Principles of Risk Management and Insurance Risk and Its Treatment Chapter 1 Barbara Bellissimo 1 POLL – Test your understanding Risk is… 1. 2. 3. Loss exposure Uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a loss Difficult to measure What is a peril? 1. A nice piece of jewelry 2. Physical condition that increases the chance of loss 3. A cause of loss What is pure risk? 1. 2. 3. A cause of loss Situation where there are only possibilities of loss or no loss Personal estimate of chance of loss September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 2 POLL – Test your understanding Risk is… 1. 2. 3. Loss exposure Uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a loss Difficult to measure What is a peril? 1. A nice piece of jewelry 2. Physical condition that increases the chance of loss 3. A cause of loss What is pure risk? 1. 2. 3. A cause of loss Situation where there are only possibilities of loss or no loss Personal estimate of chance of loss September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 3 Objectives: Risks and Its Treatment • Understand the definition of Risk • Identify various types of risks • Pure, speculative, diversifiable, non diversifiable, enterprise and systemic • Show how risk is a burden to society • Explain the major techniques for managing risk • Case Application and Next Steps September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 4 Definition of Risk • Risk: Uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a loss • Loss Exposure: Any situation or circumstance in which a loss is possible, regardless of whether a loss occurs • Objective risk is defined as the relative variation of actual loss from expected loss • Subjective (perceived) risk is defined as uncertainty based on a person’s mental condition or state of mind September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 5 Chance of Loss • Chance of loss: The probability that an event that causes a loss will occur – has both objective and subjective aspects • Objective probability: Long-run relative frequency of an event based on the assumptions of an infinite number of observations and of no change in the underlying conditions • Subjective probability: Individual’s personal estimate of the chance of loss September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 6 Chance of Loss Vs Objective Risk - Example The chance of loss may be identical for two different groups, but objective risk may be quite different! City # homes Chance of Fire Average # fires Range Objective Risk Philadelphia 10,000 1% 100 75 – 125 25% Los Angeles 10,000 1% 100 90 – 110 10% September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance Peril and Hazard • A peril is defined as the cause of the loss. • A hazard is a condition that creates or increases the frequency or severity of loss • Physical • Moral • Attitudinal Hazard (Morale Hazard) • Legal Hazard September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 8 Classification of Risk Pure Risk and Speculative Risk • A pure risk is a situation in which there are only the possibilities of loss or no loss (insurable) • A speculative risk is a situation in which either profit or loss is possible (usually non insurable) September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 9 Classification of Risk Diversifiable Risk and Nondiversifiable Risk • A diversifiable risk affects only individuals or small groups. It can be reduced or eliminated by diversification. • A nondiversifiable risk affects the entire economy or large numbers of persons or groups within the economy. It cannot be reduced or eliminated by diversification. September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 10 Classification of Risk Enterprise Risk • Encompasses all major risks faced by a business, including, pure risk, speculative risk, strategic risk, operational risk, and financial risk • Strategic Risk • Operational risk • Financial Risk September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 11 Classification of Risks Systemic Risk • Risk of collapse of an entire system or entire market due to the failure of a single entity or group of entities that can result in the breakdown of the entire financial system September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 12 Personal and Commercial Risks Personal risks –Premature death – Physical disability – Unemployment – Old age –retirement September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 13 Major Personal and Commercial Risks Property risks • Direct Loss is a financial loss resulting from the physical damage, destruction, or theft of the property • Indirect or consequential loss is a financial loss that results indirectly from the occurrence of a direct physical damage or theft • Home/Buildings • Possessions (furniture, artwork, jewelry, computers, equipment) September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 14 Major Personal and Commercial Risks Liability risks Possibility of being held legally liable for bodily injury or property damage to someone else (failing to do what a reasonable person would do) Harm caused by negligent acts: - On my property - When operating a vehicle - During manufacturing of a product - As a result of delivering professional services September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 15 Major Personal and Commercial Risks Commercial Risks • Property risks • Liability risks • Loss of business income • Cybersecurity and identity theft • Other risks – crime, HR, foreign loss, intangible property, government September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 16 BURDEN on SOCIETY The presence of risk results in three major burdens on society: • Need for a Larger Emergency Fund • Loss of Needed Goods and Services • Worry and Fear September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 17 How to Manage RISK Risk Control • Avoidance • Loss prevention • Loss reduction • Duplication • Separation • Diversification September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 18 Techniques for Managing Risk Financing • Retention – Active, Passive, self insurance • Noninsurance transfers - transfers risk to another party • Insurance – pure risk transfer, pooling, law large numbers September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 19 APPLICATION 1. The premature death of an individual is an example of a A. B. C. D. Pure risk Speculative risk Nondiversifialbe risk Physical hazard 2. Taylor tabacco Company is concerned that the company may be held liable in a court and ordered to pay a large damage aware to a smoker harmed by the company’s cigarettes. The characteristics of the judicial system that increase the frequency and severity of loss are known as: A. B. C. D. Moral hazard Particular risk Speculative risk Legal Hazard September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 20 APPLICATION 3. The extra expense incurred by a business to stay in operation following a fire is an example of; A. B. C. D. Fundamental risk Speculative risk Direct loss Indirect loss 4. What is an example of a noninsurance risk transfer? A. B. C. D. Not engaging in dangerous activities Entering into a hold-harmless agreement Installing smoke detectors in your home Using nonflammable building material when constructing a house September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 21 APPLICATION 5. Cathy’s car hit a patch of ice on the road. The car skidded off the road and hit a tree. The presence of ice on the road is best described as: A. peril B. subjective risk C. physical hazard D. indirect loss 6. A student has skipped many classes and not studied and was surprised to learn there was test when he/she showed up for class. The student’s mental uncertainty about whether or no he will pass the test is called A. B. C. D. Objective risk Objective probability Subjective probability Subjective risk September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 22 APPLICATION 7. Five years ago, Shannon decided to start investing monthly in common stock of ABC Telecom company. Her financial well being will be harmed if the price of ABC stock drops significantly. The risk of investment loss can be reduced if she invests in other companies. The risk she faces with regard to her investment is best described as A. enterprise risk B. diversifiable risk C. pure risk D. non diversifiable 8. The production facility for ASF Manufacturing is located in a flood plain. Although the risk of flood is low, ASF risk manager is concerned flood could damage the plant and equipment. He received bids on flood insurance but decided the coverage was too high relative to the risk. He did not purchase flood insurance. Which risk management technique is ASF using with respect to flood risk? A. B. C. D. Active retention Noninsurance transfer Passive retention Avoidance September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 23 Next Steps - Chapter 2/3/4 - Review Syllabus get started on reading - Review due dates for speakerse September 10, 2021 Principles of Risk Management and Insurance 24