MAKERERE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING, DESIGN, ART AND TECHNOLOGY (CEDAT) SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING CIV 4100: CIVIL ENGINEERING PROJECT II COMPREHENSIVE FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT AND TESTING OF SUSTAINABLE URBAN DRAINAGE SYSTEMS AS POTENTIAL FLOOD RISK REDUCTION STRATEGIES IN URBAN AREAS BY OWARUGAMBWA Denis MUGERWA Akram 16/U/1067 16/U/639 Submitted in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Award of a Degree of Bachelor of Science in Civil Engineering …………………………………….. ……………………………….. Eng. Dr. SEITH MUGUME Dr. HILLARY BAKAMWESIGA MAIN SUPERVISOR CO-SUPERVISOR JANUARY 2021 1 Table of Contents List of tables .............................................................................................................................................. 4 List of figures ............................................................................................................................................. 4 ABSTRACT...................................................................................................................................................... 6 CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 7 1.1 Background ......................................................................................................................................... 7 1.2 Problem statement ............................................................................................................................. 8 1.3 Objectives............................................................................................................................................ 9 1.3.1 Main objective ............................................................................................................................. 9 1.3.2 Specific objectives ........................................................................................................................ 9 1.4 Justification ......................................................................................................................................... 9 1.5 Scope ................................................................................................................................................. 10 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................................................... 14 2.1 Flooding............................................................................................................................................. 14 2.1.1 Types and causes of flooding ..................................................................................................... 14 2.2 Flood risk ........................................................................................................................................... 15 2.3 Hazard, vulnerability and exposure .................................................................................................. 16 2.4 Flood assessment .............................................................................................................................. 17 2.5 Flood modeling ................................................................................................................................. 18 Hydrologic modeling is classified in several ways that could include but not limited to; .................. 18 2.5.1 Deterministic hydrologic modeling ............................................................................................ 18 2.6 Flood management measures .......................................................................................................... 19 2.6.1 SUDs ............................................................................................................................................... 19 2.6.2 Benefits of SUDs ............................................................................................................................. 19 2.6.3 Types of SUDS ................................................................................................................................ 20 2.6.3.1 Retention Ponds...................................................................................................................... 20 2.6.3.2 Green roofs ............................................................................................................................. 21 2.6.3.3 Pervious surfaces .................................................................................................................... 21 2.6.3.4 Grass swales ............................................................................................................................ 21 2.6.3.5 Infiltration Trenches................................................................................................................ 21 2 2.6.3.6 Soakaways ............................................................................................................................... 22 2.6.3.7 Pervious Hydraulic structures ................................................................................................. 22 CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY .............................................................................................................. 23 3.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 23 3.2 Flood defense analysis ...................................................................................................................... 23 3.3 Flood management ........................................................................................................................... 23 3.4 Flood modeling ................................................................................................................................. 23 3.4.1 The governing equations ........................................................................................................... 23 3.5 Determining runoff quantity ............................................................................................................. 25 3.5.1 Catchment delineation............................................................................................................... 25 3.5.2 Determining pervious and impervious areas ............................................................................. 25 3.5.3 Rainfall data ............................................................................................................................... 25 3.5.4 Extreme rainfall frequency analysis ........................................................................................... 26 3.5.5 Time of concentration ................................................................................................................ 26 3.5.6 Hydrological modeling ............................................................................................................... 27 3.5.7 Hydraulic modeling .................................................................................................................... 27 CHAPTER FOUR: ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION ............................................................................................. 28 4.1 Runoff Quantity Results .................................................................................................................... 28 4.1.1 Runoff Coefficient ...................................................................................................................... 28 4.1.2 Rainfall Intensity ........................................................................................................................ 29 4.1.3 Time of concentration ................................................................................................................ 35 4.1.4 The Design Discharge ................................................................................................................. 35 4.2 Hydraulic capacity of existing drainage ............................................................................................ 36 4.2.1 Model Setup ............................................................................................................................... 36 4.2.2 Input Units.................................................................................................................................. 36 4.2.3 Infiltration data .......................................................................................................................... 36 4.2.4 Rainfall ....................................................................................................................................... 37 4.3 Incorporation of Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems .................................................................... 39 4.3.1 Infiltration Trenches................................................................................................................... 39 4.3.2 Retention ponds......................................................................................................................... 40 4.3.3 Rainwater harvesting tanks........................................................................................................ 41 4.3.4 Vegetated channels.................................................................................................................... 42 CHAPTER FIVE: RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION .......................................................................... 46 3 5.1 Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................... 46 5.2 Recommendations ............................................................................................................................ 46 References .................................................................................................................................................. 48 APPENDIX .................................................................................................................................................... 52 Soil permeability data as obtained from the Laboratory........................................................................ 52 List of tables Table 1: Table 1: Types and causes of urban flooding (Butler and Davies, 2011; Hankin et al., 2008; Lancaster et al., 2004; Maksimović et al., 2009; Mugume et al., 2015b; Ryu and Butler, 2008; Ryu, 2008; Ten Veldhuis, 2010).................................................................................................................................... 14 Table 2: Benefits of SUDs (Bartolini et al., 2016)...................................................................................... 19 Table 3: Runoff coefficients from drainage manual ................................................................................... 28 Table 4: Yearly maximum rainfall values .................................................................................................... 29 Table 5: Rainfall rank values ...................................................................................................................... 30 Table 6: Maximum rainfall depths at return periods ................................................................................... 32 Table 7: Values of maximum 24 hour intensity .......................................................................................... 33 Table 8: Intensities against duration ........................................................................................................... 33 Table 9: Soil Permebility data for the area ................................................................................................. 37 Table 10: The volumes of flood for each subcatchment ............................................................................. 42 Table 11: Hours flooded for each subcatchment......................................................................................... 43 List of figures Figure 1:Flooding in part of the catchment ................................................................................................. 10 Figure 2:The Mayanja Kaliddubi catchment where the study area lies ...................................................... 11 Figure 3: A map of the study catchment ..................................................................................................... 12 Figure 4:The SPRC concept and the components of risk (modified based on Sayers et al., 2013) ............ 15 Figure 5: The SPRC concept....................................................................................................................... 16 Figure 6: Land use map for the catchment ................................................................................................. 29 Figure 7: Graph of daily rainfall against return period ............................................................................... 32 Figure 8: IDF Curves .................................................................................................................................. 34 4 Figure 9: The subcatchments for the study area.......................................................................................... 36 Figure 10: Time Series for the maximum rainfall....................................................................................... 37 Figure 11: Summary of results obtained from running the analysis ........................................................... 38 Figure 12: Subcatchment runoff values obtained in SWMM ..................................................................... 38 Figure 13: Results showing nodal flooding in the analysis of the catchment ............................................. 39 Figure 14: Flooding from catchment when infiltration trenches are used ................................................. 40 Figure 15: Flooding when the flow width is 0.5m....................................................................................... 40 Figure 16: Flooding with retention ponds used as SUDs ............................................................................ 41 Figure 17: Flooding when rainwater tanks are used as SUDs ..................................................................... 41 Figure 18: Amount of flooding when vegetated channels are used as SUDs ............................................. 42 Figure 19: Flood volumes against the SUDs method used in subcatchment 1 ........................................... 43 Figure 20: Flood volumes observed against the SUDs in subcatchment 2 ................................................. 44 Figure 21: Hours for which subcatchment 1 was flooded depeding on the SUDs used ............................. 44 Figure 22: Hours for which subcatchment 2 was flooded depending on the SUDs used ........................... 45 5 ABSTRACT Floods are among the most catastrophic natural disasters around the globe impacting human lives and infrastructure. The always changing climate and land use especially in under developed regions that haven’t been planned for adequately have raised challenges associated with increased runoff and flood management. This, coupled with poor disposal of wastes and little to no maintenance works being done on the existing drainage systems magnifies the effect of flooding especially in urban to semi-urban catchments. This study was aimed at analyzing the existing flood defenses of Namasuba along KampalaEntebbe highway, determining the runoff from this area and incorporating Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems as a potential mitigation strategy. Chapter one comprises of the introduction of the report; The background, objectives and specific objectives, problem statement and justification for the research. Chapter two gives a detailed description of the different methods of determining runoff, stormwater management approaches, hydrologic and hydraulic analysis. Chapter three involves a detailed description of the methodology. This involved site visits, data collection, and delineation of catchment using ArcGIS and determining runoff quantity. Chapter four discusses the results attained in modelling catchment using EPA SWMM software. A detailed hydrologic analysis was also undertaken as shown. Chapter five involves the recommendations and conclusions. 6 CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background In recent decades due to global climate change, floods with return periods of 100 years have been occurring worldwide with frightening regularity (Zakaria et al., 2017). Flooding is a natural phenomenon of the environment however floods are known to be the most common natural disaster. Extreme global flooding with increased frequency affects both the developed and the developing world with catastrophic results (Mugesh, 2015). In developing countries due to low levels of flood protection the impact of flooding is especially harmful. For example, 6,648 flood fatalities were recorded in 2013 in India and Nepal, while the Philippines has suffered from recurring flooding that has caused more than 100 fatalities every year between 2011 and 2013, and prolonged flooding in Thailand in 2011 caused serious economic losses (Guha-Sapir et al., 2015). Previous studies show that there is increased exposure of people and assets as a result of population growth and economic growth which implies greater damage resulting from weather related natural disasters, flooding inclusive (Tanoue et al., 2016). In Uganda, like the rest of the world, there are changes in the frequency of severity of extreme climate events, such as droughts, floods (Lwasa, 2010). Kampala, Uganda’s capital city is the country’s largest and most important urban area. The population of the greater Kampala metropolitan area, covering an area of 1450 km2 of which only about 196 km2 is under the control of Kampala Capital City Authority (KCCA), was recently estimated to grow from around 3.15 million in 2011 to as much as 8-10 million by 2040 (KCCA, 2013). The city is within the equatorial region where rain is expected to continue increasing as a result of climate change. Its pattern of occurrence is also expected to keep changing and thus becoming even more unpredictable. It is projected that unless appropriate measures are put in place now, extreme weather events such as droughts and floods will continue to ravage the city (Namayanja, 2009). Frequent, high intensity tropical rain storms almost inevitably generate extremely high runoff that quickly exceeds the capacity of the urban storm water drainage system causing frequent flooding especially in the low-lying valleys and wetland areas (Sliuzas et al., 2013). Due to urbanization, forested areas and grasslands are increasingly converted to commercial, residential or industrial 7 uses. The conversion creates a significant increase in impermeable surfaces such as concrete, asphalts, building roofs and even compacted vegetated sites (US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 2003). 1.2 Problem statement Areas in Kampala that have suffered floods include Kyambogo, Bwaise, Kalerwe, Nateete, Nalukolongo, Ndeeba, Katwe, Clock Tower and Namasuba among others (Ssenyonga & Waiswa, 2017). In Bwaise, it becomes almost impassable during heavy rains and many pedestrians who do not wish to wade in the flood waters are carried by others people (“transporters”) across the flooded streets (Monitor Online, 2011). On Sunday 26th May 2019, eight people are believed to have lost their lives in the areas of Kikajjo, Lubowa and Lufuka all located in Masajja and Bunamwaya divisions (Ministry for Kampala Capital City and Metropolitan Affairs, 2019), where our case study is located, and a great deal of property was destroyed including displacement of people. Climate change impacts feature prominently in the lives of the people in Kampala and metropolitan (Mabasi, 2009). Extreme events such as floods and storms threaten lives and leave people feeling insecure and thus often terrible experiences for those affected. Construction of unregulated shelters by the poor has reduced infiltration of rainfall, increasing runoff to six times that which would occur in natural terrain (Mabasi, 2009). Both the increased storminess due to climate change and densification aggravate flooding (Action Aid, 2006). A significant portion of the population in Kampala is not served by solid waste collection services. KCCA acknowledges that the amount of solid waste generated overwhelms its capacity to collect and dispose given its enormous collection costs (Water Aid Uganda, 2011). Out of 1,200 – 1,500 tons of garbage generated per day, only 400 – 500 tons are collected giving a collection efficiency of 40 % leaving 60% of solid waste generated not properly disposed of (Office of Auditor General. Republic of Uganda, 2010). Therefore, garbage quickly clogs drains leading to localized flooding with even light rainfall (Mabasi, 2009). Blocked drains that are not able to transport the increasing volumes of runoff also lead to stagnation of water that serves as a habitat for breeding anopheles’ mosquitoes, which are a threat to human health 8 1.3 Objectives 1.3.1 Main objective The main objective is to carry out an assessment of flood risk and evaluate the effectiveness of Sustainable Urban Drainage systems (SUDs) as potential flood risk management strategies to reduce floods in Namasuba-Zzana area. 1.3.2 Specific objectives To determine the runoff quantity for Namasuba-Zzana area. To carry out a hydrologic and hydraulic analysis of the flooding area. To assess the impact of Sustainable Urban Drainage systems (SUDs) on flood reduction. 1.4 Justification Efforts to improve drainage and curb flooding in the Namasuba area relates to Sustainable Development Goal number 11 – “to make cities and human settlements more inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable.” (Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN), 2014). Drainage improvement initiative draws from the Kampala Drainage Master Plan which is a 40-year plan that was developed to address the drainage challenges in the city and the flood risk assessment, strategies and Actions report by the UN Habitat under cities and the climate change initiative (KCCA., 2014). For a long time, urban drainage systems have existed as a vital city infrastructure to collect and convey storm water and wastewater away from urban areas. Despite development over the years, it remains a significant challenge to design an effective functioning system. Sustainable drainage systems have been addressed long-term sustainability in the design of the system (Zhou, 2014). The project is being undertaken to identify and assess sustainable solutions to flooding using Sustainable Urban Drainage systems (SUDs) that enhance drainage and make urban drainage systems more compatible with components of the natural water cycle. The motivation to explore the potential of SUDs are that the associated techniques provide multiple benefits beyond the conveyance of storm water into the nearest watercourse and thus minimizing flooding (Ihuhwa, 2016). 9 Concerning conventional sewerage, sewers are designed either to convey both wastewater and storm water in a combined system or to convey storm water separately from the wastewater. Upon the use of such SUDs, reduction of surface runoff volumes into these sewers implies conveyance of a less hydraulic load (wastewater and reduced volumes of storm water) and with continued application there would be no need for storm sewers (Butler & Davies, 2011). 1.5 Scope The intended research was limited to settlements of Namasuba-Zzana a city suburb off Entebbe road. This area is targeted because it is one of the flood prone areas that are affected by heavy rains on top of being a low-lying area. The study area is 16km2 and lies in the Mayanja Kaliddubi catchment which is approximately 41km2. Figure 1:Flooding in part of the catchment 10 Figure 2:The Mayanja Kaliddubi catchment where the study area lies 11 Figure 3: A map of the study catchment The study scope is to involve the assessment using Sustainable Urban Drainage systems (SUDs) particularly infiltration galleries and retention ponds only as the identified technology. The technical scope on the other hand is to involve infiltration implying the need to obtain soil permeability. In addition, for the design of the infiltration structure (French drains), the area proportions of pervious and impervious land are to be obtained as well as surface runoff. Presently, there are no Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems in place in the study area, however there is a trapezoidal shaped drainage channel on the roadside that is approximately 1.5m deep, and 5m wide that has proven to be insufficient to drain the study area thus flooding. 12 The impact on flood reduction was obtained by comparing the total amount of estimated runoff and the amount that can be retained and allowed to infiltrate by the designed infiltration structure. 13 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Flooding Floods can be defined as a temporary covering of land by water outside its normal confines (FLOODsite-Consortium, 2005; cf. Munich Re, 1997). It is a relatively high flow of water, which overflows the natural channel provided for runoff (Afeku, 2005). 2.1.1 Types and causes of flooding Flood is classified based upon its source and special characteristics of the flood event (Schanze, 2006; MWO, 2007; The World Bank, 2012) as shown in the table below (Mugume, 2015). Table 1: Table 1: Types and causes of urban flooding (Butler and Davies, 2011; Hankin et al., 2008; Lancaster et al., 2004; Maksimović et al., 2009; Mugume et al., 2015b; Ryu and Butler, 2008; Ryu, 2008; Ten Veldhuis, 2010) Type of flooding Description of cause (threat) Pluvial flooding Caused by both external threats such as high intensity, short duration extreme rainfall, high urban imperviousness levels coupled with insufficient urban drainage network capacity (including inlets) which leads to hydraulic overloading, overflow operation, surcharging and surface flooding UDS (sewer) flooding Caused by internal system threats (other causes) such equipment malfunction, sewer collapse and blockages that also lead to flooding. UDS flooding may occur in either dry or wet weather flow conditions Fluvial flooding Exceedance of the flow capacity of the channel of a river, stream or other natural water course, typically associated with heavy rainfall events in which the excess water spills on the flood plain. Coastal flooding and tidal Caused by either or a combination of high tides, storm surges and wave action. 14 Estuarial flooding Estuarial and water courses affected by tide locking. This often involves high tidal levels and high fluvial flows in combination. Ground water flooding Caused by raised ground water levels, typically following prolonged rain and may result into increased overland flow flooding. Overland flow flooding Caused by water flowing over the ground surface before reaching a natural or artificial drainage channel due to extreme rainfall that exceeds the infiltration capacity of the ground, or when the ground is highly saturated with water. Infrastructure failure Caused by structural, hydraulic or geotechnical failure of infrastructure that retains, transmits or controls the flow of water e.g. dam failure. Leakages and external Drinking water flows on the surface due to a pipe failure, leaking overflows hydrants or values, discharge of water from other sources e.g. construction sites or emptying of swimming pools. 2.2 Flood risk Klijn et al., (2009) defines flood risk in two ways; first, it is defined as hazard (exposure) and vulnerability of the society. Second. It is defined as probability of the flood consequences. Each flood event can be characterized by features such as water depth, flow velocity, matter fluxes, and temporal and spatial dynamics. (Schanze et. al, 2006). The Source-Pathway-Receptor-Consequence (SPRC) concept, forces a systematic understanding the sources, pathways, and receptors of risk, considering of all aspects of the flooding system (ICE, 2001; Evans et al., 2004; Schanze 2006; Sayers et al., 2013) 15 Source of the flood (e.g rainfall, waves) Susceptibility (harm that results from Resilience (ability to recovery) Value (quantified flooding harm) Pathway between Source and Receptor (e.g overtopping, overflow, floodplain Exposure of Receptor (e.g people, property, Vulnerability of Receptor (that is exposed to given velocity depth, velocity, duration Consequences of flood (e.g loss of life, material damage, environmental Risk (described for a single flood event or expected risk over a given timeframe) Figure 5: The SPRC concept 2.3 Hazard, vulnerability and exposure The probability of the occurrence of potentially damaging flood events is called flood hazard (cf ITC, 2004). Potentially damaging means that there are elements exposed to floods which could, but need not necessarily, be harmed (FLOODsite-Consortium, 2005). The UNISDR (2009: 17) defines a hazard as a dangerous phenomenon, substance, human activity or condition that may cause loss of life, injury or other health impacts, property damage, loss of livelihoods and services, social and economic disruption, or environmental damage. Flood vulnerability can refer to the inherent characteristics of a flood plain that make it susceptible to flood hazards (Schanze, 2006; Blanco-Vogt and Schanze, 2014). It is further understood as the combination of susceptibility, societal value or function and coping capacity of elements exposed to flood hazard (Schanze, 2006; Amman, 2010; Blanco-Vangt & Schanze, 2014; IPCC, 2014; Rufat et al., 2015). Schanze (2006) adds that three basic areas of vulnerability can be distinguished according to the principle of sustainability: social and cultural vulnerability which refers to loss of 16 life, health impacts, loss of vitality, social impacts and loss of cultural heritage; economic vulnerability which alludes to direct indirect financial losses by damage to property assets, basic material and goods, reduced productivity and relief efforts; and ecological vulnerability comprises anthropogenic pollution of waters, soils and ecological systems with their biota (cf Messner and Meyer). Flood exposure is the proneness of vulnerable elements to flood hazard such as people, property, goods that can be lost, injured or damaged during flood event (UNDRO, 1984; Franzi, 2010:239). GIS based spatial analysis and visual elements are used frequently in the recent years for detection of flood hazard areas and preparation of maps (Ozhan & Tarhan, 2015). 2.4 Flood assessment Risk assessment altogether covers the perception of the causal interrelations and the weighing of the tolerability of risks (Schanze, 2006). The purpose of the flood risk assessment is to determine the level of flood risk so as to identify measures necessary to secure the community. According to FLOODsite, a risk assessment is supposed to include an individual point of view where it is important to determine if floods are life-threatening or just a nuisance; whether they cause huge material losses and immense stress or are just a matter of life people are used to “live with” which is largely dependent on the type of flood. Generally, flood risk assessment can be divided into supra-national, macro-, maso-, and microscale; the supra-national scale refers to assessments of the entire globe or continent, the macroscale concerns the assessments of the entire country, which may cover multiple watersheds, requiring consistent or national data while the maso-scale is generally a sub national, e.g. cities on a regional scale while the micro-scale, based on an object-oriented approach, relates to a town or specific river stretch (Yang, 2017). City scale flood risk assessment is perceived as local or micro level. They allow planners and decision makers to identify the most at-risk areas, to assess how risk may change in the future, and to achieve flood risk reduction effectively by various adaptation measures (Ward et al. 2011a, b; Budiyono et al., 2016). 17 2.5 Flood modeling A hydrologic system flood model is an approximation of the actual system; its inputs and outputs are measurable hydrologic variables and its structure is a set of equations linking the inputs and outputs. It allows prediction of the hydrologic response to various watershed management practices and obtain understanding of the impacts of these practices (Úr, 2017). The objective of the hydrologic system analysis is prediction of the output from studying the system operation. Hydrologic modeling is classified in several ways that could include but not limited to; 2.5.1 Deterministic hydrologic modeling This model doesn’t consider randomness. There are three categories under this form of modeling, namely; Lumped models, Semi distributed and distributed modeling. (Eldho, 2011) 2.5.1.1 Lumped models In this type of modeling, spatial variability of processes, inputs or boundary characteristics is not taken into account. Lumped models are not applicable to event-based processes and the parameters used do not represent features of hydrologic processes. Examples of these models are SCS-CN based models, IHACRES, WATBAL (Eldho, 2011). 2.5.1.2 Semi- distributed models Here, the basin is divided into a number of smaller basins. The main types are Kinematic wave theory for example SWMM model and probability distributed models (spatial resolution is accounted for by using probability distributions of input parameters across the basin. Other examples include; HEC-HMS, TOPMODEL, SWAT (Eldho, 2011). 2.5.1.3 Distributed models These are models where parameters are fully allowed to vary in space at a resolution chosen by the user. It requires large amounts of data and attains the highest accuracy in the rainfall-runoff modeling. Example include; HYDROTEL; MIKE11/SHE, WATFLOOD (Eldho, 2011). 2.5.1.4 SWMM model (Storm Water Management Model) SWMM is a physically based discrete time hydrological and hydrodynamic model that can be used as a single event and continuous simulation of run-off quantity and quality and is primarily built for urban areas (Rossman, 2010). 18 Surface flooding was modeled using the ponding option built in SWMM which allows exceedance flows to be stored (Rossman, 2010). 2.6 Flood management measures Flood management measures refer to coordination of efforts of all organizations that tackle flooding concentrating on those areas where the risk of flooding is greatest (Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA), 2015). Flood management measures can be grouped into either structural or nonstructural measures; Structural flood management measures are measures which are undertaken to protect people and property that counteracts the flood event in order to reduce the hazard or to influence the course or probability of occurrence of the event. Nonstructural measures are a set of mitigation and/or adaptation measures that do not make use of traditional structural flood defense measures but reduce damage without influencing the current of the flood event. 2.6.1 SUDs The term SUDS stands for Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems or Sustainable Drainage Systems. They are a range of drainage techniques and devices allowing for runoff attenuation and mitigation, pollutants reduction and amenity construction (Zhou, 2014). These systems drain surface water in a manner that is more sustainable than conventional solutions (Fletcher, et al., 2014). SUDs also mimic natural drainage processes to reduce the effect of urbanization on the quality and quantity of storm water runoff. 2.6.2 Benefits of SUDs Table 2: Benefits of SUDs (Bartolini et al., 2016) Benefit What it covers Floodrisk management Impact on people and property Water quality management Surface water quality improvements to aesthetics, health, biodiversity etc Groundwater recharge Improved water availability 19 Pumping wastewater Reduced flow of wastewater to treatment works Rainwater harvesting Reduced flows in sewer, pollution or dependence on potable water Treating wastewater Reduced volume of wastewater to treat from combined drainage systems Climate change adaptation Improved ability to make incremental changes and adapt infrastructure (no regrets) Biodiversity and ecology Sites of ecological value Amenity Attractiveness and desirability of an area Health and wellbeing Physical, emotional, mental health benefits from recreation and aesthetics Air quality Impact on health from air pollution control Carbon reduction and sequestration Operational and embodied carbon reduction together with sequestration Economic growth Business, jobs and productivity Tourism Attractiveness of touristic sites Education Enhanced education opportunities 2.6.3 Types of SUDS 2.6.3.1 Retention Ponds These are areas of land, which are excavated to shallow depths, filled with earth, rock or gravel and then saturated with water. The substrate is planted with aquatic vegetation, which acts as a surface flow retention system. They can be classified as wet or dry depending on whether or not they have a permanent volume of water. 20 They store excess storm runoff associated with watershed imperviousness. During major events, there is a filling period when inflow rate is greater than outflow and a depletion period when outflow is greater than inflow rate; the higher the peak outflow, the lesser the storage volume (James, 2017). 2.6.3.2 Green roofs They are roofs, which consist of a planted area that has significant storage potential, encourages evapotranspiration and provides the added benefit of water quality improvement as storm water travels through the soil. Green roofs are source control measures aimed at detaining and attenuating excess water runoff upstream thus preventing and reducing flood hazard impacts on recipient sustainability (Zhou, 2014) 2.6.3.3 Pervious surfaces Pervious pavements are a well renowned example of such surfaces. These are built with concrete blocks, crushed rock or porous asphalt. Depending on the soil conditions, water may infiltrate into the sub soil or be stored in an underground reservoir. Infiltration action promotes pollutant removal both at the surface or sub-base of the material itself. Pervious surfaces reduce peak flow and improve water quality in extreme rainfall (Zhou, 2014). 2.6.3.4 Grass swales They are grass-lined channels used for the conveyance, storage, infiltration and treatment of stormwater. Runoff enters directly from adjoining buildings or pavements and it is stored either until infiltration takes place or until the filtered runoff is conveyed elsewhere. Swales delay runoff peaks and provide a reduction in runoff volume due to infiltration and Evapotranspiration, as they slow runoff and spread it out thus the water infiltrating into the soil and evaporating in the air implying less runoff reaches the endpoint which reduces flooding (Laurie et al., 2018) 2.6.3.5 Infiltration Trenches An infiltration trench is a long narrow, shallow excavation located over porous soils and backfilled with stone to form a sub-surface reservoir into which water is directed for initial storage and from 21 which it infiltrates. To increase the infiltration rate, it is advised to install a shallow, large and flat porous bed (James, 2017). They do not consume a lot of space, reduce the risk of floods by attenuating runoff peaks, and integrate well with urban areas. Infiltration trenches are only efficient in areas with a low water table to allow a free flow of storm water into the subsoil. They remove pollutants from their tributary areas and also reduce runoff volumes (James, 2017). 2.6.3.6 Soakaways A soakaway is an underground structure which can be stone filled, formed with plastic mesh boxes, dry wall lined or built with precast concrete ring units (Butler & Davies, 2004). Similar to infiltration trenches, soakaways are only suitable in places with a low water table. The main difficulty is that the spaces between the stones get clogged by the fine material entering the soakaway. It is therefore recommended to use a filter geotextile material. 2.6.3.7 Pervious Hydraulic structures Tucci & Bertoni (2007) introduce the concept of pervious hydraulic structures for the first time used to drain runoff and allow infiltration. These structures are also called infiltration galleries but they have not been applied widely as SUDs. For example, pervious trenches which are a special type of infiltration trench consisting of a chamber with gravel and a filter with a porous or perforated pipe passing through pervious inlets to the drainage system They encourage the process of groundwater recharge by allowing water to infiltrate the bed material, and the water is harvested by a network of collection pipes installed under or beside the bed (Fraser, 2014) 22 CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY 3.1 Introduction This chapter gives elaborate information on the tools used, procedures and steps that are to be taken to achieve the specific objectives for evaluating the effectiveness of various potential flood risk management strategies. The methodology covers the steps taken in the assessment of flood risk in urban areas using infiltration structures and retention ponds as the potential SUDS for the project. 3.2 Flood defense analysis The reliability and the strength of the flood defenses is was determined for various failure modes. This was done by assessing the ability of the existing drainage systems to convey runoff at peak rainfall. 3.3 Flood management Flood hazard according to Klijn et al., (2009) is reduced by managing hazard characteristics such as flood probability or extent, while in other instances reducing exposure and vulnerability of people and property is considered the better option. For our research, we concentrated on management of hazard characteristics. 3.4 Flood modeling The flood modeling environment that was used is SWMM which analyzes runoff and erosion problems in small to medium catchments. It uses five main input datasets i.e., a DEM, a highresolution satellite image, a digital drainage channel system map, soil hydrological and infiltration data and detailed rainfall data (5-minute storm intensities) (Sliuzas et al., 2013). A model of the existing drainage was built in SWMM where the data needed to build the model was obtained from a digital elevation model for the area. A satellite image and a drainage channel system map were also used to build the model. 3.4.1 The governing equations The study area was modeled as a Low Impact Development (LID) unit. The hydrologic performance of this LID unit was modeled by solving simple mass balance equations that express 23 the change in water volume in each layer over time as the difference between the inflow water flux rate and the outflow flux rate (Rossman., 2010). These equations for the surface layer (Equation 1), the soil layer (Equation 2), and the storage layer (Equation 3) are; ∂d1 dt = i + q0 – e1 – f1 – q1 ∂θ L2 dt = f1 - e2 - f2 φ ∂d3 dt = f2 – f3 – q1 (Equation 1) (Equation 2) (Equation 3) where: d1 = depth of ponded surface water (m), θ = soil layer moisture content (m3/m3), d3 = depth of water in storage layer (m), i = externally supplied rate of precipitation (m/s), q0 = externally supplied surface runon flow rate (m/s), q1 = surface runoff flow rate (m/s), q3 = underdrain outflow rate (m/s), e1 = surface ET rate (m/s), e2 = soil zone ET rate (m/s), f1 = surface infiltration rate (m/s), f2 = soil percolation rate (m/s), f3 = native soil infiltration rate (m/s), L2 = known depth of the soil layer (m), and φ = known void ratio of the storage layer (m3/m3) 24 3.5 Determining runoff quantity This section involves obtaining the catchment area by delineation using ArcGIS, rainfall intensity from IDF curves and coefficient of runoff from land use and soil data. 3.5.1 Catchment delineation GIS based spatial analysis and visual elements are used frequently in the recent years for detecting of flood hazard areas and preparation of maps (Ozhan & Tarhan, 2015) and to delineate the entire catchment into sub catchments that represent areas where runoff flows towards a single outlet (Mugume, 2015). It was done following these steps; The work environment of the DEM for the Namasuba-Zzana area was added and analyzed using the ArcHydro extension tool of ArcGIS. The depressions were filled thus creating a depression less DEM and the directions of the steepest descent defined. Upstream cells draining to a given cell were determined using flow accumulation where those cells with accumulation greater than the user defined threshold were classified and segmented using the stream segmentation process. For every stream segment, a sub basin was delineated by clicking the catchment grid delineation option. The widths of the sub catchments were determined and the slope analysis was done. Based on the results the minimum, average and maximum slope values of each of the delineated sub catchments were also determined. 3.5.2 Determining pervious and impervious areas A satellite image was obtained and spatial analysis was used to determine the imperviousness of the area under study. Pervious and impervious areas were determined for each sub catchment and the appropriate coefficients attached as obtained from the MoWT drainage design manual, to approximate the amount of runoff (that which doesn’t infiltrate the soil). 3.5.3 Rainfall data Meteorological data was obtained from the Uganda National Meteorological Authority that is data on daily rainfall from 2005-2019. This dataset was used for generation of the intensity duration 25 frequency that helped in obtaining different rainfall intensities for different return Periods which were later used in determining peak discharge by using the Rational method. 3.5.4 Extreme rainfall frequency analysis Intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) relationships provide a widely used form of conveying the rainfall information for a given location (Butler & Davies, 2011). The IDF curves were constructed by performing statistical analysis on Annual Maxima Series (AMS) or Partial Duration Series (POT) by fitting curves to empirical quantiles or fitting probability distributions for several preselected rainfall durations (Bougadis & Adamowski, 2016) In this method, annual maximum daily rainfall depths were abstracted from observed rainfall time series and ranked in decreasing order of magnitude. To estimate the rainfall return periods, Weibull’s plotting position is applied (Butler & Davis, 2011) 𝑥+1 T= 𝑚 Where, T is the return period The intensity duration frequency (IDF) curves were generated using the Watkins and Fiddles method. The maximum rainfall depths were plotted against return periods on a semi-log paper and a line of best fit plotted through the points. From the generated IDF curves, rainfall intensity of a particular return period was obtained. 3.5.5 Time of concentration The commonly used equation to calculate time of concentration is Kirpich’s formula given by: Tc = 0.01947L0.77 S-0.385 Where: TC: Time of concentration (in minutes) L: Maximum length of travel of water (meters) S: Slope of the drainage basin = (H/L) H: Difference in elevation between the most remote place in the basin and the outlet. 26 The maximum length of run off travel, the elevations of the remotest point and the elevations of the points considered in the catchment were determined. This was determined by the flow length tool in ArcGIS. 3.5.6 Hydrological modeling After developing the basin model component in SWMM, populating the meteorological model and defining the control specifications, the model was run while calibrating the parameters. The model output results were quantified runoff floods that result from input rainfall data. 3.5.7 Hydraulic modeling Still with SWMM as the hydraulic model it was calibrated and then used to simulate the 25 year floods to aid in determination of maximum channel flood depths for all cross sections along the drainage system. Considering the rainfall data, the first step in modeling was setup and calibrate the baseline model that is the current drainage system considering peak rainfall. A series of model runs was then done on possible drainage systems with specific focus on SUDS particularly infiltration galleries and retention ponds. Assessment of the effectiveness of undertaken measures was judged basing on the achieved effect in comparison to the intended effect. 27 CHAPTER FOUR: ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION 4.1 Runoff Quantity Results The peak runoff rate 𝑄𝑃 was calculated using the rational method for the site area under consideration (A). The rainfall intensity (I) and the surface coverage represented by the runoff coefficient (C) were also obtained as seen in sections below. 𝑄𝑃 = CIA Where; 𝑄𝑃 = Peak runoff rate (m3/s) C = runoff coefficient I = rainfall intensity (m/s) A = total area (m2) 4.1.1 Runoff Coefficient The runoff coefficients to be used were obtained from The Ministry of Works and Transport Drainage Design Manual, Table 4.7 (a) Table 3: Runoff coefficients from drainage manual Land Use Area (ha) Coefficient Of Runoff Range Built up area 1191.74 0.9 Unimproved Grass 373.25 0.25 Total 1564.99 From ArcGIS, the areas occupied by the various land uses were obtained and that information, together with the table of coefficients given below, the weighted coefficient of runoff was obtained and used to determine the runoff. Weighted Coefficient = ∑(𝐶𝑥 𝐴𝑥 ) 𝐴 (1191.74)(0.9) + (373.25)(0.25) Weighted C = Weighted C = 0.74 1564.99 28 Weighted C = 0.74 Figure 6: Land use map for the catchment 4.1.2 Rainfall Intensity The procedure used in estimating the rainfall intensity utilized rainfall data extracted and procedure for obtaining the critical intensity was that according to the Watkins and Fiddes equation (Ministry of Works and Transport, 2010) Yearly maximum daily rainfall Table 4: Yearly maximum rainfall values Year Maximum daily rainfall 2005 73.6 2006 67.3 2007 65.9 2008 37.2 29 2009 51.4 2010 64.8 2011 71.2 2012 65.0 2013 57.9 2014 56.2 2015 91.2 2016 73.9 2017 63.8 2018 77.9 2019 54.6 The Watkins and Fiddes procedure (Watkins and Fiddes, 1984) was adopted for obtaining the rainfall intensity, and is elaborated below: Daily maximum rainfall values together with the duration for the available period were read and ranked from 1 to N (the number of years of record) in a decreasing order. The corresponding return period was estimated for each data set, using Weibull’s plotting position formula; T= 𝑁+1 𝑀 Where M is the event rank number (1, 2… N) Table 5: Rainfall rank values Year Maximum daily Rank Return Period rainfall 2015 91.2 1 16.00 2018 77.9 2 8.00 30 2016 73.9 3 5.33 2005 73.6 4 4.00 2011 71.2 5 3.20 2006 67.3 6 2.67 2007 65.9 7 2.29 2012 65.0 8 2.00 2010 64.8 9 1.78 2017 63.8 10 1.60 2013 57.9 11 1.45 2014 56.2 12 1.33 2019 54.6 13 1.23 2009 51.4 14 1.14 2008 37.2 15 1.07 The maximum rainfall depths were plotted against return periods on a semi-log graph and a line of best fit plotted through the points as shown below. 31 Daily Maximum Rainfall vs Return Period 100 90 Daily Maximum Rainfall (mm) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1,00 10,00 Return Period 100,00 Figure 7: Graph of daily rainfall against return period Using the equation generated from the line of best fit R = 14.915ln(T) + 51.181, where R represents the maximum daily rainfall and T the return period, the maximum daily rainfall for the return periods 1, 2, 5, 10, 25, 50 and 100 years was computed as shown below; Table 6: Maximum rainfall depths at return periods Return Period 14.915In(T)+51.181 R(mm) iT24 1 0 51.181 2.133 2 0.693 61.517 2.563 5 1.609 75.179 3.132 10 2.303 85.530 3.564 25 3.219 99.192 4.133 From the graphs, maximum rainfall depths at desired return periods were read off. That is for 2, 5 and 10 years. 32 The value of n in the equation was obtained from table 4.5 of the Drainage Design Manual, 2010, for Kampala as 0.97 and b = 1/3 for East Africa. From the graph of Daily Maximum Rainfall against return period, the Maximum 24-hour rainfall (𝑅 𝑇 24 ) was obtained by reading off at the desired return period. Thereafter the corresponding maximum 24-hour intensity (𝑖 𝑇 24 ) was obtained. 𝑅𝑇 𝑖 𝑇 24 = 24 The values for aT for each return period were calculated using the formula: aT=iT24(b+24)n Table 7: Values of maximum 24 hour intensity Return Period iT24 aT 1 2.133 47.15341 2 2.563 56.67612 5 3.132 69.26315 10 3.564 78.7996 25 4.133 91.38663 The desired sequence of duration (e.g. 10, 15, 30 minutes) was chosen for each data set and used to calculate the rainfall intensity using the basic mathematical form of the intensity-duration frequency curve represented by the rectangular hyperbola as equation below: 𝑎 i= (𝑡+𝑏)𝑛 Where i is the intensity (mm/hr), t the duration (hours) and a, b and n are constants developed for each IDF curve. Table 8: Intensities against duration Return Period 1 2 5 10 25 10 92.366 111.019 135.675 154.356 179.012 20 69.875 83.986 102.639 116.770 135.423 30 56.275 67.640 82.662 94.044 109.066 40 47.153 56.676 69.263 78.800 91.387 50 40.605 48.805 59.644 67.856 78.694 Duration(mins) 33 60 35.672 42.876 52.398 59.612 69.134 70 31.820 38.246 46.741 53.176 61.670 80 28.729 34.531 42.200 48.010 55.679 90 26.192 31.482 38.473 43.770 50.762 100 24.072 28.934 35.359 40.228 46.653 110 22.274 26.772 32.718 37.223 43.168 120 20.729 24.915 30.448 34.641 40.174 130 19.387 23.302 28.477 32.398 37.573 140 18.211 21.888 26.749 30.432 35.293 150 17.171 20.638 25.222 28.694 33.278 The intensities were plotted against duration for each desired return period to give the IDF curves. IDF Curves for the data 180 160 Intensity (mm/hr) 140 120 100 1 year 2 years 80 5 years 60 10 years 40 20 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Duration (min) Figure 8: IDF Curves The following procedure was adopted for the determination of coefficients a, b and n in the formulae used. 34 4.1.3 Time of concentration In order to determine the design storm, the time of concentration of the catchment should be established. The commonly used equation to calculate time of concentration is Kirpich’s formula given by: Tc = 0.0194L0.77S-0.385 Where: Tc is Time of concentration (in minutes) L: Maximum length of travel of water (meters) S: Slope of the drainage basin = (H/L) H: Difference in elevation between the most remote place in the basin and the outlet. Whereby, the slope, HO – Elevation at the highest point in the catchment. (From ARC GIS, it was found to be 1304m) HP – Elevation at lowest point which was found as 1144m L – Maximum length of travel which is 3835.7m S= 1304−1144 3835.7 S= 0.041 Tc = 0.0194L0.77S-0.385 Tc = 0.0194*(3835.7)0.77 *(0.041)-0.385 Tc = 38.14 minutes Critical rainfall intensity Critical rainfall intensity is rainfall that causes a catchment to operate at a steady state. The critical intensity for the 10-year return period was read off from the IDF curve using the respective time of concentration of 38.14 minutes. The critical rainfall intensity was read off as 86mm/hr. 4.1.4 The Design Discharge Having determined all the necessary parameters in the equation for the design flows, peak runoff using the Rational Method Q = CIA 35 0.086 Q = 0.74* 3600 *15649900 =276.7m3/s 4.2 Hydraulic capacity of existing drainage 4.2.1 Model Setup The drainage system of the Entebbe International Airport was modeled for a total catchment area 1564.99 ha. The catchment was divided into 2 sub-catchments of sizes 939.8ha and 626.8ha. Simulation was done to determine the response of the study area catchment to a time series rainfall storm extracted from the maximum daily rainfall. Figure 9: The subcatchments for the study area 4.2.2 Input Units The metric units were used as measurement units for the model. This set up the units of different parameters as follows: Sub catchment Areas in hectares, storage area units in square meters, depth, elevation, head and diameter in meters, rainfall intensity in millimeters per hour, rainfall volume in millimeters while flow in Cubic meters per second. 4.2.3 Infiltration data Infiltration data as collected from the field was input into the model 36 Table 9: Soil Permebility data for the area Soil Sample Permeability coefficient (m/s) Sample 1 2.3699*10-11 Sample 2 2.13585*10-11 Sample 3 2.66585*10-11 The overall coefficient of permeability used in the design was the average of the 3 values which equates to 2.3905*10-11. The infiltration model adopted was the Green-Ampt and this was used to guide the values for suction head, conductivity and initial deficit. 4.2.4 Rainfall A time series rainfall was used to as input rainfall for the model. The response of the catchment to 24-hour rainfall intensity was generated. The graph of the time series is shown in the figure below; Figure 10: Time Series for the maximum rainfall 37 Figure 11: Summary of results obtained from running the analysis From the analysis using EPA-SWMM, the results showed that the volume of water into the drainage system is a peak of 225.562 hectare-m which is similar to 2255620m3 Figure 12: Subcatchment runoff values obtained in SWMM 38 Figure 13: Results showing nodal flooding in the analysis of the catchment It can be concluded from the analysis that the nodes are flooded for about three hours as the drainage system is overwhelmed by the runoff from the subcatchments. This is why there needs to be a more efficient drainage system. 4.3 Incorporation of Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems While modeling the catchment, Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems were incorporated and then simulations were run and observations of the outcomes were noted and recorded; From the land use maps that were drawn before, it was observed that the catchment averagely has 76.15% impervious area and 23.85% pervious surface. The purpose here was to ensure that the SUDs modeling was done in the pervious areas of the catchment so the coverage of the SUDs was limited to less than 24% of the entire catchment area. In addition, the two subcatchments that make up the entire catchment have the following lanf use properties; Subcatchment 1 – 86.9% impervious area and 13.1% pervious area. Subcatchment 2 – 68.6% impervious area and 31.4% pervious area so the SUDs had to occupy the pervious area in the model implying that their percentage couldn’t exceed 13.1% of subcatchment 1 and 31.4% of subcatchment 2. 4.3.1 Infiltration Trenches In the first simulation, the SUD implemented was the Infiltration Trenches and the model was done such that they occupied only 13.1% of the area in subcatchment 1 and 30.9% of the area in subcatchment 2. The SUDs were modeled to treat 30% of the pervious and 70% of the impervious area in subcatchment 1 with a flow width of 1m. In subcatchment 2, with the SUDs occupying 31.4% of the entire catchment, 70% of the pervious area was treated by the SUD as compared to the 30% 39 impervious which yielded a flood volume of 24,225 m3. As the percentages of the pervious and impervious treated were increased, the volume of flood and consequently the time of nodal flooding decreased as well. Figure 14: Flooding from catchment when infiltration trenches are used When the flow width was further reduced to 0.5m, the amount of flood observed decreased. Figure 15: Flooding when the flow width is 0.5m When the percentage of impervious area treated by the SUDs was increased to 50%, there was eventually no volume of flood observed. Also, it was observed that as the surface width over which each unit of the system acts was decreased, the efficiency of the overall system to curb flooding was increased. 4.3.2 Retention ponds A simulation was run with retention ponds only as the flood mitigation measure in each subcatchment. With the entire pervious area covered by the retention ponds (13.1% in subcatchment 1 and 31.6% in subcatchment 2) with the SUD treating 100% of the entire pervious area, it was observed that flooding occurred at the nodes from both subcatchments. A flood volume of 84,579m3 was observed from subcatchment 1 against the 36,206m3 for the second subcatchment. 40 Figure 16: Flooding with retention ponds used as SUDs 4.3.3 Rainwater harvesting tanks For the rainwater tanks, the difference was that they were allowed to occupy more than the pervious area of the catchment since they basically collect water from roofs of houses or if they’re open, they collect precipitation too. The dimensions chosen for the rainwater tanks were 10,000 liters (10m3) and 2m deep. The first simulation was run with rainwater tanks occupying 3.182% of subcatchment 1 and 21.6% of the area of subcatchment 2. For each simulation, the rainwater barrels treated more of the impervious area than the pervious in the catchments. With subcatchment 1, the volume of flooding recorded was 8,662m3 of which corresponded with 20.4 minutes of flooding. For subcatchment 2, the amount of flood was 3,249m3 with a flood time of 23.4 minutes. Figure 17: Flooding when rainwater tanks are used as SUDs When the coverage of rainwater tanks was increased to 4%, it was observed that there was no flooding recorded from subcatchment 1 while the same result was observed at 30% coverage for subcatchment 2. 41 4.3.4 Vegetated channels A simulation was run with the vegetated channels covering the entire pervious area in both catchments (13.1% in subcatchment 1 and 31.4% in subcatchment 2). It was observed that flooding occurred in both subcatchments at a volume of 218,948m3 and 370,556m3 in both catchment 1 and 2 respectively. Of all the Sustainable Systems tested, this seemed to be the least efficient of all the types when used individually. Figure 18: Amount of flooding when vegetated channels are used as SUDs After running the simulations, different results were arrived at and these were tabulated and organized graphically; Table 10: The volumes of flood for each subcatchment Flooding volumes (m3) Subcatchment 1 Subcatchment 2 Existing system (no SUDs) 274,011 564,842 Infiltration Galleries 65,630 45,007 Retention Ponds 84,579 36,206 Rainwater Tanks 8,662 3,249 218,948 370,556 Vegetated Channels 42 Table 11: Hours flooded for each subcatchment Hours Flooded Subcatchment 1 Subcatchment 2 Existing system (no SUDs) 2.76 3.08 Infiltration Galleries 1.86 1.88 Retention Ponds 1.74 1.11 Rainwater Tanks 0.34 0.39 Vegetated Channels 2.02 2.18 The volume of flood observed was plotted against the different methods that were used for treating the subcatchments FLOOD VOLUMES FOR SUBCATCHMENT 1 Flood volume (m3) 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 0 Existing system (no SUDs) Infiltration Galleries Retention Ponds Rainwater Tanks Vegetated Channels Method of treatment Figure 19: Flood volumes against the SUDs method used in subcatchment 1 43 FLOOD VOLUMES FOR SUCATCHMENT 2 Flood volume (m3) 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 Existing system (no SUDs) Infiltration Galleries Retention Ponds Rainwater Tanks Vegetated Channels Method of treatment Figure 20: Flood volumes observed against the SUDs in subcatchment 2 The time for which the nodes were flooded was also tabulated and graphs plotted for each subcatchment HOURS FLOODED (SUBCATCHMENT 1) Flood time (hours) 3 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 Existing system (no SUDs) Infiltration Galleries Retention Ponds Rainwater Tanks Vegetated Channels Method of treatment Figure 21: Hours for which subcatchment 1 was flooded depeding on the SUDs used 44 HOURS FLOODED (SUBCATCHMENT 2) 3,5 Flood time (hours) 3 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 Existing system (no SUDs) Infiltration Galleries Retention Ponds Rainwater Tanks Vegetated Channels Method of treatment Figure 22: Hours for which subcatchment 2 was flooded depending on the SUDs used 45 CHAPTER FIVE: RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION 5.1 Conclusion Flooding is major problem being faced by both developed and undeveloped countries that it has resulted in destruction of property, Loss of lives and disruption of economic activities. This is most evident in low lying areas like Namasuba in which economic activities and settlements in these areas are exposed to great risks of floods. The first specific objective of this study was to determine the design discharges for Namasuba area. Using the rational method, the runoff quantity was obtained as 276.7m3/s. The second objective was to model the catchment hydrologically and assess the hydraulic capacity of the existing drainage system. EPA-SWMM was used to simulate the runoff and a runoff quantity was obtained. The use of SWMM enabled subdivision of the study area into number of irregular sub-catchments to best capture the effect that spatial variability in topography, drainage pathways, land cover, and soil characteristics have on runoff generation to examine the hydraulic competence of the existing drainage system for the area model the drainage system to mitigate flooding impacts. The third objective was to assess the impact of Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems on flood reduction. SWMM was used for this and Rainwater harvesting tanks, Infiltration Trenches and Retention Ponds were added to the system as Low Impact Developments covering the pervious areas of the catchment except in the occasion of rainwater tanks and the amount of runoff from the subcatchments greatly decreased as a result of addition of the SUDs. 5.2 Recommendations The following recommendations have been drawn so as to improve the drainage predicaments in the area: I. Routine maintenance through dredging and desiltation especially after heavy downfalls should be carried out. Proper solid waste management must be encouraged from source to sink to avoid various solid wastes ending into storm water channels that will render them hydraulically incompetent thus leading to flood in the area. 46 II. Within the catchment, various Sustainable Urban Development (SuDs) techniques should be adopted particularly Rainwater harvesting tanks, Infiltration Trenches or Retention ponds. These will reduce on the amount of water that ends up into the artificial major and minor drainage systems, increase the groundwater resource through infiltration trenches and a great trick to tackle domestic water scarcity at house hold level though rain and road water harvesting procedures. This will ultimately reduce on the potential of flooding in Namasuba and boost water availability as an economic good and a natural resource as well. III. Due to the fact that the largest part of the study area is likely to experience flooding, we recommend the government to engage specialists to engage in the design intervention measures to prevent the flooding cases IV. For Research based project, we recommend that the rainfall data and any other related information should be entirely free. 47 References Action Aid. 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(2017). The Development of Flood Map in Malaysia. AIP Proceedings 1903. Zhou, Q. (2014). A Review of Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems Considering the Climate Change and Urbanization Impacts. Guangzhou: Guangdong University of Technology. 51 APPENDIX Soil permeability data as obtained from the Laboratory 52 53 54