Strategic Advisory Services Training Session I Using Charts & Graphs February 21, 1997 Contents SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt • Chart Types and Selection • Four Myths and Lessons Learned • Exercise: “Good Graph” and “Bad Graph” 2 e Strategic Advisory Services Chart Types & Selection Selection of Appropriate Graph Is A Function of Message, Comparison Type, and Graph Form Message • Identify the specific point you want to make • Should be clear and distinct Comparison • Message selected implies one of five types of comparison – Component – Item – Time series – Frequency distribution – Correlation Graph Form • Select the graph to best depict the comparison you are trying to make • There are several alternative chart forms Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood, Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 3 e Strategic Advisory Services Chart Types & Selection Data Can Have Numerous Messages Message Should Provide Evidence For Storyline Message Comparison Client leads company A in the South by a wide margin but clearly lags in the North; Very competitive in East and West territory Market Share Data on Client and Company A in the U.S. (1996) Client Select One Company A North 39% South East West Share 13% 35 27 25 % New Products Share 5% 50 25 20 Graph Form Message There is a high correlation between client’s market share and % of new products launched in an area 6 27 28 Majority of client’s revenue share comes from the South Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood, Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 4 e Strategic Advisory Services Chart Types & Selection Message Has A Selection Amongst Five Comparison Types Message Comparison Graph Form Comparison Type Definition Example(s) Component Shows relative importance of a component to whole Highlight importance of a region or product sales out of total sales Item Shows ranking of items; compares size/quantities of two or more items to each other Comparisons of cost structure, sales, profits for two or more companies Time Series Shows trends, fluctuations, or patterns of change in value or quantity over time Stock price movements, sales or profit trends Frequency Distribution Shows the distribution of an item among various categories of sorted size or rank Employee salary groupings based on age, experience, etc. Correlation Shows how changes in one variable correlates to changes in another variable Regression analysis linking company sales to product launches Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood, Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 5 e Strategic Advisory Services Chart Types & Selection Desired Message Determines The Comparison Type Message Comparison Graph Form Message Desired Outcome Alternative(s) Comments Client leads company A in the South by a wide margin but clearly lags in the North; Very competitive in East and West territory Compare sales performance of client with another company by highlighting sales data in different regions Component Yes, but may need two component graphs (for two companies) and call out boxes/text to compare sales data Item Best choice because allows comparison of specific item (sales data) for two companies data in one graph Time Series No, because message data does not have a time series comparison in it Frequency Distribution No, because message does not have a distribution comparison in it Correlation No, because message is not relating change between two variables Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood, Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 6 e Strategic Advisory Services Chart Types & Selection Comparison Type Drives Selection of Graph Form Message Comparison Graph Form Message Comparison Type Selected Graph Form Alternatives Comments Client leads company A in the South by a wide margin but clearly lags in the North; Very competitive in East and West territory Item Bar Bar is a better choice than column chart: Column • More clarity in axes labeling by putting company and region names on y-axis instead of crowding x-axis • Avoids confusion with a time series graph where time is put on x-axis Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 7 e Strategic Advisory Services Chart Types & Selection Graph Form Selected Is A Bar Chart Message Comparison Graph Form Client leads company A in the South by a wide margin but clearly lags in the North Heavy competition in East and West territory South Client Co. A North Client Co. A West Client Co. A East Client Co. A 0 10 20 30 40 % U.S. Market Share 1996 Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 8 e Strategic Advisory Services Chart Types & Selection For a Given Comparison Type, The Graph Forms Are Limited Comparison Type Component Item Time Series Frequency Correlation *** Line Pie Basic Graph Forms * ** Bar • • • •• • • • •• • • Dot * Could also be horizontal bar charts ** Could also be step charts *** Could also be a surface graph Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 9 e Strategic Advisory Services Chart Types & Selection Once a Graph is Selected, There are Several Presentation Alternatives Graph Slide Types Graphs Pie Line Surface/Area Curve Single Bar* Multiple Dot •• • ••• ••• • • Stacked Waterfall Step 100% Sliding * May be horizontal or vertical bars Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood, Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 10 e Strategic Advisory Services Contents SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt • Chart Types and Selection • Four Myths and Lessons Learned • Exercise: “Good Graph” and “Bad Graph” 11 e Strategic Advisory Services Four Myths & Lessons Learned Myth #1: A Picture is Always Better Than Data Caution: Data May Be Too Simplistic For a Chart Pie chart was used when a table showing data would have been clearer Results of Recent Opinion Poll of 16 Top Management executives Lessons Learned... • There are some situations where presentation may be better off without a chart: - Data is straightforward and comes out more boldly if left alone “Should the political and social climate of developing countries influence our decision to expand into these markets?” - Data when plotted highlights some point that may mislead the presentation storyline Percentage of Total: 100% = 16 • Data such as P&L statement may be more appealing in a tabular format Undecided 15% 50% Yes 35% No Source: Management Association Survey, 1996 Source: Adapted from Gene Zelazny, Say It With Charts: The Executive's Guide to Successful Presentations (Homewood, Illinois: Dow Jones-Irwin, 1985) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 12 e Strategic Advisory Services Four Myths & Lessons Learned Myth #2: More Graphs Means More Analysis Caution: Audience May Lose Focus With More Graphs Six column graphs were drawn when only one stacked column graph could suffice Lessons Learned... • With charts, a good rule is “fewer is better” Banking Industry 3000 2500 2000 $ Million 1500 1000 500 0 • In lot of instances, quality is better than quantity 1995 1997 2000 Retail Industry 1600 1400 1200 1000 $Million 800 600 400 200 0 1995 SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 1997 Total 6 column graphs drawn for 6 different industry groups to show growth in market sizes for three years 1995, 1997, and 2000 • Making the storyline and graphs more compact helps in delivering a more powerful overall message 2000 13 e Strategic Advisory Services Four Myths & Lessons Learned Myth #3: A Good Graph Speaks For Itself Caution: Good Insights May Be Lost If Not Highlighted Call out boxes were not used initially; as a result insights were lost despite of good analysis 450 Campbell • Graphs are just visual aids; they need to be reinforced to highlight key data and insights • Sometimes putting a text box next to a graph on the same slide helps summarize key findings from that graphical analysis 400 350 300 % Comparative Returns Lessons Learned... S&P 500 250 200 150 100 50 0 -50 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Year SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 14 e Strategic Advisory Services Four Myths & Lessons Learned Myth #4: A Well Thought Out Graph Always Finds Data Caution: Keep Time As Constraint When Finding Data Graph looked good and added great value to storyline; however, data could not be found in time ?? % Market Share 100 $3.5B ?? $ 1.7 B $ 8.8 B 80 Lessons Learned... • Reassess data requirements within stipulated project time frames before putting a graph into a storyline • Have a backup graph/text slide ready in case the original graph does not come through 60 40 20 0 HMOs Other Health Care Cos. Health Clinics and Institutes Exercise Equip Manuf. Fitness Clubs This graph depicts value chain for consumer wellness industry. Graph remained incomplete because relevant data could not be found in the given time frame: - Market size of each segment of the value chain - Key players and their market shares in each segment - Key acquisitions and mergers across segments over 10 years SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 15 e Strategic Advisory Services Four Myths & Lessons Learned To Summarize, Charts Are Only A Form of Visual Aid Not a Substitute For Writing Or Saying What You Mean Normal Pitfalls (Myths) Key Lessons Learned A picture is always better than data There are some situations where presentation may be better off without a graph Fewer is better; Quality is better than quantity More graphs mean more analysis Graphs are just visual aids; they need to be reinforced to highlight key data and insights A good graph speaks for itself Reassess data requirements within stipulated project time frames before putting a graph into a storyline A well thought out graph always finds data SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 16 e Strategic Advisory Services Four Myths & Lessons Learned There Are Several Presentation Guidelines Graphs Should Follow • Axis labels should all be horizontal to enable easy reading • Zeros should be omitted from axis scales and legends • No more than one decimal point of detail should be presented in graphs • Colors (or darker shading) can be used to emphasize points of interest and increase the effectiveness of the graphic selected (the same color or shading should be used for each company throughout the presentation) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 17 e Strategic Advisory Services Contents SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt • Chart Types and Selection • Four Myths and Lessons Learned • Exercise: “Good Graph” and “Bad Graph” 18 e Strategic Advisory Services Exercise: Good Graph & Bad Graph Graph #1: What is Wrong With This Picture? Hypothesis: Consumers spent more on cellular phone services as compared to local and long distance services in year 1995 600 500 Online Info Sys H/W Paging Newspaper Cable Long Distance Entertainment H/W Local Cellular Consumer 400 Annual Spending 300 1995 Dollars 200 100 0 SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 19 e Strategic Advisory Services Graph #1: Improvement Opportunities • Message of graph is unclear – Too much data is presented – 3-D graph is inappropriate, confuses the message • Legend is unclear, possibly unnecessary – Graph segments not clearly defined – Legend may be unnecessary • Axis labels are unclear – Dollar values not detailed (per month or per year) • No source is given for information SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 20 e Strategic Advisory Services Exercise: Good Graph & Bad Graph Graph #1: Use a Bar Chart For Item Comparison Hypothesis: Consumers spent more on cellular phone services as compared to local and long distance services in year 1995 Labels fit in nicely on a bar chart yaxis than on a legend or x-axis for a column chart Data that matters the most can be shown prominently at eye-level (on top) Cellular Local Entertain. H/W Long Distance Cable Newspaper Paging 2-D lines represent data clearly than 3-D lines Info. Sys H/W Online 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Average $ Spent by a Consumer in 1996 SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 21 e Strategic Advisory Services Exercise: Good Graph & Bad Graph Graph #2: What is Wrong With This Picture? Hypothesis: Client will experience low profit margins due to intense competition and competitive pricing to be a market share leader in a high growth telecom segment Market Entry Model for a New Product in Telecom Industry 4000 3000 20% 15% 2000 Percentage $ millions 30% 10% 1000 5% 0 0% 1 SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 2 3 4 Year (Starting 1997) 5 22 Total Market Size Segment Size Projected Market Share Projected Profit Margins e Strategic Advisory Services Graph #2: Improvement Opportunities • Too many messages were attempted – Double axis, double legends was inappropriate – Too much data is included • Legend is unclear – Market segments are unclear • Axis labels are unclear – Vertical axis labels are unclear • No source is given for information SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 23 e Strategic Advisory Services Exercise: Good Graph & Bad Graph Graph #2: Chart Too Complex To Draw Clear Insights Analysis Can Be Broken Into Two Separate Graphs Hypothesis: Client will experience low profit margins due to intense competition and competitive pricing to be a market share leader in a high growth telecom segment However, Company A will have to bear low profit margins over next five years to gain market share leadership Product XXX is in a high growth market segment Total Market 5 Yr CAGR 36% 5 $B 25 Market Share 4 20 3 15 Segment 5 Yr CAGR 73% 2 % 10 Profit Margins 1 5 0 1 2 3 4 0 5 chart selection.ppt 2 3 4 5 Year (Starting 1997) Year (Starting 1997) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute 1 24 e Strategic Advisory Services Exercise: Good Graph & Bad Graph Graph #3: What is Wrong With This Picture? Hypothesis: Americas region will dominate total world wine production over next 5 years while France will gradually loose its dominance World Wine Bottle Production by Region 1998 1995 2000 10% 13% 28% 30% 42% 49% 41% 45% 42% Americas and ROW Europe Source: Winery Newsletter, 1996 SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt France 25 e Strategic Advisory Services Exercise: Good Graph & Bad Graph Graph #3: Column Stacked Charts Better For Displaying Time Series Hypothesis: Americas region will dominate total world wine production over next 5 years while France will gradually loose its dominance 100 CAGR 1995-2000 80 % Total World Wine Production Americas 10% Europe - France (19%) 60 40 20 0 1995 1998 2000 Year Source: Winery Newsletter, 1996 SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 26 e Strategic Advisory Services Exercise: Good Graph & Bad Graph Graph #4: What is Wrong With This Picture? Hypothesis: Client should initially target Meal Supplements segment and strengthen its competitive position in Wellness Center area through a strategic alliance 6 Market Attractiveness Competitive Position 5 4 Score Rating 1-5 3 2 1 0 Revenue Potential $ Million Natural Foods 133 Meal Supplements Targeted Nutrition Weight Loss Wellness Center 49 215 17,000 122 (Steady State) SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 27 e Strategic Advisory Services Exercise: Good Graph & Bad Graph Graph #4: Matrix Chart Brings Out Clarity and More Succinct Graphical Representation Hypothesis: Client should initially target Meal Supplements segment and strengthen its competitive position in Wellness Center area through a strategic alliance High Natural Foods Meal Supplements = Revenue Potential of $100 Million Targeted Nutrition Competitive Position Weight Loss Dotted circle represents approximations in market size calculations Wellness Center Low Low SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt Market Attractiveness 28 High e Strategic Advisory Services END OF DOCUMENT SAS Project Foundation E&Y Internal - Do Not Distribute chart selection.ppt 29 e Strategic Advisory Services