Sustained increase in the prices of goods and services in the economy Is an indication of the rise in the general level of prices over time Inflation rate is the percentage change in the price level from the previous period Inflation =((Price Y2 – Price Y1)/ Price Y1)x 100 when economists measure the changes in the average price level of goods/services in nation. Consumer Price Index (CPI)—is a measure of the average change over time in the price of a fixed group of products. ◦ Reported monthly ◦ Reported against a fixed period (or base) time period—currently 1982-1984. ◦ Market basket—representative sample of consumer goods. Food, clothing, housing, utilities, entertainment, transportation, health care. Measured each month in $. ◦ How much did it change? = CPI Calculating CPI CPI = weighted current price x 100 weighted base period price Example = $3.00 (loaf of bread in 2017) X 100 $1.32 (loaf of bread in 1983) CPI 2017 = 227.3 Inflation Rate—the monthly or yearly % change in prices. ◦ The CPI is a tool that is used to calculate Ex.Inflation rate= (CPI year A – CPI year B) x 100 CPI year B Ex.Inflation Rate 145 – 140 x 100 = 3.57 140 Inflation Rate 3.57% Consumer price index is the measure of the overall cost of the goods and services bought by a typical consumer It is used to monitor the cost of living over time Index numbers assigned to each year to show how prices have changed relative to a specific year base. CPI is the most commonly used measurement of inflation. Year CPI 1914 10 1961 30 1977 60 1982* 100 1990 130 2002 180 2016 240 CPI = Price of market basket x100 Price of mkt basket in base year Year Basket $ CPI 1999 40 80 2000* 50 100(Base year) 2001 55 110 2002 60 120 2003 75 150 2004 100 200 2005 200 400 Year Basket $ 2007 40 2008 60 2009 72 2010* 80 2011 92 2012 100 2013 120 CPI Year Basket $ CPI 2007 40 50 2008 60 75 2009 72 90 2010* 80 100 2011 92 115 2012 100 125 2013 120 150 1. Assume that CPI in Y1 is 100 and CPI in Y2 is 125, what is the inflation rate between the two years? Ans. Inflation is 25% 2. Assume that CPI for Y1is 125 and the CPI for Y2 is 150, what is inflation between the two years? Answer: 20% Its not 150-125 but its Inflation = (Y2-Y1) x 100 Y1 = (150 – 125 ) x100 125 3. CPI in Y1 is 80 and CPI in Y2 is 100. what is inflation rate between the two years? Answer: 25% Printing more money by the government High lending levels A drop in exchange rates A rise in production and labour costs Increased taxes or wars As inflation rises, every dollar you have/own buys a smaller percentage of a good or service When inflation goes up, there is a decline in the purchasing power of money Creditors lose and debtors gain Uncertainty about what will happen next make corporations and consumers less likely to spend – delayed investment People living off a fixed income such as retirees see a decline in their purchasing power and, consequently, their standard of living If inflation rate is greater than that of other countries, domestic products become less competitive Controlled inflation is a sign that an economy is growing – increase in wages Menu costs Shoe leather costs Fiscal drag Inflationary noise Stimulating output Reduce the burden of debt Prevent some unemployment The cause of inflation – demand pull inflation is likely to be less harmful than cost push inflation Its rate – a high inflation is likely to cause more damage than a low rate Accelerating or stable rate Whether the rate is one that has been expected – unanticipated inflation causes uncertainty How the rate compares with that of other countries – affects international competitiveness. i) Open market operation – an attempt by the central bank to reduce cash in circulation(wipe out excess liquidity) by selling equity or bonds in the open market e.g. treasury bills ii) Interest rates – increasing interest rates to discourage consumption and investment – will reduce aggregate demand, thus reducing inflation Increase taxes Taxes on income to reduce disposable income Taxes on expenditure e.g. duty to make goods and services expensive Cut government expenditure – reduce aggregate demand