The Lesson Learned from Natural Disaster/Floods in Baluchistan: A Case Study of Bridges. BALOCHISTAN UNIVERSITY OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY ENGINEERING & MANAGEMENT SCIENCES (BUITEMS) By Nisar Ahmed 49604 Syed Mansoor Ahmed 49382 Syed Raziq 50753 Syed Zainab Bakhsh 48947 Bachelor In Civil Engineering Supervisor By DR. ENGR. NAIK MUHAMMAD Department of Civil Engineering Faculty of Engineering and Architecture oct 2021 Table of Contents Chapter 1. 1.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................3 Background .............................................. Ошибка! Закладка не определена. 1.1.1. Natural Phenomenon .....................................................................................4 1.1.2. Earthquake ....................................................................................................5 1.1.3. Wind..............................................................................................................5 1.1.4. Cyclone .........................................................................................................5 1.1.5. Scour .............................................................................................................5 1.1.6. Landslide .......................................................................................................6 1.1.7. Manmade factors ...........................................................................................6 1.1.8. Design and construction errors .....................................................................6 1.1.9. Overloading...................................................................................................6 1.1.10. Collision ....................................................................................................7 1.1.11. Lack of inspection and maintenance .........................................................7 1.1.12. Fire ............................................................................................................7 1.2 Problem Statement ...............................................................................................8 1.3 Aims and Objectives ............................................................................................8 1.4 Sustainable development goals (SDG) .................................................................8 Chapter 2. Literature Review..........................................................................................9 Chapter 3. Methodology: ..............................................................................................11 Chapter 4. Refrences: ...................................................................................................21 List of Figures Figure 3.1 Methodology Flow Chart ................................................................................12 Figure 3.1 DHA bridge .....................................................................................................14 Figure 3.2 ghaza band bridge ............................................................................................15 Figure 3.3 killi shalam bridge ...........................................................................................16 Figure 3.4 killi Almas bridge ............................................................................................17 Figure 3.5 Chashma Bypass bridge .................................................................................18 Figure 3.6 Chashma achozai bridge .................................................................................19 Chapter 1. Introduction A bridge is a vital engineering structure designed to span a gap or obstacle, connecting two points previously separated by water, land, or any other barrier. Its purpose is to facilitate the movement of people, vehicles, or goods, enabling efficient transportation and connectivity. Bridges come in various forms and designs, ranging from simple beam bridges to complex suspension or arch bridges, each tailored to specific needs and geographical challenges. Failures of bridges have occurred ever since bridge building started thousands of years ago. A large part of the technical knowledge associated with bridge engineering today is based on the past failures of bridges. In the past century, bridge engineers learned substantially from studying historical failures of bridges. Each bridge failure has its unique features which makes it difficult to generalize the causes of failures. Floods and other hydraulic events are perceived to be the most common causes of total or partial bridge collapse in Balochistan, Bridge damages have been observed to be mainly at the bridge foundations. More specifically, the flooding waters erode the bridge abutments, scour the bridge piers and weaken the bridge’s resistance against the flood loads and eventually destroy the bridge. Bridges are designed to withstand the multihazard or combined effect of Flood and earthquake. Heavy precipitation usually leads to flooding, which may induce phenomena such as scour, erosion, river convergence, insufficient embedment depth, protection works-induced over fall or hydraulic jump, softened bedrock, sand mining, debris impact or abrasion on bridge foundations, etc. One or a combination of these causes can result in dramatic reductions in the strength and stability of bridge key components and can even cause bridge failures. Causes and Mechanisms of Bridge Failures 1.1.1. Natural Phenomenon Several natural hazards like flood, scour, wind, earthquake, landslide, debris flow, and storm surge are unavoidable and are among the root causes of failures of many bridges. A summary of causes and mechanisms of bridge failures due to different natural hazards are summarized in the following sections(Choudhury and Hasnat 2015). 1.1.2. Earthquake Earthquakes lead to vertical and horizontal ground motions that can result in the failure of bridges. The most common damage includes shear-flexural failure of the bridge pier columns, expansion joint failure, shear key failure, and girder sliding in the transverse or longitudinal directions due to weak connections between girders and bearing. In addition, both the vertical and horizontal ground motions may cause the liquefaction of the soil at the bridge foundations, which can greatly reduce the load-carrying capacity of the foundations leading to bridge collapse(Choudhury and Hasnat 2015). 1.1.3. Wind Forces and vibrations induced by wind have led to a large number of failures. Wind induced aerostatic and aerodynamic forces are major design challenges in designing bridges, especially for flexible long-span bridges. Aerodynamic vibration is usually caused by three different types of oscillations viz. flutter, buffeting, and vortex-induced oscillation.These forces lead to large displacements and stresses that may exceed the capacity of bridge structures and resulting in the collapse of bridges(Choudhury and Hasnat 2015). 1.1.4. Cyclone In addition to the high pressure due to extreme winds in case of cyclones, the hydrodynamic forces caused by storm surge resulting from the tropical cyclones cause severe damages in the bridges in coastal areas. The high transverse wind speed combined with the surge in the water level resulting from a reduction in the atmospheric pressure raise the water level to an elevation that is able to strike the superstructure of bridges along the coast. Based on the several observed failure modes of bridges due to cyclone, it is obvious that the connections between the bridge deck and piers play the most important role to withstand the cyclone induced wave loads(Deng, Wang, and Yu 2016). 1.1.5. Scour Scour is a phenomenon in which the level of the riverbed becomes lower under the effect of water erosion, leading to the exposure of bridge foundations. This happens either because of the increase of flow speed around the river piers or because of the long time erosion of the riverbed. The scour phenomena depend on the flow rate, speed, type and condition of the riverbed, width and depth of the river. With an increase in scour depth, the lateral resistance of the soil supporting the foundation is significantly reduced, thus increasing the lateral deflection of the foundation head. Furthermore, when the critical scour depth is reached, bending or local buckling of the foundation may occur under the combined effect of the dead load of bridge superstructures, the traffic load and/or lateral loads(Biezma and Schanack 2007). 1.1.6. Landslide Landslide occurs mainly due to water saturation, earthquake, or volcanic eruption, and it may result in the downward and outward movement of slope-forming materials including rock, soil, artificial fill, or a combination of these materials. These moving slope-forming materials, when hitting the bridge, may lead to severe damage or even collapse of the bridge(Iverson 2000). 1.1.7. Manmade factors In addition to the natural factors, human factors, including imperfect design and construction method, collision, vehicle overloading, fire, attacks by enemy forces or terrorists, lack of inspection and maintenance, etc., may also result in bridge collapses. These factors are discussed in the following sections(Iverson 2000). 1.1.8. Design and construction errors Many bridges have collapsed due to the imperfect design; use of materials with poor quality Use of an inappropriate construction method have led to bridge collapses in the construction phase. The choice of material based on location and environmental factor plays an important role; for example, construction materials, especially iron and steel are not resistant to weather or other corrosive influences, unless special measures are adopted. The collapse of the West Gate Bridge in Australia in 1970 was due to the poor design and the inappropriate construction methods used, Therefore, strict process control and proper supervision can effectively reduce the probability of this type of bridge failure. A surprising number of bridges collapse as they are being built. Unfortunately, some of the deadliest bridge collapses in history have occurred during the construction of bridges. While a functional bridge may only have a few vehicles on it when it collapses, it takes hundreds of workers to build a bridge - all of whom may be in dangerous positions in case of collapse(Abdelhamid 2015). 1.1.9. Overloading Incorrect assumption of loads is another major cause of collapse. Truck overloading usually causes fatigue problems in bridge components and can shorten the service life of bridges. In some extreme cases, the weight of the overloaded trucks may exceed the load- carrying capacity of the bridge and directly cause bridge collapse(Wardhana and Hadipriono 2003). 1.1.10. Collision Collision due to vessel impact causes serious damages to bridges. Several collapses in bridges initiated by the local component failure resulting from collision have been reported. studied the failure process of the Jiujiang Bridge over Xijiang River in Guangdong province in the People's Republic of China, which collapsed on June 15, 2007, due to vessel impact and pointed out that the progressive failure of three consecutive spans resulted from the separation of structural elements and the centrifugal force of the falling bridge deck. To account for vehicle collision, the AASHTO (2012) code requires that the abutments and piers located within a distance of 9.144m to the edge of roadway shall be designed for an equivalent static force of 2,669kN, which is assumed to act in a direction of 0 to 15° to the edge of the pavement in a horizontal plane, at a distance of 1.542m above the ground(Ouyang et al. 2005). 1.1.11. Lack of inspection and maintenance Usually, bridges are designed and constructed to serve for a long time, at least 100 years. However, bridges in service are constantly subject to not only dead and live loads, but also attack by the environment. As a result, bridges experience progressive deterioration, which, when exceeding a certain threshold level, can cause serious problems. The deterioration mechanism is influenced by various factors including material properties, environmental conditions, live load situation. The risk of bridge deterioration cannot be completely eliminated - however, a good maintenance program including regular inspection and proper rehabilitation will slow down this process(Kim et al. 2013). 1.1.12. Fire Fires on bridges are commonly caused by the collision of vehicles such as fuel tankers or freight trucks and multiple vehicle collisions or construction accidents(Bai, Hsieh, and Qian 2006). Increase of temperatures (in the range of 800–900°C) within the first few minutes of fire initiation and then the temperature can rise to 1,000°C or higher in the first 30 min(Hensley et al. 2004). The rapid rise in temperature can create large thermal gradients in the structural members and consequently cause spalling of the concrete and local buckling of steel members(Peng, Wang, and Jiang 2008). Moreover, fires can lead to a significant decrease in the load-carrying capacity of the structural members due to reduction in the strength and stiffness of materials, which can further lead to partial or full collapse of bridges(Bai, Hsieh, and Qian 2006). For example, the Galata Bridge, a floating bridge spanning the Golden Horn in Istanbul, Turkey, was badly damaged in a fire in 1992 and had to be abandoned. 1.2 Problem Statement The Bridge is main infrastructure in civil engineering it is a structure which is built over some physical obstacle such as a body of water, valley, or road, and its purpose is to provide crossing over that obstacle. It is built to be strong enough to safely support its own weight as well as the weight of anything that should pass over it. which is design for long life. Any kind of collapse occurred in bridges due to natural disaster that is very important for making design and policies. The focus is to investigate the effects of floods in bridges has been calculated and the relevant data will be analyzed statistically, and important conclusion will be drawn. 1.3 Aims and Objectives The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of recent flood on bridges in Balochistan. The objectives are as follows. To perform the statistical analysis of damages caused by flood to the bridges in Balochistan. To carry out the comparison of the failure or damage mechanism caused by the flood. 1.4 Sustainable development goals (SDG) The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) or Global Goals are a collection of 17 interlinked global goals designed to be a "shared blueprint for peace and prosperity for people and the planet, now and into the future". The SDGs were set up in 2015 by the United Nations General Assembly (UN-GA) and are adopted by the member states, which are intended to be achieved by 2030. As Pakistan is a UN Member State and has adopted to Agenda 2030, therefore, it is important to move in the direction of achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Out of 17 Sustainable Development Goals, our study focuses mainly on the following Goal: Chapter 2. Literature Review Review of past railway structure failures due to hydraulic action (usually in flood) provides useful evidence to inform design and inspection regimes. There have been 15 fatalities and perhaps 4-5 times that number of injuries which can be attributed to structure failure during flooding on the GB railway system since the 1840s. The resulting economic damage is estimated to be at least £287 million (2004 figures). Bridge failure due to flooding is most associated with 'extreme' but not necessarily 'very rare' floods; the average event rarity associated with catastrophic failure is 1 in 160 years, but the range of 200 - 250-year return period includes most flood related failures. The high incidence of summer/early autumn flood events leading to failure mainly because of localized high intensity rainfall on small catchments is of note. These events are likely to be at a time of reduced vigilance for flood management. Undermining of abutments and piers by scour is the most common form of failure of bridges and these may not be adequately predicted by existing assessment procedures. The remaining failures can be attributed to six other failure sequences which are currently not adequately addressed within the existing procedures. Of these six, debris collection resulting in the exacerbation of local scour and the location of structures in rapidly responding catchments are considered the most significant. Based on the results of this research and practice elsewhere it is recommended that the design flood for scour assessment and scour protection design should be based on a 200-year return period flood event. A higher value (of 1,000-years) may be appropriate for structures with a particular high consequence of failure such as high-speed lines, critical transport routes, where no adequate warning can be provided, or where flood waters could impound behind embankments and be released suddenly. The methods of analysis developed for this study have been used to investigate the causes of two recent water-related bridge failures: The Lower Ashenbottom viaduct in Lancashire (2004), and Malahide Viaduct (2009). In both cases, serious loss of life and injury were only narrowly avoided. This paper describes how it was possible to establish the underlying causes of failure and the collapse mechanisms(Benn 2013). A lifecycle multihazard framework is proposed to assess the system failure of bridge structures subjected to the combined hazards of flood-induced scour and earthquakes. The framework consists of three major components, including the conjunct use of probabilistic seismic and flood-induced scour analysis, nonlinear model pushover-based soilfoundation-bridge simulation, and multihazard failure analysis. Based on a case study for a simple bridge system considering a design life of 75 years, the results show that scour effects are varying with time. During the first 45 service years of the bridge, scour has insignificant effect on modifying the seismic vulnerability of the bridge in terms of two levels of system failures (i.e., extensive system damage or system collapse). After 65 years, scour dominates the cause to system failure, and between 45 and 65 years, bridge scour and earthquakes jointly contribute to system failure. This result implies that a timesensitive assessment approach is necessary for managing aging bridges serving both seismicity- and flooding-active regions(Guo and Chen 2016). This study establishes a general methodology to account for the effects of the amount of disaster debris generated, debris dispersal, the duration floodwater pooling for events like tsunamis, and damage to infrastructure on initial and time evolution of connectivity between critical facilities and key locations within a community such as evacuation zones and shelters. The proposed methodology is applied to Seaside, OR, for cascading seismic and tsunami hazards corresponding to seven return periods ranging from 250 to 10,000 years. The post-event connectivity is assessed for the first 72 h. The results provide insights on immediate post-event connectivity, its evolution with time as floodwaters recede and as the debris is cleared, and the relative effect of debris, floodwater pooling, and infrastructure damage on connectivity. For example, the level of disconnection caused by debris and flooding in Seaside is not always directly proportional to the return period (magnitude) of the seismic-tsunami event. Results show that bridge damage further exacerbates the lack of connectivity due to debris and floodwater pooling, highlighting that multi-hazard and multi-infrastructure analyses are necessary to understand connectivity for disasters(Kameshwar et al. 2021). We will collect the data then have a statically analysis as well as the structure analysis of the bridges and design that have been affected due to recent flood in Baluchistan. We will figure out the type of Failure due to which the Bridge fail. Chapter 3. Methodology: Overview: The methodology will be adopted is shown in figure 3.1. The methods and procedure will be followed during the research work are explained. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY FLOOD DATA DESIGN DATA FIELD VISIT ACTUAL DATA OBSERVATION TAKING ACTUAL OF FAILURES PARAMETER STRUCTURE ANAYLSIS IN STATISTICAL CSI BRIDGE ANAYLSIS COMPARATIVE STUDY WHY THESE FAILURE OCCURS SOLUTION OF THESE FAILURE Figure 3.1 Methodology Flow Chart Numerous factors, including flood velocity, debris variety, scouring, and rain intensity, might harm various bridge components. Baluchistan reached the conclusion that it is important to investigate the failure mechanism and the construction methods used during the first construction stages using the flood event in 2022 in Pakistan. This approach, that focusses on the bridges in Quetta, Baluchistan, has been chosen as one of the case studies. Floods in 2022 seriously damaged the region's road and bridge infrastructure, which had an adverse influence on the Baluchistan community. This case study aims to identify all possible bridge aspects that may lead to failure, including approaches, surface, canal, substructure, and superstructure. All flood-affected and damaged bridge sites in Quetta, Baluchistan, conducted on-theground examinations. All the bridges that were looked at were built over actual river crossings. Field data including river channel width, bridge dimensions, river crosssections, flow depth, and scour depth were collected during the field investigation research. The bridge's superstructure and substructure were inspected for damage brought on by the floods. Using a measuring tape, the cross-section of the river was manually measured. Design data was obtained from the department. While the information on bridge failure was gathered by visiting the affected areas, the information was gathered via mobile camera, and photographs of several affected bridges were taken. to visualize a bridge collapsing. Most of the bridges worldwide are affected by earthquakes, floods, and other natural disasters; however, the focus of this research is on bridges affected by floods, and it has been determined that many bridges are affected by floods, scouring, design flaws, overloading, and other factors. We will conduct statistical analysis on these affected bridges to determine how frequently this failure occurs and what percentage of the affected bridges it affects. SPSS software will be use for the statistical analysis. By looking at this data, we will determine the design parameter for these bridges, perform structural and statical analyses of these bridges, and determine whether these bridges are primarily affected by the fact that their design was flawed, any errors made during the construction phase, or by ignoring hydrological surveys used to estimate flood flow. Since CSI Bridge is a very effective and user-friendly program for this purpose, we will utilize it for the analysis. After that, we will compare the various bridges to determine which bridge is most negatively impacted by which causes. Therefore, future bridge designs will include preventative measures. Flood estimation was required in order to perform the hydraulic study and calculate the flood loads that would act on the bridge during a flood occurrence. So, in order to design the bridge in a way that will make it safe in the future, we will apply a variety of approaches to estimate the floods. The different pictures were collected during site visit and different failures we observed. (a) wings wall failure ( b) approach failure (c) scouring of piles (d) cracks of piles . Figure 3.1 DHA bridge The DHA bridge, which is close to DHA on main highway N 25, is seen in Figure 3.1. This bridge witnessed wing wall failure, approach failure, and scouring of piles because of recent devastating floods in Quetta, Baluchistan. (e) Deck failure (g) pier erosion (f) lower abutment settlement (h) separation of spans/ joints failure Figure 3.2 ghaza band bridge The Ghaza Band bridge is seen in Figure (3.2) and is near to the Ghaza Band Scout. This bridge's major failures were the deck collapse, lower abutment settlement, separation of spans and pier erosion brought on by a recent, intense flood. (i) Deck failure (j) bridge foundation failure (k) span failure (L) bridge wall failure Figure 3.3 killi shalam bridge The killi shlam bridge, which is situated in the nawa killi local region, is shown in Figure (3.3). The foundation and deck of this bridge failed span failure and bridge wall failure which were caused by the recent, extreme flood. (m) sepration of abutment (o) cracks of top road/ deck (n) foundation settlement (P) separation of abutment from the span Figure 3.4 killi Almas bridge Figure (3.4) represents the killi Almas bridge, which is situated in the almas killi region near to the airport road. This bridge's failure was expressed is the abutment's separation from the structure, foundation settlement, and cracks in the top road and deck, all of which were brought on by the heavy flooding. (q) improper design of deck (S) separation of abutment (r) approach failure (T) bearing pads Figure 3.5 Chashma Bypass bridge The Chashma Bypass Bridge, which is near to Quetta's customs, is represented in Fig (3.5). The failure at the construction site was the improperly designed deck, separation of abutment which was caused by poor management. The approach failure was brought on by the recent major flooding. (u) flowing of deck, girders, piers (W) railing failure (v) pier cracks (X) transom failure Figure 3.6 Chashma achozai bridge Chashma Achozai Bridge is located in the local region of Chashma close to Iqra Residential School, as shown in Figure (3.6). The failure in concern was a failure of the deck, girders, railing failure, transom failure and piers as well as fissures in the piers brought on by the previous severe flooding. Time Outline Work Thesis topic selection From 2nd October 2022 Till 10th October 2022 Background Collection 11th October 2022 26th October 2022 Literature Review 27th October 2022 15th November 2022 Out lining Methodology 15th November 2022 30th November 2022 Bridge site visit 1st December 2022 10th December 2022 Bridge site selection and 12th December 2022 20th December 2022 Synopsis Documentation 9th January 2023 13th January 2023 Statistical Analysis March 2023 April 2023 Result Interpretation April 2023 May 2023 Comparison May 2023 June 2023 Documentation June 2023 July 2023 Thesis completion July 2023 August 2023 data collection Chapter 4. Refrences: 1. ” Forensic Engineering: Informing the Future with Lessons from the Past - Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Forensic Engineering 166: 75–84. 2. 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