INTRODUCTION TO DECISION ANALYTICS 1 Chapter 1: An Overview of Business Intelligence, Analytics, and Data Science. Chapter 6: Prescriptive Analytics: Optimization and Simulation. Chapter 1: Introduction 2 Operations Research (OR) • Operations Research = research on operations. • A discipline that deals with the application of advanced analytical methods to help make better decisions. • Sub-field of applied mathematics. • Synonyms: management science, decision science, decision analytics. 3 Operations Research (OR) (cont…) • Research on how to conduct and coordinate an organization’s activities. • In a business organization, as the complexity and specialization increase, it becomes difficult to allocate the available resources to the various activities in a way that is most effective for the organization as a whole. • These kinds of problems which need proper solutions provided the environment for the emergence of OR. • OR provides positive, understandable conclusions to the decision maker using scientific approach. 4 Operations Research (OR) (cont…) • The term Operations Research was first used in the military during World War II – to manage the allocation of scarce resources. • Early 1950s - OR was introduced into business, industry, and government. • Generally, at least two major factors are influencing the rapid growth of OR as follows: Factors influencing the growth of OR • Simplex method. • Dynamic programming. Improved • Queuing theory. techniques • Inventory theory. Computer revolution • Advancement of hardware and software. • Fast solutions for complex problems. 5 Operations Research (OR) (cont…) • A typical OR process Carefully observe and formulate the problem Gather data Construct a mathematical model Test whether the model represents the actual situation Modify the model as appropriate and validate again 6 Operations Research (OR) (cont…) • OR considers what is best for organization as a whole. • Attempts to identify best possible course of action. • An OR team consists of individuals with diverse backgrounds and skills. • The team is necessary for considering ramifications of problem throughout organization. 7 Analytics Overview The process of developing actionable decisions or recommendations for actions based on insights generated from historical data. According to Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS): Analytics represents the combination of computer technology, management science techniques, and statistics to solve real problems. 8 Analytics Overview (cont…) • Introduced in 2006 by Thomas H. Davenport • Similar in concept to operations research. • Transforms data into insight to make better decisions. 9 Business Analytics • FIGURE 1.11 Three Types of Analytics Sharda R., Delen, D., Turban E., King D., Business Intelligence: A Managerial Approach (Global Edition), 4th Edition, Pearson, 2017 10 Business Analytics (cont…) • Descriptive and predictive leads to prescriptive. • OR focuses on predictive and prescriptive analytics. • 2012 U.S. presidential campaign The Obama team used data to target voters and donors 11 Business Analytics (cont…) • Applications that shows the wide applicability of OR as shown in Table 1.1 (Hillier, F. S., Lieberman, G. J., Introduction to Operations Research, 10th Edition, McGraw Hill, 2015) 12 Business Analytics (cont…) 13