The Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC) is an industrial development agency affiliated with the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) with a mandate to provide business development support to Egyptian industrial enterprises to reinstate them competitively in Egypt's global markets in the bid to enhance job creation and secure prosperity for all. IMC's mandate focuses on industrial enterprises employing more than 10 workers, and aims at addressing the needs of more than 14,000 such enterprises. Since its foundation, the IMC has been fostering ties with different international organisations of similar mandates. A number of initiatives have been launched as a result of bilateral and multilateral agreements in the different areas of sustainable industrial development and the IMC is currently expanding its capacity of cooperation in multiple fields with both local and international donors, development agencies, business resource organisations, NGOs, and other relevant organisations. The evolving vision is to promote industrial growth and development via novel approaches built on solid partnerships with the private sector to revitalize the parameters of industrial global competitiveness in full transparency. A unique model of public private partnership is now in progress. Contact information: The Industrial Modernisation Centre 1195 Corniche El Nil (Federation of Egyptian Industries' Building) nd Ramlet Boulak, 2 floor, Cairo, Egypt Website: www.imc-egypt.org Tel: +202 0800 462 0462; Fax: +20 (2) 577 2870 E-mail: info@imc-egypt.org The Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB) is a dynamic organisation that works as a forum for business people committed to developing an outstanding culture of excellence while taking an active part in the overall development of Egypt. Its vision is to be the leading business association enhancing the business environment and positively impacting the Egyptian society towards sustainable development. The EJB hosts almost 600 members, the majority being between 25 and 45 years old, who are either business owners or executives in local and multinational companies. The main activities of the association are geared toward the business environment, business affairs and community development. Contact information: The Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB) Al Salam Tower Beside Al Salam Int Hospital Corniche El Nile St., Maadi, Cairo, Egypt Additional copies of this report can be obtained from: The Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC) 1195 Corniche El Nil (Federation of Egyptian Industries' Building) nd Ramlet Boulak, 2 floor, Cairo, Egypt Tel : +202 0800 462 0462 Fax: +20 (2) 577 2870 Email : info@imc-egypt.org The British University in Egypt Cairo-Suez Desert Road – El Sherouk City, Egypt Tel: +202 2689 0000 Fax: +202 2687 5897 Email: hala.hattab@bue.edu.eg It is also downloadable from: The website of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor at: www.gemconsortium.org/national_reports.aspx The IMC website at: www.imc-egypt.org The BUE website at: www.bue.edu.eg Publication Date: October 2009 Tel: +202 252 840 94; Cell: +2 010 3234 555 - 666 Fax: +202 252 840 95 Website: www.ejb.org.eg Email: ejbgroup@ejb.org.eg The British University in Egypt (BUE) officially opened to Egyptian students in September 2005 on a state-of-the-art campus in El-Sherouk. It focuses on encouraging personal integrity and academic excellence in its students, alongside developing enterprising graduates who can envision opportunities and harness the resources to bring them to fruition. Currently, the university has four faculties - Business Administration, Economics and Political Science; Computer Science; Engineering; and Nursing, as well as a Department of English that provides the requisite language training. It operates within the framework of the UK Quality Assurance Agency and provides degrees in a similar style and to an equivalent standard to UK programmes. The BUE is validated by Loughborough and Queen Margaret Universities in the UK and successful students receive a British as well as an Egyptian qualification. Having graduated its first students in 2009, the BUE is now firmly established and well placed to establish a global reputation as a high quality teaching and research institution. Contact information: The British University in Egypt Cairo-Suez Desert Road – El Sherouk City, Egypt Tel: +202 2689 0000; Fax: +202 2687 5897 Website: www.bue.edu.eg Email: info@bue.edu.eg The Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (MCSBE) was formed in 2008 as an affiliate of the International Council for Small Business (ICSB) with a mandate to develop members and activities in Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Morocco. Its mission is to advance entrepreneurship and small business in these countries and to develop linkages with the ICSB global network of affiliates and members from 70 countries around the world. Members include representatives from government bodies, universities, business associations, banks, venture capital companies, donors, consulting companies, large corporations and entrepreneurial companies, business development service providers, and development NGOs. MCSBE’s objectives are to: advocate the formation and growth of small businesses as a mechanism for economic growth and development by encouraging research, improving relevant knowledge and skills, promoting the free exchange of ideas and experiences, and partnering with governmental institutions and other stakeholders involved in encouraging and supporting the development of entrepreneurship and small businesses. Contact information: The Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship Cairo, Egypt Website: www.mcsbe.org Email: info@mcsbe.org Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Egypt Entrepreneurship Report 2008 Hala Hattab, PhD The British University in Egypt GEM Egypt Team Members Mr. Amr Gohar Dr. Hala Hattab Ms. Lois Stevenson Prof. David Kirby Mr. Ahmed Nafie Mr. Adel Noureldin Dr. Paul D. Reynolds Disclaimer: This report is based on data collected by the GEM consortium and the GEM-Egypt team; responsibility for analysis and interpretation of the data is the sole responsibility of the authors. The authors have attempted to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information contained in this publication, however, no responsibility can be accepted for any errors and inaccuracies that may occur. Foreword by His Excellency The Minister of Trade and Industry First of all, let me congratulate the Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB) and the British University in Egypt (BUE) for their pioneering efforts to engage Egypt’s partnership in the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) Project and for initiating the GEM Egypt 2008 study. They did so with the full endorsement and support of the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) and the Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC) and we are very pleased to have been a sponsor of this important work. It is obvious from this inaugural benchmarking report that Egypt is a country with millions of aspiring and active entrepreneurs. The GEM Egypt 2008 report has been able to quantify the level of entrepreneurial activity in the country and provide a profile of early-stage entrepreneurs and their enterprises. Entrepreneurial activity is taking place in all socioeconomic strata of Egyptian society – the GEM Egypt 2008 report demonstrates that people of all ages, educational backgrounds, household income levels, and urban-rural environments are actively engaged in some phase of entrepreneurial activity. However, there are many variances in entrepreneurial activity rates in different segments of society. In this regard, the report presents many interesting, and even surprising, results. Compared to other countries participating in the GEM research project, Egypt is performing well on some indicators and not so well on others. Obviously, there are areas where we need to make considerable improvements in order to address discrepancies and gaps. In full recognition of the critical role of entrepreneurs in job creation, innovation, growth, and national prosperity, the Government of Egypt is committed to creating an enabling environment for entrepreneurship to flourish in the country. We have made much progress in recent years to improve the investment environment and to reduce the cost and complexity of registering new businesses. Our laudable performance on the World Bank “Doing Business” reports is indicative of the outcome of the Government’s reform efforts. However, Egypt is still a developing economy and we know that much more needs to done to improve our competitiveness in the global marketplace. The Egyptian economy is expanding and we need to ensure that Egyptians have every opportunity to develop new business ideas, enter new markets, and produce new and innovative products and services to meet the needs of businesses and consumers in both local and foreign markets. Page | iii We cannot afford to build our future growth on foreign direct investment alone. We need to broaden our base of domestic investors and entrepreneurs to develop a more diversified and dynamic economy. Investing in this and the next generation of entrepreneurs, particularly our young people, is critical. The GEM-Egypt 2008 clearly states that Egypt’s large youth population gives us a strong “entrepreneurial advantage” and we need to build on this. The GEM Egypt 2008 report offers a rich and credible evidence-base to underpin policies and measures to enhance entrepreneurial activity levels. We have to take very seriously actions to improve our global position among other GEM countries and I, along with my colleagues in the Government of Egypt, will be carefully reviewing the report and its policy recommendations. Once again, congratulations for an outstanding effort and I invite all readers of this report to consider what actions they might take to create a more supportive environment for entrepreneurs to pursue their aspirations and to help Egypt to, indeed, become a regional hub for entrepreneurship! Minister Page | iv Message from the President of The British University in Egypt Entrepreneurship has been an important contributor to the modernisation of the Egyptian economy in recent years and, as the 21st century knowledge economy progresses, it will play an increasingly important role, creating not just new businesses but new opportunities and new innovations. This inaugural Global Entrepreneurship Report for Egypt is particularly timely, therefore, not least as it demonstrates what needs to be done if entrepreneurship is to be developed in the economy. In particular, the report demonstrates the critical role of education in the promotion of an entrepreneurial culture and there is much that Egyptian universities can and must do if the country is to compete effectively in a highly entrepreneurial and innovative global economy. Not only is there a need for more research on Entrepreneurship in Egypt, to aid policy formulation, but importantly there is a need, also, for more entrepreneurship education in our universities, colleges and schools to help promote a culture of enterprise. Hence I was delighted to support Professor Kirby and his team when he proposed that the British University in Egypt should be the lead Egyptian university in this important international research project. Although the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor project has been in existence for over 10 years, it is the first time that Egypt has been included. This means we can now monitor the level of Entrepreneurship in the Egyptian economy, compare our performance against other competing economies and identify what needs to be done to strengthen our performance. In my view it is particularly appropriate that the British University, a modern private institution, should be taking the lead in this exercise. Not only has British Higher Education played a significant role in creating a more entrepreneurial culture in the UK in the last 30 years or so, enabling us to learn from their experience, but importantly the founder and Chairman of the Board of Trustees, Mr.Mohamed Farid Khamis, is one of the country’s leading entrepreneurs. Accordingly, we in the British University in Egypt will do all that we can to learn from the results of this research and help promote entrepreneurship in Egypt through the education and training of our young people, working with early-stage entrepreneurs and aiding higher education colleagues to better understand what support is needed and how it can be provided. Page | v We will also continue to undertake research in this field and I congratulate all of those involved in this project for recognising the importance of this research to the country, undertaking the research and delivering this inaugural and timely benchmarking report. I commend the research to you and believe it will contribute significantly to the creation of policy that will help create a more entrepreneurial and competitive Egyptian economy. Prof. Ahmed Amin Hamza Professor of Physics CPhys FInstP, FRMS President The British University in Egypt Page | vi Acknowledgements It took many people and organisations to make the GEM-Egypt 2008 project possible. A considerable amount of gratitude goes to the Minister of Trade and Industry, H. E. Rachid M. Rachid, who recognised the potential of the GEM research to produce valuable policy insights to the Government of Egypt and endorsed the initiative. The project’s main sponsor was the Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC). Mr. Helmy Aboule’ish, Chairman of the Management Board of the IMC, deserves particular accolades for believing in the value of researching entrepreneurial activity in Egypt for the insights it could bring to designers of both policy and entrepreneurship support programmes, and for the instrumental role played by the IMC in facilitating the publication of this report. The Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (MCSBE) is also acknowledged for its role in promoting dissemination of the important research results. Two special people were critical in bringing the concept of a GEM-Egypt study to fruition. The first is Mr. Amr Gohar, Vice-Chairman of the Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB), who championed EJB’s vision of an Egyptian partnership with the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) and relentlessly pursued its realisation. The second is Prof. David Kirby, Dean of the School of Business and Economics at the British University in Egypt (BUE), who offered to be the university partner with GEM and to provide the research resources for the GEM Egypt National Team. In the launch of the GEM Egypt research, Prof. Kirby was joined by Dr. Mohamed Eid and Dr. Nagwa Ibrahim who both made a valuable contribution to the formative stages of the project design. The efforts of The Nielsen Company, Egypt must also be acknowledged. The Nielsen team took great care in conducting the survey of entrepreneurial orientations and perceptions of a nationally representative sample of over 2,500 adults across the country, achieving a high level of quality and precision according to GEM international standards. Funding of the project was supplemented by corporate social responsibility contributions of the Nielsen Company and the British University in Egypt, for which the GEM-Egypt team is highly grateful. During the research analysis stage, the project benefited greatly from the input and advice of Dr. Paul Reynolds, Distinguished Visiting Professor in the George Mason University School of Public Policy. Dr. Reynolds led the entire GEM global project during its early formative years and happily agreed to assist the BUE research team with some critical analysis of the GEM Egypt data files. Gratitude is also extended to Lois Stevenson, Visiting Research Fellow at the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) in the Middle East/North Africa Office (MERO), who was particularly helpful in providing guidance during the process of analysing the data findings as well as offering detailed and value-added input on the earlier drafts of this report. Finally, appreciation is extended to the thousands of Egyptians who took time to participate in the adult population survey and the survey of national experts. The result has been a very rich dataset about the level of entrepreneurial activity in the country and the environment and conditions for the emergence of new entrepreneurs. Page | vii Page | viii Executive Summary Entrepreneurship is a critical component of growth in any society. Entrepreneurs create jobs, innovate with new products and services, and, through the starting of new businesses, they positively impact on the level of productivity in a sector or the economy. The fundamental aim of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) research is to provide a strong foundation for an informed policy debate about the relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth and help governments identify what needs to be done to enhance the level and quality of entrepreneurship in their countries. The GEM, an international research initiative that measures the level of entrepreneurial activity by assembling harmonised data from several participating countries on an annual basis, is the largest social science research project in the world. The GEM research project has three main objectives: x x x To measure differences in the level of early-stage entrepreneurial activity among countries; To uncover factors determining the national levels of entrepreneurial activity; and To identify policies that may enhance the national level of entrepreneurial activity. Egypt joined the GEM consortium of countries in 2008. The GEM Egypt 2008 research is the first comprehensive study to address the issue of entrepreneurship in Egypt. To gather data, the study utilised two types of surveys, the Adult Population Survey (APS) and the National Experts Survey (NES). The APS was administered to 2,600 Egyptians in the summer of 2008, selected from a nationally-representative sample of the adult population. The 36 national experts participating in the NES were selected on the basis of their knowledge and experience related to the set of entrepreneurial framework conditions known to have an impact on entrepreneurial activity levels at the country level. The outcome of GEM Egypt 2008 is a systematic, reliable, and internationally comparable study that measures the level of entrepreneurial activity in Egypt and describes its key characteristics. Key issues emerging from the study will serve to better inform policymakers and concerned stakeholders about what needs to be done to elevate the level of entrepreneurial activity in Egypt, and the quality, sustainability, competitiveness and growth of new businesses. Key findings from the GEM Egypt 2008 are summarised below. Entrepreneurial activity rates (pp. 9–14) x x x In the summer of 2008, 13.1% of adults in Egypt (18-64 years old) were either actively trying to start a new business (7.9%) or already owned and managed a business that was less than three and half years old (5.5%). This indicator is referred to as the Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) rate. On this indicator, Egypt tanked 11th among 43 countries. These early-stage entrepreneurial activity rates converted to an estimated three million nascent entrepreneurs, i.e. Egyptians who were actively trying to start a new business, and about two million entrepreneurs with young businesses. With an average start-up team of 2.21 people, the three million nascent entrepreneurs were in the process of trying to start 1.34 million new enterprises. Page | ix x x x x x With an average number of 1.83 new jobs created per start-up (not including the owners), these new ventures, if actually launched, would have a substantial impact on job creation — over 2.4 million new jobs. Young businesses in Egypt (less than three and half years old) had an average ownership team of 2.19 persons. Thus, the total number of young businesses represented by the estimated two million Egyptian entrepreneurs in this category tallies to almost 940,000. Finally, 8.8% of the adult population reported being the owner of established businesses that were more than three and a half years old. Egypt’s TEA rate falls below the U-shape curve that appears to represent the relationship between country-level TEA rates and per capita GDP. This means that there is scope for more entrepreneurial activity in the country. Four out of five Egyptian early-stage entrepreneurs were motivated to start a business because they wanted to pursue a market opportunity, combined with a desire for independence and better income prospects (“opportunity-entrepreneurship”). The remaining 20% indicated they were primarily driven by the need to earn a livelihood (“necessity-entrepreneurship”). The share of “opportunity-entrepreneurship” in Egypt is higher than in most other countries at a similar level of economic development. Demographics and entrepreneurial activity rates (pp. 14–26) x x x x Demographic groups of the adult population with the highest TEA rates were: 1) those in the 25-34 year age group; 2) those with post-secondary education; 3) those in the household income group of LE 1,501-2,000; 4) those living in Cairo; and 5) men. Overall, women are underrepresented as early-stage entrepreneurs in Egypt, with an average rate of entrepreneurial activity less than a third that of men. Six percent of adult females were engaged in early-stage entrepreneurial activity versus 19% of adult males. The gender gap in TEA rates in Egypt is one of the largest in all GEM countries. Although TEA rates are highest among Egyptians with post-secondary or higher level of education, the majority of early-stage entrepreneurs have a secondary education or less. Egyptian early-stage entrepreneurs are less likely than in most GEM countries to have university degrees. GEM studies find that the TEA rate tends to be higher (by varying degrees) among adults in the top third of household income brackets. In Egypt, this pattern seems to hold, especially for men. At the lowest household income levels, the decision to start a business is more driven by necessity than opportunity. Characteristics of nascent and early-stage businesses (pp. 27-37) x x x The businesses of early-stage entrepreneurs are more likely to be in retail and service sectors than established Egyptian enterprises and less likely to be in manufacturing. The vast majority of the nascent and start-up businesses are small ventures. The majority of Egyptian early-stage entrepreneurs were financing their start-ups with less than LE 50,000 (60%) but the amount ranged from LE 100 to LE 10 million (31% needed between LE 50,000 and LE 500,000 and 9% over LE 500,000). Most new entrepreneurs finance their start-ups from their personal resources, which means that the scale of the venture has to be commensurate with how much money they can pull together. However, over half of the nascent entrepreneurs were Page | x x x x x planning to attract external financing and the remainder to finance start-up costs from their own resources. Nascent entrepreneurs in the oldest age group (55-64), highest education group, and households with annual incomes in excess of LE 4,000 have estimated average startup capital requirements greater than the mean for all nascent entrepreneurs (thus, larger and more capital, intensive start-ups) and expect to have significantly more start-up financing/investment from others. Nascent and young businesses have a potentially strong impact on unemployment reduction through their growth orientations. The employment growth expectations of early-stage entrepreneurs would result in a 25% growth in average firm size over the coming five years. However, only 11.4% of Egyptian entrepreneurs expect to create more than 10 jobs in five years, ranking Egypt in the bottom half of GEM countries. Early-stage entrepreneurs in Egypt are more likely than established entrepreneurs to be using, or planning to use, new technologies as a market expansion strategy, and to be employing the latest technology in their business. In fact, the percentage of Egyptian early-stage entrepreneurs indicating they are doing this is higher than in most developed GEM countries. But the level of innovativeness of their products and product market combinations is very low compared to GEM countries. Early-stage entrepreneurs also contribute to external trade activity — almost 40% of early-stage businesses have customers outside of Egypt. The prevalence of informal investors – “business angels” (pp. 38–40) x x x In Egypt, 2.5% of the adult population has been involved as informal investors in the early-stage start-ups of others over the past three years. These “business angels” play a large role in helping to get new businesses off the ground. Although the average investment is small (mean of LE 8,700 a year) and almost half of the business angels are investing in start-ups of close family members and relatives, the estimated amount of their annual investments is close to 1% of (2008) GDP. Relative to other GEM countries, Egypt’s angel prevalence rate compares with the average for EU GEM countries, but is low compared to the OECD GEM countries (average of 3.5%), the US (5.2%), and well below other developing countries.. Attitudes of the population towards entrepreneurship and self-efficacy (pp. 41–43) x x x x The general Egyptian population is favourably disposed towards entrepreneurship. Almost three-quarters perceive it as a desirable career choice and express a low fear of failure, factors associated with positive attitudes towards entrepreneurship in a society. These percentages are well above average for GEM countries. About a third of Egyptians expect to start a business within the next three years. However, only 40% of Egyptians saw good opportunities for starting a business “within six months”, lower than in many GEM countries, and just slightly over half perceived they had the required knowledge and skills to start a business, lower than in countries at a similar level of economic development, but higher than in more developed countries. Egypt has the second lowest rate for the percentage of the population that has received any exposure to entrepreneurship in the education and training system. Only 7.5% of Egyptians reported ever having taken any courses on starting a business as part of school-based activity, or participating in related training after leaving the Page | xi formal education system. Of the non-entrepreneurially-active population, adults who have never received start-up training were much less likely to perceive that they had the skills, knowledge, and experience to start a business than those who had. Assessment of Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions (EFC) (pp. 45–70) The GEM research also includes an assessment of nine entrepreneurial framework conditions considered to be the main determinants of a nation’s entrepreneurial environment in support of new and growing firms: 1) availability of financial support; 2) government policy support; 3) extent and quality of government support programmes; 4) the presence of entrepreneurship in the education and training system; 5) accessibility of R&D and technology; 6) the extent, quality, and cost of commercial services available; 7) the degree of market openness and dynamism to make room for the entry of new firms; 8) ease of access to physical infrastructure (e.g. ICT, utilities, transportation systems, land); and 9) the extent to which existing social and cultural norms encourage or discourage individual actions leading to entrepreneurial activity (e.g. entrepreneurial culture, respect for entrepreneurs). x x x x x x The Egyptian national experts were quite negative about the strength of many of the EFCs. Their poorest assessment was of the state of R&D and technology transfer support. Financial support for new and growing firms to acquire new technology; access to research and technology; commercialisation support to engineers and scientists with market potential technologies or applications; and the transfer of knowledge and technology from universities and public research centres to new and growing firms, were all viewed as being extremely weak. Weaknesses in the education system with respect to entrepreneurship were reinforced by the national experts and reflected in Egypt’s poor comparative standing relative to other GEM countries on the Education and Training EFC (last place). The education system in Egypt was assessed by national experts as being very weak in this area, at all levels of schooling, unlike the case in many other GEM countries where the government has made entrepreneurship education a priority. There was little consensus amongst the national experts that sufficient financing was available for new and early-stage growth firms, particularly equity and venture capital financing. Their assessment placed Egypt 21st among the 43 GEM countries. Other framework items with very poor assessments related to: 1) difficulty for new and growing firms in coping with government bureaucracy, regulations, and licensing requirements; 2) lack of availability and accessibility of government programmes to support anyone who is developing a new or growing business; and 3) lack of effective support for new and growing firms provided by science parks and incubators. National experts were moderately in agreement that support for new and growing firms is a high priority at the national government level (less so at the local government level). One of their concerns, however, was the lack of a comprehensive government-wide and formally-adopted entrepreneurship policy document, articulating a strategy to specifically promote the development of new entrepreneurs and the start-up of new and growth-oriented enterprises. They perceived existing initiatives to promote entrepreneurship and support start-ups as fragmented and disintegrated. On the other hand, Egypt ranked very well among GEM countries on experts’ opinions about access to physical infrastructure and the level of market dynamism (e.g. Page | xii x changing and expanding markets create opportunities for new firm entries), although not quite so well on the ease with which new firms can enter established markets (e.g. unfair competition, ineffective anti-trust legislation). National experts in Egypt were quite positive about the extent of opportunities to start new businesses in the country. They felt that opportunities for new firms have increased considerably over the past five years, and that a rapidly changing and dynamic market for consumer and business goods and services is a contributing factor. However, they were less positive that individuals can easily pursue opportunities or react quickly to them. They also did not have much confidence that people in the country generally possessed the necessary know-how and experience to start and manage a small business, and particularly a high-growth business, placing Egypt in the bottom half of GEM countries. Some policy implications of GEM Egypt data (pp. 71–75) x The 25-34 age group has the highest entrepreneurial activity rates, true for all GEM countries. So this is the most significant pool of potential entrepreneurs from which the majority of new enterprises and jobs will be created in coming years. The age group with the second highest TEA rate in Egypt is among the 18-24 year olds, which is not the case in most GEM countries. Thus, Egypt’s young population gives it a strong “entrepreneurial” advantage. The policy implication is that considerable efforts should be made in Egypt to foster the development of entrepreneurial skills, ability, and know-how of young Egyptians. This should start early in the education system as part of the formal curriculum and extracurricular activities. Preparing them early will have an impact on developing entrepreneurial potential and on the quality of the enterprises eventually started. It should follow through with dedicated programmes to support young entrepreneurs in the start-up and early-stage growth process, such as exist in many other countries. x TEA rates in the population generally rise with the level of education. So countries with large cohorts of highly-educated people may have an “entrepreneurial” advantage. Although Egypt basically follows the pattern of GEM countries — TEA rates are highest among adults with post-secondary education or higher — unfortunately, the average education level in Egypt is relatively low, so the better educated people with higher TEA rates are in the minority. GEM studies have also found that entrepreneurs with higher levels of education are more likely to be innovative and growth-oriented. The major implication of this result is that the low level of education of Egyptians generally is a barrier to growth of the entrepreneurial population. In the medium-term, Egypt must continue to raise the average education level of the population. In the short- and medium-term, efforts should be made to reform the education approach to foster creativity, self-sufficiency, personal initiative, and independent thinking, as well as to integrate entrepreneurship-related content into teaching materials and classrooms at all levels of the education system. x GEM studies conclude that rapid gains in start-up rates can be achieved by increasing the participation of women in the entrepreneurial process, and provide evidence that countries with the highest start-up rates tend to have a higher level of female participation. This suggests that more efforts should be made to target the Page | xiii entrepreneurial development of women. Egypt’s large gender gap in the entrepreneurial activity rates of men and women is thus an area of concern. The policy implication is that Egypt should engage more aggressively in efforts to promote women’s entrepreneurship and launch supporting initiatives. x Upgrading the level of technology in use by Egyptian enterprises is critical to improving product quality, efficiency and competitiveness. The vast majority of earlystage entrepreneurs in Egypt are not particularly technology-oriented or differentiated in their product market combinations. As reinforced by the national experts, proper attention to R&D, its transfer to the entrepreneurial sector, and support for all forms of innovation are crucial policy issues. Recommendations (pp. 76–81) Based on the input from national experts and analysis of the adult population interviews, the GEM Egypt 2008 study offers a number of recommendations for consideration by policymakers and other stakeholders. A: Education and training: Undertake reforms in the education system to enable it to become a main driving factor in the development of entrepreneurship. This will involve: 1. Restructuring the educational system to foster creativity and independent thinking; reviewing the design of school curriculum at the elementary and secondary levels to incorporate entrepreneurship principles; accelerating the teaching of entrepreneurship materials in more schools and classes; integrating entrepreneurship classes on how to start a business as part of vocational or technical training programmes/courses; introducing entrepreneurship as a major in the universities; and encouraging a career advisory system in universities to embrace the idea of students starting-up their own businesses. 2. Introducing management skills modules at secondary schools, vocational institutions and universities; establishing non-degree programmes to enhance the level of skills and capabilities necessary in starting-up and growing a business; and dramatically expanding the offer of flexible entrepreneurship orientation, training and mentoring programmes through business resource centres, youth centres, Social Fund for Development (SFD) Regional Offices, the Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC), and qualified NGOs and business associations throughout the country. 3. Setting up enterprise incubators and entrepreneurship centres on university and college campuses to promote entrepreneurship, provide counselling and mentoring services, and provide linkages between the centres of knowledge creation and potential entrepreneurs. B: Financing support: It is crucial to develop a stronger financial-support environment in Egypt in order to enhance the creation and development of entrepreneurial start-ups and growth ventures. Improving the situation can be assisted by: Page | xiv 1. Providing incentives and training to encourage banks to extend loans to new startups, and making more microfinance funds available for enterprises in the start-up stage. 2. Providing incentives and the appropriate regulatory framework to stimulate more private equity and venture capital investment in seed capital funds for new and early-stage, innovative and high growth potential enterprises that have limited access to traditional funding sources, including the offer of management advice. 3. Encouraging business angels to play a more active role in supporting entrepreneurship, especially high growth start-ups. C: Regulatory framework: Reducing barriers to the start-up and growth of an enterprise is basic to increasing the level and nature of entrepreneurial activity. In this regard, the government should: 1. Ensure that competition policy and anti-trust legislation are effective and well enforced so as to create fair, equal, and open opportunities for the competitive entry of new and growing firms in sectors of the market. 2. Make provisions in the labour laws to allow self-employed persons to participate in social security schemes (medical insurance, pension, etc.). 3. Amend bankruptcy laws to international standards with flexible procedures for closing down a business in cases of insolvency. The legal consequences of “failure” should not prevent entrepreneurs from having a second chance. D: Culture and awareness building: While the Egyptian population has quite favourable attitudes towards entrepreneurship and its role in society, national experts pointed to the lingering of some traditional cultural attitudes. GEM studies confirm that the perceived social legitimacy of entrepreneurship makes a difference to TEA rates, and clearly there would be economic and social benefits from higher TEA rates in Egypt. Promoting role models is one of the effective ways to inform and motivate more positive attitudes and action. This can be achieved by: 1. Celebrating success stories of entrepreneurs, encouraging self-employment and fostering an entrepreneurial-promoting culture, stimulated by sufficient social support from family, friends and peers; and improving the social image of entrepreneurs through media efforts focused on “achieving entrepreneurs” as credible role models. E: Women’s entrepreneurship: Women in Egypt represent a large untapped source of entrepreneurial potential and an economic force if that potential is encouraged and supported more fully. This could be achieved through: 1. Articulating women’s entrepreneurship as an economic issue rather than as a gender or social issue; and recognising the contribution of women entrepreneurs as economic and wealth-creating agents. Page | xv 2. Launching cultural awareness campaigns to address the social and cultural impediments facing women who would like to play a more active role in economic activity by starting their own business, and implementing special initiatives in postsecondary institutions and universities to promote entrepreneurship to female students. 3. Implementing initiatives to promote entrepreneurship for women, including a systematic network of entrepreneurship and business support services to help transfer the knowledge and skills needed to develop business ideas and new ventures (e.g. special programmes to mentor and coach women on starting up businesses, expanded women’s enterprise centres, entrepreneurship training opportunities for women who are trying to break into the labour market, financial intermediaries and special loan products dedicated to women (e.g. less rigid collateral requirements, tailored pay-back mechanisms). F: Government policy and programme support: Governments have an important role to play in nurturing entrepreneurial activity. They do this indirectly through their fiscal policies, tax policies, regulatory policies, competition policies, education and technology policies, regional development policies, labour market policies and so on, and directly through targeted programme measures and interventions — the establishment of business incubators, information and business resource centres, enterprise development centres, and R&D subsidies, as examples. The GEM Egypt 2008 study revealed several areas where the government can add value in the fostering of entrepreneurship and, thus, position and promote Egypt as a regional hub of entrepreneurial activity. 1. Formulate a comprehensive entrepreneurship policy and framework for actions to serve as a cross-government roadmap for the development and implementation of measures to accelerate the development of entrepreneurship and to address needs and gaps of different types of entrepreneurs at each stage of the entrepreneurial process. An important objective of the policy would be to foster higher-quality startups with more growth potential and competitive advantages. 2. Appoint a high-level public-private National Entrepreneurship Council with representatives from the policy community, business associations, universities, and development organisations as a vehicle for raising the policy profile of this key economic growth issue. 3. Implement policies that reduce tax burden, further streamline procedures for starting a business, and reduce the bureaucratic, legal and regulatory barriers (and costs) to establishing and operating enterprises. Lower taxes and simplified and unified new business registration and licensing procedures are factors in the creation of a more favourable environment for entrepreneurship, new business entries, and growing firms. Effective one-stop shops, combined with streamlined steps and procedures, could contribute to an increase in the attractiveness of pursuing formal entrepreneurial activities in Egypt as well as the competitiveness of early-stage enterprises. 4. Align government support programmes towards enhancing entrepreneurial activity in Egypt. Page | xvi 5. Expand government support for research and development by allocating more resources and public investment to encourage R&D efforts (e.g. encouraging research centres in the universities, especially the public ones, to innovate through dissemination of knowledge, facilitating access to funds, increasing exposure to advanced technologies, and facilitating the commercialisation of innovative ideas developed in these centres by building bridges with entrepreneurs). 6. Establish a larger network of business incubators to support the setting up of new entrepreneurial ventures and provide the appropriate business support needed to increase their chances of survival and growth. 7. Establish a Technology Acquisition Fund that can be used by new and young firms to secure financing for the acquisition of the latest technologies or to develop new technologies with market potential. 8. Invest in development and integration of entrepreneurial attributes and principles at all levels of the education and training system, as well as specifically targeting the development of young entrepreneurs. 9. Facilitate the trade process for new and established entrepreneurial ventures by developing plans, policies and programmes to increase their export potential. 10. Improve the infrastructure (e.g. transportation, telecommunications, community services) in the country, lowering the cost of services provided to entrepreneurial ventures, and improving the quality in the delivery of the services. In conclusion, this report highlights some of the major findings of the GEM Egypt research. More in-depth analysis of the many variables in the survey database is possible and would shed light on other interesting aspects of early-stage entrepreneurship in Egypt. Critically important is that the GEM-Egypt 2008 study has, for the first time, established baseline information on the entrepreneurial behaviour of Egyptians. Tracked through annual updates, this will provide a substantial evidence base to inform policymakers. This will better enable the refinement and development of effective policies, measures and actions to foster entrepreneurship as part of a growth agenda. Other countries have found that conducting the GEM research on an annual basis has produced a unique and invaluable set of data for monitoring trends and changes over time and provided a much richer understanding of the entrepreneurial dynamics taking place in the economy and the environment for entrepreneurship. This has led to many policy improvements and assisted in the evaluation of the impact of different policy measures on the performance of entrepreneurial indicators. Page | xvii Page | xviii Table of Contents Foreword by His Excellency The Minister of Trade and Industry ........................................iii Message by the President of the British University in Egypt ...............................................v Acknowledgements .................................................................................................... vii Executive Summary......................................................................................................ix Table of Contents ...................................................................................................... xix List of Tables .............................................................................................................. xx Part I: Introduction to Global Entrepreneurship Monitor- Egypt 2008 .................................1 The GEM Conceptual Model ..........................................................................................2 Research Methodology..................................................................................................7 Part II: Adult Population Survey (APS) Findings.................................................................9 Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity Prevalence Rates in Egypt ..........................................9 Motives for Becoming an Entrepreneur.........................................................................12 Demographics and Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt.......................................................14 Gender and Entrepreneurial Activity ......................................................................14 Age and Entrepreneurial Activity ...........................................................................15 Education and Entrepreneurial Activity ..................................................................18 Household Income and Entrepreneurial Activity......................................................22 Labour Force Status and Entrepreneurial Activity ....................................................24 Regional Variations and Entrepreneurial Activity .....................................................26 Characteristics of the Nascent and Early-Stage Enterprises ..............................................27 Enterprise Sectors................................................................................................27 Employment Prospects.........................................................................................28 Start-up Capital and Requirements ........................................................................29 Export Orientation...............................................................................................32 Innovation and Growth Expectations .....................................................................34 Business Discontinuances .....................................................................................37 Business Angels ...................................................................................................38 Egypt’s Entrepreneurial Orientation: Entrepreneurial Attitudes and Perceptions of the Population..............................................................................................................41 Part III: National Expert Survey (NES) Findings – Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions.....45 Expert’s Perceptions of the Strength of Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions.................45 1. Financial Support .............................................................................................46 2. Government Policies.........................................................................................48 3. Governmental Programmes ..............................................................................50 4. Education and Training .....................................................................................52 5. R&D Transfer ...................................................................................................55 6. Commercial and Professional Services Infrastructure ...........................................57 7. Internal Market Openness.................................................................................58 8. Accessibility of Physical Infrastructure ................................................................60 9. Social and Cultural Norms .................................................................................62 Experts’ Views on Other Aspects of the Entrepreneurial Environment ..............................63 Start-up Support to Women..................................................................................63 Opportunities to Start Up .....................................................................................65 Abilities and Knowledge to Start Up.......................................................................66 Page | xix Experts’ Views on Areas Constraining and Fostering Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt ........68 Part IV: Policy Implications and Recommendations.........................................................71 Policy Implications ......................................................................................................71 Recommendations......................................................................................................76 Education and Training.........................................................................................76 Financing ............................................................................................................77 The Regulatory Environment.................................................................................77 Culture and Awareness Building ............................................................................78 Elevating the Level of Women’s Entrepreneurship...................................................78 Government Policy and Programme Support ..........................................................79 Annex 1. GEM2008 National Teams – Global..................................................................83 Annex 2. GEM Egypt National Team..............................................................................89 Annex 3. List of National Experts - Egypt* ......................................................................93 List of Tables Table 1. Glossary of GEM Terminology and Main Indicators...............................................6 Table 2. Prevalence Rates of Entrepreneurial Activity in the Adult Population in GEM Countries, 2008.......................................................................................................10 Table 3. Motives for Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity - GEM Countries ........................13 Table 4. Percentage of the 18-64 Population that Received Voluntary or Compulsory Training in Starting a Business During or After Schooling..........................................................21 Table 5. Start-up Money for Nascent Enterprises – Egypt, 2008........................................30 Table 6. Variations in Start-up Money Requirements by Demographic Variables ................31 Table 7. Innovation and Growth Expectations of TEA Businesses ......................................35 Table 8. Comparing TEA and Established Businesses on Expansion, Innovation and Competitive Aspects – Egypt, 2008............................................................................36 Table 9. Angel Prevalence Rates among Demographic Groups – Egypt, 2008 .....................40 Table 10. Entrepreneurial Attitudes and Perceptions in the 43 GEM Countries by Phase of Economic Development, 2008 ..................................................................................42 Table 11. Summary of Egypt's Relative Performance in Assessment of EFCs.......................45 Table 12. Areas Constraining Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt - Experts' Opinions .............68 Table 13. Areas Fostering Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt - Experts' Opinions..................69 Table 14. Experts' Recommendations to Improve the Level of Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt .....................................................................................................................70 List of Figures Figure 1. GEM Conceptual Model ...................................................................................3 Figure 2. The Entrepreneurial Process .............................................................................5 Figure 3. Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) ........................................................11 Figure 4. Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity Rates by Per Capita GDP, 2008 ....................12 Figure 5. Opportunity and Necessity TEA Rates - Total, Male, Female - Egypt 2008.............14 Figure 6. Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity Rates by Gender - GEM Countries, 2008 .......15 Figure 7. Early-Stage TEA Rates by Age Group and Phase of Development, 2008 ................16 Figure 8. TEA Rate by Age Group - Egypt, 2008...............................................................16 Page | xx Figure 9. Age Distribution of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs Compared to all Respondents – Egypt, 2008 ............................................................................................................17 Figure 10. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs by Age Group – Egypt, 2008 ...17 Figure 11. Entrepreneurial Activity Rates by Age and Phase of Entrepreneurial Process – Egypt, 2008 ............................................................................................................18 Figure 12. TEA Prevalence Rates by Education and Gender – Egypt, 2008..........................19 Figure 13. Distribution of Adult Population and Early-Stage Entrepreneurs by Level of Completed Education – Egypt, 2008 ..........................................................................19 Figure 14. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity by Education ...........20 Figure 15. TEA Prevalence Rates by Household Income and Gender - Egypt, 2008..............22 Figure 16. Household Income Distribution of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs Compared to all Respondents...........................................................................................................23 Figure 17. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs by Household Income Group Egypt, 2008 ............................................................................................................23 Figure 18. TEA Prevalence Rates by Labour Force Status and Gender - Egypt, 2008 ............24 Figure 19.Labour Force Attachment of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs – Egypt, 2008................25 Figure 20. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs by Labour Force Attachment ..25 Figure 21. TEA Prevalence Rates by Region and Gender - Egypt 2008................................26 Figure 22. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity by Region................27 Figure 23. Sector Distribution of Early-Stage and Established Businesses - Egypt, 2008 .......28 Figure 24. Current Number of Jobs by Stage of Enterprise Development - Egypt, 2008 .......29 Figure 25. Jobs Expected in 5 Years - Egypt, 2008 ...........................................................29 Figure 26. Return on Investment Expected by Nascent Entrepreneurs - Egypt, 2008...........32 Figure 27. Number of Customers outside Egypt..............................................................33 Figure 28. Number of Customers Outside the Country, GEM 2008 Countries .....................33 Figure 29. Reasons for Business Discontinuance, GEM Countries, 2008.............................37 Figure 30. Business Angels by Investment Size - Egypt, 2008............................................38 Figure 31. Relationship of Business Angel to Investee – Egypt, 2008 .................................39 Figure 32. Investment Returns Expected by Business Angels in 10 Years............................39 Figure 33. Financial Support – Cross-National Comparison...............................................46 Figure 34. Perceptions of the State of Financial Support in Egypt .....................................47 Figure 35. Government Policies – Cross-National Comparison..........................................48 Figure 36. Perceptions of the State of Government Policies in Egypt.................................49 Figure 37. Government Programmes – Cross-National Comparison ..................................50 Figure 38. Perceptions of the State of Government Programmes in Egypt .........................51 Figure 39. Entrepreneurial Education at Primary and Secondary Schools – Cross-National Comparison............................................................................................................52 Figure 40. Education and Training – Cross-National Comparison ......................................53 Figure 41. Perceptions of the State of Entrepreneurial Education and Training in Egypt ......53 Figure 42. R&D Transfer – Cross-National Comparison ....................................................55 Figure 43. Perceptions of the State of R&D Transfer in Egypt ...........................................56 Figure 44. Commercial & Professional Services Infrastructure – Cross-National Comparison57 Figure 45. Perceptions of the State of Commercial & Professional Infrastructure in Egypt ...58 Figure 46. Internal Market Dynamics – Cross-National Comparison ..................................59 Figure 47. Internal Market Burden – Cross-National Comparison.....................................59 Figure 48. Perceptions of the State of Internal Market Openness in Egypt........................60 Figure 49. Accessibility of Physical Infrastructure – Cross-National Comparison ................61 Figure 50. Perceptions of the State of Accessibility of Physical Infrastructure in Egypt ........61 Figure 51. Social and Cultural Norms – Cross-National Comparison .................................62 Page | xxi Figure 52. Perceptions of the State of Social and Cultural Norms in Egypt .........................63 Figure 53. Start-up Support to Women – Cross-National Comparison ...............................64 Figure 54. Perceptions of Support for Women’s Entrepreneurship in Egypt .......................64 Figure 55. Availability of Good Start-Up Opportunities Cross-National Comparison..........65 Figure 56. Perception of Opportunities to Start up in Egypt .............................................66 Figure 57. Abilities and Knowledge to Start and Manage a Business – Cross-National Comparison............................................................................................................67 Figure 58. Perception of Abilities and Knowledge to Start and Manage a Business in Egypt .67 Page | xxii Part I: Introduction to Global Entrepreneurship Monitor- Egypt 2008 Egypt, commonly known as “The Motherland of the World” and “Land of Civilisations” because of its distinct and world famous 7,000-year-old record of civilisation, is endowed with natural and human resources and a varied economic system. The rise of economic growth under a liberalised regime is considered the most distinguishing feature of the modern Egyptian economy. A series of economic reforms, particularly since 2004, has placed Egypt among the 10 most reformist countries in the world in 2008.1 Numerous measures have been taken in recent years to strengthen the role of the private sector in diversified sectors of economic activity. Many Egyptians have pursued entrepreneurship as a means of creating employment and income generation, instead of being employed by others and/or unemployed. Others have started businesses with the goal of creating wealth. These entrepreneur-led enterprises are responsible for producing the bulk of employment growth in the Egyptian economy in the past two decades. However, little is known about the population of entrepreneurs in Egypt, that is, their demographic profile, their motivations, their perceptions and attitudes, and their expectations for the future. In addition, little is known about the level of entrepreneurial activity and the specific external and internal influences affecting the emergence of entrepreneurs in society. 1F Although there is no concise universally accepted definition of entrepreneurship2, it has been gaining interest at the national and international levels because it symbolises innovation and dynamism in the economy 3. Since its inception in 1998, the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) has made a substantial contribution to filling the knowledge gap regarding entrepreneurship and economic development and providing crosscountry benchmarking indicators to compare the level and performance of entrepreneurial activity. 2F 3F GEM is an international research programme aimed at measurement of the national level of entrepreneurial activity by assembling relevant harmonised data from a number of countries on an annual basis. A partnership between the London Business School (UK) and Babson College (USA), it was initiated in 1999 with 10 countries, expanded to 21 countries in 2000, and in 2008, included 43 countries. See Annex 1 for information on the GEM teams in the 43 countries. GEM examines the factors that contribute to an entrepreneurial climate and the links between entrepreneurship and economic growth. Each year, a team of researchers from participating countries in the GEM cycle conducts its own independent investigation of domestic entrepreneurship using the same investigation methods, to ensure quality and comparability of the data, in order to study the complex relationships between new venture creation, economic growth, culture, government policies, and national prosperity. Page | 1 Egypt participated in the GEM research project for the first time in 2008. This national initiative, supported by the British University in Egypt (BUE), the Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC) of the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MIT), and the Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB) (see Annex 2 for information on the GEM-Egypt 2008 team members), positions Egypt on the global map of entrepreneurship, and benchmarks its entrepreneurial performance against that in 42 other developed and developing economies. This research allows an investigation of the motivations behind entrepreneurial activity (necessity or opportunity), the socioeconomic characteristics of entrepreneurs, and the perceptions and expectations of the general population, entrepreneurs, and national experts regarding the environment for entrepreneurship. The GEM Conceptual Model According to the GEM conceptual model, traditional analysis of economic growth and competitiveness tended to neglect the role played by new and small firms in the economy. 4 GEM takes a comprehensive approach and considers the degree of involvement in entrepreneurial activity within a country and identifies different types and phases of entrepreneurship. The GEM research project has three main objectives: 5 x x x To measure differences in the level of early-stage entrepreneurial activity among countries; To uncover factors determining the national levels of entrepreneurial activity; and To identify policies that may enhance the national level of entrepreneurial activity. These objectives are explored in the context of a theoretical model illustrated in Figure 1. The GEM 2008 report has adopted the country classifications outlined by the 2008-2009 Global Competitiveness Index (GCI). According to the GCI, countries are classified into factordriven economies, efficiency-driven economies and innovation-driven economies based on their stage of economic development. 6 This is a useful categorisation for GEM participating countries in view of the relationship between entrepreneurship and economic development at different phases of development. Each country has to give emphasis to certain conditions and requirements in order to nurture entrepreneurship depending on where it is in the development process. The role played by entrepreneurial activity also varies depending on a country’s level of development. Entrepreneurial activity takes place within a broader economic system that must provide the necessary “oxygen” of resources, incentives, markets, and supporting institutions to the growth of new firms. In this regard, global economic institutions play an important role. Within the GEM conceptual model, this is captured by the Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions (EFCs), which are considered to be the main determinants of a nation’s entrepreneurial environment. 7 These conditions specifically, and variously, influence the level of entrepreneurship in an economy and combined with entrepreneurial opportunity and entrepreneurial capacity determine the rate of entrepreneurial activity. In turn, entrepreneurial activity contributes to economic growth and prosperity. Definitions for each of the nine EFCs are presented in Box 1 (page 4). Page | 2 Figure 1. GEM Conceptual Model Basic requirements - Institutions - Infrastructure - Macroeconomic - stability Health and primary education Efficiency enhancers - Higher education & training Established Firms (Primary Economy) New branches, firm growth - Goods market efficiency Social, Cultural, Political Context - Labour market - efficiency Financial market sophistication Technological readiness Market size Innovation and entrepreneurship - Entrepreneurial finance - Government entrepreneurship programs - Entrepreneurship education - R&D transfer - Commercial, legal infrastructure for entrepreneurship - Entry regulation Entrepreneurship Attitudes: Perceived opportunities Perceived capacity National Economic Growth (Jobs and Technical Innovation) Activity: Early-stage Persistence Exits Aspirations: Growth Innovation Social value creation Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, p. 10. Page | 3 Box 1: GEM Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions The nine Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions (EFCs) considered in the GEM research are outlined 8 below . They are not listed in any assumed order of importance. EFC1: Financial Support: The availability of financial resources, equity, and debt for new and growing firms, including grants and subsidies. EFC2: Government Policies: The extent to which government policies, reflected in taxes or regulations or the application of either, are either size-neutral or encourage new and growing firms. Subsequent empirical studies have shown that there are two distinct dimensions, or sub-divisions of this EFC. The first covers the extent to which new and growing firms are prioritised in government policy, generally. The second is about regulation of new and growing firms. EFC3: Government Programmes: The presence and quality of direct programmes to assist new and growing firms at all levels of government (national, regional, and municipal). EFC4: Education and Training: The extent to which training in creating or managing small, new, or growing businesses is incorporated within the educational and training system at all levels. Subsequent empirical studies have shown that there are two distinct sub-dimensions to this EFC: primary-and secondary-school level entrepreneurship education and training, and post-school entrepreneurship education and training. EFC5: Research and Development (R&D) Transfer: The extent to which national R&D will lead to new commercial opportunities and whether or not these are available for new, small, and growing firms. (The relative level of R&D and estimates of the stock of accumulated knowledge is covered under “Technology” as a General National Framework Condition.) EFC6: Commercial and Professional Services Infrastructure: The presence of commercial, accounting, and other legal services and institutions that allow or promote the emergence of new, small, or growing businesses. EFC7: Internal Market Openness: The extent to which commercial arrangements undergo constant change and redeployment as new and growing firms compete and replace existing suppliers, subcontractors, and consultants. Subsequent empirical studies have shown that there are two distinct sub-dimensions to this EFC: Market Change, that is, the extent to which markets change dramatically from year to year, and Market Openness, or the extent to which new firms are free to enter existing markets. EFC8: Physical Infrastructure: Ease of access to available physical resources—communications, utilities, transportation, land or space—at a price that does not discriminate against new or growing firms. (Presence and quality of these physical resources are covered as a General National Framework Condition.) EFC9: Cultural and Social Norms: The extent to which existing social and cultural norms encourage, or do not discourage, individual actions that may lead to new ways of conducting business or economic activities and may, in turn, lead to greater dispersion of personal wealth and income. Subsequent empirical studies have shown that there are two distinct sub-dimensions to this EFC: National Entrepreneurial Culture, or the extent to which the national culture encourages entrepreneurship, and Respect for Entrepreneurs, or the extent to which entrepreneurs have high status. Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2007 Executive Report, p. 41. Revised to reflect adaptations to the list of EFCs as per the National Experts Survey (NES) in the 2008 GEM research cycle. GEM research is based on the recognition that entrepreneurship is a complex phenomenon that spans a variety of contexts. The varied definitions in the entrepreneurship literature reflect this complexity. In line with its objectives, GEM takes a broad view of entrepreneurship and focuses on the role played by individuals in the entrepreneurial process. Unlike most entrepreneurship data sets that measure newer and smaller firms, GEM studies the behaviour of individuals with respect to starting and managing a business. This differentiates GEM from other data sets, most of which record firm-level data on (new) firm registrations. New firms are most often started by individuals, and individuals typically determine the entrepreneurial orientation and behaviour of established businesses, regardless of size. Page | 4 An important guiding principle for GEM research is that entrepreneurship is a process. It considers people in entrepreneurial activity in different phases, from the very early phase when businesses are in gestation to the established phase and possibly discontinuation of the business. An individual entrepreneur who has succeeded in maintaining a business has gone through a process, and the characteristics of his or her actions are a very useful way to study entrepreneurial behaviour. The entrepreneurial process starts before the firm is operational. Someone who is just starting a venture and trying to succeed in a very competitive market is an entrepreneur in spite of not having high-growth aspirations. On the other hand, a person may be an established business owner who has been in business for quite a number of years and still be innovative, competitive, and growth-minded. This person is also an entrepreneur. GEM provides an umbrella under which a wide variety of entrepreneurial characteristics, such as motivations, innovativeness, competitiveness, and high-growth aspirations, can be systematically and rigorously studied. Within this context, the GEM data collection covers the life cycle of the entrepreneurial process and looks at individuals at the point when they commit resources to start a business they expect to own themselves (nascent entrepreneurs); when they currently own and manage a new business that has paid salaries for more than three months but not more than 42 months (new business owners); and when they own and manage an established business that has been in operation for more than 42 months (established business owners). Figure 2 summarises the entrepreneurial process. GEM’s operational definitions are elaborated in Table 1. Figure 2. The Entrepreneurial Process Early-stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) Potential entrepreneur: opportunities, knowledge, and skills Conception Nascent entrepreneur: involved in setting up a business Owner-manager of a new business (up to 3.5 years old) Firm birth Owner-manager of an established business (more than 3.5 years old) Persistence Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, p. 11. Page | 5 Table 1. Glossary of GEM Terminology and Main Indicators Defined terms and indicators Nascent entrepreneur New firm entrepreneur Established business owner Nascent entrepreneurship rate New business ownership rate Early-stage entrepreneurial activity (TEA) rate Established business ownership rate Overall entrepreneurial activity rate High-growth expectation early-stage entrepreneurial activity (HEA) rate Business discontinuance rate Potential entrepreneurial activity rate Page | 6 Description A person between 18-64 years of age who is actively trying to start a new venture and has done something during the previous 12 months to help start a new business that he or she will own, at least in part. Activities such as organising the start-up team, looking for equipment, saving money for the start-up, or writing a business plan would all be considered active commitments to starting a business. Wages, salaries or any other payment have not been paid to the owner/co-owner from the business for more than three months. An entrepreneur aged 18–64 years, who, at least in part, owns and manages a new business that is between four and 42 months old and has not paid salaries, wages or any other payments to the owner/co-owner for more than three months but not more than 42 months. In addition to those adults who are currently involved in the early stages of a business, there are also many individuals who have set up businesses that they have continued to own and manage for a longer time. Established business owners are owner-managers of an existing established business that has paid salaries, wages or other payments to the owner/co-owners for more than 42 months. Percentage of the 18-64 adult population who is currently a nascent entrepreneur (as defined above). Percentage of the 18-64 adult population who is currently an owner-manager of a new business (as defined above) Percentage of the 18-64 adult population who is either a nascent entrepreneur or a new firm entrepreneur (as defined above). In some instances, this rate is less than the combined percentages for nascent and new firm entrepreneurs; in circumstances where respondents qualify as both a nascent and a new firm entrepreneur, they are counted only once. Percentage of the 18-64 adult population who is currently an owner-manager of an established business that has paid wages, salaries or other payments to the ownermanager(s) for more than 42 months (as defined above). Percentage of the 18-64 adult population who are involved in early-stage entrepreneurial activity plus owner-managers of established businesses (as defined above). Percentage of the 18-64 adult population who is either a nascent entrepreneur or owner-manager of a new business (as defined above) and expect to employ at least 20 employees five years from now. Percentage of the 18-64 adult population who have, in the past 12 months, discontinued a business, either by selling, shutting down, or otherwise discontinuing an owner/management relationship with the business. Percentage of the 18-64 adult population (individuals involved in any stage of entrepreneurial activity excluded) who are not involved in entrepreneurial activity, but have a positive perception of their own entrepreneurial capabilities and the entrepreneurial opportunities in the area where they live. Research Methodology The main data collection methods used in the GEM research are: 1. The Adult Population Survey (APS), conducted with a randomly-selected sample of a minimum of 2,000 adults, aged 18-64 years old, and 2. The National Experts Survey (NES), conducted with 36 experts (key informants) on various aspects of entrepreneurship, selected on the basis of their knowledge and experience with respect to the nine entrepreneurial framework conditions. The APS is the primary research tool of GEM. Each national team must survey at least 2,000 adults in their country using best practice in social science survey techniques. To ensure consistency and cross-country comparability, each country conducts exactly the same survey of its adult population at the same time of the year using the same methodology. The individual country surveys are then harmonised into one master dataset. The 2008 GEM global study was based on analysis of APS results from 43 countries and more than 150,000 adults across the world. The 2008 APS survey questionnaire included a series of over 80 questions organised in seven thematic areas to assess the attitudes and perceptions of the adult population towards entrepreneurship, their level of engagement in entrepreneurial activity, the characteristics of their enterprises, and their expectations for the future. The survey includes: 1. Questions to all respondents re: a) their activity related to trying to start a business (nascent entrepreneur), ownership of a business less than 42 months old (young business), ownership of a business more than 42 months old (mature business), and ownership of a business that has been closed down; b) their exposure to other entrepreneurs, perception of good opportunities for starting a business, selfperception of their knowledge, skills and experience required to start a business, and whether fear of failure would prevent them from starting a business; and perceptions about the value of entrepreneurship in society (i.e. desirable career choice, respect for entrepreneurs, and public media coverage of entrepreneurship). 2. Questions for people trying to start a business (e.g. the number of people involved in the start-up, etc.) and for people with a young business (i.e. year in which first wages, profits or payments in kind were received by the entrepreneur); the type of business; innovativeness of the product or service; number of competitors; use of new technologies or processes; percentage of customers outside the country (level of export orientation); number of employees; motivations for starting the business; start-up capital, where capital came from; expected return on their investment; number of businesses they currently have or have had in the past. 3. Questions for all people who own a business: a) number of owners involved; year of start-up; type of business; number of employees now, start-up capital, expectations for employment five years from now; motivations for being in business; and other questions asked in 2 above. Page | 7 4. Questions to people who have invested equity in someone else’s business (i.e. business angels): personal equity invested in the business (es); the relationship to the owner; and expected return on investment in the next 10 years. 5. Questions to people who had a business in the past but left the business (closed it, sold it, left); reasons for the leaving the business and whether the business continued in some form. 6. Questions on training received on starting a business: nature of the training, whether part of formal education or official schooling, voluntary or compulsory, provided by a college or university, provided by a local business association, provided by a government agency, provided by a past or present employer; informal learning from reading books, working in someone else’s business, gained from online sources, etc. 7. Demographic questions of all respondents: gender, age, education, main employment status, household income level, household size, city or rural location. The Nielsen Company, a leader in market information and research, conducted the APS survey process and collected data from different governorates in Egypt during the months of July-August, 2008. The survey team consisted of English and Arabic interviewers. Survey data was collected from a nationally-representative sample of 2,602 adults9, using a combination of phone and face-to-face interviews. The NES collected perceptions from a total of 36 national experts regarding the nine Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions. Largely, they were asked to indicate the degree to which they agreed with the veracity of a series of statements on a scale of 1 (completely false) to 5 (completely true). They were also asked to state the three topics/areas that are constraining entrepreneurial activity in Egypt, the three topics/areas that are fostering it, and their top three recommendations for improving the level of entrepreneurship in the country. The list of experts is presented in Annex 3. Part II of this report presents the major findings from the APS survey, including comparisons with the results from the other 42 countries in GEM 2008. Part III presents the views of the experts from the NES survey, and Part IV discusses the policy implications of the GEM research findings and concludes with recommendations to strengthen the scale and scope of entrepreneurial activity in Egypt. Page | 8 Part II: Adult Population Survey (APS) Findings GEM defines early-stage entrepreneurship as including “entrepreneurially-active” adults who are in the process of setting up a business that they will own (wholly or in part) and/or who currently own and manage an operating young business. The following section presents the APS findings regarding these entrepreneurially-active adults in Egypt. Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity Prevalence Rates in Egypt The early-stage entrepreneurial activity (TEA) prevalence rate of the Egyptian adult population (proportion of people aged 18-64 who are involved in entrepreneurial activity as a nascent entrepreneur and/or as an owner-manager of a new business) is 13.1%. This means that 13.1% of adults are either actively trying to start a business (7.9%) or own a young business that is less than 42 months old (5.5%). Extrapolated to the total population, an estimated 5.0 million Egyptians are engaged in early-stage entrepreneurial activity — 3.0 million in nascent activity and just over 2.0 million as owners of young businesses. In addition, another 8.0% of the adult population owns and manages an established business that has been in existence for more than 42 months. In total, 20.2% of adults in Egypt either own a young or established business or are actively trying to get a new business started. On average, 2.21 adults are involved in the start-up of each nascent enterprise, and 2.19 adults in the ownership of each new firm that is less than 42 months old. This suggests that the 3 million nascent entrepreneurs were trying to start 1.34 million new enterprises in 2008; and the other 2 million early-stage entrepreneurs owned 938,000 young enterprises. Over half of the nascent entrepreneurs are developing their enterprises in teams; almost 40% of them in teams of two or three. Entrepreneurs with young businesses are slightly more likely to be operating as solo entrepreneurs, but again, almost 40% have two or three co-owners. On the other hand, owners of established businesses are much more likely to be sole owners — only a third of them are in co-ownership situations. The total incidence of entrepreneurial experience in the adult population is quite high — about a quarter of working age adults is either currently involved in some level of entrepreneurial activity or has been in the past (37% of men and 13% of women). Serial entrepreneurs (i.e. those previously involved in business creation) are well represented among those currently involved in business creation, at about a third of nascent entrepreneurs, about one in five of new business owners, and about one in six of established business owners. Results on the key entrepreneurial activity rate indicators for the 43 countries are compared in Table 2. Egypt ranks 11th among the 43 countries on the early-stage TEA rate (third column). Page | 9 Table 2. Prevalence Rates of Entrepreneurial Activity in the Adult Population in GEM Countries, 2008 Country Bolivia Peru Colombia Angola Dominican Ecuador Argentina Jamaica Macedonia Chile Egypt Mexico Brazil Uruguay India United States Iceland Korea Republic Greece Iran Bosnia & Herzegovina Norway South Africa Croatia Serbia Ireland Finland Spain Hungary Latvia Israel Slovenia Turkey United Kingdom France Japan Netherlands Italy Denmark Romania Germany Russia Belgium Nascent Entrepreneurial Activity (%) New Business OwnerManagers (%) Established Business OwnerManagers (%) Overall Entrepre -neurial Activity (%) Business Discontinuance Rate (%) Sample size GDP per Capita (PPP $US) 14.3 6.8 11.7 4.1 9.8 9.1 8.5 7.1 7.7 5.8 5.5 4 9.3 4.4 4.9 5.0 3.6 6.5 4.6 3.4 Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) (%) 29.8 25.6 24.5 22.7 20.4 17.2 16.5 15.6 14.5 14.1 13.1 13.1 12.0 11.9 11.5 10.8 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.2 17.4 19.7 13.8 19.3 11.7 8.7 8.5 9.0 7.2 8.6 7.9 9.3 2.9 7.7 6.9 5.9 6.5 3.5 5.3 5.9 19.1 8.3 14.1 4.1 8.2 11.9 13.5 9.1 11.0 6.8 8.0 4.9 14.6 7.9 16.5 8.3 7.1 12.8 12.6 6.8 45.6 32.7 36.7 26.0 27.9 28.1 29.6 24.3 24.8 20.2 20.2 17.8 26.4 19.3 27.6 18.7 16.7 22.6 22.0 15.7 10.5 10.4 7.1 23.4 11.3 5.9 10.2 8.9 5.3 5.8 6.3 13.6 3.5 9.1 10.1 4.4 3.4 4.7 2.9 5.2 1,879 1,990 2,000 1,490 2,013 2,142 1,731 2,399 1,746 4,068 2,603 2,433 2,000 1,645 1,919 3,441 2,002 2,000 1,962 3,119 $4,333 8,585 8,337 6,443 8,559 7,518 14,354 7,876 9,128 14,688 5,904 14,382 10,298 12,707 2,787 47,025 39,665 26,341 30,661 11,209 6.4 2.7 9.0 8.7 17.1 5.0 1,586 7,618 5.0 5.7 4.9 4.0 3.3 4.1 3.3 3.8 3.9 3.5 4.1 3.2 3.1 3.8 3.2 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.7 2.0 4.0 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.3 3.3 3.9 2.8 2.8 3.1 2.4 3.0 2.9 1.9 2.3 3.2 2.7 2.3 1.6 1.5 2.0 0.9 8.7 7.8 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.3 7.0 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.0 5.9 5.6 5.4 5.2 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.5 2.9 7.7 2.3 4.8 9.3 9.0 9.2 9.1 5.3 3.0 4.5 5.6 4.8 6.0 2.8 7.9 7.2 6.5 4.4 2.1 4.0 1.1 2.6 15.8 9.9 12.3 16.5 16.3 16.0 14.8 11.8 9.4 10.6 11.8 10.7 11.7 8.2 12.7 12.3 11.0 8.4 5.9 7.7 4.4 5.3 3.4 5.8 2.9 3.7 3.6 2.1 1.3 1.1 1.7 3.2 1.3 3.9 2.1 2.2 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.2 1.8 1.1 1.5 1,614 2,719 1,696 1,813 1,924 2,011 30,879 1,994 2,011 1,778 3,019 2,400 5,892 1,573 1,879 2,534 2,970 2,012 1,667 4,751 1,660 1,997 55,199 10,187 16,474 10,911 42,780 36,844 30,757 19,830 17,801 28,245 28,894 13,447 36,571 34,262 34,501 40,434 30,705 38,208 12,698 35,552 16,161 36,322 Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report. Page | 10 A cross-national comparison of the data reveals significant variation in the level of earlystage entrepreneurial activity among GEM-2008 countries by phase of economic development (Figure 3). Here, Egypt ranks 5th on the TEA rate among the factor-driven economies. Factor-driven economies are defined by the World Economic Forum as those competing on the basis of their factor endowments, primarily low-wage and unskilled labour and natural resources (see endnote 6 for more explanation). % of adult population between 18-64 years Figure 3. Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Bosnia and Herz. Iran India Egypt Ecuador Angola Colombia Bolivia Russia Romania Turkey Latvia Hungary Croatia Serbia South Africa Uruguay Brazil Mexico Chile Macedonia Jamaica Argentina Dominican Rep. Peru Belgium Germany Denmark Italy Netherlands Japan France United Kingdom Slovenia Israel Spain Finland Ireland Norway Greece Korea Rep. Iceland United States 0% Factor-driven economies Efficiency-driven economies Innovation-driven economies Note: The mid-point on the vertical bar is the mean rate of entrepreneurial activity for each country. The vertical bars around the average value represent the confidence interval, a measure of the precision of the estimates. If the vertical bars do not overlap, then the differences are statistically significant at the 0.5 level. Although the level and nature of entrepreneurial activity differs across countries, the importance of entrepreneurship for economic development is widely acknowledged. Earlier GEM reports demonstrated a systematic, U-shaped relationship between a country’s level of economic development and its level and type of entrepreneurial activity. 10 Figure 4 illustrates this U-shaped curve relationship between per capita GDP and early-stage entrepreneurial activity for the 43 countries in GEM 2008, a pattern that has been consistent in GEM data over the years. 11 As a matter of explanation, in countries with low levels of per capita income, the national economy is characterised by the prevalence of many very small businesses.12 As per capita income increases, industrialisation and economies of scale allow larger and established firms to increase their relative role in the economy as they satisfy growing market demand. An important factor for achieving growth is the presence of macroeconomic and political stability, which is reflected in the development of strong institutions. The increasing role of large firms may be accompanied by a reduction in the number of new businesses, since a growing number of people are able to find stable employment in large industrial plants. Thus, for countries with low levels of per capita income, a decreasing prevalence rate of entrepreneurial activity may be a good sign, especially if this is accompanied by economic Page | 11 growth and political stability. As further increases in income are experienced, the role played by the entrepreneurial sector may increase, as more individuals can access the resources to go into business for themselves in an economic environment that allows the exploitation of opportunities. Figure 4. Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity Rates by Per Capita GDP, 2008 Prevalence rate of early-stage entrepreneurial activity 30% BO PE 25% CO AO DO 20% EC AR JM 15% MK EG 10% MX CL UY BR IN BA ZA YU 5% RO GR KR IR HR IL TR LV HU RU SI IT US IE FI NO ES NL FR JP UK DE DK BE 0% 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 GDP per Capita, in Purchasing Power Parities (PPP) Source: GEM APS, and IMF: World Economic Outlook Database (October 2008 edition). Although the annual snapshot of early-stage entrepreneurial activity consistently shows a Ushape of the fitted line over the years, it does not imply that all countries follow this pattern over time. There are also other important national conditions that determine the rate of early-stage entrepreneurial activity, such as demographic, cultural, and institutional characteristics. Figure 4 reflects some of these dimensions. For example, it shows that countries with similar geographic backgrounds and traditions are grouped together. A group of EU-15 countries is clustered close together on the right-hand side below the lowest dip of the curve. Countries in Eastern Europe and Central Asia are situated on the left-hand side, below the curve, and people in these countries are not as much engaged in entrepreneurial activity as in Latin American countries with similar levels of per capita GDP. Wealthier countries above the curve on the right-hand side are industrialised countries outside of the EU – with Ireland as a notable exception. Japan’s rate of early-stage entrepreneurial activity has, over the years, been consistently lower than the fitted curve, but has been increasing in recent years. It is noted that Egypt also falls below the line of best fit. Motives for Becoming an Entrepreneur GEM makes a distinction between “necessity entrepreneurship” (having to become an entrepreneur because there are no better employment options) and “opportunity entrepreneurship” (choosing to start an enterprise based on pursuit of an unexploited or underexploited business opportunity). 13 Table 3 presents the share of opportunity and necessity entrepreneurship in TEA rates for all GEM countries. Page | 12 Table 3. Motives for Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity - GEM Countries Country (listed in descending GDP per capita) Norway United States Ireland Netherlands Iceland Denmark Finland United Kingdom Belgium Germany Japan France Spain Italy Greece Slovenia Israel Korea Republic Hungary Latvia Croatia Russia Chile Mexico Argentina Turkey Uruguay Romania Iran Serbia Brazil South Africa Macedonia Peru Dominican Republic Colombia Jamaica Bosnia & Herzegovina Ecuador Angola Egypt Bolivia India “Opportunity” share of TEA (%) “Necessity” share of TEA (%) Ratio of “Opportunity” to “Necessity” 93 87 80 90 94 93 87 85 89 73 77 89 85 84 69 88 76 59 70 78 71 78 76 85 61 60 74 60 67 65 67 79 51 68 69 58 52 57 71 57 81 71 76 7 13 20 10 6 7 13 15 11 27 23 11 15 16 31 12 24 41 30 22 29 22 24 15 39 40 26 40 33 35 33 21 49 32 31 42 48 43 29 43 19 29 24 13.3:1 6.7:1 4.0:1 9.0:1 15.7:1 13.3:1 6.7:1 5.7:1 8.1:1 2.7:1 3.3:1 8.1:1 5.7:1 5.3:1 2.2:1 7.3:1 3.2:1 1.4:1 2.3:1 3.5:1 2.4:1 3.5:1 3.2:1 5.7:1 1.6:1 1.5:1 2.8:1 1.5:1 2.0:1 1.9:1 2.0:1 3.8:1 1.0:1 2.1:1 2.2:1 1.4:1 1.1:1 1.3:1 2.4:1 1.3:1 4.3:1 2.4:1 3.2:1 Source: GEM 2008. The main motive for starting a business for four out of five early-stage Egyptian entrepreneurs is to pursue a market opportunity. Only 19% reported that their involvement is based on necessity motives. Thus, Egypt had 4.3 times more opportunity motivated Page | 13 entrepreneurial activity than necessity motivated. This is much higher than in other GEM countries with low levels of GDP per capita (i.e. the factor-driven economies). This is a somewhat unexpected feature for a developing economy. Normally, a large proportion of people in developing countries become entrepreneurs because they have no other choice due to a lack of employment alternatives and social safety nets, few resources, and the need to improve life conditions and alleviate poverty. In innovation-driven economies, opportunities are expected to be more abundant and individuals have more alternatives to make a living. As countries advance in GDP per capita, the rate of necessity entrepreneurship generally decreases with a rise in the share of opportunity TEA. In this respect, Egypt performs more like a developed country than a developing one. Demographics and Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt The TEA rate for Egypt was calculated for different gender, education, age and household income groups. The following sections highlight the results of this demographic analysis for early-stage entrepreneurs. Gender and Entrepreneurial Activity Men are more than 3 times as likely as women in Egypt to be engaged in early-stage entrepreneurial activity. Compared to the average TEA rate of 13.1%, the TEA rate for Egyptian adult men is 19% and only 6% for adult women (Figure 5). On an absolute basis, men make up just over 80% of early-stage entrepreneurs in Egypt, and women comprise the remaining just less than 20%. This is more or less consistent with the proportion of womenowned micro and small enterprises (MSEs) as a percentage of all MSEs reported in the 2006 Egyptian Labour Market Population Sample (ELMPS).14 #/100 adult persons (99% confidence levels) Figure 5. Opportunity and Necessity TEA Rates - Total, Male, Female - Egypt 2008 25 20 15 10 5 - Source: GEM APS, 2008. Note: M = Male; F = Female. Page | 14 There is significant variation between male and female TEA rates across countries (Figure 6). To a great extent, this reflects the different prevailing cultures and customs regarding female involvement in economic activities. Relative to the other 42 GEM countries, the female TEA rate in Egypt is about three-quarters of the average rate. Accordingly, Egypt has the second largest TEA rate gender gap, preceded by Turkey and followed by Iran. 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Male Female Iran Egypt Bosnia and Herz. India Ecuador Colombia Angola Bolivia Romania Turkey Russia Latvia Croatia Hungary Serbia South Africa Macedonia Uruguay Brazil Chile Mexico Jamaica Dominican Rep. Argentina Peru Belgium Italy Denmark Japan France Netherlands Germany United Kingdom Ireland Israel Slovenia Finland Korea Rep. Norway Spain Iceland Greece United States Percentage of (fe)male popualtion between 18-64 years Figure 6. Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity Rates by Gender - GEM Countries, 2008 Source: GEM APS. The status of women in Egypt is complex and contradictory. In many regards, women have made a number of significant achievements in recent decades; nevertheless women constitute only 23.9% of the total labour force and occupy 25.9% of legislative and managerial positions. 15 This reflects to a large extent the societal perception of women as a mother and housewife. According to the Ministry of Finance (2007), Egyptian women face two major challenges. The first is the emergence of a cultural, social and economic environment that is more favourable to the emergence of women as When national experts were asked entrepreneurs and the second is having adequate about their perceptions of women’s access to the resources and support needed for entrepreneurship and the level of its sustainability and growth. 16 Lack of assistance with support in their countries, Egypt th product development, marketing and access to ranked 28 among 31 countries participating in the NES. business information are considered among the main growth constraints facing women-owned and operated businesses in Egypt. 17 Age and Entrepreneurial Activity The cross-national comparison of the GEM 2008 countries reveals that the 25-34 age group has the highest early-stage entrepreneurial activity prevalence rate regardless of the Page | 15 countries’ phase of economic development (Figure 7). Populations in the three categories of countries show a decline in early-stage entrepreneurial activity prevalence rates after the age of 35. Figure 7. Early-Stage TEA Rates by Age Group and Phase of Development, 2008 30% 18-24 YRS 25-34 YRS TEA (% of adult population) 25% 35-44 YRS 45-54 YRS 20% 55-64 YRS 15% 10% 5% 0% Factor-driven economies Efficiency-driven economies Innovation-driven economies Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, p. 26. In Egypt, this pattern is also evident. An average of just over 15% of the 25-34 age group is engaged in early-stage entrepreneurial activity, followed by 12.3% of the 18-24 age group and 11.6% of the 35-44 age group (Figure 8), although it is noted that these rates are lower than the average for factor-driven economies. Figure 8. TEA Rate by Age Group - Egypt, 2008 #/100 persons (99% confidence intervals) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 18-24 Yrs:TEA 25-34 yrs:TEA 35-44 yrs:TEA 45-54 yrs:TEA 55-64 yrs:TEA Note: The mid-point on the vertical bar is the mean rate of entrepreneurial activity for each age group. The vertical bars around the average value represent the confidence interval, a measure of the precision of the estimates. If vertical bars do not overlap, then the differences are statistically significant at the 0.5 level. Page | 16 In terms of actual numbers, over 60% of the early-stage Egyptian entrepreneurs are under 35 years of age and over 80% are under 44 (Figure 9), on average younger than the overall adult population. They are over-represented in the 18-24 and 25-34 age groups, which account for about 62% of early-stage entrepreneurs but less than 53% of the adult population. On the other hand, the 45-64 age group comprises about a quarter of the adult population but less than 18% of the early-stage entrepreneurs. Figure 9. Age Distribution of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs Compared to all Respondents – Egypt, 2008 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 18-24 25-34 35-44 Age distribution of adult population 45-54 55-64 Age distribution of early-stage entrepreneurs Source: GEM APS Egypt, 2008. The TEA rate, for both men and women, is highest in the 25-34 age group. This may be an indication that young people are drawn to entrepreneurship as a means to circumvent unemployment and or underemployment. However, because TEA rates are much higher for men than women in all age categories, the women’s share of the actual number of entrepreneurially-active persons is lower (Figure 10). The female share of early-stage entrepreneurs is highest in the 55-64 age group; almost 40% of the early-stage entrepreneurs in this age group are women. TEA entrepreneurs (% of age group) Figure 10. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs by Age Group – Egypt, 2008 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Total 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 Age groups Male share Female share Source: GEM APS 2008. Page | 17 Finally, it is interesting to compare the pattern of entrepreneurial prevalence rates in the different age groups for the three phases of entrepreneurial activity: as nascent entrepreneurs, owners of baby businesses (less than 42 months old), and owners of established businesses (more than 42 months old) (Figure 11). This shows that the total rate of involvement in any kind of entrepreneurial activity in Egypt is highest in the 45-54 age group. In this group, 12.5% are established business owners, 3.4% own baby businesses, and 7.0% are nascent entrepreneurs actively trying to get a business started. Adults in the 25-34 age group have the third highest overall rate of engagement in some form of entrepreneurial activity, but their pattern of engagement is somewhat different. They are more likely to be involved in nascent activity (10.2% of them) than as an owner of a baby (5.4%) or established business (5.2%). Compared to the 55-64 age group, the 25-34 age group is more likely to be trying to start a business - 10.2% versus 3.3%. The bottom line is that older age groups have a higher level of involvement as established business owners, and the younger age groups have a higher level of involvement in early-stage entrepreneurial activity, particularly as nascent entrepreneurs. % of adult population in age category Figure 11. Entrepreneurial Activity Rates by Age and Phase of Entrepreneurial Process – Egypt, 2008 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 Age group Nascent entrepreneurs Baby business owners Established business owners Education and Entrepreneurial Activity TEA rates vary considerably according to the level of completed education of the Egyptian adult population. Overall, the TEA rate is lowest among adults that have not completed elementary education (“none”) and highest among those with a post-secondary education18 (8.9% and 17.3% respectively) (Figure 12). However, it should be noted that the postsecondary education cohort made up only 3.3% of the adult population and less than 5% of the early-stage entrepreneurs (see Figure 13). The second highest TEA rate is for university degree holders (16.5%), but again this group makes up only 12.7% of the adult population and 17.6% of the early-stage entrepreneurs. While this pattern of lowest and highest TEA rates by level of education holds for women, the lowest TEA rate for men is found in the group with “some secondary” education. Page | 18 Figure 12. TEA Prevalence Rates by Education and Gender – Egypt, 2008 % (of adult population) 30% 25% 24.0% 20% 22.7% 19.8% 16.9% 15% 14.6% 10% 10.2% 8.9% 5% 4.3% 4.0% 17.3% 16.5% 8.5% 7.8% 13.1% 4.5% 0% None Some secondary Secondary degree Post-secondary Mean TEA rate Male TEA Female TEA University Bachelor's degree or higher Although TEA rates are lower for members of the adult population with less than a completed secondary education, this group makes up more than a third of early-stage entrepreneurs — a quarter of early-stage entrepreneurs has not completed elementary school and 10% has only some secondary education (Figure 13). Early-stage male entrepreneurs with a completed secondary education are the most populous group – almost 45% of the men. Among women, the most populous group has not completed elementary education; over 35% of the female early-stage entrepreneurs are in this group. The fact that the higher educated groups in Egypt have a higher propensity towards entrepreneurial activity suggests that the overall low level of education is a barrier to the growth of entrepreneurship in the country. Figure 13. Distribution of Adult Population and Early-Stage Entrepreneurs by Level of Completed Education – Egypt, 2008 None 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Some secondary Secondary degree % of female early-stage entrepreneurs % of male early-stage entrepreneurs % of earlystage entrepreneurs % of adult population sample Post-secondary University Bachelor's degree or higher Page | 19 Women’s share of early-stage entrepreneurs is highest in the group with the lowest level of education (almost 30%), followed by those with post-secondary education (Figure 14). Figure 14. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity by Education % of early-stage entrepreneurs 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% None Some secondary Male share of early stage entrepreneurs Secondary degree Post-secondary University Bachelor's degree or higher Female share of early-stage entrepreneurs Compared to other GEM countries, Egypt’s has a lower representation of early-stage entrepreneurs with university degrees, and a relatively higher proportion with less than a secondary education. The 2008 GEM APS included a special topic section to explore the extent to which the adult population in GEM countries had participated in any form of education or training in starting a business during, after or outside of school, whether on a compulsory or voluntary basis. The results by country groups are presented in Table 4. The proportion of the working age population with ANY training in starting a business ranged from a low of 6.3% in Turkey to a high of 47.9% in Finland. In all factor-driven economies, just over half of efficiency-driven economies and almost three-quarters of innovation-driven economies, men were significantly more likely to have received training than women. This possibly reflects differences in school attendance and workforce participation rates among males and females at different levels of economic development, as well as differences in entrepreneurial attitudes, aspirations and activity rates. 19 Only 7.5% of the Egyptian adult population reported having taken any start-up training, the second lowest of the GEM countries. Only 4.7% had received training on starting a business as part of any school-based activity at the primary and secondary levels, and less than 1% in any such compulsory activity. Very few adult Egyptians had participated in any training in starting a business after leaving elementary or secondary school. Page | 20 Table 4. Percentage of the 18-64 Population that Received Voluntary or Compulsory Training in Starting a Business During or After Schooling School * voluntary Factor-driven economies Bolivia 8.2 Bosnia & 12.7 Herzegovina Colombia 19.2 Ecuador 16.1 Egypt 3.8 India 3.3 Iran 8.9 Average 10.3 Efficiency-driven economies Argentina 6.4 Brazil 4.5 Chile 16.8 Croatia 8.6 Dominican 4.7 Republic Hungary 2.8 Jamaica 6.8 Latvia 6.1 Macedonia 10.3 Mexico 5.8 Peru 11.5 Romania 3.3 Serbia 1.5 South 6.6 Africa Turkey 1.9 Uruguay 9.7 Average 6.7 Innovation-driven economies Belgium 17.8 Denmark 2.4 Finland 10.1 France 5.3 Germany 10.3 Greece 5.0 Iceland 6.5 Ireland 8.1 Israel 4.1 Italy 6.0 Japan 2.8 Korea Rep. 2.7 Slovenia 13.0 Spain 9.5 United 5.8 Kingdom Average 7.3 School compulsor y School any After schooling** - voluntary After schooling compulsory After schooling - any Any training 2.4 10.6 10.3 3.9 14.2 19.1 0.8 13.5 8.1 2.5 10.6 19.9 4.0 4.3 0.9 1.7 6.6 3.0 23.2 20.4 4.7 5.0 15.4 13.3 20.7 8.3 2.1 3.8 9.2 8.8 8.7 7.3 2.1 7.0 10.3 6.2 29.4 15.6 4.2 10.8 19.5 14.9 40.0 27.2 7.5 13.1 28.9 22.2 3.2 0.8 8.5 11.1 9.6 5.3 25.3 19.7 7.3 1.6 18.9 8.0 3.6 5.0 13.8 7.6 10.9 6.6 32.7 15.6 17.4 9.4 42.5 27.6 0.6 5.3 1.9 2.1 4.0 7.7 14.2 9.2 8.4 2.3 3.6 2.9 2.2 1.5 17.1 16.0 14.5 12.6 9.5 14.4 5.5 3.0 1.4 2.9 9.0 7.2 3.6 12.2 2.8 2.6 8.6 6.4 10.1 3.7 5.9 12.5 1.8 4.9 10.0 9.3 19.1 10.9 9.5 24.7 4.6 7.6 24.4 21.0 28.0 19.1 15.5 29.6 8.0 10.2 2.7 9.3 3.8 5.2 9.0 13.8 0.6 1.0 4.6 2.5 10.7 11.3 1.9 9.5 5.6 2.3 8.9 6.3 4.2 18.4 12.3 6.3 24.1 19.0 7.0 7.1 7.8 4.9 2.0 1.2 5.3 5.8 1.7 4.2 2.1 3.2 11.3 3.0 25.0 9.5 17.9 10.2 12.3 6.1 11.8 14.0 5.8 10.2 4.9 5.9 24.3 12.5 3.0 2.1 19.6 5.9 8.4 6.4 11.3 9.9 4.5 5.3 10.1 3.8 10.3 7.9 15.2 11.9 20.8 6.6 4.7 6.5 6.5 7.6 4.1 3.7 5.6 5.4 12.3 6.8 18.2 14.0 40.4 12.5 13.2 12.9 17.8 17.5 8.6 9.1 15.7 9.2 22.6 14.7 33.3 22.0 47.9 18.1 21.0 17.0 26.7 26.1 12.8 16.5 17.4 13.6 35.7 21.9 3.1 8.9 7.7 6.1 13.8 19.5 4.6 11.9 7.7 8.3 16.0 23.3 Note: *“Voluntary” includes those reporting voluntary training or a mix of voluntary and compulsory training. **“After schooling” refers to after they officially ended their primary or secondary schooling. Page | 21 Participation in entrepreneurship education and training is an important indicator because exposure through education and training influences not only the level of entrepreneurial activity but the quality of businesses started. Of the non-entrepreneurially-active population in Egypt, adults who had never received any start-up training were much less likely than those who had to believe that they had the skills, knowledge and experience to start a business (51% for the former group compared to 75% for the latter group), especially if that training was compulsory. Household Income and Entrepreneurial Activity Early-stage entrepreneurial activity prevalence rates and established business ownership rates also vary by household income groups, but generally rise with increases in annual household income. TEA rates are the highest among adults in households with annual income of LE 1,501-2000 and lowest among adults living in the lowest income households (Figure 15). This appears to be the case for both men and women, although the TEA pattern for women is quite different than that for men. The lower TEA rates among the lowest household income groups may be attributed to a lack of financial resources to support daily life, shortage (or absence) of collateral in the case of seeking loans, etc., factors that would hinder their ability to pursue entrepreneurial activity. Figure 15. TEA Prevalence Rates by Household Income and Gender - Egypt, 2008 % (of total population) 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Mean TEA rate Male TEA rate 1+ 0 00 4, LE 14, 00 LE 2, 50 12, 00 0 00 0 LE 1, 00 1, LE LE 70 1- 1, 11, 00 50 0 0 70 1LE 50 130 LE LE 0 -3 50 00 0 0% Female TEA rate On an absolute basis, early-stage entrepreneurs are more likely than the general population to live in households with an annual household income of more than LE 700, and are significantly under-represented in households with annual incomes of less than LE 300 (Figure 16). Just over 4% of the adult population sample lives in households with income of more than LE 4,000 per year, but over 8% of the early-stage entrepreneurs. Page | 22 Figure 16. Household Income Distribution of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs Compared to all Respondents 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 0LE 30 0 L 0 E3 1-5 00 L 0 E5 1-7 00 LE 1 70 -1, 00 0 LE Income distribution of all respondents 1 1 , 00 5 -1, 00 LE 1 1 , 50 0 -2, 00 LE 2 1 , 00 0 -4, 00 LE 4, 0 01 + Income distribution of early-stage entrepreneurs Women’s share of early-stage entrepreneurs is highest in the lowest annual household income groups, making up more than half of those from households with less than LE 301 of annual income, and over 40 percent of those from households with less than LE 501 of annual income (Figure 17). It should be noted, however, that only a very small portion of early-stage entrepreneurs come from the lowest household income group – less than 3%. % of early-stage entrepreneurs Figure 17. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs by Household Income Group Egypt, 2008 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% LE 0-300 LE 301-500 LE 501-700 LE 7011,000 Male share of early-stage entrepreneurs LE 1,0011,500 LE 1,5012,000 LE 2,001- LE 4,001+ 4,000 Female share of early stage entrepreneurs Page | 23 Labour Force Status and Entrepreneurial Activity Entrepreneurial activity rates in Egypt vary among groups with different types of attachment to the labour force (Figure 18). On this dimension, the highest TEA rate group is women who are working part-time. Over 30% of women who are working part-time indicated that they were either trying to get a business started or already owned a young business; much higher than the 20% TEA rate for men who are working part-time. The second highest TEA rate of 28% is among men who are students. The TEA rates for women who are not in the labour force (e.g. students, homemakers) are very low. It is also very low for people who are retired or disabled. 50 40 30 20 10 W :F ul l-t im W e :P W ar :R t -ti et m ire e d/ di sa W bl :H ed om em ak er W W :N :S ot tu de W or nt ki ng ,O th er :F ul l-t im M e :P M ar :R t -ti et m ire e d/ di sa M bl :H ed om em ak er M M :N : S ot tu de W or nt ki ng ,O th er 0 M #/100 Persons [95% Confidence Intervals] Figure 18. TEA Prevalence Rates by Labour Force Status and Gender - Egypt, 2008 Note: M = men; W = women. There are several interesting observations about the distribution of early-stage entrepreneurs by labour force status (Figure 19). Over three quarters of the early-stage entrepreneurs are employed on a full- or part-time basis. Although male students have a high TEA rate, they make up only about 11% of the male early-stage entrepreneurs. There is a high TEA rate among women who are working part-time and they make up almost a quarter of the female early-stage entrepreneurs. Homemakers, on the other hand, have a low TEA rate, but make up 44% of the early-stage women entrepreneurs and almost 9% of all early-stage entrepreneurs. Female students have a very low TEA rate and account for only 4% of female early-stage entrepreneurs. High TEA rates among various sub-groups of the population suggest there are opportunities to target efforts with the aim of increasing the actual start-up of the enterprise from among these early-stage entrepreneurs. Low TEA rates, such as among homemakers and female students, suggest there may be equal opportunities to promote entrepreneurship as an employment or career option. Page | 24 Figure 19. Labour Force Attachment of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs – Egypt, 2008 100% % of early-stage entrepreneurs 80% Not working; other 60% Student Homemaker Retired/disabled Working part-time 40% Working full-time 20% 0% All early-stage entrepreneurs Male Female On a gender basis, apart from the fact that women make up all of the homemakers, the female share of early-stage entrepreneurs is highest among those who are working parttime or are not in the labour force (Figure 20). Figure 20. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurs by Labour Force Attachment 100% 80% 60% Female share of early-stage entrepreneurs 40% Male share of early-stage entrepreneurs 20% 0% Page | 25 Regional Variations and Entrepreneurial Activity There are moderate differences in TEA rates on a regional basis. The average TEA rate ranges from a high of 14.3% of the adult population in Cairo to 10.7% in Upper Egypt (Figure 21). Being the major commercial centre in the country and hosting about a quarter of its population 20, Greater Cairo inhabitants have more access to opportunity and markets, in addition to availability of the required infrastructure, banks, professional services, and telecom companies. Moreover, less densely populated regions in Egypt have poorer access to markets, business services and basic infrastructure. In addition, they are still heavily dependent on agriculture. The most dramatic difference in regional TEA rates is gender-based. Women in Alexandria and the Delta have the highest early-stage entrepreneurial activity rates (6.2% and 6.0% among women respectively), followed by Cairo (5.1%), but very low TEA rates in Upper Egypt (1.9%) and the Canal Zone/Frontier (0.8%). Figure 21. TEA Prevalence Rates by Region and Gender - Egypt 2008 .4 % 17 .0 17 % % .3 .4 % .7 10 6. 0% 2% 6. 1. 0. 8% 5% 9% 5. 1% 10% 11 11 .5 .5 % % 13 15% % .8 18 20% 14 % of adult population 19 % .8 % 21 .7 % 25% 0% Cairo Alexandra TEA Delta Male TEA Canal Zone/Frontier Upper Egypt Female TEA The impact of this is demonstrated in Figure 22, which shows that women comprise a larger share of early-stage entrepreneurs in the Delta (30%), Alexandria (22%) and Cairo (16%), than in Upper Egypt (8.0%) and the Canal Zone/Frontier (2.4%). Page | 26 Figure 22. Male-Female Share of Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity by Region % of early-stage entrepreneurs 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Canal Zone/ Frontier Upper Egypt Male share of early-stage entrepreneurs Cairo Alexandra Delta Female share of early-stage entrepreneurs Characteristics of the Nascent and Early-Stage Enterprises This section highlights the major characteristics of the nascent and young enterprises being developed by early-stage entrepreneurs, including findings on sectors of operation, employment impacts, levels of start-up capital, nature of the markets in which they (will) operate, innovation aspects, and growth expectations (including for high-growth enterprises). Some comparisons are made with established enterprises that are more than three and half years old. It also reports on the nature of informal investors and their investments in other people’s early-stage enterprises. Enterprise Sectors The sector distribution of early-stage enterprises is somewhat different than that of established businesses (Figure 23). In the case of nascent enterprises, they are more likely to be in the retail trade, hotel/restaurants and wholesale trade sectors and less likely to be in the manufacturing sector than established businesses. This makes sense because the barriers to entry are lower in the trade and services sectors and the growth in all modern economies is in services. Nascent enterprises are also less dominant in the primary sectors than established businesses and have a greater tendency to start up in the business services sector. Interestingly, they are not very likely to be planning new enterprises in the personal and consumer services sector. Baby businesses also have a different sector profile than established businesses, with a higher percentage in business services and the transport, storage & communications sectors and a lower percentage in the primary sectors and in manufacturing. Page | 27 Figure 23. Sector Distribution of Early-Stage and Established Businesses - Egypt, 2008 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Nascent businesses Baby businesses Established businesses Agriculture, forestry, hunting, fishing Mining, construction Manufacturing Utilisation, transport, storage & communications Wholesale trade Retail trade, hotels & restaurants Financial intermediation, real estate activities Business services Government, health, education, social services Personal/consumer service activities Source: APS, 2008. Note: Nascent enterprises are less than 3 months old or not yet launched, Baby businesses are up to 42 months old, and Established businesses are more than 42 months old. Employment Prospects One of the main reasons for the heightened policy interest in the phenomenon of new business creation is its impact on employment. GEM findings reveal that the average earlystage enterprise is creating 1.83 jobs (excluding the owners); compared to an average of 2.1 jobs in an established enterprise. Thus, it is projected that the nascent enterprises in gestation in Egypt (an estimated 1.34 million) would create jobs for about 2.44 million workers, if actually launched. The majority of early-stage and established businesses are very small. Fewer than 10% of them have more than 20 workers; the vast majority are microenterprises with fewer than 5 workers (Figure 24). Well over a third does not have any workers except the owner(s). However, within five years, the entrepreneurs involved in these enterprises plan to increase their employment base. Although a quarter of the entrepreneurs still do not plan to have any employees five years from now (Figure 25), that will be an improvement over the current situation. The nascent entrepreneurs appear to be more optimistic about their employment growth than entrepreneurs with young businesses, but both groups have ambitious plans to add workers. The net effect of these plans would be more than a 25% growth in average firm size for the early-stage enterprises (from 1.8 jobs to 2.3) and a 13% growth in the size of established enterprises (from an average of 2.1 jobs to 2.4). Page | 28 Figure 24. Current Number of Jobs by Stage of Enterprise Development - Egypt, 2008 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Nascent Baby businesses None 1-5 jobs Established All businesses 6-19 jobs 20+ jobs Figure 25. Jobs Expected in 5 Years - Egypt, 2008 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Nascent Baby businesses None 1-5 jobs Established businesses 6-19 jobs All 20+ jobs Start-up Capital and Requirements This section reports findings regarding the start-up capital requirements of the nascent businesses. Start-up capital is the money needed to launch a business and includes costs associated with everything essential for bringing the idea to the market. The median start-up money required to start an Egyptian nascent enterprise is LE 50,000. The median is a more appropriate indicator than the mean amount because of the effect of a few very large investments. Most of these new start-ups are small. Thirty percent of nascent enterprises require LE 10,000 or less of start-up capital and 60% require LE 50,000 or less (Table 5). Overall, 91% can be started with LE 500,000 or less. Only 9% of the enterprises will require start-up capital of more than LE 500,000. About 44% of the nascent entrepreneurs indicated that they would be personally financing the whole amount needed to start their enterprise. The median investment expected to be made by nascent entrepreneurs from their own resources is LE 20,000. Just over a third plan Page | 29 to invest only up to LE 5,000 of their own money (average of LE 2,700), 42% plan to invest up to LE 10,000 of their own money, and almost 80% to invest up to LE 50,000. Table 5. Start-up Money for Nascent Enterprises – Egypt, 2008 Start-up money size groups Percentage of nascents with total start-up needs per size group Average amount of start-up money per size group Nascents investing only their own money per size group Average amount of nascents’ own start-up money per size group Nascents requiring start-up money from others per size group Average start-up money needed from others per size category LE 15 - LE 5,000 14.6% LE 3,206 34.6% LE 2,700 20.2% LE 2,151 LE 5,001 – LE 10,000 15.5% LE 9,085 8.4% LE 10,000 12.7% LE 8,827 LE 10,001 LE 20,000 10.2% LE 19,130 15.0% LE 18,062 9.6% LE 18,500 LE 20,001 LE 50,000 19.5% LE 32,954 20.6% LE 36,409 20.2% LE 19,565 Subtotal 59.7% LE 20,731 78.5% LE 15,237 62.7% LE 18,199 LE 50,001 LE 200,000 20.4% LE 119,347 10.3% LE 95,909 19.7% LE 111,711 LE 200,001 LE 500,000 11.1% LE 390,000 7.5% LE 363,750 10.5% LE 391,667 LE 500,001 LE 1.25 million 4.9% LE 1.0 million 3.7% LE 1.1 million 4.8% LE 1.1 million LE 1.25 million LE 10 million 4.0% LE 3.1 million 0.0% 0 2.2% LE 3.8 million 100.0% LE 273,062 100.0% LE 89,828 100.0% LE 231,393 Total Median start-up money needed LE 50,000 LE 20,000 LE 38,000 Range of start-up money needed LE 100 - LE 10 million LE 15 - LE 1.25 million 0 - LE 10 million Fifty-five percent of the nascent entrepreneurs indicated that they will need external sources of financing to supplement their start-up capital needs. The median amount of external financing expected is LE 38,000. Just over 60% of the start-up money required from others is LE 50,000 or less (average of LE 18,199), but over half of this requirement is for LE 10,000 or less (average of LE 4,129). Only 7% of the projects require more than LE 500,000 of external financing. The enterprises of male nascent entrepreneurs have on average 2.2 times the start-up capital requirements of those being planned by female nascent entrepreneurs. Not only are the men’s planned enterprises larger, they are expecting 3.6 times more than women in external financing or investment. This means that women are investing a higher proportion of their own money in their businesses, even if they are smaller. On average, male nascent entrepreneurs plan to invest only 28% of their own money towards the start-up costs, whereas female nascent entrepreneurs plan to personally invest 81% of the costs. Looking at other demographic variables, nascent entrepreneurs in the oldest age group (5564), highest education group, and households with annual incomes in excess of LE 4,000 Page | 30 have estimated average start-up capital requirements greater than the mean for all nascent entrepreneurs (thus, larger and more capital, intensive start-ups) and expect to have significantly more start-up financing/investment from others (Table 6). Table 6. Variations in Start-up Money Requirements by Demographic Variables Total start-up money Start-up money invested by nascent entrepreneur Start-up money invested by others LE 273,062 = 1.00 LE 89,828 = 1.00 LE 231,393 = 1.00 Female 0.50 1.23 0.31 Male 1.10 0.94 1.14 18-24 0.70 0.98 0.61 25-34 0.86 0.45 0.94 35-44 1.00 1.35 0.92 45-54 0.95 2.33 0.88 55-64 4.06 0.70 4.74 Low level of education 0.26 0.39 0.24 Intermediate level of education 0.88 1.52 0.77 High level of education 2.63 0.53 3.01 LE 0 – LE 300 0.01 0.01 0.01 LE 301 – LE 500 0.15 0.15 0.15 LE 501 – LE 700 0.16 0.13 0.16 LE 701 – LE 1,000 1.68 0.30 1.92 LE 1,001 – LE 1,500 0.30 0.53 0.28 LE 1,501 – LE 2,000 0.44 0.57 0.42 LE 2,001 – LE 4,000 1.35 1.04 1.45 LE 4,001 + 2.78 4.36 2.45 Previously owned a business in the past 0.95 1.54 0.89 Have not own a business in the past 1.04 .73 1.08 Discontinued a business in the past 12 months 1.01 1.08 1.03 Have not discontinued a business in the past 12 months 1.00 0.98 0.99 Mean value (as benchmark) Gender Age Education level Household income* Past entrepreneurial experience Note: Calculations are based on the distance of averages for each group from the overall average funding amounts. The overall average is given a value of 1.00. For example, the average start-up money required by women was only half of the overall average amount, so the score for women is 0.50. Page | 31 The nascent entrepreneurs are very optimistic about the returns they will generate on the money they invest in their new enterprises over the next 10 years. Over three-quarters expect to at least double their investment and over 20% to increase it at least ten-fold (Figure 26). Their expectations are considerably higher than those of the business angels, a topic to be discussed later in this report (page 39). Figure 26. Return on Investment Expected by Nascent Entrepreneurs - Egypt, 2008 None Half of the investment About as much as the investment 1.5 times the investment Twice the investment 5 times the investment 10 times the investment 20 times the investment 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% % of nascent entrepreneurs Export Orientation Entrepreneurs in the survey were asked whether they have (or will have) customers outside of Egypt. The results indicate that close to 60% of both early-stage entrepreneurs and established business owners do not export and have no customers outside of Egypt (Figure 27). On the other hand, approximately 40% of these businesses do have out-of-country customers. For 7% of the enterprises, out-of-country customers make up over threequarters of their customer base. Early-stage entrepreneurs indicate a slightly higher propensity to exporting activity than established businesses. Comparing Egypt with the rest of the GEM 2008 countries, it is noticeable that early-stage entrepreneurs in all economies depend primarily on a local customer base, but this percentage is higher in the factor-driven economies (Figure 28). Egypt’s share of early-stage entrepreneurs with no out-of-country customers is comparable to the other factor-driven economies (about 60%). However, a larger proportion of those who do, have upwards of 26% of their customers living outside the country (over a quarter versus less than 15% in other factor-driven economies). In fact, 18% of early-stage and established businesses in Egypt have more than 50% of their customers in other countries, placing Egypt first on this indicator compared with the other 42 countries. Page | 32 Figure 27. Number of Customers outside Egypt 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% TEA Businesses 20% Established Business 10% 0% 76-100% of customers outside country 26-75% of customers outside country 1-25% of customers outside country No customers outside country Figure 28. Number of Customers Outside the Country, GEM 2008 Countries 70% Factor-driven economies 60% 50% Efficiency-driven economies 40% 30% Innovation-driven economies 20% 10% Egypt 0% 1-25% of No customers customers outside outside country country 26-75% of 76-100% of customers customers outside outside country country Page | 33 Innovation and Growth Expectations Table 7 compares Egypt to other GEM countries on a number of dimensions related to innovation and the growth expectations of early-stage entrepreneurs. Their growth expectations provide some indication of the economic impact of their enterprises over time. With 11.4% of Egypt’s early-stage entrepreneurs indicating that they expect to create more than 10 jobs in five years, Egypt ranks in the bottom half of GEM countries and 5th among the eight factor-driven economies. Only 6.5% of TEA enterprises in Egypt are in the medium to high tech sectors, and this places Egypt in the top third of GEM countries. However, Egypt performs much less well in terms of the percentage of TEA enterprises that are based on new product market combinations, where it is placed among the bottom 4 countries. Early-stage TEA businesses have slightly different characteristics than Egyptian enterprises that have been established for more than 42 months (Table 8). A higher percentage of earlystage TEA businesses are planning to undertake market expansion based on new technologies; are using technologies that are less than one-year old; are in the medium to high-tech sectors; show indications of new product market combinations; and are competing in markets with few or no competitors with the same product. On the other hand, established businesses are more likely to have customers who consider their products new or unfamiliar. Overall, the vast majority of all Egyptian businesses are not particularly technology-oriented or differentiated in their product market combinations. Page | 34 Table 7. Innovation and Growth Expectations of TEA Businesses Country Involved in TEA, expects more than 19 jobs in 5 years % of all 18-64 Factor-driven economies Angola 0.7% Bolivia 1.0% Bosnia and 0.7% Herzegovina Colombia 4.3% Ecuador 0.6% Egypt 1.1% India 0.1% Iran 0.9% Efficiency-driven economies Argentina 2.3% Brazil 0.8% Chile 2.4% Croatia 0.9% Dominican Republic 2.3% Hungary 0.2% Jamaica 0.2% Latvia 1.1% Macedonia 1.2% Mexico 0.2% Peru 2.2% Romania 0.5% Russia 0.7% Serbia 0.5% South Africa 1.0% Turkey 1.1% Uruguay 1.2% Innovation-driven economies Belgium 0.3% Denmark 0.3% Finland 0.4% France 0.3% Germany 0.3% Greece 0.5% Iceland 1.9% Ireland 1.7% Israel 0.9% Italy 0.4% Japan 0.9% Korea Republic 1.4% Netherlands 0.2% Norway 1.0% Slovenia 0.7% Spain 0.4% United Kingdom 0.6% United States 2.3% TEA: Expected job growth > =10 persons and > =50 percent, in 5 years TEA: new product market combination TEA: Technology sector (medium high and high-tech sectors) % of TEA % of TEA % of TEA 12.8% 8.8% 16.0% 11.9% N/A 4.8% 15.3% 8.5% 2.0% 30.6% 11.0% 11.4% 3.1% 14.9% 19.5% 14.5% 9.0% 5.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.8% 6.5% 0.8% 4.6% 24.1% 8.8% 32.6% 19.7% 19.5% 5.2% 2.0% 25.2% 18.0% 4.7% 17.6% 20.4% 13.0% 20.2% 20.5% 26.6% 19.9% 30.0% 3.8% 36.5% 9.1% 16.1% 4.5% 11.4% 24.4% 13.0% 25.7% 37.0% 15.7% 11.5% 12.4% 23.5% 18.1% 35.7% 3.0% 3.3% 1.6% 3.1% 5.2% 6.0% 1.2% 6.2% 4.7% 3.8% 6.2% 1.8% 4.7% 3.9% 4.5% 6.2% 7.5% 18.1% 20.4% 13.5% 17.4% 11.2% 6.0% 26.0% 22.5% 17.5% 15.2% 25.7% 20.7% 4.6% 16.6% 17.3% 7.6% 16.5% 29.2% 28.9% 28.7% 15.4% 23.6% 24.3% 22.7% 31.6% 23.0% 21.2% 10.8% 13.3% 13.8% 20.3% 26.5% 28.1% 18.6% 23.6% 20.2% 12.1% 16.3% 2.2% 3.7% 2.0% 4.3% 7.7% 14.1% 1.2% 12.5% 2.2% 8.1% 10.1% 10.2% 9.2% 6.0% 11.7% 7.3% Page | 35 Table 8. Comparing TEA and Established Businesses on Expansion, Innovation and Competitive Aspects – Egypt, 2008 TEA businesses (%) Established businesses (%) No market expansion 58.7% 61.6% Some market expansion (no new technologies) 16.6% 20.4% Some market expansion (new technologies) 22.3% 16.1% Profound market expansion 2.3% 1.9% All 12.3% 20.9% Some 15.8% 10.4% None 71.9% 68.7% Very latest technology (newer than one year) 24.6% 18.0% New technology (1-5 years old) 28.7% 19.4% No new technology (more than 5 years old) 46.7% 62.6% No or low technologies 93.1% 96.2% Medium-tech 0.3% 0.0% High-tech 6.6% 3.8% No indication 90.8% 97.2% Indication 9.2% 2.8% Many 67.3% 73.9% Few 25.8% 19.4% None 6.9% 6.6% Market expansion mode Innovation Number of (potential) customers who consider products new/unfamiliar Use of technologies that were available more than a year ago Technology level of the sector New product market combination Competition - Other businesses offering the same products Page | 36 Business Discontinuances Another important indicator of entrepreneurial dynamism in an economy is the rate of business discontinuance. GEM respondents are asked if they have had a business in the past in which they are no longer active, as well as whether that business is still active or not, and why they discontinued their involvement in the business. The business discontinuance rates for GEM countries were presented in Table 2 (page 10). This revealed that 6.3% of the Egyptian adult population has owned an enterprise in which they are no longer active, placing Egypt in the top quarter of GEM countries for high discontinuance rates, a feature of factor-driven economies 21. However, in 31% of the Egyptian cases, the business continued to operate with a new owner-manager. The adult population was also screened for entrepreneurs who had discontinued a business in the past year. Fifteen percent of the adults who were currently involved in entrepreneurial activity (as nascent, early-stage or established business owners) indicated that they had discontinued with a business in the previous 12 months. The business continued to operate in about a third of the cases but with different owner-managers; the remaining businesses were closed down by the entrepreneur (i.e. business closure rate of just over 10%). This business closure rate is high compared to most other GEM countries. Egyptian entrepreneurs differ somewhat from entrepreneurs in other GEM countries in their reasons for exiting from the business (Figure 29). They are somewhat more likely to have discontinued with the business because it was not profitable, they had problems getting financing, or due to an incident, and less likely to because they had another job or business opportunity or because they retired. Figure 29. Reasons for Business Discontinuance, GEM Countries, 2008 100% 90% Incident 80% Personal reasons 70% Retirement 60% Exit was planned in advance 50% Other job or business opportunity 40% Opportunity to sell 30% Problems getting finance 20% Business not profitable 10% 0% Factordriven economies Efficiencydriven economies Egypt Innovationdriven economies Page | 37 Business Angels “Business angel” is the term used to refer to people who make informal investments in someone else’s business venture. Usually, the business angel is closely acquainted with the owner of the enterprise as a family member, relative, friend, neighbour or work colleague, but occasionally they might invest in a stranger’s business if an introduction is made and the opportunity sounds promising. In GEM countries, business angels have been found to be a major source of capital for nascent and early-stage enterprises. The APS identified people who had, in the past three years, personally provided funds for a new business started by someone else. In Egypt, 2.5% of the adult population answered yes to this question; 3.2% of the adult males and 1.7% of the adult females. Women make up about a third of the business angels. Egyptian business angels provided an average of LE 26,200 (median of LE 7,500) to business start-ups in the past three years (average per year of about LE 8700). In most cases, the investment size is very small – about 37% of angels invested LE 5,000 or less; almost 70% of investments were LE 10,000 or less (Figure 30). Women are smaller investors – the average female angel investment was only a third of the average male angel investment. Figure 30. Business Angels by Investment Size - Egypt, 2008 LE 200,001 - LE 500,000 LE 50,001-LE 200,000 LE 20,001-LE 50,000 LE 10,001-LE 20,000 LE 5,001-LE 10,000 Under LE 5,000 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% % of business angels The significance of angel investment should not be underestimated. Given that 2.5% of the Egyptian adult population (almost a million people) is investing an average of LE 8,700 a year in early-stage entrepreneurial ventures, the estimated size of angel financing approximates LE 8.13 billion, which is close to 1% of 2008 GDP. The majority of business angels had close relationships with the owner of the business in which they invested (Figure 32). A third of the business angels were related to the investee as a close family member, and almost 30% were friends or neighbours. It is interesting that they were as likely to have invested in the business of a stranger as in one owned by a relative other than a close family member. Gender differences are noted. Female angels are much more likely than men to invest in the business of a close family member and male angels to invest in a friend/neighbour’s business. Page | 38 Figure 31. Relationship of Business Angel to Investee – Egypt, 2008 Stranger Friend/neighbour Work colleague Other relative Close family 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% All business angels 25% 30% Male angels 35% 40% 45% 50% Female angels Business angels in Egypt have quite modest expectations for the return on their investments. Over 35% do not expect any return at all (Figure 32). This suggests that a large number of the angel investments fall into the category of “love money” — money invested in a close family member’s business idea with no real expectation of seeing a return. However, another third expects returns of 2 to 20 times their investment, so clearly see growth potential in the new enterprises of their investees. Figure 32. Investment Returns Expected by Business Angels in 10 Years None Half of the investment About as much as the investment 1.5 times the investment Twice the investment 5 times the investment 10 times the investment 20 times the investment 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% The demographic characteristics of business angels are presented in Table 9. They are found in all age groups; but the highest prevalence rate (4.1%) is in the 55-64 age group. Angels in this age group also made the highest average informal investment of any age group during the past three years. The business angel prevalence rate in the 25-34 age group is 2.5%, but because of the sheer size of this group in the total population, there are more angels in this age group than in others. Education level is also a variable. University degree holders have a relatively high angel prevalence rate (5.8%) compared to angels with lower education levels and made the largest average investments over the past three years by education level. However, the share of Page | 39 university degree holders in the total population is low. The largest total amount of angel investment came from the secondary certificate holders. Although informal investors are found in all household income groups (above LE 300 a year), the prevalence rate varies considerably. Only 1.8% of people with annual household incomes of LE 301-LE 500 have made informal investments, increasing to 5.0% in the LE 701-LE 1,000 group, and to 6.8% for the household groups with income of over LE 4,000. With minor exceptions, as might be expected, the average amount invested over the past three years increases with household income level. Although the average investment level of angels in the LE 701–LE 1,000 per annum household income group is much less than the overall average, with a prevalence rate of 5.0% and a significant share of the population, this group is a large source of start-up capital. It appears that lower household income groups are most likely to invest in the entrepreneurial activities of family members and close relatives and the higher income angels more likely to invest in the activities of non-relatives. Those in the LE 4,001+ per annum groups make the largest average investments. Table 9. Angel Prevalence Rates among Demographic Groups – Egypt, 2008 Demographic Prevalence rate (% of population) Average investment - past 3 years Age group Demographic Prevalence rate (% of population) Average investment - past 3 years Gender 18-24 2.1 LE 6,133 Male 3.2 LE 36,405 25-34 2.5 LE 14,126 Female 1.7 LE 10,952 35-44 1.9 LE 20,779 Household income 44-54 3.1 LE 37,123 LE 0 - 300 0 0 55-64 4.1 LE 61,561 LE 301 – LE 500 1.8 LE 8,221 LE 501 - LE700 2.3 LE 4,707 Education level None 1.5 LE 8,511 LE 701 – LE 1,000 5.0 LE 7,641 Some secondary 2.5 LE 5,738 LE 1,001 - LE 1,500 4.8 LE 20, 891 Secondary completion 2.2 LE 24,535 LE 1,501 - LE 2,000 4.3 LE 58,920 Post-secondary 3.5 LE 12,808 LE 2,001 – LE 4,000 3.9 LE 32, 435 Bachelor’s degree or higher 5.8 LE 50,516 LE 4,001 + 6.8 LE 105,258 Overall average 2.5 LE 26,200 Overall average 2.5 LE 26,200 Page | 40 Egypt’s Entrepreneurial Orientation: Entrepreneurial Attitudes and Perceptions of the Population It is increasingly apparent that widespread entrepreneurial activity is central to the development of a market economy and economic growth. For many individuals, the entrepreneurial process starts with a personal assessment dealing with attitudes and perceptions towards entrepreneurship. 22 The level of entrepreneurial activity depends upon the willingness of individuals to start new firms, to work for new firms, and to encourage those who do both, and this is reflected in their attitudes towards entrepreneurship. These attitudes can be influenced by the extent to which people think there are good opportunities for starting a business and the degree to which they attach high status to entrepreneurs, as examples. These issues, explored in the GEM research, are the topic of this section. Although entrepreneurship is a universal phenomenon23, there are differences in entrepreneurial attitudes and perceptions across different countries24. Table 10 presents scores on several indicators reflecting individuals’ perceptions towards entrepreneurship in each of the 43 GEM 2008 countries, grouped by their phase of economic development. The Egyptian population has a relatively positive attitude towards entrepreneurship. It ranks 12th among the 43 countries in the percentage of the adult population that considers entrepreneurship as a desirable career choice (73%). This reflects a favourable mindset towards entrepreneurship which may lead to ultimate engagement in entrepreneurial activity. A relatively high percentage of the population is also confident that they have the required knowledge and skills to start a business; 53% were definite that they have these skills, ranking Egypt in 14th place. However, only 40% of the surveyed population confirmed that they see good opportunities for starting a business in the next 6 months (surveys completed in July-August of 2008), ranking Egypt 27th among the 43 countries. Regardless of whether it relates to an entrepreneur starting a new venture or innovating in an existing business, the fear of failure can be a major inhibiting factor preventing people from pursuing their ideas. When Egyptians were asked whether a fear of failure would prevent them from starting a business, only a quarter agreed with the statement. In this regard, Egypt ranked in 2nd place among the 43 countries, just behind Iran. This suggests that Egyptians have a low fear of failure and are ready to risk things going wrong and handle setbacks without being deterred. Role models are important in promoting the concept of entrepreneurship in society.25 Knowing someone who started a business has been shown to have an influence on entrepreneurial intentions. Both the presence of role models and the perception of the merits of an entrepreneurial career transmitted by those role models generally have positive effects on attitudes towards entrepreneurship, inspiring people to start their own businesses. 26 On the other hand, a lack of positive examples of entrepreneurs (role models) and limited networks are among the most critical barriers restraining entrepreneurship. 27 Two in five people in Egypt reported that they personally know someone who started a business in the past 2 years. This is close to the average for all GEM countries, but ranks Egypt in 18th place. Page | 41 Table 10. Entrepreneurial Attitudes and Perceptions in the 43 GEM Countries by Phase of Economic Development, 2008 Sees good opportunities for starting a business in the next 6 months (%) Fear of failure would prevent to start a business (%) Personally knows someone who started a business in the past 2 years (%) Has the required knowledge and skills to start a business (%) Expects to start a business in the next 3 years (%) 74 52 45 49 71 38 44 67 27 38 49 81 46 60 50 26 39 62 25 82 60 Colombia 65 Ecuador 50 Egypt 40 India 58 Iran 35 Efficiency-driven economies Argentina 48 Brazil 44 Chile 30 Croatia 53 Dominican Republic 58 Hungary 26 Jamaica 52 Latvia 37 Macedonia 47 Mexico 59 Peru 60 Romania 45 Russia 39 Serbia 56 South Africa 60 Turkey 47 Uruguay 57 Innovation-driven economies Belgium 23 Denmark 69 Finland 54 France 34 Germany 35 Greece 35 Iceland 38 Ireland 35 Israel 39 Italy 35 Japan 13 Korea Republic 20 Netherlands 54 Norway 46 Slovenia 55 Spain 32 United Kingdom 41 United States 44 41 35 25 46 22 34 33 40 56 45 54 66 53 45 58 60 37 35 33 36 92 79 73 67 57 78 57 57 81 53 40 43 34 36 31 47 26 37 35 31 38 52 66 28 38 39 33 30 44 41 51 54 26 46 33 46 50 50 36 33 52 41 27 40 53 49 54 56 70 43 65 23 52 55 66 21 14 60 31 44 58 15 26 29 10 30 6 17 7 39 26 34 9 3 31 13 21 17 69 68 80 70 92 48 81 75 80 66 82 n.a. 60 72 65 72 71 80 78 44 61 64 19 71 71 66 52 71 56 50 67 69 63 67 30 43 32 53 49 55 36 37 43 48 44 32 33 28 33 52 38 28 28 43 46 33 29 35 60 33 35 30 21 32 32 34 50 36 23 33 34 30 30 25 30 46 45 42 35 35 9 23 30 33 44 43 45 48 6 5 5 13 4 13 12 6 14 7 4 17 4 7 7 5 5 7 47 57 46 63 56 76 61 55 58 68 26 69 85 61 58 68 52 63 38 32 71 48 50 55 81 65 57 40 59 67 61 71 67 43 54 73 Factor-driven economies Angola Bolivia Bosnia & Herzegovina Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, p. 16. Page | 42 Country attitudes perceived by individuals EntrepreMedia neurship attention considered for desirable entrepren career -eurship choice (%) (%) The level of media attention to entrepreneurship in a country or region can also be important in shaping attitudes towards entrepreneurship in the society. Profiling stories about local entrepreneurs creates more public awareness of their role in society and signals that the achievements and contributions of entrepreneurs are socially valued. In Egypt, 57% of adults responded affirmatively to the statement “you often see stories in the public media about successful entrepreneurs”. This is slightly below the average positive response rate for all GEM countries, but places Egypt on par with countries like Ecuador, Israel, and Romania, in the bottom 40%, compared to countries like India and Iceland, where over 80% of the population often sees stories in the media about successful entrepreneurs. It is interesting to note that Egyptians express more positive attitudes and perceptions towards entrepreneurship than populations in most of the high income, innovation-driven countries. In fact, just over a third of the Egyptian adult population stated that they expect to start a business in the next three years. This is a higher percentage than in all but five other GEM countries (mostly factor-driven economies). This is a good base on which to build a stronger entrepreneurial economy. Page | 43 Page | 44 Part III: National Expert Survey (NES) Findings – Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions The second major objective of the GEM research is to uncover factors determining national levels of entrepreneurial activity – those factors that specify what makes a country more or less entrepreneurial. In this section, an emphasis is placed on the different aspects of the national context expected to enhance entrepreneurial activity in Egypt. This is examined through the lens of the nine Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions (EFCs), which were outlined in the GEM Model in Figure 1 and defined in Box 1 (page 4). In 2008, 31 of the 43 countries participating in the GEM project conducted the National Experts Survey (NES). In the NES, a minimum of 36 professionals deemed to be in a position to express expert opinions were asked to comment on the strength of factors related to the nine EFCs in their respective countries. They each indicated their level of agreement with the veracity of 54 statements in the nine areas, using a Likert scale from 1-5 with 1 indicating the statement was completely False and 5 indicating the statement was completely True. They also provided their perceptions regarding a number of other factors, including the start-up abilities and knowledge of people in the country, the social image of entrepreneurs, the state of intellectual property rights, support to start-ups by women, the attention paid to high-growth firms, and the level of interest in innovation. Finally they were asked to state three issues or factors constraining entrepreneurial activity in the country, three that are fostering it, and three recommendations to improve it. Expert’s Perceptions of the Strength of Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions A cross-national comparison of NES responses reveals a number of country variations in the perceived strengths and weaknesses of the nine EFCs. The mean scores for Egypt are summarised in Table 11, along with its rankings among GEM countries. Table 11. Summary of Egypt's Relative Performance in Assessment of EFCs Entrepreneurial Framework Condition 1. Financial Support 2. Government Policies 3. Government Programs 4. Education and Training 5. Research and Development (R&D) and Transfer 6. Commercial & Professional Services Infrastructure 7. Internal Market Openness Internal market dynamics Internal market burden 8. Physical Infrastructure 9. Cultural and Social Norms Note: Mean scores are based on scale of 1 to 5. Mean score for Egypt Rank (of 31 countries) 2.27 21 2.71 11 2.19 22 1.79 31 1.65 31 2.68 25 3.57 2.47 3.82 2.40 4 15 7 22 Page | 45 Egypt performs comparatively very well on assessments of its internal market dynamics and physical infrastructure, and very poorly on education and training and R&D transfer. The remainder of this section presents and analyses the responses from the 36 Egyptian experts and compares the overall results with those of expert assessments in the other participating GEM countries. 1. Financial Support The role played by financial support was explored in the NES using six survey items (Box 2). When comparing the assessment of the Egyptian experts with those from other countries about the adequacy of financial support in their countries, Egypt ranked 21st, although experts in all of the countries expressed the view that the level of funding availability for the new and growing firms in their countries is insufficient (Figure 33). Box 2. Financial Support In my country, there is: 1. sufficient equity funding available for new and growing firms. 2. sufficient debt funding available for new and growing firms. 3. sufficient government subsidies available for new and growing firms. 4. sufficient funding available from private individuals (other than founders) for new and growing firms. 5. sufficient venture capitalist funding available for new and growing firms. 6. sufficient funding available through initial public offerings (IPOs) for new and growing firms. Figure 33. Financial Support – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2.27 2 1 Finland Norway USA Ireland Germany Denmark Greece Croatia Slovenia South Africa Korea Serbia Chile Spain Macedonia Italy Mexico Russia Peru Brazil Egypt Bosnia Iran Jamaica Uruguay Colombia Bolivia Turkey Argentina Ecuador Dominican R. 0 Note: Based on the average for experts’ responses in each country. Finance continues to be one of the basic impediments facing new and growing firms in Egypt. According to a study conducted by the World Bank, only 13% of small businesses in Egypt borrow from banks, compared to 36% of large businesses 28. Furthermore, the study found that only 7% of new investments and working capital is financed through the banking sector and that only 3.8% of new investments are financed by capital markets. Page | 46 Although several venture capitalist (VC) and private equity (PE) firms are operating in Egypt, venture capital funding (a type of private equity capital typically provided to early-stage, high-potential, growth companies) is not perceived by experts as being highly available to new and growing firms (Figure 34), garnering the lowest mean response score for this set of items. This is largely attributed to high transaction costs and low returns. Furthermore, the legal and regulatory environment is a major impediment to the growth of the VC/PE industry in Egypt. 29 Experts were most likely to agree that sufficient debt funding was available for new and growing firms, but the mean score of 2.5 out of a possible 5 is not impressive. Figure 34. Perceptions of the State of Financial Support in Egypt Sufficient venture capitalist funding available for new and growing firms 2.03 Sufficient funding available through initial public offerings (IPOs) for new and growing firms 2.11 Sufficient government subsidies available for new and growing firms 2.31 Sufficient equity funding available for new and growing firms 2.31 Sufficient funding available from private individuals (other than founders) for new and growing firms 2.36 Sufficient debt funding available for new and growing firms 2.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 Nevertheless, many steps have been taken towards improving access to financial support for new and growing firms in Egypt, especially for microenterprises and SMEs. Banks in Egypt, for example, have begun serious efforts to expand their lending to SMEs. In 2008, the Central Bank of Egypt authorised the setting up of an SME Unit in the Egyptian Banking Institute. This unit is now providing training to bank lending officers on developing the SME market. The establishment of the I-Score credit bureau may also eventually assist banks in better assessing the risks of new and small business clients. Early in 2009, the new regulation that exempts Egyptian banks from the reserve requirement (14%) for loans to SMEs became effective. “Limited access to external sources of financing is a constraining factor– banks don’t do much lending to new firms or micro and small firms, limited VC in country. Most sources are family, friends and savings.” - Expert - Another active financial supporter is the Social Fund for Development (SFD), the governmental institution with a mandate to support micro and small enterprises (MSEs) and entrepreneurship. In addition to a range of other MSE support services and initiatives, the SFD offers loan products for small projects. Most of the debt financing offerings, however, are in the form of micro finance loans, and the majority of this is available to existing MSEs, rather than to new start-ups. The same is the case for other microfinance providers in Egypt, of which there are many. 30 In 2007, the government launched the SME bourse on the Cairo and Alexander Stock Exchange, the “Nile Stock Exchange (NILEX).” This SME Exchange has less rigorous listing requirements for eligible Page | 47 SMEs, and has encouraged a few SMEs to pursue expansion financing through public offerings. 2. Government Policies A major contextual factor affecting entrepreneurship activity in Egypt is government policies, including legislation, regulations, business permit and licensing requirements, taxation and other procedures and rules affecting new and growing firms. The effect of this factor in enhancing entrepreneurship was investigated in a set of seven survey items in the NES (see Box 3). The majority of experts in the 31 Box 3. Government Policies In my country: countries are dissatisfied with their 1. government policies (e.g. public procurement) governments' policies regarding legislation, consistently favour new firms. taxation, regulation and licensing (Figure 35). 2. the support for new and growing firms is a high priority for policy at the national government Well over half of the countries have mean level. scores of less than 2.5. With a mean score of 3. the support for new and growing firms is a high th 2.7, Egypt ranked 11 on this EFC, placing it priority for policy at the local government level. between Russia and Iran. 4. new firms can get most of the required permits 5. and licenses in about a week. the amount of taxes is NOT a burden for new and growing firms. taxes and other government regulations are applied to new and growing firms in a predictable and consistent way. coping with government bureaucracy, regulations, and licensing requirements is not unduly difficult for new and growing firms. Egypt is known for its mixed economic system. The government still heavily 6. subsidises food, energy and other commodities. The open door policies and the 7. macro economic reforms have helped increase the private sector share of the economy. According to "the ease of doing business index" produced by the World Bank and the International Finance Corporation (IFC), the business environment in Egypt is highly unfavourable, although aggressive reforms in the past two years have resulted in a considerable improvement in Egypt’s Doing Business ranking – from 165 in 2006, to 147 in 2007, to 114 in 2007. Reforms are increasing regulatory transparency and reducing bureaucratic burdens. Figure 35. Government Policies – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 2.71 3 2 1 Page | 48 Korea Finland Ireland Germany Denmark Spain South Africa Mexico Russia Colombia Iran Egypt USA Greece Macedonia Serbia Uruguay Jamaica Slovenia Peru Norway Chile Italy Croatia Turkey Dominican R. Ecuador Brazil Bosnia Bolivia Argentina 0 The Egyptian national experts were somewhat satisfied with the level of government policy priority in favour of new and growing firms at the national level (mean score of 3.1), although less satisfied with this at the local government level (Figure 36). They were least likely to agree with the truth of statements that “new and growing firms do not find it unduly difficult to cope with government bureaucracy, regulations and licensing requirements” (mean score of 1.7) and that “new firms can get most of the required permits and licenses in less than a week” (mean score of 2.0). “Government policies for promoting entrepreneurial activity are very weak, nonconstructive, bureaucratic, confusing, financially and administratively too demanding. There are no clear or consistent policies that an entrepreneur may follow, new policies and procedures are made every day and others are cancelled. Government policies that are promoted in the newspapers always sound excellent, but the facts are always totally the opposite. There is no trust in tomorrow or transparency.” According to the Doing Business 2009 report, it takes up to 7-9 days to register a limited liability company in Egypt, but much longer to obtain the necessary permits and licenses to actually operate the business. In fact, it takes up to 249 days to acquire the required permits to build a warehouse, not a good indicator. 31 -Expert- Figure 36. Perceptions of the State of Government Policies in Egypt Coping with government bureaucracy, regulations, and licensing requirements is not unduly difficult for new and growing firms 1.75 New firms can get most of the required permits and licenses in about a week 2.03 Government policies (e.g. public procurement) consistently favour new firms 2.28 Support for new and growing firms is a high priority for policy at the local government level 2.66 Taxes and other government regulations are applied to new and growing firms in a predictable and consistent way 2.91 The amount of taxes is NOT a burden for new and growing firms 2.91 Support for new and growing firms is a high priority for policy at the national government level 3.14 0 1 2 3 4 5 Experts’ perceptions about the tax treatment of new and growing firms and the absolute tax burden on them were moderate (mean scores of less than 3.0). There is evidence that the tax burden on SMEs is substantial. The Doing Business 2009 report states that the taxes and mandatory contributions that an Egypt-based limited liability company (with more than 60 Page | 49 employees) must pay is 46.1%. This includes social security contributions (28.9% of profit), corporate income tax (13.6% of profit) and administrative taxes (3.6%). 3. Governmental Programmes Another main factor affecting the level of entrepreneurial activity is the government's involvement in encouraging new and growing firms through support programmes. The contribution of government Box 4. Governmental Programmes programmes to entrepreneurship In my country, 1. a wide range of government assistance for new and growing support was assessed in the NES by firms can be obtained through contact with a single agency. six items (see Box 4). 2. Except in a few countries, experts did not indicate a high level of positive agreement with statements reflecting the state of government programme support (Figure 37). Egypt ranked 22nd on the availability and efficacy of its governmental support programmes for new and growing firms. 3. 4. 5. 6. science parks and business incubators provide effective support for new and growing firms. there are an adequate number of government programmes for new and growing businesses. the people working for government agencies are competent and effective in supporting new and growing firms. almost anyone who needs help from a government programme for a new or growing business can find what they need. government programmes aimed at supporting new and growing firms are effective. Figure 37. Government Programmes – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2.19 2 1 Ireland Germany Korea Spain Norway Finland Denmark USA Mexico Slovenia Colombia Chile Croatia Brazil Dominican R. Greece Macedonia Italy Serbia Uruguay Egypt Jamaica Russia Iran Peru Turkey Argentina Bosnia South Africa Bolivia Ecuador 0 Basically, Egyptian experts do not hold a high degree of credence that government programmes are adequately available to anyone who needs help with a new or growing business. This item received the lowest mean score for this EFC (Figure 38). This suggests a lack of availability/accessibility of assistance to new and growing firms provided by government programmes. The next lowest scored EFC item regards the effective support provided by science parks and business incubators (mean score of 1.9). There are several initiatives in Egypt to establish science parks (i.e. Mubarak City for Scientific Research and Technology Applications) and business and technology incubators (i.e. SFD incubators, Smart Village, Technology Transfer and Innovation Centres), yet the impact of these efforts is still felt on a relatively small scale. Furthermore, the experts generally perceived that there is not Page | 50 an adequate number of government programmes and that people working for government agencies lack competence and are generally ineffective in supporting new and growing firms (mean scores just over 2.0). Figure 38. Perceptions of the State of Government Programmes in Egypt Almost anyone who needs help from a government programme for a new or growing business can find what they need 1.85 Science parks and business incubators provide effective support for new and growing firms 1.97 People working for government agencies are competent and effective in supporting new and growing firms 2.17 Adequate number of government programmes for new and growing businesses 2.17 Government programmes aimed at supporting new and growing firms are effective 2.36 Wide range of government assistance for new and growing firms can be obtained through contact with a single agency 2.51 0 1 2 3 4 5 Over the last two decades, the Government of Egypt has launched several programmes to support entrepreneurship, either directly or in cooperation with the private sector and donors, with the main focus on SMEs. A primary example is the SFD, which operates onestop shops in each governorate to facilitate the business registration and licensing processes for owners of micro and small enterprises, and offers advice, counselling , export assistance, and financing through its network of SFD Regional Offices. The Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC), established by a Presidential Decree in 2000 under the Ministry of Trade and Industry, offers programme support (primarily) to firms with 10 or more employees, including growth firms, and has launched an Entrepreneurship Development Programme aimed at developing and supporting entrepreneurship. The General Authority for Investment and Free Zones (GAFI) has a one-stop shop to facilitate licensing processes for new investors and the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology (MCIT) also offers programme support to innovative enterprises in the information technology sector. Page | 51 4. Education and Training The attitudes of experts towards the framework conditions affecting education and training were explored through eight survey statements aimed at assessing to what extent the educational and training system Box 5. Education and Training encourages and supports In my country, 1. teaching in primary and secondary education encourages entrepreneurial behaviour and creativity, self-sufficiency, and personal initiative. management skills (see Box 5). 2. The majority of experts in 31 GEM countries assessed the level of attention to and inclusion of entrepreneurship in the education system in their countries as low (Figures 39 and 40). Egypt ranks in last place with a mean score of 1.3 on experts’ perceptions of the extent of entrepreneurial education at primary and secondary schools and about 1.8 on experts’ perceptions of the adequacy of education and training support for new and growing firms. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. teaching in primary and secondary education provides adequate instruction in market economic principles. teaching in primary and secondary education provides adequate attention to entrepreneurship and new firm creation. colleges and universities provide good and adequate preparation for starting up and growing new firms. the level of business and management education provide good and adequate preparation for starting up and growing new firms. the vocational, professional, and continuing education systems provide good and adequate preparation for starting up and growing new firms. entrepreneurs in general need external assistance of their plans prior to start-up. there are enough public and/or private centres or agencies that can provide persons with adequate education and training on entrepreneurship independently of the educational formal system. Figure 39. Entrepreneurial Education at Primary and Secondary Schools – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2 1.31 1 Norway Ireland Russia Finland Denmark Korea Slovenia Croatia Macedonia USA Argentina Serbia Uruguay Jamaica Colombia Spain Bosnia South Africa Peru Turkey Italy Germany Iran Greece Bolivia Dominican R. Ecuador Brazil Page | 52 Mexico Chile Egypt 0 Figure 40. Education and Training – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2 1.79 1 Russia Argentina Dominican R. USA Colombia Mexico Slovenia Serbia Uruguay Chile Peru Korea Ireland Finland Jamaica Spain Norway Brazil Croatia Germany Italy Macedonia Turkey Bolivia Ecuador Greece Iran South Africa Denmark Egypt Bosnia 0 Except for strong agreement among the Egyptian experts that entrepreneurs need external assistance prior to start-up, they gave very low scores to other items in this EFC (Figure 41). Figure 41. Perceptions of the State of Entrepreneurial Education and Training in Egypt Primary & secondary education provides adequate attention to entrepreneurship & new firm creation 1.28 Primary & secondary education provides adequate instruction in market economic principles 1.31 Primary and secondary education encourages creativity, self-sufficiency, and personal initiative 1.36 Colleges and universities provide good and adequate preparation for starting up & growing new firms 1.47 The level of business & management education provide good and adequate preparation for starting up & growing new firms 1.97 Vocational, professional & continuing education systems provide good & adequate preparation for starting up & growing new firms Enough public and/or private centres or agencies can provide persons with adequate education & training on entrepreneurship independently of the educational formal system 2.00 2.06 Entrepreneurs in general need external assistance of their plans prior to start-up 4.28 0 1 2 3 4 5 Page | 53 The lowest mean scores were given to efforts in the elementary and secondary education system to encourage creativity, self-sufficiency and personal initiatives (i.e. entrepreneurial attributes), teach market economic principles, and expose students to entrepreneurship and new firm creation knowledge. Experts believe that the system does not provide anything close to adequate attention to these issues. This was also the case with experts’ views on the preparation for starting and growing new firms provided by colleges and universities. Although slightly more agreeable regarding efforts of vocational, professional and continuing education systems in providing good and adequate preparation for start-up and growing new firms, the mean score of experts on this item was only 2.0. This is certainly an area which is need of attention if the goal is to foster stronger entrepreneurial activity in Egypt. Some efforts do exist to expose young people and students to entrepreneurship. The SFD, supported by donors, has recently launched an Entrepreneurship Education Programme to introduce entrepreneurship curriculum in selected universities and colleges across the country. In 2008, the Ministry of Education announced a new initiative to introduce the International Labour Organisation (ILO) “Know About Business” curriculum in 10 secondary schools on a pilot basis. Ultimately, over 50,000 students annually are projected to participate in this entrepreneurship programming when fully implemented. 80% of national experts were agreed that the education system is one of the top three areas constraining entrepreneurship in Egypt. There are a number of extracurricular entrepreneurship programmes as well. INJAZ-Egypt, an affiliate of Junior Achievement (JA), that began operations in Egypt in 2006, delivers market economy and entrepreneurship classes in schools, colleges and universities. The Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB) actively promotes entrepreneurship as a career options to university students through its KEY Career Development Programme, and the IMC has developed strong alliances with several Egyptian universities to expose students to entrepreneurship. Several entrepreneurship training classes were offered to thousands of Egyptian students during 2008 Global Entrepreneurship Week in Egypt, organized by the Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (MCSBE) with its many organizational partners. A number of other non-government organisations (NGOs) and business associations offer entrepreneurship and management skills training, but this is on a small scale and not systematic. In spite of these efforts, as revealed in the APS findings, a very small percentage of Egyptians have presently been exposed to entrepreneurship education and training, in or out of school. Page | 54 5. R&D Transfer Another framework condition enhancing entrepreneurship in any country is an environment that nurtures research and development, transfers it to new and growing firms, and enables the access of these firms to new Box 6. R&D Transfer technology. Six statements were used In my country, 1. new technology, science, and other knowledge are to assess this EFC (see Box 6). A comparison of the judgements made by the experts in all GEM countries indicated a low level of belief that R&D and technology support is being provided to new and growing firms in their countries (Figure 42). Egypt ranks in last place among the 31 countries with a mean score on experts’ views of 1.6 out of a possible 5. efficiently transferred from universities and public research centres to new and growing firms. new and growing firms have just as much access to new research and technology as large, established firms. new and growing firms can afford the latest technology. there are adequate government subsidies for new and growing firms to acquire new technology. the science and technology base efficiently supports the creation of world-class new technology-based ventures in at least one area. there is good support available for engineers and scientists to have their ideas commercialised through new and growing firms. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Figure 42. R&D Transfer – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2 1.65 1 Korea Ireland Norway USA Germany Finland Spain Denmark Slovenia Uruguay Russia Mexico Serbia Greece Italy Croatia Argentina Jamaica Colombia Iran Dominican R. Chile Turkey Macedonia Brazil South Africa Ecuador Peru Bosnia Egypt Bolivia 0 This particular EFC earned the lowest mean scores of experts in Egypt, who clearly do not believe that R&D and technology support is very advanced in the country (Figure 43). Their lowest assessment is of the efficient transfer of new science, “To improve technology and knowledge from universities and public research entrepreneurial centres (mean score of less than 1.5). The next lowest score activity, there must be proper relates to the affordability of the latest technology to new and consideration growing firms. Experts expressed the view that acquisition of the and attention to latest technology is in fact a burden for new and growing firms R&D.” due to its high capital investment requirement and their limited - Expert access to formal financing. Thus, these firms do not have as much access to new research and technology as large, established firms Page | 55 with greater financial resources. Experts have a negative perception of the adequacy of government subsidies for new and growing firms to acquire new technology. Although this item received the highest mean score for the items in this EFC, it was lower than 2.0. They particularly referred to the lack of investment of public money in R&D grants that would reduce risk and equity gaps for innovative projects. This is resulting in a lack of knowledge transfer and commercialisation of R&D and innovation. Targeting scientists and engineers with support to facilitate the commercialisation of their ideas and innovations is seen as inadequate, as is the level of support for world-class new technology-based ventures in at least one area of competence. The closest Egypt may come to the latter is in the area of ICT applications. The Ministry of Communications and Information Technology (MCIT) has a slate of support programmes to foster innovation in this field (e.g. the Technology Development Fund, Annual IT Business Plan Competition, network of Technology Transfer and Innovation Centres) with some success stories. Figure 43. Perceptions of the State of R&D Transfer in Egypt New technology, science, and other knowledge are efficiently transferred from universities and public research centers to new & growing firms 1.46 New and growing firms can afford the latest technology 1.58 New and growing firms have just as much access to new research and technology as large, established firms 1.61 Good support available for engineers and scientists to have their ideas commercialised through new & growing firms 1.64 The science and technology base efficiently supports the creation of world-class new technology-based ventures in at least one area 1.78 There are adequate government subsidies for new and growing firms to acquire new technology 1.85 0 1 2 3 4 5 Even though the majority of Egypt's research institutions and centres are governmentowned32 , the development of a dynamic and knowledge-based society is one of the hardest challenges that the Government of Egypt faces. To the extent that owners of new and growing firms cannot access the latest technology, science and other knowledge from universities and public research centres, they are deprived of potential commercialisation opportunities and the country is deprived of the employment creation, innovation and export potential of high-growth enterprises. Page | 56 6. Commercial and Professional Services Infrastructure The sixth Entrepreneurial Framework Condition shaping entrepreneurial activity is the level, scope, distribution, accessibility, and affordability of commercial and professional services in any country. The affect of this EFC on new and growing firms was explored using five statements (see Box 7). Experts' opinions on the strength of the commercial and professional services infrastructure vary across countries, yet are generally quite low (Figure 44). Egypt ranked 25th. Box 7. Commercial & Professional Services Infrastructure In my country, 1. there are enough subcontractors, suppliers, and consultants to support new and growing firms. 2. new and growing firms can afford the cost of using subcontractors, suppliers, and consultants. 3. it is easy for new and growing firms to get good subcontractors, suppliers, and consultants. 4. it is easy for new and growing firms to get good, professional legal and accounting services. 5. it is easy for new and growing firms to get good banking services (checking accounts, foreign exchange transactions, letters of credit, and the like). Figure 44. Commercial & Professional Services Infrastructure – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2.68 2 1 Finland Norway Russia Ireland Germany USA Denmark Greece Uruguay Slovenia Ecuador Spain Argentina Macedonia Serbia Jamaica Korea South Africa Dominican R. Peru Turkey Italy Croatia Chile Egypt Bosnia Mexico Brazil Colombia Iran Bolivia 0 The lowest scored item by Egyptian experts is the affordability of using subcontractors, suppliers, and consultants (mean of 2.1) (Figure 45). They believe that the new and growing firms cannot afford the cost and thus find it difficult to get good ones. Access to good banking, legal and accounting services, and the availability of subcontractors, suppliers and consultants each had a mean score of 3.0, indicating a slightly favourable view of experts about the strength of these factors. Page | 57 Figure 45. Perceptions of the State of Commercial & Professional Infrastructure in Egypt New & growing firms can afford the cost of using subcontractors, suppliers, and consultants 2.11 Easy for new and growing firms to get good subcontractors, suppliers, and consultants 2.36 Easy for new & growing firms to get good banking services (checking accounts, foreign exchange transactions, letters of credit, and the like) 3.00 Easy for new and growing firms to get good, professional legal & accounting services 3.00 Enough subcontractors, suppliers, and consultants to support new and growing firms 3.06 0 1 2 3 4 5 7. Internal Market Openness The strength of internal market openness was assessed through six statements (see Box 8). It is divided into two sub-dimensions: a) internal market dynamics (statements 1-2), and b) internal market burden (statements 4-6). The first sub-dimension has to do with the opportunities for new and growing firms created from expanding markets for products and services. The second has to do with barriers to market entry created by high entry costs and blocked competition. Box 8. Market Openness In my country, 1. the markets for consumer goods and services change dramatically from year to year. 2. the markets for business-to-business goods and services change dramatically from year to year. 3. new and growing firms can easily enter new markets. 4. the new and growing firms can afford the cost of market entry. 5. new and growing firms can enter markets without being unfairly blocked by established firms. 6. the anti-trust legislation is effective and well enforced. A cross-national comparison shows variation in experts' perceptions of the dynamism of the markets in their countries (Figure 46). Egypt ranks 4th among the 31 countries (mean score of 3.5), indicating the perception of a comparatively dynamic market for goods and services. Page | 58 Figure 46. Internal Market Dynamics – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3.57 3 2 1 Korea Serbia Croatia Brazil Egypt Bosnia Turkey Slovenia Macedonia Iran USA Russia Germany Italy Dominican R. Colombia Peru South Africa Ireland Mexico Jamaica Bolivia Greece Norway Argentina Chile Spain Finland Ecuador Denmark Uruguay 0 Experts in the GEM countries are clearly less optimistic about the degree of open market competition, and the ease with which new firms and growing firms can enter into new markets (Figure 47). Egypt ranks 15th on internal market burden with a mean score of 2.4. Figure 47. Internal Market Burden – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2.47 2 1 Denmark Ireland Finland USA Germany Norway Peru Greece Korea Jamaica Chile Spain Argentina Turkey Egypt Slovenia Dominican R. Italy South Africa Russia Colombia Bolivia Macedonia Mexico Uruguay Ecuador Serbia Croatia Iran Bosnia Brazil 0 The Egyptian experts believe that the markets for both consumer goods and services and business-to-business goods and services change dramatically from year to year (Figure 48), indicating high dynamics. Page | 59 Figure48 . Perceptions of the State of Internal Market Openness in Egypt Anti-trust legislation is effective and well enforced 2.3 New & growing firms can enter markets without being unfairly blocked by established firms 2.42 New & growing firms can afford the cost of market entry 2.5 New & growing firms can easily enter new markets 2.57 Markets for business-to-business goods and services change dramatically from year to year 3.46 Markets for consumer goods and services change dramatically from year to year 3.69 0 1 2 3 4 5 On the other hand, experts also believe that new and growing firms in Egypt cannot easily enter new markets, that the cost of market entry is high, that new and growing firms are being unfairly blocked by established firms, and that the anti-trust legislation is not effective and well enforced. 8. Accessibility of Physical Infrastructure The ease with which new and growing firms can access physical infrastructure was assessed using five statements (see Box 9). Experts rated their countries highly on the scale of development, distribution and accessibility of physical infrastructure (Figure 49). Egypt ranks 7th, reflecting the positive perceptions of Egyptian experts relative to those in other GEM countries. Box 9. Physical Infrastructure In my country, 1. the physical infrastructure (roads, utilities, communications, waste disposal) provides good support for new and growing firms. 2. it is not too expensive for a new or growing firm to get good access to communications (phone, Internet, etc.). 3. a new or growing firm can get good access to communications (telephone, internet, etc.) in about a week. 4. new and growing firms can afford the cost of basic utilities (gas, water, electricity, sewer). 5. new and growing firms can get good access to utilities (gas, water, electricity, sewer) in about a month. In Egypt, this EFC has the highest mean score (3.8) of the nine, indicating that Egyptian experts hold highly favourable views of the state of physical infrastructure in the country – both in terms of affordability of basic utilities (water, gas, electricity and sewer) and communications (phone, internet) and timely access “Cheap and easy (Figure 50). They gave a somewhat lower assessment of the general access to utilities is a fostering support provided to new and growing firms by physical factor for infrastructure, such as roads, communications, and waste disposal. entrepreneurship in Egypt.” Expert - Page | 60 Figure49 . Accessibility of Physical Infrastructure – Cross-National Comparison 5 3.82 4 3 2 1 Chile Finland Denmark Korea Norway Egypt Germany Croatia Slovenia USA Uruguay Russia Peru Dominican R. Greece Spain Argentina Jamaica Colombia Macedonia Turkey Mexico Brazil Bolivia Ireland Iran Bosnia Ecuador Italy Serbia South Africa 0 Figure 50. Perceptions of the State of Accessibility of Physical Infrastructure in Egypt Physical infrastructure (roads, utilities, communications, waste disposal) provides good support for new & growing firms 2.94 New and growing firms can get good access to utilities (gas, water, electricity, sewer) in about a month 3.91 New or growing firm can get good access to communications (telephone, internet, etc.) in about a week 3.92 Not too expensive for a new or growing firm to get good access to communications (phone, Internet, etc.) 4.06 New & growing firms can afford the cost of basic utilities (gas, water, electricity, sewer) 4.10 0 1 2 3 4 5 In the meantime, more steps are being taken to increase the accessibility of physical infrastructure for companies, especially SMEs. For example, The Ministry of Trade and Industry is amending energy prices so SMEs in the six industrial sectors listed in energyintensive projects will be exempt from a rise to $3 per mbtu for natural gas. The mobile services companies are offering SMEs telecom solutions and packages for their businesses. The road transportation system, however, is still in need of upgrading to enhance the movement of goods and services. Page | 61 9. Social and Cultural Norms The degree to which cultural and social norms foster entrepreneurial attributes and attitudes and favour entrepreneurship was assessed using five statements (see Box 10). Some countries are perceived by their national experts to have a very positive societal attitude towards entrepreneurship, the United States being the strongest example (Figure 51), while in others, the prevailing social and cultural norms are not seen as so supportive of entrepreneurship and fostering of entrepreneurial attributes. On this EFC, Egypt ranks 22nd, placing it among the countries perceived to have less favourable cultural and social environments for entrepreneurship. Box 10. Social and Cultural Norms In my country, 1. the national culture is highly supportive of individual success achieved through own personal efforts. 2. the national culture emphasises self-sufficiency, autonomy, and personal initiative. 3. the national culture encourages entrepreneurial risk-taking. 4. the national culture encourages creativity and innovativeness. 5. the national culture emphasises the responsibility that the individual (rather than the collective) has in managing his or her own life. Figure51 . Social and Cultural Norms – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2.40 2 1 USA Korea Ireland Jamaica Dominican R. Russia Colombia Peru Argentina Finland Brazil Spain Turkey Norway Iran Macedonia Denmark South Africa Greece Italy Germany Chile Egypt Mexico Ecuador Slovenia Serbia Croatia Bosnia Bolivia Uruguay 0 Although the experts in Egypt were somewhat confident that the national culture is highly supportive of individual success (mean score of 3.1), they were much less confident that it encourages entrepreneurial risk-taking, creativity and innovation (Figure 52). Their perceptions of the strength of cultural support “To improve entrepreneurial activity emphasising individual responsibility, self-sufficiency, autonomy and in Egypt, it is essential personal initiative were also not very favourable (mean scores of less to change the culture than 2.4). and stimulate an entrepreneurial spirit within the society.” -Expert- Page | 62 Figure 52. Perceptions of the State of Social and Cultural Norms in Egypt National culture encourages entrepreneurial risktaking 2.00 National culture encourages creativity and innovativeness 2.14 National culture emphasises the responsibility that the individual (rather than the collective) has in managing his/her own life 2.31 National culture emphasises self-sufficiency, autonomy, and personal initiative 2.36 National culture is highly supportive of individual success achieved through own personal efforts 3.14 0 1 2 3 4 5 Experts’ Views on Other Aspects of the Entrepreneurial Environment National experts were asked to present their views on other dimensions of the entrepreneurial environment in their countries. This section shares findings on three of these dimensions: support for the entrepreneurial activity of women; the availability of good start-up opportunities; and the degree of knowledge and ability of citizens to start and manage their own businesses. Start-up Support to Women Support for the entrepreneurial activity of women and their start-up efforts was assessed using five statements (see Box 11). It is obvious that some countries have quite positive attitudes towards women entrepreneurs and are encouraging the start up of entrepreneurial ventures by women, for example, Finland and Norway, which ranked highest among GEM countries on the level of support provided to women (Figure 53). Some other countries are not as accepting of the start-up of a business as a career option for women. Iran, Turkey, Bosnia Box 11. Women’s support to start up In my country, 1. there are sufficient social services available so that women can continue to work even after they start a family. 2. starting a new business is a socially acceptable career option for women. 3. women are encouraged to become self-employed or start a new business. 4. men and women get equally exposed to good opportunities to start a new business. 5. men and women have the same level of knowledge and skills to start a new business. Page | 63 and Egypt (in 28th place) were perceived to have the most negative attitudes towards women’s entrepreneurship, resulting in inequality of opportunity. Figure 53. Start-up Support to Women – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 2.70 3 2 1 Finland Russia Norway Slovenia Denmark Dominican R. Jamaica Colombia USA Ireland Peru Mexico Spain Argentina Korea Uruguay Ecuador Macedonia Germany South Africa Italy Serbia Chile Greece Brazil Bolivia Egypt Croatia Bosnia Iran Turkey 0 Egyptian experts expressed moderate agreement that starting a new business is a socially acceptable career option for women (mean score of 2.9) (Figure 54). However, overall, they felt that women are not equally exposed to good opportunities to start a new business as men (mean score of 2.4), not encouraged to start a business, and not provided with sufficient social services to enable them to work after they start a family. These factors will, of course, affect women's level of engagement in entrepreneurship/self employment. This is borne out in the APS findings, which showed that men are more than 3 times as likely as women in Egypt to be engaged in early-stage entrepreneurial activity. Figure 54. Perceptions of Support for Women’s Entrepreneurship in Egypt Men and women get equally exposed to good opportunities to start a new business 2.42 Women are encouraged to become self-employed or start a new business 2.67 Sufficient social services available so that women can continue to work even after they start a family 2.71 Men and women have the same level of knowledge and skills to start a new business 2.72 Starting a new business is a socially acceptable career option for women 2.97 0 Page | 64 1 2 3 4 5 Opportunities to Start Up Country experts were asked to provide their assessment of the availability of start-up opportunities using five statements (see Box 12). Their perceptions of this varied across countries (Figure 55). Egypt ranked in 6th place. Its good relative placement on this indicator is consistent with the finding of the APS study that the main motive to start a business for 81% of Egyptian early-stage entrepreneurs is to pursue a market opportunity. Box 12. Opportunities to start up In my country, 1. there are plenty of good opportunities for the creation of new firms. 2. there are more good opportunities for the creation of new firms than there are people able to take advantage of them. 3. good opportunities for new firms have considerably increased in the past five years. 4. individuals can easily pursue entrepreneurial opportunities. 5. there are plenty of good opportunities to create truly high growth firms. Figure 55. Availability of Good Start-Up Opportunities Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3.50 3 2 1 Peru Brazil Finland South Africa Egypt Ireland Korea Norway Croatia USA Denmark Russia Mexico Argentina Bosnia Jamaica Germany Chile Colombia Bolivia Slovenia Macedonia Iran Turkey Serbia Spain Dominican R. Italy Ecuador Greece Uruguay 0 The Egyptian experts believe that the opportunities for the creation of new firms have considerably increased in the past five years, but also that there are more good opportunities than there are people to take advantage of them (Figure 56). They are not very convinced that individuals can easily pursue the entrepreneurial opportunities. Page | 65 Figure 56. Perception of Opportunities to Start up in Egypt Individuals can easily pursue entrepreneurial opportunities 2.88 Plenty of good opportunities to create truly high growth firms 3.29 Plenty of good opportunities for the creation of new firms 3.50 More good opportunities for the creation of new firms than there are people able to take advantage of them 3.61 Good opportunities for new firms have considerably increased in the past five years 4.19 0 1 2 3 4 5 Abilities and Knowledge to Start Up Assessments of the level of knowledge, skills and capacity of the population in GEM countries to start-up and manage businesses were sought on the basis of five statements (see Box 13). The majority of experts do not believe that people in their countries generally possess the necessary know-how and experience (Figure 57). Egypt ranked 21st , placing it in the bottom third of GEM countries. Page | 66 Box 13. Abilities and knowledge to start up In my country, 1. many people know how to start and manage a highgrowth business. 2. many people know how to start and manage a small business. 3. many people have experience in starting a new business. 4. many people can react quickly to good opportunities for a new business. 5. many people have the ability to organise the resources required for a new business. Figure 57. Abilities and Knowledge to Start and Manage a Business – Cross-National Comparison 5 4 3 2.21 2 1 Korea Norway Ireland Slovenia Denmark Peru Russia Finland USA Greece Italy Colombia Argentina Turkey Dominican R. Macedonia Chile Jamaica Spain Egypt Croatia Serbia Mexico Uruguay Bolivia Ecuador Bosnia Germany South Africa Iran Brazil 0 Experts in Egypt do not believe that many Egyptians are equipped with the knowledge and ability to start and manage a business (Figure 58) and even less so that many of them know how to do this for a high-growth business (mean score of 1.7). They rated the ability of the population to react quickly to good opportunities for a new business as very low as well (2.4), although this item had the highest mean score for this group of items. Figure 58. Perception of Abilities and Knowledge to Start and Manage a Business in Egypt Many people know how to start and manage a high-growth business 1.76 Many people have the ability to organise the resources required for a new business 2.14 Many people have experience in starting a new business 2.25 Many people know how to start and manage a small business 2.39 Many people can react quickly to good opportunities for a new business 2.46 0 1 2 3 4 5 Page | 67 Experts’ Views on Areas Constraining and Fostering Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt Finally, the NES asked the national experts to itemise three areas/issues constraining entrepreneurial activity and three areas/issues fostering entrepreneurial activity in Egypt. Their categorised and tabulated open-ended responses are presented in Tables 12 and 13. Most significantly, national experts held strong views that the education system and lack of entrepreneurial orientation and training is a major area/issue hindering entrepreneurship in Egypt (Table 12). The majority concurred that reforming the education system, integrating entrepreneurship programmes in high school/university curricula, and moving from theoretical education to analytical and applied education would influence positively the level of entrepreneurship in Egypt. Social traditions and inadequate access to finance were also high on the list of the top three most mentioned constraints. Table 12. Areas Constraining Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt - Experts' Opinions % of responses 1. Education system in schools and universities; lack of entrepreneurial training. 29.0 2. Culture of people, social traditions and risk aversion. 16.0 3. Inadequate access to finance. 13.0 4. Cumbersome licensing processes and long bureaucratic procedures. 8.0 5. Insufficient public, technical and financial support. 7.0 6. Lack of entrepreneurial know-how and the knowledge, skills and abilities needed to start a new venture. 6.0 7. Insufficient coordinated government support for new high-growth entrepreneurial ventures. 6.0 8. Corruption and lack of market transparencies that leads to a lack of trust. 5.0 9. Absence of social security services (e.g. medical insurance and pensions) for self-employed business. 4.0 10. Weak marketing. 3.0 100.0% In spite of the constraints, national experts expressed the view that Egypt has great potential to be a hub for entrepreneurship. There are many fostering factors promoting entrepreneurrial activity in the country (Table 13). The perception among Egyptians that selfemployment/ entrepreneurship improves the quality of life is increasing, accompanied by cultural changes. Transitionally, people were seeking to be employed by the government, but gradually are turning to the private sector to pursue employment and opportunities. The Government in Egypt is moving forward on efforts to create a more favourable and business-friendly environment. Although some experts criticised the Government’s weak and bureaucratic policies with respect to promoting entrepreneurial activity in Egypt, many also praised the current reforms to reduce legal and regulatory barriers and costs of establishing and operating enterprises. Many experts believed that the Government's more Page | 68 recent attention to the importance of entrepreneurship and SMEs for creating sustainable socio-economic development is an important fostering factor that will enhance entrepreneurship in the country. The growth in sources and types of investment capital is also seen as a positive factor. Table 13. Areas Fostering Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt - Experts' Opinions % of responses 1. Looking for a better quality of life. 20.0 2. The cultural change to accept entrepreneurship concept and selfemployment. 15.0 3. Government’s recent efforts to reduce the legal and regulatory barriers and costs to establishing and operating enterprises. 11.0 4. Growth in sources of capital, i.e. International and regional Investment flows, new financing models, etc. 11.0 5. Human resources are available for development and utilisation. 9.5 6. Infrastructure is available for the creation of new businesses. 9.5 7. Large unexploited market with untapped potential, which creates huge demand. 7.5 8. A growing number of events (conferences, seminars, workshops) on the topic of entrepreneurship, which act to raise awareness and interest in the issue. 5.5 9. Growth of the economy. 5.5 10. Technological developments; high tendency of Egyptians to be innovative. 5.5 100.0% Each expert offered their top three recommendations for improving the level of entrepreneurial activity in Egypt (see summary categorisations in Table 14). By far, the highest number of mentions was to reform the education system, consistent with the view of experts that this is the top constraint to entrepreneurship in Egypt. Making finance more available; providing information on how to start a business and sign-posting to procedural requirements and sources of assistance; promoting an entrepreneurial culture (e.g. more media focus on entrepreneurship and celebration of success stories); and achieving greater efficiency and transparency in government polices and regulatory environments to support growth, innovation, R&D, and the creation of new businesses were also recommended. This provides a segue to the final section of this report, which presents the major conclusions of the GEM-Egypt findings, the policy implications, and the set of overall recommendations for future actions. Page | 69 Table 14. Experts' Recommendations to Improve the Level of Entrepreneurial Activity in Egypt % of responses 1. Reform education system starting from basic education. 25 2. Create and develop new ways to access finance, whether from banks, government or donor bodies. 13 3. Disseminate clear, user-friendly instructions for new businesses on how to set up operations (e.g. required paperwork, available financing, training opportunities). This requires more government coordination. 12 4. Promote awareness and support an entrepreneurial culture. 10 5. A more accountable government that develops sound plans and follows them through, while being truly accountable to an effective and democratically elected legislative authority that formulates policies and monitors implementation. 10 6. Give proper consideration and attention to R&D and support for innovation. 10 7. Reduce the bureaucratic and non-constructive procedures that hinder growth, and develop (and honour) policies and procedures that promote it. 8 8. Focus the media more on entrepreneurship (e.g. continuous media campaigns, books, TV programs, etc.) and celebrating success stories. 7 9. Improve infrastructure to lower the costs of doing business and increase productivity (i.e. less expensive transportation, higher employee productivity with less time spent in traffic, fewer power failures… etc.). 4 10. Review bankruptcy laws in order to encourage the creation of businesses. Currently the laws and regulation make entrepreneurs risk-averse because of the legal consequences of failure. 1 100.0% Page | 70 Part IV: Policy Implications and Recommendations This section lays out the policy implications from the findings presented in this report and makes recommendations geared to enhance the level and quality of entrepreneurial activity in Egypt. Policy Implications Entrepreneurship is a critical component of growth in any society. Entrepreneurs create jobs, innovate with new product and service ideas, and through the starting of new businesses can positively impact the level of productivity in a sector or the economy. The fundamental aim of the GEM research is to provide a strong foundation for an informed policy debate about the relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth and help governments identify what needs to be done to enhance the level, and quality, of entrepreneurship in their countries. In analysing the factors that explain differences in the level of entrepreneurial activity across countries, several patterns have been noted in GEM country comparisons. 33 a) The importance of demographic structure has been one of the most fundamental of these patterns. Consistently, across countries, the 25-34 age group has the highest entrepreneurial activity rates. So this is the most significant pool of potential entrepreneurs from which the majority of new enterprises and jobs will be created in coming years. Adults in this age group also has the highest TEA rate in Egypt, although not as high as the average for other factor-driven economies. But in addition, the age group with the second highest TEA rate in Egypt is among the 1824 year olds, which is not the case in most GEM countries. In this respect, Egypt’s young population is giving it a strong “entrepreneurial” advantage. The median age of the Egyptian population in 2008 was 24.5, and almost 60% of the total population is younger than 25. The policy implication is that considerable efforts should be made in Egypt to foster the development of entrepreneurial skills, ability, and knowhow of young Egyptians, starting early in the education system as part of the formal curriculum and extracurricular activities. Preparing them early will have an impact on the quality of the enterprises they eventually start. b) The education level of the population matters greatly. GEM studies have concluded that policies geared to enhancing entrepreneurial capacity (i.e. the skills and motivation to pursue opportunity) may have the greatest impact on the level of entrepreneurial activity. TEA rates in the population generally rise with the level of education. So countries with large cohorts of highly-educated people may have an “entrepreneurial” advantage. Although Egypt basically follows the pattern of GEM countries — TEA rates are highest among adults with post-secondary education or higher — unfortunately, the average education level in Egypt is relatively low, so the better educated people with higher TEA rates are in the minority. GEM studies have also found that entrepreneurs with higher levels of education are more likely to be Page | 71 innovative and growth-oriented. The major implication of this result is that the low level of education of Egyptians generally is a barrier to growth of the entrepreneurial population. In the medium-term, Egypt must continue to raise the average education level of the population. GEM 2008 also examined the extent to which adults had taken any formal education and training related to entrepreneurship and starting a business. On this indicator, Egypt had the second lowest score of GEM countries, just above Turkey. Very few Egyptians have had any formal education or training related to developing entrepreneurial attributes or starting a new business. Even though over half of the Egyptian adults agreed with the APS statement that they had the knowledge, skill and experience required to start a new business, it is likely that many have had to learn the hard way, and some may be overly confident. The national experts, for example, did not agree that many people have the ability to organise the resources required for a new business and even less so, that they knew how to do this in the case of a high-growth firm. People who had received entrepreneurship education and start-up training were much more confident that they had the skills and knowledge to be able to start a business, which increases the probability that they will become an entrepreneur. Male students in the GEM Egypt study have a very high TEA rate (about 30%), yet have very little opportunity to take credit classes in entrepreneurship and new venture creation or to learn any skills that will help them identify more viable business ideas or to start and grow their enterprises. Much more needs to be done in and around the education system to nurture entrepreneurial skills. Weaknesses in the education system with respect to entrepreneurship were reinforced by the national experts and reflected in Egypt’s poor comparative standing relative to other GEM countries on the Education and Training EFC. The education system in Egypt was assessed by national experts as being very weak in this area, at all levels of schooling, unlike the case in many other GEM countries where the government has made entrepreneurship education a priority. In the short- and medium-term, efforts should be made to reform the education approach to foster creativity, self-sufficiency, personal initiative, and independent thinking, as well as to integrate entrepreneurship-related content into teaching materials and classrooms at all levels of the education system. c) Household income is a factor in entrepreneurial activity rates. GEM studies find that the TEA rate tends to be higher (by varying degrees) among adults in the top third of the household income brackets. In Egypt, this pattern seems to hold, especially for men. At the lowest household income levels, the decision to start a business is more driven by necessity than opportunity. In fact, much of the policy support for entrepreneurship in Egypt is targeted towards the poorest segments of the population to encourage them to pursue necessity entrepreneurship. In many instances, small income-generating activity contributes to poverty alleviation and gives marginally-employable people an option to make a living. This issue is worthy of more analysis using the GEM data, as it may have important policy implications. d) The under-representation of women in early-stage entrepreneurial activity. On average, the TEA rate for men is about twice that for women, although there is Page | 72 variance across countries. For example, the ratio is much closer to one in some of the developing countries in Latin and South America (e.g. Argentina, Bolivia, Peru) and South-East Asia. On this indicator, Egypt stands out. With a male-female TEA ratio of 3.4:1, it has one of the largest entrepreneurial gender gaps of the GEM countries. Women’s participation in entrepreneurial activity is similar to that of their labour force participation generally. Egyptian women are slowly becoming more involved in economic life as traditional social and cultural values change. The Government of Egypt’s latest National Development Plan set a target to increase women’s labour force participation to 25% (from 19%). However, women have difficulty finding formal private sector employment and the unemployment rate for women is at least 4 times higher than for men. The GEM study found that women who work part-time have a very high TEA rate (30%), which indicates that women in certain situations are highly predisposed to starting a business. GEM studies conclude that rapid gains in start-up rates can be achieved by increasing the participation of women in the entrepreneurial process, and provide evidence that countries with the highest start-up rates tend to have a higher level of female participation. This suggests that more efforts should be made to target the entrepreneurial development of women; the policy implication being that Egypt should engage more aggressively in efforts to promote women’s entrepreneurship and launching supporting initiatives. e) The extent to which individuals perceive there are good opportunities to start a business is an important influencing factor. GEM studies have found a strong association between TEA rates in a country and the proportion of the population who “sees good opportunities for starting a business in the next 6 months”. On this indicator, 40% of Egyptians said they did. This is somewhat low for the factor-driven economies but higher than in many of the efficiency- and innovation-driven economies. Egyptian national experts gave a quite favourable assessment of the opportunities to start new businesses in the country. The current economic climate has influenced the opportunity perception of populations; countries participating in the GEM research for several years note a significant decline in the percentage of people who answered yes to this question in 2008. On the other hand, national experts in Egypt were quite positive about the extent of opportunities to start new businesses in the country. They felt that opportunities for new firms have increased considerably over the past five years, and that a rapidly changing and dynamic market for consumer and business goods and services is a contributing factor. However, they were less positive that individuals can easily pursue opportunities or react quickly to them. The other “entrepreneurial advantage” for Egypt as a developing country is that early-stage entrepreneurs are much more opportunity than necessity motivated. The GEM studies have concluded that opportunity entrepreneurship has a higher association with economic growth. This leads to the final two reflections to be made in this section on policy implications — access to financing and the business regulatory environment, which are related more to the set of entrepreneurial framework conditions than individual and demographic characteristics. Page | 73 f) The availability of early-stage financing, from both public and private sources is a critical framework condition. Lack of access start-up capital can be a major deterrent to start-up actions. Banks traditionally have not been that eager to finance new businesses, unless they can properly assess the risk. This is most problematic in developing countries. Most new businesses start with rather small amounts of money that they are able to pull together from personal resources. GEM studies have found that informal investors play a large role in the financing of new and early-stage ventures, and that formal venture capital is a critical form of financing for high-growth enterprises. The majority of Egyptian early-stage entrepreneurs were financing their start-ups with less than LE 50,000 (60%) but the amount ranged from LE 100 to LE 10 million (31% needed between LE 50,000 and LE 500,000 and 9% over LE 500,000). Remembering that 3 million Egyptians were trying to start 1.34 million enterprises, this amounts to a significant investment. Over half were expecting to seek external financing. In their assessment of the Financial Support EFC, national experts were not much in agreement that sufficient financing was available for new and growing firms, particularly equity and venture capital financing. Their assessment placed Egypt 21st among the 43 GEM countries. Improving the financing environment to encourage more start-ups and growth firms would appear to be a policy imperative. Informal investors are a major source of start-up financing. In Egypt, 2.5% of the adult population has been involved as informal investors in early-stage start-ups over the past three years. Although the average investment is small and almost half are investing in start-ups of close family members and relatives, the estimated amount of their annual investments is close to 1% of GDP. Relative to other GEM countries, Egypt’s angel prevalence rate compares with the average for EU GEM countries, but is low compared to the OECD GEM countries (average of 3.5%), the US (5.2%) and well below other developing countries in other parts of the world. g) The central features of the economic system, including the degree of presence (and role) of government in the economy, taxation levels, labour market rigidities, regulations and red-tape, etc., influence the level and nature of entrepreneurial activity. GEM has adopted the grounded position that efforts to improve the general economic and institutional climate for business will benefit the entrepreneurial sector, but that this is insufficient to accelerate development and growth of new and high-growth ventures. Key factors include the availability of financing, cost and access of commercial and professional services, provision of suitable education and training, R&D support, and other important dimensions covered in the nine EFCs. In other words, specific policies to promote entrepreneurship and support new start-ups and growth firms are needed. The national experts were quite negative about the strength of many of the EFCs. Their poorest assessment was of the state of R&D and technology transfer support. Financial support for new and growing firms to acquire new technology; access to research and technology; commercialisation support to engineers and scientists with market potential technologies or applications, and the transfer of knowledge and technology from universities and public research centres to new and growing firms, were all viewed as being extremely weak. Page | 74 Economists might advise that, as a factor-driven economy, Egypt should be focusing on importing technologies from elsewhere and adopting them for use in Egypt, as opposed to trying to create and develop new technologies in-house that can be later exported to the world. Regardless, upgrading the level of technology in use by Egyptian enterprises is critical to improving product quality, efficiency and competitiveness. Early-stage entrepreneurs in Egypt are more likely than established entrepreneurs to be using, or planning to use, new technologies as a market expansion strategy, and to be employing the latest technology in their business. In fact, the percentage of Egyptian early-stage entrepreneurs indicating they are doing this is higher than in most developed GEM countries. But the level of innovativeness of their products and product market combinations is very low compared to GEM countries. As reinforced by the national experts, proper attention to R&D, its transfer to the entrepreneurial sector, and support for all forms of innovation are crucial policy issues. Other framework items with very poor assessments related to: 1) difficulty for new and growing firms in coping with government bureaucracy, regulations, and licensing requirements; 2) lack of availability and accessibility of government programme support to anyone who is developing a new or growing business; and 3) lack of effective support for new and growing firms provided by science parks and incubators. On the positive side, Egypt has several factors weighing in its favour. GEM studies reveal that the level of cultural and societal support for entrepreneurial activities is a critical factor influencing entrepreneurial activity rates. It appears from the GEM Egypt 2008 results that the attitudes of the Egyptian population towards entrepreneurship are quite favourable. Egypt compares reasonably with GEM countries on the percentage of the population agreeing that entrepreneurship is a desirable career choice; the fear of failure is lower than in most countries; almost 8% of the population is currently trying to start a business; more than third of the adult population expects to start a business in the next three years; and there appears to be a high level of serial entrepreneurship in the country. Although the national experts were less positive about the level of cultural support for entrepreneurs in the country, this all sounds good. It actually poses the question of why Egypt does not have a higher TEA rate than it does. As it is, Egypt needs more entrepreneurs starting businesses. The TEA rate is low for a country at its level of development, meaning that the density of entrepreneurs and businesses is lower than its potential. One of the key reasons for this could be the low participation of women in entrepreneurial activity but another concern should be the actual start-up rates of the nascent companies. How many of them will actually make it into the market? How many of them will be impeded by lack of finance, difficult registration and licensing requirements, or other market entry barriers? How many of them will not survive very long in the market because they were pursuing a marginal business opportunity, or because they lacked the knowledge or skill to make the right business decisions? How many of them will be able to gain the resources and knowhow to realize their growth expectations? These are all critical policy questions. Page | 75 Recommendations Promoting entrepreneurship in Egypt entails the collective efforts of different constituencies and stakeholders from around the country. Based on the results of GEM Egypt 2008, a number of recommendations are offered for consideration. These are based on the input from national experts and analysis of the adult population interviews. Education and Training Education was identified as one of the main constraining factors to entrepreneurship development in Egypt. With some reforms, the education system in Egypt can become a main driving factor in the development of entrepreneurship. This can be achieved through: 1. Restructuring the educational system to foster creativity and independent thinking. 2. Reviewing the design of school curriculum at the elementary and secondary levels to incorporate entrepreneurship principles and accelerate the teaching of entrepreneurship materials in more schools and classes. 3. Integrating entrepreneurship classes on how to start a business as part of any vocational or technical training programmes/courses. 4. Capitalising on the high entrepreneurial activity prevalence rates of university students by encouraging a career advisory system in universities to embrace the idea of students starting-up their own businesses. 5. Introducing entrepreneurship as a major in the universities. 6. Introducing management skills modules at secondary schools, vocational institutions and universities. 7. Establishing non-degree issuing programmes to enhance the level of skills and capabilities necessary in starting-up and growing a business. 8. Setting up enterprise incubators and entrepreneurship centres on university and college campuses to promote entrepreneurship, provide counselling and mentoring services, and provide linkages between the centres of knowledge creation and potential entrepreneurs. 9. Dramatically expanding the offer of flexible entrepreneurship orientation, training and mentoring programmes through business resource centres, youth centres, SFD Regional Offices, the IMC, and qualified NGOs and business associations throughout the country. Page | 76 Financing It is crucial to develop a stronger financial-support environment in Egypt in order to enhance the creation and development of entrepreneurial start-ups and growth ventures. Experts’ assessment of the availability of debt and equity financing for new and growing firms in Egypt were quite low, even more so in the case of equity and venture capital financing for start-ups and early-stage growth firms. Improving the situation can be assisted by: 1. Increasing the extent to which banks extend loans to new start-ups, matching the terms of these loans with the needs and capacities of the venture (e.g. soft pay-back policies). 2. Making more microfinance funds available for enterprises in the start-up stage. 3. Increasing the active role played by private equity and venture capital funds in responding to the seed capital needs of new and early-stage, innovative and high growth potential enterprises with limited access to funds from traditional sources, including the benefit of management advice. This may involve offering incentives to private sector investors to share some of the risk in diverting funds to early-stage ventures with limited track records but high growth-potential. 4. Ensuring that the appropriate regulatory environment for the functioning of venture capital companies is in place. 5. Engaging business angels to play a more active role in supporting entrepreneurship, especially high growth start-ups, by raising funds from non-traditional sources and providing mentoring to new entrepreneurs. The Regulatory Environment Reducing barriers to the start-up and growth of an enterprise is basic to increasing the level and nature of entrepreneurial activity. 1. Ensuring that competition policy and anti-trust legislation are effective and well enforced to ensure fair, equal, and open opportunities for the competitive entry of new and growing firms in sectors of the market. 2. Making provisions in the labour laws to allow self-employed persons to participate in social security schemes (medical insurance, pension, etc.). 3. Amending bankruptcy laws to international standards with flexible procedures for closing down a business in cases of insolvency. The legal consequences of “failure” should not prevent entrepreneurs from having a second chance. Page | 77 Culture and Awareness Building Egypt needs more entrepreneurs. While the population expresses quite favourable attitudes towards entrepreneurship and its role in society, national experts pointed to the lingering of some traditional cultural attitudes. GEM studies confirm that the perceived social legitimacy of entrepreneurship makes a difference to TEA rates. The role of elevated and ongoing media support and other forms of high-level promotion activity cannot be underestimated. Promoting role models is one of the effective ways to inform and motivate more positive attitudes. This can be achieved by: 1. Celebrating success stories of entrepreneurs, encouraging self-employment and fostering an entrepreneurial-promoting culture, stimulated by sufficient social support from family, friends and peers. 2. Honouring entrepreneurship in social traditions and practices to assign value and high social status to starting up a business and becoming an entrepreneur. 3. Encouraging creativity and more openness to new products and services through awareness campaigns. 4. Improving the social image of entrepreneurs through media efforts to focus on “achieving entrepreneurs” as credible role models. Elevating the Level of Women’s Entrepreneurship Women in Egypt represent a large untapped source of entrepreneurial potential. The TEA rate for some groups of women is very high, although their overall participation in entrepreneurial activity is low compared to that of men, and to that of women in many other GEM countries. Women represent an economic force if their potential is supported and encouraged more fully. This could be achieved through: 1. Viewing and articulating women’s entrepreneurship as an economic issue rather than as a gender or social issue; recognising their contribution as economic and wealth-creating agents. 2. Launching cultural awareness campaigns to address the social and cultural impediments facing women who would like to play a more active role in economic activity by starting their own business. 3. Launching a campaign to promote entrepreneurship for women, including a systematic network of entrepreneur and business support services to help transfer the knowledge and skills needed to develop business ideas and new ventures (e.g. special programmes to mentor and coach women on starting up businesses, expanded women’s enterprise centres, etc.). 4. Making entrepreneurship training opportunities more available to women who are trying to break into the labour market. Page | 78 5. Implementing special initiatives in post-secondary institutions and universities to promote entrepreneurship to female students.34 6. Establishing financial intermediaries or special loan products dedicated to providing loans to women (e.g. less rigid collateral requirements, tailored pay-back mechanisms). Government Policy and Programme Support Governments have an important role to play in nurturing entrepreneurial activity. GEM global reports have stated in the past that “any government committed to economic progress must ensure that all aspects of its economic system are conducive to and supportive of increased levels of entrepreneurial activity” 35. They do this indirectly on a routine basis through their fiscal policies, tax policies, regulatory policies, competition policies, education and technology policies, regional development policies, labour market policies and so on. In many cases, the intent of these policies is not specifically to nurture entrepreneurship; in fact, they may even have an unintended adverse effect on the level of entrepreneurial activity by creating disincentives. Often, consideration of the possible impact of these policies on entrepreneurial activity is totally overlooked by policymakers. Governments also directly influence the level of entrepreneurial activity through programme measures and interventions — the establishment of business incubators, information and business resource centres, enterprise development centres, and R&D subsidies, as examples. National experts were moderately in agreement that support for new and growing firms is a high priority at the national government level (less so at the local government level). One of their concerns, however, was the lack of a comprehensive government-wide and formallyadopted entrepreneurship policy document, articulating a strategy to specifically promote the development of new entrepreneurs and the start-up of new and growth-oriented enterprises. Initiatives to promote entrepreneurship and support start-ups do exist but they are fragmented and not part of a comprehensive approach. One of the important things government could do to accelerate the development of entrepreneurship would be to formulate such a comprehensive entrepreneurship policy and framework for actions to serve as a cross-government roadmap for the development and implementation of measures. Such a policy should focus on addressing needs and gaps of different types of entrepreneurs at each stage of the entrepreneurial process. An important objective of the policy would be to foster higher-quality start-ups with more growth potential and competitive advantages. In working towards a more coordinated approach to the development of entrepreneurship, national experts also recommended that the government engage the private sector. Appointing a high-level National Entrepreneurship Council, with representatives from the policy community, business associations, universities, and development organisations was suggested as a vehicle for raising the policy profile of this key economic growth issue. In the meantime, the GEM Egypt 2008 study revealed several areas where government can add value in the fostering of entrepreneurship and, thus, position and promote Egypt as a regional hub for entrepreneurship. These include: Page | 79 1. Implementing policies that reduce tax burden, further streamline procedures for starting a business, and reduce bureaucratic, legal and regulatory barriers (and costs) to establishing and operating enterprises. Lower taxes and simplified and unified new business registration and licensing procedures are factors in the creation of a more favourable environment for entrepreneurship, new business entries, and growing firms. Effective one-stop shops, combined with streamlined steps and procedures, could contribute to an increase in the attractiveness of pursuing formal entrepreneurial activities in Egypt as well as the competitiveness of early-stage enterprises. 2. Aligning government support programmes towards enhancing entrepreneurial activity in Egypt. Establishing networks in collaboration with the private sector to respond to the needs of new entrepreneurs, reducing impediments to the creation and development of businesses, and supporting established businesses in ways that will enhance their sustainability. 3. Expanding government support for research and development by allocating more resources and public investment to encourage R&D efforts. This could be achieved by encouraging research centres in the universities, especially the public ones, to innovate through dissemination of knowledge, facilitating access to funds, increasing exposure to advanced technologies, and facilitating the commercialisation of innovative ideas developed in these centres by building bridges with entrepreneurs. 4. Establishing a larger network of business incubators to support the setting up of new entrepreneurial ventures and provide the appropriate business support needed to increase their chances of survival and growth. 5. Establishing a Technology Acquisition Fund that can be used by new and young firms to secure financing for the acquisition of the latest technologies or to develop new technologies with market potential. 6. Investing in development and integration of entrepreneurial attributes and principles at all levels of the education and training system, as well as specifically targeting the development of young entrepreneurs. 7. Facilitating the trade process for new and established entrepreneurial ventures by developing plans, policies and programmes to increase their export potential, facilitating linkages with other countries whose markets have high potential for Egyptian products, reducing tariffs, and providing assistance in the transportation of products out-of-country. 8. Improving the infrastructure (e.g. transportation, telecommunications, community services) in the country, lowering the cost of services provided to entrepreneurial ventures, and improving the quality in the delivery of the services. In conclusion, this report highlights some of the major findings of the GEM Egypt research. More in-depth analysis of the many variables in the survey database is possible and would shed light on other interesting aspects of early-stage entrepreneurship in Egypt. Critically Page | 80 important, however, is that the GEM-Egypt 2008 study has, for the first time, established baseline information on the entrepreneurial behaviour of Egyptians. Tracked through annual updates, this will provide a substantial evidence base to inform policymakers. This will better enable them to refine and develop more effective policies, measures and actions to foster entrepreneurship as part of a growth agenda. Other countries have found that conducting the GEM research on an annual basis has produced a unique and invaluable set of data for monitoring trends and changes over time and provided a much richer understanding of the entrepreneurial dynamics taking place in the economy and the environment for entrepreneurship. This has led to many policy improvements and assisted in the evaluation of the impact of different policy measures on the performance of entrepreneurial indicators. Page | 81 Page | 82 Annex 1. GEM2008 National Teams – Global Factor-driven economies Angola Bolivia Bosnia & Herzegovina Colombia Ecuador Egypt Institution Universidade Cat˴lica de Angola (UCAN) Sociedade Portuguesa de Inovaço (SPI) Maestrias para el Desarrollo, Universidad Catolica Boliviana Entrepreneurship Development Center from Tuzla in partnership with Tuzla University Universidad de los Andes Universidad ICESI Universidad del Norte Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Cali Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral (ESPOL)- ESPAE, Graduate School of Management The British University in Egypt (BUE) Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB) Financial Sponsors Banco de Fomento S.A. Fundaci˴n Nuevo Norte USAID/Bolivia Fundacion Avina Red Bolivia Emprendedora Fundaci˴n para la Producci˴n Entrepreneurship Development Center Tuzla Government of Tuzla Canton City of Tuzla Government of Brcko District of Bosnia and Herzegovina SENA Comfenalco Valle Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral (ESPOL) Industrial Modernization Center, Ministry of Trade & Industry The Nielsen Company The British University in Egypt India Pearl School of Business, Gurgaon Pearl School of Business, Gurgaon Iran University of Tehran Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs Page | 83 Efficiency-driven economies Institution Argentina Center for Entrepreneurship, IAE Management and Business School, Universidad Austral Brazil IBQP - Instituto Brasileiro da Qualidade e Produtividade Chile Universidad del Desarrollo Universidad Adolfo Ib˲ϝez Univ. Cat˴lica del Norte Univ. Cat˴lica del Norte Univ. Técnica Federico Santa Marϱa Univ. del Desarrollo Univ. de la Frontera -INCUBATEC Croatia J.J. Strossmayer University in Osijek Dominican Republic Pontificia Universidad Cat˴lica Madre y Maestra (PUCMM) Page | 84 Financial Sponsors Center for Entrepreneurship, IAE Management and Business School, Universidad Austral Banco Santander Rio Subsecretarϱa de Desarrollo Econ˴mico, Ministerio de Desarrollo Econ˴mico - Gobierno de la Ciudad de Buenos Aires Prosperar, Agencia Nacional de Desarrollo de Inversiones Instituto Brasileiro da Qualidade e Produtividade – IBQP Serviço Brasileiro de Apoio às Micro e Pequenas Empresas – SEBRAE Serviço Nacional de Aprendizagem Industrial - SENAI / PR Serviço Social da Ind˸stria - SESI / PR Universidade Positivo InnovaChile de CORFO Universidad Cat˴lica del Norte, DGIP. Gobierno Regional, Agencia Regional Desarrollo Productivo. Universidad Cat˴lica del Norte, DGIP. Gobierno Regional, Agencia Regional Desarrollo Productivo. Departamento de Industrias Y Centro de Ingenierϱa de Mercados, CIMER, de la Univ. Técnica Federico Santa Marϱa El Mercurio de Valparaϱso UDD-Facultad de Economϱa y Negocios. Direcci˴n de Innovaci˴n y Transferencia Tecnol˴gica de la Universidad de La Frontera Ministry of Economy, Labour and Entrepreneurship SME Policy CentreCEPOR, Zagreb J.J. Strossmayer University in Osijek – Faculty of Economics, Osijek Grupo Vicini International Financial Centre of the Americas Consejo Nacional de Competitividad Hungary University of Pécs, Faculty of Business and Economics Jamaica University of Technology, Jamaica Latvia Macedonia Mexico Peru The TeliaSonera Institute at the Stockholm School of Economics in Riga University “Ss. Cyril and Methodius” – Business Start-Up Centre Macedonian Enterprise Development Foundation (MEDF) Tecnol˴gico de Monterrey Centro de Desarrollo Emprendedor, Universidad ESAN Ministry for National Development and Economy University of Pécs, Faculty of Business and Economics Ohio University (USA) Faculty of Business and Management, University of Technology, Jamaica TeliaSonera AB Macedonian Enterprise Development Foundation (MEDF) Austrian Development Agency Macedonian Agency for Promotion of Entrepreneurship Tecnol˴gico de Monterrey Universidad ESAN Romania Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, BabesBolyai University Pro Oeconomica Association Babes-Bolyai University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Russia Saint Petersburg Team Graduate School of Management, Saint Petersburg Moscow Team State University - Higher School of Economics, Moscow Graduate School of Management at Saint Petersburg State University State University - Higher School of Economics Serbia The Faculty of Economics, Subotica South Africa University of Cape Town Graduate School of Business Turkey Yeditepe University Uruguay Instituto de Estudios Empresariales de Montevideo (IEEM) Executive Council of Vojvodina Province, Department for Economy Department of Trade and Industry Swiss South Africa Cooperation Initiative South African Breweries Standard Bank SEDA Endeavor, Turkey Country Office Akbank IEEM Business School Universidad de Montevideo Page | 85 Innovation-driven economies Institution Belgium Vlerick Leuven Gent Management School Denmark University of Southern Denmark Finland Turku School of Economics France EMLYON Business School University of Hannover Institute of Labour Market Research, Nuremberg Foundation for Economic and Industrial Research (IOBE RU Centre for Research on Innovation and Entrepreneurship (Reykjavik University) Germany Greece Iceland Ireland Dublin City University Israel The Ira Center of Business, Technology & Society, Ben Gurion University of the Negev Italy Bocconi University Japan Keio University Musashi University Shobi University Republic of Korea Jinju National University Slovenia Netherlands Norway Spain Page | 86 Institute for Entrepreneurship and Small Business Management, Faculty of Economics & Business, University of Maribor EIM Business and Policy Research Bodo Graduate School of Business Instituto de Empresa Regional Universities: Cϝdiz Oviedo Univ. de Zaragoza Las Palmas & La Laguna Univ. De Cantabria Le˴n Financial Sponsors Flemisch Government, Steunpunt Ondernemen en Internationaal Ondernemen (STOIO) International Danish Entrepreneurship Academy (IDEA) Ministry of Employment and the Economy Ministry of Education The European Union under the European Regional Development Fund and the European Social Fund Turku School of Economics Caisse des Depots Institute of Labour Market Research, Nuremberg Hellenic Bank Association Reykjavik University Prime Minister’s Office Enterprise Ireland Forfas Allied Irish Bank The Ira Center of Business, Technology & Society, Ben Gurion University of the Negev Ernst & Young Atradius Credit Insurance Venture Enterprise Center Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry Small and Medium Business Administration (SMBA) Ministry of the Economy Slovenian Research Agency Smart Com Finance – Slovenian Business Daily Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs TNS Gallup DGPYMES Fundaci˴n Cultural Banesto Fundaci˴n Incyde IE Business School Junta de Andalucϱa Gob. de Arag˴n Gob. del Principado de Asturias Gob. de Canarias, Cabildo Castille la Mancha Aut˴noma de Barcelona Miguel Hernϝndez Fundaci˴n Xavier de Salas Santiago de Compostela Aut˴noma de Madrid Univ. de Murcia P˸blica de Navarra Deusto & Basque Country Univ. de Granada & Escuela de Negocios de Andalucϱa United Kingdom Hunter Center for Entrepreneurship, University of Strathclyde Economics & Strategy Group, Aston Business School, Aston University United States Babson College Baruch College, City University of New York Fondo Social Europeo Gob. de Cantabria Centros de Innovaci˴n Europeos (Navarra, Murcia, C y Le˴n) Generalitat de Catalunya Junta de Extremadura Air Nostrum, CEG, BIC Galicia IMADE, FGUAM Fundaci˴n Caja Murcia Eusko Ikaskuntza Instituto Vasco de Competitividad FESNA Universidad de Granada and many others BERR Enterprise Directorate InvestNI Department of Enterprise, Trade and Investment (NI) Belfast City Council Enterprise Northern Ireland Hunter Centre for Entrepreneurship, University of Strathclyde Scottish Enterprise Welsh Assembly Government One North East North West Development Agency Yorkshire Forward Advantage West Midlands East Midlands Development Agency South West of England Development Agency South East Development Agency Enterprise Insight Wessex Enterprise Babson College Baruch College Page | 87 Page | 88 Annex 2. GEM Egypt National Team Amr Gohar, MBA is the Chairman of ECCO, a company specialised in offering contact centre and business process outsourcing services, and the CEO & Managing Director for NTCC, a prepaid telephony Service Provider. Before starting his own companies, he served in Philips, Siemens and finally Lucent Technologies as Regional Director, Marketing and Sales in the Middle East. Amr is ViceChairman of the Egyptian Junior Business (EJB) Association, former Head of the EJB Entrepreneurship Committee, President of the Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (MCSBE), and a member of the MTI Industry Entrepreneurship Council. He is also a member in various other organisations and NGOs, including Egypt’s ICT Export Council of the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI), the National Telecom Regulatory Authority (NTRA) Industry Committee of the MCIT, the American Chamber of Commerce in Egypt, and EITESAL, an ICT-specialised NGO. Hala Hattab, PhD is a Business Administration Instructor at the British University in Egypt, based in Cairo, and Programme Manager for GEM-Egypt. She has 10 years of experience in marketing and business development. As a graduate of chemical engineering, she started her professional career as a business development officer in an engineering consultancy company. Later she obtained her MBA and moved to work as a marketing manager in a multi-national consultancy company operating worldwide. By 2004 she was promoted to “Business Development Manager” leading marketing, communication and public relations of EMEA region. In 2007, she obtained her Ph.D. in female entrepreneurship and added to her professional career a new academic dimension that covers research as well as teaching. Professor David Kirby is Vodafone Chair of Business and Founding Dean, Faculty of Business Administration, Economics and Political Science at The British University in Egypt (BUE). Prior to joining the BUE, he was Professor of Entrepreneurship in the School of Management at the University of Surrey in which capacity he established a pre-incubator on the University Research Park and had responsibility for establishing the university’s knowledge transfer activities. He has a long experience in the field of entrepreneurship and small business management as a teacher, trainer, researcher and consultant, both in the UK and overseas. In 2006, he received The Queen’s Award for Enterprise Promotion in recognition of his pioneering research and teaching in the field. He is a former Director of the UK Institute for Small Business and Page | 89 Entrepreneurship and a former Senior Vice President and Director of the International Council for Small Business. In recognition of his consultancy and training work with small businesses, he was elected to a Fellowship of the Institute of Business Advisers in 1997 and to a Fellowship of the Royal Society of Arts (RSA) in 1987, for his contribution to the Society’s Education for Capability Programme. He has sat on a number of UK Government working parties and advisory bodies, and as a result of his personal research has published 115 journal articles and 16 books and research monographs, including “Entrepreneurship” (McGraw-Hill, 2003). In July 2006, he received a Distinguished Scholar award from the University of Illinois at Chicago for his Research at the Entrepreneurship/Marketing Interface. He is a Fellow of the UK Institute of Higher Education and an adjunct Professor in the University of South Australia. He is also a Visiting Professor at the Henley Management College (University of Reading) and Loughborough University in the United Kingdom. Ahmed Nafie is a consultant providing services to SMEs. In 1996, he started his own business specialising in industry-related services focusing on laser engraving. From 2004-2009, he served in several leadership roles in industrial organisations and finally served as General Manager of the Entrepreneurship Development Programme at the Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC), Ministry of Trade and Industry, a programme providing services to start-up entrepreneurs. He is a member of the Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (MCSBE). Adel Noureldin is the Director of Regional Development Programmes, Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC), Ministry of Trade and Industry. He is in charge of managing the network of IMC regional branches that deliver technical assistance to private industrial SMEs to increase their competitiveness. He also participates in the strategic development of major national industrial projects such as the 1,000 New Factories Programme (2005 Presidential election programme), the Upper Egypt Development Programme and the Specialised Industrial Parks Programme. His key qualifications are in the field of SME policy development and EU programmes concerning SME development, entrepreneurship and regional development, export and general management. Mr. Noureldin has a long history of experience with national and international enterprises and in the industrial development of SMEs. He was awarded the Xerox President’s Award for managing the Egyptian manufacturing plant in a total quality approach and is a Board Member of Worms Alexandria Cargo Services, a subsidiary of a multinational shipping company. Page | 90 Paul D. Reynolds, PhD is a Distinguished Visiting Professor at the George Mason University School of Public Policy in Virginia, USA. He has held faculty appointments at the University of California, Riverside; the University of Minnesota; Marquette University; Babson College; London Business School, and Florida International University, and visiting and research appointments at the University of Michigan, the University of Pennsylvania Wharton School, INSEAD in France, and Nanyang Technical University in Singapore. Reynolds completed undergraduate work in engineering at the University of Kansas (BS; 1960); and completed all graduate work at Stanford University, with degrees earned in business (1964; MBA), psychology (1966; MA), and sociology (1969; PhD). Over the past 20 years he was the coordinating principal investigator of two longitudinal studies of US business creation (Panel Studies of Entrepreneurial Dynamics, I and II] and the founding principal investigator of a forty nation comparison of entrepreneurial activity (Global Entrepreneurship Monitor]. Reynolds currently serves as co-principal investigator of the second US Panel Study of Entrepreneurial Dynamics. He is the author or co-author of five books; six edited collections; 42 research reports and monographs; 85 peer review journal articles and book chapters; seven data sets in the ICPSR archives; and over two hundred presentations to professional and policy audiences. In 2004, Reynolds received the annual Swedish International Award for Entrepreneurship and Small Business Research. Prof. Lois Stevenson is a Visiting Research Fellow with the International Development Research Centre (IRDC), based in their Middle East/North Africa Regional Office in Cairo. She has been working in the area of small business and entrepreneurship research and policy for the past 18 years, holding a number of executive-level positions within the Government of Canada. Prior to this, Lois was a professor of small business and entrepreneurship in Canadian universities. She has conducted many research studies in the field and authored over 50 published papers and books dealing with entrepreneurship and related policy issues. Based in Cairo since 2006, Lois was initially the Project Coordinator for the Small and Medium Enterprise Policy (SMEPol) Development Project, funded by IDRC and the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA), in partnership with the Egyptian Ministry of Finance, and currently leads a Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region-wide assessment of policy, research and institutional capacities in private sector and SME development. She is also the GEM-MENA Team Leader for the IDRC-funded project in seven MENA countries in 2009. Lois is a Past President of the Canadian Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (CCSBE), a Past President of the International Council for Small Business (ICSB), and a founding member of the Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (MCSBE). Page | 91 Page | 92 Annex 3. List of National Experts - Egypt* 1 NO. 1 Name Job Title Affiliation 1. Mr. Tamer El Meehy Managing Director Entrust Development & Management Consultant 2. Ms. Aliaa Soliman Partner AIT Consulting 3. Prof. Matthias Philip Huehn Professor The German University in Cairo 4. Dr. Abdel Monem Omran Managing Director Beltone Capital 5. Mr. Basam Azzab Head of SMEs HSBC 6. Mr. Ahmed Abou el Yazeid Mohamed SME Technical Advisor Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) 7. Ms. Lois Stevenson Visiting Research Fellow International Development Research Centre (IDRC) 8. Mr. Ahmed Nafie General Manager, Entrepreneurship Program Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC) 9. Mr. Amr Gohar CEO & Managing Director NTCC 10. Mr. Mohamed Abdel Aziz Manager, SME Policy Unit Ministry of Finance 11. Ms. Dahlia A. El-Hawary Advisor for Private Sector Development Issues Ministry of Investment Office of the Minister 12. Ms. Mariam El Hitami 13. Mr. Basel Hussein Roshdy 14. Mr. Adel Noureldin Director, Regional Development Program Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC) 15. Ms. Nerveen Osman SME Specialist, SME Policy Unit Ministry of Finance 16. Mr. Amr Hashem Managing Director Nile Ventures 17. Mr. Amr Abou E Azm Senior Programme Officer Kreditanstalt fuer Wiederaufbau (KfW) 18. Mr. Yousry El Ghitany Executive Manager Entrepreneurs Business ForumEgypt 19. Mr. Tamer Badreldin General Manager El-Badr Plastic Co Partner & Chief Marketing Officer Chief Investment Officer & Deputy General Manager Event Egypt IT Ventures & IT Investments Positions held at the time of the survey. Page | 93 NO. Name Job Title Affiliation 20. Mr. Ahmed A. Alsharif Deputy Chairman Alsharif Factories 21. Mr. Mohamed Osman Chief Operations Officer Société Financière et de Commerce (SOFICO) 22. Mr. Ahmed Mohamed Amaal Business Development Manager Egyptian Company for Networks 23. Dr. Yasmine Nader Economist Economic Research Forum 24. Ms. Rasha El-Habashy Investment Promotion Analyst, Investment Promotion Technical Assistance Programme (ITAP) Islamic Development Bank Group 25. Dr. Tarek Hatem Senior Research Fellow The American University in Cairo, Dubai School of Government (DSG) 26. Mr. Adel Noureldin Director, Regional Development Program Industrial Modernization Centre (IMC) 27. Prof. David Kirby Dean of Faculty of Business Administration, Economics and Political Sciences 28. Dr. Karim Salem Lecturer The British University in Egypt 29. Eng. Khaled Kamal Owner / Director Sky Tech 30. Mr. Mahmoud Foda Head of Financial Policy Unit Industrial Modernization Centre (IMC) 31. Mr. Malik Kotaida Chief Executive Officer Aga Khan Egypt 32. Dr. Mohamed Eid Lecturer The British University in Egypt 33. Mr. Tamer El Naggar Managing Director Synovate North Africa 34. Mr. Walid El-Sherbiny Self-employed 35. Mr. Motaz Al Tabaa Executive Manager, Small & Micro Enterprise Project 36. Mr. Adham El-Sherbini Regional Manager Page | 94 The British University in Egypt Alexandria Business Association Lower Egypt Business Development Services Support Project Endnotes 1 See World Bank (2007), Doing Business 2008, Washington, DC, USA. 2 See Hisrich, R.D., M.P. Peters, and D.A. Shepherd (2005), Entrepreneurship, Sixth Edition. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. 3 See, for example, Orhan, M. (2001), “Women Business Owners in France: The Issue of Financing Discrimination”, Journal of Small Business Management, 39, 95-102. 4 See Bosma, N., Z.J. Acs, E. Autio, A. Coduras, and J. Levie (2009), Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, Babson College and Universidad del Desarrollo. 5 See Bosma, N., Z.J. Acs, E. Autio, A. Coduras and J. Levie (2009), Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, p. 7. 6 See World Economic Forum (2008), The Global Competitiveness Report 2008-2009, Geneva, Switzerland. According to the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI), in the first stage of economic development the economy is factor-driven and countries compete based on their factor endowments, primarily unskilled labour and natural resources. Companies compete on the basis of price and sell basic products or commodities, with their low productivity reflected in low wages. Maintaining competitiveness at this stage of development hinges primarily on well-functioning public and private institutions, well-developed infrastructure, a stable macroeconomic framework, and a healthy and literate workforce. As wages rise with advancing development, countries move into the efficiencydriven stage of development, when they must begin to develop more efficient production processes and increase product quality. At this point, competitiveness is increasingly driven by higher education and training, efficient goods markets, well-functioning labour markets, sophisticated financial markets, a large domestic or foreign market, and the ability to harness the benefits of existing technologies. Finally, as countries move into the innovation-driven stage, they are able to sustain higher wages and the associated standard of living only if their businesses are able to compete with new and unique products. At this stage, companies must compete through innovation, producing new and different goods using the most sophisticated production processes. (Taken from WEF, 2008, p. 7.) 7 See Bosma, N., K. Jones, E. Autio, and J. Levie (2008), Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2007 Executive Report, Babson College and London Business School, p. 40. 8 For a theoretical derivation of each of the EFCs, see Levie, J., and E. Autio (2007), “Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions and National-Level Entrepreneurial Activity: Seven-Year Panel Study”. Paper presented at 3rd GEM Research Conference, Washington, DC, USA, October. 9 For a sample of the Egypt adult population of 2,600 surveys, the maximum error margin with a 95% confidence level would typically be plus or minus 2%. 10 See the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor reports from 2004-2007, available at: http://www.gemconsortium.org 11 The theoretical underpinnings of the U-shaped curve are described in Carree, M.A., A. van Stel, R. Thurik, and S. Wennekers (2002), “Economic Development and Business Ownership: An Analysis using Date of 23 OECD Countries in the Period 1976-1996”, Small Business Economics, 19, 271-290. In this article, the researchers identified a U-shaped curve relationship for self-employment and business ownership rates across OECD countries over a two-decade period. Page | 95 12 Much of this discussion of the U-shaped curve analysis is taken directly from the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2007 Executive Report, p. 13. 13 See Acs, Z.J. (2006), “How is entrepreneurship good for economic growth?” Innovations: Technology, Governance, Globalization 1 (1), 97-107. 14 The 2006 ELMPS reported that women owned 17.9% of MSEs (enterprises with less than 50 workers). 15 Egypt Human Development Report 2008, United Nations Development Programme and the Institute of National Planning, Cairo, Egypt. 16 Ministry of Finance (2007), Egyptian Women Entrepreneurs: Profiles of Success, prepared by the Egyptian Small and Medium Enterprise Policy (SMEPol) Project, Cairo, Egypt. 17 See International Finance Corporation (IFC) and Gender Entrepreneurship Markets (GEM) (2007), GEM Country Profile – Egypt 2007, Washington, DC, USA. 18 Post-secondary education includes those who completed high school plus some additional education but have not earned a college or university degree, those who take trade, vocational, or technical training after completing their secondary education, as well as those who started a college or university programme but did not complete the requirements. 19 Bosma, N., Z.J. Acs, E. Autio, A. Coduras, and J. Levie (2009), Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, p. 41. 20 Denis, E. (2008), “Demographic Surprises Foreshadow Change in Neoliberal Egypt”, MERIP Middle East Report, 246, 32-37, Spring. 21 Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2008 Executive Report, p. 23. It can be seen that business discontinuance rates are relatively high in factor-driven economies. 22 Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, 2007 Executive Report. 23 See Schumpeter, J. (1947). “The Creative Response in Economic History”, The Journal of Economic History (7)2, 149-159. 24 See for example: Hayton, J.C., G. George, and S.A Zahra (2002), “National Culture and Entrepreneurship: A Review of the Behavioural Research”, Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, Summer; Fitzsimmons. J.R., and E.J. Douglas (2005), “Entrepreneurial Attitudes and Entrepreneurial Intentions: A Cross-Cultural Study of Potential Entrepreneurs in India, China. Thailand and Australia”, Babson-Kauffman Entrepreneurial Research Conference, June, Wellesley, MA; Samit, M. (2005), “Cultural Effects on Entrepreneurial Decision-Making: Why Every Society Can’t be Entrepreneurial”, presented at AIB-SE (USA) Annual Meeting, Charleston, South Carolina; and Bosma, N., and V. Schutjens (2009), “Mapping entrepreneurial activity and entrepreneurial attitudes in European regions”, International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business, 7(2), 191-213. Also GEM country reports at: www.gemconsortium.org. 25 st See Kirby, D.A. (2003), Entrepreneurship, 1 Edition, McGraw-Hill Education, UK, p. 57 26 See Davidsson, P. (1995), “Determinants of Entrepreneurial Intentions”, RENT IX Conference Proceedings, Piacenza, Italy, 23-24 November. 27 See OECD (2003), Entrepreneurship and Local Economic Development: Programme and Policy Recommendations. Prepared by the Local Economic and Employment Development (LEED) Programme. OECD: Paris. Page | 96 28 World Bank (2008), Access to Finance and Economic Growth in Egypt, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 1516. 29 See Miller, J.A.H. (2006), “Promoting Venture Capital Business in Egypt”, Final Report on the Promoting Venture Capital in Egypt Roundtable, hosted by the Small and Medium Enterprise Policy (SMEPol) Development Project, the Egyptian Ministry of Finance, and Financial Services Volunteer Corps, July 2-6, Cairo, Egypt. According to this report, enforcement of Intellectual Property Rights (IPR), structuring of VC funds, shareholder rights, and other deal terms need to be brought in line with the laws and regulations of major financial centers, including the British Virgin Islands (BVI), Luxembourg, Bahrain and Dubai, as well as the US and the UK. 30 For more detail on microfinance in Egypt, see PlaNet Finance (2008), National Impact Survey of Microfinance in Egypt, prepared with support from the Small and Medium Enterprise Policy (SMEPol) Development Project; the Egyptian Ministry of Finance; the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA); the International Development Research Centre (IDRC); the German Technical Cooperation (GTZ); the Social Fund for Development (SFD)/the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP); First Microfinance Foundation (FMF)/Aga Khan Agency for Microfinance (AKAM); and PlaNet Finance Egypt, Cairo, Egypt, May. 31 See World Bank (2008), Doing Business 2009, Washington, DC, USA. 32 See Korayem, K. (2000), “The Research Environment in Egypt”, in Rached, E. and Craissati, D. (eds), Research for Development in the Middle East and North Africa, International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, Canada, pp. 141-160. 33 Reynolds, P.D., M. Hay, W.D. Bygrave, S.M. Camp, E. Autio (2000), Global Entrepreneurship Monitor: 2000 Executive Report, Babson College and London Business School, p. 43. Also see the rest of the series of GEM Global reports at: http://www.gemconsortium.org. 34 Experiences in other countries suggest this is an effective strategy to build interest in entrepreneurial activity among young girls and women and to enhance their self-efficacy in relationship to starting their own business. 35 Reynolds, P. D., M. Hay, W.D. Bygrave, S.M. Camp, and E. Autio (2000), Global Entrepreneurship Monitor: 2000 Executive Report, Babson College and London Business School, p. 44. Page | 97 Page | 98 The Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC) is an industrial development agency affiliated with the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) with a mandate to provide business development support to Egyptian industrial enterprises to reinstate them competitively in Egypt's global markets in the bid to enhance job creation and secure prosperity for all. IMC's mandate focuses on industrial enterprises employing more than 10 workers, and aims at addressing the needs of more than 14,000 such enterprises. Since its foundation, the IMC has been fostering ties with different international organisations of similar mandates. A number of initiatives have been launched as a result of bilateral and multilateral agreements in the different areas of sustainable industrial development and the IMC is currently expanding its capacity of cooperation in multiple fields with both local and international donors, development agencies, business resource organisations, NGOs, and other relevant organisations. The evolving vision is to promote industrial growth and development via novel approaches built on solid partnerships with the private sector to revitalize the parameters of industrial global competitiveness in full transparency. A unique model of public private partnership is now in progress. Contact information: The Industrial Modernisation Centre 1195 Corniche El Nil (Federation of Egyptian Industries' Building) nd Ramlet Boulak, 2 floor, Cairo, Egypt Website: www.imc-egypt.org Tel: +202 0800 462 0462; Fax: +20 (2) 577 2870 E-mail: info@imc-egypt.org The Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB) is a dynamic organisation that works as a forum for business people committed to developing an outstanding culture of excellence while taking an active part in the overall development of Egypt. Its vision is to be the leading business association enhancing the business environment and positively impacting the Egyptian society towards sustainable development. The EJB hosts almost 600 members, the majority being between 25 and 45 years old, who are either business owners or executives in local and multinational companies. The main activities of the association are geared toward the business environment, business affairs and community development. Contact information: The Egyptian Junior Business Association (EJB) Al Salam Tower Beside Al Salam Int Hospital Corniche El Nile St., Maadi, Cairo, Egypt Additional copies of this report can be obtained from: The Industrial Modernisation Centre (IMC) 1195 Corniche El Nil (Federation of Egyptian Industries' Building) nd Ramlet Boulak, 2 floor, Cairo, Egypt Tel : +202 0800 462 0462 Fax: +20 (2) 577 2870 Email : info@imc-egypt.org The British University in Egypt Cairo-Suez Desert Road – El Sherouk City, Egypt Tel: +202 2689 0000 Fax: +202 2687 5897 Email: hala.hattab@bue.edu.eg It is also downloadable from: The website of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor at: www.gemconsortium.org/national_reports.aspx The IMC website at: www.imc-egypt.org The BUE website at: www.bue.edu.eg Publication Date: October 2009 Tel: +202 252 840 94; Cell: +2 010 3234 555 - 666 Fax: +202 252 840 95 Website: www.ejb.org.eg Email: ejbgroup@ejb.org.eg The British University in Egypt (BUE) officially opened to Egyptian students in September 2005 on a state-of-the-art campus in El-Sherouk. It focuses on encouraging personal integrity and academic excellence in its students, alongside developing enterprising graduates who can envision opportunities and harness the resources to bring them to fruition. Currently, the university has four faculties - Business Administration, Economics and Political Science; Computer Science; Engineering; and Nursing, as well as a Department of English that provides the requisite language training. It operates within the framework of the UK Quality Assurance Agency and provides degrees in a similar style and to an equivalent standard to UK programmes. The BUE is validated by Loughborough and Queen Margaret Universities in the UK and successful students receive a British as well as an Egyptian qualification. Having graduated its first students in 2009, the BUE is now firmly established and well placed to establish a global reputation as a high quality teaching and research institution. Contact information: The British University in Egypt Cairo-Suez Desert Road – El Sherouk City, Egypt Tel: +202 2689 0000; Fax: +202 2687 5897 Website: www.bue.edu.eg Email: info@bue.edu.eg The Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (MCSBE) was formed in 2008 as an affiliate of the International Council for Small Business (ICSB) with a mandate to develop members and activities in Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Morocco. Its mission is to advance entrepreneurship and small business in these countries and to develop linkages with the ICSB global network of affiliates and members from 70 countries around the world. Members include representatives from government bodies, universities, business associations, banks, venture capital companies, donors, consulting companies, large corporations and entrepreneurial companies, business development service providers, and development NGOs. MCSBE’s objectives are to: advocate the formation and growth of small businesses as a mechanism for economic growth and development by encouraging research, improving relevant knowledge and skills, promoting the free exchange of ideas and experiences, and partnering with governmental institutions and other stakeholders involved in encouraging and supporting the development of entrepreneurship and small businesses. Contact information: The Middle East Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship Cairo, Egypt Website: www.mcsbe.org Email: info@mcsbe.org