Dr. Karan Singh Thagunna/Dim Prakash Poudel Department of Foreign Affairs, CPN(UML) Desk: International Financial Institutions Feb./March 2023 Nepal's Foreign Debt: Overview and Implications Introduction Nepal, a landlocked country located in South Asia, has been facing various economic challenges in recent years, including high levels of foreign debt. The country's external debt has been increasing steadily over the years, which has raised concerns about its ability to meet its debt obligations and maintain financial stability. In Least Developed Countries (LDC) like Nepal, there are limitations on raising revenue from taxation due to the low levels of income of people, low levels of economic transactions, and a possibility of increased burden on domestic economic entities. Therefore, public and external debt is seen as a feasible option to finance government expenditure and development projects for which the government lacks funds In this article, we will provide an overview of Nepal's foreign debt, its implications, and the steps that Nepal can take to manage its debt. Overview of the public debt situation Historically, Nepal has been borrowing domestically and internationally to meet its development requirement; the Government of Nepal raised its first internal loan in 1951, and its first external debt in 1963. The external loan is the highest source of deficit financing, followed by internal debt and change in cash reserves, respectively. Due to an increase in expenditure demands of post-earthquake reconstruction and federalism, government borrowing has increased significantly in recent years. In five years to 2020/21, total public debt increased by 148%. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2021/22, the total government debt reached NPR 2,011.95 billion, out of which external debt consisted of NPR 1025.84 billion and internal debt consisted of NPR 986.10 billion. External debt increased by 5.47% and internal debt increased by 12.16% as compared to the third quarter. Total external debt is debt owed to nonresidents repayable in currency, goods, or services. Total external debt is the sum of public, publicly guaranteed, and private nonguaranteed long-term debt, use of IMF credit, and short-term debt. Short-term debt includes all debt having an original maturity of one year or less and interest in arrears on long-term debt. According to the latest data from the Nepal Rastra Bank, Nepal's total foreign debt stands at around USD 8.7 billion, of which around 69% is owed to multilateral agencies such as the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, and International Monetary Fund. The remaining 31% is owed to bilateral lenders such as China, India, and Japan. The majority of Nepal's foreign debt has been used to finance infrastructure projects such as hydropower plants, roads, and airports. These projects are expected to promote economic growth and improve the standard of living in Nepal, but they also come with risks such as cost overruns, delays, and potential environmental impacts. Nepal external debt for Sept. 2022 is $ 8.7 bn, a 3.75 % decrease from 2021. Nepal external debt for 2021 was $8,855,972,582, a 12.01% increase from 2020. Nepal external debt for 2020 was $7,906,177,633, a 21.38% increase from 2019. Nepal external debt for 2019 was $6,513,481,342, a 18.19% increase from 2018. Nepal external debt for 2018 was $5,510,938,186, a 11.03% increase from 2017. Nepal's trade deficit, which occurs when the value of imports exceeds the value of exports, has been a major contributor to the country's foreign debt. The country has a limited export base, with exports accounting for only a small percentage of its GDP. This means that Nepal relies heavily on imports to meet its domestic demand for goods and services, which has led to a high trade deficit. In addition, Nepal's reliance on foreign aid and loans to finance its development projects has also contributed to the country's increasing foreign debt. The Outstanding debt data The total public debt in Nepal reached 2,007.84 billion rupees at the end of the first quarter of the fiscal year in October, 2022. Of this, Rs 1050.23 billion is foreign debt and Rs 957.61 billion domestic debt. During this period, the total outstanding debt of the Government of Nepal decreased by 0.27 percent. External debt increased by 2.37 percent, while internal debt decreased by 3.02 percent. In the first quarter, total internal debt decreased by Rs 29.83 billion and external debt increased by Rs 24.38 billion. Receipts for payments on external debt totaled Rs 24.70 billion during the quarter, with principal repayment at Rs 5.84 billion. There were no receipts for internal debt during the quarter, and repayment for internal debt amounted to Rs 29.83 billion. Other factors, such as exchange rate fluctuations, resulted in a foreign exchange loss of Rs 5.52 billion. At the end of first quarter of the fiscal year 2079/80 BS, the total debt to GDP ratio was 41.38 percent, with the external debt to GDP ratio at 21.64 percent and the internal debt to GDP ratio at 19.73 percent. In the last quarter of the fiscal year 2078/79 BS, the debt to GDP ratio was 41.49 percent, with external debt at 21.14 percent and domestic debt at 20.35 percent. During the first quarter of the fiscal year 2079/80 BS, the total receipt of debt was Rs 24.70 billion, all of which came from external sources. Of the external debt, 88.78 percent (Rs 21.93 billion) came from multilateral sources and the remaining 11.21 percent (Rs 2.77 billion) came from bilateral sources. No debt was raised from internal sources during the quarter. Rollover of treasury bills (domestic bonds) is not considered new issuance. In the first quarter of the fiscal year 2079/80 BS, the total debt service was Rs 50.62 billion, with 84.90 percent (Rs 42.98 billion) being internal debt and 15.09 percent (Rs 7.64 billion) being external debt. For capital repayment, Rs 5.84 billion was paid to external creditors and Rs 29.83 billion was paid to internal creditors. The total capital repayment was Rs 35.68 billion. Interest payments totaled Rs 14.94 billion, with Rs 1.79 billion paid to external creditors and Rs 13.15 billion paid to internal creditors. Commitment fees were also paid on external debt and commissions on internal debt. (Figure-1: Domestic Debt vs Foreign Debt) According to a report from the Debt Management Office dated October 17, 2022, the International Development Association (IDA), a part of the World Bank Group, is Nepal’s largest creditor with Rs 526.01 billion, followed by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) with Rs 323.65 billion. Nepal has also received credit facilities from the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in the amounts of Rs 48.41 billion and Rs 43.90 billion, respectively. The Export-Import Bank of India has provided a loan of Rs 37.60 billion, the ExportImport Bank of China has provided a loan of Rs 33.51 billion, and the International Fund for Agricultural Development has provided a loan of Rs 10.25 billion. Nepal owes Rs 8.40 billion to the OPEC Fund for International Development, and has debts to the Export-Import Bank of Korea and the European Investment Bank totaling Rs 5.63 billion and Rs 5.62 billion, respectively. The Saudi Arabian Fund is owed Rs 3 billion and the Finnish Nordic Development Fund is owed Rs 1.82 billion. Nepal has maturing debts to Kuwait and Belgium in the amounts of Rs 1.51 billion and Rs 0.60 billion respectively. The European Economic Council, Natixis (a French bank), and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank have debts due of Rs 0.20 billion, Rs 0.10 billion, and Rs 0.04 billion respectively, at the end of the first quarter of the fiscal year 2079/80. Per Capita external Debt. Total Outstanding External Debt ( Oct. 2022) Nepal Total Population ( 2078) Per capita Debt Total Family Per Family Debt NRS 1,050,299,900,000.00 29,192,480 NRS 35,976 5,643,945 NRS 186080.82 External Debt and List of the Creditors (Oct. 2022) IFIs/Countries World Bank ( IDA/IBRD) ADB JICA IMF AXIM Bank -India AXIM Bank- China IFAD OFID EUIB ( EU Investment Bank) AXIM Bank- Korea Saudi Arab Fund NORAD Dev. Fund Kuwait Loan assistance Belgium Loan Assistance European Economic Council Natixis Bank- France Asian-Infrastructure Investment Bank-China Outstanding Debt ( Nepali currency in thousands) 526,011,800,000.00 323,649,000,000.00 48,413,400,000.00 43,895,300,000.00 37,566,300,000.00 33,512,800,000.00 10,254,400,000.00 8,383,300,000.00 5,615,500,000.00 5,628,500,000.00 3,030,000,000.00 1,818,500,000.00 1,505,700,000.00 573,600,000.00 195,300,000.00 139,500,000.00 37,000,000.00 Outstanding debt ( Percentage) 50.08539559 30.81696684 4.609790675 4.179589631 3.576959673 3.190996562 0.97639574 0.798234748 0.534692452 0.535930276 0.288508259 0.173152564 0.143368609 0.054616613 0.018595928 0.013282806 0.003523038 Nepal's total debt ( 2021) Outstanding foreign debt ( %) World Bank ( IDA/IBRD) 1% 1% 0% 31% % 4% 4% 5% 50% Foreign Debt 49% 51% Internal Debt (Figure-2: foreign vs internal debt) 31% ADB (Figure-3: outstanding foreign debt) Foreign debt Partner’s Profile Nepalese government has been receiving the foreign aids from multilateral and bilateral financial agencies/countries. The Government has been directing the foreign support and aid as per the guidelines of ministry of finance and national planning commission with the basis of national priorities and policies. The foreign aid used in projects and programs is received in various forms based on the principle of competitive advantage. Grants are mobilized primarily in the areas of rural infrastructure development, health, education, drinking water, sanitation, sanitation and other social sectors, and human development. Nepalese government gets both concessional and non-concessional loans from bilateral and multilateral development partners, but favors concessional loans in most circumstances. In terms of foreign aid, the Nepalese government has accepted technical help, consultant mobilization, and external volunteer mobilization According to the nature of the external support, the following debt/ aid profile has been detailed. Type Multilateral ( loan/g rants) Name World Bank Profile The World Bank Group is a multilateral financial organization established in July 1945. It was founded as the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) in 1944 at the Bretton Woods Conference to provide loans Major Aid support sector 1. Education 2. Policy and Strategic 3. Health 4. Energy 5. Road Transportation 1. Earthquake Housing Reconstruction Project (EHRP) – IDA 2. The School Sector Development Program(SSDP) Multilateral ( Loans/ grants ) Asian Develop ment Bank(AD B) to rebuild countries devastated by World War II. The World Bank comprises two institutions: the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), and the International Development Association (IDA). 3. Strategic Road Connectivity and Trade Improvement Project 4. Finance for Growth Development Policy Credit 5. Forests for Prosperity The development partnership between Nepal and ADB began in 1966 when Nepal joined ADB as a founding member. ADB provides assistance to Nepal according to the provisions of its Charter, regulations and operational policies for ordinary operation, special operation and co-financing. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. In addition, ADB has also approved assistance to Nepalese private sector undertakings under its nonsovereign operations. Nonsovereign operations comprise the provision of any loan, guarantee, equity investment, or other financing arrangement to privately held, state-owned, Education Energy Urban development Drinking water Road Transportation Major projects: 1. Power Transmission and Distribution Efficiency Enhancement Project; 2. South Asia Sub Regional Economic Cooperation Power System Expansion Project (SASEC 3. Disaster Risk Resilience for Public School Infrastructure and Communities Project; 4. Second Kathmandu Valley Water Supply Improvement Project. 5. Mugling - Pokhara Highway Improvement Project or sub-sovereign entities. Assistance is mostly in the form of loans, grants and technical assistance. Multil ateral (grant s) Europea n Union(E U) The European Commission, which has been present in Nepal since 1992 for technical cooperation, was upgraded in 2002 to a delegation with a diplomatic status similar to that of other diplomatic missions in Nepal. The EU’s assistance to Nepal is given in the form of project grants, service contracts and budget support. The largest area of support of the EU has been its budget support to the Education sector.EU continues to support the school sector through budget support to the School Sector Development Plan (SSDP). The total amount allocated for 20142020 is 61.4 million Euros. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Education Agriculture Energy General Administration Local Development Major Projects: EU-Nepal Practical Partnership for Technical Vocational Education and Training Reform (EU-TVET) Nepal - EU Action for Recovery and Reconstruction NEARR- (State Building Contract) - CTR 383496 Nutrition Budget Support The School Sector Development Program(SSDP) Support for stability and peace building Multilateral ( loans/ grants ) Asian Infrastru cture Investme nt Bank ( AIIB) The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is an international financial institution established in January 2016 to provide financing for infrastructure projects in Asia. It is a multilateral development bank with a mission to improve social and economic outcomes in Asia and beyond. AIIB headquarter is located in Beijing, China. AIIB commenced operations in January 2016 and its membership has grown to 105 from around the world. Nepal is a founder member of AIIB and has signed Articles of Agreement in June 2015. AIIB is a multilateral development bank with a mission to improve social and economic outcomes in Asia and beyond. The Upper Trishuli-1 Hydropower Project is the first project of Nepal financed from AIIB. Nepal is a regional founder member of AIIB and has signed the Articles of Agreement on 29 June 2015. Nepal has received project preparatory grant as well as project financing from AIIB. I. Project Preparatory Grant The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) has approved Project preparatory grants for the following three projects in Nepal; Nepal: Urban Infrastructure Investment Project: Project Preparatory Grant of US $ 1 million Nepal: Power Distribution System Upgrade and Expansion Project: Project Preparatory Grant of US $ 1 million Nepal: Tamakoshi V Hydroelectricity Project (TVHEP): Project Preparatory Grant of US$ 900 thousand. II. Project Financing The AIIB has approved a sovereign loan on December 12, 2019 for the following project with an objective to increase and improve the quality and efficiency of the electricity supply areas of Western Nepal which aligns with the sector strategy of AIIB, "The Sustainable Energy for Asia Strategy". Nepal: Power Distribution System Upgrade and Expansion project: Sovereign loan of US $112.3 million. This loan is approved by the Government of Nepal blending with Multilateral ( loans/ grants ) Internati onal Fund for Agricultu re Develop ment ( IFAD) The International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), a specialized agency of the United Nations, was established as an international financial institution in 1977 as one of the major outcomes of the 1974 World Food Conference. The conference was organized in response to the food crises of the early 1970’s that primarily affected the Sahelian countries of Africa. The governance structure of IFAD is led by the Governing Council, its highest decisionmaking authority. Each Member State is represented in the Governing Council by Governors, Alternate Governors and any other designated advisers. The Executive Board is responsible for overseeing the general operations of IFAD and for approving its program of work. Nepal became a member of The International Fund for Agricultural Development in 1977. IFAD works in the most remote regions of developing countries where poverty and hunger are deepest. Nepal country strategic plan (2019–2023) of IFAD reflects the zero hunger strategic review to The five major sectors of IFAD support during the last five-year period: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Agriculture Forests Livelihood Labor Economic Reform IFAD’s first project in Nepal was the Integrated Rural Development Project (Sagarmatha Zone), which was launched in November 1979 with a loan amount of US$ 11.5 million. Subsequently, on 5 December 1980, IFAD started another credit and financial services related project, the Small Farmer Development Project, with total costs of US$ 16.1 million. The Second Small Farmer Development Project (US$ 24.5 million) was initiated in 1985 after the irrigation project Command Area Development Project (US$ 30.2 million) launched in 1981. The already completed Leasehold Forestry and Livestock Programme (US$ 15.8 million) was started in 2004. achieve zero hunger by 2030. Multilateral ( loans/ grants ) OPEC Fund for Internati onal Develop ment ( OFID) The OPEC Fund for International Development (OFID), an intergovernmental development finance institution was established in January 1976 by the 13 Member Countries of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) following the decision made at the Conference of Sovereigns and Heads of State of the OPEC Member Countries, held in Algiers, Algeria in March 1975. Initially, it was called the OPEC Special Fund. The followings are the major support sectors of OFID: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Drinking Water Tourism Urban Development Irrigation Agriculture The OPEC Fund for International Development (the OPEC Fund) has signed a US$15 million loan in favor of NMB Bank Limited in Nepal for the purpose of financing micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) and renewable energy projects in 2019. The loan represents the OPEC Fund’s first financial institution transaction in the country. It provides grants in support of technical assistance, food aid, research, and humanitarian emergency relief. OFID also serves as an agent of OPEC Member Countries in the international financial arena whenever collective action is deemed appropriate. Development cooperation between Nepal and OFID started from 1976. Multilateral ( grants /loans) SAARC Develop ment Fund ( SDF) A Charter of the SAARC Development Fund (SDF) was signed by the SAARC leaders on 3 August 2008 at the Fifteenth SAARC Summit (Colombo, 2–3 August The following 4 sectors are the major support sectors of SDF: 1. Women, Children and Social Welfare 2. Agriculture 2008). The [1] SAARC Development Fund (SDF) Secretariat was formed by the Heads of State/Governments of SAARC Member States in April 2010 during the 16th SAARC Summit in Thimphu, Bhutan. 3. Communications 4. Health The current projects under implementation through SDF support in Nepal include Networking and Capacity Building of Women Entrepreneurs (SMEs) from SAARC Countries; Bamboo Based Enterprise Development; and SAARC Regional Inter-Professional Master’s Program in Rehabilitation Science. Nepal has been a member of SDF since its establishment and has a representative on the SDF Board. The development cooperation between Nepal and SDF is based broadly on SAARC’s overall strategy with its member nations because SDF is a fund under the SAARC mechanism. SDF mainly focuses on the welfare of the people of Nepal as a country in the SAARC region so that their quality of life can be improved. SADF objectives were to support industrial development, poverty alleviation, protection of environment, institutional/human resource development and promotion of social and infrastructure development projects in the SAARC region. Multilateral Global The Global Fund to Fight The Following major 3 sectors are the areas of GFATM Fund to AIDS, Tuberculosis and ( grants ) Fight AIDS, Tubercul osis and Malaria ( GFATM) Malaria (also referred to as 1. HIV Aids the Global Fund, or GFATM) 2. Tuberculosis is an international financing 3. Malaria institution founded in 2002. It is a public–private The Global Fund disburses primarily through the partnership organization following principal recipients: (1) Family Planning based in Geneva, Association of Nepal (FPAN); (2) National Centre for Switzerland. The Bill & AIDS and STD Control (NCASC); (3) National TB Melinda Gates Foundation is Centre (NTC); (4) Epidemiology & Disease Control one of the first private Division; (5) Save the Children, an international nonfoundations among many government organization; and (6) United Nations donors to provide seed Development Programme, along with the money for the project. The Government of Nepal. idea of establishing the Global Fund was discussed at a G8 summit in Okinawa, Japan, in 2000. In January 2002, Global Fund came into effect with the aim of accelerating the end of AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria as epidemics. Nepal has been a Delegate Member of the Global Fund since its establishment in 2002. In 2006 it was decided that the South East Asian Constituency (comprised of 11 countries of the region) would serve as a single voting member constituency of the Global Fund Executive Board. Since 2009, Nepal has been serving as a Board Member of the Global Fund, with the Minister for Health and Population of Nepal acting as a member with equal rights, and representing the South East Asian Constituency Delegation. Multilateral ( grants ) The Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immuniz ations ( GAVI) BiJICAlateral Japan ( grants /loans) Gavi, The Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunizations previously the GAVI Alliance— is a public–private partnership which is committed to increasing access to immunization in poor countries. The Geneva, Switzerland based organization was created in January 2000 with the help of a US$ 750 million fiveyear pledge from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation aiming to bring together the public and private sectors with the shared goal of creating equal access to new and underused vaccines for children living in the third world. Gavi has been assisting Nepal since 2000 as a part of its global campaign of improving access for immunization in the world’s poorest countries. Its goal is creating equal access to new and underused vaccines for children living in the world’s poorest countries since its establishment in 2000. Over the last five-year period beginning from FY 2016/17 to 2020/21, GAVI has disbursed a sum of US$ 22.4 million of ODA was to Nepal. The highest volume of annual disbursement from GAVI was US $ 11.7 million in fiscal year 2019/20. Likewise, the lowest volume of ODA disbursement was US $ 0.02 million in fiscal year 2018/19. The average annual disbursement over the period stands at US $ 4.4 million. Nepal and Japan established diplomatic relations in 1956. In 1968, the Embassy of Japan was established and in 1978, the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) office was opened in Nepal. Since 1969, Japan has been supporting Nepal for social and The followings are the major five sectors where Japan used to support over the last five year period. During the last five-year period GAVI has agreed to provide the support of US $ 22.4 million through separate agreements. The trend of agreement and disbursement shows a direct relationship between the agreement amount and the disbursement. Gavi, in collaboration with UNICEF and WHO, is supporting to national communication and social mobilization strategy for routine immunization program and providing TA to use geospatial data and for new vaccine introduction as well strengthening new vaccine introduction and routine immunization at national and sub-national levels. Currently, at Patan hospital, Gavi is funding impact studies on two vaccines that protect children against the main causes of deadly pneumonia: Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) and pneumococcal disease. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Education Road Transportation Earthquake Reconstruction Urban Development Agriculture economic activities. development -Kulekhani Hydroelectric Power Plant, the Kaligandaki Hydroelectric Power Plant, the Udayapur Cement Plant and several bridges in Kathmandu. Japan is the only bilateral -Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, the Waterdevelopment partner Induced Disaster Prevention Technical Center and the providing food grains Kanti Children’s Hospital. (especially rice) and chemical fertilizers. Japan has been providing food grains since 1970 under the scheme popularly known as KR or KRI (Kennedy Round) and fertilizer assistance since 1977 under KRII. Japan has been a development partner of Nepal since 1969. Beginning in 1975, Japan provided support to construct several economic infrastructural facilities. According to the OECD, in 2020 Japan was one of the top 5 countries in the DAC in terms of provision of ODA (in absolute terms). It was ranked fourth and the volume was US$ 16.2 billion, 0.31 percent of Japanese GNI (OECD 2021). Bilateral ( grants /loans) South South Cooperat ion (SSC) -China Nepal-China economic cooperation was initiated with the formalization of bilateral relations in the 1950’s. The first “Agreement between China and Nepal on Economic Aid” was signed in October 1956. Since then, China has been providing financial and technical assistance to Nepal, which has greatly contributed to Nepal’s economic development. From the mid- The five major sectors of China’s support to Nepal during the last five-year period are: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Energy development Economic and Technical cooperation Air transportation Reconstruction Emergency COVID-19 Support -China has supported the construction of major roads in Nepal, including Araniko Highway, Kathmandu Ring Road, Syaphrubesi-Rasuwagadi Highway. China has supported the Sunkoshi Hydroelectricity Plant, the 60s, the Chinese Government has been pledging grant assistance to the Government of Nepal under the Economic and Technical Cooperation Program. Chinese aid, according to the first White Paper (2011), is a model with its own characteristics and falls under the category of South-South Cooperation. The first “Agreement between China and Nepal on Economic Aid” was signed in October 1956. From the mid-60s, the Chinese Government has been pledging grant assistance to the Government of Nepal under the Economic and Technical Cooperation Program. BiOECD/DF The UK was the first country lateral ID-UK in the world with which ( Nepal established grants diplomatic relations and was /loans) also the first country to establish an Embassy in Kathmandu. Nepal had established its legation in London in 1934, which was elevated to the Ambassador level in 1947. To support the development endeavor of Nepal, in April 1999 DFID established an incountry office staffed by a multi-disciplinary team of Sunkoshi-Kathmandu Electricity Transmission line and Upper Trishuli 3A Hydroelectric Project. -China has been supporting the post-earthquake reconstruction projects in Nepal. Out of 25 Reconstruction projects, 12 projects were completed and the rest are in ongoing process. -The Chinese cooperation in the health sector includes the establishment of B.P. Koirala Memorial Cancer Hospital in Bharatpur, the Civil Service Hospital in Kathmandu and the National Ayurveda Research and Training Centre. -The major on-going projects of Chinese support are: Pokhara Regional International Airport, the Public School Recovery Projects in Rasuwa and in Dolokha, Nine-storied Basantapur Tower Restoration Project at Durbar Square of Kathmandu, etc. Over the last five-year period the UK Government has supported Nepal mainly in the following 5 sectors. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Education Earthquake Reconstruction Economic Reform Health Home Affairs The UK supported the Strengthening Disaster Resilience and Responding to Humanitarian Emergencies in Nepal (US$ 60.2 million) and Climate Smart Development Program (US$ 59.6 million). UK-support strategies include Accelerating Investment and Infrastructure in Nepal (AIIN) (US$ 9.7 million), UK/Nepal-Support to Nepal Health Sector Program III (NHSP) (US$ 8.6 million), Nepal Market Development Program (US$ 6.4 both UK nationals and staff million) and Access to Finance for the Poor Program appointed in country (US$ 6.1 million). The UK Government is legally required to spend 0.7% of Gross National Income (GNI) on ODA. In 2020, the UK is the third largest donor in ODA behind the USA and Germany according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). BiUSAID/M Bilateral diplomatic relations lateral CC-USA between Nepal and the U.S. ( was officially started in 1947 grants during the democratic /loans) movement of Nepal, which had culminated a new era for opening the country for outward oriented foreign policy. The U.S. is the second country, after the United Kingdom, with which Nepal entered into official diplomatic relations in April 25, 1947. Following the establishment of bilateral relations, the relations between the two countries were upgraded to the Ambassadorial level in 1953. The history of official development cooperation had been initiated in early 1950s as the United States is the first country to provide the bilateral development The followings are the top five sectors of bilateral cooperation between Nepal and the USA during the last five-year period. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Health Agriculture Education Local Development Energy United States is consistently extending various development and technical cooperation to Nepal including Peace Corps volunteers initiated in 1961 and much more emergency assistance. Various sectors such as transport, communication, public health, family planning, malaria eradication, agriculture, forestry, energy, etc., have been benefitted greatly. USAID/Nepal is the primary development assistance arm of the US government to Nepal. The MCC has chosen Nepal to mobilize US assistance though compact program. For this to happen, Nepal and MCC has entered into a bilateral compact (agreement) in September 2017. cooperation in 1951 under its point four program. United States is consistently extending various development and technical cooperation to Nepal including Peace Corps volunteers initiated in 1961 and much more emergency assistance. The United States is the largest ODA donor in terms of dollar contribution in the world. The Point IV agreement of 1951 with the USA introduced Nepal in the era of international development cooperation. Strengthening democratization process and human resources development are the key areas of US aid mobilization in Nepal. BiIndia lateral ( grants /loans) The Government of India has been supporting construction of Postal Highway, Optical Fibre Network, railway links, Integrated Check Posts and transmission lines at different locations near the border of the two countries. Recognizing the historical and cultural relations between the two countries, India is supporting in the improvement of infrastructure and facilities at major pilgrimage and heritage sites such as The followings are the top five sectors of the Indian support to Nepal during the last five year. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Health Drinking Water Local Development Road Transportation Education The first highway to link the Kathmandu valley with the Terai region was constructed with Indian assistance in 1953. Also, Nepal’s first six airports — at Gaucher (1951), Simara (1964), Janakpur (1964), Bhairahawa (1964), Pokhara (1964) and Biratnagar (1968) — were major landmarks in the initial years. Pashupatinath, and Janakpur. Muktinath Other large projects, such as Koshi Barrage (1963), Devighat Hydropower and Irrigation Project (1983), and Bir Hospital in Kathmandu (1984) were also the key part Government of India has of Indian assistance to its neighbor. been providing ambulances since 1994 to various districts of Nepal. In addition, it provides school buses to various health and educational institutions to facilitate the movement of teachers, students, doctors and nurses. Since the 1950’s, India has been assisting Nepal in its quest for prosperity and economic development. India’s initial assistance was channeled through the India Aid Mission, which was established in 1954 to support development projects across Nepal. BiNORADlateral Norway ( grants /loans) The formal development cooperation between the Government of Norway and the Government of Nepal began in 1996 by signing a MOU. Norway’s contribution is based on a shared dedication to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. The followings are the 5 major support sectors of the Norwegian cooperation during the last five – year period. In 2017, Norway granted approximately 193 million NOK as the development aid to Nepal. Its priority areas are energy, education, good governance, human rights, environment and gender equality as cross-cutting issues. - Norway is a long-time supporter for energy development in Nepal. The main energy support has to date been channeled through ADB, by a grant of NOK 330 million for the Electricity Transmission Expansion and Supply Improvement Project and the South Asia Sub-regional Economic Cooperation (SASEC) Power Expansion Project-Transmission Line in Nepal. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Education Energy Environment, Science and Technology Women, Children and Social Welfare Policy and strategic -Khimti I Hydropower Plant is Norway’s largest private Out of the total official initiative in Nepal. The plant is built with private sector development assistance to funding as a “BOOT” agreement (Build, Own, Operate, Nepal, approximately 75% is and Transfer) with GoN. administered by the Norwegian Embassy in Kathmandu. The remaining 25% ODA is channeled directly from the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (Norad). Worth mentioning was also support to the Energize Nepal Project with a special link between Kathmandu University and Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), with a grant of NOK 25 million (over 5 years). Norway is supporting the regional intergovernmental learning and knowledge centerInternational Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), with a budget of NOK 150 million over the 5 years. Norway has worked closely with other donors to reach the targets for the education program School Sector Reform Program (SSRP) since 2009, and is particularly committed to increasing access to education for girls and children with disabilities. BiSDFlatral Saudi ( Arabia grants /loans) Economic cooperation between the two countries began in 1978 when Nepal opened its Embassy in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. The economic cooperation extended by the Saudi Arabian Government in Nepal initially focused on uplifting the Muslim community, agricultural development and emergency assistance. Saudi Arabia provided emergency food assistance during FY 1982/83. For the rehabilitation of the earthquake victims, the SFD provided 1,380 units of tents and over 3,000 packages of foods, as well as a cash grant of US$ 1 million for the procurement of equipment. Over the last five-year period beginning from FY 2016/17 to FY 2020/21, SFD has disbursed a total of US $ 23 million. In terms of the volume of the disbursement the highest disbursement was of US $ 16.7 million in fiscal year 2020/21 whereas the lowest disbursement was limited to US $ 0.16 million in fiscal year 2017/18 which is less than the average annual disbursement of The assistance to Nepal from US $ 4.6 million during the five-year period. Saudi Arabia is currently being provided through the Saudi Fund for Development (SFD). The SFD is an official agency for development cooperation established by Royal Decree in 1974. SFD commenced operations in 1975 with the objective of participating in the financing of development projects in developing countries through the granting of loans and encouraging national non-crude-oil exports. SFD operates from a capital base provided by the Government of Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia provided emergency food assistance during FY 1982/83. For the rehabilitation of the earthquake victims, the SFD provided 1,380 units of tents and over 3,000 packages of foods, as well as a cash grant of US$ 1 million for the procurement of equipment. Bilateral ( grants /loans) KOICA/E DCFRepublic of Korea The Republic of Korea and Nepal established diplomatic relations on 15 May 1974. Agreements on Korean Youth Volunteers in January 1992 and the Economic Development Cooperation Fund (EDCF in September 1997 were the vital to enhance bilateral economic cooperation. From 1978 to 1995, KOICA focused on developing sericulture in Nepal by implementing the Sericulture Development Project and constructing a Khopasi Sericulture Center. The Government of Korea conducted a feasibility study for the Modi Khola Hydroelectric Project (19931994), eventually provided a soft loan to the project in 1997. The following are the top five major sectors that received Korean support during the last five-year period. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Education Health Planning and statistics Agriculture Earthquake Reconstruction -KOICA is implementing Integrated Rural Development of Nepal through Strengthening Research and Development Capacity of Kathmandu University (20172023) - Capacity Building for TVET Model Institute in Province 2 Leading to Cultivate Skilled Workforce in Construction Sector (2021-2026), Establishment of Cyber Bureau with Capacity Building for Nepal Police Establishment of Cyber Bureau with Capacity Building for Nepal Police (2021- 2026) In 1999, with the financial and technical support from KOICA, the Korea-Nepal Friendship Hospital was established in Bhaktapur to provide access to quality health services to the people of Bhaktapur and adjoining districts. Bilateral GIZGermany Nepal is an important The followings are the top five areas of German support partner country of German to Nepal in the last five year period. Development Cooperation. Over 50 years, Germany has ( grants /loans) contributed to the improvement of the lives of the Nepali people with support to the country’s political, economic, environmental and social development. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Health Energy Alternative energy Urban Development Local Development -Health and the energy sectors are the top priority sector of cooperation of the German Government. Since the commencement of Financial and Technical support to the Health Sector bilateral development SWAp is on-going. Since 2007, Physikalisch Technische cooperation in 1961, a total Bundesanstalt (PTB) has been active in Nepal. of Euros 1.1 billion (US$ 1.3 billion) has been committed In addition, the German Embassy runs a small-scale for bilateral projects. On project fund to various institutions and groups in Nepal. behalf of BMZ, FC through The Senior Expert Services (SES) supports projects with KfW started in 1963, and TC highly qualified retired experts who come to Nepal on through GIZ has been active short-term missions for voluntary activities. since 1975, before the opening of its office in Kathmandu in 1979. The Energizing Development (TC) Project works to promote sustainable access to grid electrification under community management and ownership in rural areas as well as access to credit financing for off-grid micro hydropower development. The priority areas of NepalGerman cooperation are sustainable economic development and trade, renewable energy and energy efficiency, and health. BMZ pursues a biennial commitment cycle in Nepal and allocates the amount of assistance accordingly. BiSwizerla lateral nd ( grants /loans) The first cooperation initiative was in the field of cheese and diary development from 19561964. The construction of the Lamosanghu-Jiri Road, during 1974-1985 facilitated the transfer of knowledge of mountain road construction acquired over long experience in the Swiss Alps. Since 1963 Nepal has been a priority country for Swiss development cooperation. Switzerland works closely with local authorities, other donors, and international organizations in Nepal. Its key partners include Helvetas Swiss Intercooperation, AF-ITECO AG, Swiss Contact. Switzerland also works with multilateral organizations such as the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank and the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD). In the aftermath of catastrophic earthquake of 2015, the Swiss Humanitarian Aid in coordination with development cooperation actively supported the Government of Nepal. The followings are the top five sectors of Swill development cooperation in Nepal during the last fiveyear period. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Agriculture Local Development Education Labor Road Construction The areas of Swill involvement to achieve the overall goals are: i) all people at subnational level build an inclusive and accountable federal state, ii) the women and men, especially from disadvantaged groups, find employment and increase their income and iii) the migrants and their families are better protected by democratic institutions in Nepal and benefit from decent work conditions abroad. Bilateral ( grants /loans) KFAED ( Kuwait Fund for Arab Economi c Develop ment)Kuwait Nepal and Kuwait established diplomatic relations on 25 February 1972. Nepal established its Embassy in Kuwait on 21 March 2010. The Embassy of Nepal in Kuwait facilitates aid and other matters with KFAED. There is no Embassy of the State of Kuwait in Nepal. The followings are the major sector of Kuwait’s support in Nepal during the last five year period. 1. Agriculture 2. Irrigation 3. Energy Kuwait has been supporting Nepal by providing soft loans for Economic cooperation projects, especially in the areas of hydropower generation between the two countries and irrigation. started in January 1976 with the signing of a loan agreement amounting US$ 18.5 million for the Kulekhani Hydro-Project. Further, in 1979, Kuwait provided a supplementary loan of US$ 7.4 million to meet the cost overrun of the same project. On 25th January 1985, Kuwait provided KWD 6.0 million (approximately US$ 20 million) to the Marsyangdi Hydro Power Project through a separate loan agreement. Kuwait further provided an additional KWD 2.9 million (around US$ 9.5 million) for works related to the same Project. A loan agreement of KWD 1.5 million (around US$ 5 million) was concluded on 26 October 1998 for the execution of the Praganna Kulo Irrigation Project in Dang district. In 2013, KFAED agreed to provide loan assistance of US$ 18 million for the Budhiganga Hydropower Project to be developed in Achham District. Bilateral Australia ( grants /loans) In 2020 Nepal and Australia celebrated 60 years of diplomatic relationship based on long standing history and cordial support although Australia had included Nepal in its development cooperation program in 1979. The top five sectors of Australian support to Nepal during the last five-year period are: At that historical time, Nepal received assistance from Australia in areas of forestry, livestock development and manpower training. The MoU agreed in May 2003 between the GoN and the Government of Australia (GoA) provides strong grounds for cooperation in development programs in line with Nepal’s goals of economic development. Policy and strategic areas have got the highest level of support during the fiscal year 2020/21. Likewise, education and health sectors have got important level of support throughout the five-year period. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Policy and strategic, Health, Drinking water, Education, Livelihoods, etc. Australia also supports the World Bank-managed multidonor trust fund designed to strengthen the Government of Nepal’s public financial management institutions. BiThe lateral Nederlan ( ds grants /loans) The Government of the The followings are the major sectors of Dutch support Netherlands provides ODA to Nepal during the last five-year period. to Nepal including other developing countries 1. Drinking water through SNV Netherlands Development Organization 2. Energy which opened its first Asia 3. Environment, Science and Technology office in Nepal in 1980. Economic cooperation between the two countries started earlier, in 1976, with the involvement of Dutch volunteers (technicians/engineers) to assist in various development sectors. In 1983, Nepal and the Dutch government signed an agreement on the employment of Dutch volunteers for economic development and cooperation. The Biodiversity Sector Support Program (BSSP) was one of the major projects funded by SNV Nepal. BiFinland lateral ( grants /loans) Finnish cooperation with Nepal commenced in 1982 with grant assistance of 6,000 MT of chemical fertilizers. Presently Nepal is one of Finland’s primary long-term development partner countries. The Finnish development program in Nepal focused mainly on energy, forestry and water resources. Nepal has also received assistance from Finland for the detailed engineering design of the Kali Gandaki Hydropower Project, rural electrification, Major sectors of economy supported by the Finnish aid during the last five years are: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Education Local Development Women, Children and Social Welfare Labor General Administration Local development is one of the highest priority sectors of cooperation during the decade followed by the education sector. Finland’s contribution to RWSSP-WN II is 13.7 million euros for 2013-2019. RVWRMP III (2016-2022) covers 10 districts in Provinces 6 and 7, aims to achieve universal access to basic WASH services, and improved livelihoods with the establishment of functional planning and and the multi-fuel diesel plant. According to the Country Strategy for Development Cooperation Nepal 20162019, Finland’s focus of support to Nepal is on access to clean drinking water and sanitation, developing education, and improving the influence of women and other vulnerable groups. BiSwitzerla lateral nd ( grants /loans) More recently, Finnish development cooperation has shifted towards a focus on alleviation of poverty, environmentally sustainable development, disaster risk reduction, and the promotion of democracy, human rights and a participatory system of governance. The first cooperation initiative was in the field of cheese and diary development from 19561964. The construction of the Lamosanghu-Jiri Road, during 1974-1985 facilitated the transfer of knowledge of mountain road construction acquired over long experience in the Swiss Alps. Since 1963 Nepal has been a priority country for Swiss development cooperation. Switzerland works closely with local authorities, other donors, and international organizations in Nepal. Its key partners include implementation frameworks for all water users and livelihoods promotion in the project area. Finland supports two programs: the School Sector Development Programme (SSDP) and the Technical Assistance for Soft Skills Development (TASS). Finland’s contribution to SSDP is 20 million euros for 2016-2020 and to TASS-project 1.7 million euros for 2016-2019. The followings are the top five sectors of Swill development cooperation in Nepal during the last fiveyear period. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Agriculture Local Development Education Labor Road Construction The Swiss cooperation strategy Nepal (2018-2021) has stipulated the objectives that women and men benefit from equitable socio-economic development and exercise their rights and responsibilities in an inclusive federal state. The Swiss government has earmarked CHF 130 million (equivalent to Rs. 14.7 billion) of disbursement during the four year period. Helvetas Swiss Inter- The areas of Swill involvement to achieve the overall cooperation, AF-ITECO AG, goals are: i) all people at subnational level build an Swiss Contact. inclusive and accountable federal state, ii) the women and men, especially from disadvantaged groups, find Switzerland also works with employment and increase their income and iii) the multilateral organizations migrants and their families are better protected by such as the World Bank, the democratic institutions in Nepal and benefit from Asian Development Bank decent work conditions abroad. and the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD). In the aftermath of catastrophic earthquake of 2015, the Swiss Humanitarian Aid in coordination with development cooperation actively supported the Government of Nepal BiBelgium lateral ( grants /loans) Net bilateral aid flows from DAC donors, Belgium (current US$) in Nepal was reported at 90000 USD in 2020, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Nepal Net bilateral aid flows from DAC donors, Belgium - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on February of 2023. Net bilateral aid flows from DAC donors are the net disbursements of official development assistance (ODA) or official aid from the members of the Development Assistance Committee (DAC). Net disbursements are gross disbursements of grants and loans minus repayments of principal on earlier loans. ODA consists of loans made on concessional terms (with a grant element of at least 25 percent, calculated at a rate of discount of 10 percent) and grants made to promote economic development and welfare in countries and territories in the DAC list of ODA recipients. Implications of Nepal's Foreign Debt Nepal's increasing foreign debt has several implications for the country's economy and its people. One of the most significant implications is the high debt servicing cost, which refers to the amount of money that Nepal must pay in interest and principal payments on its foreign debt. The high debt servicing cost reduces the amount of money that the government can spend on social and development programs, which can have a negative impact on the country's development. Another implication of Nepal's foreign debt is the increased vulnerability to external shocks. In times of economic crisis, such as a global recession, Nepal may find it difficult to meet its debt obligations and maintain financial stability. This can lead to a decline in foreign investment and a further deterioration of the country's economy. Foreign debt can have both positive and negative implications for a country like Nepal in the short and longer term as: Short-term Implications: - - Increased borrowing from foreign sources can provide immediate access to funds to finance critical infrastructure projects or to manage balance of payments deficits. However, short-term foreign debt can also lead to an increase in the country's debt service payments, which can put a strain on the government's finances and limit its ability to invest in social welfare programs and other developmental activities. Long-term Implications: - - - Heavy reliance on foreign debt can lead to an increase in the country's external vulnerability, as the repayment of the principal and interest on the debt becomes a significant burden on the economy. High foreign debt levels can also increase the country's exposure to exchange rate fluctuations and external economic shocks, which can make it more difficult to manage the economy effectively. Furthermore, if the borrowed funds are not used effectively to promote sustainable economic growth, then the debt burden can become unsustainable in the long run, leading to economic instability. Overall, while foreign debt can be a useful tool for financing development in the short term, it is important for a country like Nepal to manage its debt levels effectively to ensure that its longterm economic stability is not compromised. Steps to Manage Nepal's Foreign Debt To manage its foreign debt, Nepal can take various steps to reduce its debt burden and improve its financial stability. One of the most important steps is to increase its export base and reduce its reliance on imports. This can be achieved by promoting the growth of export-oriented industries and diversifying its export markets. Another step that Nepal can take is to improve its debt management practices. This includes developing a comprehensive debt management strategy, strengthening debt monitoring and reporting systems, and improving debt transparency and accountability. These measures can help Nepal to better manage its debt and reduce its debt servicing costs. In addition, Nepal can also explore alternative sources of financing, such as foreign direct investment (FDI) and remittances. FDI can help to finance development projects and promote economic growth, while remittances can provide a stable source of income for the country and reduce its reliance on foreign aid and loans. Conclusion Nepal's foreign debt has been increasing steadily over the years, which has raised concerns about its ability to meet its debt obligations and maintain financial stability. The country's high trade deficit, low export base, and dependence on foreign aid and loans have been major contributors to its increasing foreign debt. To manage its debt burden and improve its financial stability, Nepal can take various steps, including increasing its export base, improving its debt management practices, and exploring alternative sources of financing. These measures can help Nepal to reduce its debt burden, enhance its economic growth, and promote its long-term development. While managing foreign debt is a complex and challenging task, it is essential for Nepal to take proactive steps to address its debt challenges and improve its financial stability. Another step that Nepal can take to manage its foreign debt is to improve its fiscal management. The country's fiscal deficit has been a major concern, as it has contributed to the increasing foreign debt. Nepal can take measures to reduce its fiscal deficit by increasing its revenue base, improving tax collection, and reducing its expenditure. By managing its fiscal deficit, Nepal can reduce its reliance on external borrowing and reduce its debt burden. Nepal can also explore the possibility of debt restructuring or debt forgiveness. Debt restructuring involves negotiating with creditors to restructure the terms of the debt, such as reducing the interest rate or extending the repayment period. Debt forgiveness involves canceling a portion of the debt owed by the debtor. While debt restructuring or debt forgiveness can provide short-term relief, it is important for Nepal to address the root causes of its debt challenges and develop a sustainable debt management strategy. In conclusion, Nepal's increasing foreign debt is a major concern for the country's economic development and financial stability. Nepal can take various steps to manage its debt burden, including increasing its export base, improving its debt management practices, exploring alternative sources of financing, improving its fiscal management, and exploring the possibility of debt restructuring or debt forgiveness. By taking proactive steps to manage its foreign debt, Nepal can enhance its economic growth, promote its long-term development, and ensure financial stability. References 1- Ministry of Finance (2022), Economic survey, Government of Nepal. Retrieved from mof.gov.np 2- Ministry of Finance (2022), Nepal Development Partners profile. https://mof.gov.np/site/publication-detail/3210 3- NRB Economic Review ( 2022) Year 2022 Volume 34_2, (nrb.org.np) 4- NRB Annual Report ( 2022) NRB_Annual_Report__2078-79.pdf 5- Curbing Nepal’s Rising Debt: Current Situation and Implications – Nepal Economic Forum 6- Ministry of Finance (2021), Economic survey, Government of Nepal. Retrieved from mof.gov.np 7- Kharel et al ( 2021), Assessing the Effectiveness of Foreign AID and Its Mobilization in Nepal. Janapriya Journal of Interdisciplinary studies. 8- Pradhan, C. & Phuyal, R.K. (2020). Impact of foreign aid on economic growth of Nepal: An empirical evidence. International Journal and Banking Research, 6(3), 44-50. 9- Poudel, R., & Tiwari, B. (2019). The Macroeconomic Consequences of Foreign Aid in Nepal. Journal of International Development, 31(3), 225-241. doi: 10.1002/jid.3412 10- Thapa, R. (2018). Foreign Debt and Economic Growth in Nepal: A Time Series Analysis. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 9(15), 1-12. Retrieved from http://www.iiste.org/Journals/index.php/JEDS/article/view/42384 11- Adhikari, B. R. (2017). The Impact of Foreign Debt on Nepal's Balance of Payment. Journal of Business and Economic Development, 2(1), 1-8. doi: 10.11648/j.jbed.20170201.11 12- Aryal, G. (2016). A Review of Nepal's External Debt Sustainability. Journal of South Asian Development, 11(1), 89-104. doi: 10.1177/0973174116637036 13- Koirala, A. (2014). An Overview of Nepal's Foreign Aid and Its Impact on the Economy. South Asian Journal of Global Business Research, 3(1), 49-61. doi: 10.1108/SAJGBR-102013-0089