Course Description CHIM408: Statistics for Healthcare Managers This course introduces principles of statistics for use in health services. Topics include study design, sampling, description, summary, and hypothesis testing. Students apply methods such as ANOVA, correlation, chi-square, and multiple regression using statistics software. The applied approach develops knowledge and skills necessary to understand health services research and practice evidence-based management. Course Focus and Scope The learning goals are to equip you with the knowledge and skills necessary to organize, describe, display, and analyze quantitative healthcare service data, and to interpret and effectively communicate findings produced by these analyses. Through discussion, exercises, assignments and tests/exams, you are to will develop data literacy essential not only to performing analyses, but also to understanding, interpreting, and critiquing those conducted by health professionals, policy makers, and researchers. Disclaimer While the Chang School makes every effort to provide course content that is accessible to all learners, there are elements in this course that may not be fully accessible due to lack of alternative technology. The R and RStudio software are also not accessible for students using assistive technology, and there is no comparable software application to date. Course Objectives and/or Learning Outcomes Upon successful completion of this course, you will be able to: Describe types, characteristics, and distributions of quantitative data Describe key principles of probability and sampling Use commonly available software for statistical analyses and data display Appropriately perform and interpret results of tests comparing means (t-test, ANOVA), association (chi-square) and correlation (correlation and regression) Critically evaluate the application and presentation of statistics by healthcare professionals, researchers, policy makers, and the media Teaching Methods Readings Case studies Tutorials for software Instructor-monitored discussion boards Outline of Topic Sequence Introduction Statistics in healthcare Evidence-based decisions Examples How to use the software (Excel, R) Descriptive Statistics Measures of central tendency Measures of variability Measures of distribution Data Visualization Bar charts Pie charts Histograms Scatterplots Line plots Probability and Probability Distributions Basic probability Normal distribution Central limit theorem Hypothesis Testing One- and two-sample t tests for means Paired and unpaired samples One- and two-sample z tests for proportions ANOVA and multiple comparisons p values Correlation and Regression Coefficient of correlation Simple linear regression Multiple linear regression Simple logistic regression Regression assumptions Interpreting regression output Other Tests Non-parametric Chi-square Course Text and Materials Required Textbook(s) Please view a list of the required materials for this course and instructions on how to order them from the Ryerson University Bookstore. 1. Scott, I., & Mazhindu, D. (2014). Statistics for healthcare professionals. London, UK: Sage. 2. OpenIntro Statistics, available for free online. Further Readings or Resources Wasserstein, R.L., & Lazar, N.A. (2016). The ASA's statement on p-values: context, process, and purpose. The American Statistician. DOI: 10.1080/00031305.2016.1154108 Goodman, S.N. (1999a). Toward evidence-based medical statistics 1: The P Value fallacy. Annals of internal medicine, 130. 995–1004. Goodman, S.N. (1999b). Toward evidence-based medical statistics. 2: The Bayes Factor. Annals of internal medicine, 130. 1005–1013. Goodman, S.N. (2008). A dirty dozen: Twelve p-value misconceptions. Seminars in hematology, 45. 135–140. Ioannidis, J.P. (2005). Contradicted and initially stronger effects in highly cited clinical research. Journal of the American Medical Association, 294. 218–228. Ioannidis, J.P. (2008). Why most discovered true associations are inflated (with discussion). Epidemiology, 19. 640–658. Sterne, J.A.C. (2002). Teaching hypothesis tests – Time for significant change? Statistics in medicine, 21. 985–994. Course Schedule Week 1 (May 1, 2023) Module 1 Introduction Topics Installing software Statistical vocabulary Data types Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Open R and use it do a little arithmetic Identify the different types of data Readings Required 1. Chapters 1 and 2. Scott, Ian and Mazhindu, Debbie. 2014. Statistics for Healthcare Professionals. London, UK: Sage 2. Getting Started with the R Commander, by John Fox 3. R Commander an Introduction, by Natasha Karp 4. Guide to Using Microsoft Excel Assignments Assignment 1 is available in the D2L Brightspace Assignment area Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 2 (May 6, 2023) Module 2 Describing and Visualizing Data In this module, you will look at ways to understand the structure of a data set. You will consider different ways to visualize data, as well as statistics calculated from the data that attempt to summarize the information it contains. The simplest summary statistic is the average, which is a measurement of the centre of the data, but there are others as well. You will look at statistics that measure the centre of a data set, and statistics that measure how spread out a data set is. Topics Visualizing categorical data Visualizing numerical data Summary statistics and their interpretation Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Create informative data visualizations using R or Excel Calculate the following summary statistics and explain their interpretation: mean, median, quartiles, mode, variance, standard deviation, range, interquartile range Readings Required 1. Chapters 3, 6, and 7. Scott, Ian and Mazhindu, Debbie. 2014. Statistics for Healthcare Professionals. London, UK: Sage 2. How to Lie with Charts, Harvard Business Review, December 2014 3. Making tables in APA (look at suggested readings and videos) Assignments No new assignments this week. Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 3 (May 13, 2023) Module 3 Basics of Probability This module is an introduction to probability. You will learn the definition of probability, and look at how to calculate some simple probabilities. You will be introduced to the concepts of conditional probability and independence, and then look at Bayes’ Theorem, a powerful method to update probabilities based on new information. Topics Definition of probability Conditional probability Independence Contingency tables Bayes’ Theorem Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Calculate simple probabilities Describe a process to determine if events are independent Apply Bayes’ Theorem to revise probability estimates Readings Required 1. OpenIntro Statistics, Chapter 2 Assignments Assignment 1 due Assignment 2 is available in the D2L Brightspace Assignment area See the Assignments section of the online module for more details. Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 4 (May 20, 2023) Module 4 More Probability and an Introduction to Hypothesis Test The ultimate goal for the next few modules is to be able to test hypotheses in a statistically rigorous manner. Here is an example where a rigorous statistical test would be necessary. Suppose a test for a new blood pressure drug yields the following results: One group of patients, call them Group 1, were given the drug for a month, and after the trial their systolic blood pressure averaged 119 with a standard deviation of 14. Another group (Group 2) was given a placebo, and at the end of the month their systolic blood pressure averaged 126 with a standard deviation of 12. Is there enough evidence from this trial to conclude that the new drug is effective at lowering blood pressure? Group 1 did have a lower average blood pressure at the end of the trial, but could that just be due to chance? How certain can you be that the observed difference is actually meaningful? Rigorous statistical testing can help give clear answers to these questions. In this module, you will learn the process necessary to perform such tests and interpret the results. You will be introduced to hypothesis testing with a few intuitive examples, while the statistical details will be covered in the next module. This module begins with a discussion of the normal probability distribution and the Central Limit Theorem. These ideas form the theoretical underpinning of hypothesis testing. Topics Probability distributions Normal distributions The sampling distributions and the Central Limit Theorem Hypothesis testing Null and alternative hypotheses Type I and type II errors Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Calculate probabilities from the normal distribution Describe the hypothesis testing process Identify type I and type II errors Readings Required 1. Chapters 9, 10, and 11. Scott, Ian and Mazhindu, Debbie. 2014. Statistics for Healthcare Professionals.London, UK: Sage Assignments No new assignments Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 5 (May 27, 2023) Module 5 Hypothesis Testing: Comparing Means In this module you will learn how to perform specific types of hypothesis tests. You will learn the theory behind them, how to do the calculations, and how to interpret the results. Topics Z test for the mean T test for the mean Two-sample T test Independent and dependent samples P values Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Perform a variety of hypothesis tests and interpret the results Describe the p value and its limitations Readings Required 1. Chapter 12. Scott, Ian and Mazhindu, Debbie. 2014. Statistics for Healthcare Professionals. London, UK: Sage 2. Chapter 5, OpenIntro Statistics 3. “Prone breast forward intensity-modulated radiotherapy for Asian women with early left breast cancer: Factors for cardiac sparing and clinical outcomes”, available on D2L Assignments Assignment 2 due Assignment 3 is available in the D2L Brightspace Assignment area See the Assignments section of the online module for more details. Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 6 (June 3, 2023) Module 6 More Hypothesis Testing and ANOVA (Comparing More Than Two Groups) The t tests of the previous module compared the means of two groups. In this module you learn about similar tests for proportions. An example of where this might be useful is a comparison of disease prevalence between two ethnic groups. You will also learn about the ANOVA test, which is a statistical method to compare the means of more than two groups. Topics Z test for the proportion Z test for comparing two proportions ANOVA tests Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Perform a z test for the proportion using R commander and interpret the results Perform a z test comparing two proportions using R commander and interpret the results Perform a one-way ANOVA using R commander and interpret the results Readings Required 1. Scott and Mazhindu, Chapter 13 (up to and including box 13.7 on page 133) 2. OpenIntro Statistics, Chapter 6 (up to and including section 6.2.3) 3. “Meeting patient’s expectations in primary care consultations in Lithuania,” available in the online module Assignments No new assignments Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 7 (June 10, 2023) Module 7 Correlation and Regression In this module you will learn about statistical methods used to understand the relationship between two variables. This type of analysis is useful to address questions such as: How are obesity and health care outcomes related? How do staffing levels affect patient satisfaction? Topics Correlation Simple linear regression Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Calculate and interpret the correlation coefficient Perform simple linear regression using Excel or R and interpret the output Demonstrate the correct use of a simple linear regression model to make predictions Readings Required 1. Chapter 17. Scott, Ian and Mazhindu, Debbie. 2014. Statistics for Healthcare Professionals. London, UK: Sage Assignments Assignment 3 due Assignment 4 is available in the D2L Brightspace Assignment area See the Assignments section of the online module for more details. Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 8 (June 17, 2023) Module 8 Multiple Regression Multiple regression is an extension of simple regression that uses more than one predictor variable. This technique allows you to account for the fact that an outcome may depend on several different variables. For example, length of stay in the ICU may depend on several factors, including the age of the patient, the severity of their medical issue, and their current level of health. Topics Multiple regression Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Perform multiple linear regression using Excel and interpret the output Use a multiple linear regression model to make predictions Readings Required 1. OpenIntro Statistics, Chapters 8.1, 8.2, and 8.3 2. Hikmet, N., Bhattacherjee, A., Menachemi, N., Kayhan, V.O., & Brooks, R.G. (2008). The role of organizational factors in the adoption of healthcare information technology in Florida hospitals. Health Care Management Science, 11(1), 1–9. Assignments No new assignments Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 9 (June 24, 2023) Module 9 Simple Logistic Regression Topics Applications of logistic regression Learning Objectives Identify situations that call for logistic regression Describe criteria to be considered in the appropriate use of logistic regression. Interpret the output of simple logistic regression Readings Supplemental 1. OpenIntro Statistics, Chapter 8.4 Assignments Assignment 4 due Assignment 5 is available in the D2L Brightspace Assignment area See the Assignments section of the online module for more details. Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 10 (July 1, 2023) Module 10 Other Tests In this module you will learn about non-parametric tests and the chi-square test. A simple way to think about non-parametric tests is that they are more general but less powerful than the tests you have learned about so far (the t test for means, for example). All of the tests you have seen have required some assumptions on the distribution of your data. Non-parametric tests do not make these assumptions, and therefore can apply to data with any distribution. The price of this generality is a less powerful test. Non-parametric tests are particularly useful when you are dealing with ordinal or nominal data. The chi-square test is used to test whether there is an association between two variables. For example, you might be interested in knowing if a particular medical condition is more common among a certain ethnic group or demographic. This module will present several examples of these tests that you can work through yourself to gain a better understanding of how they work and how they differ. Topics Non-parametric tests Mann-Whitney U test Wilcoxon two-sample test Kruskal-Wallis H test Spearman rank correlation Chi-square test Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Determine when a non-parametric test is appropriate Perform a non-parametric test and interpret the results Determine when a chi-square test is appropriate Perform a chi-square test and interpret the results Readings Required 1. Chapters 15 and 16. Scott, I., and Mazhindu, D. (2014). Statistics for healthcare professionals. London, UK: Sage Assignments No new assignments Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 11 (July 8, 2023) Module 11 Using Statistics Appropriately In this module, you will learn about how statistics can be misused and misinterpreted. This module focuses on a widely cited article about the reproducibility of results in Psychology. This article claimed, based on statistical analysis, that over half of all results from psychological studies could not be replicated. A group of authors wrote a rebuttal to this article, claiming that it contained statistical errors. The original authors replied to this rebuttal, and this set off much discussion back and forth between psychologists and social scientists as well as statisticians. You will need to read the original article, the rebuttal, the reply to the rebuttal, the reply to the reply to the rebuttal, and a summary of the controversy by the rebuttal authors. Your instructor will facilitate a discussion of the issues raised by these publications. For example, how is it possible that two sets of authors, using statistical analysis of the same evidence, can come to two different conclusions to the same question? To prepare for a robust discussion, it is important that you consider the guiding themes provided in the module content while studying the two articles. Topics Critical evaluation of health research Learning Objectives After successfully completing this module, you should be able to: Assess the statistical validity of research results Readings Required 1. Chapter 8. Scott, I., & Mazhindu, D. (2014). Statistics for healthcare professionals. London, UK: Sage 2. Open Science Collaboration (2015, August). Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science. Science, 349(6251). http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aac4716. 3. Gilbert, D., King, G., Pettigrew, S., & Wilson, T. (2016, March) Comment on “Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science”. Science, 351(6277). http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aad7243. 4. Anderson, C.J., Bahník, S., Barnett-Cowan, M., Bosco, F., Chandler, J., Chartier, C.R., et al. (2016, March 4). Response to Comment on “Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science”. Science, 351(6277) http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aad9163. 5. Gilbert, D., King, G., Pettigrew, S., & Wilson, T. (n.d.) A response to the reply to our technical comment on “Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science”. 6. Gilbert, D., King, G., Pettigrew, S., & Wilson, T. (2016, March 7). A response to the reply to our technical comment on “More on “Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science”. Assignments Assignment 5 due See the Assignments section of the online module for more details. Tests/Exams There are no tests/exams this week Week 12 (July 15, 2023) Module 12 Review This module will focus on providing reviews of concepts found to be particularly challenging to you. Prepare for this review by formulating specific and clear questions of concepts, formulae, processes, or procedures you need help with in order to be able to meet the course learning outcomes and prepare for assessments. Week 13 (July 22, 2023) Module 13 Final Exam Assignments Assignment 6 due Tests/Exams Available this week in D2L. Marking Scheme Assessment % Week Assigned Week Due Discussion board participation 15 1 As noted in each online module Assignment 1 15 1 3 Assignment 2 15 3 5 Assignment 3 10 5 7 Assignment 4 15 7 9 Assignment 5 10 9 11 Final Exam 20 13 13 Total 100% Assignment Descriptions (See D2L for details) Assignment 1 - Describing data Assignment 2 - Displaying data Assignment 3 - t-tests and ANOVA Assignment 4 - Regression & correlation Assignment 5 - Chi-square Participation Details The online discussion board is an excellent way to enhance your learning and practice critical thinking. Discussing content in an online environment allows you to reflect before contributing and take time to consider other student postings. By providing opportunities for networking and community building, the discussion board can reduce the feeling of isolation that sometimes occurs in online courses. More details on discussion activities are listed in the “Getting Around in the Course”, the “How to Work Your Way Through the Modules”, and the “Setting Norms and Expectations” sections of Module 1 online. Also, there is an example discussion board contribution provided in the Module 1 discussion section for your reference. Please also review the “Etiquette Guidelines” and “Issues Awareness” sections below which outline the minimum conduct expectations for discussion board behaviour. Discussion boards in this course are comprised to two separate requirements: (1) original student posts; (2) comments on posts by other students. The due dates for each requirement are: Posts must be made by Friday 11:59 p.m. of the specified week. Comments must be made by Sunday 11:59 p.m. of the specified week. Etiquette Guidelines Treat online forums as academic, public-speaking places. Post comments in the same way you would speak in a traditional classroom – politely and respectfully. Forums are a place for discussion and debate about the content you are studying. They are a way of getting to know the abilities and strengths of your peers and instructor(s) and an opportunity to share your views and ideas. Respect diversity. There will be multiple perspectives and experiences shared relating to course content and subject matter practice. You may disagree with someone’s perspective or have a different one, but positioning any perspective as “right” or “wrong” should be avoided. Read and respond to peer postings. If someone comments on your thread or asks a question, monitor and reply. Keep criticism constructive and positive. Reference course readings and content to make suggestions or recommendations. Participate frequently. You may be assessed for attendance and participation via weekly forums. Be concise. You, your instructor and your peers have many posts to read each week. Unless your instructor states otherwise, keep your initial postings and responses brief and meaningful (one to two short paragraphs) and include references and links. Issues Awareness Discussion forums can sometimes move off topic; avoid tangents and assist with redirection to keep postings contextual. The instructor is the course expert and will address any incorrect information in forums with guidance and support as needed. Inappropriate forum behaviour should be reported to the instructor immediately. Allow the instructor time to respond and take action. Do not engage an inappropriate peer directly. Your instructor may provide a separate course Q & A forum. This is the ideal place to post general questions about assignments and schedules and to seek clarification on forum issues. Your peers may have similar questions, so it will benefit everyone to ask publicly. Personal issues should be communicated with your instructor outside of this forum. You may also have a course “coffee shop” where you can socialize with peers about non-course topics. The Etiquette Guidelines above apply to this social area and your instructor will check in to ensure that all students are using the forum appropriately. Your instructor may opt to form smaller groups out of the larger class to reduce the number of posts each student must read or to enable group assignments. Missed Term Work or Examinations and Course Repeats Missed Term Work or Examinations Students are expected to complete all assignments, tests, and exams within the time frames and by the dates indicated in this outline. Exemption or deferral of an assignment, term test, or final examination is only permitted for a medical or personal emergency or religious observance (the request must be received within the first two weeks of the course). The instructor must be notified by email prior to the due date or test/exam date or as soon as possible after the date, and the appropriate documentation must be submitted. For absence on medical or religious-observance grounds, official forms may be downloaded from the Ryerson website or picked up from The Chang School at Heaslip House, 297 Victoria Street, Main Floor. Course Repeats Senate GPA Policy prevents students from taking a course more than three times. For the complete GPA Policy, see Policy 46 on the Ryerson Senate Policies website. Plagiarism The Ryerson Student Code of Academic Conduct defines plagiarism and the sanctions against students who plagiarize. All Chang School students are strongly encouraged to go to the academic integrity website and complete the tutorial on plagiarism. Other Course Information From Ryerson University Policy Ryerson University is a learning, teaching, and work community of students, faculty and staff, committed to providing a civil and safe environment which is respectful of the rights, responsibilities, well-being, and dignity of all of its members. Ryerson Student Email All students in full- and part-time graduate and undergraduate degree programs and all continuing education students are required to activate and maintain their Ryerson online identity at ryerson.ca/accounts in order to regularly access Ryerson’s email (either Rmail or Gmail), RAMSS, the my.ryerson.ca portal and learning system, and other systems by which they will receive official university communications. Student Support If you are experiencing technical or administrative issues with your course, help is available from Student Support for Distance Courses via email at distance@ryerson.ca or by phone from Monday to Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m., at (416) 979-5315.