International Trade and Investment Problem Set 1 Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 1 Overview Topics Ricardian Trade Heckscher-Ohlin Trade Approach Interaction in groups (please re-arrange your seating on my signal) Discussion and Q&A in plenum Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 2 Outline Question 1: Ricardo Question 2: Heckscher-Ohlin Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 3 Question 1: Ricardo The following unit labour requirements describe a two country economy (Ricardo’s original example): Table: Unit Labour Requirements England Portugal Wine 4 10 Cloth 2 20 Assume that consumers in both countries want to consume both goods. 1. Why should England trade with Portugal if it is much more productive in both industries? Under free trade, what is the pattern of trade and why? Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 4 Solution 1 Why should England trade with Portugal if it is much more productive in both industries? Under free trade, what is the pattern of trade and why? What matters for trade is not absolute, but comparative advantage, i.e. opportunity costs England has high opportunity costs for producing wine (4/2 = 2) relative to Portugal (10/20 = 0.5), so that it is more efficient for England to focus on cloth and exchange it for wine on the world market England will export cloth and import wine, while Portugal imports cloth and exports wine Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 5 Ricardo cont’d 2 What is the range of possible free trade prices of wine relative to cloth? What would you need to know in order to pin down the relative prices? Hint: use the relative supply curve to illustrate your argument. Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 6 Ricardo cont’d 2 What is the range of possible free trade prices of wine relative to cloth? What would you need to know in order to pin down the relative prices? Hint: use the relative supply curve to illustrate your argument. Relative prices are in the interval [0.5, 2] PC PW P aCL P aWL =2 E aCL E aWL = RS World 1 2 For equilibrium prices, need demand and both endowments Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 6 0 QCE +QCP E +Q P QW W Ricardo cont’d 3 Let total labour in England be 100, and 10 in Portugal. Draw a diagram with the world relative supply curve and label all relative quantities and prices. Add two world relative demand curves; one where England gains from international trade and one where it does not. What explains this difference from an intuitive point of view? Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 7 Ricardo cont’d 3 Let total labour in England be 100, and 10 in Portugal. Draw a diagram with the world relative supply curve and label all relative quantities and prices. Add two world relative demand curves; one where England gains from international trade and one where it does not. What explains this difference from an intuitive point of view? PC PW P aCL P aWL 1 E aCL E aWL RS World =2 PC PW = 2ú 1 2 RD Õ 0 Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 7 1 QCE +QCP E +Q P QW W 2ú = 50 RD QCE +QCP E +Q P QW W Ricardo cont’d 3 Let total labour in England be 100, and 10 in Portugal. Draw a diagram with the world relative supply curve and label all relative quantities and prices. Add two world relative demand curves; one where England gains from international trade and one where it does not. What explains this difference from an intuitive point of view? Given RD, opening up to trade implies that the relative price of cloth rises and both countries fully specialise England can exchange cloth for more wine on the world market than it could under autarky (by re-allocating labour from cloth to wine production) æ gains from international trade Consumers’ preferences more heavily skewed towards wine (RD Õ ) æ total wine production by Portugal is no longer sufficient to satisfy demand relative price of wine rises until even English vineyards find it just about profitable to make wine Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 8 Ricardo cont’d 4 Let the population in England double. Discuss the resulting effects (without a graph). Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 9 Ricardo cont’d 4 Let the population in England double. Discuss the resulting effects (without a graph). Amount of relative cloth supply doubles, too With RD æ fall in the relative price of cloth, potentially down to 0.5 Extreme case: total relative world demand for cloth at the relative price of 0.5 fully satisfied by England alone English vineyards find that they can start producing wine Portugal benefits from an increase in England’s workforce, since its terms-of-trade have improved For English workers, the terms-of-trade effect is in fact negative and their wages fall With RD Õ æ prices remain unchanged, more production of wine and cloth Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 9 Outline Question 1: Ricardo Question 2: Heckscher-Ohlin Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 10 Heckscher-Ohlin Consider an economy with the following properties Two perfectly competitive sectors, (M)achines and (T)extiles Two factors of production, low skill (LL ) and high skill (LH ) labour – in fully elastic supply L̄L and L̄H 2 1 1 2 Production technologies are YM = (LH ) 3 (LL ) 3 and YT = (LH ) 3 (LL ) 3 Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 11 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 1. Use the firms’ first order conditions to show that sector M is high skill intensive. Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 12 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 1. Use the firms’ first order conditions to show that sector M is high skill intensive. so that L H MPLH wH i (Li , Li ) = wL MPLLi (LLi , LH i ) 1 2 H ≠ 13 (LLM ) 3 3 (LM ) 1 H 23 L ≠ 23 3 (LM ) (LM ) =2 LLM wH = L; H w LM 13: Ys 1 LLT wH = L H 2 LT w Since firms in both sectors face the same factor prices, we can conclude that LLM 1 LLT = , H 4 LH LM T Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 12 Y(. 43 1 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 2 What condition on L̄L and L̄H must be satisfied for our economy to be high skill labour abundant relative to the world? Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 13 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 2 What condition on L̄L and L̄H must be satisfied for our economy to be high skill labour abundant relative to the world? L̄H > L̄L Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 13 3 L̄H L̄L 4World Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 3 Graph our country’s PPF and argue why it must always lie above a straight line connecting the two intercepts. Add the world PPF if our country is high skill abundant. Hint: Even though our country is small by assumption, for the purpose of the graph treat the world as relatively similarly sized. Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 14 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 3 Graph our country’s PPF and argue why it must always lie above a straight line connecting the two intercepts. Add the world PPF if our country is high skill abundant. Hint: Even though our country is small by assumption, for the purpose of the graph treat the world as relatively similarly sized. Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 14 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 4 Since our country is a small open economy, the pertinent price ratio is the one in the rest of the world. Illustrate our country’s and the world’s production points in the previous graph and explain what condition needs to be satisfied in each point. Do they coincide with the consumption points? What is the pattern of trade? Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 15 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 4 Since our country is a small open economy, the pertinent price ratio is the one in the rest of the world. Illustrate our country’s and the world’s production points in the previous graph and explain what condition needs to be satisfied in each point. Do they coincide with the consumption points? What is the pattern of trade? Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 15 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 5 Comparative Statics: Assume that all workers are fully flexible across sectors. What is the effect of an increase of PM on nominal and real wages and rents? Use appropriate diagrams to illustrate your arguments graphically. Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 16 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 5 Comparative Statics: Assume that all workers are fully flexible across sectors. What is the effect of an increase of PM on nominal and real wages and rents? Use appropriate diagrams to illustrate your arguments graphically. Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 16 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 5 Comparative Statics: Assume that all workers are fully flexible across sectors. What is the effect of an increase of PM on nominal and real wages and rents? Use appropriate diagrams to illustrate your arguments graphically. Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 17 Heckscher-Ohlin cont’d 5 Comparative Statics: Assume that all workers are fully flexible across sectors. What is the effect of an increase of PM on nominal and real wages and rents? Use appropriate diagrams to illustrate your arguments graphically. ø price of machines æ sectoral re-allocation from textiles (shrinks) to machines (expands) Relative demand for high skilled labour ø Nominal and real high skill wages (i.e. in term of both goods) increase, low skill ones fall More directly with Stolper-Samuelson Theorem: “If the price of a good increases, then the remuneration of the factor used intensively in that sector increases in nominal and real terms, while the remuneration of the other factor falls in nominal and real terms.” Machine sector high skill labour intensive æ higher nominal and real high skill wages Textiles sector low skill labour intensive æ lower nominal and real high skill wages Summer Term | Law and Economics | Chair of Microeconomics | Prof. Frank Pisch PhD | 17