Chapter 27 Financial Planning and Short-Term Finance Slides Prepared By: Larbi Hammami Desautels Faculty of Management McGill University © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited All Rights Reserved 5-1 12-1 8-1 Executive Summary • We are solidly into the third great question of corporate finance. – How much short-term cash flow does a company need to pay its bills? • This chapter introduces the basic elements of short-term financial decisions. It: – describes the short-term operating activities of the firm. – identifies alternative short-term financial policies. – outlines the basic elements in a short-term financial plan. – describes short-term financing instruments. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-1 5-2 12-2 8-2 Chapter Outline 27.1 Tracing Cash and Net Working Capital 27.2 Defining Cash in Terms of Other Elements 27.3 The Operating Cycle and the Cash Cycle 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy 27.5 Cash Budgeting 27.6 The Short-Term Financial Plan 27.7 Summary & Conclusions © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-2 5-3 12-3 8-3 27.1 Tracing Cash and Net Working Capital The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm Current Liabilities Current Assets The Capital Budgeting Decision: Capital Assets 1. Tangible 2. Intangible What long-term investments should the firm engage in? © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. Long-Term Debt Shareholders’ Equity 27-3 5-4 12-4 8-4 27.1 Tracing Cash and Net Working Capital The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm (cont.) Current Assets Capital Assets 1. Tangible The Capital Structure Decision: How can the firm raise the money for the required investments? Current Liabilities Long-Term Debt Shareholder s’ Equity 2. Intangible © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-4 5-5 12-5 8-5 27.1 Tracing Cash and Net Working Capital The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm (cont.) Current Assets Capital Assets 1 Tangible 2 Intangible The Net Working Capital Investment Decision: Net Working Capital How much short-term cash flow does a company need to pay its bills? © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. Current Liabilities Long-Term Debt Shareholder s’ Equity 27-5 5-6 12-6 8-6 27.1 Tracing Cash and Net Working Capital • Current assets are cash and other assets that are expected to be converted to cash within the year. – Cash – Marketable securities – Accounts receivable – Inventory • Current liabilities are obligations that are expected to require cash payment within the year. – Accounts payable – Accrued wages – Taxes © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-6 5-7 12-7 8-7 27.2 Defining Cash in Terms of Other Elements Net Working Capital Net Working Capital Fixed + Assets = Cash = LongTerm + Debt Equity Other Current Current + Assets – Liabilities LongNet Working Capital – Cash = Term + Equity – Debt (excluding cash) © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. Fixed Assets 27-7 5-8 12-8 8-8 27.2 Defining Cash in Terms of Other Elements LongNet Working Fixed Term Capital Cash = + Equity – – Assets Debt (excluding cash) • An increase in long-term debt and or equity leads to an increase in cash - as does a decrease in capital assets or a decrease in the non-cash components of net working capital. • The sources and uses of cash on the statement of cash flows follows from this reasoning. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-8 5-9 12-9 8-9 27.3 The Operating Cycle and the Cash Cycle Raw material purchased Figure 27.1 Cash received Finished goods sold Order Stock Placed Arrives Inventory period Accounts receivable period Time Accounts payable period Cash paid for materials Firm receives invoice Operating cycle Cash cycle © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-9 5-10 12-10 8-10 27.3 The Operating Cycle and the Cash Cycle Accounts Cash cycle = Operating cycle – payable period • In practice, the inventory period, the accounts receivable period, and the accounts payable period are measured by days in inventory, days in receivables, and days in payables. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-10 5-11 12-11 8-11 27.3 The Operating Cycle and the Cash Cycle Example • Consider the statement of financial position and the income statement for Tradewinds Manufacturing shown in Table 27.1 in the textbook. • The operating cycle and the cash cycle can be determined for Tradewinds after calculating the appropriate ratios for inventory, receivables, and payables. Cost of goods sold $8.2 million Inventory turnover ratio = = = 3.3 Average inventory $2.5 million 365 Days in inventory = = 110.6 days 3.3 © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-11 5-12 12-12 8-12 27.3 The Operating Cycle and the Cash Cycle Example (cont.) Credit sales Receivables turnover = Average receivables $11.5 million = = 6.4 $1.8 million 365 Days in receivables = = 57 days. 6.4 Cost of goods sold Accounts payable deferral perio = Average payables $8.2 million = = 9.4 $0.875 million 365 Days in payables = = 38.8 days 9.4 © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-12 5-13 12-13 8-13 27.3 The Operating Cycle and the Cash Cycle Example (cont.) • Operating cycle = Days in inventory + Days in receivables = 110.6 days + 57 days = 167.6 days • Cash cycle = Operating cycle – Days in payable = 167.6 days – 38.8 days = 128.8 days © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-13 5-14 12-14 8-14 27.3 The Operating Cycle and the Cash Cycle Interpreting the Cash Cycle • The cash cycle increases as the inventory and receivables periods get longer. • The cash cycle decreases if the company is able to stall payment of payables by lengthening the payables period. • If the cash cycle is positive, then the company may require additional financing. – The longer the cash cycle, the more financing is required. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-14 5-15 12-15 8-15 27.3 The Operating Cycle and the Cash Cycle Interpreting the Cash Cycle (cont.) • The cash cycle is related to profitability and sustainable growth. – A long cash cycle implies more assets tied up in receivables and inventories which means the firm is less efficient and less profitable. – More financial resources must be diverted into financing the higher balances of receivables and inventories. – Increased inventories and receivables may also reduce total asset turnover resulting in lower profitability. • The total asset turnover is directly linked to sustainable growth: reducing total asset turnover lowers sustainable growth. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-15 5-16 12-16 8-16 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy • The firm’s short-term financial policy is comprised of two elements: 1. The size of the firm’s investment in current assets • Usually measured relative to the firm’s level of total operating revenues. – Flexible – Restrictive 2. Alternative financing policies for current assets • Usually measured as the proportion of short-term debt to long-term debt. – Flexible – Restrictive © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-16 5-17 12-17 8-17 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy The Size of the Investment in Current Assets • A flexible short-term financial policy would maintain a high ratio of current assets to sales. – Keep large cash balances and investments in marketable securities. – Have large investments in inventory. – Grant liberal credit terms. • A restrictive short-term financial policy would maintain a low ratio of current assets to sales. – Keep low cash balances; no investment in marketable securities. – Make small investments in inventory. – Allow no credit sales (thus no accounts receivable). © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-17 5-18 12-18 8-18 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy The Size of the Investment in Current Assets (cont.) • Managing current assets is a trade-off between carrying costs and shortage costs. • Carrying costs - 2 types: – Opportunity costs since the rate of return on current assets is low compared with that of other assets. – Costs of maintaining the economic value of the item i.e. warehousing or storage costs. • Shortage costs - 2 types: – Trading or order costs - costs of placing the orders for more cash (brokerage fees) or inventories. – Costs related to safety reserves - costs of lost customers, lost goodwill and disruption of production. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-18 5-19 12-19 8-19 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy Figure 27.4: Carrying Costs and Shortage Costs Total costs of holding $ Minimum current assets Carrying point costs Shortage costs CA* © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. Investment in Current Assets ($) 27-19 5-20 12-20 8-20 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy Figure 27.4: Appropriate Flexible Policy $ Minimum point Total costs of holding current assets Carrying costs Shortage costs CA* © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. Investment in Current Assets ($) 27-20 5-21 12-21 8-21 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy Figure 27.4: When a Restrictive Policy Is Appropriate Total costs of holding Minimum current assets $ point Carrying costs Shortage costs CA* © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. Investment in Current Assets ($) 27-21 5-22 12-22 8-22 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy Alternative Financing Policies for Current Assets • A flexible short-term finance policy means low proportion of short-term debt relative to long-term financing. • A restrictive short-term finance policy means high proportion of short-term debt relative to long-term financing. • In an ideal world, short-term assets are always financed with short-term debt and long-term assets are always financed with long-term debt. • In this world, net working capital is always zero. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-22 5-23 12-23 8-23 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy Figure 27.5: Financing Policy for an Idealized Economy Current assets = $ Short-term debt Long-term debt plus common stock Fixed assets: a growing firm Time 0 1 2 3 4 5 Grain elevator operator buys crops after harvest, stores them, and sells them during the year. Inventory is financed with short-term debt. Net working capital is always zero. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-23 5-24 12-24 8-24 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy $ Total Asset Requirement Total Asset Requirement $ Marketable Securities Short Term Financing Long Term Financing Long Term Financing Time Time Figure 27.7: Alternative Asset-Financing Strategies © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-24 5-25 12-25 8-25 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy Which Is Better? 1. Cash reserves. The flexible financing strategy requires cash reserves. – Reduce the probability of financial distress, but – Are zero net present value, at best. 2. Maturity hedging. Most firms finance inventories with shortterm debt and capital assets with long-term debt. If mismatch and finance long-term assets with short-term debt, refinancing risk is increased. 3. Term structure. Short-term rates are normally lower than long-term rates. – More costly to rely on long-term borrowing © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-25 5-26 12-26 8-26 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy A Remark on Short-Term Financing • Maturity mismatching produces rollover risk, the risk that reduced short-term financing may not be available. • An example is the financial distress faced in 1992 by Olympia and York (O and Y), a real estate development firm. – O and Y’s main assets were office towers. – Financing for these long-term assets was short-term bank loans and commercial paper. – In 1992, investor fears about real estate prospects prevented O and Y from rolling over its commercial paper. – The crises pushed O and Y into financial crisis and bankruptcy. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-26 5-27 12-27 8-27 27.4 Some Aspects of Short-Term Financial Policy Current Assets and Liabilities in Practice • Advances in technology are changing the way firms manage their assets. – Examples: just-in-time inventory and business-tobusiness (B2B) sales – As a result, industrial firms are moving away from flexible policies and toward a more restrictive approach to current assets. • Current liabilities are also declining as a percentage of total assets. – Firms are practicing maturity hedging as they match lower current liabilities with decreased current assets. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-27 5-28 12-28 8-28 27.5 Cash Budgeting • A cash budget is a primary tool of short-run financial planning. – The idea is simple: it records the estimates of cash receipts and disbursements. • Cash Receipts – Arise from sales, but need to estimate actual collections (collection period) • Cash Outflow 1. Payments of Accounts Payable (payable period) 2. Wages, Taxes, and other Expenses 3. Capital Expenditures 4. Long-Term Financial Planning: payments of interest and principal and dividends © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-28 5-29 12-29 8-29 27.5 Cash Budgeting • The cash balance tells the manager what borrowing is required or what investing will be possible in the short run. • The cash balance figures for Fun Toys appear in Table 27.6 in the textbook. • Fun Toys had established a minimum cash balance of $5 million to facilitate transactions and to protect against unexpected contingencies. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-29 5-30 12-30 8-30 27.6 The Short-Term Financial Plan Short-Term Planning and Risk • There are tools for assessing the degree of forecasting risks and identifying their components that are most critical to a financial plan’s success or failure. • For example, Air Canada uses simulation analysis in forecasting its cash needs. The simulation is useful in capturing the variability of cash flow components in Canada’s airline industry. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-30 5-31 12-31 8-31 27.6 The Short-Term Financial Plan Example – Chapters Online’s internet division sold books, CDROMs, DVDs, and videos through its website. – In September 1999, the company went public, raising equity at an offering price of $13.5/share. – In August 2000, analysts calculated Chapters Online’s “burn rate,” the rate at which the firm was using cash, to determine its cash position. – The stock price had fallen from the offering price of $13.5 to $2.80 per share within a year. – Analysts focused on the availability of short-term borrowing to improve the firm’s financial position. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-31 5-32 12-32 8-32 27.6 The Short-Term Financial Plan Example (cont.) • The most common way to finance a temporary cash deficit is to arrange a short-term, operating loan. • Operating loans can be either unsecured or secured by collateral. • Secured Loans – Accounts receivable financing can be either assigned or factored. – Securitized receivables, is a new approach to receivables financing. For example, Sears Canada Ltd. sold its receivables to Sears Canada Receivables Trust (SCRT). SCRT issued debentures and commercial paper backed by a diversified portfolio of receivables. – Inventory loans use inventory as collateral. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-32 5-33 12-33 8-33 27.6 The Short-Term Financial Plan Example (cont.) • Other Sources – Commercial paper • Commercial paper: consists of short-term notes issued by large and highly rated firms. • Firms issuing commercial paper in Canada generally have borrowing needs over $20 million. • Dominion Bond Rating Service rates commercial paper similarly to bonds. – Banker’s acceptances • Banker’s acceptances are a variant of commercial paper. • Banker’s acceptances are more widely used than commercial paper in Canada because Canadian chartered banks enjoy stronger credit ratings than all but the largest corporations. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-33 5-34 12-34 8-34 27.6 The Short-Term Financial Plan In the absence of short-term borrowing • Without short-term financing, otherwise solvent businesses would not have the liquid assets needed for current obligations, like paying employee wages or repaying a loan. This was the global environment all businesses faced in the financial crisis of 2007-09 . • Without short-term borrowing, operating is virtually impossible. The central banks emphasis on lowering shortterm borrowing rates indicates the importance of this liquidity. • The financial crisis in 2007-2008 demonstrated what could happen when this liquidity was no longer available in the market. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-34 5-35 12-35 8-35 27.7 Summary & Conclusions • This chapter introduces the management of short-term finance. – We examine the short-term uses and sources of cash as they appear on the firm’s financial statements. – We see how current assets and current liabilities arise in the short-term operating activities and the cash cycle of the firm. – From an accounting perspective, short-term finance involves net working capital. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-35 5-36 12-36 8-36 27.7 Summary & Conclusions • Managing short-term cash flows involves the minimization of costs. • The two major costs are: – Carrying costs - the interest and related costs incurred by overinvesting in short-term assets such as cash. – Shortage costs - the cost of running out of short-term assets. • The objective of managing short-term finance and shortterm financial planning is to find the optimal tradeoff between these two costs. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-36 5-37 12-37 8-37 27.7 Summary & Conclusions • In an ideal economy, the firm could perfectly predict its short-term uses and sources of cash and net working capital could be kept at zero. – In the real world, net working capital provides a buffer that lets the firm meet its ongoing obligations. • The financial manager seeks the optimal level of each of the current assets. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-37 5-38 12-38 8-38 27.7 Summary & Conclusions • The financial manager can use the cash budget to identify short-term financial needs. – The cash budget tells the manager what borrowing is required or what lending will be possible in the short run. • The firm has available to it a number of possible ways of acquiring funds to meet short-term shortfalls, including unsecured and secured loans. © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-38 5-39 12-39 8-39 Quick Quiz • How do you compute the operating cycle and the cash cycle? • What are the differences between a flexible short-term financing policy and a restrictive one? What are the pros and cons of each? • What are the key components of a cash budget? • What are the major forms of short-term borrowing? © 2022 McGraw–Hill Education Limited. All Rights Reserved. 27-39