i Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Home Appliances Industry in Egypt Submitted for Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements of Master of Business Administration By: Group (3), 60C Mohamed Adel Mohamed Nabil Mohamed Medhat Nader Makram Peter Sokar Supervised by: Dr. Adel Sakr ESLSCA Business School January, 2020 ii Table of Contents ABSTRACT ..................................................................................................................... III CHAPTER (1): INTRODUCTION ................................................................................. 1 1.1. PROBLEM DEFINITION ............................................................................................. 4 1.2. OBJECTIVES .............................................................................................................. 4 1.3. RESEARCH QUESTIONS ............................................................................................ 5 CHAPTER (2): LITERATURE REVIEW ..................................................................... 6 2.1. INTRODUCTION TO LITERATURE ................................................................................ 6 2.2. IMPACT OF AI ON INDUSTRIES, EMPLOYMENT RATES AND WAGES ......................... 7 2.3. CONCLUSION .............................................................................................................. 16 CHAPTER (3): METHODOLOGY .............................................................................. 17 3.1. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK .................................................................................... 17 3.2. RESEARCH DESIGN .................................................................................................... 29 CHAPTER (4): FINDINGS AND DISCUSSIONS ...................................................... 31 CHAPTER (5): CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS .............................. 34 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................ 35 LIST OF APPENDICES ................................................................................................ 38 APPENDIX (A): INTERVIEW WITH GAS COOKER FACTORY MANAGER FRESH CO.... 38 APPENDIX (B): INTERVIEW WITH R&D MANAGER FRESH CO. ................................ 38 APPENDIX (C): INTERVIEW WITH R&D MANAGER UNIVERSAL CO. ........................ 38 APPENDIX (D): INTERVIEW WITH MARKETING MANAGER FRESH CO. .................... 38 APPENDIX (E): INTERVIEW WITH MARKETING MANAGER LG CO........................... 38 APPENDIX (F): INTERVIEW WITH ASSEMBLY MANAGER FRESH CO. ....................... 38 APPENDIX (G): INTERVIEW WITH COATING MANAGER FRESH CO. ......................... 38 APPENDIX (H): FOCUS GROUP INTERVIEW WITH WORKERS ..................................... 38 APPENDIX (I): TABLE OF VARIABLES AND RELATIONS ............................................ 38 iii Abstract Although all industries worldwide are currently turning towards the application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in all fields for the sake of: High quality - High productivity Minimum defects, AI has a negative consequence on the general levels of Employment. Many Developed Countries, having Large-Scale Developed Industries, have tended to generalize AI and reduce employment due to their high labors’ prices. In case of effective introduction and expansion of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Home Appliances’ Industry in Egypt, despite of the relatively low labors’ prices; AI shall certainly affect the general levels of employment/unemployment. Methodology is divided into two parts. The first is the theoretical framework, which is the way of thinking about inferring the hypothesis by reviewing all the variables obtained from the literature review, then making an inventory of all these variables, defining each variable separately, and discussing the relationships between these variables through a special view of the author Depending on logic in explaining his point of view and then making an inventory of propositions, the solution models are discussed through it. The second part is design, which is concerned with discussing the form of research in terms of defining and defining the population, the purpose of the study and determining the unit of analysis. Conclusion The jobs performed by low qualified labors will be affected compared to those performed by high-qualified workers. The use of technological advance in work will increase the polarization of work between jobs performed by low qualified labors and jobs performed by high-qualified labors. The use of AI in manufacturing will reduce the demand on traditional labor and will lead to job losses in the short term affecting the career sustainability of traditional labor and as a result the unemployment rate will increase so the AI will change the world of work and the distribution of income. This will be faced by labor through increase their productivity to compete with automated machines also, training of labors will raise their qualifications to meet the new requirements of labor market after AI application on work. Keywords Artificial Intelligence, Automation, productivity, employment, Innovation, Income. 1 Chapter (1): Introduction Artificial Intelligence (AI) or simply Automation is an idea that has inspired science fiction writers and futurologists for more than a century. Today it is no longer fiction, as companies increasingly use AI in different disciplines and specifically robots on production lines or algorithms to optimize their logistics, manage inventory, and carry out other core business functions. AI is not a new phenomenon, and fears about its transformation of the workplace and effects on employment date back centuries, even before the Industrial Revolution in the 18th and 19th centuries. In the 1960s, US President Lyndon Johnson empaneled a “National Commission on Technology, Automation, and Economic Progress.” Among its conclusions was “the basic fact that technology destroys jobs, but not work.” Fast forward and rapid recent advances in artificial intelligence technologies and robotics are now raising the fears anew and with new urgency. Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen described in their book (Technology-Driven Task Replacement and The Future of Employment, Chapter 2) that there is a great deal of attention has been devoted to the specter of a “jobless future.” Carl Frey and Michael Osborne’s (2017) prediction that 47 percent of jobs in the US (and 2 billion jobs internationally) are vulnerable to automation spawned many headlines, and a small industry of follow-up studies. While Frey and Osborne’s work has been particularly influential, a wide spectrum of other authors have also grappled with the future of work and its impact on society (e.g., Brynjolfsson & McAffee, 2011, 2014; Ford, 2015; Mindell, 2015), as have a number of prominent white-paper reports (Executive Office of the President, 2016; OECD, 2016). Actually, the predictions of a jobless future have reached far beyond the websites of labor market specialists. Yuval Harari (2017), following Ray Kurzweill (2005), has perhaps gone the furthest, suggesting that technology is allowing humans to try to “upgrade themselves into gods.” 2 In the short term, more conservative commentators (e.g., Cohn & Taylor, 2016) have suggested that the specter of automation represents a compelling case for keeping wages low and benefits few, lest employers have a greater incentive to hasten their adoption of robotic technologies. Perhaps as a result of powerful headlines, historical examples, the rapid diffusion of cellphones, or a combination of factors, the American public has accepted many of the key tenants of the automated future scenario. We are rapidly approaching a tipping point where technology will dramatically reduce the need for human labor. Many technologies expand human capabilities and generate new types of employment as corollary developments. And sometimes even labor-saving technologies end up producing more work. The empirical analysis of the rate of occupational change spanning the period 1870–2015 shows the technological change trends over the decades. The results indicate that the rate of occupational shifts peaked during the Second World War and declined slowly but steadily in the second-half of the twentieth century. This highly aggregated measure no doubt misses much of the occupational shifts that have occurred during this time period. As noted above, the principal virtue of this approach is that it provides a consistent baseline for comparisons over time. In January 2017, according to (US Bureau of Labor Statistics; McKinsey Global Institute Analysis) report on automation, a future that works: Automation, employment, and productivity; it was clearly shown that the automation potential of the global economy, the timelines over which the phenomenon could play out, and the powerful productivity boost that automation adoption could deliver. The results reveal a rich mosaic of potential shifts in occupations in the years ahead, with important implications for workforce skills and wages. Obviously new technology and AI robots in industrial environment is invading and now the culture of all manufacturing organizations is moving into have more robots and automation to have long term investment while decreasing the total cost of production. 3 This definitely has huge impact on the employment rate because some labors are being replaced by robots, which might lead of having high rate of unemployment. According to a study by McKinsey Global Institute, 30 percent of work tasks across 60 percent of occupations could be automated, while between 400 and 800 million people may need to find new work due to automation by 2030. ... The report estimates the resulting job losses could be as high as 44 percent in many countries. Robotic automation is growing at a whopping rate of 60%. Fears that automation will kill more jobs continues to grow. Now, the world is dealing not only with robots that do physical labor but with Artificial Intelligence that does mental labor as well. According to study by the year 2030 AI will have an impact in the global industry as it will lead to a new phase of production and around 375 million people will have to learn a new profession, this won’t just impact those who perform (Simple) tasks it could also affect such as (doctors and engineers). Through AI most tasks can be automated, Machines could not only perform these activities but also complete them better and faster than human can, AI will be a threat to people whom are not willing to develop themselves as it will need more digital skills noting that the employees with low level of digital skills could experience the largest decline as a share of total employment to around 30% by 2030 from 40% on the other hand the high level of digital skills could increase from 40% to more than 50%. not only that as it could impact their wages in a positive and negative way for example the category with high digital skills their incomes could rise while workers in low digital skills category could be damaged by cutting their wages. AI might not have a significant impact on the employment for the time being but could be slightly have a negative impact on jobs by 2030. Hence new jobs driven by investment in AI could increase the employment rate by 5% in 2030 and the total productivity effect could be a positive contribution by 10%. Also, AI will have a positive contribution in the companies’ performance by increasing their profits and on the economy level it will increasing the GDP due to a higher level of production. 4 1.1.Problem Definition Although all industries worldwide are currently turning towards the application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in all fields for the sake of: High quality - High productivity Minimum defects, AI has a negative consequence on the general levels of Employment. Many Developed Countries, having Large-Scale Developed Industries, have tended to generalize AI and reduce employment due to their high labors’ prices. In case of effective introduction and expansion of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Home Appliances’ Industry in Egypt, despite of the relatively low labors’ prices; AI shall certainly affect the general levels of employment/unemployment. The research examines this effect in terms of: To what extent does the AI affect the Employment Levels? What types of work/activities that could be substituted by AI? Is there any possibility for New Jobs Creation because of AI in Home Appliances’ Industry in Egypt? 1.2.Objectives Examine the impact of AI robotics technology on the labor market. Draws insights from earlier periods of technological change and the more recent evidence on the impact of digital technology. Presents what claims have been made about the potential consequences of AI for the future of work, Assess the risk of occupations and tasks to be automated in the next decades because of AI systems. 5 1.3.Research Questions Will the AI/robots really disrupt the labor market? How AI Will Transform Manufacturing and the Workforce of the Future What is AI be capable of doing and how will that change in the next 5-10 years? How will AI be used to produce goods and services? How will the use of AI change the productivity of workers and capital? How will any additional income generated by AI be spent? Who will work, how many hours will they work for, under what conditions, and for what wage? How quickly will changes happen? If change is faster than in the recent past, will this be a one-time adjustment or will change be ‘the new normal’? If a significant number of workers are displaced, what impact will this have on their earnings and on their wellbeing? 6 Chapter (2): Literature Review 2.1. Introduction to Literature Automation is not a new phenomenon, and fears about its transformation of the workplace and effects on employment date back centuries, even before the Industrial Revolution in the 18th and 19th centuries. In the 1960s, US President Lyndon Johnson empaneled a “National Commission on Technology, Automation, and Economic Progress.” Among its conclusions was “the basic fact that technology destroys jobs, but not work.” Fast forward and rapid recent advances in automation technologies, including artificial intelligence, autonomous systems, and robotics are now raising the fears anew— and with new urgency. A great deal of attention has been devoted to the specter of a “jobless future.” Carl Frey and Michael Osborne’s (2017) prediction that 47 percent of jobs in the US (and 2 billion jobs internationally) are vulnerable to automation spawned many headlines, and a small industry of follow-up studies. While Frey and Osborne’s work has been particularly influential, a wide spectrum of other authors have also grappled with the future of work and its impact on society (e.g., Brynjolfsson & McAffee, 2011, 2014; Ford, 2015; Mindell, 2015), as have a number of prominent white-paper reports (Executive Office of the President, 2016; OECD, 2016). The predictions of a jobless future have reached far beyond the websites of labor market specialists. Yuval Harari (2017), following Ray Kurzweill (2005), has perhaps gone the furthest, suggesting that technology is allowing humans to try to “upgrade themselves into gods.” Others are taking the jobless future as a starting point in designing the university of the future (Aoun, 2017) and the healthcare system of tomorrow (Darzi, 2018). The idea here is that if only a small fraction of society is employed, there must be a mechanism other than wages for enabling members of society to purchase the goods and services being produced by robots and to share in the prosperity the sophisticated machines are capable of producing. In the short term, more conservative commentators (e.g., Cohn & Taylor, 2016) have suggested that the specter of automation represents a compelling case for keeping wages low and benefits few, lest employers have a greater 7 incentive to hasten their adoption of robotic technologies. Perhaps as a result of powerful headlines, historical examples, the rapid diffusion of cellphones, or a combination of factors, the American public has accepted many of the key tenants of the automated future scenario. 2.2. Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Industries, Employment Rates and Wages This literature concludes a number of thirteen (13) variables related to the research topic and the impact of the Artificial Intelligence on the Industries generally, besides the Employment Rates and Wages. The Variable of ‘Automation’ comes on the top of all variables surveyed in the correlation of research topic and among the inventory of the independent variables. Critics of the ‘Future Employment Rates’ based on the current recorded expansion rates in ‘Automation’ in different intensive-labor industries show a (31%) possible negative influence or potential risk to lay-off the amount of labor with traditional and minimum level of digitalization skills worldwide by 2033 (Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen, 2019). Luis F. Alvarez León (2019) has studied the impact of ‘Automation’ on Macro and Micro ‘Employment Rates’ and argues not only the negative side of it, but also the possible positive macro changes in Economy and General Employment Growth Rates due to the development of the GDP and CAGR based on the productivity enhancement. John Chelliah (2017) had the same studies outcome, but with a different perspective about the General Wages Level. ‘Automation’ shall possibly have a relative positive influence on the Macro Economic State of Nations, but on the other hand should be challenging in terms of the General Wages Level which is expected to decline due to the definite expansion in ‘Automation’ in different types of Industries. The digitalization skills development is also one of the impacts of ‘Automation’ expansion (Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao, Frederick Addo & I.M. Jawahar, 2019). The general demand of labor will be changing towards the need of better digitalization 8 skills and accordingly the general direction of the labor force will be aligned with that demand which is considered a potential of development for the labor skills worldwide. Paul Lewis, Kate Bell (2018) shares the same study outcome, but with different perspective in terms of the global development rates. The study conducted by Paul and Kate argues that the digitalization skills should vary according to the industrial development rates among the countries worldwide which shall not influence the expected ‘Automation’ expansion rates within the same period. The studies of (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018), (Peter Hogg, 2019), (Tom Coupe, 2019), (He Ping, Gao Yao ying, 2018) claims that the Industrial ‘Automation’ has the major influence and share on Employment Rates and Wages Level among all other Variables and Types of the Artificial Intelligence, especially in Industries. Industrial Automation Trends are picking up rapidly in Intensive-Labor Industries for the sake of cutting down costs and goring towards lean setup for the sake of competitiveness. Michael Webb (2019) shows in his study that ‘Automation’ trends are different from type of industry to another and the impact on the Employment Rates differs as well. There are certain industries that despite of its development towards ‘Automation’ will remain in high needs for intensive labor rates, however Wages should be affected. In contrast, the report conducted on the Socio-Economical Implications of the ‘Automation’ and Employment Rates (Neha Soni, Enakshi Khular Sharma, Narotam Singh & Amita Kapoor, 2019) shows a different level of attention to the ‘Automation’ in industries and the direct and indirect consequences on even the social level due to the declination in the Employment Rates. The studies conducted by (David Chrisinger, 2019) and (Debora Card and Craig Nelson, 2019) indicates that the Job Creation Opportunities due to the expansion in ‘Automation’ may have more positive effect on the medium term for specialized types of Digitalization Skills and related jobs of programming and specialized installation and maintenance tasks than the negative impact of the direct Employment Declination in the 9 Industry itself. The studies argue that the overall positive impact will sustain on the micro and macro-economic levels. Georgios Petropoulos (2016) sees the Job Creation Opportunities, as well, due the expansion in the Industrial ‘Automation’. More than 3,800 International and Local Specialized Automation Companies in Digitalization and Programming have been established in the OECD countries within the period of (2010 to 2015) with more than 30,000 job opportunity created accordingly to serve this business line with a positive future perspective of the annual growth on this track, which gives the positive outlook for job creation more than the negative impact on the direct demand of the industries for labor. In line with the Automation Trends, the ‘Robots’ as a part of the Artificial Intelligence (AI) trend, was the actual start of the AI specifically in Industries and its significant expansion over the last three decades. The studies of Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen (2019) and Richard B. Freeman (2018) discuss the impact of ‘Robots’ development led by Japanese and American firms on Employment Rates globally with negative perspective. Robots have substitutes millions of jobs in Electronics and Automobile Manufacturing Firms all over the globe and this trend is picking up rapidly due to the need for precision and hazardous tasks in different types of industries. The impact of ‘Robots’ on the Education Courses and Institutes was quite remarkable due to the nature of Industrial demand starting from the new millennium (John Chelliah, 2017). The study argues the development trends of the ‘Robots’ on the skills required of the new shape of labors serving this trend and the tasks related. The studies show a high risk on Wages Level Declination over the period from 2020 to 2030 due to the expansion in ‘Robots’ as a part from the AI trends (Szufang Chuang and Carroll Marion Graham, 2018), (Jean Paul Simon, 2018) and (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018). The studies discuss the direct impact of the expansion in ‘Robots’ on the challenging environment created in labor market and the nature of jobs accordingly, which reflects on the Wages Level in different industries due 10 to the declining demand for labor substituted by ‘Robots’ based on the feasibility studies related. Polls indicate that large majorities of survey respondents believe we in the midst of a profound wave of technological change; that new technologies are inevitable and irresistible, and that significant economic displacement is likely (Facilityexecutive.com, 2017; Pew Research Center, 2017).1 There is of course a debate about the extent and speed of job displacement, but in our view this debate remains unsatisfactory. Critics of the “jobless future” (e.g., Bessen, 2015; Mishel & Bivens, 2017; Palvi & Vemuri, 2016; Trilling; 2017) stress the empirical fact that large-scale job displacement has not yet occurred, but the theoretical and methodological underpinnings of the job-loss predictions have not been systematically examined. Technology does not always replace tasks, since many technologies are designed to work with, rather than instead of, people and the relationship between technological advancement and employment is far from a one-to-one substitution. Many technologies expand human capabilities and generate new types of employment as corollary developments and sometimes even labor-saving technologies end up producing more work. ‘Robots’ are considered an Industry with a quite attractive growth rates on itself (Tom Coupe, 2019) and (He Ping, Gao Yao ying, 2018). The studies argue the potential positive impact on Employment due the need for the ‘Robots’ industry itself versus the negative impact of ‘Robots’ created in other Industries due to labor substitution because of the expansion in depending on robots instead of labor. Neha Soni, Enakshi Khular Sharma, Narotam Singh & Amita Kapoor (2019) studies the Potential Growth of ‘Robots’ in Industries and see a great potential by 2040 that has a direct negative impact on Employment Rates, especially for Traditional Labor with low Digitalization Skills. Developed Labor Workforce shall not have the same risk level of substitution but in counter, they may have a great opportunity of development and demand. 11 Studies conducted by (Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen, 2019) and (John Chelliah, 2017) show a potential ‘Task Replacement’ in Industries due to the expansion of the Artificial Intelligence (AI). It depends on the type and nature of the task; the potential replacement is evaluated and studied. However, all tasks that in nature related to or in need of precision or hazardous or in hazardous environment, have a high potential of replacement. The impact of Artificial Intelligence on ‘Task Replacement’ is not just laying off the human resources completely from the Industrial Process or Task, it is expected to change the way of doing things not just the concept of substitution (Szufang Chuang and Carroll Marion Graham, 2018), (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018) and (Peter Hogg, 2019). The Process Planning in different industries shall be influenced by the AI and accordingly the labor related with the process or task should develop new skills and methods to follow such possible changes in job nature. He Ping, Gao Yao ying (2018) and Michael Webb (2019) argue the effect of Artificial Intelligence and ‘Task Replacement’ from the perspective of replacing the task itself or the way of doing the task and the skills needed. They see that the main change will be in the way of undertaking the task, from both planning and execution aspects. The involvement of AI in industries change the whole process scheme and accordingly require a change in the way of doing the tasks more than replacing the tasks themselves. Another perspective of study was tackled for the ‘Task Replacement’ from the perspective of the time needed for each task and the effect of the AI on each task in the process; so due to the potential task replacement in the process, the time needed for each task and accordingly the whole process should differ (David Chrisinger, 2019) and (Georgios Petropoulos, 2016). This also should reflect on the whole process planning and a potential of substitution and replacement are created accordingly. 12 Artificial Intelligence (AI) has influenced the ‘Technological Advance’ of the Industries themselves and should have a great potential to develop new industries in the upcoming two decades (Jose´ David Vicente-Lorente & Jose´ A´ ngel Zu´n˜iga-Vicente, 2012). Due to solving the complications in tasks and processes within the industry itself; AI has paved the way to sophisticated industries to be created and developed due to the easiness of handling and undertaking the activities with such harsh nature. Studies undertaken on the same track by (Luis F. Alvarez León, 2019), (John Chelliah, 2017) and (Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar, 2019) show that there is direction towards new sophisticated Electronics and Bio-generic Industries due to the breakthrough created of the ‘Technological Advance’ in industrial processes and nature of industries as well by the expansion and development of (AI) that made things possible that were not possible before such trend. Michael Webb (2019) and Neha Soni, Enakshi Khular Sharma, Narotam Singh & Amita Kapoor (2019) as well as Debora Card and Craig Nelson (2019) show in their studies that the ‘Technological Advance’ created by the expansion of (AI) in industries has a high positive impact on the macro-economic scale globally with a positive perspective for the future trends on this track in different types of industries. Georgios Petropoulos (2016) shows in his study the ‘Technological Advance’ is closely related to the rate of development of Artificial Intelligence in different aspects of each industry. So, the higher the AI trends get; the faster the ‘Technological Advance’ will develop and this is what is aimed by Governments and Investors to enhance the financial performance and specifically the GDP and CAGR. Studies also conducted on the importance of the ‘Training’ programs needed for the existing and new labor on the deployed (AI) techniques in the Industry itself so as to maximize the benefit and outcome out of the Investment done (Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen, 2019), (Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar, 2019), (Paul Lewis, Kate Bell, 2018) and (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018). 13 Peter Hogg (2019) and Michael Webb (2019) study the impact of ‘Training’ programs that should be conducted on (AI) techniques in certain industry on the labor themselves, from performance – satisfaction – skills development perspectives. The studies approached the ‘Training’ factor not only from the effect on the industry itself but also from the possible effects on the labor and human resources related to the process as an essential part of the targeted development and growth. The results of the studies show a high positive influence of the conducting the needed ‘Training’ programs prior the execution of the (AI) techniques themselves on the labor with different levels of skills and their acceptance level of development and process improvement accordingly. The outcomes of those studies are mostly aligned with the studies conducted by David Chrisinger (2019) and Debora Card and Craig Nelson (2019) who spot the light on the direct effect on the socio-economic impacts of skills development on labor and accordingly on the macro-economic level. The studies have also tackled the ‘Training’ from the perspective of creating new job opportunities by developing the business line of Training Institutes that should be specialized from different aspects to formulate the comprehensive courses needed and fit the skills and educational levels of each segment of the targeted labor in each industry that may differ in needs from industry to another and accordingly customized training plans are needed. What is highly related to the outcome of earlier studies conducted on training effects and parameters, is the effect of the (AI) on the ‘Career Sustainability of the Traditional Labor’. The studies show that the degree of career sustainability is highly effected by the expansion of (AI) in the industries, specially the Traditional Labor with low level of Digitalization Skills (Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen, 2019), (Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar, 2019) and (Szufang Chuang and Carroll Marion Graham, 2018). Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes (2018) and Tom Coupe (2019) argue the impact of (AI) on the ‘Career Sustainability of the Traditional Labor’. They see that the Traditional Labor will definitely got affected by the expansion of AI in the manner of 14 cutting down the growth rates of Employment as new hires, however the existing labor should not be affected too much or will not be in the risk lay-off in case of FamilyOwned Firms against a high-risk rate in case of Multi-Nationals. Michael Webb (2019) studied the effect of AI on ‘Career Sustainability of the Traditional Labor’ and sees that mainly the Wages Level is parameter which will affected rather than the Potential risk of laying-off. The AI trends should limit the demand for new hires and accordingly a declining effect should be reflected on the expected growth of wages level in the next decade. In line with those studies, Luis F. Alvarez León (2019), Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar (2019) and Jean Paul Simon (2018) studied the effect of the expansion in Artificial Intelligence in Industries on the ‘Demand for Traditional Labor’ and the studies show a severe declining demand trends due to the possible substitutes and task replacements of the AI techniques. In counter, studies by (Richard B. Freeman, 2018), (Jose´ David Vicente-Lorente & Jose´ A´ ngel Zu´n˜iga-Vicente, 2012) and (Michael Webb, 2019) were conducted on the effect of expansion in Artificial Intelligence Techniques in Industries and showed a great positive effect on the ‘Demand for High-Tech/High-Digitalization Skills Labor’ and the related possible career development due to the high demand in the upcoming two decades. This also will definitely influence the Educational and Training trends, as new courses and programs should be developed in order to match between the industries demand and the available labor with the targeted level of skills and educational background of the AI aspects. From the production perspective in different industries; several studies have tackled the Expansion of applying Artificial Intelligence Techniques on different aspects of the production in the industry itself: Productivity – Process Innovation – Lead Time – Efficient Utilization of Resources – Scale of Production. Studies conducted by (Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen, 2019), (Richard B. Freeman, 2018), (Paul Lewis, Kate Bell, 2018) and (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018) show a great positive impact of the expansion of applying (AI) in 15 industries on ‘Productivity’ rates from different disciplines due to achieving high-level of Standardization and Precision and minimizing on the other hand the Down-Time, Preparation and Handling Time during the Production process itself, which vary from industry to another, but overall (AI) techniques contributes very positively in improving the general levels of productivity. In line with the above studies, applying (AI) techniques in Industries has a significant positive impact on ‘Process Innovation’ due to the positive add value of the (AI) on rationalizing the industrial processes and eliminating all low-productivity tasks across the whole industrial process in different types of industries (Jose´ David VicenteLorente & Jose´ A´ ngel Zu´n˜iga-Vicente, 2012), (Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar, 2019), (He Ping, Gao Yao ying, 2018) and (Neha Soni, Enakshi Khular Sharma, Narotam Singh & Amita Kapoor, 2019). From the ‘Lead Time’ perspective, studies by (Richard B. Freeman, 2018), (Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar, 2019), (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018) and (Peter Hogg, 2019) showed a significant impact of (AI) on reducing the lead time of process in different industries, yet with various effects from industry to another, depending on the nature of industry itself and how much it depends on technology, automation and robotics versus the dependency level on labor. Szufang Chuang and Carroll Marion Graham (2018) has studied the effect of (AI) on the ‘Scale of Production’ and found a positive effect of improvement on different industries due to the application of (AI). AI can in role contribute to the increase of the ‘Scale of Production’ and accordingly the business scale. The studies conducted by (Jose´ David Vicente-Lorente & Jose´ A´ ngel Zu´n˜iga-Vicente, 2012), (Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar, 2019), (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018) and (Michael Webb, 2019) have also concluded a high-impact of applying Artificial Intelligence Techniques in industries on the ‘Efficient Utilization of Resources’. AI does not support 16 only on the Human Resource Optimal Utilization, but also positively influence the whole Resource Planning in terms of materials, utilities and other types of resources as well. 2.3. Conclusion The reviewed literature with the thirteen (13) discussed Variables has concluded fourteen (14) Relations, six (6) Relations have been tested among the reviewed literature. A Positive Relation has been tested between ‘Automation’, ‘Robots’, ‘Technology Advance’ and ‘Productivity’ by (Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen, 2019), (Richard B. Freeman, 2018), (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018) and (Peter Hogg, 2019). On the other hand, a Negative Relation has been tested between ‘Automation’, ‘Robots’ and ‘Employment’ by (Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen, 2019), (Richard B. Freeman, 2018), (Luis F. Alvarez León , 2019), (John Chelliah, 2017), (Szufang Chuang and Carroll Marion Graham, 2018), (Paul Lewis, Kate Bell, 2018), (Jean Paul Simon, 2018), (Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes, 2018), (Peter Hogg, 2019), (Tom Coupe, 2019), (Michael Webb, 2019), (Debora Card and Craig Nelson, 2019) and (Georgios Petropoulos, 2016). Also, a Negative Relation has been tested between ‘Automation’, ‘Robots’ and ‘Wages’ by (Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen, 2019), (Richard B. Freeman, 2018) and (Jose´ David Vicente-Lorente & Jose´ A´ ngel Zu´n˜iga-Vicente, 2012). The arguments concluded based on the reviewed literature can be concluded between two sides, One and the majority of tested relations and discussions shows a Negative Impact of (AI) on Employment Rates – Wages Levels – Career Sustainability. The Second side is a Positive Impact of (AI) on Productivity – Process Innovation – Lead Time – Efficient Utilization of Resources. 17 Chapter (3): Methodology Methodology is divided into two parts. The first is the theoretical framework, which is the way of thinking about inferring the hypothesis by reviewing all the variables obtained from the literature review, then making an inventory of all these variables, defining each variable separately, and discussing the relationships between these variables through a special view of the author Depending on logic in explaining his point of view and then making an inventory of propositions, the solution models are discussed through it. The second part is design, which is concerned with discussing the form of research in terms of defining and defining the population, the purpose of the study and determining the unit of analysis 3.1. Theoretical Framework All the variables obtained are defined, the relationships between them determined, and the direction of each relationship, whether positive or negative, is used, using logic in analyzing each relationship, and then providing a list of propositions, through which models of solutions are discussed. 3.1.1. The inventory of Variables Defining variables is done in two ways. The first, which is conceptual definition, which is the method agreed upon by any person in any place without there being a difference in opinion on it, and the second method is the operational definition, which differs from one person to another according to the requirements of each population. In the coming lines, each variable will be defined separately 18 Artificial Intelligence. The theory and development of computer systems able to perform tasks normally requiring human intelligence, such as visual perception, speech recognition, decisionmaking, and translation between languages. This definition is also extending to use the automation in production lines in factories and the use of digital machines that do not need traditional labor as an alternative to obtain high quality and productivity at the same time ... This definition in the latter is the subject of this study. Productivity The effectiveness of productive effort, especially in industry, as measured in terms of the rate of output per unit of input. Another definition is: A measure of the efficiency of a person, machine, factory, system, etc., in converting inputs into useful outputs. Productivity is computed by dividing average output per period by the total costs incurred or resources (capital, energy, material, personnel) consumed in that period. Productivity is a critical determinant of cost efficiency. In macroeconomics, a common partial productivity measure is labor productivity. Labor productivity is a revealing indicator of several economic indicators as it offers a dynamic measure of economic growth, competitiveness, and living standards within an economy Fixed Scale of Production It is the stability of the production level due to the absence of typical or wasteful problems in the time or process. There are many factors that affect the stability of production, most notably the breakdowns that may occur for machines and equipment as a result of the lack of preventive maintenance for them. Several strategies have emerged that help in maintaining the stability of production, most notably what was invented by the Japanese company Toyota, which is the lean manufacture system, which performs an 19 integrated system between Production and maintenance as well as the flow of operations inside the factory to reach the Fixed Scale of Production as one of the objectives of the lean manufacture system. Process innovation Means the implementation of a new or significantly improved production or delivery method (including significant changes in techniques, equipment and/or software). the process innovation is used in the event of a problem in the current process or even with no problem, but also with the intention of developing the process in order to obtain the best outputs from this process at the lowest possible cost and in most cases, modern technology is used to make this development despite the initial cost To use this technology is initially high, but the return on investment as a result of this development covers these costs in addition to the benefits that accrue to the system. Resource efficiency The maximizing of the supply of money, materials, staff, and other assets that can be drawn on by a person or organization in order to function effectively, with minimum wasted resource expenses. Efficient use of resources is among the competitive advantages that ensure companies are distinguished from others by increasing profitability as a result of good use of resources without any waste. Lead Time (Timing) The time between the initiation and completion of a production process. For example, the lead time between the placement of an order and delivery of new cars by a given manufacturer might be between 2 weeks and 6 months, depending on various particularities. One business dictionary defines "manufacturing lead time" as the total time required to manufacture an item, including order preparation time, queue time, setup time, run time, move time, inspection time, and put-away time. Task replacement 20 It is the process of switching tasks between resources to get better performance. As a replacement for the tasks performed by human labors with other tasks that perform the same purpose through the use of machines, the aim of which is to reduce defects, increase productivity and raise the level of quality. Career Sustainability A sustainable career is built upon the ability to show that you can fill a need that someone is willing to pay for. This holds not only when you're starting a business or looking for a new job; it's also an important springboard for refining your current job and your career trajectory to make it more ideal Demand of labor forces In economics, the labor demand of an employer is the number of labor-hours that the employer is willing to hire based on the various exogenous (externally determined) variables it is faced with, such as the wage rate, the unit cost of capital, the marketdetermined selling price of its output, etc. But the demand for labor varies depending on its type. There are traditional and high-tech labors, and the demand for both types is completely different depending on the nature of the industry. Training Training is teaching, or developing in oneself or others, any skills and knowledge or fitness that relate to specific useful competencies. Training has specific goals of improving one's capability, capacity, productivity and performance. 3.1.2. Direction of Relationships The relationships between the variables and each other is explained, is it a positive or negative relationship based on the point of view of the author, using logic to explain this relationship and analyze its direction based on the population chosen by the author under study. 21 Relation between Artificial Intelligence (A.I) and Task Replacement The relationship between artificial intelligence and task replacement is a positive relationship. Depending on logic, it found that by using automation lines in factories that manufacture home appliances, this will lead to the replacement of many tasks that were mainly dependent on human labors. As a result of the automation lines doing this substitution for tasks that humans perform and replace them with other tasks performed by machines, as a result of this, the defects is reduced and the quality level is increased in addition to reducing the cost in the long run. Relation between Task Replacement and Career Sustainability for Traditional Labors. The relationship between task replacement and the career sustainability of traditional labors is negative relationship. Using the logic, it found that the replacement of tasks as a result of the introduction of artificial intelligence for home appliances factories will lead to the substitution of machines for human labor in many of the tasks that they were doing before and this is considered a direct threat to the stability of these labors in their company and also affects the career sustainability of labors. Relation between Artificial Intelligence (A.I) and the Lead Time Improvement. The relationship between artificial intelligence and lead time improvement is a positive relationship. Using the logic in studying the introduction of automation lines to home appliances factories, this directly affects the reduction in production time, so the lead time will decrease accordingly as the production processes when working with manual labor were taking a lot of time and this was in turn increasing the lead time for the product. Relation between the Lead Time Improvement and Career Sustainability for Traditional Labors. 22 The relationship between the lead time and the career sustainability of traditional workers is a negative relationship. By using logic, improving the lead time for products will lead to a reduction in overtime for traditional labors, and it is also possible to lay off some of them as a result of this improvement in the lead time of the product. Thus, this affects their career sustainability. Relation between Artificial Intelligence (A.I) and Process Innovation The relationship between artificial intelligence (A.I) and process innovation is positive. Using logic, introducing automation lines in home appliances factories results in developing production processes inside the factory and this in itself is considered an innovation of production processes as it was transformed from the traditional ways that was done in a manual methods to the direction to automatic methods that depend on the automation which will lead To raise the level of quality and productivity. Relation between Process Innovation and Career Sustainability for Traditional Labors Moderating by Training. The relationship between the innovation of processes and the career sustainability of traditional labors is originally a negative relationship and this is due to the inefficiency of traditional labors to deal with automatic lines as a result of the introduction of automation to home appliances factories and therefore this is a threat to their career sustainability. But with the introduction of the training variable in the equation, the relationship changes to the positive result of training these traditional labors and transfer them to high tech labors, and here they feel stable at work. Relation between Artificial Intelligence (A.I) and the Productivity The relationship between artificial intelligence (A.I) and productivity is positive. When automation is introduced to home appliances factories, the use of automatic lines to produce parts, this doubles production and reducing the labors in the same time A practical example of this is when producing one of the parts used in the cooker industry in a home appliance factory by traditional methods, the production rate is 1,200 23 parts per 12 hours, but with the use of automation to produce this part it found that the production rate is 1,200 parts per hour. Relation between Productivity and the Fixed Scale of Production The relationship between productivity and the fixed production scale is a positive relationship, as high productivity is an indicator of the health of problem-free production, and therefore with high productivity, the factory gets a stable production level at the level of the production plan without entering into the stage of production deficit, which may lead to the loss of many selling opportunities Relation between Fixed Scale of Production and Demand of Traditional Labors The relationship between fixed scale of production and the demand for traditional labors is negative relationship because access to the stability of production always requires the use of modern technology and here the need for traditional labors is unnecessary. In some cases, maintaining a steady production requires no sudden breakdowns in machines, and therefore there is a demand for highly efficient maintenance technicians and they do not classify these technicians as traditional labors too. Relation between Fixed Scale of Production and Demand of High Tech Labors The relationship between the fixed scale of production and demand for high-tech labors is a positive relationship. Where access to productive stability is mostly done using high technology such as using modern digital machines that give high productivity and accuracy and therefore production with high stability and to operate these machines there is always a need and demand for high-tech labors. 24 Relation between Artificial Intelligence (A.I) and Resource efficiency The relationship between artificial intelligence (AI) and resource efficiency is a positive relationship because the introduction of automation to factories that manufacture home appliances improves the production process and therefore the utilization of resources such as raw materials and labor as a result of the use of this modern technology will improve significantly and this is due to minimize the waste of time In addition to reducing the proportion of defects to a large extent and exploited the labors by appropriate way. Relation between Resource efficiency and Demand of High Tech labors The relationship between efficient resource use and the demand for high-tech employment is a positive relationship. This is due to the fact that efficient use of resources takes place through the use of high technology and therefore the demand for qualified labors to deal with this technology is high. Relation between Resource efficiency and Demand of Traditional labors The relationship between efficient resource use and the demand for traditional labors is a negative relationship. This is due to the fact that efficient resource use is often dependent on high technology and that does not require traditional labors in dealing with it. Therefore, the demand for traditional labors decreases in the case of a factory that has efficient use of resources. 25 Table 1. Explanation of all variables, the relationships between them, and the direction of each relationship Relation Variable 1 Variable 2 Direction R1 R2 A.I. A.I. Task Replacement Lead Time Positive Positive R3 A.I. Process Innovation Positive R4 A.I. Resource efficiency Positive R5 A.I. Productivity Positive R6 Productivity Fixed Scale of Production Positive R7 Fixed Scale of Production Demand of labor forces (Traditional labors) Negative R8 Resource efficiency Demand of labor forces (Traditional labors) Negative R9 Fixed Scale of Production Demand of labor forces (High Tech labors) Positive R10 Resource efficiency Demand of labor forces (High Tech labors) Positive R11 Process Innovation Career Sustainability(Traditional labors) Negative R13 Lead Time Career Sustainability(Traditional labors) Negative R14 Task replacement Career Sustainability(Traditional labors) Negative 26 The inventory of proposition The solution will build on these points. Test the relationship between the introduction of automation in a home appliance industry and the impact of that on productivity and then to reach high productivity it should studying the impact of that on a traditional labor demand or high tech labors demand and these relationships will be tested through personal interviews with industry experts and industry professionals in home appliances industry. Test the relationship between the introduction of automation and modern technology on the career sustainability of traditional current labors by testing the relationship between automation on the task replacement and then on the career sustainability, and that will be relied upon on the focus group of traditional workers as well as industry experts interviews to discuss All views of the two parties. Study the effect of training traditional labors on the relationship between process innovation resulting from the introduction of automation for home appliances factories and the career sustainability of traditional labors and this will be done through a focus group of labors as well as personal interviews with home appliance industry experts. Study of the effect of introducing the automation and modern technology on the lead time and the effect of this on canceling many other jobs as a result of saving industrial time and of course the effect of that on career sustainability of labors .and this will be done through a focus group of labors as well as personal interviews with home appliance industry experts. 27 Schematic Diagram In this diagram all the variables are linked together and all the relationships between the variables are shown to each other and from this diagram the hypotheses are founded and these are represented in every relationship between two variables. 28 Hypotheses (H1) Automation affects the demand of traditional labors negatively The Automation increase the productivity inside home appliances factories. The productivity increasing affect the fixed scale of production positively. The fixed scale of production affect the demand of traditional labors negatively The technological advance affect the Resource efficiency positively The resource efficiency increasing affect the demand of traditional labors negatively (H2) Automation affects the demand of High Tech Labors Positively The resource efficiency increasing affect the demand of High Tech Labors Positively. The fixed scale of production affect the demand of High Tech Labors Positively. (H3) Automation affects negatively the career sustainability for traditional labors inside home appliances factories The Automation increase the Tasks Replacement inside home appliances factories The Tasks Replacement affect negatively the career sustainability for traditional labors inside home appliances factories The Automation decrease the lead time for the manufacturing process. 29 Decrease the Lead Time affect negatively the career sustainability for traditional labors inside home appliances factories. The technological advances affect the process innovation positively Process innovation has negative effect on career sustainability for traditional labors inside home appliances factories. If the labors inside home appliances factories got a training this will affect the relation between Process innovation and career sustainability for traditional labors inside home appliances factories positively 3.2. Research Design In this section, the design of the research will be discussed in terms of the definition of population as well as the purpose of study, the unit of analysis and the data collection method 3.2.1. Population Definition According to the title “The effect of A.I. in home appliances industry in Egypt” firstly it should be define the Artificial intelligence as the theory and development of computer systems able to perform tasks normally requiring human intelligence, such as visual perception, speech recognition, decision-making, and translation between languages. And for The home appliance industry it is defined as the industry which includes electrical or mechanical devices used in a household – is a multi-billion dollar industry, with consumption of household appliances worldwide forecasted to generate nearly 590 billion U.S. dollars in revenues by 2020. And for The home appliance industry in Egypt it is defined as the industry which contains a lot of national and international companies in Egypt like : Toshiba El Araby , Samsung , LG, Sony , Fresh, Universal , Union Air. 30 3.2.2. Purpose of Study The study consider Descriptive Study as There are 17 Hypotheses , so all of these 17 Hypotheses will be test on the target population to filter these hypotheses and choose the appropriate ones (Exploratory Study ) and after filtration it will be determine The effect of each hypothesis and its direction positive or negative (Descriptive Study). 3.2.3. Unit of Analysis The unit of analysis in this study considered” Analyze Firms” where the effect of artificial intelligence on employment is analyzed in companies that produce home appliances, so the companies here are the subject of study. 3.2.4. Data Collection Method Personal interviews will be conducted with experts in the field of home appliances industry as follow: Interview with Gas cooker factory manager Fresh Group Interview with R&D manager Fresh Group Interview with R&D manager universal Group Interview with Marketing manager Fresh Group Interview with Marketing manager LG Group Interview with Assembly manager Fresh Group Interview with Coating manager Fresh Group 31 And will make a focus Group with the labors of Enameled department in Fresh Group Chapter (4): Findings and Discussions This research provides initial findings where additional theoretical and empirical work is needed. The interviews conducted and articles we reviewed are useful in setting and testing the relation between various variables to find if these relations are existing or not; There is 100 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s, there is strong relation between automation and productivity whereas if application of automation is implemented. the productivity will increase. There is 100 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s, there is strong relation between productivity and fixed scale of production whereas if the application of automation is implemented, the productivity will increase so, the production will become more stable. There is 100 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s, there is strong relation between fixed scale of production and demand of traditional labor whereas if application of automation is implemented. the productivity will increase leading to stability of production and as a result the demand of traditional labor will decrease. There is 100 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that the technological advance influences the efficient use of resources whereas after applying the technological advance, the resources will be used efficiently. 32 There is 62.5 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that the efficient use of resources affects the demand of traditional labor and 37.5 % said no relation between the 2 variables, so it is a weak relation between the 2 variables. There is 100 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that the demand of high-tech labor affects the efficient use of resources whereas the efficient use of resources increases the demand of high-tech labor. There is 50 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that the demand of high-tech labor affects the fixed scale of production and 50 % said no relation between the 2 variables.so it is a weak relation between the 2 variables. There is 87.5 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that the automation have a great effect on the task replacement process and 12.5% said no relation so the relation is existing whereas the automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as it can assign and replace tasks to the suitable resources efficiently. There is 12.5 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor and 87.5 % said no relation between the 2 variables.so it is a very weak relation between the 2 variables and instead suggests the process innovation will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor whereas the process innovation will be done, this will lead to decrease the career sustainability of traditional labor. There is 100 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that there is big relation between automation and lead time because automation will decrease the lead time by increasing the productivity and decreasing the delivery time. 33 There is 50 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that the lead time affect the career sustainability of traditional labor and 50 % said no relation between the 2 variables.so it is a weak relation between the 2 variables.so it may act as moderator between the automation and career sustainability of traditional labor. There is 100 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that there is big relation between technological advance and process innovation whereas the implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial processes. There is 87.5 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that the process innovation have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor and 12.5% said no relation so the relation is existing whereas implementing process innovation will decrease the career sustainability of traditional labor. There is 100 % agreement of different interviews conducted with expert’s that training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor whereas training will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively. 34 Chapter (5): Conclusion and Recommendations The jobs performed by low qualified labors will be affected compared to those performed by high-qualified workers. The use of technological advance in work will increase the polarization of work between jobs performed by low qualified labors and jobs performed by high-qualified labors. The use of AI in manufacturing will reduce the demand on traditional labor and will lead to job losses in the short term affecting the career sustainability of traditional labor and as a result the unemployment rate will increase so the AI will change the world of work and the distribution of income This will be faced by labor through increase their productivity to compete with automated machines also, training of labors will raise their qualifications to meet the new requirements of labor market after AI application on work. One of the benefits of AI that it will decrease the need of workers to perform dangerous physical tasks, another benefit is gaining more income from investment on AI through ownership of robots 35 References Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen (2019). TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN TASK REPLACEMENT AND THE FUTURE OF EMPLOYMENT, Work and Labor in the Digital Age Research in the Sociology of Work, Volume 33, 43–60, ISSN: 0277-2833/doi:10.1108/S0277-283320190000033004, Emerald Publishing Limited. Richard B. Freeman (2018). Ownership when AI robots do more of the work and earn more of the income, Journal of Participation and Employee Ownership Vol. 1 No. 1, 2018 pp. 74-95, DOI 10.1108/JPEO-04-2018-0015, Emerald Publishing Limited. Tachia Chin and Genyi Li, Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo and I.M. Jawahar (2019). Career sustainability during manufacturing innovation. A review, a conceptual framework and future research agenda. Career Development International Vol. 24 No. 6, 2019 pp. 509-528, DOI 10.1108/CDI-02-2019-0034, Emerald Publishing Limited. Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian Macinnes (2018). AI’s path to the present and the painful transitions along the way, VOL. 21 NO. 3 2019, pp. 305-321, DOI 10.1108/DPRG-09-2018-0051, Emerald Publishing Limited. Peter Hogg (2019). Artificial intelligence: HR friend or foe? DOI 10.1108/SHR-11-20180094, VOL. 18 NO. 2 2019, pp. 47-51, Strategic HR Review, Emerald Publishing Limited. Tom Coupe (2019). Automation, job characteristics and job insecurity, International Journal of Manpower Vol. 40 No. 7, 2019 pp. 1288-1304, DOI 10.1108/IJM-122018-0418, Emerald Publishing Limited. 36 He Ping, Gao Yao ying (2018). COMPREHENSIVE VIEW ON THE EFFECT OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ON EMPLOYMENT, Topics In Education, Culture and Social Development, 1(1) : 32-35. DOI: 10.26480/ismiemls.01.2018.32.35, Emerald Publishing Limited. Michael Webb (2019). The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Labor Market, grant #2016-158713 (5388); the 2019 Stanford HAI Seed Grant Program; and the Institute for Research in the Social Sciences (IRiSS) at Stanford University. Neha Soni1, Enakshi Khular Sharma1, Narotam Singh2, Amita Kapoor (2019). Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Businesses: from Research, Innovation, Market Deployment to Future Shifts in Business Models, Department of Electronic Science, University of Delhi South Campus, Delhi, India, Information Communication and Instrumentation Training Centre, India Meteorological Department, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Delhi, India, Shaheed Rajguru College of Applied Sciences for Women, University of Delhi, India, Journal of Business Research - Elsevier for consideration. David Chrisinger (2019). The solution lies in education: artificial intelligence & the skills gap, ON THE HORIZON VOL. 27 NO. 1 2019, pp. 1-4, ISSN 1074-8121, DOI 10.1108/OTH-03-2019-096, Emerald Publishing Limited. Debora Card and Craig Nelson (2019). How automation and digital disruption are shaping the workforce of the future. STRATEGIC HR REVIEW, VOL. 18 NO. 6 2019, pp. 242-245, ISSN 1475-4398, DOI 10.1108/SHR-08-2019-0067, Emerald Publishing Limited. Georgios Petropoulos (2016). THE IMPACT OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ON EMPLOYMENT, Marcus and Petropoulos (2016) for further statistics and discussion. Bruegel (Petropoulos 2017a). the Australian Institute of Machine Learning, University of Adelaide (2018) The Impact of AI on the Future of Work and Workers, Senate Select Committee on the Future of Work and Workers submission 152. 37 Helen McGuirka, Helena Lenihanb, Mark Hart (2014). Measuring the impact of innovative human capital on small firms’ propensity to innovate. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2014.11.0080048-7333/© 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Maximilian Görgens (2012). How can Artificial Intelligence use big data to form a better customer experience? International Journal of Human-Computer Interaction, 26(10), 971-997.doi:10.1080/10447318.2010.502100 Thereza Balliester and Adam Elsheikhi, (2018). The Future of Work: A Literature Review. University of Leeds. Corresponding author. Research Department, International Labour Organisation (ILO), Research Department Working Paper No. 29. University of Leeds. Corresponding author. Research Department, International Labour Organisation (ILO). (2018). The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Work, Frontier Economics. Universiti Teknologi Mara, Fakulti Sains Komputer Dan Matematik, (2018). Introduction to Artificial Intelligence (AI) and AI in Industry James Manyika | San Francisco, Susan Lund | Washington, DC, Michael Chui | San Francisco, Jacques Bughin | Brussels, Jonathan Woetzel | Shanghai, Parul Batra | San Francisco, Ryan Ko | Silicon Valley, Saurabh Sanghvi | Silicon ValleyMCKINSEY GLOBAL INSTITUTE. Jobs Lost, Gained: WORKFORCE TRANSITIONS IN A TIME OF AUTOMATION. (2017) Ryan Khurana, Estimating the Impacts of Artificial Intelligence on Employment and Wages, (2018). Submitted in partial fulfilment (20 credits) of BA Politics, Philosophy and Economics (PPE) (2016-17) University of Manchester Faculty of Humanities School of Social Sciences 38 List of Appendices Appendix (A): Interview with Gas cooker factory manager Fresh Co. Appendix (B): Interview with R&D manager Fresh Co. Appendix (C): Interview with R&D manager universal Co. Appendix (D): Interview with Marketing manager Fresh Co. Appendix (E): Interview with Marketing manager LG Co. Appendix (F): Interview with Assembly manager Fresh Co. Appendix (G): Interview with Coating manager Fresh Co. Appendix (H): Focus group interview with workers Appendix (I): Table of Variables and Relations 39 Appendix (A): Interview with Gas cooker factory manager Fresh Co. 40 1. What is the effect of automation on the productivity? Automation will have a great effect on the productivity due to removing any type waste can occur because of human, so automation of different operations inside the factory will lead to productivity increase and cutoff some fixed costs leading to increase in the profit of the company 2. Is productivity affects fixed scale of production? As the productivity increases, the production become more stable without any problem due to applying automation 3. Is the fixed scale of production affects the demand of traditional labor? As the production become more stable it will decrease the demand of traditional labor as you have a better productivity due to application of automation 4. Do you think that technological advance influences the efficient use of resources? The use of technological advances in the industrial processes will use the resources efficiently because you can reach your target effectively with using unnecessary resources, but it is not sufficient you need to be efficient without wasting time, materials and energy which represent your resources 41 5. Do you think that efficient use of resources affects the demand of traditional labor? The positive effect of using the technological advance on the using resources efficiently will decrease the demand of traditional labor 6. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the efficient use of resources? To use your resources efficiently, you need highly skilled labor trained on using automated machines that will use the resources efficiently 7. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the fixed scale of production? The use of the highly skilled labor will lead the production to become stable without any type waste that occurs due to using of low skilled labor 8. What is the effect of automation on the task replacement? The applying of automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as it can assign and replace tasks to the suitable resources efficiently 9. Do you think that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? As the task replacement process will be done efficiently by applying automation this will lead to decrease the career sustainability of traditional labor 42 10. Do you think there are relation between automation and lead time? There is big relation between automation and lead time because automation will decrease the lead time by increasing the productivity and decreasing the delivery time 11. Is there any effect of lead time on the career sustainability of traditional labor? As the lead time will decrease by automation so, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease because traditional labor will not be able to satisfy the need to decrease the lead time for more sales 12. What is the effect of technological advance on the process innovation? The implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial processes 13. Do you think that process innovation affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? Once you apply the innovative solutions in your process leading to better process performance, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease 14. Could training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor? Training will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor because this will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to 43 become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively Appendix (B): Interview with R&D manager Fresh Co. 44 1. What is the effect of automation on the productivity? Automation will have a great effect on the productivity due to removing any type waste can occur because of human, so automation of different operations inside the factory will lead to productivity increase and cutoff some fixed costs leading to increase in the profit of the company 2. Is productivity affects fixed scale of production? As the productivity increases, the production become more stable without any problem due to applying automation 3. Is the fixed scale of production affects the demand of traditional labor? As the production become more stable it will decrease the demand of traditional labor as you have a better productivity due to application of automation 4. Do you think that technological advance influences the efficient use of resources? The use of technological advances in the industrial processes will use the resources efficiently because you can reach your target effectively with using unnecessary resources, but it is not sufficient you need to be efficient without wasting time, materials and energy which represent your resources 5. Do you think that efficient use of resources affects the demand of traditional labor? 45 There is no relation between using resources efficiently and the demand of traditional labor. 6. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the efficient use of resources? To use your resources efficiently, you need highly skilled labor trained on using automated machines that will use the resources efficiently 7. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the fixed scale of production? There is no relation between the use of the highly skilled labor and fixed scale of production, 8. What is the effect of automation on the task replacement? The applying of automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as it can assign and replace tasks to the suitable resources efficiently 9. Do you think that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between task replacement process and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 10. Do you think there are relation between automation and lead time? 46 There is big relation between automation and lead time because automation will decrease the lead time by increasing the productivity and decreasing the delivery time 11. Is there any effect of lead time on the career sustainability of traditional labor? As the lead time will decrease by automation so, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease because traditional labor will not be able to satisfy the need to decrease the lead time for more sales 12. What is the effect of technological advance on the process innovation? The implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial processes 13. Do you think that process innovation affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? Once you apply the innovative solutions in your process leading to better process performance, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease 14. Could training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor? Training will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor because this will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively 47 Appendix (C): Interview with R&D manager universal Co. 48 1. What is the effect of automation on the productivity? Automation will have a great effect on the productivity due to removing any type waste can occur because of human, so automation of different operations inside the factory will lead to productivity increase and cutoff some fixed costs leading to increase in the profit of the company 2. Is productivity affects fixed scale of production? As the productivity increases, the production become more stable without any problem due to applying automation 3. Is the fixed scale of production affects the demand of traditional labor? As the production become more stable it will decrease the demand of traditional labor as you have a better productivity due to application of automation 4. Do you think that technological advance influences the efficient use of resources? The use of technological advances in the industrial processes will use the resources efficiently because you can reach your target effectively with using unnecessary resources, but it is not sufficient you need to be efficient without wasting time, materials and energy which represent your resources 5. Do you think that efficient use of resources affects the demand of traditional labor? There is no relation between using resources efficiently and the demand of traditional labor. 49 6. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the efficient use of resources? To use your resources efficiently, you need highly skilled labor trained on using automated machines that will use the resources efficiently 7. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the fixed scale of production? The use of the highly skilled labor will lead the production to become stable without any type waste that occurs due to using of low skilled labor 8. What is the effect of automation on the task replacement? The applying of automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as it can assign and replace tasks to the suitable resources efficiently 9. Do you think that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between task replacement process and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 10. Do you think there are relation between automation and lead time? There is big relation between automation and lead time because automation will decrease the lead time by increasing the productivity and decreasing the delivery time 11. Is there any effect of lead time on the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between lead time and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 50 12. What is the effect of technological advance on the process innovation? The implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial processes 13. Do you think that process innovation affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? Once you apply the innovative solutions in your process leading to better process performance, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease. 14. Could training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor? Training will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor because this will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively 51 Appendix (D): Interview with Marketing manager Fresh Co. 52 1. What is the effect of automation on the productivity? Automation will have a great effect on the productivity due to removing any type waste can occur because of human, so automation of different operations inside the factory will lead to productivity increase and cutoff some fixed costs leading to increase in the profit of the company 2. Is productivity affects fixed scale of production? As the productivity increases, the production become more stable without any problem due to applying automation 3. Is the fixed scale of production affects the demand of traditional labor? As the production become more stable it will decrease the demand of traditional labor as you have a better productivity due to application of automation 4. Do you think that technological advance influences the efficient use of resources? The use of technological advances in the industrial processes will use the resources efficiently because you can reach your target effectively with using unnecessary resources, but it is not sufficient you need to be efficient without wasting time, materials and energy which represent your resources 5. Do you think that efficient use of resources affects the demand of traditional labor? There is no relation between using resources efficiently and the demand of traditional labor. 53 6. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the efficient use of resources? To use your resources efficiently, you need highly skilled labor trained on using automated machines that will use the resources efficiently 7. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the fixed scale of production? The use of the highly skilled labor will lead the production to become stable without any type waste that occurs due to using of low skilled labor 8. What is the effect of automation on the task replacement? The applying of automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as it can assign and replace tasks to the suitable resources efficiently 9. Do you think that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between task replacement process and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 10. Do you think there are relation between automation and lead time? There is big relation between automation and lead time because automation will decrease the lead time by increasing the productivity and decreasing the delivery time 11. Is there any effect of lead time on the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between lead time and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 54 12. What is the effect of technological advance on the process innovation? The implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial processes 13. Do you think that process innovation affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? Once you apply the innovative solutions in your process leading to better process performance, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease 14. Could training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor? Training will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor because this will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively 55 Appendix (E): Interview with Marketing manager LG Co. 56 1. What is the effect of automation on the productivity? Automation will have a great effect on the productivity due to removing any type waste can occur because of human, so automation of different operations inside the factory will lead to productivity increase and cutoff some fixed costs leading to increase in the profit of the company 2. Is productivity affects fixed scale of production? As the productivity increases, the production become more stable without any problem due to applying automation 3. Is the fixed scale of production affects the demand of traditional labor? As the production become more stable it will decrease the demand of traditional labor as you have a better productivity due to application of automation 4. Do you think that technological advance influences the efficient use of resources? The use of technological advances in the industrial processes will use the resources efficiently because you can reach your target effectively with using unnecessary resources, but it is not sufficient you need to be efficient without wasting time, materials and energy which represent your resources 5. Do you think that efficient use of resources affects the demand of traditional labor? Thee positive effect of using the technological advance on the using resources efficiently will decrease the demand of traditional labor 57 6. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the efficient use of resources? To use your resources efficiently, you need highly skilled labor trained on using automated machines that will use the resources efficiently 7. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the fixed scale of production? There is no relation between the use of the highly skilled labor and fixed scale of production, but I believe efficient use of resources will affect positively on the fixed scale of production 8. What is the effect of automation on the task replacement? The applying of automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as it can assign and replace tasks to the suitable resources efficiently 9. Do you think that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between task replacement process and the career sustainability of traditional labor 10. Do you think there are relation between automation and lead time? There is big relation between automation and lead time because automation will decrease the lead time by increasing the productivity and decreasing the delivery time 11. Is there any effect of lead time on the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between lead time and the career sustainability of traditional labor, but I believe process innovation will lead to decrease the career sustainability of traditional labor 58 12. What is the effect of technological advance on the process innovation? The implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial process 13. Do you think that process innovation affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? Once you apply the innovative solutions in your process leading to better process performance, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease 14. Could training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor? Training will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor because this will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively 59 Appendix (F): Interview with Assembly manager Fresh Co. 60 1. What is the effect of automation on the productivity? Automation will have a great effect on the productivity due to removing any type waste can occur because of human, so automation of different operations inside the factory will lead to productivity increase and cutoff some fixed costs leading to increase in the profit of the company 2. Is productivity affects fixed scale of production? As the productivity increases, the production become more stable without any problem due to applying automation 3. Is the fixed scale of production affects the demand of traditional labor? As the production become more stable it will decrease the demand of traditional labor as you have a better productivity due to application of automation 4. Do you think that technological advance influences the efficient use of resources? The use of technological advances in the industrial processes will use the resources efficiently because you can reach your target effectively with using unnecessary resources, but it is not sufficient you need to be efficient without wasting time, materials and energy which represent your resources 5. Do you think that efficient use of resources affects the demand of traditional labor? The positive effect of using the technological advance on the using resources efficiently will decrease the demand of traditional labor 61 6. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the efficient use of resources? To use your resources efficiently, you need highly skilled labor trained on using automated machines that will use the resources efficiently 7. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the fixed scale of production? There is no relation between the use of the highly skilled labor and fixed scale of production 8. What is the effect of automation on the task replacement? The applying of automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as it can assign and replace tasks to the suitable resources efficiently 9. Do you think that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between task replacement process and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 10. Do you think there are relation between automation and lead time? There is big relation between automation and lead time because automation will decrease the lead time by increasing the productivity and decreasing the delivery time 11. Is there any effect of lead time on the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between lead time and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 62 12. What is the effect of technological advance on the process innovation? The implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial processes 13. Do you think that process innovation affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? Once you apply the innovative solutions in your process leading to better process performance, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease 14. Could training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor? Training will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor because this will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively 63 Appendix (G): Interview with Coating manager Fresh Co. 64 1. What is the effect of automation on the productivity? Automation will have a great effect on the productivity due to removing any type waste can occur because of human, so automation of different operations inside the factory will lead to productivity increase and cutoff some fixed costs leading to increase in the profit of the company 2. Is productivity affects fixed scale of production? As the productivity increases, the production become more stable without any problem due to applying automation 3. Is the fixed scale of production affects the demand of traditional labor? As the production become more stable it will decrease the demand of traditional labor as you have a better productivity due to application of automation 4. Do you think that technological advance influences the efficient use of resources? The use of technological advances in the industrial processes will use the resources efficiently because you can reach your target effectively with using unnecessary resources, but it is not sufficient you need to be efficient without wasting time, materials and energy which represent your resources 5. Do you think that efficient use of resources affects the demand of traditional labor? The positive effect of using the technological advance on the using resources efficiently will decrease the demand of traditional labor 65 6. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the efficient use of resources? To use your resources efficiently, you need highly skilled labor trained on using automated machines that will use the resources efficiently 7. Do you think that the demand of high-tech labor affects the fixed scale of production? There is no relation between the use of the highly skilled labor and fixed scale of production 8. What is the effect of automation on the task replacement? The applying of automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as it can assign and replace tasks to the suitable resources efficiently 9. Do you think that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between task replacement process and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 10. Do you think there are relation between automation and lead time? There is big relation between automation and lead time because automation will decrease the lead time by increasing the productivity and decreasing the delivery time 11. Is there any effect of lead time on the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between lead time and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 66 12. What is the effect of technological advance on the process innovation? The implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial processes 13. Do you think that process innovation affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? Once you apply the innovative solutions in your process leading to better process performance, the career sustainability of traditional labor will decrease 14. Could training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor? Training will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor because this will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively 67 Appendix (H): Focus group interview with workers 68 1. What is the effect of automation on the task replacement? The applying of automation have a positive effect on the task replacement process as but not as much as labor which can do it better than if it automated 2. Do you think that the task replacement affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between task replacement process and the career sustainability of traditional labor. 3. What is the effect of technological advance on the process innovation? The implementation of technological advance will enhance the creativity for better process improvement and once applied it will create innovative solution to improve different industrial processes. 4. Do you think that process innovation affects the career sustainability of traditional labor? There is no relation between the 2 variables because the labor is a key factor which is required for creating ideas and in providing innovative solution to improve the process . 5. Could training affect the relation between process innovation and career sustainability of traditional labor? Training will have a great effect on the career sustainability of traditional labor because this will raise the qualification of the low skilled labor to become highly skilled labor which will affect the process innovation positively. 69 Appendix (I): Table of Variables and Relations i Table of Variables Authors Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen Richard B. Freeman Luis F. Alvarez León John Chelliah Jose´ David Vicente-Lorente & Jose´ A´ ngel Zu´n˜iga-Vicente Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar Szufang Chuang and Carroll Marion Graham Paul Lewis, Kate Bell Jean Paul Simon Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes Peter Hogg Tom Coupe He Ping, Gao Yao ying Michael Webb Neha Soni, Enakshi Khular Sharma, Narotam Singh & Amita Kapoor David Chrisinger Debora Card and Craig Nelson Georgios Petropoulos Weight V3 - Career V1 - Demand V2 - Demand Sustainability V5 - AI Date of Traditional of High Tech for V4 - Training (Automation) Labors Labors Traditional Labors 2019 * * * 2018 * 2019 * * 2017 * 2012 * 2019 * * * * 2018 * 2018 * * 2018 * 2018 * * * 2019 * * 2019 * * 2018 * 2019 * * * * 2019 * 2019 * * 2019 * * 2016 * 3 3 6 8 14 V6 - AI (Robots) V7 - AI V8 - Task (Technologic Replacement al Advances) * * * V9 - Lead Time V11 V13 - Fixed V10 - Process V12 Efficient Use Scale of Innovation Productivity of Resources Product * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 9 * * 8 * * * * * * * * * * * 9 4 4 4 4 1 ii Table of Relations (1/2) Authors Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen Richard B. Freeman Luis F. Alvarez León John Chelliah Jose´ David Vicente-Lorente & Jose´ A´ ngel Zu´n˜iga-Vicente Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar Szufang Chuang and Carroll Marion Graham Paul Lewis, Kate Bell Jean Paul Simon Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes Peter Hogg Tom Coupe He Ping, Gao Yao ying Michael Webb Neha Soni, Enakshi Khular Sharma, Narotam Singh & Amita Kapoor David Chrisinger Debora Card and Craig Nelson Georgios Petropoulos Weight Date 2019 2018 2019 2017 2012 2019 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2016 R3 - AI with R1 - AI with Task R2 - AI with Lead Process Replacement Time Innovation Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested R4 - AI with Efficient use of resources Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested R5 - Productivity +ve relation with technology +Ve relation with robots Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested +ve relation with technology +ve relation with AI Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested R10 - Efficient R6 - Productivity R7 - Fixed Scale R8 - Efficient use R9 - Fixed Scale R11 - Process R12 - Training use of resources with Fixed Scale of Product with of resources with of Product with Innovation with with Traditional with High Tech of Product Traditional labors Traditional Labors High Tech Labors Traditional Labors Labors labors Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested R14 - Task R13 - Lead Time Replacement with Traditional with Traditional Labors Labors Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested Not Tested iii Table of Relations (2/2) Authors Jerry A. Jacobs and Rachel Karen Richard B. Freeman Luis F. Alvarez León John Chelliah Jose´ David Vicente-Lorente & Jose´ A´ ngel Zu´n˜iga-Vicente Tachia Chin and Genyi Li , Hao Jiao and Frederick Addo , I.M. Jawahar Szufang Chuang and Carroll Marion Graham Paul Lewis, Kate Bell Jean Paul Simon Martha Garcia-Murillo and Ian MacInnes Peter Hogg Tom Coupe He Ping, Gao Yao ying Michael Webb Neha Soni, Enakshi Khular Sharma, Narotam Singh & Amita Kapoor David Chrisinger Debora Card and Craig Nelson Georgios Petropoulos Weight Date R15 - Employment R16- Wages 2019 -ve relation with technology -ve relation with technology 2018 -ve with robotization -Ve relation with robotization 2019 -ve relation with robotics 2017 -ve relation with technology 2012 -ve relation with technology 2019 -ve with manufacturing automation 2018 -ve relation with robotics 2018 -ve relation with automation 2018 -ve relation with automation 2018 -ve relation with automation 2019 2019 -ve relation with automation 2018 -ve relation with robots 2019 -ve relation with AI -ve relation with AI "automation" 2019 2019 2019 -ve relation with automation 2016 -ve relation with AI R17 - elasticity of substitution R18 - Blue Collars R-19 Career Path -ve relation with technology R20 - New nature of jobs R21 - Economy R22- Work life balance +ve relation with automation +Ve relation with robots +ve relation with robotics -ve relation with new technology -ve relation with manufacturing innovation +ve relation with technology +ve relation with automation +ve relation with computers +ve relation with technology +ve relation with technology +ve relation with automation +ve relation with technology +ve relation with innovation +ve relation with AI +ve relation with AI +ve relation with automation +ve relation with automation