PROJECT REPORT MARKET OPPORTUNITY FOR FLEXIBLE SOLAR MODULES -BY CA ABHISHEK SHAH 1 CONTENTS 1) SOLAR PV MARKET a) b) c) d) e) 2) FLEXIBLE LIGHT WEIGHT SOLAR a) b) c) 3) What is FLW? How is it Different? Advantages of FLW MARKET OF FLW a) b) c) 4) A Brief About Solar Global Market Decreasing Generation Cost Increasing Efficiency Solar in 2050 d) Global Market US Market Opportunity for India in US Market Applications e) f) Major Competitors Key challenges Conclusion 2 SOLAR PV MARKET BRIEF ABOUT THE SOLAR PV INDUSTRY Rising concerns about climate change, the health effects of air pollution, energy security and energy access, along with volatile oil prices in recent decades, have led to the need to produce and use alternative, low-carbon technology options such as renewables. Solar PV has been one of the pioneering renewable technologies over the decades. The total installed capacity of solar PV exceeded 1 Terawatt globally in 2022. By 2024, almost 33 percent of the world’s electricity is forecast to come from IN D E X renewables, with solar photovoltaic (PV) accounting for almost 60 percent (or at least 697 gigawatts) of expected growth The evolution of the solar PV industry so far has been remarkable, with several milestones achieved in recent years in terms of installations (including off-grid), efficiency, flexibility, cost reductions and technological advancements, as well as establishment of key solar energy associations. Solar power will clearly continue to be an essential renewables option in the coming decades. 3 SOLAR PV MARKET GLOBAL MARKET According to the latest research study, the demand for global Solar PV Market size & share was valued at approximately USD 161.15 Billion in 2021 and is expected to reach a value of around USD 394.34 Billion by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 8.8% during the period 2022 to 2030. Asia Pacific is expected to dominate the solar power market share, with most of the demand arriving from China and India. The region clearly kept its strong leadership in 2021, representing 58% of the global solar power generation capacities. The Solar Energy Market is likely to grow the highest in Asia Pacific IN D E X 394.34 400 200 161.15 0 2021 2030 2021 2030 region followed by Europe and the US. The top 5 countries to dominate the market are China, US, Japan, Germany and India. Much of the world’s solar demand between 2024- 2026, 55%, will come from the top three solar markets: China, the United States and India. 4 SOLAR PV MARKET COST FACTOR Solar’s success story over other technologies has many reasons, but a key factor is its steep cost reduction curve over the last decade, which has made solar the global cost leader (see Fig.). While the cost of solar has been lower than fossil fuel generation and nuclear for several years, it is also now lower than wind in many regions around the world. The latest Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) analysis, version 15.0, published in October2021 by US investment bank Lazard, shows how the downward trip of utility-scale solar cost has progressed by a further 3% compared to the previous year. The spread with conventional generation technologies is widening, considering that the cost of gas and nuclear went up. Solar’s cost decrease has truly been extraordinary: compared to 2009, solar power generation cost has decreased by 90%. SOLAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION COST IN COMPARISON WITH OTHER POWER SOURCES 2009-2021 300 250 USD/MWh 200 167 150 108 100 60 38 36 50 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 Solar CCGT Wind Coal 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Nuclear IN D E X 5 SOLAR PV MARKET EFFICIENCY FACTOR Solar panel efficiency is a measurement of a solar panel’s ability to convert sunlight into usable electricity. Solar panel efficiency over time has steadily increased from an average of 15% in 2012 to more than 20% in 2022 . There’s also hope for a big increase in solar panel efficiency in the near future, as researchers at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory broke the solar cell efficiency record by creating a silicon solar cell with a high efficiency of 39.2% IN D E X 6 Major Milestones achieved by the solar industry 1941 1963 • First silicon monocrystalline cell is created • Mass production of solar cells begins 1973 1954 • International Solar Energy Society is formed • The first solar building “Solar One” is constructed and running on a hybrid supply of solar thermal and solar PV power. 1985 2012 • The University of South Wales achieves 20% efficiency for silicon cells • The world’s cumulative PV electricity capacity surpasses 100 gigawatts (GW) 2010 • Global average solar PV auction price: 241 USD/MWh 2015 • The Global Solar Council, the International Solar Alliance and Solar Power Europe are formed KEY MILESTONES IN SOLAR INDUSTRY 2016 • First solar plane flight around the world 2022 • Global installed solar capacity exceeded 1 Terawatt 2017 • 4.5 million jobs in solar energy sector • Global PV capacity ~400 GW Solar PV is one of the fastest-growing, most mature and cost-competitive renewable energy technologies. IN D E X 7 SOLAR PV MARKET OUTLOOK 2050 Solar, along with wind energy, would lead the way in the transformation of the global electricity sector. Solar PV power, supplying 32% of total electricity demand, will represent over a tenfold rise in the solar PV share of the generation mix by 2050 compared to 2019 levels. Solar PV would have the largest installed capacity expansion by 2050 Renewables set to be the dominant electricity source Installed Electricity Capacity Mix 3% 5% 8% 66% 52% 97% 15% 34% 8% 32% 11% 2019* Solar Wind 2050** Green Scenario Hydro Other Renewables Other Fossil Fuels * New Energy Outlook 2020 (NEO 2020) by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BloombergNEF) ** New Energy Outlook 2021 (NEO 2021) by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BloombergNEF) IN D E X 8 FUTURE OF SOLAR Flexible, Lightweight (FLW) Solar Modules IN D E X 9 FLW MODULE WHAT IS FLW? • Flexible solar panels are exactly what they sound like - solar panels that are pliable and portable. • They are Flexible and Light, Ideal for Curved Surfaces The flexible solar panels adapt to different surface shapes, unlike conventional panels with sturdy rectangular bodies. They are slim and light as well, unlike conventional solar panels. • With their lightweight design and easy installation process, they can be used for several applications IN D E X 10 FLW MODULE DIFFERENCE • Flexible solar panels work just like your traditional rigid solar panels and many are made with the same type of photovoltaic silicon solar cells. However, flexible solar panels are made with solar cells that are over 300 times thinner than those used in traditional solar panels, allowing them to be extremely lightweight and more flexible. • Unlike traditional solar panels, a flexible panel's surface isn't covered by a protective glass or metal. Instead, it's covered by a polymer known as ETFE, which can bend easily. This keeps the panel as thin and light as possible and allows the cells to remain malleable. Traditional solar panels IN D E X Flexible solar panels 11 FLW MODULE ADVANTAGES OF FLW? ✓ More Flexible ✓ Light Weight ✓ Low installation cost ✓ They are simple to set up ✓ Can fit in odd places and overcome structural issues ✓ Portable power solution ✓ Some niche requirement like in flexibility required by nature ✓ They don’t require high upkeep to work at their best ✓ Freedom of Integration 3X Lighter compared to Aluminum farmed glass panels IN D E X Durable and Weather Resistant Up to 30 of Flexibility Easy to install using Grommet holes or adhesives 12 MARKET OF FLW Identifying the Market Opportunity IN D E X 13 MARKET OF FLW MODULES CURRENT SCENARIO Companies in the photovoltaic (PV) industry are focusing on developing flexible solar panel technology as a promising substitute to the traditional rigid photovoltaic systems. As the technology is developing, flexible solar panels are getting more efficient, and their prices are reducing. Factors such as the growing focus on finding clean energy sources for power generation and the increasing demand for mobile and lightweight PV systems are driving the market growth for flexible solar panels. Flexible solar panels can be used for numerous applications and many uses are yet to be uncovered. IN D E X 14 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 1. MARINE VEHICLES The global Electric Marine Vehicles market is estimated to be around $4.2 Billion as on 2022 and is expected to reach $7.2 Billion by 2028. In case of Transport Marine Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Cargo Container Ships b) Ro-Ro boats In case of Passenger Marine Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Cruise b) Ferry boats c) Personal Boats / Yacht d) Water Sports In case of Non-Transport Marine Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Fishing Boats b) Supply Vessels c) Warships IN D E X 15 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 2. RECREATIONAL VEHICLES The global Recreational Vehicles market is estimated to be around $60 Billion as on 2021 and is expected to reach $88 Billion by 2027. In case of Recreational Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Various types of Trailers b) Motorhomes c) Caravans IN D E X 16 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 3. ROOFTOPS FLW modules help to overcome the structural difficulties faced and provide flexible and low weight solution to installing solar on Rooftops In case of Industries / Commercial Rooftops, FLW panels can be used in: a) Low-Load Bearing Roofs b) Arched Roofs c) Glass Roofs d) Waterproof Membrane Roofs IN D E X 17 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 3. ROOFTOPS FLW Solar panels can also be used for Residential rooftops FLW Solar panels can also be used for Other custom rooftops requirements IN D E X 18 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 4. COMMERCIAL TRANSPORTS FLW Solar Modules provide greener, efficient and costfriendly alternative to energy generation for various commercial transport vehicles In case of Passenger Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Buses and Coach b) School Buses c) Trains IN D E X 19 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 4. COMMERCIAL TRANSPORTS In case of Transport Vehicles, FLW panels can be used in: a) Light Weight Trucks b) Cold Storage Trucks c) Box Trucks d) Tractors e) Heavy-Duty Trucks f) Cargo Trains IN D E X 20 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 5. DEFENCE Defence sector is considered to be one of the early adapter and largest consumer of Flexible modules. a) Man-Portable Solar Modules FLW modules are lightweight, durable, can be carried in the rucksack, and recharge batteries reducing the weight and expense of batteries in the field. IN D E X 21 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 5. DEFENCE b) Basing Solar Modules Basing Solar Modules help power Command Centers, IT Equipment, and various Electronics IN D E X 22 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 5. DEFENCE c) Vehicle Solar FLW modules can be used as an alternative energy generator to power military vehicles without occupying large space. Also, they are light weight IN D E X 23 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 6. PORTABLE SOLUTIONS One of the key reasons for rise in demand for FLW Modules is its Portable feature. a) Camping, Hiking IN D E X 24 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 6. PORTABLE SOLUTIONS b) Personal Use – Anytime-Anywhere IN D E X 25 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 7. OTHER APPLICATIONS a) GOLF CARTS b) FOOD TRUCKS IN D E X 26 MARKET OF FLW MODULES APPLICATIONS 7. OTHER APPLICATIONS c) E-RICKSHAWS d) E-CYCLES IN D E X 27