations in this case are elementary, but the process to get to them is somewhat more complicated 93 Case 08 Health Coaches Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z10 Customer strategy (2) • X08 Healthcare • Mustard Clinic (Kellogg 2020) • Z08 Market sizing (3) • TV Screens 2017) • Z12 Creativity (4) Case type • Y05 Operations (Wharton • Vitality Insurance (Kellogg 2020) • Y06 Opportunity assessment Case author(s): David Wellner (Kellogg 2011) Edited By: Craig DePriester (Kellogg 2012), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 94 Health Coaches Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is a large national healthcare payer (health insurance company, think Aetna) exploring the launch of a new disease management (‘DM’) program to better serve its 5 million members. • The idea is to hire and train a team of ‘Health Coaches’ to manage a portfolio of patients to reduce the costs of overall health expenditures (eg. reminders to take drugs, provide limited medical advice, suggested diet, exercise etc). Studies show that once a month contact with each patient reduces health spending by 5% on average. • Should our client launch the program? If so, what steps should it take? Interviewer guide • Problem: Are the costs associated with the DM program justified by the savings? • Problem solving steps 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Explore market segmentation 3. Calculate program profitability 4. Brainstorm other ideas to boost profitability 5. Provide client recommendation 95 Health Coaches Fit: Tell me about a project where you used your problem solving skills. Case prompt • Our client is a large national healthcare payer (health insurance company, think Aetna) exploring the launch of a new disease management (‘DM’) program to better serve its 5 million members. • The idea is to hire and train a team of ‘Health Coaches’ to manage a portfolio of patients to reduce the costs of overall health expenditures (eg. reminders to take drugs, provide limited medical advice, suggested diet, exercise etc). Studies show that once a month contact with each patient reduces health spending by 5% on average. • Should our client launch the program? If so, what steps should it take? Clarifying information • Industry: The whole industry is under pressure to innovate new products that will control spending • Company: Assume client is first to market • Operations: Past attempts to purely automate DM have yielded minimal savings • Health Coaches: All activity conducted remotely via phone/email, typically by a nurse that wants to work from home • Patients: It’s difficult to actually reach patients, so Coaches can contact 8 members per day (assume 25 days per month) • Costs: Annual costs per Coach: $60K salary +20% other (training, benefits, laptop, etc.). There are no other program costs 96 Health Coaches Exhibit A – Client’s member segmentation by disease type 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Other 50% Degenerative Hereditary 40% Lifestyle 30% Healthy 20% 10% Segment 0% Segment size Individual Individual Group Group 65+ 65+ 15% 65% 20% 97 Health Coaches Exhibit B – Average cost data Average cost PMPM* Segment Lifestyle Hereditary Degenerative Individual $600 $150 $150 Group $400 $100 $100 $1,200 $300 $300 65+ *Notes: • PMPM = Per Member Per Month 98 Health Coaches Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • The interviewee should drive towards quantifying the savings • Consideration of qualitative issues is ideal. Program Savings • Customer segmentation by disease area and cost per member Program Costs Risks • Communication systems • Assumption accuracy • Health Coach Salary • Competitive response • Training • Regulatory, liabilities 99 Health Coaches Part 2 2. Explore market segmentation Provide Exhibit A when the interviewee asks about segments or disease areas • Group are employee sponsored plans (e.g. ,if you work for our consultancy, you are in a group plan), Individual are non-groups (eg. private contractors, unemployed, etc). 65+ (see note below chart). • Which disease area should we look at first? • Interviewee should choose to focus on the 65+ segment • 65+ patients are the sickest, • Sicker patients are likely to drive higher costs • Higher costs provides greatest benefit for DM • Interviewee should choose to focus on lifestyle diseases • Lifestyle diseases make up the largest portion of sick members • As diseases primarily brought on by behavior, this segment is likely to benefit from DM • Number of 65+ lifestyle = 20% segment x 40% lifestyle x 5m members = 400,000 100 Health Coaches Part 3 3. Calculate program profitability Provide Exhibit B when the interviewee asks about medical costs • Note: lead with Exhibit A. If the interviewee leads with profitability, steer him/her to first think about customer segmentation. • What can we do with this information? • Cost per Coach = $60k base + 20% = $72k • Size of Portfolio = 8 patients per day x 25 days per month = 200 patients per year • Savings for one portfolio = $1,200 cost per month x 12 months per year x 5% average savings x 200 patients = $144k • Overall savings = ($144k savings - $72k costs) x 2,000 coaches = $144m profit per year • Takeaway: Profit is $72K per Health Coach (double the cost of a coach) • Based on PMPM lifestyle cost data, Individual segment is break-even (50% less savings), Group segment is a loss 101 Health Coaches Part 4 4. Brainstorm other ideas to boost profitability • There are 650,000 Group members with lifestyle diseases left ‘uncoached.’ Is there a way to make the segment profitable? More efficient DM program • Coaching at work • Bi-monthly contact • Automated correspondence • Better training for Health Coaches Seek additional revenue sources • Employers might be willing to pay a fee to enroll in service Client selection • Target members who will respond with savings well above 5% • Government support as a stateapproved or sponsored program 102 Health Coaches Part 5 5. Provide client recommendation • Client should launch the Health Coaching program, and first focus on lifestyle diseases in the 65+ segment • Launch a pilot program to prove out assumptions (eg. 5% cost reduction, Coach portfolio capacity, etc.) • First expand to entire 65+ lifestyle segment ($144M per year savings per coach, a 2x return on each Health Coach) • Consider introducing to Individual lifestyle segment despite break-even (customer retention, moral rationale, etc.) As first to the market, client plans to expand Health Coach program externally. Who should they target? • The program yields the greatest savings in the 65+ lifestyle disease segment. However, the client should keep in mind that more lifestyle members will increase overall health care costs, considerably (still almost 4x after savings). • As an alternative, the client could sell its Health Coach service to other payers. • Excellent interviewees should use common sense to make reasonable assumptions before you provide required inputs. • Outstanding interviewees are able to keep track of all units from a math perspective. 103 Case 09 Healthy Foods Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z10 Customer strategy (2) • X12 Retail & CPG • Dark Sky 2020) • Z10 Marketing strategy (2, 3, 4) (Kellogg • Z12 Creativity (3) Case type • Y02 Growth Strategy Case authors: Milija Medic Edited By: Mauricio Atri (Kellogg 2012), Tuhina Kapoor (Kellogg 2020) 1 04 Healthy Foods Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is Healthy Foods, a wholesaler serving a variety of clients with Food products. The client is profitable but they want you to help them find revenue growth opportunities from their current business. • How can we help Healthy Foods drive their revenue growth? Interviewer guide • Problem: How can Healthy Foods increase revenue? • Problem solving steps: 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Identify main customer types and their current contributions 3. Analyze client’s wallet share for different customers 4. Share of Wallet analysis and Wallet Size versus Share of Wallet 5. Provide client recommendation 105 Healthy Foods Fit: Tell me about a time you had to lead a diverse team? Case prompt • Our client is Healthy Foods, a wholesaler serving a variety of clients with Food products. The client is profitable but they want you to help them find revenue growth opportunities from their current business. • How can we help Healthy Foods drive their revenue growth? Clarifying information • Customers: The client serves various customer categories (shown in Exhibit A). • Customer sensitivities are (highest to lowest): o Price o Convenient delivery o Help with location planning o Help with menu o Web site development o Inventory o Help with management optimization • Competition: The client is one of the market leaders and is not losing the market share 106 Healthy Foods Exhibit A – Revenues by Customer Type Other Grocery Stores School Cafeterias Independent Restaurants Hospitals Chain Restaurants 107 Healthy Foods Smallest X Customer Size Exhibit B – Client’s Share of Wallet C Largest A B 0% 10% 20% 30% Client is Primary Food Supplier 40% 50% 60% 70% Client is one of many food suppliers 108 Healthy Foods Exhibit C – Wallet Size vs. Share of Wallet for the Smaller-Revenue-Generating Customer Categories 600 500 Wallet Size ($m) Hospitals 400 Hotels School Cafeterias 300 Grocery Stores 200 Chain Restaurants 100 0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Share of Wallet (%) 109 Healthy Foods Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • A structure should cover the key areas needed to explore in order to determine how Healthy Foods can explore new revenue growth opportunities. Key elements expected to be included in this framework are: • Market: Overall trends, offerings by competitors and customer preferences • Segmentation, targeting and positioning: Are there particular segments in the population that will be ideal customers for us? How are positioned in the market? • Product and channel mix: What is our current mix of products offered and what markets and channels do we service? What is the menu? • Price: What price are our products sold at? Is there scope for increasing the price? Can we bundle any of our offerings? • Promotion: How are our products marketed? What promotion mechanisms are being used? • Volume: Who are our customers? How do we reach them? What is our wallet share with them? 110 Healthy Foods Part 2 2. Identify main customer types and their current contributions • The client has some information about the customer segments that it sells to: Provide Exhibit A • The interviewee will probably explore opportunities for growth in the independent restaurant category. If they inquire about customer satisfaction and sensitivities, provide information from the ‘Clarifying information’ section, and emphasize that the needs of this segment are already met. • The interviewee should inquire about the Share of Wallet in the customer categories to get a better idea on where the growth opportunities lie. 111 Healthy Foods Part 3 3. Analyze client’s wallet share for different customers Provide Exhibit B when the interviewee realizes they need to understand Share of Wallet • The interviewee should recognize that Share of Wallet in the highest-revenue-generating customer categories is already high, and that the client is already a key provider for a lot of them. • Ask the interviewees to list all options to increase revenue and the reasons behind (brainstorming exercise). • Help interviewee to reach that the growth opportunity in the smaller revenue-generating customers, where client’s Share of Wallet is smaller. Now the interviewee should formulate the criteria to prioritize among the smaller revenue-generating customer types: the bigger their Share of Wallet and the smaller client’s Share of Wallet, the better. 112 Healthy Foods Part 4 4. Share of Wallet analysis and Wallet Size versus Share of Wallet • Share Exhibit C when the interviewee realizes they will need to understand the Share of Wallet vis-à-vis Wallet Size Provide Exhibit C • The bigger the Size of Wallet and the smaller client's Share of Wallet, the larger the revenue growth opportunity for the client. • Using Exhibit C, the interviewee should identify the hospitals and the hotels as the most promising candidates for revenue growth given their large wallets and small client’s Share of Wallet. The interviewee should identify the strongest sensitivities these clients would have and suggest ways to increase client’s Share of Wallet there. 113 Healthy Foods Part 5 5. Provide client recommendation • In the current business, the largest growth opportunities lie in customer segments: hospitals and hotels. • The interviewee should suggest ways to better serve those customers and increase client's Share of Wallet there, capturing significant new revenues due to the large Wallet Size of those clients. • Excellent interviewees identify Share of Wallet as an important parameter, quickly recognize that there is little opportunity for growth in the largest-revenue-generating customers, and come up with the size of wallet vs. Share of Wallet plot as a good prioritization tool for identifying promising customer categories for the client’s revenue growth. 114 Case 10 High Q Plastics Concepts tested Primary sector(s) • Z11 Competitive Analysis • X04 Engineering & Construction Similar cases • Z12 Creativity Case type • Y01 Cost reduction • Y05 Operations • Y07 Profitability Case Authors: Erin Brooks (Kellogg 2011) Edited By: Uri Kalir (Kellogg 2012), Tuhina Kapoor (Kellogg 2020) 1 15 High Q Plastics Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client, High Q Plastics, is an automotive parts supplier in the U.S. They primarily manufacture and sell plastic injection-molded parts, such as grills, door handles, decorative trim etc., to automotive customers. • The client has two primary revenue sources: large automotive OEMs, and aftermarket. The client has recently seen declining profits, primarily due to increased price competition from new overseas competitors in China. Annual profits have declined from $50M to $20M over the past few years. • What is the reason behind declining profitability? How can High Q improve profits? Can they reach $100M in profits by 2014? Interviewer guide • Problem: How can High Q generate $100m in profits by 2014? 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Brainstorm ideas to improve profits 3. Determine whether the profit goal can be met 4. Provide client recommendation • An effective interviewee should demonstrate clear and MECE approach at dissecting profitability, structured brainstorming in improving profits (e.g., brainstorming in buckets) and effectively using exhibits to outline the correct approach to calculating 2014 profits. 116 High Q Plastics Fit: Tell me about a time you had to navigate a conflict and come up with a creative solution. Case prompt • Our client, High Q Plastics, is an automotive parts supplier in the U.S. They primarily manufacture and sell plastic injection-molded parts, such as grills, door handles, decorative trim etc., to automotive customers. • The client has two primary revenue sources: large automotive OEMs, and aftermarket. The client has recently seen declining profits, primarily due to increased price competition from new overseas competitors in China. Annual profits have declined from $50M to $20M over the past few years. • What is the reason behind declining profitability? How can High Q improve profits? Can they reach $100M in profits by 2014? Clarifying information • Industry Characteristics/Market Economics - Automotive sales overall still growing steadily, driven by emerging markets - Automotive manufacturing is leaving the U.S. • Client Characteristics - Client is currently one of the leaders in this category - Client has U.S.-based manufacturing - Revenues have been slowly declining over last 5 years - Client’s products are of a higher quality than most Chinese competitors’ products • Competitive Dynamics - Automotive OEM customers are looking to reduce cost, driving increased price competition among parts suppliers 117 High Q Plastics Exhibit A – High Q’s 2010 Financials, By Facility $m Plant A Plant B Plant C Plant D Revenues 100 100 100 100 Labor 20 40 60 30 Material 55 40 20 35 Overhead 20 15 15 30 Net Profits 5 5 5 5 118 High Q Plastics Exhibit B – 2010 U.S. Automotive Market 20% 38% Compact cars Full-size cars Trucks and SUVs 42% Additional Information: • 2010 US Automotive Sales = 16 million units 119 High Q Plastics Exhibit C – U.S. Truck / SUV Market Share (2010 – 2014) 45% 40% 40% 35% 33% 31% 30% 25% 21% 20% 20% 2010 19% 2014 14% 15% 10% 10% 7% 5% 5% 0% Ford GM Chrysler Toyota Nissan Additional information: • High Q supplies 70% of Toyota’s business • Average price of High Q products sold to Toyota = $20 120 High Q Plastics Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem What key questions would you ask an industry expert in order to better understand the reasons behind High Q’s declining profits? An effective structure should address the following factors: • Industry: What is the sales volume trend? What is the % of demand and growth of OEM vs. aftermarket segment? Is one of these segments more profitable than the other? • Competitors: Who are they? What is their relative market share? What are their prices vs. our clients’? What is their cost structure vs. our clients’? Do they have a technology or quality competitive advantage relative to our client? • Revenue: How have our clients’ prices changed in recent years? Have they declined across all customers and products? • Costs: What trends is our client seeing in their cost structure? Increasing labor or material costs? 121 High Q Plastics Part 2 2. Brainstorm ideas to improve profits The CEO of High Q wants to know if $100M in annual profits is achievable by 2014. What would you need to know in order to determine this? What data would you ask for? What ways can you think of to increase revenues? What ways can you think of to reduce costs? After asking the interviewee the above questions, he / she should come up with 2-3 ways each for cost reduction and increasing revenues: • Reduce Cost: find alternative material sources, invest in process automation to reduce labor, consolidate multiple manufacturing sites to reduce SG&A costs, relocate close to customers to reduce transportation costs. • Increase Revenue: segment customers to determine sensitivity to price, increase marketing in aftermarket segment, negotiate longterm contracts with OEM customers. 122 High Q Plastics Part 3 3. Determine whether the profit goal can be met Our client is planning on implementing lean manufacturing across all 4 of it U.S. plants, in order to provide cost savings and increase profits. Provide Exhibit A • The client is expecting to produce 80% of 2010 volumes in 2014. They are also planning on reducing prices by 10% due to increased competition. • Lean manufacturing implementation across all plants will provide an additional 20% savings in raw material, and 30% savings in labor. What is the change in profits the High Q CEO can expect from 2010 to 2014, based on this information? • Please see solution on the next page. 123 High Q Plastics Part 3 (Continued) 3. Determine whether the profit goal can be met • The interviewee should use the information provided in Exhibit A to calculate the following profitability for each plant in 2014, and walk the interviewer through the calculation steps. It is important to first note that revenues, labor, and material will decrease by 20% due to the reduced quantity output from each plant, plus the additional 20% savings in material and 30% in labor. Revenue will decrease by an additional 10%, in a cost cutting maneuver. Overhead costs will not change. All figures in $m Plant A Plant B Plant C Plant D Revenues 72.0 72.0 72.0 72.0 Labor 11.2 22.4 33.6 16.8 Material 35.2 25.6 12.8 22.4 Overhead 20.0 15.0 15.0 30.0 Net Profits 5.6 9.0 10.6 2.8 Total 2014 Profits 28.0 Additional Profits 8.0 • From this calculation, the interviewee should reference back to question 2. Even with the lean manufacturing implementation, High Q is still a long way from the CEO’s goal of $100M in annual profits, and this is therefore not a realistic target. A strong interviewee should note the importance of aligning a client’s expectations. 124 High Q Plastics Part 3 (Continued) 3. Determine whether the profit goal can be met • High Q ‘s CEO has also asked us to take a look at competitive dynamics among the automotive OEMs, in order to predict any increase in profits from increased sales. Hand out exhibits 2 and 3. • Based on the information given, what do you expect High Q will see in additional profits due to Toyota’s predicted 30% increase in market share in truck and SUVs? Provide Exhibit B & C The interviewee should be able to use the information provided in the Exhibits to calculate the following revenue growth (“Sales” figures below are in units/vehicles). Rounded answers ($13 or $14M) are fine, given that interviewee has already demonstrate math proficiency. 2010 US Auto Market 16,000,000 U.S. Truck & SUV Sales 3,200,000 2014 Toyota Truck & SUV Sales 320,000 1,280,000 High Q's Toyota Qty. Sold 224,000 896,000 High Q's Toyota Revenues 4,480,000 17,920,000 Additional Revenue $13,440,000 125 High Q Plastics Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation Please summarize your findings to the CEO, including any other potential opportunities to increase High Q’s profits over the next few years. The interviewee should concisely summarize the overall goal of the case (to increase High Q’s declining profitability due to new, lowcost competition), and main findings from each question, and a recommendation (yes, High Q should implement the lean manufacturing initiative, while recognizing that this initiative alone will not hit the CEO’s total profit goal in 2014). The interviewee should also generate a list of additional opportunities that were not explored in the case, including: a) Consolidation of the 4 manufacturing plants (especially Plant D, with its high overhead costs) b) Pursue growth in the aftermarket segment of their business c) Diversify their business into plastic injection-molded parts for other industries (outside of automotive), with less price competition 126 Case 11 Kellogg in India Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z08 Market sizing (2) • X07 Government & Public Sector • Big Public High School (Darden 2012) • Z07 Market share (3) • Busch’s Barber Shop (Kellogg 2020) • Z03 Breakeven analysis (3) Case type • Y04 New product / Market entry • Chic Cosmetology (Kellogg 2020) Case author(s): Abhilash Sridharan (Kellogg 2015), Rashaad Jamaal (Kellogg 2015) Edited by: Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 1 27 Kellogg in India Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is the Dean of Kellogg School of Management. She has hired you to advise her on an idea, which struck her during the previous week – To consider starting a satellite campus of Kellogg in India. She has asked you to determine whether Kellogg should enter the Indian market. Interviewer guide • This case is a quintessential market entry case. • The two main quantitative concepts on which the candidate is being tested are on market size estimation and breakeven analysis. 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Confirm market attractiveness (sizing) 3. Market share and breakeven analysis 4. Conduct risk analysis 5. Provide client recommendation 128 Kellogg in India Fit: Tell me about a time when you were provided feedback and what action you took. Case prompt • Our client is the Dean of Kellogg School of Management. She has hired you to advise her on an idea, which struck her during the previous week – To consider starting a satellite campus of Kellogg in India. She has asked you to determine whether Kellogg should enter the Indian market. Clarifying information • Strategic Rationale: India is a fast growing economy with huge demand for MBAs. Kellogg’s Dean believes that an India campus would help Kellogg become a Top 3 global MBA program. The caliber of India candidates is the same as in the US. • Objective: The Dean wants the satellite campus to breakeven in 4 years • Competition: Eight top-tier business schools: 7 IIMs and the ISB (ISB has a partnership with Kellogg, for its pedagogy). • Candidate selection: IIMs select based on CAT test results. The ISB admits candidates based on the GMAT. • Pricing: Indian MBAs cost $20k per year (US MBAs cost $70k). Indian schools don’t offer scholarships but banks offer loans. • Product: Kellogg would only launch the 2Y MBA program in India. 129 Kellogg in India Exhibit A – Indian business schools Category Indian Institutes of Management (IIMs) • IIMs select via the Common Admission Test (CAT) Description of • IIM interviews candidates with the top 6% CAT scores program • 5 candidates are interviewed for every available seat • 85% of admitted candidates matriculate Cost incurred by Student Indian School of Business (ISB) • 70% of admitted students matriculate • Two campuses with a total class size of 1,400 • INR 1,200,000 per year* • 1 USD = 60 INR Notes: • Assume the total cost incurred by a student annually at Kellogg is $70k per annum 130 Kellogg in India Exhibit B – Admitted students Year Expected admits per year 1 600 (7.5% of 8,000) 2 600 3 900 4 900 Notes: • Only source of revenue is the fee charged to students 131 Kellogg in India Exhibit C – Estimated cost structure Fixed Costs Annual Variable Costs Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 $100M (land) $50 (support infrastructure) $30M $30M $30M $20M 132 Kellogg in India Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem Impact on ranking Brand Kellogg & Kellogg India Qualitative Cannibalisation Job Prospects, ROI Market Entry Quantitative Market Sizing # of students Revenue Fee per annum Fixed Costs Variable - Salaries - Marketing - SGA - Cost/student 133 Kellogg in India Part 2 2. Confirm market attractiveness (size) The candidate can choose to size the market either top-down or bottom-up. A top-down approach becomes too dependent on assumptions. Exhibit A can be used for a bottom-up approach. Provide Exhibit A when the candidate requests any of the information that it contains A. Estimate the Total Addressable Market from competition 1. IIMs • 500,000 applications per year • Top 6% are interviewed = 30,000 applicants • 1 in 5 are accepted = 6,000 eligible students 2. ISB • 1,400 matriculated students / 70% of total admitted students = 2,000 eligible students • If interviewee gets this wrong, ask which student pool are we most interested in: matriculated students or all accepted students. Total Addressable Market = 6,000 + 2,000 = 8,000 high quality applicants B. Market Size Fee to be charged annually needs to be calculated. A value somewhere in between $20,000 and $70,000 is acceptable. $50,000 per year for 2 years: 8,000 * $50,000 * 2 = $800M 134 Kellogg in India Part 3 3. Market share and breakeven analysis • The candidate should mention a target market share in the year of launch. A lower number would be preferable to start with. After letting the candidate present their logic, ask them to assume 7.5% market share in the year of launch. Y0 Number of students • Breakeven Analysis: Expected breakeven in 4 years Total Revenue ($ M) Provide Exhibit B when asked about Revenue • The candidate should note that from the second year onwards, last year’s fee should be included in the current year. Provide Exhibit C after Cost brainstorming • Costs: Ask the candidate to brainstorm for costs Costs ($ M) Profits Y3 Y4 600 900 900 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 30 30 45 45 30 30 45 30 60 75 90 150 30 30 30 20 -150 0 30 45 70 Revenue $m from students in year 1 Revenue $m from students in year 2 Y2 600 Yearly Fee per student ($) Provide the information below when requested: Y1 • When asked for a discount rate, confirm there is none. • Conclusion: The project should go ahead: by the 4th year, the project doesn’t breakeven by only $5M. Given rising revenues and declining costs, breakeven would be achieved in the first month of year 5. • The candidate must move towards a NPV Calculation: 135 Kellogg in India Part 4 4. Conduct risk analysis Ideally, the candidate will raise risks related to the project. If not, ask them to brainstorm: Brand impact Rankings impact Cannibalization Brand parity Job prospects Support • No top US schools is successful in India • Satellite campus might dilute brand • Diversity • International presence • Proximity to Asia • Job prospects • 50-60 Indian students matriculate at Kellogg US • Impact on US MBA candidate pool across Asia • Kellogg US MBA = Kellogg India MBA • Premium for Kellogg India versus IIM / ISB • Parent campus pedagogical support for satellites 136 Kellogg in India Part 4 6. Provide client recommendation Overall • While starting a satellite campus makes financial sense, further scrutiny is needed on the impact of this move on Kellogg’s brand and other factors that impact rankings • Other additional points, which the candidate may add, could be: • Negotiate on the costs for initial investments, to lower it down from $150M. • Support from Indian government on subsidies to be offered • Develop additional sources of revenue, from supporting programs and corporate training sessions Risks Brand dilution / considering the impact of a satellite campus on Brand Kellogg Cannibalization of existing revenue from Indian students Admission percentage is projected to increase from Year 2 to Year 3 by 50% (This is quite high) The salaries of Indian graduates, as per Indian Market conditions, (considering Indian PPP) may influence the average salary of Kellogg School of Management given global reporting, eventually impacting the ranking negatively • Given Kellogg’s new building being constructed, the $150M additional investment for a satellite campus, may require additional rounds of fund raising for the India campus • • • • Next Steps • • • • Employ a Brand agency / consultant to figure out the impact of starting a satellite campus on Brand Kellogg Fund Raising for $150M to be worked out Potential Partners for promoting the program and supporting with faculty initially Discussions to be started with the government of India for the land, infrastructure investment and licenses. 137 Case 12 Maine Apples Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z08 Market sizing (2) • X02 Agriculture & Food • Antidepressant pricing (Sloan 2011) • Z14 Pricing strategy (3,4) • Jamaican Land Investment (Haas 2015) • Z15 Supply/value chain (4) Case type • Y04 New product / Market entry • Mission Eternity (Fuqua 2016) • Y06 Opportunity assessment • Y07 Profitability Case author(s): Adam Borchert and Joep Knijn (Tuck 2004) Edited By: Peter Manoogian (Kellogg 2012), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 1 38 Maine Apples Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is a Korean conglomerate named Danut that has acquired a small Boston-based biotechnology firm • The biotech firm has developed a chemical that helps control the ripening of produce. After testing, this chemical appears to work especially well with apples: it allows apple orchards to harvest earlier and it improves the overall quality of the harvest. • Danut traditionally uses a test market to determine commercialization. Given Danut’s proximity to Boston and average apple yields, Maine has been chosen. • Danut would like to know if they should attempt to commercialize this chemical. Interviewer guide • Problem: Is the market size large enough and the estimated profitability high enough for Danut to commercialize this chemical? • Key case steps: 1. Confirm market attractiveness (size) 2. Quantify cost savings from earlier harvests 3. Quantify revenue growth from improved yields 4. Project farmers’ margins and pricing for Danut 5. Provide a recommendation and highlight risks 139 Maine Apples Fit: Analysis is not always perfect. Tell me a time when the analysis wasn't perfect but you still had to use it. Case prompt • Our client is a Korean conglomerate named Danut that has acquired a small Boston-based biotechnology firm • The biotech firm has developed a chemical that helps control the ripening of produce. After testing, this chemical appears to work especially well with apples: it allows apple orchards to harvest earlier and it improves the overall quality of the harvest. • Danut traditionally uses a test market to determine commercialization. Given Danut’s proximity to Boston and average apple yields, Maine has been chosen. • Danut would like to know if they should attempt to commercialize this chemical. Clarifying information • Product Benefits: • Reduced costs through earlier harvesting • Improved apple yields • Improved juice yields (with higher quality apples) • Client Characteristics: Only concerned about a “test-market” in the state of Maine • Competitive Dynamics: No other competitive products on the market currently • Industry: Growing at the rate of GDP 140 Maine Apples Parts 1 - 3 1. Confirm market attractiveness (size) 2. Quantify cost savings from earlier harvests 3. Quantify revenue growth from improved yields When asked, provide the following: • Maine has 200 orchards When asked to quantify the improvements, provide the following: When asked to quantify additional revenue, provide the following: • Avg. annual orchard revenue is $30K/acre • It costs $1.5K/night to maintain crops for 100 acre orchard • Avg. orchard has 100 acres of land • With the chemical, farmers are able to harvest crop 10 days sooner • Our client’s product improves the consistency of red apples and increases the selling price by 10% • Only one apple harvest per year Interviewee should calculate the market size based on info provided: • ($30K/acre x 200 orchards x 100 acres/orchard = $600M) This is a significant market and warrants further investigation • The sweetness factor increases the selling price of juice by 5% Interviewee should calculate cost savings per year using this information: • 25% of revenue comes from whole apple sales, 75% from juice sales • ($1.5K/day x 10 days / 100 acres = $150/acre/year) Improved yield: • ($30K/acre x 25% x 10% = $750/acre/year) Improved sweetness: • ($30K/acre x 75% x 5% = $1,125/acre/year) Total improvement (with cost reduction) = $2,025/acre/year 141 Maine Apples Part 4 4. Project farmers’ margins and pricing for Danut When asked about product pricing, provide the following: • Danut’s product costs $100k per 200 acre farm Farmer’s incremental revenue/cost savings = $2,025/acre Product costs = $100K/200 acres = $500/acre Profit margin = ($2025-$500)/$2025= 75% [$1,525 per acre] The interviewee should note that this is an extremely high profit margin for the farmer and realize that there is a significant opportunity for profits with this product. • How much of this benefit can we capture in our pricing? • Interviewee should provide a percentage between 25% and 50%. Anything higher than 50% should be questioned due to the novelty of the product and resulting lack of social proof. A 50% profit margin for our client would also realize a 50% profit margin for farmers. This is absolutely a realistic price to set, if not a little low. • Given the costs provided, will we make a profit? Yes • Interviewee should calculate profit: ($100,000 / 200 acres = $500/acre). Assuming $1,000 price per acre, gross margin will be 50%. [($1,000 - $500) / $1,000] 142 Maine Apples Part 5 5. Provide a recommendation and highlight risks • Overall, our client should commercialize this chemical and price it at approximately $1,000 per acre to make a 50% margin. Risks/Next steps: • Differentiation: What is our positioning? • Environmental issues: Is there a risk of backlash and/or boycott from the general public? Could the U.S. government attempt to regulate our product? • Operational reality check: Does the company have the resources to do this? • Patenting: Is the product already patented? If yes, then when does it expire? If no, then is it possible to patent? If not, then can we patent the manufacturing process? • Representativeness of test market: Does it cost less to cover apples in other states? • Strategic fit: Is this opportunity too small relative to the size of the client? • Strong interviewees share several qualitative issues listed above to supplement the recommendation to enter the market. • Outstanding interviewees consider value-based pricing: the need to quantify added profits that our client’s product will make for its clients and how much of that money our client can capture. 143 Case 13 Money Bank Call Center Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z01 Accounting • X10 Legal & Professional Services • Z05 Capacity • X06 Financial Services • Call Center (Yale 2013) • Z13 Organizational changes • EasyNAV 2009) (Wharton Case type • Y01 Cost reduction • Y05 Operations Case authors: Guruprasad Sankaranarayanan (Kellogg 2012) Edited by Nikola -DNLé (Kellogg 2016), Elizabeth Henry (Kellogg 2020) 144 Money Bank Call Center Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is a large financial services firm with multiple locations around the world. Part of their service offering includes a 24-hour helpline. The client has their call centers in New York and Paris. • The client has recently acquired a small firm (Firm B) in order to expand its reach in a particular geography. Firm B provides a subset of the services and has its call center located in the Philippines. • The client has asked us to determine its strategy going forward for handling customer calls. In particular they want us to look into the call center operations. Interviewer guide • This is an outsourcing case with the following elements: • Use a framework that covers the most important areas of M&A and cost cutting • Read the exhibits to assess the cost effectiveness and efficiency of the 3 locations • Discuss qualitative information on the acquired company – products, culture, customers, etc. • There is no right or wrong recommendation, as it will depend on the interviewees assessment of the qualitative concerns • Key case steps: 1. Evaluate existing and potential cost structure 2. Explore alternative ideas for implementation 3. Provide client recommendation 145 Money Bank Call Center Fit: If you were a partner and could choose to work on any type of case, what would you do? What do you think you would learn? Case prompt • Our client is a large financial services firm with multiple locations around the world. Part of their service offering includes a 24-hour helpline. The client has their call centers in New York and Paris. • The client has recently acquired a small firm (Firm B) in order to expand its reach in a particular geography. Firm B provides a subset of the services and has its call center located in the Philippines. • The client has asked us to determine its strategy going forward for handling customer calls. In particular they want us to look into the call center operations. Clarifying information • Client Characteristics: • Provides full range of financial services for individuals and small organizations • Acquired firm was started 5 years ago and is still run by the original founders • Call Center Characteristics: • New employees are college graduates with basic knowledge of financial services and products • Fluency and English and several European languages required • Regulatory Environment: • Very difficult to lay off employees in the Paris location & significant costs will be incurred • Philippines government encourages investment in the country & significant tax advantage possible 146 Money Bank Call Center Exhibit A – Call Center Performance FY 2010 Calls / Year Employee Cost / Year ($) Overhead Cost / Year ($) # Employees New York 600,000 50,000 450,000 75 Paris 400,000 50,000 600,000 60 Philippines 300,000 20,000 300,000 75 Center 147 Money Bank Call Center Part 1 1. Evaluate existing and potential cost structure Provide Exhibit A when the interviewee asks about call center performance • Here, the interviewee needs to: • Compare the efficacy of the three locations & possible explanations for variance; • Identify the cost effective options & how it is impacted by integration cost • Additional information: • Total cost incurred by the 2 firms is $9.6M • Philippines currently processes calls at half the efficiency of NY (per employee) • Interviewee could ask about available slack at any of the call centers but should be advised that all call centers are currently operating at capacity • If asked, state that currently, we have space, infrastructure necessary to expand. Assume overhead is variable in this case. The candidate should be able to calculate that to process total call volume Philippines will need an additional 250 employees to handle the traffic (1.3M total calls/ 4000 calls/employee in Philippines). Operating cost after the change will be $7.8M; net savings of $1.8M. • The interviewee should realize that this does not account for all the costs, including hiring and training costs. When prompted inform the interviewee about a 1 time cost of $5M (includes severance for NY and Paris, expanding the Philippines facility) implying that the move is not profitable 148 Money Bank Call Center Part 2 2. Explore alternative ideas for implementation • Client will not budge on two-year breakeven • Prompt the interviewee to explore ways to make outsourcing to the Philippines feasible • Other options: decrease $5m investment cost; increase efficiency of Philippines employees (guide interviewee towards the latter) • The interviewee needs to identify the difference in calls / employee between the New York and Philippines locations • Ask the interviewee to assume that the best practices can be transferred and implemented within 3-6 months • Potential cost savings if Philippines achieves same effectiveness as New York • # employees required = 1.3M calls / 8,000 calls / employee / year = 162.5 (allow rounding to 160) • New employee cost = 160 * $20,000 = $3.2M • Ask interviewee to assume overheads double with the need for better equipment. Before the efficiency improvement, OH = $1.3M for 1.3M call. New OH = $2.6M • New total cost = $3.2M + $2.6 = $5.8M ($3.8M savings from status quo and $2M better than pre-efficiency improved option) • Other questions interviewee needs to consider • Will the client be able to acquire sufficient talented personnel within the short time frame? • How will customer satisfaction by impacted with the new labor base? • Legal constraints / requirements in NY and Paris – how quickly can we lay off the staff? • How will public opinion be impacted by the news of massive outsourcing? 149 Money Bank Call Center Part 3 3. Provide client recommendation • This is an open ended case. The interviewee needs to justify the recommendation based on the qualitative considerations • A good recommendation would include 3 sections: • Recommendation: If the recommendation is to outsource the interviewee needs to highlight the risks associated with outsourcing and nature of the acquired firm. If the recommendation uses any other approach sufficient justification needs to be given to overcome the cost savings • Risks: • Risks associated with increasing capacity by more than 200% in the Philippines – people, infrastructure, service quality, gaps in knowledge transfer, organizational changes, etc. • Reputational impact – do customers notice a difference in service, can the competitor leverage this to steal customers? • Next steps: If outsourcing, some of the next steps would be to analyze the infrastructure requirements and capabilities, find the right talent, ensure smooth transfer and implementation of best practices, etc. • The interviewee should explore the option of improving effectiveness of the Philippines location without being prompted • Excellent interviewees need to address the qualitative information provided in the case: nature of merger, nature of markets being served, etc. 150 Case 14 Montoya Soup Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z14 Pricing strategy (2) • X02 Agriculture & Food • Z10 Customer marketing strategy (3) • X12 Retail & CPG • Frozen Food Co (Columbia 2017) Case type • Y01 Cost Reduction • Dark Sky 2020) (Kellogg • Orrington Office Supplies (Kellogg 2020) • Y07 Profitability Case author(s): Nico Montoya (Kellogg 2016) Edited by: Michael Eidem (Kellogg 2020) 1 51 Montoya Soup Interviewer guide Case Question • In F14, Montoya Soup, a business unit of Izzy’s Healthy Foods, grew revenue and increased the contribution margins on their traditional and light soups. • However, a spike in fixed costs caused them to see a dip in profitability. To offset this effect in F15, they launched a line of premium soups to increase volume and generate economies of scale. • Though they felt the new launch was a success, their profitability dropped again in F15. They have hired you to diagnose the problem and propose a solution for F16. Interviewer guide • Problem: Determine what is causing Montoya’s profitability decrease and analyze/recommend a method for improving it. • Key case steps: 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Deep dive – Why did profitability decline? 3. Deep dive – How do we fix profitability? (pricing strategy and potential cost reductions) 4. Provide client recommendation 152 Montoya Soup Fit: Tell me about your favorite class at business school thus far. Case Question • In F14, Montoya Soup, a business unit of Izzy’s Healthy Foods, grew revenue and increased the contribution margins on their traditional and light soups. • However, a spike in fixed costs caused them to see a dip in profitability. To offset this effect in F15, they launched a line of premium soups to increase volume and generate economies of scale. • Though they felt the new launch was a success, their profitability dropped again in F15. They have hired you to diagnose the problem and propose a solution for F16. Clarifying information There is limited clarifying info up front, the interviewee will have to be comfortable making assumptions regarding the prompt and moving forward based on an inherent knowledge of the grocery industry. • Client: Montoya sells cases of soup to buyers at grocery retailers who mark up the units inside to sell. • Product: Traditional, Light, and Premium are the only product lines in Montoya Soup Co.’s product portfolio. The prompt hints that revenue is up and fixed costs haven’t increased in 2015, so the candidate should be thinking about variable costs right away. That said, this is a portfolio pricing strategy case disguised as a cost reduction case and a strong candidate might recognize that possibility. 153 Montoya Soup Exhibit A – Performance Metrics 16% 12% 8% 4% 0% F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 -4% -8% Sales Volume % +/- Sales Revenue % +/- Contribution Margin % +/- Gross Margin % +/- F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 Sales Vol. (M of cases) 126.5 130.4 131.7 136.5 140.0 155.0 Sales Rev. (M) $3,282 $3,366 $3,409 $3,560 $3,680 $4,200 Contribution Margin (M) $1,165 $1,212 $1,261 $1,264 $1,360 $1,356 Gross Margin (M) $65.2 $61.9 $61.4 $63.9 $60.0 $56.0 154 Montoya Soup Exhibit B – Product Lines Variable Input Cost Per Case “Our research showed that many of our consumers were willing to pay more for a product with more meat and vegetable bounty in a carton (instead of a can). After testing several price points, we decided a lower margin and higher volume would help us reach the economies of scale we wanted to see. Consumers loved the product and thought it was a great bargain!” $25 $1 $20 $7 $1 $15 $1 $10 Trad. Light $28 $24 $30 F14 Vol. (M cases) 80 60 - F15 Vol. (M cases) 60 40 $1 $4 $6 $1 $5 $4 $7 $8 $3 $0 55 $4 Prem. Wholesale Price $1 $4 $1 $1 $1 Traditional Light Premium Broth Meat Vegetables Spices Packaging Wages 155 Montoya Soup Exhibit C – Demand Analysis Cost Reduction Effect on Demand “We looked into moving premium out of cartons and into cans. On the plus side, it would gain us $3 of margin per case, but on the con side it would decrease demand by 20% and cannibalization of our Traditional line would spike to 75%.” “We could decrease our meat and vegetable bounty to be on par with Traditional. That would buy us $3 of margin points and consumers shouldn’t know the difference, in the short run at least.” Price Elasticity & Cannibalization Last Year Increase Price Premium Price $30 $33 Premium Demand (M cases) 40 20 50% 10% 12.5% 0% Traditional Cannibalization Rate Light Cannibalization Rate 156 Montoya Soup Exhibit D – Stakeholder Input Customer Feedback • “We really loved the new Premium Montoya Soup offering, it brought a new consumer to the shelf-stable soup category when all of the other players were introducing products that just stole from their competitors.” • “We’re planning to give more shelf space to Montoya Soup in F16 after their successful premium launch this year. Our guests really loved the new packaging format and the higher meat and vegetable content. Product trial wasn’t extremely high, but we saw a lot of repeat purchases from the people who were buying.” Consumer Focus Group Excerpts • “I’m trying to eat healthier, and I’m really nervous about canned products with their BPA lining. As soon as Montoya came out with their new carton soup, I switched right away from their Traditional line and I’m never going back!” • “I definitely think their brand is rising with me, the old stuff was mostly broth, this new stuff is a huge bargain and it actually has actual stuff in it.” • “Glad to see that when everyone else is trying to rip you off, Montoya is making soup that actually tastes like something I would make at home.” 157 Montoya Soup Part 1 1. Develop framework for how to approach this problem A sample case structure would include the following: Question: Why is profitability down and what to do about it? • Has Revenue decreased? • Volume: Has volume of sales changed? Are we selling different quantities of different products? How can we increase sales of higher margin soups? Are there new customer types we could target (restaurants, convenience stores, etc.)? • Price: Has price changed? How elastic is price to customers / is there room to increase it? Are we in line with our competition? • Have Costs gone up? • Fixed: How have fixed costs changed? Facilities, R&D, marketing spend, distribution systems, etc. How can we adjust costs? • Variable: Have variable costs changed? Raw soup materials, labor, packaging, etc. • Have there been changes in the Market? • Is the soup market growing/shrinking? Are grocery store sales increasing/decreasing? • Customers: Have shoppers’ tastes & preferences changed? Are shoppers shifting to freshly made soup instead of packed? • Competition: Are there new companies competing with us? Have substitute products entered the market? • Risks that need to be considered when making changes: • Competitive response, cannibalization of our other soup product lines, upsetting major grocery chain customers, etc. 158 Montoya Soup Part 2 2. Deep dive – Why did profitability decline? Several potential paths a candidate might want to dig into. Provide Exhibit A and then follow the below lines of thought: Revenue Costs Product Mix • Growth was driven by premium line. There was some cannibalization of traditional and light lines. • Input prices are the same as F14 for the traditional & light lines. No add’l wastage. No change in formulation. Questions: Question: “What trends do you see with regard to top line growth?” Question: • “How can profitability be down if revenue is up, FC’s are flat, and the cost of our inputs have not changed?” • “What happed with fixed costs in F15? Variable costs?” • “What info do you need to look into fixing the product mix to optimize profitability?” • “What could have driven up VC’s?” Insights: Insights: • Assuming no change in formulation or wastage, then the issue must be with cannibalization of higher margin products by lower margin ones. Insights: • Revenue grew significantly in F15, much faster than in any other year in recent history. • Revenue outpaced volume, meaning that not only did revenue grow, but it grew even though avg price increased Provide Exhibit B • FC’s were flat at $1.3B in F15 (GM – CM = FC’s), so profit decline was driven by an increase in VC’s. • Increase in VC’s could have come from pricier mix of inputs, same inputs but increase in input prices, more waste, or change in demand mix. Provide Exhibit B • Candidates should want to look at the product lines’ prices, COGS, elasticity, and cannibalization rates. Provide Exhibit B 159 Montoya Soup Part 3 3. Deep dive – How do we fix profitability? There are several potential routes towards improving profits. When appropriate: Provide Exhibit B&C Cost Reduction Pricing (Cannibalization / Elasticity) • If asked: Competitors aren’t playing in the “premium” space, only in “value” and “super-premium.” • If we both raise prices and change packaging, we will lose enormous distribution. Question: Question: • “How much profit do we make per case of Premium? Traditional? Light?” • “What is the optimum price for profitability?” Insight: Insights: • $10 contribution margin on Traditional & Light, $6 contribution margin on Premium (price – sum of VC’s). • Candidate should infer from Exhibit B that Premium cannibalized Traditional substantially. • Largest opportunity for variable cost reduction would be in packaging, meat, and vegetable, but reducing these might erode value prop of premium product. • (Math on next page) Stakeholder Value Proposition Provide Exhibit D Questions: • “What are the long-run effects on customers for changing packaging? For reducing meat/veg costs? For increasing prices?” • “What about for the end consumer?” Insights: • Candidate should see that customers are willing to pay for a pricier product, but that reducing variable costs (and thereby reducing quality) is not a viable long run strategy and will hurt the brand. • (Math on following page) 160 Montoya Soup Part 3 (continued) 3. How do we fix profitability (math solutions) Logic behind the math: Below are the calculations the candidate would have to make if they calculated every single scenario. It seems like a lot, but keep in mind that the margins on Traditional and Light are $10, so candidates can simply add a zero to the cannibalized volume number to get cannibalized profit. The candidate should feel free to elect not to calculate the first two scenarios if deemed strategically unwise long-term decisions. Net profit from Premium will be the profit from Premium minus profit lost from cannibalizing Traditional and Light. Unit Margin Volume Profit Trad. Vol. Cannib. Trad. Margin Trad. Profit Lost Light Vol. Cannib. Light Margin Light Profit Lost Net Total Profit Last Year $6 40 $240 -20 $10 ($200) -5 $10 ($50) ($10) If packaging changed $9 32 $288 -24 $10 ($240) -5 $10 ($50) ($2) If meat/veg costs reduced $9 40 $360 -20 $10 ($200) -5 $10 ($50) $110 If price raised to $33 $9 20 $180 -2 $10 ($20) 0 $10 $0 $160 161 Montoya Soup Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation Overall: • Profits have declined due to the introduction of a margin-dilutive product line that cannibalized higher margin products. • Recommendation is to increase price of Premium product line to $33 per case to maximize profitability (Gross profit would more than quadruple). This recommendation: • Increases margins (though volume will drop) • Reduces cannibalization substantially • Other alternative cost-reduction measures hurt value proposition and will cause long-run issues with brand equity. Risks: • Pricing measures didn’t consider competitive response (could competitor come in with a lower priced premium soup and force us out of the category?) • Raising prices could upset some buyers and lose distribution • Opportunity cost: could be better long-term strategy to keep prices low and start phasing out of old lines, ramping up Premium. Next steps: • Perform due diligence on long-term consumer preference forecast • Launch advertising campaign to make sure we can justify higher prices and defend from competitors • Look to reduce high fixed costs so we can protect against potentially price-aggressive competitors or increased commodity prices. 162 Case 15 Mustard Clinic Interviewer-led Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z04 Capacity (3) • X08 Healthcare • Alkaline Ash (Columbia 2017) • Z12 Creativity (4) • Garthwaite Healthcare (Kellogg 2020) Case type • Y07 Profitability • Y01 Cost reduction • Princeton-Plainsboro (Wharton 2012) • Orrington Office Supplies (Kellogg 2020) • Y05 Operations Edited by: Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 1 63 Mustard Clinic Interviewer guide Case prompt • Your client is the CEO of the Mustard Clinic, a for-profit hospital in the United States. • The hospital is known primarily for its leading care for babies and young children. • Patients pay a fixed fee to access services on arrival, and all subsequent costs are borne by the Mustard Clinic. • Sugar Magnolia does not deal with insurance providers. Instead, patients submit expense claims directly with their insurance provider(s). • In the last few years, the hospital’s profitability has fallen, and they are facing bankruptcy. Last year they lost $1.4m • The CEO asks you: “Why has profitability gone down and how can we turn it around?” Interviewer guide • Problem: How can the Mustard Clinic break even (increase profits by $1.4m)? 1. Analyze customer segments 2. Determine cost impact of shorter patient stays 3. Determine profit impact of shorter patient stays 4. Brainstorm ways to shorten patient stays 5. Provide client recommendation 164 Mustard Clinic Experience: Tell me about a time you implemented a new way of doing things in an organization. Case prompt • Your client is the CEO of the Mustard Clinic, a for-profit hospital in the United States. • The hospital is known primarily for its leading care for babies and young children. • Patients pay a fixed fee to access services on arrival, and all subsequent costs are borne by the Mustard Clinic. • Sugar Magnolia does not deal with insurance providers. Instead, patients submit expense claims directly with their insurance provider(s). • In the last few years, the hospital’s profitability has fallen, and they are facing bankruptcy. Last year they lost $1.4m • The CEO asks you: “Why has profitability gone down and how can we turn it around?” Clarifying information • Goal: The Mustard Clinic wants to at least break even. • Customers: The Clinic cannot influence its patient mix in the short term. • Services: The Clinic offers intrapartum (childbirth), neonatal (for newborns), pediatrics (for infants and children) and a small geriatrics (for the elderly) unit. • Competitors: There aren’t any competitors that have contributed to the Mustard Clinic’s problem. • Revenue model: Customers are charged a fixed fee at the time of checking-in. All subsequent costs are borne by the Mustard Clinic. 165 Mustard Clinic Exhibit A – Key hospital unit metrics Segment Description Annual volume (patients) Average stay (nights) Intrapartum Care of due and in-labor mothers (during labor and childbirth) 500 10 Neonatal Care of premature newborns (first 28 days of life) 300 7 Pediatrics Care of infants, children, and adolescents (up to age 21) 150 11 Geriatrics Care of elderly patients (aged 60 and over) 50 25 166 Mustard Clinic Exhibit B – Cost structure Fixed costs $1.4m Variable costs $600/patient per night Average stay (nights) 10 Patients per year 1,000 Capacity utilization* 100% Notes: • Capacity = Total number of patient nights per year that the Mustard Clinic can accommodate 167 Mustard Clinic Part 1 1. Analyze customer segments Provide Exhibit A • Our team has conducted the following analysis on various groups of customers. • Providing overnight care is expensive for the Mustard Clinic. In number of nights, what is the average stay duration for a Mustard Clinic patient? Unit Volume Average stay (nights) Total nights Intrapartum 500 10 500 x 10 = 5,000 Neonatal 300 7 300 x 7 = 2,100 Pediatrics 150 11 150 x 11 = 1,650 Geriatrics 50 25 50 x 25 = 1,250 Total 1,000 10,000 • Average stay duration = Total nights / Number of patients = 10,000 / 1,000 = 10 nights • Takeaway: Because we have a fixed fee arrangement, it might be worth looking to reduce the average patient stay duration. 168 Mustard Clinic Part 2 2. Determine cost impact of shorter patient stays Provide Exhibit B • If the Mustard Clinic were to reduce the length of an average patient stay by two nights, what would be the cost saving? Costs with 10 night stay • Fixed costs: $1.4m • Variable costs: 1,000 patients x 10 night stay x $500 per night = $6m Costs with 8 night stay • Fixed costs: $1.4m • Variable costs: 1,000 patients x 9 night stay x $500 per night = $4.8m • Takeaway: Shorter stays saves $1.2m, which is promising but doesn’t help the Mustard Clinic breakeven. • But shorter stays also frees up capacity for new patients. 169 Mustard Clinic Part 3 3. Determine profit impact of shorter patient stays • Reducing the average stay length frees up space for new patients. How many additional patients can we serve and what would be the impact on profit if the average revenue per patient is $6,000? • Hospital capacity: 1,000 patients x 10 nights average stay = 10,000 patient nights • Capacity made available from stay reduction: 1,000 patients x 2 night stay reduction = 2,000 patient nights • Additional patients that could be served: 2,000 patient nights / 8 night average stay = 250 additional patients • Revenue: 1,250 patients per year x $6,000 revenue per patient = $7.5m • Fixed Cost: $1.4m • Variable Cost: 1,250 patients per year x 8 night average stay x $600 variable costs per night = $6m • Proft = $7.5m – ($1.4m + $6m) = $100k • Takeaway: The Mustard Clinic can return to profitability by shortening patient stays by 2 nights and using the freed up capacity. 170 Mustard Clinic Part 4 4. Brainstorm ways to shorten patient stays • What are some ways in which the Mustard Clinic could reduce the average patient stay duration from 10 to 8 nights? • The actual ideas are less important here than providing some approach to structuring the brainstorm. One example might be to use steps in the patient journey to identify areas to optimize speed. Patient Journey Admittance Diagnosis Surgery Recovery Other • Decrease/eliminate geriatrics unit • More receptionists • Partner hospitals • Tele-diagnosis • Technology • Doctor skill/quality • Operational delays? • Tele-medicine • At-home care • Partner hospitals • End fixed fee pricing • Drive awareness of cost structure to doctors 171 Mustard Clinic Part 5 5. Provide client recommendation • Overall, the Mustard Clinic can meet their goal and return to profit. • This is based on decreasing average patient stay duration from 10 to 8 days, which: • Saves $1.2m in variable costs per patient night for all patients • Frees up capacity for 250 additional patients • Brings in $300k in profit from these additional patients • One way to reduce patient stay duration would be to close the Geriatrics unit, which is not our core competency. • Risks: Reducing average patient stay might affect revenues if patient care worsens or if Geriatrics is a complementary service. • Next steps: Feasibility study into tactical ways to actually reduce average without impacting patient care. • Strong candidates maintain organization well since there are several points in the case when they will need to refer back to previous clarifying information, exhibits or calculations. • Outstanding candidates are able to think strategically about the impact of changes throughout the case. Structures math and finds quick ways to do calculations (eg. Q2 saving = 2 nights x 1,000 patients x $600 per night = $1.2m) 172 Case 16 Orrington Office Supplies Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z04 Capacity • X04 Engineering & Construction • Alkaline Ash (Columbia 2017) • Garthwaite Healthcare (Kellogg 2020) Case type • Y05 Operations • Y07 Profitability • Princeton-Plainsboro (Wharton 2012) • Mustard Clinic (Kellogg 2020) Case author(s): Andy Grieve (Kellogg 2001) Edited By: Peter Manoogian (Kellogg 2012), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 1 73 Orrington Office Supplies Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client, Orrington Office Supplies (OOS) is a leading manufacturer of office products in 1992, with sales of $275m in 1991. They have strong brands, invest heavily in marketing and advertising, and have grown through product line extensions and 4 key acquisitions. • OOS is organized into 5 autonomous divisions, but shares manufacturing and marketing functions. Shared costs (45% of total) are allocated on a percentage share of sales method. There are three plants running at a current capacity utilization of 50%. • Analysts predict OOS is a potential acquisition target given its strong balance sheet but weakening earnings. They are publicly traded and have little long-term debt. As a potential investor, how would you improve its profitability? Interviewer guide • Problem: How can OOS increase profits? • Problem solving steps: 1. Identify trends in sales and profit 2. Analyze plant production operations 3. Determine financial impact of plant consolidation 4. Provide client recommendation 174 Orrington Office Supplies Fit: What role do you typically play in a team? Give me an example of this. Case prompt • Our client, Orrington Office Supplies (OOS) is a leading manufacturer of office products in 1992, with sales of $275m in 1991. They have strong brands, invest heavily in marketing and advertising, and have grown through product line extensions and 4 key acquisitions. • OOS is organized into 5 autonomous divisions, but shares manufacturing and marketing functions. Shared costs (45% of total) are allocated on a percentage share of sales method. There are three plants running at a current capacity utilization of 50%. • Analysts predict OOS is a potential acquisition target given its strong balance sheet but weakening earnings. They are publicly traded and have little long-term debt. As a potential investor, how would you improve its profitability? Clarifying information Industry Client Characteristics • U.S. Office supplies market grew at 5% CAGR historically. In 1990 and 1991, the market declined at 5% per year. • Broader product line than competitors (12.5k SKUs vs. 4-5k for competitors) • Superstore channel is becoming increasingly critical • Gained 10 share pts in past 2 years • Distribution: 75% wholesalers, 15% superstores, 10% end customers • Typically discount products 30% to small retailers/dealers • Highest selling product is a high-end branded stapler • Superstores are aggressively substituting private label products for traditional brand names • Staples, Inc. is OOS’s largest customer 175 Orrington Office Supplies Millions Exhibit A – Historical revenues and profits $350 $300 $250 $200 Sales Pre-tax Profit $150 $100 $50 $1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1980 to 1989 1989 to 1991 Sales CAGR 15% -8% Pre-tax Profit CAGR 15% -40% 176 Orrington Office Supplies Units Exhibit B – Production plants 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 7,500 Unused capacity 3,500 SKU capacity utilization 6,000 2,500 4,000 2,000 4,500 5,000 3,000 0 Chihuahua, MEX Grand Rapids, MI Sayreville, NJ 177 Orrington Office Supplies Costs ($m) Exhibit C – Plant operating costs 45 39.5 40 35 30 25.5 25 20 Fixed Costs 20 18 18 Variable Costs 15 15 10 5 0 Chihuahua, MEX Grand Rapids, MI Sayreville, NJ 178 Orrington Office Supplies Part 1 1. Identify trends in sales and profit Provide Exhibit A after the candidate asks about profitability • Why do the slopes for sales and profits differ as time elapses? • The interviewee should not only be able to interpret the data on this slide, but also come up with two insights: 1. The fact profits have been declining more steeply than sales reflects the fixed-cost nature of this business, and; 2. The reason that sales did not grow at a faster clip than profitability during the 1980s likely reflects a strategy to grow through acquisitions, which prevented OOS from seeing the gains through economies of scale that one would normally expect in a business such as this 179 Orrington Office Supplies Part 2 2. Analyze plant production operations Provide Exhibit B after the candidate asks about plant consolidation • Qualitatively discuss the potential options for plant consolidation with the interviewee. • The interviewee should recognize the Chihuahua plant is close to having capacity to produce OOS’s 12.5k SKUs. Either OOS can close that plant and move all production to the US, or it could close the US plants, discontinue 500 SKUs and move production to Chihuahua. • Strong interviewees will note that Chihuahua is the most feasible strategy, but will ask to see fixed and variable cost data. 180 Orrington Office Supplies Part 3 3. Determine financial impact of plant consolidation Provide Exhibit C after the candidate asks about Costs • How would this change revenues? (currently $275m/year) • How would this change production costs? What are they now? • How would this change pre-tax profits (currently $25m/year?) • Revenues: Each SKU earns annual revenues of $22k ($275m divided by 12,500 SKUs) therefore, eliminating 500 SKUs will decrease annual revenue by $11m, or 4% • Costs: Each plant currently has the following annual costs: Each plant has the following variable cost per SLU: Chihuahua: $20m + $18m = $38.0m Chihuahua: $18m / 4.5k SKUs = $4k per SKU Michigan: $15m + $39.5m = $54.5m Michigan: $39.5m / 5k SKUs = $7.9k per SKU New Jersey: $18m + $25.5m = $43.5m New Jersey: $25.5m / 3k SKUs = $8.5k per SKU $136m • Consolidating revenues to Chihuahua will reduce annual costs by 50% to: • Chihuahua: $20m + ($4k * 12k SKUs) = $20m + $48m = $68.0m • Profits: We increased profits by $57m ($68m - $11m) to $82m, which more than triples them. 181 Orrington Office Supplies Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation • Overall, our client should eliminate 500 SKUs and consolidate all production to the Chihuahua plant to raise annual profits from $25m to $82m. • The client should also consider several qualitative issues: • Implementation: Long-term timeframe. • Unionized labor: Whether organized labor exists at closing plants and the impact of that • Distribution and Warehousing: We will need a carefully-developed transition plan. • Purchasing: We will need to transition to a strong central purchasing department, rather than smaller local ones. • Culture: Communicating the change properly is key, and we will need to ensure that morale does not take a nosedive. • Excellent interviewees need to recognize what macroeconomic issues are beyond the scope of the client’s control and then quickly dive into the plant consolidation, then analyze the cost structures 182 Case 17 Plastic World Concepts tested • • • Z13 Organizational changes Z07 Market share Z10 Customer strategy Primary sector(s) Similar cases • X06 Financial Services • Snack Foods Acquisition (Wharton 2017) • Steel Corp 2015) Case type • Y03 Mergers & Acquisitions (Haas • Soda Ash Producer (Columbia 2017) Case authors: Milija Medic Edited By: Peter Manoogian (Kellogg 2012), Laura Mast (Kellogg 2020) 1 83 Plastic World Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is a private equity firm interested in Plastic World, a plastic packaging manufacturer. • Plastic World’s owners are requesting $25m. The offer is final. Should our client buy the company? Interviewer guide • Problem: Should the PE firm purchase Plastic World for $25m? • Problem solving steps: 1. Examine financial statements 2. Explore feasibility of target’s profit margin improvement 3. Provide client recommendations 184 Plastic World Fit: Tell me about a time that you demonstrated entrepreneurial drive in a non-professional environment. Case prompt • Our client is a private equity firm interested in Plastic World, a plastic packaging manufacturer. • Plastic World’s owners are requesting $25m. The offer is final. Should our client buy the company? Clarifying information • Company • Makes plastic packaging for beverages, cosmetics, household and automotive chemicals • Products are top quality, they have 350 sets of molds, with different materials, finish, colors, always innovating • Overall product mix has not changed in recent years • The sales force is “the best in breed”, they hold market share, and they are compensated on market share • Two years ago they invested further in equipment for product innovation • Customers • Plastic Worlds’ customers exhibit strong loyalty • They are experiencing increasing pressures in their industries to innovate the plastic packaging 185 Plastic World Exhibit A – Profit & Loss statement 2018 Sales 2017 2016 ($) 18,824,000 19,180,000 19,650,000 Volume (units) 36,200,000 34,250,000 32,750,000 COGS ($) 9,050,000 8,900,000 8,650,000 SG&A ($) 7,500,000 7,200,000 7,300,000 Depreciation ($) 3,450,000 3,450,000 2,250,000 EBIT ($) (1,176,000) (370,000) 1,450,000 186 Plastic World Exhibit B – Competitor Profit Margins Competitor A Competitor B Competitor C Competitor D Competitor E Competitor F PlasticWorld -10 -5 0 5 10 15 187 Plastic World Exhibit C – Valuation by Profit Margin 50 Company Valuation ($m) 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Profit Margin (%) 188 Plastic World Part 1 1. Examine financial statements Provide Exhibit A immediately after the interviewee runs through their problem-solving structure • What observations can be made from this P&L statement? • Would could be the reasons behind what is in the data? • Plastic World has experienced a steady drop in revenues while the sales volume has been growing. • Profit margin is dropping and negative; Interviewee should calculate the profit margin (-6%) • Given the unchanged product mix and increasing sales volume, the drop in revenues is caused by a reduction in prices; • Depreciation change – it was equipment investment. • To check if it’s an industry-wide or company-specific drop in profitability, they should request competition profitability data • Interviewee should ask about the product quality and customer loyalty to discard price competition as the reason to drop prices. The products are high-quality and customers are loyal, so most of them would buy even at a higher price. • The interviewee should find, asking independently or with your help, that sales force is compensated based on market share. This gives the sales force incentive to drop the prices. 189 Plastic World Part 2 2. Explore feasibility of target’s profit margin improvement Provide Exhibit B when the interviewee requests information about Competitors Provide Exhibit C after the interviewee starts talking about using Profit Margins in Valuation • Exhibit B • The candidate should identify the profitability problem is client-specific, all competitors are profitable • Push the interviewee to discuss a realistic profit margin goal for Plastic World based on this industry profitability data • Exhibit C • The observation from the graph is that the company would be worth $25M if Plastic World increased profit margin from –6% to 0%. If the profit margin reached the industry average, the company would be worth $40M. • Now the question is how easily can the profitability be increased above zero (making the company worth more than the $25M). The sales force incentive change is easy to make. • Looking for other high-impact improvements, the dense product line and constant innovation is the next largest candidate. Eliminate some molds to cut costs, mindful of innovation pressures in PW’s clients’ industries. • Interviewee should investigate the profitability drop and the low prices further and suggest options to get Plastic World’s profitability in line with the industry, and their feasibility 190 Plastic World Part 3 3. Provide client recommendation • Our client should accept the $25M offer and boost the profitability (and value) of PlasticWorld. • The client should engage in the following easy-to-implement changes: • Compensate sales force based on company earnings instead of market share. • Simplify the product line - eliminate some of the 350 molds to cut costs while leveraging the superior sales force to maintain client satisfaction. • Examine the industry best practices to find other areas for improvement. • Excellent interviewees will immediately notice that the company would be worth more than $25M if its profit margin was at the level of industry average. • Outstanding interviewees will quickly identify the pricing as the issue behind the revenue decrease and lay out potential causes for the price drop, finding the sales force incentive. A framework comprehensive enough to find the product line size problem is a bonus. 191 Case 18 Rotisserie Ranch Interviewer-led Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z10 Customer marketing strategy • X02 Agriculture & Food • Beverage Manufacturer (Wharton 2012) • X12 Retail & CPG • Botox (Stern 2012) Case type • Y04 New product • Y06 Opportunity assessment Case author(s): Brian Fox (Kellogg 2004) Edited By: Adam Louras (Kellogg 2011), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 1 92 Rotisserie Ranch Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is Rotisserie Ranch, a poultry farming company that specializes in growing chickens for rotisserie roasting. Its primary customer segment is comprised of large grocery chains that buy chickens to fresh roast in the meat departments of their grocery stores. • Market research has revealed to Rotisserie Ranch that more and more consumers have begun buying flavored rotisserie chickens recently. • Rotisserie Ranch is thinking of pre-flavoring some of its chickens for grocers, what would you consider in making this recommendation? Interviewer guide • Problem: Should Rotisserie Ranch pre-flavor its chickens? • Problem solving steps: 1. Brainstorm value to customers of new product 2. Analyze results of market test 3. Provide client recommendation 193 Rotisserie Ranch Fit: Tell me about a time you had to deal with a difficult boss. Case prompt • Our client is Rotisserie Ranch, a poultry farming company that specializes in growing chickens for rotisserie roasting. Its primary customer segment is comprised of large grocery chains that buy chickens to fresh roast in the meat departments of their grocery stores. • Market research has revealed to Rotisserie Ranch that more and more consumers have begun buying flavored rotisserie chickens recently. • Rotisserie Ranch is thinking of pre-flavoring some of its chickens for grocers, what would you consider in making this recommendation? Clarifying information • Industry: Predicting demand for cooked chickens is difficult for grocers; any leftover cooked chickens at the end of the day are thrown out; unthawed chickens cannot be re-frozen • Client: Client has patented process for sterilely packaging chicken, so that it will remain fresh for 30 days, making freezing unnecessary. Client is currently the industry market share leader in rotisserie-ready chicken • Product: Four New “Flavored” Products to be introduced concurrently: Barbecue, lemon herb, tandoori and teriyaki • Competitor: No competition in new product market due to patented process 194 Rotisserie Ranch Exhibit A – Store sales Standard Rotisserie Store BBQ Seasoned Rotisserie A B C D Weekly Sales $1,000 $2,000 $1,600 $2,700 Retail Price $3.33 $2.50 $4.00 $3.00 Retailer Margin 30% 30% 25% 25% 195 Rotisserie Ranch Part 1 1. Brainstorm value to customers of new product • Do you think that grocery retailers would be interested in pre-seasoned chickens from Rotisserie Ranch? • After the interviewee brainstorms, ask them: • After several interviews, grocers are interested in Rotisserie Ranch’s proposed new product, but first they want to be sure that the chickens will sell well. How would you make sure? • The candidate may begin going into detail on how this test would be run. Cut him or her off as soon as you are comfortable that they understand that: (a) a pilot test should be run and (b) the pilot needs to have some control or comparison group. Yes • Labor Cost Reduction: Meat department workers; don’t need to spend time seasoning the chickens. • Economies of Scale: Seasoning centralization; lower cost. • Product Consistency: Centrally managed; able to spend more on R&D. No • Loss of Differentiation: Grocery chains differentiate by value-added . • Attune to Local Needs: Likely to be better at gauging consumer tastes. • Increases Inventory & SKUs. 196 Rotisserie Ranch Part 1 2. Analyze results of market test Provide Exhibit A once the interviewee identifies the need for market testing • A test market launch for the new Rotisserie Ranch BBQ chicken was administered. What is the overall profit for both Store A and B from the test market? • Using Exhibit A, interviewee should calculate: • Retailer profit for Seasoned Chicken compared to Standard Chicken • Retailer profit = # of chickens sold * (price per chicken * retailer margin per chicken) • Standard Chicken (total profit for retailers = $300 + $600 = $900/week) • Store A: $1,000 (weekly sales) * 30% (retailer margin) = $300 overall profit • Store B: $2,000 (weekly sales) * 30% (retailer margin) = $600 overall profit • Test Market BBQ Seasoned Chicken (total profit for retailers = $400+ $675= $1,075/week) • Store C: $1,600 (weekly sales) * 25% (retailer margin) = $400 overall profit • Store D: $2,700 (weekly sales) * 25%* (retailer margin) = $675 overall profit 197 Rotisserie Ranch Part 3 3. Provide client recommendation • Overall, our client should launch the Pre-Seasoned BBQ Chicken product and test other products because: • Competitive Necessity: Consumers are spending more money on seasoned rotisserie chicken than traditional rotisserie chicken and the market is shifting in this direction • Benefit to Grocers: Assuming test market was representative, Grocers can expect to earn $175 more gross profit using our client’s product relative to the standard rotisserie chicken • Potential scale benefits to our Client over time as more pre-seasoned chickens are sold 198 Case 19 Salty Sole Shoe Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z12 Creativity • X12 Retail and Consumer • Z01 Accounting (2/3) • X06 Financial Services • US Shoe Manufacturing (Wharton 2017) • Z09 Microeconomics • Kicks 2009) (Tuck Case type • Y07 Profitability Case authors: Meredith Tierney (Kellogg 2011) Edited By: Uri Kalir (Kellogg 2012), Derek Wiatrowski (Kellogg 2020) 199 Salty Sole Shoe Interviewer Guide Case prompt • Your client is a large retail-focused private equity firm that owns Salty Sole, a leading designer of junior women’s footwear, primarily targeting the 14 – 22 year old age group. • Salty Sole was purchased last year by the private equity firm expecting to realize substantial profits upon sale in 2012 by increasing the company’s EBITDA. The situation, however, is that due to a current recession, annual profit has only grown modestly post the acquisition and is not on track to generate the double-digit returns that the private equity firm originally anticipated. • How can the company increase profitability and achieve the private equity firm’s return on investment objectives? Interviewer guide • The case primarily tests an understanding of profitability and profitability growth strategies. Begin by reading the case question and asking the interviewee to take a few moments and then explain how they would like to proceed in the client’s problem 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Analyze client costs 3. Analyze client revenues 4. Analyze market size/share 5. Provide client recommendation 200 Salty Sole Shoe Fit: What is an example of when you showed initiative and leadership? Case prompt • Your client is a large retail-focused private equity firm that owns Salty Sole, a leading designer of junior women’s footwear, primarily targeting the 14 – 22 year old age group. • Salty Sole was purchased last year by the private equity firm expecting to realize substantial profits upon sale in 2012 by increasing the company’s EBITDA. The situation, however, is that due to a current recession, annual profit has only grown modestly post the acquisition and is not on track to generate the double-digit returns that the private equity firm originally anticipated. • How can the company increase profitability and achieve the private equity firm’s return on investment objectives? Clarifying information • Industry Characteristics/Market Economics: Client is the market leader in junior women’s footwear in the U.S. only. Apparel industry is characterized by cyclicality due to economy and consumer preferences. • Client Characteristics: Client designs and distributes footwear to discount retailers (like Kohl’s) and is considered mid-priced. Client outsources all manufacturing on a fixed-contract basis (i.e. manufacturing costs with outsourced providers fall under Fixed Costs for simplicity). • Competitive Dynamics: Client follows a “me-too” strategy and follows fashion rather than inventing it then offering lower prices than name brands (i.e. not subject to fashion risk). Client competes on the basis of trendy fashion and value pricing. 201 Salty Sole Shoe Exhibit A – Salty Sole Financial Estimates ($ in millions) 2006A 2007A 2008A 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E Sales $ 50.0 65.0 60.0 61.0 62.0 65.0 70.0 Less Discounts/Allowances $ (0.5) (0.65) (0.60) (0.61) (0.62) (0.65) (0.7) Net Sales $ 49.5 64.35 59.4 60.39 61.38 64.38 69.3 % Increase 20.0 30.0 (7.7) 1.7 1.6 4.8 7.7 COGS 24.75 32.18 29.70 30.20 30.69 32.18 34.65 Fixed Costs 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 Total Costs 39.75 47.18 44.70 45.20 45.69 47.18 49.65 EBITDA $ 9.75 17.18 14.70 15.20 15.69 17.18 19.65 Sale Multiple 6.5x 6.5x 6.5x 6.5x 6.5x 6.5x 6.5x 111.64 95.55 98.77 101.99 111.64 127.73 Purchase/Sale Price $ Return on Investment % 2.7 Notes: • Acquisition occurred on December 31, 2006 202 Salty Sole Shoe Exhibit B – US Casual Footwear Market Size and Share 100% $125M $163M $150M $153M 90% 80% Percent Market Share 70% Competitor 5 60% Competitor 4 Competitor 3 50% Competitor 2 Competitor 1 40% Salty Sole 30% 20% 10% 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 203 Salty Sole Shoe Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • After asking the case question, the interviewee should draw a framework that outlines the basic concept that profit is driven by revenue (price and volume) and cost (fixed and variable) Ź R Avg P • • • • Discounts Channel variations Product mix Customer segments C Qty Sold Share of market F Size of market • Factories • Marketing • SG&A V • Canvas • Rubber • Labor • Specific category • Competitors 204 Salty Sole Shoe Part 2 2. Analyze client costs Provide Exhibit A • What observations can be made from this chart? Interviewee should point out that the company experienced significant growth during the pre-recession years, but a decline and only gradual pick-up following. • Interviewee should pick-up on the fact that the change in net sales is not due to increased discounts/allowances (remains 1% throughout years). • Have a quick discussion on the company’s cost structure • On the cost side, interviewee should note that variable costs remained flat at 50% and fixed costs remained flat • Fixed: Interviewee should note that fixed costs are not extremely high (about 23-25%), but could be an area for improvement. Ask how interviewee would reduce fixed costs? Examples include: renegotiate contracts, find cheaper manufacturing partners, etc. • State that in-fact fixed costs cannot be adjusted based on the company’s research. • Variable: Interviewee should note that variable costs are approximately 50% of sales. Ask how interviewee would think about reducing variable costs? Examples include: reduce labor/sales force, use technology, renegotiate / volume purchase materials • State that variable costs are currently at the lowest possible rates based on market research. 205 Salty Sole Shoe Part 3 3. Analyze client revenues • Once interviewee determines that cost is not the issue, have a discussion on the components of revenue – price and volume. • Price: Interviewee should ask if pricing has remained constant over time or if the company has adjusted its pricing to reflect lower consumer discretionary income. • Ask what considerations the interviewee would have when considering adjusting price? • Answers should be price sensitivity / elasticity, cost structure, brand equity (dilute brand through price decrease but compete with more upscale brands if increase). • State that pricing has remained constant at an average of $25/unit. The company has determined that it would not be prudent to adjust pricing based on industry research. Interviewee can now determine the # of pairs sold for later in the case. • Now that the interviewee has hopefully zeroed-in on the fact that the issue is volume, ask how many units must be sold by 2012 in order for the private equity firm to achieve a 20% return on the investment in Salty Sole Shoe, which equals approximately $300 million sale value (give this number). Note that interviewee should ignore discounts/allowances for simplicity. • Interviewee should determine that if the sale value needs to be $300mm in 2012, then EBITDA will need to be $300 / 6.5 = $46.15 (round up to $50 million). • The formula to determine how many pairs of shoes must be sold to reach that EBITDA level is as follows: • $50,000,000 = $25*v – (.5 * 25 * v) – 15,000,000 • $65,000,000 = 12.5v • V = 5,200,000 pairs of shoes 206 Salty Sole Shoe Part 4 4. Analyze market size/share • Interviewee should note that this is more than double the 2008 and 2009 volume levels. Ask what the interviewee would want to know to determine if this volume is feasible? Answer: market size / share. Provide Exhibit B • Show the candidate Exhibit B when he/she notes that market size/share would be helpful. • Candidate should note that the client is already the market leader with 40% and that the market size is not projected to increase. • This should lead to the conclusion that the client can increase volume by stealing share and/or new products in other categories. 207 Salty Sole Shoe Part 5 5. Provide client recommendation • The interviewee should zero-in on the fact that since cost-structure is fixed and price is also fixed, volume is the only real way to increase profitability. • However, volume must more than double in order to achieve the growth desired by the private equity firm for a 20% return, which could be difficult given recession and the fact that the industry as a whole isn’t growing. • Interviewee should recommend potentials strategies for achieving that volume growth while outlining the risks of each: 1) Volume: new products / geographies / distribution channels (international?); increase marketing to steal share; acquire growth (brands); adjust product mix to higher-margin products. 2) Price: add value / features. 3) Risks: Capacity, cannibalization if new products. • Excellent interviewees quickly identify that volume is the issue by ticking through the parts of the profitability equation. • They will also ask about product mix and question the 50% gross margin. The interviewer should note that it’s assumed that all products have the same margin, but that’s a great question. • Outstanding interviewees will note that since the company is not projected to have to adjust discounts / allowances, then it probably has a good product that is highly-valued by customers and/or this may be aggressive projecting. 208 Case 20 Sosland Sports Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z03 Breakeven analysis (2) • X09 Hospitality & Leisure • Thrill Park 2016) • Z11 Competitive analysis (3a) • Tommy’s Tennis 2012) • Z12 Creativity (3b) Case type • Z10 Customer strategy (4) • Y04 Market Entry (Fuqua (WSO • Snack Foods Acquisition (Wharton 2017) Case source: PrepLounge (‘Fysikum’) Edited by: Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 2 09 Sosland Sports Interviewer guide Case Question • Your client, Sosland (pronounced sauce-land) Sports, is an operator of squash centers in Sweden. The squash centers include sauna, spa, pool, gym and - of course - the squash courts! • Due to the extreme success in Sweden the company is considering expanding to other countries in Europe, in particular Germany. • The founder and CEO, Felicity Sosland, has asked us to evaluate this possible expansion. • What factors would you consider in order to estimate the outcomes of this expansion? Interviewer guide • Problem: Should Sosland Sports expand into Germany? • Problem solving steps 1. Develop problem solving structure 2. Determine the breakeven point 3a. Conduct competitive analysis 3b. Brainstorm service differentiators 4. Provide client recommendation 210 Sosland Sports Experience: Tell me about your most meaningful career achievement to date. Case Question • Your client, Sosland (pronounced sauce-land) Sports, is an operator of squash centers in Sweden. The squash centers include sauna, spa, pool, gym and - of course - the squash courts! • Due to the extreme success in Sweden the company is considering expanding to other countries in Europe, in particular Germany. • The founder and CEO, Felicity Sosland, has asked us to evaluate this possible expansion. • What factors would you consider in order to estimate the outcomes of this expansion? Clarifying information • Company: Sosland Sports centers are mid-range centers with medium-quality facilities. They only exist in Sweden. • Goal: Breakeven at least. No timeframe. • Revenue: Annual subscription based revenue model. 211 Sosland Sports Exhibit A – Cost overview Total annual cost €200,000 Number of courts 15 Opening hours Days of use per week Court use Usage capacity 8am – 6pm 7 1 hour per member per week 70% 212 Sosland Sports Part 1 1a. Develop problem solving structure 1b. Determine data gathering approach • This question should give an overview of the candidate’s ability to structure an answer. The best way to solve this is by using a “3C’s” or “Five Forces” analysis. Good answers • The interviewee should recognize the question as an opportunity to brainstorm. • Purchase marketing analyses / research reports • The answer should include some of the following points: • Internet research on competitors Customers • Contact real estate agent for real estate costs • Market size and growth rate • Market segmentation (activity level, ages) • Cultural factors (ie. German sporting preferences) • Contacting someone in the consulting company who has experience in the market or industry Competitors Outstanding answer • Number and concentration, substitutes • Intensity • Positioning • An outstanding candidate would structure their answer. For example: they would gather information (1) internally, using firm resources and within the client’s own organization, and (2) externally from third party sources. Company • • • • Replication of business model Economies of scale Cost of expansion Projected profitability 213 Sosland Sports Part 2 2a. Determine the breakeven point 2b. Sense check calculation Provide Exhibit A • Can you determine the minimum annual membership fee Sosland Sports has to charge in order to cover the running cost? • Information that can be shared if inquired: If the candidate asks about revenues, tell him/her that they are equal to the annual costs. • Courts are always used during operating hours. • The candidate should think about the possibility of doubles. If they ask, they should assume 50% single and 50% double matches. • Number of hours available per week = 10 hours/day x 7 days/week x 15 courts = 1,050 • Number of hours courts in use = 70% utilization x 1,050 = 735 Are you sure this is an annual fee and not a weekly one? This is meant to be a tricky question to show the confidence of the interviewee. But as the annual costs are divided by the total number of members this is indeed an annual fee. Ideally the candidate should note that the €90 membership fee seems low and look to compare against the competition. • Average number of players per hour = (50% x 2) + (50% x 4) = 3 • Members = 735 hours x 3 members/hour = 2,205 • Membership = €200,000 / 2,205 = €90.70 214 Sosland Sports Part 3 3a. Conduct competitive analysis 3b. Brainstorm service differentiators The dominant market player for squash centers (70% market share in Germany) offers memberships for €70. Would you recommend entering the market? What could Sosland Sports offer to customers to differentiate their service offering? Good answer • Further investigation is required, in particular what the competitor is offering and if Sosland Sports can differentiate its services from this offering. • For instance if the competitor is using a cost leadership strategy and offers a very cheap, but low-quality service, Sosland Sports could launch a premium, high quality squash center. Outstanding answer • There could be other outcomes of the investigation. • If the competitor operates across all segments, from low-end to high quality, and has a lower cost base, Sosland Sports should not enter the market. An entrance would only lead to a price competition that our client cannot win. There are several possible solutions (some mentioned at the beginning of the case) but these should be structured by the interviewee: • Providing high-quality courses • Setting up cross-country tournaments between Sweden and Germany • Advertise the squash center with famous people (celebrities) • Offer longer opening-hours for members paying a higher fee • Offer services like a café or a bar 215 Sosland Sports Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation • Overall, there is only a case for Sosland Sports to enter the German market if they can differentiate themselves from the dominant competitor. • Sosland Sports needs to charge €90 for an annual membership to break-even • The major incumbent charges €70 per year • Sosland Sports needs to determine how they can differentiate themselves to charge this higher price • Risks: Competitor reaction to a new entrant, differing consumer preferences/buying habits in Germany • Next steps: Deeper dive into competitors’ businesses and market research into Germans’ leisure buying habits • Strong interviewees quickly contextualize the €90 fee in terms of the client problem and look to compare in the market. • Outstanding interviewees structure the math correctly and solve it in a simple and clear manner. 216 Case 21 Tacotle Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z06 Macroeconomics (2) • X02 Agriculture & Food • Yumy Co 2013) • Z01 Accounting (4,5) (Yale • Burger Chain (Ross 2012) • Z10 Customer strategy (6) Case type • Y07 Profitability • Le Seine (Harvard 2015) • Y05 Operations Case author(s): Ryan Sullivan (Kellogg 2016) Edited by: Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 2 17 Tacotle Interviewer guide Case prompt • Your client is Tacotle, a leading national fast casual restaurant with $420m in revenue in 2019. • Over the five years proceeding 2019, Tacotle has experienced steady revenue growth and industry leading profitability. But for the first time in its 15 year history, Tacotle has experienced three straight quarters of EBITDA erosion. • Tacotle’s CEO has hired you to explore what is causing profits to drop and what can be done to reverse the tide. Interviewer guide • Problem: How can we return Tacotle to profit growth? • Problem solving steps: 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Analyze external market conditions 3. Identify trends in profitability over time 4. Deep dive into drivers of revenue change 5. Calculate change in units sold between 2018 and 2019 6. Analyze operational reasons for price increases 7. Provide client recommendation 218 Tacotle Fit: Tell me about a time you felt conflict in the workplace. Case prompt • Your client is Tacotle, a leading national fast casual restaurant with $420m in revenue in 2019. • Over the five years proceeding 2019, Tacotle has experienced steady revenue growth and industry leading profitability. But for the first time in its 15 year history, Tacotle has experienced three straight quarters of EBITDA erosion. • Tacotle’s CEO has hired you to explore what is causing profits to drop and what can be done to reverse the tide. Clarifying information • Goal: Profitability (no specific milestones, looking for positive annual profit growth in the short term) • Market: Defer until after the framework presentation • EBITDA: Ensure interviewee understands that EBITDA is Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (profit) 219 Tacotle Exhibit A – Quarterly revenue and EBITDA Millions Revenue EBITDA $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 Period $0 EBITDA (%) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2017 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 44 45 44 46 45 45 Q3 Q3 2018 2013 44 Q4 Q4 2018 2013 46 Q1 Q1 2019 2014 39 Q2 Q2 2019 2014 40 Q3 Q3 2019 2014 39 Q4 Q4 2019 2014 40 220 Tacotle Exhibit B – Average revenue per order Avg. revenue per order $5.50 $5.00 $4.50 $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 Period Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 221 Tacotle Exhibit C – Income statement 2017 2018 2019 364 377 420 COGS 51 54 96 Wages 96 99 101 SG&A 11 10 10 Fixed Overhead 43 44 44 163 170 169 Revenue ($M) Expenses ($M) EBITDA ($M) 222 Tacotle Exhibit D – Customer survey (2018) 5.0 4.8 4.0 4.7 4.5 4.5 3.4 3.0 3.3 3.1 2.0 1.0 0.0 Quality Speed of Service Consistency of Has a drive Product through Importance Restaurant Cleanliness Friendliness of Ample Seating Staff Performance Notes: • On a scale of 0-5, how important are the following characteristics when dining at fast casual restaurants? • On a scale of 0-5, how well does Tacotle Co. perform against the following characteristics? 223 Tacotle Exhibit E – Customer survey (2019) 5.0 4.8 4.0 4.7 4.6 4.5 3.5 3.0 3.4 3.1 2.0 1.0 0.0 Speed of Service Quality Has a drive through Consistency of Restaurant product Cleanliness Importance Friendliness of Ample Seating Staff Performance Notes: • On a scale of 0-5, how important are the following characteristics when dining at fast casual restaurants? • On a scale of 0-5, how well does Tacotle Co. perform against the following characteristics? 224 Tacotle Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • After framework review, Candidate should: • Understand that the problem could originate from market conditions or company operations • Discuss the basis profitability framework with some focus on anticipated fixed and variable cost drivers for Tacotle ŹĻ Market Conditions Operations Ŏ Product Mix? Avg P Ļ Revenue Ļ Costs Ĺ Competition Ĺ F Qty • Marketing • PP&E • SG&A ŎCustomer Prefs Ļ Market V • • • COGS Distribution Labor 225 Tacotle Part 2 2. Analyze external market conditions • When asked, provide the interviewee with the following information about the market, competitors and customers: • Market growth • Market is growing at the same rate as GDP • Mature market • Competition • No major competitors have entered or exited • No new substitutes introduced • Tacotle currently has a 30% market share (by revenue) which it has maintained • Customers • Customers are beginning to stress the importance of ingredient quality and order customization • Takeaway: the profitability issue is not one that is market wide. The problem seems to be specific to Tacotle. • There are no major competition related factors that are driving the decreased profitability. The issue is most likely related to a change within Tacotle • The change in customer preferences doesn’t seem like it is directly driving decreased profits but it may have influenced decisions made within Tacotle 226 Tacotle Part 3 3. Identify trends in profitability over time Provide Exhibit A once the interviewee requests information regarding Tacotle’s Revenue or Profitability • What are potential drivers of: • Revenue spike? (Increase in price or units sold) • EBITDA erosion? (Increase in cost, decrease in rev.) • EBITDA % decline? (Decrease in margin) • Spike in revenue in Q1 2019 with relatively flat EBITDA and large decrease in EBITDA %. Followed by steady revenue decline • Good response will hypothesize what could cause this, with the conclusion that either prices and/or purchases increased with costs increasing more than the additional revenue • A good interviewee will take a deep dive into the profitability framework looking to determine why: 1. Revenue spiked then declined over the following quarters 2. Profitability (EBITDA) did not follow revenue 227 Tacotle Part 4 4. Deep dive into drivers of revenue change • Guide the candidate down the revenue side of the profitability framework if they do not do so. Provide Exhibit B once the interviewee has hypothesized potential drivers of increased revenue • After interviewee has stated that price increased, interviewee should recognize that a change in price could lead to a change in quantity. Provide Exhibit C once the interviewee asks how the units sold changed in 2019 • Takeaways (Exhibit B): • A good interviewee will quickly identify that Tacotle increased the average price of their orders. • It should initially be ambiguous whether units sold increased or decreased. A good interviewee will not rush to a conclusion • Takeaways (Exhibit C): • Interviewee should evaluate the entire slide then attempt to answer the question posed regarding units sold in 2019 • Interviewee should refer back to the exhibit and notice that COGS nearly doubled from 2018 to 2019 228 Tacotle Part 5 5. Calculate change in units sold between 2018 and 2019 • If the interviewee does not calculate the change in units sold themselves, ask them to Units sold in 2018: Units sold in 2019: • Units sold = Revenue / (Avg. price per unit) • Units sold = Revenue / (Avg. price per unit) • 2018 Revenue = $377m (Round to 380M) • 2019 Revenue = $420m • 2018 Avg. price per unit = $4.05 (Round to $4) • 2019 Avg. price per unit = $5.25 • Units sold = $380m / $4 = 95m units sold • Units sold = $420m / $5.25 = 80m units sold Takeaways: • Although revenue increased sharply, the total number of orders decreased. • As revenue continued to decline over the last three quarters of 2019, prices remained the same. Therefore, a decrease in the quantity sold is responsible for the eroding revenues and EBITDA 229 Tacotle Part 6a 6a. Analyze operational reasons for price increases • Why did Tacotle increase prices? • Why did units sold continue to decrease throughout 2019? Provide Exhibit D once the interviewee or interviewer asks these questions • Ensure that before moving into ‘operations’ the interviewee has analysed Exhibits A, B and C and has received Exhibit D.. • Exhibit D illustrates Tacotle’s performance against customer preferences • Tacotle lags with regards to quality but is on par or exceeding expectations for all other categories • Interviewee should conclude that Tacotle did something that was aimed to increase quality which most likely caused COGS and revenue to increase 230 Tacotle Part 6b 6b. Analyze operational reasons for price increases • After interviewee has speculated on potential operational changes Tacotle could have implemented, inform them that Tacotle introduced a new menu focused on allowing the consumer to customize their orders more and higher quality and selection of ingredients Provide Exhibit D at this point • If asked for, the average time to serve a customer increased from ~1 minute to ~3.5 minutes. • Interviewee should recognize that Exhibit E is the same survey as Exhibit D but for the next year (post menu upgrade) • Interviewee should also recognize that the order of attributes has changed • “Speed of Service” is now Tacotle’s weakest attribute • This is due to the new menu which added complexity to food preparation • “Consistency of Service” has also dropped below customer expectations due to the added complexity of food preparation • Although Tacotle has met expectations with regard to “Quality”, the decline of ratings in “Speed of Service” and “Consistency of Service” have more than cancelled it out, resulting in a net decrease in customer satisfaction • Takeaway: The menu change was not effective 231 Tacotle Part 7 7. Provide client recommendation Overall: Scale back the menu changes that were implemented during 2019. • The menu change led to a significant increase in COGS which decreased EBITDA % • The menu change led to overall customer dissatisfaction, degrading brand equity • The customer dissatisfaction lead to decreasing unit sales (quarter over quarter) which is driving the EBITDA erosion Risks • Scaling back the menu too much could lead to decrease in customer satisfaction for “Quality” • Scaling back could disrupt relationships with suppliers require asset divesture relating to initial menu change • A scale back that does not focus on margin improvement could lead to smaller revenues and profits, effectively downsizing the company. Next steps • Perform more detailed and focused customer surveys to gage what Tacotle customers expect from the chain • Perform a scale back on the menu size that focuses on cost cutting balanced with customer needs • Follow-on menu changes should be implemented on a smaller/trial basis at a small number of individual restaurants 232 Case 22 Vitality Insurance Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z13 Organizational changes (3) • X06 Financial Services • TV Screens 2017) (Wharton Case type • Y07 Profitability Case author(s): Peter Manoogian (Kellogg 2012) Edited by: Matthew Heintz (Kellogg 2016), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 2 33 Vitality Insurance Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client, Vitality Insurance, is a leading provider of supplemental insurance products in the United States. • Vitality agents partner with companies to offer their employees optional, supplemental insurance for such conditions as life, longterm disability, etc. • Vitality has undergone fairly steady growth in the past two years, but profit margin is decreasing. What should they do about it? Interviewer guide • Problem: How can Vitality improve its profit margins? • Problem solving steps: 1. Identify cost trends 2. Determine root-cause of sales cost changes 3. Examine mis-aligned incentive programs 4. Provide client recommendation 234 Vitality Insurance Fit: What role do you typically play in a team? Give me an example of this. Case prompt • Our client, Vitality Insurance, is a leading provider of supplemental insurance products in the United States. • Vitality agents partner with companies to offer their employees optional, supplemental insurance for such conditions as life, longterm disability, etc. • Vitality has undergone fairly steady growth in the past two years, but profit margin is decreasing. What should they do about it? Clarifying information • Client: • Vitality is the leader in its category and has over 10,000 field sales agents (FSAs) • Vitality sells all policies through FSAs who are solely compensated on a percentage commission of total new premium, (defined as premium from new customers or additional premium up-sell from existing policyholders) • In addition to the commission, short term priorities are often communicated via sales contests that focus on a particular customer segment or activity and pay a bonus in addition to standard commission • Major costs: sales, G&A, and advertising • Competition: Few competitors in this mature market with similar growth. Vitality is a leader in the space; competition not the focus • Industry: Agent turnover is very high on a yearly basis (though was lower during the recessionary period) 235 Vitality Insurance Exhibit A – Results and Costs Vitality insurance key results and costs (figures in ‘000s) 2008 Accounts converted Total policyholders enrolled Total premium from policyholders 2009 2010 500 550 605 1,500 1,650 1,815 $2,500,000 $2,750,000 $3,025,000 $50 $55 $58 $250 $275 $400 $25 $28 $30 9.50% 9.40% 8.50% Total costs General and Administrative Sales Advertising Profit margin 236 Vitality Insurance Exhibit B – Insurance sales process Reactivating dormant account Acquire new accounts Hire new agents Keep accounts active Upsell active accounts Produce results (Premium $) Number of sales contests targeted at these leverage points on the selling process New Agents Acquire new accounts Keep accounts active Upsell active accounts (bonus based on # of accounts) (bonus based on # of accounts) (bonus based on # of accounts) (bonus based on total premium $) Produce results 2008 n/a 2 4 1 2 2009 n/a 2 4 1 2 2010 n/a 4 0 1 4 237 Vitality Insurance Exhibit C – Snapshot of ‘Sweeps Week’ contest results Ratio to Average Weekly Premium (2008-2010) 2010 ‘Sweeps Week’ (1) 2 010 ‘Sweeps Week’ (2) 200% 150% 2008 2009 2010 100% 50% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 Week during Jan-Jun 238 Vitality Insurance Part 1 1. Identify cost trends Provide Exhibit A when the interviewee asks for cost information • Interviewee should recognize the following: • All line items except for sales costs growing at 10% per year • Sales costs grow at 10% from 2008 to 2009, but at 45% from 2009 to 2010 (while premium growth remains at 10%) • Stronger interviewees will quickly note that something is strange with the 2010 sales costs, but will calculate to confirm • Finally, profit margins are declining significantly from 2009-10, suggesting that the increase in sales costs is not paying off 239 Vitality Insurance Part 2 2. Determine root-cause of sales cost changes Provide Exhibit B if the interviewee asks about the value chain or sales process • If the interviewee asks about the new contests focused on premium, provide the following information: • Vitality launched a contest called ‘Sweeps Week’ that aimed to drive increased premium in weeks that were traditionally low volume for the company. Vitality paid an extra 10% bonus on all premium booked in those two weeks. • Sales agents thought ‘Sweeps Week’ was a great contest • Assume the types of contests run in 2008 and 2009 were fairly similar • Do not share Exhibit C until the interviewee recognizes this shift in mix and begins asking questions about the new programs • As seen in Exhibit B; Vitality’s sales agents are engaged in several activities along the sales process, and that new premium can be generated in many ways. • The interviewee should recognize the shift in contest mix from 2008/09 to 2010. Coupled with the additional information provided in the previous slide, the interviewee should realize that Vitality has shifted its focus more toward total premium and new accounts in 2010 240 Vitality Insurance Part 3 3. Examine mis-aligned incentive programs Provide Exhibit C if the interviewee asks about the effectiveness of ‘Sweeps Week’ • If asked, confirm that agents have authority to ‘book’ sales whenever they want by influencing the enrollment timing by up to one week • Strong interviewees will also recognize that, despite not having charts to support it, a shift in customer focus toward acquiring new accounts in 2010 will likely also hinder profit margins, as acquiring a new customer costs considerably more than retaining (or upselling) an existing customer • Exhibit C shows weekly premiums for all of Vitality from 2008 – 2010. The chart is shown in a way that compares each year’s actual premium to the average of historical premium for that year, so as to provide for a ‘benchmark’ comparison. • The ‘Sweeps Week’ contest launched in 2010 is shown in weeks 4 and 20 in the chart, and clearly yields high premium volume for those particular weeks. However, it is done at the expense of the weeks surrounding the sweeps week. • This implies that agents may be ’gaming’ the system by pushing/pulling sales into that week to earn the contest rewards 241 Vitality Insurance Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation • The interviewee should conclude that Vitality overspent in 2010 on the ‘Sweeps Week’ sales contest, thus hurting its profitability • Exhibit C indicates that the contest influenced the sales force to conduct undesirable selling practices by pushing / pulling forward business to earn the extra commission • Further, the contest’s focus, driving new premium was duplicative with that of the main commission system, therefore it did not add much value • Recommendation: eliminate ‘Sweeps Week’ for 2011 and potentially repurpose those funds toward an activity that is not already covered by the main commission structure • It is unclear whether we should remove the increased contests on new accounts, as this could be a new customer focus that we do not know about • Excellent candidates will make the following observations: • Recognize that the likely decline in profit margin from 2009 to 2010 is linked to the abnormal increase to sales costs • That the ‘contest mix’ in Exhibit B is similar to a firm’s marketing mix, especially given that the sales channel has already been established as the main marketing channel for these products • Suggest that the added contests on acquiring new accounts will also decrease profitability because acquiring new customers is more costly than retaining existing ones. 242 Case 23 Wildcat Wings Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z08 Market sizing (2) • X01 Aerospace & Defense • case, casebook + year • Z12 Creativity (4) • X15 Transportation & Logistics • Z16 Vertical integration (4) Case type • Y06 Opportunity assessment • Y05 Operations Case author(s): Adam J. Louras (Kellogg 2011) [formerly A+ Airlines] Edited by: Deepika Singh (Kellogg Class’16), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 243 Wildcat Wings Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client is Wildcat Wings, the third largest airline in the United States by passengers carried. This week, the CEO flew with our primary competitor, Phoenix Air, and she noticed something interesting: Phoenix has stopped accepting cash for in-flight food and beverage services and they now only accept major credit cards. • The CEO of Wildcat Wings wants to know why Phoenix Air switched to Card only, and if Wildcat Wings should follow them. Interviewer guide • Problem: Should Wildcat Wings go cashless for in-flight purchases? • Problem solving steps: 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Analyze current in-flight purchases 3. Explore cost impacts of switching to card only 4. Brainstorm additional benefits 5. Provide client recommendation 244 Wildcat Wings Fit: Tell me how about a time someone convinced you to take a differnet approach. Case prompt • Our client is Wildcat Wings, the third largest airline in the United States by passengers carried. This week, the CEO flew with our primary competitor, Phoenix Air, and she noticed something interesting: Phoenix has stopped accepting cash for in-flight food and beverage services and they now only accept major credit cards. • The CEO of Wildcat Wings wants to know why Phoenix Air switched to Card only, and if Wildcat Wings should follow them. Clarifying information • Card Use: Roughly 99% of all consumers purchase their airline tickets using a credit card, i.e. all consumers on an airplane have a credit card available to them. • Items Sold: Only food and alcoholic beverage items are sold on Wildcat flights. • Competitive Dynamics: Phoenix is the only airline that has made the switch; however all other airlines are evaluating the switch. • Competitors: For the purposes of this case, Phoenix and Wildcat should be considered to be exactly the same in all regards. 245 Wildcat Wings Exhibit A – Flight economics Average Wildcat Wings flight Boeing 737-800 Total seats 200 Traveler type Cabin share of seats Business Leisure Seat utilization First Class 25% 100% 0% 100% Economy 75% 50% 50% 80% Cabin Traveler type Purchase rate Average purchase value Business 40% $10 Leisure 25% $5 Method of payment Fleet size: 50 Cash 20% Card 80% 246 Wildcat Wings Exhibit A – Cash and Credit Card management processes Wildcat Wings Cash Management Process* On ground Cash handler collects flight lockbox from plane (EOD) Cash handler loads plan with $50 in change Cash handler collects flight lockbox from plane (EOD) Flight lockboxes deposited to onsite cash processing center Armored car service collects cash Armored car service reconciles cash for counterfeit Cash (less fees) deposited to Wildcat Wings bank account End-to-end process: 31 days In flight Flight attendant collects cash from passengers and issues change Flight attendant deposits cash into flight lockbox Wildcat Wings Credit Card Process 2% fee on all cash collected On ground Merchant service receives and processes card transaction Cash (less fees) deposited to Wildcat Wings bank account End-to-end process: 24 hours In flight Flight attendant swipes credit card in wireless terminal Additional information: • 5 cash handlers per airport • 2 employees onsite cash processing center at each airport where Wildcat operates 247 Wildcat Wings Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • Case Structure – Interviewee’s structure should be a before and after comparison of the switch from Cash & Card to Card only and should include: • Revenue Changes: Loss of Cash Only customers vs. Increase in Credit Card customers • Cost Changes: Benefit of Cash Management Cost Removed vs. Incremental Cost (Fee) of Credit Card • Cash Flow Changes: Interest and Time Value of Money (TVM), and Working Capital impacts due to an increase in collection speed 248 Wildcat Wings Part 2 2. Analyze current in-flight purchases Provide Exhibit A when the interviewee asks about market sizing When asked, state we will lose 1/3 of cash customers when we move to card-only • Ask the interviewee to determine the Total Market Size in ($) for food and beverage purchases on an average flight • The interviewee should calculate the current allocation of purchases (Cash vs Card) for an average flight. • The interviewee should begin with the correct assumption that revenue will be lost due to unhappy, cash-only passengers • First class business passengers = 200 seats x 25% share x 100% utilization x 100% business = 50 passengers • Economy business passengers = 200 seats x 75% share x 80% utilization x 50% business = 60 passengers • Economy leisure passengers = 200 seats x 75% share x 80% utilization x 50% leisure = 60 passengers • Business spend = (50 + 60) x 40% x $10 = $440 • Leisure spend = 60 x 25% x $5 = $75 • Cash payments = $515 x 20% = $103 • Card payments = $515 x 80% = $412 • Takeaway: Lost revenue = 1/3 x 103 = ~$35 249 Wildcat Wings Part 3 3. Explore cost impacts of switching to card only • Interviewee should make mention of Cost changes due to the shift to a Card Only strategy. Provide Exhibit B when the candidate after cash and credit card processing cost brainstorming When asked, explain that the total, per flight, savings from eliminating overhead due to Cash Management Operations is $35/flight • The interviewee should notice the following information: • Cash Management & Card Management both have 2% fees associated, so this is a “wash” in terms of savings. • Cash Management requires additional overhead, 7 total employees per airport, that could be eliminated for further savings. • Interviewee should notice that the $35 savings offsets the $35 loss in revenue. A good candidate will notice that savings go straight to the bottom line whereas revenue doesn’t. 250 Wildcat Wings Part 4 4. Brainstorm additional benefits If the candidate does not mention TVM, ask them about benefits of collecting payment early • The interviewee should qualitatively mention that there are benefits to eliminating the longer cash management process: • Time Value of Money: Wildcat Wings will receive their money 30 days sooner, and this money could be used to: • Invest in interest earning accounts or growth projects • Pay off suppliers early and take advantage of discounts • Pay down lines of credit faster • Working Capital Improvement: $50 per flight in change can be eliminated, thus freeing up cash flow. Additionally, there will be a reduction in loss of cash due to theft and damage • Happier Customers: The majority of customers will be able to place and receive their order faster on the plane which will also increase sales 251 Wildcat Wings Part 5 5. Provide client recommendation • Overall, our client Wildcat Wings, should switch to a Credit Card only system for in-flight food & beverage because: • Quantitative Benefits: We calculated that there would be a loss of 3 business customers and 1 economy customer per flight which amounted to a Revenue loss of $35. We also found that we could save $35 in overhead expenses by eliminating the Cash Management process. In sum, the decision to switch is in favor because the savings are to the bottom line and the revenue losses are top line. • Qualitative Benefits: We also found that we will receive payment 30 days sooner by only accepting credit cards. This improves our cash flow and could allow us to earn interest, pay down creditors, or invest in projects. Additionally, by reducing cash losses and eliminating “Change” tied up on airplanes, we can improve our Working Capital and also put this money to work for us. Finally, it appears as though customers, in general, might actually be happier because the speed of transactions on the airplane will improve. • Outstanding interviewees will note: • Due to the increased transaction speed, probability of purchase for both Business and Economy passengers in the AFTER state should go up due to a reduction in frustration. The people on the back of the airplane often abandon a purchase if it takes too long to place an order. Making change takes a lot of time! • Average purchase amount should also increase. There is a proven psychological phenomenon that shows how consumers who do not carry cash purchase less when a cash option is offered because they feel guilty using their card. A card-only option eliminates this guilt and consumers don’t mind using the card. • Being creative when listing the change of costs as: Wifi cost (connect with banks and verify transaction), Fraud cost (increased chance of fraud to happen after implementing card only payment). 252 Case 24 Wine & Co Interviewer-led Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z02 Net Present Value (2) • X02 Agriculture & Food • Pharmacy in Supermarket (Sloan 2011) • Z10 Marketing strategy (3) • Rocky Resort (WSO 2012) Case type • Y06 Opportunity assessment • Jamaican Land Investment (Haas 2015) Case authors: Anil Goteti (Kellogg 2011) Edited By: Mauricio Atri (Kellogg 2012), Laura Mast (Kellogg 2020) 253 Wine & Co Interviewer Guide Case prompt • Wine & Co is a niche wine manufacturer in the San Francisco Bay area. Wine & Co recently acquired 12 acres of land outside San Francisco. • The company wants to investigate opportunities to best use the land and needs a recommendation from you. • What are the different ways in which Wine & Co can use the land? Interviewer guide • Problem: How can Wine Co maximize the • Problem solving steps: 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Identify most profitable product 3. Determine preferred product for manufacturing 4. Provide client recommendation 254 Wine & Co Experience: Tell me about a time when you faced conflict in a team setting. Case prompt • Wine & Co is a niche wine manufacturer in the San Francisco Bay area. Wine & Co recently acquired 12 acres of land outside San Francisco. • The company wants to investigate opportunities to best use the land and needs a recommendation from you. • What are the different ways in which Wine & Co can use the land? Clarifying information • Product: Wine & Co only manufactures red wines. The company does not sell any other products. • Customers: The company serves only the local market (the San Francisco Bay area). • Company: The company is currently very healthy and does not face any problems. 255 Wine & Co Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • The interviewee should create a framework and structure the problem. The interviewee should suggest options including manufacturing the wine, creating adjacent products (like wine tasting tours), using the land for other uses (commercial real estate/selling the land for a profit/other opportunity costs). • A strong candidate would provide a detailed structure (eg. profitability framework for manufacturing feasibility with customization of the framework - yield of grapes, cost per liter of wine, etc.) and outline the risks or considerations involved in some of these options (like usability of land for manufacturing or company competency in pursuing in other opportunities unrelated to wine manufacturing). 256 Wine & Co Part 2a 2. Determine most profitable product • Wine & Co has decided to use the land to manufacture wine. Each acre of land produces 1,000kg of grapes annually. Wine & Co has an option to manufacture Merlot or Bordeaux. • The two wines use different grapes and the grapes have varying yields. While the Merlot grapes yield 2 litres/kg, the Bordeaux grapes yield 1 litre/kg. Wine & Co can charge $20 per liter of Merlot and can charge $40 per liter of Bordeaux. • Which wine yields more profits annually? • When asked, provide the following information: • Profit Margins on Merlot are 10% while the margins on Bordeaux are 15%. • A good candidate would ask for the profit margins/costs without being prompted. Look for organization and structure when the candidate evaluates the annual profits for each wine (a good candidate would use a table like structure when doing the math). The revenues would be $480,000 for both wines annually but the margins would be higher for Bordeaux ($72,000 for Bordeaux versus $48,000 for Merlot). After the candidate arrives at the profits, look for interpretation. • A strong candidate would recommend using Bordeaux while at the same time consider other factors (competency in manufacturing either of the wines, customer demand in the bay area, sensitivity to product yields, customer reservation price, etc.) • A creative candidate might suggest that we compare the age of the two wines (and hence will impact when the profits might actually start) 257 Wine & Co Part 2 (continued) 2. Determine most profitable product • Math working for Part 2 Description Value A Acres of Land B kg of grapes produced/acre 1,000 C kg of grapes produced total [A x B] 12,000 Description D Yield (Liter/kg) E Total Yield (Liter) [C x D] F Price / Liter G Total Revenue [E x F] H Profit Margin I Total Profit [G x H] 12 Merlot Bordeaux 2 1 24,000 12,000 $20 $40 $480,000 $480,000 10% 15% $48,000 $72,000 258 Wine & Co Part 3 3. Determine preferred product for manufacturing • Aging has an effect on the revenues and profitability. Merlot has to be stored for 6 years while Bordeaux has to be stored for 12 years before revenues can be generated. Which wine would you choose for manufacturing? • When asked, provide the following information: • Discount rate is 12% (strong candidates will use the ‘Rule of 72’ to discount • Assume the costs are only incurred when the revenues are realized after aging (no costs until year 6 for Merlot and no costs until year 12 for Bordeaux). • The interviewee should identify that the cash flows for Merlot would be $48,000 annually starting year 6. Cash flows for Bordeaux would start in year 12 ($72,000 annually). Then, consider TVM, calculating annual cash flow discounted to the same year: • Merlot: Perpetuity value of cash flow (value in year 6) = $48,000/0.12 = $400,000 • Bordeaux: Perpetuity value of cash flow (value in year 12) = $72,000/0.12 = $600,000 Value of perpetuity in year 6 = $600,000 / (1.12^6) = $300,000 (Rule of 72). • Provide help here if the candidate is struggling with the division. Look for the candidate's approach rather than the exact number. Since value of pursuing Merlot ($400,000) is higher than value of pursuing Bordeaux ($300,000), the company should manufacture Merlot. • Strong interviewees interpret the results and suggest we consider factors like inventory costs, sensitivity to discount rate, etc. 259 Wine & Co Part 3 (continued) 3. Determine preferred product for manufacturing • Math working for Part 3 A Annual Profit B Years to Maturity C Discount Rate D Merlot NPV once ripe (at year 6) E Bordeaux NPV once ripe (at year 12) Merlot Bordeaux Comments $48,000 $72,000 See Part 2 6 12 12% 12% $400,000 A/C $600,000 A/C $300,000 E/(1.12)6 $400,000 $300,000 D and F Method 1 F Bordeaux NPV at year 6 (using discount rate) G Comparison at year 6 Method 2 H Merlot NPV at year 12 (using discount rate) $800,000 $600,000 D x (1.12)6 I Comparable comparison at year 12 $800,000 $600,000 I and E 12% 12% 6 6 Method 3 J Discount rate K Years to double value = 72/Discount Rate L Value after 6 years $400,000 $300,000 Halve Bordeaux at 12 years M Value after 12 years $800,000 $600,000 Double Merlot at 6 years 72/12 260 Wine & Co Part 4 4. Recommend a marketing strategy • Wine & Co has decided to manufacture Merlot. How should they market this product in the San Francisco Bay area? • Customer segment currently served by Wine & Co is niche wine enthusiasts. • Candidate should ask for the customer segments that the company might sell to and suggest appropriate marketing channels/strategies to consider. Look for a MECE structure here. • Suggestions should include retail strategies, direct to consumer strategies (like wine clubs, wine tasting), traditional media and print advertising and online advertising. 261 Wine & Co Part 5 5. Provide client recommendation • Excellent interviewees would recommend a solution (manufacturing Merlot) but would detail out the risks/next steps associated with the recommendation. Next steps may involve market research, land usability testing, evaluation of opportunity costs. Risks have been discussed previously. • Outstanding interviewees provide an answer that includes: • Identification of opportunity costs, particularly of not selling/leasing the land, which might be more profitable considering the current value of land in the Bay Area and/or Napa • Considering industry specific issues like aging of wine • Considering time value of money/perpetuity of cash flow • Considering risks like customer demand, land usability • Potential benefits of diversifying the acreage and producing multiple types of grapes (compensate for shifts in consumer demand, broader appeal to local market, etc.) 262 Case 25 Winter Olympics Bidding Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z02 Net Present Value (2) • X05 Entertainment & Media • World View (Harvard 2015) • Z12 Creativity (3) • Mobilizing Your World (Fuqua 2015) Case type • Y06 Opportunity assessment • Footloose 2012) (LBS Case author(s): Chris Dupre (Kellogg 2003) Edited By: Uri Kalir (Kellogg 2012), Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 2 63 Winter Olympics Bidding Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client, a major US television network, is trying to figure out how much to bid for the exclusive right to broadcast the Winter Olympics Games in four years time • The Winter Olympics are a huge deal and will require a significant amount of capital to secure the rights, so our client has brought us in to help them figure out the right bid amount after considering all relevant factors. Interviewer guide • This is a very quantitative case that requires the interviewee to run the numbers on an Olympics bid. The candidate will have to decide potential ad revenue/cost information, as well as the NPV, to determine bid size. • The candidate will need to ask for additional information to solve the problem, rather than relying on the interviewer to dispense it. After getting the initial calculations right, there are a lot of implications that may change the level of the bid. • Especially for less finance-minded interviewees, you may have to help nudge candidates through the math. 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Calculate NPV 3. Brainstorm intangible benefits and risks 4. Provide client recommendation 264 Winter Olympics Bidding Fit: Why do you want to join our consultancy in particular? Case prompt • Our client, a major US television network, is trying to figure out how much to bid for the exclusive right to broadcast the Winter Olympics Games in four years time • The Winter Olympics are a huge deal and will require a significant amount of capital to secure the rights, so our client has brought us in to help them figure out the right bid amount after considering all relevant factors. Clarifying information Revenues • No subscription revenue, but can keep 100% of advertising revenue • Ad rates are $400k per 30 second ad for prime time (weekends, weekdays 1900 - 2300) and $200k non-prime time • Market research has shown that you can include no more than 10 minutes of advertising per hour. Costs • $482m of total production costs • Opportunity cost: $1m/hour • Time value of money: 4 year lag for receipt of revenue 265 Winter Olympics Bidding Exhibit A – Winter Olympics Schedule Day 1 Day 2 – 15 Friday Weekday Opening Ceremony Day 16 Main events Closing Ceremony Weekend Saturday 0800 – 0900 0900 – 1000 Biathlon 1000 – 1100 Bobsleigh 1100 – 1200 Skating / Skiing Biathlon 1200 – 1300 Skiing 1300 – 1400 Skating 1400 – 1500 Curling Bobsleigh 1500 – 1600 Ice Hockey Skating 1600 – 1700 Luge Skiing 1700 – 1800 Ice Hockey 1800 – 1900 Skiing 1900 – 2000 Skating Luge Skiing 2000 – 2100 Opening commentary Luge Closing commentary 2100 – 2200 Opening ceremony Skiing Closing speeches 2200 – 2300 Opening speeches Luge Closing ceremony 266 Winter Olympics Bidding Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem Provide Exhibit A if the interviewee asks for TV schedules or identifies ad revenues in their structure • Candidate should determine that this is a cost-benefit / NPV analysis. • Candidate should identify potential revenue streams from hosting the Olympics, i.e. ad revenue, product placements, etc. • Then, the candidate will have to figure out if this is a good investment. They should identify 3 costs (production costs, opportunity costs, and time value of money). By factoring in these costs, the candidate will find out if the Olympics are worth the investment. • Some of the numbers and assumptions here are difficult, so nudge the candidate along if necessary. 267 Winter Olympics Bidding Part 2 2. Calculate NPV Revenues Costs • $400k/ad for prime time (M-F 7-11 PM, all weekend) and $200k/ad for non-prime time • $482M of production costs • 10 minutes/hour of advertisements • WACC: 10% • Opportunity: $1m/hr • Total revenues should be equal to $928M for the project. • Primetime: Weekdays (M-F): 10 weekdays x 4 hrs/day x 10 min/hr x 2 slots/min x $400,000/ad = $320M • Non-prime: Weekdays (M-F): 10 weekdays x 6 hrs/day x 10 min/hr x 2 slots/min x $200K/ad = $240M • Weekend: 4 days x 10 hrs/day x 10 min/hr x 2 slots/min x 400K/ad = $320M • Opening/Closing: 2 days x 3 hrs/day x 10 min/hr x 2 slots/min x 400K/ad=$48M • Total profit should be equal to $300M. • Profit: Revenues $928m - $482m of total costs - $146m of opportunity cost (2 days x 3 hours x $1m/hr + 14 days x 10 hours x $1m/hr) = $300m • NPV should be equal to $200m. • Discount rate: 1.104 = 1.4641 (ask candidate to round to 1.50) • $300m/1.5 = $200m 268 Winter Olympics Bidding Part 3 3. Brainstorm intangible benefits and risks • Might give network access to new viewers • There is prestige associated with hosting this event • We can use the air time to promote other programming • Opportunities for product tie-ins, supplemental revenue • After finishing the discussion, ask the candidate for a recommendation 269 Winter Olympics Bidding Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation • While the NPV of the project is $200m, the fact that there are other intangibles (new viewers, plugging our programs, and prestige) the bid should just be $200m. • While there is no one correct answer, most answers should be in the range of $200m. If there is significant fluctuation from $200m, the candidate will have to provide in-depth justifications and make a concrete argument. • This case tests the interviewee’s comfort with numbers and understanding of how intangible factors may influence financial value. The bid process requires another level of understanding around game theory and what dynamics will ultimately determine the value of the bid beyond NPV. • Ultimately, the best interviewees will make a very strong argument using the facts provided and support their bid and explain why they moved their bid from the NPV figure. • There is also a lot of room for creativity for the interviewee to discuss other factors, including supplemental streams of revenue, intangible factors, and things to consider during the bid process. 270 Case 26 Zephyr Beverages Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z10 Customer marketing strategy • X12 Retail & CPG • ABC Conglomerate (Wharton 2005) • Z11 Competitive analysis • InsureCo 2015) (Fuqua Case type • Y03 Mergers & Acquisitions Case author(s): Edwin Van Dusen, Brian Fox and David Welch (Kellogg 2004) Edited by: Rohan Maini (Kellogg 2020) 2 71 Zephyr Beverages Interviewer guide Case prompt • Our client, Zephyr Beverages, is a division of a large consumer products company. The division produces fruit juices in three forms, all under the Zephyr name: chilled, juice boxes, and frozen concentrate. Zephyr had sales of $600 million last year, about 3% of the company’s overall sales of $20 billion. • The chilled segment represents $120 million in sales per year. While juice boxes and frozen concentrate have been consistently profitable, chilled juices are only breaking even in good quarters and are losing money in bad quarters. Zephyr has received a proposal from upper management to sell the chilled juices business. We need to help them decide whether or not this is a good idea. Interviewer guide • Problem: What does Zephyr do with an underperforming business? • Problem solving steps: 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Conduct competitive analysis 3. Determine product analysis 4. Provide client recommendation 272 Zephyr Beverages Fit: What do you think makes a good management consultant? Case prompt • Our client, Zephyr Beverages, is a division of a large consumer products company. The division produces fruit juices in three forms, all under the Zephyr name: chilled, juice boxes, and frozen concentrate. Zephyr had sales of $600 million last year, about 3% of the company’s overall sales of $20 billion. • The chilled segment represents $120 million in sales per year. While juice boxes and frozen concentrate have been consistently profitable, chilled juices are only breaking even in good quarters and are losing money in bad quarters. Zephyr has received a proposal from upper management to sell the chilled juices business. We need to help them decide whether or not this is a good idea. Clarifying information Industry: • It has been growing at GDP (~3%) the last few years and is projected to continue that growth rate. • The market for chilled juices is dominated by mothers with young kids. • Brand name is important in this market, as mothers tend to prefer reliable products. However, the brand premium must be in line with other branded products and all branded juices sell in the same price range. • This is a highly price sensitive market that loves coupons, promotions, etc. Competition: Highly concentrated market. There has not been a lot of change, technological progress or threat of new entrants 273 Zephyr Beverages Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem • A sample case structure would include the following: 1. Identifying the options: sell chilled juice, sell all juice businesses, continue on with all businesses 2. Qualitative discussion of competitive dynamics 3. Discussion of product selection/components, as well as ways to cut costs When asked, the interviewer can reveal the following additional information: • Chilled beverages are a $1 billion worldwide industry 274 Zephyr Beverages Part 2 2. Conduct competitive analysis • Using basic information provided, interviewee should deep dive the competitive dynamics in further detail. • Relevant info: • Bad market position: 12% vs. 40% and 25% • Assumed profitability differences • Disadvantage on trade promotions • The two largest players have market shares of 40% and 25%, respectively. Zephyr’s market share, 12% makes it third in the industry. • The two market leaders are able to do more advertising, couponing, promotion, and trade than Zephyr is able to do. We do not know about their profitability, but assume it is positive • Interviewee should be able to see that Zephyr is at a serious disadvantage on all fronts as a smaller company that is both less profitable and less engaged in the kinds of trade promotions that key customers covet. The overall conclusion should be that this is a weak competitive position. 275 Zephyr Beverages Part 3 3. Determine product selection • Using information about our products vs. our competitors, the interviewee should focus on discussion about how to cut costs. • Relevant info (when asked): • The market leaders produce pure orange juice/blends based on citrus juices. Zephyr uses more elaborate blends, usually with a base of pear or peach juice (60% of inputs) and flavor with cranberries, bananas, mangoes, etc. (the other 40%). Pear and peach juice are a similarly price to orange juice, but the other flavorings cost about twice as much. • A plant in California produces all products; chilled, juice boxes and frozen. Each of the three products uses different machinery. It would be difficult to find another use for the plant without a major conversion. • Additionally, there are currently synergies between chilled, frozen and juice boxes – mothers are slightly more likely to buy products from the same brand • This indicates that, despite a disadvantage, divesting is not realistic and there may be room for cost reduction based on reformulation to make Zephyr profitable. 276 Zephyr Beverages Part 4 4. Provide client recommendation There are three possible solutions, with no right answer. The recommendation should be well-reasoned, comprehensive, and include as much relevant information as possible. • Sell the chilled juice business. This would, however, affect the juice and frozen concentrate businesses, as there are both advertising and manufacturing synergies. • Sell all of the juice business. This may be more feasible, as the buyer could capture the synergies, but would not be too likely to turn the business around. The selling price is likely to be low. • Keep the chilled juice business and rework the ingredients and costs. This is the most feasible option, as evidenced by the success of the competitors. We are probably developing extra features in our ingredient mix that the market does not want and is not willing to pay for. Eliminating or scaling back those features will probably allow us to cut costs without affecting revenue. • Interviewees who do well on this case will have to be comfortable with ambiguity and with a lack of perfect information. They will quickly grasp the issues and delve into the underlying qualitative discussions, coming up with a lot of additional risks/potential benefits for each option. • Creative solutions beyond those listed are possible and encouraged, though should be done within the framework of the information available. 277 Case 27 Zoo Co Concepts tested Primary sector(s) Similar cases • Z12 Creativity (1) • X06 Financial Services • Car Wash Chain (Columbia 2017) • Z02 Net Present Value (2) • National Zoo (Wharton 2011) • Z02 Breakeven analysis (3) Case type • Y03 Mergers & Acquisitions Case authors: Aneri Jambusaria (Kellogg 2011) Edited By: Ron Mantel (Kellogg 2015), Matthew Heintz (Kellogg 2016), Michael Eidem (Kellogg 2020) 2 78 Zoo Co Interviewer Guide Case prompt • Our client is a zoo that is thinking about acquiring a famous zebra from an African preserve. • It’s a huge investment, but they believe the new zebra would be a great contribution to their animal community. You have been engaged to help decide whether this is a good idea. What would you consider when trying to help your client make this decision? Interviewer guide • Even though the client is a zoo, we’re undertaking a similar process to what is done when underwriting an insurance policy. The case evaluates basic concepts but involves many calculations and the use of financial assessment techniques. 1. Develop a structure to address the problem 2. Investment valuation - Walk through the valuation process of an asset. 3. Breakeven analysis – Determine the revenue increase needed for a positive NPV 4. Risk assessment – Should the zoo use an insurance contract to hedge downside risk? 5. Provide CEO recommendation • Note: Rounding numbers is generally okay but should not be done to the extreme as it will alter the results. 279 Zoo Co Fit: Talk about a time when you had to influence someone who initially disagreed with you. Case prompt • Our client is a zoo that is thinking about acquiring a famous zebra from an African preserve. • It’s a huge investment, but they believe the new zebra would be a great contribution to their animal community. You have been engaged to help decide whether this is a good idea. What would you consider when trying to help your client make this decision? Clarifying information • Goal: Zoo’s primary concern is whether the zebra acquisition would be profitable. No specific timeline, but zebras do have a finite lifespan. • Client Characteristics: Major zoo within the US. Majority of revenue generated through admission sales to daily zoo visitors. • Competitive Dynamics: No other zoo within the local market. 280 Zoo Co Exhibit A – Market Research Findings Possible Attendance Increases Annual Revenue Probability 3% Increase $135,000 20% 5% Increase $225,000 40% 7% Increase $315,000 30% 9% Increase $405,000 10% Expected Additional Annual Revenue $252,000 Plus: Current Annual Revenue $4,500,000 Expected Total Annual Revenue $4,752,000 281 Zoo Co Part 1 1. Develop a structure to address the problem An ideal structure should resemble the typical M&A framework. Focus should be on determining whether the acquisition of this zebra is a smart financial decision. Key elements expected to be included in this framework are: • Market: What does local competitive landscape look like? (Not necessarily other zoos, but substitutes for how families/individuals spend their leisure time) How has the zoo attendance market been trending? Who are the target customers and what do they care about? (i.e. more concerned with animal selection, activities hosted by the zoo, general cleanliness and layout, etc.) • Target (the zebra): • Financial evaluation – What are the expected costs (purchase price, transportation, ongoing maintenance, update in habitat space) vs the expected revenue increase (increased attendance, change in ticket price, merchandise sales) • Non-financial evaluation – How old is the zebra? What is its expected lifespan? Why is the zebra famous, does that matter? • Transition: • What synergies does the zebra provide? Are there ways to reduce cost by sharing food production/habitat/maintenance investment with a similar animal? Are there revenue synergies (example: being able to promote a complete African exhibit) • How will the zoo market the acquisition of this new zebra? • Does adding a zebra benefit/fit the zoo’s brand? • Deal execution: What will the payment structure look like? Are there opportunities to lease a zebra from another zoo instead of purchase? 282 Zoo Co Part 2 2. Walk through the valuation process of an asset. Data to provide when asked more about expected revenues and costs: Revenue: • 300K people visit the zoo annually; admission is $15 per person • Benefits from zebra acquisition could lead to increased attendance. Another zoo that acquired a similar zebra had an 8% increase. Costs from zebra acquisition: • Immediate costs: Acquisition cost ($235K), new facilities ($850K), transportation ($110K) • Annual maintenances: Food, health costs, and additional trainers ($90K) • Discount rate = 20%, Assume that the immediate costs are paid today, and annual costs and benefits are realized beginning next year and sustained into perpetuity, even though the Zebra will not live on to perpetuity. The interviewee should use the above data to calculate the NPV of the acquisition: • Assume that the attendance benefits are realized immediately and maintained thereafter • Annual benefits = (300K)*($15)*(0.08) = $360K • Upfront costs = $235K + $850K + $110K = $1.195M • Annual costs = $90K • NPV = -$1,195K + (($360K - $90K)/0.20) = $155K • Takeaway: Acquisition is NPV positive. Financially (assuming assumptions are accurate), this is a smart decision. 283 Zoo Co Part 3 3. Breakeven analysis – Determine the revenue increase needed for a positive NPV • Additional prompt: Zoo Co is concerned about using the other zoo’s attendance benefits as a proxy. They think that attendance could increase by less than 8%. What analysis could you perform to address their concerns? What is the breakeven attendance increase required? • The interviewee should think about performing a break-even and a sensitivity analysis. Afterwards, they need to think about performing a risk assessment. Break-even Analysis: • Break-even = 0 = -$1,195,000 + ((revenue - $90,000)/0.20) ($1,195,000) * 0.20 = revenue - $90,000 Revenue = $239,000 + $90,000 = $329,000 (this is the required additional revenue to break even) $329,000 = (300,000) * (15) * (% increase in attendance) % increase in attendance = ($329,000 / $4.5M) = 7.3% • Takeaway: We already knew from the previous calculation that the acquisition of the zebra was profitable if attendance increased by 8%. This new calculation shows us that our 8% assumption is barely above the break-even calculation. If our attendance assumption is wrong be even 1%, the investment may end up NPV negative. 284 Zoo Co Part 4 4. Risk assessment – Should the zoo use an insurance contract to hedge downside risk? • Since the zoo is very risk-averse, they’re interested in hedging some of their downside risk. An insurance company has offered to provide the zoo with a constant revenue to increase revenue to $250K per year if attendance increases are less than or equal to 5% (example: If post-zebra acquisition is only 3% and thus revenue increases by only $135K, the insurance will give the zoo $115K to reach a total increase of $250K). In exchange, the insurance company wants the zoo to pay 1% of the zoo’s total annual revenues as a premium. What might you do to determine if this was a good deal? • The interviewee should recognize that additional information is needed and that a market research study could aid in this process. Hand out exhibit after interviewee identifies this notion. Provide Exhibit A The interviewee should use the market research to determine the probable attendance increase: • Annual cost to zoo: 1% of total zoo revenues = (0.01) * ($4,752,000) = $47,520 • Annual expected benefit to zoo: ($250,000 - $225,000) * (0.40) + ($250,000 - $135,000) * (0.20) = $33,000 • Takeaway: Costs > Benefits, so this is not a good deal. 285 Zoo Co Part 5 5. Provide CEO recommendation • It is unlikely that the zebra acquisition is a good idea for the zoo to undertake given the information provided. At other zoos, attendance has gone up substantially due to a new zebra; however, based upon our market research, it seems less likely that we can breakeven on the investment through increased attendance. We have received an insurance contract to help mitigate some of the downside risk; however, it is too expensive to create value. Other items to consider: • In order to make the investment more palatable, we may consider negotiating with the insurance company to either increase the revenue benefits provided or decrease the premium cost. • There are other creative options to drive zebra related revenue (merchandise) or decrease cost (look for a less expensive zebra) • Excellent interviewees: • Identify that we can use another zoo’s attendance increase as a proxy for estimating our own attendance increases. • Notice in Exhibit A that it is unlikely that attendance will increase sufficiently enough for the zoo to break even. • Outstanding interviewees: • Notice that the insurance company’s premiums and benefits are both impacted by attendance increases; so if attendance increases are always greater than 5%, the zoo will be paying even more but getting no benefit. • Notice that the insurance company’s contract is essentially an option; so a different structure to the contract may be more suitable for the zoo. 286 287 Kellogg Case Book 2020 Edition The original version of the KCC casebook was originally written, edited, and designed by: Adam J. Louras Kellogg 2011 Bain alum, now COO at Iris Nova Ameed Mallick Kellogg 2012 Bain alum, now VP at InfoArmor Uri Kalir Kellogg 2012 Now Executive Director at JPMorgan Chase Peter Manoogian Kellogg 2012 Now Partner at ZS Associates Craig DePriester Kellogg 2012 Bain alum, now General Manager at DaVita Medical Mauricio Atri Kellogg 2012 BCG alum, now Director at Vista Equity Partners Historical KCC casebook owners: Derek Collins Kellogg 2019 Previously at DaVita, now Associate at McKinsey Rohan Maini Kellogg 2020 Previously at PwC, joining McKinsey as Associate New VP Training Kellogg 2021 Apply to join the KCC Exec team in Spring 2020! 288 This book is intended for internal use by members of the Kellogg Consulting Club (KCC). Distribution to individuals outside of the KCC is forbidden without express written consent by KCC. Copyright 2019 © by the Kellogg Consulting Club. Copyright Act of 1976, no part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the publisher. DMCC 2014-2015 Casebook DMCC 2014-2015 Sponsors Sponsor Categories Firms Platinum Gold Silver 2 Editor’s Note Welcome first year students: The Duke MBA Consulting Club (DMCC) is proud to present the official First Year Student 2014-2015 DMCC Casebook. This year we have included over 20 brand new cases. The objective of this book is to help you prepare for your upcoming consulting case interviews. Case interviews are an integral part of the hiring process for consulting firms. These interviews give you the opportunity to showcase your communication, client, creative and analytical skills to your interviewer. This book was developed to complement the Duke MBA Consulting Roadmap curriculum. We hope that using both will help lead you to success during the upcoming recruiting season. A couple of changes have been made to enhance the training of those utilizing the book. First, we have included behavioral questions with each case. Through feedback it was communicated that structured opportunities to practice behavioral type questions was lacking so this should help address - please take the time to administer and answer these questions! Second, although we cannot prepare you for everything you might encounter during a your case interviews we went to great lengths to better diversify the case content. Current cases cover a wide variety of topics from pharmaceuticals to insurance sales, across several problem types. This casebook could not have been completed without all of the wonderful cases submitted by your classmates and the valuable contributions of the DMCC Cabinet Officers. We would also like to thank our friends at other MBA programs for sharing with us their old casebooks to supplement the cases herein. We wish you luck with your preparation and would like you to remember that your fellow DMCC members are here to help! Please reach out to anyone on the cabinet if you feel that you are not “cracking the case”. Lastly, to the students of other top MBA programs using this case book during their preparation, we warmly welcome you to “Team Fuqua”. Good luck! Jeff Kaloski and Vineet Hingwe 3 Overview of the Casebook and Recommendations • The first section provides an overview of the firms, followed by a case table of contents, then the cases • Qualitative and quantitative case difficulty is identified within the case table of contents; difficulty is on a scale of 1 to 7 (7 being the most difficult) • Cases 24 and 25 were provided by BCG so these are very representative of the type of case you will receive in a BCG interview • Case 26 was provided by Deloitte so this is very representative of the type of case you will receive in a Deloitte interview • Ask the behavioral questions EVERY TIME you give a case! • Most cases are adaptable so try to familiarize yourself with the case prior to giving • Print exhibits before giving the case or be prepared to share digitally (we tried to ensure that all exhibits are effective when printed in black and white, but recommend double checking your print outs to be sure!) • HAVE FUN! 4 The Firms 5 Accenture High Performance, delivered. Accenture brings strategic thinking, innovative approaches and the ability to make a difference to companies and governments around the world. Overview Interview Overview Accenture has recently re-structured its Management Consulting practice. Most or all on-campus recruiting opportunities will fall into the Strategy group. Candidates will interview for the general Strategy group but may wish to express interest in a specific functional area or industry during the recruiting process. Strategy- Offerings in Mergers and Acquisitions; Operating Model Strategy; Sales and Marketing Strategy; Finance & Enterprise Performance Strategy; Operations Strategy; Talent & Organization Strategy; Technology Strategy; Digital Strategy Federal- Helping government clients solve complex problems Round 1 2 Behavioral / Case interviews Round 2 2 Behavioral / Case interviews Cases- Cases are often based on real client experiences. Cases may or may not have a quantitative component, so listen for verbal clues. Cases are often very conversational and are an opportunity to showcase your interpersonal skills. Unique Interview Features Career Progression Behavioral/Fit- Fit is very important. The interviewer may have a “brief conversation” about your background and experience instead of a standard question & answer format. Also, in the first round at least one of the interviewers may focus much more heavily on behavioral/fit and place less emphasis on the case. Analyst Consultant (Business School); Summer Consultant Consultant Manager Senior Manager Managing Director 6 Bain & Company Bain is a leading strategy consulting firm based in Boston, MA with 49 offices across the globe. Overview Interview Overview Unique Interview Features Career Progression Bain follows the generalist model. There is no need to align with a specific industry or area before interviewing. Strategy - Influential experts and deep expertise in dozens of industries, provides consultants with a broad foundation on which to build their own expertise Private Equity Group (PEG) - Work with private equity firms to assess potential deals Round 1 2 Interviews (~45min. each) A few behavioral/fit questions and a case (Note: interview may start with the case) Round 2 1 fit interview (~45min) 1 written case interview (~45min) 1 typical case interview (~45min) Shorter prompts- Most cases feature shorter prompts (2-4 sentences) . Candidates should feel free to ask additional questions before creating a unique framework Charts and graphs- Bain has a few unique chart and graph formats that should be reviewed (marimekko and 100% stacked bars are most common – materials are on the website) before interviews to become familiar Second level insights- Candidates should focus on the business implications of information provided during the case (the “so what?”). Some of the data presented will not provide insights into the case sift through the data. Action-oriented recommendation The recommendation should be concise and contain specific actions the client could take immediately along with any additional work streams that are needed to complete the analysis Associate Consultant Senior Associate Consultant (Business School); Summer Associate Consultant Case Team Leader Manager Principal Partner 7 Boston Consulting Group (BCG) BCG is a premier strategy firm developing and implementing high-value opportunities for change for Private, Public and Not for Profit Organizations Overview Interview Overview Unique Interview Features Career Progression Generalist in the beginning – can choose to focus on industry as one moves into project leader Regional staffing model, though each office values its own culture and network Flat organization with a lot of transparency; communication is direct and feedback is highly valued “Chart your own course” philosophy – you can specialize in a particular industry early or take on a variety of assignments across different countries or take a sabbatical to work for a non-profit for a year Strong mentoring culture, frequent interaction with partners on cases and lots of training opportunities if you join BCG full-time. Personal development is taken very seriously Round 1 Two analytical cases with a portion of the time dedicated to behavioral fit questions - 45 min each Round 2 Two to three analytical cases with a portion of the time dedicated to behavioral/fit questions - 55 minutes each Be prepared for the behavioral portion of the case to bleed into the analytical portion of the case. The break between the two is not always obvious and clear cut. Highly quantitative – be prepared for lots of complex math. Partners look for driving the case and the application of common sense judgment. They look for creative thinkers who can structure their thoughts Not simply textbook knowledge (Undergrad); Analyst – A1/A2 (denotes the years in the position) (Business School); Summer Consultant Consultant – C1/C2 Project Leader – PL1, PL2, PL3 Principal – P1, P2, P3, Px Partner Sr. Partner / Managing Director 8 Deloitte Consulting LLP Deloitte is a leading strategy firm bringing executable strategies to the Fortune 500 Overview Interview Overview Unique Interview Features Career Progression Deloitte has three service areas (below). Student must align with a service area before applying. Human Capital professionals bring industry expertise in integrating business, HR and talent strategies to create business value through people Strategy and Operations professionals bring deep industry experience with capabilities spanning corporate and business unit strategy, M&A strategy, and sales and marketing Technology professionals focus on internal technology solutions, challenges, and innovation –and full-spectrum delivery across strategy, implementation, management and operations Round 1 Analytical Case– 30 min Behavioral– 30 min Round 2 Strategy Case– 60 min Behavioral– 30 min Group Case– 90 min Long prompts- Some cases feature multi-paragraph introductions that include lots of data. Make sure you capture all the information before moving on, since it’s usually not repeated. The Data Sheet- Deloitte often hands you a page with multiple exhibits (chart, graph, list, or data table etc.), usually one in each of the four quadrants. Often you will need to combine information from different exhibits to synthesize an answer. The Group Case- You interview with 4-5 candidates. Each of you is assigned a role (usually different than your prior work experience) and presented with overall and role specific questions. Collaborate with your peers to successfully crack the case. Business Analyst Consultant (Business School); Summer Associate Senior Consultant Manager Senior Manager Partner/Principal/Director 9 L.E.K. Consulting L.E.K. is a global strategy consulting firm. It counsels its clients on key strategic issues, leveraging its deep industry expertise and using analytical rigor to solve clients’ toughest and most critical business problems. Overview Interview Overview Unique Interview Features Career Progression L.E.K. follows the generalist model with new consultants. There is no need to align with a specific industry or area before interviewing. However, there is potential to specialize in a particular industry starting in your second year. L.E.K. has particular expertise include life sciences/ pharmaceuticals, aviation and travel, basic industries (building materials/ manufacturing), media & entertainment, retail, and private equity Round 1 2 Interviews (~30min. each) Traditionally one qualitative and one quantitative (each will include a few behavioral/fit questions) Round 2 1 written case interview with presentation(1 hour to prepare, 30 min to present ) 1 typical case interview with Manager (~30min) 1 case/fit interview with Partner (~45min) Shorter cases - L.E.K. cases are designed to be shorter than some of the other firms. First round interviews last only 30 minutes including behavioral questions, meaning candidates must get through the case within 20-25 minutes. Quantitative focus - Each L.E.K. interview round will contain a significant quantitative component, and quantitative aptitude is very important in the evaluation of candidates. Many cases also require familiarity with financial statements or basic finance concepts such as NPV. First round cases typically include at least one market sizing case. Leadership potential - in addition to standard behavioral questions such as “why L.E.K.?” interviewers look specifically for candidates able to take on immediate management responsibility, as consultants are given responsibility for managing associates on casework as soon as they join. Associate Associate Consultant (Business School); Summer Consultant Consultant (manages single project) Manager (manages multiple projects) Principal (managing director in training) Managing Director (Partner) 10 McKinsey & Company McKinsey & Company is a global management consulting firm. We are the trusted advisor to the world's leading businesses, governments, and institutions. McKinsey recruits students into generalist and practice areas (Business technology, Operations, Marketing) Students can express an interest to apply as a generalist and/or for a practice area Overview Interview Overview Summer Associates are assigned to any of a wide range of industries, touching any point in the value chain. Project (“study”) staffing is collaborative between SAs and Professional Development staff. Structured, formal feedback is provided by a senior firm member twice during the summer. Informal feedback is common, and is highly emphasized in the firm’s culture. M-Th travel is typical. Depending on office preference you will either have a one day “Power Round” session or the standard tiered process. The Southern office and international offices typically conduct “Power Round” style interviews. Power Round (at or near Fuqua, if intl. at office) Unique Interview Features Career Progression 4-5 Interviews 20 min experience 30 min case Round 1 (at or near Fuqua) 2 Interviews 20 min experience 30 min case Round 2 (at McK office) 3-4 Interviews 20 min experience 30 min case The Personal Experience Interview- Unlike other firm’s behavioral interviews, McKinsey asks candidates one question before each case to asses behavioral/fit. These questions are rooted in at least one of the following areas: personal impact, entrepreneurial drive, problem solving, personal achievement, and leadership. The interview will ask the initial question and then probe deeper by asking several follow up questions to understand your thought process in that situation. It’s not uncommon to spend 20 minutes on one experience. Highly Structured Cases- Cases often have discrete framework, brainstorming, and quantitative “sections” that focus on a question specific to that section. Although candidates must drive the analysis, the interviewer may redirect towards the next section. Business Analyst (Business School); Summer Associate Associate Engagement Manager Associate Principal Partner Director 11 Pricewaterhouse Coopers (PwC) PwC Advisory helps clients build their next competitive advantage. You will help our clients improve business processes, transform organizations and implement technologies. Overview Interview Overview Unique Interview Features Career Progression Students must directly apply to one of the following practice areas: Health Industries Public Sector Financial Services Products & Services Industry Round 1 2 Interviews (~45min. each) Only behavioral/fit questions Round 2 2 behavioral/fit interviews (~45min) 1 case interview (~45min) First/Second Round Behavioral Interviews - PwC puts extra emphasis on your background and fit with PwC. Your first interview will also include a discussion of which vertical (above) best fits with your work experience and career goals. Case Interview - The case interview is a little different than other firms. The case is very conversational as the candidate and interviewer discuss a business situation. Candidates may be given a case to prepare 1-2 days in advance (usually 4-5 pages). On the interview day, candidates are given questions on the case and are asked to prepare a slide deck presentation in an hour before discussing it with the interviewer. Associate/ Experienced Associate (Undergraduate level) Summer Senior Associate (Business School internship) Senior Associate (After Business School) Manager Director Partner 12 ZS Associates Our singular focus over our 30 years has been to help global companies maximize their sales and marketing organizations’ performance and results. Overview Interview Overview Unique Interview Features Career Progression Students must directly apply for one of two roles: Business Consultant- serve on project teams that deliver high-quality marketing and sales strategy projects to clients. In particular, Business Consultants possess qualitative research and unstructured problem solving skills and/or advanced quantitative analytics skills Business Operations Consultant- manage overall projects and client engagements. They support our clients' sales and marketing activities and ensure productivity and profitability in their business operations. Round 1 2 Interviews (~45min. each) 1 behavioral 1 case Round 2 1 fit/behavioral interview 1 case interview 1 presentation case Case Focus- Although ZS rigorously tests a candidate’s public math skills and ability to synthesize, do not neglect the qualitative component. In recent years ZS has begun to focus on both qualitative reasoning as well as quantitative skills. Presentation Case- Candidates are provided information and must synthesize a presentation to a panel of interviewers. ZS provides a laptop to create the slides. Expect to be challenged and questioned. Rounds- ZS holds its second round interviews within a few days of its first round. Candidates should plan accordingly to minimize potential conflicts. Interviewers- Partners and senior managers conduct the first round interviews on-campus, unlike j g some firms that use consultants and junior managers in the first round. Associate Associate Consultant (Business School); Business Consultant Intern Consultant Manager Associate Principal Principal 13 The Cases Case # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Name Purple Pill Company Buy Low, Sell High Oklahoma Gas Company Heavy Things Fitness Orange Yoga Studio Surfboard Wax in Hawaii Pacific Northwest Telco The Everything Retailer Gee & Gee’s House of Brands Going Green AllHealthy CRM Coyotes Ferry Follies AutoDrivers Steel Works WOEM Money in Michigan Pharma Co. Quality Control WorkIT So Fresh and So Clean Kid Country Texas Oil Consumer Products Strategy Pharmaceutical Business Growth Insurance Co. – Business Restructuring Difficulty (1 - 7) Qualitative Quantitative 4 2 5 5 6 2 1 5 3 4 4 5 3 4 5 2 2 6 4 4 4 3 5 N/A N/A N/A 4 5 3 6 4 2 1 4 6 5 1 5 4 3 2 1 3 6 2 4 3.5 4 3 N/A N/A N/A Industry / Sector Page Pharma Financial Services Oil & Gas Other Other Other Telecommunications Retail Retail Other Human Capital Non-Profit Transportation Insurance Steel Hospitality Public Sector Pharma Med. Devices Insurance CPG Media Oil & Gas CPG Pharma Insurance 15 23 34 42 53 66 74 81 91 99 112 117 130 138 151 164 171 179 190 195 206 216 226 236 244 250 14 CASE 1 – PURPLE PILL COMPANY 15 Case 1: Purple Pill Company Deloitte Case Writing Competition Finalist Prompt Your client is a multinational pharmaceutical and biologics company. The client has a portfolio of drugs for major disease areas, including cancer, cardiovascular, and gastrointestinal diseases, to name a few. The client has experienced a decline in revenue over the last 18 months, and is fearful of further declines, especially given that its most commercially successful drug, which treats acid reflux disease, will be going off of patent in May of next year. What are the areas they should look into to change the course of this trend? Behavioral Questions • Why consulting now (after xx years in xx industry)? • Tell me one industry that you’re interested in right now. What are the trends or opportunities for key players in this industry? (can also be a function, area of business, etc.) Interviewer Guidance The candidate should come up with a MECE framework that covers the following areas: product mix, industry trends, competitors • • • • The candidate should identify that this is a revenue problem, given the prompt. A good candidate will identify the patent expiration impact on revenues quickly. A good candidate may also discuss sales by region (since it is a global company) in addition to product mix. Additional information should be provided upon request: o Exhibit 1 Revenues by disease area (Product Mix) 16 Case 1: Purple Pill Company Exhibit 1 Company Revenues by Disease Area (in $B) Neuroscience Respiratory Gastrointestinal Cardiovascular & Oncology Drug Category % 2013 Revenues % Chg Revenues Market Share Red Pill Cardiovascular 22% -8% Steady Purple Pill Gastrointestinal 15% -2% Respiratory 14% +10% Neuroscience 7% -40% Blue Pill Green Pill 17 Case 1: Purple Pill Company Analysis What are the largest drivers of revenue decline over the last year? (Provide Exhibit 1 if not already provided) Guidance: • Give the candidate 20-30 seconds to review the chart. Then, prompt them to start sharing insights. o E.g. - Overall business is declining ~10%, driven by neuroscience, and cardiovascular & oncology o E.g. - Respiratory is driving growth, driven by the blue pill; has also gained market share • Ask: Which drug is largest source of dollar declines from 2013 to 2012? How much is the loss? • Math: o Red Pill: 22% x $21B = $4.6B / .92 = $5B Æ 4.6B – 5.0B = $0.4B, or $400M loss o Purple Pill: 15% x $21B = $3.15B / .98 = $3.21B Æ 3.21-3.15= $0.06B, or $60M loss o Green Pill: 7% x $21B = $1.5B/ .6 = $2.5B Æ 2.5B – 1.5B =$1B loss Recommendation • Brainstorming – Ask candidate: What are some issues that could have caused this decline? o Acceptable answers: lower price, lower tablet sales volume, generics coming on market, regulatory restrictions, out of stocks, currency and geographic trends o Good candidates will connect generics coming on market to reduced market share in Exhibit 1. • Additional information to be provided as confirmation: • In addition to other issues, the decline is attributed to the introduction of generics in the US and other established markets. It’s fair to attribute 50% of the decline to generics. The additional declines were related to Medicaid liability and other inventory related issues. 18 Case 1: Purple Pill Company Analysis Given these issues with the Green Pill, the client would like your help in determining specifically how to maintain as much revenue as possible from the Purple Pill when it goes off patent next year. It has several options that it would like for you to evaluate. Options: 1. Do nothing 2. License the brand to an over the counter (OTC) manufacturer for $250M one-time revenue 3. Direct-to-patient campaign online and pay 3rd party for delivery Additional facts and assumptions: • With no action, Green Pill lost 20% of annual volume in the past (use this assumption) • Current revenue per pill is $1 at an 80% margin – (remember, total revenue $3.2B) • 10% of current Purple Pill volume will transfer to OTC brand – we get only one time revenue • Direct to patient will retain 25% that would’ve been lost to generic but the margin would be reduced to 50% • Over 2/3 of the Purple Pill’s revenue comes from the US. Recommendation Ask: What would you do and why? What are your assumptions on incremental or retained volume in each scenario? Why? The head of Purple Pill brand needs to make a decision would like for us to share our recommendation today. Please share your analysis and recommendation. 19 Case 1: Purple Pill Company Analysis Decision Math: • Do nothing: $3.2B x .80 retained (20% lost) = $2.5B revenue x 80% margin = $2B gross profit • License for $250M: = $2B + $250M = $2.25B – (10% x $3.2B x 80%) = $2.25B - $0.256B = $1.994B (This is a reduction of $60K compared to doing nothing) • Direct to patient program - = $2B + (20% lost x 25% of this retained x $3.2B x 50% margin) = $2B + $.08B = $2.08B Guidance: The math is important here, but more important is that the candidate can think through short-term and long term scenarios. For example, licensing may look like breakeven in year one and retain the brand, but it is a long-term loss as there is no additional revenue (the $250B) in year 2. You would want there to be little to no cannibalization. Also, if the direct to patient program cannibalizes more of your existing 80% margin business, you will lose money if you don’t increase the price. This case gauges the candidates comfort with making assumptions and making strategic decisions. 20 Case 1: Purple Pill Company Performance Evaluation Expected: • Completes all math • Guides the conversation and probes for additional facts and data without prompting Good: • Is able to think creatively and drive the process forward • Walks the interviewer through the logic • Provides next steps for the analysis Excellent: • Is comfortable providing own assumptions around cannibalization and patient retention • Brings up the possibility of a merger with another drug producer or other out of the box ideas. • Provides financials for multiple years and has a forward thinking strategy. 21 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 2 – BUY LOW, SELL HIGH 23 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Prompt Your client is a rich financier who has decided recently to the capital markets as a market maker. Market makers make % commissions off of transactions in capital markets, and are necessary to provide liquidity and orderly market action. The year is 2014 and he believes that we have recovered long enough from the financial collapse to warrant an investment in this sector. There are multiple opportunities in the financial market and you have been hired to advise him on how and where to invest his money. He is considering entry into one of four markets: Commodities, Options, Equities, and Fixed Income. Behavioral Questions • What is one situation you have been in where you had to lead upwards (be a leader when you didn’t have the authority)? • How would you deal with a team environment where you did not feel welcome? Interviewer Guidance This case is designed to see if a candidate can perform an analysis of market segments and determine a profitable entry point into an established market. This is a two-part analysis. Facts (to be provided if asked)Amount to be invested: up to $2.5 billion. Client has experience in finance, but not in trading Investment to be focused inside of United States Goal is to have a positive NPV investment. Limited to only one investment (he feels his attention can only be focused on one opportunity at a time) • Size and market shares of four markets to be provided upon asking • Market makers make a fixed % commission on each transaction, so more volume and bigger $ value of transactions is usually better. These markets each intrinsically have different commission rates (which we don’t have). • • • • Candidate should be handed Exhibit 1 and Exhibit 2 after he has walked through the structure of the problem and finished asking questions. He should perform an analysis of market attractiveness with this data. 24 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Exhibit 1 Number of transactions (millions/yr) Total assets in market ($trillion) Commodities Options Equities Fixed Income 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Commodities Options Equities Fixed Income 25 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Exhibit 2 *Note: Player 2 in the Equities market recently had a rogue trader incident and is looking to exit through asset liquidation 26 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Interviewer Guidance Exhibit 1: Candidate should be able to conclude from the two charts that total asset value and number of transactions suggest options and commodities are the most attractive markets to enter. However, none of these charts show actual profit earned in the four markets, so more information is necessary (what are the levels of commissions?). Exhibit 2: From this exhibit, commodities and equities seem the most attractive for an entrant, since there are fewer major players in commodities and there is a major player exit in equities. Again, actual profit from entry is not apparent. Prompt Our analysts have done some research on the costs of entry and expected profits from entering these markets. Please look at their analysis in Exhibit 3 and tell me what you can extract from these findings. Guidance Candidate should perform an NPV analysis based on the data provided. 27 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Exhibit 3 $MM Commodities Options Equities Fixed Income 200 ?? 150 160 Salaries 50 40 20 30 Rent & Utilities 50 40 40 30 Depreciation ?? 30 25 50 60 70 65 ?? 30 20 20 40 Earnings before tax 30 50 45 10 Taxes 10 10 ?? 2 20 40 30 8 2,000 2,500 1,500 2,100 Expected Revenue Operating Profit Interest expense Net Income Expected Investment *Cost of capital = 5%, all income assumed to last forever and begin in year 1, depreciation constant YoY 28 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Exhibit 3 Guidance for Interviewer $MM Commodities Options Equities Fixed Income 200 180 150 160 Salaries 50 40 20 30 Rent & Utilities 50 40 40 30 Depreciation 40 30 25 50 60 70 65 50 30 20 20 40 30 50 45 10 10 10 15 2 20 40 30 8 2,000 2,500 1,500 2,100 100 100 90 100 2,000 2,000 1,800 2,000 - (500.00) 300.00 (100.00) Expected Revenue Operating Profit Interest expense Earnings before tax Taxes Net Income Expected Investment EBITDA Investment return NPV *Cost of capital = 5%, all income assumed to last forever and begin in year 1, depreciation constant YoY 29 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Analysis Market attractiveness: Initial analysis should show commodities and options to be most attractive in terms of market size, with commodities as the most attractive due to the lack of major players to inhibit entry. Both Options and Fixed Income seem to be markets where a few players dominate, making potential entry very difficult. Equities is interesting because of potential for cheap entry due to the liquidation of a major player’s assets, so further analysis is necessary Valuation: Based on NPV analysis, equities are the investment to make due to the cheap entry cost. This carries an added benefit of leaving $1 billion free for other uses. Candidate can include this excess sum in calculation, but that isn’t necessary. Recommendation Recommendation should be to invest in equities. Ask candidate to give a recommendation to a the actual investor (“he is about to come into the room,” etc…) Next steps may include: ascertain process for buying liquidated assets, determine if there are other buyers, look at other passive investments for excess funds. Potential risks: regulatory delays, volume of equities market is low, market at all time highs and crash could mean future profit projections are off Next steps and risks are open ended and don’t have to be these suggested options. Make sure candidate has thought out logical points and can explain his reasoning. 30 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Performance Evaluation • Initial problem solving: Distinctive - Well-structured problem solving that is MECE and covers major factors to be considered. This is very open-ended so there are no “musts”, but candidate should quickly realize this is an investment/market entry problem and approach it as such. Very strong - Structured analysis that covers many aspects, but may not be fully MECE. Candidate might need some guidance to ask for right information. Strong - Analysis covers many factors and is thoughtful. Needs some guidance to direct candidate towards data and crux of problem. Needs improvement - Analysis is fragmented. Candidate unable to structure problem and needs a lot of guidance to proceed. • Exhibit 1&2 - market analysis: Distinctive - Candidate quickly grasps what the three charts are trying to say and comes to conclusions quickly. Realizes that there is some possibly conflicting information and asks for data (potentially asks to do NPV). Very strong - Candidate comes to solid conclusions from the charts and is ready to proceed. May need prompting before next step. Strong - Candidate can handle multiple tables but may struggle to fully realize the conflicts embedded in the data. Might try to end case here. Needs some prompting to proceed. Needs improvement - Analysis is fragmented. Candidate cannot handle the multiple charts and needs a lot of guidance to proceed. 31 Case 2: Buy Low, Sell High Performance Evaluation Continued • Exhibit 3- valuation: Distinctive - Candidate understands how to do an NPV and performs calculations quickly and accurately. Exceptional if candidate understands most of data is superfluous and calculates from Operating Profit and Depreciation numbers only. Very strong - Candidate performs calculations in a timely manner. May make some mistakes. Strong - Candidate takes a bit of time to perform calculations. May need some guidance on where to start. Needs improvement - Candidate does not understand what an NPV is. May try a breakeven analysis or other kind of calculation. Interviewer needs to cut calculations short to get to recommendation. • Recommendation: Distinctive - Candidate concisely gives accurate recommendation and covers logical next steps and reasonable risks. Very strong - Candidate gives accurate recommendation with some next steps and risks. May be a little long-winded. Strong - Candidate gives a recommendation but may forget next steps and risks. May need some guidance on where to start. Needs improvement - Candidate isn’t structured and struggles to give a recommendation. 32 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 3 – OKLAHOMA GAS COMPANY (OGC) 34 Case 3: Oklahoma Gas Company (OGC) Prompt (~Present day) The Oklahoma Gas Company (OGC) is a medium-sized private company that has a rich history of drilling and producing natural gas wells in Oklahoma. They possess a diverse, and they believe valuable, set of land assets where more wells could be drilled. The company is well capitalized, but profits have been falling the last few years and are projected to be negative next year. One of the key drivers in the drop in profitability is the price of natural gas, which has dropped substantially, thanks in part to companies like OGC, that have perfected unconventional drilling techniques and have subsequently oversupplied the North American natural gas market. Natural gas prices are currently at a five year low. A larger competitor has approached management about acquiring OCG for $250 M. Management would like your help in assessing the offer as well as identifying alternate strategies. Behavioral Questions • If you could only do one of the experiences on your resume over, which would it be and why? • If you could change one experience on your resume, which would it be and why? 35 Case 3: Oklahoma Gas Company (OGC) Interviewer Guidance The interviewee will likely dwell on the acquisition offer. Guide them away from this, as it will only serve as the baseline for option selection. The objective of the case is for the interviewee to evaluate viable options before recommending a course of action. Ideally the candidate creates a basic profitability framework, and focuses on what OPTIONS the company has. • • • • • • • • Present Valuation of OCG is not readily available. Tell the interviewee that more data on the topic will become available later Costs have remained stable While Natural Gas demand fluctuates seasonally, the annual demand has been stable over the past few years Land Assets = OGC owns 100% of the mineral rights of their land While regulations have changed, and may continue to change, they have yet to have a large impact on OGC’s business OGC has not drilled oil wells in the past, but would likely have the competency to do so in the future Natural gas and oil prices are volatile and out of the control of OGC. Future prices are difficult to predict. Only operated in Oklahoma 36 Case 3: Oklahoma Gas Company (OGC) Interview Guidance Note: This case is meant to be adaptable. The interviewer can make it more or less difficult at anytime based on their discretion. Potential Options for OGC: 1. Explore oil wells (Obvious - if candidate is aware of booming shale oil revolution in the US or current price of oil) 2. Continue drilling gas wells in the areas that they own 3. Sell some land assets 4. Acquire land and drill gas wells elsewhere 5. Acquire smaller competitor 6. Go Public 7. Sell for $250 M 8. Negotiate the $250 M offer upwards Guide the candidate towards (1) drilling oil wells, (2) continue drilling gas wells, (3) considering the acquisition offer While continuing to do what is NOT working may seem counterintuitive, but OGC is very good at drilling gas wells. Key takeaway from this case is that all the assumptions and projections made my OCG and the candidate are based on highly volatile commodity prices. 37 Case 3: Oklahoma Gas Company (OGC) Interview Guidance OCG has found an oilfield in South Texas that it can acquire and drill on immediately. The candidate should begin asking for DATA to analyze the three options on a present value basis: Natural Gas • The present value of all OCG’s currently producing gas wells is $50 M • The Price of gas is $3.00/mcf (thousand cubic feet) • Cost of capital = 10% • Cost of acquiring and drilling the additional natural gas wells is $50 M – Each well will come online in the Year 0 and stop producing after Year 2 • Year 0 Gas production projected = 40,000 mmcf (million cubic feet – unit change) • Year 1 Gas production projected = 30,000 mmcf • Year 2 Gas production projected = ~17,000 mmcf • At a price of $3.00 this gives you a total PV of $194 M • PVs: • Year 0- $70 M (include the $50 M drilling cost) • Year 1- $81.8 M • Year 2- $42.1 M Æ NOTE: A $.20 increase in the price of Natural Gas would mean the wells’ PV is greater than$210 M 38 Case 3: Oklahoma Gas Company (OGC) Interview Guidance Note: This case is meant to be adaptable. The interviewer can make it more or less difficult at anytime based on their discretion. Oil – if the candidate got the the PV for Gas correct, begin giving them the data below. Go straight to last bullet if they struggled. • Current Price of oil is $120 (NOTE: historically high $) • The cost of acquiring and drilling all necessary wells in the oilfield is $100 M • Cost of capital = 10% • Production horizon for each well is 10 YEARS - at this point candidate should realize that the math is too much, and even if they do the math, the value is far too dependent on the price of oil • State that projected PV of the oilfield is $210 M Candidate now has three values - $210 M for drilling oil wells (+$50 M in legacy gas well), $250 M to sell the company, $194 M to continue drilling gas wells (+$50 M in legacy gas well). At this point they will likely give a firm answer that acquiring the new oilfield and drilling is the correct path forward. 39 Case 3: Oklahoma Gas Company (OGC) Interview Guidance The interviewer should then push back: • Is OGC sure they can successfully drill oil wells, out of state, with no experience? • Where did the $210 M value come from - projecting oil recovery is VERY DIFFICULT? • Drilling costs are highly variable, likely to run over? • Finally, how sure are they about FORECASTING PRICES? The correct answer to the case is that there is not enough information given to provide a firm answer at this point. Thorough price forecasting (for both oil & natural gas) needs to be done. A counter offer should be made. OGC’s competency to drill and produce oil wells should be reviewed. A second opinion should be taken on the PV projection of the oilfield. Assumptions play a huge role in the valuations. Note: candidate may push back regarding the chances that gas prices rise because of the oversupply situation. As we see in reality today, large oil & gas companies will stop drilling for gas when prices drop, and gas wells inherently produce for shorter lifespans, thus a significant change in the supply of natural gas is possible. 40 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 4 – HEAVY THINGS FITNESS 42 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Prompt Your client is Heavy Things Fitness, a small fitness center chain with 15 locations in a minor metropolitan area in the US, established during the fitness boom in the late 70s. After decades of continual growth, Heavy Things has seen membership decline by alarming rates. Over the past 5 years, it has seen total membership numbers decrease an average of 6% annually. The client has asked us to determine what is causing this trend and how they can reverse this trend to begin growing again. Based on what you know about this industry, what do you believe is causing this membership attrition? Behavioral Questions • Tell us a time when you had a conflict with your manager or peers. How did you resolve it? • When was the last time you were creative in solving a problem? 43 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Interviewer Guidance The focus of this case is on market segmentation and determining/targeting the optimal segment. The candidate should demonstrate an understanding that profit is the ultimate goal. Various strategies will have different implementation costs and potential revenues, and the candidate should return to these numbers at every step. If they ask for more information on the city, tell them it has a population of about 1-1.5M, similar to Providence, RI; Milwaukee, WI; or Jacksonville, FL. No other information is relevant (such as location within the US), as this is not the focal point of the case. Relevant additional information: • Gym memberships in this city have been growing 3% each year, both in this city and in all regions of the country • Heavy Things Fitness gyms offer cardio rooms, free weights, and weight machines • Membership prices and payment plans are in line with their closest competitors • Heavy Things Fitness targets serious fitness enthusiasts, believing that these are the most loyal customers When interviewee asks for industry or client customer demographic information, provide Exhibit 1 and 2, respectively. Potential Causes: • Changing fitness trends, such as towards class-based fitness or high intensity training • Negative attributes of Heavy Things, such as poor customer service or deteriorating facilities • Competitors offer better services, such as personal trainers or basketball courts • Shifts in city or industry demographics, away from Heavy Things’ target demographic Unlikely Causes: • Decreasing city population (as the rest of the city’s gyms are seeing increasing memberships) • Competitors offer lower cost (already established that Heavy Things’ costs are comparable to competitors 44 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Exhibit 1: Local Interest in Gym Memberships, Demographic Segmentation Local Interest in Gym Memberships, by Age 100% 65+ 90% 80% 50-65 70% 60% 40-50 50% 40% 30-40 30% 20% 18-30 10% 0% 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 45 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Exhibit 2: Client Customers, Demographic Segmentation Client Customers by Generation Seniors (65+), 3% Baby Boomers (50-65), 6% Generation X (40-50), 13% Millenials (18-30), 62% Generation Y (30-40), 16% 46 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Prompt 2 Given the information in Exhibits 1 and 2, what do you believe is the source of Heavy Thing’s declining membership? Guidance Clarifying Note: The legend order corresponds with the Generation graphic in Exhibit 1. In other words, the top portion of the chart represents Seniors, and the bottom represents Millennials. Extractable Facts: • Local gym memberships are trending towards Gen X and Y and away from Millenials, Baby Boomers and Seniors • Genders seem to have shifted towards men, then back to women • Heavy Things’ membership is heavily concentrated in the Millennial generation • Heavy Things’ membership is evenly split between men and women Key Takeaways: • Heavy Things’ membership gender profile parallels local industry gender profile • Heavy Things’ membership generation profile is focused on the declining Millennial population rather than the growing Gen X and Y populations Potential Conclusions: • Target Gen X and Y customers • Become more of a niche gym for declining millennial customer segment 47 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Prompt 3 After reviewing this data, Heavy Things leadership agrees that they should target Gen X and Y customers. What are some possible ways that Heavy Things Fitness can target these growing demographics? What would be the risks of each of these solutions? Guidance Good Potential Solutions: • Marketing campaign targeting consumers aged 30-50 o Spokesperson in that age range o Ads run in areas of interest for these consumers o Explanation that this gym is for these consumers (a la Planet Fitness ads) • Offer new services more to the liking of middle aged customers • Make prices more appealing to middle aged customers o If price is believed to be a primary concern, lower prices o If not, raising prices would help offer more services and prevent younger customers with less disposable income from joining • Make the gym an exclusive club where only those members can join Top level candidates will address the inherent risk of cannibalization when switching from one target demographic to another, and include solutions that will minimize such cannibalization. If the candidate does not mention cannibalization, lead them to it. Some such solutions would be: • Convert some existing locations to more Gen X and Gen Y-friendly establishments, while keeping the rest the same, enabling current customers to go to another Heavy Things if theirs gets shut down • Develop a brand extension in brand new clubs that target these customers • Divide the physical space of each gym into two distinct gyms (like a combination Pizza Hut and Taco Bell) 48 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Prompt 4 We presented your findings to the client at a recent status meeting, and Heavy Things leadership liked the idea of a brand extension of 5 facilities targeted at Gen X and Y customers, called “Fast Class Fitness”, which will focus on the class-based fitness programs that our client’s research has shown appeals to Gen X and Y customers. They want us to determine whether it is more profitable to convert existing Heavy Things properties into Fast Class properties, or to expand into new properties in which to open Fast Class centers. Guidance Pertinent Information (let candidate brainstorm what information is necessary to calculate revenues and costs before providing): Revenues • Membership Dues at Heavy Things Facilities = $50 per month • Membership Dues at Fast Class Facilities = $75 per month • Average Memberships at Heavy Things Facilities = 300 • Average Memberships at Fast Class Facilities = 400 Costs • Rent of All Facilities (Including Cost of Fitness Equipment), Heavy Things and Fast Class = $10K per month • Labor at Heavy Things Facilities = 2 Employees at $36K per year each • Labor at Fast Class Facilities = 4 Employees at $48K per year each • Retention of Members from Converted Heavy Things Gyms= 33% of Each Gym’s Membership o This is a small city, so when a club is converted, members can simply move to a neighboring location o In other words, when a gym is closed, 1/3 of the members will join a different Heavy Things gym, but 2/3 of the members will leave Heavy Things for a competitor • Assume Heavy Things Can Maintain These Membership Levels 49 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Analysis Sample Calculations: Convert Costs (Monthly, in $K) Heavy Things Rent Heavy Things Labor Fast Class Rent Fast Class Labor 10 locations, $10K each 10 locations, 2 employees per location, $3K per employee 5 locations, $10K each 5 locations, 4 employees per location, $4K per employee Expand $100 15 locations @ $10K each 15 locations, 2 employees per location, $60 $3K per employee $50 5 locations, $10K each 5 locations, 4 employees per location, $80 $4K per employee $150 $90 $50 $80 Revenues (Monthly, in $K) Heavy Things (current members) Heavy Things (retained members) Fast Class Total Corporate Income (Monthly, in $K) 10 locations, 300 members per location, $50 per member 5 locations, 33% of 300 members per location, $50 per member 5 locations, 400 members per location, $75 per member $150 15 locations, 300 members per location, $50 per member $25 N/A $150 5 locations, 400 members per location, $75 per member $35 $225 $0 $150 $5 However, the fastest way to calculate this is to realize that the revenues and costs from Fast Classes are constant, so the only necessary calculation is subtracting the additional cost to maintain the 5 heavy things locations ($80K) from the revenue gained by keeping all 15 Heavy Things locations ($50K). Either way, the correct conclusion is that it is more profitable to convert the 5 locations rather than expand. 50 Case 4: Heavy Things Fitness Prompt 5 Olaf Dungren, the CEO of Heavy Things Fitness, is about to walk into this office, and he’d like to hear our recommendation. How would you summarize our findings? Guidance Answers may vary, but should include: • Recommendation to convert five Heavy Things fitness centers to Fast Classes fitness centers • Justification based on the ability to attract new members and increase profitability at a more efficient rate than by expanding to new properties • Potential risks to this suggestion that include five not being the optimal number to convert, increasing properties serving as advertising that would generate additional memberships, the 33% estimate of retention being inaccurate • Next steps, such as hiring class teachers for the new gyms, developing an advertising campaign to build the Fast Class brand, and hiring contractors to convert the Heavy Things gyms to Fast Class centers 51 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 5 – ORANGE YOGA STUDIO 53 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Prompt Your client is Yoga Jones, the owner of Orange Yoga Studio. Orange Yoga is a very popular, up-scale yoga studio in New York City known for high quality instruction and a relaxed vibe. Yoga Jones has owned and operated Orange Yoga for the past 5 years. For its first four years, Orange Yoga was very financially successful; however in the past year, Yoga Jones noticed that her profits are declining. She doesn’t keep very good financial records and has made a few big investments lately, so is having a hard time figuring out a) whether she is actually losing profit and b) how to fix her financial problems How do you help Yoga Jones? Behavioral Questions • Please give an example of a time you led in an ambiguous or uncertain context • What are you most proud of? Interviewer Guidance Note: This case requires extensive guidance by the interviewer. Make sure to review carefully before giving. Provide the following background information upon request, or to help provide clarity after the initial framework • Orange Yoga offers 5 classes daily on weekdays. On weekends, they offer 4 classes. All of of their classes are “Vinyasa Flow” style • Orange Yoga clients pay on a per-class basis. There are currently no “package” deals or membership rates. • The competitive landscape for yoga studios in NYC has remained unchanged over the past three years. • Yoga Jones’ recent investments were major maintenance upgrades for her studio (installing hardwood floors, fresh paint, and new shower facilities). These investments were financed primarily through loans. 54 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Analysis The candidate should quickly get to a π = Revenue-Cost framework. Framework considerations may include: • Revenue: Price per class, number of clients per class, potential other sources of revenue (i.e. yoga mats, water bottles, etc.) • Cost: Rent, insurance, instructors, utilities, loan payments • Other Considerations (a strong candidate will think of these): potential decline in popularity of yoga, marketing promotions, etc. Information on Cost (provide when asked) • No variable costs on a per-customer basis - all costs are fixed. • 5 main fixed costs: Rent/utilities building = $3500 a month; Liability Insurance = $1800 a year; administration costs (including owner salary, supplies, computer system, marketing supplies) = $800 a week; Yoga instructor salaries: $50 a class; Loan Payments (to pay off major paint/floor/plumbing renovations) = $500 a month Information on Revenue (provide when asked) • Class fees are Orange Yoga’s only source of revenue • All classes cost $12 and there are average of 8 students per class on weekdays and 6 students per class on weekends • Assume every month has 22 weekdays and 8 weekend days 55 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Analysis Continued Answers: Revenue: ($12 per class * 5 classes per day *8 students per class * 22 weekdays in a month) = $10,560 a month on weekdays ($12 per class*4 classes per day*6 students per class * 8 weekend days in a month) = $2304 a month on weekends Total Revenue per month = $12,864 (can be rounded to $12.8K) Costs: Monthly costs = $3500 in rent per month+150 in insurance per month ($1800/12) + $3200 in admin costs per month ($1000*4) + $5500 in yoga teacher salaries on weekdays ($50 a class * 5 classes a day *22 weekdays a month) + $1600 in yoga teacher salaries on weekends ($50 a class*4 classes a day*8 weekend days a month) + $500 a month in loan payments. Total Costs per month = $14,450 (can be rounded to $14.5K) After being provided information on cost and revenue, the candidate should realize that Yoga Jones currently is losing approximately $1.7K ($1650) a month in profit. 56 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Prompt #2: Brainstorm (Note: A strong candidate will naturally begin to go into the “So What” after analyzing the profit scenario, and begin to hypothesize on the potential ways to improve revenue or lower costs. Steer the conversation by using the following prompt) Prompt: “After analyzing her books, Yoga Jones realizes that her decline in profit began after a $2000 per month rent increase last year and a decision to raise all teacher salaries by $10 per class. She does not want to move and believes strongly in paying her teachers a high wage for their work. What else can she do?” Analysis Potential solutions Revenue: • Charge more for classes • Variable pricing: charge more for certain clients or for certain classes • Diversify products: Offer higher-priced classes, like pilates; start offering private classes or teacher-training classes; or start selling related products, like yoga mats or water bottles • Offer more classes • Get more clients Cost: • Eliminate unprofitable classes, cut down on her own salary, etc.. • (Not a great idea: refinancing loans—her loan payments are relatively small) After the candidate has run out of ideas, show them Exhibit #1 and ask: “Yoga Jones feels that she may not be meeting her students demands with class times and this could be creating problems. Here is some information that may help.” 57 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Exhibit 1 A Average number of weekday students in Orange Yoga classes, 2010-2014 Average number of weekday students in Orange Yoga classes (2014) 12 10 8 # of students 6 4 2 0 7am 10am 12pm 6pm 8pm 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2010 7am 10am 12pm 6pm 8pm 2011 2012 2013 2014 58 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Exhibit 1 B Average number of weekend students in Orange Yoga, 2010-2014 Average number of weekend students in Orange Yoga classes (2014) 12 12 10 8 6 # of students 4 2 10 10am 8 12pm 6 6pm 4 8pm 2 0 10am 12pm 6pm 8pm 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 59 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Analysis Chart insights: The presentation of information on the four graphs is deliberately overwhelming. All candidates should realize that the top two graphs both pertain to weekday trends and the bottom two graphs pertain to weekend trends; strong candidates will structure their analysis separately for weekends and weekdays. No detailed calculations are necessary for this graph - just insights Key Weekday Insights: • Midday classes have a lower number of students than morning and evening classes • This trend has become more pronounced over last 5 years • Strong candidates will note that the 10am classes are not generating enough revenue to even cover teacher salary Key Weekend Insights • Has opposite profile of weekday classes: midday classes are much more popular than evening classes • This trend has remained somewhat steady over past 5 years, though has become slightly more pronounced • Strong candidates will note that evening classes are not generating enough revenue to even cover teacher salary A strong candidate will also notice that the max number of average participants peaks at 10 for both weekday and weekend classes Strong candidates will also begin to hypothesize potential solutions, including restructuring class times to better meet the needs of clients, eliminating unprofitable classes, and perhaps adding additional classes/instructors in the evening 60 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Prompt #3: Increase Class Size (Note: A strong candidate will notice that the max number of average participants peaks at 10 for both weekday and weekend classes. If they do not realize this, steer them towards this realization). Prompt: “Good point. Yoga Jones currently allows a max of 10 students per class in order to keep the classes small. However, upon looking at her registration records, it appears that she is almost always turning away students for her weekday evening classes and weekend morning classes. She would like to see if she can fit more students in her studio. Her studio is 13ft long and 21 ft wide. The average yoga mat is 6 ft long and 2 ft wide. Yoga Jones feels that the minimum distance between 2 mats should be one foot, and the minimum distance between a mat and a wall should be 6 inches. How many mats can she fit in her studio?” Analysis 13 ft 21 ft There are two acceptable solutions: • The max she can fit is 13, thought this very tricky to figure out. See chart at left. The only real way that candidates can solve this is by drawing it out (at left). Some candidates may realize that each mat will need a total of 21 square feet (6 inches on each side) and the studio is 273 square feet. 273/21=13 (however very strong candidates will point out that this mathematical equation doesn’t always hold true spatially). • If a candidate says 12, that’s fine as well, as long as they acknowledge that there will be wasted space in this configuration. (The instructor does not need a mat) 61 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Prompt #4: Implementation Prompt: Assume all current classes that currently have 10 students always have a lengthy waiting list. If Yoga Jones increases her class size, will this be enough to save her studio? Analysis The studio is currently losing $1650 a month. Therefore the new students must bring in at least $1650 in new revenue a month. Cost • Costs will remain the same New Revenue if they calculated 12 as the max class size • New students: 6 new students on weekdays, 4 new students on weekends. • 6*22*$12=$1584 extra weekday revenue • 4*8*$12= $384 extra weekend revenue • $1968 total new revenue. Yes, this is now profitab (although barely). New Revenue if the calculated 13 as the max class size: • New students: 9 new students on weekdays, 6 new students on weekends. • 9*22*$12=$2376 extra weekday revenue • 6*8*$12= $576 extra weekend revenue • $2952 total new revenue. Yes, this is now profitable. Strong candidate should also suggest cutting classes that don’t cover variable costs to manage costs and adding additional evening classes to increase revenue. 62 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Recommendation What are your final recommendations to Yoga Jones? Analysis All candidates should summarize their analysis and recommend increasing the max class size and eliminating classes. Strong candidates will briefly summarize their analysis and results, but focus primarily on risks and next steps. Risks include: losing long-term clients who valued flexible class times, upsetting clients who enjoyed small class sizes, and upsetting valued teachers whose classes were eliminated. Next step include: Mitigating against risks mentioned above - but more importantly, exploring some of the other options that were outside of the scope of this case, including raising prices, diversifying products, etc… 63 Case 5: Orange Yoga Studio Performance Evaluation • What does the case test? This case has both quantitative and qualitative elements. None of the math in this case is particularly tricky, but does require a lot of quick calculations, as well as tying multiple pieces together to get a holistic recommendation. It also tests creativity by encouraging candidates’ brainstorming and “thinking outside the box” ability. • What should good interviewee be doing/asking/providing throughout the case? There are many different potential paths that this case could take—a good candidate should test a variety of hypotheses with the interviewer throughout the case. • Provide examples of what exceptional interviewees are doing throughout this case. This case may be tricky for candidate who have no familiarity with yoga; however strong candidates should put themselves in the shoes of the small business owner and try to see the problem for her perspective. Exceptional candidates will always be thinking one step ahead, and provide next steps and hypotheses throughout the case. 64 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 6 – SURFBBOARD WAX IN HAWAII 66 Case 6: Surfboard Wax in Hawaii Prompt Your client is a surfboard manufacturer based in Hawaii. The company has high brand recognition and a strong distribution network in the state. The CEO wants to expand the company’s product line and revenues and is thinking of entering the market for surfboard wax. It has hired us to help them determine how big the market for surfboard wax is in Hawaii. 67 Case 6: Surfboard Wax in Hawaii Interviewer Guidance Before the Framework: The candidate should recognize that this is a market sizing case and confirm this with the interviewer. If the candidate asks what surfboard wax is, you can tell them that the wax comes in a bar form (similar to soap) and is used to coat the top of the surfboard in order to provide surfers with a surface that their feet can grip. The candidate may ask how much the wax costs and is used. You can explain that we will discuss this later in the case. A strong candidate will also ask if the client is looking for an annual dollar amount and you should respond yes. Typically, all market sizing cases are in dollars but it’s good to clarify this upfront. Framework: A strong candidate’s framework will have the units needed to calculate the market size at the top of the paper. In this case, the units are the average number of bars of wax sold annually * the average price of a bar of wax. The candidate should demonstrate an understanding that he/she needs to know the number of surfboards in Hawaii, usage frequency, amount used and price in order to crack the case. A good framework will outline an approach for how he/she will estimate the numbers for all of these units and present this to the interviewer. For average number of bars of wax sold in a given year, the candidate would need to know the number of surfboards in Hawaii, how frequently wax is applied to each surfboard and how much wax is used with each application. For price, the candidate should show some approach for how the price might be estimated. Some suggested approaches are discussed later in this case. A common mistake is that the candidate will immediately attempt to estimate the population of Hawaii without explaining how this will determine the market size. If the candidate does this, interrupt them and ask why they are estimating the population of Hawaii. If they are unable to link the population of Hawaii with the number of surfboards and therefore units of wax sold in Hawaii, guide them until they are able to correctly identify the units that are needed to solve the case. 68 Case 6: Surfboard Wax in Hawaii Interviewer Guidance After the Framework: Calculating the Number of Surfboards A strong candidate will recognize that Hawaii has a large tourism industry and would therefore have to estimate the number of resident surfers and number of tourists who surf and the average number of boards per surfer for each population. Resident Surfers One approach is to estimate the population of Hawaii by starting with the estimated US population of 300 million divided among 50 states. This gives each state an average population of 6 million. Hawaii is a smaller state – bigger than Wyoming, which has a population of 500k but smaller than Maryland which has a population of 6m. (The actual population of Hawaii is 1.4m). Assuming that the candidate is not wildly off, you can provide this number to the candidate after he/she estimates the population and allow for rounding of 1m or 1.5m to make the math easier. The candidate can then calculate the number of surfers by segmenting the population by age (0-20, 21-40, 41-60, 61+ is easiest) and estimating the percentage who surf. An estimate of 25%-50% is acceptable. Another approach is to draw from personal experience. A candidate from Minnesota might say 25% of Minnesotans play hockey, the state’s most popular sport. Since surfing is the most popular sport in Hawaii, I’ll assume that 25% of the population surfs. After the candidate calculates the number of resident surfers, you can tell the candidate that the average number of surfboards per surfer is 2. The candidate should calculate the number of surfboards owned by residents is 25%*1m*2=500,000 on the low end and 50%*1.5m*2=1,500,000 on the high end. 69 Case 6: Surfboard Wax in Hawaii Interviewer Guidance Tourists Companies that rent surfboards to tourists comprise the other major segment of the market and there are many ways to estimate the number of surfboards in this segment. Ask the candidate to brainstorm what the number might be and how they would calculate the number of surfboards needed to serve tourists. The key here is to check whether the candidate understands that tourists are sharing/renting boards so the number of surfboards in this segment be much smaller than the number of tourists who visit might imply. It also is meant to showcase the candidate’s ability to structure an approach to solve a very complex problem. One approach is to start by estimating the number of tourists who visit Hawaii. Since Hawaii’s primary industry is tourism, it is safe to assume that the number is going to be a multiple of the state’s population since the vast majority of the state’s jobs depend on it. Think about how many tourists would be needed in a hotel to cover the cost of overhead and pay for the salary of one hotel worker. At the end of the brainstorm, the interviewer should tell the candidate that there are 7m tourists who visit Hawaii a year staying an average of 10 days. Twenty-five percent of tourists surf an average of two days. It is assumed that all of them rent surfboards. The candidate should calculate the number of surfboards needed for rental: 7m*25%*2=3.5m/365 days = 9,589 boards needed per day (Rounding the year to 350 days or the solution to 10k is fine). Therefore, the total number of surfboards in Hawaii ranges from 510k or 1.51m. Usage If there is time, ask the candidate to brainstorm the amount of how wax used per waxing and how frequently the product is used. One approach is for the candidate to relate it to something they are more familiar with such as car wax. A candidate might say that they wax their car 4 times a year and use 25% of the jar per use. In this case, the interviewer can share that a surfboard is waxed every three months and uses 50% of the bar with each use. Therefore, there are 510k*4*50%=1.02m bars of wax sold annually on the low end and 1.51m*4*50%=3.02m on the high end. 70 Case 6: Surfboard Wax in Hawaii Interviewer Guidance Pricing: If there is time, ask the candidate how they might determine the average price. There are two approaches to this. The candidate can either estimate costs on the value chain or identify comparable products (like car wax) and what their costs are to provide an estimate. Since a value chain approach is more difficult in this case, the candidate should use a comparable product to estimate what the average price of wax is. The interviewer can then share that the average price is $2 per bar. Market size: The candidate can then calculate the total market size: 1.02*$2=$2.04 M or 3.02*$2=$6.04 M Ending the Case: Market sizing questions don’t typically need recommendation but the candidate could end the interview with something like this: The total market size we calculated is $2.04m. We arrived at this estimate by calculating the total number of surfboards in Hawaii among residents and at rental companies and multiplying this by how frequently wax is purchased - which in this case is every three months, and the average price of wax at $2. If our client is looking to expand its product line and revenue, it may want to consider selling higher revenue items like clothing or sell its surfboards in the mainland. 71 Case 6: Surfboard Wax in Hawaii Performance Evaluation Exceptional Candidate: Candidate asks clarifying questions at the beginning of the prompt and recognizes that this is a market sizing case. Framework is appropriately customized and has correct units listed and a clear plan for how the candidate will estimate those units. Candidate drives case, executes mathematical computations flawlessly and provides a market size within the accepted range. Strong Candidate Candidate asks clarifying questions at the beginning of the prompt and recognizes that this is a market sizing case. Framework is appropriately customized and has correct units listed and a clear plan for how the candidate will estimate those units. Candidate may need some guidance on moving forward in the case and may make small mistakes on mathematical computations. The candidate provides a market size within the accepted range. Borderline Candidate Candidate recognizes that this is a market sizing case. Framework is appropriately customized and has correct units listed but may lack a clearly defined plan for how the candidate will estimate those units. Candidate may need guidance on moving forward in the case and may make some mistakes on mathematical computations. The candidate provides a market size within the accepted range. Weak Candidate Candidate recognizes that this is a market sizing case. Framework is not customized, does not have correct units listed and lacks a defined plan for how the candidate will estimate those units. Candidate may begin to estimate Hawaii’s population without conveying how this will help them size the market. Candidate needs guidance on moving forward in the case and makes many mistakes on mathematical computations. The candidate does not provide a market size within the accepted range. 72 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 7 – PACIFIC NORTHWEST TELCO 74 Case 7: Pacific Northwest Telco Prompt Your client is a large, regional telecommunications provider in the Pacific NW. Amidst increased competition, the client has brought you on to explore ways which it can increase customer relationship and revenue. What are your thoughts? Behavioral Questions • What’s your favorite hobby? • Tell me about something interesting you’ve done that’s not on your resume? Interviewer Guidance • The client’s goal is to increase revenue and stabilize customer base. Costs should not be considered • The client provides the following services : cable television, fixed telephone lines, internet, and mobile phones • Profitability and revenue have remained constant, but the client is concerned about new market entrants (Verizon and AT&T, among others) • Interviewee should first walk through an analysis of where money is made in this business o After creating a profitability tree, ask where they see opportunities to increase revenue 75 Case 7: Pacific Northwest Telco Exhibit 1 Potential bundling options 4X bundle Feature 3X bundle Price / month Components 2x bundle Price / month Components Bundled: Bundled: Internet Internet Price / month Phone line $ Cable Internet $ 75 Phone line $ 25 Cable $ 100 $ 75 150 150 Cable 185 Unbundled: Cable Unbundled: Cell phone Cell phone 54 months Price / month Unbundled: Internet $ Components Bundled: $ Phone line No Bundle $ Phone line $ 25 Cell phone 75 Cell phone $ 75 36 months 42 months 30 months Average customer life 76 Case 7: Pacific Northwest Telco Interviewer Guidance, continued • Push the interviewee to create 6-8 ideas for the client to increase revenue after presenting their profitability analysis. Continue to ask “what else?” Continue to push for a few minutes, even if they are stumped • If the interviewee suggested bundling products say, “the client liked your suggestion of beginning to bundle products, and has conducted the following analysis. They would like you to tell them which of the following bundles would be most likely to achieve their goals.” Show them Exhibit 1 • If the interview did not suggest bundling, say “The client believes that beginning to bundle products will increase revenue and customer retentions rates, and has conducted the following analysis. They would like you to tell them which of the following bundles would be most likely to achieve their goals.” Show them Exhibit 1 • See appendix 1 for explanation of exhibit and required calculations Recommendation • The interviewee should recommend that the client begin offering / promoting the 4 bundle product: fulfills goal of increased revenue and customer retention 77 Case 7: Pacific Northwest Telco Performance Evaluation • What does the case test? o Basic profitability analysis of telecom industry o Opportunities to increase revenue when costs are not a concern o Basic math and exhibit comprehension • What should good interviewee be doing/asking/providing throughout the case? o Should have a solid profitability analysis o Should ask about products offered by client o Should provide accurate answers to mental math on Exhibit 1 o Should be able to understand exhibit 1 without asking too many clarifying questions • Provide examples of what exceptional interviewees are doing throughout this case. o Excellent interviewees will ask about product mix without prompting and will mention the fact that they know there has been a lot of consolidation (M&A) and product line expansion in this industry o Should be able to come up with ideas on demand until the interviewer provides the bundling suggestion - Coming up with the bundling idea should not be expected o Ideal candidate would ask about cannibalization / opportunity size (even though it’s not relevant) 78 Case 7: Pacific Northwest Telco Exhibit 1 Explanation 4X bundle Feature 3X bundle Price / month Components Bundled: 2x bundle Price / month Components Bundled: Internet Internet Price / month $ Cable Internet $ 75 Phone line $ 25 Cable $ 100 $ 75 150 150 Cable 185 Unbundled: Cable Unbundled: Cell phone Cell phone 54 months Price / month Unbundled: Internet Phone line $ Components Bundled: $ Phone line No Bundle $ Phone line $ 25 Cell phone 75 Cell phone $ 75 42 months 36 months 30 months Average customer life Total value: 9990 9450 9000 8250 Interviewee should realized that lifetime value is the key here. Therefore monthly revenue should be multiplied by average customer life. Assume client buys all 4. Also, cannibalization and market size should not be considered 79 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 8 – THE EVERYTHING RETAILER 81 Case 8: The Everything Retailer Deloitte Case Writing Competition Finalist Prompt A mass retailer Everything Retailer is seeing stagnating growth in its year-over-year sales. You were brought in to identify the issue and propose ways to boost sales growth. Behavioral Questions • Describe a time you were confronted with a failure or an obstacle at your job, and how you handled it. • Describe a time you exercise creativity or outside-the-box thinking. Interviewer Guidance This starts as a broad case on strategy – there are many different ways the interviewee may want to proceed. Quantitative analysis begins when the interviewee identifies the need for a new store format. Bonus points if, at the end, the interviewee mentions other risks and ways to mitigate them. Additional information: • Large US retailer (think Walmart) with an extensive network of big-box discount stores across the US. • Sales growth slowed to 1-2%, while industry is growing at 3%. Client’s target: double-digit “comp sales” growth. • If asked about any increases in costs, say no. This is irrelevant. 82 Case 8: The Everything Retailer Analysis 1) Ask the interviewee to identify the source of Everything Retailer’s problem by presenting data on sales from Everything Retailer • Show Exhibit 1 Recommendation Some potential sources of flat growth that the interviewee may mention are: • New competitors, especially e-commerce as consumers shift away from big-box stores to shopping online – tell him/her that this is an interesting additional consideration, but steer him/her away from delving into this. • Big-box stores’ product assortment – no longer as relevant to the customers shopping in those stores. • Macroeconomic factors – recession and decrease in consumers’ disposable income. Exhibit 1 shows that stores are now opening faster than the sales are increasing. Thus, the current store format has reached its maximum penetration, and sales are flat. • Need to tap into a new customer segment. 83 Case 8: The Everything Retailer Exhibit 1 Everything Retailer's Historical Sales ($M) and Number of Stores 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 - 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 # of Stores Sales ($M) 84 Case 8: The Everything Retailer Analysis 2) In proposing ways to grow sales, interviewee may have (MECE): • International – expand overseas (build stores or M&A or Joint Venture) – steer interviewee away. • Domestic o Grow current big-box store sales – steer interviewee away – current stores have the optimal product mix and locations for big-box retailer. o Reach new customer: - Product – go up-market or down-market to target more affluent or less affluent shoppers. Good point, but steer interviewee away. - Format – say that the client has piloted 3 formats and show Exhibit 2 Recommendation Entering the grocery market with “Local Market” stores represent the biggest revenue opportunity. Ask the interviewee what analysis he/she would need to do next. What analysis and factors should Everything Retailer consider in deciding whether to go ahead with opening Local Markets? 85 Case 8: The Everything Retailer Exhibit 2 Format Description Competitors Market (FY2015) Expected market share Local Market Grocery store + pharmacy Kroger, Safeway, regional grocers $620B 30% MiniBox Same product assortment as bigbox stores, but much smaller size Big-box stores on college campuses, with some assortment tailored to students’ shopping habits Dollar stores, convenience stores $106B 60% Campus Companion Depends on location N/A (urban vs. college town) N/A 86 Case 8: The Everything Retailer Analysis 3) Use a simple NPV analysis to determine whether Everything Retailer should go ahead with opening Local Markets. Show Exhibit 3 and ask to calculate NPV. Give formula, if needed: NPV = ∑ (FCFt)/(1+WACC)^t Assume market growth rate of 0% annually Exhibit 3 Guidance Year 0 Market share Revenue Costs $6.25M *1,000 stores = $6.25B Discount rate (WACC) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 10% 20% 30% $62,000,000,000 $124,000,000,000 $186,000,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $4,000,000,000 $8,000,000,000 10% 10% 10% FCF ($6,250,000,000) $61,000,000,000 $120,000,000,000 $178,000,000,000 FCFt/(1+WACC)t ($6,250,000,000) $55,454,545,455 $99,173,553,719 $133,734,034,560 NPV $282,112,133,734 * Acceptable for Interviewee to round numbers Recommendation Ask the interviewee whether the client should undertake this venture. The answer should be “Yes” since it is NPV-positive. 87 Case 8: The Everything Retailer Exhibit 3 NPV of building 1,000 Local Market stores Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 10% 20% 30% ? ? ? $1M per store to maintain $4M per store to maintain $8M per store to maintain Discount rate (WACC) 10% 10% 10% (1+WACC)t 1.10 1.21 1.33 Market share Revenue Costs $6.25M per store to build FCF ? ? ? ? FCFt/(1+WACC)t ? ? ? ? NPV ? 88 Case 8: The Everything Retailer Performance Evaluation • This case tests the interviewee's ability to consider the client (which is a huge and mature big-box retailer), and hone in on the fact that the current store format has reached its optimal penetration, and that a new format strategy is needed. • Interviewee will also suggest a basic NPV analysis as a way to evaluate whether Everything Retailer should build Local Market stores. • A good interviewee will have a MECE approach for exploring the levers to grow sales growth, and in his/her Recommendation and Next Steps slide, will also include risks such as: o Competitors – other brick-and-mortar grocers – can be mitigated if Everything Retailer leverages its economies of scale to maintain a price leadership position on the products in in its Local Markets, thus differentiating itself from other grocery chains. o Competitors – e-commerce, like Fresh Direct or AmazonFresh – can be mitigated by a move into e-commerce. o Cannibalization of grocery sales from existing big-box stores, which also carry groceries. Can be offset by offering a different grocery assortment in its big-box stores versus its Local Markets. o Overcoming a brand perception of quality that can be an obstacle to winning grocery customers’ trust – can be mitigated by spinning off Local Markets as a separate brand. 89 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 9 – GEE & GEE’S HOUSE OF BRANDS 91 Case 9: Gee & Gee’s House of Brands Prompt A large CPG company “Gee & Gee” is looking to shed half of its brands in an effort to boost growth, simplify its operations, be more nimble, and cut costs. How do you decide which brands to eliminate in order for Gee & Gee to reach its growth targets? What are the additional considerations that the client should be aware of? Behavioral Questions • What achievement are you most proud of? Why? • Describe a time you faced a conflict in a team, and the outcome. Interviewer Guidance The client is looking to exit any industry or brand that it does not have a market leadership position in. Make sure the interviewee grasps this motivation, and it informs his/her analysis of which brands to eliminate. Bonus points for the interviewee who appreciates why the client is willing to cull its brand portfolio – in order to become more nimble in responding to consumer trends. Additional information: • The client is a large, multinational CPG company (think P&G, Unilever), with ~$6B in annual sales. • Assume a 10-brand portfolio spanning beauty, personal care products, baby care, cleaning supplies, pet food, etc. Client wants to shed 5 brands. • If asked about any increases in costs, say there has been nothing unusual, but that Gee & Gee will benefit from eliminating the costs associated with maintaining “unproductive” brands. 92 Case 9: Gee & Gee’s House of Brands Analysis 1) How would you choose which 5 brands to divest from the 10-brand portfolio? Show Chart 1. • Are some metrics more important or relevant to Gee & Gee than others? • Reiterate that size of the business may not matter – a billion-dollar in sales brand can go on the chopping block if Gee & Gee does not have a market leadership position in that space. Recommendation The interviewee’s criteria for which brands to eliminate should be similar to the criteria he/she will see in Chart 1. The interviewee should point out the following observations from Chart 1: • Top 5 brands are bringing in ~80% of sales revenue. • Quickly identify the obvious market leaders for Gee & Gee (Warrior Two Detergent, Triangle Diapers) across all the metrics. • Acknowledge the trade-offs of eliminating smaller brands that may be higher-margin, have strong brand equity, or give Gee & Gee access to a certain retail channel. • Interviewee does not need to calculate the annual profit of each brand; he/she can just point to the trade-off inherent in divesting smaller brands that may have with higher margins. • Pet food is probably not strategic fit with CPG’s overall focus on personal care products. The client might look into eliminating (and give the rationale): 1. Downward-Facing Dog Food – does not have a market leadership position. 2. Bird of Paradise Feed – does not have a market leadership position. 3. Headstand Hair Color – relatively small annual sales and low consumer brand perception, despite being high-margin. 4. Soapvasana – relatively small annual sales and low margin, but strong consumer brand perception. 5. Sun Salutations Soak – relatively small annual sales and low consumer brand perception. The interviewee should name some risks associated with divesting each of these brands, such as: • An exit from the Pet food market means there is less portfolio diversification for Gee & Gee – and Downward-Facing Dog Food is a large brand in terms of annual sales. 93 Case 9: Gee & Gee’s House of Brands Exhibit 1 Gee & Gee’s Brand Portfolio Category Annual sales Profit margin Gee & Gee’s market share Consumer perception* Beauty $980M 18% 2nd 3 Personal care $110M 12% 4th 4 Baby care $660M 22% 3rd 4 Cleaning supplies $415M 14% 2nd 3 Pet food $915M 27% 4th 2 Personal care $125M 29% 5th 3 Baby care $1.05B 33% 2nd 4 Cleaning supplies $1.150B 19% 1st 5 Bird of Paradise Feed Pet food $230M 26% 3rd 3 Headstand Hair Color Personal care $190M 36% 5th 2 Brand Upward-Facing Wash Soapvasana Happy Baby Shampoo Cat Cow Cleaner Downward-Facing Dog Food Sun Salutations Soak Triangle Diapers Warrior Two Detergent * A proxy for brand equity, measured on a scale of 1-5, where 1 is perceived as the as cheapest and lowest-tier brand in that market, 5 as the highest-tier brand. 94 Case 9: Gee & Gee’s House of Brands Analysis 2) After proposing to sell the 5 brands identified in Chart 1, if the interviewee does not dive into next steps, prompt him/her to discuss: • How to calculate the sale price? • How to evaluate potential buyers? Recommendation Calculate the sale price – interviewee can suggest a Discounted Cash Flow analysis or a Comparables analysis. Potential buyers are: • Other CPG firms • Pro: Less aggressive in price negotiations than PE firms • Con: May become more competitive vis-à-vis Gee & Gee; may end up leveraging Gee & Gee brands’ retail channels or hiring Gee & Gee employees • PE firms specializing in turning around “orphaned” CPG brands • Pro: Do not directly compete with Gee & Gee • Con: Traditionally, aggressive in extracting value from the deal 95 Case 9: Gee & Gee’s House of Brands Analysis 3) Suppose Gee & Gee divests the 5 brands you identified. Propose a strategy that will drive company growth post brandrationalization. Recommendation This prompt is broad, and tests the interviewee’s ability to tackle ambiguity in a structured way. Interviewee may suggest levers for growth such as: • Appeal to new customer segments in the same distribution channels: • Demographic trends – brands that target Baby Boomer or Millennials, which are growing segments • Social-economic segmentation – for example, grow Gee & Gee’s market share in premium or all-natural products • Look for new distribution channels: • Brick-and-mortar – undertake co-branding campaigns with major big-box retailers; pharmacies; Costco/Sam’s Club • E-commerce – grow Gee & Gee’s market share in Amazon.com, Soap.com 96 Case 9: Gee & Gee’s House of Brands Performance Evaluation This case tests the interviewee’s ability to: • Sift through a lot of information quickly and ignore the extraneous data. • Put him/herself “in the client’s shoes” as the CPG client undergoes the process of brand rationalization, and refreshes its growth strategy (intentionally ambiguous prompt). A good interviewee will drive the case after the 5 brands are eliminated, discussing the potential buyers and the growth strategy, and will deliver a Recommendation and Next Steps slide that succinctly ties the whole case together. 97 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 10 – GOING GREEN 99 Case 10: Going Green Deloitte Case Writing Competition 3rd Place Behavioral Questions • • Describe a time a teammate was not pulling their weight. What did you do about it? What three things would your previous supervisor identify as your areas of improvement? Prompt Over the last few years some states have legalized medical marijuana sales on a prescription basis, and some have even legalized recreational use. The cultivation and sales of marijuana most often take place in small storefronts called dispensaries. In most states, limits have been created on how many dispensaries are allowed to exist at any one time. Your client, North Carolina Tobacco Company, made $8 Billion in revenue and $2 Billion in profits last year, but has seen declining use of cigarettes in the United States, which currently makes up 25% of its total revenue and profit. NC Tobacco is considering moving into the recreational marijuana market. What should they do? Assume that federal regulations are not a concern in this case. 100 Case 10: Going Green Interviewer Guidance Provide if requested: • Global use of tobacco has not declined and is even increasing in some areas • NC Tobacco currently grows and processes cigarette/tobacco products, which are then sold to retailers • Dispensaries grow, process and sell their own products directly to consumers • NC Tobacco is interested in diversifying their portfolio of products • NC Tobacco is normally focused on long-term profitability, but because this is a very new market they aren’t completely sure what other considerations they should be thinking about • NC Tobacco only interested in entering the recreational market, not the medical marijuana market A good candidate will recognize that this is a market entry question. The framework can include: • Market: Market Size, barriers to entry, consumer profile • Entry: Buy, Build, Partner • Economics: Costs, Revenue, synergies with cigarette business, product mix, • Risks: underdeveloped market, PR risk, vertical integration in marijuana value chain, cannibalization, detracting from core business 101 Case 10: Going Green Prompt NC Tobacco is interested in Washington and Colorado, which are two states that have legalized recreational use of marijuana. What is the potential market size in Washington and Colorado? Interviewer Guidance Guide the candidate toward a top-down approach. Provide the following information if requested: • • • • • • Colorado Population: 5 Million Colorado Population that smokes: 15% Washington Population: 7 Million Washington Population that smokes: 10% Number of grams consumed per week: 1 Price per gram (assume this is the equivalent of 1 marijuana cigarette): $15 Candidate should lay out information requested on an organized chart or data table. Analysis Washington Market size: $15/gram * 50 grams/yr * 7M people * 10% = $525 M Colorado Market Size: $15/gram *50 grams/yr * 5M people * 15% = $562.5 M Candidate should note a fairly large market size relative to current NC Tobacco profits, and a relatively larger market size in Colorado. 102 Case 10: Going Green Prompt Now that NC Tobacco understands the market size, how should they enter the market? Interviewer Guidance The candidate should analyze the cost/benefits for buy, build or partner. Guide them to the primary analysis of buy or build, if they don’t arrive there quickly. If candidate inquires about JV, assume NC Tobacco wants full control of the process. The candidate should approach this in a structured way that analyzes the positives and negatives of each. Utilizing a table is one way to facilitate this: Analysis Strategy Buy Build Benefits • Quick to ramp up and capitalize on first mover advantage Utilize local expertise Few states have marijuana cigarettes so easy to consolidate Utilize local brand recognition • • • Easier to build culture Few consolidated competitors means less competition Similar products may allow ease of entrance into market Integration into new company Scattered, independent operators may make consolidation challenging Financing may be challenging for marijuana dispensary purchases • Limited licenses distributed restrict ability to build from scratch Time to grow plants, establish brand name and sell may take too long – other competitors may enter • • • Disadvantages • • • • Recommendation Candidate should recall limited amount of licenses distributed and recognize that building would be more difficult. Client should buy rather than build. 103 Case 10: Going Green Prompt Which market should NC Tobacco enter, if any? How would you determine this? Interviewer Guidance Guide the candidate towards an NPV analysis to determine of the value of purchased dispensaries to NC Tobacco. Once they have asked for financial information, provide Exhibit 1. The first step of this analysis is to determine the revenue for each individual dispensary. Candidate should recognize that they require the number of individual dispensaries in each state. See below for information – individual revenue numbers are on interviewer copy of Exhibit 1. • Total number of dispensaries in Colorado: 100 • Total number of dispensaries in Washington: 200 One they calculate the individual revenue, the candidate should begin pursuing an NPV valuation with the data at hand. Provide the following information upon request. • • • • • Total number of dispensaries in Colorado available for sale: 10 Estimated purchase price of each Colorado dispensary: $4M Total number of dispensaries in Washington available for sale: 30 Estimated purchase price of each Washington dispensary: $1.5M Discount rate: 10% (assume the NPV is in perpetuity) NOTE: Candidate should recognize that NC Tobacco can only purchase a portion of the dispensaries in each market. Guide the candidate towards this realization if not acknowledged or questioned when they arrive at that part of the calculation. 104 Case 10: Going Green Exhibit 1 Estimated Income Statement for a Future NC Tobacco Dispensary Colorado Washington Revenue ? ? Cost of Goods Sold $2,175,000 $1,050,000 Overhead $1,100,000 $450,000 Salary $525,000 $375,000 105 Case 10: Going Green Exhibit 1: Interviewer Guidance Estimated Income Statement for a Future NC Tobacco Dispensary Colorado Washington Revenue $5,625,000 $2,625,000 Cost of Goods Sold $2,175,000 $1,050,000 Overhead $1,100,000 $450,000 Salary $525,000 $375,000 106 Case 10: Going Green Analysis Colorado Washington Market Size $562,500,000 $525,000,000 # of Dispensaries 100 200 Revenue/Dispensary $5,625,000 $2,625,000 Cost of Goods Sold ($2,175,000) ($1,050,000) Overhead ($1,100,000) ($450,000) Salary ($525,000) ($375,000) CF/store $1,825,000 $750,000 # of stores available for purchase 10 30 Total CF/Store $18,250,000 $22,500,000 Discount Rate 10% 10% DCF of purchased stores $182,500,000 $225,000,000 Cost to purchase 1 store Cost to purchase available stores ($4,000,000) ($40,000,000) ($1,500,000) ($45,000,000) NPV $142,500,000 $180,000,000 Recommendation A good candidate will immediately note the higher NPV for Washington over Colorado. An excellent candidate will realize that both are viable options due to the positive NPV.. 107 Case 10: Going Green Prompt The CEO of NC Tobacco is walking in the door, and is interested in seeing what you have discovered. Interviewer Guidance Candidate should provide a conclusion clearly identifying the recommendation, along with the risks associated with the strategy. Recommended action would be to move forward with purchase of both Colorado and Washington dispensaries due to NPV, but the candidate can make a case for either moving forward or for not purchasing as long as sufficient support is provided. After the candidate completes their conclusion, test the candidates poise by pushing back with a few contrary points, some of which are listed on the following page. 108 Case 10: Going Green Analysis Potential rationale for moving forward with purchase: • Positive NPV • Higher profit margin than cigarettes • First mover advantage • Potential high-growth market as more states legalize • Synergistic opportunities in supply chain, marketing, etc. • New (and highly loyal) customer base • Cigarettes potentially inviable for long term Potential rationale for not continuing: • NPV relatively small • Potential variability in projected vs. actual income statement estimates • Potentially low estimate of purchase price (given low NPV/store) • Potential first mover disadvantage – (i.e. free rider problem) • Negative PR for getting in ‘drug’ business • Potential substitution of cigarette sales • Potential consumer distaste for ‘big business’ • Problems with financing (banks don’t want to finance due to risks associated with Marijuana) • Cigarette sales still strong abroad – focus on international opportunities • NC Tobacco moving into unfamiliar part of value chain (retail in addition to manufacturing) 109 Case 10: Going Green Performance Evaluation • This case tests the candidate’s ability to: o Work through complicated math o Develop structured approaches to problems o Recall key facts discussed earlier in the case o Understand key factors that drive market entry and M&A cases o Make a recommendation in the face of ambiguous information o Remain professional in a business case that may otherwise encourage individuals to lose their professionalism • Good interviewees will: o Will have an understanding where the case is going throughout o Have 1-2 math errors but recovers appropriately o Displays good ability to utilize public math o Creates basic MECE structure (bucketed approach, etc.) to analyze problems o Provides conclusion with support o Provides a recommendation after analysis with 3-4 potential risk factors o Maintains professional composure throughout • Exceptional interviewees will o Drive the case forward throughout with hypothesis based inquiry o Have 0 math errors o Will maintain composure throughout the math o Add creative ideas to qualitative analysis o Addresses prompts with advanced matrices or analytical structures that show depth of thinking and organization o Is engaging, displays interest in the subject and has appropriate body posture and presence o Provides a strong, efficient, concise recommendation with at least 4-5 risk factors. 110 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 11 – ALLHEALTHY CRM 112 Case 11: AllHealthy CRM Prompt Your client, AllHealthy, is one of the largest health plans in the United States with over 30,000 employees. They are facing drastic changes in the health care industry. Healthcare reforms have pushed AllHealthy to pursue a route of customer-centric strategies. To remain competitive with the raise of Health Care Exchanges, your client has decided to implement a Client Relationship Management (CRM) system in order to enhance the customer and employee experience. Currently, contact center associates have no visibility into customer call history. When a customer calls with a follow up question, new cases are created in AllHealthy’s legacy CRM system instead of being attached to the original case. Additionally, when calls are transferred, the next associate does not the previous call history and must re-ask demographic and issue questions. This process decreases customer satisfaction and leads to re-work and decreased productivity for contact center associates. You are the change management lead for the new CRM system adoption project. AllHealthy wants to understand how you will help them prepare their business for this large scale change. There are several questions and considerations they want you to address in your plan: Who are the stakeholders? How will you communicate to these stakeholders? What are the change issues and how will you address them? How will you measure success? Interviewer Guidance Note: Human Capital cases are intended to be carried in a conversational manner. They may take multiple different routes and have multiple acceptable answers. The candidate should not abandon the use of a framework. The focus of this case is on the approach needed to mange the proposed changes in the organization. 113 Case 11: AllHealthy CRM Analysis Who are the stakeholders? How will you communicate to these stakeholders? • Stakeholders: Leadership, contact center associates, customers, and rest of organization • Consider how the organization currently receive communications and leverage current policies and procedures. • Identify change champions and change agents, some of which may serve as super-users for the IT adoption project • Videos can provide context to the reasons why the new CRM system creates greater value for stakeholders • Ask for honest and open feedback through anonymous surveys What are the change issues and how will you address them? • Leadership alignment: While top leadership may want the new CRM system, leadership throughout all levels should be engaged. The reasons for the change must be explained and understood by all stakeholders as well as how they will be rewarded. • Buy-in: Change is always met with resistance. Employees need to see that leadership is aligned and are all behind the new CRM system. Change agent networks should be set up and provided with speaking points to engage the rest of the organization. • Communications: Mistrust and resistance is rampant when employees do not know that change is coming. Clear, consistent, and early communications plans help to facilitate feedback and manage negative perceptions. • Training: While employees may undergo training, the main consideration here is adoption. The training must be concise, yet thorough. It must take into account knowledge gaps, competency tests, and continued use post deployment. • Incentives: Employees are more likely to adopt if there is an established benefit or incentive for the new system. Design and implement or tie the adoption to Performance Management. How do you measure success? Determine a collective, measurable set of success metrics at the onset of the project from the perspective of leadership, customers, and contact center associates. Examples include: • 75% employees trained, logged in, and using new system by the end of the deployment • Greater customer satisfaction on surveys relating to call quality • Enhance employee satisfaction, adoption, and productivity through surveys and call metrics like call issue resolution time, open issue past due, etc 114 Case 11: AllHealthy CRM Performance Evaluation The case tests candidates’ ability to critically think about IT adoption projects from the lens of a Human Capital practitioner. Expected: The candidate will recognize that the CRM project will affect the entire organization and will touch on the major points mentioned. Good: The candidate will touch on the major points mentioned and also provide his/her analysis in a structured framework. Excellent: The candidate will thoroughly discuss the major components of change management in a thoughtful and structured framework. The candidate will show an in-depth understanding of Human Capital concepts and be able to prioritize change management issues. Behavioral Questions • Tell me about a weakness that you have turned into a strength. • Tell me about a failed client interaction and how you have grown from that experience. 115 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 12 – COYOTES 117 Case 12: Coyotes Deloitte Case Writing Competition Winner Prompt #1 Your client is the American Southwest Preservation Trust (ASPT). The trust is a non-profit organization tasked with promoting conservation & eco-tourism in the American Southwest. One of the biggest tourist draws is local fauna, particularly coyotes. The coyote population has declined significantly from historical levels. The Trust requests your help to figure out why & what it should do. Behavioral Questions • If your C-LEAD teammates had to describe your biggest point for improvement, what would it be and why? • Can you tell me about a time when you handled an especially sensitive or high-risk assignment or project? Case Guidance This case is geared towards challenging brainstorming and frameworking skills, while at the same time honing public math and analytical skills. It simulates cases which have uncommon or unanticipated structural elements, and may be especially appropriate for individuals who need practice building creative frameworks. Interviewer Guidance – Prompt Q&A Provide the additional information if requested: • Coyotes are medium size canine carnivores (between a fox and a wolf) native to the American Southwest. • Coyote populations were historically stable until recently. Only 10,000 coyotes exist today down from 25,000. • Geographically, only consider the area administered by the trust. • No other fauna or flora have been impacted as much. 118 Case 12: Coyotes Interviewer Guidance: Framework Species loss is a not a common framework, and so be prepared to iterate by asking “what else.” Quality frameworks should include at least the following “buckets” or “nodes” (for those who use trees): - Environmental factors (pollution, climate change, species migration) - Dietary factors (number of predators, number of prey, availability of water) - Human-generated factors (hunting, poaching, habitat loss) - Disease and Genetics Award brownie points for additional creative ideas. Steer the candidate gradually towards human-generated factors (habitat loss and hunting). Have the candidate brainstorm for a few minutes how habitat loss would impact the species, especially given that other factors haven’t changed significantly with time (prey availability, water, hunting, etc). A strong candidate may immediately guess changing birth rates, fertility, and the availability of finding partners. Regardless of whether the candidate gets to this or not, steer the candidate by issuing the next prompt (below). Prompt #2 – For Analysis The client is likewise concerned by the impact of development and interactions with man on the coyote population, and wants to understand the expected impact on the population this year. ASPT has provided a few demographic details they have on the coyote population in the area (Exhibits A and B). 119 Case 12: Coyotes Exhibit A: Habitat Loss The coyote population is currently split into three groups (shown by silver clouds) following the construction of highways (black lines) and cities (yellow dots). Group B Group oup A Group C Gr 120 Case 12: Coyotes Exhibit B: Group Statistics The following table shows estimated demographics by group Group Percent of Total Pop Percent Male Percent Female Hunting Licenses A 40 60 40 800 B 20 35 65 200 C 40 90 10 400 121 Case 12: Coyotes Interviewer Guidance: Exhibits and Analysis Part 1 From the exhibits, the candidates should point out links between groups, unequal gender sizes, and different numbers of hunting licenses for similarly sized territories. The candidate should grasp that the overall goal of the analysis is to find out how populations are changing. The first step is finding out the current number of coyotes in each group by gender. The total population should have been asked for during the Q&A portion. If the candidate did not get to it then, provide the number now (10,000). The first step is to break out the 10k by each group by gender. If the candidate doesn’t think of this, steer them towards it. Some candidates may try to jump towards calculating births and deaths, in which case they guessed the missing steps (see next section), but have them work out the calculations by gender and group first. Analysis Part 1 – Solution The candidate should arrive at the following numbers (series of multiplications) needed for the second part. Group Percent of Total Pop Number of Coyotes Number of Male Number of Female A 40 4000 2400 1,600 B 20 2000 700 1,300 C 40 4000 3600 400 122 Case 12: Coyotes Interviewer Guidance: Analysis Part 2 Let the candidate drive the continuation of the analysis. If the candidate is lost, ask them how they would calculate the change in coyotes every year. The general equation they should arrive at: Change in coyotes for this year = Number Born in this year – Number Died in this year. Focus them on calculating the change for this year! Several pieces of information have been deliberately withheld from the candidate. A perceptive candidate will ask for them: • Litter size: This is the number of coyotes born to each pregnant female. Assume 2 pups/litter. • Gestation period: Assume coyotes breed once per year. • Partner fidelity: Assume that coyotes are monogamous (meaning that once a male coyote has impregnated one female coyote, he will not impregnate another female coyote). • Availability or % Mate: Not all coyotes will breed each year. Assume that only 40% of potential pairs birth a litter each year. • The candidate should notice that hunting isn’t the only cause of death. Assume that all other deaths are natural and the death rate is 10% (applies to adults only – use beginning population and don’t include pups). • Assume that hunting deaths happen at the end of the year, and hence so is cumulative with the natural deaths. Other questions that the candidate could ask: • What are the frequency of hunting licenses? Answer: annual • How many coyotes does a license permit to be killed? Answer: one • Can both males and females be hunted? Answer: yes • Do all hunting licenses get used? Answer: assume yes Lastly, because of the monogamous nature of coyotes, the candidate should pick up on the fact that the lesser occurring gender in each territory is the limiting factor on births. 123 Case 12: Coyotes Analysis Part 2 – Solution The candidate should arrive at the following numbers. The equations for getting them are: # of Births: # of Pairs * % Mate * Birth Rate # of Deaths: (Beginning Population – Hunting Deaths) * Natural Death Rate Note that calculating Deaths as “(Beginning Population * Natural Death Rate) + Hunting Deaths” wrongfully assumes that none of the hunted coyotes would have died naturally if they had not been hunted Group Limiting Gender # of Pairs % Mate Birth Rate # of Births A Female 1600 40% 2 1,280 B Male 700 40% 2 560 C Female 400 40% 2 320 Group Beg. Population Hunting Deaths Natural Deaths # of Deaths A 4,000 800 320 1,120 B 2,000 200 180 380 C 4,000 400 360 760 124 Case 12: Coyotes Advanced Conclusions from Analysis A very perceptive candidate should notice: • The decline is gradual (only 100 coyotes per year). Hence the historical number of 25k must either imply a long time ago or a large drop due to other circumstances. • The C population group will be gone in approximately 10 years, or even sooner if females are hunted or die disproportionately. • The other groups should grow if hunting and natural deaths affect both genders equally and at present rates. • Overall, coyotes are likely to remain in the Southwest. Group Total Births Total Deaths Total Change A 1,280 1,120 160 B 560 380 180 C 320 760 -440 Total 2,160 2,260 -100 125 Case 12: Coyotes Prompt #3 (if time) ASPT is considering lobbying for a reduction in hunting licenses. How would you design a proposed reduction, and what information would you use to support it? Interviewer Guidance: The candidate should hopefully mention some of the bullet points under the advanced analysis section if they have gotten to this point. If not, spend some time with the analysis results and ask the candidate what they imply. Afterwards, redirect the candidate towards the topic of hunting licenses. Ask if hunting licenses are really the issue. If after the candidate struggles for a few minutes, they are still lost, point out that more hunting licenses were issued for Group A rather than C, even though the groups were the same size. This should mean that Group A should not be sustainable, while Group C should be growing. However, the reality is exactly the opposite. Ask the candidate why? The candidate should quickly zero in on two potential culprits: • The gender ratio in Group A v. Group C • The percentage that mate Since the percentage that mate (and other factors) are constant, the gender ratio must be the key. Once the candidate realizes this, proceed to the recommendation portion of the case. 126 Case 12: Coyotes Recommendation Recommendations should include: • Overall, the population of coyotes is not at risk. o One group of coyotes (Group C) will die out within 10 years, if no interventions are attempted. • ASPT can help rescue or foster coyote population growth by: o Evening out the gender ratio between populations by building wildlife bridges, transplanting coyotes, etc. o Helping coyotes locate each other and increasing the mating pair percentage. o Increasing fertility levels (# of pups/pair) using medical techniques. • (For those who made it to Prompt #3) The ASPT should not invest significant resources in a legislative battle against hunting licenses if licenses are maintained at the current levels. o That said, a temporary hunting ban in Group C would likely help as an effort is made to stabilize the female population 127 Case 12: Coyotes Performance Evaluation • What does the case test? This case involves a non-traditional framework, extensive “public math,” and a logic puzzle with clearly identifiable missing pieces. This makes this a fairly all-around good practice case. However, it is especially appropriate for individuals that need practice with being creative with frameworks or figuring out withheld pieces of a puzzle. Expected: The candidate’s framework may have missing elements, but should be MECE. The candidate is able to brainstorm ideas for species loss, and perhaps habitat loss. Once provided with the framework elements, the candidate is able to proceed to and solve Analysis – Part 1. The candidate may get stuck with Analysis Part 2 and will probably not get all the way through it and to Prompt #3. Recommendations are likely to be primarily around the framework and exhibit observations. Good: The candidate creates a complete MECE framework, and is able to brainstorm ideas for habitat loss. The candidate does a good job noticing the hunting licenses, gender ratios, and groups in the exhibits. With minimal direction, the candidate is able to solve Analysis Part 1. The candidate makes it through Analysis Part 2 with minimal or moderate assistance and attempts to make advanced observations. The candidate probably won’t get to the third prompt. Recommendations from the analyses #1 and #2 should be correct, but are likely to be incomplete. Excellent: The candidate is undaunted by a uncommon framework, and comes up with a solid MECE framework. He or she is able to identify habitat loss, and provides interesting and creative brainstorming ideas. Analyses #1 and #2 are solved with minimal direction, and the candidate is able to make advanced observations. Analysis #3 is solved with minimal to moderate assistance, and recommendations are complete, clear, and concise. 128 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 13 – FERRY FOLLIES 130 Case 13: Ferry Follies Deloitte Case Writing Competition 2nd Place Prompt Your client is a Department of Transportation for a state in the northwestern United States. The Department of Transportation controls six modes of transportation: aviation, biking, ferries, rail, public transportation (e.g. busses), and walking. With budget cuts and rising energy costs projected for the coming fiscal year, your client evaluated each mode of transportation and determined that it must improve the financial performance of its ferries. The Department of Transportation has employed your firm to assess the current state of its ferry operations and recommend a strategic plan for improving financial performance. Behavioral Questions • Imagine that it is a Friday afternoon and you have just been given your new client assignment to begin on Monday morning. What steps will you take to prepare for your first day? What steps will you take when you arrive at the client site to get up to speed? • What type of teammate are you? Interviewer Guidance • Provide this information to the candidate if asked: o The client defines “improved financial performance” as increased profit margins. o The client wants to cut $70M from its annual budget after 2 years o There are 24 ferry vessels and 18 ferry terminals. The ferries are used by both commuters and tourists. o Over 20 million passengers travel on these ferries annually. • Note: Not all of this information is relevant to the case; a strong candidate will be able to assess what is salient. 131 Case 13: Ferry Follies Analysis • The candidate should ask about the measurement of financial performance. If they have not, encourage them to think through various ways to measure financial performance and guide them towards profit margin. • Prompt 1: Identify sources of cost and revenue for the Department of Transportation’s ferry system. Recommendation • These brainstorming questions test the candidate’s ability to think through the underpinnings of transportation operations. Encourage the candidate to be creative when brainstorming. • Answers may include but are not limited to: COST o Ferry Maintenance o Fuel o Employees: salaries, wages, benefits o Overhead (e.g. Executive, HR, Legal) o Marketing & Advertising o Weather Services REVENUE o Fares/Tickets o Advertising (e.g. promotions) o Corporate partnerships o Food and drink on board • Don’t hesitate to ask “what else” to push them. o For example, if they list “employees” as a source of cost, encourage them to think through categories of employees (DOT administrators, ferry captains, ferry crews, ticket office staff, etc.) • Strong candidates will identify that cost is a more salient option than revenue for improvement. 132 Case 13: Ferry Follies Analysis • Prompt 2: The client has decided to focus on cost control. Your consulting team investigated the cost structure of the ferries and identified four main cost buckets: diesel fuel, salaries & wages, overhead costs, and miscellaneous (e.g. dock fees and ferry maintenance). We know that: o Diesel fuel accounts for 1/3 of the client’s total ferry budget, which is $270 million o There are approximately 2000 employees with average salaries of $54,000 o Overhead is 20% of all costs Recommendation • This question tests the candidate’s ability to process ambiguous information, identify missing pieces, develop a clear understanding of the client’s cost structure, and perform accurate calculations. • Strong candidates will create a table to look at each of the four cost buckets and reach the following conclusions, remarking on the implications of each: Cost bucket Fuel Wages Overhead Miscellaneous TOTAL Percent of total cost 33% 40% 20% 7% 100% Total (in $M) 90.0 108.0 54.0 18.0 270.0 Calculations 33% of $270 2000 x 54k 20% of $270 Plug Given 133 Case 13: Ferry Follies Analysis • Prompt 3: Given the cost structure, the client would like your consulting team to determine if the targeted savings are feasible and identify potential areas for cost reduction. • Hint: What percentage cost reduction would be needed in order for the client to shed $70M from the ferry budget? Recommendation • Note: This question is intentionally ambiguous and tests the candidate’s ability to drive the case, handle ambiguity, and think logically under pressure. If needed, remind the candidate that the client aims to achieve $70M in savings in two years. • Calculation: $70M of $270M is approximately a 25% cut. • A strong candidate will: o A. Investigate the four major cost buckets and brainstorm solutions to each - Examples: Using alternative fuel sources other than diesel, explore staff reductions, pooling shared services across Department of Transportation divisions, better understand the “miscellaneous” cost bucket o B. Prioritize solutions that address the client’s primary cost centers - Diesel fuel and wages collectively account for over 3/4 of the client’s annual costs; solutions that address these highcost buckets are more likely to help the client achieve significant cost savings than solutions focused on overhead or miscellaneous costs o C. Determine if $70M in 2 years is feasible - $70M is a ~25% cost reduction in 2 years; this tests the candidate’s logical thinking o D. Create a recommendation - A strong recommendation will include an assessment of whether the client’s goal is feasible and specific actions the client may take to reach this goal AND/OR a suggested revision of the client’s goal – either should mention the targeted timeframe 134 Case 13: Ferry Follies Analysis • Prompt 4: The client has requested that you design an implementation strategy to achieve the targeted savings of $70M in 2 years. They have provided this additional information: • Switching from diesel to alternative fuel sources will cut fuel costs by 45% over the next two years • The client has told us they can accommodate the following labor reductions over the next two years: 10% cut of ferry captains, 500 cut administrative staff, 100 cut operational staff • Is the client’s $70M goal feasible? What potential hurdles or backlashes could results from these cuts? Recommendation • Provide this additional information if asked: # of Employees % of Total Drivers 50 2.50% Admin 1300 65.00% Operational 650 32.50% TOTAL 2000 100% • Calculations: Fuel Costs Diesel Gas Cost cut: Salary $110,000 $50,000 $58,000 $54,100 Total Wages $5,500,000 $65,000,000 $37,700,000 $108,200,000 Labor Costs Total Cost Cuts (Million) Total $90,000,000 GAS 40.5 Drivers $550,000 45% savings Labor 31.4 Admin $25,000,000 $40,500,000 Total: 71.9 Operational $5,800,000 $31,350,000 • The candidate should conclude that the client can reach the targeted $70M savings by implementing these recommendations. Risks include fuel contract renegotiation challenges and negative PR from laying off state government employees. • Request that the candidate articulate succinctly the recommendation, risks, and next steps as if presenting to a client. # 5 500 100 Salary $110,000 $50,000 $58,000 135 Case 13: Ferry Follies Performance Evaluation • This case tests the candidate’s ability to: o Understand the underpinnings of profit margins: - Determine appropriate measures of financial performance - Brainstorm sources of costs and revenue as they relate to profit margin and determine which area should be investigated o Determine what information is salient to “solve” the case - Employ critical thinking skills to weed through information o Think logically in ambiguity o Complete calculation quickly and accurately • A strong candidate will: o Hone quickly in on cost reduction o Handle the math of the cost table smoothly and without aid o Drive the case with little prompting by the interviewer • An exceptional candidate will o Transition between Prompt 2 and Prompt 3 without the interviewer asking the next question o Exhibit “what else” thinking and provide creative brainstorming o Create a logical, actionable, prioritized recommendation for the client with specific time parameters 136 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 14 – AUTODRIVERS 138 Case 14: AutoDrivers Prompt A large auto insurance company, AutoDrivers is exploring telematics and has identified whether OBD (On-Board Diagnostics) or a mobile solution is the right fit for them. Telematics is defined as the convergence of informatics and telecommunications to transmit data. Think about Fit Bit, On Star which collect and use data to deliver additional services to consumers. With Telematics, AutoDrivers can capture driving data and use it to better price insurance premiums. The company hopes that using telematics will enable it to enroll new customers and reverse its decline in market share. The company has hired you to identify which telematics strategy is the right fit for them. The company is also interested in understanding how it can increase its engagement with its customers and provide them additional services. Specifically they are interested in growing in states where AutoDrivers has a low brand perception. Behavioral Questions • Tell me a time when you encountered a challenging situation and how did you overcome it? • What are your areas of development? Interviewer Guidance This is a strategy case where the interviewee will identify the right strategy for AutoDrivers and help it select either the OBD approach or the mobile app approach. Additional Information 1) AutoDrivers is a medium size auto insurnace company operating mostly in NJ, PA and MD 2) AutoDrivers currently only offers auto insurance 139 Case 14: AutoDrivers Interviewer Guidance Continued 3) AutoDrivers had revenues of $300 M in 2013 and has seen a 5% slide in market share for each of the last 3 years 4) The US auto insurance industry as a whole had revenue of $3B in 2013 5) Major competitors of AutoDrivers are all currently exploring telematics options and operate in the same geographies as AutoDrivers 6) If interviewee asks about customer engagement then explain how insurance is a commoditized business and insurance companies are developing services (Competitions for safe drivers, teen-driving programs) to differentiate themselves from competitors and increase their engagement with their customers. Analysis Question 1 Ask the interviewee to identify what are the first steps that AutoDrivers should consider when deciding which telematics strategy to implement. Interviewer Guidance Expected response from the interviewee should consider several factors including, margin for OBD vs mobile solution, will AutoDrivers be able to implement in a timely manner, what are the technology considerations for AutoDrivers (Is this a product that will be developed inside the company or will AutoDrivers need to partner with another firm), what is competition doing A advanced response will also consider factors such as which options offers AutoDrivers the best way to increase customer engagement, what are some of the regulatory considerations and customer adoption rates. 140 Case 14: AutoDrivers Interviewer Guidance Continued After the interviewee has presented the initial framework, share Exhibit 1 with them Question 2 Which strategy should AutoDrivers select Exhibit 1 Guidance Based on the information presented in the Exhibit, the interviewee should calculate two data points 1) Potential Size of the Market • Correct Calculation should be as following • OBD potential customers are 1000 and with an adoption rate of 25%, OBD will enable AutoDrivers to enroll 250 new customers • Mobile solution potential customers are 1000 and with an adoption rate of 50%, mobile solution will enable AutoDrivers to enroll 500 new customers • After the interviewee has identified the size of potential new customers, the next step is to calculate the net profitability for both OBD and Mobile Solutions 2) Calculation of Profits (OBD) • OBD total fixed cost = $0.9 M • OBD variable costs are $OBD variable costs are $1400 • OBD revenue = $2000 • Margins = $2000 - $1400 = $600 • Net Profit = $600*250 customers - $0.9 M = $(0.75 M) • The right number of customers is 250 based on the adoption rate] 141 Case 14: AutoDrivers Exhibit 1 Guidance (Continued) 3) Calculation of Profits (Mobile Solution) • Mobile Solution total fixed cost $2 M • Mobile Solution variable costs are $OBD variable costs are $500 • Mobile Solution revenue = $5000 • Margins = $5000 - $500 = $4500 • Net Profit = $4500*500 customers - $2 M = $250,000 • [The right number of customers is 500 based on the adoption rate] 4) Based on the calculation of profitability, the interviewee should recommend that AutoDrivers choose the strategy of Mobile Solution Analysis Question 3 Ask the interviewee to identify what are some of the pros and cons of choosing the Mobile Solution. Ensure the interviewee does not focus on financial figures and thinks of several other reasons 142 Case 14: AutoDrivers Exhibit 1 OBD Mobile Solution Potential Customer Size for telematics 10000 20000 Potential Market Share 10% 5% Variable Marketing Cost per customer $400 $0 Variable Equipment Cost per customer $1000 $500 Revenue per customer $2000 $5000 Customer Adoption Rate 25% 50% Technology Development Partner with a firm in NJ Partner with a firm in China Cost of technology development $0.9 M $2 M • Expected over next 3 years 143 Case 14: AutoDrivers Interview Guidance for Question 3 A strong interviewee will identify the following factors when evaluating the pros and cons of the Mobile Solution Keep probing the interviewee until he or she has come up with a detailed list Pros of Mobile Solution Cons of Mobile Solution Ease of use. Customers will only download a Mobile App Reliability of data capture – Mobile technology is still under development High scalability for AutoDrivers Partnering with a firm in China could increase development lead time Updates to technology can be easily sent to customers Regulators could impose restrictions on collecting driving data via mobile phone Fits in with new customer demographics – Mobile, flexible Higher Cap Ex Mobile phone technology keeps improving at a high speed High speed to market A good interviewee will come up with a few pros and cons. Keep probing them until they have exhausted their list of responses. An excellent interviewee will show understanding of mobile platforms and applications and be able to identify advantages of having a mobile solution 144 Case 14: AutoDrivers Analysis Question 4 AutoDrivers has now requested your help to identify in which state they should pilot the Mobile Solution. What is the state for the AutoDrivers? Share Exhibit 2 with the interviewee 145 Case 14: AutoDrivers Exhibit 2 % of New Customers Interested in Telematics 35 40 25 NJ PA MD • New customers represent the customers who are considering signing up for a telematics program provided by Auto Drivers • Brand Perception is based on a customer survey comparing different auto insurance companies and how they are perceived in providing high customer engagement 146 Case 14: AutoDrivers Exhibit 2 (Continued) % Increase in Adoption Rates 20 15 10 5 0 Year 1 Year 2 NJ PA Year 3 MD • % of Adoption Rates is the number of customers who will continue signing up for AutoDrivers Mobile solution 147 Case 14: AutoDrivers Interview Guidance for Question 4 The interviewee should be able to identify that NJ has the highest % of new customers who might be interested in signing up for telematics and also has the highest brand perception for Auto Drivers. This seems to be an ideal state for Auto Drivers to launch its Mobile Solution. However the rate of increase in the adoption rate for NJ is lower than PA and may hurt AutoDrivers in its long-term strategy of reversing its slide in market share Since AutoDrivers wants to increase customer engagement i.e. provide more value-added services, PA represents the best option for AutoDrivers. The candidate should be able to tie back to the original prompt which indicated where AutoDrivers prefers to grow. Although it has low brand perception in the state, the Mobile Solution will give it opportunity to offer new features to its customers and increase customer engagement. The rate of increase in customer adoption is also the highest in PA which will enable AutoDrivers to enroll new customers. 148 Case 14: AutoDrivers Recommendation We anticipate running into the CEO in the cafeteria. What would you say to him? Interview Guidance for Recommendation An average response should be concise and structured. It should include why AutoDrivers should implement the Mobile Solution and what are some of the risks associated with implementing this solution. The interviewee should also identify which state they should pilot the program in Next steps An exceptional response should include the next steps for selecting the Mobile Solution and the state to pilot the program in. These can include developing a contract with the partner in China, ensuring that the partner can successfully develop the product in a timely manner, identifying the distribution channels for the Mobile Solution (Agents, Third-party vendors), selecting the right marketing strategy for the Mobile Solution and conducting a testing program to validate the solution. Risks for telematics • How to subside customer concerns over privacy • Potential barriers from regulators and state governments • Contingency plan if telematics does not succeed 149 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 15 – STEEL WORKS 151 Case 15: Steel Works Prompt A large steel manufacturing company based in Chicago called Steel Works has been facing some challenging times. They are facing pressure from competition who are stealing away customers by offering cheaper prices. Steel Works is currently exploring the option to shut down one of its three production units to consolidate operations and reduce its total operating costs. You have been asked to identify which production unit they should close down in order to reduce their total operating costs. Share with interviewee Exhibit 1 Behavioral Questions • Tell us about a time when you explored alternatives to a solution and how you went about choosing between the alternatives? • What is your most exemplary leadership experience? Interviewer Guidance This case tests the interviewee’s ability to digest information and identify a solution that reduces the overall operating cost for Steel Works. The interviewee will also be tested in his ability to identify synergies among the production units after a consolidation process. Additional Information 1) Steel Works is a global steel manufacturing company that has several operations in the US. 2) Its competitors include other major steel makers who offer similar products at lower prices 152 Case 15: Steel Works Interviewer Guidance 3) Steel Works recently hired a new CEO that is open to investing in new technology as long as overall operating costs can be reduced 4) Steel Works supplies products to several industries including aerospace, automotive, appliance makers, construction and roofing 5) Steel Works is operating in a growing steel market with a 5 Yr CAGR of 2.5% Analysis Question 1 What should Steel Works consider when choosing which production unit to close Interviewer Guidance Expected response from the interviewee should consider several factors including the following Production Costs Shipping Costs Process Capability and access to technology Potential investment required to accommodate increase in production How will the integration be planned and executed An exceptional response can also include the following Will testing be required for products being moved from one facility to the other If we reduce workforce, how will this affect the morale of the company 153 Case 15: Steel Works Exhibit 1 B A Direct Shipping Route via Canal Shipping Location To Lake Michigan Sparkling Water Canal Shipping Location Shipping Location Direct Shipping Route via Trucks C Direct Shipping Route via Canal Figure not drawn to scale A,B and C are the 3 production units of Steel Works Shipping is managed via road and canal Sparkling canal is expected to undergo a 50M revitalization project partially funded by Steel Works 154 Case 15: Steel Works Analysis Question 2 Can you come up with a new production plan for Steel Works and the impact on their total costs Share Exhibit 2 with the interviewee Interviewer Guidance The interviewee should be able to correctly identify the new production plan. The first step is calculating current production levels at each of the 3 production units. Based on the production capacity and utilization for the 3 production units, the candidate should correctly identify spare capacity available A B C Production Capacity 2 M tons 4 M tons 1 M tons Utilization 80% 90% 80% Actual Production 1.6 M tons 3.6 M tons 0.8 M tons Spare Capacity 0.4 M tons 0.4 M tons 0.2 M tons 155 Case 15: Steel Works Interviewer Guidance After the interviewee has identified the correct spare capacity, guide the interviewee to develop the new production plan for each production unit with the goal of closing 1 production unit A B C Production Capacity 2 M tons 4 M tons 1 M tons Utilization 80% 90% 80% Actual Production 1.6 M tons 3.6M tons 0.8 M tons Spare Capacity 0.4 M tons 0.4 M tons 0.2 M tons TRIP Steels 1.2 M tons 2.8 M tons 0 M tons Dual Phase Steels 0.5 M tons 0.7 M tons 0 M tons Complex Phase Steels 0.3 M tons 0.5 M tons 0 M tons New Production Plan 156 Case 15: Steel Works Exhibit 2 A B C Year Built 1965 1940 1955 Production Capacity 2 M tons 4 M tons 1 M tons Utilization 80% 90% 80% Number of Employees 1000 800 600 Workforce Unionized Non-unionized Unionized TRIP Steels 0.9 M tons 2.6 M tons 0.5 M tons Dual Phase Steels 0.5 M tons 0.7 M tons 0 M tons Complex Phase Steels 0.2 M tons 0.3 M tons 0.3 M tons Production Cost $300 / ton $100 / ton $ 250 / ton Major Customers Automotive, Appliance Aerospace, Appliance Automotive, Aerospace Type of Products Manufactured TRIP Steels, Dual Phase Steels and Complex Phase Steels are 3 types of advanced steels Production units A and C can produce a maximum of 0.3 M tons of Complex Phase Steels Production unit A can produce a maximum of 1.2 M tons of TRIP Steels 1 ton = 2,000 lbs Complex Phase steels are growing due to high demand from automotive and aerospace companies 157 Case 15: Steel Works Interviewer Guidance Continued The interviewee should correctly allocate production by production unit This requires taking into account the capacity constraint for Production Units A,B and C for production of Complex Phase Steels and TRIP steels and the cost of production per production unit. Therefore the correct recommendation is to close Production Unit C, but an excellent interviewer will be able to develop the new production plan without too much guidance. The interviewee should also correctly identify the new production costs Old production costs = $ 1040 M Production Unit A – Total tons: 1.6 M, Total cost: 1.6 M tons * $300 / ton = 480 M Production Unit B – Total tons: 3.6 M, Total cost: 3.6 M * $100 / ton = 360 M Production Unit C – Total tons: 0.8 M, Total cost: 0.8 M * $ 250 / ton = 200 M New production costs = $ 1000M Production Unit A – Total tons: 2 M, Total cost: 2 M tons * $300 / ton = $600 M Production Unit B – Total tons: 4 M, Total cost: 4 M * $100 / ton = $400 M Production Unit C – Total tons: 0 M, Total cost: $0 M An excellent interviewee will recognize that although Steel Works is saving $40M by closing one production unit, it requires running the other two production units at full capacity. It also requires shutting down an unionized facility and Steel Works may face obstacles to successfully close it down. 158 Case 15: Steel Works Analysis Question 3 Present Exhibit 3 to the Interviewer and ask how this will affect the choice of Production Unit to close. Exhibit 3 Guidance Based on the information presented in the Exhibit, the interviewee should be able to observe the following 1) Shipping cost for Production Unit A is the highest 2) Although it is highest, it should not change the decision of Steel Works to close Production Unit C based on production constraints 3) An advanced interviewee will quickly recalculate the total costs saved after taking into account the shipping costs for each production unit 4) Old Operating Cost with 3 Production Units (Including Shipping Costs) - $1.858 B • Production Unit A - $800 M • Production Unit B - $738 M • Production Unit C - $320 M 5) New Operating Cost with 2 Production Units (Including Shipping Costs) – $1.820 B • Production Unit A - $1000 M • Production Unit B - $820 M • Production Unit C - $0 M Savings of $38 M 159 Case 15: Steel Works Exhibit 3 – Shipping Costs A • • • B C Via Canal 0 $ 105 / ton $ 100 / ton Via Truck 0 0 $ 50 / ton To Production Unit $200 / ton 0 0 Production Unit A ships products to production units B or C to ship to final customers For production unit C, equal amount of steel is shipped via canal and truck Above costs represents total shipping costs for each production unit. 160 Case 15: Steel Works Analysis Question 4 What factors should Steel Works consider when they are integrating different production units? Interviewer Guidance • The interviewee should be able to come up with a detailed list of factors that Steel Works should consider when integrating different production units o Does the new labor force have the right skills to operate on new machinery or technology that might exist in a different production unit o Are we going to layoff any of the workforce? If yes, how many and how will the compensation be structured o Will any of the workforce be relocated to another production unit o Is there any investment that would be required to ensure production units can run at 100% utilization • An advanced response can consist of the following o How is employee morale affected by closing of 1 production unit. How can Steel Works mitigate loss in employee morale o Will customers care if they are being products from a different production unit o Is there a need for a testing phase to accommodate production of new products o Are production units setup to accommodate increase in production and manpower o How will Steel Works deal with Union issues o What should Steel Works do with the truck fleet used to ship steel from Production Unit C 161 Case 15: Steel Works Recommendation The CEO after attending a recent shareholders meeting is under pressure to reduce costs. Request the interviewee to come up with a recommendation for the CEO. Interviewer Guidance An expected response from the interviewee should include recommendation to close Production Unit C in order to reduce total operating cost for Steel Works. The interviewee should explain that shipping costs do not alter the recommendation. He or she should also outline risks and next steps for the company. Risks • Loss of employee morale • Production Units may not be able to operate at 100% utilization • Closing 1 Production Unit may affect Steel Works ability to meet demand for Complex Phase Steels, if demand continues to rise Next Steps • Communicate with customers of closing down of 1 Production Unit • Setup planning team to carry out closure and consolidation of operations An advanced recommendation can consist of the following • Savings of $38 M after shipping costs may not be substantial for Steel Works to reduce its overall operating costs. The recommendation can include ways of reducing costs by looking at inefficiencies in the process as well as labor costs. • Steel Works should consider making investments in its equipment to produce more volumes of the Complex Phase Steels • Consider building a shipping facility at Production Unit A and avoid shipment of products between Production units. This can further reduce shipping costs. 162 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 16 – WOEM 164 Case 16: WOEM Prompt 1 Your client is WOEM, a wedding cake and clothing company located in Los Angeles, California. WOEM has two separate entities; WOEM cakes and WOEM clothing. WOEM was unprofitable last year. WOEM’s CEO believes that the creation of a third entity, WOEM wedding planning, will lead to sustained profitability. WOEM’s CEO wants your perspective on how to make WOEM profitable again. Behavioral Questions • Tell me about a time when you resolved a conflict within your team • What are your strengths and weaknesses – list 2 for each Interviewer Guidance This is a profitability case, within the context of evaluating the current state of the company and expanding offerings Additional information, should be provided only upon request: • Major players in the wedding cake, clothing and wedding planning industry were profitable last year • WOEM’s current customers include middle income individuals (40%) and wedding planners (60%) • WOEM has no experience in wedding planning, but it understands the wedding business and have a network to pull this off • There is no specific goal for WOEM (no ROI or specific profit) – WOEM just wants sustained profitability The interviewee should break the case into two parts. Part A should focus on WOEM’s current operations and part B should focus on understanding the wedding planning industry. Ask interviewee to present a framework focusing on part A only. The interviewee’s current operations framework should include questions on the industry, for example competitors and trends (no information available) and a basic profitability tree to understand why WOEM is unprofitable. 165 Case 16: WOEM Prompt 2 Provide the interviewee with the following financial information: WOEM Cakes: 2013: Sales: 900 cakes; Price: $1000 average per cake; costs: $600 average per cake 2012: Same average price and cost but number of cakes sold was 1300 WOEM Clothing: 2013 Revenue: $150,000; Total Costs: $560,000 2012 Revenue: $140,000; Total Costs: $400,000 Interviewer Guidance A good interviewee will state that WOEM is unprofitable because of WOEM Clothing. A good interviewee will do the math quickly and state that WOEM cakes is selling about 30% fewer cakes than it did in 2012 and that although WOEM clothing’s revenue increased 7% in 2013, costs increased by 40%. Ask interviewee why WOEM is selling 30% less cakes. Possible answers include: • New competition • Substitute: Customers are switching to other types of cakes that WOEM doesn’t offer • Decreased income level: Customers are purchasing fewer cakes/having fewer weddings The answer is that consumers are switching from vanilla and chocolate cake to red velvet cake, WOEM doesn’t sell red velvet cake. If interviewee asks why WOEM clothing is unprofitable: It has been unprofitable since its inception. Customers don’t associate WOEM with clothing and Los Angeles customers are very brand conscious. 166 Case 16: WOEM Prompt 3 Ask the interviewee how he or she will determine if WOEM should enter the wedding planning market. Interviewer Guidance The interviewee’s framework should cover the following: • Industry (Understanding the key players in this market, market size and trends): 4 reputable players control 50% of the wedding planning market in Los Angeles. Reputation of wedding planners is the main purchase driver in this market. No market size or trend information is available (to make this case more advanced you can test interviewee’s market sizing thought process. • Company Capability (Understanding if the company has the resources to pull this off): Ask interviewee what he or she thinks. WOEM has access to financing and can leverage its current customer base, but will need to hire wedding planners. • Economics: Projected Revenue and costs from entering this market (no information available) • Risks associated with entering this market: Ask interviewee what he or she thinks - No experience, loss of current WOEM customers (since wedding planners make up 60% of WOEM’s current customer base) and opportunity costs are some of the risks 167 Case 16: WOEM Recommendation WOEM should not expand into wedding planning at this time. Instead, WOEM should expand its cake line to include red velvet cake and sell its clothing business in order to be profitable Supporting facts: • Wedding planners make up 60% of WOEM’s customer base. WOEM will face intense competition from its current customers and thereby reduce profitability on current business. WOEM also doesn’t have a reputation in wedding planning • Consumer tastes are changing, for WOEM to stay profitable it needs to enter the red velvet market • WOEM’ clothing has been unprofitable since its inception, as WOEM is not associated with clothing Risks • WOEM and competition might be leaving money on the table by not entering the wedding planning business • Closing the clothing business might affect the sales of WOEM cakes • Cannibalization Immediate Next steps • Expand cake line to include red velvet cake (understand the costs associated with this) • Start looking for buyers of the clothing business 168 Case 16: WOEM Performance Evaluation What does the case test? • Structure and Strategy What should good interviewee be doing/asking/providing throughout the case? • Interviewee will develop a structured approach • Interviewee will do the math accurately • Interviewee will generate at least 3 ideas to explain why WOEM is selling fewer cakes Provide examples of what exceptional interviewees are doing throughout this case. In addition to what is above, interviewee should do the following: • Be able to drive to insights within the case without prompting • Be able to come up with a solid recommendation even though the case is unstructured and has limited financial information • Be able to maintain poise under pressure from the interviewer 169 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 17 – MONEY IN MICHIGAN 171 Case 17: Money in Michigan Prompt Your client is Michigan Economic Development Corporation (MEDC), a state agency tasked with economic development for the state of Michigan. Michigan is still recovering from the economic recession in 2009, when Michigan had the highest unemployment rate in the country at 13.4% and also the highest net emigration, with over 86,000 citizens leaving the state, presumably to find work elsewhere. Five years later the state is slowly recovering and MEDC wants to know what to do to make Michigan more attractive. Behavioral Questions • Tell me about a time you faced a challenging situation in a team and what you did to solve it • What is your proudest accomplishment that is not listed on your resume? 172 Case 17: Money in Michigan Interviewer Guidance Background data that the candidate may request: The candidate should confirm that increasing employment is MEDC’s main goal, but a second goal is to increase the CAPEX or capital expenditure in the state. Numbers will be provided later. Suggestions about how the case is to be delivered: Interviewers should read the case in advance and be prepared to lead the candidate through and provide answers to questions as necessary. What to look for in a candidate䇻s responses: The candidate should come up with a MECE framework that strategically addresses ways to make Michigan more attractive. A few examples include: • Determine what industries are new/growing • Offer financial incentives: o Financial/other incentives for companies to relocate to Michigan o Tax credits for companies already in Michigan to expand • Make policy/regulatory changes: o Change policies to make it easier for companies to be successful and grow o Examine tax code and ensure it incentivizes growth o Improve quality of life for citizens (e.g., education, poverty, health, crime) • Create programs: o Prepare citizens with training programs (private and public) o Offer public work programs • Research competition: o Learn what are other states doing to create jobs/ attract Michigan’s workforce 173 Case 17: Money in Michigan Prompt 2 A. MEDC is focused on adding 1,000 jobs and bringing in $40MM in CAPEX (capital expenditure) in the next year, what else can they do to achieve this goal? B. The state of Michigan has created a special fund of $10 MM to spend to incentivize companies to relocate their business to Michigan. The state has given MEDC sole discretion on how to spend the money and MEDC has decided to go “all in” and try and get the best project it can. To do this, MEDC has some information about direct, indirect, and induced job creation. Direct jobs are those created by the new company, indirect jobs are those created by related businesses (e.g., suppliers to the new company), and induced jobs are those created by a stimulated economy (e.g., a hotel increases its employees due to more usage from the new company). For example, if a new company creates 10 jobs and the indirect job multiplier is 1.5, then there would be 15 new jobs total, 10 direct and 5 indirect. Analysis A. This is a quick way to get candidates prepared for the “what else,” question. Have the candidate provide 5 additional ideas not included in his/her framework OR finish when the candidate says “I have a strong list, and I would like to proceed with..” and then gives you a concrete next step. B. Calculations: (A trick is to subtract 1 from the multiplier and multiply it by the direct jobs (e.g., 3.2*100 =320 indirect jobs instead of 4.2*100 =420 total – 100 direct jobs = 320 indirect jobs); another trick is to use relationships between indirect/induced jobs to do calculations quicker Name Industry Gamer Zone Software Development Retail chain for children Capital-intensive Manufacturing Call Center Kidoodle PreFab Speedylane CAPEX Indirect Induced Total Total Total (MM) Jobs Jobs Indirect Induced Jobs 100 70 4.2 2.6 320.0 160.0 580.0 Direct Jobs 280 16 1.4 1.2 112.0 56.0 448.0 70 420 7.0 2.0 420.0 70.0 560.0 520 4 1.1 1.05 52.0 26.0 598.0 174 Case 17: Money in Michigan Prompt 2 Projects under consideration Job multipliers Direct Jobs CAPEX (MM) Software Development 100 70 Kidoodle Retail chain for children 280 PreFab Capital-intensive Manufacturing Speedylane Call Center Name Industry Gamer Zone Indirect Jobs Induced Jobs Software Development 4.2 2.6 16 Retail chain for children 1.4 1.2 70 420 Capital-intensive Manufacturing 7.0 2.0 520 4 Call Center 1.1 1.05 Industry 175 Case 17: Money in Michigan Prompt 3 A strong candidate will have provided a recommendation/thoughts after completing the calculations. Whether a recommendation is provided or not, say the following: It is clear that a single project will not achieve MEDC’s goal of adding 1,000 jobs in a single year. Which project do you think most closely achieves the goals and additional concerns/benefits will be provided to the state of Michigan? Analysis The candidate should immediately remove Kidoodle and Speedlylane are they do not meet both the job creation or CAPEX goals. Given that Gamer Zone and PreFab both meet the CAPEX goal and are close in terms of job creation, the candidate should create a framework to determine which project to go with and then make a suggestion based on the prompt. The can be done with a chart, or any way that shows organization. Brief suggestions below: Gamer Zone PreFab Jobs 580 560 CAPEX 420 70 Concerns Smaller CAPEX could lead to less permanence; availability of trained employees?; located in already prosperous area?; High indirect jobs multiplier suggests reliance on another industry; manufacturing projects are highly competitive-other states might offer greater incentives Benefits Software Developers are usually highly educated/white collar; High CAPEX suggests permanence; highest potential to spur indirect/induced job creation If time, feel free to use the above suggested answers to play devil’s advocate with the candidate – the important part of this is to ensure the candidate does not easily change his/her opinion. 176 Case 17: Money in Michigan Prompt 4/Conclusion An MEDC official is walking into the room and wants to know where MEDC should send their $10MM. Please take 30 seconds to gather your thoughts and then provide a recommendation. Recommendation The candidate should suggest: Recommendation (and provide a single project), risks (concerns from the last prompt), and offer some next steps (ideas to mitigate the concerns suggested). The candidate should take no longer than 30 seconds to wrap up. Performance Evaluation This case tests a candidates ability to think creatively and should be an easier case due to fewer numbers/much of the information is provided. However, like more difficult cases, it introduces a problem that is not usually top of mind and it does not require a traditional profit formula to complete. A good candidate: Asks clarifying questions only to move the case forward Remembers MEDC’s goals Has minor calculation errors An exceptional candidate: Reads signs of the interviewer and organizes information without being prompted Does not make calculation errors Offers insightful next steps without being prompted Is able to suggest logical next steps and defend decisions 177 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 18 – PHARMA CO. 179 Case 18: Pharma Co. Prompt Pharma Co. has developed a new AML drug X (type of cancer). Preliminary Phase I trials indicate tremendous potential, but the costs to get the drug FDA approved and to market are extremely high. A private equity firm has approached Pharma Co. offering to pay $150M for 50% of all future drug X profits. Pharma Co. wants you to tell it what to do. Behavioral Questions • What are three traits that your former colleagues would use to describe you? Briefly explain each. • Tell me about something not on your resume that you are proud of. Interviewer Guidance Information that can be provided to the interviewee / used to direct the interviewee during case: • The only known objective is to determine how Pharma Co. should proceed • Pharma Co. has no experience taking a drug to market • Cancer drugs tend to be extremely expensive ($100k+) for the patient • ONLY U.S. insurance will reimburse the cost of the drug, thus Pharma Co. only wants to consider the U.S. market • Pharma Co. does have other drugs in the pipeline • This new drug has not completed U.S. FDA Phase I, Phase II, or Phase III trials • Assume patent life of 10 years • Side effects are consistent with similar drugs so a non-factor • There will be competition (will be explored later) 180 Case 18: Pharma Co. Analysis The interviewee should quickly recognize that market opportunity needs to be evaluated against the total costs - a good framework will include these two points as its primary pillars. Other points that would likely be included within the framework include patent expiration, insurance reimbursement, current experience / capability set, probability of FDA trial success, and competition. Guide interviewee towards total market opportunity if not initiated. Begin by asking interviewee what inputs should be used to determine total opportunity and how these inputs could be collected (sample answers - push interviewee to explore and defend new inputs): • • • • • • • • • Interviews with experts in the field (doctors, insurance experts, pharmaceutical business experts, healthcare experts) Review of government census data for population / demographic data Review of medical journals for cancer incidence trends Review of FDA records of trials of competitive drugs to see if competition could cut into market share Review of the ramp of adoption of similar drugs Survey / interview with potential patients and their willingness to try drug X Review of the price points of similar drugs Financial reports for competitors’ drug performance / drug pipeline information (competition) Review of negotiated blanket contracts similar drugs have in place with the government (think Medicare) Fortunately, for the interviewee a lot of that information has already been collected. Provide Exhibit 1 to the interviewee. Ask interviewee to provide total market opportunity for drug X. 181 Case 18: Pharma Co. Exhibit 1 • Annual patients afflicted with AML are 3,300 • Estimated cost of drug X is $125,000 per patient per year • Interviews indicate that doctors are willing to prescribe drug X to 70% of their patients • Assume drug X achieves 100% of its projected market share after Yr 3 Competitor market share Year (Yr) Competitor Market Share YR1 0% YR2 0% YR3 0% YR4 0% YR5 25% YR6 25% YR7 25% YR8 25% YR9 25% YR10 (1) 25% YR11 100% (1) Drug X goes off patent after 10 years 182 Case 18: Pharma Co. Total market opportunity calculation (for interviewer only) Number afflicted Willingness to prescribe Patients (pre-ramp) Share of market Patients (after competitor cut) Ramp Patients (after ramp) Total patients (after ramp) Price Total Market Opportunity YR1 3300 70% 2310 100% 2310 11% 254 YR2 3300 70% 2310 100% 2310 55% 1271 YR3 3300 70% 2310 100% 2310 100% 2310 YR4 3300 70% 2310 100% 2310 100% 2310 YR5 3300 70% 2310 75% 1733 100% 1733 YR6 3300 70% 2310 75% 1733 100% 1733 YR7 3300 70% 2310 75% 1733 100% 1733 YR8 3300 70% 2310 75% 1733 100% 1733 YR9 3300 70% 2310 75% 1733 100% 1733 YR10 3300 70% 2310 75% 1733 100% 1733 16,543 125,000 $ $ 2,067,875,000 183 Case 18: Pharma Co. Analysis Great! That is a lot of money! But we need to take into consideration the probability that drug X receives FDA approval. This probability is applied to the total market opportunity to determine the “risk-adjusted” market opportunity. An internal team has developed percentages of failure at each phase. The percentages that drug X completes each stage are (TOTAL PROBABILITY AND RISK-ADJUSTED MARKET OPPORTUNITY TO BE CALCULATED BY INTERVIEWEE): • Phase I probability - 90% (already begun and results are promising resulting in high %) • Phase II probability - 30% • Phase III probability - 50% How should these probabilities be applied to the total market opportunity that was just calculated? • Total probability that drug X receives FDA approval - 13.50% (FOR INTERVIEWER ONLY) • Risk-adjusted market opportunity for drug X is ~$280M (FOR INTERVIEWER ONLY) 184 Case 18: Pharma Co. Analysis With the risk adjusted market opportunities in hand, costs should now be calculated. Ask the interviewee what costs should be considered (sample answers - difficulty can be increased by eliminating time to structure thoughts): • Regulatory fees • Promotional materials • Marketing campaigns • Production costs (e.g. materials, quality, sourcing) • Adding personnel (e.g. sales, marketing, administrative, regulatory) • New facilities • Packaging materials • Shipment (e.g. logistics) • Distribution costs (e.g. McKesson) • Taxes Fortunately, Exhibit 2 outlines these costs and should be provided to the interviewee. Using Exhibit 2 and the market opportunity numbers calculated in the first half of the case the interviewee should be prompted to begin calculating the EBITA for the “riskadjusted” scenario (FOR RISK ADJUSTED KEY THAT INTERVIEWEE RISK ADJUSTS COSTS AS THEY ALIGN WITH THE FDA PHASES - HINT IF NECESSARY). Total EBITA is $38M (FOR INTERVIEWER ONLY). If interviewee initiates NPV discussion, redirect to total EBITA noting management has specifically requested a total EBITA number as part of the analysis and that NPV will follow. Interviewee should ask for discount rate to calculate NPV of the 50% profit stream that the private equity company has offered $150M for. Provide a discount rate of 5% BUT BEFORE interviewee begins to calculate ASK HOW they would structure the NPV calculation. Once explained, note that the NPV will likely be negative (or ask interviewee based on information provided where they think it would fall without doing any calculations), and that time is running short so you need to move on… With a negative NPV estimate (approximate NPV is -$25M) for the 50% profit stream, total EBITA, and the total assuming the private equity firm’s offer is accepted of $181M ($150M offer + $31M profit split), ask for the recommendation. 185 Case 18: Pharma Co. Exhibit 2 Phase I • $160M (1) Phase II • $125M Phase III • $75M Production • • • Manufacturing costs: 5% of price Logistics: 5% of price All other costs: 10% of price (1) The $160M includes both what has been invested AND the projected amount required to complete Phase I trails 186 Case 18: Pharma Co. Exhibit 1 (“RISK ADJUSTED” ANSWERS - FOR INTERVIEWER) Phase I • $160M • • • • • Phase II • $125M Phase III • $75M Phase I: $160M x 90% = ~$144M Phase II: $125M x (90% x 30%) = ~$34M Phase III: $75M x (90% x 30% x 50%) = ~$10M Total for production: • ~2B x (5% x 5% x 10%) = $400M • $400M x (90% x 30% x 50%) = ~$54M EBIDTA is: $280M - $242M = ~$38M Production • • • Manufacturing costs: 5% of price Logistics: 5% of price All other costs: 10% of price 187 Case 18: Pharma Co. Recommendation An argument can be made to both accept and turn down the private equity firm’s offer, though most will suggest that it be accepted based on the numbers. But an argument could be made that because other drugs are in the pipeline this could serve as a foundation drug, that the risk adjustment numbers are too conservative, etc. Either recommendation should mention risk tolerance of Pharma Co., need for capital, validation of the risk adjustment percentages, risks because Pharma Co. has never taken a drug to market, possible exploration of alternative paths forward (partner, license, or sell the technology). Additional questions to probe / challenge recommendation: • Probe for alternative solutions? • What additional analysis would the interviewee like to perform? • Would it make sense for Pharma Co. to revaluate after Phase I approval? Phase II and III approvals? • What data would be required to further explore / validate alternative solutions? • What are the non-financial risks to pushing forward with development? • How can the risk adjusted numbers be validated? • What are logical next steps for Pharma Co.? Performance Evaluation The case evaluates the interviewees ability to recognize a profit case, thinking logically and quickly through a long-term strategic problem, and perform simple math. An exceptional interviewee will do the following: • Recognize that there is risk that the drug will not make it through all FDA approvals (and appropriately apply to the total market opportunity and costs) • Able to quickly and logically identify reasonable means for collecting inputs required to determine market opportunity • Understand that there are both non-recurring costs (R&D, trials, etc.) and recurring costs (manufacturing, staffing, selling, etc.) • Note that the market will be cut or end because of generic competition once the patent ends • Identify other geographies and other uses as key channels to push total profits higher • Able to quickly and logically identify key costs • Note that competition is likely and needs to be considered 188 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 19 – QUALITY CONTROL 190 Case 19: Quality Control Prompt Your client is a leading medical device company and just recently acquired a smaller company to help grow their orthopedics division. Shortly after the acquisition, the parent company found several quality problems within the acquired company’s manufacturing sites that have to be remediated within six months to avoid FDA violations. You have been hired to come up with a plan that will successfully complete all remediation efforts on time. Behavioral Questions • Tell me about a time when you received feedback (positive or constructive) and you acted upon the feedback to further improve? • What kind of client interaction would be the most difficult for you to manage and why? Interviewer Guidance This care requires a nontraditional framework and requires flexibility and creativity. Additional key details if asked: (Provide only after initial framework is given by interviewee) • 5 manufacturing sites are affected • 25 quality problems found at each site that all need to be remediated • Client can not extend beyond six month time frame and assume six months starts from today Candidate should focus on first understanding the scope of this remediation effort and if it is feasible to complete given certain constraints. They should consider the costs, constraints/barriers, and offer potential next steps. 191 Case 19: Quality Control Analysis 1) There are 5 manufacturing sites that are affected with 25 quality defects found at each site. Their current level of resources can remediate at a rate of .125 defects/day. Will they meet their remediation goals? Let interviewee know that they can assume they are working weekends 2) What do you suggest that our client do in order to complete remediation on time? What are some potential options? 3) The CEO of our client is about to walk into the room, please summarize your findings and suggestion to him. You do not have time to prepare. Recommendation 1) No, they will not meet their remediation goals 5 sites * 25 defects = 125 total defects .125 = 1/8 so it takes 8 days to complete one defect 125 defects * 8 days = 1000 total days to complete all defects 1000 days / 30 days in month = 33.3 months needed at current rates 33.3 months / 6 month timeline = over by ~5.5 times Conclude that need 5.5x the number of resources at the same rate or improve their productivity 2) Brainstorming question: many different options (hire more, increase productivity, contract out, etc) with each option the candidate should be thinking about the potential costs associated or other barriers in addition to how feasible. A great candidate would be able to structure their brainstorming (ex: greatest impact, least cost, feasibility) 192 Case 19: Quality Control Performance Evaluation • Fairly easy case but should test candidate’s ability to structure thoughts and their creativity in suggestions • Exceptional candidates will drive to a solution upon discovering the objective is unachievable • Exceptional candidates will structure their thoughts logically in response to brainstorming questions (written structure is not required as long as conveyed verbally in a structured manner) 193 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 20 – WORKIT 195 Case 20: WorkIt Deloitte Case Writing Competition Finalist Prompt #1 Your client is WorkIt an insurance firm that sells workers’ compensation insurance policies exclusively. Workers’ compensation is an insurance policy that companies purchase to protect themselves from lengthy litigation and unexpected and incredibly high legal fees related to employees who are injured at work. Workers’ compensation is paid by the company on a per-employee basis each month and in exchange, the policy covers medical, indemnity, and other expenses. For example, if an employee falls off a ladder and breaks a leg, workers’ compensation pays for the employee’s medical bills and indemnity or lost wages. The policy also covers other related expenses. Companies are required by state law to purchase workers’ compensation plans. WorkIt has been successful in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Georgia but is considering entering a new state. WorkIt would like your help to determine if this is a good idea. Behavioral Questions • Tell me about a time you had to make a difficult decision when you had limited information • What is your greatest transferable skill? 196 Case 20: WorkIt Interviewer Guidance Background data that the candidate may request: This case does not provide a lot of information about the direction upfront, but successful candidates will work through the content and uncover the direction as they proceed. The candidate may ask some clarifying questions; however, the main goal is to determine whether WorkIt should expand (and then where the company should expand) and candidates will receive more information as they proceed. Profit is a big concern, but so are qualitative issues. Suggestions about how the case is to be delivered: • The first prompt is meant to be open ended, so there is not any additional information for the candidate at this point (e.g., WorkIt’s main goals are not explicit) • If candidates need more information about workers’ compensation, please provide the optional overview / explanation: • It is an insurance policy in which a company pays a premium to be protected from unpredictable accidents • The following example can be repeated to explain components: If an employee falls off a ladder and breaks a leg, workers’ compensation pays for the employee’s medical bills (medical) and also pays the employee for lost wages (indemnity). The policy also covers other expenses (e.g., overhead, benefit delivery, occasional attorney fees paid by workers’ compensation). What to look for in a candidate’s responses: • The candidate should come up with a MECE framework that covers the following areas: revenue and cost (profitability), competitors, WorkIt’s current market saturation/industry mix of clients, regulatory concerns/changes, economic conditions, and company network geographically • The prompt mentions that WorkIt sells workers’ compensation policies exclusively, so a successful candidate will not ask about additional insurance offerings, though this could become a suggestion for WorkIt to consider later in the case. 197 Case 20: WorkIt Optional Overview of Workers’ Compensation Employee • Covered if injured (whether the employee is at fault or not) Employer • • Pays insurance premium to cover employees injured at work Benefits by avoiding lawsuits and unexpectedly large expenses if an employee is injured at work Workers’ Compensation Provider (e.g., WorkIt) Receives insurance premium in exchange for providing benefits to employees injured at work • Benefits include: • Medical (e.g., hospital bills) • Indemnity (e.g., lost wages) • Expenses (e.g., overhead, benefit delivery, occasional attorney fees) • 198 Case 20: WorkIt Prompt #2 Great, so WorkIt is thinking of expanding in the South to remain regional. WorkIt has gathered data on 9 states; however, WorkIt does not want to engage with markets smaller than South Carolina (30,000 cases of injured employees) or larger than Georgia (70,000 cases of injured employees). In this case, you can assume that WorkIt would be able to control the entire market in the state. Please take a moment to review the data sheet and gather your thoughts on which states to consider. Analysis The candidate should determine that only four states fit WorkIt’s criteria: AL, MS, TN, VA Frequency of claims Total Employment (Ths.) AL Employed % injured each year Total injured (Ths.) AR 2000 2% 40 FL 1200 2% 24 LA 7700 2.00% 154 MS 2000 4% 80 TN 1150 4% 46 TX 2800 2% 56 VA 11400 4% 456 WV 3900 1% 39 800 2% 16 199 Case 20: WorkIt Prompt #2 Exhibit 2: Growth in Cost Per Claim Exhibit 1: Total Employment (Ths.) AR FL LA MS TN TX VA WV 10 % Change In Cost Per Claim AL % injured each Employed year at work 2000 2% 1200 2% 7700 2% 2000 4% 1150 4% 2800 2% 11400 4% 3900 1% 800 2% 5 0 -5 -10 2012 to 2013 2013 to 2014 Exhibit 3: Medical Costs Per Claim (2013) Exhibit 4: Breakdown of Total Costs Average Medical Cost/Claim $20,000 Expenses 17% $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 Medical 50% $0 AR WV MS TN FL TX Claims by State LA VA AL Indemnity 33% 200 Case 20: WorkIt Prompt #3 Let’s proceed with Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Virginia. Now determine WorkIt’s profit. Please note that WorkIt’s revenue is a flat 101% of total costs. Analysis Provide hints if the candidate needs it. Here is one way to solve: Costs Step 1: # of injuries (exhibit 1) x cost per (medical) (exhibit 3) = total medical Step 2: total medical x 2 (medical is half the total expense from exhibit 4) = total cost by state Revenue/Profit Step 3: Total per state x 101% commission – total cost by state = profit OR Step 3: Candidates could realize that profit is 1% of total costs AL MS TN VA Costs Revenue Profit # of injuries (ths.) Cost per injury (medical) Total cost (medical) Total cost (all three) 101% (Costs) 1% (Costs) 40 $17,500 $700,000 $1,400,000 $1,414,000 $14,000 46 $10,000 $460,000 $920,000 $929,200 $9,200 56 $11,000 $616,000 $1,232,000 $1,244,320 $12,320 39 $16,000 $624,000 $1,248,000 $1,260,480 $12,480 The candidate should comment about the state with the highest revenue potential. Also, note that the commission could still be in (ths.) from earlier (i.e., $14,000 is actually $14,000,0000) making this a worthwhile option for WorkIt. 201 Case 20: WorkIt Prompt #4 WorkIt is concerned about recent policy changes and hospital and judicial reform, which could eventually impact the company’s 1% commission. Without doing any math, what state should WorkIt now consider? Analysis Based on Exhibit 4, Alabama is now less attractive – as total costs have decreased significantly over the past year (and prior year). Mississippi and Tennessee show variability and have decreased costs from 2013-2014, which shows decreased profits from the 2013 numbers. It also suggests it will be difficult for WorkIt to predict future profits. In this case, Virginia is the most stable state and it could be argued, the most attractive state. 202 Case 20: WorkIt Prompt #5 What else should WorkIt research before making a decision? Analysis Suggested response should include a few of the below: 1. Additional Costs – will there be future changes to fixed and variable costs? 2. Competition – what other company is operating in each state? Does WorkIt stand a chance of getting the contract? Could there be a bidding war? 3. Different legal/regulatory changes – will WorkIt need to hire a new legal team? Any reason a state might not be ideal (that is not included in Exhibit 3)? 4. Company Capabilities – cost of entry, will their be a bidding war for the contract, can WorkIt operate successfully from afar? If not, can WorkIt be successful in the selected state? 203 Case 20: WorkIt Prompt #6/Conclusion WorkIt’s CEO is walking into the room and wants to know if the company should expand and if so, where? He is now in the room, let him know what you suggest. Recommendation The candidate should suggest: Recommendation (go or no go is fine as long as it is supported), risks (concerns from the last prompt), and next steps (these could be based on earlier work from the initial framework/concerns). In this case, the candidate was told to give the conclusion right away and should not ask for 30 seconds. However, the candidate could write the recommendation as he/she presents to remain organized. Performance Evaluation This case involves a market entry decision. The decision is based on limited information, as the candidate knows the revenue, but does not have the associated costs needed to determine profit. A good candidate: Asks clarifying questions only to move the case forward Remembers crucial information and is able to disregard extraneous information Has minor calculation errors and is able to continue after an error is made An exceptional candidate: (in addition to the above) Finds shortcuts for calculations Reads signs of the interviewer and organizes information without being prompted Offers insightful next steps without being prompted Is able to suggest logical next steps and defend decisions 204 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 21 – SO FRESH AND SO CLEAN 206 Case 21: So Fresh and So Clean Prompt Our client, So Fresh and So Clean, is a cleaning supply distributor and operates a national distribution network. Over the past 5 years the client has acquired several small regional players and has experienced decreasing margins. In 2009, the company’s net margin was 3.1% and since the net margin has dwindled to 2.4% at the end of 2013. The CEO is worried about long-term longevity of the company and hired us to conduct an extensive diagnostic of the company’s health. How would you approach this problem? Behavioral Questions • Ask the candidate which industry they’re passionate about. Then ask them what they think the future state of the industry will be over the next ten years. • Tell me about a time you had to convince someone of your ideas where there was a lack of data. Interviewer Guidance • This is intended to be an overarching case, which requires candidates to analyze the overall market and diagnose a specific company issue. The crux of the case is an ineffective sales force. However, the candidate is not expected to discover this right away. • The candidate should first probe about market health. Once they realize the overall market is stagnant and the company’s profitability is aligned with competitors they should push towards a profitability tree. • Clarifying questions • What products do we sell? Our client provides chemicals, cleaning supplies, uniforms, and equipment to restaurants, hospitals, schools, and other food service providers. Located within the United States. • Questions about the industry: Market has averaged 2% growth over the past five years. So Fresh and So Clean is the industry leader with 20% market share, followed by competitor A at 15%, B at 8%, C at 5%, and others make up the rest. • The company acquired a $3.3B revenue competitor in 2010 and $3.1B revenue competitor in 2012 207 Case 21: So Fresh and So Clean Prompt A The team has recently conducted a market analysis and reviewed the company’s audited financial statements. Please review the following Exhibits (1 & 2). Guidance: Exhibit 1 – The candidate should quickly recognize the market is mature and the client’s profitability is aligned with competitors. As a result, they should assess the company’s internal operations. Exhibit 2 - The candidate should discover SG&A costs have skyrocketed with the company’s acquisitions in 2010 and 2012. Ask the candidate to brainstorm reasons how to lower sales costs (e.g., reductions, organization structure redesign, technology) Prompt B After each acquisition, the client did not fully rationalize its salesforce and as a result SG&A costs have skyrocketed. The team has conducted 20 field surveys with sales reps to benchmark their monthly activity to the competition. Based on Exhibit 3 what would you recommend to the client? Guidance: Once the candidate identifies competitors spend 2x the amount of time selling, then the candidate needs to brainstorm specific ways to increase this percentage. 208 Case 21: So Fresh and So Clean Prompt C The team has recommended a new selling model to the client to increase the amount of time sales representative spend working with customers. Under the new model, the client would hire entry level account coordinators to perform administrative tasks and help sales rep service the customers. This position would then allow the client to increase sales reps’ customer account coverage and reduce the workforce. The client wants to know how much this model would save them a year. Prompt D The CEO is coming in for a quick update in a minute. Please prepare a recommendation. 209 Case 21: So Fresh and So Clean Exhibit 1 Market analysis and competitor benchmark Industry Benchmark Industry Benchmark Net margin Net margin USD Billions Cleaning Supply Distribution Market Size 210 Case 21: So Fresh and So Clean Exhibit 2 5 Year Financial Performance (2009-2013) Industry Benchmark Net margin So Fresh and So Clean - Income Statement (billions) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Sales $ 18.79 $ 22.30 $ 22.85 $ 25.82 $ 26.39 Cost of sales $ 15.31 $ 18.17 $ 18.74 $ 21.18 $ 21.64 Gross profit $ 3.48 $ 4.12 $ 4.11 $ 4.65 $ 4.75 Depreciation $ 1.50 $ 1.55 $ 1.62 $ 1.60 $ 1.61 Selling, General & Administrative $ 0.60 $ 0.95 $ 1.00 $ 1.55 $ 1.60 Other $ 0.50 $ 0.55 $ 0.60 $ 0.55 $ 0.56 Operating expenses $ 2.60 $ 3.05 $ 3.22 $ 3.70 $ 3.77 Operating income $ 0.88 $ 1.07 $ 0.89 $ 0.95 $ 0.98 Income taxes $ 0.29 $ 0.38 $ 0.25 $ 0.30 $ 0.35 Net earnings $ 0.58 $ 0.69 $ 0.64 $ 0.65 $ 0.63 Gross Profit Margin Operating Margin Net Margin Financial Performance Metrics 2009 2010 2011 18.5% 18.5% 18.0% 4.7% 4.8% 3.9% 3.1% 3.1% 2.8% 2012 18.0% 3.7% 2.5% Year-over-Year Change 2010 2011 2012 19% 2% 13% 19% 3% 13% 19% 0% 13% 3% 5% -1% 58% 5% 55% 10% 9% -8% 17% 6% 15% 23% -17% 6% 31% -34% 19% 19% -7% 1% 2013 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 15% -2% 2013 18.0% 3.7% 2.4% 211 Case 21: So Fresh and So Clean Exhibit 3 Net margin Breakdown of typical yp sales person p monthly y in 2013 Industryactivity Benchmark 212 Case 21: So Fresh and So Clean Interviewer Guidance (Do not share with Interviewee) Information and calculation for new sales model benefit Industry Benchmark • • Net margin Required information for calculation: • Number of new account coordinators - 148 • Salary of account coordinators - $55K • Amount of time saved for Sales Reps - 16 orders per week, each order takes 25 minutes • Total time worked by sales reps in a week: 40 hours Sales Reps salary - $120,000 Total Sales Reps - 1,500 Calculation: Investment 148 sales reps (~150) x $55,000 = $8,250,000 Time saved 16 orders x 25 minutes = 400 minutes 40 hours x 60 minutes = 2,400 minutes 17% (1/6) reduction in time spent Benefit $120,000 x 1,500 sales reps = $180,000,000 Total Savings (1/6) * $180,000,000 = $30,000,000 Net Saving = $21,750,000 213 Case 21: So Fresh and So Clean Recommendation This case is intended to follow a structured path. The case intentionally begins high level and then quickly narrows upon a specific problem, a bloated sales force. Each prompt is meant to spur creativity and challenge the candidates problem solving. Ensure the candidate holistically assesses each prompt and identifies potential risks to the end solution. Performance Evaluation • • • • This case tests a candidates ability to diagnose a specific problem with initially vague information. Each prompt is suppose to test the candidates ability to brainstorm potential solutions to a problem. Strong candidates will drive the case through each prompt and solve the cost-benefit analysis Exceptional candidates will also come up with innovative solutions to solve the company’s profitability issue and highlight the challenges a 17% reduction in salesforce would create for the customer base. The Salesforce reorganization only saves $21M which is a 2.1% improvement to 2013 operating income. Small in the grand scheme of enterprise. 214 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 22 – KID COUNTRY 216 Case 22: Kid Country Prompt Our client, Kid Country, is the purveyor of an increasingly unpopular form of hybrid rap/rock/country music. An early boom in the market for awful music allowed him to amass a substantial war chest and offer products (music related) in a variety of areas. His accountants have recently informed him of consistently declining revenues over the last three years and encouraged him to seek outside expertise. Behavioral Questions • What was your most challenging moment at work? • Tell me about a time you led a team Interviewer Guidance A quality framework will seek to identify which lines of businesses are problematic and which have opportunities, address the basic economic levers within these businesses, and take into account both internal and external factors impacting these levers. When asked about Kid Country’s diversification, have the candidate brainstorm some likely possibilities and then share the key lines of business: apparel (tasteless t-shirts), beverages (tasteless beer), CD/MP3 sales, concert ticket sales. When asked about revenue trends, confirm that overall revenue numbers are down but that trends vary across lines of business. We’ll address specifics later on. Strong candidates will also ask about profitability: profitability trends vary by line of business as well, but we’ll get into those later on. 217 Case 22: Kid Country Analysis Once the candidate identifies Kid Country’s products (either through bucketing each line of business separately, or through a revenue/profitability bucket addressing them all), give him the chance to guide the case towards understanding how each product is performing. Weak candidates may require your prompting to focus in on this. When the candidate requests information on products’ performance, provide Exhibits 1 and 2. After reviewing the exhibits, the candidate should move into discussing potential recommendations. If the candidate fails to do so, prompt him to. Recommendation Candidate should identify several takeaways from Exhibits 1 & 2 • Concert tickets are the core business - highest revenue, great profitability, highest profit, but declining revenues due to Kid Country’s out-of-style music • Apparel seems like a dud- profitability is too low and it hasn’t improved much since 2011 • CD/MP3 sales are high but declining with low profitability, and getting squeezed by channels - the rise of Spotify, Pandora, and iTunes are eating into artist margins - candidates should identify channel margin growth as a problem here, but Kid Country lacks the leverage to fight back against this • Beverages are a growth opportunity - very good profitability, but low current sales - Candidate MUST be able to recognize that this line of business was added since 2011 After reviewing exhibits, candidate should guide case forward by suggesting that we explore how to improve Kid Country’s position. Strong directions should attempt to shore up the core business of tickets (which is likely a driver for the brand and thus the side business) while capitalizing on growth opportunities in beer and considering ways to either kill or fix the apparel business. 218 Case 22: Kid Country Exhibit 1 2014 Sales ($M)* 7 6 1 5 3 1 2 4 4 3 3 2 0.5 0.5 1 0.75 0.25 0 Apparel 1 CD/MP3 Profit ($) 1 Concert Tickets Channel Margin ($) Beverages Other Costs ($) *Forecast through EOY 219 Case 22: Kid Country Exhibit 2 2011 Sales ($M) 1.5 8 1.5 6 3 4 1 6 2 3 0.9 0 0.4 0.2 Apparel CD/MP3 Profit Concert Tickets Channel Margin Other Costs 220 Case 22: Kid Country Prompt #2 After letting the candidate explore recommendations for improving Kid Country’s business, introduce the following: “Kid Country would like us to evaluate a proposal he just received from his concert promoters, which would substantially change the business model of his tours - tell us what you think of it” Provide Exhibit 3 and voice over the following: “The promoters have been able to negotiate a unique deal with the venues which host Kid Country - if he is willing to drop ticket prices dramatically (while increasing the venues’ cut of course), they will allow him to perform back-to-back shows (either the same night or on consecutive nights) and will agree to carry exclusively Kid Country’s own “Real American Red White and Blue Lager” for sale during these shows.” Recommendation Candidate should recognize that he is being asked to make a go/no-go recommendation, and should not depend on interviewer prompting to come to one. THIS IS THE CASE CONCLUSION- if a candidate waffles after it, prompt him to conclude. If the candidate asks what our base case forecasts look like, tell him that we don’t have any and ask for his input - a strong candidate should be able to recognize that 2011->2014 trends and the general context of the case imply declining performance. If the candidate has questions about the forecasts, explain that we are confident in them; a strong candidate will likely express concerns about the fact that we aren’t taking into account the extra costs of a second show- explain that, because almost all costs for a given location are fixed, back-to-back shows add negligible costs which do not need to be considered. Candidate should be able to quickly build a profit calculation table to produce a go/no-go recommendation along with acknowledgment of the risks associated with either. • Pros: Major revenue and profit opportunity; movement into higher profitability space; reversal of disastrous trend • Cons/risks: Redefines core business - Kid Country is now essentially a brewer who uses music to sell beers; can Kid Country scale his beverage business?; Kid Country will have to play twice as many shows- this is a huge personal burden - does he want to? 221 Case 22: Kid Country Exhibit 3 Tour Forecast Data Tour Dates Ticket Price Tickets/ Show Beer Price Beers/ Show % of Own Brand Beers Ticket Margin Beer Margin 222 Case 22: Kid Country Exhibit 3 Interviewer Guidance Tour Forecast Data Key *Exceptionally curious candidates may wonder if this is actually a good deal for our venues. It is- their profits go from $2M to $2.4M. 223 Case 22: Kid Country Performance Evaluation • Skills tested o Rudimentary case math, identification of trends, strengths, and weaknesses within a business, ability to drive a line of thought to an actionable conclusion • Strong candidates will: o Complete necessary math with minimal stumbles o Handle Exhibit 3 with a clean, well-organized profit calculation table while avoiding unnecessary calculations o Consider qualitative factors (will Kid Country want to work twice as many shows? Could he re-brand by playing another type of music? [probably not]) o Drive to conclusions- above all else, a strong candidate will drive this case, recognize that Prompt #2 is a go/no-go decision, and present a crisp, concise, and decisive conclusion upon its completion rather than depending on the interviewer to wrap the case up for him. o Incorporate data on relative impact of project in conclusion (e.g. circle back to total 2014 profits across all lines of business to show % profit increase in overall terms) 224 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 23 – TEXAS OIL 226 Case 23: Texas Oil Deloitte Case Writing Competition Finalist Prompt 1 Your client, Texas Oil, is a large, integrated oil and gas company which competes with the likes of ExxonMobil, Shell, and Chevron. They have assets in 72 countries, on 5 continents, and own one-quarter of the US oil market. They recently purchased a large area of land from a small, independent oil company and are attempting to integrate it into their portfolio in West Texas. They hired your firm to help them determine how to develop the purchased land. While the company is large, it is “capital constrained”. This is because of low crude oil prices and an over-budget refinery in Angola. As a result, the company cannot develop all of the purchased land in the coming years. How would you frame this problem for the client? Behavioral Questions • What was your favorite team moment? • Can you tell me a time when you exhibited strong leadership qualities? Interviewer Guidance Background information (if requested): • All of the purchased land has proven oil and gas reserves (with 90% confidence) • Other major competitors are also in West Texas. • Oil and Gas are commodities, and traded on an international, liquid market (meaning the quality of the reserves is not important for the case) • Texas oil does not have enough market share to influence the price of oil/gas • The purchased lease will expire in 3 years • The total amount purchased is 320,000 acres 227 Case 23: Texas Oil Interviewer Guidance Continued The candidate should frame this as a prioritization problem. The key value measure for prioritization is a cost/benefit analysis: Costs: Land development (building roads, infrastructure), appraisal costs (geological analysis), construction and drilling costs, labor costs, production costs (pipelines, etc.) Benefits: Revenue, market share, production 228 Case 23: Texas Oil Prompt 2 The land on which the drilling rights were purchased is owned by the government and leased to companies on a five-year timeline. If a lease holder does not develop that land in that time, the lease expires and the lease holder can no longer develop it. Texas Oil’s purchased land has only three years remaining on its lease agreement. How many acres can Texas Oil develop before their lease expires? What percentage of their purchased land does this represent? Interviewer Guidance This is a short, back of the envelop calculation. The candidate should ask for figures, but if they are having difficulty you can start from the top with information. Historically, the company has been able to develop (drill and produce) land at a rate of 100 square miles per year. 640 acres = 1 square mile Texas oil has three years remaining on the lease, so 3*100 = 300 square miles 300*640 = 192,000 acres can be developed in 3 years Company purchased a total of 320,000 square acres 192,000 / 320,000 = 60% of its purchased land 229 Case 23: Texas Oil Prompt 3 OK, now that we’ve determined how much of the land can be developed, we need to prioritize. The company has categorized the land into five “focus areas”, each with 64,000 acres (show exhibit 1 to candidate). How would you go about prioritizing focus areas? Interviewer Guidance This is purely a brainstorming question, and if the candidate asks for specific figures, you can indicate that they are forthcoming. NPV is the base answer (i.e. prioritize land based on expected revenue from reserves minus expected costs of development), but you should push the candidate to be a bit more creative. 2nd Level Insights: • Capital efficiency (some areas may have slightly higher profits but cost much more to develop) • Total cost of development (the prompt indicated that the company is “capital constrained”) • Total production o Some companies may be more production focused than profit because it boosts stock price and/or valuation of the company (e.g. independent oil companies looking to sell) 230 Case 23: Texas Oil Exhibit 1 Focus Areas Coyote Tooth Eagle Mountain Midland Fox Path Nag River Head 231 Case 23: Texas Oil Prompt 4 Each one of these areas can be developed independently, but not at the same time. The firm has provided you with exhibits 2 and 3 and asked you to determine its optimal course of action. According to the head of the West Texas Business Unit, the company has 300 million available to spend. How should Texas Oil develop its purchased land? Interviewer Guidance The Oil, Gas, and NGL figures are a distraction, and feed directly into revenue. If the candidate asks about priorities, suggest that the company wants to “maximize profitability given its capital constraints” The key to answering this question is capital efficiency. The correct answer is : Eagle Mountain, Midland, and Fox Path. Coyote Tooth can also be substituted for Fox Path, but it spends more money and gets the same amount of revenue. Nag River Head is attractive because it has a higher NPV, however, it violates the 300 million limit set by the business unit head (when developed with any 2 other areas), and is not capital efficient. If the company decides to develop Nag River Head, then, it must give up developing a third segment, thus forgoing profits on that segment as well. 2nd level insights: • Texas Oil could re-categorize land within those segments and achieve higher portfolio efficiencies (i.e. not all land in one segment is equally profitable) • Texas Oil should sell the excess acreage to other competitors, rather than sitting on the lease and allowing it to expire. 232 Case 23: Texas Oil Exhibit 2 Focus Area Figures Acres Oil Revenue Gas Revenue NGL Revenue ($MM) ($MM) ($MM) Revenue ($MM) Total Cost ($MM) NPV ($MM) Eagle Mountain 64,000 100 30 9 139 94 45 Fox Path 64,000 110 45 3 158 108 50 Midland 64,000 90 50 1 141 96 45 Nag River Head 64,000 180 10 15 205 150 55 Coyote Tooth 64,000 80 80 0 160 110 50 Total 320,000 560 215 28 803 558 245 233 Case 23: Texas Oil Exhibit 3 Focus Area Capital Efficiencies 234 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 24 – CONSUMER PRODUCTS STRATEGY PROVIDED BY 236 Case 24: Consumer Products Strategy Prompt Our client is a large, multinational consumer products company with business in over 200 countries. Today, we are going to focus on its US business. Our client has been following US demographic trends and has found that low income households have been growing two times as quickly as other consumer segments Low income is defined as families with income at the poverty level or below. Our client has always had a premium product strategy. It sells its products in grocery stores, convenience stores, mass retailers, etc. but its products are always priced at the high-end of their respective categories It has never targeted the low income segment before and doesn't have a low income strategy, but given the growth of this segment, our client is considering entering the low income segment. Our client has 3 questions for BCG. 1) Should it have a low income strategy? 2) If it should have a low income strategy, what are some tactics it should deploy? 3) What are some of the risks the client may face? Interviewer Guidance Ask the candidate the following question 1) What would you like to know to help the client answer its questions? When the candidate asks about products, share Exhibit 1. The client has shared some data for its key products. What do you make of this information? 237 Case 24: Consumer Products Strategy Interviewer Guidance Continued Ask the interviewee the second question 2) What else would you like know about diapers and cold medicine to assess the opportunity? Ok. The client is not interested in cold medicine, but it has done customer research that suggests low income consumers are interested in buying diapers. Share Exhibit 2 What do you see that could help us figure out why low income consumers aren't buying our client's diapers? What else should our client think about as it develops a low income strategy? What are the risks? Interviewer Guidance (Provide only upon request) • • • • Low income consumers purchase largely in smaller, local shops Low income consumers can't afford salons, but will indulge on shampoos Low income consumers are willing to spend more on baby food to protect their children There are valid generics that compete with our client's cold medicine 238 Case 24: Consumer Products Strategy Recommendation The client should pursue a low income strategy, focusing on diapers, which could generate an additional $25M in revenue. To pursue low income consumers, our client should reduce its package size. Today, our client's package size is significantly larger than its competitors. Our client could keep the price /diaper the same, but if it dropped the package size from 40 diapers to 20 diapers, it would cut the absolute price of the box to $10, even lower than its competitors. There will be some risks involved with adopting a low income strategy including cannibalizing business from existing products and brand risk. 239 Case 24: Consumer Products Strategy Exhibit 1 LI: Low Income 240 Case 24: Consumer Products Strategy Exhibit 2 241 Case 24: Consumer Products Strategy Quantitative analysis and solutions Product/Category Client Overall Markey Share Client Share of Low Income Consumers Overall share Vs Low Income Share Shampoo 100/400 = 25% 30/90 = 33% Overall < LI Cold Medicine 50/250 = 20% 7.5/75 = 10% Overall > LI Diapers 150/300 = 50% 25/100 = 25% Overall > LI Baby food 100/300 = 33% 30/100 = 30% Overall = LI 242 Case Interview feedback form Case _________________________ Case type _________________ Interviewer ____________________ Execution Case start time ___:____ 1 2 3 4 5 •Structure ¾Logical approach ¾MECE ¾Appropriate drive to solution Comments: •Quantitative Ability 1 2 3 4 5 ¾Speed ¾Accuracy ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes Comments: •Business intuition ¾Practical ¾Insightful ¾Breadth & depth across multiple functions ¾Creativity 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Framework development Framework explanation Case discussion ______ min ______ min ______ min Case end time ___:____ Overall Rating: 1 2 3 4 5 Strengths Communication 1 2 3 4 5 •Professionalism ¾Poise ¾Confident-Persuasive ¾Articulate-concise ¾Client ready Comments: Weaknesses •Written ¾Clarity of writing and page layout ¾Ability to refer back ¾Comfort, reaction to mistakes 1 2 3 4 5 Comments: Behavioral (optional) •Quality of star stories •Length •Clarity •Relevance 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Comments: Key: 1=Bottom 10%, 2= 10th-25th percentile, 3= middle 50%, 4= 75th-90th percentile, 5=Top 10% CASE 25 – PHARMACEUTICAL RARE DISEASE BUSINESS GROWTH PROVIDED BY 244 Case 25: Pharmaceutical Rare Disease Business Growth Prompt Our client is a large pharmaceutical company with a strong business in "Rare Disease" (rare diseases are conditions that affect fewer than 200,000 people in the US). Historically, pharmaceutical companies have not invested significantly in Rare Disease because it has not been cost effective to conduct research for such small populations. Due to the fall off in the number of pharmaceutical blockbusters and improved regulation to make R&D cheaper for Rare Disease, pharmaceutical companies have begun to invest more in Rare Disease R&D over the last few years. Our client has hired BCG because it would like to grow its Rare Disease business. Interviewer Guidance Case question to solve 1) How can the client double its Rare Disease business in 5 years? 245 Case 25: Pharmaceutical Rare Disease Business Growth Interviewer Guidance Ask the candidate the following questions 1) How would you approach our client's question on growing its Rare Disease business? 2) Where would you like to start? When the candidate asks about the existing business, share Exhibit 1. Based on the data, how large will the client's rare disease business be in 2016? [If necessary,] what is the shortfall to its goal of doubling its business? What does the client need to do to double the Rare Disease revenues by 2016? [If candidates discusses acquisitions] ask who should the client acquire and how many assets will client need to buy? Let's say the CEO walks in, could you summarize for me? Interviewer Guidance (Provide only if requested) Our client is an industry leader with a track record of success. Its existing business is $2.5B, expected to grow at 5% per year Rare disease market is $30B and is as profitable as "Big Pharma“ • While research is relatively expensive, the government provides tax credits for drugs designated to treat rare diseases • Additionally, prices tend to be higher to make up for the upfront research investment. It's also growing faster than Big Pharma. There are many small bio-techs that are attractive targets and there are also other big pharmaceutical companies that have rare disease divisions / assets 246 Case 25: Pharmaceutical Rare Disease Business Growth Recommendation Internal growth will not be sufficient to achieve your goal of doubling your business. You will need to acquire ~3 "peak revenue" assets to close the gap between your goal of $2.5B and the $1.1B your portfolio will generate organically. 247 Case 25: Pharmaceutical Rare Disease Business Growth Quantitative Analysis and Solutions LI: Low Income 248 Case 25: Pharmaceutical Rare Disease Business Growth Exhibit 1 LI: Low Income 249 CASE 26 – INSURECO. PROVIDED BY 250 Case 26: InsureCo – Business Restructuring Prompt Our client, InsureCo, is a large, multi-national insurance provider, with revenues of over $25B in 2009. However, the tightening of the credit markets and downturn in the economy has caused their profitability to drop significantly from 10% to 5% in the most recent year. As a result of economic downturn, our client has decided to evaluate their business portfolio and divest portions of their business to raise capital and refocus on their core General Insurance business. Their goal is to raise over $3B in capital through the sale of various business units. The management team has already identified two potential candidates for divestiture from its Life Insurance and Property and Casualty divisions. It is considering divesting one of the following business units, in addition to several other businesses across the company: LifeLine Asia: Asian-based life insurance business, with $250MM in annual revenues All-World Property and Casualty: A US-based Property and Casualty insurance business, with $100MM in annual revenues Deloitte Consulting has been engaged to identify and recommend the most viable business unit candidates for divestiture, as well as assist in the operational separation of the business units’ operations from InsureCo. Problem Statement InsureCo has approached Deloitte Consulting to assess candidates for divestiture and to develop a game plan for executing the divestiture of selected business units 1. What would you estimate as the potential sales price for each company? Please use available data to support your argument (Note to interviewer: no other data is provided, candidate can make assumptions as necessary) 2. Which company would you advise InsureCo to divest? 3. What are some of the other key factors that InsureCo should consider when assessing which units to divest? 251 Case 26: InsureCo – Business Restructuring Prompt Questions and Responses (For interviewer reference ONLY) 1. What would you estimate as the potential sales price for each company? Please use available data to support your argument (Note to interviewer: Please provide candidate with data sheet) The candidates will have to estimate the potential sales price for each company. A good answer will include: A better answer will include the above. But the candidates would also mention the following points: • The P/E has been declining in Life and Increasing in P&C. By using the more recent multiples the potential prices could be: o LifeLine Asia - $20 MM * 10 = $200 MM o All-World - $12 MM * 20 = $240MM • This makes All-World look like a more attractive divestiture target from a sale price perspective A great answer will include the above. But the candidates would also mention the following points and how each may affect the valuation of the companies: • In reviewing the industry segment overview: o The Life segment is on the decline o The P&C is going up • In reviewing the geography overview: o North America is on the decline o Asia seems to be going up 252 Case 26: InsureCo – Business Restructuring Data Sheet 253 Case 26: InsureCo – Business Restructuring Prompt Questions and Responses (For interviewer reference ONLY) 2. Which company would you advise InsureCo to divest? A good answer will draw the following conclusions from the data provided: If candidate chooses LifeLine Asia the candidate should mention: • The possibility of getting a higher sales price (based on average deal multiples) • Asia is a more attractive market and may help InsureCo get a higher premium to help raise capital • Life seems to be a segment that is detracting, so InsureCo may want to consider getting out of the Life Insurance business If candidate chooses All-World Property and Casualty the candidate should mention: • As the company is in the P&C sector, it may command a higher premium than LifeLine • Based on recent deal multiples, the company may get a higher sales price 254 Case 26: InsureCo – Business Restructuring Prompt Questions and Responses (For interviewer reference ONLY) 3. What are some of the other key factors that InsureCo should consider when assessing which units to divest? A good answer will be logically structured to address various business considerations including: • Overall Culture/People Impact : Selling off the highest quality assets can disrupt the employee base and change the overall image of the company and cultural underpinnings. Considerations should also be made around how to retain key talent at the remaining company. If certain employees in the divested business are being groomed for executive positions at the corporate parent, measures need to be taken to remain these individuals. • Geographic Reach/Overlap: Considerations should be made to determine where the company has overlap in various geographies and product mixes. • Impact to Remaining Revenue Streams: Candidates should explore the impact to that a divested business unit will have on the portions of the business that remain. For example, if other insurance and investment products are cross-sold at a life insurance business unit that is being sold, the company needs to assess the potential loss in revenue. • Potential Buyers: Who are the prospective buyers for the business and what are the potential issues with making a deal with each one? If any of these business are being spun out into separate companies (via IPO), legal and regulatory considerations must be made. A great answer will include the items above, but also explore the impact of shared infrastructure, including IT and key technology systems, sales and marketing, finance, distribution, etc. Many business units are dependant upon the shared infrastructure for support and running the business. The corporate parent will need to consider the level of effort to fully separate these business units. 255 Case 26: InsureCo – Business Restructuring Wrap-up • Companies frequently look to M&A activity as a way to accelerate their growth, but divestitures can also be an effective tool for helped businesses sharpen their focus and use proceeds to invest in high-growth areas. • In this situation, Deloitte was brought in to help the client with an efficient, accelerate divestiture of a number of business units. • The Deloitte team assisted the client by: o Creating a robust divestiture process o Expediting and aligning the planning process with separation blueprints, Day One readiness plans, and exit plans o Execution of issue free Day One for numerous divested business units and successful Day two • Deloitte is viewed as a trusted advisor to the client and has conducted numerous project to help the client transform their business operations 256 写在中间 Hi 有缘人, 你好,我是爱做case的鱿鱼,MBB offeree。 能够读到这里相信你对consulting一定是有自己的热情吧,接下来将是一些实战中出现的real case, 希望能对你有帮助。 同时,也请允许我打个广告。我也在抽空帮助有需要的candidate进行辅导case/fit mock(象征性收 费哦~),如果你有需要,也欢迎联系我,闲鱼&小红书ID均为:鱿鱼Consulting。 祝顺利, 鱿鱼 );-*773 :-)4+);-;7. +16;-A)16)6, &% %* # #-+:=1<16/+A+4-7. 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