O X F O R D I B S T U D Y G U I D E S 2020 edition Economics F O R T H E I B D I P L O M A Constantine Ziogas Marily Apostolakou 2020 edition Economics F O R T H E I B D I P L O M A Constantine Ziogas Marily Apostolakou 3 Acknowledgements The 3 Great Clarendon publisher permission Street, Oxford, OX2 6DP, United University Press is a department of the University It furthers the University’s objective of excellence scholarship, and education by Johan publishing is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press © UK and Oxford The All rights published rights form writing by law, in or by other Press the countries 2021 authors No in any part a of means, University by licence or Rights been asserted under Press, terms outside the scope of Oxford the or or as with above University be permission expressly Enquiries the may transmitted, prior agreed organization. Department, publication system, without Oxford rights this retrieval of reproduction have 2021 stored reprographics the of reserved. reproduced, any certain University moral First in the in in permitted appropriate concerning should Press, at be sent the to address above. You must impose British Data 978 1 3 circulate same Library this condition Cataloguing work on in in any any other form and you must acquirer Publication Data available 1 5 not this 38 7 Paper 9 200942 10 used product 8 6 in made Printed in of 4 2 production from manufacturing regulations 3 the wood process the China of this grown conforms country of in book is a natural, sustainable to origin. the to thank other the following copyright for material: by Siebke/Alamy Stock Photo. Aptara. effort has been recyclable forests. environmental The reproduced made in this to contact book. Any copyright holders omissions will be of rectified in in the like and worldwide. material Oxford would in Every research, authors photographs of Artwork Oxford. and use Kingdom Cover: Oxford to subsequent printings if notice is given to the publisher. Contents Unit 1: Introduction 1 .1 What 1 .2 How Unit is economists approach the world? Unit Markets 2.2 Markets 2.3 Competitive 2.4 Critique consumers – of 7 4.2 Types trade 4.3 Arguments of the and Elasticity 2.7 Role 2.8 Market of maximizing producers Elasticities 2.6 13 equilibrium of of 16 behaviour of (HL) of trade supply or 33 in common Market 2.10 failure Market asymmetric 2.1 1 microeconomies 36 resources 3.1 3: and – 55 power (HL) 56 economic in and Macroeconomic 3.4 Economics 3.5 Demand variations 71 activity— aggregate supply objectives inequality and 75 84 poverty 105 management (demand-side Demand of its economic demand 3.3 policies): monetary policy 1 14 management (demand-side policies): 3.7 Supply-side 3.8 Macroeconomic strengths, 54 (HL) market illustrating Variations aggregate 3.6 goods Macroeconomics Measuring activity 3.2 failure scal policy policies 124 132 policies— limitations and and control and protection 156 integration 159 4.5 Exchange rates 164 4.6 Balance 4.7 Sustainable 4.8 Measuring 4.9 Barriers of payments 177 development 187 development 188 growth 4.10 to and/or Economic economic economic growth development and/or conicts 139 of strategies key 191 economic 43 – information 149 and access public failure Market Unit – protection 145 Economic Glossary 2.9 for trade 25 failure—externalities pool international 4.4 development common economy 22 demand governments global Benets 10 -supply The 4.1 against demand market 4: 2 Microeconomics 2.1 2.5 economics economics? do 2: to terms: www.oxfordsecondary.com/9781382009423 197 1 .1 What Economics The social as a is social nature of economics? science economics, economics which Social sciences are academic disciplines that human behaviour from different perspectives psychology, anthropology, political science Economics is one of the social sciences as Promoting extent it able while with human deploying to the of testable the collection and actions social and analysis falsiable and social scientic of and hypotheses interpreted income or to wealth refer is to inequality, distributed equity is a signicant issue for in a societies. which create markets greater or governments equity or less should, inequality or in an is is an area of much debate. relationships method, data to to, economy concerned of ten how and are others. is to and The include apply systematically society. study inequity may which the about Economic refers formulation social Economic by the well-being well-being members of relates an to the economy living and standards includes the enjoyed dimensions: phenomena. • security in terms of income, wealth, employment and shelter Microeconomics and macroeconomics • Economics is divided into two main the ability to meet transportation, microeconomics and are meaning Greek words macroeconomics small and —“micro” large and Microeconomics • the ability is concerned with the individual the economy; economy • such it as rms, Macroeconomics whole; it deals deals is with with individual consumers concerned or with aggregates units within total output of • as economy the as overall a the The time nine and the central average health care, an economy and price make economic personal choices fulllment with and feel a personal sense of nances employment ability to its maintain all the above over time. Sustainability level of refers to the ability of the present generation growth to through housing, clothing) the markets. the such to and Sustainability unemployment , (food, childcare, parts and of needs education, “macro” respectively. security • basic branches meet its needs without compromising the ability of future level. generations to that generations current meet their own needs. should be It relates good to the stewards of idea the concepts environment . The nine key concepts that are central to economics and that Change we will be discussing throughout this book are as follows. The economic world is not static ; it continuously changes. Scarcity In Scarcity is fundamental to economics, as it is the terms societies face. It refers to the excess of human wants can actually be produced to fulll these wants. are unlimited. In contrast , the resources of a certain variable available study of these wants are focuses not economic variable but on the on the change in from one situation real-world to another. phenomena, it is With always respect subject to to to continuous fulll economics Human the wants theory, over that what economic problem level all of change at institutional, structural, technological, limited. economic and social levels. Choice Interdependence Since resources are scarce, not all wants can be satised. Economic Choices must therefore be made. Societies have to and between which goods or services to produce and how nations each they want . Economics is thus also concerned over competing alternatives together with agent economic and future consumers, each other. producers, Any governments action will impact other agents, of any indicating agents are interdependent . The that intended and their unintended current as with with all choices such interact much economic of agents choose consequences of these interdependencies must consequences. therefore be considered. Efciency Intervention Scarce resources must be used in the best possible way to Intervention produce the combinations of goods and services that workings optimum for society. This is known as allocative efciency. same time, it is important to use resources in a way best minimum waste. This is known as technical a Equity mechanism do fail, that to the idea of fairness. Fairness is an 2 as it means different things to different only people. In is involvement markets organize room the subject that the elusive market concept , to creating not contentious guarantee refers government despite being in the considered economic activity. as Markets for government intervention. efciency. Note Equity to markets that of ten ensures of At the the refers are outcomes. of extent debate outcome of of government but any also there intervention is intervention no will improve choice and Scarcity resource allocation. disappearing Scarcity is the fundamental problem that all It refers to the excess of human wants over what sh stock s be produced to fulll these wants. Human unlimited, as individuals typically or prefer to have better goods produce all of and the more services. goods and Yet , services it is to not is due to the fact that resources are all (factors of resources services are • and four Land refer are factors and provided natural deposits, be • into are is used as are the both in inputs human in rivers. The of The if available for working Capital input , of in is, are at skills. The non- area as used oil oil, and and now, to raw will example and any The point in of is that work is referred manufactured means capital and to as the other capital in speech where thus and the time, number the would labour of (a resources; production. limited The supply equipment). economics is people Entrepreneurship individuals is have factors not of is to in world of Note different refer to the other has factories, that from capital willingness take risk s production. identical being future. to and the a risk s must about who do to an available the book s used in are exist . ability manage When They these or not called important must a that the is new involve risk s to the and choices all has the to to wants would problem how For most and produce between much it of wants these how produce. have of to be scarcity are of also Scarcity which each The in of the great manner. increasing or The goal improving the For for the next cost best no of is cost choosing implies example foregone opportunity of example, land wheat , the of that has alternative any any cost activity sacriced. would producing been opportunity choosing sacrices to some be If necessary, good or service versus free goods are goods to has and avoid of to economic cost and in services order goods, of in examples, basic related Scarcity questions, unknown for free that them goods production, their as require to be have there production. perhaps at a zero resources seawater price have economic forces every are scarce produced. a were There and not been are no scarce very air. Note few that free used in up the to economist ’s produce them. or the questions economy independently development them. of to answer their economic level system three of fundamental economic adopted. What to produce? Choices must be made in all economies The How necessitates which goods will be produced or want cannot because the goods is book s and produce? use there were no their All economies resources a and capital (machines) less and less good in Should capital given enjoy to to services. and in what quantities. on be must order to produced or make choices produce using perhaps rely on goods and more labour more on labour? all For whom? All economies must make choices about how the number limited. how and services produced are to be distributed among It population. Should all enjoy education and health many scarcity, Should all enjoy the same amount of all goods? no a second important of it is important services wasting that any to produce society scarce answering the economic questions consequence. versus government intervention the values the resources. A market provide should answers the be to thought the market of three can as a mechanism fundamental that questions. can For determine: sustainability sustainability is closely related to whether effects of current patterns of this good or that good will be produced and in the what environmental sacriced made. scarce, goods and concept sustainable available product , sacriced venture • The use is some other goods they society two many If be scarce example, Scarcity to it entrepreneurs. example, tables decide to resources combination a sacrice. the goods goods to Markets Since others scarce resources. unlimited, available if Means The for also zero. services? it the cost The opportunity the tables on sustainability, make undertake consequence. choose and resources. and required somehow are even natural opportunity goods trees to ordinary 3. of threat money. Entrepreneurship assess whether so produce the in and alternative value contrast how Societies services a of 2. choice. polluted machines, Choice has pose available them using were be about Scarcity so activities words, 1 . people human limited meaning that as and to management . considered, Someone judgments becoming of of sense but or severely force goods three of This real-world • are choice choice. resources tools use agricultural sacriced. zero of be resources involves corn resources mental, total other of choice produce coal they for cost Every renewable. physical force and land resources, sh, both labour are and In stock world population. includes produced is impact activities not that Opportunity resources • the atmosphere current Such stock Economic or the preserving Economic people of There deposits, such be available production world’s they and below. mineral Other stock goods production. into resources, future. number produce agricultural pastures, Some the parts limited. dened example the and to factors as non-renewable: production. limited and limited. (timber) Labour for forests, lakes available forests known materials land, are is production, nature, gas, materials also are production) whatever of raw by agricultural not to many the will Given should Resources forests rewood) wants. importance Resources or possible satisfy future. This virgin timber more as to in that environment . and that for wants demonstrates are fact down can depleted actually The cut societies that face. (being T I N U and : 1 scarcity N O I T C U D O R T N I of O T problem S C I M O N O C E The quantities production 3 • which a • production good how will Yet, income a rm should use to produce market is no from too for as society ’s owner point to of care the of and these mechanism much that succeeds society a excessively each factor of production to not market view. Sometimes results in questions. fails. For outcome the best Many example, is the the best it economy, step for rates lower risky of other times, markets unemployment , income lending enough in and may the lead households; practices by or to they inadequate may nancial lead In the of households basic scientic research. creates a role for questions. decide to Then attempt to government correct the is Households what goods markets the better. However, there is no thus a the ensure command land. failure. to help answers governments failure is provide also priori are guarantee production The as production the necessarily better, model possibilities curve possibilities we will This (PPC), frontier curve also (PPF), (PPC) production account country of an with a technology referred is the at curve a (PPC) point amount producing but still, as to a number of PPC 1 .1 .1 will help of in provides time. resources It a refers devotes only you key you all of and to X and Y (X and wheat and cotton, all capital the three to are mixed the three economies. In fundamental a mixed questions the market and partly by the state. In are practice are mixed; yet , can the differ roles and importance of the substantially. cost and scarcity illustrates Y X shows, it will if choice the and have economy opportunity to sacrice by moving chooses the to cost . As produce production of more some Y. two will goods see, or some is shown along the PPC from of pointC to point of producing D. This sacrice the of good additional Y is amount the of opportunity X. cost Specically, we level services. powerful This enough It that the opportunity cost of producing an additional is units of good X (400 units instead of 300 units) is to 40 units of good Y (160 instead of 200) that must concepts. to its or extremes markets also visualize a PPC . Assume that resources to the production of can be any goods or services foregone. an is because health care and national of scarcity that the PPC is negatively sloped: two produce more of X, less of Y can be produced as scarce such resources as owns answers a to goods: state state visual It economy the the opportunity 1 .1 .1 good be Figure that answers by of Choice, the illustrate coordinated. rst 100 unrealistic the and realize of are Firms use. model possibilities xed decisions to study. the economy consume. questions. economies good The to resources model of of these economy, means these partly Figure Assumptions that goods what as The economic and interaction possible. possibilities production what the fundamental that state The decide produce through three The all government the markets given the to markets answer market economy function rms government market intervention economy, and institutions, When the free-market Between of economy free-market economy and the command economy. possible pollution, or not enough libraries; they may lead to automatically purpose mixed economy, organization of each economy. There are two extreme cases: the market fundamental to market can be answered. We can in turn distinguish between the types of and fails free The market mechanism and government intervention explained In or systems: command the guarantee unacceptably high health Economic above are two ways through which the basic economic questions mechanism answers to technology service earn. there a a much outcome as or will need to be diverted from the production of Y defence). to the idea the production of a two PPC would goods Increasing of could X. If scarcity make be no were sense as not the any case, then combination the of produced. oppor tunity costs C 200 The PPC also illustrates the phenomenon of increasing D 160 opportunity and more costs. units The of opportunity good X is cost of producing ever-increasing more quantities of E 100 good Y point C sacriced. to point additional that to point 100 B 60 0 Figure The 300 1 .1 .1 PPC 300 its for amount resources units of 500 Good at good the 4 resources units of units opportunity of foregone. The of the good Now opportunity goodX goodY mentioned, (500 (100 X is cost the consider cost units of of 40 of units of of an 400 that from an good from producing 160) moving producing moving instead instead when Y point D additional units) are is the sacriced. X Producing these costlier 60 each of the and X amount other its are of one good that technology. produced good For then can produced, be produced instance, this the more if most 200 units of good X if economy it fully with its technology. as sacriced. the additional of This one other units instead 100 means good is that forced of units an to 40 of units good of X economy sacrice good is Y now have producing increasing been more and amounts of good. can uses all reason for this is that resources tend to be specialized. As of the its E. units The produce 100 be D already PPC shows maximum given The 400 must As economy concentrates more and more of its production on (bowed-in negatively sloped increases as resources (that to straight the line and the are of X rather and would good). because is less that other origin) exactly more that resources produce towards more is, The than less have PPC being a opportunity The as movement this output. of Point good Y increase in a if the economy actual like is operating point the resources there inefcient in to point B production of point X2 output depicts increase A (as represents in more > economic the of X1 good and economic growth economy ’s X Y2 actual and > more Y1). This growth. growth A inside shown in the Figure PPC producing 1 .1 .2? shif t of growth the PPC , is not being unemployment . production country are and, Point combination. more fully generally, A utilized; is Lower more can as also be shown in illustrated Figure through an outward 1 .1 .3. Then Good available example reects to an growth combination the A produced. Economic What B point illustrates compared Potential Actual from movement Y for therefore an H unemployment efcient use of F existing resources combination will towards Good allow the the economy northeast , to closer move to the to another curve itself. Y B 0 Y2 Figure 1 .1 .3 F Potential H Good X growth A The Y1 production and the point be X1 X2 Good the 1 .1 .2 Actual that enjoy The shif ted a this specic the circular rms, the sector) At economy of offer ow (for ow of model government consider an Households to rms rms. make land), In is income a quantity or (for makes up and, in of an economy own all an representation economy open payments (for to with factors for and/or of if of the rent, the national to labour), income. produce households, goods (land, the factors goods in interest The Firms households production, and the (for sum use of of the form of and basic take and so households services view place production available goods ows a of good shif t is Y should produce that possible resources technology wages, if increases or advances. interest and prot payments) labour, of production capital, entrepreneurship) capital) these Firms and Goods payments factors services, Households produced make which by of the economy by two kinds of and are ows or of goods factor or services shown in in grey the ows: services they expenditures are offer the on goods and services on real 1 .1 .4 in ows one of monetary and real ows and described monetary above ows must assumed that there is no be “ tomorrow ” equal so all as it is income and must be spent . The income that ows from rms spending The ows ows factor s direction, direction. monetary Transactions: transactions (income) opposite and services rms. there payments and of generated monetary on and to each rents initially of position it they production, The that a output , and which Figure this X Such available Factors foreign Spending In good in of expanded that how (households, economy, only of households entrepreneurship). production the now unattainable. quality Income: model simplied units exchange wages prots to is have Given interact . rst , rms. HH’. economy decision-making the economy to growth circular basic this FF ’ combination (factor The of from combinations previously improves Modelling has X were Figure possibilities represents clear and 0 PPC T I N U using appropriate concave cost start production : 1 is more must its N O I T C U D O R T N I been it for O T good, suitable S C I M O N O C E one in to households, of production, as payments made for the use of the factors real blue must be equal to the spending by households in that ows back to rms as payment for the goods and Figure1 .1 .4. services produced. This is the circular ow of income. 5 If there may be is a “next saved—a only households that spend occurs). ow. It This Where banks lend or then part from this that latter did the this simplied injection they is ow in version of an is, an come need injections of this are the output injection from? The system economy, will to the output rms the hand, circular and is our then These are part be an of imports on (M) equilibrium the income domestic and is condition (I + a to output foreigners revenues its output . in This leakage to of this on the ow. On also domestic economy the other economy spending the but make (X) circular generated foreign increase In on export injection the spent spend expenditures constitute they now that investments. neither government foreigners. not and leakages. without is also answer their it spending savings nance equal but to and generated ow—while investment attract to income circular domestic (that intermediaries the if on goods expenditure funds that decrease spend capital nancial rms follows nor on period” leakage may represents circular ow. The becomes: G + X) = (S + T + M) this government Recap and without a foreign sector, the equilibrium condition for Leakages national income (Y) I If a in government this the economy circular other ow hand, by added may of not into expenditures Domestic households output and rms = then be income injections government output . is part spent in the the (G) in as • S of the form circular on this of it will domestically as the can be condition therefore Leakages (I (T). out On also • of foreign on we make sector domestic make on it . this + G) then we output , Now, model have namely not only Injections can and as income not = (S + more the the include • produced If and national be thought services injections leakages bought government . into from the the income not of circular circular will as expenditures originating not ow ow from are then more and source of expenditures add a If injections If will injections income equal the to level of are larger tend to than leakages then national increase. will are smaller tend to than leakages households, A rms simplied Figure representation of the circular 1 .1 .5. Firms on T axes spending domestic Imports output Exports Government spending Leakages The circular ow Injections of national decrease. expenditures foreigners Household 6 domestic The Households 1 .1 .5 on households. change. Income Figure on T) realistic domestic Savings spent services. becomes: one do dened goods goods • if are domestic income Lastly, injections generated leaks taxes ow model well income because • equilibrium and is: income Investment ow is shown in Economists distinguish role “positive” also and be of positive economics is represented advanced the concerned with the development of The ceteris positive statements about the world that and veriable. A positive statement is a fact . It can be proven right or wrong. is rising” and “Ination will be over of positive means to by next year ” The use of logic : of logic . positive economic thinking relies on Economists use careful reasoning in order out potential of ten, implications economic other The use for reasoning is economic expressed how of the consumer These hypotheses: of demand hypotheses economists economic will are evidence: make general rise phenomena—for it can when typically once then Empirical real-world a consumer based on the incomes rise. has be tested against refers to is Normative A following an We and have the collection we of how a are information selling we want a more to know hypothesis: supermarket sold is than above can Then we support prices • If the to the our link about organic why the will sell the on how and If it the between if to big more the this is the the of then process that ts the rened does modify of well use statement trial with of Value how that be at which that of for sales evidence at hypothesis we such consumers is time accept as to to are at the same time. can be judged explaining and according predicting. evidence be rejected do or not support modied. This economics relate is be, a to opinions value about or points judgment: whether a of view. statement undesirable. “It is something right to tax is good the rich and “ The of government normative ought statements. to reduce They or rejected by a simple statements and appeal to theories the can. a theory cannot be tested and refuted If or it is a normative statement or theory. in policy-making: practising it is important positive to economics value judgments. Any analysis do, involves of subjectivity. those price questions they and can may analyst In of not support the hypothesis, we First , error gradually leads to a even on economists economic explanation formulate world of incorporate noted as the depend what regarding the that based will issues a what economists on their policymakers reduce of faced. policy of upon to analyse is, and can For subjective what is contribute value which the judgments; policies example, increasing not , to to that is, pursue economists government The meaning equal. of It equity unemployment . means and equality: fair—but equitable fairness means does not different theory to different people. Equity is therefore a normative experience. the can of ten reject • and policy suggest it addition, advise depending relating changes. analyse the important . periods. it , of to theories work s. A theory is The an aspect of the hypotheses and that a reality theory it seek s can to never so of equality and equity of ten arise in to a to the distribution of income. Equality in the wellof income is where each individual in the economic evidence. be explain, ideas as receives the same share of income. Equity is It income is distributed in a way that is considered complex theory be fair or just . The problem with this, however, is that is have different notions of fairness. For example, simplication. use of models: analytical show that world, refutation. economic make how views different different hypotheses, by for a The as economists element people • real they to about assumed the apples where rich to or judgments economy and to poor ” or distribution should of ten in case. it . theories: substantiated world must examples then relation explain in empirical it accepted concept . The models are normative positive things • the then ought are be as mean This is than organic price looking and the response by volume countries supports evidence and it course, changing and they statement expenditure • Of world: apples volume rises hypothesis different evidence move In two reduced. test in constant ”. between be and • else data. the an are economics usually economics however, that “all issue. following state in theories desirable realize Next or relationship of • • are of what bad, accepted before—and many empirical the numerical example economic supermarkets of phrase been a • equal” possible change. referred normative facts to variables, data role cannot applied part Latin that observations. hypothesis evidence observations the things the successful ination” Consider on variables hypothesis more evidence. a hypotheses example, or formulated important paribus, models. causes Empirical an ceteris behaviour. about • of through The about “other things process • assumption: assumption focus Refutation: a mathematical models. to If Very or the to draw simple conclusions statements. • use with draw are many • to “Unemployment 6% no examples paribus the economic is and is statement order of aim are that objective constructed diagrams The and models testing with mathematics. economics • Positive world? : 1 between economics. from The the T I N U approach methodology frequently “normative” economists O T Economic do N O I T C U D O R T N I How S C I M O N O C E 1 .2 tools simplied variables. Most theories used to give illustrate relationships models can rise to theories between be models, and various described, but which to economic they can rich person inequality are of ten being distribution in the may than share of of a well poor used favour a person. much As a interchangeably, income income is of ten higher result , and interpreted received by degree both equity as members less of of terms in the inequality society. 7 Economic Economic known and traced which ideas to the have have been Middle back in usually thought to turn originated important East . the is In fact , Greek translated as the word composed way of back topics in word household; words: and time, economy oikonomia two in ancient and are can utility be οικονομια), (= oikos, nemein, which which as of as management and dispensation. Thus, story usually goes, the term oikonomia management and while this was referred in linked to the idea of budgeting, it has some little or to contemporary a scholars great but an deal in the about the study autonomous 17th to early and money, discipline 18th help of literature, a the Middle prices only centuries. detailed and Ages thought scope of this section. interest developed rates, toward of a The will start from Despite the interest Adam Smith account of it would be of the the Instead the late (1 723– 1 790), discipline; development and into the 21st the of the review 18th of century. who is widely remainder economic Wealth foundations of of what market renowned supply. for developing Marshall market and focused illustrated diagrams that the with intersection identies equilibrium where the of market of approach and is known supply as the resemble “scissors” the two blades Jevons revolution. (1835– 1882) He advanced distinguished between the so-called total utility—namely, the change in the utility level of economic Focus will regarded that this thought as section in the results from a given increase in the quantity of be good. Marginal utility was thought to diminish with the one consumed. The importance of thinking in terms will marginal changes rather than total proved so useful to 19th, century Nations, would Adam become understanding mechanism competitive demand Stanley for utility to and supply and Jean-Baptiste Smith basic laid that in its demand own demand. and of the individual role of that it was subsequently principles in the Say concepts cost of (1 767– 1832) formulation of marginal production. is best states known that for supply Say ’s Law creates its the There are several interpretations of this law. of behaviour, markets with marginal simplest Nevertheless, economists’ is and centuries. 18th 1776 a scissors. productivity his a equilibrium of extended In demand demand marginal account 20th of beyond of outline outline school. the quantity founder an Classical of the the of the on of where pair utility thought (1842– 1924) of price-quantity and analysis and the is from no marginal early Below the than concept loose William late rather the satisfaction services. of of economics. Antiquity trade, or contributors Marshall clears. Still, consumption individual goods main framework supply relevance of of on introduction to the way measure put the best on household was with the the cursory only, a the Alfred translated emphasis consumption few is is increased production Greece Say wrote: “it is production which opens a the relation demand for creation of products ... . Thus the mere circumstance of the to one product immediately opens a vent for other governments. products”. Smith was behaviour that it is the rst to explicitly people’s production system: “It brewer, or and is characterize as self-interested desire for ultimately not from individual the a gain the behaviour, that explains existence benevolence of of the economic an admitting services work, acts baker that we expect our butcher, dinner, but regard to their own derives work also the market decisions orderly a result . Adam recognized as This known to is the While not also idea deny the that the markets allow need for a to ensures one that another “invisible laissez-faire should the economists’ the income Wealth is Mar xist the critique same time was critical be merits solid of the function has this to ensure In the to of of ten been mechanism. that relates Smith freely. did particular, basic the he that was system the economics Mar x ’s inspired and but economic time Early thinking period 19th interested are of ten century in relationship the century 19th referred classical production between most them, political political that less 8 second much In reection century. to as and supply and as that Economists “classical ” economists wages emphasis half of the by one’s production is and own not by classical Mar x authors but (1818– 1883) widely action on were well prots, consumption 19th also about the 19th known as follower s directed capital, the and modern generate tensions collapse. His critique and of 20th Capital), in at and about its adhered-to of (also many labour brought published economics radical market centuries. and social, also economic change. the shaped of this economists. af termath entered “revolution”. perhaps the century as onwards, of John most century. He and economy the the scene Great inuential the and Depression, bringing Maynard changed century along Keynes the relationship the Keynesian (1883–1946) economist stressed macroeconomics of the between need for is 20th government government mainly while and the in intervention and Theory ” published stabilization policies. Keynes “General the they was in 1936. In the Keynesian placed demand. no however, endogenous forces exist that restore full From employment . the by Karl would bring much Kapital attracted framework relatively by goods properly. stimulated of production conditions also work that demand generated created between that would during Das 1867 , conict tendencies eventually work in the historical economic an operate market , government . view lead approach allowed of should 19th Smith’s to inuenced of 20th Adam claimed ability the individual and hand” representation governments markets that Smith’s as shaping with effective acknowledging insisted that an that to mechanism consistent Say One’s interest ”. contributed as are from production. highlighted His words, demand. from at their other of consumption. economic the of The the In source Instead of believing in “supply creating its Keynes equilibrium effective turned level of real demand things output in that inside out , an economy. If, for One whatever reason, aggregate demand proves establish full employment then a branch market economy recent a system-wide failure, as it will be economics years unable on is its restore full employment conditions. As have such, there is role for the government . Through scal policy can stabilize the economy and achieve the in mid the Keynesian 1970s but 2008– 09 for interventionist many global they nancial have crisis ideas been and the reigned Covid-19 the an monetarism emerged at Laureate in 2020 the ideas. Friedman of human and the monetarist most well as to the Univer sity of Chicago Milton widely Friedman known strongly opposed of many of the in Keynesian most areas the free economists. of market . government Monetarism had the a did addition, an the He argued for calling for economy, The creates idea more behind this problems strong not spread widely inuence completely convinced temporary effect applies in the early businesses. traditional a better, more realistic model explanation how Some happiness researchers, and for individual example, satisfaction, on policy-making. vacate the that government in and the that short the scene, while applies in the long cooperative of attitudes, individual may behaviour be that for in the standard economic were not model. over important the recent years concept due sustainability to the has growing emerged awareness the interdependencies society and the requires a that exist environment . balance In between between fact , the the sustainable and environmental dimensions. For economic , this of moving towards a circular economy reason has the emerged. a circular economy goods and services are designed in a Keynesian though: policies Keynesian run, and 1980s that can allows them to be reused, either in the biological or many still cycles. Products are manufactured in a way so they have framework be disassembled and materials can either be broken of by nature or returned to production. The goal is to monetarist throw framework and the it down analysis extends view than can a on accounted technical became individuals policy way ideas of factors monetarist In and social (1912–2006) advocate idea solves. effects and with social the provide determinants development that to prosocial economy, return of analysis decision-making. focused regarding by deregulation is cultural counter- as a rational the in In being proposals studied resurrected again fully Prize conventional have emotional, decisions economic attempt important Nobel the and crisis. 1970s, revolution cognitive, economic in as In challenged approach until have the growth Behavioural full Behavioural employment . considerable the on government seen an psychological, active has economics. own decision-making to that behavioural will economists suffer of insufcient in to century determines T I N U the is : 1 law), 21st it N O I T C U D O R T N I (Say ’s that nothing away and to reduce the need for purchasing run. new commodities, should be best while achieved production with and renewable transportation energy. O T demand” postulating S C I M O N O C E own 9 2.1 The Markets—demand interaction market price permit the which economy Changes in willing The The as for law of then quantity inverse willing how buyers services scarce conditions are and will sellers. be resources therefore determines institutions will be in in market leading They produced result the that prices. to more consequently in These or to a of new analyse how allocated. rst behaviour changes producers. the changes less product the allocation markets of set off good of chain and of events produced scarce function consumers a being we need then and resources. the to To examine behaviour of demand a good is an to analytical between purchase per way various time of summarizing possible period, ceteris prices the of a behaviour good and of buyers the in a market . corresponding Specically, quantities that demand can consumers be are paribus. demand relationship is and producers Markets between relationship able time be of the and so and product . goods and demand dened consumers market Denition The of each interaction determine an of between price (negative), demanded and able to and meaning will buy quantity that decrease less per if as per the period price consumers period. This of relationship increases will referred that inverse if to the period between as the price will fall, price law of a of good ceteris and quantity demand. rises The then demanded law of is demand quantity states demanded per paribus. HL Behind the law of Utility demand a The substitution and income re f e r s good or law of demand holds because of the substitution of income The substitution good will goods. switch now That become is effect: cost to to these if more say, relatively prices. all the than price goods and substitutes. a good alternative other cheaper of so This or rises, the might substitute We automatically people explains will tend in price, quantity demanded why their to following income feel poorer; much of the and Again, quantity if will good power so this effect: they purchasing falls law Another the 10 law one typical ga i n s consumer by consuming ha s and he or she faces a a f i xe d f i xe d set assume the not with of people demanded a to good to That (their buy following rises, afford income. income tend why of able their their will explains price be of less an to t hat explanation of behind diminishing is to “real of so say, the income”) that increase the law of utility. utility will the to consumer s the ga i n goal subject n ow good. in price, utility demand rests on the of to e x am i n e qu a n t i t y Marginal d e r i ve d The so is per on), this is utility f ro m idea good and marginal marginal t hat as all goods a l l o c at e the gre at e s t typical their and their services possible consumer s budget is t hat t h ey u t i l i t y. to c o n s t ra i n t This ma x i m i z e ( t hat is, an consumers buy decreases. diminishing so am o n g the re lat i o n s h i p between utility decreases. of The The income). and The buy means We increase • s at i s f a c t i o n effect . e x p e n d i t u re s • the and of income to service. ef fects am o u n t The a the less time. is s i mp l e . As ( t hat additional case, to dened consuming period the consumed buy then m o re is, as an one for an the additional additional consumes per h o u r, s at i s f a c t i o n individuals and individual m o re unit d ay, e n j oy e d units s at i s f a c t i o n of a additional per will c o n s u m e r. be of per week good to of If pay per a and d e c re a s e s . willing a good. units less period demand the price of demanded vertical curve a over axis; horizontal illustrates good a and time quantity axis. the the relationship quantity period. Price demanded Given that the is of is the between measured measured relationship In good on on Figure will the be paribus. the willing between 2.1 .1 , willing If the and quantity demanded is inver se (law of demand) has A a curve is negative demand more from sloping from lef t to to per to increases buy unit buy Q2 Q1 to is P2 units P1 then units per then per consumers period, ceteris consumers period, ceteris will be paribus. per right: (P) it slope. curve usually derives downward price able price able the unit demand the price Price and if and can for be the for an whole adding up at individual market . each The price consumer market the P2 or demand quantities P1 demanded at the to buy by price all of three consumer s $2.00, and able market consists to of a consumer cappuccinos willing in buy per ve these market . A is week For willing while cappuccinos two consumer s example, and able consumer per B week . then at If the is the price D of $2.00, market demand is eight cappuccinos per week . 0 Diagrammatically the horizontal the market summation of demand the curve individual is derived demand The non-price than the the if that demand good to This (or in means service) demand price The one less If of at the each of constant curve price Or, causes to the the good determinants of the a (or This quantity to in higher is The of one that A typical goods, will market demand curve demand as The same to to a per period (Q) curve the lef t inferior the shown in lower decrease products. for and D2, typically lead quality increase the decrease implies service) demand to some demand ceteris causes shif ts 2.1 .1 income are Particularly, change demand lef t . the demand curve more if under Quantity factors) For other They determinants shif ts. of (“shif t ” factors demand. non-price demand demanded. demand quantity be the are Q1 curves. demand affect determinants then shif ts can to of of demand demand the that curve non-price any the of is of that assumed increase determinants the are price changes, change right . own assumption. demand a determinants good’s factors paribus of determinants Q2 by Figure Non-price T I N U The curve : 2 demand as Figure is goods goods, demand consumers This demand quality in the may case of decreases curve shif ts to an and a increase shif t switch inferior when the of to in the S C I M O N O C E O R C I M The other, goods. incomes lef t from D1 to 2.1 .2b. the of good may behave as inferior good a normal good in one society the or market in a and as an in another. For example, then at country with a generally low-income population, an each increase in income for cars, may lead to an increase in the demand demanded. include the used higher following. to a whereas incomes, decrease in a in further the another country increase demand for in where income used people levels may have lead cars. Income Price Changes in consumers’ income may affect of related Substitute As income rises, demand called normal for most goods will rise. are goods. Therefore, an increase will lead to an increase in the demand for a in competitive and the demand curve will shif t to the right from D2 as shown in Figure unit considered one or the and substitutes consumers if typically other Examples as include the goods Pepsi and satisfy the same Coca-Cola, need coffee and or tea, and burgers. For instance, the demand for Coca-Cola is 2.1 .2a. (a) Price are consumption D1 pizza to goods normal want . good two are in buy income goods: Such they goods goods demand. Normal good (b) Price per unit (P) Inferior good per (P) D2 D1 D1 D2 0 Figure 2.1 .2 The effect of an increase in Quantity per period (Q) income on the demand for 0 a normal and an inferior Quantity per period (Q) good 1 1 expected Pepsi. as to increase More substitutes lead to an shif t to the then right a if an increase Price if generally, supermarket good X increase and in the in the demand from D1 to D2, increases good price for as Y X. the are of good Demand shown in price of Price Y (P) will for Figure per unit considered X will 2.1 .3. per unit (P) D1 D2 0 Figure For 2.1 .4 The example, effect the of an increase heavy in the promotion price of Quantity per period (Q) of a complement adopting a healthy of certain D2 D1 0 Figure 2.1 .3 The effect Complement if they are of an goods: increase two consumed in goods together the are price eating Quantity per period (Q) of a products high complements consumed”), such butter and jelly or coffee and sugar. For price of coffee increases then the demand instance, for decrease. people as More generally, complements if goods then an X and increase Y of good Y will lead to a decrease in the X. Demand shown in for Figure X will shif t to the lef t demand from The and more demand observing T astes other of curve future for will such shif t price deemed to to products the be of will right . changes that the likely to price buy of a more good now is going before its to rise price in the goes to an increase in demand and a rightward up. shif t the demand D1 the price curve. of a In the product same will way, fall in if consumers the future, anticipate they are likely for to withhold their purchases now to take advantage of the D2, future price. Thus, the demand for the product will now 2.1 .4. preferences desirable it . are lead decrease Tastes demand demand are the lower as The that are in to good the expect they will that price value. quinoa popularity sugar of considered and the if This may and increased kale Expectations future, the as has as If peanut such nutritional increase substitute considered (“jointly behaviour people are Number nd affected consumers, and or a good, the more by advertising, by by considerations they will fashion, of As by the and of demand of consumers increases, vice curve will shif t to the lef t. consumers number market) health. the demand in for a market most (or the size products will a normal good of tend a to rise versa. Recap Non-price determinants Income of • demand An a increase of related • goods • If goods X and • preferences If X price a of • changes If the and then Number of • consumers shif t other a in the than change along demand the in the will Movements A If price X demand the has of to when a an inferior demand more demand curve is for decrease and in vice then movement say along a that an to shif t consumers good to the will rise and market the a lef tward the to as price the in to the the increases, of of and curve occurs when there is a change in the the the good; demanded. quantity 12 we then Given an demanded say there increase is also is in a change price, known as a the in the Y income demand will of Y will lead lead advertising, demand then price curve will and lead to an increase to a decrease its is demand expected will demand fashion, curve shif t will to will to the increase trends will fall shift now in or to health the in right. increase the future, lef t . and the demand curve curve demand a price whereas decrease the is rise also in quantity known as an demanded that “extension” of the along price the of demand the good Shif t of the non-price demand curve: determinants of curve: changes when any demand of follows demand. the in in in price “contraction” a curve. quantity decrease to to versa. when of of good the Movement demand for consumers’ shif t price result demand in lef t . future, if demand right . the a Or, in increase increase in right . increase an in shif t increase will demand determinant we to and will an that shif t consumers the to to However, increase curve expected will now right , of an curve attractive demand lead good complements, the will will curve. substitutes, product of the changes; A are income demand for the then demand shif ts occurred. Y a number occurs good the are and demand shif t and curve of its Y appears price the of and and for good X considerations, Expectations future and for If consumers’ demand demand goods factors) shif t in demand T astes in rightward decrease Prices (shif t the changes The concept various The of of of and good merely and the a way to summarize corresponding analytically quantities that the rms behaviour are willing of to rms. offer It is per dened time as period, the relationship ceteris between paribus. supply between supplied quantity is prices relationship quantity supply supply possible law The T I N U Denition will supplied supplied per price also is and referred period quantity increase, will as to as supplied producers the increase, law ceteris of will per be supply. period willing The is to law direct offer of (positive), more supply per meaning period. states that if that This the if the positive price price increases relationship rises then the then between quantity price of a paribus. HL Behind the law of in supply costs returns, The producer is assumed to seek to maximize prots. because the a rm has xed productive capacity, producing quantities of a good becomes more and more is, more and more marginal costly). returns This and is the result increasing of the marginal specically, law that as the more law and of diminishing more units of a marginal variable are used with a xed factor (usually point beyond which total product will capital), continue a decreasing rate, or equivalently, that start to decline. Marginal cost is the to marginal extra resulting The supply The the a from supply price given a is a good period increase in output; it is quantity there direct (the law of graph and time. that the The supplied positive relationship of supply), slope but eventually, when are diminishing less will and start less to rise. If an additional additional output , then unit to additional units required. It of output , follows that more the and more additional units cost cost) rise, be of additional clear that if the units will be additional increasing. cost of producing is and more units is increasing, then a rm will be willing but offer more and more units only at a higher and higher price. product more units will be offered per period only at a higher of supply. price, (additional) thus the reects the direct relationship of the law change shows quantity price is the of relationship the good measured on between supplied the over increased offer Q2 to is measured on the and between the can supply be price curve drawn as and is upward shown in per per unit then producers will be axis. to per Given (P) S supplied sloping: Figure willing period. vertical horizontal quantity P2 units unit the returns costs to be now Price axis; diminishing there curve curve of an will marginal which cost the equal should Thus will to as (usually to at in, leads labour more a Due initially returns factor It labour) output . fall of (the states in may costs. of More marginal set labour achieve diminishing cost difcult of (that change ever- returns increasing a Assuming increasing that of marginal : 2 Markets—supply S C I M O N O C E O R C I M 2.2 it has a 2.2.1 . P2 A supply market curve supply may be curve an (that individual is, the rm’s supply supply curve of curve the or a whole P1 industry). derives by all with from and price of each $5.00, month the adding producers. rms per As So, is market up if the a priced at quantities market willing then demand, the to $5.00 per 200 market supplied consists offer market the of units supply will at 100 per be supply each price identical month 20,000 at the units unit . 0 In Figure willing 2.2.1 , to offer if the Q1 price units is per P1 then period, producers whereas if will the The the non-price good’s that are price assumed changes, the determinants own assumption. of determinants If the to any be of supply determinants that supply affect constant the shifts. supply are supply the supply. under non-price curve of of can of the factors They ceteris determinants Particularly, causes are supply if to a (“shif t ” other the than factors paribus of Q2 Quantity per period (Q) price Figure Non-price Q1 be increase in supply more then typical price curve shifts quantity one then one A market supply curve factors) in supply change 2.2.1 of the less the of to the the right. good determinants supply curve quantity of (or of shifts the This means service) supply to good the (or is that causes left. at supplied. This service) each Or, supply implies is if to price a change decrease that at each supplied. the 13 (a) Price (b) per unit Price S2 (P) per unit (P) S2 S1 S1 P2 P P1 0 Figure The 2.2.2 non-price Q2 The effect on determinants Q1 supply of of an supply Quantity per period (Q) increase include in wages the 0 in costs of factors of following. Goods in in input prices increase (for example, if the wages paid to or the price of a raw material the to decrease. good increases) used in the the then, supply ceteris curve paribus, is supply expected to likely each willing Figure price, to rms offer 2.2.2 will each shows be unit the willing at a to offer higher effect of an less, is shif t price or than using Assume that the original increase supply a will change also in have the an price effect . of a Other curve more a protable farmer with a if their xed prices amount it to produce carrots and potatoes. If the of price the carrots goes they will up, farmers may decide to reduce potato lef t. in order to produce more carrots. The supply of be potatoes will lef t S1 decrease and the supply curve will Figure 2.2.4. shif t to the before. in is become consider expected to the from S1 . to S2, as shown in wages Price paid. to example, production At supply: supply production of So, competitive competitive are For land of (Q) labour rise. increase per period production goods If Quantity paid good Changes Q Look per at S2 unit Figure 2.2.2a—before an increase in wages paid, rms (P) were S1 willing to increase to offer offer then only each price refer to so Figure will willing Prices Goods of in per period costs per Q to for decreases, units offer all at Q units related joint will period 2.2.2b—before offer holds units supply to be units production Q2 willing same Q1 units so price rise, at so price shif ting an price at only supply to Af ter at If The the in will lef t to wages, willing holds S2. price shif ting at Now rms increase, higher decreases, paid be same wages the wages rms P . increase P1 . P . were rms P2. lef t The to S2. goods supply: sometimes when one good is produced, 0 another said to good be is also goods in produced joint at supply. the A same farm time. that is These is also producing wool. If the price of per period (Q) producing Figure lambs Quantity are lamb 2.2.4 The effect of an increase in the price of a good in competitive meat supply increases increase the in the the supply market, quantity of wool lamb farmers supplied will of increase will lambs, and its have but at supply an the incentive same curve will to time Indirect Changes to the right Price from S1 to S2, as shown in Figure taxes and subsidies shif t in government policy, such as indirect taxes and 2.2.3. per subsidies, affect affect cost the costs of of production. producing an Indirect extra unit of taxes a and good. subsidies An indirect S1 unit (P) tax is a payment to the government by rms per unit of output S2 produced, whereas government increase a shift shift unit production of decrease a per of the 0 Quantity the supply price 14 2.2.3 The effect of an increase in the price of a jointly the their and stock s and costs curve to to only to left, lead the is payment produced. the future supply a lead and product reduce a An rms indirect decrease whereas to an by a in the tax subsidy increase will supply in and will supply and right. price changes expected now. release to They them to are on to rise, producers likely the to build market may up when per price rises in the future. At the same time they may (Q) install Figure of is output curve of temporarily the period of production the subsidy costs supply Expectations If a supplied good can be new machines ready to or supply take more on more when labour, the price so has that they risen. Improved good at supply the same curve cost technology of to price, the Number allows to increasing right . producing rms more supply Improved each offer and units shif ting technology additional unit of of the C ha n g e s the affect decreases the the rms the s u p p l y. supply good. of in will right , size As tend since of the m o re to at ma r ke t rms join i n c re a s e , each (the a shif ting price number ma r ke t , m o re the for of supply units will rms) e x amp l e , be c u r ve to of f e re d . : 2 the in technology T I N U Changes Non-price Changes of determinants in costs of of supply factors • production Prices of (shif t An increase will related goods • If lead goods an • factors) If to X goods to X a the costs decrease and increase lead in a in Y are the and Y of in in joint supply are decrease in in factors supply of of supply, good supply of to an X competitive the production and (such lef tward increase and to a supply, good X shif t in as of the price rightward an to a in raw supply of shif t increase and wages, the good of the lef tward the Y will supply price shif t material prices) curve. of of lead good the to curve. Y will supply curve. Indirect taxes and subsidies • An to • A indirect a subsidy of future price • changes If the the Changes in technology • Improved the Number of rms • If The principle effect of a along the along here change supply is in the and same price curve. If is with any other of the curve the costs supply product will shif t technology costs supply will is of of production, production, the (such as costs of rms of demand enter by a the curves. a lead market , supply The movement determinant production, leading to to rise, an in whole supply increase in curve supply. will A shif t . lef tward A number rightward shif t to an producers an increase in supply will supply, increase, decrease in supply and increase in supply and to may reduce supply now and shif ting the supply curve shif ting the supply curve to to of curve Movement when of the shif t illustrates along price of the the supply good curve: changes supply of the supply curve: when any of the producers) non-price the a lef t . Shif t changes to curve. expected to leading curve. right . shif ts illustrated of the right . more the Movements price increase of decrease shif t supply will shif t will rightward Expectations tax lef tward S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Recap a determinants of supply changes illustrates decrease supply. 15 2.3 Market The at will consumers demand market equilibrium equilibrium price market Competitive which be and and a good will determined producers by be sold the (that in a is, by the other competitive interaction a between interaction words, greater consumers of supply supply). or, quantity Consider the market demand and supply shown in Figure will be the price that will prevail in the producers are a is of the willing surplus supplied are good and able equal than to is willing and compared to line buy. to able the There distance demanded is offer excess (hf). then to quantity If the at P2 price more cannot at that level; it will tend to decrease. The effect of market? excess Price P2 2.3.1 . remain What at quantity per the supply price to (or, of a decrease surplus) (that is, is to to create drive the a tendency price for downwards). S unit (P) Again, excess supply since there cannot be the In fact , there to move is price is a tendency that only one will for the prevail price from in price the which to change, P2 market . there is no tendency P2 f h equals away—the quantity price where supplied, quantity namely P . At demanded P there is per period neither excess e P demand the nor price excess that will supply prevail so in the the market market “clears”. and it is Thus, called P is the excess j equilibrium price. equilibrium quantity. P1 found QS1 QD2 Q QS2 QD1 at supply D 0 the point curve—at 2.3.1 The determination of equilibrium price in a the price per unit period exceeds words, at P1 is at quantity P1 , then quantity supplied consumers are as willing QD1 competitive and demanded > greater quantity of the good Qd QS1 . able to In per If other > compared to Qs the demand more are or, a willing quantity cannot and shortage is remain able equal demanded at that to to than level; it offer. line is will There is distance supplied tend to of excess demand (or, of a for the price to then If at the increase. shortage) increase Since cannot be there the is price a (that tendency that will is is, to to for the prevail in supplied the or the exceeds Changes Market if in supply per quantity and will a create drive price the at P2, as Qd change in the one will of the either curve will to 2.3.2a a has h > quantity QD2. only unchanged. equilibrium determinants or either shows increased. where = 16 is Q1 . the A > Qs the to rises Qd is excess ➞ there falls the is ➞ market price is to not demand ➞ equilibrium excess not supply ➞ equilibrium clears change in ➞ ➞ equilibrium, supplied, change. intersection and price the in and Market of market quantity no tendency equilibrium quantity there is no demanded tendency equilibrium is for determined the demand is equilibrium and the is the the supply curve. equilibrium equilibrium price, quantity. In will If be so long either as demand formed. increase that in the chocolate curve shif ts to demand bar s the price of demand decrease to the and right changes, in or to turn the the lef t . then demand demand distance are for a right P1 , the case where demand for Initially, the market is at equilibrium rise in price consumer is P1 chocolate normal from there is D1 bar s, good. to D2. excess assuming The At demand the demand original equal supplied. price. the the As supply (D2) price curve from as quantity This from k exerts increases, to h g. to At g, g, demanded to an upward there and the is a exceeds pressure movement along excess the new demand on the along demand has been chocolate and the new equilibrium is established at a equilibrium and incomes (hk), quantity price P2 and a higher equilibrium inter section quantity there price market price the higher point Qs price quantity eliminated bars the equilibrium change, curve Figure intersects demand increase shif t curve market price line If the a equilibrium A is market . then QS2 unchanged remain new is demand equilibrium remain supply changes, unit demanded market equilibrium demand price the which Info The Symmetrically, the are The at P1 is P1 price the upwards). called quantity excess (jv). equals tendency Q and quantity When effect e, price purchase the for producers quantity equilibrium market If a where point the If corresponding The Q /period If Figure The v demand leads to an of D2 with S). quantity Q2 (given by the Increase in (b) demand P/unit Decrease in demand T I N U (a) P/unit S S g h : 2 k P2 P1 h g k P1 D2 D1 D1 0 Figure Figure bars 2.3.2b has point h where as bars. to is At supply a a the on the demand been is A the has to line the shif t the and D2 k the and with to P1 of as P1 , a there to and At g, quantity A at good, chocolate curve there from is is a D1 is supply (given by new h, where is change in A a shif t other the S). • A if one turn In the of then the Figure shifts price say, the P1 , quantity begins curve h. At due there non-price to is to fall, j excess by h determinants an from P2, S1 supply there supply are to equal results a the has been but a of S1 equal on Figure to the At line demand equilibrium by the a curve to has price j to h lower of there an causing and is along reached eliminated, and is and shif t P1 , to causes Equilibrium been P2 This P1 increase, from h. price (kj). to due are lef tward initial begins k say, equilibrium quantity distance demand from 2.3.3b initial and shown S2. which (S2) The price is to price, excess in and quantity Q2. in one shif t to in the curve the the leads new demand supply to a movement intersection curve curve to leads the along the point . to new a movement intersection point . A shif t S2 for Q1 . At to the line and at along and j supply Both in the (S2) since there price demand from is a quantity, k demand Sometimes equilibrium (jk), curve curve to the leads new to a movement intersection along point . lef t . where Therefore, curve the demand in the technology, original equilibrium and to increase distance movement supply or is An agricultural eliminated (a) right wheat in supply decrease demanded. new higher of or the and in S2. quantity along intersection to P1 improvement exceeds and increase either equilibrium quantity excess price, the either shif t curve and to will will initial and supplied equilibrium (given the price supply from h, curve 2.3.3a equilibrium supply, supply supply supply curve higher curve the changes, the shown subsidies. supply • Similarly, in from along supply is farm demand, pressure along A Q/period has established Q2 Q1 equilibrium curve movement there of decrease excess at new supply where The the supply j the a movement excess point Q1 . is in elimination upward excess supplied the decrease an downward equilibrium lower for Q2 equilibrium chocolate substitute along the market equilibrium quantity exerts on equilibrium and demand price g, for at a falls, g. new a is demand the (hk), h is price This price from from P2, in demand demand price 0 Q/period in market equilibrium curve (D2) of in Q2 change where distance As a the demanded. price. price of decreased lef tward eliminated intersection case Initially, original curve effect decrease supply lower The equilibrium bars, quantity pressure at Q1 . equal exceeds along the cereal There D2. shows decreased. quantity such Q1 2.3.2 D2 S C I M O N O C E O R C I M P2 to lower a both demand both curves. the point the new price and and how and where of this the old equilibrium change change. curves In have according cases, the depends which to on the how can the lead simply effect This of change, might equilibrium changed. to might This intersected such quantity supply diagrammatically to happens, intersect. much supply determinants supply When ones and number a shift moves point on in from where equilibrium much be two causing to demand determined shifts is larger. Q2 D). Increase in supply (b) P/unit Decrease P/unit in supply S2 S1 S1 S2 h P2 j k j k P1 P1 h P2 D D 0 Figure 2.3.3 Q1 The effect of a change Q2 in supply Q /period on market 0 Q2 Q1 Q /period equilibrium 17 The role The operation invisible hand markets in of a to the of the (a phrase reach competitive producing supply of in price to either in the the a price market , same as more a or mechanism, allocation product , to and less the of scarce there a a signal also by known Adam automatically. where leads of mechanism introduced equilibrium product acts price are change change also in for more the a of some kale price change resources. or excess the case where demand for a product has example, the spreading of the health benets value of kale (a green leafy an increase of in in Figure the demand for kale vegetable) in the to a along rise. will be new new in creates the the price cutting of the in the h to back quantity it f. on At is is now there the their The for kale, reached its at in There to j. price j an purchases demanded. f is same increase curve—from market equilibrium incentive as increases, market. demand the market, curve—from decrease the also to as out exists A So, supply dropping It kale As is a long will when kale reaches P2 and the equilibrium quantity the Q2. What and has is market . happening is that the higher price of the good is led This that consumers are willing to see resources diverted is from shown the demand to signalling to them. consumers leads effectively nutritional for more increased. price For increased. offer along “contraction” as has to even also continue Consider kale protable time, change leading thus for producers “extension” or This incentives, and demand rms demand price. produced the allows specically, many the its creates good More very in as Smith), other uses. This is just what producers do: they divert 2.3.4. resources (such as land, labour and capital) from uses and P/unit S allocate j P2 them in takes place More generally, and the only as a protability. production a result rise in Firms of the of the kale. resource change demand respond A by for in a the good increasing reallocation price raises the of its kale. price amount h f P1 of the good goods with protable. Q1 Q2 This amount Q /period less Figure 2.3.4 Increase in demand: the market for the market is in equilibrium at is at P1 per unit and quantity is h at whereby Q1 per the time price some the scarce resources kale is from illustrated D1 equal on production to the to D2. the price information by At line of of a of land, good. labour there distance The thus The rightward P1 , kale. and the is and (hf) shif t as a of puts in the signal in the excess that increase acts increase now the demand they is for offer produce. divert that scarce incentive good to society ’s in an they goods to resources have resources signalled Resources to market. will are by producers the from become a more reallocated. fall in price. decrease The again the goods be are now reallocated. such, producers capital and demand an to of We in kale is pressure kale producers only to acting changes in in their own relative self- prices their kale have a is seen market . free, then emits of behaviour It as if an and are responsible invisible hand for guides the their new behaviour. for curve for upward price consumers responding allocated demand demand and of outcome. to fall so, to period adjust with of a as protable interest kale acts do kale As Initially then To prices Therefore, Symmetrically, D2 D1 0 offered. lower meaning whoever determined that that They is prices also that there willing price have have will a is and end a signalling rationing no government able up and to with pay the incentive function. the If a role market intervention, market- good. Recap The functions of The signalling The incentive the price mechanism function Changes function Changes the The rationing function operation resources Market may the The price as signals, create market-determined to mechanism competing act price communicating incentives, pay that moves price price are markets to will the guarantee ones be but (as pay). We For the worth as it pay. 18 is surplus willing you it is say sake 90 to nd pay that worth that of cents worth The who equilibrium will and $1 .00 for a cold sof t drink at is 15 is therefore to market participants participants. to respond to that the end up buyers with determines the who the are willing and good. allocation of scarce cents. the price is only 75 cents. You the to more you consumer you argument , you. more to enjoyed to You you a the assume would than surplus than you price consumer also the that buy market enjoyed you surplus buy a second this 25 the you consumer equal to 40 surplus cents. from You consuming were willing to both pay units at for the two units (as much as they were the worth and you ended up paying only to $1 .50. to is unit have second $1 .90 the cents. unit second price from have of The the you) drink information market uses. most beach motivating efciency Consumer You of between price in information. able The in to unit More generally, between and For how each curve how much Q in the much a illustrates consumer surplus consumers they actually demand how are to at the the difference most to pay distance to the pay. diagram, much refers willing that the vertical specic unit is worth, at the (or to consumers. distance pay P price dollars was dotted that QH) even line), last at to the Q. Q most slightly then unit Unit in Figure consumers to buy higher they as it , not Equivalently, at a Q’ worth P of P’ If the willing worth dollars willing more. level been is be cent the have unit is would not (say, would 2.3.5 they to to the grey to buy additional never unit . it . The Later the cost accept of producing anything minimum you will marginal it less would realize cost (MC) that to that be extra accept the curve unit . willing is the supply of the to cost curve Q’F) as that is the most they would an of is would extra producing nothing but consumers be S, MC : 2 distance rm rm. P/unit (or A offer willing F to pay to acquire it . The vertical distance to a demand curve P measures the marginal benet (MB) enjoyed from T I N U most , that unit . P/unit F J H 0 Q Q Q /period P Figure So, F 2.3.6 for a Producer rm to surplus be willing to offer unit Q in Figure 2.3.6, the P lowest D, 0 Q Q 2.3.5 Consumer less. If grey dotted the that it happens that the price in the market is P dollars will buy all units up until (at the limit) unit Q, of these units is worth more to them than the market require them it Q. For to pay. They would not buy any units dollars would example, they (or be they distance willing would be to Q units would Q’F) pay forced are not buy unit Q’ as it is they which to for to worth would is the them it at pay) is (this the is most) higher, at as much and P the as a market area (0QHF) to dollars. consumers It as have sum been of all willing vertical to pay to distances to price enjoy consumed. Q of P units, Consumer between dollars, they will end a diagram, or the surplus area price is per unit therefore (0QHF) the good rm may market rm would less (say would be not willing at the have to level been offer of the willing fewer units to per is all and area and surplus above the is for the the (PHF), required is rm P’ to (or be willing distance to Q’F). that be the market willing to price offer per is P dollars period all per units unit , up unit Q. They would not be willing to until offer require more (P ’ or distance Q’F) than unit they get require from the to market . be willing It to follows that offer units Q the is minimum area rms (0QHJ), is the market sum price of of P all vertical dollars per distances unit , up rms until will unit actually Q. Given earn these (0QHP) by selling Q units or the price per unit (P) times Q. quantity offered (Q). So, producer surplus is area (JHP), the area between area (0QHP) and area (0QHJ). quantity the a diagram, producer surplus is the area above the (0QHP). the price Equivalently, payment the unit paying times area Q. area line for below the curve good and below produced and the price line for the units of sold. the units of consumed. Producer A consumer curve slightly the It least would would the demand cent follows until up will would supply On Q. unit the happens they On difference a (what that enjoy up not Q’ difference (0QHP) not they price the Given even then unit including as area units, QH), worth a amount was line), last rms which that distance past Q’ P’ price but unit so and unit (or price then would dollars as If each P then offer consumers is surplus period If required MB Q /period offer Figure price S C I M O N O C E O R C I M H P surplus be price willing is $3.00 to Social or Social community or consumer offer then a the unit rm of a will good for certainly $2.00. decide If to the of community surplus surplus and the surplus is dened producer as the surplus. sum It is a of the measure welfare. offer P/unit that unit. We say that the rm enjoys a producer surplus equal S h to $1 .00. the next price it a is Assume unit if $3.00 producer from that the the price rm surplus offering both the rm was would of 80 these would at least also cents. units is have $2.20. offer The been this Since unit, producer $1 .80. It willing the to market enjoying surplus required at offer it from enjoyed least $4.20 e P to be More willing offer generally, between to to the receive actually to the these producer minimum offer receive units amount offering it surplus producers some from but earned refers (rms) of this the $6.00. to the would good difference be and willing what they f amount . D 0 For each curve Q in a illustrates supply the diagram, minimum a the vertical rm distance requires to be to offer that specic unit . This would be nothing Q /period the willing Figure to Q but 2.3.7 Social surplus the 19 In Figure 2.3.7 , given a market price P and an equilibrium P/unit S, quantity Q, consumer surplus is equal to area (heP) MC while $18.00 producer surplus surplus it is follows area that it (Pef). is Given equal to the denition area of social A (feh). $14.00 F J P Recap H $ 8.00 B Consumer the surplus: much difference between how $ 6.00 the most they Producer surplus: consumers the to pay actually would be and willing how at much pay difference minimum are D, between producers willing to the (rms) receive Figure some amount of the 2.3.8 what they actually Figure offering this 2.3.8, point units up surplus: the sum of producer consumer and surplus is equal It is cost efciency goods: apples and oranges, and one to Determine some allocation of land, which, in some being amount produced. of apples The and question more unit (a kilogram, a ton) of some that amount arises is: should more land go apples to The The one (measured the the it; is, be cost it when cost . for the from yes is from than if the production following it value more would that what the the valued society vertical (Q) society sacriced distance by up that last that be will produced increased reects is from a free lead and allocation price to long value from (= of is competitive the as optimal and (= to to pay, produce that Q society ’s market , amount point extra point to to towards of benet the extra gain of not to be (the sum of the consumer and of each view. = Allocative efciency is generally, For the last to enjoy unit marginal Q benet (MB) (MC). why. unit Q’ Referring to which We be is to Figure produced more could unit , Q’. say society Similarly would surplus up as cost of than that would for to $6.00 until much view (JHF) What if and as unit as it the if 2.3.8, is worth $6.00 the gain Q’’, produce from it market a as it would did surplus is ($8.00); unit including it would would forces good less Q’’. unit cost all cost than follows that surplus is have units have Q by FH. is to It lost would the until a have have of and all of worth more society The Q same which produce unit Q If, is it; of exactly that worth that is, that unit produce lost lost units and If worth unit from some by for by more per than either is Then the last less lost , period, unit produced, achieved. is P (= achieved MB) and = MC , social then surplus it social is efciency area they maximized. the to reason society? Social surplus) its equal QQ’’’. surplus units it . surplus producing Q would is surplus for worth social unit resources represented are by want enjoyed surplus portion producing to produced produce. units, cost would were not scarce because would produced up to It that production units not it society to would mean Why? than the Q’’ were would more used. from Society would equal only unitsQ’’Q as Q’’’? this produced, production or unit as maximized. 20 Q. MC . allocative maximized. it properly were (ABJ) optimal producer a consumers If, surplus cost that unit holds about society marginal market an want than produced Q’’’ alternatives equal more produce. from MB) What towards to exceeds the thus unit applies. oranges the society ’s MB) consumed from as production the optimal unit, in produced from like of society willing quantity costs of be or, understand consumers area the Output themselves resource up than should the Note being by be apples much curve) entails sacriced. will of good would produced? curve). more society how more supply Thus, unit distance demand (measured to by vertical that the answer more the of P apples? of Society should to Consequently, amount units. including consumers, argument one Q turn, would oranges and MC , produce ($14.00) determines is resource, $12.00 land. optimal view marginal to rms indeed two = would $18.00 Assume the of until P to easy society Allocative efciency amount produced, Social MB Q receive all from Allocative Q good society ’s and Q to In offer Q 0 is Calculating may surplus be asked from through the a to and calculate diagram. The the producer consumer following and exercise surplus producer will take you Identify In this the case quantity is the price price is and sol 5 quantity and the equilibrium kilos. process. Figure 2.3.9, which depicts the market for the consumer surplus quinoa The consumer surplus is the area of the triangle below Peru. the The price per kilo of quinoa is in sol (the of kilos. Peruvian demand currency) base triangle and the quantity is in thousands curve × and above the price line. The area of a height is . In this case the base is 4,000 kilos 2 P and the height is sol 4. Thus: S 9 4,000 × 4 = sol 8,000 2 8 Calculate the producer surplus 7 The producer surplus is the area of the triangle above the 6 supply curve and below the price line. The area of a triangle 5 base × height is . In this case the base is 4,000 kilos and 4 2 3 the height is sol 4. 2 Thus: 4,000 × 4 = sol 8,000 2 1 D In this case consumer and producer surplus are the 0 0 Figure 2.3.9 1 The 2 market 3 for 4 5 quinoa 6 in Peru 7 8 9 Q(000s) amount , but this may not necessarily be the case. same S C I M O N O C E O R C I M in equilibrium 4,000 Calculate Consider equilibrium : 2 You consumer T I N U HL 21 HL Rational When with consumer analysing a model underlying choice consumer of rational rational Utility behaviour, consumer consumer economists choice. choice are The work The assumptions explained here. decide upon the purchase of different goal choose baskets to • and services Preferences are based on their considered the able to rank any two budget of that goods is, the and the consumer can A to basket B or state prefers whether he or she Preferences are transitive, choices that are if a basket meaning consistent consumer prefers (income). B to basket that the with basket B to basket E, then it is other. basket A to basket which to basket B on More is better; having This expected perfect by is the while consumer ’s information. consumers reduces to about uncertainty that the standard their will him or being optimal on choice. That is to say alternative there products is and surrounding choices. economic preferences and theory, while rational using all consumers, available and will reach a consumption choice that maximizes consumer while allowing them to live within their budget E. constraints. • (satisfaction) allows For utility prefers that while A. information, basket services utility consumer consumer each A have awareness based instance, each information According makes utility maximize is, prefers prices, • highest and to For full basket goods is That consumer services. Consumers example, the of consumer constraint . preferences. complete: baskets rational budget basket reach Perfect is the the of their goods of satisfying her Consumers maximization more of a good is better for This choice is the optimal choice and this the behaviour has been a result of pure self-interest . consumer. HL Prominent behavioural behavioural of good psychology Behavioural rational theory. as and economics are model, complex that assumed the that model Thaler with people are the consumer showed dened digits injections not an the behaviour of is in the by by a with houses practice. For real or higher-ending more highly. example, estate perceptions cheap exploited much all inuences relatively the participants individual and economic predictions that valued similarly (Thaler2015). standard from has strong sciences” by deviations indicating than social argues many Richard “economics other decision-makers There standard more economist economics the agent of rst house serves houses expensive). telephone Anchoring as an presented course is work s shown next This of and opportunities to anchor (as known and businesses. supposes. • Framing refers presented to to how people, options which can signicantly are inuence Biases their Behavioural has economics identied a range decision-making, using of psychological biases leading to that choices affect that of the more common biases presented not the following • The anchoring, rules of framing thumb decision-making make of a quick common rule of sense, the helps to practice thumb—of ten of most a the rules are usually experience. involves name. refer to can have also been result in For Applying a improved considering the if decisions, more alternatives Anchoring takes information point when experiment last three thousand asked 22 to that place is effort a (for of necessarily their example, estimate the were prices For whether frame. people Consider options: likely to (a) get “If the you u” get and the (b) u “If vaccine, you the u vaccine, you are more likely to get do the the statements have been the the the rules new burger. uses the fact framed option that as is think One the rst the same differently. that example, other prefer hotel contain it both two uses label People presented of frames burgers the a “91% as the but u”. fat to way. As presenting free” will and tend healthier same they likely chains Individuals burger contain most positive food label fat ”. are in fast the “9% information to despite amount of fat . Nevertheless, been = rely Availability relates information that is most recently could devoted a as instance, to number write piece a in available and on instance, people which people place most importance. For to reference down different They of the by were houses. event comes It has based to mind, been make one then Results despite future recall the is on judgments how which found earthquake one multiplied 576,000). of on relevant asked phone 576 get their example, such which had people decision. participants digits is positive about the likelihood of available. when not making two less Both an • be another result recognition. choosing decision-making. poor will prefer to • they or of individuals automatically—is brand economic heuristics) enable thumb and recognizable simplify of used hotel as which Rules importance negative availability. known shortcuts, decisions. Recognition with (also and a optimal. not thumb, particular with individuals’ are include Of are you Some choices. experimentation that insurance fact low. that depression is more an then there is example, lead an the likelihood individuals advertising prevalent to instance erroneous increased immediately Similarly, antidepressant easily can af ter of purchase major recurrence with were a a greater found compared to or to case decisions. of earthquake, in the near ability to consider individuals that with a the Or, for investment news, example, based ignoring on other investors may information relevant judge that the was quality recently in facts. time on their smartphone self-control. not Besides biases behavioural that inuence economists consumers’ have also their to This make or choice on other grounds, as the outlined rationality Simon pioneered idea of by bounded rationality the barriers to optimal consumer that specically, people bounded make choices rationality with the selshly. constraints and cognitive refers to restricted the the public limitation does not limitations mean that inferior, but that even the that they and make fast benets of and all accurate individuals “smartest ” to a all possible more-or-less people make may a not choice options, subjective decisions. make that the will people subset of optimal move of individuals their due smoke but they many is consumer people in a maximizer therefore in non-selsh many behaviour limit their but towards if their personal welfare is to contribute reduced. consumer choice have is based perfect on the information. assumption Yet , cannot access to full and in practice perfect their choices are not fully informed and of cannot be optimal. attention As they their have a at result , least Overall, goal. behavioural consumer they choice believe economists plays that a part the in do not deny people’s standard that rational decision-making, model provides an self-control Sometimes to consumer rational information incomplete utility rational The However, even consumers but Bounded prefer the Instead possibilities. choice them they are therefore considering that regret . cannot assessments individual the engage information—so costs on face. consumers necessarily time bounded idea that somehow choices soon of information, Rational Cognitive they much decision-making. Imperfect time making that too signs to to More above, self-interest . circumstances highlight in spend showing selshness mentioned driven the result decisions they are rational behaves Herbert can but they below. As Bounded then decision-making, challenged Bounded consumer smartphone but eat to lack they junk make of Behavioural if that self-control. smoke, food, choices if they they If prefer prefer economics not people not not in do to to T I N U recall. an maximize prefer eat not junk spend people too make. traditional food picture realistic of the factors Behavioural model in an explanation of that economic attempt human to inuence analysis provide : 2 of the choices extends a better, the more decision-making. S C I M O N O C E O R C I M lower much action HL People’s choices preferences. what is in their opportunity process best to of ten Too own for up best interest . inconsistent are to aspects make of unable This intervention people Specic being individuals positive motivate interest . end of ten, provides in the are with their • appreciate in the the explored Restricted also be make below. a that particular The is choice have choice is a presented—the signicant architect responsible more make what for is the effect on individual organizing decisions is the the or context result choice being organization in and that necessarily the can consumer ’s offer three best types knows interest . of in Default choice: “selects” if therefore in a a he this or made strongly particular architect choice. rates set she is the does option affects set the example, organ that The that pension consumer that may if Mandated a where would not scheme then Default choices of be would being choose the behaviour. welfare the to the as the benet default out default . enrollment , to increasingly number number of of consumers people’s difcult options is available to can inuence make to large. choices a may decision up for pensions. This is still opt out but that the would outcome. people take-up a rate For vast and choice example, number in of inappropriate may the case options therefore of can decisions be better. choice: people this are is a variation required by law of to default make a choice; it decision. when are be willing of people are the from upon to be required to donate a apply to passport for choose their or important driving national whether organs when or licence, not they they they are die. theory choice Another nudges. higher can be death. An donation encourage way A themselves expert can considers and on to inuence nudge helps without nudge to be apparently people’s people’s people restricting people’s correct . their choices According insignicant behaviour ” choices make (Thaler through choices freedom in to details is better the of direction Richard can have for choice. the Thaler, major An expert “small impacts 2015). automatically default not as default default organ such encourage choice Similarly, workers To improving, donated opt better Restricted example, could consumer choice. A the can be used to tackle the growing obesity problem. worker For can are more Nudging signed it options Choice nature outcome society organs still is desired donation, everybody ’s individual but the cause the decision-maker architect nd the which the choices. nothing. automatically. behaviour can For of to to low made. Nudge a can when offering documents, option in to which For architecture • way choice restricting likely pensions, choice is about the Consumers Therefore, • people the presented architecture architecture—can made. by decisions resulting How and used choices. individual’s be Choice choice: categorized decision-making choices this to example, sellers of goods and services can be nudged default . 23 to display menu) foods. in induce even or manner This grocery some products a could stories lists that simply at eye be level. environmentally places three bins times of products induces putting provided for than example, to fruit Nudging friendlier bigger (for people buy and can recycled for also be For material other a vegetables behaviour. bins on in healthier used in to instance, are waste. the twice in room for general waste nudges people to to with their taxes. nudging can be used to reduce went Critics of carried out by Green Nudge—a an environmental sizes in hotel focus—showed restaurants by 2 that by inches, reduce food waste stayed by Business Standard rational that its as much a economic level rm of theory is to output revenue may same. as 22% Lastly, were while nudging that in are up arrears received to on the 15%. use of interfere choice with an architecture individual ’s and nudges freedom to claim choose. if people decisions are are always made, inuenced complete by the freedom of context choice in is feasible. Perhaps to prevent people from being intervention is required. With proper regulations it is able likely, but not necessary, that the choices people make guest was better choices. used choose assumes that prots: maximizes total to HL maximize that and cost pursue not misled objectives producer total the those people included area reducing they are satisfaction from to that your enterprise more to sent in An some plate Letters people were payments up the they really with 10 more. waste. social collection. of or which experiment tax out payments” T ax letters with “9 Having recycle food as tax However, Similarly, aid such date that less UK phrases a the (see the is, of 2.1 1). other of to difference section range goal that a enable produce long the rm term. between out However, dominance goals of to Also, business, in raise prices increasing which the and market reduces enjoy share more may competition prot force and in the rivals increases market . instead Satiscing of maximizing its prots. These include the following. The Corporate social term and Firms may mode line of of the child which both may or of strict may of the avoidance labour a and interests operate, involves from operation with they depart local a free-market , pursue the wider and activities dangerous create satiscing was introduced by Herbert Simon responsibility negative prot-maximizing objectives that community global such image are pollution, conditions, with in which communities. as working in the all because within not strives use level of a aim This of consumers. derives as well achieve a or at and as of the informational prots least or some revenues. satisfactory “sufce”. objectives maximizing prots achieve “satisfy ” conicting rm at to of from It describes various limitations, revenues. means a Instead pre-determined This that when, stakeholders rm it does only minimum rms aim to outcome. Overall, Growth corporate business that lives at social and include of the a responsibility sense goals of involves obligation encompassing workforce and their to ethical satisfy positive families ways doing long-term impact as of well on as of goals the society large. Firms By into total of ten share output seek increased 24 also A wish output larger different to sold growth rm is maximize subject the also markets as to rm in a well growth may be better as (that is, non-negative into able to position lower to different the prots). unit diversify products. share The Market of maximizing costs. Market may volume is the that to a percentage business increase market their share can of has total in market a sales share. increase (by specied This market value) market . occurs power or Firms since and may consequence lowering the of volume chosen equal such associated of level the of output of risk s. The without output average diversication the costs condition incurring average incurred is an to maximize losses revenue (see overall is that earned section 2.1 1). at the should Price of elasticity elasticity quantity The of of demand demanded following demand formula to is (PED) a used Q2 − = the responsiveness Q2 − P1 Q1 = P2 T I N U PED: Q1 = %∆P P/unit price. calculate Q1 %∆Qd PED to in demand (PED) measures change of : 2 Price Elasticities − P2 P1 P2 × − Q1 P1 P1 P1 Price that the and quantity reects ratio of the demanded law change demanded, that of of demand. two move have in an inverse Therefore, variables—price opposite relationship since and PED is quantity directions—PED is always D a negative number. However, the minus sign can be ignored 0 and that PED the is usually minus treated sign should as a positive not be number. ignored in Note calculations. Figure As Degrees of 2.5.2 Demand shown is price elastic if PED > 1; that is, the in quantity demanded is larger than the in Price in inelastic Figure demand in price 2.5.2, (from P1 when to P2) demand is leads a to price inelastic , a proportionately change in quantity demanded (from Q1 to Q2). This percentage means change Q /period percentage smaller change Q1 PED change A. Q2 though that demand in this range is relatively unresponsive price. to price S C I M O N O C E O R C I M 2.5 changes. P/unit Tip: to you draw the draw a the price inelastic demand demand curve quite curve steep make and also sure far from origin. P2 P1 Note that even along a linear (that is, a constant slope) D demand curve, changes. C. 0 Figure Q2 2.5.1 Price elastic Q1 Q /period D. demand Demand shown in Figure 2.5.1 , when demand is price elastic , a price change (from in demand Tip: in to draw P1 to quantity this draw the P2) range a leads to demanded is price change in price. demand curve is in if on PED elastic leads to an if but page = demanded perfectly price constant, section elastic quantity Demand not 1; is continuously 26.) that equal PED → innitely is, to ∞; the the that large percentage percentage is, a small change in change demanded. a proportionately greater (from relatively elastic unit HL in quantity in is the is change change As (See PED Q1 demand quite to Q2). responsive at curve and to This price make also far means that E. sure from Demand in changes. price is perfectly has The following • A demand • A demand no is inelastic effect shown on in if PED quantity Figure = 0; that is, a change demanded. 2.5.3. you curve of zero elasticity curve of innite is a straight vertical line. the elasticity is a straight origin. horizontal • B. Demand is price inelastic if 0 < PED < 1: that is, A demand the change percentage in quantity change in demanded is curve of unitary elasticity is a rectangular the hyperbola, percentage line. smaller so that the demand curve does not touch the axes. than price. Note is that the constant three cases throughout above the are length exceptions of the and PED curve. 25 P/unit P/unit P/unit D PED = 0 PED –> ∞ P D PED = 1 D 0 Figure Q 2.5.3 Constant PED 0 Q /period throughout the length of the 0 Q /period Q /period curve Recap Price If, elasticity PED > of 1 demand demand (PED) is price elastic so, %∆Q > Draw %∆P the curve at but the curve steep far from the d origin If, 0 < PED < 1 demand is price inelastic so, %∆Q < Draw %∆P but far from the d origin If, PED = 1 demand is unit elastic so, %∆Q = %∆P Draw a curve that never touches either d axis If, PED → ∞ demand is perfectly elastic so, consumers any If, PED = 0 demand is perfectly inelastic amount so, when Qd doesn’t P will at buy some Draw parallel Draw vertical to the Q-axis price changes, to the Q-axis HL Changing PED along a a straight-line good is response downward sloping demand any straight-line demand curve, PED continuously can be calculated quite expensive caused if it then becomes a relatively more greater expensive cheaper. In contrast , if a good is already or cheap varies. then PED be curve slightly Along already will as: a relatively becomes a bit smaller more responsiveness expensive or a bit will be induced if it cheaper. P1 ∆Q Figure 2.5.4 shows how PED varies from innity to zero × Q1 ∆P along It follows that PED is the product of the slope of the a negatively sloped demand curve. demand P/unit function Q = f(P) or the inverse of the slope of the demand PED –> ∞ ∆Q curve ( multiplied ) by the original price over A quantity ∆P PED > 1 P1 ratio ( ) Q1 The slope of a straight-line demand curve is constant but PED = 1 P1 the ratio ( continuously ) varies as we move along P the M Q1 demand curve. 0 Hence, cur ve. curve, PED is not Whereas PED Demand the varies is represented price slope is at the constant throughout elastic by its high slope for a of the linear is price inelastic because as a at result low prices of prices the PED and law of < 1 demand PED range. and low large quantities. demand, = 10 quantities, 0 and < demand when Q B Q /period This price Figure 2.5.4 The range of PED values P1 increases, quantity greater higher demanded decreases so the ratio ( ) is Refer to Figure 2.5.4. Q1 at prices and so is PED. • From at a high less technical prices and viewpoint , price inelastic demand at low is price prices elastic will be more responsive to any point point price change 26 price is already high than when it is low. A we At the is approached, see that For midpoint when equal the B PED PED is tends to innity, while zero. because • consumers As instance, if to 1 . M of a linear demand curve, PED is at line within segment the AM, segment corresponding AP , demand is to price prices higher elastic (PED > than Since 1). draw PED a think • Within line than within segment MB, corresponding to prices (0 < PED < the segment PB, demand is price of number more are, the price of will and a price good easily draw make PED closeness substitutes more of there elastic with switch large if has a good price will to are of for many and available a demand these drop few Note or the narrowly is good, is close and The • If to any that The be. Sprite nature a good is a close a to substitutes and so is closer be. If rises, there and is so a a be to considered a be more an in drink s, an it change “sof t the price is to in inelastic for the number • the nature a more in change for price example, price and inelastic . for is is such quantity a will 10%. • the time sof t lettuce will the such as PED and good, a the the can total (TR) is are more is of to reduce income of income not affect price of and higher is spent spent is on on consumers’ quantity the a the for elastic . demanded of his proportion elastic laptops In mother its to to or monthly proportion time Case 1: When the the good of period is difcult for consumption substitutes an by more a The price on, or of cars her by the much The If in to a pensioner their demand rises, or it low is for will on that is expected the is cooking good product (Q) of = price P × times quantity bought. Q the same as the prots, revenues which are collected dened and the as costs the of effect the that PED a for price a product change allows will have on increases of a good increases, be but a it be gas. to of the quantity law of demanded demand. is What to a rm’s answer revenues depends on following the increase in increase in PED. is results price in a elastic larger (PED than > 1), 10% a 10% decrease in quantity On quantity The effect on total is larger demanded revenue fresh more of the the decrease effect of the the spent be. in price; therefore, total revenue falls. on If demand is price inelastic (0 < PED < 1), a 10% price For leads to a smaller than 10% decrease in quantity consumer milk price milk than for The effect on total revenue of the increase in an is larger than the effect of the decrease in quantity elastic represents therefore, total revenue rises. a If demand is unit elastic (PED = 1), a 10% increase in income. change takes patterns time to consumption short period becomes are reducing af ter likely because less to typical for fresh monthly to It back Over consumers period may the produces a 10% decrease in quantity demanded. The involved cut price. substitutes, time the decrease demand of of more of nd a by suitable good time able to make price a consumption be. price For difcult Given to change, elastic further. The the instance, use if the substitute sufcient time, more though, of decrease in remains of the quantity increase in demanded; price is matched therefore, total unchanged. as Case 2: The When the price decreases is price of a good decreases, quantity demanded time expected to increase because of the law of demand. and effect of on the price decrease on a rm’s revenue again PED. elastic fuel such revenue longer price price fuels, total following demand adjustments the on revenue depends the on typical The nd spent expenditure income. income demand expenditure consumers inelastic as income involved. price price to happen price? is goes the addictive behaviour. 10% monthly or demand contrast, immediately. and increase substitutes whether good then effect It available example, revenues. price The of for be • greater or Knowledge predict demanded; their are: good: between production. rm price because of following expected spending increases person’s proportion price demand unemployed instead not alcoholic consumption demand lettuce because small more price gas revenue is not difference demanded. is cooking be increase example, or is products • a PED closeness of period revenue increase contrary, coal price. TR demanded cigarettes Therefore, decrease This is one drinks in on of necessity proportion demanded. than so PED less demand Food use of the the price consumer do inelastic . proportion in to origin. demand • If, the changes. difcult price. propor tion small from higher and of • will If that can Hint: the expected The far and its determinants good Fanta. demanded with • Total its as price addictive, is price we drinks” fewer substitute substitute quantity price necessities; increase more advised that curve? increase quantity good more responsive good is it contrary, a If curves Determinants of • it is a the very above how demand Recap people how broadly example close closer on oil Revenues expected tips curve inelastic they the will the drop denition, the not much (for the On then small depends dened necessity, to substitutes, also broader the demanded. relatively this Beer a of is responsive the demand price substitutes the expected alternatives quantity about substitutes expected whereas in good “Fanta”). available if bring demanded. versus the adjustments fuel The relatively in in a a inelastic the The why or 1). Determinants The along elastic lower must P varies price T I N U P : 2 Within S C I M O N O C E O R C I M • as people oil coal will • If demand fall results is in demanded. price a elastic larger The effect (PED than on > 10% total 1), a 10% increase revenue of in price quantity the increase 27 in quantity demanded is larger than the effect of the Recap decrease • If in demand fall results price; is therefore, price in a inelastic smaller total (0 than < revenue PED 10% < increases. 1), a increase 10% in price If price When demanded. The effect on total revenue of changes the decrease demand is is larger than the effect of the increase in • If demand price is unit produces effect by therefore, on the total a elastic 10% in remains revenue (PED = decrease revenue increase revenue total of the quantity 1), in 1 more than quantity price and demanded total changes revenue the same direction as quantity changes demanded. falls. a 10% increase quantity decrease in demanded; demanded. price is therefore, • If P rises, • If P falls, If price Q falls proportionately more; therefore TR falls. in Q rises proportionately more; therefore TR rises. The matched total When unchanged. changes demand changes in P/unit > elastic , quantity in demanded; PED price in proportionately price and quantity (a) price in the 0 price < in a bigger quantity same • If P rises, • If P falls, Q less effect < as 1 quantity than on price. total demanded direction Q PED inelastic , proportionately has change and is and demanded Thus, revenue total the than revenue change does the changes price. falls proportionately less; therefore TR rises. rises proportionately less; therefore TR falls. b P2 C a The overall relationship between PED and total revenue P1 is also shown in Figure 2.5.6, which shows the typical, linear, D negatively the As origin), price from 0 Q2 Q1 P/unit sloped F TR is demand zero decreases to P , for increase in that at (thinking quantity demand and curve. a zero of range zero price walking demanded price At is quantity (H) down increases price TR elastic , is the from (point 0 the also price to at zero. Q. axis) Since resulting Q /period quantity so TR rises. to decrease demanded Skipping past P the all is proportionately midpoint the way price down to P , if price zero, greater, continues quantity (b) demanded inelastic , b P2 a resulting smaller, the TR a rises Q, TR all maximum. demand way decreases, curve So, it right where Q to H. increase that af ter C the from proportionately at P1 increases so TR to Since in quantity decreases. midpoint necessarily below PED = 1 , demand the TR Q Having and follows now that of price is established then, midpoint is is demanded right at the Q it is linear maximized. P/unit PED –> ∞ F PED D 0 Figure 2.5.5 Q2 Q1 PED and total revenue between two > 1 Q /period points PED = 1 P Figure total 2.5.5 shows revenue. Total the effect revenue of is an increase given by the in price area on derived by 0 multiplying is price At the elastic is price given increases revenue is times quantity. between original revenue price price by to given the P2 by the and two the of of P1 areas quantity sum Figure 2.5.5a < PED < 1 demand points. quantity, sum and In and A Q1 , and B. decreases areas A and Q2, Area = 0 D When to C. PED total total B 0 Q H Q /period is TR lost while larger area than the Figure2.5.5b, points. (area total C is larger revenue gained. demand Following C) is revenue the is price price than Since gained the the (C), revenue total inelastic increase, revenue the lost lost revenue between revenue (areaB) (B) is falls. the In two gained and so increases. TR 0 Figure 28 2.5.6 Q PED and the shape of Q /period the TR curve for rms of and consumption greater government of PED for PED permits revenues to a rm given increase its demand for increase the the of a to predict price is will thought price if the change. revenues it its direction For lower to be the price demand is of example, price rm of elastic price change a a in good and it inelastic . its higher inelastic wishing a hairdresser. if seeking will she If she is thinking of charges for a haircut , her revenues the demand for consider her her in services services is price desirable inelastic . and the area. Quantity of then decrease Her will rise. (because offered proportionately If her by the services other for price of less are the so law that of her considered hairdressers her she PED, the because services charges will for from the tax produces in the a be demand) a similar elastic . demand tax price revenue example, elastic . explains why is smaller T ax price revenues governments collection impose indirect fuel. interested goods of ten in curtailing referred to as the consumption demerit goods, of such and alcohol, also need to have knowledge of as PED. is addictive means that if so the demand goal is is to quite price decrease inelastic . smoking, but tax If to she will will be needed so that the monthly a very expenditure will cigarettes becomes a prohibitively large proportion revenues neighbourhood price haircut for is This demand demanded weekly very demand greater. when other of the typical consumer ’s in determining monthly income. PED will help those how high the indirect tax needs to be to then curtail demand is clients from on decrease the This increase different haircuts be Governments high will lower the This hairdressers The collected. demanded maximize on, Tobacco must tax . be Consider increasing will when will to tobacco if the to resulting quantity than taxation certain price price in collected • case following revenues rms decrease • tax decision-making the Impor tance the consumption by some specic target percentage. increases fall Recap proportionately competitors • PED can also more and helps shif t an her as many weekly rms of tax clients revenues determine indirect her (a tax the on will will switch to Importance decrease. extent goods to which and PED they services) the consumer. Ceteris paribus, the more price is important demand faced is, the greater the proportion of the can be shif ted on to the consumer in the it allows form of it price. The inelastic close have it idea is implies intuitively substitutes a relatively to that simple. switch small consumers If demand to so impact the on have increase quantity few in if of PED for Governments looking an the PED of is equal the tax to a the price determine indirect important price will • it helps tax demanded. tax for direction of change of change the on to extent the governments governments revenues raising tax revenues to which they consumer. because: to interested decide on in which increasing goods to their impose an tax it allows governments goods to be taxed. imposed per unit to estimate the size of the must T ax tax required to decrease consumption of revenues demerit collected predict governments into the to given is necessary consider because: any • • them shif t indirect Impor tance them revenues helps PED price rms a can higher for tax • that PED inelastic their the of on • to T I N U PED : 2 of S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Importance times the goods, such as cigarettes or alcoholic drink s. level HL PED for primary commodities are versus of ten though. manufactured commodities are goods derived directly from the use price factor of production land and include both agricultural products. Agricultural products include such of as for PED for such not have primary as primary products as well as Non-agricultural manufactured food do potatoes) cotton. extraction The of wheat, is minerals products goods. price close of income explain why for their many consumers, demand is typically For (copper, tin, typically instance, substitutes. non-food commodities is inelastic commodities. other, The Consider cerium), the because same is are true lanthanum, and the a price change, responsive in quantity the case of demanded is manufactured than for primary commodities. for the rare P/unit coal. PED most necessities for a products oil than demand they given more commodities include lower elastic . food products (corn, also and generally non-agricultural proportion may of Therefore, the big products more Primary a That and majority earth P1 mineral for of necessary hybrid cars. lanthanum cars will not in the Given the increases, have production much lack of of the substitutes, manufacturers of a batteries choice of and even if batteries so they needed the for will price hybrid be less D responsive to the price increase. By contrast, the demand D manufactured products tends to be more price elastic , products usually do have substitutes as a result of a BMW product she planning consider may on an differentiation. also buying HP or a consider a new Mac . a Dell If someone Mercedes. laptop he Expenditures If is on 2.5.7 Primary Q /period commodities versus manufactured products considering someone will Q1 the Figure extensive primary because 0 these manufactured for For is probably also manufactured goods small products primary changes is more around price P1 , elastic demand for compared manufactured to demand for products. 29 Calculating 4,000 PED − 12,000 12,000 1 . Assume that price falls by 6% leading to an increase in PED quantity demanded of 9%. What is the = = 9 PED? − (if GDC is allowed then EXE) 3 3 To calculate PED enter the percentage changes into the –8,000 formula with their 3 sign: × %∆Qd PED PED 6 = −0.33 (or, 0.33). 12,000 = Demand %∆P is therefore price inelastic . 9% PED = PED = −1 .5 (or, 3. 1 .5). Assume that PED is – 0.74 and price increases by 1 2%. –6% Calculate Demand is therefore price Assume that the price increases from $3 to quantity in quantity demanded to fall from the PED 12,000 quantity formula can be To 4,000units . calculate PED What enter is the the units = into the %∆Q = Q2 − Remember P1 Q1 – 0.74 × 12% = –8.88% the minus sign for PED in this case. Since the price × has − = 12% = P2 change ∆Q% formula: Q1 = %∆P the %∆P values Q1 %∆Qd PED calculate %∆Qd – 0.74 − to = PED? above Q2 used demanded: PED to demanded. $9, in causing change elastic . Again, 2. the P2 P1 − increased it follows that quantity demanded will change Q1 P1 in the opposite direction because of the law of demand. P1 Income Income of elasticity elasticity demand the to direction and on the The formula a of size of demand change in change of of of to (YED) YED demand curve calculate (YED) measures income. demand used demand the provides given a responsiveness information change in YED is income YED • = = = %∆Y × − Q1 Y2 − Y1 = Y1 and YED is income (plus sign) the ratio levels, or if number. to of leads If to one an less increase demanded, in quantity is in or if YED (plus is a then in and YED in drop is a the is leads a are then YED in can distinguish between normal and 0 in food or an earn at then income products rice or least an in will income the may on whether YED is positive or good is If YED > 0 the number. negative example, increase for = 1 to the YED the values and is positively normal. If for is three cases remains income income • as good is a normal and consumer or demand change in affected decrease by since same be sloped leads graphically a graph then slope are change to same. change in a in income quantity 5% is demanded: increase in If is the shown on represented with the YED is negative curve in is income horizontal positive then Figure an the axis. and YED vertical by on is then Engel vertical If the the good negative YED is axis curve is and zero. 2.5.8. (Y) demand < slope 0 increases good both direction. (increases) as consumer income increases (decreases): income Y2 and demand change in opposite directions. on normal goods, we can state the following. YED • If YED > 1 then the percentage change in = 0 quantity (income demanded is greater than the percentage change income. rise in We say income that leads demand to a is faster income rise (a elastic , as rises stays the a proportionately Y1 greater most increase) services, example, in are demand demand. usually for Luxury goods, considered plastic surgery, as income spa well as elastic . therapy or For haute Positive couture clothing is income elastic in many If 0 < YED < 1 then the percentage change in > 0 quantity Normal demanded income. is We smaller say that than the demand percentage is income change inelastic in as a rise 0 in income leads to a slower rise (a proportionately smaller Figure increase) 30 in demand. Basic goods slope markets. YED • (everyday goods but in Qd or 2.5.8 YED represented by an Engel curve good the All goods (decreases): a quantity If YED < 0 the good is an inferior good since demand decreases Focusing a but number. inferior increases the where income. negative. good income of example. just inferior. the percentage demanded the good in is quantity the percentage can which good then Inferior (decreases) increase market not increase YED • a level example, inelastic . not in Negative based For income average for Income inelastic . is chocolate increase demand income. demanded, curve, quantity an negative is YED Income We milk 5%increase a income For in is leads If equal positive income other to demand positive number. decrease income then a YED sign) a sign) increase or in changes (minus an to changes both negative leads decrease demanded, if demanded demanded, income a that negative positive then percentage example, being being sign), are For good change (minus if a the for = demand Q1 • follows both positive more it of YED change Y1 Since If usually × Q1 ∆Y ∆Y Q2 are many following consumers following: Y1 ∆Q Q1 for Demand much the goods) demand shifts. ∆Q %∆Qd staple on same) the and initially quantity her demand very low and demanded of for white then it white bread. If increases bread by her up Jane • to YED YED is thus positive up to income Y1 . As increases more and up until income level proof Y2, a not consume sufcient Y2, then and she start more amount may white per consider consuming bread week . If as her switching more she already income away nutritious and now from bread. Past Y2, YED is thus past white and any straight is manipulating beyond our the scope in Figure 2.5.9. Normal goods (YED bread 0 < YED < > for Jane an inferior is possible to illustrate formula here. and where YED income = 1 . To inelastic 1 YED > white income elastic demand, cuts the vertical inelastic Income demand elastic cases of products with most food; services; demand a as product well as the draw a basic case day-to-day line Engel curve (rice, (nail spaghetti goods goods; necessities with: straight that inelastic canned axis cuts the demand, horizontal draw a straight line Engel salons, cruises, surgery tuna, pencils, Inferior goods used Figure 2.5.9 More cases of YED erasers, by boats) < 0) lower quality clothing, lower quality food Y 0 represented (YED cars, Y Qd iPhones, napkins) Typically: 0 cars, sauce, curve axis Y expensive income sail income demand Typically: products; haircuts, • are 1 dishwashers, that simple cases bread plastic • that product . the illustrate using These (luxury) elastic curve whole farm It Engel 0) Typically: becomes line origin. consumes rises expensive negative requires which Income wheat draw the she shown will 1 , her algebra, income to through will The increase. equal goes T I N U Y1 , Jane is : 2 income Qd Engel 0 S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Consider Qd curves HL Importance of goods YED faced Impor tance of YED for with a would like to know whether demand for their highly to help income them economic incomes expand Hence, more if an then may have to to may plan invest is now for of country goods growing foreign for In periods high goods incomes income expanding YED with are elastic their Economies of will low YED. increasing products capacity to be say, switching to potatoes kiwi fruit (that have a higher YED. Over the long or to term, and of three the have a on have a slower agricultural increase of products their with income a low relative widening income consider what happens will decline. As a higher YED YED YED will can face avoid a large large of will witness rest of spent the will experience of the 2009 so effects on if an economy goods drop in declines increases rms in a the over high-end restaurants. economy the primary services the long change. certain the level are sector, which As the an carry considered of to size products income mostly for a economy relative agricultural income manufacturing furniture, are term, Many in sector, sector. threshold increases services once living, mostly and primary is in a is spent example higher have YED. an households have attained a even certain further on increases vacations, expensive cars. spa in discretionary In treatments, income this way the expensive sector and later of relative manufacturing size shrink s of while and of their services sales, services in their the manufacturing in sales. For crisis incomes various while example, decreased, markets. Firms In the sectors UK both have the been in agricultural relative decline with products sales, expands. recession. the 1960s. According to the UK Ofce for services sector is National with (ONS), currently the the largest inferior as in the UK , accounting for more than 75% of GDP . a and production contribute less than 21% of with GDP , different fuel inequality. result , eurozone the and and Manufacturing result and furniture the sector goods to agro-tourism, Statistics low food low since high or the sectors: can once from items and Incomes for and rise further appliances that Now YED Any Luxury the population, as compared farmers YED to three sector sectors products clothing a such sales agencies YED incomes low reached. are producing have grows cars, demand. growing, travel of manufacturing As standard which demand their inelastic increase. with and highly in income investments. the markets increased farmers think in to producing the moderately their markets economy meet or incomes compared rms Conversely, YED), better growth, increase, fast , able elastic in product Impor tance is inelastic decline rms retailers, Firms income smaller and agriculture contributes less than 0.60%. offering 31 Calculating 1 . Suppose leads to that a 2. YED an increase 4.75% fall in in bus national income journeys. of Calculate Assume annual increase from increase in bus YED the the number levels Rmb in 61 ,600 Shanghai leading of manicure appointments to percentage to 41 3,000. Calculate the YED for manicure = changes into Enter the formula the above values remembering into the %∆Qd = formula: Q2 − Q1 = signs: %∆Y Y1 × Y2 − Y1 Q1 – 4.75% YED = YED = −1 .98 YED +2.4% Note that here the negative sign must be kept . It informs 32 bus journeys in this economy are inferior products. 413,000 – 350,000 61 ,600 – 55,000 = 55,000 × YED = 350,000 us Demand that an from treatments. YED the to YED %∆Y the income journeys. %∆Qd Enter capita 55,000 2.4% 350,000 for per Rmb for this service in Shanghai is income elastic . 1 .5 Price of elasticity elasticity quantity of of supply supplied to supply (PES) a in supply (PES) measures change T I N U of the responsiveness B. Supply price. the The following formula is used Q2 to − is price percentage calculate inelastic change percentage in if 0 < PES quantity change in < 1; that supplied is is, : 2 Price Elasticity the smaller than S C I M O N O C E O R C I M 2.6 price. PES: Q1 S P/unit Q1 %∆Qs PES = = Q2 − Q1 P2 − P1 = %∆P P2 − P1 P1 × Q1 P1 Price and reects the supplied of quantity in of the A. ranges Supply two supply. of in is and If vice have a price positive increases versa. variables—price same Degrees PES of increases change move law supplied direction—PES relationship then Therefore, and is since quantity always a that P2 quantity PES is supplied, positive the ratio that P1 number. PES value price from elastic change in quantity change in price. zero if to PES supplied innity. > 1; is that larger is, the than percentage the 0 percentage Figure 2.6.2 Q1 Price inelastic Q2 Q /period supply P/unit As shown change in in Figure price 2.6.2, (from P1 when to P2) supply leads is to price a inelastic , a proportionately S smaller means P2 price change that in quantity supply in this supplied range is (from Q1 relatively to Q2). This unresponsive to changes. P1 A C. D. 0 Figure As in Q1 2.6.1 shown price change Price in Figure (from in elastic P1 quantity Q /period P2) A in price this range elastic is when supply to is price elastic , a proportionately (from relatively supply is Q1 to Q2). This a change E. curve responsive must cut P/unit the to price means vertical elastic in quantity change in price. Supply Supply greater unit supply change is in perfectly in quantity leads supplied Supply if must PES = supplied elastic leads to if an cut 1; is the that equal PES -> is, to ∞; innitely horizontal the the that large axis. percentage percentage is, a small change in supplied. is price price curve perfectly leads to inelastic no change if in PES = 0; that quantity is, a change supplied. that The supply inelastic change supply 2.6.1 , to Q2 price following is shown in Figure 2.6.3. changes. • A supply curve • A supply curve • A supply of of unitary innite elasticity elasticity passes is a through straight the origin. horizontal line. axis. curve P/unit of zero elasticity is a straight vertical line. P/unit S S S1 S2 P S PES PES PES = 2.6.3 Qs Constant PES = 0 ∞ 1 0 Figure –> throughout the length 0 of the Qs 0 Q curve 33 Recap Price If, elasticity PES > of 1 supply supply (PES) is price elastic so, %∆Q > %∆P The curve must “cut ” the vertical axis < %∆P The curve must “cut ” the horizontal = %∆P The curve must go s If, 0 < PES < 1 supply is price inelastic so, %∆Q axis s If, PES = 1 supply is unit elastic so, %∆Q through the origin (any slope) s If, PES → ∞ supply is perfectly so, elastic a small leads to change change an in quantity Effectively, rm is If, PES = 0 supply is perfectly so, inelastic Determinants of it shows willing amount at when quantity in innitely to the price price that time period in economics does short run and the curve vertical the Q-axis to the Q-axis not. inelastic (0 < changes PES in < price. 1). If Producers demand can only increases marginally there will be respond both an involved is distinguished into the momentary the long in quantity supplied and an increase in price, yet the run, effect the Draw to price. increase Time parallel the changes, to The curve any current PES the supplied. offer supplied Draw large on price will be proportionately greater. run. P/unit P/unit S S P2 P1 P2 P1 D2 D2 D1 D1 0 0 Figure Figure 2.6.4 PES in the momentary the momentary run 2.6.6 (market period) all factors of the considered xed; rms supply can thus make no adjustments. As to is any perfectly change inelastic in price. If (PES= 0). demand Producers increases, by remains the same and only price the both the all long run factors rm; all of production adjustments are are considered possible. capital and labour (that is, it can The rm change its can scale cannot operations). As a result , supply is price elastic (PES > 1). quantity Producers supplied in run, a of respond Q /period production change result, PES long variable are Q2 run In In Q1 Q can fully respond to changes in price and the rm is increases. able to increase in size. If demand increases there will be both S an increase in quantity supplied and an increase in price, yet P/unit the effect on Therefore, elastic as quantity over rms time, can supplied supply make will tends more be to and proportionately become more more greater. price adjustments. S1 S2 P2 P/unit S3 P1 S4 P D2 S5 D1 0 Figure In 2.6.5 the xed. Q1 PES short For in run, the at example, short least the Q2 Q /period run one factor capital of production employed by the is rm considered is xed but 0 it can change the number of workers or the hours they Figure Thus, 34 some adjustments are possible. As a result, Q work. supply is price 2.6.7 PES over time Qs factors of usually production and The mobility of labour is relevant . If, for example, labour or geographically immobile then it will be to meet an increase in the demand for a farmers product be labour is mobile between occupations or between extent to which spare (excess) to a rm increase though to capacity. is operating at full output . Supply is increase output if For example, a capacity, capacity price it is inelastic . does factory it have that has very A idle will easily be able to increase is available able if in price. the The more greater the responsive extent of quantity there spare and increase in price. Supply is more therefore is need for skilled as opposed It an is economy easier more is price not be there rms workers more may for in are that order elastic . able to more use to increase will unskilled When nd specialized and than labour output. employ skilled to nd Supply labour more a long grapes time and means that for the an crops increase to in mature price very insignicant output response. can The the oil and a It the copper takes production new oil eld a industries, and into long it time takes a to which bring long production. new time Supply to is inelastic . speed higher by the which costs additional rise as (marginal) output costs of increases producing be output , the more difcult it will be for rms to to output following an increase in price, so the more elastic . to unskilled unskilled a into price inelastic is of workers. and the hire product needed, labour as supply will be. For example, heavy mining labour equipment In instance, an price The For takes capacity supplied price seedlings This industries. bring increase an to mines additional available, It that The increase about applies copper nd spare machines output plant extractive The are lags. exists difcult rm time products. regions. are When to harvested. bring same The long than only if by agricultural more and difcult are is for occupationally characterized apples a expensive. expand used For a output in the extraction mining given company the industry it is additional very cost is extremely difcult of to acquiring such equipment . rm quickly so Recap supply is a delivery food more price rm mental institution require specialized inelastic . to to hire nd For more more example, workers doctors; it will than the it be will former easier for be a for does Determinants The ability Quantity able to onto store supplied hold the For owers but time can stock s market elastic . The to of very example, not of lags in contrast the easily the be that increased product . rms the PES is determined by: latter. • the time period • the mobility • the extent • the need • the ability • the time • the speed product quickly; fresh to of not PES labour, Goods therefore can when can supply maintain the be is stock s rm the of factors of production is to which spare (excess) capacity exists released more of for skilled as opposed to unskilled labour price plastic owers. characterize T I N U of : 2 mobility S C I M O N O C E O R C I M The production to store lags that by the product characterize which costs rise the as production output process increases. process The to longer respond the to time price lags, the longer increases. it Primary takes sector for producers products are HL PES for primary commodities products versus of manufactured primary commodities usually have a lower able to manufactured products. This is due to time lags that characterize the production of Calculate if the PES PES the PES number of for from 2,140 increases from S$50 the values foot massage appointments increases Enter at least a goods. In planting the case season into to to the 2,568 S$55 services offered when per per the respond to higher prices. In the case of to other products, to such make the as oil, natural necessary gas and minerals, investments for time extraction primary to for that 1 . to needed and Calculating manufactured need the is long to farmers PES primary compared opposed products be Overall, as agriculture, in begin foot supply production. massage is price services Singapore is 2, which means elastic . Singapore 2. week market price If PES 8% for wax increase candles in price, is estimated calculate the at 1 .4 and response there in is an quantity supplied. appointment . Enter formula: the values into the formula: %∆Qs Q2 − Q1 PES = %∆P Q1 %∆Qs PES = = %∆P Q2 − Q1 P2 − P1 = P2 − P1 P1 ∆Qs% × 1 .4 2,568 – 2,140 = Quantity – 50 = 1 1 .20% supplied for wax candles will increase by 1 1 .20%. 50 × 55 ∆Q 8% P1 PES = Q1 PES = 2 2,140 35 2.7 Role Government Governments of governments intervention intervene in markets for in in microeconomics markets various reasons, which St include to: P/unit • support certain • support low producers, usually farmers S and income services households services, such as ensuring food and that basic housing, goods are a Pc affordable • inuence the level of output in a market • inuence the level of consumption • correct P of the good or e service Pp fail • to market reach promote failures the (that socially is, cases efcient where market b forces outcome) equity. D Indirect taxation 0 What are indirect Figure Indirect taxes are Q’ Q /period Q taxes? taxes on goods or services, or 2.7.1 Impact of an indirect tax: market for sugar-sweetened on beverages expenditures. taxes and amount per cigarettes). of a They ad good are valorem unit Ad (for of distinguished taxes. the Unit good valorem (for taxes example, the into taxes unit are example, are a 15% a (specic) xed $4.00 percentage GST in New on The “dollar ” per pack the of price by decreases Zealand). do governments impose indirect the taxes are imposed collect tax revenues to price shif t the the tax increases Q'. to to Producers consumers supply St . Pc As and now pay a the earn minus curve vertically result , beverage tax upwards market equilibrium per the the price quantity Pp, which (ab). tax revenues the government collects are equal to the to: tax • pay will of taxes? The Indirect tax amount consumers is Why indirect the needed to nance per unit (ab) times the new equilibrium quantity Q'. This government is area (PpbaPc) or area (1 + 2 + 4 + 5). expenditures The • decrease the consumption of demerit goods such as proportion ( tobacco, alcohol individual • and consumer decrease production decrease the decrease imports use of sugar but that also processes fossil harm society that not at only the the tax paid by as the incidence consumers is equal to ) PcPp It large generate of PPc pollution, or It is referred follows to that the incidence of of the the tax tax to to consumers. producers is PPp fuels ( ) PcPp • in certain industries and thus help Note domestic producers and that valorem Analysing indirect the above taxes using a tax (except indirect tax is considered an additional cost of as a result , it decreases supply, shif ting the Consumers lef t or, better yet , vertically upwards by the > P) the tax . If the tax is a specic tax the shif t is original supply curve. If the tax is an ad parallel valorem tax , supply tax , curve and so is the is bigger at steeper vertical higher because distance the “dollar ” between amount the two In the Figure P 36 and on market 2.7.1 , an market for equilibrium D is an ad worse enjoy off less as of they the pay good a (Q' higher < Q). price Consumer taxed is by a area (1 demerit + 2 good + 3). then, Of at course, least in if the the lower level of consumption and the long resulting of benets Note that make them indirect better taxes are off, despite considered the higher unfair as prices. outcomes sugar-sweetened demand tax supply they Impact the S). stakeholders decreases the price. curves, if than the health the same to term, new for are and product the the steeper amount surplus of is is supply (Pc curve St production • and, that diagram Consequences An analysis workers. and supply quantity Q. If beverages, S lead to shown a in market price are two individuals amount higher This regressive of the explains why heating oil) tax Chapter (see in respect purchase tax proportion with the to same is the same of the income basic many 3, goods countries section consumers’ for of the (basic are 3.4). good, both, but the it poorer food income. “dollar ” represents products typically a individual. not or subject to < P) are and worse sell off fewer as they units earn (Q' < less Q). per The unit Why revenues decrease from area (0QeP) to area (0Q'bPp). To decreases by area (4 + 5 + 6). Since less of the be produced and sold, workers may be laid increase off so are be adversely affected. Also, if the good taxed input income for will the production increase, forcing of other rms to goods raise then price is used in their sales and in employment The government area (1 + 2 education, + 4 collects + 5) health tax that care revenues may be suffer considered a loss services to and so Consumers area (1 + collects and 2 + tax + 4 + on on, to which infrastructure, so this revenues resulting 5 together + 6) equal welfare is and are being they net value produced should as loss have lost a Note tax though but to is lose since area equal by result been was that imposed generate (1 to society of from there on pollution surplus the + 2 equal to in is + area the 4 (3 from + + To decrease does depend An to may To Q'Q tax , lower loss an of tax demerit cases welfare goods a point loss or lower is if on level of the sales of indirect a tax burdens an both counterintuitive pre-tax as price result depends but indirect they help price inelastic the on than consumers as they tax. both industries that production to is more price wind, solar the producers is very a socially is greater. % of tax in By inequality to migration. promote Agricultural food decrease low the the self- income price of food, households and poor. of indirect consumers To increase not tax and producers. in order to signicant In general, and avoid the PES. a • demand of then the incidence is To to forced incidence If proportion of than demand, then The following determining the the relationship incidence on tax more certain goods and affordable basic rent food are to or services low so products, also income gasoline, sometimes public subsidized. industries the grow: for adoption example, of green subsidies are technologies hydro panel and geothermal) industry in the by rms. USA , Subsidies China responsible for its growth over and such as Airbus, have government the other past been years. accused subsidies. consumption of care consumption merit goods such as education optimal. are greater inelastic helpful for manufacturers, receiving health only services: benets the individual of these consumer but services also society large. protect assist domestic them governments Analysing in rms from increasing may grant subsidies import export penetration, or competitiveness, subsidies. using a diagram is subsidy decreases production costs of rms and, as a greater tax. increases supply. This shif ts the supply curve to the If or, better yet , vertically downwards by the amount of incidence subsidy. The shif t is parallel to the original supply curve. applies, Impact which price Beyond are of the on they among promote to right supply slowly. income and producers PED supply, pay the become (solar, result , on rural–urban considered important certain Aircraf t A more rural–urban though often charged of average view. the of considered incidence typically and more not even at sound grow This on? indirect This the grows incomes income, addition, transportation and What economy 5), 6). units indirect society ’s no because both In households. government • consumption an does nutrition countries • As cannot granted represents so also very improves • the typically products society. producers 3 farm levels. that • most a • be producers: for production and equal spent particular demand farmers’ farmers’ sufciency. • rms? as subsidies decrease of as inelastic . increase, decreases costs revenues farmers, increasing an to they incomes will subsidies good is will grant Producer these surplus government they • collect do T I N U (Pp : 2 Producers S C I M O N O C E O R C I M • on market outcomes incidence: In PES consumers the market for rice shown in Figure 2.7 .2, demand D and = % The sum of of tax the incidence two on producers percentages is of supply PED course 100% since S lead to a market price P and an equilibrium quantity Q. P/unit S if, for example, the incidence on consumers is 80%, then Ss the incidence relationship, onto on it producers becomes consumers 100% must clear of an be that 20%. rms indirect Inspecting will tax if be able either this to shif t demand Pp a is 1 2 perfectly price inelastic (vertical) or supply is perfectly elastic P (horizontal). If it happens that PES = PED then an indirect 3 tax will will be split illustrate 50%–50%. the Carefully constructed diagrams Pc b above. Subsidies What are subsidies? D A subsidy is a payment by the government to rms that aims 0 to decrease production their and production costs consumption of and the so price good. For and to example, since 1980, rice farmers receive a of Malaysian ringgit for each ton of rice 2018 governments around the world were rice paying the subsidy amount US$35 billion in subsidies to their shing on fuel subsidies) to decrease their a subsidy: market for rice cost will of of shift the the subsidy supply to Ss. curve As a vertically result, the downwards market pay for rice decreases to Pc and the price equilibrium eets quantity (mostly of an consumers estimated Impact harvested. by In 2.7.2 pre-determined The amount Q /period Q in Figure Malaysia Q increase produced and consumed increases to Q'. Rice inputs. 37 producers buyers now pay earn plus per the unit subsidy of rice (ab) sold paid Pp by which the is the have price or government . to cut tax Financing The cost of the subsidy to the government is equal to Q'. paid This is per area unit (ab) (PcbaPp) times or the area (1 new + 2 equilibrium + 3 + 4 + 5 for Consumers are enjoy • 6). Since a subsidy and better more increases off as they pay a lower price (Pc < Producers area of the good (Q' > Q). Consumer > P) are and by area (3 + 4 + also sell from better more off units as they (Q' > earn Q). more per Revenues (1 of area increases produced (0QeP) to area (0Q'aPp). if the and by area sold, (1 more subsidized + 2). Since workers product of other goods permitting is then producers (1 more will be used as + output and The government of the is equal both consumers enjoy an and increase in producers surplus better equal nance to area (1 + 2 3 + 4 + 5) resource it seems that allocation social improves. welfare This case. In addition, we have to is consider to the government , which is equal the to + 3 + 4 area + (6) 5 + 6), and results, thus which greater. represents A welfare net from units QQ' now being produced value even society ’s an input for Note though point costs lower that of view, there is they no should welfare not loss have been. involved if the the was granted to increase consumption of merit would price or use of pollution-abating technologies. More and cost of this the welfare effects of a subsidy have to 3 + 4 + 5 + by weighing the expected benets for be society of subsidy, 6), so it policy subsidized against its cost (that is, the value will what society will have to sacrice to nance it). Recap Impact Impact • of of indirect an Consumers taxes indirect pay a tax and on higher subsidies on stakeholders stakeholders price and enjoy Impact less of the • Consumer • Firms surplus earn less decreases. per revenues collected • Producer surplus • Government on A a subsidy Consumers unit and sell fewer units so Consumer • Firms pay a on stakeholders lower collects tax revenues education, that health may care be and spent so welfare loss results unless the good taxed is surplus earn more price and enjoy more of the collected • Producer surplus • The so on. may tax have later must to or unit and sell more units so increase. increases. government it increases. per revenues decrease. decreases. infrastructure, • and • of good. good. • nance increase cut back the cost taxation on of now, another the subsidy borrow now government a programme. demerit good or its production generates pollution. • A a welfare merit to perspective loss good benets Policymakers’ for impose a indirect taxes is necessary for the above but their regressive nature must always by policymakers. They may be easier to income taxes but by they disproportionately hurting may taxes lead to must increased denitely income be for decrease polluting consumption of production tobacco, processes alcohol as a beverages. and as well even alcohol and so and rather other price Governments, goods that inelastic , is truly raise tax to curtail revenue. of raises parallel the possibility markets arising of as a prot . Whether such there is phenomena a function of the size of the penalties are and in are must the case addictive be to which activities the such laws as are enforced. driving, ying In or the case of production as be that use prepared fossil to fuels face as energy, popular a government resentment if it of to impose indirect taxes to curb their use. in want to pay more prepared monthly 38 goal to perhaps Few nature the just taxation and is degree decides tobacco, if not tool must sugar-sweetened is inequality. considered processes the tax and making polluting to good signicant the the Indirect subsidized generates society. high observed poor the collect room than unless production be smuggling recognized its reasons However, explained results or high consumption Imposing lost though, levels. the + to good the which cost employed. production also employment must + so the to society judged • they subsidy 2 generally, increase 2 not equal goods decrease + and the subsidy production opportunity Producer • Also, an unit from is later collected by surplus involves tax 5). loss increase and programme. surplus area (Pp now P) cost • therefore makes together typically also subsidy more government stakeholders increases and borrow another quantity + to • a now, on society. off Consequences now the for subsidy more back electricity bill. for driving or ying or for their of taxes. There economics, are of ten both consumers government are for also represent their a several the to valid granting captured powerful by and grant reasons, of a all subsidy special industries producers instead and of based but interest confer so are of imposing on sound subsidies groups only to other and Whether a subsidy is granted or not should depend all the benets and all the costs for to it is difcult for us to judge a ensure is necessary whether because information, we may especially if not the sensible. have all benets realized subsidies Of ten, are in the long typically governments term. For considered consider the example, wasteful meantime jobs for more not initially decides in order workers in schools, then society realized. to to to the On subsidize feed coastal its at the the population perspective, these regions subsidies then, may If the framework of analysis is perhaps global, shing subsidies are harmful and should stop the they deplete world sheries and the resulting are global mostly industry permit a because necessary ways manage and infrastructure government shing national though, subsidy a the other in they society. be Sometimes if in and if migration on from weighing build benet hand, domestic to roads may However, rural–urban government large members. pressure. down hospitals, that benets political slow T I N U for easier : 2 benet far S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Subsidies social costs exceed any national social benets. farm and a result market-determined price of P/unit S a product In these of the unsatisfactory: cases, good the either that is, government below or either too intervenes above the high and market or too sets z low. the price price. 1 Price ceilings (maximum 4 3 What are price ceilings (maximum e 2 Pe prices) b a prices)? Maximum price P 5 A price that a ceiling (maximum government market-determined highest possible can price price price) impose is too that is in a a form high. can be of market Price price if it control considers ceilings charged for a act as good the h they are set way the and therefore below government the market restricts protects the equilibrium price consumers, to price. the especially In desired low against prohibitively high do governments (maximum impose 2.7.3 ceilings price and ceilings the prices)? can products, be such imposed as milk on or basic bread, goods, but also usually on heating fuel. For instance, up until controls prevent government had set a price decrease the late and baguette, which did not allow imposing a price ceiling: rent control rent controls housing more ceiling in 1980s the bakeries to displacement the prevalence shortage able to of means pay P’ of affordable low and may residents homelessness. that will income not nd all rental However, tenants who housing are units. on creates further problems. Non-price market sell rationing mechanisms: once a shortage the the price is no longer able to perform its rationing for function the of render the resulting arises French of gasoline • and impact prices. This food The Consequences level willing Price Q /period income thus Why Qd Qe this Rent households, Qs and Figure so D 0 the and alternative rationing mechanisms are baguettes developed. above the world, authorities housing that legal market . prevent legal maximum have Rent rent . from For In many imposed controls landlords maximum price. also are their in the around controls examples renting example, cities rent of in price properties USA in the the rental ° ceilings above 2019 the California approved statewide rent controls, and This may lists for may lead tenants New Landlords may its existing rent regulations. Price aim to make certain basic goods and and so more affordable to low income using In the is in the below the impact of rent to example, Figure 2.7.1 , equilibrium the market market the in controls equilibrium quantity. determined the maximum the housing units rental now the housing units tenants Portland, • price The rent rental landlords offered by Oregon, rental can price control price (Pe) USA , is (P ’) and legally landlords Emergence willing and Qs are Pe is and get set acts as charge. At fewer rent , is able to result rented intended < Qd). distance A shortage (QsQd or of housing units rst served” adopting rented basis. waiting to housing. their they will rent their own property households without There is a also pet a or high P’ • In the results, based demand benet long-term markets: higher housing to ethnic payments or that on and in from high the rent additional landlords addition income not background risk to deposits may the of poor, who religion. demand legal paid individuals or in will are advance. manage the to people controls. problems may arise. than rent Quality of housing may worsen, as landlords who are (that equal to earning less will not have the incentive to restore the or line secure according children). parallel The now is, of maximum ° are whom to young “under-the-table” housing to come, agencies consumers. diagram rental shown Qe a wanting decide, discrimination Analysing “rst services without cheaper a estate ceilings (for therefore on real York preferences, strengthened be to Oregon ° and Allocation maintain their rental units properly. ab). 39 The ° number further of shrink, landlords may example, rental housing making switch landlords units shortages the may use of switch available more their to may severe, properties. short-term Imposing as a basic A price Airbnb or other similar Who gains and who the imposition of the rent is equal to area (1 + 2) control the to area area (1 + (3 2 + + 4 + 5). 3 + 4 + and Social 5). the producer surplus When P', the surplus is the as quantity of rental The the is therefore rent units is control, now Some surplus to these nd are tenants have been now, as the only is equal housing not are to at area the necessarily worse a able to result nd of discriminated because Qs. (1 + off. lower 3). Some the These rent poorer are are of producer off, course the housing if shortage, against the or the are who shortage surplus unless they to run rent the leave property) term deterioration afford surplus (1 + 2 (4 + 5), is + to at risk or the they of 5). after market up also area an of who was to. 5. the the but price free as a This the (for be means inefciency Rationing major of Landlords higher caught . to their social the in is reviving rising make factor it Of ten, by residents. of the loss market negative rents in responsible an many to for to a if and rents income for only at package for surge major of society; rented side would As a exceed (Qd > Qs) and so a the shortage line distance will (QsQd or ab) would result . apply. products, Firms such as rent that housing and cities as rising is a bread, care are incentives the long has for term. to to the For apply are be bakeries may • There they • The by area now • It there make these income groups. cannot perform may be its rationing willing and function able certain that they will end up to pay with the exists. on to the basis queues and there decide gas is of “rst come, developing stations none they which may customers may be rst outside served”, grocery as people rush to buy the lef t . customers prefer or random government be issued For is may with example, likely sellers that will to sell important allocation adopt a set this illegal sell depending on income of Quality may should to be regular allowed to customers, customers. of supplies by ballot . a system number may take of of rationing: coupons place in for people each wartime. at markets prices the will above willingness develop the to legal pay where some maximum, and, of course, the buyers. in an worsen as then are rents producers is on may is a may use lower quality this increase form in be taken supply example, to of to newer a bakers may use lower quality For our. If other non-price-controlled same inputs, then the goods may quantity be produced offered may with further making choose to shortages sell more cookies severe. instead of For example, bakers bread. Price oors What are A oor (minimum prices) House price oors (minimum prices)? In of a in market that but price also perhaps lowest set is can to the price price market protect price) impose determined possible above goal policy (minimum government in is that is a too can a low. be groups of if Price price. of price it control considers oors charged equilibrium certain form market for The a act that the as good the and are government ’s producers. phenomenon. ensure housing perhaps housing margin. continues, destitute feature eradicate prot usually displaced. some their of phenomenon the increase has increases. an to afuent , process of ten there attempt the that to the increase rent do units but governments impose price oors there (minimum prices)? Governments impose in price oors in order to prevent the controls only price from falling below a certain level. Price oors to are that P' not lead goods; market not low long- Why However, for controls. process typically this Therefore, controls aims affordable many housing. around rent neighbourhoods, negatively large. more effects. cities the more, Homelessness impacts society urban households many temporary typically encountered in agricultural product markets. older. In India the agricultural cotton. include 40 charge. area decreased to impose Gentrication inux Demand homelessness. units legally demanded selling property surplus welfare necessary deteriorated result should be would where may on and are rate witness equal is can may shrink, not could good individuals it before could control that many gentrication. in would (Pe) signicantly the fact , ceiling price who • lower price perspective have the may prices in off. example, forced value rent represents controls However, a the determined sellers the basic and shortage instance, as or with but inputs been 2.7.1 , supplied to price since • A way would Tenants paying worse illegal being market may the Policymakers' world on anymore maintenance. which allocative Rent product same households. tenants unable end are shrink s they their Social food the tenants item. • of good cheaper attractive forced cannot price equal ceilings buy are in better • of basic The good worse Figure market consequences stores, The the good which • a is • more for analysed equal P', good, are the quantity of However, enough off—but be follows. consumer lucky market can Using maximum staples • the is Price result in fuel below the Similar imposed for consumer of to for controls. at quantity equal market good ceiling market result , surplus the loses be Before in platforms. set ef fects: ceiling rentals rent Welfare price For the through a The the government products reasons has set including behind following. a price wheat , oor on several soybeans, agricultural price paddy oors may and incomes of can products is prices be a and so problem. affected by uctuation The supply weather in of farmers’ Impact agricultural conditions; for who or oods can reduce supply. in price volatility that leads to Changes unstable Who gains and loses in Producers and more specically farmers are better off supply as result stakeholders: instance, • droughts on T I N U Fluctuations incomes their incomes are stabilized and increased. In fact , for producers’ revenue increases from area (PeQe0) to area (P'bQs0). • The agricultural may be sector ’s decreasing. As share of national economies grow, income the (4 as agricultural the income products is products elasticity rather low. grows of but more demand Therefore, for over decrease Buyers relatively and service to most time, incomes areas pay of the The in government rural and areas. this may could Price be cities prevent to support local (urbanization). The consumer earned in area in rural experience less protect employment agricultural farmers With areas (1). in from higher production moving on If transport a will pressure systems, price oor in surplus the a the impact The be on preserved their schools and the market Qe. At The P', are to price must This oor producers and distance be soybeans determined willing line for of able QdQs maintained buy (P') offer the is to or surplus articially price set Qs a price India, is Pe so of purchase results. to at increases other wise therefore and enjoy worse off. decreases from areas product (1 is + 2 used + 3) as an then Qd In to order the D Figure while units. promised demand in A for be production higher. goods. may For lead to This costs may for example, a higher a lead these to minimum price for price tortillas. is forced the to spend heavily government must to purchase the spend × ab); that the is, the amount of product the of the surplus promised that is price equal to oor area the price (that imposing and new imposing that this there taxes higher is an opportunity government now, taxes or borrowing later cost expenditure or will more cutting • on some other government example, building some schools). The not shaded caused to by area the the P'). of production allocative represents the overproduction misallocation oor at expenditures back project (for (Pe). equal price is, implies nancing is government government This as 2.7.2, consumers surplus Indian price + their Specically, involved quantity equilibrium good in will (roads, using respective the the collapse), the are on). oor shown and above units ab (not in would cities infrastructure and rms government require market 6). into now the + imposed, diagram In 5 price-controlled Mexico (QdabQs). Analysing they Consumers manufacturing, prices corn times sewage, + the (P' will 4 areas farm surplus. employment + from farmer s’ • the 3 increases sector s. aiming oors + than good. manufacturing • (2 more less input manufacturing to surplus slowly, to incomes 5) producer demand • for + The : 2 farmers. resources; of one welfare of too the much particular loss good land farm to society and is in turn the allocated product . There S C I M O N O C E O R C I M • to is inefciency. purchases. Policymakers’ perspective P/unit S z Despite the inefciency, government b a 1 Minimum is 2 6 3 waste required and by the additional such a policy, it never be price P Pe the expenditures not safe to argue implemented. e a minimum that such Policymakers price policy policies must with the should weigh the expected costs of benets. If 5 the 4 D + expected expected For costs example, incomes Qd Qs Qe a Q /period 2.7.4 The impact of imposing a price does the government store • the subsequent if there is for destroy a government the and period crop the countries sell the do with the large. means surplus? release to the avoid failure—but the stock into price storage the rising market too involves additional Also, to government surplus, and is Price a which which Imposing has simply been a the terrible case in many 2020 in waste oors is Brazil at surplus average disrupt the of it such for a policy a should minimum acceptable migration may prove support rural level be the adopted. price, and slows as down benecial may poverty, maintaining abroad in other markets usually at a cost (a practice known as dumping), trade relations, as local farmers will lower a price also wage. 1 1 .97€ at farmers’ a result to then, at society a be necessary which country ’s may as also social a be fabric . about wage is oor found In the labour Luxembourg per hour, $1 .80 to in in per in labour markets the Greece hour. guarantee a The market in the minimum at 3.94€ reason socially per for form wage hour setting acceptable of in and a level price income to unskilled workers. In Figure 2.7.3, the vertical which measures the money wage rate (W) per worker and the suffer horizontal from an wave alleviate are minimum axis may than in much of below such imposing at temporarily, minimum • greater may: surplus a costs by remain important • are oor at The then if rural–urban least What society D 0 Figure for government purchases h benets axis depicts the number of workers (L). price. 41 Wage rate only S(L) L1 workers. The excess supply (surplus) of labour L1L2 (W) (or h hf) represents unemployment . Minimum f W A minimum wage policy will benet some worker s: wage those will who will typically, end but up not with a job necessarily, at W' instead create of We. It unemployment We (L1L2) would though, have without and had one, a will job namely unemployment if especially without individuals rms are hurt this able L1Le. to the policy It keep worker s who but are now may not increase money lef t wages D(L) below 0 L1 L2 Le Number workers the competitive of (L) Policymakers’ Figure 2.7.5 Minimum wage demand labour to produce the goods and services the minimum It is negatively sloped, as at higher wage rates try to substitute capital for labour. Workers offer services to the labour market . The supply of labour the has shown minimum sloping as at higher wage rates the opportunity leisure to be increases the (it becomes labour more market) so expensive more for increase work for the wage labour rate government rate at (We) W', than then the services. sets, is L2 be now too the is competitive We with considers at number At at low rms of and W' Le will that are the want wage the market to set a to hire willing rate looking then individuals decides individuals higher individuals not modest resulted at in least , higher in One costs reason for caused by this the outcome is minimum that wage small relative modest to most relative to rms' the overall wages costs paid to and low wage leisure. market will increases, have will workers. If then Empirical someone individuals only substitute high increase. is is outside exorbitantly necessarily cost the of not that wage unemployment . upward is not their in labour may rms evidence will wage they unemployment produce. perspective policy If Firms level. W' for to job the wage wage individuals offer the increases If determined minimum fewer that a equilibrium employed. their labour government while rms On will faster minimum workers’ and top, requires wage when wage. may more have employment and there is or no of to buy the to more which the discernible wage in money Hence, low employment increase demand, workers. little that adds them higher prospects an pay allows creating hiring suggests Increased income services, evidence goods in turn minimum effect on the workers. hire Recap Price ceilings (maximum Aim to prices) protect Price vulnerable consumers oors (minimum Aim prices) to protect typically Price is Results set below in market-determined • a • non-price • the • worse price Price is Results shortage rationing set above in mechanisms • a of parallel • the and in the government buy the burdening long cost of on some worse are better on sellers they Impact on welfare inefciency rent others are off Impact Examples off, are sacrice Impact the by policy of on some or other project they are worse off are better off consumers worse off and controls, welfare food price Impact on sellers they loss Impact on welfare inefciency and controls Examples agricultural price minimum 42 forced surplus taxpayers government consumers being resulting term in Impact price wider the shortages market-determined markets • quality producers, surplus to emergence vulnerable farmers wage welfare loss supports, Free markets: The is fundamental scarcity: what In a economic limited necessitates about How will economy, mechanism. The versus which scarce the and problem resources choices quantities. market successes of that all societies unlimited goods is to given demand or common wants. produce be by and face achieved, This and point in are of aiming to maximize utility and the prots, determines how much supply, rms of as the and consumed. outcome is If markets socially are efcient . right amount and and of the good consumed, social from scarce surplus is society ’s resources maximized. the real at the socially world however the necessary and outcome are conditions seldom to present . arrive Markets do not work either too much to the best interest of society and lead to good Allocative efcient with trying each free the produced allocated In will or too little of the good produced and be When this happens, resources are misallocated, competitive social then is optimally consumed. produced just view market to maximize resources allocated? of ten consumers access failures resources answer interaction pool : 2 common and efciency surplus is not maximum and so the market fails. One is such circumstance is the case of externalities. Externalities An or externality third not parties pay for, whenever costs of is present consumption) of for if imposes which they respectively. there is a economic on, do not or or get private are also (production benets compensated, an between between Externalities activity creates Equivalently, divergence production consumption. an costs externality private and referred to do social benets as production the exists and social for, or spillover effects. labour costs but leads to a market failure as either more or which also of be the socially optimal amount is produced or case forces alone fail to lead to an efcient above with a production means resources taken any into in the production the MPC negative process they are include costs form that of, exceed (the creates say, supply) by are the production curve. for rm, taken pollution. MPC a just the the not and This externality. benets not sacriced, consideration external rms that that this should would If, third into In be though, party (say, less rm or the whole economy) then the MSC curve lies consumed. below Market MSC drawn another than are include case the This other by the externality of process. and consideration a An T I N U failure — externalities S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Market 2.8 the MPC (the supply) curve as there is an external resource production benet involved in the process. allocation. Externalities are known process, in If considered generate arise in production which externalities. are may as case they they they production are impose negative benets the externalities, known costs on as consumption In considered the where in third externalities. are process, or parties contrast , positive they consumption they if they externalities. Marginal Marginal benets private private benets individuals unit pay additional an benets demand of enjoyed curve a are enjoy additional for benets unit from always dened from good. The is (MPB) the the willingness determined consuming thus as that reects additional consumption the of by of the to additional additional MPB an consumers unit . enjoyed The from Externalities consuming additional Marginal Production These are additional Negative Negative Positive private but in Marginal terms and private private costs are as the the additional lie below rm They incurs include from producing wages, costs of an additional raw materials unit and of a a rm takes into consideration in its reects production. the Marginal MPC of social a It follows that the supply curve are of a dened good as that the are A. costs of by producing society. of all resources that are sacriced the benets third individual include consumers (the the It demand) a MPB cost (the parties follows that curve. on If, others demand) may the enjoy MSB though, then curve, a lies individuals’ the as as curve MSC there curve is of consumption generated by the an process. Types of Externalities and an Impact industry fuels They in the Production and (coal, Externality power-plants oil, natural in gas) many in their countries use production additional reect But the burning of fossil fuels releases several the greenhouse value any benets). imposes Negative Heavy (MSC) borne cost Four process. unit by each benets always fossil These enjoyed from social costs rm. costs enjoys Marginal decision-making Their regarding (MSB) society good. other The that good. costs external a MPB consumption (MPC) dened addition (external above will Marginal a Positive denitions costs that consumed. benets of benets benets unit the result Relevant social the units gases that contribute to global warming specic 43 and climate extreme change weather and lead conditions to rising sea (droughts waters, and B. Negative When oods, hurricanes), crop failures, health problems, of species and other costs. Demand, people reects the marginal private benet of buyers, to marginal social benets as no work external consumption costs are of assumed. such rms Supply (that is, reects the costs the for wages, energy and materials). Since of liquor pay, no entails that external society costs in sacrices the more form than of rms consideration. of the Society pollution. sacrices The environmental marginal social bigger than the marginal private costs of the external costs created costs given (ab) in the gure below and so by the by the MSC the S, MPC the in for The These alcohol MPC the are all always are external reects identical production alcohol product . Since costs, consumption individuals to the the MSC reects process the itself MPB of are those consumption of alcohol who of ten it follows are lower that than the social the benets private of benets or not . enjoy The when MSB of deciding alcoholic whether to beverages consume are therefore the by the amount of the external costs created given by vertical curve vertical distance (ab) in the gure below and so the MSB lies curve above of assets the distance of are less amount effects. supply effects Demand external alcohol therefore risk it that because the productivity take alcohol into always lower production pollution, such negative The producers. external creates follows is of such consume process there driving, marginal they the other drinking. assumed. as alcohol drunk effects as private and of MPC in of is costs identical consume violence, which at always Externality the increased extinction Consumption wildres, lies below the D, MPB curve. curve. P/unit S, MPC = MSC Tip There is no shif t involved as the two curves, MPC and welfare MSC , reect different information. loss f Pm external e of cost alcohol MSC P/unit a MSB = a MSC consumption S, MSC f h external D, e cost MSB = MPB of MSC b pollution b Pm MSB 0 h Qs* Qm Q /period welfare The market for alcoholic drink s: a case of negative consumption externality loss Focusing reects D, MPB = MSB since The 0 Market for Qs* steel: a case of negative Qm production on the no both in on the the MPB gure and consumption. intersection of Qm steel units of the The above, MSB since market market the demand produced no at and a market of the of alcohol socially at optimal Qs*? level Because for of curve externality is last is assumed supply price of at leading The though unit Qs*, is to for the that Pm. less the to the at MSB MSC . Note benets that society for all enjoys all exceed these the units additional should be unit Qs*, the units (MSB) costs up to from society produced. marginal costs On Qs*, the greater (MSB) It than the follows marginal that units incurred benets Qs*Qm from society ’s point of be by up of steel, which view, is the from costs unit Qs*, by not but The shaded area (efh) result net Qs*Qm. steel 44 of the ‘dollar ’ market value The lost market represents market produced at failure. by fails. too This society the low Market of a welfare from the forces price. alcohol. intersection are. failure welfare loss There in supply consumed at so a Qm units market of alcohol at Qs*. MSB Qs*, alcohol is the consumption Why at Qs*? equal to the additional consumption and Because MSC . benets exceed Note society the incurs and (MSC), consumed. so On all these units the other hand, the marginal the costs marginal incurred benets by society enjoyed by (MSC) society It follows from that units society ’s Qs*Qm point of should view, not but have they are. been and overprovision of alcohol, There which is is the failure welfare too in loss this as a case. result The of shaded the area market (efh) failure. represents This welfare is reects the net ‘dollar ’ value lost by society from the this loss reects to market and been production lead the (MSC) the of of units Qs*Qm. The market fails. Market as lead a the society have they the society than consumption case. at alcohol of hand, society enjoyed should less to produced greater loss overproduction production (MSC), other the produced alcohol the market (MSB). of steel incurs the and level is Qs*, units overconsumption are the curve producing Pm. optimal unit all consumed past in of determined produced though last for (MSB). so assumed is supply MSC Qs*. are produced the the is past additional be price socially production the should equal as reects determined market market output the is demand will additional Why above, well equilibrium market enjoys The as Q /period externality demand outcome gure externality determined Focusing the MPC units much to too much alcohol consumed at too low a price. forces limit so goods of the goods. the generated. If signicant referred tobacco not from thus the to as a good take into costs of dened the and good. even a examples such arise. within the of the costs by very be as arise negative goods units this optimal the equal view net been socially Positive Production production James The Diseconomies not feed MSB are as on Yet , are lower than production the thus less amount of distance lies below of the apples than the the the S, the MPC trees to is Thus, MPC benet , of by are and produced at a Qs*, of from have are area to (efh) by units is of leads the welfare The being up society ’s to an failure in welfare loss units though view. apples Qm enjoyed society, from market from even unit by is Qs*, benets represents This unit past incurred the though last market society point fewer the produced The which market society ’s lead all costs failure. lost the for marginal been not . apples, value For the marginal market production Qm they loss reects Qs* not should market fails. produced than the optimal. most signicant of by MSC farmers only for curve. P/unit the why charge the result . it is The when it will not the and sector a patented willing to get typically univer sities or rm involved. able than relates R&D to is private R&D state R&D project the Thus, government where signicant then in would painfully countries undertaken by be less becomes Another a This investment successful by but such not thus externalities of road not growth. nances and developing crumbling. a airport would infrastructure outcome also the typically of benets faster generated production be or infrastructure many or massive permits private of infrastructure. construction network that of production of in research funded institutions. Positive a be is road level the cannot science the generate benets positive such research in the examining of like state insufcient When basic the optimal activities. If MPC is all the signicance either that of positive infrastructure Firms for socially as it investments. to airport , user s society, explains D. S, for all of of production an or agencies the curve the network sector apple to investments, example growing example relates Infrastructure clear to apple apple The The their from apple illustrated below. region apples arise MSC and beekeepers. of MPC incurred gure as identical of the a farmers the that costs given beekeeping. apple the benets social external in MPB was Economies consumption reects costs. the case some the positive Imagine provide the the external private (ab) in a farmers’ But they reects effects such ‘External and apple benet generate Situation’. blossom. apples, the are the of paper orchards always Supply may example from the of goods 1952 apple given Externality Competitive external production vertical his apple for the by a the assumed. farmers. in which no classic benet rewarded Demand, certain in some beekeepers bees of Meade containing demand be framework . externalities. by MSC . they by apple the the the forces market will Because unit shaded ‘dollar ’ of apples of Qs*? should produced Market consumption of externalities The to but The Qm level at exceed result have can A C. Why including case. a inter section that Pm. QmQs* of being signicant demerit is and society so of Qs*. MSB the so underproduction consumers that at point drink s, all socially until product can price more and creates market The be externalities individual while of the good drink s the products Analysis of Alcoholic since to not Alternatively, then sugary like may are behaviour terms of that consumption role. in externalities, demerit would myopic paternalistic be conducted externality from result goods individuals consideration consuming be a of governments consumption products external a can class because arising negative considered do of is takes goods special that costs This state demerit is a consumption aware such as are supply T I N U dened goods at market : 2 Demerit goods S C I M O N O C E O R C I M determined Demerit student Consumption visits a doctor and Externality gets vaccinated against a the u it is not classmates, MSC mask e the teachers during themselves only the but student and others. covid-19 also who Individuals pandemic others. benets did Focusing not on but also wearing only her a protect vaccines, the external Pm supply benet of vaccines always reects the MPC of producers of of b production MSB = MSC h vaccines (pharmaceutical to MSC of vaccines as no external corporations). effects in the They are production identical process welfare are assumed. Demand for vaccines reects the f loss MPB of creates those external probability D, 0 Market for Qm apples: a case of positive MPB Qs* production = Q /period the social the private deciding externality on both the the gure MPB above, and the the demand MSB since assumed in consumption. The market to others others will Since in get their the vaccination form sick, it of a lower follows of benets whether are vaccine that to individuals have therefore consumption a take vaccination greater than are that into or the greater account not . MPB The by than in MSB the curve no of the external benet created given by the vertical externality distance is vaccinated. benets those benets vaccines amount reects that are MSB of Focusing who outcome (ab) in the gure below and so the MSB curve lies is above the D, MPB curve. 45 Summary P/unit S, MPC = T able MSC Demand Supply h welfare Demand always reects the Supply always reects the loss MPB e MSB = enjoyed by consumers: MPC paid by rms: when MSC when external benets curve of drawing instead the of demand simply drawing the instead of S, label it If there is supply simply curve labelling it a Pm f consumption labelling If in there it is D, label no ‘D, MPB’. externality consumption benets it then enjoyed by the society ‘S, no production imposed MPC’. externality then on the society in costs are not MSB b D, 0 Qm are not any the benets for vaccines: a case of Qs* positive MPC as on well externality demand Qs*. MSB units consumption costs market from the unit incurred by as case. a the result net being good, externality Qm society. of the point even of The so being Merit unit but Qs*, the dened all as their unit loss units should Qs*, have Market consumed than the the socially not from lead optimal. case. Note in the creates referred care thus are be prime of as their two is good an merit examples. role If is to be curve of the rms such goods the state in of this in of terms a externalities merit is certain dened Education positive the education a be of and then health goods can consumption so costs producing label curve ii. If market there is in cost i. of MSB the arise for one ‘S, the MPC=MSC’. there in of is an production two an then curve lies the the D, externality). benets in a lies cases for and use S, arise in processes fossil fuels and pollute. ii. If there a is in good MPC lies an the below production the production then curve External external the MSC the S, (positive externality). benets u infrastructure more basic care MSC the externality). costs in services. the (negative arise health education then above production that external production curve curve (positive market good of the MSB above curve of benet of an the External sugar- external is in production alcoholic the good there cost MPC in and If curve D, beverages. consumption the the tobacco benet and though, externality externality). costs generally even least positive the of why or consumption Analysis by good, supply (negative vaccinations aware the then external below sweetened in like at can the good. within framework . up goods signicant a not This paid If, an cases then lies External are adequate income may countries merit in that would consumption generated. very to the goods consume paternalistic conducted externality to of government behaviour. many externalities is from Alternatively, good the Individuals myopic compulsory level. that independently of is consumption consumption class the the demand consumption drink s, in loss Qs* forces the External an failure in consumption the to been the there of there MPB For reects Qm fails. special the applies: curve marginal welfare If the not . market the one in been leads market society arising because 46 of preferences. benets it a goods members quantities of are by applies: the are the welfare from be more have they therefore This will goods goods from MPB=MSB’. though, then market is ‘D, MPB Merit enjoyed consuming label externality i. should is the though represents they of If, market Pm. exceed which society different the no The vaccines including market failure. The Qm last view and (efh) by the since process. price society though view. vaccines by vaccines, lost that QmQs* of until area market value consumed fewer of for Units reects vaccines consumption point up curve intersection so market Because shaded ‘dollar ’ society ’s to The the a of enjoyed underconsumption this at society ’s benets at MSC . supply production supply level Qs*? the producing the consumed to past of in determined at equal marginal above, MSC optimal Why is the the and consumed all is socially gure assumed and produced at as is equilibrium The the any Q /period curve Focusing from MPB individuals Market different arise production science and of of R&D. with Negative in response to externalities Nevertheless, Production individual determining product that the appropriate causes tax environmental on every damage can Externalities be Indirect (Pigovian) difcult in pioneering the case economist of Pigou an generated the the take rm’s the rm principle ‘polluter pay it for taxes. costs The Pigovian on he to and below the to all taxes generate illustrates polluting rms in principle would force would raise of the social This force effect the steel of costs as to as the to Pigovian a if the tax MPC the PED the total amount = (MPC + is given economy. the the all to good. in monetary to If other of If then up area to the demand present for the price still pollution-generating the Qs*, by the MSC dependent very be costs output between is may of is in not addition, generated Qs*) demand does these In rate may amount involved product pollution the collected correct costs a production environmental the collected. generated Moreover, only tax . optimal of the taxes damage, the level output pollution of administrative equal for If minimal estimating revenues total curves for the leads the preferences St are analysis. amount of environmental (which the small collecting tax of and relatively costs there and the size high industry. the the outweigh activity the imposing Also, much might causes then worth tax . research goods imposing even level. polluters referred the to of be cause the would optimal referred that are external in it process. is the requires some not tax socially solution of of damages, the would that level the intervention Cambridge size tax The production this they the sense to to proposed indirect the output principle’ gure tax equal The in the limit pollution attributed when (MPC) with to is government consideration. underlying pays the tax rm. into associated induce the externality production (MSC) The to rms (1920) indirect by internalize rm recommending polluting A .C . imposition cost of work Estimating taxes terms The task . : 2 – a T I N U Dealing intervention any and on inelastic , unacceptably activities good generation in the reects and the ignores tax) P/unit future generations, which will be hardest hit by polluting f activities. S, Another issue is that the effects of polluting MPC activities taxation extend does Therefore, beyond national border s but Pigovian not . instead of imposing Pigovian taxes on nal consumer S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Government P* products, taxes as economists far generally upstream in recommend the production at level applying process as Pigovian possible. An h Pm upstream This is MPB = the Carbon A carbon in is case – fuels D, tax for steel: effect of a Pigovian tax is government rms estimates create the and size of imposes the an pollution indirect tax amount which above. addition curve The to with Steel is given their the market by the manufacturers manufacturing tax will has shif ted adjust to the so are below. to the tax levied amount of on carbon-based carbon dioxide fossil emitted and energy use. Such sources a such tax as raises oil, the coal price and of natural provides vertical now distance costs. to the have to Thus, level Pigovian tax pay the of (fh) the new the by reduce incentives induced their to tax to users switch burden. to At to conserve sources the of same energy energy time, that users produce carbon emissions and are thus taxed at lower rates. As to in result , the external costs of production decrease and the the socially gure inputs. (external) equal a that Pigovian production would lower that a proportion and it thus costs analysed production tax as The taxes raw Q /period gas Market carbon of taxes carbon-based Qm of the MSB during Qs* imposed tax optimal level of output increases. The gure below in illustrates the effect electricity industry. of the imposition of a carbon tax in the supply MSC moving curve. to a new P/unit equilibrium, quantity with Qs*. a The higher tax has price of resulted P* in for the steel and optimal a MSC lower level of 1 steel MSC production. where social the costs. of a other marginal producers, form In a Also, words, social note portion price steel benets that of the increase is even tax for is steel produced only are to equal though passed (from the on Pm the tax to to to the S, MPC = MSB marginal was levied buyers P*). 2 point in This on MSB = MSC1 MSB = MSC2 the causes Pm buyers A to cut gasoline back tax to is their an purchases example driver's cost cover driving automobiles. the In of a negative the from Qm Pigovian to Qs*. tax . externalities United States, the It raises created federal the by gas D, tax was was $0.183 $0.2868 Highway imposed per Trust examples of on per gallon gallon. Fund to Pigovian in The pay taxes pesticides and 2019.The revenue goes for roadway on products on average chemical into state the the Other tax MPB tax 0 federal maintenance. include gas Market for electricity: Q*s1 effect of a carbon Q*s2 Qm Q /period tax of ten fertilizers. 47 The external the lower shif ts the to from the carbon of to is of level is and fall in output the carbon as so a result the MSC external to market between required fuel decrease fuels The of to distance the content) MSC2. closer vertical size production carbon-based optimal which decreased that of MSC1 socially Q*s2 costs use costs increase from outcome Qm. MPC tax and on buy (lower carbon tax Columbia, per of ton of British revenue i.e. Canada. carbon to capita have Af ter by tax is total since equal and this years of 30 an effect , subject compared of new with high enough cases led the to cost they carbon higher of however as living tax energy and may hurt dollars the cuts was of is in Canada the to bills be reluctant on for even help resulting as the Low Income in around per found to to In set carbon addition, in power-generating households more protect higher Climate residents with collected is excess can of so the lower which income low-income prices, Action lump of ten redirect lower the T ax sum the A carbon taxes revenue tax and 2015 (EEA) income or social of energy may rms Although to has the market incentive can it level do to buy but it of cheaper than to results that to lower permits. pollution cost will effectively from had carbon can be matched, carbon among Also, taxes for security taxes. In also create a the technological to EU’s to decrease the European was mostly as and gas 22% world. It energy-using plants) countries, by countries the heavy greenhouse reduced according in industrial these Emissions 31 it well covers emissions. between 1990 Environment driven by emissions generation. tradable lead reducing permits level, to an they increase emissions newer in theory may fall bring under in the level drastically technology), the pollution certain of for permit down circumstances emissions. some price rms will fall, If costs (those with older technology to cheaply purchase allowing more and actually control increase emissions. lead Surprisingly, to more better pollution rms. Nevertheless, this can be avoided by by reducing total number of permits issued. in – Direct regulation a can also address the issue of negative cut externalities by resorting to direct regulation. higher incentive and can other with the technology whole rebates lower addition, innovations the were system 1 1 ,000 and between in tax governments example, powerful trading than Union operates through The receive paid. European programme credits. households they the which more of EU the desired actually of families. the can directly regulate the level of output of for polluting energy-saving rms stations power Governments cost an their nd households Credit equally in production in open permits ET S), from the Governments taxes. lower that taxes many increase government tax divided income carbon of emissions percent and the population have to rms the launched (EU (power in some revenue in those operating 45 Agency Canada. EU Emissions pollution provides hand, cost . largest airlines permits the least emissions plants from by Scheme the is Columbia’s tax rest or and using Yet , pollution installations All programme rebates 2005, limits 77% emissions. tax the businesses. placed hurt incentive allocation the reductions Governments an other permits decreased Trading British estimated British to to in Canadian gas carbon through in fuels 19% to affects Columbians four 2008 greenhouse through consumption declined place dioxide British taxes. in The Columbia’s have the lower. been generated returned other has a have In A level Thus, implies on additional their Q*s1 The cleaner permits pollution; allows MSC2 the saved of curve stimulate rms, the prices they charge, where they may or new may not locate as well as the type of machines, lters and markets. fuel – Tradable pollution permits (‘cap and For schemes) Besides tradable pollution schemes, whereby permissible level specically, the emissions if and greenhouse currently this by issued the another 40 10 to of gas the tons (4 only for and is cap desired particular policy tons. reduced and The over specic is to permits cap so of are will fall. The permits can initially be on the basis of past emissions or can be 75% thus Still, from highest bidders. Firms are then able to among them in the open market . The auctioned price is determined simple through demand for market permits demand and and (vertical) a can that of a that supply supply forces of by the amount specialized of and In many cost-effective authorities resources that instruments. set of and solutions education whereby to change the preferences and the government practices and of rms by increasing their of awareness costs of certain activities they undertake. By of the making as children aware of the benets of recycling today the permits lower their pollution and save permits at aims at creating citizens who will make better about less than what they can earn by selling such issues in future. When polluting rms a the bad publicity their alter 48 adherence the coasts. implement permits. certain and for illustrate. can is and ships benets and in more permit exposed, cost from ports tradable a permits choices Firms to design or realistic , awareness different government diagram to close in to school a to signicant manpower Increasing external is monitoring a result emissions (IMO) sulphur for consumers freely easier will for environmental living taxation considered a oxide and Organization limit total allocated trade sulphur usually the regulation people Pigovian are This health for allocating attempts the are to in Maritime substantially ships. major especially requires International decrease they range the decreased have compared This free use. board Regulations – emissions on solution. be hence, that will cases reduce would (and, time goal example, country oil world, More For recently than trade a national goal then fuel involves allocated accordingly. a the as is emissions. the tons), million permits) gas sets million 36 rm permits emissions response known greenhouse million of also emitting government percent number permits each issues emit government can example, has taxation they trade’ their practices. they receive may force them to are specic market appropriate pollution control policy the will circumstances. While economists the market-based solutions such as Pigovian tradable permits there are situations lead might not be the best choice when is issues localized direct and regulation tax not and can the set a cap resulting of tradable permits, on total pollution advance will be tax as it will depends adjust on their prices. Thus, if how rms behavior the levels certainty, be the below regulations best options. a or and to the policy ‘cap the with even is to in tax cleaner may be and other level trade’ hand, can be technologies preferable. politically if In the difcult theory, a is the Still, as pollution revenues from a taxes—but this may the or more can permit politically lobby systems popular, policymakers on tax objective, taxes can very tax are may not the be by in receive if hand rms free tend to believe Goods) many will minimal be of even the other a negative the costs. consumption consumption Indirect world taxes a tax Sof t t hat 20% is tax on qu a l i t y on of the externality good the generating is taxes there have on in Drinks drinks those indirect decrease higher are also red are one taxes been meat place in option. on In tobacco placed may the Industry Levy containing with of the may tax 5–8g tax be equal supply price is very is expenditure of the on monthly of deterring demand consumption. also spent on the depends good. tax on higher income The individuals studies point higher that levels the of prevalence income and of the in the case dr i n k i n g of is alcohol, a c o n s i d e re d tax aiming rat h e r re a s o n is t hat t h e re vo d ka , a re wine, ve r y white ma ny cider a re ve r y ma ny d i f f e re n t etc .) b ra n d s and and differ dramat i c a l l y i mp o s e d on in alcoholic price. dr i n k s Thus, then a i f, s ay, ‘ c ha i n ju s t may ve r y start switching with to ma ny l ow e r substitutes so p o o re r priced t hat addicted and ove ra l l l ow e r c o n s u mp t i o n little. consumers market may where also most on soon UK seek 8g (SDIL), of the sugar tax per of sugar per will and to so induce correct, achieved. the The the external increase a lower socially gure the level to buy paid to the the good in a government . even may worse, therefore not health-related decrease problems as expected may result if quality while the countries products are of a lower or dubious earns that puts in successive tax revenue. T ax governments in hikes on Greece tobacco have specically, Ofcially 100ml less and a charge and have contributed to a loss of tax revenues as called smokers 18p switched to parallel markets. of keep in mind that indirect taxes are regressive. Thus, a consumers will be burdened proportionately more. 100ml. costs price of of of consumption the good. consumption. optimal below is goal drinks More 2018. tax products. sugary follow. since no the – An a reason proportion thus elasticity ( w h i s k y, alcoholic low-income litre The monthly large income h e av y substitutions’ Lastly, 24p needed. the a with t h e re qu a l i t i e s many the be be implemented tax will high ha n d , type products sugar of but The government a This then they the perhaps smoking taxation of the curtail households a types each and, Recently, to education. Consumption around is tax , price decreases d e c re a s i n g black external tobacco a Many case high proportion d e c re a s e s reduce and inelastic . permits. (Demerit the Alcohol price practice. Externalities to quite lowering Consumption is smoking. is revenue- Negative In the the typically with Indirect take pollution are offset occur other goal represent that individuals – Again, Let ’s may of Dealing solution. encouraging enacting new especially to a determine. and cigarettes of for T radable such to demand the will for d i f f e re n t other so if i n e f f e c t i ve . neutral with difcult impact at unpopular. to with scheme if the On taxes consumed keep level Pigovian quantity consumption. nal smoking innovation the of resulting objective predetermined a On in level With on pollution decrease drinking on Remember increased the higher unknown income consumers result , The the emissions. level that cigarettes in a P*. dispersed. that taxation, a optimal arise is addictive, high government As to if means With St . these especially are pollution to socially examples policies to increase taxation optimal and supply will generally Several prefer decrease drink s depends Qs*, upon will : 2 most fh sugary perspective price The of S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Policymakers’ tax price T I N U The level of illustrates Of ten The If the size consumption the Legislation and regulation will goods This governments and may in many regulate behaviour involve smoking case. the which a ban has countries. those just been Or, it consumption of like has banned may who of demerit consume happened from involve public legal them. with spaces age limits St P/unit whereby a consume S, MPC = a minimum good is age at which a per son can legally set . MSC f Another approach to reduce consumption of P* certain demerit manufacturer s Pm warnings both MSB = MSC h on increased. D, are their tobacco packaging goods is packaging forced by products. products and requirements Australia was law This to warnings include has been alcoholic for the tobacco r st where health applied beverages. products country to to Recently, have introduce MPB the plain packaging law, which refer s to packaging MSB that Qs* Market for sugary beverages: the impact of an Qm indirect requires the removal of all branding, allowing Q /period tax 49 manufacturer s standardized these shif t laws it to print font and closer in only regulations to the addition brand to aim the to name health reduce in a warnings. demand All Policymakers’ perspective Decreasing consumption and to – Minimum unit the case decrease alcohol of alcohol, a consumption. and imposed is very drinking price oor Given many that different analytically may also be used to product like there are many brands, the minimum different from a types minimum of goods. price price on considered Any attributed corn and thus a simple demand and cannot be set specically, a unit minimum of each alcoholic contained which times it is 50p. contain was Scottish on a beverage, be sold This more is of as the of 10ml thus that of r st 50p. since a ‘chain units of units The Of For will quit or to one form price that related requires No single reduce has policy initiative consumption been achieved of these cannot be policy. as of a result of minimum often more drink s that the higher unfair more policy is of substitutions’ cannot decrease. Heavy indirect price, taxes are or as credited a with switch to alcoholic drink s will with prices of but at risk of lower are lower at the then, better in that from it is in the heavy long price tobacco which poor who drinking, term, use. decreasing households time the and effective income same agree alcohol more especially successful benets policymakers to they so will are if the reap health. expensive occur, drinker s and important consumption seems at success are be less being direct, have a more certain effect their higher prices which are favored in several settings. forced Banning to to that either some course, the alcohol contained alcoholic become signals than consumption any prices, of Regulations, and issue a to alcohol. minimum of stronger at pure of the number alcohol was alcohol ’ number and the means units government ‘unit dened determined can externalities complex used. the price alcohol a response. sufcient success to signicant More is supply result diagram smoking multidimensional is Higher farm or price a In negative MSB. tobacco use in public places to protect the alcohol health of non-smokers and prohibiting the sale of tobacco content that will be cheaper. Studies published in the BMJ and have found that introduction of minimum unit alcohol than appear s to have been successful in reducing especially in lower alcohol in Scotland taxation, and the purchase of cheap, are more higher successful prices would policy not choices necessarily sufcient to protect non-smokers or minors. It is thus income generally households minors since consumption be of to pricing agreed that a wide range of interventions high-strength is required. Higher prices, regulations and nudges are alcohol. all – Increasing awareness and education important fashion. young, Governments use advertising to increase awareness risk s of smoking and drinking.The goal is to inform of the health-related costs of smoking and Increasing is also given the nature of goods like cigarettes ill effects be or even sugary incentivized to drink s, reduce those their already addicted consumption. that taking persuasion up such persuasion can will habits. only actually The be prevent the effectiveness seen in the of it complementary to other long young and policies especially effort. of Ignorance the about smoking, drinking would make it and even much of more excessive difcult to curtail consumption of demerit for goods. course, increased such information goods without alone higher about the prices, risks of regulations nudges would prove insufcient. and must and with Positive Production Externalities also – regulations. Granting Granting – this from advertising term price-related awareness, in complementary may Dealing be a may Still, or be of consumption consuming not in and Of alcohol public crucial used drinking. policymakers However, very be the sugar public should about the the and a a subsidy subsidy will decrease the costs of production Nudges associated ‘Nudges’ to reduce smoking and alcohol consumption used as a complementary strategy to pricing bans of packaging (placing the store) mentioned tobacco are earlier products gaining in as far well from popularity. as the visual will cigarette pack s monoxide regarding in a brand the amount may nudge of tar, all tobacco products equally decrease the price James example presented costs the and Meade induce apple a greater farmer and level of beekeeper for apple earlier, farmer the subsidy and if the will lower subsidy is production equal benet of production then the MPC will to the become and to MSC so that the level of apple production will reach towards the considering externality information nicotine smokers the area equal carbon thus Using external on generating display checkout Removing activity policies. output . Plain the are and also with dangerous socially optimal level. and The problem once again is that it is difcult to estimate threatening. properly Framing a message sent to drinkers by telling them drinking rank s compared to others (‘ You are in the the of heaviest drinkers’) has been shown to lead to correct asking for help. Or, the default size for a size not be in British thus pubs requiring can change customers to to a ask half for a pint generated of the subsidy. Therefore, the and subsidy enough to correct or indeed market the failure subsidy and might ensure lead instead of of the good. Also, a subsidy is to associated a opportunity cost . The funds spent on the subsidy could pint . have been health 50 benets draught with pint external efciency overproduction beer the more allocative individuals of top may 10% size how so their the or used public for spending education. in other areas such as public government positive may externalities itself provide associated the with good its that estimating easy task . with subsidies. the government typically funds such as the grids, construction sewerage, of airports, sanitation and also power borrow directly institutes) grants and (R&D) activities that require now, other both (through that indirectly with advance granting Financing borrowing opportunity or funding) the funding. or Dealing public universities now (through research scientic of society requires higher and a later provision benet and Positive (Merit can of the grant created. increase level to gure an of the must subsidy increase must now, be or somehow the and tax later or some other government government scratched. so that All the these options additional involve benets an accruing a such subsidy must be weighed against with positive has countries compulsory an may are also try externalities up laws types have to a that of to increase through legislation certain require that level. consumption legislation. makes Similarly, children to be For of goods example, education in many countries vaccinated against disease. Consumption subsidy to which optimal equal subsidy leading consumption socially any Direct provision Goods) The supply from Legislation many taxes and subsidy government equal not costs. When higher be cost Governments direct higher taxes – there with Granting costs is associated research development knowledge. subsidies thus and providing and – external subsidy cost or cost . Externalities The cost taxes now must certain – the and these Note of etc . engages research size opportunity wastewater to It The Either opportunity facilities an infrastructure project communication proper is For must investments the there generates production. nanced. example, Also, level, to would a the size lower lower in principle as illustrated of the production price and would in T I N U The Again, provision : 2 Direct may be of at and the it state considers the a of state high delivery. must for run some, many with Direct very the and any the benets positive poor, good countries national on external that provision burden schools the and provides In or hospitals. signicant that economy directly education, public The of ten point creates below. to prohibitively society with be government signicant free a a very members or this the is of course government ’s hospitals service the health-care is are price case systems costly and budget . equipped with S C I M O N O C E O R C I M – P/unit S, MPC = trained MSC for professionals, free. paid by All these or purchase government and distribute expenditures vaccinations eventually are taxpayers. Ss f – MSB = Increasing awareness and education MSC Governments the also consumption resort and to use advertising of such the goods benets in an from attempt to Pm increase their countries, P* h that try to Increased convince for demand example, increase the have level in about many of the campaigns enrolment awareness parents to in the and schools benets countries to MSB Many programmes and of curve. in colleges. education ensure that may their MSB children D, Qm Market for u vaccinations: the impact MPB Qs* of a may out from subsidy increases vaccinations) P*. to Consumers Qs* which Dealing is Ss. at supply The the equal lower to of market the the the benets price socially P* only high college. enrolled school but also graduates Campaigns to attend to school attend increase or not awareness and to drop about of covid-19 vaccinations are also organized in subsidy good price not Q /period many The are convince (for example will consequently will be optimal countries. willing level of to drop to consume consumption. with... Negative production Negative externalities • Indirect taxes • Carbon • Tradable (Pigovian taxes) taxes consumption Positive production Positive consumption externalities externalities externalities • Indirect • Subsidies • Subsidies • Legislation • Direct • Legislation • Direct • Increasing taxes and provision regulation (“cap pollution and trade” permits schemes) • Increasing and • Direct • Increasing and • awareness education regulation awareness provision awareness education Nudges and education 51 Common Common pool pool or or common common access access resources are resources resources P/unit MSC that are not owned by anyone but are available for anyone f to use without wildlife, payment . irrigation pastures and Examples systems lakes. Note include (groundwater), that since the sheries, hunting forests, atmosphere has S, welfare grounds, MPC loss been e used as a ‘sink’ of many anthropogenic pollutants it is also MSB considered resources a in common the resource. sense that These they can are all = MSC renewable replenish themselves Pm unless they are Technically speaking, excludable from is using that it is overused good it . a The a resource people meaning is cannot characteristic good, h humans. common because other rival by of that a a non- easily be common its use by excluded resource one person D, diminishes others. the the That is benets quantity to say or that available to quality one of the resource individual’s others using the use available subtracts resource and from for the rivalrous characteristic of common pool Qs* resources referred to as shing shing the open seas an example of a common Fishing vessels can catch as many sh as they to as no But if one can one vessel be excluded catches a from ton shing of sh in ton less will available use of a for all other vessels to catch. will common available have to sh resource subtracts for all longer others. and This harder implies to catch from that the optimal is equal optimal depletion a or threat the of result an overuse open owned to by the incentive the commons As animals a of common pool resources. a result , to all (“ the number have commons”) of more because are fed. there destroyed. with the herdsmen. Each that world he and be more enjoys However, will This are is the the of his full costs overgrazing also severely herdsman Organization cattle benets are and graze of shared the by – as million why sh depleted According the are stock s to the or why UN’s percentage of the overexploited or fully square 1990 kilometers and subtractable in many parts of his certain many Food forests and What MSC is the 1968 a the 2016. A usually of world’s is resource overused SCIENCE of a important shing is to The the have that for the are activity costs on forced to future risk depleting are are costs curve 52 is external drawn increase shery is resources be available for others implies to use in threat to sustainability this is in may diagram, the of a as referred imposes shing costs be by sh harder sheries a as the depleted. in is the to to is a common negative earlier also apply production here) the government regulation shing by governments quotas is an may example. prove Fishing limits (usually commercial sh expressed stock s. The in EU tonnes) has set that are shing for the of managing sh stock s. of sheries But , even and with for preventing shing may still be issues. For instance, a quotas, shipping a certain nationality is only subject to its company national as all gure rm. that rm on and as the takes other into for different shing country quota. it is no Yet , if longer its eet subject is to agged the under quota. regulations seasons, issuing (such as hunting areas for the world. rm’s illustrate of shing the increases involve or restrictions permits shing), endangered the Nevertheless, signicant costs such for as well as regulations monitoring regarding particular establishment ecosystems standards. of or to detect of hunting activities protected emission may of ten possible involve violations. It International agreements also are typically imposed by national governments. shing the overuse of common access resources of ten However, decisions. that may licenses shing longer. unsustainable around shing to volume responses Garrett illustrated shing diagram the generations to face atmosphere non-excludable introduced behaviour MPC steeper the approach) catch international consequences, in which case international The cooperation costs pool overexploitation while has MSC by Setting most However, these common as disappeared is and term decisions notice exceed they practices of resources the cases, Regulations imposes than place. sh 87% – as Qs*, paper. such externalities illustrates consideration. boats at shing are assessed exploited forest Commons”, effect negative which of less Agriculture Other Analytically, below, is More of a through the explained government ’s “ Tragedy in though activity. will of Hardin takes not that all (“top-down” all. commons there the level will pool Regulation depletion and the on this quotas that between shing of has set 1 .3 of MSC sustainability, to given resource quotas disappearing. stock s level to adjacent effective. the MPB the Assume In be the of others externalities his MPC same pool land where the sh. is pasture units to future. (note a Qm equal the common The sh are degradation to resource Responses amount to unit One the amount choose be that person’s will additional these there poses one The MSB socially The waters. rm an are the able Q /period pool where resource. Qm subtractability. activity. Consider MSB is of also = this The reason MPB to of governments is necessary. For instance, much external and of the open water to governments of the oceans is a common-pool resource the as well as to individual shermen. No single exercise the case, implement . evolving The law global requires In over corrective recognition of the scope new control the sea of and of it . this dened many As will fact , by as be that there pool institutions continues difcult is now international common reformed long action Economics can treaties. can in conditions, an resources, that to and and pool resources at an international Paris countries Agreement in Paris on global greenhouse global temperature on 1 2 gas Climate Change December emissions increase in and this to Its 1 .5 above degrees. pre-industrial It is worth levels adopted goal ensure century noting and guarantee these that outcomes, is is to that below hopefully the but it by 197 reduce they Paris may feasible the and well commit to reduce emissions it referred to as nationally plans determined It represents a step toward the in combatting signatory withdrawn under into as in June President force even for countries, climate though 201 7 Biden the US the that change. under and on US 19 there the was Paris for a the represents common the just US Trump, 2021 . resource it useless is population, it emits almost a This over third Reliable in the atmosphere. By rejoining, Users 4 it will is • of net-zero all global emissions, carbon up from pollution just half to efforts led to the Agreement concerning a Protocol – Paris rst climate “Framework was signed but there of enter • Users important percent the of excess countries will have without were change. The Convention” overall these a few 1992 and were adopting the young, environmentally considerable long-term on the conscious of Collective face-to-face organize of their themselves. the common rules, For the resource to be not at a organize point or so of deterioration overutilized that such that little from organizing. valid the information resource is about available the at general reasonable costs. in for a major portion of a shared affect trust each each with image other other to of the resource and the resource. keep promises and and how relate their to one reciprocity. scholars conclude themselves that only very small effectively because groups uniformity of they can presume is related to the a group, which is that needed initiate and sustain self-governance. For example, if US. Earth 1997 the Summit Kyoto successful. importance behaviour resource the noteworthy not the committed the Rio on producing may of have a from forest , the organized groups of of use, from diverse key solutions trust for and is backgrounds affecting whether the the structure reciprocity to contemplate to conclude institutional long-term change expected succeeds will or of the forest , are the of to self- multiple interpretation similar. the framework expected exceed long access likelihood Whether the share changing that costs. over the differ have the views of user s they an cultural question concerning rules, and signicance. self-governance is dependent management – in change that: results have another Overall, especially to to carbon Education Educating, be to and are actions groups Prior engage livelihood. Users rejoined to to can autonomy interest had size two-thirds use part organize dioxide resource does Many world’s balance climate on Agreement February resource effectively contributions though President and that signatories realization, Even users management The their of use below • (NDCs). if have must condition action resource of certain pool 2degrees even Agreement requires through the under common framework s attempt self-organized • to that , a renewal. specically, advantage not is of manage • Celsius to idea user s level. was 2015. The of devised access bargaining The group resource More common has regulate therefore, 2009). a T I N U can be : 2 to S C I M O N O C E O R C I M body the the term benets immediate self-governed depends on (‘bottom-up’ whether the institutions the user s develop have clearly approach) dened A different commons approach as is proposed the by self-governance Elinor Ostrom of the (Nobel Prize and boundaries, include involve monitoring and collective-choice arrangements conict-resolution mechanisms. 53 2.9 Public A good the Market failure—public goods is considered following two a public good if it is characterized by of it air properties. available television good • It is goods non-excludable. This means that if the good features, to even one consumer it automatically to all. No one can be excluded from consuming Consumption each of the individual ’s decrease the good is non-rival. consumption amount of available the for This means good all are to listen to. Interestingly, broadcasting, produced and despite offered by off-the- their public private, This is possible because broadcasters for-prot are does the programmes but the advertising time, not which is it . both • radio becomes selling available others becomes companies. available for and excludable and rival. that not others. Recap Non-excludability leads to individuals hiding their true Public preferences that it they can becomes implies The by and enjoy that the externality even enjoying the available realizing good, behaving aspect at the a if free-riders good for without others. marginal that as cost of cost , he benets. or So, of an extra goods provides she if having Non-rivalry public someone because pay user is prevent private for it Public once • to a public benets of • public good are small compared to the social does not private the good costs are not larger be than supplied the at private generally, public goods to private Examples benets, through though will produce market . there not Few to the be may and The a case rms be offer such market sufcient of will market not of Public goods and mechanism public lighthouses demand for such is provided from to enjoying one the good, it of one citizen enjoys the available for goods are exist . National examples. citizen benets benets, others to Once is placed to at all an it is of impossible national this enjoy. intersection drivers. No In addition, the driver use of does it to not Or, a diminish lighthouse the is benets built and from its benets. In trafc lights, peace and a case of market not diminish Similarly, be the if a light available for maintained, failure addition, if the not have because the produce and the offer such goods and market . intervention in response to Note, must provide though, that public the goods, using government is tax not producing lights or the military public aircraf t goods. are not For instance, produced by the the but by private rms who are contracted by the trafc from by other no will However, the following points should be considered. becomes excluded trafc rms goods There are opportunity costs associated with such the one on public goods, as these expenditures must driver nanced either by higher taxes now or by borrowing drivers. ship can and imposing higher taxes later—or by cutting other be government excluded are Also, now if good others. stop security. automatically can to government be does are through expenditures benets. all defence, • available the national state. light goods prot-oriented government amount public Government trafc if of for security. goods necessarily others available Even a revenue. defence consumption amount services fails. public pure and the the The lights individual’s failure have offered. examples trafc becomes then services incentive available all. are prot-oriented becomes automatically all. each incentive because good it and private More the providing benets • will if consumer decrease national the are: one non-rival: from • a even available apparent others goods non-excludable: zero. maintains goods know consumption becomes or cannot the to in they expenditures such as on health care or lighthouse education. benets one ship, the same amount of benet is available • to all other ships. Peace and security of a community is Evaluating different example but satises both criteria of good. For example, if it is peaceful and secure for to in a community then, probably, the same applies a town Also, if that citizen benets from peace and at install all is no less benet available for different example of a pure public good is radio and television satised. A broadcasting. radio Both broadcast is public normally good household with a receiver (a private, for 54 if one person listens to a and local of ten government lights? If How so, should many there trafc be lights trafc should The local analysis government but there is should conduct unfortunately a room separate programme there as some individuals may use the power for of their own private benet . The result could their be we is end up with more trafc lights or military aircraf t to necessary. This could imply good). health Also, easy the properties available than any not off- that are trafc intersections? installed? ofce the-air is should others. corruption A costs security cost-benet there and example, to be others. For one lights citizen benets debate. a of public the a open somewhat no less care and education. much less allocated on Market T I N U 2.10 failure—asymmetric information (HL) in the than the other Adverse Adverse occurs sold information transaction has party. In such in to a market more or situations when better one party allocated information resources are not problems adverse selection selection one the Consider relates party other the to limitations knows more on about information and the being product • Something insurance. party. the health used car about market . the Sellers condition of have their potential buyers. to offered. Due offer to an asymmetric “average” information, price based on withdraw However, sellers of better from the market . This than results in status health quality of cars, as there are a fewer sold. The price buyers are willing average to a leaves greater problem hazard their someone number car market of thins better out and offer than may of asymmetric occurs else bears when af ter the information other party, easily insurance may a contract This the their other have has can regarding become to Government in cars Governments minimize average are less likely determine Individuals to incur less is their been asymmetric in signed, because For the to while they result , they health it are plan discouraged as insurance does trying not care. to want: they nd company people In response, compensate customers. remaining compared This healthier insurance will not Similarly, effort into will for from it buying expensive. with with the the also customers. becomes of their can legislate can a exactly higher rm will risk raise payouts drive away to its more Again, the market of for thin and possibly collapses. cover and very on regulation Also, quality and behaviour market large rms, are regulatory in failures. opportunity especially if arduous, and these may that also will choose protect to and dealers However, there when are the activities in activities impose are large excessive. information their government difculties of ten with of and • time. Screening infer sharing to its of all the with will directly respect to nd out ” to more while monitored. they sell that arise to repair within a any given is not possible just a way expenses; of it insuring is a way their of are selling good quality reliably cars. necessary place when information If that you the apply individuals from to other try purchase insurance to observable health company will insurance, demand of your sicker health status in an applicants—customers attempt they will to refuse insure or will also insure only provides a at very very high good premiums. example. Auto Insurance information staff may not know whether you are a careful accuracy. place conveys the have insurers, supplies of when the party with information that will but people in they who setting other party. For instance, have statistical resemble your premiums. In data on the prole—and some cases, accident they this use may rates those be superior make them unfair. reputable However, nobody can deny that the insurance seem companies credible the the quite information easily contract than the happens to data takes the actions this less that purchasing responses Signalling This takes characteristics. driver, Private of examples, warranties—promises cars they additional company possibly be offer the against that insurance collection side own know However, to information, one both they cause. put to “screen decisions. In because might may safety order control may provide buyers on their cannot documentation consumers costs. they insurance HL you Governments damage bureaucratic quality costs any because car rms’ the about of malpractice malpractice individuals behaviour cost information minimum regulate the with avoiding will because bear doctors information buyers driving, they insurer contract example, while hazard. incentive behaviour party careful moral the occur behaviour. information-related procedures. in medical cars responses and legislation • they customers. decreases, showing and that medical healthy customers • potential health the amount standards costs its for cannot now problems have of market collapse. information individuals cost . while monitor Responses • the company HL behaviour better cannot to: hazard Another the The in insurance insurance the needing health withdrawn. to two lead cars decrease good to a customers the have are can used less alter There hazard. happens know As premiums, average Moral fails. information buyers the of Moral moral health company ’s the leading market than This willing being the asymmetric more cars the cars and similar A expenses. information are and that HL good • efciently distinct selection when than occurs access S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Asymmetric : 2 HL are right on average. used- 55 2.1 1 Market Focusing on failure—market HL Paying factor prots, typically denoted with the Greek letter the of equal to the from difference selling Q between units of a the total good revenues minus the costs (TC) incurred in producing these = TR(Q) is necessary and is, of to secure course, an the scarce element costs. Normal prots are the necessary of minimum (TR) to secure Q units, paid to the scarce labour are factor an of entrepreneurship. element of economic Since costs, or: normal π(Q) rate labour total wages economic wage π, return collected market production economic are (HL) rms Prots Economic power prot is also an element of economic cost . Economic TC(Q) − prots the thus value differ of all from accounting resources prots sacriced in in the that they production include process. Revenues Total Q revenues units are or sales dened as revenues the (TR) product collected of the from price (P) selling per Average Average charged times the number of units sold, costs = P × (AC) are dened as costs per unit of output or: produced. TR(Q) costs unit Q units (Q) This is total costs (TC) divided by the number of so: TC Average revenue AC = Q Average revenue (AR) is revenue per unit sold, so: Prot maximization TR AR = We Q typically prots Since TR = P × Q, it follows that average revenue is even to the price charged by the TR P = × that output since the since level Q average demand the the revenue curve at is that = curve which always a goal. P To rm a it rm will equal faces is faces be to shows absorbed price, also its it at follows AR that are scarce, that produce this terms to a question, we cost cost (and explicit marginal returns) cost (MC) an of in economic economics costs we is care tricky. Since about the change value of sacriced payment is in the into made production or explicit “out-of-pocket ” to pay not . process, Economic whether is dened additional unit as of value a of and costs supplier. rm-owned premises rm implicit costs costs. are owned can in use her earned is the in total a rm has, for example Implicit costs include, for by resources. a rm, No but payment they are is them. Or, consider an rm. had We she must been include working start to cost made “sacriced” wages another the short costs that include an is something also a scarce entrepreneur cannot costs entrepreneur she more. factor. Remember The (TC) following at the thus invests same also requires return could have time in also a certain be line invested 56 in it is output: = the total cost decrease function. and Typically, then, This behaviour is af ter the some result of point , the law when xed at least (typically, one factor capital; of think production of it is initially easy to increase the output rm’s because is a lot of opportunity output for implies that produced labour the from additional an specialization. cost additional The of an worker additional rises. unit produced include the to remain in a minimum line of is known as normal prot . in been the earned next best if this return is that rate not if then a earned, rm they is will then not not the rm business. It is with prepared be is to willing of decreases. some point, though, the there is additional less and output less from room an for additional employed starts set in. to decrease. Total output This is when continues diminishing to added to the production process but at a rise as workers diminishing follows that the additional cost (the MC) of an rate. additional unit to output produced will at that point start to rise. The behaviour capital same workers for returns the described for the MC gives rise to the “Nike-swoosh” shape risk. viable—in work and This equal the not pay to MC) of return entrepreneurial alternative (the elsewhere. of way change that just invested market a entrepreneurial of same of would It this cost generally, rm. are If More also marginal was additional good. returns. run, considered worker what the no specialization minimum diminishing for, as After Economic of prot entrepreneurship business of initially increase. diminishing output capital and revenue example, This Economic introduce when entrepreneur the for slope costs additional Normal rst marginal costs there have how thus Explicit premises) working is Q is other must a an In say, answer prot-maximization TC of the its law all they has maximize other resources marginal it to be curve. This to aim may costs distinguished refer rms there must and the MC resources rm achieve marginal Marginal the concept that seen, each and producing The question to answer the Marginal Economic have Q demand price The output explain Note we Q = Q economics rm. much AR in as always objectives. equal assume though, the MC curve shown Figure 2.1 1 .1 . At output level q1 , the the law of diminishing MC starts the that in rm. to rise. marginal returns begins to take effect and P , T I N U MC MR F : 2 MC Q1 (ped = 1) Q D, Figure 2.1 1 .1 The MC AR curve 0 Marginal S C I M O N O C E O R C I M m Q H revenue Q /period Marginal revenue (MR) is the additional revenue collected from MR selling an additional unit of a good. More generally, it is the Figure change in total revenues (TR) following a change in 2.1 1 .3 The MR curve if the rm is a a marginal price maker output: sloped demand curve will have revenue curve TR MR with = double the slope of the demand curve. Q Note There are two the Case In 1 this what as It in the the rm which other it a price rms taker. is very operates homogeneous). is in this This In rm this small and compared produces market must case offer the good (the accept marginal a to is market revenue of the identical good the size is to known price. the Right PED shown from in Figure selling prevailing one in the 2.1 1 .2. more The unit additional will always marginal equal curve above the of decreases, decrease, revenue cuts Q, that where is is (FH). price marginal 1 double Q MR of is the Remember inelastic , line equal because revenue slope of to point that then must segment as total be zero, m is the price revenues negative. for prot maximization collected to the price To maximize Qfor market . prots, a rm must choose a level of output which: MR P , has midpoint curve segment demand so the output demand line if it constant , revenue be of midpoint Rule as since demand (0H). case, market that cases. = MC MR Very of ten, condition level of then we students that the output know can enjoys abnormal say return that level zero. that prots we be: is incorrectly It required (or will in become are the just case we normal to above a rm that but if that zero (in prots, remain that = MC maximum the rm which the in at MR these say prots; entrepreneur the by clear maximum which enjoys from enjoyed supernormal) rm by prots prots positive, the of infer case minimum that line of MR P business); economic To or even losses understand Assume per that hour) negative and the is and is not above, currently it making (in which even earning consider is a rm producing prots case 5 equal the normal per $18.00. is making prots). producing pencils to rm pencils. period If (say, the Q Figure 2.1 1 .2 Case The MR curve if the rm is a price taker additional revenue 6th is of 2 it In this case (shown in Figure 2.1 1 .3), the rm faces pencil producing produce it? sloped demand curve and so it can choose at which it wishes to sell its product . It is a price it wishes to sell more units per period, it must lower per However, period, revenue not this just collected lower the will price will additional thus be less apply (last) than to all unit . the units for the rm’s output . A rm that to its by producing $3.00) $1 .00 (so prots and MC be if the = and offering additional $1 .00), instead of a cost should 5 it is producing 6 pencils per period? pencils Prots and equal $20.00. What if for an additional would pencil MR is equal to $3.00 and MC is equal to $2.00? (the Should rm be increasing output to 7 pencils per period? Yes, as by sold increasing output to to Pushing 7 pencils, it would further increase prots Marginal new lower $21 .00. faces a this logic further, it should be a rm increase clear that as price long charged will = the the price. equal What collect MR maker. 7th), If is can (so the increase price it it a perperiod, negatively $3.00 as MR exceeds MC then it pays to output negatively per period because by doing so, its prots will be increasing. 57 if MR > MC , keep on increasing output • … The type p ro d u c t … until, for the last unit produced, MR = that level of output at which MR = will be p ro d u c t of What if the rm was producing 5 pencils per period making losses additional equal revenue to, it say, can $30.00? collect by Assume that again, producing and offering in a 6th pencil is $3.00 (so MR = is d i f f e re n t i at e d $3.00) and the include salon producing it is equal to $1 .00 additional p rov i d e r s produce of pencils the per 6th pencil? period, the (so What rm MC = $1 .00). Should Losses would decrease will was its prots producing be 6 if to $28.00. What (an MC additional) is equal to pencil $2.00. (the for 7th), Should MR the is rm equal be to selling 7 pencils per period? Yes, as by 7 pencils, Pushing MR the this exceeds rm logic MC would further, then it be it further should pays this per period So, because for this by … MR > until, increasing that keep the level clear so, its rm long all making = if a MC of rm for maximum whether to up, these compare are losses increasing unit output will is the to car s, va n i l la ice of f e re d c re am in a phone sold ma r ke t if it is c o n s i d e re d identical is a c ro s s If it is b ra n d e d , l i ke the rms MR the bottled it is wat e r not of f e re d c o n s i d e re d by d i f f e re n t rms homogeneous. can be c o n s i d e re d being Ve r y homogeneous, rms t h ey have of f e r the i n c e n t i ve f ro m w hat to other s o m e h ow rms in d i f f e re n t i at e the of f e r. By d i f f e re n t i at i o n rms can s am e i n c re a s e without w hat a re risk of e x amp l e s losing of all customer s homogeneous or sales. p ro d u c t s ? So, One of f e re d by d i f f e re n t mining c o mpa n i e s in is the be … = at which MR = be prots or unit to ma n u f a c t u re r s . revenue a level minimum zero c o mpa n i e s , farmer s a ro u n d p r i ma r y sector such Another the as as is Ke l l o g g ’s the world. or w h e at E x amp l e s commodities a re Nestlé, t hat a re buy found c o n s i d e re d in f ro m the “gif ts MC n at u re ” . MC , Whether or not barriers exist preventing entry of other minimum of produced, or (AR) output then losses. negative and it To is average for entry either into the into which a will market . market . be A barrier There discussed are is anything different that types of deters barriers, later. determine prots, cost we need (AC). Recap • If AR > AC then prots are positive (abnormal or Characteristics used to distinguish supernormal). market • If AR = AC then prots are zero (the rm is just prots). If AC • • AR < then the rm is making losses structures making The normal three the characteristics number of rms are: in the market—it can be very (negative many, few or one prots). • Market In structures economics, distinction • The is number many there based rms, of are on rms few four in rms types the or of following market three market . just one There rm in structure. The • can the be very On market . of of rms product Very of the entry the basis product offered—it conditions—barriers of distinguished Monopoly the in can be homogenous may or may not above, four market structures 58 conditions many Homogeneous No barriers are Oligopoly competition One Very (Unique) Differentiated many Few Either homogeneous differentiated Entry exist . economics. Monopolistic competition Type type characteristics. Perfect Number the differentiated the exist Barriers (and perfect information) (and perfect factor mobility) in va n i l la increase will output produced, producing last positive, average or price rms MR p la i n mobile as • which la p t o p s , services, losses. that as loss-making doing on last losses Summing in output of At rms pa c ka g i n g . rm: MC , for ju s t $3.00 food if a c ro s s eve n eve r y t h i n g : p ro d u c t consumer s. p ro d u c t s world decreasing. or one copper output differ s producing decreasing be of c re am ma r ke t to A s u p e r ma r ke t s , w hat and it per as and The homogeneous. instead pencils if ey e s f ew more ma r ke t . or the in period? the cost ice 5 if banking or s u p e r ma r ke t s . the rm in qu a l i t y nearly services, homogeneous of of f e re d d i f f e re n t i at e d and service the be maximum ha i r was can c ha ra c t e r i s t i c s , E x amp l e s So: p ro d u c t MC , terms prots the MC A At of of f e re d do exist No barriers exist Barriers do exist or or of market or structure determine to of a each large of the extent power different their market Policymakers’ behaviour. Their market behaviour, in turn, affects In performance. Performance refers to the degree to which most each market structure achieve relevant societal countries, specialized goals. and rm behaviour. market economy, these goals refer to producing the output that is optimal from society ’s point of view the lowest possible the most to important which rms performance innovate. outcome Innovations is refer most and new desirable production market Competition Division of the in the European Department Competition and Markets of Justice Authority processes outcome in a and are vibrant the Competition Commission of in India. the to degree of market power that a rm possesses is new important for policymakers who focus on considered the a the and extremely products for Antitrust USA, UK The extent the prices. the Another monitor the and in charging that include level Union, of exist Examples In Directorate-General a ofces rms market in perspective their : 2 characteristics types market and way different markets operate. We will later see dynamic that if in a market the degree of market power is very economy. high, These goals are closely related to the degree of policymakers, rms have. Market power refers to the ability of to inuence price and is prevalent in most power for We is will see desirable, rms to that it is, even on though the other lack hand, of A any usually • There abuse is considered perfectly competitive if the following goods services and rms without to includes product are is no addition, to have very many The rms. pushing lower the ensure the perfectly horizontal, above takers. entry The goal policymakers of consumers competition have most competitive access prices to and to innovate. the price, is competitive no rm elastic what incentive is there for it incentive. is thus demand a price-taker. curve at the It faces market price which is also its average revenue (AR) barriers. perfect information competitive assumptions This determined and perfect factor and also its marginal revenue (MR) curve. In perfect mobility means that imply each rms that rm are from the additional selling such must price. there Why? are very A rm many cannot other rms are accept charge rms in price- the revenue the identical product . Buyers Short-run a the (MR) aware of incentive to this Why do whole market price. as so. a result sell Why market If a not (a) is a not? that rm of at it so also in assuming lower The can Typical rm sell small price? is all that so it it higher the A the typical equal to rm the price. equilibrium for the perfectly rm price of the quinoa market, market. Let ’s a give good a example name to of the a perfectly typical are focusing on. Let ’s call it Felipe. Figure quinoa 2.1 1 .4b shows rm the perfect small can quinoa is market rm wants sell firm: P/kg unit market , we information. additional market competitive producing an price-takers Think because the that incentive perfectly competitive to power. the There market-determined are intervene. if assumed. Perfectly all to homogeneous. collects The at down price? competition, are market is curve In of authorities determined • reason intervene necessary a The to innovate. market • sufcient reason competition market The have have market applies. • competition real-world that Perfect may denitely suspect markets. the a They rm specically market authorities, power and S C I M O N O C E O R C I M The and T I N U “Structure—Conduct—Performance” has quinoa market and Market demand Figure 2.1 1 .4a shows Felipe’s rm. no and market supply for quinoa determine compared at the more the equilibrium the horizontal market price P . Note that the scale of going axis differs. It is thousands of kilos for the output Felipe (b) Quinoa P/kg MC market D ATC b P P π > 0 D, AR , MR C a S 0 q* 0 q /period Q (kgs) Figure 2.1 1 .4 Perfect competition: short-run equilibrium—case with abnormal Q /period (thousands (or supernormal) of kgs) prots 59 market (Figure2.1 1 .4b) (Figure2.1 1 .4a). but Felipe, as only kilos explained for the above, typical will (a) rm have to accept Typical quinoa firm: Felipe P/kg MC the market (horizontal any the determined price demand) P amount market) revenue he at and at offers that here He he also P . thus knows (remember price it as P . it is Demand reects his faces that very a perfectly consumers small always will his AC buy compared reects marginal elastic to average f revenue. P' D, Prot maximization perfectly Focusing choose competitive on to Figure offer determine for q* 2.1 1 .4, units whether to of these the negative, we have to MR rm maximize quinoa, as maximum prots, at q*, prots Felipe MR are = will MC . To positive, zero 0 or AR , typical compare the rm’s AR with its q /period q' ATC . (kgs) Note that that the This is the MC the ATC on curve its result way of a in up Figure cuts strict 2.1 1 .4a the ATC relationship is U-shaped curve at its between and (b) minimum. marginal Quinoa market P/kg S, costs and average costs, which is explained in the box MC below. Info Relationship between marginal costs P' and average Consider it . a classroom Assume their costs that the temperature. with any school Their number nurse average walk s of in students and temperature in takes is 36.6°. D If one more student temperature is temperature of What if her (marginal) 37.2° the what class? temperature temperature of Generalizing, the we can will The was class now happen answer 36.1°? would write walk s to is in and the that Then her average it will the 0 rise. Marginal > Average Figure decrease. 2.1 1 .5 Marginal < Average Average increases start → Average supply shif ting quinoa on the MC and AC curves this implies that cost is decreasing then marginal cost must (that is, be less than) average increasing then marginal cost cost. must If average be greater than) average cost. It lie above follows that cost is at a minimum (as it is (or normal, must be equal to average to (ATC) segment average when (q*a) total or cost , Felipe (0C). this is is be equal to segment(CP) no number of units (0q*) U-shaped) (Ca), we arrive producing price (= making per Felipe at the q* AR) units is positive are or supernormal) for existing place (as equal to the unit . sells size prots rectangular greater at If the typical prots, what with or short-run it is in earning the same risk). entrepreneur s market . As so the to a area market than Multiplying which of the Felipe There is rms the This position number of are competed normal). If away prots and earned rms are in making the the quinoa minimum market . for more rms to enter and There also to exit . Each rm is no achieving goal (MR = MC) and no entry or its exit are equal positive is There the AC). This condition is referred for to long-run as long-run equilibrium chosen output Q': P (= AR) = MR is = MC = AC . is shown in Figure a perfectly 2.1 1 .5. 2.1 1 .5 depicts market . long-run In Figure equilibrium 2.1 1 .5a, the in typical rm, to is achieving its goal to maximize prots as at Q': economic earning, positive prots next incentive are start rms = the by = MC . In addition, there is no reason for new rms to which or in is for any earning earning making in an will to of the existing rms to exit as the typical (CabP). normal earn enter. new is could pushing when than long-run more entrepreneur s competition, 60 rm to stop economic rm From prots is, remain rms AR So, that enter are will will start equal MR (abnormal Entry curve will marginal Felipe, segment to incentive competitive the supply supply where Figure prots the costs. Since rm down. (that quinoa require equilibrium. costs and Excess (that takes Unit price zero prot-maximizing cost right . supernormal) to the they reason average increase the cost will is, will to market down return is equilibrium lie are below long-run if driven average competition: kgs) decreases abnormal Focusing Perfect of that: → the If Q /period (thousands market If Q' average no for the in the market earn At AR in zero the next economic as much best as prots; these alternative that is, it is entrepreneur s Q', = AC = with the same risk . (0P'). than alternative more barrier s entering could Q' prots, economic (more best at normal rms perfect quinoa increases, If the typical means that minimum Firms and in it was would case to making not required. this switch rm it This have their be case the next losses earning is in short illustrated incentive best the normal to in exit alternative run, prots, Figure2.1 1 .6. this with it the market the same Typical quinoa firm: Felipe (b) Quinoa T I N U (a) market P/kg P/kg MC ATC S g < 0 P P h D, AR , MR D 0 q 0 q /period Q Q /period (kgs) Figure risk . As 2.1 1 .6 Perfect Remember, the shif t least lef t and markets the amount of view. to their Why both all is this in the of additional cost It that of Perfect competition markets. Few few large that rms usually than the of are does socially P worth the = to the will last MC . (that whatever of typical output of the maximized. produced, means more the markets that than value their P > rm, why reason the is is perfect to be exist in in rst fail level of In power prices for that considered competition. as they competition manages fundamental question. is it It produced to many is good long markets, of ten P = is earning just normal prots prots). to P = it to indeed which that MC . is P at produced, MC . Q': to P = up Focusing MC and that for consumers is until on and the focusing each on level measured of by P . competitive up is markets until allocative consumers = Remember worth pay, produced MC , are for realize Q': much and enjoyed. allocative run average present consumers output are allocatively considered answer question guarantees from we perfectly are charged real-world perhaps Market higher optimal of ten perfect that unit at how MC which of sacriced) willingness Since the less as and efciency the all units including is lowest it for that achieved can which unit and for the price be. the cost, “how ” no that society ’s of just point in best economics, the of right view: is, it is also question scarce of a the is resources competitive lowest structure way as is is achieved. forced technically also are to In addition, produce efcient. answered in This the since with means best in the minimum that possible way, wasted. markets prices good less and cost pay price. measuring is charged marginal guarantees possible a performance “what ” amount that The possible the it rm Real- important? the efciency typical thus lead to the optimal output inefcient . at So, rm efciency that market , Perfectly world is including sum unit typical economic Allocative alone, point be the zero will the This is, is, (appointed consumers each Exit when (that right society ’s surplus for stop will forces the allocated welfare, rm, not can dominate. leads just kgs) perspective markets approximations the rising. of losses mobility. supply market from social with competition: to optimally producing Policymakers’ then because by start lead producer factor market would will and is and good perfect the produced be the equilibrium—case perfect state, use) case? the in will and market price being possible the the units good exit , competitive the resources surplus assume market of short-run rms perfectly the best consumer the need Scarce also issues are without we efcient Efciency If competition: (thousands S C I M O N O C E O R C I M π : 2 C judged. by of rms rod Thus, are against when it may this higher that market actual real-world means Policymakers use which in signicantly production more. Policymakers market markets than the consumers decide to enjoy intervene. Recap Two benets Perfectly Firms • Consumers cannot Allocative At • Just the perfect competitive • • of charge enjoy efciency is right have more the competitive the rms competition no than good at market the the power. competitive lowest price equilibrium price (P). possible. achieved. equilibrium amount of the output good is (Q): MB produced; = MC resources are allocated in the best way and social surplus is maximized. 61 Monopoly A monopoly is a market where the following conditions apply. incurred when segment • There is only dominating company, one the rm producing market . Alphabet , For a good example, controls 92.5% or one the exceeds average market , with Bing controlling per equal world The product is considered unit of There are high entry of rms that the is are only monopoly demand curve. one rm The to charge price-setters. power is faces in Monopoly also often is case equal to average monopoly rm is revenue earning (PmC). Multiplying this prots by (0Qm) or segment (CA), we the at the arrive economic prots this monopoly rm is equal to the rectangular area is (CABPm). economic prots abnormal are (or positive, so supernormal) the monopoly prots. rm Consequently, price-makers rm in the monopoly and this segment positive which the market, negatively rm can it becomes sloped choose the rms this sense rms thus referred to such have as rms are market monopoly or entrepreneur s would like to enter this market . clear However, in monopoly exist so we assume that barrier s to entry market price and entry cannot take place. It follows that these it abnormal wishes cost , to units the earning other there which this barriers. is Assuming in unique. These Monopoly units 2.5%. earning, • Qm Since search size • (0C). parent number engine or rm Google’s of producing (QmA) price-makers (or supernormal) prots will per sist in the long or run and that the long-run Figure 2.1 1 .7 shows both the short-run and power. Market equilibrium position of the monopoly rm. power. P/unit MC Keep in mind demand that curve it wishes If it to it sell a monopoly faces per so it period is still cannot and constrained choose the price both it by the wishes the output to B charge. (AR decides to choose the output rate it wishes to sell =) Pm per AC period which to then it it will charge is be then the market absorbed; the that if market it will determine decides will the determine the price the it price at wishes quantity F that A (AC will be absorbed equilibrium To at that position maximize prots of price. a the Figure 2.1 1 .7 prot-maximizing monopoly rm shows monopoly will =) C the choose rm. that H level case the of output Q at output level market will for which Qm. absorb MR To this is equal determine output per to the MC . This price period at we is the which need to D, draw This a vertical price losses) is we average line Pm. up To need to revenue from Qm determine compare earned by to meet now price the the demand level (Pm), rm, the of which with the prots is also unit 0 (or, A monopoly 2.1 1 .7 , price at (P) equal issues rm the is to (QmH). the inefcient . (QmB) cost (MC). while Society have of cost is wanted to output Specically, marginal would Referring level produced. unit Qsoc , pay, is as equal intersects produce Society Qsoc to the units price, MC MC would have which (since curve). at (QmQsoc), a measures that Since wanted Figure Qm, equal 2.1 1 .7 Equilibrium monopoly rm competitive is This to units level the welfare of the is when up the rm results AR does equal a monopoly of a are rms rather we will to the same faced. The restrictive examine as those MC assumption the that curve possible perfectly thus and remains will benets of be the same. relaxed larger size. this perfect competition with until willingness output monopoly loss units in rm price more all Q /period MR Comparing good Qsoc the monopoly prot-maximizing marginal segment segment allocatively chosen exceeds and Qm costs Figure Efciency AR curve. to curve monopoly: Same cost conditions P/unit S, MC not area 1 2 Pm (HBF). The welfare loss reects net value lost by society from 3 units (QmQsoc) not being produced by the monopoly rm 4 5 Pc 7 even though they should have been produced from 8 society ’s 6 point with so It it is of view. is also instructive perfectly of market marginal to somehow a and and leads quantity is as also not perfectly forced to produce competitive rms are, inefcient . competitive cost) rm cost , make market demand equilibrium is monopoly average technically competitive a A minimum to direct a comparison monopoly market is market supply an Qc . monopolized. shown. In now addition, The price that a In (which equilibrium Assume of market . perfectly Figure2.1 1 .8, interaction also Pc and this assume D reects an market that 0 the Qm Qc Q /period MR technology used, and the cost conditions faced by the Figure 62 2.1 1 .8 A perfectly competitive market later will be to where Pm. raise It is price. MR monopoly = clear MC . that Monopoly The the rm price will monopoly produces choose that and will rm to be produce restricts offers • A less output than market (Qm < Qc) and charges a higher loss from society ’s Area (3 > Pc). In addition, allocatively efcient allocatively inefcient whereas (as at Qc , (since the P at = competitive MC), Qm, P the > outcome welfare • The analysis is + 4) the area monopolist the price paid for the units The producer surplus is the area the monopoly increasing below the demand actually the MC supply reects curve the (or the minimum below MC the the curve rm price for the requires of unit) for monopoly the are units up to The social surplus is the offer transfer but rm. actually in If in more an and become power can is one of the sold has that price been is (which in The the ability formal sum of the consumer surplus Consumer monopoly set of a power Power marginal Area (1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + Monopoly 5) Area (6 + 7 + Area (1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + the more power zero, as by surplus Area (1 Area surplus + (3 Area analysis • Consumers • The price. 2) + 4 + 6 + are is reveals worse better + (1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 6 + off the off as rms: rms or, more signicant desirable quite However, power, following. as it they loses lose area on its is to of area (3 + 4 + the them a to A (8) report generally, market from few consumers, but it 5). that so point dominate they of are in their typically not above set as part enjoy rms to for output less of charge especially their of view. large this. Their rms explained market lower purchasing this transfer a below the the a good. competitive higher income Restricting of prices surplus income charged income mind price. This is power. Consumer to the that is since in the by a the that rm long successful world marginal The cost degree the Lerner Index of difference a between proportion of price price: MC is power a can perfectly be used competitive Power rm, measurement to marginal the cost . power) can degree as set of The it rm cannot price. It monopoly has no inuence does have power much higher than marginal cost it it has can of course depends substitutes the cost on to greater and the the number consumers. the ability greater the and The to fewer raise power the rm degree of possesses. rms with surplus through signicant of later why may a under even be monopoly market certain rms may or, conditions preferable. more benet This is having the generally, society. case It only of a will one be rm where having two rms splitting the market natural would an unnecessary charge waste of resources; consumers is the typically price natural regulated It will be explained that large rms may by often the be produce at a lower average cost (this is known as able beneting shrink s economies of scale) allowing them to decrease the price they rm. Also, because of entry barriers such rms may maintain in the monopoly long run any supernormal prots earned. They thus have the power to resources to innovations invest it to is the existence maintain run in depends of barriers to in research benet and development, which society. abnormal (or and keep price to as level. The may to protecting a which monopoly on the type of barriers eventually Some barriers may lead be monopoly overcome positions, by while entrepreneurs who supernormal) signicantly extent “entrenched” entry a new that or a new competing technology. higher position to product monopoly positions are typically a result barriers in state-created exist what barriers but in the recent past , even in the in absence of state-created barriers, there are some any questionable market . that perspective competitive particular by Monopoly dominate also the real above power. ) market existence state. of prove so. it monopoly accomplished the Entrenched than as − monopoly market can develop prots or marginal hurts households, transferred in others permit equal marginal monopolies referred that above inequality. Policymakers’ in many years level. leads Keep of substitutes, that market necessary increases 20 output the higher past power charge. This price the market rm available or Sometimes from and the gains to decreases price. in card rms power, society ’s reasons restrict then these a (no a This of available result allows in monopoly measured and and how price. closeness monopoly Consumers inequality 7) in permits rms higher 4). Monopoly are income monopolist expressed If is power monopoly There a 7) price considered because consumers that the rm Index price monopoly surplus have power income 8) set market unequal charge dened cost Lerner depends Monopoly market industries, 8) market (3 of by and is area part P surplus rm from be appropriated economy ( surplus above to the Monopoly The income Qm). then Social of used now increasing denition interchangeably. Producer produced. surplus. Consumer Social it more reasons competition Producer as is P Perfect monopoly produced each and producer a monopoly surplus will market Monopoly • since been monopoly to of case not + earned, is additional are 8) have consumed. cost . as (5 curve, Note above area should is economies • the consumer This above view represents to distribution is of to that MC). revealing. surplus point the with consumer equal units is is A and price consumers (Pm results output the • competitive welfare restricts charged T I N U units : 2 prot-maximizing Qm S C I M O N O C E O R C I M The tactics by rms that have been very successful are in fending off potential competition in their markets. 63 Entry barriers What is an entry has barrier? the An entry barrier can be anything that deters entry of into a market . Barriers can be distinguished into exist . An They state-created example books considered • rm-created • natural by power State-created barriers include patents, licenses and trade are granted by governments to rms that product owner to or a new technology. A patent produce for 20 the years. good This or to creates use a the the incentive and in order to corporations to to generate apply for develop. particulars invest in research and innovations. of are rms and and are Patents granted are patents obviously for but the law may exclusive for a prove permits variety television doctors from of that governments Licenses issue are to is and in lawyers order are to also individuals. associations they other also are words barriers taxes will on also allocate licensed Of restrict responsible to exert but be some examined imports (quotas) abroad. and They they for a when of at lead in protect to into the the maintaining of detail also try buy to to prevent policies higher entry will maintain may of that in brand is name, or aware and engage cost the for some of goods Examples the or include distribution of Such one than same are scale rms services laying network or a out a power infrastructure large rm costs supplying imply the the average cost that whole each market would have. of two Signicant present . are limit for of a can (size) their of dened rm’s as larger change all operations. for inputs terms decreases size. They in average refer to the costs long factors Firms and of so can larger change size many other reasons. They may may enjoy be in bulk, extracting lower prices able from They (lower may be interest able to rates) borrow by being from bank s considered at more 4.2. They restrictions on competition rms and less risky. Indivisibilities of certain types power. and capital they the can explain their buyers. equipment be adopted assembly why electricity, subway line in or car and network, these of only production water spread to rms higher into their prices certain by very large rms. manufacturing. processes natural require huge technologies gas rms set-up such An are costs that example Indivisibilities as those distribution, that imply very across involved or a large a in railway in huge is also size scale or and excess (or supernormal) productive in they drive that the down to advertising extensively rm will so can create differentiate lower average of costs. natural monopoly may emerge if, given market size, only permit that rm can protably exist . Two rms splitting the market both be unprotable. Figure 2.1 1 .9 shows this. a that the prot-maximizing level of output is at Q*. easily unprotable and in prots. capacity incumbent price excessive may the resulting market. and Assume output case higher section domestic prices new lead abnormal maintain entrant water scale of suppliers. would rms the barriers competition rms may of later. of one They again extent A Restricting a advantage output , increase it the eld monopoly quantitative protecting to costs. lower result scale cost can potential behaviour abuse bandwidth. to course, entry degree (tariff s), other aim do Firm-created These Such constitute to of these examine and electricity. much creditworthy Firms while. one granted better workers will scale average are their from a to counterproductive. reasons. stations unqualied medical imports for experts the to include website legal new necessary, a Trade its technology supplying their in on French Pharmaceutical run fees, a development that medicine we set-up deliver the Economies that from of huge economies they public rely delisted to rms Medical Amazon monopoly network, market radio when technology monopoly that few is permits grid exclusively or this barriers production railway Licenses providing introduce requires drugs by crucially barriers. The (R&D) e-commerce barriers natural protect of several and Economies the of businesses barriers. State-created new rival barriers Natural a centre barriers market Patents the other are: is • as that three publisher ’s types. itself new to rms established infrastructure a levels. distinct their (Note: the intersect. prot-maximizing This is not shown, level to of output avoid is where cluttering MR Figure and MC 2.1 1 .9). product P/unit and offer very for others set price to many nd a different niche varieties and enter to the make it market. more They difcult may even losses only slightly above average cost so that the rms entrant knows that if it decides to enter, price will be unprotable entering in the levels as a result of the additional the recent market prots market. past two splitting supply f C' In are depressed the to when potential another old questionable tactic rm is when one serving the has market resurfaced. Large rms with very signicant market power h have been threaten buying their out competitors dominance. For or any example, start-ups Oracle that b P may acquired LAC a PeopleSof t , 60 other rms. companies even Siebel, BEA , Google including managed to Sun Microsystems “ vacuumed-up” YouT ube block and and more than DoubleClick. multi-homing of all more than C 100 Facebook social media D, applications under one host . It has since also 0 Instagram media. 64 and WhatsApp, Amazon has cementing acquired more its than dominance 100 AR acquired in Q*/2 Q* social companies and Figure 2.1 1 .9 The case of a natural monopoly Q /period P . price at Ave ra g e ma ke s which costs a b n o r ma l (CabP). If n ow this for (or two ma r ke t this rm will a re s u p e r n o r ma l ) rms w e re absorb e qu a l to to p ro t s split Q* units (0C). It e qu a l this is this thus to ma r ke t , ( a is n at u ra l each re g u lat e d b e l ow units, ) then together t h ey would still together permit a re a Q* p ro d u c i n g ma r ke t , p re s e n t , with one m o n o p o l y. by the only the p ro t the rm huge to Nat u ra l g ove r n m e n t . ma x i m i z i n g economies p ro t a b l y monopolies Pr i c e s l eve l a re c ha r g e d to of scale o p e rat e . e n s u re This usually a re set a f f o rd a b i l i t y. T I N U The be Note Q* units and the ma r ke t price would still that exclusive P ( re m e m b e r the good is homogeneous). N ow, s ma l l e r in size rms will not be able to cost s av i n g s t hat the s i n gl e la r g e rm from person cost for each would be (0C') and thus ma ke losses e qu a l to a re a (PhfC'). a leading vital to natural monopoly resource is also that offering the good the land or the service. For prevents example, owns all surrounding a pristine if beach The then only he or she decides who can buy land in in each order would of e n j oy e d . Mykonos, Ave ra g e barrier e n j oy one the natural ownership though, others these a be size to build a resort hotel there. of Oligopoly An oligopoly has the following share characteristics. risk • It is • The a market in which only a few rms produce either a homogeneous product steel, (such cement , as offered cars, by oil or laptops the copper) or banking or mobile or a differentiated phones, insurance all or rms mobile phone High only to barriers a few to monopolies at the risk a few exist, Barriers (for rms or names, of the law, which are the example, explains same as economies why there those of that a result these rms market the of to operate limit if only are the reaction protably, pricing and a few outcome if rms scale licenses, product its of rival the that any or rms Concentration rise creation total sales rivals. in the in the market Interdependence action We of one can market to example, (CR) accounted the rm say are exists in depends that a a on of is concentration used for four-rm of largest caught nes much and more of ten market , for in a by that the market market measures “n” largest concentration ratio 4 rms in the analyse simplest a market calculate example provide few rms a a the more concentration. market , the is initiated, also form of Through why why is a game, this in such there assume price. more dominate. the 97%, in a (CR ) is given CR in two Each is a series conclusions series CR , of historical there is a the CR and the USA , the ratios CR 8 higher CR in the the it the car , 20 picture of the concentration is, as CR it in rental operating concentration the data trend through We theory will is widely examine we markets, rms have sometimes an as will the why a understand price incentive cheating “Prisoner ’s clearly to war may collude be and involved. rms, A and either B, each maintain with price two possible high 2.1 1 .10 shows are degree also towards of ratios indicates the dry industry systems is or useful to concentration necessary more their “pay-off or it can matrix ”. is the prot each rm will earn from each Each strategy of given the the strategy pay-off s, but its rival initially will we adopt . assume Firms that are there between the two is no rms. cat is ratio that food 50% 99%. Not less to derive in a determine safer high A $210 price Cut million price $250 million $210 million $35 $35 million million $70 million market , ecirp but game known Firm concentration comprehensive The smartphone of This visualized sales oligopolistic In the about as set-ups. game such can Figure communication 2 only imprisonment . clearly by: mriF the be market. 3 and but consequences proportion rms B is the a 4 industry even known oligopolistic interdependence niatniaM of to of facing hgih order degree uncertainty monopoly, market 4 in a dilemma” mathematics ecirp a decrease were dilemma”. Maintain for they they and can ×100 Total Researcher s if interdependent . 4 Sales getting namely of dilemma”. aware For as ratios extent ratio colluding of adopted, of By prots “Prisoner ’s branch number concentration joint “Prisoner ’s The cut the of and strategies. determine the permit We To at proliferation). operating interdependent . of oligopolistic but catastrophic are give the As rivals, prove providers used brand of could products industries, A only expense which services). entry rms. the war product the • at price involved. maximize dilemma of prots a (such and as their starting operate. for rms and of S C I M O N O C E O R C I M p ro d u c i n g : 2 2 whether concentration. tuC To collude or Interdependence for this dilemma to in compete? oligopolistic that markets oligopolistic rms is responsible face. $250 Figure competition these rms may increase their million $70 million Through own 2.1 1 .10 Pay-off matrix market 65 Policymakers’ all perspective belong illusion Dening the relevant market is very difcult . not dened only by the product being produced but also by geography and location. if There very many one fuel outlet stations in some in a country remote area, but then if there this do ve secret local monopoly; these three if there are a are local only three oligopoly. fuel The private hospitals many in hospitals many in the countries. USA but There in may only be two, in which case may certain this oligopoly. may Or, to both make be matter s owned by would wor se, the same in the be many markets products there available may to be a vast consumer s, maintain it will on earn the also a high is $210 reaction maintain a It million of its Assume does or rival high of a price concentration rms may these array but rm know A the or B; namely, whether chooses it B is can risk that see of if a B million). war ($250 Firm A some kind occurring. maintains price to and also again earn take into greatly will rm cut B its raise can will million). will cut a also price than realizes of coordination Consider high million) more So, about both its price. no best rms The by it by that cutting matter same strategy under in of a they the The market a as if they do not underlying same where four market the may were provide size ve-rm one only where market . consideration affect us with distribution rm concentration has have 5% 80% each, of the but it each Lastly, of the ve concentration rms ratios has do pricing competition behaviour of from imports domestic which rms. price. be oligopoly exists price in they Collusion to two verbal be the or restrict or more behave formal—in agreement rms agree competition. inferred collectively can where when order written, collude, if rm will A. It earn more B cuts price, OPEC , by price price ($70 million ($210 rm to general realizes maintaining rm referred there is from as which is if to The conduct . they case informal. a x or to agreement When rms were a monopoly. cartel is formed—or When a tacit an what this logic rm B given set-up applies chooses rm will A ’s to rm to action. choose to It cut B do, is uncovered as a illegal. the cartel The by by best the competition press. known Organization international the collusive of Collusive formal Petroleum exporting authorities, cartel collusive Exporting of 14 it agreements is are agreement Countries. in is This countries. A instead collusive oligopoly, member rms behave as if they were a of Their aim is to maximize joint prots. This is shown rm in A market . in remaining result monopoly. $35 behave ratios, concerning the the 20% Collusion In will and war without price rm cutting why in result agreement We oligopoly may depends whether rm an companies of they outcome—whether $35million—because rm price that not but these two tacit , Risk agreements Collusive clear. price. monopoly corporation. Interdependence Interdependence a producer s, a may similar have six be not Also, the next , areas roughly hospitals not or information may local just see applies market there giving shall stations same ratio very we monopoly. of to As is any then companies, is one Regarding a two may a only we say, have be or competition. and with sold one erce Markets even are to of Figure 2.1 1 .1 1 , which can be used to represent an oil cartel. thinking follows price, that Collusive oligopoly acting as a monopoly each P/unit earning $70 million. Incentive The set-up to MC collude above assumes no communication and can be b Pk called a “one-shot ” game. In the real world, there is repeated AC or, a more precisely, market . were they Less to It would make would an Risk very of become be better and the tempting interaction evident agreement both uncertainty collusion continuous and off: to each rms both rms coordinate possibility for between in would of that price earn greater rms if Joint prots profits they a changes, $210 oligopolistic in C million. makes markets. cheating D, The also structure explain of the why pay-off rms matrix sometimes in do Figure not 2.1 1 .10 abide by AR may the terms 0 Q /period Qt MR of the collusive agreement made. Firm A realizes that if, Figure following price, it prots only to alone ($250 $35 agreement decided million) million. cutting would 66 the price this In so $35 million may have was been to such to much a rm B to price it would its under a rival case, cheat instead a cut while only incentive with of earn have rms $20 tempting If a even higher return circumstances the million, pay-off then strategy to 2.1 1 .1 1 Collusive oligopoly: an oil cartel high earned would particular materialize. loss more would both very maintain of cheating pursue. In order to maximize members together members adhere will be Pk . Members each Joint will member joint must to the prots have will to prots, sell is at the Qt agreement , will then agree produce on and be then output MR the equal their sell. total where to = all MC . cartel area quotas—the cartel If the price (CabPk). quantity certain the of OPEC , much price oil for following member each oil. will Despite reasons the countries sell in the the negotiate market formal to structure organization’s goal and agree achieve is of a that OPEC , difcult wars for to achieve. may a expense which was Price still also depends on demand There are quite a members (such as few large initiated oil USA , producers Canada who and For various reasons, members do are other collusive to x price cases, and executives then each not of rm that price. abide by the Secret or agreements hotels. It has companies sells of ten been yogurt starting as cartel met executives at of a a Parisian car parts take reported café cartel the attract in a USA . example more relatively Of ten such is at subscribers recent such the T-Mobile, and mobile “ Au met that they can rms sustain have losses a for place that as it price war rms, is it typically follows not that in the such interest rms of usually in if a price competition agreement as has a strategy been to made. increase Fear of sales, triggering cafés, qui Tokyo non-price can executives chien in a secretly much price war as well as collusive agreements result in prices of “sticky ” in oligopolistic markets. Even if production fume” costs while in meaning oligopolistic being a to winner An are share rules. a restaurants cut price. market while. even at war pocket ”, adopt agree price the gain not most In a cutting circumstances to Russia). Since • price by when expects conditions. a the rivals considered “deep • start condently of telecoms • deliberately rm at decrease, rms do not decrease price. “Café Non-price competition can take many forms. Perhaps the Renoir ”. single Note that oligopolistic rms face a negatively most curve collusion Output is is and, independently present , less than allocative the of whether efciency socially optimal or cannot level prot • P > maximization MR while because allocative requires demand is efciency MR = of non-price competition is advertising be is the sof t drink s and creation • developing industry). of Firms brand also names compete (an example by: achieved. and marketing new products (smartphones because: cars) MC negatively requires method not and • important sloped heavy demand sloped; that P = so P > • continuously • offering differentiating their products (breakfast cereals) MC , volume discounts (for shampoos, conditioners and MC . detergents) Non-collusive If oligopolistic there is a involved where a very in a rm oligopoly rms decide signicant price war. attempts to • compete chance A to price gain that war by market cutting they refers T I N U case how : 2 the on will to share a providing customers in industry) the car with af ter-sale service (customer plans S C I M O N O C E O R C I M In price become • offering lengthy • offering gif ts guarantees (for electronics products) situation at the and coupons (in newspapers and expense supermarkets) of its rivals by cutting price, triggering retaliation and • further shown price in cuts. the Usually, “Prisoner ’s Policymakers’ all rms dilemma” end-up earlier. worse off, Rarely, rms approach perspective face a negatively sloped and thus charge a price higher than they are marginal we allocatively inefcient . If in an shall rms collude then price may even in if the mind market that if Monopolistic A market following is was there a monopoly. is a price But war we then they as It has must price such The rms monopolistically competitive if the There is no entry examples salons, restaurants, each a rm is negatively lose differentiated some, of monopolistic bars, sloped but not be the extent diminished. later, if these oligopolistic Also, rms enjoy other benets, such as are those economies is thus of scale. rather The issue of efciency complicated. power. However, there are thus face very that many many market rms close in power each substitutes. is small. market A This and raise the price of the pasta dish it offers, restaurant but not too products. as there are many other restaurants around that offer barriers. producing a opticians of or fuel differentiated demand all, competition its curve. If it include stations. product , raises customers. It it stations competitive rms have some or and similar hair pasta dishes. The same issue affects fuel salons. Since faces price follows hair same it will Monopolistic competition: Short-run equilibrium that Figure monopolistically may from because the Typical thus will rms. produce are see markets monopoly) much • and bear can • cost inefciency competition considered many do). may applies. very of ten high consumers • stations oligopolistic be in as radio cost resulting market marginal allocative large so (as demand as curve competitions price of Oligopolistic organizing as market 2.1 1 .12 shows the short-run equilibrium position of a (or monopolistically competitive rm. 67 P/unit MC P/unit MC B P AC AC F A (AC = AR) = P C D, H 0 D, 0 Q Q /period AR Q /period Qsoc Q AR MR Figure 2.1 1 .13 Monopolistic competition: long-run equilibrium MR Efciency Figure 2.1 1 .12 Monopolistic competition: short-run issues in monopolistic equilibrium competition Assuming that it aims at maximizing prots it will choose Monopolistically to produce and offer Q units per period, where MR = They and sell at price P . It will be thus earning abnormal produce prots equal to area rms in this market are earning abnormal prots other entrepreneur s will have this to enter market this are market . earning Why? more means It than is because normal in more the than next what best they could alternative have with rms will enter monopolistic the market competition. As as the there they negatively of each rm faces “shrink s and tilts”. It demand curve shif ts lef t . they no too This is will share. be selling Demand less also the elastic . Why? It is because because more at will and stop even closer when rms of their atter, consumer s substitutes. in from. to this in rather horizontal, be in prots this (that market as is, normal much as prots). they If could best alternative with the same risk, be no reason for more rms to enter or rms to exit . Long-run reached. Figure 2.1 1 .13 then in a monopolistically Monopolistic Long-run Entry of closer curve and of new will to the It lef t can differentiated. rms price will P . 68 AC Q each be long-run units, has where are shif ted Since long-run lef t signicantly many higher close than substitutes the in price town, of a popular people can meal easily The degree of allocative competitive markets In addition, demand faced is may but since the existence of very many not close it quite only at , slightly such above rms the will produce minimum. with This the result of their constant attempt to may differentiate product even will more. be So, even the extent of technical small. importantly, monopolistically consumers with great competitive variety and this markets is characteristic of this market structure. a highly There and hair salons, for example, that cater are to and if there is a niche, an entrepreneur will soon every enter equilibrium even shif ted made it more the quite because MR as until are = MC , at it Q, and AR equilibrium = became earning in the and even demand price products monopolistically zero rms of have and restaurant . market to satisfy it . Policymakers’ existence rm is very market . horizontal prots curve. represents the consumers if restaurant small. Monopolistic Prot-maximizing choose curve U-shaped this for never Economic demand and for that have have competition: rms the limited. the equilibrium substitutes at . competitive quite will the in is the there any equilibrium shows possess zero taste been price monopolistically cost restaurants incumbent have entrepreneur s earn for so However, of earning valued be they example, a makes average present next and facing process are curve power. more Most earn level Remember, diminishing meaning will This market demand monopoly) power a For in another inefciency economic MC . each their entry > and also even P barrier s an price output , demand decreases because becomes (or Consumers much substitutes market of sloped market charge cost . choose be price level risk . usually the of monopoly inefciency that chosen been same are enter, a cannot switch in inefcient . optimal rms rises More allocatively socially prots, to earning the degree marginal which are the the They in at face degree incentive rms than (or some supernormal) output (CABP). they Since less (or because supernormal) competitive MC , elastic AC . market . oligopoly. rms is power are very The of at The monopolistically to the prots, such to small consumers, is allocatively the These of these compared to monopoly power rms The fact competitive there which will is and an resulting competitive offer that rms probably also and extent monopolistically consumers. market but market minimal. variety tangent normal or competition inefcient inefciencies pricing are competitive sell technically perspective be tremendous there are implies a rm advantage. many that for located any near that are monopoly compared large in power with the size have rms and have certain small rms signicant advantages in perfect market Large when and rms position monopolistic competition. the in to long run. large in size allows rms to benet from scale. These rms can of ten produce at a lower compared to smaller rms. This allows larger set a price lower than the price found in a because market and to offer an even greater cour se, resulting there from consumer s this will in be positions or lowest Abuse grow and many case abuse in itself prices of depends face. that are power may invest in be where such a on the a The not on extent actual and to a to which potential that may to intervene. an it is suspected lead large that a competitors rm’s to guarantees. A to permit innovate but a rm there to are position has dominant position does for rm to such as Google, only others, They have have governments abuse is acting prevent Facebook, been been to creative to described or may with entry Apple, suspected accused above. higher led rate markets by of USA be They aggressively Justice Department companies have and scientists the of intention new rms. opportunities of Intel of and abusing acting have in to resources their to platforms has out their complained agreements working suppress to rival the of innovations. The characteristics Schumpeterian monopoly have question make to innovate being argument power prots at in that the Harvard entrenched avoid prices for them their that innovations are swept long run. power, forced away by favour maintain University, monopoly but in can Schumpeter, held large that continuously the in rms are to “perennial gale Some have used competition rms. This by may to consumers suffer and but it may has have caused decreased the collude abuses and result behave that harm as if they were consumers a (who monopoly, are higher prices). The European Commission forced has members of canned many cartels vegetables, in a vast area electronics of markets products, apple sauce, beer, vehicle sales and car many safety others. market all cases of collusion, the resulting market led to consumers. power In the higher prices paid and less choice for in market for pharmaceuticals there is a lot of discussion on competitors. that some rms have managed effectively to extend patents some drugs to more than 40 years instead of the 20-year deprived seeking their limit . Some drugs companies have also been accused better “paying for delaying” tactics, where they pay rms to extensive restricting not nal to competition that of for producers rms pay delay legal production Amazon, precisely restricted buying reached elsewhere. new consumer s Tech of job that innovation. current engineers question present on hi-tech innovations. and not how The products competition the their and tremendous destruction”. competing much manner no market with able of In power. is economist not equipment , among new (supernormal) absence including giants to of result . is rms innovate dominant However, or to Austrian ned eliminate to striking what the to if is abnormal are not of pricing authorities leads is in research power and reason from there When constitute refer There likely Lastly, monopoly exposed which in savings passed agreements necessary position. cost be Entrenched competition R&D the will prices. collusive and that scale lower monopoly to of of rms long instances to guarantee form these for of Monopoly no successful maintained the the the competition is economies invest in quantity. more Of R&D to are prots perfectly remains competitive them activities markets (supernormal) rms beneted to enables (R&D) oligopolistic average processes. cost or abnormal economies Innovations of This development importance Being monopoly maintain T I N U or large : 2 Firms of S C I M O N O C E O R C I M Advantages directly entry into a market af ter a patent has expired. Such access abuse of drugs, harming monopoly power has led to exorbitant prices for lead consumers and taxpayers. 69 Policymakers’ The typical toolkit set of includes, • imposing • prohibiting perspective available among heavy responses other in the policymakers’ tools: example, the rm nes the merger Alstom, The reason was forcing imposing is rms a to sell off maximum important parts have led to stress that competition the diverge. USA USA and in the case of whether or not . welfare the The the shif ted European its focus nal 2020 that scale that so that a major consumer Economic is guiding harmed Report to principle from the higher rising concentration decrease rms to is tend prices to for grow, driven by consumers so it is authorities do not including the Europeans, have rights of excluded workers; competitors; whether certain buying suppliers; power, and concentration the on forcing possible the rate down and rms in of act 70 job of of ten the with policymaker many and is not the for side to choice and less Commissioner the argument , innovation”, M Vestager. though. of what constitutes the It relevant It to this perspective, are the real outside markets Europe for where to huge compete Chinese for international competitor, as contracts well rms and is South Korean companies. as with There to this side, for a “European was champion” could an better easy compete question to in international markets. It was decide. if policymakers for example, set price ceilings pharmaceutical or other restrictions corporations, there is focused of risk that it would decrease their incentive to innovate rm have spend billions to nd new life-saving drugs. These are too that are not easily settled. suffocating of a and their impact impact easy. less “ would that rising innovation. conicting a according In general, of market society. The systems merger that addition large prices negative prices, manufacturers have Japanese questions much “harmed signaling proposed Competition According CRCC , and on The discussion European would a the railway economies important punish EU the with Or, practices for trains”. another they on, on: French market . President success. Others, have rail is not competition would the prices that successful in blocked and towards need, of suppliers merger recently Siemens perspective exclusively other claimed the rm enforcing these consumer largest markets higher to was market . has to according price. relates The in high-speed There It that commission German acquisitions very • the mergers prohibiting • competition Europe’s competition • EU between balancing considerations. For it is not power The easy and to what particulars of decide kind each of whether there response case matter is a is abuse optimal lot . for Measuring economic economy ’s to as national national activity income income involves or total its measuring output and a referred point total accounting. cannot evaluate the performance of an economy: that year whether compared measurement performance How is an with of of economy last year economic one Gross domestic doing ve activity. economy economic is or We against ago, or if cannot other activity product better years worse there economies judged and is it the is produced a year Let ’s • or a no the some “ value” can goods and and For used the an of all over of a to good either which services, are are example, or by be services explain of a its at to excluded is or economic goods of an the to is simply GDP . input to income so it is an intermediate in as so GDP services usually • The accounting and quantity Only nal nal of Steel cars. In some For is it nal cases when Warburtons instead of a it included separately good our but trying counted. by also bakery added” can be produced bought supermarket be already in cars GDP would to of are as only nal produce work out value when bread. which by added each = sector 1 on the total revenues is spending of raw materials, goods rm dened and − investment − government − net + to produce the good “ Within an services are the • economy ” produced within that the • to of transactions transactions represent or the GDP involving in our at transfer contributions the an used current (X – M): spending is, income three production in the economy. are by and with that , yield nal, the the country the GDP three can ow of (see each Government goods and the use The output approach adds up same and services produced economy as the nal … + sector total goods n amount and services. : : spending spending by by households rms services by foreigners (that is, on exports) on foreign goods and minus services = C + I + G + (X – M) adds up and all by the the income factors generated of production rents + wages described minor + interest above adjustments The which idea was are all rests three on presented + prots equivalent the in approaches circular section 1 .1 5). circular ow model produced economy of equal these does not nancial do production all the by + (G) process result . income, page that is shows equal output , to which goods methods to three value each producing the value they ended 100 as for of in that the the value of expenditures is equal that goods to the were made pockets For then hair of production the to made total to income cut not in 2020 $1000.00 to who spent on this an is goods but were and economy valued was (expenditures in these goods an say, disappear those these if is produced purchase did of in That services all example, produced output), their output . and expenditures the income. haircuts got These up responsible of expenditures services. services not of to in the at by only $1000.00 all those output) and calculate $1000.00 was collected by all those responsible for methods. of all the production economic of these haircuts (income generated by the nal production goods measures 3 rm the • banking the and borders goods, equivalent statisticians as difference rm this GDP . = methods some the (value conceptually assessing transport , sector spending and approach the The services. are in countries, imports). in who There helps across service. payments, to + (C) (I) spending domestic mill the shows as by physical of also policies. produced spending goods The and measurement include and later. nal country. Also, and means time, 2 approach spending exports generated • choices intermediate. components or therefore sector domestic purchase purchased has devise part bought This collected services to includes: consumption output cost performance policy manufacturing, domestically − The between need cars the lead consumers intermediate to and McDougall ’s individual contributed The both by will goods twice. instance, “ value thus Considering counting • is how counting. production while agriculture, GDP good. know on. expenditure Total its of double the good their evaluating as (that and its not performance Intermediate production avoid improve of devising denition. in do If activity and time, intermediate. included effectiveness well price. “nal ” are inputs steel service we policymakers through such period this to if behaved. performance spent points policies period have measured? nal a some economic (GDP) measure value economy multiplied Goods goods, as the National quarter. produced • of ten within add The most dened over income unsatisfactory, implement judge and GDP or and this is compare time is, to determine in output been and We and variations an is T I N U illustrating activity : 3 economic S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Measuring 3.1 of this output). sector, 71 Gross national income a (GNI) measure the As explained above, the income approach of calculating effect of of to add from up rms questions. all the income operating What earned within happens the by factors of economy—but when prots are having Real GDP isolated gures not the value. The same applies to Dene two GDP foreigners the of a GDP year deator times own stocks in domestic rms? Where do as the ratio the prots earned GDP deator of domestic that they companies go into GNI operating but not overseas GDP , where t in? GNI = GDP + factor income is The answer from abroad − given By by: manipulating includes factor factor such as the income prots earned abroad by a wages of that US However, it as paid prots payments accrue to consultants excludes of Microsof t ’s to to Microsof t ’s who factor Chinese Venezuelan GDP practice, it does not work shareholders earned investors workers US temporarily income make who by own in used for large economies in stocks the Real such the deator much like difference that of the net factor income to other countries which USA , are above GDP example, and however, much their of prots GDP and Ireland’s must be GNI can industry as small. deducted diverge is owned from and of we arrive Nominal valued versus GDP using is the the real value prices = × of the output For US Ireland’s of a at of GDP or current nominal prices, GNI the for, prices say, dividing at consider 2020 prevailing and the 10% following. more in If 2018 GDP (that was is, know whether the higher gure in output output produced. changes More year in (say, do National provide • be used Using use in If output in a all prices mind period are had by or that the if than of or can used be million due produced inside “t ” real to is prevailing Real of the of at base by such attempt gures, a the as country country. is GNI by GDP to made is a certain some its So, Such it GDP a isolate the effect or GNI by GDP the and population per capita of GNI a country we respectively. provide an indication of average or per Per person as a in the economy. measure of the Per capita standard income of living gures in they and provide services GDP/GNI a very that per rough the indication population capita at of a of a the access country purchasing has. power (PPP) have a basis each of comparison country ’s per across capita countries income we gure need to a to common which services is can typically vary US dollar. Yet, signicantly the across countries. prices of A goods haircut is much cheaper than a haircut in New York. Cost of in living must income to US be considered rate use dollars. in Therefore, the conversion instead of the of per market capita exchange price is over time to incomes focuses gure “purchasing of equal basket of goods such, PPP power purchasing and dollars cross-country statistics better on we dollars services that incorporate comparisons parity ” power: the cost more (PPP) that of is, dollars. they national living buy These the currency differences are same buys. and As make meaningful. therefore measure focuses while making to 10% year). economy statistics when important an income an used is in economy of be it in can: size as GNI. multiplied chosen. and country. actual output or a we increased of national the of or of levels. capita income as goods Real expressed measure period performance GDP nationals prices base year GNI any GDP that 2020. million) was To measure the year statistics the a the in base these assess rather at same. real is as good measure to GDP valued the the need (known each GDP GNI earned “t ”) was we real income • Bear of prevailed What 72 year period output that output , specically, reference the produced index goods gures GDP output differences then all For Lagos increase price of corporations and cannot prices period. in $10 $1 1 GDP must time, price per currency, 2017 of GDP . certain that the GNI over gures convert Now level smaller To terms comprehensive ows to prevailed a in real capita parity Nominal 100 deator measure values that at: GDP USA . signicantly. by or changing country Nominal is average included GDP capita countries, the comparisons arrive of 100 the Asia. foreigners, US temporarily and East By is real European Per In to country ’s services operations GDP income measures residents, of GNI. abroad The thus real GDP × GDP GNI to is Real sent for) volume GDP nominal GNI the nominal = real by adjusted 100: nominal who (or, reect production consider paid af ter GDP production, is output ination. must on be tell us? • help policymakers • be used to • be used as economic divided Also, if by make a and evaluate cross-country measure of the appropriate policies comparisons standard of living in a country. well-being the population comparisons nominal devise gures are must to adjust made be used for through to adjust the size time, for of then the real changing country. and not prices. living in favour standards of is using that if per it is capita higher income it as implies a Better command more output on average, and access to is considered better than access to less Better Life this per deciencies and following a • As an is the income 1% should list average, about of a the per a statistic be country suffers employed associated capita distribution of earn capita of may extraordinarily be in high high major extra index . care. The has problems. statistic income from with no country. because incomes information Per (BLI) has Economic been developed Cooperation and by the Development the is designed BLI includes as to 1 1 essential conditions and produce topics to an that overall reect well-being quality of life. in The well-being what terms topics the of OECD material include: • housing • education • life satisfaction • income • environment • safety • jobs • civic • work capita people but and The identied living provides a Index for output . (OECD) However, (BLI) more Organization output Index that The people Life T I N U argument of in the bottom top engagement and life 99% balance. earn very both the little. high USA per is standards • Per it much in capita may Any be For rising damaging a decade India at the an but 30 Green GDP in a If also correct per of the is it by safe on BLI the a conclude that instance, in dramatically (CNN “21 2020). as it the subtracting Green in GDP can GDP the high be natural resource and environmental Per capita income statistics fail to In GDP is a most important but income levels its importance the value of be the is not same of the accounted in two difference whether people work 60 well-being for. Per countries, or Living but standards also house by or the the are not stock car a of only 35 affected wealth family owns of the contribute to hours by it per current (signicantly The to level per • Some health differ income health point goods public may capita quality at of citizens of and care greatly care and delivery two services public expenditures the education may living been For the made to example, Gulf of • Per capita output . levels to recorded were for statistics may with available the more same High available spend as of income activities an the fail economies differ to expenditures made Two because counteract the Mexico adjustment so with different for positive although that have cleaning addition to the environmental to reveal with output the equal respect state large proportion of its to mix . GDP that of to, could other wise to their represents on presents Happiness to this all these reasons, alternative been the developed World as by Solutions Happiness happiness that perceive the is “Cantril asked present the are: other the per average), well as dimensions the United Network Report, a and is survey ranks 156 themselves countries to be. To by estimate to Ladder ” rank their is used, where satisfaction the with best living conditions possible life and from 0– 10 living (where conditions US harm. oil GDP spill with in no of income that defence, been Index Finland is then Ladder of (7 .63), unhappiest African to and calculated a 2018, single the Norway countries Republic life by happiest the (3.08) and world and conditions). averaging number. (7 .59) in living and the According countries Denmark are: in answers to Sudan the the (7 .56) Burundi South The world whereas (2.91), (3.25). Planet Index (HPI) The Happy New assess of its Planet Economics whether residents. Index (HPI) Foundation a country It is is made • average life • average subjective • ecological of has able up been London of to developed and is promote the three by the designed the to well-being variables of: expectancy well-being well-being country say, Index possible have catastrophe. economic A they the capita worst contributions caused up the Cantril footprint (the impact of a person or community devotes the environment , expressed as the amount of land sacrices used in to sustain their use of natural resources). the the top ve countries in the Happy Planet Index goods. ranking For in Index respect Happiness free composition per have pro-development has citizens population Surprisingly, production status important Development global Happiness required resources of their sample on a are OECD The standards. services families be and Index annually happy Central activity health the income low week. services. economic than relatively Index Sustainable Happy to a work that education countries affecting permit has of signicant well-being. and between in which terms having the makes 0 • average lower in with to income population. provides their faced countries despite compared average is within USA , the The capita but 10 signicantly higher separate security. the to earnings, well-being Colombia quality, job instance, it four one weights. of the • assess on personal and (much contrast , Happiness how a rate on equal leisure. of may based rate, below based well-being. published people, GDP is is with depletion. include dimension to For because above index cost Nations Leisure the averaged topic rank s balance rank s The • used capita Happiness of Jobs countries. average), life of are employment environmental of the that the then per capita but topics health unemployment inequality. the 1 1 the across and environment . from the example, OECD but of factors of indicators and double and to four long-term to home Each measures: but For problem on rise • community For levels incomes was cities” living environment . grown India that in same. pollution doubled? • have inequality claim production epic production estimated the capita of this Denmark income cannot are to have 2020 and but production cost cost polluted to we increased incomes effect is of have most detrimental when huge at so degradation, time attempt a USA levels countries ignored. capita same world’s is at standards per and rises effect is environmental living two income the income higher these environment over example, capita : 3 major measure S C I M O N O C E O R C A M The measures to assess have GDP per capita levels below $10,000. Costa Rica is wellon the top of the ranking, with Costa Ricans having a signicantly being have been developed. higher well-being than the residents of many rich nations. 73 The The business real time. GDP of Typically, followed by business cycle, a 1 . cycle country periods periods does during during shown in not increase which which Figure the the 3.1 .1 , continuously economy economy refers to over expands contracts. these are Calculate Nominal the of an economy ’s real GDP over GDP can GDP be from the calculated expenditure from expenditure approach. data using relationship: The nominal GDP = C + I + G + (X – M) short-term So: uctuations nominal nominal GDP = 35.86 + 6.52 + 22.82 + (8.6 – 9.8) = time. $64.0 billion 2. Calculate To calculate nominal GNI for Lalaland. Real GDP (or peak peak n n o i s n a p x e c o trendline n t r a c t i o Lalaland’s property) income GNI from we need abroad to to add its net GDP factor gure. This is long-term equal paid to income abroad earned ($1 .3 follows 64.1 – that 0.2 = in ($1 .1 billion) minus income billion): 1 .1 It abroad – 2015 $63.8 1 .3 = −$0.2 Lalaland’s billion. GNI was billion. trough The following Year table Nominal ($ 0 Figure t1 3.1 .1 Between The time (contraction t2 business t1 and phase) t3 the since economy real GDP is is is in recession (technically, an GDP GDP data for deator Lalaland. Population billion) 2016 308.12 2017 321 .99 (million) 2018 332.65 98.9 13.27 100 13.34 102.2 13.47 contracting decreasing. We say that 3. it additional Time cycle t2 shows economy is in recession if Calculate the level of real GDP for Lalaland for 2016 to real 2018. GDP decreases for at least two consecutive quarters). At t1 To it was at a peak and just about to enter recession. The calculate divide characteristic of a recession is rising unemployment . At t2 at a trough and just about to enter the GDP nominal from GDP nominal data by GDP the data GDP we deator need that to year it and is real major multiply your result by 100. recovery–expansion. 308.12 Between time t2 and t3 the economy is growing (expansion 2016: real GDP = × 100 = $31 1 .55 billion $321 .99 billion 98.9 phase) is too since rapid real it GDP may is give increasing. rise to However, inationary if the expansion pressures. 321 .99 2017: This economy trendline is is also upward growing sloping. over The the long trend line term is the as real GDP = × 100 = 100 the average 332.65 annual long-term growth of the 2018: economy. real GDP × = 100 = $325.49 billion 102.2 An economy is growing when real GDP is increasing, and 4. it is contracting when real GDP is decreasing. The Calculate to rate of an between is economy two positive, years. then is the percentage change of If the percentage change in real GDP is increasing, the real GDP per capita for Lalaland for 2016 growth real real suggesting 2018. GDP To GDP calculate the that real population GDP of the per capita we must divide real GDP by country. 9 the economy is growing. However, if the growth rate 31 1 .55 is 2016: negative, is in then recession. real GDP Note is that decreasing, if the and growth rate the is real GDP per capita = economy positive x × 10 6 13.27 × 10 c = $23,478 c = $24,137 c = $24,164 but 9 321 .99 decreasing increase (from, but at a say, 2.1% slower to rate. 0.8%) It is not real in GDP continues to 2017: real GDP per capita = x × 10 6 13.34 × 10 recession. 9 325.49 × 10 Calculations 2018: The following data refer to Lalaland Variable Import 74 expenditures expenditures Government Export 2015. Amount Consumption Investment in (I) expenditures revenues (C) (G) (X) ($ 35.86 6.52 22.82 8.6 expenditures (M) Factor income earned Factor income paid abroad abroad billion) 9.8 1 .1 1 .3 real GDP per capita = x 6 13.47 × 10 demand Aggregate domestic per demand of and aggregate refers and to the services at total planned different spending average price If on people then time. from on domestic households, means that (C), expenditures (G) are on the and foreign (X). = C + and rms we must I G + + the subtract (X – • some this look s familiar, it is because GDP approach is the same • by actual demand output are not produced, at all say the same $5.15 GDP in whereas aggregate demand shows the effect: more The of price spending number In at different whereas Figure 3.2.1 , price aggregate aggregate levels in demand demand is a is a and On the horizontal axis is real level the is the average prices of all price nal level goods an the rises falls, curve. at AD to price home, so net demand, then level abroad net increases while exports decrease. exports (NX), Thus, fall, then imports a if the leading to a curve. if the hold average more price money to level buy increases, the The demand for holding same money So increases. If the supply of (cash money the bank is interest constant rate, rises. then the Higher “price” interest of money, rates decrease level GDP is (C) and investment (I) expenditures as people a and rms by the will and capital borrow less from banks to buy durables and on the equipment. in of the the So, if the average price level rises AD consumption and investment decrease, leading to a vertical average AD curve. of As in on either all diagrams, the function will not shif t when a variable economy. of the price axes level changes. there will So, be if no there shif t is in a change the AD in curve the but price only level average rises accounts) central is average Average level services function. index services consumer price in planned illustrated output (APL), and and AD competitive effect: need downward-sloping axis less; GDP Japan country. the services. cheque then curve. spend average goods sloping aggregate rate people consumption of if less attractive interest which 2019, downward to the and concepts. trillion if the by is tend Thus, domestic downward-sloping and aggregate they (C). on become average (M). M) measured sum—but a component goods expenditure to trade seem of government imports The then If poorer fall spending exports government since and This consumption (I), feel originate foreigners. includes However, households, goods, AD (AD) can expenditures exports that services government demand investment and expenditures make goods rms, aggregate expenditures the supply expenditures levels leading Spending activity—aggregate demand goods period economic : 3 Aggregate in T I N U Variations S C I M O N O C E O R C A M 3.2 a movement along it . (APL) Aggregate change in demand demand any of means will its shif t only components. that there is a if a An shif t determinant increase of the AD in induces a aggregate curve to the APL2 right from means AD1 that to the AD2. AD A curve decrease shif ts to in the aggregate lef t from demand AD1 to AD3. APL1 These effects Average level are shown in Figure 3.2.2. price (APL) AD 0 Yr2 Real Yr1 output (Yr) Figure 3.2.1 So, the of if The AD curve average spending on price level domestic is at output APL1 is at then Yr1 . If planned the level average price AD2 level is at APL2 then planned level of spending on domestic AD1 output is at Yr2. AD3 The AD reasons curve that is downward the demand sloping for a but single not good for is the same 0 Real output downward (Yr) sloping, all is as goods on the and negatively not vertical the sloped axis price of because we a of have single the the average good. wealth The price AD effect , the of curve Figure 3.2.2 Shif ts of the and the interest rate curve trade Determinants effect AD of aggregate demand effect . components • The the wealth real pockets other effect: value or in of the bank nancial if the average money that accounts, assets they as own price level people well such as as increases have the in real bonds, then Consumption their value of decreases. households depend on expenditures on the durables and (C) are dened non-durables as and spending services by and following. 75 • Interest or the rates: the reward expressed as for a interest saving rate is money percentage. the cost over a of Households leading borrowing period of borrow to to rightward time purchase of durables, such as cars and appliances, houses. An increase in interest rates makes expensive, resulting in less borrowing on and so spending, the AD decreasing curve to the aggregate lef t . In demand addition, of rates make saving more attractive. If to save tend to more then spend it less. automatically The reverse that in interest rates. Lower interest of and can borrowing of to while an rendering increase in rates saving spending, demand and shif ting the AD Consumer condence: this is a reduce less the are and how feeling secure secure and they will tend to spend more. to the of how with low ination about the about their and condence and and rates: shif ting the AD curve to affect the to of uncertainty one’s over future future income job will Spending on durable so right . On the appliances, consumer as well as on affect goods, housing, is Household estate, own, minus and for more wealth such what as they example spending, such as the greatly fall, AD refers to stock s, owe. due to which curve wealth to the value bonds, An of in or Personal are paid. to will demand taxes: income, If disposable the to the a the rise in right . and property prices, aggregate In so decrease these which is government income falls, decreasing contrary, an to thus a contrast , will and increase the income AD and the AD the if owe the to If invest and AD AD If as in in drops curve curve a curve instead rm investment uses the of its own opportunity keeping Investment expected to in costs them in expenditures decrease, interest for spending to the this sales by shif ting the rms rates fall have the leading and aggregate to an demand right . refers and are and are to how about so the necessary for more optimistic , expand, will results they aggregate shif t in decrease to the in lef t . to a to the businesses economy. for a feel Economic positive investments are more demand right . decrease in aggregate Keynes with that af ter with by taxes business to take likely will to increase Business investment demand, considered respect of a herd of to the income. so will aggregate from this taking refers out to they owe a lot , and pessimism, so spending the the AD curve behaviour to investment of decisions (imitation) many and, in business they will rst will try to his opinion, and factors, climate be greatly leading and so due to to to these changed swings changes in in the the level spending. lef t . taxes much from cut decrease decrease can was Technology: industries where technology improves fast will witness more investments, thus causing increases demand and a rightward shif t in the AD in curve. demand. or will investment Expectations unpredictable investment of Consumption how loans they instability spirits”. prevailing taxes, aggregate income observed “animal Business taxes: business taxes the affect increases rms’ the prots. protability A decrease of in investment using back their AD these money on More investment projects will be approved so their spending will tend to the AD increase. Aggregate debt . curve will increase and curve will shif t to will right . An increase in business taxes may result in lef t . average of future price price level to level: if decrease households AD expect expectations) they may delay further price purchases decreases. since they decreases and the AD As a result , the contrary, if consumers curve shif ts to the expect they shif t of the to may prices to increase indebtedness: past borrowing, if rms they will have be high levels hesitant to of take debt loans and make more investments as they will out rst lef t . to decrease debt . Hence, aggregate increase and expectations) lef tward aggregate try (inationary a come more demand and curve. Corporate due expect investment (deationary • 76 a will of income shif ting personal disposable and demand Expectations On if project , Decreases stability rms decreased to more possible leads the the funds increases. lef t . future curve demand • Even investment Borrowing evolve investment shif t an condence: political projects. cards. Aggregate become fewer stock level lef t personal spending indebtedness: households spending, to machines, consumption. the determine raises reduction increase Household credit as demand, • • will that protable. investment the aggregate will nd therefore effect . place. will lead borrowing such household • On then goods lef t . income disposable rate depends real the • spending what deposits increase increases decreases demand the increase capital factories will these are their similar shif t rates of and bonds entrepreneurs Aggregate Investment affected shif ts prices also the cars and shif ting now as in Business though, to but so insecurity the wealth, and moods. wealth: households demand supply present climate • aggregate other and by interest rms using curve about and on aggregate boost • consumption. the important household prospects adversely if nance or shif ting about on growth. purchase are increase hand, inuence equipment opposite spending, increases is growing unemployment favourably Investment Investment future. AD consumer its inuence the businesses economy time. optimistic feel stable of economy. right . condent A by equipment attractive bank s future spending tools, the cost Households as following. Interest funds households dened machines, boosting curve measure are as a projects • an economic expensive aggregate (I) (such period of of its long-term tools, lead per because nance cost a they following • decrease and people implies applies demand curve. and on will aggregate higher of tend goods capital because interest expenditures capital factories) both shif ting in AD less stock consumer the borrowing and more of and rms of increase nance Investment the an shif t spending, the AD curve shif ts to the lef t . demand decreases Government of total spending (G) are in many expenditures is categorized on economies goods and increase, a AD services. increasing curve to (appreciation) as: decrease, • current • capital spending on goods and investments) spending, which refers on roads, ports, telecommunications, other Trade policies: as transfer payments, unemployment section which refer to pensions benets; included in note national that transfer income since fall do rewards Governments and spend merit to to current ensure goods productive US markets environmental may also acceptable net exports lef t . to restrictions often to imposed international by 4.2). If that and adequate services education and are amounts available, health in their attempt standards, spend to care. the government redistribute is guaranteed minimum all. of of another one country country, imposes then so net exports will rise, increasing imports aggregate and shifting the AD curve decision to to the right. impose For tariffs example, on and aluminum so and that Such expected to reduce imports Chinese and net exports and aggregate demand. Relaxing example, benets, includes subsidies funding and state disability pensions, to affect aggregate benets. demand. An can can have lead to the an reverse increase effect. in Reducing imports and tariffs so to a net exports, the AD which will decrease aggregate demand, on. curve to the left. socially governments or demand decrease Movements in government expenditures will cause aggregate demand or to or the decrease, left. (explained This in is with part section economic and spending. For the of 3.6). political AD what We may priorities instance, it curve is may as therefore affect be shifting known a the to of public schools with smartboards and • the wealth that • the trade to while it may be an economic priority student that • the interest with Net must exports (X spending by spending on between of • time. to of our foreign of of on if Thus, the right . For Mexico’s the rises taxes the if of on income of if AD of in as a result of a a • leading lef tward Exchange country ’s shif t rates: its will of be our For the of price if If the €1 .00 become USA) one euro is equal cheaper while and imports if and per imports, will then which will AD and will shif t tend to (in by: (C) resulting in interest rates • consumer • household • personal • household • expectations condence wealth income taxes indebtedness on future price level changes from in investment changes • interest • business • technology • business • corporate expenditures (I) resulting in rates condence income goods the exports aggregate in is the terms = of in terms right . taxes indebtedness decreases, will tend demand then the USA) EU). it of in government expenditures (G) resulting to changes in and • economic • political priorities US EU that is changes in changes in net • income of • exchange • trade exports trading (X – M) resulting from partners example, rates exports abroad a country ’s dollars this priorities a means in become As of another (so, competitive the price USD1 .13 USD1 .05) (from caused curve Mexico’s partners our depreciates more domestically in rate expressed to are expenditures period increases, the Mexican so trading €1 .00 rate demand consumption curve. expressed example aggregate in increase. partners grows more decrease AD effect . difference economy shif ting USA curve exchange exchange now attractive a the rate trading will on an trading buy our of and the recession, to an currency currency. 1 .13. in effect • from decrease, effect changes changes say, by to: higher domestic the expenditures spending increase the as lead between minus simply, caused that inequality. difference income exports will will income output are level following. demand they the import spending the example, exports as more level income demand: however, or, and their widening domestic partners: aggregate aggregate If, on increased exports. Americans so dened revenues increases, increase the are depend their decrease output trading increasing to M) to foreigners They partners are – export Income Part increase curve price a from incomes AD equip changes tablet, the average government priority each the right Shif ts all in policy conclude level political the scal along to changes increase in shifting spending, Lastly, or fall unemployment increase turn to Aggregate spend in trade safety, so a is as spend product conditions income for imports of such They guarantee competitive to the Recap for trade governments effort . quotas They refer quotas administration’s restrictions defence, regulate or on and increase national effect; the the rate not steel public to shif ting exchange payments they the represent opposite curve and the and demand not the AD in infrastructure will are these tariffs restrictions • have the demand increase schools (see and will shif ting An to such spending aggregate right . services • (public the T I N U expenditures proportion : 3 large S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Government (in pricier result , net policies. the and less exports 77 Aggregate Aggregate domestic levels same in by shape different aggregate Note as of it to under AS at curve the how rather different We and output is price not much different is of average supply shows thought . the level different aggregate offer reects of planned at supply the schools supply the offer that planning macroeconomics used as to Aggregate are The dened willing time. GDP . rms levels. is are period real domestic price supply rms per as supply the shown average in Figure price level is on the vertical axis. This is 3.2.3. the output Average average level price (APL) SRAS controversial assumptions will initially Monetarist /New discuss Classical APL2 model and, Keynesian then, we will present aggregate supply under the model. APL1 Aggregate New supply Classical Monetarists (and under the Monetarist/ school New Classical economists) make a 0 distinction between the short run and the long run. Yr1 Yr2 Real output As (Yr) a result , there long-run is a short-run aggregate supply aggregate supply (SRAS) and a (LRAS). Figure Shor t-run aggregate If Within the aggregate 3.2.3 supply framework, the short run is during which the average money wages are xed and unable to changes basically earned what in per time is the average written on a price pay level. slip The (that money is, the the other your hand, the real wage, or wage the is what you purchasing can power wage. The real wage is rises xed, from then AP1L the to real APL2 wage while decreases protability, which induces them to and offer Yr2 instead of Yr1 . and thus caused by shif ts in changes short-run in aggregate production costs. supply Note are that buy of would have to be changes in costs of production that your will money greater output: Changes period). money level wage these with price remain “dollars” mainly On wages enjoy more is curve to rms adjust SRAS the money period The supply simultaneously affect most rms in the economy, not thus: only rms of a particular market . Thus short-run aggregate Wm Wr supply = will increase or decrease and thus the SRAS curve will APL shif t For example, if the Edgar ’s money wage is $60 per day price of a small carton of fruit juice is $2.00 then the following his Money wages can be thought of as being 30 small cartons of day. If Edgar continues to earn $60 but the price there of a rises to $4.00 per small carton, his real wage money 15 of wages these cartons of juice per day. Of course, in the price of one good, we use the average instead price whether wages are the real usually wage increased determined by or means that if the price level in the of long as contracts are in effect , the to for match the change explanation based in on the the price idea wages level. that Energy adjust will their level) expectations and only af ter of ination some time (of do There workers a rising they is also are prices have affected their purchasing reason is money that they wages are account closely for the costs. As long as money to part wages average An SRAS Indirect price and so level changes workers, in real only the terms, xed, or “pricier ” specically, if to the rms, inducing average price an level wage either real offer wage more decreases, decreases output . then On the and the real in turn contrary, wage rms if the increases willing to offer less output . The will output 78 sloping, where real output is on a wages a government short-run aggregate weakens supply the increases shif ts to the right . change: changes supply in in the the price same of way oil as affect changes in the price of oil decreases in short-run supply and shif ts short-run the SRAS curve aggregate to supply the and lef t; a shif ts curve taxes to or the right . subsidies will be curve the costs of change: indirect production. taxes, Therefore, such as higher increase price turn is production supply and costs shif t and the so SRAS decrease curve to short-run the taxes on the other hand, lower production lef t . costs. example, rms if will the VAT face in lower Greece costs decreases of from 24% production leading to supply to to increase in short-run aggregate and a shif t then willing average in affect be the SRAS curve to the right . Subsidies also affect production costs. will costs An increase in government subsidies level rms reduce of production and so increase short-run will supply, which will shif t the SRAS curve therefore horizontal rms’ to right . upward and money response. increases, and SRAS curve increases aggregate be if become of the contrast , if an More because unions, increase taxes, 10%, “cheaper ” In rms’ remain real will curve. aggregate of For affected rise, supply that Lower the SRAS aggregate aggregate production production power. related largest of aggregate average realize taxes supply costs short-run a sales The rms’ in slow • rising for So, not the price the example prices decrease to in SRAS aggregate second if, wage. changes, wages. adjust change contracts. economy money increase, decrease labour short-run as can minimum decreased. labour • This wages the to and Money in of level power determine a shif t decrease, using money change decreases lef tward to a fruit resulting juice is juice if per change: real example, wage cases. and • the in axis A decrease in government subsidies, on the to the the will raise short-run SRAS production aggregate costs for supply rms, and a causing lef tward a shif t potential allow curve. it level, An increase shif t as a of in the short-run shif t from aggregate lef t from SRAS aggregate curve SRAS1 supply SRAS1 to to supply right , SRAS2. means to the means that A the shown decrease SRAS in that there in curve Figure to level the SRAS3. price of Note say to produce. is SRAS1 that that the even there that though is natural (or is the since in the resources at its long and potential economy ’s long-run shif ts to output has Average level that of this level full run an technology or natural employment is output referred when this to by the the is the output be we taken economy. some Monetarists and is labour increases implies meaning increased. in there not the market is in 3.3). supply increased, potential should unemployment , exists then of it unemployment real section right has no which aggregate the capacity is level (see at employment , normal) unemployment If full there potential equilibrium Real Yp, its output . mean as SRAS2 0 Output considered unemployment , SRAS3 (APL) to output , whatever is At Average real 3.2.4 short-run shif ts of produces which level a level economy T I N U of in : 3 hand, decrease This is and that that the shown the the LRAS economy ’s in curve potential Figure level of productive 3.2.6. price (APL) LRAS LRAS Yp Yp output (Yr) Figure 3.2.4 Shif ts in the SRAS Long-run aggregate In run, the long money Monetarist/New adjusting price to level supply wages Classical changes rises curve by in the 2.4% are school assumed to average then be the exible price money by level. wages and So, will fully if the also increase 0 by 2.4%. It follows that the real wage is S C I M O N O C E O R C A M other constant . As Real output such, (Yr) rms no longer changing their respond level of to changes in the price level by output . Figure Long-run aggregate supply is therefore drawn as a LRAS curve) to show that changes in the average do long run and not rms’ response. real output . wages protability This Average level affect money is fully do shown in The adjust not reason and change Figure is thus to that the induce LRAS curve shif ting to the right in in long-run aggregate supply can be a result of following. the real an increase price the level The vertical An (the 3.2.6 wage • quantity increase output 3.2.5. price The • (APL) in means that output and The quality levels of of the the so of factors of quantity economy the LRAS factors education production of is to of shif ts the the more real right . improves. improve An immigration producing to production skills increases. due capable curve of and labour Greater quality of labour. LRAS Workers • become shif ts to the There are LRAS • of 0 Yp Real output (Yr) • will are 3.2.5 The LRAS curve More specically, Classical school, according the LRAS to the curve is it to to shif t can the the When as a LRAS curve activity and will an economy produce LRAS curve can the of the makes a so the better greater shif ts to the in economy ’s bureaucracy increase to equipment , and Improvements increase amount shif t and output , right . changes. the Technological machines more result the framework curve technology. produce to Therefore, Reducing in improved institutional economic LRAS able will institutional the lead increases. output . capacity. Figure be resources, There and right . can curve Efciency its productive improvements innovation which more the output use of quantity right . the productive facilitates produced; right . Monetarist/New vertical at the economy ’s 79 Recap Monetarist/New Short-run Money aggregate wages The SRAS • average if • Classical are curve price upward level drops, so if decreases, APL offer Shif ts rms less of supply assumed is offer Long-run (SRAS) Money xed. The sloping: (APL) more the supply real increases, the real wage • increases, so Shif ts rms SRAS curve can • changes in money wages • changes in energy prices • changes in indirect the supply taxes occur or under due to: Keynesian run and has average LRAS at real curve (LRAS) exible. price the subsidies. the Keynesian school increase • an improvement • improvements • increases • institutional below school the long there run is and no so distinction there is between only one AS three sections, as shown Figure in in the Such the potential level wage can level (APL) do is affected. occur not due not of output: affect real to: quantity in in the of factors quality of of production factors of production technology efciency changes. full an the employment economy level operates of real output presumably in denoted deep with recession the depression-like conditions. Unemployment is very high and curve, is a lot of spare or unused capacity. 3.2.7. III is vertical at the full employment level of price output level vertical because the Section Average is an there which in supply assumed • or short of are curve changes Yf. In LRAS output output wage aggregate wages output . the Aggregate aggregate (APL) Yf. This full employment level of output is typically AS considered within analysis a as the “ wall ”, extreme implying Keynesian that there framework is no of unemployment III in the economy. Section II on the which illustrates realization sectors I II and do situation capacity in Yf Real is in others. reach may an some employ may may in to It of with full but different resources, together. than Some others. production: rise Yf. depends many types earlier coexist continue of conditions bottlenecks beyond curve. differing employment industries output AS consists employment as increase sloping economy that full to cannot upward an full reach referred Real output that industries not industries 0 Real This spare employment as a result of output the capacity constraints in some industries, wages and, more (Yr) generally, Figure 3.2.7 The Keynesian AS Note Section I is horizontal, production implying that higher levels of and rising. will The output be produced explanation levels without lies with corresponding that, to the the this average price Equilibrium Classical Shor t-run realization region are that level of strictly speaking, aggregate it supply is as be a rising mistake Keynes the the long will thus run in his analysis of the and so will to was refer not to long-run interested workings of an make the distinction between short-run and signicantly Monetarist/New supply only for the Monetarist/New Classical APL SRAS equilibrium output at in the which short run aggregate exists at demand APL is equal Figure to short-run aggregate supply, as shown in 3.2.8. AD 0 Figure 80 We long-run equilibrium real in economy. equilibrium the prices. real model Macroeconomic that in also level aggregate Macroeconomic may output Keynesian can costs curve Yr 3.2.8 Short-run macroeconomic Yr equilibrium model. economy is Any in of level AD also of with real output SRAS. determined The at Yr is determined average level price at level the of the output as a adjusting result to any of money change in wages the being APL . exible Figure and 3.2.1 1 fully shows this. APL . APL SRAS shif t aggregate equilibrium average demand price and will induce output a levels change in the in the LRAS same if as the aggregate demand interest rates, AD1 AD2. to output as Yr2 shown then This as in change will well aggregate increases, the as Figure in AD lead to a say, curve in as will the higher demand. a result shif t short For to run average of the to example, lower right higher price : 3 SRAS direction level A1 APL1 from at A2 APL2 real APL2, APL 3.2.9. A3 AD1 APL SRAS AD2 APL2 Yr2 Yp Yr (NRU) APL1 Figure 3.2.1 1 aggregate Assume Returning to full employment following a decrease in demand an economy in equilibrium at point A1 where real AD2 output is at its potential level Yp, unemployment is at its AD1 natural 0 Figure Yr1 3.2.9 A shif t in the AD Yr2 Yr is curve at or, Now in short-run aggregate supply will induce changes average price level and of equilibrium output that the opposite direction. For example, if oil prices assume since production will decrease, costs with will the rise, SRAS short-run curve the AD SRAS1 to price SRAS2 level, in Figure APL2, 3.2.10. There accompanied by to the output average price level and leading to consumer a decrease condence in in the consumption expenditures. shif ting to Aggregate the lef t demand from AD1 decreases, to level drops from APL1 to APL2 and, AD2. since The in short run will lower be a money wages are assumed xed, the real wage lef t and thus protability for rms decreases so that higher output falls to Yr2. There is a movement in the short run equilibrium along real the aggregate shif ting real average business curve price increases from and increase the supply that decrease, investment average then, (NRU) are with in rate in and the normal APL1 . economy Shif ts T I N U equilibrium intersection S C I M O N O C E O R C A M The the SRAS curve from point A1 to point A2. Yr2. Short-run APL AD2 SRAS2 (full equilibrium with the SRAS employment) is at curve. level point Real and so A2 at the output is intersection below unemployment its of potential rises above SRAS1 its a natural rate deationary (NRU). The economy (recessionary) gap is characterized equal to the by difference APL2 between the equilibrium potential level of level output of output and the lower Yr2Yp. APL1 A deationary gap) exists potential gap when (full (also referred equilibrium employment) to real level as a recessionary output of is below the output . AD 0 Figure Yr2 3.2.10 A shif t in the Yr1 SRAS In Yr the long wages curve are decrease Long-run equilibrium that the long-run, equilibrium will necessarily be at potential or full employment level of output , match the money wages is deviation from the potential level of output can only the short run because money wages are this assumed SRAS curve money output in the will of short-run be equilibrium temporary long-run to its and the potential or from the economy full a shift in factor short-run to that the for Monetarists, money price level. short-run aggregate money wages will Remember aggregate supply level always employment shifts to the right to SRAS’. Since increases the and adjustment level. is assumed Also, since full, the the real real wage wage is returns to unchanged, xed. potential will decrease reason, wages original unemployment Deviations means exist its in For according as of any which the the economy ’s however, to supply. In run, exible, level must return to its natural rate (NRU) and of consequently real output economy therefore back to its potential level Yp. The return has moved automatically at point A3. of 81 According (that is, through for the to the Monetarists, an economy deationary/recessionary the adjustment government to of money intervene. will gap wages. The bounce will back close), There question is is, no of APL SRAS LRAS only need course, SRAS APL how not fast the economy specied and will thus return the “ long to full run” employment . may prove too It A3 is long a APL2 period, especially Something for similar the A2 unemployed. happens if there is an increase APL1 in AD2 aggregate demand. This is shown in Figure 3.2.12. A1 Assume output an is economy at its in equilibrium potential level Yp, at point A1 where unemployment is at real its AD1 natural Now or normal assume increase right in from and since real wage that rate a reduction aggregate AD1 in to the (NRU) and in demand, AD2. short The run the APL interest which price money rates shifts level rises wages is are at APL1 . leads the to AD from an curve APL1 assumed to to xed, and thus protability for rms increases run real output along Short-run SRAS. level the rises SRAS to equilibrium Real and output so Yr2. curve is is There from at A2 above at its unemployment is A1 a to the movement the 3.2.12 According intersection below (full its of AD2 with rate through wages. employment) natural Returning to the economy is difference greater characterized between equilibrium the level of by an inationary potential output level of gap output There output is gap greater exists and The the major model YpYr2. than when potential equilibrium (full following an increase in is an inationary adjustments, no need for namely gap the government will increase close in only money intervention. in the Keynesian model to difference described latter is not mechanism. inationary employment (NRU). equal the An full Monetarists, market Equilibrium The to demand short A2. potential falls in Yr so aggregate that Yr2 (U<NRU) the Figure decreases Yp (NRU) the APL2 between above and equipped Within the the the with Monetarist/New Keynesian an model automatic Keynesian Classical is that adjustment framework an economy real may nd with less itself stuck at an equilibrium level of real output employment) than full employment . No endogenous forces exist output . that will More However, in the long-run, money wages are assumed restore specically, they will fully adjust , matching the increase in price level. Short-run aggregate supply easily adjust the SRAS curve to the lef t to SRAS'. Since of money wages is assumed full, the real to its original level. Also, since the real wage unemployment must return to its the and consequently real output back to the Yp. point The economy has therefore moved It follows that they do within demand is the driving the force in “supply level of economic creating its own activity. demand” Instead (Say ’s Classical school of thought , which included rate fathers automatically Keynes of monetarism turned things and inside the out , New Classical postulating that at A3. Recap Adjustments The case • decrease A lead of to money a A of a the in aggregate decrease are in output gap will will fall model The demand the rms Classical gap in average assumed inducing deationary real Monetarist/New deationary wages increase, • in to xed, the reduce arise since below the the price short level. real run will • wage case An of to money will an equilibrium output level • An in aggregate increase are of real in the gap demand rms gap output will will in average assumed inducing inationary level level. inationary wages decrease, potential an increase lead Since output . the to xed, the increase arise since exceed the price the short level. real run will Since wage will output . the equilibrium potential output level. • In the long adjust and average so will run, price the money decrease level. to The potential wages match real level of are the wage exible and decrease will be in will • the restored In There is no need for and will run, price the money increase level. to The potential wages match real level of are the exible and increase wage will be in There is no need for restored output . government will the intervention. • 82 long average output . government the adjust and so • law the potential school), level “sticky but is natural its aggregate equilibrium intellectual (NRU) downwards). model, believing from unchanged, assumed increase wage of returns are may the behind adjustment wages wages decreases, Keynesian shif ting money (money the not average employment . exible downwards” and full intervention. and demand” determines economy. If, insufcient for to the (which we equilibrium whatever establish reason, full call level aggregate of real aggregate employment demand) output in demand then a an proves curve to remain rise from will suffer a system-wide failure, as it will be its own (that is, without the help of the government) full employment the economy operating at consumer condence full to distance Unlike now AD1 to AD2. the Equilibrium “ wall ”). The APL real output will though APL2. the ab can be referred Monetarist/New to as the Classical inationary model, on the vertical axis as in the strict the gap interpretation conditions. of Consider APL1 from (remember to is restore Yf unable gap. on right at market Vertical economy the will shown in employment . Figure A 3.2.13, collapse in Keynesian model, full employment refers to zero unemployment . initially business the and APL demand, and the causes AD curve a decrease shif ts to in the AS aggregate lef t from AD1 b to AD2. Equilibrium employment level (recessionary) real of gap output output equal to Yf. Yr2 is Thus, below there the is a T I N U “effective : 3 is that APL2 full deationary Yr2Yf. a APL1 APL AS AD2 AD1 Yf Figure Note AD1 3.2.14 that still be it to The the inationary idea of incorporated gap the in within natural the the Yr Keynesian rate of Keynesian diagram unemployment model. The way can to do S C I M O N O C E O R C A M it AD2 Yr2 Yf Yr level of Figure 3.2.13 The deationary (recessionary) gap within the is dene of the real AS as the output curve full to would employment the lef t of intersect level where the of the output vertical horizontal axis. some section This is Keynesian shown in Figure 3.2.15. diagram APL As mentioned money wages adjustment full are a stuck level level. of The “sticky in level a real output government aggregate This be can or push the output . that must demand achieved loose the downwards”. to of to Keynesian There either monetary is below therefore and the (see full to the economy gap; full automatic back an AS school, no that may is, employment intervene restore through policy is economy Therefore, deationary/recessionary increase policy according mechanism employment remain at above, in order to employment . expansionary sections 3.6 scal and 3.8). AD1 An a inationary Keynesian not gap is diagram, interested in more as cumbersome Keynesian investigating to analysis inationary illustrate was within AD originally conditions. 0 In any case, vertical if aggregate section inationary of gap a is demand Keynesian said to be increases AS curve within (section 3.2.14 shows an III) then an Figure 3.2.15 economy at the full employment Yf. causes aggregate A rise in business Yr An alternative on the Keynesian inationary gap increase and consumer condence of aggregate demand to AD1 creates an of inationary output Y1 created. The Figure Yfe the gap equal to distance YfeY1 on the horizontal now axis. demand to increase and thus shif t the AD 83 3.3 Macroeconomic Economic Meaning Economic through growth of the growth economy objectives over term refers time: it to is The an increase dened as in an the size increase of of real most important economic an GDP • time. growth Improved consumer increased spending increase Measuring economic growth rate is the percentage change in real two periods. The periods are usually two years Short-term could be two quarters. So, for example, the growth an economy in, say, 2020 (compared to 2019) as − growth lower would short-term condence in the (C) and short leading rms (I) to may term. may interest result rates from a decrease decrease the cost in interest of borrowing households build and houses, to rms, buy who may consumer borrow more durables or to to buy buy be: machines rGDP or build factories. Lower interest rates may also rGDP 20 Growth to rate or for business households growth lead but for they may following. GDP rates between economic and by that the growth • The factors include 19 lead = × to a depreciation of the exchange rate which makes and imports 100 2019→2020 rGDP exports cheaper and more competitive, pricier 19 and Using actual data to calculate the US growth rate in of real GDP in 2019 = $19,220 GDP in 2018 = $ 18,783 billion. 19220 Growth in 2019 attractive, so that net exports, another component aggregate demand, increase. billion • real less 2019: An a • −18783 = × 100 = increase in component , A decrease in government would expenditures directly (direct) increase taxation would (G) which, aggregate increase being demand. disposable 2.33% income, which could lead to an increase in consumption 18783 This means If the it would that growth the rate mean US economy gure that this for a grew country economy ’s in in real 2019 2019 GDP by was −2.5% 2018 and 2019, so this economy (C). expenditures and as expansionary was in the A depreciation growth rate for another economy in 2018 was trading then one year later it was at 2.85% this lower does not positive, slower is mean in that real the recession. GDP economy Since the decreased continued growth to grow or rate in that is net also be calculated using 2019, but at a To show per capita Growth over This to resources. the short to the thus growth Potential that (or is full a result of greater employment) use output of Growth is In not could over increasing a rms thus to rate, decrease faster in the growth degree of of face can all lead to an increase growth. growth leading growth you can use diagram to growth. the short term is a result of aggregate as an increase in aggregate demand increase potential, in or real full GDP (assuming employment , the an a Keynesian where increase the in AD real or a curve The effect of such output an is demand can lead shif t not at the right prove rise in to growth the for a increases variety any of reasons. component of increase it to the aggregate investment exports (I) right and demand and (NX). increase includes government real output . consumption (G) on the size of original output . close to the in increase generating its potential in aggregate growth (full if demand the economy employment) demand would mostly lead to a as rise only a small, if any, increase in real in GDP . in aggregate Classical demand model would (Figure prove 3.3.1b), ineffective an if was operating past potential real output. The the original any to level of illustrate real any output growth must in lie real to the GDP left that is of potential not temporary. Remember The (C), expenditures also the demand output shif t but on and Technically, aggregate ineffective Monetarist/New equilibrium that real model, aggregate with economy factor of demand depends its In to level GDP to output). increase, real aggregate Keynesian increase Aggregate in on demand will economy demand operating prices 84 exchange and Classical right , increase the the net referred existing was that are policy. shor t-term economic aggregate the term affected. will the and short-term equilibrium refers lead government gures. in an in taxes real and GDP direct the shif ts can of domestic exports Monetarist/New rates increase in still rate. Growth scal partners Illustrating economy an growth in rate that decrease 3.45% protection and a recession. our If Note decreased • between expenditures 2.33%. as well as Keynesian show any that an increase diagram increase in the (Figure in 3.3.1a) aggregate average price should demand level. be may used not to lead to Growth model Growth over over the the long long term T I N U Keynesian term is a result of more or better AS becoming technology. Any employment) The • are i n c re a s e of w o r ke r s of re a s o n s . factor output following An AD2 available that in will implies some the of of for of improved increase potential growth the size ava i la b l e and/or most the over may (full long important la b o u r work the term. : 3 resources factors. f o rc e . The i n c re a s e for number a va r i e t y AD1 Y1 Y2 Real output an inux Fo r of e x amp l e , m i gra n t an i n c re a s e w o r ke r s , or an in p o p u lat i o n , i n c re a s e in the (Yr) pa r t i c i pat i o n e x amp l e , (b) Monetarist/New Classical of rat e of some women) will p o p u lat i o n i n c re a s e the gro u p size (for of the la b o u r model f o rc e . APL LRAS SRAS • An increase in investments labour • An stock of education human and capital. health care Past will increase productivity. increase more the in in the machines stock and of more physical factories, capital. then If the there are productive AD2 capacity of the economy increases, leading to long- AD1 term growth. becoming Y1 Y2 Yp Real Note that available is more a and most better infrastructure signicant contributing output factor for a country to achieve and sustain economic (Yr) growth Figure 3.3.1 demand Growth in the short term through a shif t right of Figure • Historically, 3.3.1a and 3.3.1b, aggregate demand shif ts to from AD1 to AD2 leading to an increase in real the Y1 to Y2 and thus to short-term can also illustrate curve short-term (PPC) growth diagram. agriculture, located moving towards Such of a goods. of this existing would Think growth using of and to more would not be be the of an units and the a Z (combination F). Greater greater will Advances it now to produce not of Figure of good An in and since have of combination and use run X and Z2 produced units while of the good Z. Since production with more of (AB), actual growth has been services in have potential been output past two for centuries. to and further communication increase potential technologies output . help in X2 units both possibilities which achieve a more in the framework economic growth exible product supply potential in the labour to rules long can the place) Less and also right and takes term. market markets (LRAS) (the activity more shif t and long- lead to an output . of long-term growth growth can be illustrated through a shif t to the of of the Keynesian AS curve or the Monetarist/New goods remain LRAS curve so that full employment real output the output) increases (see Figure 3.3.3). achieved. G row t h Good growth resources (potential same the institutional aggregate increase economy units also competition better the Z1 existing H in within bureaucracy, shif ted greater or may Classical are health increases information improved regulations produced 3.3.2, X • right good and dramatic considered Long-term permits economic technology then resources In use in production Illustrating good long-term economy boundary. being result more available. X1 PPC boundary would producing the closer indicate output becoming initially inside possibilities resources technology was point northeast , Total production outwards, a the movement both the at industry for economies are initially of Advances growth. • possibilities drivers advances. output all You term. main technological responsible from long the in right the aggregate (AD) are In over S C I M O N O C E O R C A M (a) APL in the long term can also be i l l u s t rat e d using Z a p ro d u c t i o n possibilities c u r ve (PPC) d i a gram . Since A grow t h or in better o u t wa rd s the Z2 H The AB. Z1 long PPC As a the can for X1 Figure 3.3.2 Growth in the short X2 term through Good an outward shif t be the result expanded, B term used re qu i re s d i a gram to the and economy of more m o re w h e re i l l u s t rat e or shown better production it is now goods that initially to This illustrates FH. a or better the PPC economic re s o u rc e s , shif ts grow t h ove r term. technology, F long t e c h n o l o gy, were in Figure resources possibilities able not growth to feasible. in of produce the Its long 3.3.4 was and/or this initially better economy combinations PPC has of shif ted out term. X of the PPC 85 (a) Keynesian model Good X F AS AS APL A B Figure Yfe Yfe 3.3.4 Monetarist/New LRAS Classical model LRAS that certain to the in equilibrium may APL right also of to Yr Growth in the long term using the AD/AS example, an Impact of economic growth also output . spending now capital (more growth economy ’s total economy ’s is dened output total output it as (real is process follows words, that then income) automatically on several is an increase GDP). the (in if an Given ip-side other through that of the words, economy income rising. greater living per Higher access standards statistics time of standards for the value of and thus investment and the level thus stock available) potential increase output—but demand in output on will real supply increase factories long-run potential in of of the will also or public and thus capacity supply and shif t of to output right . investment real the the as output economy potential In spending but and also thus output . average income But have of its any customers of increases non-Bezos income the is person growing faster to to per goods capita and income services, as customers improve. This explains why make headlines economic growth in most may the that population. the fruits of The inequality are of we only to the wealthiest. must be For imply is Per in the an average and to this average economist distribution explained, if Jeff of there by to lead capita provides income. Bezos desirable by because increased the people do not improve. This is one living reason re-evaluate of any laudatory headlines about the rate country. the extent that in economic which growth people live, it negatively is highly impacts controversial permit accept that economic growth necessarily improves living this release If the means with which economic growth is being of are responsible for the extreme weather conditions all. is to walks many droughts, parts res, of rising the sea world levels that and have crop resulted failures, in then no They cannot be argued that this type of growth has improved may standards for the affected people. improved income no As in living growth may not improve living standards if it is gures It will be jobless if it is a result of adopting labour- information saving underlying to growth environment jobless. the not than improved that shared growth inclusive. and per Economic it fragile ordinary need economic living standards is countries. not reason growth accompanied national levels so growth generated country ’s (referred Economic an it guarantee 86 the growth) of care private shif t increase spending equilibrium aggregate its in and an an oods, Prize right health of to economic the increase and private dollars. richer? experienced Unfortunately, just the billion any achieved about an increase thus aggregate demand productive aggregate standards. are an growth to individuals living increased the the accrue to level and supply increases Also, population, growth to and government but increase aggregate of sense also in increase machines will shif t to higher output increases why production capita lead long-run aggregate standards its model models income income) PPC Z standards Economic the the (short-term and increasing Or, will real lead education increase will potential become in on it to living using demand increase or demand, long-run economic and aggregate other of term that output increase growth). long-run Consequences real (long-term economy 3.3.3 factors supply equilibrium Figure long aggregate an infrastructure Yp the aggregate For Yp in Good Yr Note (b) Growth H a into famous a bar Nobel then technologies. Widespread adoption of technologies robotics, automation the risk of and jobless articial growth in Government intelligence the near future. regulations. internalize It must be noted that living standards also depend many other factors that are not captured by and rising per capita incomes. The idea standards is closely related to the idea of of include adopt which is discussed later in this trade Kuznets (the creator of national income that for which increase imperfect in he per measure earned capita of the Nobel income living (that Prize is, rms and the The of in 1971) growth) is growth environment positive and is a not economic on simple. negative growth Economic impact on growth the the positive impact because richer have environment. countries have It both may a more to the goals their more disposal on the industries to deal with production and they of have environmental services tougher and on issues, was believed that and the relationship growth exhibited between an they every of regulations. Economic grew and initially rise per capita and then, U-shape. increased, some capita income, it would decrease. critical This a to as the relationship would lead environmental was to generally eventual Kuznets true, then the EKC as justication curve (EKC). usual” approach applies with has to only “ local from the to certain using generally been the distribution adverse that issue even types externalities” cooking more have shown of for result of some of the polluting global of adopting sustainability. such a a as indoor open advanced effect of industries environmental typically Also, if is is Growth EKC does not seem to apply to what “dispersed externalities”, such as net . to Higher tax to growth pollution EKC it was may so on that Growth term increased is a result use of fossil access fuels resources. environment at the has labelled if by or on of are increased and levels on UNDP it the Such as is and Economic of living of The growth the the is in of become more the order to that met . signatory meet clear that ambitious their NDCs the goals these when NDCs they are growth on the income both that implies to decrease income the and increase inequality government higher incomes, taxes adopt can be income because collects which collected. policies spent government the revenues to decrease can to of through lead Higher that to tax alleviate create set disposable enable the unemployment the disabled decrease allows income and or more revenues poverty. improve up or improve incomes of government benets the income basic a and a older to to destitute. a social pension people. establish pay Such cash short-term inequality. government that to higher and in to favour in the embark out Growth especially investment that to people invest productivity infrastructure, allows lif t inequality. governments agricultural It not on of over the policies improve in rural by longer- and long to term increase sanitation areas education poor on poverty of and the and country. health improving their care these services, thus increasing their human access capital. of increased productivity increases their Their income- on the that the has capacity and so decreases income inequality. the comes degradation growth It has decrease increase also enables common impact standards economic It each adopt are production, relied environmental “ futureless”. thus the means to ensure emissions. depletion neglects sustainable. impact unchecked, use must (NDCs) known predominantly that pollution generations. the has the Growth not of adverse future and, is expense an and production the may programmes earning but of more increase resulting Economic Agreement it reduced. carbon rms necessary. years. governments example, system to as also Contributions expenditure programmes The are recent true, trade countries not cost). to Several the international impact least such associated economies, across the subsidies “business household res). (with and is If More relationship pollutants (such polluting true if Paris economic may programmes research effectively become dividend” and transfers as of by growth improvement . for more of relationship economic environmental a decreases pollution level or considered It “scal safety referred pollution As For per rms adoption environmental inverted incomes af ter it itself ve growth inequality. allow would incentivize broader rely intensive income countries which the have growth. degradation that technologies and successively reviewed the It to necessary. resources information environmental do Agreement . distribution at taxes and technologies commits Impact a so Determined Paris should the may can green clean the countries and in parties Nationally of between carbon technologies, schemes that adopt Lastly, environment relationship are noted an standards. economic generate product include Impact they environmental industries Even that accounts stricter polluting human book . Investments Simon costs imposing cleaner and those development , external enforce force improved cap living the and that economic to growth adopt on These very could Policies T I N U increase : 3 on further S C I M O N O C E O R C A M relying present been sustainable undesirable. However, income economies. that in the countries scal does past has income alone decades, has ensure There that is the issue income to no increased the as resulted governments inequality. will has on dramatically that force, experts three risen dividend not inequality Leading have of may policies guarantee that growth growing documented within grown. growth adopt benets many inequality they from in have The allow, that market are but decrease forces fairly distributed. Is it possible optimistic is for and economic answer is governments other many their for shing of be the economic the heavily, stocks. to sustainable? rst subsidizing around industry sh Perhaps stop unsustainable governments depletion yes. to growth step use of activities. world which in For continue of course this fossil The direction fuels example, to subsidize accelerates the Growth may may concentrated the of be coastal the more be regions). less have skilled, by in It educated. technological workers driven may This progress” been a rely is only the much income handful regions of of on referred where rising widening only certain to country certain as wages faster industries a the of than it skills, of ten “skill-biased the the or (of ten highly wages skilled of the inequality. 87 Another has contributing been and a monopoly income away monopoly services rise very in power. from power and pay corporate Europe, even factor signicant This is that is can charge though to is it few less. more has a countries corporate for rising Firms in for products the most USA is and and inequality in high Rising income inequality may also be the result of liberalization and globalization. Many their the Even winners losers, in where jobs. there most losses. import though, from free have countries Workers income and in face export-oriented as it trade been to penetration few, will are if greater any, compensate workers industries been high clear, than the displaced maintain workers or losses lose increase of of for and transfer systems may also be responsible. taxation has become much less and term, grown their their In more the 1980s, income. More is generally, now both while in size at the and in same time scope. T ax be since explained affect later, increase transfer and resulting higher tax income revenues create or improve a social the the pension • unemployment schemes to support net older by education cash are transfers, deprived resulting invest to and higher more support in have not , over the long International that the resulting many countries 1980s. decrease role of Monetary from These the role of the policies, of unregulated Fund (IMF) market-based the world which have will government ma r ke t s . but t h ey do not pay T h ey aim at t e n t i o n to the grow t h t hat re s u l t s . As this grow t h income i n e qu a l i t y is i n c re a s e d . and health their care human for the capital, poor productivity capacity. may increase income inequality: if it relies only on concentrated certain that infrastructure tax other revenues that raise projects electrication, improve groups permit increase rural that transport the lives Policymakers’ of skills, is an if market as the government the It agricultural and as a highly Such educated improve and sanitation, permits economic the of the objective government infrastructure, investments addition, are of result rising of is and trade rising, pay as lower liberalization any it or regions permits rms to wages that compensation income taxes payments a result of implemented telecommunications prospects as and of displaced or many retraining becoming decreasing in less size progressive and scope the state market-based since and of the supply-side 1980s labour that policies decreased the role unions. poor for these to make in human higher lay higher the or capital foundation growth rates for imply faster. However, faster levels of income are enjoyed only by any top 1% or the top 10% less to applaud. of the population, then there increase and be If the rising levels of output and in come at a high environmental cost , then there further be less to cheer about . Growth must be inclusive that and incomes coastal incomes may In prices without transfer incomes growth. of ten perspective important in concentration higher result a and may investments areas, provided the economy. certain people If Growth in need. • 88 that income in: policies productivity R&D. shown people • improving so the income-earning workers • has progressive benets • who • of increase charge to more spending • other to down on: • The research with payments growth grow t h , i n c l u s i ve , is • recipients slowing government • more that invest , inequality permit safety disincentivize to systems Growth to belief and payments transfer and The work at the progressive to may even policies implemented • growth the highest considering the thus the many Recap How of has slowly. re-evaluating supply-side not decreased to potential, However, countries generous more distribution since payments when result incentives earning economy. a c c e l e rat i n g countries, the USA as to the booming their the European taxes and T ax the According of programmes in (LIS) Disposable (such lost gains workers industries whereas welfare be country. transfers taxes. economies may decrease income a in have the government import-competing dislocation, has become This in plus income Center advanced taxes income income minus Study income. their northern industries factor increased growth trade as Income generous increase disposable pensions) income while countries. of among disposable this than level dened Luxemburg high that the income benets of with shows in affect there concentration transfer more Research pronounced been a rms. consumers workers power some in responsible consumers their in increase growth rates sustainable. Other wise it may prove fragile. is and differences measurement important An individual is considered unemployed if he or she looking for a job but cannot nd a clearer unemployment rate is the ratio of picture the number over the size of the labour force (also as the workforce) of and the times 100. The labour Number rate force includes of that the labour population aged between of force working 1 5 of × those of and of or the age, 64, workforce which even if is not includes they measuring formula difculties are the same everyone not looking as the for a seems in ofcial or of a at an country. overestimate unemployment It but there may The for population accept for a one the accurate The true long would offer because and their estimate ofcial of statistic are may are not but they past to who work have have underestimate workers. and These would stopped remained search effort no considered the Some ofcial individuals part-time are workers employed It may but do may be was actively effort in seeking unemployed they do are fully have a working utilize overqualied job and their the for hidden or disguised to underemployed It is just too Causes ofcial skills job they They are they hours also are rate because of the all an Some individuals may very are per considered week may be and are status, such as or experience they and to the may fearing or Some report The individuals that ofcial than an to so often different are for conceal loss of the and they female and • different male their that paying illegal off to different Youth age are aged 15 unemployment income is also activities and Studies to is also so nothing it does that same. for the decrease with The low. serious. variations may Individuals different policies on one who reasons. used the type another into rst are This to decrease cause. of Policies that unemployment may type. four two Cyclical These in mean several is a the types: are and are seasonal, relatively structural examined result of demand that frictional, insignicant unemployment separately unavoidable and construction week s in the temperatures increase farm more not the reveal workers relating June in type to risk USA , winter of supply below. and of workers months and ice may work-related of is unemployed schedules the and school nd are work variation the secondary This labour. are in of ten places prevent their accidents. In work many surge other for in for labour countries, graduates start some different periods crops. supply as many looking for a of Another every year in college and job only but employment . unemployment governments can do is expected about it . and there Monthly is not unemployment rates unemployment 24 with usually show it unemployment freezing will time and it is are so corrected that by statisticians among Frictional the higher highest for there are policymakers not those can (seasonally due to determine seasonal true adjusted) changes in factors. unemployment typically women of ten unemployment refers to people who are between rate. and as it takes time to match a job-seeker with an available for job minorities. so gender, taxes. jobs Unemployment regions, groups and category the categorized patterns Frictional the economy, depending deal is unemployment , refers between the granted groups. unemployment workers to typically more for though, • illegal. true country religious is unemployment seasonal country unemployment or is true statistics ethnic work groups. because structural. are much much • for between age differ effective gradually of their workers. between: regions because transfer benets in statistic whole or to unemployed. the of avoid they used discouraged overstate avoid employed unemployment average disparities • they are to than areas • because status following. unemployment unemployed, employment workers and only unemployment their hold. to intentionally either true unemployed important be where payments individuals unemployment ineffective laid employment average unemployment Weather • taxes differences of predictable unemployment and capacity. not involuntary include unemployment is individuals unemployment their employment , Seasonal The part-timers below concealing income Seasonal refer because discouraged Since are term includes statistic . so fewer individuals for unemployment that searching unsuccessful. underemployed. who true are and The the a happily unemployed unemployment Underemployed not as as true cyclical who more ofcial underestimate Unemployment desired. dened or statistic involuntary unemployment • is months the is in 12 reasons. discouraged like demonstrating included for force. the employed unemployed they long-term may Not they the which unemployment . statistic following includes who job is country, unemployment ethnicities individuals a underestimate hidden conceal • to country. are • unemployment a job. paying The of unemployment straightfor ward arriving rate of unemployment individuals underestimate importance of labour Limitations typically • unemployment market Recap being many rate unemployed workers, above labour 100 force of The the the • Difculties is unemployed = Labour the it data unemployed. Unemployment Note of signicant proportion employed Therefore, unemployment referred ratio to countries. of unemployment unemployed within disaggregated one. Lastly, The regions examine is get actively among to : 3 Meaning T I N U unemployment S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Low vacancy. This unemployment is of a short-term nature and signicant is also largely unavoidable in an economy since people 89 will always voluntarily switch jobs, searching for better Average price AS ones, or related choosing to frictional the faster. relocate. labour market unemployment . unemployment proles to of by those The available can has be will and that for job work and but can become not as as in (APL) frictional well as wider the and vacancies real level eliminate known helped matched information minimize vacancies considerably posted better decrease Governments ensuring internet availabilities Faster and time. AD Cyclical (demand decient) unemployment AD This type cycle. of unemployment Higher recession is unemployment because of the directly will lower related necessarily level of to the business accompany economic a activity. 0 Assume This that could aggregate be the demand result of a decreases decrease in for some consumer condence levels. Or it could be the because decrease shrink in and of lower economic others to incomes activity shut abroad. result forces The some of production 3.3.5 Illustrating levels reasons, money fall, for example downwards”. Firms unemployment downturn wages businesses to Structural down. way demand of is the do not for labour because will need cyclical easily of will to decrease contracts. re unemployment . business It past unemployment unemployment a be rigidities. diagram assumed Yf. Aggregate result , Y’ real and level as to a of (see the at its demand output Figure to are exit 3.3.5). result using Initially employment decreases gap activity laid the deationary full decreases deationary economic worker s forced be off by market . gap, the from below forms leads rms the greater to are the the of to of the As This shrinking size of skills employers that New time a Loss to the lower the or size of rms the to lower and of export industrial be clear that in unemployment deationary thus jobs cost other order they for policymakers should try to to decrease decrease the a be skills of the the two words: situation mismatch where unemployed are job not the demand. certain new job responsible are already jobs obsolete while opportunities. for many at Articial used in losing some their jobs. countries, slowly unemployed. markets lead were more job lost imports. often to to industries 3.3.6a in Job but lack competitive, losses the in a USA those the in may skills cost, Very other be unemployed necessary lower country. and vacancies and 3.3.6b gap by increasing aggregate economic that may activity. be used The to expansionary increase explained and evaluated unemployment particular countries plenty due to to be foreign many in due exporting import offered a job. illustrate industry: as ship a this result of case. a fall They in show demand in repair. size the market for shipyard repairs in Greece. As a result of demand efcient and cheaper ship repair services offered in Korea, demand-side aggregate demand and other countries, demand for ship repair services in will Greek be remains resulting China policies describes render drivers also competition more and will truck may Assume of by that structural unemployment . should cyclical the creating truck s structural It but technologies same Figures cyclical summarized of output unemployment greater causes economy real AD’. Y ’Yf. unemployment The a employment cyclical that Again, AD full equal to level the resulting making is be exist Driverless Keynesian may Mismatch vacancies the illustrated is recovery. “sticky cycle. can model) unemployment economic intelligence Cyclical (Keynesian many are The is unemployment decrease. for They workers. cyclical resulting and However, output lower unemployment As Real (Yr) Structural exports Yf or Figure business Y reason. shipyards dramatically decreased and thus demand for the later. highly In specialized Figure 3.3.6a decreased, from labour working demand D to D’. for As ship a in this repair result, far industry services fewer also in ship decreased. Greece repair services (a) Price/unit Money S wage S (W) b a P W1 P W2 D D1(L) D2(L) D 0 Q Q Quantity L2 of L1 Labour (L) services Figure 90 3.3.6a Market for ship repair services Figure 3.3.6b Labour market for ship repair services workers Q’ Shipyards highly instead in Greece specialized and of Q per were highly year, thus paid and forced at to workers. a much re very lower Other many Unemployment where shipyards were the biggest employer reached Figure workers from 3.3.6b, is the shown D1(L) to labour where D2(L). If market demand money for for these their wages are highly services “sticky specialized High non-wage remain at W1 , then structural to health the leading to structural following. labour decreased national costs care Higher insurance that burden businesses: benets) labour costs that contributions employers imply fewer (for these pay for workers pensions their and workers. hired. downwards” • and rigidities include 90%. refer In market in • towns labour unemployment unemployment equal T I N U produced: price. : 3 were High money wages achieved by powerful labour unions for to will result . Even if money wages do workers would be decrease to W2, you businesses and fewer workers hired. Union members (“insiders”) will note that only L2 employed in these benet at the expense of “outsiders” who do not get hired. shipyards. This implies that L1L2 highly specialized shipyard • workers were laid off. Some may have accepted lower Laws if jobs elsewhere, perhaps as gas attendants, but the it remains structurally unemployed. It Figure 3.3.6b that the number of employed be in and such at , or The the resulting industries below but mismatch are close can unemployment indeed to, also “sticky higher if workers money downwards” geographic , with the they may High and in one region elsewhere. Newer of the country research while reveals job that To of decrease of labour is much lower than and unemployed, especially older or tax grant because cost of of family ties, previously individuals, home thought rigidities. changing If money that These do labour Minimum break s wage wages rms will are reluctant to hire workers. these to may accept decrease a job the offer. unemployment , to programmes rms that governments or hire they and may offer subsidize Governments retrain may also long-term provide to ownership and the who individuals are willing enrolling to relocate in to skill-creating areas To force the unemployed to with faster better accept a job to governments may also decrease the size of, and limit of ten may also be a result of duration refer not demand laws are are set to permit labour the and labour examples above the market labour supply of labour market related market be willing to hire fewer to laws of, will be offering their labour as unemployment labour market benets. related These policies supply-side are policies market while discussed in section and 3.7. to Recap Types rigidities. equilibrium be and adjust conditions. workers to labour and causes of unemployment level, four types of unemployment and their causes are: more • individuals reluctant benets: individuals. prospects. The then workers: workers moving. unemployment regulations re as will market more unemployed retraining loans or referred Structural to vacancies the high protecting rms geographical offer, move at for unemployed job the the structural training courses mobility aiming costly wages remain low-cost exist become unemployment unemployed clustered more is W1 . be security and realized incentive lower job difcult vast should • from guarantee becomes then majority that paying S C I M O N O C E O R C A M their members: again, this implies higher production costs for (ab) seasonal—a result of seasonal variations in the services. demand Money or the • frictional—a • cyclical—a supply result of of labour people between jobs S(L) wage (W) a b to shed result of recession as rms will be forced labour W Minimum wage • We structural—a result unemployed have or The The was a result of natural idea of the labour rate natural introduced of earlier a and mismatch skills market of between rms of skills the demand, rigidities. unemployment rate (see that unemployment section 3.2, page (NRU) (NRU) 81). Some D(L) unemployment be 0 L1 L L2 people who is unavoidable are out of work in any economy. because of There seasonal will always factors Labour or because they are between jobs. Given that any economy is (L) always Figure 3.3.7 Structural unemployment as a result of minimum wage in a constant Figure labour be results noted that 3.3.7 , at equal though reasonable unemployment . many or employers that the the workers rate and to that L2 paid L1 wage or wage originally not object because decrease line empirical laws explanation were do – many minimum One employers wage minimum it studies have below to a W ’, excess segment could may turnover, rate be the (ab). have not that led which is should to paid costly. effort by level increase in from in global because to higher competitive greater of shown wages reasonable elicit supply It of change, some people will be also laws unemployed In state because competitive of advances advantage. in technology Some the labour market cannot changing labour market conditions. described amounts unemployment. comprises Figure and seasonal, 3.3.8 market in the to So, can be can used is to The the always that and illustrate of has and natural the axis is or fast just enough been structural unemployment unemployment. NRU. the workers changes unemployed adjust structural vertical number be What frictional state frictional equilibrium. horizontal seasonal, we will It real (L). shows wage The a labour rate (Wr) labour 91 demand hire at rms will curve try curve to shows force the (LD) different at of employ the each shows levels opportunity of cost of real of many real fewer number level how the workers wage. workers. leisure As a The individuals wage. At rms LF real increases to so more to wage, force) join wage willing real (labour willing the are higher the work for leisure and thus join the labour people resources is increases, labour could that waste have associated AJ (accept of jobs) curve individuals in shows the at each real labour force who, unemployment benets, will accept a job wage rate, given offer. Rising rises compared of one to the level accepting a of job As unemployment offer increases. difference Equilibrium between in the the labour AJ and market the is LF at the they do not pay benets, of individuals number of that individuals rms who are are willing willing to to curves so they The market unemployment is distance in equilibrium that is continues the to is accept equilibrium exist or in both direct It job revenues lose their the incomes They these may are collect lower less. The government than their thus collects and indirect taxes. rise, as a At the result same time, of: benets for some that most period of governments pay the time to funding more training to help programmes retrain that are unemployed workers labour equal − to additional of ten AJ tax offer the is taxes. but expenditures unemployment (ab). wage is curve. the • Real economy the equal a when NRU. the unemployed income spend implemented (Le). the becomes where hire as complete the − the GDP Remember a unemployment possibilities decreases The benets, unemployed number Higher what real Therefore, Wre real produced. clear level − smaller. in production collects. government horizontal loss not the the less probability represents. unemployment income, wage are becomes will unemployment of a its It market. so number produced limited. with inside government The been are unemployment operating • substitute that expenditures arise Perhaps the as a most result to of remedy social costs that unemployment . signicant economic costs arise when LF unemployment is high and unemployment increases prolonged. High and prolonged (Wr) income inequality in the country as the unemployed lose their income while others maintain theirs. Many people may slip into poverty, especially the less educated, because even low part-time, if they manage to nd a job later it is often a a b pay, insecure job. Rising income inequality is Wre responsible • High and especially to nd a for many economic , prolonged the job economy ’s younger abroad. human social unemployment and In the this capital. better way, A and political may force educated, emigration country is problems. many, to try shrink s of ten the deprived LD of Le its The Labour best result 3.3.8 The be 3.3.8 implies that those included in the natural rate unemployed. This may be true for some example, The certain high paid workers who lost their of foreign competition may simply reject offers as gas attendants or farm workers. On the is also unfair to label all unemployed at the costs single other be voluntarily unemployed, will them less as their many can families to simply afford natural not a that the of discussion may for AJ be living. NRU on is This curve will gure equilibrium the extent considered example, rate of nd a job relatively of the achieving to right still which voluntarily policymakers shift is some useful so of the as and the unemployed. decrease and very unemployment It it it also will shows • up The the that benets, In some it is cover s status decrease. all most signicant maintaining This implies reason is economy, and Economic goals high of macroeconomic levels of policy employment in in 92 a losing their unemployment job is lost benets, earned while these working—and temporary. can Suddenly access the set becomes of goods smaller. may even lose their house if they are The unable their end monthly up mortgage payments to the homeless. losing If matter s their there is may no prove become job may much also national unemployed people their health-care independently disastrous wor se lose for also of their the lose because health service that employment unemployed. is others that unemployment should be that on unemployment the individual imposes and on many society, country most is with job prospects up-to-date when their skills. competing This against In addition, an skills. employer offering a job may prefer to hire kept person currently working elsewhere rather than someone costs is unemployed. This is because the employer cannot especially sure why the unemployed person lost his or her job or prolonged. costs the their the of important the no longer working. unemployment • Perhaps they people individuals this Long-term is • people unemployment and high be countries insurance. if, the be if for receive what these with Some individuals here who on cost show permits unemployed unemployment NRU does also a low. a that • economy. as decent decreases One may as • Costs Growth come. unemployment they will services bank . standard if than benets keep and of biggest Even unemployed permit to hand, and it prospects. years force. productivity, to the work labour jobs will because growth many its labour workers. income. For for of decreases are • voluntarily future lower members capital NRU Personal Figure brightest human compromising (L) Figure and lower “lost economic output cost forever ”. of unemployment Goods and services Long-term unemployed breakdown, of individuals accumulation self-esteem or of depression. debt, Some of ten suffer alcohol may or even family drug abuse, commit loss suicide. have shown associated that with a a 1% rise increase in in suicides the unemployment between 0.8% and Policymakers’ 1 .3% among people under the age of Achieving Social costs is one of and the maintaining most Unemployment Unemployment also burdens society with very in both the short term and the long on the Society may experience a higher incidence of crime and other negative externalities resulting drug and alcohol abuse. high and prolonged, Unemployment , and imposes the costs judicial on system, businesses, and health Matters become much worse concentrated. If if the unemployment major is capital of forced suffer. out of Recent business, research that secondary in of even if are nd it terrible, very contrary difcult to to what move was and nancial whole • in in long the the Problems if USA prospects. term also points from the become unemployment is to The this opioid crisis conclusion. more that pronounced concentrated in with in as the young. High youth who for without their condition term as and jobs and they this may will lost also never future. never create become be able With be of from and to to land save social state burden insecure, able further a It problems Over the long term, society unemployment may suffer from concentrated in may create heightened levels of are their the social fabric and even risk any costs of increase the stock in of most The loss signicant of tax economic revenues because governments is can shortfall in funds expenditures while is any also are of obvious importance especially if to the unemployment and paid for insurance is a short period of time lost . has also become rate of of clear areas that policymakers suffering a should persistently very be high unemployment . such communities the into a are chosen secure are adopted paying retirement the Policymakers long low for future. political areas and discontent democratic Social and in costs the rapidly long term escalate may even be improve with in low health mindful frictional serious must to political with ensure tackle costs. for of cyclical goal that seasonal labour to appropriate No market increase better Reducing and information. is faster Dealing straightfor ward aggregate polices policies unemployment . requires unemployment is the unemployment . unemployment transmission demand. as the Later costs. will become clear that different levels of cyclical age that may require different policy approaches may in erode the individuals, unemployment groups erosion small. very it Long-term are government personal policy • the workers to part-time, enough unemployment groups may over jobs if resulting difcult age productive the the suffers follows. unemployment generation assistance may will promising they a some and that borrow in transform responsible is many Society certain pronounced It better in such many society. believed, elsewhere breakdown on towns and towns and economic benets jobs more importance unemployed people individuals an The conditions goals. imposes is employer populations nds are unemployment . relatively may it law increase area on prolonged. inequality typically regionally and care. of • waste if costs enforcement economy, costs and human high employment from income increased terrible of and is violence a levels macroeconomic term. Economic • is high signicant signicant costs costs perspective 65. T I N U is : 3 rate S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Studies achieving this. Decreasing structural unemployment institutions. that is a result retraining of necessary for of a mismatch workers is of skills somehow requires achieved. that Policies Recap Costs of unemployment that but The economic costs lost a of with rigidities implementation structural may and unemployment seem their straightfor ward, possible long-term are: effects of ten render them difcult to pursue in output practice. • dealing result their side • is lower tax revenues and higher This will also be explained later. government Policymakers should be aware that measuring the expenditures • • rising income erosion of size of unemployment it just human personal is an loss of costs income and, in some countries, of health of the estimate. • family • debt • alcohol skills • deterioration breakdown drug of what social costs • higher • the rates • longer-term social of is was wages abuse mental the force rising true health. or or and addition, as it seems. individuals employment rate prices groups may the may considered on workers nding and policymakers. overall The their unemployment accumulation and In discouraged labour demand erosion easy First , may status. Also, many include: insurance • as capital. previously • not inequality misrepresent The is to a NRU increase, is if a be re-entering aggregate is be growing any The below pressure complicating policy fast . decreasing without differences necessitate unemployment job economy therefore the Lastly, may the between response job on of regions even if low. are: violence costs of social drug and and and crime alcohol political abuse problems. 93 Ination Ination price in is level. the dened The average price ination rate prices India, in as a ination in level India on sustained rate in the is the between 2016 two was average, increase in the percentage periods. 4.94% increased it in average change So, if means 2016 will the year. be to year later, recorded at we to that 100. get rid the By of through price index expressing its units time a of lot a for the variable measurement , year index which makes 4.94% the in 2017 , 2.49%. the What ination does this rate in mean? India It was means two It CPI will is years. be available, So, the calculating the percentage the ination change rate for in ination 2019 the CPI rate is will be: India, on the average, continued to rise between that − CPI 19 in an easier. CPI prices base as 2015. easy. One follows comparisons Once compared It equal number, that by that but at Ination rate 2019 18 = ×100 CPI a slower rate, compared disination. ination rate increasing In but Switzerland –0.43%. in It 2016 follows decreases at a the What that this the This is referred disination that slower that 2016. so the exists average to as when price 18 the level is Note still rate. ination does means to rate the for mean? 2016 The average was negative price level recorded ination in by at that in quantities price the of compared to 2015. This describes the exists decreasing decrease or, in if prices more the in an formally, average economy, deation price on average, average refers to a (CPI) may is the price level that Price need to of the prices of As of is used Index all be in basket a of country goods the buys and through household to measure (CPI). The CPI the is basket is xed for a goods per and period. services surveys few services the included basket can the be same, average is in that Statisticians the typical basket average. when rents conducted every few are Is years. the By keeping changes which of the increase ice of the goods a of any in the account cream 10% than for services means the same cost of that not all signicance signicance by 10% and increases a increase 10% in by for an is the in budget multiplied typical the or the her by consumer typical “count ” total more) the of the when in is the the The of price the CPI P 1 consumer the would + w 1 P 2 CPI is that the the average “typical” consumer individual poor, a lives man buy actual is is in and no both a a different buying group, for say income, to use city of the prices consumer actual a bit but woman. baskets patterns of is young not the of signicance of the on each individual. old also and in a the Since of different goods and so the and cost urban of living professionals measured. published This ination makes rate of total devotes will thus a bigger derivation of “ weigh” the + by how much a to government because older people consume should more and services it could and perhaps very well be less that entertainment the cost of than purchasing basket of goods and services has increased by a lot on than other groups’ baskets. greater ice Some products may become more expensive, but their cream. may have improved so much that they are goods price product . example, pensions, of cheaper for the buyer. Think of car tyres. A new each may be 10% more expensive but it may last 50% more expenditures Goods Quality proportion more improvements are of ten not sufciently for (that for, so published ination may overestimate of ination. This is referred to as the “quality bias”. is, • average. New products the CPI enter only our af ter a lives long almost delay. daily For but are example, included many be: consumers w we of in So, index that the impact much price consumers, proportion makes spending in price problems when true his is average accounted which consumer few prices miles. the and problematical set product a buying consumers 10%? rents increase differences in “typical” people effectively and the services and specic quality To a are and • signicance using There years. more households ination determine their chocolate-chip measuring household others same 99 recorded. “ weighted”, the the in ination ctitious rich health-care deriving page of. This young, increase included of accurate. and this determine, This bought on typical it the units the multiply weighted with services of example using We ination the of This CPI explained, goods services, buys the rate be aware already the groups the of the countryside consumer number worked by level. bit average the matters weights. sustained ination Consumer by The as process. not Instead, rate product simplify good are purchases. The we each Switzerland • Measuring of deation. Measuring Deation course consumer. Limitations decreased IB each typical illustrates rate this purchased w 2 P 3 + … + w 3 P n , where the w ’s are but expenditure on good neither and w Greece service is subscribe yet to Netix included in and Greece’s to Spotify CPI. This is i referred weights in the n to as the “new product bias”. = i total The cost of expressed means to be then 94 purchasing as that , the an index using “base” expressed basket number. statistical (or as this a expenditures is What criteria, reference) year percentage of recorded does this some and the all cost then mean? year is other of • and It chosen years the are basket More and online and more where mortar ” book s, collect stores. clothing agency of a people prices are and mostly buy usually Many country prices now consumers groceries sends from more lower its online. and than buy If physical stores goods in “brick electronics, the employees more prices statistical every and month not so to much as the retailers to then the overestimate “new retail published true outlet ination ination. This is rate they will can rate referred but bias”. also rate, • The “substitution bias” results from the fact that are xed for some time. If a good becomes then consumers will tend to switch to The signicance of this good for savings will thus calculation of diminish. the CPI However, remains if xed, the its per now be will not be reected. This means rate of interest For account year is is ination. rate The usually The minus real the interest not only low interest example, if the rate interest of rate ination, paid is 3% per year but prices are on rising then the saver loses money as the at real rate –2%. In a year ’s time $100.00 will buy of roughly in as much as that income $98.00 can households buy can now. On protect the other themselves hand, against ination ination will the accounts. lower higher signicance the bank accounts typical weight this simple cheaper only the as in savings than negative. interest consumers less dened thus 5% substitutes. save such more a expensive on the is weights only paid by borrowing from banks and purchasing assets overestimated. such is as houses expected to or land, increase or art or faster gold, than the price ination. In of which this way, Recap ination Limitations of the CPI in measuring poor to may the redistribute rich, national widening income income away from the inequality. ination • • The average typical refers consumer, to a the buying ctitious patterns of If actual then the The person. Improved quality of more expensive products money be sufciently accounted less New products that agreed. • CPI consumers Lower only af ter a prices from new buy e-shops are not signicant retail adequately are included Weights are xed so if a though time its its outlets good does such of high and down slows becomes policymakers price stability as is a will for creates many Ination hurts Ination makes it increases even signicant explained, for investment or not. How increase? of fast At produced prices project two will will what or uncertainty difcult be an three substitutes for will and it years a goal high for rate rates and increase? spending. businesses to judge and other be into the sell future? complements rise? This Long-term on Ination will rises, The purchasing money power be incomes incomes include (real decreases. wage is not the case costs the How How though, good adjust their earnings uncertainty economic income) of Individuals as for as fast will much more include well those prices professionals and thus faster others. than growth and those in the Ination buy Low with as xed xed such also cannot money will be if their income may decreases aggregate demand, which a country. They competitive in become foreign more markets. more attractive rise. to import widen Decreasing domestic expenditures a trade export decrease decit . be to depreciate explained in and This sections lead may 3.5 to exert and more It distorts the signalling 4.5. power that market If a price to prices signal cannot be responsible economy. signal all is are is sure If the producers rising not Misallocation price that as clear that for of a of anymore resources quinoa people result consumers of resource of want ination, and actually is the demand result . may induce people now before to save these less. They become may even choose more spending more increase. as gain. easily and permits them who saving less. worth of ten less inationary Saving negative. and Savings in periods may a bank the real account less. Mild ination ination does slowly have some reduces the benets. real cost of labour to rms. This is wage and especially so the important for architects, can Income to is during These lawyers, borrow rate because who raise since money wages do not easily adjust downward. their production costs induce rms to produce more. inequality Ination from banks. make any also and the reduces the government real value own less of in debt . real Households, terms if there is In some addition, a durables interest • families though pensioners. widens. income and changes decrease rms • This so earning individuals Entrepreneurs ination the expected, will Lower prices will quinoa. rms consultants than discourages real groups of imports currency sends producers • can loan against slower. earners though protect growth. expenditures “noise”. quinoa. However, This rates. less increasing price this more also • to higher and exports makes the as is allocation an undertaking production to face. whether worth possible Increased generation interest economic demand expensive, employment attempt proving therefore import and ination, to investment be of • interest the economy. that rms protable wages price when rate most be problems the more an spending, the and also so relative • expected lenders. will consumers • ination lenders not . ination because, been to ination of pricier pressure Maintaining higher also aggregate a in ination borrowing revenues of back expense as buyers Costs had anticipated the sampled. signicance weight paying at lag. Ination decreases, be what Bank s, even expensive even will than income in • • higher gain for. charge the they than possibility • proves will may was not ination borrowers worth • T I N U to tend : 3 online again S C I M O N O C E O R C A M from ination in the economy. savings, 95 chasing that af ter too “ination is few goods”. always and Monetarists everywhere consider a monetary Recap phenomenon”. Costs of a high ination Uncertainty slowing increases, down decreasing investment and into growth. The purchasing pensioners • Income power decreases, inequality an of wage earners increasing widens as against central bank increases rich ination inequality. can whereas fast and economy, could thus then follow. quantitative too this much excess Many easing, money the liquidity consider which is money that will pumped will be this is explained spent . a serious later. and income the of • Households and in spending excessive rms can in be the overly optimistic , expectation that resulting good protect times themselves too Ination risk • the rate supply • If the will persist . Since consumption and investment are poor components of aggregate demand, aggregate demand cannot . will • If ination is unanticipated then lenders be right , bank s may charge higher interest rates on make, slowing down Exports are hurt and imports rise, demand and A sudden may lead to widening a trade Price mechanism Inationary currency of is leading and Saving they may decrease more now as and may be of people because will as may choose prefer the real rate shif ting to the in exports operating may near also full prove inationary, if employment . ination. are If considered businesses a most expect important prices their set prices higher, creating or to rise, increasing a result. to Also, spend households more now, expecting before prices prices rise even to rise further, to will lead to higher aggregate demand and higher of ination. interest be to which spend will inefciency. may • curve depreciation. distorted, resources is expectations force ination misallocation AD inationary. decit , then • surge economy driving which the decreasing • aggregate and proving growth. the • potentially loans • they increasing lose; This explains why it is important that policymakers negative. are credible that price stability will be maintained. Average AS price Causes of level ination (APL) Analytically, by it examining persistently adverse price a easy to simple increases shif t level is to (that the is, understand AD/AS diagram. aggregate lef t to of AS why ination Any demand curve inationary may or factor that lead pressures). may to The that leads an occur to an increasing former APL2 is APL1 referred to as to as demand-pull cost-push ination, ination even and though the once latter an is referred inationary AD2 process begins between the it is difcult or even meaningless to distinguish AD1 two. Demand-pull ination Y1 Y2 Yfe Any factor increasing any component of aggregate demand Real may potentially initiate inationary pressures. Of course, Figure risk of ination increases the closer to full employment is operating. The smaller the size of the in the economy, the greater the chance that Figure level. demand will Unfortunately, economy is about it to lead to cannot reach an be its increase easily in an the increase average ascertained potential level of most common causes of demand-pull (Yr) ination a simple real Aggregate AD/AD demand is used to illustrate increases, perhaps demand- as a in of excessively optimistic households and rms. The price whether AD curve the average shif ts to the right from AD1 to AD2. As a result , the price level rises from APL1 to APL2. It should be output. clear The 3.3.9, ination. result aggregate Demand-pull deationary pull gap 3.3.9 an In economy output the ination include from Figure 3.3.9 that the same increase in aggregate the demand will prove more inationary the closer to potential following. output • Proigate government spending. Proigate is the to describe excessive spending by a historically have of ten never their re-election increased chances, as spending of economic activity and a even a unemployment resulting (G) will are a serve this purpose. component of if G rises, AD then curve will aggregate shif t to demand the right , will there proving is According to the increase potentially, is is to full signicant employment policy closely examine response economic pressures and lead them data to that take a lot of uncertainty that makes their job action difcult . worth strictly noting that speaking ill the Monetarist/New equipped to illustrate Classical demand- ination. Since the short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) not is upward sloping, School, and quoting results when “ too much whenever it shows that demand-pull aggregate demand is increasing ination even if Milton money economy is operating way below its potential and is is suffering 96 close inationary. Monetarist ination how creates and but the Friedman, inationary perhaps results • this demand, curve necessarily, advance and Government aggregate pull the in is Policymakers signal diagram so policymakers decrease It expenditures Unfortunately, temporary but in operating. to may boost sure economy problems. maximize is government . an Politicians economy word are used the from a large deationary gap, which is misleading. costs signicant and lead to reason that cost-push may increase inationary production pressures is a Recap depreciation of demand-pull ination is caused depreciation If by: the country intermediate • proigate government “ too much money chasing af ter too few will overly • a optimistic increases imports a products, increase. the lot domestic of then raw households and There is surge in inationary Cost-push This is the a price of materials imports. and on costs for many depreciation rate in section of the 4.5. SRAS2 level SRAS1 (APL) APL2 ination of that exports expectations. result is rms price • reason production more Average sudden The goods” exchange • rate. spending rms • exchange ination a Demand-pull the decrease in aggregate supply. This APL1 shif ts the the AS average curve price Aggregate shif t the lef t , the level output . to to lef t as well supply for a and as may variety leads to a to lower decrease, of an increase level and of the in real AS curve reasons. AD • Historically, ination the has in the price of energy been of oil. and production most it a common sustained Oil is reason is also processes and still the used as e.g. in for cost-push signicant predominant an the input plastics in increase Y2 of oil increase. will increases, Aggregate shif t lef t), production supply leading to will costs Figure industry. for decrease rising prices many (the but If (or even a decrease in real GDP) rms AS also and output 3.3.10 Cost-push ination the 3.3.10 shows cost-push ination. A sustained will increase in the for rms. price of oil has increased production costs curve to most As a result , aggregate supply decreases and slower the growth Real (Yr) many Figure price Y1 form AS curve shif ts lef t from SRAS1 TO SRAS2. The S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Causes of T I N U Another : 3 • average rising price level increases from APL1 to APL2. Real output also unemployment . decreases • More generally, other commodity products Crop that failures production prices are used increase costs rise. as may inputs the increase Commodities price in of are because primary that from growth difcult to Y1 will to just show on Y2 even slow this though down, but it is that more would likely be more diagram. manufacturing. agricultural products Recap and this may Disruptions higher increase in prices the extraction of metals cost of food industries and production. may also lead Causes to of Cost-push • Powerful labour unions in many countries have in increasing money wages for their thus past . production More policymakers has been and to assess money pressures originate pressures will and will be in risks closely wages from show for keep the monitor whether market costs generally, up an rms, mind of rising as state the of the Even aggregate money signal of in by: a sustained and signicant increase in the price demand, in oil • other commodity • money • depreciation prices rising way market inationary wages caused wages rising pressures labour if is the standard inationary rising. rising early rising the are especially that ination members of and ination been • successful cost-push minerals. imported of the inputs exchange rate as prices of rise. these the labour ination. Deation D e at i o n l eve l . If is the a sustained i n at i o n d e c re a s e rat e is in the n e gat i ve it ave ra g e means price t hat Causes Typically, ave ra g e price l eve l ha s d e c re a s e d and thus t h e re of deation the deation results from a prolonged decrease in is aggregate demand. If aggregate demand in an economy d e at i o n . is So, if the 142.95 There to CPI then was 2019. in 2019 the rate deation was of in 145.65 ination 2020 as and in in 2020 prices 2020 was it was −1 .85%. decreased compared decreasing and growth decrease negative deation in so is that also ination very aggregate growth and resulting low is (say, demand deation. from a very at low could Figure decrease (say, 0.4%) in at then easily 0.6%) a result 3.3.1 1 further in shows aggregate demand. 97 • Average Low condence also induce levels and increased uncertainty may AS price level (APL) rms • The to households make biggest enter a to defer consumption and deter investments. risk of deation deationary spiral. is A that the vicious economy cycle may may start , APL1 where APL2 • deation Resources power are and producers falling creates incentives to are determine when more misallocated there is a as deation. prices distorted. whether general lose It their signalling becomes demand tendency for for difcult their for product prices to is fall. AD1 AD2 • If an economy policymakers Y2 Y1 Real are 3.3.1 1 Deation: aggregate demand decreasing and the AD It decrease the is in for aggregate a average feared severe a in many a deationary policy options spiral, available. may already be ineffective very close to as interest zero. A rates “ zero (ZLB) on interest rates was considered lower a limit lef t responsible for caught have curve for The policy probably bound” shif ting not output Monetary Figure becomes may by decrease price many economic result of the demand in level that real GDP decreasing Covid-19 contraction dramatic from but AD1 from from will decrease in Y1 AD2 to APL1 result perhaps to not even Y1 to was aggregate exit and APL2. only increasing. deation Since a may also falling accompanied by an referred “good result average increase in from price policies have even economies real output , is in this scal policy also not debt GDP help by by are negative an too and interest bank s. and Using government option and grow considered central increasing always by economy being some constraints ratio an though, later) employed face to recently (discussed is to are as many fearful of raising much. supply this is debt policy More been expenditures as demand. aggregate level deation. rates the Technically, monetary expansionary in deation using case sometimes Recap to as misleading. becomes deation”, Deation, expected, is as will very which be is considered explained difcult to below, rather if Consequences it reverse. • Consumers decreasing Recap • Firms’ of postpone is caused revenues sustained • an decrease Since in aggregate aggregate in aggregate Real • debt There deation Deation induces consumers to delay purchases Why • a price? more, pushing Deation they As a the them made redundant . Since deation demand, but also it is real rms’ cut Some a not output . if further you price can rms of level the a even go fall The average is at • a of What terms. spend; and prot There • The price owe become rms Aggregate real households loans. fall in level aggregate that by falls is real GDP is rising. levels rise which so there further is less increased risk level of decreases borrowing of bad a aggregate and banking crisis demand. because loans. condence aggregate decreases spending and demand. a risk about of a deationary more spiral as deation deation. is resource misallocation and inefciency. policy options available are very limited. costs of unemployment versus ination higher to bank s hesitant to is wor se—ination is are also demand hesitant decreases value and Banks of some may thus outstanding rms start may to debt not be to or unemployment? The simple accumulate loans). The risk of a banking crisis depends. depends on who you households is are. in Much the form of the of income interest earned payments by from make even to it increases increases, able that borrow income assets they own, such as bonds. Ination erodes more. some service their real value household ination of earns slowly the $1 income million decreases earned per the year real from from value bonds. If interest of this a wealthy payments, $1 million. non-performing the other hand, the primary concern for workers is keeping increases. their 98 is Relative On (“bad” falling, bankrupt . the the is are xed Since demand margins workers accompanied businesses Households indebted investments. • low • wealthy and to unemployment . households real leading lower. It in reduced, unemployment accumulate brings answer • and decreases There even Which levels are decreases. later decreases and per sistent Deation it reducing Wages may price buy demand revenues, costs. result only expect aggregate average to is to now, result , decreases forcing come smartphone lower and • since buy prots bankruptcies. of so durables is bank s • • further supply. spending, of durables, demand • increase Costs and and of demand. by: decreasing • purchases deation • Deation deation aggregate redundancies Causes of job. Ination for workers is of lesser importance. Losing the is real The wage. much wage much greater threat cost they more of than earn costly, (of ten even if even unemployment ination their ination health shrinks represents to Whether their them a does. the prolonged the ination or unemployment is more costly on one’s ideological leanings. Milton Friedman considered Monetarists ination as the unemployment In as addition, of the true of the an economy of for many markets reasons. and of the Ination price distorts mechanism to inefcient allocation of resources. It opposing for businesses, decreasing costly On the other hand, if price on maintained, and, in the long the economy term, Policymakers’ even can more is theoretically jobs of the will be biggest early grow problems a that growing lower unemployment is policymakers economy about face enjoying is As and long more as an jobs economy are to is created. experience growing, To is inclusive and sustainable However, being if the approached potential then there the it is, level is a incomes extent of of risk that course, real of It is thus important for the down slow down growth to avoid the their target , which is they see therefore that the closely approaching historically low wages and subsequently set at rate At that point they will are problem lately to accelerating especially ination for is also countries Runaway ination that severely is levels, want to has led in many instances to money wages were accelerating. not So, if rising and policymakers too then soon many the policies workers that who did would nd remained jobs unemployed. explanations wages and in for prices the but persistently one that low should understood is that many discouraged be workers as “ workers force on again, the sidelines”) encouraged were by the joining sustained If jobs more there workers is no join reason the for labour wages force to and start labour subsequently for prices to rising increase. market . opposite side of the above is the problem faced decreasing they ination and try realize policymakers will soon try to slow try to decrease ination. Some of the that start problems discussed earlier may lead to an to of ination. A positive ination rate may down ofcially faced by policymakers was that Worked recorded, of may a weighted ination be index ination fast in several asked (HL) rates but started in reality to the decrease. average This price explains level why target rate of ination is never 0%. countries, to and (SL from calculate then and use HL). price a set from the This a index of set price of data index exercise and the data takes to a weighted you Assume through and E. each by bought per Price per 2017 unit ($) in Price table the for per 2018 in Laylaland, purchases The dollars Quantities that consumer calculate process. Product already example Calculating rate decreasing have despite the unemployment the below typical the unit ($) basket only includes consumer years in the includes 2017 to Price ve the per of goods the products, quantities period and A, typical B, C, bought their D of prices in 2020. per 2019 unit ($) in Price per 2020 unit in ($) period A 5 2.15 2.25 2.30 2.30 B 8 1 .20 1 .25 1 .30 1 .28 C 2 3.40 3.50 3.55 3.45 D 10 1 .10 1 .25 1 .30 1 .20 8 0.80 0.90 0.95 1 .00 E high ination. expansion. The price that adopt many in labour may You than increasing be the costlier 2%. the rate to overestimation increase. is ination measurement money considered much when and future output policymakers monitor unemployment the sense, are The If this this and Policymakers In ination ination usually USA , have accept above be growth. growth expansion. to compromised. rising the accelerating. is dangerous, savings was (known is view and decided easily desired. brightest then unrest . growth growth the emigrate, to There rising, labour lower would ination. may export-led notably slow and and of inequality faster perspective when youngest income and fabric created. had determine and social achieved neither One the investment stability social and destroy to High increases damages spending. costly the rely uncertainty the more and very leads can is particular s. enemy The workings if the increases country ’s country unemployment of poverty on such growth as unemployment depends also member s depends or also economy widens. Whether ination economy T I N U and : 3 job insurance) S C I M O N O C E O R C A M their 99 In order of the to calculate a weighted price index (HL) for each 49.60 CPI this four years basket of we rst goods in will each have of to calculate these years. the For cost each for 2019 = ( ×100 ) of = 1 1 1 .335578 or 1 1 1 .34 44.55 year we 48.64 multiply the quantity bought of each good (the “ weight ”) by CPI for 2020 ( = ) ×100 = 109.1806958 or 109.18 44.55 its price. We then add the expenditures together to arrive at Now the cost of the basket in each (8 × year, as The For 201 7: (5 × 2.15) + 1 .20) + (2 the × 3.40) + (10 × 1 .10) × 0.80) = rates can be calculated ination in rate the for CPI each year between will two 2018: and HL). be the percentage years. $44.55 107.63 For (SL + change (8 ination follows. (5 × 2.25) + (8 × 1 .25) + (2 × 3.50) + (10 × 1 .25) − 100 + Ination rate for 2018 ( = ) × 100 = 7.63% 100 (8 × For 0.90) 2019: = $47 .95 (5 × 2.30) + (8 × 1 .30) + (2 × 3.55) + (10 × 1 .30) 1 1 1 .34 + Ination (8 × For (8 0.95) 2020: × = (5 1 .00) = rate for 2019 × − 107.63 ( = ) × 100 = 3.45% 107.63 $49.60 2.30) + (8 × 1 .28) + (2 × 3.45) + (10 × 1 .20) + (note that would $48.64 be if you had 3.44%; not the rounded IBO has off the accepted CPI both gures in all this past exams) One of year is the years 2017. To will be derive the the base price year. index Assume for that each the base year we have the cost 109.18 divide the the basket the result cost in by economics of the the base 100. basket year (in (Remember in each this the year case two by 2017) and decimal in 44.55 CPI for 2017 ( = ) × 100 = × 100 = −1 .94% 1 1 1 .34 We realize than calculations.) 1 1 1 .34 ) of multiply places − ( Ination rate for 2020 = to that 2018 in 2019 to 2018. since there continued It the was should rate of ination disination. to rise also but be at This a in slower realized 2019 means that rate in was that lower prices compared 2020 there was 100 44.55 deation because the rate of ination was negative. Prices in 47.95 2020 CPI for 2018 = ( × ) 100 = 107.6318743 or decreased by 1 .94% compared to 2019. 107.63 44.55 All of the results following 2017 Cost Weighted base the refers must be what They taxes. A issuing budget sum of What the is a of Bonds by to 47.95 49.60 48.64 1 1 1 .34 109.18 7.63% 3.44% −1 .94% then more results. borrowing. than it sense decits The A bonds. way to contrast , collect then it any is A bond note used to a be as typically for at mostly the a electronic obvious price that holder lower in the has is repayments a promissory specic “ofcial” note: at pieces paper of a it payment They are Governments than the pay the future. buy because the owner earns buy government bonds they also but sell amount This makes interest. referred pay future now these each the to as the $375 bond Effectively, size GDP . by of in GDP the of of same for an a country ’s same notes attractive to to people as small us as by a a with debt to of debt only to around are signicant. for a more in Greece of about for the The same than for a a little size 1 72% of its was very the UK , 1 3% by accurate 2018 conveys be of compared measured percentage level burden is must amount economy itself amounted debt dollar economy Greece’s number it a The provides expressed amount debt size debt. This implications higher size 2018, The would the economy. The billion. if expressed of of much that debt the the bigger country ’s implies larger a economy. debt they promises when its implications debt economy The much of economy. of country ’s GDP . simple: size debt GDP? should also be clear that the ratio of could IOUs promissory note very Dividing Greek made to of information—but the promises specic national different large around running is the economy, records. reason. is for picture It are a GDP . a debt the reason debt to nance if The scaled expenditures. they government minus impose government In spends the these than debt expenditures governments is percentage surpluses. this the 2020 107.63 (national) nance spend selling this budget bond? holder date. past budget money more In in 100 Governments’ reason of ten is included debt government owes. the decit collects surplus. all through is and are 2019 Why term raise spending government a to budget by (national) the This calculations 44.55 (CPI) rate government need 2018 term governments decit borrows level a our 2017 ination the nanced. However, this of simplest to taxes. in index government Meaning At basket year: Annual The of price of table. increase GDP not only because the but also because its If GDP decreases decreases, then size GDP faster the of is the than debt to country ’s decreasing the GDP size as of ratio debt a the will is increasing result of recession. country ’s be debt increasing. More debt lend to the government. A bond generally, that has that the not been paid off is an outstanding bond. It 100 all government outstanding (national) government debt is bonds. equal to the total value ratio will GDP rises of the follows relatively faster than GDP . increase if the size of the debt is a debt. the debt measure A output debts, high and to of GDP how debt to income forcing ratio easily GDP may investors ratio not to of importance? an economy could be is imply sufciently demand higher The reason able that to pay the high to interest is that off its off a revenues economy ’s pay achieve its debt to rates. servicing reduce of a high national Debt of servicing interest) a debt very high on debt to undertake have been care poorer households cost will may expansionary sudden borrow and in order be willing compensate to to for to will will on be the devote squeeze a the The the share facing of their unless government ’s that education decreased. and repairs the and to section interest of will increase if paid there not in rise be is a able to government government rates they 3.5) bonds) will sufciently to may choose to by issuing new increase to in the debt . This will policies, growing hardship It is at on worth decrease will, at GDP in and of a subsequent debt held by depreciating This is referred to is 4.5, will currency, increase as the though increase depreciation will cost and thus is the risk of the be of explained repaying denominated credit such borrowing ratings as risks is to or in in any dollars lenders. and is for a grade Standard prospective to “ Aaa” refers Moody ’s a presents Moody ’s sections higher debt issued creditors. and may of A by issuer The of assigned and (for rating judged by Poor ’s, debt highest bonds governments rating subject assigned to certain on example, assigned be of the equal the it of is to to of high “B” is credit bonds the debt greater In question policies in level are incomes. when impose a typically of the lead the poor. to income increase debt debt lot especially national of taxes households necessary further to answer. increase economy. addition, beyond growth An welfare However, there which and Examples above presenting the lowest rates may further may show even great 200% by that for bonds risk. A “C” considered is the typically risk principal to GDP that a or in default , ratio credit interest of a is a which debt to decreases. if increase it in increases higher debt the levels be a certain lead threshold accumulation lead to of nancial debt collapse variation: Japan can or sustain of GDP Investors will without will to pay back interest risk grade, the increases, any on the funds debt . governments pressure are and it forced may to lead pay to is a economic relationship on lead to higher and debt , increase in the and The will referred which risk literature country ’s risks and shows debt there to are how GDP a few difcult ratio signals indicators is between important . It interest reveals rates how and fast growth the rate country ’s of the income debt repayment obligations ability are is rising compared to how fast its rising. condition of the the important . If debt “primary its balance, rising budget ” and a balance government is also fails to improve is primary then future debt problems become country ’s likely. used by Similarly, the it makes to government to a difference nance whether productive debt capital demand interest as loop: may of is government ’s higher feedback the The of a will expenditures permit that do faster not future add to growth the stock or mostly of the “risk higher lead default . that rate to even The capital. Debt that accumulates as a result of budget risk from tax cuts is also risky since the literature shows higher that premiums a roughly and decits premiums GDP . when debt help. nation’s premium” its on to prospect there downgrade condence borrowed rates of defaulted low. country agency lose 30% Ukraine speculative lowest where whereas determine current risk term, absolute may the risks. expenditures higher short government indirect higher country, and output. the clearly are scrapped highest is ability of heightened more bonds. a be sustainable? easy debt debt to to The recovering the rates, activity if also postponed, income on considered of be because those employees may potential lower austerity the debt levels debt As are that may reductions vulnerable further and is than hurt sector especially affect include that by country and and often public taxes population if of economy ’s more the they benets 3.5 held The quality as ratings term bond) to ination. agencies, a in an rate interest The referred currency. debt Credit Efforts of default . increase reduced. government investments painful economic even not decreases foreigners tax as level and to excluding domestic to A slowly are infrastructure indirect which the least as unsustainable noting ratio, growth ination taxes wages the is nature disproportionately government “monetizing” refers face. service money. existing decides This residents The taxation is adopt of painful Infrastructure impacting regressive and debt be Increasing When Governments is decreasing unemployment groups. also Such government risk Resources servicing ability in buyers increased to necessary is, debt by increasing can and population the most . (explained the a spending. country (that lend and Governments infrastructure, suffer nance the principal cuts pensions negatively diverted recession. Lenders the cost . must discretionary policy severe back ratio costs deny scal expenditures. not paying servicing. have also in opportunity invested health The is, high debt-servicing ability could a debt–to–GDP expenditures Rising (that that which expenditures debt servicing carries so decits and surplus, government policies. Spending Cost budget ” costs, budget expenditures austerity Costs “primary exceeding T I N U is : 3 it S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Why corporate tax cuts lead to small, if any, additional private economy investment . becomes trapped in a debt crisis. Lastly, Impact on future taxation and explosive country ’s spending If to the cut debt to the GDP spending ratio and is raise high, tax governments revenues. debt problems are less likely if most of a government They will will be forced need to case of Countries currency national Japan, heavily face debt and is held domestic denominated depending greater by on in its external debt-related investors, domestic borrowing as in currency. in foreign risks. 101 Policymakers’ However, perspective if unchecked, debt–to–GDP Historically, it has become painfully clear to a countries that the debt–to–GDP ratio is an lead to a requiring very close monitoring. Debt increased government expenditures may help a grow a from and it natural a recession will be (as will necessary if be a explained country and rising unsustainable. debt crisis that will require very It painful for jeopardize the the population country ’s of the growth country and prospects for it may a country long recover high nancing also of a become economic adjustments variable then may number may of ratio later) suddenly time. and faces disaster. HL The Phillips Trade-off Why curve between unemployment the shif ts and Phillips in curve aggregate is compatible demand (a) ination Average The original Phillips the relied on early 1960s AS curve price Since with and until the mid-1970s level economists (APL) a New an empirical Zealand result economist that at the Alban W London Phillips, School of APL2 Economics, curve, published became one in of 1958. the His most work, famous the Phillips relationships APL1 in macroeconomics. APL3 His original annual statistical percentage work change examined in money UK data wages on and the the annual AD2 unemployment rate over a period of 96 years (from 1861 AD1 to 1957). He found that the percentage changes in money AD3 wages and the unemployment rate were inversely related. Y3 • If unemployment market) then employers was money were low (which wages forced to implied increased offer a higher a lot “ tight ” Y1 Y2 Real output labour (Yr) because wages to nd (b) workers. Ination • If unemployment was high (a “slack” labour market), then rate money even wages decrease workers would increase because without rms having to but only could offer by nd more a little, and than hire last or (π) could additional A2 year ’s π2 prevailing Moving money from wage. wage ination to price ination was the A1 π1 next of step. Since production of ten set wages costs prices by typically and since adding a form rms a in big the percentage proportion real world mark-up A3 on Phillips π3 their average decreasing in the cost , it seemed unemployment average price level. sensible would The to lead expect to empirical an curve that increase results showed U2 that there was indeed a trade-off between the U1 U3 Unemployment ination rate rate the and the unemployment unemployment businesses rate compete rate of decreases, for fewer an economy. ination worker s and increases this drives as Figure 3.3.12 which leads to an increase in inverse and it is relationship compatible is with referred our to simple as the AD/AS Phillips model. curve Now real on Figure output look at on the Phillips 3.3.1 2a, equal shown point at economic Y1 Figure economy Equilibrium 102 effect curve of shif ts in aggregate demand assume the economy at equilibrium prices. with This The up Focusing wages, (U) When to and Let will average There some will is level some demand increase decrease price at to Y2. APL1 . ination unemployment aggregate output activity the 3.3.1 2b. π1 A1 . real and increase The unemployment in equal to higher to U2. this to U1 , AD2. level The of level rises though, so ination is now higher at T I N U price LRPC Ination π2. We have moved from point A1 to point A2. Following the rate increase from in U1 aggregate to U2, demand, while ination unemployment has increased has to (π) decreased π2. A7 7% If A6 real demand output would had instead have decreased decreased from from Y1 to AD1 Y3. to The AD3, lower : 3 aggregate A5 level U1 of to economic U3. The activity decrease will in increase the unemployment average price level 4% from implies A4 that SRPC ination decreases from π1 to π3. We have moved from point (4%) A3 2% A1 to point A3 on Figure 3.3.1 2b. Following the decrease in A2 A1 AD, unemployment inverse increased relationship between and ination decreased. unemployment and This ination 1% SRPC SRPC exactly the If what original this the inverse as to lower It could using the rate and then many to years, but The by the considered a at issue “menu the at for many aggregate many could of considered the (by achieve it . the 1970s, not only did this stable most used equal 1%. to by and unemployment break down but It the most prominent Monetarist short that in the long run there is no ination and will the long run, what aimed to also that any such they such to at the cannot decrease inverse exist , called the increase attempt cost relationship but in the natural rate by only aggregate natural rate. accelerate are assumed rms will decrease to real 3.5% GDP higher to 2%. xed, want now to beyond aggregate Since the real produce in the wage hire more workers. more Unemployment to 3.5% and A2 the along economy the has short-run moved Phillips on Figure curve reects workers expecting 1% ination. SRPC This could only of higher between long run ination and unemployment According to Friedman, the a result negatively of workers sloped being short-run temporarily Phillips fooled. curve They In ination at 1% but it increased to 2%. Workers He temporarily ination. along the pursuing demand. slow to the realize that ination is higher than they had lower short and that consequently their real wage is lower. If run, refer back to the Monetarist AD/SRAS diagram we have unemployment would return long-run along the economy ’s SRAS curve: at a higher average to price its and the time expansionary expand of with the year. to rate (using to some next attempts natural result now wages will point that moved did trying a for ination demand As will 4.5% A1 unemployment we an the point trade-off expected unemployment ination 1% at unemployment , Milton are showed Yp. of government essentially level and expect initially rate unemployment . policymakers Friedman that 4.5%, the decrease, so expected policies (U) economist , is below economy aggregate money movement In rate between (1%) between Unemployment curve natural below ination run 3.3.13 showed is potential decreases Friedman, being that increasing output ination Phillips an the Workers now demand, and at unemployment its desirable. relationship NRU (4.5%) long-run shows example rate In The 3.3.1 3 policies). were ination Figure Assume two demand countries combination of government of 3.3.13 unemployment a ination, cost Figure U’ (3.5%) years inviting achieve higher the (1%) is perhaps choices” the policymakers government for combination manipulating in could could of but 3.3.1 2b Phillips. and of cost was desired whichever AW ination ination policies), Figure of policymakers policymakers achieve unemployment was lower so work governments with politically demand-side trying curve unemployment . variables then seemed achieve the between stable, Phillips described from policymakers intervene. determine For was unemployment they higher to The presenting them or it . curve resulting relationship unemployment exploit Phillips curve (2%) is S C I M O N O C E O R C A M average level, real output is greater and so unemployment is Phillips lower. curve is vertical at the natural rate of unemployment , which is In also the The The a equilibrium logic distinction long-run Friedman Phelps. and, or According ination year ’s to Workers became theory, money rate by short was illusion. to be the as slow to realize uses demand. run only long run, that or as the is of workers previous ination Ed wages though, They realize expect ination next rates when increase are will be to its Real workers’ that back run expectations ination will in its real equilibrium output is will at adjusted Phillips workers curve now to is now original is natural they expect money rate at about higher Figure expect to higher 2% to shift are level, ination (at 2%) run increase. and its (see to right to the real We left. that at 2%. adjust will in will the return 3.3.1 3). level Workers’ AD/ Firms to wage say Figure SRPC As assumed potential 3.3.1 3. money Monetarist the level. long Unemployment ination the the the wages 4.5% to in and price return in start equilibrium in shifted will curve “restored”. also A3 Since decrease average wage and they SRAS Since the thus has the start point wages. exible, workers. to the money increase, changes economy have assumed wages ring to long higher diagram return expectations). to demand fully workers increasing policies will SRAS between result adjust. money curve. trade-off the and Milton Phelps-Friedman Phillips adaptive (expansionary) (SRPC) by will curve economist , Specically, same curve introduced another known any Phillips Phillips was backward-looking government aggregate short-run (LRPC) unemployment as are a long-run expectations-augmented this from to curve the unemployment . independently, ination (referred of ver tical between theory the and suffering the Phillips Their critique the of rate Yp. The expectations The (2%) short-run because ination. 103 If the government below it its would workers natural need to would insists 4.5% on rate engineer again be trying by to decrease increasing even higher temporarily unemployment aggregate ination fooled and so demand, that potential to now accept without realizing immediately that their real expect wage In Figure 3.3.1 3, ination would have to follows rise for The movement unemployment to drop again to 3.5% (point point A3 to point A4 along the that so was because 2% but workers ination were fooled increased to again. They has in been the NRU. the long will run, adjust since and money wages increase so are that economy would assumed the real move back at its to point 4.5% is A5 on natural SRPC rate (4%) and at the long-run Phillips In the short run there is a run, when wage expectations has increased have and restored, the Phillips curve will be the real vertical is no and trade-off in the long run between ination. is symmetric trade-off gap will to the earlier automatically analysis close of why according to any the is model. vertical Remember, at the the potential long-run level of aggregate real output supply (Yp) unemployment is at its equilibrium natural rate. The problem what is the that NRU policymakers of the do country not is know equal for to. curve • • long money its sure and they period. with output • short-run shif ted and restored. Recap The have exible, wage where unemployment the the There analysis (LRAS) The will adjusted expected Monetarist they next curve have 4%. inationary In Phillips expectations SRPC This ination ination that unemployment (2%) short-run A4). at from 4% The workers’ to wage 4% Yp. as has adjusted decreased. level (4%) job It offers SRPC The NRU is not the same across time or for all between countries. unemployment and ination. • • In the long run, there is no It follows growth • In the the • Any by long natural run attempt to increasing lead to there rate of only one rate unemployment lower of demand unemployment , more below will be the futile may NRU and policy workers not growth only or perspective implication of this analysis is in and, should not adopt policies aggregate demand its potential its natural level rate. and in and Any order to to increase decrease attempt to real output unemployment do this what in this monitoring the long means how whether run prove that much it is natural will very decrease have result , even found brakes soon allow a more job. In enough ination unemployment If low levels, probably time ination to is is what is must and thousands contrast , to to slow they down rise. down around sloped short-run the is for this In though, was going to rise. be the Many NRU for questioned the USA . whether curve relationship still holds. Articles the were or, whether perhaps, just the Phillips curve “hibernating”. was One dead or explanation observed precisely suggest They corner. Phillips phenomenon how much is that it is impossible unemployment is to structural much curve is cyclical. Since structural and unemployment—the the that type will The fear idea time, of unemployment the NRU is not in the constant NRU—can either. The change NRU is it a xed percentage through time or across countries. that of addition, relationship as we have mentioned earlier, discouraged a rejoining the labour market and nding a job may is obscure the issue as this causes the unemployment fear. rate USA , decreased decreasing also responsible not wondering workers negatively had decreasing may growth. the rate keep considered unemployment policymakers slow just unemployment believed did written In 104 down when below not strange slowing increase through the of reached futile. policymakers approaching rate. The Phillips dominant higher a inverse how is could the as was ination know to risk been above of Practically, fast the has increase attening country ’s run NRU clear. to Still, and the could apply ination. below Governments ination that unemployment (NRU). unemployment aggregate policymakers fearing ination. Policymakers’ The is that trade-off. during on. falling unemployment global nancial crisis The the last country since the without decade had end an of something been the increase experiencing 2008−09 in money wages it to decrease could be remaining wages the very and without result low rms of so do wages that not or prices expectations workers start of do asking rising. future not for Lastly, ination demand higher higher prices. The ideas versus of distribution same of as what equality of extreme inequality Economic The and equity Equity Different equitable. of ten means societies Although is unfair, have there there arise is in fairness, is a relation which different general the not the perceptions consensus little to is that on the sake desirability or on what Nonetheless, the share of of inequality equity economic relates to the unequal distribution of and are Organisation the are same. of ten A used interchangeably pensioner living in a $500,000 pension as pays might her having understand Household per period include a the be just low considered $100 a time rent, income. difference income of wealthy, week, most but if would is This is why between generated from wages, households time—minus the use interest from of and it is income the factors prot. important bank and their own—the what they deposits, can or typically the a may wealth. use value owe shares, wealth but Wealth is consume Given higher average year and so on that of their (that is, bonds, to consists assets their at debt). houses, consume less household than wealth average average is than income household distributed inequalities to cars more in more wealth inequalities. Measuring The income graphically Economic is an Co-operation and intergovernmental their income income. in OECD net than In tend fact , to be across more economic distribution using a in Lorenz an the and The economic OECD shape policies and that well-being foster for prosperity, equality, all. is twice the level because of income wealth inequality can itself on average. generate as wealth inequality widens, it fuels income income inequality. Wealth inequality the 10% top in is highest terms of in their the USA wealth where own households 80% of total in wealth those in the bottom 40% own just over 2% of total wealth. point next two countries on the scale of high wealth inequality the Netherlands and Denmark. Wealth inequality is lowest boats. add time Japan, Poland, Greece and Belgium where households in was it is 2016, $25,908 that 10% prominent own a little over 40% of total in the wealth. to $67 ,1 39. income, OECD countries. their instance, was member Assets and over countries wealth unequally For 37 of some than accumulated with important is Interestingly such in as the the though, a very with low countries Netherlands bottom with 60% owe equitable net wealth and more income are not with high Denmark, than wealth where they own, distribution. necessarily inequality, households are Also, “poor ” countries households in terms of to income and some may own substantial wealth but than combined income for (OECD) that their say in received production Wealth is top income, inequality wealth. payments of This in Households less society. to are include own her The in as of its income. consider and what members of valued inequality her interpreted by for but house opportunity at typically received equality distribution wealth. wealth not fair of works they income a inequality organization Income greater is income Development and of constitutes agreement The income poverty inequality meaning Economic and equity income. equality. is inequality : 3 Equality of T I N U Economics S C I M O N O C E O R C A M 3.4 countries, with high levels of debt . wealth inequality economy can be represented curve. Population in is represented cumulative income on percentages, households. On the from the horizontal the vertical lowest axis, axis to the of the the graph, highest percentage 100% of national income population receives the The B the diagonal right and 15% less earns of 7% of of receives line is 20% of Lorenz income So, 15% 45% the line earns the So, inequality the poorest income, of perfect of income. income to move 20% poorest income income As of and the people 40% while we equality, the move income inequality the of of of the income. income distribution a the national of further by percentage national 20% more curve each of national diagonal, unequal. the by national receives 40% the more shift 7% 20% “poorest ” 40% A only represented. population richest 55% is received right towards of the where “poorest ” further becomes is shown the to the more by a diagonal and diagonal. 0% The 20% 40% 80% the Population Figure 3.4.1 The Lorenz (cumulatively degree of income inequality can be measured through is as 100% Gini coefcient . The Gini coefcient dened the ranked) curve 105 ratio over of the the area area between of the the Lorenz curve and the diagonal Area Gini Real world 0.60. half-square. coefcient The European (A) Area vary everyone from has inequality. society there the At to 1 , where same the where is 0 income other only maximum 0 end one of (A represents and, the person values countries + Austria, values are such are recorded as Sweden, between in 0.25 and Northern society therefore, scale, has a all 1 the while the highest Nor way, values are to Denmark be found in B) Lesotho, can coefcient = and It Gini lowest where there is represents income no to a and higher income recent from so South to coefcient (2018) 0.48, of and inequality data 0.40 Africa Latin of the while America. advanced Gini The nations coefcient China is USA has reaching a as has the according increased Gini 0.50. inequality. HL Constructing a Lorenz curve from income curve (see 1 1 .6% quintile income distribution for an economy by in T able Lorenz Lowest Second Third Fourth Highest 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 3.2 8.4 14.3 23.0 51 .1 income Adding of the 48.9% last quintile T able the which is lowest the 40% second receives point Adding the third quintile leads on to receiving 25.9% (= 1 1 .6% + 60% 14.3%) of 3.4.1 . The 2018 Then 8.4%), curve. households total Year 3.4.2). + quintile of appears Figure 3.2% data the The (= and to fourth (= the 25.9% point (that on is, third quintile + the point leads 23.0%) curve 48.9% + on to and derives 51 .1% = a the Lorenz total to the from curve. income fourth adding share point . the f th 100%). 3.4.1 Each column shows what share of the total income 100% 100% is earned quintile by is each the quintile lowest in 20% the ,the year 2018. second The quintile rst is the next 80% lowest Given and that income lowest so on. aLorenz received, quintile curve to plot and shows the mark a cumulative curve point we to shares begin show with the of 60% the percentage 48.90% of total income those households received. We then add 40% the next point quintile to show Then, we Since the be add the share 100%, and the the its third of last cumulative share of the quintile, income point and received on share lowest the and 40% then by curve all of the the always mark a households. 25.90% fourth. 20% quintiles shows will that 0% 100% of households receive 100% of the income. 20% Using total the data income, Meaning of above, which the will lowest be the 20% rst receives point on 3.2% the of Figure Both poverty refers to the inability to cover minimal absolute material There is a distinction between absolute and as Absolute it of can life, poverty refers to the case where a not to have sufcient income to meet basic Absolute poverty is of ten discussed in terms of an which people cannot afford a basic basket of poverty society unequal with the population, poverty. may still when be median distribution the The they compares the more idea poor, the income national of income signicant behind even cannot be thought such services and and the as of in terms shelter or nutritious that health being future of dimensions if afford is relative they the of within the afford typical The the degree poverty can households income. is total of that basic lifestyle in more improve care; able of people’s being to free possessing food; lives, of contribute someone’s of poverty relative people necessities, in Measuring poverty Poverty be of the (that poverty gauges where people is, poverty income the having the such as threat to decisions of that community. The impact will of is increasingly recognized. to everyone else in their to keep measured of the poor measures are in order problem, people on needed the to to and provide raise policy target its estimates visibility agenda). appropriate Also, policy interventions. their is usually measured in terms of income. stand To compared should magnitude Poverty society—relative measure absolute poverty, a minimum income level called society. the 106 people’s dimensions, services. Relative a to more goods these • relate has income shape and poverty Poverty needs. violence; below relative household education does and conditions. follows. access • 100% relative basics poverty, 80% consumption though: needs. 60% Lorenz and Poverty 40% 3.4.2 “pover ty line” is identied. That is the basic minimum need in order amount of to get poverty by. can Once be the poverty measured by line is Difculties percentage of the population, who earn an the poverty line. These poverty lines can be set of poverty poverty, a national and an international level. The World international poverty line at periodic intervals. It was in 1990 at $1 .00 a day. Some years ago, it However, Issues was arise meant from by the $1 .25 and, in 2015, it was revised again—to $1 .90 At that in time, absolute households poverty. living Note that on less these than $1 .90 thresholds a are in “real ” US dollars but rather in (PPP) dollars in order to take purchasing account of living between in Household poverty differing of can be measured by specifying be the median earning considered less income, than usually 50% of set the at relatively examine In can the poor. More the the lowest top median of annual Taking an the to half full range of highest—and of income. annual poor median household 50% in of earner s The incomes identify from poverty income. income this, income relative measures in the we the bottom line is then For instance, say an economy is in have that falls absolute provide poverty already explained, be described single estimates in a indicator. Index (MPI)—a well Poverty as the developed $10,000. below and on poverty single For this is beyond over most the Any half. basis of nor the is MPI faces in that the the • described that be been Yet , can with which as who • nutrition 2010 are in order based by a Poverty constructed. the determine on helps poor (OPHI) Programme to solely and among the to acute income. to in deprivations education, dimensions are health assessed mortality are There not years of • school schooling attendance • cooking If individuals still intensity are the deprived in index their deprivations According in It covers determine that and each living by ten sanitation • drinking the societies to they are the MPI, education than also to as an the in source many irregular household survey in the may poverty who of of As the most countries basis. survey be the Even in if place, the insufcient . surveys frequently may likely households. homeless, who all be This drug face represented limits gender, data and There in to to omit be includes users, acute poor a range sex workers deprivations the surveys disaggregation enable impact women the disability would its is evidence underestimate as poverty cut-off the for to the lines points poor. Minimum create albeit and in but turn in on and a age. better different of More data in disaggregated understanding groups of of people, example. of suggest actual tend that Poverty poor a income sense to have lines that no poverty and no specic of ten people’s the severity provide lines intensity more than relevance produce an of poverty, arbitrary to overly the lives of simplistic lives. very all their standards that small, unpredictable person income. and money people once be in or misleading poverty However, sporadic . just can living in Farmers, twice a reality, for year and have a can reliable, incomes instance, af ter can may harvest be earn time. Recap electricity • housing is least and their the roughly or them more as to be living in difculties dening • having poverty in: poverty insufcient collect poverty • sampling; • having limited of these people • relying on and irregular household surveys data in acute poverty disaggregation of may be omitted data “MPI by the poor ”, 1 .57 billion representing and percentage of people are This is million people absolute severity of lines, which may underestimate poverty the of • relying on minimum income standards, which can misleading. living deprivations living. poverty ten be standard 800 are • experiencing. at measuring assets. measured poverty, in indicators, in Causes of economic inequality and poverty much is a whole range of factors—economic , social and the worldwide role estimated on people live not poverty There higher because standards. water • three identies poverty multidimensional health, measure as (UNDP) poverty different • • fuel of the poverty. statistics. are the indicators, However, the children, poverty to • measure denition. regular by such street There child to currently household do people relation • neither are: • and above captured Initiative Development countries people respect three dene median Multidimensional Development a sampling Difculties These what in globe. captures with dening at considered income. accurately indicator—has Nations developing the is differences This calculated household poverty phenomenon reason Human index vulnerable around The & measures 100 are that $20,000. $10,000 relative a word composite United this a are conducted provided portrait Oxford which a point terms. of step, There difcult data. have including The who agreeing are poverty 50% rst pover ty. specically, who is very be surveys addition, and separates the term income of country—from task . 50%. median but statisticians simple a from will a countries. • Households not cost data percentage is power countries Relative the their day surveys of measurement those poverty-related parity assessing not • actually of poverty difculty were in evaluating per such, day. and revised perceptions to important rst is set is policies Banksets • the accurately formulating both effectiveness. at pover ty income scale below measuring taking Measuring the in T I N U the : 3 families dened, S C I M O N O C E O R C A M that of the state—driving economic inequality and poverty. poverty. Examples are explored below. 107 Inequality This occurs of oppor tunity when people living in the same society do Over the level skills access to the same opportunities. Parental from the key circumstance inuencing inequality by gender is and strongly place of birth. correlated Inequality with income tend to that with have people’s background, or their gender ultimately, have In cases households at higher these in were rates earnings disparities over in a type as degree of job The reason the is parental their they days longer. to seek poorer of At ethnicity educational get and, 2020 within and lower working life. the is time, Yet , skilled factor plays distributed; the income lose as level a but place where these children were because will the born of of trillion of the not the in the this may set them back over their there are no cases where as tend of inequality of opportunity they are cases of income instances inequality. where In of will but income inequality income of inequality opportunity inequality but is is not still an the with moderate there This important only racial Income levels depends offering the on factors of resource the of payments production and payments take the form of interest (for capital) highly power unequal lead to a ownership highly of or are a been is that the the past few share of decades national own. (for prots suggests entrepreneurship is rising is falling. This decline in and For instance, on G20 a report countries and in labour ’s share of income very more for time, certain and what 0.1% to receive in higher receive or experienced working may higher in they and the have are same less more they job. of of poverty involved are in work Similarly, minority less or evidence employment , chance earning security risk paid when members up social at be against . example, to than in ethnic access other insurance. power when social there power. are disparities Signicant in market power hands of More a few rms specically, may in lead some to countries signicant increase in corporate there concentration power. to a This few leads rms, to as a transfer they can of income charge away consumers they sell and pay social their groups workers may be less. At granted the same exclusive by preferences, widening Government the share by of could boost their income and benets policies that wages can mitigate inequality through payments such public (for taxes and as public or unemployment benets. Typically retirement higher-income production to evidence capital share of the increases tax which inequality. entrepreneurship). increasing and going income to is tend tend income to pay proportionately to that a 1% inequality in counterparts; receive systems of more taxes and while support lower more in from benets can the income taxes than their state. narrow individuals Combined, income these disparities. labour many countries have now seen an increase in income fuelling International suggests while may lower human to labour wages experience, time, of refers the or same 108 levels capital embodied for for have lower indicating gaps in existing tax-and-transfer systems Labour counteract rising inequality. Particularly, in some advanced decrease the tax rate on high incomes has declined. Across income countries, the average top tax rate fell from 66% in 0.2%. Dif ferent Human less and powerful and wealth, OECD by to may receive discriminated generally end arise the consumers economies in may other of to Organisation may also monopoly inequality, inequality. and not likely any inequality. discrimination job are or distribution. going that labour ’s a religion perpetuating pensions, paid inequality. a However, is This that Remember land), (for factors income there increased. few determinant households they income has relatively lower Over of low ownership the unequal ends designers high individuals would as how benets A two one. rents and are less lower status policy—primarily labour), the such drivers, race, facing who without can Governments factor at inequality. in discrimination, of ten privileges Dif ferent share countries. and determine opportunity high. role responsibilities frequently workers, from low, OECD be parents country enjoys of mid- the lifetime. a contrast , inequality as discrimination, are have caring employment and rare such gender, groupsandimmigrants has levels in workers income nding women they to unpaid in gender that men economic levels working skilled workers workers of concentrated Remarkably, workforce people high population than case market much the important difculty Inequality the of against an greater they in wealthier $10 result loss of of increase Groups Unequal uniformly to Discrimination than opportunities Overall, to learning 41% share likely suggests across closing same stand have 2010, Discrimination In programmes schools households. and children distance-learning students opportunities in strategies, the to spectrum, earnings lockdown learning who and of their born, distance-learning few current their large the opportunities much than a such were 1995 opportunity inequality. birth they Covid-19 cases, able disruptions to remote within took at of workers inequality. income. same some it of the to the launched other to inequality income where obtain, level due had countries. of of determine switching not were place they their example, schools levels levels circumstances the qualications For high high the skills trend Countries of Between opportunity, and opportunity proportion background of the followed the declined. 53% However, is has not fell have years, because receive and capital skills, force. others wage conditions the education Some of who workers special are less extremely jobs less are of ten stability. and are skills able and skilled, low experience to education educated wages. associated At the with poorer 1981 to 41% other changes inheritances up wealth. both in result, See and taxation. 1 10 tax High same in to scope; a more too. fall, time, the inequality for earners regimes, tended the economic page 2008. in has At size in have T ax transfer been detailed property high state is from and earners payments welfare has on allowing beneted have on to build decreased shrinking. As a rising. explanation of the role of Inequality change income The world economy has become increasingly integrated All of the ows that constitute accumulate have some impact on inequality, but one is technology. Technological the job market, change lower devaluing social whole media from a skills see the as new strategists. decline their in and and revaluing skills while rise, between important factor jobs—think People wages earnings relationship an skills with the those and, skills and behind app of the widening income skills revalued technology rising quality international trade as a result be if it impacted leads new With high regarded economy of to import income inequality. penetration has Many been globalization workers high such, workers and in face import-competing dislocation in become industries whereas workers the industries income maintain or is increase The basic have less order of side achieve countries and and more long-term have their supply-side free and growth. reformed employment , freer rein. with less will poor able be children to lower inequality. economic the be usually go to ending college. up As than it would a have Lower labour productivity growth. overall lower, found rate among spend of because “squeezed” goods, travel, what savings result , is by savings the the much of in highest middle inequality. jewellery, or they known are low, productive their the rate classes, High income incomes expensive on houses seek as havens capital abroad ight . for their Therefore, the level resources of do investment not is increase low. or As improve, income, economic levels the and of growth. However, inequality policies unfettered is seeking, dened share the Based on this so rules covering market forces this has also have “efforts also that been people linked take to to rent get of pie rather than to increase the size of a larger the markets Wealthy individuals may use their ability to, say, fund principle parties to inuence policies in a way that benets products, are tended as to When resources are allocated to such rent-seeking generally behaviours, allowed and their them. services to luxury in political many and to policies market-based government to lead booming pie”. in can gap. supply principle for typically foreign High Market-based it industries lose in not slower usually withholding widening instance, redundant . a export-oriented lower has when income For education inequality, are savings As in schools tends savings which and where capital. productivity were then imported also of education suffer or inequality. of ability and and inequality—so can labour individuals Increased the care course, developers devalued with potentially of health affects been creating depriving most result , the by access globalization perhaps in important to human underinvestment can growth and to interconnected. lowers households T I N U technological : 3 and to they are diverted from productive purposes that widen could have led to faster growth. higher the inequality S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Globalization inequality. The Deregulation and privatization have increased population power and higher concentration prices businesses. and The to a in many transfer increased of countries, income labour market which from has led consumers exibility lower minimum wages, lower labour union employment is protection responsible for laws the and lower shrinking income individuals not be to educate their a business. The income. to the Lastly, the benets of or the fraction other credit . of the When able cannot borrow children money, they sufciently may or expand result of these factors start can be a growth. unemployment share tax smaller loan power, of wages addition, cuts have according to several researchers, growth tends to in more fragile when inequality is high. That is to say that accrued it mostly a resulting be national the for low In benets qualies to slower lower that to and from is, monopoly is how the benets from growth are distributed that will wealthiest . ultimately is determine non-inclusive and whether its the benets growth remain will with last . the If growth wealthiest Recap because Causes of inequality and resilient . poverty would Inequality and poverty can arise inequality of This help • different levels of resource • different levels of human • discrimination • unequal (gender, status race, a impede and tax and benets globalization and • market-based supply-side technological income is rising growth and in OECD of decades can have this countries, fuelled to a wealth the the shock will that not the long-term benets will not be between in by it turn, rich may may and create deter inequality may poor may political investment . also make also and it social Social can rising to to nd the necessary more consensus economic and nancial in crises. on and social standards of living High and be live. IMF impact and on over others— economic substantial. inequality have cut stability sustained levels of inequality can have a harsh inequality OECD, negative impact estimated gap governments meet Particularly, the past on societies, Such Inequality can of GDP by around will reduce disadvantaged victims making inequality people them result people’s are in worse large places social well-being more likely to by in which to costs. fuelling commit and crime: to be crimes. couple Inequality is less change growth evidence—from that economic be policies policies. and economic inequality society policies effect that unequal adverse since because which, for Impact There an an will power • on support growing instability, others) society Impact with in growth shared. growth, difcult of that then ownership capital divisions Impact deal enough Lastly, government implies inequality, opportunity uniformly • economic from: gain • of may also damage trust . In particular, citizens can 8.5%. lose condence in institutions, eroding social cohesion. 109 Even wor se, difcult to view reform, to to high inequality improve, themselves and resist so makes because as they the wor se have off the weak institutions powerful from a incentive few are socially and the very likely inequality rich efcient power means the also strengthens hence will be their used the political bargaining to power. encourage power of Usually, outcomes the this favourable to rich. it . In High and inequality populist may policies also that lead can those prove to on be low incomes damaging. to support Moreover, high cases conict of extreme may result inequality, that can upheavals cost lives and and set civil back any progress. Recap Impact of Impact inequality on economic growth includes: Impact on stability low → levels of slower lower savings resources of capital → low labour productivity higher of living and social criminality growth inequality lack human standards includes: → lower encourages from investment rent-seeking productive access to credit → slower damaged growth behaviours → diverting trust and increasing support increasing power social of cohesion populist policies purposes → lower investment → slower of the rich growth inequality creates investment high → instability limiting inequality → → fuelling discouraging conicts and upheavals. growth non-inclusive growth → fragile growth. The role of To taxation understand proportional T axes are distinguished into direct and Direct taxes are directly paid to tax authorities and and personal Bill, If Alex income taxes: paid based on all forms such as wages, rental income, interest earnings are two individuals, different . $10,000 earns and $20,000 pays and $2,000 pays in income $5,000 then tax the is progressive. Bill pays a larger proportion tax of his income in tax compared to Alex (25% > 20%). dividends • − yearly of income and whose earns Bill system income progressive, consider include: while − between taxation by • taxpayers difference regressive indirect . Alex • the and corporate income taxes: taxes on the prots of If Bill pays $4,000 in income tax then the tax system is a proportional. Both Alex and Bill pay the same proportion corporation of − wealth taxes: taxes imposed on the ownership of • they include property taxes and inheritance their Indirect or on taxes are taxes expenditures. imposed They are on called goods and indirect If Bill are paying them indirectly services to through the the good or service being can be Alex that pays propor tional and regressive progressive, on the of proportional relationship income paid as or between A tax is progressive proportionately if more tax < of system his income is regressive. in tax Bill compared in all 20%). three cases proportionately Bill more pays or more. The key is whether not . taxes are never regressive; example shows however, why this indirect taxes are. is. and that the VAT is 20% and both Alex and Bill have the $400 in tax for a $2,000 laptop. As a proportion of his tax . higher so the regressive income lower • (15% following paid percentage then proportion taxes Assume depending $3,000 smaller purchased. The T axes pays a Income Progressive , (20%). sellers Bill of tax because Note consumers in taxes. pays • income assets; income that as individuals income income, Alex is paying pay increases more; he is paying: 400 or 4% or 2% the 10,000 percentage of income paid as taxes also increases. whereas • A tax is proportional if higher income individuals Bill is paying: pay 400 proportionately the same so that as income increases the 20,000 percentage of income paid as taxes remains constant . Both • A tax is regressive if higher income individuals Yet , proportionately less so that as income individuals increases since of income paid as taxes do of tax not paid decreases. poorer 1 10 they paid the same “dollar ” have the same level of amount income, of VAT. the the amount percentage have pay individual. is a greater percentage of income for the total tax may paid is T able 3.4.2 shows how much income tax be income, additional were asked to pay, as of (€) T ax that rate 3.4.3 22 (20,001 –30,000) 29 a or result spending. of The additional is, the shows tax the paid two on the last “dollar ” tax rate (ATR) Marginal tax rate T 37 40,001 45 ATR T able and above Let T able 3.4.2 Nikos As earns €35,000 per year. earned. rates. How much tax MTR = ΔY 3.4.3 us turn shown, €9,150 does (MTR) ΔT = Y (30,001 – 40,000) MTR income (%) Average (0–20,000) wealth as 2019. T able Income paid Greek earned: individuals prots, tax : 3 the in again Nikos to the earns case of Nikos €35,000 per and year Soa. and pays tax: €9,150 he have to pay? Most will answer €12.950 (35,000 × ATR = = 0.26 = 26% €35,000 0.37) and they are wrong. The calculation is a bit more For the last euro earned Nikos paid 37% in tax , which is complicated. the Using the information in T able 3.4.2, the tax paid for MTR. the Soa rst will €20,000 be 29%; earned and for will the be 22%; next for the €5,000 next Nikos €10,000 earns he earns €70,000 taxed 37%. (0.22 × is total €20,000) tax + paid pays €24,500 in tax: = 0.35 = 35% €70,000 + (0.29 × €5,000) The and = So: €4,400 year €24,500 will ATR be per it €2,900 by Nikos + €10,000) (0.37 For × the the = €1 ,850 on + the = last euro earned Soa €9,150 €35,000 he paid 45% in tax , ATR earns which is MTR. Nikos (income = €35,000) MTR 26% 37% 35% 45% S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Calculating T I N U HL €9,150. Soa Now consider Soa, who earns €70,000 per year the amount Nikos earns). To calculate how she has to pay the same steps will be 3.4.4 the information in T able 3.4.2, the tax paid for €20,000 earned will be 22%; for the next the €10,000 ATR be 29%; for the next €10,000 it will inferred be 37%; also and for both in this €30,000 that Soa has above €40,000 she will 45%. a is (see is T able progressive, more proportional × €20,000) + (0.29 × €10,000) income as income greater 3.4.4). than The with Soa tax paying than Niko. (0.37 × €10,000) + (0.45 × €30,000) tax tax €2,900 paid by + €3,700 Soa on + €13,500 the €70,000 = so system the MTR the is ATR equal remains to the constant ATR. tax system the ATR decreases as In income a rises = so + rises + regressive total that So: (0.22 The is MTR for as €4,400 case the be In taxed this while individuals case proportionately the from rises, it system will be ATR the the rst can followed. rises Using €70,000) much What tax = (so T able double (income the MTR is less than the ATR. €24,500 she earns Recap is €24,500. Effect Average and marginal tax • To explain the proportional difference and between regressive taxes progressive, the average tax rate (ATR) further and we the If the the need tax tax ATR marginal If the tax it is ATR and MTR is and progressive MTR > then as income rises ATR. system as is income proportional rises and then MTR = ATR remains ATR. (MTR). ATR is the proportion of income paid in taxes; that If the tax ratio the of tax the tax paid as collected a over proportion income. of the More tax system is regressive then ATR decreases as is, income the on tax • The system rises constant rate systems to • dene of rates rises and MTR < ATR. generally base, which 1 1 1 In Figure (say, 3.4.3 income) proportional through the line slope tax the is of the and horizontal the system origin. In increasing the line is axis vertical is a the measures amount illustrated progressive while in a by tax the of any tax the There base paid. straight system regressive tax tax many line slope system may property A of the also in countries. most property to raise which However, is too. tend to more while the property, regressive the income of off many is, taxed tend there (that of residential lightly better Nevertheless, be of taxation relatively residential owners taxes proportionally T ax scope expensive middle-class the decreasing. be particular, are in to own many existing they poorer take households). paid Reform Progressive make that the income Lastly, Proportional would burden groups, with consumption property tax reliance reducing regressive the rendering reducing towards make of the on to goods taxes and more heavily fairer taxes poverty. income and taxes most indirect inequality respect of fall given services the and less can also Indirect that that progressive on make distortive. help taxes they fall up will upper- a are on the larger Regressive share of the households. make the indirect tax base 3.4.3 Progressive, proportional and regressive at can wealth taxation reduce more as VAT spending. households reliance on regressive. may be However, On the as than indirect the only some of wealthier taxes other way may hand, to nance countries to make transfer payments to households, lack the there taxation may How such poorer (income) capacity Figure of greater system taxes government T ax budgets Hence, pover ty, income a be a case lower for rate, if differentiating at VAT rates to tax necessities all. and inequalities? Recap T axation income crucial can play a major distribution for transfer raising less role making unequal. revenues payments, in health to In and af ter-tax addition, nance care the public taxation T axation is expenditure education that tend and on low-income taxation of income is one of the main ways to Progressive redistribute incomes. Progressive income require their those total on higher income A wealth incomes. Increasing can lead to can be less achieved However, in incomes taxes development investment of the to pay compared progressivity unequal by higher to a larger those on af ter-tax raising selective tax tax Also, of tax rates income rates may relief s, they the distribution marginal marginal decisions. avoidance on tax paying through loopholes, fewer tax Property lead can to the exploitation of with those on high • This an Less distortions, approach including through economists, Piketty, have inequality initiated 2018 1% was tax of the cut . triple to in would closing other types USA Their their key as of Emmanuel documenting 1980 Americans grounds, way such been af ter that and has held share 19.3% from be tax wealth that Policies to reduce care as economic pay taxes money and another loopholes, and to more taxes can promote equity. to reduce pover ty, income and a government include may the also resort to the use of following. reduce in inequalities taxation and Saez and tax fuelled culminated of that all decades inequality by top in On wealth forcing the and of on everything they own to public services such as education way of for using all. The wealth taxation of opportunities— Reducing ensuring inequalities individuals’ circumstances—such as own gender, That as turn, a they their the services with increase labour capacity of wealth can level improving health the not for better allowed obtain, of to the income. quality lower deprived, so type This and and they the of ethnicity or the be to groups. training educational job can access income education, productivity limit they can get achieved education A and healthier skills will income-earning decrease income and inequality. richest Transfer payments . These usually include pensions, and and disability benets as well as child and improved tax towards implies status—are population these tax in through recent tenth 2018. earlier. a and, cuts the or qualications economic tax af ter the wealth proposing by in capital. reforms. Thomas rise human achieve may allowances. These payments are made to the most thus groups of the population using a part of the narrowing revenue collected from the inequality. decrease 1 12 indirect These opportunities tax economic made tax- vulnerable serve and inequality. inequality policies. other health increased on taxation, unemployment diverting wealth ending • to redistribute and incomes to massive show four are a been which estimates economists reduce Americans to extensive parental Key used taxes. appropriate equity be improve policies background greater if can reliance Fur ther of induced income earners. the distort legal higher can taxes investment Perhaps redistribute system income. encourage which may of • up can proportion other accounting taxes lower Besides tax income equally. progressive a inequality taxes • of reduce equally. more will to for • governments tool households. more Progressive a to • favour as poverty income inequality. working population, so they on them—but improves. reduced transfers is may the Gini are to only is a of risk become the years mothers from ago (as it that cash Bolsa that overly necessitate conditional many poor there coefcient part initiated provided that payments example, cash was note such that For have that to of enough dependent not their transfers 0.62 Familia to UBI design in 0.49. a been cash welfare are of children more their have likely than children) to attend fathers under school to three on conditions: regularly, they can be for regular medical check-ups and the a neighbourhood nutrition and health care huge its or June managed to decrease the of Minimum wage increase the T argeted the spending can as education to make on goods subsidize and them health available to incomes of mother has classes. end urban fringe nutritional poor it or and services . directly care, to and the public low 3.3, services or voter s affordable rejected such government in order to can set or support the workers. policy will The result benet those is that the higher wage. workers, a job at a It may who create However, research has as mentioned shown that in sections reasonable 2.7 increases in may wage even have prompt deprived projects in areas, school lunches clean water and programmes, greater to higher in effort on unemployment the part of workers. order perspective income inequality is the dening challenge villages our time. There is no “one-size-ts-all ” approach to pre-school and electrication led groups. rural and not such to inequality. The nature of appropriate policies the on the underlying drivers and country-specic remote policy and policy to is not sufcient that education is free of institutional settings. Still, when to families help in may need generating to keep income their so a children cash out . to induce them to send children to may not be sufcient remote to villages. offer free Esther (Nobel using showed bringing that the their likelihood children to of be mothers in vaccinated to to lentils camp was increased also by six times if that a basic providing all a given wealth or identical which higher sum periodic are of of funded incomes. (UBI). a through UBI or a 1 areas many people as opportunities possible to learn. enjoy The care, where again policymakers same must as many people services. The as role possible of taxes have and access to transfers redistributing income Increasing and the wealth must progressivity of also be income kilogram In are the amount its of most made taxes of is a model geographic regardless status. payments The The country money, employment of key—policymakers reducing reliance on indirect taxes, decreasing offered. income citizens are free loopholes Universal skills Udaipur, in a as quality health quality taxes, of that high considered. immunization and for in India number Prize, high 2019) a school; vaccinations Duo Education ensure ensure in inequality, may applies children income at subsidy access necessary address charge; must with The wage skilled with minimum and The provide infrastructure most health supplementation of rural home • hospitals This stand bag which areas. Of ten it funds, infrastructure intergenerational depends or of Switzerland’s policy. minimum wage up tackling be building as but the to of rural government ’s such needs However, be Widening include provision a priorities, 2016 Policymakers’ and on basic add-ons. poverty. government Examples of their have the • draw other individual ’s lot that and transfer the a the unemployment . programme of provide plan. will attend a In minimum taken to prevent housing. transfer shown spend take refurbishment These • mothers to enough could Brazil programme whereby has the T I N U important : 3 is beneciaries S C I M O N O C E O R C A M It to paid money their for area income, common all by paid form, individuals, those benet , be from taxation potentially should capital, which coupled a wealth under perhaps widening of higher and of on reforms reforming well-designed social individuals property consideration. focus with income to tax all Therefore, increase systems safety mostly seem to policy human and on net . with should be 1 13 3.5 Demand management policies): Money, In order banking to monetary, each type achieve scal of limitations achieving stability policy and policy will be objectives, will be and growth, objectives their their low will In this They use is unit , strengths effectiveness unemployment , be policy policy policymakers policies. explained, examined other monetary supply-side satisfactory and and monetary (demand-side include conducted changes and in conducted in of price 3.5.1 provides a “bird’s eye by the by view“ of macroeconomic focus on money at affecting aggregate demand. also at referred to stabilizing as short-run aggregate stabilization demand, and policies so the as aim at production but policy. the interest and rates. involves and/or Monetary country and policy involves Fiscal changes policy is in level the taxes. into increasing side of the market-based policies. Fiscal aggregate economy. supply-side and supply. They are policies monetary policy They of ten and may sometimes also to decrease, only to increase aggregate try to demand. they Supply-side aim or scal of They increase, are supply expenditures interventionist aim and bank government policies the distinguished policies policy central evaluated. policies. Demand-side the the government Supply-side Figure monetary policies aim aggregate supply. economy. Macroeconomic policies Fiscal in and/or 3.5.1 Supply-side policies policies Monetary policy Changes Figure Demand-side policy Changes G (or, T Macroeconomic in r Market-based Interventionist Ms) policies HL she Money knows accept Money is means of it is a wants to therefore transaction on specialization dramatically the past, accepted shells, used to a and, of This money of an as that is “at is Jason willing had money and silver means of of could It sell; will minimize had payment. always such as no a later convert this gold silver. or does it represent a claim on something else of of ten assets supply backed by absolutely nothing. Flat money is as a result of government decree. An The a 1 14 accept a euro as a payment in the This eurozone buy one must also something. For our to a as make functions in of cheque to or of account . monies”. funds a with from result , a savings what monies cash consider and of also money. As Near using also and includes into by supply transfer a money. demand are money payment will so circulation converted we a money circulation make denitely denition a of payment? deposits) in demand purposes currency is the easy of course account, sight narrow “near of writing currency quickly means cash that denition to be or extremely cannot referred the a a can bank means is as so by your include now can to deposits broader that value. as or the demand are demand money deposits. money functions does money perform? It Money is of course a “medium of exchange” as it is considered Italian eurozone by denition, woman market will to One coins, made This account acceptable, money the value, • is is though deposits. a must deposits. it and be cheque savings What nor in wants acceptable linked money. economy are also card (or account , value by intrinsic else she “money ”? notes can considered even all generally with debit deposits any At backed is However, cattle, were your demand expands It when considered payment an economy. coins is Payments must generally was has Joey to what What permits value. that value, money ”. to example, intrinsic one an been For So, Individuals order of if everyone euro a for wants: specialization introduced something money a of place. in possibilities gold value was meant into and as then exchanged selling, take payment. had function, and Introducing course, its is has not commodities Money money commodity. Nowadays, of Jason Joey will place means money. paper paper take are specialization production various independently date, avoid exchange. the as salt as to acceptable this coincidence that that serves goods double something the dependency In where something prefer generally nothing requires buy buy otherwise anything If economy, Barter to as payment. barter goods. want dened that the because transactions. as a means of payment in all goods a “unit prices and of and account ”. so It measure is a and yardstick compare used to values of amount of Money is a “store of value”. It can be used to power and wealth over time. of money that high ination This is the Money is also a “standard of to of the past , the present contracts, deferred and the which is payment ”. future just it permits people and rms to banking system of a a as way it allows of saying banking system of a country borrow and the commercial country the comprises a A central bank Keep a small not deposits that held as by This of is a central the sole It is the in mind just though of the currency bank s central authority of the The that the supply of money in supply, circulation bank and when of af ter Let ’s mostly of the new government One of has are of is also bonds rates achieving most the responsible for cash country ’s policy way which exports behave in and and bank lending maintaining practices. price macroeconomic bank’s responsibilities inuences and is which the the in and importantly, bank s, in excessively their catastrophic • The central risky for bank s supervised the quest is in bank is whole what Commercial in their of vaults The of are of a the bank prots, as this do and the sudden The which to is known must meet and for any as the cash is always required emergency, are lenders pay which largely to and the nancial together. interest , and “ lender have of is they depends charge on all as cannot reserve be requirement lent ratio of reserves available (r ). for are satised. creation by example 10%, or that 0.10. the What central happens the to deposit National $1 ,000 Bank? The that he money held supply plus demand be deposits) $1 ,000 less of has not currency more in bank in deposits. National Bank reserve has ratio $1 ,000 is 10% more it in only in reserves (0.1 × 1000). The needs remaining reserves”. who uses First the National funds to Bank pay can for a lend new the of the laptop, Second Laptops National R Us, will is equal deposit Bank . supply $1 ,000 has that now Avinash increased. had as It cash and to was the then into the demand of Bank, $1 ,900. Laptops deposit R Us he in has the plus Second the $900 National or last Second ready to It a will They collect use now as has $900 required additional reserves lend the remaining excess reserves (0.10 of × $810 900) to who will use from the Best proceeds Cellphones. of the Then loan Best to buy a new Cellphones will crisis. the is $810 now the plus the $1 ,810 Best Cellphones. to the initial in the The Third National Bank. $1 ,000 in Avinash’s accounts of Laptops Third National Bank The money account R Us now and has $810 bring additional reserves of which 10% or $81 are required deposits, these Their difference Bank $90 in supply that keep provide liquidity banking institutions National will to fractional interest . will to and the remaining $729 are excess reserves. It make now lend out $729 to Daniel, who will use the loan protability between these buy a Nakamura mountain bicycle from CrimsonBikes. two will deposit the money in the Fourth National rates. not necessary funds for deposited depositors funds to required deposit a bank to keep in its vaults all at deposits the will it want same made in will time. on because cash On and any average it highly withdraw day be is the unlikely all of amount roughly equal and the process will continue until no more lending of can the which determines held enough obligations cash avoid then First demand Bank, It the following there seller CrimsonBikes interest and bank be engage to thus must prove can loans, vaults are system. always their bank with banks bank s they central that reserves $1 ,000 Bob to money reserves for their bank sure of borrowers in central central makes system Commercial The amount decides the to $900 deposit reserve bank s the imports. not could banking bank s central bank s Commercial as money the “excess cellphone case to circulation $100 $900 Carla, commercial be a and depositors. at bank s the First but If reserves. cash keep deposits equal because though, hold The resort ”. can exchange operate by central for lending the r the converted in these It initial that (as goals. competitiveness attractiveness commercial regulated Most bank stability, The bank . the vault by laptop. The in its paying the • in mature. monetary important central policy, cash banks in set Avinash $900 rate be bonds, to • central commercial required assume reserves. one either r issues conducts interest charge be holds which but Now in can reserves. referred circulation is by bank process bank that proceeds inuencing it notes hold. bank bondholders central the they bank of reserves changed • deposits immediately). commercial is (currency back the a in collects another only bank note-issuing when • of thus r percentage includes of which at cash commercial is will terms bank The country. debiting bank (in electronic bank s. functions central fraction holds deposits to lending • it fraction Excess The the the lend. out . and a assets, into currency reserves The keep deposits referred The and commercial transactions funds, Money plus that Most of destroys. The intertemporal account A liquid converted link s transfer rst or • one withdrawn. the hold form function of account . required purchasing money involve crediting services. bank • of value) T I N U is express : 3 Money S C I M O N O C E O R C A M • take place out of Avinash’s original $1 ,000 deposit . that Commercial bank s “stroke of pen” Money is can thus lend and create money by the their of new to the a created or nowadays when one by the bank’s click loan of a mouse. becomes another 1 15 bank’s make deposit another and that loan. bank T able uses 3.5.1 most shows of the this deposit to The The Deposit 10% required Reserve Loans issued ratio $100 $100 $729 $72.90 million In would be also demand a $65.61 $590.49 … … … instead time your 3.5.1 The Total money required Total $100 loans reserves issued $1 ,000 $9,000 The term creation have noticed buy (a strange money own. wealth you if will you cheque Will as is you as most innite. choose money still have had your account will interest had is still paid bought have would demand money a people Think to stashed $100 be or $100 sight $100 have for such interest of hold in your million. million in This deposit) million (as a where no, deposits). bond on If, or then your though, in bond a year ’s and your grown. money as on government earned because groceries that , for simplicity, we are now you you has must cannot be go meaning. liquid to the You enough to supermarket to as with the a government transactions bond. motive for This is of ten holding money. assuming higher the nominal income in a country, the more following. money • for process The the case transactions referred may seems your your balance would million demand to You of year, the low, you you make T able money demand $656.10 $656.10 $10,000 of one deposit year extremely deposits for the million basement? in Total that $810 $81 $729 money $900 $90 $810 for demand claim having $100 $900 term would this $1 ,000 demand process. All currency is deposited in bank s. The public holds will be demanded for transaction purposes. So, no demand for money for transactions will increase if real currency. GDP • Bank s If a lend out all of their excess increases However, bigger part of a loan is kept in cash and or if bank s decide to keep and not lend out their excess reserves, then the expansion of the will be central reserves reserve with average price level increases. is hold an opportunity money. You cost sacrice involved the if interest you that earned if instead you had chosen to you hold There is a trade-off between the convenience a of smaller. bank ratio the money holding The there to have bond. supply if all could of also not choose deposited, but reserves. can tools is r inject we then will easily into examine simple the later. economy If mathematics the “ fresh” required reveals funds how money convenience in a that but earns earning demand no deposit convenience offered, have by he interest , interest . is to If take and sacricing Sammy is advantage foregoing the this keeping of interest the he would r much the “ fresh” Note money reserves that M supply (so ΔR below can = increase +1000) denotes the from entering money a $1 ,000 the of economy. supply and earned asset D such money as a placing bond. decreases if his It funds follows interest in an that rates interest-earning the demand for increase. s denotes deposits while the Greek letter Δ denotes change, Figure which in this case is an 3.5.2 demand interest ΔM = ΔD = shows what the above suggests—that the increase. 1000 + 900 + 810 + 729 + for rate money (r) and is negatively that this sloped money if drawn demand against function the will … s shift 2 ΔM = ΔD = ΔR + (1 − r ) ΔR s + (1 − r ) r 3 ΔR + (1 − r ) r ΔR + at to the each right interest if nominal rate people income will (money want to GDP) hold increases more as money. r 4 (1 − r ) ΔR + … r Interest 2 ΔM = ΔD = ΔR × [1 + (1 − r ) s + (1 − r ) r + (1 − = ΔD = ΔR = (1 (r) …] 1 × − + r ΔR × x s 1 r ) r 1 ΔM rate 3 − r ) c r r r r2 So, if the r is 10% then an increase by $1 ,000 in the banking r reserves (the ΔR above) can increase demand deposits and the money supply by $10,000. The money multiplier m is equal to r1 the inverse of the required reserve ratio r . r It follows permits that the a fractional money supply reserve to grow banking many system times more Md than the reserves in the banking system. This is the Md result of lending loans to generated, central or take and bank place so can decreasing have converted the available. on. into and It affect deposits thus should the amount more also money of which allow deposits be clear supply reserves by to M2 Quantity M2 money Figure 3.5.2 The demand for Given If a level of interest nominal rates money income increase (Y), from r1 demand to r2 for then money demand of (M) bank s Md. 1 16 M1 the increasing commercial Y>Y>) more be that (when is will decrease holding movement on along from M1 to M2 to money balances the money demand as is the opportunity higher. function There is a Determination central if the increases each then level more average of money interest be has increased The supply central bank rates, We the choose to to will at The the real increase people So, or Y need demand money right GDP from now r2, Md to for to market to demand from is have lend bank Y ’. At set simplicity consider by af ter the the the by the money interest rate interaction of is determined the money in the demand money curve and supply. hold money function Ms Interest rate (r) M’d. determined that reserves though supply out requirement and established Even money by r2 affected changes rates bank equilibrium money change. affect increases will M2. shif ted money bank . will income than of somehow supply will and of level transactions. greater supply also money for will The M’2, price interest Md. The Now, of T I N U of : 3 money cost by the bank, we the will r(e) money bank s how satisfy the central the commercial altering they central if then by much can r1 they reserve choose for Md only by to the quantity central of money the bank (M) supply and on of draw the money it as vertical horizontal determined at axis. in Figure 3.5.4 Assume Ms Ms (r) in Equilibrium the that order bearing As a will The of of money bank . the by Monetary of money For of is as explained example, India, in conducted in India China by it by earlier, is the the is central a conducted will the Central Bank of People’s Egypt , in Bank New the of Bank Reserve the of Bank, eurozone New in by the the Zealand, UK by in the European the of a Bank China, USA of are independent of the independence varies. by in by policy the money aggregate supply, and so interest cost living of monetar y The single most and Most but refers rates, in and rate ination stability r2 at from for more money, quantity of then quantity the will rate. money exceed The money. public The the quantity interest- interest money supplied of the at If money. the of quantity bank then the holding holding the r1 , than r(e). by money quantity wants excess to supply to of interest money to r(e) where of money supplied. prominent would rate for economists several consider reasons be that a preferable. 0% is to not desired because, overestimate as increases explained in there is a chance that if the the measured close to zero, deation. the In economy addition, it is may already argued higher greater ability their to than 2% ination target gives that central a banks in cutting in a interest recession rates. to decrease Independently unemployment of the target rate degree ination set , a central bank must also ensure that it is changes order to through time. affect Many central to bank s achieve and have an explicit maintain price dual mandate stability but not also to policy goal price is explained as is slightly of monetary policy is stability. A low and “maximum necessary to avoid the earlier. Most central ination “below but close to employment ”. More generally, signs of to recession and of a possible increase in unemployment reasonably trigger a response by central bank s. The possible adverse banks 2%”, between ination and unemployment makes it dene difcult price switch into demand less tends so rate trade-off consequences to reason greater supply rate central • important maintain of to CPI experiencing instantly stable is money interest Federal a achieve the Egypt pursue • bank Bank demand. of set some where the rate close the only Goals number earlier, stable in central the the England Bank . government , Monetary try interest and equal a of of is higher by bank s the country. Central Zealand Central for the at decrease slightly be Reserve to is that though ination by by demand-side bank by r(e) central bonds demanded policy policy, that (M) (M) Ination policy at more has bonds excess to rate the is will as equal interest money supply the is central hold Quantity such the demanded Monetary determination equilibrium demanded public increase supplied The rate bank an though demanded If M central money assets result rate 3.5.3 interest achieve rate of supplied. the to interest quantity Figure money 3.5.3. Interest rate of is Figure shown Quantity M some This S C I M O N O C E O R C A M for to achieve both goals. Central bank s thus even 1 17 • face a delicate that a slightly balancing higher achieving both Monetary policy business central This is rate why it target is argued would help in is It to used has act thus more is restore to to goals. cycle. bank s act . ination to minimize several as uctuations advantages “rst that responders” to in of recession or to any inationary Monetary less uncertain stable the policy, rate rate higher. will successful, ination is investment Higher spending long-term a stable environment . achieved and in growth if a revenues country will tend Recap of If a low economy so faster goals and then monetary of monetary will job • achieve and policy policy are to: maintain • achieve high • stabilize • promote levels price of stability employment be economic activity creation a stable economic environment favourable follow. to • necessary export and maintained, the and be as pressures. promotes macroeconomic of of if may imminent The • This balance increase. Goals risk external the permit any competitive. Monetary policy inuences the exchange rate of a • currency. For example, a decrease in interest investment rates will inuence the exchange rate and achieve external (for balance. reasons the that will currency, be which explained) will make lead to exports depreciation cheaper of abroad and HL Tools The the of monetary central bank interest rate can change using Open policy the the money following supply and affect Open market market outstanding tools. mature The required reserve ratio (r in operations operations short-term less than a refer to the government year) from purchase bonds bank s. or sales (bonds The of that purchase ) r of As explained earlier, in a fractional reserve short-term the commercial bank s are required to and in the form of cash in their vaults or as the central bank . The minimum percentage of (and other) deposits that they must is set by the central bank and is keep the supply. purchase from ratio. Commercial reserves. If the bank s central can bank only lend decreases out the ratio then bank s will have more and will be able to lend out excess more, will will increase. shif t to The the money right . If supply the so curve central the required to lend reserve out ratio less so then the in bank commercial money supply the money rarely supply use the curve will required shif t reserve to the ratio bank s affect the protability of As will fall, discount discount bank it as the a is rate is a special to renancing of the commercial interest commercial rate required central bonds by bank will crediting bank s maintain at the the central will thus supply be will able to increase increase. to decrease the money If the supply, government bonds it owns to it will commercials result , bank bank s reserves to reduce with the their central loans, and bank this a decrease in the money are the principal supply. tool Note of that open monetary that central bank s use. easing bank s. rate on banks. It loans is also t h e re is an that countries additional or base rate. If a reserves, it can bank. If the discount banks can, if necessary, been tool t hat using. c e n t ra l Since the bank s in 2008– 09 the nancial US Fe d e ra l crisis ma ny Re s e r ve , c e n t ra l the Bank bank s, of including E n gla n d , the commercial always rate have referred is obtain C e n t ra l Bank, the Bank of J a pa n and other s, borrow f o rc e d to re s o r t to a n ew u n c o n ve n t i o n a l type of lowered open commercial these Central w e re from government central rate makes short bank s operations E u ro p e a n bank The would the to for money wishes forcing to gl o b a l central short-term be ma ny The the decides decrease, L at e l y, The bank Figure lef t . as The Quantitative abruptly of bank s. commercial short-term policy bank s central increases bank s will that bank market and million Commercial leads able the money will the $500 commercial lending. bank s. 3.5.3 that reserves sell supply money decreases any central available bonds required their reserve government required bank . excess of Assume commercial reserves reserve sale as pay reserves the their bonds demand the deposits to with increases hold money reserves bonds banking supply, system government ma r ke t o p e rat i o n s t hat is k n ow n as qu a n t i t at i ve additional easing. reserves by borrowing from the central bank. With Short-term additional reserves commercial banks can lend more, so zero money supply increases. An increase in the discount and commercial banks from obtaining through borrowing from the central bank. So, bank restrict the may raise the discount rate were were in many faced countries with the zero down to lower (ZLB) problem. when it (much) below They zero as could not people decrease always interest have the option the of central rates bank s additional rates reserves central rate bound discourages interest the wants holding cash. Further monetary easing thus became to difcult . used as a money tool emergencies ease 1 18 of this pressure on supply. The monetary special banks discount policy interest with bad but rate rate in times has loans. is not of been of ten nancial lowered to C e n t ra l bank s p u rc ha s e s bank s of held a re s p o n d e d wide t hat by va r i e t y included conducting of la r g e - s c a l e l o n g e r-t e r m l o n g -t e r m assets (5-year or t hat 10 - y e a r ) well wa s to as bonds, a m o r t ga g e va r i e t y p u mp huge of other loans ow n e d nancial am o u n t s of by assets. m o n ey into bank s The the system. aim Bank s n o n- i n t e re s t banking m o re found earning t h e m s e l ve s re s e r ve s , with f o rc i n g a ood them of to lend a g gre s s i ve l y. : 3 as T I N U g ove r n m e n t Recap Tools of of monetary monetary policy policy include: • changes in the required • changes in the discount • open • quantitative To market increase operations easing: money the required • decrease the discount • buy • resort To to QE decrease which the required • increase the discount • sell the (the proportion interest or of rate sales of bank central short-term long-term central of bonds deposits bank s that charge government and other cannot lent commercial bonds assets be by that the out) bank s alter the central the goal demand to loose) will reserves) have) can: bonds from buying the a central reserve commercial wide array bank of bank s many other longer-term nancial assets from bank s. can: ratio rate government central bonds bank to commercial bank s. change Interest Ms2 (r) rates? of the ght unemployment , or of banks bank . Ms1 If need ratio rate interest in reserves rate involves increase does the supply, • How (the reserve government money short-term rate ratio (purchases supply decrease short-term reserve purchases • S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Tools central off then monetary decrease an bank is to imminent expansionary policy interest will be increase recession (also aggregate and a referred pursued. The rise to in as r1 easy central bank rates. r2 If the goal demand to ght central (or, off referred of to better as in yet , “ tight ”) will 3.5.5 changes central inationary bank Figures the to is slow money supply its then policy interest show decrease down monetary 3.5.6 to pressures, increase and the bank increase) in order contractionary will be (also pursued. The Md rates. how to aggregate a central change the bank M1 uses interest rate achieve its 3.5.5 that the central bank wishes to lower from r1 to to r2. In other words, assume that pur sue expansionary (that is, easier it Decreasing policy. from It will use its tools to increase the ratio Ms1 r interest rate by increasing the if instead to Ms2. It may decrease the or perhaps decrease the the central (tighter) bank decided monetary policy to pursue and increase the interest rate? It will use its thus tools wanted to decrease money money supply. It may increase the required reserve required ratio reserve equilibrium looser) the supply the has or to monetary (M) supply contractionary decided money interest What rates of goals. money Assume Quantity and Figure thus M2 discount rate. or increase the discount rate. Most probably though it Most r will probably though it will conduct open market purchases conduct government outstanding (short-term) government bonds. Bank increase so that the money supply will increase At the original equilibrium interest rate r1 , the money exceeds the demand for money. There is of interest money rate to in the money market , which will bonds. supply original outstanding (short-term) Bank decreases reserves from will Ms1 to decrease Ms2 in so that Figure the 3.5.6. equilibrium interest rate r1 the public will At want hold more money. The excess demand for money will excess increase supply of supply to of sales to the Ms2. market reserves money will open of lower the interest rate to r2. the r2. 1 19 • Ms2 Even rate if a rm uses its past prots to nance the purchase Ms1 Interest of (r) if capital goods interest using rates these investment and does decrease funds not then decreases, need the to borrow from opportunity which will tend cost to bank s, of increase spending. r2 Lower interest rates can also increase net exports (NX), as follows. • A decrease in a country ’s interest rates implies a lower r1 rate of have to return deposits switch interest Md to currencies M1 Quantity of money 3.5.6 Increasing the equilibrium interest rate by decreasing will Effect of assets higher. other currency its of They countries. in value. exports of expansionary monetary policy aggregate will shif t the other will The foreign bonds They will countries sell the where currency increased exchange or want to supply market of buy that However, depreciation of a will currency cheaper to and if an growth is slowing down abroad fear a recession, or an economy is follows and recession? The central bank may thus monetary policy, also referred to as more competitive. monetary The thus central policy, aiming at increasing net the closing a recessionary (or, of a change demand in exchange rate on net interest exports is very bank money will decrease supply, interest typically bonds. The exports, resulting and rates through lower investment be fully and leading Keynesian explained monetary later. policy investment will tend expenditures to as to an increase in aggregate well demand. as a AD/AS result of diagram a shown decrease in as Figure aggregate 3.5.7 an demand, interest a recessionary (or deationary) gap equal is to by open Aggregate rate expenditures demand has decreased, and equilibrium real market is at Y ’, way below the full employment level Yf. The (cyclical) has will economy consumption will expansionary deationary) GDP increase of aggregate Y ’Yf. the purchases the consumption experiencing increasing of and that economy, and impact aggregate “ loose” In demand The so use as “easy ” right . and already increase expansionary increase and It experiencing to demand economy ’s policymakers the thus important What tend on rates gap. are currency. own supply Exports or country ’s who the makes money that investors (M) decrease Figure in nancial nancial rates country ’s M2 for as is in recession and unemployment well increased. as net exports. If C and I and NX increase, then AD will increase. AS APL Lower interest expenditures • Lower for (C) most interest houses will so are increase to decrease such to as buy a household expected and increase following Households durables and tend the rates importantly increase will for households. consumer on rates shif t to to consumption reasons. the cost borrow cars and house. of bank s Borrowing increase. right . to appliances expenditures the borrowing from on will tend durables Aggregate The buy but impact to and demand of lower AD interest most rates on signicant the housing route market through is which considered looser the monetary AD • policy increases Lower interest to save. If aggregate rates demand. decrease households save the less, incentive it means for that households they Y Figure more. Consumption demand increases empirically Lower of rather interest rms for rates the expenditures and shif ts to rise the and right . This route The is the increase following 3.5.7 Impact investment expenditures central money bank, Typically, rms borrow tools and demand of Yr expansionary monetary policy and demand increases shif ts the for its monetary decreases the policy interest reasons tools, rates. explained increases Aggregate above and (I) to right from AD’ to AD. The recessionary (or reasons. to build new factories or to equipment . The cost of gap is closed. The economy grew as real GDP buy increased machines, aggregate using supply deationary) • on aggregate insignicant . also Yf spend from Y’ to Yf and cyclical unemployment also borrowing decreased. for rms will be lower so more investment projects will be You considered protable. Investment spending is the to increase and since investment expenditures are of aggregate demand, aggregate and shif ts to the output to that as aggregate approaching Yf, there increase. the full demand increases employment level may The be pressure degree of any on the average inationary and of price pressures right . depends 120 is demand level increases notice economy a real component should expected on the shape of the aggregate supply curve. demand and decrease Classical diagram monetary restore output unemployment policy back back to to can can its the be used increase potential natural to It show aggregate level and follows decrease as net In the of contractionary exports, monetary policy in Figure if an (tighter) and to a monetary investment decrease in policy will expenditures aggregate as tend well demand. Classical 3.5.8, an equal to AS/SRAS/LRAS economy is diagram experiencing an on gap YpY ’ as a result of an increase in demand aggregate What leading Monetarist/New inationary aggregate contractionary consumption rate. shown Effect that to economy is experiencing inationary demand from AD to AD’. pressures LRAS as a result of aggregate demand increasing too fast so APL that an inationary decrease ination contractionary monetary or interest by its Policymakers price policy, aiming down rates arises? restore monetary policy, slowing gap and at stability. also decreasing increase. decreasing The the will try They referred to money bank use SRAS tight demand will supply, to may as aggregate central increase APL typically APL through interest open rate will expenditures decrease market as then sales decrease well AD as will of bonds. The consumption net exports. If resulting and C higher investment and I and NX AD decrease. AD Higher interest expenditures rates (C) for will the tend to decrease following consumption reasons. Yp • Higher interest rates increase the cost of Y Yr borrowing (NRU) for households so borrowing will tend to decrease and Figure household expenditures expected to decrease. and to the on durables Aggregate and on demand houses lef t . The impact of will higher 3.5.8 the housing through market which is considered tighter the monetary most policy GDP has price Higher interest save. If rates increase households save the more, incentive it means for less. they using Consumption decreases interest rms for The cost projects is rates the of and expenditures shif ts also to decrease following borrowing will expected are a is above rising tools, its from decreases rates. potential APL the Aggregate fall the be to level APL ’. Yp The and the central money supply demand and decreases to for decrease of and shif ts to the lef t from for AD’ the to and gap AD/AS is closed. diagram can also be used to illustrate aggregate tighter monetary policy will decrease aggregate demand lef t . investment expenditures manage to eliminate inationary pressures. However, (I) the Keynesian and the Monetarist diagrams must be reasons. rms considered component earlier inationary interpreted • its explained The both of increased level interest Keynesian and Higher policy will that demand monetary households that A spend contractionary demand. AD. to of signicant reasons • demand decreases increases aggregate aggregate rates bank, route on decrease interest average on Impact are Real shif t T I N U expansionary : 3 Monetarist/New how S C I M O N O C E O R C A M A increases protable. and since aggregate so fewer Investment investment demand, investment spending price at level. loosely The creating as the decrease deation vertical in but axis aggregate at lowering denotes demand the is average not aimed ination. expenditures aggregate demand Recap decreases and shif ts to the lef t. Expansionary • Even if a rm uses its past prots to nance the monetary of if capital interest using goods rates these and does increase funds not then increases, need the to borrow opportunity which will tend from cost to and contractionary purchase policy bank s, • of Expansionary decrease M ↑ → monetary r↓ → C↑ policy and I↑ (easy; and loose) NX↑ → AD↑ s investment spending. • Higher interest rates can also decrease net exports (NX) Contractionary monetary policy (tight) as M ↓ → r↑ → C↓ and I↓ and NX↓ → AD↓ s follows. • An increase rate of have to that increase makes in country ’s nancial that currency country ’s country ’s a for deposits buy that in return its value. exports competitive. aggregate to in buy The the Exports demand bonds will or own They make increased tend shif t abroad to to decrease the lef t . higher will for market a or want deposits of and a bonds demand exchange appreciation expensive will implies who currency. foreign However, more rates investors country ’s currency. currency interest in that will currency thus and less so The The or interest for rates. 4% real For be it $200 It means If, means to banks of on the a if real are you is that $200 during you of rate as the will the was types bank you will same get back and of nominal interest that goods deposited interest to nominal deposit amount different account the ination you for referred savings that $208 same when The quote loans rate, that the buy extra. rate though, that buy could nothing if interest $208. able that types example, annual year 4%, rates different deposit. a interest advertises rate get in a You of was year as a the back year services money. deposits interest in at will the received 0%. 121 The real rate interest minus the rate is more (expected) generally rate r = of r r where r is the real interest nominal interest − that the ination interest rate So, low is the nominal interest very p̂ is the (expected) rate of world ination. purposes we can simplify and remember that nominal try interest rate = (nominal interest rate − if nominal interest rate on a savings ination account is and 0.75%. rate and If ination ination would in is buy be is was 1 .5% higher −0.95%. In then at other the real 3.20% words, rate then you of the get interest real terms fewer let real than what you had less deposited. interest and may will in goods the than nominal assume that Effectiveness what you interest were rate on able a to car there is deation in buy loan the of monetary policy It is last be recessionary is the main choice the “rst for gap or an economy, a demand-side economic activity monetary policy Strengths of policy but and certain stabilizing gap render it has the been preferred include exible. Monetary policy can changing economic meet very either Fiscal used that tool the to The per Most year central and they bank s may for on to It is incremental. it rates in A a central series of bank can by conditions can be tightened It is reversible. interest it can rates easily If it becomes increased reverse or clear Central bank s are This their monetary interest stable The to eight 2018 Bank policy have rates them the or at a Overall, thus rates more central bank s tried at to levels in order from force too to policy, time Time side lags. policies. three − bank detection policymakers problem and they process policy 122 or and like can In deation higher in than an nominal saving this and holds if penalizes nominal interest implementation to decide lag. on This the is the appropriate This is much decide shorter much for faster monetary on a policy. change takes a lot longer for a government in to also expenditures have to be and/or approved by taxes a as long any legislative which can execution last lag. months. This policy as some is somewhat borrowing and shorter spending may change change fast. to Still, have it full may take impact on months the for an economy. monetary likely policy to faces shorter destabilize the time lags economy. and This is it an extremely monetary important policy as the argument preferred in favour policy of response run for stabilization. Disadvantages to policy rates to realize deal This lag policy. certain signicant constraints. Monetary is be policy less may effective be in very effective ghting a in reducing recession. Lower ination interest cases bankers affect spending by households and rms indirectly. to cost of borrowing decreases and this should induce consistent their and rms to borrow more and so spend more. re-election criticized and of faces pressure several central low degree policy, the be recognition data. is are if consumer later and business condence is very low the for What if the recession is deep and people and not independence feel pessimistic , insecure and uncertain about their of future? There is no guarantee they will decide countries. scal weaken lags should scal there that necessary, is characterized effectiveness distinguished of by demand- into lag. that with. is This there It the is is takes same the an time to both collect monetary now they fear bank s takes economic time for it that decide these types. The for lags if the political openly interest The across just Time rate and gradually. than from maximize Trump raising quickly. varies Monetary It or rate less nancial • borrower s So, rms cutting the decrease time. central more decision-making. President for then interest times meetings. loosened independent insulates ination In Central or can process, impact though? US bank monetary What chances. economy nominal benets rates policymakers rates. households with economy. negative. government The decrease an course. typically politicians an the This rewards whether will rates though, which change but in in rate • government . in than contrast , change Monetary • deation policymakers. increase or to paid. Monetary policy six 0.25% decreased spend. policy short • is interest response. central using credit and quickly emergency steps In takes additional interest borrow a is • by rate stabilize interest between hold spending interest characterize Monetary decide meet even to ination administrative interest policy. and real following. respond conditions. of ten is lower real be decisions committees there negative. Think could for to higher so − is a an when arises. advantages policy be rates, political monetary to policy responder ” inationary if is saver s. interest It deationary 0.50%. A • a borrowing year. at − considered lead incentive there rate then policy economy. the even time Monetary rms more able Advantages also +2.00%. in a be rates is = rates interest back Y ou if real borrowing. Further (−1 .50) is interest Now − interest induce ineffective economy to real 2.25% penalizes year The rate) Remember: annually, to decreases policy So, 1 .50%. that: This real negative n and our is 0.50 p̂ r households For rate is: n rate, r rate the ination: • is the losing to be they like string: There is are is make you avoid already referred job. during as will can to the a of a a also severe it paid but back . you In a rates of car, rm that the policy is it . to help when monetary (ZLB) if will addition, push deation bound new Monetary interest or a that fearing cannot problem lower or downturn. reducing This house unlikely money, recession zero. zero buy is lend be pull exit to It to not scope or close to time reluctant limited economy their expand may loans a right an they policy constraint . T I N U Recap Advantages and disadvantages of monetary policy is • exible. If condence levels are low, monetary policy may prove ineffective. • It is incremental. • It is reversible. • When not • It is • It has Are independent shorter to hold they time negative Negative could though have lately rates in just Even lags bank imply idea been is used. that their did is and keep negative get would The advantages preferred cash. Inationary rates bank, the interest pay as unlikely and here? ght the 2008– 09 global nancial crisis, policy business decreased interest rates close to zero. and was spending still weak continued, with though, ination below This persistently low growth stagnation, a term many is referred to Lawrence introduced by with Summers. quantitative Central easing, bank s which earlier. However, negative some interest rates also on began any the that central hoarding commercial bank . the The cash inows programmes and aggressively. Denmark’s rst , followed central bank s. introduced bank s and probably bank the were the held to from the the negative the accounts cost bank s lend and interest the have rates central consumer led to to encourage spending extremely and low stimulate interest the rates economy. prevailing economies crisis have since lef t the little 2008– 09 room for global central expansionary monetary policy bank s and recession or deation. Negative interest ght a rates discussion now of the seem to necessary be the legal issues and for regulatory policymakers an attempt problem to circumvent they the zero lower bound face. at for easing ECB were Hungary ’s rates were also commercial withdrawals, and of Recessions by reduce the more the and some widespread convenience outweighed to interest by to it economy. to quantitative Swedish accounts no with Bank with rates made an excess prevent bank s Central Swiss, certain there was encourage Slightly safety paying of a instead or interest . move from mildly “unconstrained easy to because account earning To on by bank s goal dealt interest have stabilize have (ZLB) reserves are policy help was in introduce up to Harvard changes explained monetary decreasing and the conduct and responded is as severe economist there problem). 2% to secular zero ZLB and the nancial target . to (the central in growth close more Low However, borrowing of choice spending. bank s borrowing bank s are them perspective pressures notching central To rates lower Policymakers’ possible? depositors we to policy. which funds interest room government . rates strange, How the scal accounts, withdraw the of than interest interest money (typically) nominal much S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Monetary : 3 Disadvantages Advantages • policy task out large the legal, suffering monetary and it negative negative is also risky. denomination regulatory from It notes and deation, stimulus interest interest tax rate would as well rates require as framework . though, it to policy ” is not changes In could a an phasing in country provide the required. 123 3.6 Demand management (demand-side Fiscal Fiscal in taxes level (T) is of in also a demand-side government order to policy. expenditures affect aggregate It refers (G) to and/or demand and from changes in (growth), the level of employment and so a more (direct) recession people Fiscal policy stability Government is expenditures—which is really another name investments—include spending on as harbours, roads and highways, network s, network s, schools the electricity grids, water Faster and include salaries of public also supplies to so also be that used to decrease achieving responsibility of and ination. the maintaining central bank so price tighter expenditures owners as of well as on public subsidies. government policy is typically will the preferred also use policy scal choice. policy of proigate government if ination spending. long-term growth which really may also means result that if large scal policy decits are is avoided, the school debt Interest are also national debt does not increase to unsustainable sector Why? Businesses feel less uncertain about the future so and are more willing to invest. They are less fearful of a need payments in made created, hospitals. they hospital the result levels. but are and and expenditures—these employees can though policymakers “prudent ” Current jobs airports, • telecommunication sanitation more infrastructure is such that for However, public means employed. expenditures monetary Capital it are ination. Remember • policy real • output • f iscal policy policy the policies): the future to raise taxes or of interest rates rising (this is the included. “crowding out ” idea, explained in the HL section on page 1 26). • Transfer payments—these include pensions, unemployment • benets and other cash transfers. Note that Fiscal the expenditures are not included in GDP as policy they do business a contribution to current explained scal revenues are mostly from taxes, direct and include one-off receipts from the sale of assets (for If the help example, rms, ports and airports) to sector the (privatizations) goods and services as well that as any prots state-owned year, If revenues tax given and expenditures given then year, the (T) then government (G) exceed government exceed the is revenues running government government tax is a budget spending running (T) a in so scant decit . (G) in budget real the expenditures budget a budget budget the decit is effectively any • Fiscal in surplus. a and (G) are equal to tax revenues by public . lending pay you at a this way, budget to be nanced. borrowing. If you buy money to specied budget surplus Goals • a Fiscal of It a issues The government bonds government the that it bond government. future decit decreases scal policy is management so policy country is using date adds the to help an perhaps policy. to lift Fiscal a tools; It an single economy policy large is is to public a The the Fiscal is of the 124 126), are economy from have. built- These short-term cycle. are capital that increase expenditures only will or not improve aggregate the demand increase in in accelerate. the taxes to can increase may also support also be through the It short is short term claimed but the incentive accelerate this used that long-term to lower work growth, but income and to there is claim. to narrow cash transfers term and and through income more inequality progressive and health in the long investments in term. Fiscal policy public can If also be used to decrease trade imbalances. to Recap are government plus debt of scal policy interest. whereas policy can: a debt. name of idea restore the or of • lif t an economy • lower • decrease • promote (cyclical) from recession unemployment John ination demand Maynard government government full a stable recession, preferred policy scal to policy of gap in It a choice decrease manages a policy deep to because such and follows scal especially policy deationary adopted goal taxes that environment that growth reduce business cycle • decrease income • decrease trade uctuations inequality imbalances. one. close of the an Fiscal The economy policy government and/or cyclical lif t • is situation. to macroeconomic Keynes intervention expenditures employment. important monetary also unemployment . the from recessionary policy page nances sells you principal Keynesian-inspired the is, most then ineffectiveness • with that economy the on economies policy considered associated scal an business expenditures they accelerates that protect most (T) Fiscal In also evidence Goals will section balanced. needs decit general HL that investments) GDP will corporate invest any • A the infrastructure, education then to the public taxation If of scal sell. Terminology government of collected enterprises growth If uctuations type the and from in government is, available private (a state(that owned short-term stabilizers indirect. • also the revenues uctuations Revenues in characteristics stabilizers Government reduce Automatic production. in Government also cycle. not policy represent may these decrease in can action increase taxes to government increase expenditures aggregate demand. It government decrease describe what is discretion at the spend will and/or examine work s could is aggregate and be through referred to described the use of as to kind will “on of also “does” as is to We policy policy it It much scal scal pilot ” policy. how We should Figure something. discretionary automatic automatic scal decide examine increase decisions “discretionary ” government this we as and/or These government The how (HL) to the tax . rst then of expenditures demand. that conducted from in some scal there scal policy increases curve to right , This horizontal is to lif t an economy from expansionary gap. as aggregate in recession. scal The of Figure demand 3.6.1 . The (G) policy By increasing closes government and/or government decrease expenditures will directly a will are a (G) increase component of increase government in increase, as GDP expenditures. effect (HL), already taxes (T) decrease, then demand. will be Why? explained households is dened payments. to spend and increase. as income With more, thus then It on Remember due page that direct then the is ineffective policy has be if used to though, Interestingly, enjoy which may also than to the incomes the resulting lead to an of direct Note that plus incomes, Also, higher increase aggregate we Any if actually case if the aim at generating economy if are income people alone money exists rates if by are there policymakers Classical show if we how a rely on Given very is that low and deation, to achieve is on the monetary an even expansionary higher AD/SRAS/LRAS deationary the Classical to in intervene the wages, potential ination. diagram gap could be can closed extreme school, interpretation there is really no of the need for long to run, close a deationary namely the gap. assumed Market decrease guarantee that the economy will return to output . Contractionary and will expenditures corporate as here that I to scal policy tend (C) shif ts goal is to the scal AD decrease inationary policy curve to decreases the lef t inationary aggregate as in Figure pressures and demand 3.6.2. close The an gap. taxes investment demand referring deation. of transfer protability in from the government will decrease government expenditures (G) rms increase taxes (T). If government expenditures (G) spending is also then aggregate demand will directly decrease a as component . curve. inationary increase work (Yd) disposable consumption demand. increases to operating the decrease, (I) is economy. may the interest problem been used and/or will AS less increase aggregate The decrease prove an lead 1 26. taxes disposable increasing aggregate economy Keynesian the to may expenditures greater is disposable minus higher be suffers Contractionary If the from government its multiplier result words, clear resulting (T). government aggregate real if will policy could Monetarist/New of in the in also other be aggregate forces resulting may should demand deationary increase taxes or policymakers (G) of demand scal This Monetarist/New demand in lower capacity it and even If is As goal also expenditures or, section spare verge A (recessionary) still ination. scal demand, risk here. aggregate policy level aggregate expansionary greater is in some policy the ination. in policy shif ts AD scal price the things stabilizers. Expansionary the few increase average increase Also, Expansionary a the expansionary the on note 3.6.1 , T I N U decrease to : 3 also taxes S C I M O N O C E O R C A M can changes government expenditures (G) are a component of in aggregate demand. If increase, taxation. taxes (T) then the disposable income (Y ) of d AS APL households decreases. will spend tend to With less, lower disposable decreasing incomes, consumption people expenditures AD2 (C) and then may AD1 so the aggregate resulting lead to decreases a demand. lower decrease aggregate Also,if protability in corporate that investment rms taxes will spending (I) increase experience which also demand. LRAS APL SRAS APL1 Y1 Yf Real output (Yr) APL2 Figure 3.6.1 Keynesian Expansionary scal policy closing a deationary gap using a diagram AD1 In the Keynesian demand diagram increases expenditures from increased shown AD1 to and/or in Figure AD2 3.6.1 because because aggregate government direct AD2 taxes Yp decreased. As equilibrium potential The a result real (full of output aggregate (Yr) employment) deationary gap demand increases level decreases of and from real Y1 towards output may even Yf (or the Yp). Figure (cyclical) in the economy also 3.6.2 Monetarist output (Yr) Contractionary scal policy closing an inationary gap using a diagram close. In Unemployment Real Y1 increasing, the Monetarist /New Classical diagram Figure 3.6.2, decreases. (note that a Keynesian diagram could also be used), an 125 inationary scal AD2 or gap policy because because equal will to (YpY1) decrease government direct taxes exists. aggregate Contractionary demand expenditures increased. As a from decreased result of and AD1 to and/ claiming decreasing, the average price level that growth. scal the decreases at to least APL2 and the decreases. framework, inationary Within this unemployment gap (YpY1) closes Monetarist/New is perhaps rate. Within a increases broader and analytical include a scal that decreases necessary tax worried that an increase However, must the be economy in cyclical both the returns aggregate demand price does Keynesian slightly level not inationary scal decrease but create in to make policies, increase. to a tax The taxes Greece simply could and the loosely the demand pressures leads Monetarist as the resulting deation, government lead agreed means to with to generally, rms rise will changing and crisis. An to its cut by a taxes households their future argued increasing will that it This creditors spending few to vertical lowers axis in denotes Expansionary aggregate ination. (G) and was the an case implement and to twist to is rarely that politicians are their re-election chances. is not considered require a degree prudent of tax certainty obligations. Only scal and contractionary policy a scal policy: increase and is taxes, worth and trying business government to control condence, so will AD↑ T↓ which during scal → Yd↑→ C↑ → AD↑ its scal policy: policy → AD↓ mentioning. spending widening it → when austerity, increase contractionary economists decreasing taxes) increase points. applied, Recap T↑ They more (but budget foster → Yd↓→ C↓ → AD↓ not decits investment HL The The Keynesian term student multiplier RF Kahn. It bottles, multiplier was is introduced of ten by referred JM to as Keynes the and and policy (G) is in and the it helps form considered of a explain why increased National the income of a deep very recession. powerful The tool to Keynesian a an increase greater in increase government in national ΔY where ΔG is that ΔY is the the change the resulting change change in in in = change national kΔG lif t an if for example government income namely in is G national Y the government expenditures increases k, the would by be equal 240 Why is that the by $240 will be case? to the fact that one will lead The is and a 2nd else’s idea additional a workers by the activity 3rd will goods process will in each round to additional income This “ k” and means times the all workers additional and they and earned for government will not nth round an spend and part services continue. creates million to the million, service is income they for stop there, the though. that follow. There Why? of this that additional others income produce, and on the Note that the additional additional demand, spending which × of hired milk the on been in on spend haircuts, and produced. government earned producers increased have by (GDP) for spend domestically part then the addition produced. If, leads of the example, part Remember the additional economy ’s more of produced milk that income and more income milk income will haircuts and increase and the output income earned have multiplier. then all production are The the identically equal. national multiplier, the size of additional multiplier income goods and services. goods and services depends earned The on that additional is the proportion spent on spending of domestic on domestic 100 the multiplier spending is income, which resulting from additional income rests has a name—it is called marginal propensity to automatically consume someone workers to 2.4: 2.4 person’s Spending Economic earned on these states or: decides $100 million = that workers. will So, bottles $100 Y: expenditures, k the by economy multiplier expenditures. income where dig ΔG government government ΔY > to increased expenditures expenditures income workers directly scal domestic that has his These out unemployed income Keynesian expansionary government other up. produced. multiplier in turn leads (MPC). to ΔC d MPC additional spending and Economic so on. that generates activity takes additional as clearly illustrated by place the in ΔY successive circular ow for example, section 1 .1 , page example will help spends spend $80 $100 of on these to clarify the point. Assume that cheese, then the MPC is: the +80 government decides to increase expenditures by = $100 +100 million 126 and hires unemployed workers to dig holes a haircut dollars 5). produced An you and the model hairdresser (see = income If “rounds”, it, exist. an diagrams decrease spending deation. interesting proposed two decrease G↓ was doesn’t as criticize to Contractionary debt fairy ” whenever reason G↑ in to its Expansionary severe “condence referred economist unemployment . interpreted average from is most framework, regarding relieve alleged but Classical because contractionary became or More natural idea from Contractionary APL1 This contraction” aggregate It demand accelerate “expansionary and bury 0.8 on domestically useful We of to have spent remind dened on these additional services, $20 goods $8) taxes were spent of the services. saved, $7) on remaining (leakages) and (say were the again withdrawals (say as did ourselves domestic government dollars where circular as It go? income follows was paid part was spent to the the goods and services; that is, on imports (say are the withdrawals, namely savings (S), error import Some expenditures denitions of Any the marginal taxes In if terms used to additional below save are: (MPS)—the income the marginal propensity the marginal rate of the marginal in any other this easily can these of the recession IMF ’s chief acknowledged estimate. initiate will a change multiplier more (G) change, not but be to tax tax)—the (I) or visualized illustration. exports using Remember the that (X) also change. if circular Again, ow injections, of which additional considered (MPT, also referred to additional taxes paid on autonomous domestic expenditures income, include G, as but they also do I not and X. as The formulas to remember for simple exercises related from the multiplier are these two: earned propensity to import ΔY = kΔJ, where spending on imports denitions and the J symbolizes injections (MPM)—the from additional numbers in the can be G or I or X income. (this Using will GDP expenditures and additional The Blanchard, revised injection words, expenditures (a) • a investment to income ensuing one size earned • additional the expected. Olivier published government depend • so IMF , the (M). propensity from than time, the (T) are savings Interestingly, underestimated multiplier, deeper the and change income • at had $5). only and multiplier. on process. These the creditors, much economist • foreign of expenditure proved part but result Greece’s Greek not that a of It ow. part and as domestic $20 relationship has three elements, ΔY, k and ΔJ, so if example any two are given, you can solve for the third) above: ΔS +8 1 MPS = = = +100 ΔT +7 1 0.08 (b) ΔY k = or MPW (1 – MPC ) d (here, MPT = = = ΔY each ΔM the be shown multiplier k (see is = = • 0.05 material ”, page If 131) that in an as no to: a can solve exercise “closed” taxes will 1 for the other). elements so if either is there is no be economy, government and/or greater no (the it means or, imports as that if this it is referred withdrawals denominator, MPW, will economy so its be has multiplier smaller). 1 To k you +100 “Optional equal two 0.07 to can has +5 = ΔY It relationship +100 given, MPM T I N U is 80 and : 3 though, goods S C I M O N O C E O R C A M If, = illustrate the multiplier, it is probably preferable to choose or (MPS + MPT + MPM) MPW a 1 which is equal is Keynesian indeed AS curve Keynesian. as It the is idea also of the multiplier preferable to effect assume an to (1 – MPC economy ) in equilibrium at a level of income (of GDP) way d below where MPW is the marginal propensity to withdraw, equal to the sum of the MPS, the MPT and the there is also found by subtracting from each earned all that is spent on domestic goods that is, MPW = (1 – MPC sizable (at Y1 in Figure 3.6.3) a deationary gap (equal to so Y1Yf). To the increase expansionary in scal government policy chosen spending to close reecting this gap, draw and a services; is level additional the dollar employment MPM. illustrate MPW full which that is the new aggregate demand curve (AD2) somewhat to the ). d right It should be realized that the multiplier k is of the multiplier, (a) the greater the MPC and (b) the initial one and then, to illustrate the idea of the greater: smaller the draw a third AD3 even further to the right at AD3. marginal d propensity to AS withdraw. APL This makes sense in government of income income) many but if you check expenditures times each (as time a the will your circular go spending fraction ow: around is the an increase circular someone of the income some will be ow else’s generated AD1 leaks out taxes or that smaller There • The the spent national part of ow but income is the are a few multiplier on that spent part because on that imports. will result domestic is points also The is size of the greater, output or, saved, the paid increase bigger AD2 'K' in the equivalently, the withdrawn. to keep works expenditures decrease, will by in in mind. reverse: then if national the government income (GDP) Y1 decrease AD3 in more. This was the case in Greece Y2 Y3 Yf Yr a (real number of years expenditures necessary (G) ago when drastically bailout loans. it agreed in order Greece’s to to GDP cut GDP) government receive Figure the decreased by more 3.6.3 expenditures The multiplier effect following an increase in government (G) 127 Expansionary government the scal policy, expenditures recessionary approaching namely by ΔG, (deationary) full employment the increase managed gap real from GDP to Y1Yf at in If an economy is entering recession, economic activity starts to decrease to Y3Yf, decrease as some rms shrink in size while others shut down. People will be made redundant. Automatic stabilizers decrease Yf. the nancial pain to households because they will owe less in taxes and they will be eligible to collect unemployment A 2020 paper by C Bayer and others estimated that benets. All this is accomplished automatically, without the following the massive March 2020 $2 trillion US stimulus need for the government to design and enact new laws. Their response to the Covid-19 pandemic , the multiplier could incomes (that is, wage earnings) may drop to zero as they lose be as high as 2. Following the 2009 Obama Stimulus their jobs but their disposable incomes (Yd) do not, because Plan, which increased government expenditures in unemployment benets automatically start and their tax the USA by $787 billion to lif t the US economy from burden will also be lower. Automatic stabilizers do not only recession, Christina Romer, then Economic Advisers, estimated Chair the Council of help households in distress but also the economy as they the US multiplier at 1 .6, stimulate aggregate demand when the economy is in great which meant that the US real GDP was expected to need for a boost. Consumption expenditures will decrease increase as a result by roughly $1 .26 trillion. The size of certain characteristics by less due to the effect on disposable income of automatic the Keynesian multiplier depends on stabilizers and so will aggregate demand. The downturn will of an economy, for example on the degree of openness to not be as severe. It will be milder. international “open” trade economy Characteristics making it or on the imports, vary difcult a across to debt–GDP ratio. withdrawal, countries estimate the will and In be a greater. through expenditure more In time, contrast, fast multiplier. and disposable incomes rising if the there is economy increased incomes because faster will of than and risk rise but income incomes. incomes of at taxes So, are growing overheating a slower being and rate than progressive consumption too ination, and thus expenditures will Recap increase Keynesian A a change greater in any injection change in (G, national I or X) will income lead boom This is because income, income which one’s leads spending to more is business (GDP). someone spending The and Beyond more have generation. size of the multiplier effect depends on of any additional income spent a output . on proportion Or, equivalently, saved, paid in it taxes depends or spent the multiplier is equal to it the smaller the withdrawals in cycle useful greater the explained the expenditures move earlier, mitigate by of enough the are af ter of the cut scal of equipped country, benets and ups downs and of a However, taxes or of of offering year ’s as low tax is a start by action. respond of the They are quickly. stabilizers economy. For enacted of the automatic of the US in US also example, February the 2019, recession—but stabilizers potential are automatic lump-sum increases or had by already GDP . proposing stabilizers. payments by more For to increase example, to than households 0.5% when compared need for are action such as the the features taxes, cycle progressive tax if may not more but the start schools of a that would recession without government . stabilizers most built into Automatic stabilizers, of are which exist institutionally in most built-in characteristics the mitigate the short-term uctuations of GDP . unemployment that reduce the • incomes not Automatic benets stabilizers and include progressive unemployment taxes. As soon as an economy enters recession, tax burdens only pay proportionately more, so that as • income rises, progressive taxes rise faster. For Without any Brody earns $10,000 per year and pays $2,000 pays 128 while $5,000 taxes a tax full but Carrie then Carrie Brody pays explanation earns pays 25% see of section $20,000 20% her 3.4, of per his income page year in taxes. 105.) the and government consumption to act , decrease less and the downturn is milder. and income in for incomes in by income need example, disposable if to projects Recap automatically. higher by the local stabilizers. existence income business additional at ready ” expenditures Fortunately, institutional of happen “shovel decrease and unemployment benets are claimed. pay the they involves politicians automatic introducing construction automatically • A decrease. government increase recession. with progressive of they will downs economy, policy government taxes. to effects stabilizers a the economists scope that budget and legislative as was several and economies, Automatic pressures ups automatic the Recently, • economies on package spending Automatic to demand. follows stabilizers? discretionary change and/or quickly aggregate multiplier. automatic deliberate quickly, 2% the As recession impact Stimulus time, such are a the requiring almost last What in responding unemployment the will Inationary smoothen without sizable propose an milder. to size MPW that so on imports. Since and but 1 • be stabilizers quarters grown the rate on that domestic slower the ve proportion a else’s Obama • will Automatic to especially • at multiplier The • but (For • If an economy income and taxes spending is growing guarantee rise too that slower. fast , progressive disposable incomes aggregate growth need for demand and the rises reduces the government slower; risk of this to act, slows increased down inationary government pressures. aggregate decrease, expected What is the “crowding-out ” the government increases will need to somehow government nance these or increase expenditures that taxes would but if the defeat goal the is increase expenditures. resort to “decit spending” to purpose. and increase willing to lend it. The it will the borrow the money funds borrow market, money the (rms government market and will where households) turn those and in willing to to lend money determines (the the savers) interest get rate out . who those Figure 3.6.4a, demand sloping for because loanable at lower also The as to AD3. borrow projects more. will be Supply of protable loanable close funds D(LF)1 rates because so rms funds will S(LF) more higher interest attractive. The rates interest make rate is a for loanable funds D(LF)1 is equal you funds S(LF) in Figure 3.6.4a is the loanable funds market . This is at now that the government but scal policy in order the supply interest rate and explained that it above, increases the expenditures and decides to to low to 3.6.4a, the borrow the demand necessary for will the of rates then aggregate investment demand, that aggregate demand will may expected, all the way to AD2, not but Real GDP scal will policy perhaps is not as rise, but effective only as to Y2. expected (deationary) was crowded gap, as private out . have guessed, the this is a major effectiveness of criticism of Keynesian-inspired scal only if policy the and decit economy is spending. booming and It makes approaching with In such private a case rms the for government funds, which will could be drive What if the economy is in a deep up recession? crowding out is unlikely as business condence In will and As funds rms will not be willing to invest. of crowding the out occurs deationary gap. or not crucially The risk is depends smaller, the on the deeper expenditures. need loanable funds. loanable interest aggregate to recession. policy in the in a form deep of recession increased it is expansionary government spending funds shown will Also, nance that market of needs employ increase government enter borrowing r1 . government will is as against rates. case scal these increased in the As absence of size demand increase result employment. Whether expansionary increase the the be Assume in and this the the component spending might interest loanable would AD2 want which to a recessionary competing demand to upward saving at spending AD1 is full lending as 3.6.4b. more sense, sloping Figure may funds. expansionary to in (I) much Their loanable interest from though, much Monetarists investment shown as want As downward increase who together. for If, government investment In not increase the to interaction is government demand Expansionary are will to investment from only to This intended private from increasing prefer increase loanable demand all. was resulting goal aggregate Instead, decrease. anyone at (G) since rates the It spending, to then, If (G) of demand even interest spending. expenditures aggregate crowding could increased demand aggregate it the effect? The If by government T I N U any S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Without : 3 crowded-out • in can help an economy grow again. Figure increase and Recap shif t on to the right loanable The from funds resulting will higher D(LF)1 to increase borrowing D(LF)2. from cost r1 The to will interest rate r2. Crowding dissuade many If out G↑→ D ↑→ r↑→ I↓ → AD↓ LF rms from plans. borrowing Private to nance investment will their own decrease. It investment will have (I) been (a) (b) S(LF) APL Interest rate AS (r) r2 AD1 AD3 AD2 r1 D(LF)2 D(LF)1 F1 F2 Y1 Loanable Y3 Y2 Yf Figure 3.6.4a Crowding out: the loanable funds market Real output funds Figure 3.6.4b Crowding out: the impact on the economy 129 Effectiveness of scal policy economy Advantages it • Perhaps the biggest advantage of expansionary is not in the form of increased government that it is direct . Government spending is raising a In taxes aggregate demand. in automatically If it increases, a deep recession ineffective of the as zero section increase. lower 3.5, when condence bound page This easy aggregate especially monetary levels (ZLB) is are low (HL) An increase may also be • explained On the policy in government an in economic even greater increase (that in is, expenditures aggregate on GDP) of the multiplier will Fiscal policy can be even if demand because of can specic in green Increased specic sectors infrastructure, technologies, appeal much policy, to the scal median policy political agenda of the is ruling not party. has an “expansionary bias”. in many is the direly that parliamentary of ten try to needed. debt democracies, expansionary Typically, increasing national stall government to scal opposition expenditures unsustainable will “become like Greece” was the levels typical and Other opposition claims are that increasing the that expenditures will lead to rampant of it education the R&D, or will lead to increased interest rates. ination The result is government economy, discretionary the health scal policy is of ten caught in endless such and this explains why there are many economists development who of policy, effect . targeted. target needs it claim country debates as the hand, increase that spending scal expenditures lead or • not monetary therefore government operation to politicians argument). activity of other politicians (the to policy opposition because 1 10. in cutting demand will • contractionary important policy but constraint for because component Fiscal will do contrast independent of need expenditures voter. is the adopted scal and policy indicate of ten care. It can argue in favour of an increased role for automatic also stabilizers. target specic regions of a country that are growing much • slower than average or are in Fiscal lags. • T ax cuts can also target the policy poor, who are not only Time need for a boost in their disposable to an spend income economic the crisis resulting households, but who additional signicantly are also income more scal • In decrease income An as increase on also If in an its the debt is long early than to can clearly trillion, In the (capital) enacted poor its own owned, The long trillion of can help A then this. spending alone, March package huge the was advantage existence stabilizers do output , longer. the potential for its a need stimulus political debates increase expenditures, $2 and will to the June 2020 and if most can Covid-19 it . may For 1 1% of by and of about , being taxes the crisis • more the package if Not for only will lag opposition expansionary risk s plan for but it can even get example, if time the the if stuck how expenditures and by economy in order gap, to an unexpectedly how scal there in much decides deal to is further to of to with before Long time stabilizing increase a inationary rise increase much. instead government deationary recession gap the full may impact of stimulus. Expansionary economy 2019 a if which decrease spending exports scal to destabilize example, close result be economies 2020 trillion an which lags shif ting policy Advanced by such care government and scal roughly a health is lags scal already prove policy may operating longer than prove close inationary to full if the employment or expected. had (HL) Expansionary scal policy may lead to private additional discussed at the being crowded out if the economy is close to time to economies entering a employment . If it succeeds of automatic stabilizers. not require legislative economic so they are able to by quickly to in the widen economy, a higher incomes lead to more trade decit imports. Expansionary scal under conditions certain policy increases this may the national prove debt and unsustainable. downturn. Discretionary politicians. scal This maximize for as may an • well incomes policy the Disadvantages elections raising scal Automatic action respond in downturn • government 130 much stress because as is question and expansionary to also administrative to • • the writing. (HL) is but policy full • policy politicians investment $2 time- 122), aggregate run. currency response showed USA and potential the representing the by long higher • been very (page likely are expenditures, education right issue government GDP . for increase the signicantly. $7.6 world term supply 2020 increased R&D, domestically up cuts government economy scaled in in tax by earlier inequality. infrastructure, aggregate • addition, monetary policy agreement demand. characterized explained incomes than increasing as in in during also lags, characterize greater is decline. prove policy presents their tax is the some re-election sizable for Expansionary Even issues. chances increases cuts. responsibility if in Politicians of ten push government the incomes of aiming before spending fundamentals of the to if because propensity lead scal effective to is tax those consume. increased condence policy the very that cuts with low. if on tax mostly higher More spending relies are cuts geared incomes generally, tax consumer and may to have cuts not higher a lower may business not T I N U Recap and disadvantages of scal policy • Fiscal policy affects aggregate • Fiscal policy can targeted. • Certain • Under be expenditures certain may also conditions demand increase scal policy directly. potential can be output . scaled up • Politicians are • Fiscal • It may lead to unsustainable • It may lead to ination. • It may widen • T ax • (HL) policy responsible is for characterized scal by : 3 Disadvantages Advantages policy. long time lags. debt . signicantly. • (HL) The ght • (HL) a multiplier renders scal policy powerful cuts may Automatic stabilizers can be quick and should be stressed that the role economic stabilization is of becoming Fiscal directed perspective scal policy more to policymakers to are ght afraid off a that have widened not be able to mitigate zero lower bound recessions as a rates. (ZLB) constraint Research has typically decrease nominal it faces shown that ve In recent percentage points this is in not interest response possible in to rates by On the nominal other interest hand, expansionary may even why policymakers automatic Policymakers rates long discretionary and on the worsen are are time scal seriously below that macroeconomic consider policy Spending can to has scal may be a problem uctuations. considering policy rising policies. may be targeted suffering Optional more better relying This is more equipped income towards than the following The = ΔG + bΔG + b and 3 ΔG (2) ΔY = (1 + b + b + 3 + b bank s stock must be have market mindful expansionary national also and prove is not debt debt bias may much of pumped the into booms. of of the risks discretionary increase levels. inationary Of very are discretionary scal economy result to Discretionary or it may crowd scal out course, with real interest rates so costly. of aware cyclical though policy experiences is manifested saw with economic at that the the the outset but potency of the for when shock s conditions Its need greatest extraordinary circumstances. was and tax in an not as a such Covid-19 as a result of conditions the example given earlier, when crisis, as we governments extraordinary emergency scal measures to industries cuts can economies. be example, if I for a window xing b 0.8 earned from in a the government government £100 building pounds and then I will spend £80 pounds, say on my luxury MPC cakes 4 ΔG + b ΔG + … → that 2 considered holds: 2 ΔY central fuelling decits Policymakers is (1) is because than material Algebraically inequality inequality. regions others the investment . debt support are that been with implemented that income policymakers exceptional prevent Monetary 5%. characterize stabilizers. monetary poor. easing, countries already policy the contractions. many lags of three low, because plight quantitative with private years investment . central policy to the funding unsustainable bank s private result scal interest out policy associated the crowd are Monetary However, may nominal spending. important . economies downturn. may specically economies ill-prepared policy improve and additional of more in to alone decit . induce sizable. policy, Many trade not recession. Policymakers’ It a to S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Advantages the baker Roxanne across the street baked. Now, 4 + b + …) ΔG → income has increased by 180 and represents the service 1 (window (3) ΔY = x (4) ΔY = ΔG c 1 k − point . is the good (cakes) produced up If Roxanne in turn spends 0.8 of her extra to this income ΔG, say, will k and → b on where xing) the cheddar have cheese increased by that £64 Bob produces, pounds (this then the his third income term, multiplier 2 b Since b is the marginal propensity to consume ΔG) point , domestic goods and services the multiplier k representing the extra cheddar produced. Up to this (MPC) can national income has increased by 100 + 80 + 64 or, be 2 generalizing, rewritten by ΔG + bΔG + b ΔG. income b Bob 2 portion 1 the change and is in the equation. change in income government direct , The MPC) is spending rst-round second − ΔY term goods, equal (ΔG) effect (bΔG) and is to the which the the rst In initial workers term proportion b earned in of the (2) that workers that and was spent which is b of on other income to domestic others in goods the by these economy. and his the a extra 3 ΔG or, b ΔG on some other of on. term inside terms so a the ΔG is factored parentheses geometric this out we and have progression it the that should sum of be realized innite converges 1 (as income spend = (1 (1) then as: k In will 0 < b < 1) to (1 − b) For 131 3.7 Supply-side Supply-side economy. within policies They which quantity increase supply The improve as well potential (LRAS) Goals • economic and production of • as on to activity the to to primary goal of shif ting of side place, the the of the institutional to The long-run Supply-side framework increase available incentives. the factors goal is policies the of to the to inuence policies competition lower in the prices, aim product higher Supply-side labour costs for policies economy to Market-based Market-based years term as the increase of is and the More output Af ter come early that the The resulted fragile and of was global to expand accelerate degree labour the long- • of competition and leads improved wage labour and costs were product a and so Supply-side in to even some of slower policies IMF , that an the policies their supply-side monopoly consumer years have ardent growth proved did the not market been of policies related can policies, be market power of Governments competition and also regulated example, the EU to limit market differs of over and other acquisitions and strengthen and and (for some been the French kind and antitrust of and such has market . It has 132 giants such as Google over is rms’ to hire also more hoped incentives innovative of USA , to to technologies. if it of in intervention rms’ behaviour leads the USA September these large by Google and the 2020 tech even the prices). recently and antitrust harms higher despite Only economic that to Amazon, amassed. the in here from power beyond a for enormous has there political some has So, Facebook US made risks states companies. globalization to decide merger EU a tries rm position. the in one the also and because national effectively is to to a much prevent of It has It it is more or whether an a large acquisition in will size abuse the relevant market may now its extend borders. social imposed markets. Facebook that by so objectives A have from when and free the been groups form set of safety markets could The not or of as that of a result aim ensure to that guaranteed regulations, to and function challenge regulations, fail by rms functioning competition the of introduced interest in imposed markets regulations. different health laws behaviour improve treatment on. or course, special industries and the such aim to they prices, as promote deliver. excessively refers rules, to the process restrictions of and dismantling laws in the or relaxing operation German equipment signicant for Of regulations preferential and modify numerous pressure environmental mergers to regulations specic subsidies to restrictions aim blocked between railway of Often, political enjoy For rules, that without devise shield more compared grow The should countries. to markets. practices are operation detecting acquisitions. taken approach allow as rms policymakers rms or markets. nes abusing Many industries in many countries and the airline industry, trucking, banking, electricity, on communications tech new if only action power; results laws. in behaviour between USA The Alstom any these noting for that including infrastructure rms which improve the growth investigations worth governments the establishing anti-competitive hands-off would by inequality. of and to and In example, market Regulations output , income vigilant mergers what monopoly mega-mergers Siemens permitting increases, expected debate inappropriate several aim power. staggering Deregulation its also capacity only prompt such way lower power passing other countries. that prices, increased have time 1980s pro-business and trying Deregulation higher certain though, the in economy. related policies monopoly and blocked since permissive to commissions interpretation, be leads agreements have role of distinguished labour regulation commissions Competition collusive try active the role expands. policies. related innovation is power started incentive-related rates an of the markets spending. policies new authorities growth. these these many long- government the recognize for sustainable. Anti-monopoly Monopoly on free Supply-side policies aim to help reduce the risk of ination, thus monopoly Product takes of the achieve stimulates crisis, forcing policies, to shrunken nancial adopting market and role capacity exible, investment rm policies the market-based former, improving the international competitiveness of domestic rms. non-wage render more increase invest to market Protability difcult into government productive workers. also Market-based the the while into the efciency. championed economies that scrutiny, such from not for investment greater advocate reduce policies engine 2008– 09 under latter, shrinks In policies theory private to Lower supply-side prime growth. stimulates aim rms. distinguished policies. policies markets. levels policies be aggregate • • may interventionist government In growth. Supply-side policies and right . supply-side capacity the takes quality the of production improve output curve the enhance supply-side productive term focus attempt policies and others have been, in the past 40 years, and many example, operate years in deregulated. the a Greece Special trucking rm government the trucking licenses to transport succumbed industry were to required goods. special For has • many protect very issued no new licences. The result was that a could only be secured for more than trade the cost of transporting OECD were identied 555 considered to everything regulatory harm in the restrictions competition. benets removed competition and prices and are consumers determined in in also decreases the costs liberalized, they lately if entry has, by in the and greater levels restrictions SRAS and deregulation the has to of LRAS been curves with to and right . The shut down rms. are nancial and banking industry fewer economists as the root cause Of been of crisis. The deregulation of course, not of all Labour considered has of also been deliberately severely limiting the 2008– 09 electricity criticized capacity, restrict supply articially and steeply companies to consumers. The rolling as suppliers building increase back or considered regulations by many to in the have USA ideal the and climate exit the power. and market the unions growth. displacing many prices Trade producers. and to liberalization domestic smaller market . by a Prices income As a few labour domestic result , large are as rms some rms higher inequality related world with than the very expected has increased. policies power of labour have historically wages for their unions been successful members. so higher production This in achieving implies unions’ power, money costs for rms. By higher reducing were permitting rms to wages and reduce production prices, expand costs output and prices of more President risks of labour. Low labour union power in a country may also many more inows of foreign direct investment (FDI). On the Trump hand, it is argued that labour unions are necessary for global several warming lower investments elimination under increased of forced dominated market costs, other is stimulating accused and money attract environmental to in hire charged costs, global decrease, to cut by labour accused monopoly foreign the wage California with from both higher nancial rms More Labour several domestic competition costly shif t deregulation has to cases, now Reducing US only forces. burden effectively the successful. of ten competition). barriers market that efciency, comply have been some competitive rules then face innovation, signicant competition, foreign (that reality Greece markets Deregulation in Deregulation to are from barriers but country. it thus is survive, has that rms immediately invest The safety €300,000, To increasing domestic and consumers scarce power licence health protect interests If and regulatory purportedly to reasons. They ensure that safety and other regulations change. in the workplace are enforced; they protect workers from sexual Privatization and Privatization usually many refers to enterprises, countries up the to transfer the until of private the state-owned sector. 1980s Many were assets, rms against in nationalized. other share types extensive privatization has taken place. of wages rms steel, include coal, utilities airlines, (water, airports, electricity), harbours, in The logic is simple. Private owners of rms oil prots high so by they have cutting the costs incentive and to try to aim operate harder to of consumers. Privately owned rms are to introduce new technologies. Critics private wage prices, also monopoly privatized simply employment to cut costs; rms as or led replaced they that to of ten the higher a state red prices workers services in The evidence from the an On that many countries does not suggest that higher their are necessarily inefcient or necessarily been more mixed. efcient . Much on the A that privatized very fast way to their and the power efciency, of of privatized specics of each costs and improve quality, is markets forcing through term refers to the elimination of and domestic tariff s rms from (which are foreign trade policies competition. nothing but taxes quotas (which rms into are the restrictions on the subsidies (that to the if no induces and perhaps several studies more have the minimum wage shown have and have even contributed not to led higher result of greater job satisfaction. labour costs costs typically include insurance employer and By decreasing pension these, schemes production rms to reduce prices and costs increase other hand, may workers’ prove disposable wage devastating laws are unemployment for income also unskilled labour, abolished. a government offers high benets unemployment the average earned this reduces benets the compared incentive of an protect policies of individual to accept a job offer. If the replacement include: imports) volume wage is the high, ratio the is of unemployment probability low. of benets accepting Decreasing the the size, to rst but wage job also earned, offer the made duration imports unemployment benets paid, increases the probability offer, decreasing of country) articially domestic a minimum lower production costs individuals rms more accepting a job and unemployment render in national which unemployed • and to of allowed as permitting On available • costs liberalization. that Such on increases labour Decreasing to ratio, • output hand, non-wage unemployed domestic demand or case. to The so lower rms If cut production in other employees. especially unleash competition hiring A rms liberalization increase of rises. experience decreases, Trade cost state-owned Performance depends the inferior output . has increases unemployment increase the productivity decrease, are and unemployment Reducing attempt of for enterprises wage of ten contributions of the reduced were privatization abolishing decreases reasonable Non-wage quality. even monopoly; and provided the decreases. more labour that as abolished, the to a are more meet claim income unions well to that likely or shrinks investment . needs labour as wage minimum labour lower efciently national if employers and minimum make and, some telecoms, gas, for others. ring; by of A railways, harassment Since Examples minimum privatized of unlawful Decreasing then T I N U start For been : 3 recently S C I M O N O C E O R C A M deregulated. and increasing aggregate supply. However, competitive) workers skills, may which be will forced to damage accept jobs economic that underutilize their efciency. 133 Incentive-related economic policies as T ax cuts are closely associated with a group of it is high tax discourage rms known rates on hard as “supply-siders”. personal work income and They and on investments believed they who do increase mostly own income such inequality, assets and so they disproportionately. that corporate by but wealthy 1980s benet economists growth, the prots individuals Recap and respectively. Market-based Cutting personal income Product Reducing personal income tax rates is expected to supply. As a result of lower personal market income tax individuals may decide to join the labour related policies include: increasing force; competition in product markets that rates, would more policies increase • labour supply-side taxes lower prices, increase output and spur the innovation unemployed may be less willing to remain unemployed given • a job offer; and workers may be incentivized to work deregulation production hours. The increase curve to income the right . the On results more not in economy ’s that choose does increase the the from leisure factor of potential other a and tax production output , hand, cut the may less work so taxes and labour shif ting higher induce that the the • business on corporate investments. faster More growth. country to • supply privatization trade the as the liberalization foreign will The prots increase investments expected increase the are protability expected higher potential capital rate output of and gains shift • right. However, the empirical evidence of this the on the of will investment and tax in mean • the and decrease prot motive increases to expose domestic rms to competition. LRAS market power labour the related of to labour raise minimum decrease include to decreasing: decrease the ability wages wage wage policies unions, (or costs even for abolishing it), to rms curve • to markets rms efciency disposable workers labour for will LRAS Labour cuts open-up costs increase. Cutting T ax to longer corporate non-wage labour costs to rms, to lower the cost of tax labour cuts suggests that in most, if not all, cases investment spending • did not in fact increase following a cut in corporate unemployment workers Capital gains are the prots an individual earns benets, from to accept asset at a higher applies to cutting capital real the estate gains tax growth sale are will and conclude, price of gains stock s, tax , a large that policies education and health development policies referred It and is cuts real in argued activity. such increased care, (R&D), to bonds purchased. that Many do not as on as a as a • By bonds capital empirical personal to and • output , public and The such of the in goal of human capital education, the that labour public of spending and separate on class on research of investments of training, force increases of labour a skills and country. It between These in productivity, to capital experience an the stock refers to embodied intangible employability asset and and ensuring especially quality greater access signicantly for of access the increase available to poor, labour education these has and improved been private and benets external 134 growth. training services, documented productivity for benets Education the for generates and educated the but economy as not also a quality and increase gains in tax , East also female have education so to the incentive to increase the increased enrollments paid are Asia improved off also and closed dramatically. evident in the the the quantity gap very The quickly. high whole. in decreasing and of private healthy and and Scandinavian are more accelerates education the directly learning health care of access to greater also offered capital external on value or are of among various indirectly programmes by in unemployment . in human Note lifelong structural of spending world. investments stock force the programmes governments Public public benets. productive, a also increase nation. them also Workers and a Better generate who more and improve health-care are signicant skilled productive and labour growth. potential only very where highest Public output capital education The male of services the to invest . investments retraining the innovation. Improving taxes, education, increase Human is to in education. the is decreasing: boost care economy. and incentive policies”. investments the include policies investments health income business countries training policies work returns Increasing unemployed offers. studies signicantly government well induce job typically lower on infrastructure “industrial It estate. stock s, effect supply-side include and was benecial entrepreneurial however, it investments encouraged. have Interventionist These than sooner selling Incentive-related an to taxation. investment in infrastructure signicant sizable Massive Infrastructure nanced by is the dened state, as that physical capital, decreases the typically overall cost of constrain the cost that activity road rms of in rms more to sewerage health enjoyed Power an grids economy ’s permits of safety for a LRAS that , in many for A Poor to to the for growth. and of crucial it steel in research is its to considered and term the the most productive capacity (R&D) also responsible rm would for never matter. signicant Governments, development (as to Korea more and the result the the it Also, of is takes is A the the successfully sectors China’s and that market are and engine only high- example in nanced for South shipbuilders. bank invested strength forces and in Hyundai 1960s subsidized rms an (since leading manufacturing unconstrained of industry world’s or cement specic the from employed. intelligence case to subsidies, allowances, received the more in thought protection measures technology government of tax considered all ”). policy are and articial 5G believe “pick indirect and have and so and that or include shipbuilding one to as the that economies), generally rationed must into become industries. the where expansion Korea of treatment “ winner cuts and job rms Direct tax some such the This necessary capital uses programmes industries industrial Korea and construction many of ten loans, do increase. but credit in is strategic not also of only active guidance. also be acknowledged that despite the widespread and of industrial policies many have been regarded as (R&D) developments are growth. is successful South use technology of to to forces nancial growth. are economy market productive research preferential for guide industries competition growth it to most interest industries an necessary are examples of considers long-term low government investment Technological for is public-private receiving of right . development These crucial joint It Public their government tech the shif ting to telecommunications, need expanding inadequate subsidized of enables is output , It it related of ten winners”. be capacity policymakers investments Typical for degree network as but productive of foreign permits that information potential level permits infrastructure Conversely, raises the businesses necessary to country ’s learning. also increases it Most rms appliances; businesses, crumbling are the that productivity. facilitates driving; a the network s telecommunications to or in many especially infrastructure curve and very to sanitation and Electrication inputs rm. allow Water, time-saving decreases the the for group permits increasing example, towns and access obstacle improved airports Electrication It them from network quality population, of helps benets. not markets. It trade. water information. use but activities. major the power. all, instantaneous their improve clinics uninterrupted crucial to the enjoyed of and does locations further telecommunication lighting operation local distant based external country specications. Harbours growth. access refrigeration; supplies by and and international network s a transportation markets. in massive in more labour better engage inputs from their specialized a generates network local meet importantly, sell to it rail accessing exactly employ as and T I N U better : 3 A S C I M O N O C E O R C A M economic of in their the projects. able to determinant attempt economy, Public signicant be Improvements to fund provision spillover capture. long- increase research of basic benets This of in that means and R&D a that outright wasteful. capture. The term are captured the ruling their is own by waste refers to powerful party, who narrow long-term Such is the usually case business manage business to the when interests of industrial groups, tailor result closely these instead political policies linked policies of the to to serve country ’s goals. private there Recap is justication for an active role of the state. Markets alone Interventionist would lead implies also a to fewer slower provide R&D rate of incentives projects being technological to private undertaken, progress. rms to Governments invest R&D in of subsidies, tax allowances and patents These granted policies for and new processes developed. Labour public investment the not only labour depend force but on also the on level the of human quality and the in overall infrastructure cost of as infrastructure economic activity productivity • does increase: new decreases products policies the • form supply-side which capital the public investment as increased in education and health care of level the human capital increases labour of productivity technology of the physical capital that workers use. It follows • that a faster rate of technological advancement will public also labour productivity and so increase aggregate investment supply, depends economy's LRAS curve to the Industrial policies. economic public Since are they and alone action, industrial a are separate highly politicians, around the Industrial consider can at achieve consider policies economies stock of as labour productivity embodied in the capital growth—industrial category of supply-side interventionist , who of ten certain industries benet from have various world, policies and them been are government critical of adopted They few by are most , still policies championed intervention by However, if not admit policymakers and preferential crucial for are used treatment growth in by the and may state. guidance the expected impact of supply-side any all, employed governments are what almost counterproductive. degrees. although are that pro-market overstate Analysing markets R&D technology policies policies economists the right . • Industrial on shif ting economy ’s an in increase this. who policies The impact based a using or of a diagram successful interventionist , Monetarist /New Keynesian diagram supply-side can Classical (Figure be policies, illustrated diagram 3.7.2). In (Figure either whether using 3.7.1) case, market- either or you a must necessary 135 shif t the show from and LRAS that Yp to from and the potential Y ’p Yf in to the Y ’f Keynesian (full in Keynesian Classical SRAS to costs the right resulting exibility and show from so real the but it is the Classical you impact not to of right output diagram. diagram deregulation, on, curves Monetarist /New the Monetarist /New to AS employment) In could lower increased to increases, diagram the also Any impact short term aggregate shif t the production labour market LRAS1 LRAS2 investments to tax in increased decrease, the at All and short term the and in activities as these also public expenditures. the In incentive demand. households in interventionist R&D improving aggregate then be output investments government aim increase course term. public education in of potential long for demand that will on the call care, cuts invest taxes be health demand impact that require the and income will aggregate addition, necessary. any policies infrastructure, increase aggregate supply supply-side work APL on whereas If to personal immediately SRAS1 enjoy higher disposable consumption incomes, expenditures and leading thus an to an increase increase in aggregate SRAS2 demand, may so also increase AD curve In economy the right . demand expenditures, long increases, Supply-side shif ts aggregate investment demand. APL the increase term, then when the effects a of if they stock curve scal tax cuts manage component the LRAS Corporate of of capital will also to aggregate of shif t the right . and AD2 monetary Fiscal policy policies is a demand-side policy, but an increase AD1 in Yp Y p a rGDP certain government supply-side government Figure 3.7.1 Impact of supply-side policies: Monetarist/New Classical to diagram increase effect may APL fact , low, during these a AD1 since it the economy, term. Yf Y f rGDP in policies: include an Keynesian increase in (Yr) supply diagram aggregate AD1 to AD2. In such a case, you can policies, by successfully illustrate increasing it of the economy, any increase decrease above, in aggregate the increase inationary demand in the in any upward successful pressure would aggregate on supply-side the AS curve to the be pick s of cut to in the long will also up in and as succeeds in in only term, increase. supply personal borrowing the jobs long also the will are term to nance created, the investment in stock also income are expands. increase in rates improving increasing will increase or More economy demand an interest expanding cheap. the aggregate cut exert . demand average policies had so, and increases also scal are In future. the of increase taxes will short capital in term, of the increase it is hoped, aggregate the incentive and so, in there will demand to the in work, long be the an then term, increase short the term. If, labour aggregate increase. policy low and is prudent the level of (meaning national that debt budget is then businesses will feel less considered uncertain price They will not fear a sudden acceleration about of both did or a sudden increase in interest rates. They will be not willing to invest , which positively affects aggregate level managed to in the short term, but also the productive capacity shif t the economy (that is, aggregate supply) in the long right . term. Demand-side on pressures of the tax on undertaken, will will demand because is not productive more result of ten increase ination diagrams R&D, a order that the that but in spending and when income sustainable), capacity this output will if decits supply-side produce recession, demand Lastly, from is consumption supply also a AD2 though, could increase, spending leads A disposable You If education potential aggregate but long supply-side demand. also spending recession capacity corporate spending, of increase In and activity productive Impact term. deep expenditures economic If a increased infrastructure 3.7.2 to care, demand supply long will AS In Figure the decide health aggregate aggregate AS in aggregate infrastructure, will expenditures effects of low supply-side Also, and if monetary stable economic policy ination, uncertainty then that is successful the rms in associated enjoy may maintaining lower encourage more policies investment , Supply-side policies do not only have an impact 136 supply. Many also increase affecting aggregate on the aggregate positively aggregate demand. long term, also aggregate supply. demand, and, in policies sustainable. market-based are supply-side A major is that advantage of market-based supply-side resource allocation will theoretically be interference signals by to the state producers will and permit prices consumers; if increase to emit markets as markets the belief to greater competition and/or costs, then prices charged will decrease a transfer reect marginal typically waste costs fewer of production. scarce Privatized resources. Labour of cheaper the relative optimal to capital, combination permitting of capital rms and production Market-based involvement markets. As the of the the policies government aim and to decrease increase the these policies spending, they government ’s at least themselves”. the size do not rely on of do not budget . burden In the addition, to By their this stimulate revenues will be ardent they supporters, mean more higher though, the of supply-side are this that as or work and despite has supply-side of not more the been policies instrumental nations. care, increase if Public properly the stock education the of and poor, tax Not the a only is directly target for accelerating investments designed human and capital health-care increase capacity more of equitable infrastructure capacity to grow of an so businesses. to the The wealthiest . union resulting power, from lower lower job of wages benets in is national responsible income. many policymakers matters but also that its it is not It is just the distribution. policies on the also real suffer economy from of very long deregulating efciency gains Any from privatizing benecial a rm may consequences rendering also take the labour market of a country time. impact policy felt of any long successful af ter it is market-based implemented stall to liberalize or even in many block trade or countries efforts to to render have of ten but privatize, the to labour managed deregulate, market Politicians in of Over the and the indirectly result of very better long the more political cost of any game-changing of the decisions long- by and faster who of ten powerful rely on the professional support of associations large businesses (such accountants, tax consultants, as those engineers of and have in several countries proved to be unwilling all, push hard for such structural reforms. Organized the has also fought and of ten succeeded in stalling growth More blocking labour market reforms that would hurt their and Market-based supply-side policies are very long- productive term policies time for the not only because once implemented it takes business growth so apprehensive economy. permits term, technology always areas accessed distribution. increases are education productivity permitting income who implemented, services labour all, directly economy faster. the exibility labour materialize. the to has them to have an impact on the economy but mostly also been mostly unemployment impact interests interests. better to case. or also Higher and rates. labour income-earning but prices investments, lower to especially accrued supply-side from architects) Quality consumers market share that any to exible lawyers, will unrestricted. higher cuts or health be to “pay tax and and led policies considered growth from lower by The years possible term and privatizations cuts, interventionist Interventionist that should has have labour pie lags. exible. • cuts lower Market-based vested Strengths markets income wages, supply-side Empirically domestic expenditure tax • tax many increased more theoretically tax and resulting for in deregulation, role take according of markets shrinking markets side of accepted time government increased result for • of the power process. supply-side of has a that in increased now • for Monopoly to labour for their inequality. rms security choose income will minimum become policies factor and The will these lowers benets closer that the to production is contributing deregulation concentration up in concentration and opens this improved. world correct for important policies and Less reason an policies observed • The considered T I N U of supply-side : 3 Strengths of S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Effectiveness importance because vested interests in many countries stall their of implementation. public investment in R&D and government efforts to foster • private investment in R&D cannot be overstated. As Regulations, as explained environment-related example, the development of the internet was a product funded research by the US Defense of supply-side policies when explained doing market-based business eliminating for • Perhaps the biggest drawback of market-based policies rms, is that Even the they have IMF , led which to for increased decades reducing barriers to entry in privatization, market trade policies. The evidence exibility, liberalization IMF that the has has questions acknowledged and policies have about that indeed economic growth, it now alone can achieve “sustained” mounting evidence that supply-side the policies despite been growth. proved It social has such rms. rules to rules It increase follows will that decrease higher levels of the cost also rolling of back production output and or costs may sound good, but there may be lower signicant involved, which, in if such taken into consideration, circumstances recent deregulation initiatives undesirable. taken in the For USA relax or eliminate the environmental the revised in the rules future. In may negatively March US standards for average fuel 2020, economy in in and for carbon dioxide emissions, making them less whether There resulting fragile environment empirical successful questions growth for these impact so less costly, for US car manufacturers. The new less is rules will lead though to roughly an additional from 2.0 market-based that deregulation stringent now deliver. increased strict , they to these cars accelerating fail product to labour markets income example, markets, include promoting championed render deregulation, free leading This drawback s inequality. also at supplyprices. side aimed department . been Drawback s rules of objectives publicly earlier, an and billion barrels of fuel consumed and 900 more million not 137 metric tons standards. initiatives of carbon Many have dioxide other been emitted, examples passed in of compared similar other to now, earlier deregulation of low Supply-side on A major is that with interventionist supply-side countries are at suffer from very policies demand, long may time have reecting the lags. a short-term increase need to be nanced. The monetary cost expanding the infrastructure of but any impact on supply in will a a very long time to manifest itself. of − or expenditures, policies take revamping many policies issue they in supply-side aggregate government • rates levels. policies Interventionist interventionist impact supply-side interest countries. • Drawback s since historically country Infrastructure takes a very long time to build and is complete. a huge government nance efforts increased need expansion increase taxes money. of in It or resort general, to not Even modest health-care follows infrastructure taxes are, expenditure. education, that the to fund politically and to would borrowing. popular, − R&D improvement government increased attempts services have to − Increased taxes are taxes that aim to even decrease if the a fuels. order to Typically, minimize governments the cost of resort to borrowing, long The be very low. This is why many as to to embark improve on human or takes to that even are permits longer to uncertain access show and also achieve. of improved in the health long for the population Strengths they of of are infrastructure, augmenting market-based market-based Industrial policies are also, by denition, very long-term rates as their goal is to inuence the structure urging as and of the economy. well investments supply-side supply-side policies policies are that improved • minimal Drawback s that involve: • resource burden allocation on the government ’s budget . they of market-based supply-side policies are involve: • increased • very • vested long income time inequality lags interests that may stall or even block their implementation • deregulation pollution Effectiveness Strengths they • are 138 interventionist interventionist targeted factors human • of of critical industries policies are that Drawback s that accelerating growth of and environmental accelerate (infrastructure, they critical to drive that may worsen change. • costly • very of interventionist growth. supply-side policies involve: nancing, adding R&D) considered rules climate policies to: for capital, supply-side supply-side are term. Recap Effectiveness to results. borrowing. interest economists expand capital education breakthroughs manifested markets governments in children time benets policies must all of − In to the use also fossil investment Technological take − increased Public schools or long time lags. to the national debt are of limitations The the toolbox that economy includes scal policies. achieve policy, Depending conicts objectives policymakers and policies—strengths, can their the in order to macroeconomic monetary on use : 3 Macroeconomic and T I N U Macroeconomic policy issue and faced, manage has objectives supply-side each of these certain though, In this to advantages achieve section we and one certain goal, examine disadvantages. another these goal may be Of ten sacriced. issues. policies Growth Fiscal policy HL • Since a an increase decrease demand, promote real in it follows is government (direct) growth. GDP in taxes that (T) expenditures will increase expansionary Remember that an (G) and/or In aggregate scal policy economy is addition, will can growing lead and if thus other increasing. to in Since scal policy is characterized by long time economy is scal on the policy verge is of typically entering not used recession if if growth is decreasing and close to experiencing a mild recession. (in 0%) Any very an It spending may will destabilize take inationary already avoid making creates gap entered if, the the a long by the recovery frequent uncertainty to economy to time of phase. changes in households and have risk impact , it and tax policy expenditures demand multiplier. in may the In form prove to of be tool. Increased government geographical expenditures areas of the can be country targeted suffering to the in or towards sectors of the economy that are hit the an by the crisis. creating − has Governments their scal the is increase time of expenditures aggregate other or hardest effect . because GDP expansionary potent most government in government specic already government an − words, in increase lags, a expansionary increase greater real words, increased • an a S C I M O N O C E O R C A M 3.8 system By increasing scal also as policy vulnerable this businesses. and can who a large a signicant expanding minimize lose proportion their of any increase in unemployment the hardship jobs. The felt poor additional aggregate benets, by the typically income spend leading to demand. HL • Automatic stabilizers but are if very they helpful economy. to are applied shorter, rekindle the and their are and automatic effectiveness debatable problem growth automatically, of size, explained of a may is prove in time personal lags are increasing stabilizers, is the policy the zero lower earlier (see section is resulting had If an economy is of in a signicant risk case Covid-19 deep entering recession a deep or, if • since now (ZLB) page there forced recession lockdowns in (as many 1 14). is expansionary scal policy in the form of labour health shif ting only higher expenditures is for many reasons of choice. First , government government expenditures expenditures increase, then achieve demand increases: Prudent and scal that is a component the in of aggregate is aggregate demand leads to direct . If of a activity and thus of real policy the If aggregate on supply has infrastructure, will, demand curve in as explained, (so that potential to the growth growth implies in the that government scal higher will sudden rate Increased right . the long real output , The short GDP over the economy term but term. budget (national) decits debt is are kept considered policy is of consider considered increase in investment the risk interest and of prudent sudden then rates faster low, ination leading long-term to a government expenditures to achieve growth. or expenditures (AD). an growth require nancing. There are three The increase The government can increase taxes (direct in and/or economic that automatically, government demand fear presumed policy choices. increase in Consumer workers increased accelerate (G) so reason spending income. and theoretically R&D actual of support . increase AS instead low if The the • aggregate and even much. countries) or increasing the is spending also potential entrepreneurs − and aggregate will save the empirical care cut , disposable Also, supply long not their tax achieve to recession job. weak increase term in a not prefer government sustainable. government deep but low then will their very recession probably increases) also was in only a lose Increased not deep increase in education, • when may only will • a will households increase why size bound 3.5, that they taxes especially monetary in condence much This contrast , the weakening government effectiveness. easier because in in considering of they In implemented, disadvantages decrease policymakers the in increase the increasing scope have signicant Since expenditures may indirect) now, it can borrow now and tax later GDP . 139 or it and can lower cutting both spending back politically government Borrowing, on elsewhere. other unpopular expenditures though, Increasing government choices—so, are usually nanced increases the by budget • taxes projects If the such a borrowing. decit the low are and central and bank stable resulting higher the such national public ination growth is It is investments below will sufcient debt . lead to Monetary the to pay therefore when target off the interest 2% increased preferable rate. tax rates The rate level are of of Since a low which and • Supply-side faster may capacity be in rates will increase The and can thus real promote GDP , it follows that an Monetary as policy a employ exible, easy has several short-run advantages stabilization incremental, compared to of weakening tool. reversible scal and over an economy policy. there has will Despite It and it has follows shorter that if It is said their be is risk already usually that more borrowing perhaps the Lower by of entering entered prefer monetary currency competitive to a will As expenditures from If is the net central also school also will all and and bank s policy very to to and close to thus less to and • prove limited. to Central stimulate cases of In decrease ght a bank s economic a deep recession and rms shutting more also cut the by such a in the industrial economy there is little them. Thus, recession will with interest discourage and and the ability stimulate lack even rate will the ammunition unemployment if the central signicantly, be able Low to it of and scal are in the USA spending or to even encourage a tax by Very low interest more massive bank have rates quantitative lending and pushed short-term provide a further effectiveness Signicantly central rates. of (the more cash to easing boost interest boost such In likely of to is to preferable economy. rates slightly growth. implement to or The rates not correctly in targeted or a bridge students will to nowhere not help or a also is been China threat is from not have the for Europe. been best a able to ofcials many them example. on a The perhaps new Still, guaranteed. in setting China discussions in successful and industrial success In many secure that of countries, preferential did benets but only to higher not lead to guaranteed protected industry and a policies were waste of funds. supply-side decades as the winning recipe considered to boost for economic over role of the the long term. government The idea and was that unleashing decreasing market growth. Recent empirical work has forces questioned the effectiveness out that a any of such resulting policies growth as was it has not been inclusive, pointed so it was deep In economies with widening income inequality, resort is less support to necessary by to the poor ght-off for the, of ten unfavourable painful, economic looser to because they fear that they will not enjoy any earning to benets. ZLB To support below have zero growth also the issues adopt consensus are savers to Some stimulate since for were will to than bound bank s programmes interest advanced increased growth central the policies and investments cut . zero-lower several negative bank s holding 140 forced to spending Key problem) that government the Market-based of • developing returns needed setback s policy in The economies and polices for policies monetary it effective. has condence form growth, are unlikely spending. therefore policy accelerating rising bank is induce levels borrowing policymakers government helped of • cyclical rms. increased expansionary have growth there to and growth. expenditures Building path. recent interests fragile. recession, as room activity. down, decrease households can and such care have economic guaranteed that infrastructure, demonstrated. policies projects teachers growth explains policy the to in enormous, accelerate all meagre. policies perceived growth room is has achieving not transforming successful attractive the in many • R&D grow. Industrial increase, lif ting zero, in health without government is tool long-term induce investment tend increase, will prots monetary principal “rst case (depreciation) pricier also wasteful. economy-wide for productive the accelerate investments and countries and that proved special are or are monetary households expenditures, exports will by a cheaper imports consumer demand rates the they or recession. interest such achieve public care infrastructure treatment • expanding As recession, easier such weakening exports and in spending the render and induce growth. time recession mild use policy rates more while abroad domestically. aggregate interest and rms to all role noted country responder ”. long-term growth a policy. faster then may policy may policymakers uncertainty scal Monetary education if at supply-side achieve nations is and achieving time, monetary Many lags of health experience must is business in of growth. • policy aim economy. signicance nations • periods policies Interventionist policy successful aggregate the demand is long growth. • interest in investment policies of policymakers debt . policy decrease over adds education, • country initiate resulting revenues increased to a decrease Supply-side to of ination zero the mixed. difcult for interest earning accelerate based set to on is even by negative has hand, its to increase usually policy in advised if real policies adopted the form the condence of GDP are to are are and interventionist the primary over the a recession. increased is very short Easy low. On in a the term, market- choice. expansionary policy Expansionary deep Each other monetary government stuck and policy disadvantages. employed. avoid economy levels growth, policies advantages demand-side is long-term supply-side spending recession scal is when This policy pull • To decrease ination, contractionary demand-side is not and needed. Contractionary scal policy involves in government expenditures and/or are rising, an analytical (direct) taxes. Contractionary aggregate demand scal and it policy could will In most One real-world contractionary reason with In using cases is central addition, compared reversible that the bank s, though, scal and are policy policy. has policy responsibility which monetary to scal It shorter in has is for time ght price of stability However, if ination is the of the would only spending then been policymakers will monetary result will policy be with decreased contractionary government scal long increased taxes, dealing with of the inationary Remember that (full if an the be scal economy policy The for policymakers is approaching level of real its sure how natural risk s proving problem to know potential time. low rate So, of is inationary that it whether level of generate unemployment unemployment there is risk In an is not so to that real the economy output . They suffering can decrease (NRU) is not expansionary from as xed scal deation scal dramatically, government demand help example is zero from so policy • through policy will policymakers increasing, expenditures economy Japan. deation, decrease there is interest not exit to the Remember then much rates If economy already is is an any rates. to are is boost if rates for building overheating central are from “rst and an the bank that is and policy The economy, In bank s are are very up in an committees this of interest charge meet rates, change can fear the interest in monetary reverse the rates their political or and for of of ten usually associated by if What if decision time ination is Many supply-side of lags is an they to also they manage to have increase the economy, ination will expectations of both workers will and rms, pressures. keep sense ination that if stable they are over successful LRAS curve increases in to the right aggregate then the demand pressure on prices (see section 3.7 , is considered is that rates ineffective if there are monetary is already policy to risk very faces deal of low, the with deation close zero in to Nominal interest rates lower cannot central bank s have adopted be quantitative with with mixed mildly success. negative A few interest have rates. even The signicantly negative interest rates need may become clear in many economies. to One of the risk of policies goals First , price to decide fear it every in are at few a policy. the week s. time gradual. the next If so not are claim necessary that as a of misinterpreted. polices are Even there to help reduce international domestic It does rms. not This mean should that not supply-side if appropriate is to cost-push ght inationary ination, pressures. policymakers will still always tighter monetary control because by long very policy to get ination under supply-side time lags. policies Inationary are characterized expectations cannot and entrenched because if workers and rms expect Central ination will continue in the next period they will appropriate They higher wages and prices now, further increasing can pressures. any • they They do economy. not Lastly, On the render more the but is the is shorter. demand-pull policies improving that necessary, the thus the that meeting. down supply-side interest is stability, on of ination, When economy increase monetary slowing erroneously policies time help the constraint . other hand, product exible economy this successful markets and increase help helps more in the reducing domestic supply-side policies competitive, productive the rms risk of labour that markets capacity ination. maintain or of Of improve their cost-push international ination? and 3.7.2). case, implement course, • it close bank policymakers this. for 0.25% policy cost interests inationary the reason Many inationary increase of can in programmes demand level as difcult is that bank usually economy, responder ”. then policy reasons responsible in considered are decisions interest (ZLB) become central never demand Market-based spiral. economy central policymakers threat , ination, monetary many aggregate aggregate deationary that interest room the approaching tighter There the and upward 3.7.1 employ resort appropriate of ten • policy suffering in pressures. they vested By shif t deation. be ination of the only competitiveness an not government further. pressures monetary any have policy inationary tighter of policy. are in increase inationary Monetary the • monetary also withstand Supply-side Monetary cause policymakers the soon to economy, is to suffering in to can experimented good an policies that capacity policies manage easing A are massively term negative. the the that cannot an expansionary and not it bound resorted typically always ination. economy is fundamental in inationary lags. further long zero. • it then Figures be make its output , without approaching the increase resulting to because time risen economy easy ination? to pressures. employment) avoided. what arising supply-side policies entrenched and should cost-push fundamental the expansionary purposes tighter established Supply-side potential with and productive creating • or important and, be cause be policy. expenditures have perhaps, may complement the The money proigate very tighter it policy matter add supply-side implement government demand-pull necessary expenditures advantages incremental, past it pressures respond because lags. result for No Interventionist lies policy. has • demand- If ination. monetary signicant exible, between vague. policymakers to charge of ten therefore always avoid is decrease inationary ination. is purposes but signicant . decrease distinction increase distinction in the ination a For decrease First , policies wages are true. cost-push : 3 Fiscal T I N U stability S C I M O N O C E O R C A M Price in such policy a competitiveness. case response. 141 Key side issues policies economy Policymakers always use tight monetary policy ination Contractionary result Low of past or to scal cool policy excessive off is an overheating adopted government if decision on unemployment policymaker and to help is their international which policy depends on is appropriate the type of to decrease unemployment • decrease the To try to can the The and scal is policy cyclical is the and best the policy to recession use faced to help an demand is rms maintain or improve Cyclical unemployment policies are could activity It follows so needed that induces is the that result of aggregate expansionary provide that the will manage resulting rms to policies expansionary could higher to increase expand level and hire of expansionary business include scal both policy. the interest little of from lower are room, easy In a the as aggregate multiplier demand if form it is more monetary then to provide if boost The the and is is is demand, cyclical that could provide also there operation in of • the of these mild not scal the interest borrow and Fiscal more cyclical the scal If is A increase, the the decrease policies that and is can rates not so use are policy is loose that with subsidized afford loans to relocate skills they possess. their the are nancing unemployment or costly expected the long- unemployed, in the so to training skills that the areas is market-based eliminate to with jobs result these rigidities is to decrease labour one structural market of supply-side conditions. rigid state and but if social costs. the market a the private market is If is the − non-wage lags, monetary the result monetary policy wage that labour policies are adjusts Typical market that aim appropriate. easily to supply-side unemployment include resulting decreasing: (or even eliminating labour costs, such as that − the degree job − the power The have of more. of to of In decreased these security it) national aim an policies to insurance forced rising their workers decrease addition, in to to labour hire some workers enjoy a of labour, income job so rms and governments that offer. they for workers countries, wages so costs more benets accept suppressed income observed for unions. incentive have pay that unemployment are disposable the employers labour have unemployed is of policies they produce which policy these that the not minimum contributions so slowly preferable. time − All more. reversible. required between rms that if the demand, the However, and all decreased have contributed inequality in many successful in decreasing countries. is unemployment skills or Structural persists Note that if these policies unemployment , if of it is the the is the the unemployed result unemployment is unemployment are they also lower the most way aggregate past recovery—so demand. it Policies signicant aggregate demand are not appropriate of structural natural unemployment rate unemployment included is in the What about seasonal unemployment? It may come as a the is but governments do virtually nothing to decrease not unemployment . The construction worker who aiming to out of work because of freezing temperatures may deal only unemployment type as of is structural (NRU) NRU. seasonal insufcient increase train relevant . that spend longer whereas demand, rigidities. unemployment with them labour surprise, to and enroll labour from • of hire policies market result so to exible policies • mismatch skills loans changing of labour to of unemployment has unemployment aggregate Supply-side and rms afford equip initiatives then structural a the exceed structural to aggregate result policy and monetary policy economy incremental of can designed rigidities, expenditures expenditures increase require benets if zero, relevant . result can would demand properly more. applies: to expansionary policymakers decreasing rms clear. structural Supply-side subsidized young, employers Most rms decrease government increase. can to individuals Low spending close bank hand, incentives though, policy destabilize insufcient not retraining policy discourage and and central other ineffective. may government expansionary are exible, If will aggregate recession reasons the unemployment policy, households Since and more. unemployment may training labour. recession, constraint low increased (HL) be more (ZLB) very the direct . structural Monetary rising On demand even for of may borrowing bound any, effect insufcient the lifelong labour aggregate monetary deep condence already borrowing. in policy consumer zero rates effective If monetary and households Since must rms economic that policy that demand unemployed cost skills demand-side − Demand-side is provide to unemployed seminars demand Also, policymakers the government: should especially and with deep. − decreasing. and unemployment unemployed if is term 142 term policy Expansionary a domestic structural equip demand. − • long aggregate the faces. unemployment • if competitiveness. opportunities • the Supply- − Fiscal • over stability unemployment The • useful price economy. ination spending. only to increasing decrease are maintain wait for a week or so for temperatures to rise while is unemployment areas between who crops are just benets. out of wait work for the The farm because next workers the crop farm and in collect unemployment benets. If every as a case of seasonal trainer statistics surge in many countries What high about school and college graduations, there is a much for a governments monthly government do for to seasonal unemployment do. The only thing unemployment statistics is frictional seasonally. better ski instructor, for example, he or she is ski instructor during the summer and to As that Low conict between unemployment and low should be easy to realize that if demand though for work s monetary policies unemployment , try or to lower then ination contractionary unemployment low in try and It low both achieve risk of tight policy, increasing. achieving to is through scal unemployment conict to there there seems at policy that an economy is SRAS curve or that it is can of in sloping section of a is of that an expansionary GDP) and prices decrease (that reected increase policies is, in it the in will an policy to of If and in will generate (short-run) this conict unavoidable? The it curve recent suggests many low following that it is countries levels, than what without wages this (see or between is NRU, historical to 3.3, in to the curve. will This demand path It ination accelerate percentage for the page expanding data below be as a a (real increase conict of 84). will is any an is and are an The up closer in though case an unemployment below the must for fall country ’s further more complicated once it is lower rate any of increase though, for the relationship an not constant Once the and may decrease. is can decreases below research examining to more again, specialized as a internet sites to with are extremely and so is sites. result explained not than The realized is all in sectors of “bottleneck s” section and Capacity for as it 3.2, as industries constraints reach (the any inationary pressures grows. operating output , growth that will the will they they do lead to more not to potential inationary prove. Again, know an encourage before the country ’s there problem NRU can Since it beforehand what its accelerate far and the in the any problem advance acceleration growth is and pressure will policymakers only may they be have level is. know for whether of ination. decrease on wages and on face estimated decreased, Only that af ter they is that with they limited cannot ination had has pushed know started unemployment below growth its natural start one hand, policy to they if policymakers prematurely tighten rate. avoid may (perhaps even will inadvertently have remain unemployed that the also found The economy role job than could successful shif ting of to an the lead have to a in of ination keeping ination common It policies is rising to polices low they individuals been grow an the so should increasing and in be economy pressures. increases price many very but to case that they rising. permit inationary target) have continued ination then 2% very may supply-side economy right , the longer. without supply-side possibility condemned for experiencing capacity not a of without will lower the succeed If its the grow productive LRAS aggregate noted. to curve is demand level. issue that Policymakers decreased other monetary the it is worth noting that ination has not been a NRU issue for most economies for more than a decade. therefore example, since 2000, the ination rate in the USA has vigilant . never been struggling High As rises condence. For remain better rise? Successful ination NRU. to serious is and accessible unemployment responsible growth much Lastly, becomes more quickly availabilities upwards economy economic accelerating, USA Whenever Some that that is Government of economy employment) further On in explanations unemployment accelerate. ensure crisis historically is inverse unemployment . suggests point In to only several the without several there In natural country are trying the result activity also at which the So, middle nancial of ten 4%, place. becomes unemployment accelerating. considered There and time, to simultaneously. showing (full (HL). global decreasing, typically ination economy the (NRU) that this fallen ination. is At ination had section consensus 2008– 09 been economists unemployment in not . had unemployment the is such slope employment too economies better information and economy. “bottleneck s”) to Is a sloping demand ination). Phillips in frictional other to the policymakers economic but of and/ achieve upward AS aggregate unemployment type they (cyclical) seems operating increase live done vacancies begins prices apparent This constantly and/or risk There Keynesian be reducing unemployment upward people objectives How Monetarist of increase objectives. facing a a any Assuming to participants. curve ination. difcult ination. hardly lower higher monetary then or market full easy is a ination scal this the macroeconomic expansionary job labour aggregate aggregate so adjust usually policymakers result related arising It year, unemployment? the market LinkedIn Potential is labour useful water the that listings snow of clearly thing not rest because nd of the unemployment . June unemployment unemployment for the • meantime gym T I N U rural : 3 in S C I M O N O C E O R C A M collecting economic Perhaps the between ination easiest achieving is to use a growth way to higher and illustrate growth Keynesian AS low the and to than increase 4%. Very ination to many meet countries the are common even 2% ination possible The target . The and very world is more concerned with the risk of deation conict maintaining curve. higher of slow long-term growth. low Keynesian AS 143 High economic growth and environmental sustainability Economic growth effects the The on possible basic idea increase, level of is can benets economic that as capita growth improvement have can Kuznets pollution per in both positive and negative understood (see countries can and be it and and lead become 3.3, per then, decreases. eventually thereby through section grow rises income, income issue is that economic capita af ter This to the page Growth 87). The incomes some implies critical that environmental natural resources and establishing such as growth not only indirect , poverty. requires the of that may but therefore curve local such be the for In depletion stop of common well growth. to as avoid the Lastly, and capacity. but many it may goods production use a hold a for externalities reduction and may Kuznets can or of turn technologies in the towards may allow with pool or also regulations. of cap green subsidies activities and Carbon and in no many trade that direct , and They as the worsen through and income also on may it to permits the a social benets, programmes seek improve a poor. governments expanding spending may as wealthy unemployment well as capital taxes schemes are adopt clean In industries, only on health and and labour the an If if growth it is how to welfare but to increase sanitation education it can net also alleviate agricultural and basic facilities that productivity. not not skills is or driven if the it is by in benets from enough support shared. may and a its policies since be is fairly handful of regions, many if it will relies be lef t widen. less the income increasing there will then growth whether necessary uniformly only certain be higher been because jobless, will to has growth country growth determine is of non-inclusive then leads This benets is in society gain be of ten inequality concentrated the ultimately unequal may is growth wealthiest it the inequality if growth income economies. that certain and Lastly, fact , growing distributed. will also economic guarantee will economic rms be inequality from programmes human inequality. that adopt technologies to such resources sustainable in governments fuels should adoption more growth, fossil income improving through These However, out common investments and wastes only dispersed Nevertheless, environmental towards improve access Growth environmental view for Governments together technologies. The “ futureless” broader equity use growth. deplete 2.8). help necessary, 144 emissions. subsidizing stricter also not emissions carrying pollution-intensive that section enforce may and sustainable shing (see as of addition, more optimistic pollution-intensive should as an carbon more to Earth’s unsustainable. provides as leads the externalities production less also exceed both income pensions increase resources can alleviate Redistribution be sustainable. can redistribution infrastructure, of and distribution growth productivity. The growth distribution. curve initially economic Economic environment . environmental High benets resilient . are the This will revive last . the long-term with means distributed growth to remain that In economy benets and country sells The goods the countries of trade decades. Free of a other and Examining trade to the free will a as has permits country the buying borders. services world of to countries referred the Benets • to are in refers across The are referred country imports grown ratio and selling goods buys (M). to the The sum as from of of services exports a (X). other over the exports imports over 27% 1970 in important free importance dramatically of and ow trade) past to of world about reason for goods have benets GDP , trade 60% this and decreased for T I N U trade services trade countries has in increased 2018. growth services is that dramatically. in most countries What free about the restrictions between engaging from Perhaps are the to the (free possible trade? and trade specialization. specialize in The the scarce resources production of a Recap range of goods and services, leading to higher levels Benets of output country and higher engaging combinations of in possible levels international goods and of consumption. trade services can outside consume its curve Free trade scarce • and Free trade that domestic — More within an automatically increased rms competition possess. will Free trade: permits specialization the and any All allocation in the • improves • increases of the Increased benets power competition to output cut of resources lowering domestic monopoly • leads • forces to • may lower to lower prices for buyers rms to prices cut and waste improved and quality become more efcient and induce domestic rms to grow and achieve quality. efciency forced increasing of in as the a result use of of free trade resources as leads rms costs. Firms cannot afford to of scale to permits domestic rms to import capital goods that will meet be resources power • greater allocation competition, economies — of consumption world. monopoly the of levels follow. leads product improve economy decreases may competition improved trade (PPC). specialization resources free production and • of A • possibilities : 4 goods international L A B O L G International of E H T Benets exactly their specications Y M O N O C E 4.1 waste • presents • permits • permits consumers with greater variety resources. — Firms will also competition be forced from to imports innovate or to to and export penetrate Free trade which allows they exporting sell rms their from from countries not to grow in size since expands. countries with the This small market endowed allows markets importantly, Free trade economies allows rms (machinery, of that to import equipment , meet and tools use and This much more closely their free imports further increases from 4.1 .1a their of trade. trade stimulates faster Consumers choose and free the welfare Free enjoy from trade a due greater to enables to 4.4.1c imports illustrate and the the quantity increased of welfare We assume the market for corn, a variety of goods and services the sold in perfectly free country is competitive “small”. In the exports, that the results from homogeneous markets. context of We further assume international traded across capital Natural means that the country can buy or sell as much of the trade. faster transfer and diffusion as it wants without the world price changing. borders as technology is of embodied Sd in goods. resources trade trade, to Price/unit technology Free increase trade productivity product • growth. protability. “small” • they exact that • resources capital product and natural intermediate free specications. acquire scale. quantity products) to with. rms Figures goods faster to resulting • spread in Exports, benet to more. products small ideas foreign Most • and withstand are markets technology allows are not distributed countries to import equally and across use countries. natural Pd resources, • The the such benets faster all of oil, of scale allow that they may specialization diffusion economies enjoys as of and technology, and faster not the of have. more the increased growth. This is competition, possibility exports why a trade of country D is Q referred to as an engine of economic Quantity/ growth. period Figure 4.1 .1a Closed economy—no trade; “autarky ” case 145 Sd Price/unit In F i g u re open 4.1 .1b e c o n o my ma r ke t is we assume and higher t hat t hat the the price at P w. At the can sell as much of country corn world in price is n ow the Pw an world domestic Sw Pw corn p ro d u c e r s affecting it ( re m e m b e r this is a as t h ey “ s ma l l ” wa n t without country). T h ey face Pd the Q2 world price units. only be At Q1 Q2 t hat willing p ro d u c e r s D Pw will the re ma i n i n g a re e qu a l to at which price, to buy sell though, Q1 Q1 Q1Q2 t h ey units units units in in will be willing domestic of corn. the the to consumer s Domestic domestic world of f e r ma r ke t ma r ke t . will corn and Exports Q1Q2. Quantity/ In this case, where the world price is higher than the period domestic Figure 4.1 .1b Open economy—Pw > Pd: country exports corn price decreases by area area by (A (C). resulting area + B + (A C). Producer s + A in B) exports, and producer welfare could in consumer gain surplus thus principle surplus increases results fully equal to compensate Sd Price/unit consumer s Free a trade for their has loss of increased income social and welfare still be but better not off. everyone is winner. In Figure 4.1 .1c we assume that the country is again an Pd open A B Sw economy market is but lower at that Pw. the price Domestic of corn in the consumer s world can buy as Pw much corn as (remember, be willing they this to is buy want a at that “small ” Q4 units price country). while without affecting At Pw price domestic corn they it will producer s D Q3 0 Q4 Quantity/ period Figure 4.1 .1c Open economy—Pw < Pd: country imports will only be willing will thus be purchased of corn. In this 4.1 .1a illustrates the closed economy case when no imports or exports of corn. This is also referred resulting to (A “autarky ” case. Domestic demand and domestic corn will lead to an equilibrium price of Pd per unit equilibrium quantity of Q units per and Absolute and of advantage; trade generates many benets B) social welfare even better for an economy. It a off. The country next step specialize is to in not all determine and it import . We consider a export , world parties producing Absolute two surplus results equal compensate still be rst which and with decreases by area (B). the advantage : advantage. production of of can of just one of not relies A Adam on domestic off. producers Free trade if it export that T able4.1 .1 a good if more can 146 resources. good and in their everyone is a winner. countries, two goods, called apples Red and and Green, bananas. both countries have the same We amount are capital or, to simplify matters, each of country unit of labour. good that The numbers each country are can the maximum produce if it countries all of its Smith’s theory resources in the production of that has an absolute Red good. Country of production: 30 10 10 20 advantage compared units with to the its trading same resources produce a unit of the good maximum fewer for increases Smith Adam country produce equivalently, using A could HL two each production: or, by (A). goods Banana it area Consumers maximum partner, domestic goods which two but that and Apple in the increases goods. explanation absolute to better Country The than surplus involved uses each consumer producer and producing amount should lower Q3Q4 imports also has should fully welfare labour are imports, thus prots possibilities advantage though in and gain assuming increases reect specialization each Free is and Units period. comparative comparative + principle social Absolute price corn. and loss an world abroad of supply in of from units as welfare the the Q3 there area are where offer corn price Figure case to A country which Figure it 4.1 .2 has should an show specialize absolute the in and advantage. production T able 4.1 .1 Green advantage : David T I N U Comparative Apples Ricardo 30 In 181 7 David in T able 4.1 .3 Ricardo there is showed still that room for even in the mutually case shown benecial 25 specialization comparative and and exchange. not He absolute showed that advantage. what Relative, matters and is not cost look of at production the is important. opportunity cost of This means producing that each we good for 15 each country. production A of country a good has that a it comparative can produce advantage at a lower in the opportunity 10 cost Green 0 5 10 15 its trading partner. country sacrices fewer bananas country sacrices fewer apples 20 on be advantage of clear in from apples, labour) it T able as can 4.1 .1 with the produce that same 30 Red has the resources apples absolute (say, whereas one only 10 apples. Green has the absolute Green or 20 as produce 10 cheaper and apple and which on Red It follows that: it can produce 20 bananas while bananas. should So, Red can specialize in produce and Red apples export should specialize in and export if the one of the production countries of both has the goods? are as in T able 4.1 .2 can in Figure 4.1 .3, in this 90 Green produce at bananas. it bananas 90 it bananas will sacrice What if the needs apple 60 apples: Red opportunity cost 20 40 bananas of = 90 60 apples case Green (with whereas must bananas apples. = Green apples. has by Dividing 20: by 90: advantage the opportunity cost cost in same 1 banana of = 1 banana producing = bananas: 2 Red Country of apples an it production: 40 should apple Green specialize Apple a comparative of Country sacrice cost production 4.1 .3? cost: to apples: whereas advantage Figure banana it 2 and a lower sacrice bananas. absolute a produces absolutely apples can produce apples only opportunity shown If produces Dividing possibilities or bananas. can 60 it of What either apples opportunity Green Green produce 40 opportunity it 40 As an which banana. can will in a advantage 20 bananas can either If produce in produce produce on 4.1 .2 should unit focuses Green Red It 4.1 .3 to to Focusing Focusing Bananas Figure T able export 60 in and bananas. Y M O N O C E 5 than E H T should L A B O L G absolute, Red : 4 20 maximum Red Banana production: 20 90 maximum T able Green can produce Red can produce either an either 40 apples or 60 apples 20 bananas. 90 bananas. can produce apple at opportunity or needs to a lower cost: it sacrice 4.1 .2 ½ If it If produces it of a banana produces whereas 40 apples 60 it apples Green it Bananas must will will sacrice sacrice sacrice 100 1 .5bananas. 20 90 bananas: bananas: 90 Green consumes 20 apples Red opportunity opportunity cost has a cost 80 and 70 comparative bananas of 40 apples of = 60 apples = 70 advantage 20 90 bananas. apple 60 Dividing by Dividing 40: by it opportunity cost production: 60: 50 opportunity should cost specialize 40 Red of consumes 1 apple = ½ of of 1 apple 20 apples and a 20 1 .5 banana in and = export 30 in bananas. apples. bananas bananas 20 T able 4.1 .3 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Apples Figure We have and trade versus So should which produce country should bananas. How produce can they apples now 4.1 .3 resources) the established which 40) can and absolute according benecial produce more both bananas advantage to more Adam in the Smith, specialization and (90 apples versus than 20). production there is no exchange. of Red Green both room (60 for has goods. mutually and Green, thirds which of willing increase an to sell opportunity of an will apple to to Red consumption specialize in produce (export) cost apple). their one will be bananas, one it if (that willing sacrices banana banana produce bundles? to it is, so earns more buy it two- will more than (import) be than the two-thirds one banana 147 if it can cost pay Red less than experiences two of apples, which producing one is the opportunity Limitations Despite A mutually banana Green benecial for will one sell exchange can occur if they trade one apple. in one banana to buy (import) one apple. the model determining which (export) goods that same looking conclusion: apple if it earns opportunity one an apple apple one, Red if will is sell of the will half (export) of it . Green than and a the half one way willing producing less one other be than acceptable. pays which it more cost is at Red a around to sell leads earning be which one willing opportunity to (export) banana, So, will actual to trade to cost is • to The are the banana buy one ows. these two countries trade they will of theory goods, for of of the two goods that be but produce, produce • banana. able are to It is it no apples possibilities. for 20 For bananas. example, It could Red can and 20 can sell sell and (export) 70 20 bananas bananas for and 20 20 apples. apples. consume that there exchange It It is outside their is room only if for the mutually PPCs of benecial the two because in this case of Ultimately, comparative the opportunity comparative factor endowments Differences in endowments and costs services Italy because goods or and cars for Germany are highly of costs a are good is constant produced so the of producing the PPCs one are more linear. In unit the remains real the world, are of ten economies are of commonly scale as increased associated with lower costs. that easily factors switching of production from are producing perfectly one another other. Is labour both good to geographically occupationally the mobile, necessary skills though? to switch A worker jobs or may may not not be able are It move is location. assumed despite advantage advantage and in depends on the • technology. quantity result from and quality differences of in its productivity, capital and its productivity in and stock of physical capital and its It is stock the of may in and is technology affects embodied are the in differences productivity of in in the assumed of should trade increases result ows in the can rate. foreign shrinking also For be physical human indirectly capital price of in relative ination in an a by they become of the relatively a country a and has should countries also pay also services because and devastated. aggregate af ter currency good affect the no trade trade barriers, ows in but the there are world. is risky complete range specialization is very risky in one according good to the theory of comparative a advantage. signicant comparative specialize only in advantage exporting in tourism may the trade if it over subsidies something Export demand outbreak exclusively on so it and of and real A minimizes in risks. a This This was must wide is its economy collapse, countries country exporting wrong, would GDP . Covid-19 tourism. in went revenues try painfully relying to range realized almost diversify, of especially would decreasing products. true for By certain ows. nations that of ten specialize in and export a international services expensive export of not exports range of mostly primary products. as time. Comparative Many that narrow a it specializing worsens goods more in tourism narrow competitiveness trade. as movements stronger exported rates country which, container available markets. ination a are restrict specialization noted or developing Higher there that interpretation doing Changes costs of capital. affected example, export that barriers be service, be exchange impede because the addition: Actual transportation low productivity. manifested the sometimes no very of If technology are being natural stock strict Differences there of ten factor the differences that these differences or • cars for both that agricultural are It human • much production Complete capital • import opportunity how cost assumed plenty In that there of shipping, • case example, for same. Sources • the assumes case specialization countries • in not For the PPCs. to the be could have parallel and advantage may Both and and underlying products. thus producing Note the 20 mobile, can from and explain bananas. consume countries arise fully (export) consume • therefore This denitely export average Green not helpful export their levels apples does being should consume outside therefore it limitations goods. matter though, 20 is assumed same production advantage country model. comparative manufactured (import) additional combinations a import , The the homogeneous. that If goods should differentiated buy model comparative the one bananas. apple the of which it assumptions Note of banana. to lower the advantage is a dynamic cost concept of producing a good or a service articially and therefore It increase its competitiveness should dynamic • Lastly, non-price factors can also lead to the creation or concept of comparative advantage and of These factors include product may or quality of af ter-sales support . For of German by an capital goods appreciating euro are not in foreign of their does advantage change over is a time. in import education, technology raising by labour attracting productivity. foreign investment a (FDI) variety in of high-tech industrial sectors. policies In in addition, the hope they of a comparative advantage over the very long term, good many countries have. For example, South Korea’s exports markets. of electronic ships and industrial 148 comparative and signicantly because as reputation invest also pursue creating affected that can example, may exports it design, direct reliability as international They competitiveness. noted the Governments loss be abroad. and cars, integrated are policies. to a circuits, large degree as well a result as of of cargo successful many restrict benets trade derived ows and from free employ trade, various T I N U protection many of degrees trade quotas, protection. subsidies The and most common administrative forms are tariff s, : 4 the countries trade barriers. E H T Despite of T ariff s Analysis of a Given tariff the domestic A tariff is dened as a tax imposed on imports restricting their ow into the country and domestic producers. It has been the most common form in May of Chinese price the the and the domestic specic refers to tariff can without buy the corn or in sell world on of to the For about raise good at for the while Pw. the this as billion • lowering total P’ domestic some Assuming domestic context , much price in of • × to consumption volume per of period. free total a small means product as × of trade, in • that it revenues Q3 = in Q3 drops imports In the domestic units of corn market , per to Q4 units of period corn shrink s to Q4 – Q3 = per Q3Q4 of addition: collected area (H + expenditures Q4 they country. market “small ” the The units P’ corn rise example, $250 imported. be in valorem. tend market prevail that , ad 25% will and the of will Remember country A production price price or imposed consumed world world wants be USA products. 4.2.1 country. the may the amounts Figure Let It 2019 established will of corn protection. P’ protecting period. domestic price aimed while at new production = area increased demand on (H or F + domestic + + J by + corn farmers = 1) 3 decreased domestic consumers + note 2 + 1); depends on that the = whether price elasticity (PED). expenditures “t ” unit foreigners 2 corn F import per by + is = Pw collected (exporters) × by still Q3Q4 the = area domestic earn Pw (J) as the tariff government dollars per unit so of corn changing. • tariff or, revenues P ’Pw × collected Q3Q4 = by area the government = “t ” × Q3Q4 (3). Sd P/unit A welfare • Consumer surplus a the result analysis of enjoyed. • (Pw+t) = reveals surplus following. decreases higher Domestic Producer the price buyers by area paid of increases corn by (1 and are area + the 2 + clearly (1) 3 lower as L A B O L G Types + 4) as quantity worse Y M O N O C E 4.2 off. domestic S'w P' producers = 1 tariff sell more corn and earn a higher price 't' Pw (remember Sw units of that the tariff is collected from the imported corn). D • Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q /period Area on put Figure 4.2.1 Effects of a tariff on the market for (3) • the price at Pw, domestic rms back will offer Q1 units per corn period per while period. domestic The consumption difference Q2 – Q1 will = be Q1Q2 Q2 is (volume) of corn imported. In It follows total (2) costs revenues × Q1 = collected area by total Pw • expenditures × Q2 import = area domestic corn farmers on (H + expenditures now that corn unit of corn F the = + J Pw by + × domestic consumers = = unit a (Pw on result the + t). The The Figure of the country decisions is are tariff referred have as to it cannot be is be spent money considered a leads to a welfare loss equal to (4). to as production produce cost Pw. Q1Q2 imposes tariff will tariff 4.2.1 . tariff, “t ” The in a raise the small—its is thus world = area order tariff the equal price country (F to units inefciency Q1Q3 because domestically the country to import these than units at it the Analytically, + J + area G). (F), at and Pw to domestic to is do and not P ’Pw not less “t ” which supply good. area (F the curve is The product they cost of could + cost 2), of also of units have the producing the area marginal importing Q1Q3 been under Q1Q3 these times the bought the cost units world under supply of is only price price the represents net value lost by free society trade. Q1Q3 domestically produced even from though have been imported they instead. per if, as because world being to dollars affected corn therefore dollars Area units (4) is price. are referred Q4Q2 consumed consumption affect a the is protect equal demands production insignicant the producing should P’ is price curve, G) government producers corn. a area domestically units per that and more Area(2) domestic and may it = Pw Assume economy so (H) units • and addition: world Pw government infrastructure units would • the the or the it quantity into by care of Area of health loss. area(2) corn collected corn welfare With is schools, valued are by by to now, as as domestic consumption a result of consumer s consumer s more the inefciency tariff, even than not though what it because being these would units have 149 cost to to import consumer s demand them. area curve, Analytically, (G and + is 4), the units which sum of is Q4Q2 the how area much are worth under Recap the consumer s Effects would have been would have cost (G), at the Area they (4) units of not to import units could therefore Q4Q2 have to product which willing pay and Q4Q2 have been represents being to consume enjoy these times the bought net units world under value consumed these even lost only price free by units. Pw trade. they tariff s A tariff: • increases the • increases domestic • decreases • decreases the • decreases consumer • increases • creates • leads area society though of It domestic price of the production of protected the good good from consumption of the good should volume of imports been. producer tariff to surplus surplus revenues production equal to area inefciency (3) and on Figure 4.2.1 . resource misallocation • leads • is to consumption responsible for a inefciency welfare loss. Quotas Analysis of a The quota At A quota is a quantitative restriction on the volume of supply the example, in 2018 the USA imposed a quota on Q1 units imports equal to 2.68 million tons per year, that the USA restricted annual steel imports of Korea to that specic amount . This was a the effect of 2017 such volume a quota, of imports. using Figure 21% corn as an 4.2.2 of as a corn result demand market farmers is are now still restricted. willing but only ab units are allowed to to be for of the corn quota. equal to So, bf. at Pw, Total there is quantity an supplied both domestic and foreign producers is equal to line decrease segment from domestic domestic steel by from the which excess meant in Pw, Korean imported steel corn price imports. offer For of world shows Pwb while quantity demanded is line segment Pwf. the There is pressure for the What is the effective price, it will be domestic price of corn to rise. example. supply of corn in this market? At each Sd P/unit S' = (Sd + equal to whatever domestic producers are quota) willing to offer plus the xed quota amount of corn ab. We a b therefore draw from point b a line parallel and to the right Quota = of (ab) Sd all at market P' S’ prices so to has that the distance horizontal ab. decreased Note from rightward that Sw to supply S’. The shif t of is corn world equal in at this supply Sw 1 pivoted Pw toS’. Sw a D Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q /period The new will be at P’ supply S’. At Q3 Figure 4.2.2 Effects of a quota on the market for units Figure domestic period 4.2.2, farmers while volume the of world are willing domestic corn price for to corn offer consumption imports will be Q2 – is Q1 at Pw. units will Q1 be = of Q2 At price corn units. Q1Q2 = Pw, per per Before units now decides to limit the quantity of corn more than • of from af to only ab units per period. No imported corn the is corn supplied may in enter this the domestic market . Sw. corn of corn At as world quota corn 150 that was faced price, domestic price were offered the are domestic the farmers willing are to market effective willing purchase corn to offer Q4 The quota difference is, of Q4–Q3 course, equal = Q3Q4 to the is the quantity amount of the ab. quota was imposed: imposed, by at domestic by Pw, foreign the world buyers producers consumers given offered foreign by the price was would demanded. demand domestic exporters. Q1 = collected area by domestic corn farmers = (H) expenditures × Q2 = area on (H + corn F + by J + domestic consumers = G) How import Pw, expenditures = Pw × Q1Q2 = area (F + J + G). innitely for as Therefore, corn farmers offer and D, Q1 at quota was imposed: total revenues collected by domestic corn farmers = elastic × Q3 = area (H + F + 2 + 1) much the units Q1Q2 the the P’ at domestic buyers in intersects market? • supply and which revenues × total Af ter Before price, corn D ab • much corn. the total Pw units corn of period. government imports that price demand of Pw The of imports imposed The af of • corn of where corn units In equilibrium of units were • total P’ × they expenditures Q4 = have elasticity area (H on + increased of demand F corn + or J by + 3 domestic consumers + note 2 decreased (PED). + 1); depends that on the = whether price following they points. usually rms • Consumer surplus decreases by area (1 + 2 + 3 + 4) result of the higher price paid and the lower Domestic buyers of corn are clearly Producer surplus increases by area (1) as worse sell more corn and earn a Area higher (3), the shaded represents area money is known typically as ”quota earned by are rms price as that a can result now of export the the restricted the bigger Their would import expenditures revenues of the than if an equivalent tariff importing had export revenues may even be been greater have been under free trade. With free than trade revenues (and, import expenditures) were equal their to (F + J + G)—whereas with a quota appropriated by foreign product at foreign supply. exporter they are equal to area (J + 3), which a could higher exporting export rents” the the exporting foreign price. area and the their domestic export • If then off. they producers rents. rent , quantity imposed. • these quota equivalently, country) enjoyed. the as (and a collect collect The be greater. This possibility minimizes the probability of money retaliation. represented by governments. received case only quota refers The if also (3) the domestic government Note that earned the as a term This to foreign of in is would auctioned rents result go represents rarely be off Recap the the Effects of quotas economics some A quota: • increases the • increases domestic • decreases • decreases the • decreases consumer • increases • creates favourable domestic price of the protected good decision. effects of a quota tariff domestic usually (3) collected follows to by a the is, P ’) now welfare that are (that price area additional It may area government . income revenues • (3) that domestic ”equivalent ” the area money the licences. to policy • by shaded The a same tariff with foreigners, those that one represents as of would so they the rents production of the good an also exception: quota raise consumption of the good tariff that represent volume of imports are surplus an producer surplus loss. quota typically leads to a “quota rents”, which are usually collected by greater foreigners welfare loss resulting plus equal area (4), inefciency quota The of imposed welfare which also area (2), which inefciency reects explained the reects explained resulting earlier, plus the • earlier, (3), to production inefciency and resource misallocation consumption area leads the • leads • is to consumption inefciency rents. existence of ten to production loss is quota instead usually rents of helps tariff s bigger. explain even why though Foreigners T I N U the are : 4 reveals quotas the are off responsible an associated better E H T analysis equivalent are collected for a tariff by L A B O L G welfare welfare loss (assuming greater that than the that quota of rents Y M O N O C E A foreigners). as Subsidies Analysis of production subsidies and of Sd g P/unit export subsidies Ss A production government subsidy on all is a units per of unit the payment good by the produced by a rm. An j export subsidy on units the the is a per exported assumption that unit by the a payment rm. In country by both is the government analyses small in the we only Pp keep context n of F H Pw economics. Sw m Production subsidy A A production subsidy is a per unit payment by D the Q1 government leads to a to rms decrease on in all their units of output production produced, costs. The price so cost that production permits imports subsidy of are rms the to produce good illustrated more decrease. in Figure at The which Q / period 4.2.3 Effects of a production subsidy on the market for corn each effects 4.2.3. Q2 lower Figure production Q3 of a In Figure domestic period 4.2.3 the farmers while world are price willing domestic to of corn offer consumption is Q1 of at Pw. units corn At of will that corn be at price per Q2 151 units free, per will period. thus The be period. In • revenues quantity equal to Q2 of – corn Q1 = imported, Q1Q2 if units trade of is corn per Recap addition: Effects total Pw • × Q1 total = collected area by domestic producers of production subsidies = A production • does subsidy: (A) expenditures by domestic consumers = Pw × Q2 not affect the domestic price of the protected = good area (A • import If the jg + C) expenditures dollars right B government costs of + per will or, the now unit of increase better marginal cost jg Pw × output , Ss. (MC) a and the area shif t so (B + the supply the marginal by supply cost in equal does not affect consumption • does not affect consumer • increases domestic • increases producers’ • increases producer • decreases the • decreases import to the curve is world to At offer price the Q3 units production Pp, which subsidy will world per costs. is mn not paid to by affected Pw period Now, equal be price decreases because though, what the (given domestic per of consumers small will their unit government . a rms pay be now sold by imports • total Pw at Q2. It decreased revenues × Q3 = follows from Q1Q2 collected area (A + that B by + the (Pw) • willing to Q3Q2. H + In leads • total expenditures the • equal to by quantity import area + consumed expenditures B + addition: is do not decrease since the export increase remain price to Pw × Q3Q2 = that import expenditures are area equal export revenues foreigners analysis reveals Consumer surplus • price Producer and surplus thus export an spending opportunity inefciency and and cost resource to for a welfare loss. are than goal is illegal are to to sell under still it in the stimulate World granted domestic exports. Trade by market. Technically, Organization many countries in The export (WTO) different (See section 4.4, page 162 for information on the WTO.) effects world of an price export is subsidy assumed at are Pw illustrated so that in Figure4.2.4. quantity demanded (C); equal to Q1 units of corn per period while rms offer Q2 the per period. Units Q1Q2 are thus exported. collect). the remains consume government imposes production they The a subsidy the the increases is paid to domestic rms equal to hj for each unit following. same as consumers pay same by area export , then the domestic price of corn will increase to P ’. the This same and good The they • (and collect) and If welfare the but units A to government ’s is (remember imports the paid change to of expenditures increased responsible subsidies consumers C) volume of F). domestic (A revenues misallocation forms. same good remains (volume) producers to leads the rules • the surplus foreigners nancing, earn plus Consumption domestic of country lower they quantity surplus production jg • unchanged good the revenues case). the amount dollars. The of to production curve the • C). subsidy decrease downwards Remember curve = production then vertically to Q1Q2 grants supply yet , subsidy = is because rms earn P’ by selling abroad so they will not quantity. (F) because the price Sd P/unit earned per unit by producers Pp is equal to the world price h r P' Pw plus equal the to jg, subsidy the mn vertical paid by the distance government , between the which two is supply Sw Pw curves. • The cost subsidy area be (F of the per + H). nanced subsidy unit mn This by to times cost higher the the must government quantity somehow taxes now, by is equal produced be to Q3 nanced. increased It the or, can borrowing D now and other higher taxes government therefore later or by expenditure. cutting An back on opportunity some cost is It follows that a production subsidy leads to a equal to area (H). This represents the because units Q1Q3 are now even though it would have 4.2.4 willing P’ in been cheaper subsidy is a per unit payment by the export subsidy on the market for corn sell any home quantity market . domestically The difference unless they P ’—Pw is also equal subsidy paid hj. At P ’, domestic consumption to will to Q3 exports while rms increases will from offer Q1Q2 Q4 (= units. gz) to The Q3Q4 quantity (= jw) of units based only means on that a the units rm will of output nd it exported. more period. In addition: government • 152 an subsidy per payment of them. export rms to the export corn to Effects to decrease An Q /period produced the domestically Expor t Q4 production earn inefciency import Q2 welfare be loss Q1 involved. Figure • Q3 0 total revenues from area collected by domestic producers This protable to (0Q2zPw) to area (0Q4rP ’) increase total expenditures area (0Q1gPw) increased or by to domestic area consumers (0Q3hP ’); decreased depends change whether on they from have Recap PED Effects • export revenues increase from area T I N U • (Q1Q2zg) to of export subsidies area An export subsidy: (Q3Q4rh). the higher Domestic • Producer The to cost surplus the jw (= sell to a the subsidy Q3Q4), paid of greater or area area quantity hj (B of + C + and B) a • decreases consumption + enjoyed. • decreases consumer B + C) a as • increases domestic • increases the revenues higher subsidy now other • (B) is by therefore becomes areas plus cost (A + areas areas increasing increasing government There This this and B • increases the quantity • increases producer • leads (B a volume C) + while C cancel + F). out, regulatory or protection. other wise trade legal standards, the of Areas are by (A), the good surplus production of of the domestic good rms of exports to increased surplus government spending and must as it imposes an opportunity cost back on • some leads to production inefciency and resource are were (C) area + to one F) (B equal equal and (B also are that prohibited. to were as + F). to areas of the the (A + • leads • is to consumption responsible for a inefciency welfare loss. B) two welfare loss. barriers and set environmental of borrowing cutting equal areas trade are good exports government now, by gains losses barriers Standards they or loss the barriers the misallocation leaving Administrative Administrative taxes later welfare since of equal project . clear + taxes price price. is nancing nance domestic result off. earn the as quantity export the F); + worse (A the times (A lower clearly by government unit area the are increases per by and corn the following. decreases price buyers producers • surplus the : 4 Consumer reveals E H T • of analysis L A B O L G welfare increases referred a imports These standards to common may or must be as with form of trade satisfy health-related safety each only a and few every ofcers truck. who You were can ordered imagine seemingly innocent requirement effectively reducing the volume created of to the and imports fully delays that inspect that this resulted entering in Y M O N O C E A • France. standards. Calculations For example, the EU and the UK do not permit imports of 1 . chlorine-washed the at USA . The blocking USA US for and of imports that these chicken regulations car hormone-treated maintains exports environmental standards chicken such to and as beef. the T ariff exercise from restrictions Assume aim Countries specied protect beef that following set a tariff questions is imposed using the on some good information in X. Answer Figure the 4.2.5. emissions domestic S P/unit population (euros) and combat regulations” standards change may used are regulations or climate may exporting set to or rms protectionism. set to protect for protecting set to just to issue domestic consumers, make and is to it or so they costly that equipment , standards, for amount and Safety example electrical Some ensure “green imports. for more consumers domestic so-called impede products. comply The some to automobile children’s be but only protect concerning chemicals though, be the are to S' 4000 Sw disguised standards not 4400 foreign just an A are D excuse producers. 18 0 32 51 75 Q/period (thousand In addition to such standards, the importing country may of add more “red tape“ to the necessary bureaucracy Figure when importing paper work lengthen in for Perhaps the barriers France. The The country exporters valuation, administrative Poitiers good. required the processes. a to inspection most is a French old increase complete and absurd very may example one or customs of related government had the it Japanese at video Poitiers imports were instead of at to a be such the city ordered inspected major and harbour is located inland, is far from ports and small What country case or was is the size of the b. Calculate the pre-tariff c. Calculate the import tariff imposed? volume of imports. of expenditures (or the export revenues that the foreign rms) under free trade. pass Calculate the revenues earned by domestic producers airport . under Poitiers diagram: a. d. customs T ariff may of all 4.2.5 typical clearance to units) involved free trade. staffed 153 e. Calculate consumer expenditures on the good under free k. Calculate l. What the resulting increase in the producer surplus. trade. f. Calculate the post-tariff volume of imports and is the resulting production inefciency equal to? their m. Calculate the resulting consumption inefciency. change. 3. g. Calculate import expenditures af ter the tariff was Production Assume and the change that occurred as a result of the How much did consumers spend on the good that af ter good X. i. The was exercise is granted Answer the to following the producers questions of using in Figure the 4.2.7. imposed? money imposed subsidy the information tariff a tariff. some h. subsidy imposed spent was by consumers collected by af ter foreign the tariff exporters, P/unit was (dollars) domestic s s' producers group and the government . Calculate how much each collected. j. What is the resulting production inefciency k. Calculate the resulting consumption l. Calculate the resulting decrease 2. Quota equal to? inefciency. h 165 in the consumer surplus. g 150 Assume Answer Figure Sw exercise that the a j quota is following imposed questions on imports using the of some good information f X. in 4.2.6. D 0 250 450 1000 Sd P/unit Q /year (thousand of units) (euros) Figure 4.2.7 Production subsidy diagram: small country case S'=(Sd+Quota) a. What is the b. Calculate revenues c. 7500 1 3 Sw 2 the of Calculate of the annual the the producers 4 size subsidy import foreign annual under free granted (on a expenditures rms) under revenues free earned per (or unit basis)? export trade. by domestic trade. 6000 d. Calculate under C annual free consumer expenditures on the good trade. D e. 0 450 700 1400 1750 f. Figure 4.2.6 Quota diagram: small country Calculate a Q /month result Calculate What b. Calculate the c. is Calculate of the import rms) the free Calculate size the foreign under d. the quota revenues free the imposed? expenditures under (or export revenues of g. by domestic producers h. expenditures on the good under free i. Calculate of f. the volume of imports as import and the expenditures change that af ter occurred the as subsidy a result of How much the did consumers subsidy Calculate the annual af ter Calculate the was the annually total subsidy annual spend on the good granted? cost revenues was of domestic rms granted. the subsidy to the government . trade. e. in subsidy. collected trade. consumer change subsidy. annual granted af ter trade. earned annual the case was a. the of the the change in the volume of imports as a result j. Calculate the change k. Calculate the resulting in l. What the consumer surplus. quota. Calculate imposed import and the expenditures change that af ter the occurred quota as a increase in the producer surplus. was result of is the resulting production inefciency equal to? the m. Calculate the resulting consumption inefciency. quota. 4. g. How much quota was did consumers spend on the good af ter Export Assume imposed? good h. What can you infer about the price elasticity of X that on i. for Calculate the the good size given of the the price quota change rents. Who in the 154 the resulting decrease in the subsidy earns using unit of is granted X to exported. the producers Answer the of some following the information in Figure 4.2.8. a. What b. Calculate is the size of the subsidy granted (on a per unit basis)? these producers Calculate a each market? rents? j. exercise demand questions (PED) subsidy the consumer surplus. the annual earned export before the revenues export that domestic subsidy was granted. Calculate before annual the consumer export subsidy expenditures was on the good granted. (dollars) e. Calculate a 7 .00 f. result the of Calculate annual the change export annual in the volume of exports as subsidy. export revenues af ter the export T I N U d. S P/unit subsidy granted earned g. How a much af ter h. as the Calculate collected as well result did of the subsidy annual af ter the the change export consumers export the as total export revenues subsidy. annually was export in spend on the good E H T was granted? revenues subsidy domestic was : 4 Sw 5.00 rms granted. D 30 38 Calculate the annual cost of the export subsidy to the Q /year government . (thousand Figure c. 4.2.8 Export Calculate the subsidy total of units) diagram annual revenues earned by j. Calculate the change k. Calculate the resulting l. What is the before the export subsidy was the consumer increase in production the surplus. producer inefciency surplus. equal domestic m. Calculate producers resulting in granted. the resulting consumption inefciency. to? L A B O L G 21 Y M O N O C E i. 14 155 4.3 Arguments control If in the benets Figures country so free to increases, employing trade from 4.1 .1a why various trade 4.1 .1c are and so (section do so degrees many of restrict Why is in shown welfare countries protection? and against a has the imports “managed” common? specic a big demand simple from free trade creates losers from pressure when answer trade. that winners free the free is There trade all groups and losers. are government trade not are the parties that When signicant for increases are the then protection. import involved worse off. losses they This may is penetration a because shrinking or in though on Figure 4.1 .1c (page 146) it is try the case increase is small in cheaper consumer surplus few that surplus of producers revenues dismiss exceeds resulting the import-competing affected loss imports from and workers. Arguments Common In then prots rms each and addition, in decrease may these favour suffer. one non-economic If also be may the Governments of ten erect are active Below only forced of of a conict crucial goods a country for is strategic in industries as well These of in this as being argument wide strategic of is to ensure self-sufcient reasons. such the The food strategic doubtful, and/or at Trade barriers are that in the to other harmful substances. for pressurize in and these weaken cases are industry for are The countries Some If the countries or their resort cultural to Trade to imports of barriers as For example, the restrict the part of also other lms and Trade barriers also and protect health the preserve of a a broader which why consumer the fewer governments or indirectly, their are export- common arguments divided into used in non-economic arguments. evaluated. necessarily labour are higher labour therefore imply First , higher higher productivity because costs there domestic is wages then the disadvantage. may no of be is labour important . higher even reason are not a domestic Theory should Workers regions, way resist labour lower to fear than imports. reection industry suggests of has that higher a be channelled to labour other, and owners of capital, and more perhaps will stations in these face real broadcast changes. adjustment They will try costs to and, blame of course, foreigners of their plight and will demand protection. of protection, which will reduce the incentive to many hours of and adjust , other policies could be adopted to foreign to ensure that certain the adjustment , especially for displaced workers. standards are met. The that in but often such domestic producers goal standards are is another may be cases shif ting almost resources impossible from without one use signicant purportedly are a assistance, which itself is costly to implement . pretence such cases, trade liberalization should proceed gradually. protected. if employment distressed economic many minimum Also, Common of social In through each each the exports programmes. exist public directly carefully because then uses. government to promote from by Even when countries to safety to off used Note • aim explains are not resources smoothen language exports. worse embargoes. to television number be suffered This most be do productivity, restructure countries increase may enjoyed They wages and Instead strategy. to drugs are unfriendly as protection identity the must rms higher labour for life consequent validity belonging will • these rms of ten alliances. restrict politically referred large. economic wages domestic whole and the to of and efcient to and cost in and and succumb production weapons importance. least political employed area that income promoting, and comparative • of are claims abroad classied to political protection barriers as aim whole benets examine productivity, aerospace a policies protection. arguments to If of an rms and concentrated costs case in these rms. we favour arguments trade also as loss the rms domestic • likely visible of government trade signicant be down are each the producer there a very Clearly, lobby that free the suffers rms of in may pursues while oriented and the shutting trade articially, of ten the to unemployment . government to market . realized country. Politicians of consumers exporting Focusing the incentive protection. Managed the of ten in of gain Free of area nancial pressures increase The trade protection and—as 4.1—net many of for arguments in industry in a with whole few or region no relies on employment the alternatives favour for the local population, then the trade liberalization process ofprotection must • A most protect common domestic employment ood the down. jobs. and market , foreign higher rates in Many cheaper domestic Cheap resulting 156 as argument is of that higher forcing labour of favour claim restricting free quality trade foreign domestic typically rms blamed unemployment . trade is to decreases products to for shut the and be gradual workers people have do no job. economists Prize, to not give adjust . move sufcient Recent easily Financial had 2019). to research another incentives thought , This to time do according signicantly for has owners found location not to complicates as if they much Duo the capital that even matter Esther of as (Nobel issue. imports of argument decit . goods A and in favour trade of decit services is protection exists greater if the than is its to government “anti-dumping value The idea is that protection will render expensive and less attractive. Spending WTO on any launches dumping then decrease, shrinking and correcting a tariff, minimize referred the to as injury. an investigation the taking place. It is to determine not always the easy extent to imports determine will to imports of more impose export The revenues. may duty ”, the “normal price” of the good as the price may trade vary depending on the region at which the good is sold, imbalance. the There First , are it several invites improvement expense. country their a to a problems from country ’s buy such the a widening does trade and exports. not decit as comes into make the the and in most decit may be the result of problem. The products expensive and therefore uncompetitive: and T ariffs services (so that may be exports unable to decrease) penetrate and they preferred choice for domestic also to buy High imported ination, products rigid labour instead markets who (so that nd labour as costs, poor uncompetitive quality, lack of domestic reliability, that or poor growing marketing trade decit . may In be these markets, delivery the real cases, nance a helpful and possibly may prove the adoption of appropriate Governments may decide to erect reasons trade trying growth of certain development . The industries idea is in that their once the necessary know-how and achieving economies of scale, initial these they will competition. At that point , as it of should industry ” be removed. argument This and is is to This collect sufcient it revenue activities. taxing Since imports may points be a of last entry resort cannot be given up. be gradual If this is the to case must services is to ensure not that the interrupted. necessary its when production a developing and export country base. refers and to the process services of increasing produced and the exported to decrease risks (see section 4.10, page 198). in Many countries still produce and export a limited assist of products according to the principle of comparative stages their unit (an HL concept). If these countries are to risks, be able they need to develop, through appropriate costs to a comparative advantage in new areas. Also, meet the meantime they need to keep out imports from more dictates, foreign producers. This is accomplished through well-known essentially a form of the new industries being established. It is of again industrial systems making industries theory the be goods protection “infant T ax ineffective, will efcient protection more not in international become revenues. are to government diversify investments, by their policies. barriers lower to ood reached behind decrease acquire which basic may to advantage of few, liberalization of Protection range the hope) is poor will detrimental import governments are revenue, developing • imports verdict industries as issues, protection remedial a is many in order delay when with countries pro-development country variety prove government their Diversication a (they dumping lengthy, until which imports result is design and during anti-dumping it • well a developing for provision high time when is dumping As not then rise). of gain restructure provide collect cheaper imposed investigation to period place. foreign are households market certain into the the time domestic to markets and the taking automatically to difcult goods or ballooning in being good allegedly efcient . fundamental domestic order the accusation domestic • trade are an of was suspected their consequently Third, treat duties any at buyers dumping argument . partners products incomes country ’s policy this balance foreign foreign with trading trade restricting decrease ability of retaliation in Second, will importantly, cause potential T I N U trade : 4 of a E H T common improve L A B O L G Another Y M O N O C E • a form of necessary industrial policy. policy. argument also needs to be carefully evaluated. Recap It is indeed theoretically sensible, and the policy has Non-economic been adopted by all developed economies in the of including in the varying previously USA , as degrees. well as However, discussed by it all also drawback s of Asian export suffers from industrial a government policies. a mistake to reverse the which pick a is made, its will course protection stakeholders. dictates, industry “ winner ”? could If then it and be qualies It be possible withdraw ercely protectionism we have for may the such be for These difcult its include ensure is not of by lif ted the on • is state The inherent support , World impose is an Trade tariff s suspected. abroad own at a because making and Organization (taxes on Dumping or of sluggish price country, risk below below exporters are said the (WTO) to on the as as with government . the WTO (see The industry industry good if a price cost . subsidized injured section if a to: or food block imports • protect a • protect the of drugs of life and illegal substances way Economic health (cultural and arguments safety issues) in of the favour population. of protection infant ”. include arguments that protection is needed to: over-reliant it is sells this or country • protect jobs • correct • protect • enhance • protect • help from foreign competition may page le 162) trade against decit possible dumping selling at in could indirectly a a to dumping rm Of ten directly rm 4.4, weapons • government revenues its infant industries be a developing country diversify its produce and by export their needed industries to theory permits a exist normal average is crucial inefcient . imports) is protection certain Removing “perpetual the that in If These There arguments self-sufciency government support? resisted case treatment . the favour How such determine in protection achievers the • does arguments past base. complaint and 157 Arguments • Protection less against breeds competition Less inefciency and competition protection are as faced implies domestic with greater rms captive domestic are exposed domestic monopoly to markets. power. benecial only positive • Greater monopoly power for domestic rms implies for lower the buyers. Higher prices decrease consumer surplus opinion power for households. Their ability demand for all other goods and services in the from visible therefore constrained. output and This could employment have levels. negative effects Unfortunately, are not conspicuous and may be ignored by Higher prices for domestic rms that import (inputs in their own production production costs, so higher for lost his supply may may even decrease, and If these these domestic on cost-push rms happen in their levels more to be or Protectionism may governments. If markets will and adversely affecting result , in the than economy. it Protectionism preserves or induce the the and from. one trade long rms The as of or retaliation frictions term are (“tit for escalate hurting faced reduction well while • third-best in are that losers. may such how even Most people shrunk know or can shut someone circumstances. much because cheaper of free trade free leads assumption, This down who Most our of us, clothes, trade. to a namely compensation government workers with all with as in rms) tat ”) then parties limited variety have to choice. competitiveness Utility is a by a net welfare that gain winners can be fully accomplished policies. for retrain and Governments move to can industries to jobs. start Governments new businesses can that help can effectively in world markets. Too often compete though, especially labour, has have never been neglected materialized. This and may this help foreign trade why, in the past few years, protection has increased war why there has been a backlash against globalization. involved. options cost settle decreases decreases to plentiful capital since best for their example for of this new and dangerous trend is clear to the tariffs imposed by the USA on many goods ranging buyers solar panels and washing machines to steel and secondaluminum. best and job crucial targeted areas from (consumers has usually in choose costs. create. The Consumers the that overall and may The not be explain • as industry aware cars compensation • are export-oriented international sales in jobs her displaced losers, destroys earlier. size, inationary more employment an trade not conclusion owners hurting in arise. competitiveness eroded, greater rms. and their though imply help • that similar intermediate through pressures even layperson or or are compensate Aggregate explained a politicians. process) prices reasons have on rests higher for suggest public these The products the free appliances • trade, rm of though, effects free, surveys general economy has overall to a because is However, the to identify express on of and as purchasing economies. one-third higher benets prices to about These tariffs have led to retaliatory tariffs by the households USA ’s trading partners. • companies, Studies have found the following. rms. US as a result of the recent tariff s, lost Domestic rms will not be exposed to the technological more than $1 .7 trillion in the price of their stock s advancements embodied in imported machinery (capital goods). (www.nber.org). • Recap Overall, Arguments against protectionism • These were • It breeds inefciency as a result of less greater monopoly misallocation of power, leading It leads to to waste prices In for consumers month addition, decreasing power and their ability to express other It limits tariff s by exporters in lost exports as our earlier consumers the USA ’s trading partners approximately $2.6 billion (www.princeton.edu). and tariff analysis rms have suggests, borne cost of the tariff s almost imposed. growth in the USA , China and other major products. economies • US demand Slower for almost their entirely purchasing by and resources. higher decreased (www.brookings.edu). retaliatory costing American • employment jobs competition per and US 300 000 choice for consumers and for rms as will decrease demand for commodities, variety affecting commodity exporters in Africa, South America decreases. • It increases the intermediate production goods costs (inputs), of rms forcing and Australia. and services It may rms • It also reduce relying deprives on It export more domestic technological • also slow down exports of them to from the rest of the world with all goods potentially increase consequences for their economies. prices. The • will importing devastating their It increases the expensive rms progress competitiveness of taking embodied possibility of imported in of inputs. advantage imported retaliation by domestic of the goods pandemic especially advanced including the trading worse, of capital Covid-19 world World Bank, return to for only developing economies is organizations agree free has that made crucial. such perhaps these countries. trade—accompanied Most as the the only this matters The response policymakers, IMF and solution time with the is the policies partners. that compensate the vulnerable in each economy. References Policymakers’ perspective www.brookings.edu/podcast-episode/how-have-trumps- Free Just Free a 158 few trade rising few trade versus years has incomes decades. ago been most trade there protection would responsible countries Almost all have for have economists been much of trade-wars-affected-rust-belt-jobs/ no the witnessed agree growth over that www.nber.org/system/les/working_papers/w271 14/ dilemma. free the and last trade is w271 14.pdf; page 33 www.princeton.edu/~reddings/papers/CEPR-DP1 3564. pdf; page 15 in the world. expressed become the in the more imports as volume implies This a and past area open, decades more on a of as Preferential or trade or international of a that GDP annual of been ows trade are eliminate wider has size is of countries also even Economies of exports been have and increasing. has Trade T I N U preferential the The rising World has in liberalization, eliminating 164 the agreement is as a bilateral agreements Organization member a countries process may or, be of reducing achieved multilaterally (WTO) which representing or through through currently roughly 98% of liberalization. range of agreements trade barriers goods and between between two them services. agreement countries between two countries it is to as a agreement . If it is between (a regional that may plurilateral here). trading not be in agreement Lastly, if it bloc). the is If it same (but is between region this between it is distinction all many referred is countries not who referred are to as barrier s, worldtrade. necessary If trade Trade dened trade agreements agreements to trade. the trade result trade countries narrow of interconnectedness interconnectedness meaning proportion value Preferential greater greater many, members of the WTO it is referred to as : 4 Globalization integration a multilateral usually E H T Economic L A B O L G 4.4 agreement . Trading countries, it is referred to as a regional blocs Regional trading blocs or tax agreements and government regulatory According to the WTO, in 2020 there were 320 policies agreements in force up from 294 in 2019. There a proliferation are of faster regional to trading achieve and blocs because because of for deeper integration between of trading Free trade area (FTA): this is formed when a group agrees them Free of a and to phase while toward of out each or eliminate maintains non-members. origin” of trade Trade its own the area For Free trade areas into new to prevent through example, components to it of qualify non-members shipping Customs union: the may country be with required the that lowest at in 80% addition, more union common adopt , central in addition, a common bank . trading blocs Area a for laptop 0% are manufactured an FTA to a The prime example is the Agreement , USMCA , which force on 1 (the July 2020. 1994 It North is referred American to as Free as it incorporates some minor Trade changes. the USMCA changed the “country of For origin” for automobiles within must be so that 75% manufactured of components, inside the area; it up from also the somewhat greater protection of workers, so in tariff. may members generally, (FTA). States–Mexico–Canada of evolve into a customs agree to common a common trade external policy making cars, workers must earn at least $16 an union by 2023; US farmers have greater access to Canada’s tariff dairy or, climate, external least hour if, on migration. goods factories • a regional NAFTA stipulates group as and require 62.5%, the such justice (trade rule tariff. policies security, barriers tariff example, into other monetary Agreement) “rules as health, share United the barriers) well of came between common bank bloc the countries or countries. • • share issues such Examples Types They growing currency demand as environment , Members agreements policies. competition has the been say, regional supervision), trade spending (on, Y M O N O C E neighbouring toward market; it strengthens intellectual property rights, nonextending copyright protection of an author ’s work by members. 20 • Common market: a customs union may evolve into years, market if, in addition, to the free ow of services within the bloc there is also free ow capital (cross-border investments within the the US–Israel the ASEAN labour (no work permits are required for a citizen of 6 Free member country an form economic and of to work in integration any monetary is for other union. the member bloc Members to harmonize certain economic policies, of an into Viet and regulatory policies. force in 1985 Area, established Darussalam, by Indonesia, the original Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand) in 1992 and the by had added Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Nam. economic Customs union. The Southern African Customs Union particularly (SACU) macroeconomic into country). evolve • union entered any 1999 highest which Trade (Brunei Philippines, The FTA , bloc) ASEAN — include: of: — — examples goods — and example. a Other common for They which includes Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, coordinate 159 South the Africa world’s The the EU six and Eswatini oldest was initially member Community was Customs a established customs countries in 1910. It central, is of union the (EEC)—Belgium, when European Germany, in July France, duties and between the and adopted a all common • external A The Southern Common trading free trade agree but market. to each Brazil, associate Guyana, Peru (COMESA) • has 27 states are big a 21 in and is liberalization also was when joined • as A Southern states The since the and was 19 union of preferential a through “building the members of WTO. at trade block” least one into a area is phase • a are their formed formed out if trade country An members barriers eliminate between maintains its them, trade policy • A member all and WTO preferential is if free trade common formed agree union market monetary to a area trade policy to if members permit the of free a customs ow of labour. economic and trading multilateral almost market additionally economic common formed adopt non-members. common now is to macroeconomic agreements to union agree common capital freedoms of customs union 2018. Union these with Since July four disadvantages or A money. European Currently, monetary as non-members. towards Africa transformed people blocs member members Ecuador, membership adopting union. whether block” African services, a and euro Argentina, Colombia, Venezuela’s Union countries. joined question are by subsequently Chile, Eastern 1993 goods, member members and • for monetary “stumbling trade in of Advantages The Surinam. Customs and have Bolivia, included market Economic by Market has movement established Uruguay, 2016. European common of and in Common The initially and members suspended The was Paraguay the Market towards (MERCOSUR) and customs or Common Bank, Recap tariff. • Central Italy, Netherlands—eliminated them European currency. 1968 Economic How Luxembourg the common union. is formed additionally and union union regulatory is formed agree establish a if to if of a certain policies. members adopt common members harmonize a of an common central currency bank . blocs agreement but , agreements, blocs at the becomes the same time, signicance of non-members evaluating the of most role of trading apparent . trade HL Static non-member effects is The static analysis of trading blocs rests on the work inefcient Viner in 1950 who introduced the terms trade trade creation refers to an increase in imports that efcient domestic production. The elimination of trade import barriers from in a trading bloc will lead one another produced goods domestically. and services Some replaced by imports from that domestic another the a 20% being Trade efciency producer with since with lower diversion production member. shif ts away dictate. However, welfare as it both is still consumers high costs to a foreign costs, leading to fewer within true the world importing price levels. country For face example, prices and South Korea. Assume that consider the tariff on shoes imported from both USA Mexico South Korea. Korea as Initially this the country USA is the is importing cheapest , shoes more from efcient This from despite the tariff. If, though, the USA and Mexico a to sign a customs union then shoe tariff s will be member scarce for Mexican shoe exporters, but will still be in resources place for to arises a when less imports efcient shif t member from due to an efcient away from because South Korean manufacturers. The USA may switch the latter enjoys. The external tariff for may render some member articially relative from switch production importing of a from good. the Another truly member efcient and size case efcient shoes will South now be Korean shoe articially imports cheaper. of to trade case creation and it will and trade determine diversion whether cheaper agreement the more will will nonvary members the Mexican the The preferences 160 would improves wasted. non-member in effect were scrapped producer what production agree domestic the Mexico producer, increases This against members South be to USA , and previously will advantage that producers has to member. the the internal cheaper production displace closer less implies diversion. and Trade articially it creation possible and the of comparative Jacob to since then lowest cost enhances or diminishes static efciency. the the • A trading rms of so bloc investment signicant a expands higher trading the investment will accelerate argument bloc , size they for of rates the will growth. developing could market follow. This for accelerate the rates been countries. By process • Phasing out exposes turn in rms leads to of Consumers choose eliminating to more lower production, allocation • and tariff s and competition. prices resulting for in other More consumers; less waste; of • competition and a in also It a greater variety of is efcient • products to If from. within a regional trading bloc there is free movement then employment opportunities increase, less overall • Seamless The they borders also permit power greater had of faster members economic acted technology increases: leverage individually. countries Possible A but even a This large disadvantages major criticism 163 This Since is of the is liberalization or regional number WTO these superior become round of that regional they through in years over. into the to There a few any of is trade thus This preferential to they An as that a it risk blocs, trading as, the USA , Monetary of monetary adopt monetary subset the The of euro, deeper barriers has is for and that investment and explains would have started labour is to so the with movement , than countries within deal the much. smaller member the why increased countries permit they have has than within in to WTO. areas intellectual property rights, competition e-commerce efforts that a country alone cannot and deal anti- with. (HL) Since may grow all rms and that the a why as in a bigger of market scale. This they may to lower prices and increased competitiveness in markets. countries are in a weaker Regional position agreements to may defend prove their trade discriminatory smaller, the of ten powerful developing, to use their countries huge as they bargaining achieve their preferred outcomes. This may power explain the countries but WTO considered many selling economies trade deadlocked world be agreements latest may potential will achieve their agreement The been now agreements risk arises China, with union a India smaller is when or end for up “ fortress” “stumbling of such agreements. have Doha • many resulted • A to some made of a preferential “spaghetti increase trade bowl ” business and of agreements tariff s and has rules administrative of costs for rms. country as in which trading consider block s” proliferation origin split to The also effectively economists large the EU) individual policy a of 19 and common the established has when currency to countries and formed single Christine EU economies sign (such (HL) a preferential countries. members transfer central adopted a theEuropean member Lagarde Advantages will sacrice decisions outside are It is result the likely of producers Smaller diversion of an the bank . In 1999 common Central countries and President of economic • responsibility are a has currency, Bank of a is the since monetary the There to mostly of a microeconomic are not to be will to various either be degrees a its sovereignty, compromise or will be country. that trading lobbying who efforts hope to blocs of are of ten formed self-interested benet from any as member resulting trade effects. lower transaction necessary. exchange paid to transactions (ECB). Every one the an currency bank . within costs time a This as for cost monetary currency individual another, is conversions or a a business fee eliminated has for any union. November There is greater price transparency, which makes ECB. comparisons of much Buyers easier. prices of goods, (consumers services and and rms) resources are able to union spot nature. They quickly the lowest price available in the market for include whatever the than countries for • These member agreement countries union eurozone 2019 other an other liberalization. additional union of agreements reach say, blocs multilateral trading each explains trade agreements A local than • • prosperity, and can true such Multilateral achieve. negotiations extent is follow, transfer. especially agreements WTO. regional difcult major others. trade to trade the increased resulting negotiations country undermine the eliminate more of to few agreements agreements as a advantage Regional proliferation are major integrate to lower a to may country with allow that a negotiating against proliferation for when interests. • with EU. likely. only world smaller leads stability with lead if negotiations the unemployment . bargaining exercise in of • • less easier corruption in power through negotiating issues, labour agreement political are much such • bargaining negotiating when the have is regional number resources. will more it greater WTO. efciency more the conicts forming barriers greater If then a industrialization. • if all Higher has has USA T I N U France blocs : 4 trading E H T of L A B O L G advantages Y M O N O C E Dynamic good or service they are looking for. This following. 161 increases become to competition, more gravitate forces efcient towards and the inefcient prices lowest for producers tradable offered in the • to goods Members deprived tend exercise union. to • Exchange rate risk and the resulting uncertainty costs use Exchange rates tend to vary, and this uncertainty for businesses engaged in an imports rate may of of payment . also goods change face and Investors the services between same the who risk as because time buy of and they the cannot stock s be part of its rate will be at a future date when has been a joining and to home for sell smaller drop out the and that have monetary within found union convert what they risk more a risk who and a positive on has if cannot its ability transferred sovereignty outside the at country. major the argument for many EU countries euro. Recap and disadvantages of a a union their Possible union therefore single • lower volume advantages of being a member of a monetary include: transaction costs as currency conversions are unnecessary empirical membership impact policy, is it may into with Many it if the greater greater countries. that is may disappears trade member proceeds rate investors This evidence has the exchange and market . encouraging investment studies asset Note businesses of currency, of their currency. rate then country that bonds monetary wish limited, economic Advantages exchange is exchange a policy, exports and sure policy If monetary exchange purchase sell independent scal against and sovereignty. independent implies This increased economic an are least eliminated. lose of in both • greater • no price transparency, facilitating price comparisons a trade exchange rate risk s and the associated uncertainty and costs cross-border investments. • • A group of countries with a common market and greater negotiating and bargaining power in world a affairs. common currency will enjoy greater inuence and Possible bargaining power in world disadvantages monetary Disadvantages These are include • mostly the Member a a monetary macroeconomic union nature. They may countries policy. there is are deprived Since one “one-size-ts-all” some no independent • no exchange there monetary approach is of an members term • limited one policy may currency for make all and one simply if business means overheating • loss members. things very cycles are that when one another country may of to enter recession. tighten the Theory monetary latter should policy, loosen room rates. If they are economy be dictates losing that increasing monetary members of World is WTO steam the probably the smaller country Members was A are deprived central bank of is an interest policy, a will area rate deprives value of its the revenues and thus the a price of its aggregate the member value inationary of its a to exchange rate to exports, single one and of member the alone common cannot currency either. a • value in the or the is There and partner, inuence there is members, the an WTO limited Even own limited room though for each expenditures because abolish of successor Trade), a of the 1947 promote and other free trade trade by barrier s. are known as multilateral requires on the every most-favoured member country nation to countries as it treats its treat most-favoured not allowing discrimination. functions become of It goods, import closely the WTO provides services free trade tariff s associated a forum and by and for with trade intellectual persuading other trade the process negotiations property. countries The to barriers. It ensures that agreements are implemented and adhered but by requiring that national trade policies are transparent external by carrying out periodic reviews. independent It is pursuing independent government can the all arbitrator of trade-related disagreements and taxes, the be budget nanced. decits Fiscal and and disputes. as they may freedom public monetary seem. grievances This between means member scal to do so are settled debts Body within makes the the nal WTO. The decision seven-member which all is in any dispute must accept . The WTO empowers must policies members to enforce its decisions by imposing trade are sanctions independent or manipulate its somehow 162 to tariff s anchored effectively promotes parties as countries agreements are and has cover Appellate not 23 that member countries its and bank . is policy. Tariff s there that • WTO principle WTO It • central on eliminating globalization. that export face only The of would recession. Not between as (WTO) the currency and value Agreement between out other to also is rate the boosting in currency manipulate It union, • no 1995. conducting lower currency ’s demand pressures in rates, exchange for of possibility its Organization suffer. responsible Lowering foreign increase mounting Being country currency. decrease cannot policy. a Trade and Objectives exchange policy decreasing monetary independent also scal sovereignty. established (General trading policy. independent former all • policy policy booming (MFN) most for economic agreements interest monetary rate “asynchronous”. GATT while a This phasing should of difcult agreement about member central GATT and a independent The This being include: • The for union following. monetary bank of of of affairs. against countries that have broken the rules. assistance technical to expertise developing and their is countries trade • Evaluating the considered as capacity. It the is Doha The GATT, and its successor the WTO, have been claimed in decreasing trade barriers over the years and this has resulted According to in world OECD and trade World to them accused trade (sum world output of exports and imports) as (gross world product) 25% in 1960 to 59.4% in a The greatest increased success institution, it world decrease • The WTO resulting from the WTO is that , has established and so it has in violation paying of brings issues are According rules and order in force and developing regulations of its rules. insufcient It has attention also to labour about , that as trade well as liberalization to (even though one rising may income argue in the realm of national that such governments). managed, at least to the critics the possible WTO also adverse does effects not of sufciently trade liberalization the until now, the environment and it has not paid sufcient to attention to processes in proved instrumental from resorting in to preventing escalating child labour response to the 2008– 09 world issues and to production the rules of the WTO, recession. did not WTO quotas to appease resort domestic few on would world disagree welfare that has as been net effect of positive. the There is of Members, to political room for improvement but the current scenario of raising no and “sweatshops”. protection course by so-called national trade the tariff s to laws as However, bound tried uncertainty. governments in has policies, 2018. on trading WTO their from consider an known percentage • • of displacement policies roughly negotiations data, inequality of the growing Bank unavoidably world the change declaring the dramatically. why past been 70 that reason failed. quite by successful main WTO nations • the Round international body regulating the rules of world trade is pressure. alarming. As of a result world of Covid-19, merchandise the WTO trade will estimates contract that by the 13% volume in 2020 Recap compared the WTO to a year must before. ensure members adhere Rules enforced to that the For economies markets rules of to remain global rebound, open business and that The WTO that are has the lose in because authority a dispute. to members impose The have agreed sanctions Appellate Body, on that the the World of the WTO, appointment with has the right been since must to veto blocking 2017. consists be Since of 7 “judges” accepted a the by all nomination. The re-appointment WTO: • was • has set December 2019 the 1995 164 of the WTO that prevented countries member • sets • is trade other protection members has been of the WTO that will allow paralyzed. agreed to The trade • provides rules the from EU develop dispute settlement becomes not • Of resort to course, criticism. time The With 164 consuming WTO needs the WTO of of has been developing their the and same the imports. time, EU to The been members in and a has open not up inability of has • has led done cost of enough own an to for • has helped gain local to has to and • the has is 98% of that they are followed trade-related to disputes developing countries. and trade other to trade increase barriers and dramatically, growth so the able to resort to protection enforce trade rules and to settle the of being needs and been of in other still markets open favour while developing forced is biased economies of countries; in US with USA , EU inconsiderate for developing whereas protected the being and example, countries EU subsidies and other barriers • has to USA to large agriculture that At governments disputes other have markets in been services the access force agreement for crises accused and of rms. agricultural ensures tariff world prevented trade the countries economies responsible WTO: decreased to those pushed of assistance has during will of difcult has catering neglecting the reach Body protection. plenty very (1948) a countries of which developing at to been mostly WTO their to rounds GATT temporary Appellate that the 16 agreements. advanced markets it it economies, The is of resorting maintain WTO subjected trade services to hope agreement , accused from growing the The successive reach world. of multinationals has regional advanced liberalization to to until again. generalized the proliferation • system operational members countries and arbitrator stimulating arrangement successor settlement • to a trade Evaluation—the system as each judges dispute in four-year though, new up parties members, USA , of (WTO) “supreme whose 164 Organization the world court ” Trade activity. The • T I N U additional their : 4 build E H T provides to L A B O L G It Y M O N O C E • been accused increasingly environment , of paying important child insufcient issues labour, such health as and attention the workers’ rights. to agriculture 163 4.5 The exchange currency on Exchange 2 rate of expressed July a in currency terms of is rates dened another as the currency. price For of a example, we get the 2020: GBP 1 .00 = USD 1 .2471 , so you needed 1 .2471 US buy one British of USD 1 .00 = to INR buy 74.682, one US Euro 1 .00 so you needed 74.682 = NZD of dollars the exchange 1 .7264, to buy so one It rate is is one of determined operates on a you needed 1 .7264 price, it is the in determined supply of it . important foreign prices exchange When for on expressed the in by the almost basis, 365 the demand exchange everything Exchange The it the of system There rate supply interaction rate dollars rate exchange and exchange US are of of a it exchange rates days for rate and exchange rate above dividing currency is in Floating the (or demand a year. the or, currency changes, it and supply has it of the both is the British sides by by to exchange the result depends chosen determined: exible) rate and is on operate rate the set the by exchange rate the at central Managed exchange rate without system: the only for the the pound with exchange respect rate of to the the US to the British pound will be equal 1 to ( that whoever is buying pounds traded a market generally, seller of demand is the another and that currency in a is is at the buyer same of one currency. supply being being oating • 5 August • 9 December xed within time selling currency This means is at that the in for a currency, the and bought is also the supply of sold. exchange rate system. Consider the 2019: • 16 £1 .00 2019: = $1 .2037. £1 .00 = $1 .3325. March: £1 .00 = $1 .1650. managed value by this the is the dollar of the pound say that any operate in a is obviously oating not xed. exchange The rate pound system. and We when between 5 August 2019 and 9 December 2019 the interaction government or appreciated against the dollar. Between 9 December central at is when some the level and It 16 March that level through of in a should is rate appropriate system: allowed the of to central change such oat bank is this but is 2020, Appreciation the the when and and (the exchange is is pound depreciated pound is against the appreciating is depreciating depreciating against against the the dollar, pound the the Most oat ” (its against In exchange inverse the of pound. the Remember, the one other. a xed to set the rate system, exchange when rate at a the central lower level, bank we has been a devaluation of the currency. If the say that central The currencies decides to increase the ofcial rate, we say that there are been a revaluation of the currency. system. depreciation value) rate of a system and value) describe the direction undesirable. varies. is the maintains keeps its a xed currency, the exchange krone (Kr), rate against oating the against euro all versus currency changes in currencies. Specically, we describe depreciation. the On change the changes in a xed the change using the other exchange terms central bank, the keeps Denmark’s the krone National xed Bank, against the a at what is known as the central rate of €1 .00 = Kr7.468 using permits it to uctuate only within a +/– 2.25% band. hand, for whatever reason Denmark’s central bank decides to rate set we the devaluation appreciation price when periodic If its dollar is appreciating rate and terms the pound exchange euro oating dollar, the Denmark’s price that is other the clear intervention when there whenever considered interventions “managed revaluation be exchange and but the central rate of the krone at €1 .00 = Kr7.60 then euro more the revaluation Danish krone will have devalued (since the is devaluation expensive, specically, the term appreciation refers to an price of a currency in a oating exchange rate was depreciation refers to a decrease in the set krone at is €1 .00 = cheaper). Kr7.30 Conversely, then the if krone system. revalued term the the central increase rate the a demand which Denmark More ) in exchange has 164 the following. bank The British then bank . by speed frequency in the (e) exchange of currency there and in by. system: only this government exchange rate intervention system of to realize currency decides when dollar decreases pound dollar the dollar 1 .2471 demand of systems oating, determined supply exchange is maintained When US has and or the and against • of intervention. Fixed by price pound. rate equal more time dollar. rate the Being 2019 • US that the systems. exchange bank British also foreign pound of the if an The • to so everyone. affected whether different are rate and but country three respect other, systems demand the that respect should whichever Focusing the of realize market , for consequences with of terms e most the 24-hour is with diagram the up inverse in should New same a the exchange dollars which goes the You euro. the economy. means dollar You The is expressed 0.8019. Indian dollar Zealand dollar GBP dollar US • rate pound US = pound If rupees the one 1 .00 exchange this terms • of USD dollars then to price or one price • the pounds, price of a (since the euro is now cheaper). will have and the appreciation induced by market are value are of terms a reserved reserved currency for rm for exchange or rates rate demands supplies Let us for British and assuming the that analysing US assume dollars foreign there a and why; who is no oating are a exchange central world bought market . bank exchange where and only sold We by are intervention, rate • now, pound. and Who what market be UK for store by also so sell we in planning exchange therefore services in the the pounds sell in pounds to pay pay UK goods If then most this and in market this are a New selection The London Now her tuition for pounds. exports a of The York will think of so are have range store School for will here to London to buy Stock acquire a to UK make in the UK . If Americans the will also which US. of are Think higher have dollars is by those expect when price its it price to to sell make reects of US British interest their the UK deposit . cross-border referred to as nancial who to is fall want in high to sell value. and a They buy may pounds lower. of of be she Dhaka. sold to coats an to will made their American have for (Burberry ’s be • and to For to bonds bank Swiss make rm or to wants to make bank UK of for the 4.5.1 pound ows are exchange markets. or two is of a the demanded However, selling origin of the them of back to pounds there currency currency in the may demand for illustrates will Swiss as the buy to the demand exchange which francs of send remittances. affect Bank, have currency migrants thus to will the in in is euros will the by rate. central selling increase euros). the in decide of families which to market working their that and National supply exchange taka, referred intervention a expressed foreign Bangladesh money are Swiss The the say, Bangladeshi Switzerland, francs. will Figure shares send bank supply example, pounds or of in money Amounts central the coats) the will country buying from, sending They foreign exchange for supplied exchanged Lastly, She into be and (capital) why market . workers Bangladesh. buy foreign reasons may migrant nancial reasons exchange equilibrium terms of US exchange rate for the dollars. deposits establish a new S Price rm in therefore UK , they and in other London department investments Exchange, the supplied now its supplied also by (that Economics. government British be important (as pounds They necessary pounds because ows Pounds buying to need demand goods • services Americans Consider its groups. and dollars Burberry. the need trade British (education). will pounds, UK Burberry. dollars meaning sold in her to reects Investors UK , to attend pounds of following pounds. services, add the buy bought . to order to to demand be by the rm advantage outows. may when new take deposits. into pounds later a to system. rate buy and of capital) foreign manufacturer pounds and to and supply want and planning needs will buy supply currency for? who goods UK exchange demanded exports) pounds the demand Who what may British on would Individuals is, • focus for? and Pounds • let ’s dollar to Pounds the So, For wishing investments (or initially and in currency why? simplicity pounds participants are a on pounds forces. The Who establishing investors whereas T I N U changes revaluation in : 4 depreciation and changes E H T ofcial L A B O L G devaluation deliberate Y M O N O C E Therefore, deposits of of £ pound in $ British pounds, they will have to buy pounds with their US £ dollars. or The shares, same a applies British Manchester, UK . if they company The or demand want to for set to up buy a pounds UK bonds factory in therefore also e1 reects cross-border referred • Pounds to may because pounds price make as nancial be they now when prot (or bought expect increases. a investments it its a those rise price Buying from capital) by to into is and in who in buy value. low and its UK which are inows. selling change the a a currency They sell may it later currency value is buy when hoping referred its D to Quantity (traded • UK A are supplied importers British shirts will dollars exchange The of the New goods to the sell for and UK these Christmas pounds for US (Abercrombie and to buy shirts. with dollars therefore supply pounds. Abercrombie pounds of his to the An shirts) and pounds period) Figure necessary for UK will the US need Since UK to holiday. imports and 4.5.1 The market for UK pounds Fitch Englishman family pay reects Fitch of per groups. services (importing) pounds of following goods purchase York his supply US buying have for visiting of rm by £ as speculation. Pounds for to is Figure pound the of price pounds the 4.5.1 with of the traded pound is focuses respect to pound per on and period. expressed the the in US the On US exchange dollar, rate the horizontal the vertical dollars, so it is of the vertical is the axis, US axis quantity the price dollars of per $ services one UK pound or £ (vacations in New York). To • British investors in the USA supply pounds. include buying US government a bonds on the sold in the New York Stock error, denominator Exchange, of remember this that fraction is whatever also on currency the or horizontal shares common Such is investments avoid buying a axis of your diagram. In Figure 4.5.1 , demand US for pounds D1 is equal to the supply of pounds S1 at the 165 exchange factor lead rate e1 , affecting to say, $1 .31 demand appreciation or for per pound. pounds or depreciation Any change supply of the of in any pounds will pound. So, the quantity exchange upward is the demand for pounds negatively sloped? is that if the exchange rate decreases and buy a US becomes cheaper then fewer dollar s will be buy a pound. and British more imported competitive goods for will will also be Changes The cheaper in exchange for Americans demand rate will or to to invest supply appreciate or symmetrical UK at supply buy reason. residents will excess demand or in the for depreciate excess supply If the need US imported goods will in the UK . for Investing British in the residents. USA They fewer pound pounds in exchange pound is pound more pounds become more will will also become therefore the foreign exchange market at rate. UK . a currency depending S1 whether lower pounds and Price on the of become Americans lower it dollar. expensive supply cheaper the then The needed more to demanded the expensive pound for cheaper pounds increase. The to reason of will sloping becomes Why rate arises of of £ pound in $ the foreign exchange market . A currency will appreciate £ if there is excess demand. It will depreciate if there is e2 excess supply. Excess demand for currency decreased. the demand currency will result increased or either because because supply of the e1 b a the currency increased. Excess decreased More or specic supply will because examples result supply are of given if demand the for currency below. D2 Currency appreciation: Excess D1 If for whatever reason the demand for pounds shif ts to the right from D1 to D2 then excess pounds rate to equal increase appreciated to to from ab e2 e1 will in to put pressure Figure 4.5.2. on The the whatever reason per period) pound will have Figure 4.5.2 Impact of an increase in the demand for UK pounds e2. S2 for £ pounds exchange Price If for of demand (traded for £ increases Quantity and for demand the supply of pounds of of £ pound S1 decreases of £ $ and shif ts to the lef t from S1 to S2 then excess demand £ of pounds rate to equal increase to to ab e2 will in put pressure Figure 4.5.3. on The the exchange pound will have e2 appreciated from e1 to e2. b a e1 Currency If for and of whatever shif ts to pounds rate depreciation: to reason the equal to decrease depreciated lef t to from the from fh will e3 e1 in to Excess demand D1 to put for D3 pounds then pressure Figure 4.5.4. supply decreases excess on The the supply exchange pound will have D1 Quantity If for and whatever shif ts to reason the the right supply from S1 to of pounds S3 then (traded increases excess pounds rate to equal decrease depreciated to to from fh will e3 e1 £ in to put pressure Figure 4.5.5. on The the of pounds per period) supply Figure of for e3. 4.5.3 Impact of a decrease in the supply of UK pounds exchange pound will have S1 Price of of £ pound $ e3. £ Causes of a of changes in the exchange rate currency h f e1 Changes in Remember that: then foreigners goods and foreign Assume its need when need services in the that a exports. more Demand 166 ows it a to country buy will its need exports goods and currency; when to currency sell its it e3 services imports to buy currencies. Changes for trade of for foreign country is Growing the the demand a country ’s experiencing exports domestic currency of currency by growing implies that D3 exports demand foreigners to pay for foreigners will therefore these increase £ (traded will exports. for Quantity Figure 4.5.4 Impact of a decrease in the demand for D1 for £ of pounds per period) UK pounds a of of S1 £ Price pounds S3 $ of of of Rp rupiahs £ S2 $ of Rp Rp £ T I N U S1 Price : 4 e1 h e1 for £ D Quantity (traded Figure and for 4.5.5 the the Impact of demand currency appreciate. an curve will This increase is will in the shif t create supply to the pressure illustrated in for right . for Figure UK the of pounds per period) Quantity (traded Figure pounds Excess demand currency In 4.5.6 Figure 4.5.6 expressed to growth 4.5.2. Effect in the other hand, This is exports a decrease will illustrated in lead to in Figure a the foreign depreciation demand of the for in the for that domestic demand for imports increases. To foreign products, importers must sell the to buy domestic the necessary currency will foreign increase currency. and will will shif t to the right . Excess The therefore supply for the right to supply the tend create pressure in on Figure the currency to is a very the decrease to a so the the and it in currency depreciate. This domestic the will follows imports for supply that the are a of if demand supply of the appreciate. currency its for imports domestic This exports rising will reects currency currency currency will rise. is will above rise will faster tend currency illustrated the reects faster tend than to affecting analysis are means rising. that more imports. have to to supply buy the more rupiahs necessary in dollars the to foreign pay The supply curve for the rupiah for will the shif t S2 to as imports depreciate are to now greater. The rupiah will e2. interesting A result growing that is seemingly economy may currency. It will be shown witness that this is a not if the growing economy attracts more investments. to value the than and If ination goods in then, In its of imports appreciate. exports of value in relative and a country ination services than they in used less competitive will seem accelerates that to. abroad country Its products while shows that means are rising will imported that on prices the become goods less and of average and services more attractive domestically. imports then, ceteris contrast , if paribus, Foreign so will demand the demand for demand for increasing depreciate. trade rates it exports its ceteris in lead its for imported the supply exports its goods of will currency. its and decrease In and addition, services will therefore domestic increase, currency. of Rp ows Price The incomes This S1 Factors rupiah Indonesian is faster demand the Indonesians’ If 4.5.5. 4.5.3. paribus, the the decrease Figure If in e1 . currency Changes A at of necessary illustrated Indonesian initially period) rate supply depreciating will buy imports. counterintuitive. curve exchange domestic This the also market in therefore currency the buy to more then the on impor ts increase Assume of is expenditures will Indonesians demand price dollars economy rupiahs per a 4.5.4. domestic growing Rp currency. exchange Changes a accelerates Indonesia country ’s the US Consumption On of of for L A B O L G D1 E H T e2 e3 Y M O N O C E f any changes in a of rupiahs S2 country ’s of Rp $ trade ows will affect its exchange rate. Changes in growth Rp rates and changes in ination rates are two factors country and thus that will e1 affect and exports the and supply Changes in imports for its of a the demand currency. relative growth rates e2 A higher are now imply growth rising rising domestic faster implies than consumption consumption on rate also on incomes previously. include foreign in Rising expenditures expenditures but that country incomes and household spending goods the and not only services. D1 It D2 follows that in a growing economy, demand for for Quantity will rise. Now let ’s focus on the Indonesian rupiah assume that the growth of the Indonesian of per rupiahs period) economy Figure is Rp (Rp) (traded and for Rp imports 4.5.7 Effect of higher ination on the exchange rate accelerating. 167 Figure on 4.5.7 the the dollar decrease abroad, D2 shows rupiah. was its the at e1 . exports decreasing in Figure the same effect Initially the The as higher higher they the of rupiah ination exchange ination will become demand for the in in rate Indonesia Indonesia less from D1 words becomes stock will competitive rupiah other it against country. More and time imported goods and services will more attractive to Indonesians. Imports the interest tend foreign to increase. exchange More market , rupiahs will shif ting the be rupiahs in from S1 to S2. The decrease in the and the increase in the supply of depreciation demand the in an Changes Inows in and in to economy will tend cross-border also distinguish rupiahs will lead of to depreciate capital nancial a currency. tend affect the two and and types foreign outward of for rate investment direct assets, some refer s including reason in tend a that to for an then to the stock s, UK bonds rms UK nancial listed more and selling will bonds, or the bonds inows currency. deposits in the in London attractive need or London the to make Stock therefore and of the in to of For UK nancial example, pounds Stock nancial buy the deposits UK in Exchange. increase. inward Figure lower. these or of on The Exchange investor s. pounds UK The to pounds demand pound portfolio to stock s sell supply UK of investors switch listed to in pounds UK depreciate US the to pounds as a so will realize bonds, buy or York of the Foreign for able buy and refers to the to it is deposits as case now in to a If for the rm or lead This foreign The to US that more francs is is establishing some pound an this is the currency of currency. FDI currency will tend to Whether investors 168 the and the the Bank higher in UK rate currency of of pounds buy the UK will England return more pounds demand to the right , appreciate decreases as well will will be for as from will attractive in UK the foreign pounds shown e1 interest as on less decide or US the to bonds. the to rates, deposits attractive sell The supply pound for UK of analysis in say, will these in and Figure e2. then in UK to the rate pounds nancial assets supply curve tend pounds the UK of and UK switch pounds to to the right , as depreciate. in In will also decrease, further pound. raises an Argentina, Argentina to attract the expectations value depreciation, interesting are the question. highest right If now, fact all that nancial the investors? decision also The depends will of nancial of investors a in have an presence interest economy nancial For lead then of the Côte capital if demand d’Ivoire) tend to appreciate. depreciate a affecting deposits and depends, If concerning there then many will shy away from is risk of holding assets. summarize, to inward higher of the portfolio interest rates investment will, ows ceteris and an paribus lead appreciation currency whereas lower interest rates will have the of the to a effect . an in of prospects will investors country ’s stock be eager establish a exchange? to buy When more will shares rms be in a eager new presence in an economy or to buy to controlling a a in the shares of an existing foreign company? foreign is a lead single answer, which is signicantly related to the FDI, to growth prospects of an economy. If the growth an of an economy are very promising, then investors d’Ivoire West want to buy stock s and/or establish a new business African increase Conversely, growth 4.5.5. more will for the nature Côte will concerning economy (FDI) attracts example, peso. therefore Figure long-term new Argentine The appreciation investment a the dollars and outward themselves in the country so they can receive the so prots. Demand for the country ’s currency will tend FDI increase, pushing upward the exchange rate. currency. A Factors if more to will will value related future expected the the bonds. investments. shown controlling reason inows the inward (the increase will curve shif t and the doesn’t presence CFA buy a will attracts They assets and rates prospects of to they dollars. investments direct (FDI) acquiring resulting appreciation then bonds demand expected then and/or in There company. ceteris buy is US Exchange, portfolio portfolio currency. investment country to buy stock s interest foreign incentive UKpounds This that Stock increase. outward outward direct deposits will increasing some increase When and an become of Inward the deposits England Expectations of have let ’s appreciate necessary outward investments whereas depreciation attractive more, Those be or investments. later New will result portfolio currency will example, rates and deposits opposite Inward For pound These dollar To will currency UK Argentinian to more relatively shares a or become earn 4.5.2. nancial protable will capital the If interest and portfolio on shown to bonds deposits. more answer result make demand UK Bank return why will to investors. the The interest the relative of Note UK currency assets investors market , decreasing investor s increase government portfolio addition, relatively then (FDI). buying attracts resulting appreciate UK rates investments economy the the Figure4.5.5, of that below. currency. will say order bonds to will economy such appreciate. investors investments, an country ’s of interest is for that make of If given of investment of ows: investment portfolio investments nancial in increases If Portfolio foreign prospects ows capital exchange to 4.5.4. Inward a Whether foreign to shif ting investment in a e2. outows will interest economies Financial exchange We presence growth are in for to purposes new examples relative rates owner Demand Ination a the owner. curve currency its in other paribus. rupiahs specic on the shares supplied supply as of establish pay more will deposits in to depends they own seem rates therefore or rate to 4.5.7. If more interest attractive critically Changes At the exchange country to on more cross-border bonds ceteris are capital attractive paribus, on their to ows of return, in to economy plentiful want nancial rate growing and to take implies business advantage appreciate. growing opportunities of. The and that currency protable foreigners will rms will therefore also tend that the currency of a T I N U explained growing Recap absorption. not It depreciate should depreciate growth may if be clear growth also because is increase of now greater that expected inward to the import currency continue. investments, may Factors Continued affecting pressure on the exchange rate of a exerting Changes upward the currency in trade ows currency. • Changes in the foreign demand for a country ’s exports Speculation If Buying or selling a currency for speculative foreign demand increases then the exchange rate purposes appreciates. will also affect currency, tend of to it the demand exchange for appreciate. will increase it If will rate. speculators and the If speculators increase and sell currency the the will buy currency, tend the currency to If will small changes in the exchange rate of a foreign large prots for currency speculators decreases then the exchange rate depreciate. currency Changes when in the domestic demand for imports can If produce demand depreciates. supply • Even domestic demand increases then the exchange rate their depreciates. bets involve large sums of money. Of course, errors may lead If to large losses. What is the main driving force of domestic demand decreases then the exchange rate currency appreciates. speculation? rate It the expected path of the exchange Trade itself. Anticipating the is an currency. currency will will lead to increase Note tend fullling to for therefore these are it will will selling the lead speculators and the currency. of will what are a • to of it as changes to will • depreciate. known ows in increases the depreciation Supply tend buying therefore Anticipating currency examples to increase appreciate. speculators and that appreciation Demand in currency turn relative depreciate changes in import decreases self- are growth see relative exports to by: rates—faster absorption (but tends affected so the growth currency will tend below) ination and rates—faster increases imports ination so the depreciate. expectations. Changes in investment ows Remittances • When migrant families home will its have currency. demand to workers for to This the send they need money money exchange means recipient appreciation. USA send For the that home to home, money if currency their for increase and Mexican convert dollars to so the lead workers parents Mexican every pesos. these are inward If these are outward in Portfolio the will rise, and remittance the peso inows will are tend large to appreciate. relative to the Note economies that recipient In a bank bank managed a central currency rate exchange as a as needs not rate in to may similar prove of system, on managed If a central xed make decrease, it bank s exchange sure will that no • the and If do the enter intervene system. value the ows currency are interest tend interest to in turn depreciates. affected by rates. rates increase then the currency appreciate. domestic tend interest to rates decrease then the currency depreciate. Foreign direct If these are inward If these are outward a central rate relative domestic FDI is in the signicant . impact there then the rate. (in appreciates. When size systems) However, well bank does have intervention intervention. a appreciation may exchange exchange oating the aid country ’s Central xed foreign currency for will recipient the month, Demand • these ows then investment changes will pesos investment If the • to Portfolio their received remittances country ’s example, back back : 4 may E H T was L A B O L G it economy Y M O N O C E Earlier of foreign in • If If ows in then the then turn (FDI) ows currency the affected appreciates. currency by depreciates. growth prospects of country. faster growth paribus, the are investment will FDI is expected inows will in a country increase and then, the ceteris currency appreciate. exchange Speculation market and exchange increases If a the not buying reserves). or central does start is foreign in would value, exchange (using this maintained bank rise In it way, at like then market , or demand the to it dollar for desired make will sure start buying other the foreign currency • level. that the currency the currency or speculators will selling dollars If euros or • in If buy major National Swiss currency Bank francs (the (SFr) times of Swiss franc Swiss National in exchange. central during increased bank the For of example, Switzerland) coronavirus uncertainty the sell nancial investors the an undesired safe haven Bank further and sells it , demand its supply appreciation of for it rises, the selling because consider increases. and SFr. currency and a it will currency and it will to appreciate tend to to depreciate tend to then they appreciate. then they depreciate. some remittances in Inows will recipient tend this If to appreciate the currency of the country. the Intervention a expect currency a Swiss was outbreak expect currency speculators will Workers’ other the by the central bank the prevents • If it buys • If it sells the the currency currency it it will will appreciate. depreciate. 169 Consequences Impact on the of changes current in account the exchange rate from balance France shows The current account will be explained in some detail for the difference our services is, X – purposes and it is between import sufcient the value expenditures here of to understand exports on goods of goods and it X if M Following will (that M a then net X we we say say exports, that that there dened there as X is – a is a trade M, trade surplus are a decit . important thing to of understand If, aggregate for is that while cheaper if a currency imports abroad become and depreciates therefore then pricier more domestically illustrate the impact of a depreciation and on the to that imports, assume for the sake of the less The attractive. prices of £1 .00 £1 .00 = = €4.00 €2.00. and that Further the assume example pound that eurozone Impact of Example: Celtic a the swords priced depreciating UK exports UK Celtic at pound swords UK each on and and the of a Celtic sword £100.00 NX were attractive. –$1 10 price of a bottle of Price Bordeaux million. trade decit become (HL –$150 may It will more examine section million have should demand competitive impact of an the and appreciation foreign price abroad whereas imports rendering = in them thus decrease and demand will also be then clear that as this exports less attractive. Price is of the opposite. exports and An appreciation render it will decrease the them domestic price Bordeaux A trade net exports (NX) will be Example Currency The of exchange of exports and the domestic price of imports wine. rate New exchange rate £1 .00 = €2.00 eurozone: €400.00 New price UK the UK: £10.00 New in the export and price in is eurozone: now more the €200.00 cheaper in so more the impact of a depreciation price exports of exports • become on export and import Exports will tend to rise. UK: £20.00 EU import less is now pricier in attractive. prices A trade (when competitive. will • Imports will tend decit (X–M) Aggregate is eventually < 0) narrow The domestic imports rises become less Currency The of so price exports smaller trade decit negative is a gure). decrease. of exports • become competitive. domestic Exports will tend to decrease. A trade (when will • Imports will tend surplus (X–M) imports become falls so more the price of increase. imports attractive. Marshall-Lerner condition (HL) is examined in is eventually Aggregate > 0) narrow tend (as to the demand will decrease trade surplus is to (decrease).* of will attractive. The role the demand increase imports less *The (as to appreciates foreign rises price so tend to (decrease).* 170 the competitive. depreciates foreign falls • smaller, decrease. Recap • price surplus €4.00 the in attractive. €40.00 4.5.1 • less imports and • the 4.6, eventually increase, imports more since will The T able to NX eurozone wine a condition—see equal The Eurozone that exports to foreign imports £1 .00 price as so exports Original UK export that depreciated the £100 expect size less depreciation more aggregate the we in imports aggregate increase will that 4.5.1 exports of initially on exports competitive and T able pound competitive will To bottle. the and became become and example means remember decrease Marshall-Lerner decreased most of 177). following the per that demand. Perhaps €40 whereas Remember component at depreciation depreciation, eventually page > wine a prices. competitive M). > of as and services import necessary If Bordeaux impact later and but the section 4.6. smaller positive gure). a the UK is that a currency depreciates. Exports become 4.5.8 and more competitive while imports become and less attractive. Net exports will abroad tend attractive and therefore aggregate demand will tend However, if aggregate demand increases AD curve shif ts to the right then real GDP so the have economy tried to will grow. maintain This their will explains exchange tend why AD1 to their exports remain cheap, and therefore cyclical rate foreign markets. This is the idea behind note economy what is known the net and exports demand) AD curve is will expected shif t to to the Real GDP will increase from right Y1 will decrease. There is to Y2 no ination because below the full economy at employment Y1 was output been originally operating at Y2, Yf. the as gap would that this growth may prove inationary is operating close to its potential output could have increase been AD much to AD3. smaller In this so the case, real if increases to Y3 and cyclical unemployment decreases, (see the possibility of demand-pull ination is evident as the 4.5.8). contrast , an therefore appreciation slow down will decrease growth as net aggregate exports will price to Average level Impact on level (APL) will start rising. demand tend decrease. As The signicantly economy average and of competitive, but In value several GDP Figure more pricier growth”. should the aggregate AD2. depreciation We the unemployment deationary “export-led become low—so Had in imports to operating that of increase. demand-pull countries depreciation and and and increase a to from the of cheaper to eventually increase. and domestically, (acomponent increase impact become pricier less domestically expected exports cheaper competitive abroad the Since : 4 Assume Figure shown. T I N U In growth E H T economic price AS (APL) unemployment depreciation leads to an increase in aggregate demand AD3 and so an increase unemployment in decreasing of the will market contrast , aggregate increase an are mitigating not and A rising is expected depreciation brought more so down up will, strictly decrease the inationary will because to that date, not the nor succeed skills is the speaking, economic However, increase in pressures, if decrease activity the aggregate then and appreciation Yf may persist and unemployment may not (Yr) decrease or sometimes economy the exchange used and it to rate diminish maintain on real always economy of may GDP runs cost-push high is, as inationary price explained pressures later, in an Impact If, stability. as the real succeed and risk ination. is the in increase of helping output . close to Cost-push an economy employment creating Demand-pull operating economy as result a rely energy) both full levels, may depreciation on growth, unemployment depreciation rise or of accelerates, then may if if involved those on imported raw intermediate products will exchange the (potential) result all on that leads to higher production costs domestic increase living maintaining a unemployment standards, on the low drops prices in that directly driving will the ensuing mind the or indirectly the government is biggest country ’s benet growth the average, beneciaries will with growth. population adopts the export Whether at policies will large that a be sector, low depends will ensure inclusive. rms appreciation of the currency may slow down growth materials (such across be rate whether the as may prove very helpful as inationary pressures will parts) Low income households will immediately benet for as so a standards growth Keep which and result employment ination to but demand-pull ination its signicantly and depreciation imports of rate, incomes decrease. as a living increase. but (such a on exchange An in of ination depreciation level Impact ination and Impact increase 4.5.8 at increase. Maintaining A output non-inationary and least Real demand, Figure growth AD2 AD1 cyclical exible. unemployment . slowing it unemployment appreciation demand in output , decrease. becoming cyclical succeeds real structural unemployed labour In in L A B O L G on Y M O N O C E Impact a range the resulting lower import prices will decrease their of cost of living. Remember that low income households components. spend In contrast , the of an increase) imported appreciation in aggregate inputs may by decreasing demand dampen and by (or slowing lowering inationary down the cost a purchasing that escape net a depreciation deation exports and appreciation as net as more therefore may exports may push and so help an competitive aggregate an economy aggregate economy exports demand, into a demand proportion and power if will of their these income goods are on food imported and then their rise. pressures. Beyond Note bigger pharmaceuticals avoid may or increase whereas deationary may an spiral decrease. these depreciation groups. the to an a tourism spend appreciation effects on appreciation example, domestic cheaper An For general or as vacations benet standards must exchange industry their will lower living we look at of a particular rate will benet foreigner s will nd in the domestic it country. residents travelling 171 abroad. but It hurt will more domestic generally benet import-competing domestic rms and importer s their households making stakeholder s. This is A note on monetary route not may are now in a position which monetary to include an additional Easy policy can affect monetary policy expenditures (C) may and increase not investment but will also aggregate net exports demand. of (NX), Lower saving will another interest A exchange xed which exchange the desired dollar level or and the through euro), system rate (usually the decrease is cost is set against and appropriate by the of borrowing at is dened by a the major then as a in system government currency, maintained intervention central has been AED3.67 the at say, that foreign in at In some only has been of 7.46 bank xed per . The for a US$1 . xed kroner the US level forces there uctuate UAE dirham long The against per within policy dampen to decrease consumption inationary and net exports. The higher investment interest the currency, and imports making cheaper exports less domestically. net also exports decrease tend if to decrease domestic rms but rely production on the now time 4.5.9 against Danish the euro the currency, at a €1 . “Central ” means a disclosed ± 2.25% it are at no D1 is assumed say, the and S1 reason for that dollar the the currency at e*. If exchange central A rate bank of country demand to will and be A is supply at e* so intervene. now perhaps that as a supply result for of the currency accelerating increases domestic to ination US imports. Supply of currency A will shif t to S2. At the target exchange rate e* there will now be excess supply “central ” that the A equal band to HF units of A per period. This excess supply kroner pressure on currency A to devalue towards e’. around exchange rate will be maintained at the desired target rate. How is the exchange rate maintained at the set e* only can and should a central bank do to maintain at the desired level if, for example, there are devalue? If there is pressure for the currency then there is excess supply of it in the to market . Somehow this excess supply demand can the must The for the central bank currency. It must can therefore do this increase either by itself or by using its inducing foreign foreign exchange investor s reserves to A start (such buying can the central bank induce investor s? It of rates, as making well as deposits domestic denominated bonds more in Figure can in D2 to eliminate the do this? exchange One obvious market and option start is buying for HF period If using the its foreign central bank exchange starts reserves buying HF (for units to it is increasing the demand for currency A D2. the the exchange central bank rate can (meaning also to increase maintain interest its parity rates. This increase its be the next line of defence as the foreign exchange own attractive. This of any central bank are limited; the central bank is go on selling dollars to buy its currency if it has no 4.5.9. S1 of dollars lef t to sell. A The of per dollars). defend e*) more Price to as cannot shown bank foreign period D1 reserves currency central the A per would interest currency it . at How its the To dollar s) for the buying from currency to be of demand managed foreign example, eliminated. bank supply. enter units exchange central to it devalue the pressures How to somehow the excess it if level? increase What for higher interest rates in country A will attract inows A S2 of A of $ 1st nancial capital denominated (increase excess domestic bonds and deposits in currency A will become more attractive. in Foreigners imports) e* because shif t: A supply market in will buy order to currency buy A country in the A ’s foreign bonds or exchange make deposits (HF) denominated e' 2nd (response by A ’s D2 for for A 4.5.9 Fixed exchange rates: how are they A, shif ting interest as rates This it to the though growth will increase. can also increase right from D1 to the D2. The government will impose slow a down real and cost on country unemployment of may also resort to ofcial borrowing of A exchange in an attempt to maintain the currency period) at Figure for economy foreign per A. A Quantity (traded currency the Higher D1 in shif t demand e*. However, borrowing to defend the currency cannot maintained? continue 172 it for level rate as exchange (AED), The that also abroad against , is exerts can recession inputs. Figure for rate monetary only but will may pegged the kroner, not appreciate increasing dollar deep condence. for S2, example, a rate, attractive. the Assume market in domestic less rates rate exchange of exchange component rates cheaper Fixed effective levels the imports only costs attractiveness and expenditures Not of more low tighter will competitive (I) decrease aggregate rates consumption by also route expenditures demand. but competitive policy pressures through rms more prove affected Conversely, We and exports for long as repayment of the loans imposes try limit restricting A in can future to costs on pressure imports the foreign also restrict into an on the exchange access to economy. the Or, currency country market so the to that foreign government devalue supply decreases. exchange Recap by of currency Fixed Governments the supply of its currency in the in the foreign Of course, exchange controls may lead or rate system—currency revalue country, a xed exchange rate system, if there are pressures for exchange the market . exchange devalue In reducing T I N U may to currency to : 4 signicant devalue: “black • the central bank may start buying it using its foreign markets”. If, in contrast , there are forces pushing up the currency reserves (but these are limited) then or central foreign that is bank exchange causing target parity. interest bonds can and options pressure to for central increase in the currency, to the the the the currency may to also supply dollars excess rise lower attractiveness country ’s money inationary buying eliminate bank decrease deposits accelerating its market The rates sell and so the • demand above the the they that may bank capital economic may increase inows (but interest high rates interest to rates attract choke off activity) or domestic Note central foreign domestic of currency. in L A B O L G the both lead • the to country exchange pressures. may (but resort to borrowing ofcial borrowing imposes future of foreign repayment costs) or the government foreign If there • the are in bank restrict (but pressures central euros may exchange for may imports “black the currency start and markets” selling to it access may to emerge). revalue: buying dollars or create an Y M O N O C E • exchange or • the central outow (but Managed exchange Between oating the common most rates. Within authorities at the rate bank xed to time but whenever the is some periodic currency rate system, rate exchange maintain there rate exchange decrease of bank these systems system, rate to move by in a it in further the central and a speed systems, but considered the currency undisclosed to undesirable. is the central direction that the decrease intervene selling its exchange wishes to in short-term the allowed public currency. rate it slow If will it to a In some oat managed within central exchange wishes start down an the former to buying bank market slow its by a bank down it will will typically a fall or in their reserves a the currency demand A in for Figure the central bank currency, 4.5.9, if selling Why the it what would have so that shif ting the it closer exchange fall much below e*. In the latter case, a central have to appreciate shif t as the which a means supply. For currency return This, commercial avoid to this and their it ination). would though, banks decrease in start start buying would have. If the reserves, buying previous disequilibrium currency are supply of the currency so at a it could bonds so level. exchange rates undervalued try to below policymakers some maintain undervalued. level of undervalued to rate the This the free decide the exchange means on that market rate they try to equilibrium something like this level. and consequences? more currency competitive automatically exports. This is implies the cheaper biggest and advantage D2 such a policy. The increased export penetration and does higher export revenues increase aggregate demand bank that it through the export multiplier, accelerate growth. does currencies it bank will will try to perform sterilized neutralize any intervention, changes in spectacular have countries, example, if a central bank would like export–led signicantly including growth China, have that contributed several to developing achieved. the How money of much. central that risk to the Sometimes its market . operations countries Undervalued not the it . and, would it would resulting not of that to market currency maintain its whereas start of of for increase exchange reserves Keeping thus increase to or targeted buying currency appreciation case, rates oat An Illustrating interest band. volatility foreign options wishes open Sometimes To lower capital weakening foreign bank perform exchange the avoid decrease the The intervention have exchange movements exibility. starts we managed Maintaining at may foreign rates exchange exchange managed try same oats a and both E H T exchange could a country keep its currency undervalued against , to for example, the US dollar? Its central bank would have to be 173 purchasing exchange way be rates US dollars market . by The articially selling supply higher. its of currency its in currency Alternatively, it the would must foreign industries. in the keep this interest goods of low. The country in the the the are the currency partners. addition, less First , country ’s industries exports of retaliation and selling currency the creates the trade trading its frictions partner risk price is low be will with trading suffer. more by by How for import- rates there is increased risk of cries for continuously maintaining exchange way the currency be countries try their currency maintain overvalued. This rates it at would a level above policymakers the the In exchange means free decide on a tax the are some of the on developing that they try currency case (see market equilibrium something like this countries section have as 4.10). trying of imports. They industries” by in the past tried to to part The shif t of an basic out substituting erected and at overvalued. trade the This of rates to lower of An idea is that (that would same price is, the domestic time to Fixed When keep versus comparing in mind of because cheaper. imported of considered the their their at a oating the capital and goods and with of costs of boost the the xed the oating free They economy lower exports, are interest a to use can as raw exchange of one currency of the the will currency will policy also lead trade goods for export price in was the currency expensive commodities determined dollars, each acted abroad. (for in farmers world earned dollar earned from less their rate would hurt the export country. of aggregate decrease to a that rate policy to be part that are of a policy part to an be the net “cooling off ” the of economy. is also lower help. (the First , typical the cost of consumer ’s includes industries imports). to cut It their forces costs domestic increasing and of keeping their domestic own rms prices using low. Lastly, imported With ination contained, the country inputs can rates low, which encourages long-term keep investment growth. that HL the section Marshall-Lerner 4.6, page become become They adopt 184) condition then cheaper pricier follows in net the is satised trade abroad and domestically can use rate pressures higher exports there is less contractionary page 1 14) decrease Exchange and because costly 3.5, therefore to that important section achieve increase demand. decrease, systems systems can policy inationary in may Exports decit more and (HL , will see narrow competitive, less attractive. as while This exchange depreciation follows decrease overvalued pressures. imports also costs low. that imports This but slow also through means speculation: need that there for the demand-side will adjustments continuous. is down risk policies growth increase time are currency of government (see and unemployment . usually crises are destabilizing smooth avoided. speculation as for example, the fundamentals of an economy (inationary interest and so and so on) point to a weakening currency. Speculators in then start A (when trade M > decit X) may implies be massively selling the currency, leading supplied than demanded in the excess supply will depreciate more foreign the sharper decrease in its to an value. automatically that of the is less exchange currency. need for the central bank to carry large currency exchange reserves as there is no need to intervene market . constantly 174 of more materials) foreign The the quoted population efciency There is this demand. decit narrowed. became exchange will cheaper unnecessarily A in interest new may aggregate and currency competing exports monetary lead to appreciation also keep goal rate system (exible) loose the of pressures rates overvaluation primary which developing import if, the would must be exchange other. monetary use the rates component monetary the exports currency demand Concerning tight for basket to goals. it to foreign for rates domestic currency Alternatively, have the “infant is Policymakers as inationary addition, imports of its in other their exchange advantages disadvantages Advantages for dollars higher However, machines production oating that US against , would into production protect maintained absurd become price decrease selling overvalued bank these and and that that overvalued the combat interest inputs central import-substitution agriculture barriers sounds imports the currency Its demand traditional domestic of remain was The markets production exchange growth to keep their rate the policy level. living manufacturing a consequences? overvalued were was of and In countries its by higher. was coffee) aggregate strategy permitting This out substitute to to their keep dollar? currency exports Maintaining Many keep rate sector what to high. exports. Why US market . downside units maintain country the its commodity of buyers, industries. used considered ination. overvalued to a articially example, Sometimes domestic infant be be low as Keeping could example, The interest would could industrialization. purchasing In expensive increase that or of that keeping that will will caused Another keep from means partner distress protection. success success trading The to export export of competitive. the the undervalued One competing and risks? barriers goods eyes domestic accelerate What trade any Assuming to maintain the exchange rate at a xed parity. a they regain competitive any oating system domestic it or the world exchange economic rate or goes political unpredictably, exchange up and down Disadvantages there is a lot of uncertainty in market as to its future path. Exporters as well as investors, face signicant are domestic against exchange only which they can only partially protect a result, services are both and the negatively fewer risks, the volume volume affected. resources will drop of of international Smaller available out of cross-border the to rms protect trade portfolio and goods investors, Even against with the policy to lack the either market. “policy discipline” that a system imposes. ination. growth it For A country could means example, may therefore be that more the expansionary xed be easily resulting adopted growth policies by will a be more to exchange rates deprived of monetary activity. policy Monetary as a tool policy to may that the exchange rate remains be xed. are also domestic deprived policy of exchange rate policy to objectives. by policymaker s constrained somehow. faster of the expansionary budget Financing growth through of because a large money “printing” decits budget supply money) or (if scal need may the higher to be lead decit interest to is of crowding out (HL). Neither of these rates possibilities prone acceptable under a xed exchange rate system. accelerate government even if Devaluation implies inationary. Recap to rates—advantages a avoid must exchange xed exchange To Floating of economic ensure use is nanced such is to to and investments smaller themselves in with because rate depreciation rate nanced Governments a markets. themselves. deal As for world and Policymakers risks hope in the used importers, cannot advantage development affect foreign They rates Policymakers affecting have. be or revaluation sudden the change need corrected lower the to in resort by can prove the to income value of the devaluation adopting national disruptive a trade contractionary and so as each currency. decit scal decrease policy import and absorption. The disadvantages are that this means slower disadvantages growth, Advantages • achieve • Trade can freely domestic use monetary policy to The goals. imbalances corrected are through Exchange rate central reserves in principle exchange rate market automatically adjustments This only. low • possibly even a recession, as well as higher cyclical unemployment . Policymakers adjustments are usually T I N U in any advantage : 4 with (exible) smooth to bank be and no to a high maintain intervene maintain involves or must able the large in the exchange opportunity foreign exchange foreign exchange rate cost at as the target reserves earn level. either interest . and continuous. E H T Since oating L A B O L G exchange of Y M O N O C E Disadvantages Recap • There is less exchange need for the central bank to keep foreign reserves. Fixed • At times, • Increased and The there is of rms and expansionary destabilizing decreases investment government these risk uncertainty cross-border smaller • exchange rates—advantages and disadvantages Disadvantages investors may policies accelerate be to volume and drop more for the ows Advantages speculation. it of trade short-term to • uncertainty Fiscal of even if ination. • trade discipline exchange adopt gains Less volume out . prone • forces rate price Firms forced are is exchange rate cross-border imposed system maintain competitive and and may on be risk increases investment governments; a policy the ows. a choice xed to stability. to be efcient advantage they to maintain any have. Disadvantages Advantages of xed exchange rates • Less uncertainty and exchange rate risk means that Policymakers domestic engaged export in exchange rate investment . exports Since and or risk Fixed is that that bill. could exchange as not well can lower rates as may cannot prove easier Portfolio predict investors their return increase of compatible governments policy trade import imports ination system, scal international revenues capital with easily a the pursue inationary. from avoid any volume • The government • The use of because supply exchange rate • expansionary impose scal discipline on Fixed governments. of or Exchange rate has therefore of ten been a Fixing determined to curb high Trade In to achieve interest rate a scal decit rates, of an policy may neither adjustments exchange are is affect of rate policy. constrained the which sudden, is so money acceptable. they are disruptive. policy choice ination and use are of not automatically painful corrected, contractionary scal policy. for The central bank may maintain large foreign maintain reserves, which is costly. stability. addition, costs deprived expansionary decits exchange price policy the • governments monetary exchange requiring exchange is nancing potentially • rates use goals. their also ows. xed cannot rms and rms prices are forced down to to be efcient maintain and whatever to keep their competitive 175 Calculations 1 . To convert HL the cost of good expressed in dollars ($) into $ asked pounds (£), just remember for the dollar price of the euro ( ) divide the € that $ dollar price of the pound by the euro price of the £ price in £ = price in $ £ × € $ pound : £ Notice that the dollars ($) on the right-hand side cancel $ out so that the result convert the cost of the multiplication is pounds (£). $ £ = 2. To into dollars ($) just of good expressed remember in pounds $ £ × £ € (£) = as the pounds (£) cancel out € € £ that € If $ price in $ = price in £ you are asked for the euro price the pounds (£) on the right-hand side 3. so that the Calculating a result of the multiplication “cross-exchange-rate” is is the that you are given the price both in euros ( £ dollars the pound ($). the 176 and in dollars ( £ ) then: if of the pound by the dollar price : € easy. of price £ pound you are £ £ € = (£) $ ) ) £ $ € ( $ £ Assume euro cancel of out dollar $ divide that the € £ Notice of × × £ € = $ as $ the pounds (£) cancel out over of payments transactions a period of of a time, is dened country usually as with a a the record rest of of the the It value is a T I N U credit payments world currency, year. so payments Transactions as credit that items Transactions to as debit lead and that items to an enter lead and inow the to an enter of currency account outow the with of a are plus currency account with a two types of transaction are shown in the it for a is with Mexico plus a a sign. debit and For item minus enters the and its USA it enters balance is an the of outow US of balance of sign. known • sign. are If minus Mexico’s a referred Turkish currency sign. enter s The item with largest steel steel company manufacturing from Mexico. Mexico’s It is balance a of acquires rm, debit this is item payments for an for with $1 .2 billion outow Mexico a of and minus sign. following For Turkey it is an inow of currency so it is a credit item examples. and • If Raquel, who lives in Mexico City, buys a $250 this is an outow of currency from Mexico. it is a debit item and enters its balance If Arturo, with a minus sign. For Italy it is an inow so payments • If Layla, it is with an a a credit plus American item and enters Delta a her during stay, this her Components college The balance of student , the the account . break an current and inow the payments components, nancial is of Italy ’s balance current debit current The goods (physical of visits is of Mazatlan spends divided $1200 currency balance account , includes the for laptops, airplanes, in includes tangible imports; with it into the into of City, in buys the $500,000 New York worth Stock outow Mexico of and currency enters from Mexico. Mexico’s It balance is of is a minus an sign. inow, so For it is the a USA ’s credit balance item and of enters of payments with a plus its sign. on The major account and of difference services it is is positive If it between referred there is the to is as a negative value the surplus there of exports balance in is a the of and trade balance decit in imports in of the services. trade in balance in of value farm a wine products, or medical includes imports and the balance goods the of all the country oil, Net goods exports machines, equipment . exports services. components. or of two of income and nal products. in are goods from combined and to arrive at the services. abroad (the primar y income cars, account records differences between income received More raw abroad (inows) and income payable abroad materials, (outows). products accounts trade account) from it listed payments three capital following merchandise) example, intermediate sign. Mexico. This generally, plus in If trade account or a account account balance Mexico shares an for payments Of ten The this item payments trade The with of services. The payments sign. spring money of Airlines balance Mexico resident of of a currency, balance of Exchange, payments Turkey ’s For of Mexico enter s Italian • jacket , : 4 balance all payments E H T of of L A B O L G The Balance Y M O N O C E 4.6 Exports are Primary income includes mostly two types of credits income. and are recorded with a plus sign as they lead to an inow • of currency. Imports are debits and are recorded with a It includes and sign as they between is referred there is lead the a negative to to value as the surplus there is outow exports balance in a an of the of of of trade balance decit in currency. goods the of The and in trade balance in If it trade of is goods. of balance of trade in it It includes period is services account exports tourism, others. plus includes and the the a When plus sign) Whitney export for value for of all the services and of an insurance, architectural, are and debits visit India Germany. example, credits Germans Museum Italy are imports sign) for for nancial, exports whereas sign. so minus imports; education, Again, sign minus or and dividends from portfolio compensation who time work then (wages a of paid and country return residents compensation in home the by (so South only they country). a salaries) but An for are of a short not example Korean would university to be a services an an American import and India and When are for it are is the in (a services with export debit architect Boston USA . it delivering a series of lectures in Seoul. that “net GDP from GNI Net current income from abroad” is what distinguishes shipping, recorded an import Italian Art legal recorded academic a Note country of considered goods. British The interest investments. employees positive If in • goods the The direct difference imports goods. prots, minus a This account credit that it and so a designed was macroeconomics. and a with (a in an (unilateral) records receives. international international as receipts and including gif ts that includes pension to aid It food ows, aid to and a country migrant cooperation payments transfers donations, between EU makes workers’ and transfers related governments institutions), emergency aid gif ts remittances, (such foreign af ter natural 177 disasters the and inows so on. If it (outows) is of positive such (negative) moneys it exceed means the that outows in the Egyptian income (inows). money as Current account a under current the (debit) will payment of account current be as a account . recorded investment in receipt The the income of equal Turkish under investment outow current its of account current balance account . The sum of net exports of goods and services, net income Changes and net dened say we current as that say The the there that transfers current is a there capital Typically, the importance. is a a account current period balance. account current of time If this surplus. account (a If is it year) positive, is net capital we negative, A decit . central bank acceptable by use to the foreign account is small and usually of minor transfers which assets between countries, such as net is counted (goods (credit) purchases as a debit for the reserve foreign and nancial assets) of migrants such or and leave sales rights rights, to mineral trademark s, The (debit) a of non-nancial, natural rights franchises, nancial nancial investment reserve Direct as well of as the investment resources and leases so on), and one direct or includes changes central (of ten FDI) country country (the is investment Building market currency holdings yen, dollars, are the short-term patents, internet can of and investment , in ofcial the bank to of the to as long-term source) host). the in The intent includes new portfolio • gold • a few international in so) in operations reserve from the of in foreign is signicant a decrease reserves ofcial economy. by The The new lasting the central facilities dollars, dollars and pounds, Swiss currencies the IMF francs, as recognizes) (such as into a US Treasury reserve Bills) currency enters until reserves in with we a ofcial plus the that considered enters whereas account realize are reserves sign with by a an minus accounting assets the increase sign. This convention One way to understand residing to gain over typically lasting and Portfolio and of bank of holding a a country foreign Interdependence distribution changes outside resident of Egypt is and an to investment) establish have existing is also full a bonds, following the over an CA one. shares and acquiring for the is on capital between necessarily the the holds being, or to is that dividends a debit next of outow account and inow of item year refer decisions at least investment to the and money the accounts = –FA CA + FA – KA + KA = 0 balance on the current account and account , KA is the FA is the balance The capital account (KA) is very on small insignicant so we will be ignoring it in for the so The of the 10% to of qualify acquisition corporate For Turkish of and such and when interest the = –FA (1) exert This is an identity necessarily current holds account goods which true. means It decit and exporting simply so services (that is, that it from selling) that is the to it states always that if importing rest the of rest country (that the of and a is, world the has than world, a buying) it then companies, money is when or an equal recorded inow of assets leads to an is the recorded resident payments (credit) into from with of the Egypt a in be surplus in its nancial it account . Why? The reason There must is that it must nance this decit somehow. as be an inow (plus sign) of dollars from the a nancial account decit the in of equal magnitude. For example, current account is 489 billion dollars if the (– 489), the country must have somehow found these 489 in dollars to pay for the excess of goods and services it of over what it exports. It must be that sign. – 489 receives investments will sized the money minus equally buys outow Egypt an and bonds example, have imports funds—it from account . true: CA nancial account . therefore more deposits. stock s Buying entity savings the billion Turkish separate company investment . control management requires government loans then nancial a is then Egyptian as exchange new control foreign direct complete investments buys visualize investment stock s, in to facilities, interest . other other corporate is rm. over company ’s a this in characteristic must 178 US British interest . (“greeneld” objective investment) control foreign Por tfolio that (in following. country taking either IMF having Note in exchange rms is the deposits bonds CA objective Turkish the direct investment productive (factories, scratch host the or (“browneld” as affect assets. strange the time well to renminbi, transformed payments the and Investing of order and Canadian eight easily that of ofcial seems the sale in Chinese government be other here balance country. distinctive of the facilities investment . presence as for intervene names. balance the to copyrights, domain where direct rm. or include: or, stores • needs generally available rights, The • are non-produced (shing direct referred refers (the investment Direct assets Japanese economy another payments that readily investment investment from are account account assets Direct of assets they country Note The balance so as that land reserve lender; • assets, international debt these • hold countries, exchange Australian enter must all nance euros, they of rate. • the holdings includes: forgiveness, and ofcial reserves These • in is account capital It over then recorded If you that are its = having income –(+)489 trouble from so that with selling this, its – 489 think labour + of 489 a = 0 family. services in Assume 2020 was have (consider spent nanced assets the more the (such and/or these a then of goods it It we are could have may and/or If family). services How must had. bank s. accounts It the and “imports”). bicycle) from its its earned? decit used borrowed family it “exports” bought these than $3,000 as the family the family have sold these central bank this decit . The central bank $640 the savings into this nancial account includes buying and selling of It bonds, also the deposits includes central holdings changes bank . of and Let ’s reserves loans in well ofcial now of as the direct holdings separate central as the bank of to clarify an important point . reserves changes from We the can billion is the that the economy. and central by reserves reserves recorded are bank bank Note also reserves it to of now with a nance the equal plus and accounting central exchange its sign “entered” convention are considered that will if a be the assets country forced to has resort ofcial borrowing to pay for its nancing needs. investments. in Returning of ofcial now to the identity above (2) it should make sense: nancial CA account by the $50 “ lef t ” from exchange stock s to and by decrease held foreign billion foreign Remember outside insufcient The This amount reserves residing balanced. $50 decreased economy. ofcial used ofcial billion. because some “inows” The to somehow decreased add During worth now + KA + FA = Ofcial reserve transactions = 0 rewrite or relationship (1) above as: – 470 CA + FA + ofcial reserve transactions = we now also include the capital account (KA) can be written CA + + KA + FA + KA + FA = 0 as now a included in ofcial the reserve transactions = 0 of a the nancial current transactions by “autonomous” taken cars or for or account , the business or excluding central bank transactions exporting stock s account the rms. and Changes the are capital they Examples investors in ofcial referred because purposes. grain If the to as sum referred of to as autonomous balance For be the an sign. An of are FA as rms or importing selling (excluding Further equal will following is help Further in assume ofcial the of = KA (excluding is transactions negative If the referred = change its in Assume payments –5 to balance transaction – 470 ofcial that is decit . it payments clarify. balance CA FA positive accommodating transaction assume = +228 billion with ofcial that a values billion dollars The all it is sum has decit billion sum to as of a there the must opposite nancing. country for some recorded of $71 1 sign account which a combined totaling more could decit owed foreigners bank . assets with residing plentiful other Again, be? was a into = bank to inows outows. of Let: dollars = bank –205 again billion was dollars . holding reserves. transactions the They This ofcial is now foreign held outside foreign increase increase “ lef t ” Remember by the is the that the +21 billion exchange by $21 billion recorded economy by with and accounting central economy. exchange referring CA + KA to + the FA = identity Ofcial +228 +425 held billion 690 account billion. out This This of the dollars . billion and means country combined nanced surplus the bought of from the $425 country $425 companies stock s or bank Note reserves may minus “entered” convention are that and a considered a country ofcially lend above (2): reserve transactions = 0 dollars or, + the 228 – 2 – 226 = – 0 2 + as (–205 ofcial – 21) = 0 reserves are included in FA . would as owed more domestic in bonds, residents there are still recorded and in is never reserves of payments single the autonomous statistical transaction authorities other nancial institutions) but (customs, unfortunately is costly the case. It is never the case because data this collection For and far from perfect . Many transactions, especially billion the nancial account (which is the hardest one to compile example, stock s accuracy), bought are simply not recorded and some even and to be estimated. So, typically the sum of all accounts foreign $50 billion missing. come into This is play, changes in ofcial reserves do not add up, reserves that the central the country decit and were force it used to to as they zero. where bank to should, the sum is not zero but, say, –5 billion dollars, then statisticians namely nance balance the aptly named errors and omissions entry at the holds. bottom of the balance of payments equal to +5 billion the dollars of by account , very ofcial every companies. transactions ofcial if properly capital include changes omissions good owed $425 out . be that and nancial and capital than current billion than billion than foreign accommodating balance the the or If The FA. countries. logically the the dollars nancing) amount reserves including the this ofcial have However, billion central country? central with bonds, where exceed billion ofcial billion. the year: dollars current $475 owed that recorded domestic in the in more –2 autonomous the because bank s How its happens become was in. of What reserves It $475 in reserves. country account included are dollars nancing) central = ofcial that 690billion Errors This are transactions. payments is of reserves bonds surplus. balance 0 account transactions reserve transactions of transactions overall This balance payments example the a = reserve to are buying ofcial “accommodating” autonomous 50) (2) dollars. referred + example country KA and (425 ofcial different exchange CA Items + as foreign CA 5 the Consider relationship – 0 or, If T I N U $28,000 the : 4 year E H T (consider same L A B O L G the Y M O N O C E $25,000 and therefore articially force the balance of payments overall. 179 to equal ofcial errors be zero. and minus the sum was not omissions 5 payments same If reserves billion to CURRENT zero. but all that to The the accounts but plus 5 including billion statisticians would articially force balancing item opposite sign of changes dollars, the add If the errors it and may residents of has the large, would balance therefore the in then the reporting known to or the as sending in drugs their their transaction capital entry illicit underreporting investments error. omissions point to economy arms income wealth the ight—see an or trade from their abroad authorities section 4.9, is or relatively to off shore without (part page of what is 193). ACCOUNT (1) Net exports (2) Net (3) Net (4) Net current (5) Balance CAPITAL entry dollars equal magnitude of zero of goods exports of services income from investments transfers on current account: (1) + (2) + (3) + (4) ACCOUNT (6) Net capital (7) Net purchases (8) Balance FINANCIAL transfers on of non-produced, capital account: non-nancial (6) + assets (7) ACCOUNT (9) Net portfolio (10) Net FDI (1 1) Changes (12) Balance (13) (Errors in investments ofcial on holdings nancial and of account: international (9) + (10) + reserves (1 1) omissions) Notes Items of (5), (5), (8), (8), changes (9) in accounting (9) and and the (10) (10) ofcial identity is include negative holdings below of must autonomous then we foreign say transactions. there exchange is a by the or, the the T able above sum opposite does sign, to not force equal the (1 1) of central is the accommodating payments bank, the decit . balance By of transaction. adding item payments If (1 1), will the sum namely balance the because the hold: CA If Item balance zero, then balance of we must payments + (5) + add to KA + (8) item FA + = (12) (13), 0 = 0 errors and omissions (the statistical discrepancy) with balance. 4.6.1 HL Relationship between the current reects account AUD and the exchange have established that the equilibrium exchange rate by the interaction of the demand and value of supply dollars Australia’s exports products. The as Americans supply of AUD need reects imports to of import Australia US goods as and Australians services need and to to buy buy USD of they a of Australia’s is US determined value buy rate the We the to must rst sell and offer AUD in the foreign exchange currency. market . What will happen to the exchange rate if, ceteris paribus, a Initially country ’s exports decrease and/or its imports increase and AUD) current account records a decit? To answer we will and assume that the demand for and the supply currency reect only trade ows (that is, only exports of Let ’s focus on with trade ows simplied 180 goods and services Australia set-up, only and and the between shown in no nancial Australian the Figure USA 4.6.1 , the where rate the for the demand Australian for AUD dollar (D1) (USD per intersects supply of balanced AUD as the (S1). value At e1 , of Australia’s exports (X) is current equal account to imports (M). Specically, at the exchange rate the e1 , value e1a ows). dollar and exchange e1 and of imports at of is a is simplify the matters the the (AUD) Australia. demand In for this AUD Australian dollars Australian products dollars are (Australia’s also are demanded (Australia’s supplied imports). by by Americans exports) Australians and to to e1a buy buy Australian US products Figure AUD imports M) We S2 of 4.6.2 assume maintains now that focus on Australia the is Australian exhibiting dollar. phenomenal AUD USD non-inationary growth and that it is believed that this AUD 'ab'=excess b of performance are invest eager to in the will continue—therefore, Australian economy. investors Demand for supply Australian AUD stock s and bonds is increasing and so are the : 4 a e1 outstanding f CAD, as M' > X direct e2 investment ows into its economy. S1 for AUD (investment D1 for E H T and outows AUD (Australia's exports Price X) of from AUD Australia) USD Q of AUD per period AUD Figure 4.6.1 Impact on the Now, if whatever AUD of a current account decit f e2 for reason, perhaps because of faster a b e1 growth, from Australia the with USA , the starts the supply importing supply curve of more Australian shif ting to the goods dollars right to and services will increase S2. At D2 for AUD (reecting the higher investment original exchange rate e1 , there is now in the foreign D1 for AUD inows exchange market an excess supply of AUD equal to value of exports AUD, it decit supply ceteris trade exports in to e2f nor that of a value The of (page not 164) only the to again of but is also the as its both excess as equal demand market . need to more and decit would decreased. will, and also The ceteris depreciation therefore result if bottom paribus, trade demand though that the ows. for ows As and but on an excess instead line lead the is to ceteris demand for explained the supply also reect of nancial and other the exchange ab, is a that fall a in into in results the in of supply section a 4.5 currency nancial do assets) the from more US rate of capital an economy to appreciate. a nancial a AUD per account selling ows It The owing rests do of not period surplus (exports and if an again the imports will, of assets) goods and tend more than in owing ows the out tend paribus and but to private paribus, ceteris nancial other to account will are for e1 equal investing ceteris the business investing are economy more share rate dollars dollar there the buy greater investors on to nancial demand reect and a investors that and investors controlling Australian currency only order Australia’s that as exchange Australian once nancial in establish for into the D2 acquire American follows increase to original Australian Remember currency and private to to in will right dollars the surplus then conclusion or At demand than e2. dollars the bonds, rms economy. to to Australian and excess of This shif t Australia. now nancial of paribus and more reecting that Australian will Australian mentioned. rests on stock s appreciate namely selling buy presence there for curve Australian clause supply (buying also trade services) between countries. ows The (buying Impact demand Australia currency. trade 4.6.2 demand of less achieved are a The The until imports exchange to Figure account narrow been led of the exceed market . and neither has now depreciate imports foreign AU) current current will abroad there the decit dollars had reect reect in account conclusion only decit value and AUD the exchange tend has but imports is Australia’s services) the e1 , ab e1a registers therefore account mentioned, AUD now foreign balance decit the At is dollar. exports of above clause of current account e1b. competitive and Australian Australia’s current and dollars current the will exports distance depreciates, exports supply at The in trade Australian supply the e2 of Australia more Australian the Note it goods of excess ab. AUD As value greater paribus, At Australia’s of is that become value the by of e2. attractive. the e1 , value reaches (its At imports in account excess ab. into line Q segment T I N U of AUD L A B O L G of Y M O N O C E S1 (Australia's Price bottom line between Does the nancial account have a stronger effect on the countries. exchange Relationship and the What will between exchange the nancial account Comparing that rate of happen to the exchange rate if, ceteris into a country ’s nancial account a the outows decrease and the nancial increase account Figures current in ofcial reserve transactions by a surplus? In order to simplify the a the demand portfolio and and the supply direct of a analysis, currency investment ows and decit whether 4.6.2 may it it should lead does or to a not be clear depreciation of the country. It depends could well on be account decit , the currency may that be For example, for the period 1994–2002 the bank s) was recording now a rising trade decit but the dollar was assume How could that be? The USA was attracting only more reect but account current appreciating. that 4.6.1 account? (excluding central USA records current and/ appreciating. changes the account currency, nancial despite or than paribus, the inows rate than sufcient cross-border nancial capital inows to between off set the downward pressure on the dollar from the current countries. 181 account even (a decit . In appreciate negative positive item and terms even 5) if if greater of T able there the is sum than of item 4.6.1), a the current items (5) in currency account (9) and may The decit (10) 2016 same are as 1992 value. in the 2016 bottom line is that a current account decit may lead depreciation (and a surplus may lead to an that a currency but whether either happens economy going on depends on in the to their that a nancial currency account . current prospects do account not will In general, depreciate decit inspire and in their condence in it is similar issue If applies analysed to in countries isolation, overall that economic current current lead to an appreciation of the Given the imports then more of the currency Mexico’s the but GDP economy. over this the in whereas The account 24-year decit in period dollar a much smaller comparing the proportion dollar decits of of the small No valid conclusions could be made. a depends. a growing if a current positive A current economy. decit development account During a narrows for the in size is economy? decit may boom, incomes be the this Again, result of increase and account Why? is above, it more imports are absorbed, and a current account surplus If may widen. It follows that a smaller decit may not be exports a exceed current 2016 now countries. necessarily account currency. signicantly same in Imagine large decit will of of roughly due international with a roughly represented therefore surpluses. 6.73% 2.26% was smaller) more countries investors. A Mexico dollars what and probable only grew in million represented represented the economy. is decit 131 appreciation) terms of (only to so a account 1992 decit it Mexican The current in demanded reason to celebrate because it may be the result of a severe than recession. supplied. to The appreciate its resulting unless government and more rst market , staving and need so to recording so on). sell increasing off its demand residents (and the foreign-owned companies will excess assets To the the buy the (stock s, supply of For current the the currency account perhaps real more estate, central foreign example, currency buying bonds, the the and are assets in push country bank) these currency appreciation. signicant of central will bank exchange and China potentially was surpluses, but Is a growing Once again, attempting be kept from appreciating against the US dollar the as massive purchases of US Treasury bonds that demand for US if current goods of a persistent account decit services transfers exists plus net if the sum of investment net exports income plus items of again is negative. This implies that the sum for exceeds the currency are pressure for in in questions alarm? The economics, Would to arise. answers it sum greater the Is of the than credit inows currency a are depends. account judge follows items so of if decit its size. economies decit to current not may economy, First , to As decit in evaluate most a cause questions whether a a that is Its may pose but economy. by a cause for dollar size concern is differ vastly absolutely no not in it may We be must a we the in a cause of dividing the size of the a particular production size. The for concern “scale current also one wiping year out a cause considering of concern? The its compensation concern that year, because it for would the be GDP of the country. Consider conditions would not be hoped experienced year. current account decit Temporary should decits are not raise the reversible that increase in a boom because as they is will slowdown. same a for large for a size” account nature, Other crop, the data for or process a of such examples as in massive major the are when cases labour of decits strike exporting the that failure are disrupts of the industries. account a decits signicant are a cause proportion for of alarm the if they country ’s GDP measure if they are persistent . A persistent current account dollar is of a long-term nature and of ten reects an ailing in Chronic ination, uncompetitive product markets much and rigid labour markets are all possible causes of a persistent we account decit . All of these problems erode the decit Mexico of a country ’s exports as they become in No expensive in matter Current account balance current in –24.31 1 billion dollars –24.442 billion dollars USD may either account as a –2.255% foreign imports markets the to while cause domestic they increase the of a buyers. need problems inow of foreigners or to rms) or be persistent for nanced the private economy. nancial nancial ofcial and or real it current is this account Financing capital assets borrowing. nancing The from such that requires abroad as bonds, implications may –6.73% severe. % GDP The are 4.6.2 what will an (selling prove balance it create stock s Current of 1992 decit 182 output , 4.6.2. 2016 T able to in decits attractiveness of agricultural in be more T able on a must useful problem therefore a competitiveness by be temporary. transitory current do heavily conditions currency, or smaller may weaken. account simple. is of economy. size rely weather following that it case decit size decit that and because limited the represent able this extreme in Current current this a successful of of Several exports agricultural farmer s the narrow resulting sector, record is net the outows country decit and debit export-oriented extreme most be alarm the the initially and current It current If may dollars. that of an country ’s and affected A industries equipment decit . concern? increased might account certain capital account for economy surplus. a exports? Implications cause yuan destroy the a developing there products were decit A establish establishing a account necessarily. expensive current become What was to importing sizable in current not Current account data for Mexico. Source: data.worldbank .org possible adverse described below. implications for various different factors the that account decit exerts pressure the exchange rate growth on prospects look repaying depreciate. As long as the economy ’s credit promising it will attract inows of foreign nancial the currency may investors lose not depreciate. condence The and problem start to pull arises their of the economy. of the This may currency lead that to a sudden could prove prices will surge. This will hurt and with ination. low Note signicant the income, that and there depreciation, adverse impact is will are also such more increase as the positive risk to rating Fitch, (meaning continue by international Moody ’s downgraded. Such and agencies Standard evaluate they issue. If of it is countries decided and that assign risk is a grade to increasing, the the bonds will receive a lower grade, which means as investor s will only lend to the country at even rates. This tightens the squeeze on the higher country as cost-push from export credit as increases able especially of effects increased be creditworthiness interest those its such be sizable disruptive households, not if that import defaulting will debt), agencies, could country ’s depreciation it funds debt out foreign rating Poor ’s, the foreign its country that capital & and the fear the cost of borrowing will not it typically continues to rise and the economy a avoid a recession. If it defaults on its loans, then sales—but is required to agree to painful restructuring immediate. policies. Interest rates Demand In order to attract to stave off private inows of nancial capital depreciation of the currency, the management and Persistent a central current be forced to increase interest rates. Higher interest domestic bonds and deposits more attractive to is to narrow investors, who will want to buy them. The not depreciate but this choice is costly. By selling foreigners as bonds it is promising them future interest will debt for the issuer. These demand explained to be will may diverted also prove from decrease costly as domestic domestic government purposes. and will lowering aggregate demand and ownership of domestic rates assets requires willing buyers. risking either the future prospects for the below that investors buy shares, points Willing buyers economy look above The asset is assets to collect prots, exceptionally is not low. considered a or In if the or the selling former problem. In real price case the a problem sizeable as and the of assets sold signicance. to A years for sell to foreigners signicant industries harbours. economic Such sale the debt persistent government repayment national towards have Since made the can may resources, such the must used by from of the and as be economy. past lend cost incurred higher such from it to face. Higher further are to not may the is implies will that the extend to price paid account deep recover are in a take country usually that further It is very beyond will by decits an economy into from the a may future. current be It very may compromised for account many position to fund reasons. necessary time for foreign investors to public or make direct investments. return The higher income for lower inequality income will have households, increased. dampen growth risky an for prospects, economy to as explained consume its for a long means. of the also imports need of to of ten funds much • the • mounting future be rates to interest be increasing willing compensate rates, sudden to for worsening the though, country ’s decit may lead to: severe interest depreciation rates to of attract the currency lenders must sale of domestic foreign assets debt and at reduced prices downgrading by credit agencies be • painful demand-side • diminished policies foreign growth for many years. diverted adverse lend imply account necessary the foreign and higher Correcting create will a • current decit uses could goods. may • education. abroad that persistent account of increased or from part domestic These health means will future, from A current future only effects at decit: surging debt a persistent Methods and current their account effectiveness higher additional are three types of policies available to policymakers to risk with a persistent current account decit: expenditure- interest reducing costs, who income. of deal they households, of and loss the nance borrowing exports Foreigners interest loss be There and will the bank s, of involves In away infrastructure, any debt income and current prospects Persistent borrowing. government purchase foreign for forced airports threat forces this interest . diverted of exchange, capital decit abroad plus be the on painful may ratings account capital earnings from credit repayment foreign Mounting an borrow repayment consumer on and investments in assets carries are Recap current income exchange away to of the been public state-owned development they of it sovereignty. National If or a lower suggest usually It and time large income polices the case foreigners natural clearly, for countries Growth earlier. to lower estate of the latter country since These so This both income imports. exist which prove but , persistent costs investments. expecting on prospects recording high. assets businesses national unemployment Governments good Their decreasing recession. crisis. if and spending especially rising Growth take Selling by investment for Foreign decit need interest The spending, account payments funds Higher consumption current interest suffer payments the decrease population represent of policies. bonds be to adoption currency levels may require macroeconomic foreign aggregate nancial decits demand-side rates aim make account bank contractionary may : 4 current to of is E H T A risk there T I N U As rate L A B O L G exchange Y M O N O C E The policies, expenditure-switching policies and supply- problem. side policies. 183 Expenditure-reducing If policies they are resources These include policies that decrease the level of implemented are then misallocated. inefciency The country also increases suffers the as costs of aggregate protectionism. demand. They (decreasing policy thus G include and/or (increasing contractionary increasing interest rates). T) but By scal also policy tighter decreasing monetary Supply-side Policies demand, they reduce the level of national income decreasing spending on imports (M). to help also include imports are directly related to the level of income. rise, then spending on imports rises; if then spending on imports decreases. can Note that will in aggregate benet the demand export will sector also as decrease the will increase. exports will All help in all, shrinking narrow the imports current account cost . though Growth which that will means are contract shut an surely that Recessions or such the adjustment and account slow down economy painful. down Output and or may and policy may suffer a unemployment aim of this imports set of regulations at turn a high negative, recession. decrease, laws will To induce is to switch domestically such a on rises. that product correct a so expensive, achieved in to make two switch, them ways: by spending produced or by a xed competitiveness, account . result from Persistent uncompetitive by high monopoly may also be power. responsible, production labour unions, costs. protection may market-based may also goods supply-side help current most high Rigid labour restore account important as minimum wage contribute and services. policies that to It focus competitiveness decit . they Such may and policies cause imports must less attractive, decreasing the of the external treat the imbalance. explained supply-side earlier). policies Within this have major framework, drawback s the most become and value this of drawback is that they are difcult to implement , can any benets will appear only af ter a very long time the Although these policies are instrumental and necessary protection. exchange the may uncompetitive, persistent rate system, the central bank the long currency to devalue instead of trying term to achieve and maintain competitiveness, may persistent permit current and in In also nature away goods lag. currency economy ’s the businesses by markets considered and be of worker priced, follows rms high signicant more in increase dominated and higher (as services. (see long-term policies policies towards ailing characterized regulation Unfortunately, from an decit decits markets fundamental The a perhaps are Expenditure-switching of decit . comes even incomes are of markets Note policies ination. competitiveness as rising restore persistent Excessive exports account policies the product This Supply-side help a current decrease current supply-side incomes curing decrease persistent If and incomes a certain Remember section3.7). that correct (Y) decit therefore policies aggregate to current account decits must be dealt with maintain immediately. it articially rate currency the at system, to price of the xed value. central slide domestically. domestic its the and bank even currency and keep makes Consumers goods In a may will it managed permit value undervalued. imports switch services. exchange the to Import more of the Decreasing expensive relatively Expenditure-reducing, cheaper expenditures Recap and supply-side will Expenditure-reducing decrease. Note that exports will also become cheaper more competitive so that export revenues will effects will tend to correct the current account potential is that risk ination of a may rapid depreciation accelerate. or Import devaluation prices will (such monetary policies) a imports. recession and They domestic rms that use imported raw intermediate products will experience an from their will to production immediately demand costs. increase higher wages, In addition, and this further the may cost of compel increasing higher imports Aggregate supply may therefore inationary pressures. In They also increase, aggregate demand will curve demand-pull Alternatively, and the other will to the right , leading since increase leading policymakers barriers market , substitute lead so domestic import may 184 and nations. In policies are policies domestically that switch produced that the make exchange imports rate more and expensive. to retaliation and ination. policies more include competitive policies and to labour make product markets more exports and so that costs and prices decrease. They are the potentially necessary but only effective in the long term. to could will less resort make to imports attractive. protection. more T ariff s expensive Households and in The Marshall-Lerner J-curve products for imports, condition and the effect rms decreasing or a sharp depreciation implies that the foreign the of exports decreases and the domestic price of imports expenditures. increases. Unfortunately, frictions They possibly to price country ’s income. growth, unemployment . lowering They Devaluation will slower ination. trade domestic shif t national to workers of ten demand include protection exible will so production decrease, addition, and lead towards increased markets cost-push decrease scal living Supply-side costs. that increase goods. in policies materials away and/or are contractionary rise, Expenditure-switching therefore as decit . decrease A demand increase. and Both policies abroad aggregate and expenditure-switching policies such invite protectionist retaliation addition, they go policies from create affected against WTO trade imports exporting membership revenues rules. With less will Therefore, a exports attractive increase trade more competitive domestically and decit import will we abroad expect expenditures improve. and that will export decrease. crucially demand (PED) rests for on the exports size and of the the PED price The J-curve Since imports. The reason relates to the fact that the behaviour PEDs and of expenditures following a change in are condition or Marshall-Lerner a sharp account for condition depreciation decit , exports short run and immediately so the satised, Marshall- any in a trade decit will take time to be realized. PEDs. In The the not the must Marshall-Lerner of sum be a of states currency the PED (absolutely) condition: that to for for devaluation improve imports greater than a devaluation a trade (or a balance current and the the PED one. a Figure 4.6.3, in path goods through devaluation J-curve time will is and on the horizontal services time trace of the the (X – M) balance letter “J”. axis is on of and the trade This is the trade vertical axis, following referred to as the E H T on in is price improvement depends low of Lerner revenues ef fect of effect . sharp Trade depreciation) will improve decit balance if The proof needs following express may the Fitch dollar some help to German depreciation & (ped(x) of (A&F) price the ped(M)) > 1 (XM) elementary calculus, explain condition. trade euro shirts is + balance will pricier constant . the in Let in make but If dollar s, euros even = 0 the a sharp Abercrombie though so + we then American PED(M) that their exactly the t1 t2 time same quantity of A&F shirts is bought in Germany. With their and in dollar price imported dollar s trade the the will same same, will the import necessarily balance and improve if quantity the export same. $250m demanded expenditures remain expressed Germany ’s revenues (expressed in Figure dollar s) Since by if in will New the the their the New elasticities balance, the euro lower, quantity by the of York price condition a so thus BMW cars more one. satised of in demanded than > It then depreciation price revenues PED(X) exceed is sharp that dollar export proportionately would following made Germany ’s 1 . the The follows the of sum that German the euro, improve. The the initially and the is mean low. Will the satised for exports They are A sharp European average US in the and low households prices. that not PED especially new Assume million to J-curve for may short the many not are now household for though, imports reasons. even depreciation car s term, PED of be the effect cheaper aware in devalue immediately car s are now cheaper and more as access to new in a condition exports not and exceed condition Note for that only with let its xed larger in unity. a trade exchange the are af ter and the is not low time trade t2 in the say, their Figure $250 (or Initially, the Marshall- satised: and decit to, depreciate system). because term very equal sharply rate larger short Only decit currency and imports satised million PEDs sum 4.6.3 shrink s for does is the below the level. an inverted starts where to J-curve the shrink results surplus af ter initially a revaluation becomes bigger later. of Implications USA . realize account of a persistent current surplus that current account surplus exists if the sum of net exports of competitive? goods necessarily, if to Lerner and will the economy (appreciation), Firms euro an deciding becomes A European Not The decit $250 condition because are if increase Marshall-Lerner trade will in two of York increase Americans decrease of depreciation cars dollars 4.6.3 increase. the BMW T I N U of : 4 development L A B O L G a elasticity Y M O N O C E Such information is and services plus net income and net current not strictly transfers not is positive. It is acceptable, even though speaking instantaneous. correct , Even if it cheaper to becomes in switch the away widely USA , the from known typical buying that European American American may cars if cars are need he or now time she sale import bought Fords. Buying habits also need time to say goods that and it exists services expenditures on when over goods a export revenues period of and time from the exceed services. has A always of to current account surplus in general is not considered an be issue, especially if the surplus is small or transitory. Typically, overcome. it Most and importantly, importing change. foreign takes rms Importers rms time Lastly, commercial in to the that are may are change case of slow have to difcult between respond signed business rms contracts to to a currency long-term terminate exporting or with It contracts. importing also not There need be to described before they run out of inputs, inventories and it may need new order s or before they need to replace may, if government though, explained. be These it its is result outweigh certain relate a perceived to of an any risk s consequences various export- benets factors, it to may that as below. take consumption and investment points need to be clear here. an 1 . imported the issue because to Two place an strategy and involve. Domestic time considered growth policymakers contracts change. is oriented If we focus only on the trade in goods and services machine. balance of the current account , then if it is positive it 185 implies that exceeds the the value value of of goods goods and and services services exported Employment imported. To 2. If there is a combined the capital capital means current and account , that country account more that nancial as it is nancial owing surplus, into account small and capital the then is there is decit . a Ignoring insignicant , owing country. out Domestic of the this will in the the buying more foreign bonds, stock s and than foreigners are buying and domestic export 1 implies sector that response domestic this to been enjoyed be but that the from are living bilateral country is consuming inside surplus Consumption bundles that turned on a its sacriced. standards dynamic head. be opportunities point From are of a static lower view point than this of they countries millions of to Foreign for people of trading trade 2 may investment ows out markets long-run enjoy higher escaping as with high the export addition, interpreted projects of case and be are of dividends) to can growth levels argument and and of have have income, that nanced are from boost imply Empirically domestic returns country may Perhaps the persistent rates most and pressure imports, which country. The more economic these fewer as this usually national on be a (for nancial has not efcient could recent China’s suffered interest would halt wave as current exchange trade or A beyond its account with the that less all other rate to surplus natural exports competitive in surplus is appreciate. is mostly gas). The of the foreign country markets decrease. This is referred to as the hand, on the appreciation waste and become puts that This due become as to that country if the articially that its exports then the current remain the net exports positive and shif ting the demand, price have level, account cheap runs in also on surplus its and the rms is currency paribus, that that increasing will to though, so of On to the exert the in will the that penetration. time. not to increase pressure as implications decit of a a to long narrow. of A a current earlier, time. of considered persistent mentioned for are cannot persistent Current more account spend decit account decits nance. investors if may they suddenly feel decide uncertain to about of the country. If signicant the investors this, the country may will sharply face dire consequences. depreciate, causing The import soar. Most countries rely on imported oil. prices Many on imported sharp pharmaceuticals depreciation, and policymakers food. may be To avert forced interest rates dramatically in order to to induce cut of private on this lead to of that average also foreign currency cause distress ineffective follows dealt the is also economy increase as they are that with in capital to that will depreciate. and, averting a persistent without may the LRAS may worse a curb Higher still, currency current be A the interest they may crisis. account be in import considered growth is not dominated are not prohibitively importantly, maintained that and sacrices prices. even not by decit must reap early T argeted though inationary, be so benets. to costs and, that to try markets wage rms willing long-term the usually must that that for inclusive will though of protection this Policymakers is even competitiveness monopolies, growth Expenditure- depreciation burdensome people to adopted restoring counterproductive. that escalate. controlled succeed are term matters should costly. surging also proves before policies also currency ensure a policymakers the ination is aggregate the Such that case, right . the of demand, in investment capacity the on ination. possibility In the foreign demand aggregate economic productive shif ted in areas the result implies aggregate The accelerating through also of right . will ignores the many in ination. surplus increases the domestic demand have This to surplus exports undervalued competitive risk account component curve leading aggregate curve current increasing. AD ensured increasing is (NX) ceteris conclusion, 186 growing of especially import that funds prospects reducing and China’s suffer Ination large exporting on is be A the efcient . maintaining country may out one It markets, country blocking it prove so of protection dissatisfaction sources their rates the decit policies, growth US account have foreign pressure Remember The less result disease. pressure more means withdraw inows down risk . success, those nation, external increase other that growth, appreciation and Dutch than However, a a extent its perspective disagree somehow rely and for a to means the of greatest current surplus. will income. associated oil demand protectionist export the threatening In (prots, Few persistent the producers investment . investments capital been problem example, foreign domestic serious the on serious highly understood with currency export retaliatory the permitted competitiveness if of To with expor t the risk may and widening serious the countries. proved do even carry decit view future puts by relies pose adopt require Exchange import-competing poverty. being country. performers rates the growth employed par tners surpluses measures Policymakers’ Point the be need have many in will surplus faster its USA to workers more trade could may be also in resulting companies. possibilities. implies More balance the bonds, suddenly have and then residents retaliation production account demand foreign the Point current employment . protectionist stock s a sector. Large companies that aggregate increase The are extent increases most trust make is short- Sustainable A wide of sustainable development range of is denitions a central of concept sustainable for our age. Sustainable The most Brundtland dened commonly Commission sustainable of used the one is United development as that of the needs of the present Nations, Sustainable goals set 2015 for by of future compromising generations on to Environment meet and their own needs” Development development development , and requires social a has progress balance three and between major Goals Nations (SDGs) General are 17 Assembly global in the aspects: environmental year 2030. The Development SDGs Goals build (MDGs) on the but previous they aim to promote prosperity while protecting go the further planet . (World 1987a: SDGs are listed below. 43). 1 . Sustainable United the The Commission Development the that and ability (SDGs) which “development without Goals the Millennium meets Development development The exists. T I N U development : 4 meaning development No poverty economic protection, 2. Zero hunger 3. Good 4. Quality education 5. Gender equality 6. Clean them. health and well-being Sustainable development 7 . Affordable 8. Decent 9. Industry, This Aspects means that involves both result the in Sustainable and the the and of development of of future that of human social the also well-being base failure could to dimensions) requires actions generations make maintain it food supplies. depleted; they must the does be basic needs current of all that are to today to meet the be inequality for available inequality in development at the the Responsible 1 3. Climate 14. Life below taken income and 15. Life on jeopardize needs. basic social 16. Peace, future natural material As such, the living generations resources from also one must to not generation necessitates today global distribution goods such such overall long-term environment . and communities scale are is met , consumption and production action water have be to that and reduced. land justice and strong institutions Partnerships for the goals. These all the that This the refers goals three universally So poor, far, have acceleration increased a to address to of learn has to countries of the and meaning to live that and world, Millennium the there reduction, the in a balanced development rich and they countries, way are like sustainably. that schooling of incorporate sustainable shown poverty access result of applicable, evidence poorest of: aim dimensions has disease been an control, infrastructure and especially Development in and in the Africa, Goals. The wealth goods the cities resource as health and as goal stability of food of and shelter. sustainable the economy, development agenda is of course bigger and education more • infrastructure For sustainable • and into as • growth needs might their adequate Therefore, people economic inequality 1 2. the sustainable energy not next . Lastly, to an impossible sufcient and innovation Sustainable 1 7 . example, clean (which environment . generations human future sanitation development promotion economic given ability sustainable destruction well-being account , of and work Reducing 1 1 . 4.7.1 and Social 10. Figure water Y M O N O C E Environmental Economic E H T The Sustainable L A B O L G 4.7 Goals, development the difcult society the is and the which of integration social achieve themselves Sustainable continuation the to inclusion than were Development the of not goals Millennium small Goals Millennium these and the challenges. include not Development with environmental Development several Therefore, only Goals, others, the but also including sustainability. 187 HL Relationship between Moreover, sustainability which and in puts poor an Poverty is a major cause of environmental Poor people of ten rely entirely on population agriculture for be cut down means As of farmer s cannot production protection such afford as chemicals the to maximize to grow fertilizer s, they output . crops, the When soil overuse land cannot is machinery the land, continuously retain may and falls so over the quality and nutrients multidimensional development development . More multidimensional standards is an productivity and sheries education, as concept . in It of to of refers to of economic or these to Single inequalities in per access capita to in high middle income health a opportunities, of indicators income be and measured with the an parity income line would with a per the are progress made towards capita as income at summary at measures purchasing purchasing information there and purchasing The is a power on positive well-being. power For purchasing and UN capita parity and capita GNI 188 the and instance, countries per that World GNI the into and is power services GDP income an effort to survive, environment . as future natural country which and at of poor This people poses generations resource will be base. is it is quite the above big, lower is $1 1 ,906. split middle The between income, middle the with upper the $3,855. on is the useful level question use and of of that since may provide development . per Nor way there capita classication problematic . Per of distribution us For with some example, is more several GDP based and on developed limitations GNI per as than associated measures capita income of can capita GDP and considerations, GNI do fail not to take incorporate into several the value include of the environmental non-marketed information not include the degradation, the accumulated on value subsistence the of production, fail composition the stream of of output services conceal and do owing from power the parity level of correlation Remember (PPP) to development between that can PPP per section useful they as social are dollars. These are 3.1). and other low below capita the income. $975 is per they keep classify Bank main is, national Bank and World three (that uses between In $976 currency systematic per country year. the countries categories: A buy capital of an economy not dollars a is capita high low entirely GNI basket to $1 1 ,905 per indicators as may be performance indicators of and education of indicators indicators include: of per • health expenditure • life • infant • malnutrition • maternal • improved expectancy at mortality per capita birth (per (years) 1 ,000 live births) place GNI prevalence ratio (per 100,000 live births) per country year mortality and sanitation population with facilities access) (the but economic middle if income suitable such economic of basis. income, national development . buys). income middle and same this of stands records on Consequently, measures Health-related goods because a useful capita provide country, equal in immediate However, the Health for depleted overshing. development . per extent capita warmth. development . (see of and Pastureland (PPP) GDP/GNI some become and adequate classication Somalia. indicators GDP/GNI cooking wealth. either to Single their income account of also activities, group, dividing income dimensions for deforestation. as indicators. record dimension Composite fuel to care be • Trees agriculture, development income is improvement employment of can composite indicators particular and lead sustainability, of well-being, • may destroy threat in development an increases increased increased development single for the few use clearings used sustainable economic involves poverty, and reduced Economic provide animals information well the livelihood. and This and its development nature aspect specically, which reductions maintain time. Measuring Economic to eventually deprived 4.8 to or a levels, growth, as trying of ten moisture tries materials, This Due living population environment contemporary overgrazing a high the their construction incomes. The is on degradation. may land there burden poverty growing crop regions extra percentage of the HIV and (the 49 percentage of the population eutrophication, aged environmental years) waste, physicians (per 10,000 people) or hospital water 10,000 resources, and Environmental indicators how rate to (the read percentage and • mean of • pupil–teacher • school According care and process. helps to schooling of the are of the the Gini population • the of Robin income state social Hood of 25 in who years the 20/20 income of enrolled parts in is (the average the each level). development , of the health development The widely indicators the most which have to United include: widely cited • life • mean which richest be • GNI the proportion redistributed to of all achieve the of compares the of the poorest the ratio of population 20% of the and Gender Index measure of discrimination and per the to Since the against which is indicators terms in Energy women Sri of can be reducing useful in assessing inequalities, which the is dimension indicators percentage • share The population terms a US$ a by and the the and in services. as HDI of a measures health, These three indicators: expected between and 1 average an years of schooling PPP). value value HDI Human the HDI with Lanka HDI being of the value is has been 0 and the 1 , with highest . three from reported Development that modest may it 0 0 being The dimensions, to 1 and annually Report . demonstrates incomes, score of economic of of is so then One that by the interesting such as some Costa relatively highly in Rica, terms Cuba of the as HDI conceals traditional fuel energy have life expectancy and human literacy with those of advanced economies. HDI a was successful summary in measure of displacing per development . capita However, with access to consumption per ratio in energy of energy overall use energy consumption positive basis use to populations suffer indicate These energy gender the general relationship development trends economic in that therefore consumption provide and a HDI of as it as does In remains within the very but not a an average, country. old and this is consider addition, may education improvements unacceptable its score as it Women the very and young not illustrated income natural does changes rise and might it as per be a or distribution resource of at depletion As a any result , improvements income achieved include impacts. result capita not the and even cost though of environmental degradation. growth. that two additional composite indicators indicators indicators introduced by footprint , the UNDP in 2010 capturing include: multidimensional ecological well environmental HDI longevity, those were Environmental as inequalities. country ’s Note Environmental It differences disproportionately the assessment economic with limitations. electricity GDP . projecting impacts some important capita correlation. for environmental to has use or a they development . include: households energy rough since comparable through • (UNDP) development . goods the progress of ten a Programme human by indicators • shows the another rural of is constructed in the Trends (in is indicator was birth receives the its of income the (HDI) accordingly. Overall, important • whether a rates in total evaluate institutions. Inequality • at takes index development Energy of to schooling possible 1990, UNDP and made to average population (SIGI), of dimension country It of measured capita composite a access are years countries social Index Development achievements lowest each 20% Institutions cross-country used sustainable. composite (HDI). measure expectancy Each shows Nations average used index comprehensive dimensions dimensions. indicators most education indicators equality income Social be also indicators Development aspect • is Human development inequality index , ratio, the can process older) ranked • soil know and tertiary education-related these which and economic inequality would perfect children inequality income that of aged secondary and progress coefcient , measure people important health- Economic/social • age denition monitor and (of primary, school education Economic resources, ratio Checking to sh resources. write) enrolment , percentage material indicators development Composite years resources, urban landscapes, include: the literacy forest cultural people). Education-related • contamination, beds degradation (per toxic biodiversity, : 4 • acidication, quality, T I N U of 15 E H T between L A B O L G prevalence Y M O N O C E • which relates to land use and inequality—the Inequality Adjusted HDI, CO known 2 as the IHDI—and gender disparities—the Gender emissions Inequality • the Living Planet Index (LPI), an unweighted index Index . developed Inequality by the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) to Index changes in the number and diversity of biological the Environmental Sustainability Index (ESI) developed World Economic Forum inequality the same the OECD’s “core set of environmental indicators”, climate change, HDI (IHDI) dimensions as measures the HDI, development adjusted stratospheric ozone in each dimension. The IHDI attempts for to capture which losses involve adjusted three (WEF) inequality • Development by in the Human (IHDI) species The • Adjusted indicate in development that arise from inequality. (If there depletion, were no inequality the IHDI and the HDI would be equal.) 189 Gender Inequality Index The (GII) use also The Gender Inequality Index (GII) measures of raises the genders in three dimensions. Of ten may girls are discriminated against in health care, in the labour market . The GII captures the loss been of women due to inequalities in UNDP developed Poverty another Measure composite (CPM), indicator, which of people to lead worthwhile focuses Capability Capability Pover ty Poverty (CPM) of basic opportunities for to be They may made contain where A composite is measured arithmetic as a mean lack of of these three the lack of capability to personal as the may Composite who are basic opportunities. It the lack of be nourished proportion they progress permit have countries. several On the important negative limitations. indicators that units are of difcult to aggregate, measurement while useful for are comparisons used. between be of limited use in informing policy. indicators may fail to between the economic , take account of social the and dimensions of development . and The use of children of composite indicators may conceal the fact healthy, under 5 years development involves a wide diversity of issues, each of a different indicator, and that those indicators under weight capability to be educated, measured as the who are be moving Consideration proportion and is may • weak, variables: requiring age or development that measured in and the • • performance between different indicator, environmental the where strong indicators interconnections and composite trends (CPM) emphasizes • importance of lives. Measure Measure overviews the countries, The opportunities—but side, the on • The clear highlighting composite especially capacity some positive areas. • Capability the in these side, The provide particularly comparisons development provides On education have and issues. women development , and indicators inequalities indicators between such some of females aged 15 years and over and of composite in different the issues indicators directions. associated suggests with that single none of indicators them is ideal illiterate as • the lack of capability for healthy reproduction, a measure the proportion of births unattended by in this is notable of that , of women’s if women families common the CPM places with capabilities, are and deprived, entire the a of the Another composite explained how well in strong emphasis is indicator the Happy section 3.1 . are acknowledgment is however, environmental nations sustainable in then societies HDI, account development on the adversely the The CPM of the affected. Economic does not economy In indicators to is that could take any is should be reliability despite used (HPI) Planet achieving limitations economic to and, of to that Index long, The track national, applied. of measure was measures happy and approaches to some data At can It cases, is not regional the same also complexities, progress—or be it lack or the the range single the vast has 190 been to of always the important of clear at of those of all reality. which jobless progress—in have economic Consequently, produce attempts and alternative use ruthless • futureless • increases Growth country and may in does grow the not real GDP of necessarily without any an involve development Development that obstruct Programme the has described development process. where employment opportunities for the expand growth, where growth, resources voiceless such, may be term, use fully is of a “an approach composite to time. growth not income where the inequality widens environment is degraded and depleted growth, economic where individual indicators. the if requires possible the in policies services for development countries growth development development indicators the development an growth met . growth, do economic promoting development , refers Nations of • As and Nevertheless, to economic empowerment falls behind. indicators availability problematic . is economic assess dream”. to advantages—but are: social scope indicator impossible certain representations possible suitability local—those time, of A being types They • development . Given have partial between growth United four development development , in questionable. such indicators development development . objective be Index Happy at economic vast scale—global, and through natural relation the fact development dimension. Planet doing human poor and measuring indicators of the lives. Strengths In All workers. that economic lack section selective Relationship It development . trained provide health-care economic measured discussed as of are does will growth. the followed the poor. growing. of guarantee Usually, Some absence process not occur. economic growth provide However, in access in necessitates the that that though, development the to short basic long term, developing economic The a number poverty Poverty what locks Nobel cumulative Poor on of of factors cycle individuals Laureate people live available on This in infrastructure) a The very in in a can vicious poverty called cycle income, that, in is is shown is in very or from growing low. and a and parents, cannot remain low, situation It is be so nanced incomes where important note they remain people’s to so low. poverty that the are also The leads low. 4.9.1 . poverty more cycle is is the development limits their poverty in the possibilities cycle short is term generations as children are caught in Rising There lowest income—the are also countries. unequal. highest 20% of scale people of income African in shows Bank the global countries many Middle highest trapped trap just in the within tend also Gini and in Low with 1 .5% for some inequality in is investment their 4.9.1 The poverty cycle or trap poor of of the among the the is High in also countries, a 0.63 and the The rich spend channel results their in 0.59 Zambia 0.57 the most countries High world. 0.54 Brazil 0.53 St . 0.51 to Colombia 0.49 Mexico 0.48 of is to credit . They education abroad and and also reduces middle amounts funds the also the or cannot to start or on to overall that imported foreign resources and the class lower the luxuries tax for for most . and havens. available demand savings saves This domestic domestically services. increases probability corruption, entrepreneurs and bribes. political and the of prevalence “doing investment Lastly, higher burdens inequality instability, can of corruption business”. be In the discouraged which both costs and may in lead increases domestic dealing may even to social the and risk s foreign with be forced unrest investors direct (FDI). economic of face regulatory discourages restricts Lack the inequality process access appropriate Infrastructure Cameroon it investments reduces tape” pay and so 0.50 access coefcient Rising Panama as goods investment Lucia no children’s inequality savings inequality which face Lesotho or their large fewer produced “red Namibia rising economy, because Africa in business. productive Africa. on limited invest the highly Inequality based have to immense. developing South of to leads to economic lower growth rates and development . infrastructure and technology refers to the economy ’s physical capital 0.47 such Gini coefcient for selected countries. as transportation airports), systems telecommunications, (roads, energy railways, systems ports and (electricity https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/indicators/SI.POV.GINI/rankings and High savings a developing be sub-Saharan coefcient estimates to have world. resource-rich East income inequality Gini Source: and term. transmitted the receive Country 4.9.1 growth income productivity presence T able to longer poverty. The disparities countries inequality high World the of the 4.9.1 recent with in the will inequality American Several levels notably T able large Latin particularly in and expand world’s also health borrow the but earnings. barrier barriers economic Globally, higher result, Figure Economic for signicant Low Low across a level Productivity country to which entirely equipment (education or Low care) developing. Therefore, Figure the As trap, and spent countries, (machines, capital cycle “circular which poor economy human countries trap poverty capital development prevent Myrdal low the physical and into means savings investments or Gunnar causation.” necessities. that and/or E H T are growth L A B O L G There economic T I N U to : 4 Barriers Y M O N O C E 4.9 and rising population services. does The inequality not have economy is implies access that to deprived a large education of their part and skills of the health and talents. gas), water Infrastructure and is contributes typically supplies, a major to nanced sanitation facilitator economic from and of sewerage. economic development . government activity Infrastructure is funds. 191 However, not have in developing the required infrastructure. basic in infrastructure many areas infrastructure instance, the Many countries resources parts such does not limits as inadequate roads transportation markets as well to are in so exist or is and poor electrication growth of governments invest Africa even cost as of of ten to or a development and poor and limit education road the and that most network Lack of prospects. access access health the road crumbling. and demand do maintain to For increase does of also related to the lack of infrastructure to appropriate technology. elasticity of incomes, the to technology production. In that is general, is the Appropriate best suited for technologies lack capital-intensive, relying mostly a can on of relying countries mostly labour is on the country ’s be production, of ten it follows that labour-intensive. machines, workers. Since relatively appropriate Nevertheless, income and means more that there poverty, is and less in in the human it In health care developing which and becomes an lack of less of the levels of nutrition, (measured This leads by literacy the reasons of the resources health This lack and This of labour labour or lagged school in for maintain poverty growth has and and nations prevent productivity, and is therefore that themselves risk of by life ratios). are One deprived health access and more growth achieving facing poverty. to on primary sizable some product primary of the other cotton, single primary may primary dependent This most 192 on primary growth and of smaller income cocoa, countries the Middle exports proportion economy ’s and Africa, to have of fewer derived products sugar, even palm commodity. the health bauxite Niger, and exports is One for and be income inelastic is with results to in their lower cannot exports these lower US Union farmers, world compete to and international markets is agricultural for farm cotton (Benin, primary also a barrier investment , workers subsidies Burkina export to access the Faso, crop and and Chad the and accounting This in decades, economies affect income means and that world’s agricultural they protect for the international have C-4 the of The US prominent countries, increase C-4 to contributed the ability cotton the employment countries. subsidies to C-4 their low farmers production subsidies countries, and may have which are poorest . support also their limits to US of of each of these Due the in source of which prices. development the each granting cotton the earnings dominant been seven in export regions has for farmers, that one relates treating open for developed impose industries ability of markets, trade from economies barriers, foreign developing impeding competition. countries both offer mainly to growth and the this of not doing their the issue. developing for up criticism to own World The world WTO Trade has relatively enough to agricultural force Organization been accused unfavourably. the markets USA to and imports. of IT is the EU The of as the coffee, A few The where the agreement the WTO street obstacle to for result , take half informal they place. vendors people The economy unregistered, activities a about a an why Doha failed in agriculture Round (section of is trade considered negotiations 3.4). economy informal uranium. as by Informal for demand reach reason organized extremely major and, a to main In of exporting is that the agricultural copper. and a is the global the further (WTO) products. such exportation can case sufcient from their criticized of example, reason their opportunities signicantly among Note percentage exports producing This access agricultural plays obstructed living and accounted commodities on in prices obtain higher America, domestic the European production substantial dependence development . primary or extraction sector a from oil, depend gross the support development . Human achieve Latin traditionally individual countries, is and is of employment . tariff s, goals. sector East to countries industry cotton This improved better the (C-4) Cotton inability Throughout been decline cotton to Dependence a role to for fewer (because and development USA , poverty. administration listed to spreading necessary the countries expand incomes, cotton-producing US to education responsible innovations long-term Remember is individuals higher absolutely productivity, are education as agricultural subsidies. cannot lower Cotton Apart care of inability to majority cotton average example, adequate may in low, countries, its enrollment developing technological formation education to opportunities, fewer standards. rates many Also, individuals) capital developed measured, are countries’ undernourishment), needed health employment skilled that (as has capital these markets access education. of decreased diseases, is services. and of to such developing employment country. human with world health extent of education Compared developing or of levels less growth education levels price farmers’ such employment , capital—lack impediment development . much expectancy and countries and do technologies the to revenues so factors and factor Mali). of uctuate, international large form which they Cotton-4 levels random (PED) most development . Low other demand prices products and abundant the therefore prices export to economies provide with increased technologies country ’s As farm the factors lower are (PES). and of incomes Also, distinguished as of supply elasticity rising because conditions price access Japan markets. developing weather low uctuate with growth. technology therefore labour-intensive, to boost of prices into tend countries to facilities. mainly of in enough employment . and refers by have Developed access products fast goods affected and Lack Closely such grow primary are of local for not to of In drivers fact , employed in the and Unregistered tricycle survive. the outside activities and of ten many urban formal untaxed one and range from become developing population is economic a way countries, work s in the sector. workers lack to lies unregulated in this access to sector are nancial generally capital. As unskilled a result , and workers’ to is be that lower than workers in in the the Geography—including The sector do not enjoy the measure of protection the formal sector in terms of job security geographic and as barrier conditions. As a result , living standards for are low and as long as the informal unregulated the development prospects are to the government informal sector does not earn activities—and any lower tax of tax the ability to nance pro-development the trade, refers to the rapid outow of out large sums of a country, instability. A typically debt crisis as a can, result for of economic example, ight as it can induce wealthy to send instance, vast when it ight . amounts owed of to country the when $100 of nationals money Chinese the out of protect ight growth and involves a invested no that also their can in the of within longer could to an may af ter also ee from Outows economic to been Lastly, that Moreover, tax , to political residents could since governments to support the because have these lose levels of capital mobilize on each capital For ight domestic economic that goals. instance, deprive resources development . year Africa loses in the This if being it and this has it funds tax up to $50 of of a from revenue not in such to a the ability material the billion overspending High the debt debt . funds and levels This to impact OECD show as available and require to since countries most of 2013, has are through by proportion used the same revenue importation be diverted of to indebtedness foreign to time, earned say, repayments health care, necessary developing past 20% history of of for the of debt have the obstructs attain imply or the World result , absorbing that developing an could that to any the nance debt . nations on In world Nepal, Africa, Economic international and coast , degree to costly near of markets obtain for ports or near international trade. at low imported costs, inputs and at and provide low opportunities development . to Also, of engage some that storms, small and countries regions, show are farming and the problem Bolivia. and This low countries exposed oods not that of to for of makes cost are natural droughts. economies, geography economic alternatives are in have as in disasters This applies instance the Haiti. process conditions may such developing island is There are country and destiny ”; can countries when play an development . can important Nevertheless, come up with underlying geographical endemic diseases difcult . climates obviously but from and has and the must Hence, using or addition, tend those tropical beset by great concern South of to Asia. growth in and malaria, and It its heat is year very in to tropical be a factor and productivity, productivity. terms of limit high to estimated for for ward a the growth areas, that is at held that will potential which prospects live in water 90% in and of Africa. population, regions back . warming impact on the failures further the malaria also least increase in as especially global crop may is drinking healthy are endemic such year-round safe negative temperatures development for schistosomiasis on burden areas, role round, schistosomiasis access greatest waves, these all subtropical depends going have crop therefore important have disease Rising droughts, incidence an treatment development projected to labour gentle” may country have growing on even “ less warm without Since heavy from effect and and countries considered them huge be generally sanitation. a are Besides requiring to plays that communities adequate a is from prospects. climate in has mentioned Places Africa, This of availability, climates already differences developing many Climate scarcity development poor all climates. prevented prevalent climate almost subtropical factors A export machine-parts of in projects. used servicing necessary growth developing a revenues been pharmaceuticals to are pro-development levels for in As to them locations transmission. and economic debt payments the landlocked. difcult the world and meaningful tropical fewer education GDP . on productivity growth cyclones, diseases. service according government could creditors to have for government debt of high also a countries. heavily more higher reach “geography In specically, nance which exchange in about countries have At many had governments all median increasing been that More risen these large invest which development . Bank have around Afghanistan, are depend economy boost examples in that over-borrowing. implies infrastructure, characterize governments a landlocked, number Tropical indebtedness their landlocked countries Being mountainous developing. of as countries example, high Indebtedness levels poverty. of Africa, ight . countries all the for to the can difcult water High of allows manufacturing. role been nancing case governments Estimates for signicantly exports Tropical development is economic Such economic development capital used rivers geographic 2015, better-off impediment are countries. Philippines country. subject have as developing Asia, development enables Even capital value. currency. ight to debt investors much times physical contributor country. its wealth. nancial the the on massive as too several capital to University, important seeking devaluation ight , lose devalued to led rate capital assets become turn loss which occurred lead defaulted exchange their government seek Capital billion, of yuan can to Argentina substantial before turmoil are 2001 Expectations contribute the in In Laos and allows for For Columbia and costs. safety of most trigger also capital may fact , of It political Sachs fourth one-third which major money In goals. ight ight the poorest and landlocked Capital countries development . also growth Capital developing and revenue revenues roughly limit Jeffrey is landlocked. Bhutan from many limited. are Moreover, of growth economy Many remains their these geography workers location to decent according working landlocked afforded act by being informal T I N U tend issue : 4 income Another E H T and sector. L A B O L G formal Y M O N O C E productivity and occurrence and impede near is Africa disease their future. imports. 193 Recap Economic barriers • rising High and health the care, and rates • and Lack of and restricting access to • as Lack to of limit • and less Low levels care and of human higher technological poverty. is This acts facing a to fuelling lower the local • and of of worker of that there is These less • barrier and to been health decreased labour • economic growth for and Dependence to growth primary of demand to grow product Lack the to of in and levels to and to lower employment Weak There inuence many and this for obstacle • income developing depend Also, applying to of ten the the legal exposed and of barrier s the is a result economies ability • of Tropical all developing markets farm growth year water the investment , worker s and and A all factors hurt to capture serve to expense and and social institutions development. institutional process legal of growth and is Tax that However, framework systems laws to which of are equitably predictable is closely pending economic Quite be of the the a such increase suffering 194 by working workers because of tax the lower growth it sector is conditions. in are there and this goals. and involves revenue This informal a that in turn loss of could have country. large debt funds repayments available and to which development . nance the and invest are of so in all Also, purchase of ten lead the health necessary there is less necessary growth of interests. power majority harshest landlocked, growth and in and trade, costly is which for may also an is landlocked mountainous disasters of ten development regions face issues or in terms development . and endemic of which a diseases tropical negatively and labour endemic to in rather revenues investments weak development. of ten not slower affect climate affects is crop productivity diseases growth such and as the warm while favouring malaria. impede weather productivity, These economic and in taxation are in other needed health areas development . are care, governments education, important However, not structures by tax simply for economic revenues low to in because make infrastructure growth and developing tax system and cases efciently, to the and and, in in of elite As and the a interests, result , wealth community, consequences. a of ten of ineffective low in incomes. collecting due to complicated procedures, tax tax exemptions and the wealthy with political inuence and corrupt tax This At the same time, the existence of a large rapidly sector may also governments restrict can raise the amount since the of tax transactions economic place are not recorded. developing or these of is corruption turn, institutions itself capable interpretation. related court legal product the of being international feature Inef fective Lack may and development . taking countries low on informal pro-development loss countries availability spread revenues can effect the barriers legal subject number development . are economic difcult natural round, informal that to for In revenues Economic on climates economy. developed agricultural for of offer framework enforcing not uncertainty, increasing to more Also, to authorities. creates growth system countries, are negative infrastructure, including heavily countries. export for laws and growth barrier. signicantly revenues of tax the fewer exchange Geography, The In a requires education poor nance and a incomes and Also, to within has economic countries Inadequate and barrier capital economic primary leading country ’s international lower growth impede an low growth. markets opportunities economic , countries can volatile, the trade reach social economic developing highly the incomes, and the demand developed institutional are is invested foreign employment . of to of generate incomes, Restricting exports leads Political to international impose. lower prevents are support farmer s countries’ of production is because enough prices access countries that fast farmers’ agricultural their sector development , products revenues • on and uctuations impede imports. elasticity primary factor s have development Indebtedness care more development . • ight government diseases, therefore will standards low. ability economic nancial to these development . security living are the Capital to job that economy factors of and productivity means as All economy growth decreased cost employment spreading informal limits access for An poverty. development . economic growth markets poverty. fewer innovations as and development . responsible risk increased process. means more capital—lack individuals opportunities, fewer and to to in facilities. technology and while leading access access savings productivity increases health income education productivity, low, the and growth such, development limits appropriate economic remain development deters reduces corruption As infrastructure education employment , credit , increase the and/or inequality and instability. spending transportation well can political investment growth economic education economy social to may be institutions few at leaving proper ty Property rights ownership the the of rights and land rights open poor another. In and involve laws transfer developing of that ensure ownership countries, legal from property rights one to owner rights are to and risk enforced. of loss of This the leads to lower investment , Gender then limit many of economist property growth rights and research “dead about secure home For 5.3 most an to people and cannot be have no create barrier the to world their used in the relevant do not poor or lacking inequality social and Being excluded access to security keeps income nations leverage business have become generate to lack economic to assets to ability more considers According in so entrepreneurs rights asset Soto signicant rights example, de development . billion which property as the property capital ” growth. Hernando economic well-dened developing poor result , the poor remain trapped, and and broader economic Related to However, tenure: where and rural rights, use it individuals areas persists, Inadequate land and gender government As malnourished, This signicant their water, compared gender, inequality. result , and less sanitation women with women employment , employment a for are likely and have to more which likely receive other less social programmes, they to men. to be medical benets. has consequences for growth and As In the long term, the low status of women is and to translate is under has sold this by at led to customs. to the expense are in into slower rates of economic growth. This is mother current passed educational than are those investments on to in future into the of more the human growth girls any investment if available in future reect the are are rate developing of of likely to be successfully According higher nancial those benets more women process. a to So, capital yields and likely father. generations educating other attainment much Summers, Poor more that development the children to of Lawrence return than countries. of rural much result of integrated land governments, happens The the the adequate of ten because status community livelihoods hindering many responsibilities on individuals cases In enjoys This agriculture. banking land and rarely laws. many and of based individuals’ land rights. rules are grabbed In land majority powerful these on are national individuals. dependent in and under rms poorer areas the appropriated, private the customary-held protection being rights countries, occupy of formal-sector excluded. clean is possess, is access development . property customary because services, likely developing there limited opportunities education, them to their opportunities. hurting refers economic development . a countries growth. Gender Peruvian inequality which In can T I N U is poverty process. High levels of because the Extreme poor stop system governance and and corruption country is hold reverse back suffering governance even prevalent and the growth from poor corruption process corruption of and development governance. can certainly economic growth and development . Banking to services economic investments commercial is not poor therefore This above. cannot the be and that Europe foreign period many system of This most or cases institutions on of and have of ten growth the to is poor to favoured countries traders. It is development . rights explained well-dened without so and loans access investment were by on once European created the the to that could development . countries effects One for Yet accommodate collateral, nance institutions persisted not and allow capital. and and as dominated negative not land used important they d