EY-Parthenon Strategy Senior Associate Recruitment Candidate Case Preparation Pack Prepared for Agenda • • • • Page 2 Tips and Guidelines Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) EY-Parthenon FAQs Tips and Guidelines Key Contacts 300,000+ people | $36.4b revenue | 150 countries • Recruitment Advisor : Amee Vadher • Amee will be your main point of contact throughout the recruitment process • Your mentor • Amee will have connected you with your mentor for the process • Your mentor is a Senior Associate in the business • Your mentor is a great source of information about the role, the business and what to expect during the interview process • EY Interview Scheduling team • This team will be on hand to help with scheduling your interviews and providing you will all of the logistical information you need Page 3 Tips and Guidelines What’s the purpose of a Case Study Interview? Why is Case Study Interview relevant? ► As a strategy practice, we are frequently required to provide views on situations or challenges for which we may initially have limited data. In such circumstances, we can utilise a range of operational assumptions triangulated against known data points to provide initial perspectives with caveats. What we are looking to evaluate? 1. 2. Problem solving approach § Identify and understand issues § Ask clarifying questions and make reasonable assumptions § Structure the problem § Develop and prioritise recommendations Numerical skills § Demonstrate financial literacy (strong understanding of P&L and Balance Sheet) § We do not require complex analysis requiring unnecessary technical knowledge (e.g. NPV calculations) § Ability to identify the required calculation and then complete straight forward arithmetic 3. Creativity in developing potential solutions 4. Ability to succinctly articulate a point of view Page 4 § Demonstrates clear, articulate communication § Responds well to challenge and new information Tips and Guidelines What is a Case Study Interview? What to expect? ► ► ► 1 on 1 interviews with experienced consultants 35 minutes for each interview, although interview slots will be booked as 50 mins to allow for any technical issues using teams and a chance to meet and greet with your interviewer Chance to ask questions about EY-Parthenon at the end Market Sizing Business Case Data Dump How to prepare? ► ► Page 5 Preparation is key, but don’t overdo it! Useful links: ► Victor Cheng Case Interview Practices (on YouTube) ► Harvard Business School talks, resources, emails ► ConsultingCase101 Practice Cases - https://www.consultingcase101.com/tag/free-sample-case/ Tips and Guidelines General Tips – Case Study Interviews 1 Listen to the question and clarify the scope – 2 Write things down! – 3 5 – Don’t just rely on standard frameworks; craft a suitable framework to answer the questions posed by the problem – Think about different ways to approach the problem; either at the start or at the end of the interview, brainstorm different ways you could have approached it e.g. bottom-up instead of top-down Think about the key underlying assumptions Cases are only ~30 minutes, so be mindful of how you best use your time. Be efficient when integrating maths into your analysis and round numbers when appropriate (to a degree that will still get you an accurate answer) Drive the case, it’s your business problem to solve – Page 6 As you go through the case, think about what the key assumptions are (if changed, they would drastically change the answer). This shows that you know what is driving your final answer. If solutions are not definitive explain the underlying assumptions Manage your time carefully – 7 The interview is testing how you think; demonstrate this to the interviewer by explaining your thought process and rationale Think about the problem at hand – 6 Feel free to take time to think about how you are going to approach the problem and write down your steps. Then make sure you refer back to them during the interview so you do not miss a step Talk out loud – 4 Feel free to ask the interviewer exactly what the scope / definition is e.g. for market sizing, you could ask “is it ok to exclude commercial lights when sizing the market for light bulbs” Cases are ‘interviewer-led’ i.e. there will be specific questions for you to answer; however, you are still expected to drive the case by asking meaningful questions, performing calculations, and making statements. Don’t expect the interviewer to tell you what to do! Tips and Guidelines Tips for Virtual Interviews and Case Studies 1 Make sure you’re comfortable with your environment Take some time to ensure you conduct the interview in a place where you are comfortable, have good lighting, have enough space to take notes, and have a stable internet connection 2 Make sure you’re comfortable with the technology Interviews will be held on Microsoft Teams, which you will receive a link to download beforehand – make sure that you’ve installed it, check that it works properly, and that you’re familiar with how the video call function works 3 Practice beforehand If you can, try to practice doing a case interview virtually with someone else beforehand. This will mean you are comfortable engaging with an interviewer in this way. You could even try recording yourself, so you can assess your performance 4 Bring an A4 notepad and pen, and calculators are not permitted Bring along a large notepad and pen so you can show your interviewer your workings on the camera Please do not use a calculator during this case. To make it fair for everyone, we are trusting all candidates to follow this request. Whilst we can’t police this, if we find out you are using or have used a calculator we will have to remove you from the process with immediate effect 5 Take time Despite this being a virtual interview, take time to think about the problems at hand, and take notes during the interview. Your interviewer will not be expecting you to fill the silence 6 Over-communicate Given likely technology failures, you may miss crucial bits of the case; make sure to ask clarifying questions, and also check in with your interviewer to ensure they are able to hear you well 7 8 Make an extra effort to structure your answers Given you will not be in the same room and the interviewer will not be able to see your notes, it is more important for you to talk out loud about the steps you are taking. Structure your answers and present them slowly and clearly Maintain eye contact Page 7 As in a physical interview, it is important to maintain eye contact and remain engaged. In a virtual interview, you can do this by frequently looking at the camera Tips and Guidelines Tips for Case Study Interview types ► Methodology Structure your answer - take time to put your methodology on paper – Market Sizing – ► Time management ► Understand what the business does – Business Case Data Dump ► Ask questions regarding the products offered/revenue streams Keep in mind the strategic objectives of the case – e.g. growth and profitability – Timeline to achieve objectives ► Time management ► Prioritise insights over analysis – Page 8 Structure your approach in a way that makes sense for the case Synthesis findings rather than simply explaining charts Agenda • • • • Page 9 Tips and Guidelines Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) EY-Parthenon FAQs Agenda • Tips and Guidelines • Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) • • • Case 1: Protein Bars (~25 mins) Case 2: Prison Telephony (~35 mins) Case 3: Nurseries (~35 mins) • Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) • EY-Parthenon FAQs Page 10 Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Outline of case and advice to candidates About the case: • This case is about Muscle Nutrition, a UK sports nutrition Advice to candidates: • company selling protein powder, bars and tablets. Their main consumer base has historically been body builders If you don’t understand something, please ask for clarification • There are no ‘tricks’ here – we are trying to find out what you can do, not if we can catch you out • The impressive success of their recently launched protein • your response bars has caught the attention of Smith and Jones Capital, a UK based Private Equity fund who are now interested in • • have engaged you to help them test their investment thesis Page 11 Please keep working through even as your interviewer is taking notes Smith and Jones believe that there is potential to take Muscle Nutrition’s bars into the mainstream market and Please write down your workings clearly on the sheets of paper provided so that your interviewer can follow along buying the company • Take the time to think through your answer and structure • Please do not open this pack until instructed to do so by your interviewer Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Questions 1 How would you size the total market for protein bars in the UK? ►Please demonstrate how you would structure the market sizing ►Conduct Page 12 the calculations Practice Cases Case 1: Protein Bars Questions 2 Page 13 CANDIDATE COPY As mentioned, the PE firm are interested in the mainstream segment of the market for protein bars. What do you think are the growth drivers of this segment of the market? Practice Cases Case 1: Protein Bars Questions 3 Page 14 CANDIDATE COPY Based on the data on the following slides, is there sufficient evidence to say protein bars can go mainstream? Please summarise in a few (3-5) bullet points. Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: What is most important to you when thinking about healthy eating? Select and rank your top 3 40% 30 20 10 0 Page 15 Low calorie Less carbs Source: Parthenon-EY Health & Wellness Consumer Survey 2015 (n=1,061) More protein Organic Nutrients added From a sustainable source Gluten free GMO free Practice Cases Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: What is the main occasion when you eat protein bars? Page 16 Source: Consumer Survey (n=1,415) CANDIDATE COPY Q: What is the most important reason for you eating protein bars? Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: How often do you typically exercise per week? For all consumers who bought the protein bar brand in the past 6 months 100% 80 60 40 I don’t usually exercise Less than once per week One or two times per week 20 Three or four times per week Five or six times per week Every day 0 Protein Bar Manufacturers Page 17 Source: Consumer Survey (n=1,415) Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: Where did you buy the [brand] bars you purchased most recently? 60% 54% 40% 40 25% 20% 20 11% 18% 10% 8% 4% 0 % All Brands Page 18 Source: Consumer Survey (n=1,415) : 4% 3% 3% Supermarket Specialist health store (e.g.,Holland & Barrett / Met-Rx) Amazon Online (excl. Amazon) Convenience store Other 50% 15% 12% 15% 4% 3% Average (excl. Muscle Nutrition) Muscle Nutrition consumers Practice Cases Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: How often do you eat a protein bar? Page 19 Source Consumer Survey (n=1,415) CANDIDATE COPY Q: Are you eating more or less protein bars than you did in the past? Agenda • Tips and Guidelines • Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) • • • Case 1: Protein Bars (~25 mins) Case 2: Prison Telephony (~35 mins) Case 3: Nurseries (~35 mins) • Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) • EY-Parthenon FAQs Page 20 Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Outline of case and advice to candidates About the case: ► This case is about Calypso, a provider of phone services to prisons and prisoners in Europe. The company addresses four markets: ► If you don’t understand something, please ask for clarification ► There are no ‘tricks’ here – we are trying to find out what you can do, not if we can catch you out ► Take the time to think through your answer and structure your response 2) Multimedia: covers media content / video-calling and messaging apps ► Please write down your workings clearly on the sheets of paper provided so that your interviewer can follow along 3) Prisoner self-service: self-service applications for prisoners ► Please keep working through even as your interviewer is taking notes 4) Lawful interception: surveillance and storing of content provided over Calypso’s services ► Please do not open this pack until instructed to do so by your interviewer 1) Telephone systems: connects prisoners and external parties (e.g. relatives) through telephones made available to prisoners Page 21 Advice to candidates: ► Calypso generates a majority of its revenues from the use of telephone systems by prisoners, and has not yet fully rolled out all of its products across every market ► A private equity investor is interested in acquiring a stake in the business and has engaged EY-Parthenon to assess the market and future growth opportunities for Calypso Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Market segmentation Description Market segments ► Telephone systems ► Multi-media ► Self-service ► Lawful interception Page 22 Hallway and in-cell telephone systems providing access to national and international calls, through landline, cell and collect calls In-cell multimedia terminals which enable inmates to communicate (through video calls, video messaging and video telephony) and watch and listen to music and movies Self-service solutions delivered via in-cell terminals which enable inmates to organise their prison life, doctors appointments and shopping Provides capabilities for the listening in on conversations and the storage of past conversations Buyer Calypso’s Products ► Prison telephones and in-cell phone systems ► Prisoner pays per use ► Relatives pay for collect calls and can fund the prisoner’s account ► Prisoner pays monthly fee ► Relatives can fund the prisoner’s account ► CalypsoConnect for collect calls (collect calls are calls paid for by the recipient) ► TV access, radio, DVD and telephony ► Multimedia content, video calls and messaging ► In-mate self service applications ► Prison administration pays service fees ► Storage of past conversations ► Charged for on a per prisoner basis ► Lawful interception capabilities ► Prison administration pays service fees ► Charged for on a per prisoner basis Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 1 1 Page 23 CANDIDATE COPY What is the size of the addressable market for Calypso’s services within Europe (in terms of annual € revenue)? Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 2 2 Page 24 CANDIDATE COPY What are the drivers of growth for the prison telephony market? How do you think this market is likely to develop in Europe over the next 3-5 years? Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 3 3 Page 25 CANDIDATE COPY Based on the data available and your own knowledge, what are the growth opportunities for Calypso over the next 3-5 years? What are the potential risks? Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Calypso’s company footprint Calypso’s revenue by product segment (%), FY17 Calypso revenue split by geography (%), 2017 Interception services In the Netherlands, Calypso generates ~20% of revenue with products other than telephone systems. Self-service Multimedia NL 14% DE 27% 92.0% Telephone Systems FR 28% PL 9% CZ <1% HU 7% RO 8% BG 3% FY17 Key: Page 26 = More than 10% = From 5% to 10% = Up to 5% = None Note: IR = Ireland, UK = United Kingdom, FR = France, SP = Spain, BE = Belgium, NL = Netherlands, CH = Switzerland, DE = Germany, CZ = Czech Republic, AT = Austria, IT = Italy, HR = Croatia, HU = Hungary, SK = Slovakia, RO = Romania, BG = Bulgaria, PL = Poland, NO = Norway, SE = Sweden, FI = Finland Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Contract structure and upcoming tenders Commentary National vs local tender organisation ► Although the majority of revenue is paid for by prisoners themselves, Calypso contracts with prison providers to be allowed to offer its services to prisoners, usually as a sole provider ► A majority of contracts are won through national tenders which have unique requirements for each country ► Tenders are lengthy and begin in advance of the actual tender period and typically last 3-5 years with extension options FI ► The complexity of public tenders has resulted from mandatory requirements and a sophisticated scoring system NO SE NL IR UK Upcoming National Tenders in 2018 - 2019 PL BE DE Country CZ SK FR AT CH HU HR IT RO Poland 3 years BG Norway 5 years Czech Republic 4 years Sweden 5 years Finland 4 years Switzerland 4 years France 5 years Denmark 3 years SP Key: Page 27 Contract Length = Local / regional tender = National tender Note: IR = Ireland, UK = United Kingdom, FR = France, SP = Spain, BE = Belgium, NL = Netherlands, CH = Switzerland, DE = Germany, CZ = Czech Republic, AT = Austria, IT = Italy, HR = Croatia, HU = Hungary, SK = Slovakia, RO = Romania, BG = Bulgaria, PL = Poland, NO = Norway, SE = Sweden, FI = Finland Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Pricing and usage patterns Commentary ► After being accused of charging unfairly high prices due to a lack of other telephone options in prisons, Calypso was taken to court in Germany and forced to substantially reduce the prices for its telephone services ► There has been public pressure on Calypso in France and the UK to make similar price reductions, with talks of litigation Page 28 CANDIDATE COPY Telephone Usage Data, Germany Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Global prison demographics Global Prison Industry, by Number of Inmates, 2017 100% Calypso Customer Counties 5.0% Rest of Europe 11.1% 80 Africa and the Middle East 11.3% South America 14.6% 60 North America 21.8% 40 20 0 Page 29 Asia Pacific 36.3% Number of Inmates Agenda • Tips and Guidelines • Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) • • • Case 1: Protein Bars (~25 mins) Case 2: Prison Telephony (~35 mins) Case 3: Nurseries (~35 mins) • Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) • EY-Parthenon FAQs Page 30 Practice Cases CANDIDATE COPY Case 3: Nurseries Outline of case and advice to candidates About the case: • • Advice to candidates: This case is about a Private Equity Fund who have decided • If you don’t understand something, please ask for clarification to enter the market for Nurseries • There are no ‘tricks’ here – we are trying to find out what you Nurseries care for children between the ages of 0-5 years old (typically). They provide both a childcare and can do, not if we can catch you out • educational function • Funding for Nurseries may be provided by the government response • or by parents. • In most geographies funding is a mixture of private and The firm would like you to help them make some investment decisions Page 31 Please write down your workings clearly on the sheets of paper provided so that your interviewer can follow along • public funding • Take the time to think through your answer and structure your Please keep working through even as your interviewer is taking notes • Please do not open this pack until instructed to do so by your interviewer Question 1 CANDIDATE COPY If you were considering purchasing a nursery, what are the criteria you would assess in your purchase decision in determining its likely future success? Page 32 Question 2 CANDIDATE COPY How would you prioritise across these criteria identified? Page 33 CANDIDATE COPY Question 3 The investor has decided to focus on an individual geography for their nurseries investment. They have obtained some commercial due diligence reports on three possible geographies: the UK, Singapore and Canada Q3: Which would you choose to enter and why? How did you go about making this decision? Page 34 UK CANDIDATE COPY Nursery market fundamentals are strong and we believe the market will grow at ~3% CAGR over the next five years driven primarily by price growth Commentary UK Nursery Market Value, 2007-2021F CAGR CAGRCAGR ('17-21) £8b H ('11-17) ('08-11) F In the last recession, the UK nursery industry was not impacted significantly ► £0.6b £6.5b 6 £1.2b £5.7b £0.2b The market has continued to perform well in recent years ► £0.5b £0.4b £4.1b 4 £3.8b -£0.1b 2% 6% 3% Page 35 2008 Volume Price 2011 Volume Price 2017 Volume Price • Source: Parthenon-EY Analysis, Parthenon-EY Interviews 2021 “It is no wonder that people see the UK nursery market, particularly in London, as an attractive investment opportunity. It is a fantastic sector which is only expected to continue to grow” – Sales and Marketing Director, UK Nursery Chain UK nursery chains believe that they will continue to grow, despite any risk of a recession ► 2 0 “This sector is extremely resilient to changes in the economy. In the last recession, we talked for days and days about the impact it would have on revenue and occupancy, but this never really materialised” – CEO, UK Nursery Chain “If anything, in a recession, parents become more aware of risks around job stability and therefore try and work as many hours as possible. Mothers return to work more quickly, and therefore require more childcare” – Regional Director, UK Nursery Chain CANDIDATE COPY UK The previous recessionary environment slowed overall growth in the market; nursery chains historically performed more strong than the market during the last recession Revenue per site CAGR (’08 -’11) Revenue per site CAGR (’11 -’16) 11% 2% Commentary Buy Bees acquired Treetops at the beginning of 2017 19% Bright Horizons acquired Casterbridge and kidsunlimited which may have boosted the revenue per site post-recession 5% 1% Asquith’s performance suffered after the recession due to underinvestment in mature sites and opening of new sites 5% 4% NA 3% NA** NA -4% Page 36 Company revenue* growth compared to growth of the market (’08-’11) Note: *Overall company revenue (not revenue per site) **Casterbridge was acquired by Bright Horizons in 2012 Source: Companies House; Company Websites; Nursery World CANDIDATE COPY UK Despite the recent slow down in price growth, high performing chains will be able to maintain continued price growth Typical Weekly Nursery Fees for a Child Under 2 in England, 2008-2017* The jump in fees in 2011 is likely in response to the increase in free nursery hours from 12.5 to 15 hours a week in 2010 Commentary Providers have reported they are planning on continuing to increase fees in the coming years for multiple reasons ► “The reality of 30 hours legislation is that it allows us to increase the weighted price per hour we are charging for all the different age groups and users” – Sales and Marketing Director, UK Nursery Chain ► “The National Living Wage was has come in and it has given us a real policy we can point to and say to our customers that we have to increase prices at above inflation rates or we won’t be able to continue” – Regional Director, UK Nursery Chain ► “Fee increases are a necessity, we are a not for profit and our business plan is too keep increasing the rate of fees at around 5% p.a. or else we won’t be able to continue running our business” - Former Business Director, UK Nursery Chain ► “I think so long as you can continue to point to better staffing ratios and improved conditions in the nursery parents are willing to accept fee increases” - CEO, UK Nursery Chain Nursery fees per week, Under 2 +10% Historically, Parthenon-EY observed market price increasing rapidly in response to higher government hours. This reflects nurseries using fee rates to maintain daily rates and also the increase in affordability to parents due to the larger government subsidy Children over 2 years old follows a very similar pattern of growth Page 37 Note: *Local authorities were asked to provide costs for 25 hours and 50 hours of childcare, provided by nurseries or childminders. The former figure – 25 hours – is the typical amount of childcare that a parent who works part-time might purchase, or a parent in full-time employment who purchases an extra 25 hours childcare on top of the 15 free hours of early years’ provision available in England; For 2008 and 2009, the cost of nursery based on 50 hours of childcare per week were halved to be consistent. No data exist for 3-4 year olds for 2017 due to poor responses to the collection survey Source: Family and Childcare Trust’s Annual Survey; BBC CANDIDATE COPY UK The government has a role in funding nurseries in the UK. This has recently expanded Time of Introduction Eligibility Entitlement ► 15 hours Free Childcare ► September 2010 ► ► 30 hours Free Childcare Page 38 September 2017 All children aged 3-4 in England Some two year olds are also eligible, if the parents receive certain benefits Children aged 3-4 in England, if parents meet the following criteria: ► Both parents work for at least 16 hours a week, earning at last the National Minimum Wage ► Neither parent has a taxable income over £100,000 ► Eligible parents must register online to qualify for the additional funded hours ► ► ► ► Up to 570 government funded hours per year (15 hours per week for 38 weeks) Hours can be stretched across the 52 week year, averaging 11.0 hours per week Up to 1140 government funded hours per year (30 hours per week for 38 weeks) Hours can be stretched across the 52 week year, averaging 21.9 hours per week Funding cannot be used to pay for supplements such as food and additional activities Provider Requirements ► This is an optional provision for private providers, though most choose to opt into the scheme ► Funding is only available if a nursery opts into the scheme Private providers can limit the number of ‘funded only’ children Private daycare providers do not have to offer the full 30h funding to all children, and can offer the hours at specific times, or as part of ‘wrap around’ packages ► ► UK There are some risks based on the UK regulatory environment Description Risks to UK Nurseries ► 30 Hours Free Childcare ► Increase in the number of government funded hours for UK 3-4 year olds with two working parents ► ► Brexit ► The UK’s departure from the EU may mean that EU nationals leave the UK ► ► National Living Wage ► An obligatory minimum wage payable to UK workers aged 25+ ► A government scheme in which the UK government will pay £2 for every £8 a parents pays into a childcare account – up to £2000 per year Tax Free Childcare Future Political Landscape ► ► Page 39 Source: Parthenon-EY Analysis No planned changes to childcare from current Conservative government Future Labour government likely to expand the provision of childcare Revenue and margins for private nurseries may be eroded as parents switch their hours from a private rate to a lower government funded rate We expect ~50% of Local Authorities to be revenue positive for busy bees due to the increase in the government rate Reduction in availability of EU nationals to operate as teachers within nurseries Reduction in EU enrolments within nurseries due to immigration changes Economic weakness reducing employment and enrolment in nursery sector ► Staffing costs may increase, impacting margins. Although this will mainly affect carers rather than nursery managers ► Minor administrative burden from providers switching from previous childcare voucher scheme Upside is that people may use this scheme to be able to afford additional childcare ► ► Based on recent manifestos, the Labour party is focused on expanding places and affordability via higher subsidies CANDIDATE COPY CANDIDATE COPY UK The market is highly fragmented Nurseries by ownership/ structure type 100% 11,252 100% Groups (6+) 80 Groups (<6) 80 Groups (6+) by number of sites, ownership and positioning 652 263 The Co-operative Childcare Toad Hall Nursery Group Childbase Partnership For Under Fives Ltd Banana Moon Day Nurseries Treetops Nurseries Ltd (incl. Kindercare Day Nuerseries) Asquith 60 NHS/Charity 60 288 367 Active Learning Blossom Years Children's Nursery & Pre-Schools Lily & Co Ltd Kinder Haven Day Nurseries Tudor House Montessori Nursery Group Bellevue Education Happy Days Childcare Squirrels Nurseries Rhymetime Nursery Child Centred Nurseries Bramleys Nurseries Clowns Nursery Ltd Heath Farm Day Nursery Ltd Caring Kindergartens Once Upon a Time Day Nurseries St Aubin Nurseries Ltd Puffins of Exeter Ltd Little Ones Childcare Childfirst Countryside Nurseries Ltd White Horse Child Care Ltd BrightStart Day Nurseries House of Eden Wind In The Willows Childcare Ltd Fisherfield Farm Nursery The Village Nursery Group Twinkle Totz Day Nursery Ltd Positive Steps Children's Day Nursery Ltd Portico Day Nurseries Ltd A Step Ahead Ltd Little Acorns & Stepping Stones Nurseries Davidson-Roberts Ltd Tynemouth Nursery Group Ltd Bush Babies Childrens Nurseries Ltd Mace Montessori Schools Ltd The Eveline Day and Nursery Schools Schoolhouse Daycare Ltd Noah's Ark Childcare Centres The Meadows Nursery Schools Paint Pots Nurseries Busy Nought to Fives Ltd Townsend Montessori Nurseries Ltd Paper Moon Nurseries Snapdragons Nurseries Ltd Little Elms Daycare Nursery Ltd Buttercups Nursery Ltd Hungry Caterpillar Day Nurseries Ltd Fennies Day Nurseries Ltd Kids Play Childcare Ltd Clarence House Day Nurseries Ltd Flying Start Stars Day Nurseries Ltd North Halifax Partnership Ltd Pollywiggle Day Nurseries Footsteps Day Nurseries Ltd Brighter Beginnings Educational Day Nurseries Tops Day Nurseries Tinies Childcare Nurseries Rosedene Nurseries Ltd Tommies Childcare Ltd Nunthorpe Nurseries Group Little Ripley Nurseries Little Acorns Group Ltd Childcare East Midlands LLP Happy Days South West Ltd Acorn Childcare Complete Childcare kidsunlimited Nurseries Minerva Education Cherry Childcare Magic Nurseries Chestnut Nursery Schools Ltd Seymour House Day Nursery Kids Planet Day Nurseries Sunhill Daycare (Europe) Ltd Kiddi Caru Day Nurseries Acorns Nurseries Ltd Yellow Dot Nursery Bright Horizons Family Solutions 40 Kids Inc Nurseries 40 Children 1st Day Nurseries Tiny Toez Ltd Alpha Nurseries 20 Independent Nurseries Mama Bear's Day Nursery Nuffy Bear Day Nurseries Just Childcare Ltd Children's Place Day Nurseries The Kindergartens Ltd 20 Ant Kids 1st Nurseries All About Children Monkey Puzzle Day Nurseries Ltd 0 #Nurseries More than 40 15-39 9-14 6-8 7 13 27 54 # of groups Ant Page 40 Source: Day Nurseries (2017) Safehands Network Bertram Nursery Group 0 Total = 1,570 Bright Horizons PE-backed Groups Non PE-backed Groups Canada CANDIDATE COPY Nurseries are in the for-profit segment of regulated center-based childcare, which spans the mid-ranged to super-premium market segments Canadian Nursery Market Segmentation Canada Child Care Market for Children Ages 0-5 by Type of Setting Segment Toddler Fee Range (C$ p.m. 2017) Target Parent Mid-ranged > 1,000 (overlaps with Premium in pricing, but over-indexes on subsidized parents) ► ~900 – 1,300 ► Premium ► ► Super-premium (e.g. Montessori) 1,300+ ► ► Montessori programs are highly regarded across Canada and most fall in the for-profit segment Page 41 Source: CRRU; Statistics Canada; General Social Survey Competitor Core Competitor Middle class, working full-time out of necessity Funded / working class Upper-middle class Funded / subsidized families to a lesser degree than mid-ranged Upper-class / high networth families Career couples Canada CANDIDATE COPY The regulated center-based childcare market in Canada is ~C$5.1B and is projected to continue growing at ~5% going forward KPMG Regulated Child Care Market Value, 2012-2016 Future growth at a rate of ~5% will be driven by a combination of fee increases, underlying population growth, and changes in capacity Source: KPMG VDD Report, Parthenon-EY Analysis, ”Early Childhood Education and Care in Canada 2014”, Statistics Canada, “Day Care in Canada” – IBIS World Page 42 Canada CANDIDATE COPY There is a significant shortage of places in Canada, which has allowed providers to consistently maintain high occupancy levels Regulated Childcare Spaces for Children Ages 0-5 1992-2016E Availability of spaces increased from 12% to 24% from 1992 to 2016 Commentary Lack of supply in the market is favourable to Ant, creating a seller’s market and providing clear opportunity for growth ► Ontario and Alberta have particularly low proportion of seats to children – at closer to 20% ► “There's a shortage of spaces to the point where they tighten up regulation and make it harder for new entrants to enter the market. I think there'll always be that excess demand over supply” – Former Director, Corporate Development, Private Nursery Chain The infant age group is most affected by seat shortages, driven by higher cost for this age group ► “There is a shortage of day care across all age groups in Canada, but in particular it’s unbelievably hard to find a centre that has space for infants because they’re more expensive programs to run and that comes into regulations because your ratio for infants is lower than other age groups. Having to employee staff is very expensive for centres” – Director, Developmental Centre for Early Learning Seat shortage is set to continue in the future ► “There is no evidence to suggest seat shortage will change in next few years – if anything it will get harder to open new places due to increased regulation, leading to more problems” – Audit Manager, Large Consultancy Government funding aims to increase the number of spaces Page 43 Note: 2016E is estimated based on market feedback on continued space investment lagging demand growth Source: Canadian Public Health Association; CCRU; Parthenon Interviews and Analysis ► In 2016, Ontario announced a plan to commit ~$3.75B into 100,000 new child care spaces over next 5 years ► British Columbia set a goal to create 22,000 new spaces over next 5 years ► Alberta’s recent capped fee trial was launched with aim of increasing spaces Canada CANDIDATE COPY The government is committed to increasing funding to nurseries to expand subsidies and increase the number of places available to parents Strong federal leadership 1998 – 2006 Federal and provincial funding for early child care, excl. Quebec, 1995-2006 ► Period of federal leadership began in 1997 with the National Children’s Agenda framework and vision ► National Child Benefit (evolved into today’s Canada Child Benefit) was begun in 1998 ► ► Page 44 The first Multilateral Framework on Early Learning and Child Care was created in 2003 and included a $935M investment over 5 years to add new spaces Bilateral agreements with several provinces followed and included funding commitments of $200M in 2005 and $500M in 2006 Provinces drive support 2006 – 2016 Funding expansion plan of Trudeau administration (current) Federal and provincial funding for early child care, excl. Quebec, 2006-2014 ► In late 2006, the newly elected Conservative government canceled the recently created bilateral agreements with the provinces ► During the period that followed, provinces drove support for early child care through legislation and initiatives including Ontario’s Child Care and Early Years Act (2014) ► In recent years, provincial governments have increased funding significantly – Ontario committed $3.75B in 2016 to add an additional 100,000 child care spaces over next 5 years, British Columbia is investing with the aim of creating 22,000 new spaces over next 3 years Source: Parliament of Canada; The Canadian Press; Province Websites; Parthenon-EY Interviews and Analysis Additional federal funding pledged, 2017-2026 Funding Period Total Total pledge through 2026 $7.5B FY2017-18 $500M FY2025-26 $860M ► In 2017, the Trudeau administration released a new Multilateral Framework on Early Learning and Child Care which makes a commitment by federal and provincial governments to work towards further investment ► Province negotiations allow leeway in how funds are directed, which will not automatically result in seat creation ► Today, Ontario, Nunavut, and PEI have signed bilateral agreements outlining priorities for funds ► Many looking for greater federal leadership for early child care believe the funding and commitments are insufficient to make a significant impact Canada Funding model includes both government subsidies and private parent pay CANDIDATE COPY Flow of Funds to Early Child Care Centers Funding Sources Federal sources Space creation is a key priority across provinces and federally; funds flows to new centers are not reflected in this illustration Canada Child Benefit ($17B) Note: Includes children 0-17; use not restricted to child care Funding Uses Private sources Parent income + federal benefits Center revenues Parent-paid fees (~$2.22.7B) Center cost offsets Represents total size of Canadian early childcare market, excluding Quebec which amounts to another $1.5B in spend Child Care Expense Deduction ($1.0B) Canada Social Transfer ($1.2B) Note: Supports a wide range of social programs; a small portion is spent on ECEC via provinces Page 45 Provincial / regional sources Total provincial and regional support for early child care; Includes some contribution from CST ($1.6B) Fee subsidies and center funding (~$0.8B) Note: (*) Color indicates outlook for childcare specific funding, defining “stable” as a flat to inflationary increase; additional wage support is anticipated to parallel the minimum wage increase in Ontario but is not guaranteed Source: Department of Finance Canada; CCRU; AECEO; Canada-Ontario Early Learning and Child Care Agreement; Parthenon Interviews and Analysis Wage subsidies, other recurring funding and one-time funding (~$0.8B) Preliminary 2018 outlook* Shrinking - Stable - Growing CANDIDATE COPY Singapore Early years enrolment has increased by ~3% over the last 3-5 years driven by enrolment in childcare centres Singapore Early Years Enrolment, by Centre Type, 2011-17 200K 169K 162K CAGR CAGR 2011-14 4% 2014-17 3% 1% -5% 7% 9% 168K 153K 150 142K 143K 142K 100 50 0 Page 46 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 GER Early Years 66% 67% 67% 73% 77% 81% 81% Share of Enrolment (Child Care Centres) 52% 53% 52% 55% 59% 61% 65% Source: Singstat; Early Childhood Development Agency (ECDA); Parthenon Analysis CANDIDATE COPY Singapore The sector is all privately run from more basic Anchor operators to Premium Providers Super Premium Premium Mid-Priced Partner Operators Anchor Operators Example Brands Indicative Price • STR (5 years old) • >S$20K • 1:7.5 or less • • ~70% locals, 30% expat Teacher Mix • 15-20% Western Expat teachers Very few (if any) Western Expat teachers, foreign teachers ASEAN countries Stand-alone bungalow or other landed property in premium neighborhoods • Mixture of landed property in middle class neighborhoods and in malls and HDB shophouses Built-to-specification spaces for art, movement and freeplay • Limited built-tospecification premises • • Center Type & Location • Infrastructure • 1:12 to 1:15 Student Mix • 1:15 Malls, HDB shophouse and a few landed propertiesgenerally concentrated in heartland areas • • ~90% locals, 10% expat • No Western Expat teachers, foreign teachers from ASEAN countries • Subsidized centers offered by mid priced providers • S$9.6K S$10-15K • ~80% locals, 20% expat • Page 47 S$15-20K Likely to be repurposed with minimal modifications and leverage public playground infrastructure • • 1:15 • ~90% locals No Western Expat teachers, foreign teachers from ASEAN countries Mostly Void decks of HDBs and some commercial buildings • • Likely to be repurposed with minimal modifications and leverage public playground infrastructure Note: EtonHouse and White Lodge have been re-classified into the super premium and premium categories respectively based on relative product configuration / market perception Source: Parthenon Research • • $8.6K 1:20 ~100% locals No Western Expat teachers, foreign teachers from ASEAN countries • Void decks of HDBs • Minimalist but clean infrastructure utilizing public play areas CANDIDATE COPY Singapore Parthenon estimates the total market to be worth S$1.5B across both independent and chain operators Early Years Education Market, by Price Segment in Revenue, Organized vs Unorganized, 2017 Organized Providers are defined as chains with more than 3 centers 100% S$257M S$201M S$551M Unorganised Unorganised S$525M Total = S$1.5B Unorganised 80 Chiltern House Shaws Unorganised Brighton Montessori 60 Odyssey Etonhouse 40 Pat's Schoolhouse Others Others Blossom White Lodge Mulberry Learning Centre Kiddiwinkie 20 Mindchamps Maple Bear Kinderland 0 Super Premium ($20-25K) Organised Segment Revenue Skool4Kidz E-Bridge Pre-School My World Busy Bees Small Wonder Agape Little Uni Just Kids Safari House Little Footprints Sunflower Cherie Hearts Star Learners Modern Montessori The Little Skool-House Carpe Diem Learning Vision Mid-Priced ($9-15K) G8 Education My First Skool Global EduHub Nurture Ed. Group PCF Crestar Ed. Group Budget (<$9K) Overall S1.0B $211M $121M $342M $361M 18% 19% 10% 12% Enrolment ~11K ~11K ~46K ~101K Average Fees $23K $18K $12K $6K S$10K 108 138 580 1,070 ~1896 Revenue Growth (Organised) Number of Centres Page 48 Premium ($15-20K) Others 12% ~168K CANDIDATE COPY Singapore Market growth in mid-priced up centres has been driven by new centres rather than existing centres Relevant Early Years Incremental Enrolment, Mid-Priced and Above, by New vs Mature Centres, 2014-17 50K 3K 45K 5K New (Post-2014) 2K 2K 34K New centres added ~9K enrolment 25 Mature (Pre-2014) 0 2014 Super Premium (>S$20K) Premium (S$15-20K) Mid-Priced (S$9-15K) New centres (established after 2014) Page 49 New Centres 32 32 86 Enrolment per new centre 70 70 71 Mature centres (est. before 2014) 2017 CANDIDATE COPY Singapore The government has promoted budget offerings through the POP and AOP programmes which provide some subsidies to providers and fee caps for parents Singapore Government support to operators, By Program Type AOP (Anchor Operator Scheme) POP (Partner Operator Scheme) 41K in 609 centres 14K in 169 centres Enrolment (2017) ► Program description ► ► Fee Cap and Growth ► ► Financial Support ► ► ► AOP scheme was launched in 2009 for 5 years to improve access to quality and affordable early childhood education Provides funding support to large preschool operators (Minimum Enrolment Scale =~3K) ► Fee cap of $720/month (excluding GST) for full-day child care program Fee increases allowed only with government approval ► Providers receive support of upto ~70% teacher and centre salary Capital grants covering >50% of the set-up costs AOPs also receive grant per additional capacity added ► ► Launched in 2016, POP supports child care operators to keep fees affordable, build capabilities to raise quality and improve career prospects for EC professionals Provides funding support to mid-sized preschool operators (Minimum Enrolment Scale = 300) Fee cap of $800/month(excluding GST) for full-day child care program Fee increases allowed only with government approval ► POPs receive ~S$240/month per child as government grant. This grant is revised by $30/year Preferential HDB site allocation- subsidized rent of $2-$4 per sqm AOPs can operate out of government schools, public areas AOP scheme also emphasized on supporting continuing professional development and career progression opportunities ► POPs can use shared public places like parks, swimming pools, etc. Preferential allocation to childcare sites in HDB estates Non-Financial Resource Support ► Mandates for providers ► All AOP providers need to add 2000 seats over 5 years ► All providers need to be SPARK(Singapore Pre-school Accreditation Framework) certified ► The scheme has been extended for another 5 years till 2018 given the demand and satisfaction amongst parents ► Still in nascent phase and focus is on implementation and improving teacher quality ► PCF Sparkletots My FirstSkool My World Preschool Skool4Kids E-Bridge Preschool ► Carpe Diem Star Learners Just Kidz Safari House Little Footprints Future plan/expansion ► ► Big Providers ► ► Page 50 ► ► ► ► ► ► Source: Early Childhood Development Agency (ECDA), Industry Participant Interviews, Parthenon Analysis CANDIDATE COPY Singapore We estimate that the market will continue to grow at ~12% per annum; an incremental 180 centres will be needed in the mid-priced upwards segments to meet demand Historical & Forecasted Relevant Early Years Incremental Enrolment, by Price Segment, 2013-21F Local + Expat demand Historical Forecast CAGR CAGR 14-'17 '17-'21F 13% 12% 150K 32K 132K Premium (S$15-20K) 14% 9% Super Premium (>S$20K) 15% 8% 8% 6% 17% 16% 8K 100 15K 86K 3K 3K Mid-Priced (S$10-15K) 6K 60K 3K 2K 50 0 Page 51 Mid Priced + AOP segment will have 40K new spaces in AOP by 2022 2014 Super Premium Mid-Priced Premium (S$15-20K)(S$10-15K) (>S$20K) AOP 2017 Super Premium Mid-Priced Premium (S$15-20K)(S$10-15K) (>S$20K) AOP AOP 2021F Agenda • Tips and Guidelines • Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) • Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) • • • Case 1: Protein Bars (~25 mins) Case 2: Prison Telephony (~35 mins) Case 3: Nurseries (~35 mins) • EY-Parthenon FAQs Page 52 Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Outline of case and advice to candidates About the case: • Advice to candidates: This case is about Muscle Nutrition., a UK sports nutrition • If you don’t understand something, please ask for clarification company selling protein powder, bars and tablets. Their • There are no ‘tricks’ here – we are trying to find out what you main client base has historically been body builders can do, not if we can catch you out • • response The impressive success of their recently launched protein bars has caught the attention of Smith and Jones Capital, a • Please write down your workings clearly on the sheets of paper provided so that your interviewer can follow along UK based Private Equity fund who are now interested in buying the company Take the time to think through your answer and structure your • Please keep working through even as your interviewer is taking notes • Smith and Jones believe that there is potential to take Muscle Nutrition’s bars into the mainstream market and have engaged you to help them test their investment thesis Page 53 • Please do not open this pack until instructed to do so by your interviewer Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Questions 1 How would you size the total market for protein bars in the UK? ►Please demonstrate how you would structure the market sizing ►Conduct Page 54 the calculations Practice Cases Case 1: Protein Bars Q1: Suggested segmentation INTERVIEWER COPY Increasing frequency of eating protein bars and penetration based on exercise penetration 1 Page 55 Body Builders § Attend the gym daily mainly to weight lift § Eat protein bars almost daily § Will pay a premium for higher content of protein and sacrifice taste Sports Fanatics § Exercise regularly but partake in other sporting activities such as triathlons § Require less protein than body builders and eat less frequently § Value taste more than body builders but not as much as chocolate lovers Non-exercisers § Minimal interest in sport and therefore don’t have need for protein to build muscle / improve performance § Buy snack bars to stave off hunger and for the taste § Low awareness of the benefits of protein and are willing to trade off protein for taste and price 2 3 Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Q1: Market Sizing Suggested Solution Market Size Calculation (Do not give sheet to candidates). Example numbers given on following page. • Candidates should recognise each consumers have different preferences for eating protein bars Consumer Segment size û • Candidates should make reasonable assumptions about penetration rates across different consumer segments recognising that body builders will have a much higher penetration level Segment Penetration û Frequency of Consumption of Bars Calculate for each segment û • Make reasonable suggestions for retail price based on experience of buying protein bars or snack bars. May mention discounts. Ave. Retail Price Segment Size Page 56 • Will need to make assumptions around frequency of consumption. “Body builder” segment will consumer most frequently Sum all Segments Total Market Size Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Q1: Market Sizing Suggested Solution 1 Page 57 2 3 General Comments Data points Body Builders Sports Fanatics Non-Exercisers • Segment based on exercise habits • Non-exercisers are an ‘other’ category Population 60m 60m 60m • Try to steer them towards using 60m as easier Segment size 10% = 6m 30% = 18m 60% = 24m • These are just suggestions, allow different numbers but steer towards rounded numbers but must have similar relative proportions (i.e. body builders are small proportion) • NB: In the real case we had 4 segments including light sports users so the mainstream category was smaller Segment Penetration 70% = 4.2m 50% = 9m 20% = 4.8m • These are suggested numbers. Accept anything that has a similar relative penetration (i.e. Segment 3 is the lowest) • You could ask them to think about it, assess their thinking and then ask them to use these penetrations Ave. Frequency of Consumption (Bars) 2 / week = 96 / year 3 / month = 36 / year 1 / month = 24 / year • Lower grading if they don’t get to an annual number • Rounding is permissible Ave. Retail Price £2 £2 £2 • Candidates with some experience may know that these bars have a premium. However, £1 would be an acceptable number to use Segment Value £806.4 m £648m £230.4m • Suggest rounding to 100 bars for segment 1 (£840m) • Suggest rounding to 7m for segment 2 (£336m) Total Market Size £1.7bn • Alternatively (£840+£648+£338) = £1.824bn Case 1: Protein Bars Questions 2 Page 58 INTERVIEWER COPY As mentioned, the PE firm are interested in the mainstream segment of the market for protein bars. What do you think are the growth drivers of this segment of the market? Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Questions ► Broader trends/considerations demonstrating commercial awareness ► Core market drivers Customer Driven ► Increased participation in sports ► Increased interest in foods that are good for our health ► Trend towards convenience / on-the go products Supply side Factors ► Increased distribution particularly in convenience channels ► Availability of online ► Marketing of the benefits of protein in achieving sporting goals by sports nutrition companies ► Broader range of SKUs and increased accessibility of flavours and price ► Marketing of the general benefits of protein to overall health sports nutrition companies This list is not exhaustive, credit should be given to the candidate for any valid point raised Page 59 Case 1: Protein Bars Questions 3 Page 60 INTERVIEWER COPY Based on the data on the following slides, is there sufficient evidence to say protein bars can go mainstream? Please summarise in a few (3-5) bullet points. Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: What is most important to you when thinking about healthy eating? Select and rank your top 3 40% 30 20 10 0 Page 61 Low calorie Less carbs Source: Parthenon-EY Health & Wellness Consumer Survey 2015 (n=1,061) More protein Organic Nutrients added From a sustainable source Gluten free GMO free Practice Cases Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: What is the main occasion when you eat protein bars? Page 62 Source: Consumer Survey (n=1,415) INTERVIEWER COPY Q: What is the most important reason for you eating protein bars? Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: How often do you typically exercise per week? For all consumers who bought the protein bar brand in the past 6 months 100% 80 60 40 I don’t usually exercise Less than once per week One or two times per week 20 Three or four times per week Five or six times per week Every day 0 Protein Bar Manufacturers Page 63 Source: Consumer Survey (n=1,415) Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: Where did you buy the [brand] bars you purchased most recently? 60% 54% 40% 40 25% 20% 20 11% 18% 10% 8% 4% 0 % All Brands Page 64 Source: Consumer Survey (n=1,415) : 4% 3% 3% Supermarket Specialist health store (e.g.,Holland & Barrett / Met-Rx) Amazon Online (excl. Amazon) Convenience store Other 50% 15% 12% 15% 4% 3% Average (excl. Muscle Nutrition) Muscle Nutrition consumers Practice Cases Case 1: Protein Bars Data Q: How often do you eat a protein bar? Page 65 Source Consumer Survey (n=1,415) INTERVIEWER COPY Q: Are you eating more or less protein bars than you did in the past? Practice Cases Case 1: Protein Bars Q3: Mainstream evidence suggested solution Slide No . Mainstreaming? 1 What is most important to you when thinking about healthy eating? Inconclusive – difficult to infer 2 What is the main occasion when you eat protein bars? Suggests mainstream – eating as a convenience snack as opposed to for the purpose of workouts What is the most important reason for eating protein bars? Suggests mainstream – Considering protein bars as a replacement for chocolate and sweets suggests they are considered for a much broader and common propose than sports related reasons which are more niche 3 How often do you typically exercise so you work up a sweat? Suggests mainstream – Musle Nutrition bars are generally eaten by consumers who don’t have specialised sporting needs therefore has a broader appeal across consumer segments 4 Where did you buy the bars that you bought most recently? Suggests mainstream – Generally purchased in mainstream channels, namely supermarkets, and less so in specialist stores How often do you eat a protein bar? Could suggest mainstream – High frequency could suggest not a niche product Are you eating more or less protein bars than you did in the past? Could suggest mainstream – Consumption of protein is increasing suggesting its becoming a more acceptable product 2 5 5 Page 66 Survey Question INTERVIEWER COPY Agenda • Tips and Guidelines • Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) • Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) • • • Case 1: Protein Bars (~25 mins) Case 2: Prison Telephony (~35 mins) Case 3: Nurseries (~35 mins) • EY-Parthenon FAQs Page 67 Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Outline of case and advice to candidates About the case: ► This case is about Calypso, a provider of phone services to prisons and prisoners in Europe. The company addresses four markets: ► If you don’t understand something, please ask for clarification ► There are no ‘tricks’ here – we are trying to find out what you can do, not if we can catch you out ► Take the time to think through your answer and structure your response 2) Multimedia: covers media content / video-calling and messaging apps ► Please write down your workings clearly on the sheets of paper provided so that your interviewer can follow along 3) Prisoner self-service: self-service applications for prisoners ► Please keep working through even as your interviewer is taking notes 4) Lawful interception: surveillance and storing of content provided over Calypso’s services ► Please do not open this pack until instructed to do so by your interviewer 1) Telephone systems: connects prisoners and external parties (e.g. relatives) through telephones made available to prisoners Page 68 Advice to candidates: ► Calypso generates a majority of its revenues from the use of telephone systems by prisoners, and has not yet fully rolled out all of its products across every market ► A private equity investor is interested in acquiring a stake in the business and has engaged EY-Parthenon to assess the market and future growth opportunities for Calypso Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Market segmentation Description Market segments ► Telephone systems ► Multi-media ► Self-service ► Lawful interception Page 69 Hallway and in-cell telephone systems providing access to national and international calls, through landline, cell and collect calls In-cell multimedia terminals which enable inmates to communicate (through video calls, video messaging and video telephony) and watch and listen to music and movies Self-service solutions delivered via in-cell terminals which enable inmates to organise their prison life, doctors appointments and shopping Provides capabilities for the listening in on conversations and the storage of past conversations Buyer Calypso’s Products ► Prison telephones and in-cell phone systems ► Prisoner pays per use ► Relatives pay for collect calls and can fund the prisoner’s account ► Prisoner pays monthly fee ► Relatives can fund the prisoner’s account ► CalypsoConnect for collect calls (collect calls are calls paid for by the recipient) ► TV access, radio, DVD and telephony ► Multimedia content, video calls and messaging ► In-mate self service applications ► Prison administration pays service fees ► Storage of past conversations ► Charged for on a per prisoner basis ► Lawful interception capabilities ► Prison administration pays service fees ► Charged for on a per prisoner basis Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 1 1 Page 70 INTERVIEWER COPY What is the size of the addressable market for Calypso’s services within Europe (in terms of annual € revenue)? Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 1: Market Sizing – All services Market Size Calculation European Population (Either 500m or 750m) % in prison (~0.1%) Telephone % using phone regularly (~75% - optional step) 500,000 – 750,000 Prison Services Multimedia 375,000 % using media regularly (~50%) 250,000 Monthly cost (€5 per month, €60 per year) €15m Minutes spent telephoning 562.5m mins p.a. (~30m per week, 1500 p.a.) Price per minute (€0.2 per minute) €112.5m Total per year (sum of the above) Page 71 €177.5m Annual cost (€100 per year) €50m Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 2 2 Page 72 INTERVIEWER COPY What are the drivers of growth for the prison telephony market? How do you think this market is likely to develop in Europe over the next 3-5 years? Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 2: Business drivers Key aspects to be covered Give credit for any reason, well-structured response. Below are examples of good points a candidate can make. A good candidate would also talk about the relative ranking of the drivers and consider the limitations to the drivers listed Volume ► ► ► Prisoners are forecast to remain stable across European markets (considers country variances) – no data to support this in materials, but candidates should be expected to reflect on what might cause the number of inmates to grow or decline (good ones would think about both population and incarceration rate). Increased immigration or growing economic inequality in the last few years could be one reason that the number of inmates might rise, but overall falling crime levels and a declining population in some countries could be reasons to expect the number of inmates to fall. Increasing usage per inmate as the reintegration to society is of key importance in most European markets resulting in lower restrictions on telephony usage and adoption of in-cell telephony. However, if restrictions are lifted completely and inmates are allowed to use their own cell phones, Calypso’s product might become redundant Increasing concerns over technology and prisoners using the services to e.g. organise crime from within prisons will increase the need for Calypso’s interception services Price ► Page 73 Falling prices driven by regulation and competition which has consequently increase the volume of calls (candidates should be able to reflect on whether this actually has an effect, or is just equaling itself out) Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Calypso’s company footprint Calypso’s revenue by product segment (%), FY17 Calypso revenue split by geography (%), 2017 Interception services In the Netherlands, Calypso generates ~20% of revenue with products other than telephone systems. Self-service Multimedia NL 14% DE 27% 92.0% Telephone Systems FR 28% PL 9% CZ <1% HU 7% RO 8% BG 3% FY17 Key: Page 74 = More than 10% = From 5% to 10% = Up to 5% = None Note: IR = Ireland, UK = United Kingdom, FR = France, SP = Spain, BE = Belgium, NL = Netherlands, CH = Switzerland, DE = Germany, CZ = Czech Republic, AT = Austria, IT = Italy, HR = Croatia, HU = Hungary, SK = Slovakia, RO = Romania, BG = Bulgaria, PL = Poland, NO = Norway, SE = Sweden, FI = Finland Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Contract structure and upcoming tenders Commentary National vs local tender organisation ► Although the majority of revenue is paid for by prisoners themselves, Calypso contracts with prison providers to be allowed to offer its services to prisoners, usually as a sole provider ► A majority of contracts are won through national tenders which have unique requirements for each country ► Tenders are lengthy and begin in advance of the actual tender period and typically last 3-5 years with extension options FI ► The complexity of public tenders has resulted from mandatory requirements and a sophisticated scoring system NO SE NL IR UK Upcoming National Tenders in 2018 - 2019 PL BE DE Country CZ SK FR AT CH HU HR IT RO Poland 3 years BG Norway 5 years Czech Republic 4 years Sweden 5 years Finland 4 years Switzerland 4 years France 5 years Denmark 3 years SP Key: Page 75 Contract Length = Local / regional tender = National tender Note: IR = Ireland, UK = United Kingdom, FR = France, SP = Spain, BE = Belgium, NL = Netherlands, CH = Switzerland, DE = Germany, CZ = Czech Republic, AT = Austria, IT = Italy, HR = Croatia, HU = Hungary, SK = Slovakia, RO = Romania, BG = Bulgaria, PL = Poland, NO = Norway, SE = Sweden, FI = Finland Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Pricing and usage patterns Commentary ► After being accused of charging unfairly high prices due to a lack of other telephone options in prisons, Calypso was taken to court in Germany and forced to substantially reduce the prices for its telephone services ► There has been public pressure on Calypso in France and the UK to make similar price reductions, with talks of litigation Page 76 INTERVIEWER COPY Telephone Usage Data, Germany Practice Cases INTERVIEWER COPY Case 2: Prison Telephony Global prison demographics Global Prison Industry, by Number of Inmates, 2017 100% Calypso Customer Counties 5.0% Rest of Europe 11.1% 80 Africa and the Middle East 11.3% South America 14.6% 60 North America 21.8% 40 20 0 Page 77 Asia Pacific 36.3% Number of Inmates Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 3 3 Page 78 INTERVIEWER COPY Based on the data available and your own knowledge, what are the growth opportunities for Calypso over the next 3-5 years? What are the potential risks? Practice Cases Case 2: Prison Telephony Question 3: Growth opportunities and risks INTERVIEWER COPY Key aspects to be covered Give credit for any reason, well-structured response. Below are examples of good points a candidate can make. A good candidate would also talk about the relative ranking of the opportunities and consider the limitations to the opportunities listed Opportunities ► Increasing penetration within Multi-media, Self-service and Interception services - the company currently underserves these markets (within revenues largely from NL) ► Expansion to new European markets, considering different tender policies and ease of market entry ► Expansion outside of Europe as emerging markets become more sophisticated – but probably with increased difficulty Expansion to other services that can be sold to prisons ► Risks ► Re-tendering of contract in France, possible to lose a large portion of revenue if this is not won again ► Technological advancement resulting in new entrants into the market / making telephony redundant (Calypso’s core market) ► Falling number of inmates (?) – no data to support this is materials provided, but candidate should be able to reflect on what the possibilities are, and if so how significant this would be Other ► Page 79 Arguable whether falling prices is a risk or not, as experience from Germany shows lost revenue being made up with higher call volume Agenda • Tips and Guidelines • Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) • Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) • • • Case 1: Protein Bars (~25 mins) Case 2: Prison Telephony (~35 mins) Case 3: Nurseries (~35 mins) • EY-Parthenon FAQs Page 80 INTERVIEWER COPY Nurseries Questions and Answers Question Page 81 Poor Average • Note the key drivers are number of kids in the area and affordability • Limited grasp beyond that Good Q1: Nursery Location Choice • No meaningful structure • Significant assistance required • Misses Major Issues Q2: Prioritisation • Provides an unstructured answer, • Makes some reasonably • Structures the answer coherently doesn’t priortise suggestions about what you might • Notes that there are some put first. Reasonably competent baseline criteria (sufficient answer people, quality standard) that must be a minimum and that others are harder to assess in isolation and require scorecard approach 3. Country Choice • Limited structure and reference to slides Excellent • Gets the basic criteria – number of • Achieves Good kids, affordability • Providers better commentary that • Makes commentary that looks at competitive density affordability links to the structure (relative to population) and notes of funding softer factors may be important • Notes competitive elements are such as management/first likely important impressions/marketing etc. • Notes quality (in various metrics • Notes that future trends (e.g. also important) demographic changes) are as important as the “now” • Achieves all “good” criteria • Notes that it depends on time horizon to return – if you need cash now you want a pre-existing successful nursery. But if you have time, you may want to look at areas with expected growth going forwards • Makes some comment also on valuation/cost • Provides the basic insights form • Well structured answer that elicits • Achieve all ‘good’ criteria the slides but without synthesis or key information – such as market • Talks intelligently about the clear view on why one geography size, reliance on government, relative trade-offs over the other market structure etc. • Notes answer may differ on • Provides a scorecard type greenfield vs. acquisition and approach and makes a decision on which is better/worse by that on basis geography • Considers time horizon for investment intelligently Agenda • Tips and Guidelines • Practice Cases (Candidate Copy) • Practice Cases (Interviewer Copy) • • Case 1: Protein Bars (~25 mins) Case 2: Prison Telephony (~25 mins) • EY-Parthenon FAQs Page 82 Building a strategy consulting career unique to you Strategy realised EY-Parthenon Strategy FAQ Next Wave Building a world-class strategy firm under the EY Brand 300,000+ people | $36.4b revenue | 150 countries EY has invested $0.5b over five years Strategy and Transactions (SaT) ($4.1b) Tax ($9.5b) Number of employees globally Assurance ($12.6b) 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 FY15 Page 84 Consulting ($10.2b) FY17 FY19 FY21 EY-Parthenon Strategy FAQ Next Wave The New EY-Parthenon Service Line Strategy and Transactions EY has four service lines - Assurance, Tax, Strategy & Transactions, and Consulting EY-Parthenon sits inside of Strategy and Transactions Strategy and Transactions (S&T) is the fastest growing service line in the EY organisation, where innovation around our clients’ needs has been central to our growth S&T is organised around fast track value creation through our Connected Capital Solutions: Strategy, Buy & Integrate, Sell & Separate, Reshaping Results and Corporate Finance EY-Parthenon is where we bring together our team of strategy consultants with the focus and skills aligned with the CEO agenda EY-Parthenon skills cover: • Corporate and Growth Strategy • Transaction Strategy and Execution • Turnaround and Restructuring Strategy In EY-Parthenon, our consultants are focused on triggering events, for example: • A new CEO wants to embark on a strategy refresh • A company is looking to grow through acquisition • A company is looking to optimize their portfolio of businesses, and divestment is a potential option Page 85 EY-Parthenon Strategy FAQ EY-Parthenon has three functional areas; EY-Parthenon Strategy covers the ‘Corporate & Growth Strategy’ functional area Turnaround & Restructuring Strategy Corporate & Growth Strategy ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► ► Corporate and BU strategy Purpose-led strategy and longterm value Business model reinvention Portfolio strategy New market entry opportunities Digital transformation strategy Go-to-market strategy Commercial diligence (buy-side) Vendor due diligence (sell-side) Corporate & Growth Strategy Turnaround & Restructuring Strategy ► ► ► ► ► Transaction Strategy & Execution Transaction Strategy & Execution ► ► ► ► ► Page 86 ► Operational and IT diligence Integration strategy planning and execution Divestiture strategy planning and execution (DivestCo and RemainCo) Value realization and tracking Operational and IT separation Rapid performance improvement Private Equity value creation Improving liquidity and working capital Restructuring and turnarounds Contingency planning and insolvency solutions Simplifying corporate structure EY-Parthenon Strategy FAQ Service Offerings EY-Parthenon Strategy • EY-Parthenon Strategy is strongly positioned in the marketplace to serve as a global strategic advisor, working with companies to develop long-term growth and investment strategies. • We advise clients on developing and executing on strategic opportunities by providing in-depth perspectives on the client’s market, competitors, customers, finances and operations. • With respect to a company’s capital lifecycle, EY-Parthenon Strategy help determine when and where to invest and assess the viability of potential targets to achieve strategic objectives around growth and portfolio management. • EY-Parthenon Strategy has great strengths across EMEIA in a wide range of practices including TMT, Life Sciences, Financial Services, Retail & Consumer products and Education Page 87 Key Focus Areas Investment Strategy Transaction evaluation Growth strategy Market diligence Market entry strategy Portfolio optimization Strategic options assessment Education innovation and reform Human capital strategy Commercial due diligence Divestiture preparation Forecast achievability assessment Merger and acquisition strategy Services Delivered (sometimes in collaboration with TSE and Consulting) Corporate strategy Value creation Corporate/business unit strategy Competitive analysis and strategy Economic forecasting/modeling Innovation Marketing/distribution strategy Brand audit Cost optimization Marketing mix effectiveness Pricing Sales force effectiveness EY-Parthenon Strategy FAQ How does EY-P Strategy differ from Consulting? EY-P Strategy and Consulting work closely together in helping our clients deliver their most important aspirations and address their most complex issues, but there are a number of important differences EY-P Strategy Consulting Sets the strategic transaction and transformation agenda Helps clients realise their transformation agenda Sector teams with deep strategy capability Competence teams focused on deep implementation capabilities Short(er) engagements. Typically measured in weeks Long(er) engagements. Potentially multi-year Smaller pyramids, with heavy partner involvement in delivery Wider pyramids with more leverage of partner time across the full scope Focused on the CEO agenda Works across the c-suite Page 88 EY-Parthenon Strategy FAQ EY-Parthenon Strategy Sectors Advanced Manufacturing & Mobility Education Healthcare & Life Sciences Financial Services Private Equity Page 89 Energy Retail & Consumer Goods Technology, Telecom & Media Why Choose EY-Parthenon Strategy? We provide the building blocks for a career unique to you Page 90 Powerful firm-wide purpose Build a Better Working World – impact our clients, our people, and our communities Breadth of experiences A wide range of sectors, advising senior executives important strategic questions World-class training Develop the mindset and technical skills to become a transformative leader Inclusive culture Embracing the uniqueness of who you are A global exposure Multicultural thinking needed to deliver cross-border impact Innovative and entrepreneurial environment Use smarts and creativity to optimise client impact and enhance the office EY-Parthenon Strategy FAQ What makes EY-Parthenon Strategy different in the market? The Industry The consulting industry has been evolving over the past decade plus • The traditional strategy houses which were focused on the “What?” have been going downstream in the “How?” • The traditional operational & implementation houses focused on the “How?” have been moving upstream in the “What?” • EY-Parthenon sits in the middle of the “What?” and the “How?” delivering strategy through execution capabilities to our clients EY-Parthenon – STRATEGY REALISED We combine the What and the How to help CEOs design and deliver transformative strategies to optimize stakeholder value Connected perspectives – Unapparelled suite of services: • EYP combines deep sector knowledge with unmatched perspectives of strategy through execution thinking, to develop future-led strategies • We bring the full suite of knowledge from our EY capabilities to help clients make effective strategic decisions and implement subsequent operational, financial, tax, human capital and other related changes. • We understand the entire CEO and boardroom agenda Connected solutions – Unmatched global scale: • Through EY’s global reach and scale, we can help deliver on our strategies • Well integrated across EY-Parthenon EMEIA and the US. • Leverage EY offices in 150 countries to understand market opportunities on the ground, quickly access global information and mobilise global teams. • With an innovation-to-execution approach, we can orchestrate multiple stakeholders to ensure successful delivery Act as a journey partner to the CEO: • Our focus is on building long and deep relationships with the c-suite to lead, guide and challenge them through the business life cycle The result of our offering has been market leading growth - both in headcount and in revenue, we have outpaced the market in our growth Page 91 EY-Parthenon Strategy FAQ Diversity at EY-Parthenon Strategy • We take pride in our inclusive culture which values diversity of backgrounds, experiences, and beliefs At EY-Parthenon and within the broader EY organization, an inclusive culture that supports diverse teams is central to our success. Our commitment to inclusiveness is driven not just from the top down but from the bottom up. We promote this through informal events such as: • Brown bag lunches to discuss topics ranging from socioeconomic diversity in professional services to how our background can impact our confidence • International Week where we celebrate the diverse mix of cultures and backgrounds that make up our team • Women in Business breakfasts where we invite external speakers to address our team. • Anyone can bring an idea and drive that idea forward to help make our team more inclusive • There are number of formal networks and communities within EY which all employees are welcome to join. They're excellent ways to meet new people from across the organisation and get notifications of events and other network activities that might be going on. They are a key part of our D&I offering and are run by passionate and dedicated volunteers from across EY. Networks include • EY Women’s Network • Ability at EY – e.g. Hearing, Mobility, Dyslexia, Autism • Life Network – e.g. Family/Parents, Military, Carers, Special Needs • EY Race and Ethnicity – e.g. Black, Far East, South Asian, ANZAC • Embrace – EY’s Faith and Belief Network – Jewish, Christian, Muslim, Hindu, Sikh • Unity – EY’s LBGTQ+ Network Page 92