Title page Title: Hippocampal neurogenesis and pattern separation: a meta-analysis of behavioral data Authors: Thiago F. A. França1; Alexandre M. Bitencourt1; Naiana R. Maximilla2; Daniela M. Barros1,3; José M. Monserrat1,3. Authoraffiliations:1Programa de Pós-graduação em Ciências Fisiológicas, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande - FURG, Rio Grande, RS, Brazil. 2Curso de graduação em Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande -FURG, Rio Grande, RS, Brazil. 3Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande (FURG), Rio Grande, RS, Brazil Abbreviated title: Meta-analysis of neurogenesis and pattern separation Number of pages: 36 pages of main text (with references), 21 pages of supplementary material. Number of figures: 7 Number of tables: 3 Correspondence information: Correspondence should be addressed to Thiago F. A. França. Address: Instituto de Ciências Biológicas (ICB), Universidade Federal do Rio Grande FURG, Av Itália, Km 8 s/n– Rio Grande, RS, 96210-900, Brazil. Phone number: +55 53 984625616. Email: alvesfranca@outlook.com Funding:TFAF and AMB receive masters scholarships from the Brazilian national council for scientific and technological development (CNPq) and the Coordination for improvement of higher education personnel (CAPES), respectively (grant number does not apply). JMM receive a productivity research grant; Grant sponsor: CNPq. Grant number: PQ307880/2013-3. This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please cite this article as an ‘Accepted Article’, doi: 10.1002/hipo.22746 This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 2 of 51 DMB receive a productivity research grant; Grant sponsor: CNPq. Grant number: 305268/2015-5. Keywords: Adult neurogenesis, hippocampal formation, dentate gyrus, behavioral pattern separation, systematic review. 2 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 3 of 51 Hippocampus Abstract The generation of new neurons in the hippocampus of adult mammals has become a widely accepted phenomenon, but the functional significance of the adult neurogenesis in the hippocampus is not fully understood. One of the main hypotheses currently investigated suggests that neurogenesis contributes to pattern separation in the dentate gyrus. Many behavioral studies were conducted aiming to test this hypothesis using rodents as animal model. In those studies, researches ablated neurogenesis in the animals and subsequently evaluate them in tests of behavioral pattern separation, that is, behaviors that are thought to rely on the computational process of pattern separation. The results of these studies are varied, with most supporting a role for neurogenesis in pattern separation, but some others not. To address this controversy it was performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies evaluating the effect of neurogenesis ablation on behavioral pattern separation. Analysis results indicated that most of the literature in the topic is surprisingly consistent and, although there are two studies with divergent results, the bulk of the literature supports an effect of hippocampal neurogenesis on behavioral pattern separation. We discuss those findings in light of other behavioral effects of hippocampal neurogenesis ablation, limitations of behavioral data and other lines of evidence about the effect of hippocampal neurogenesis in the dentate gyrus. 1. Introduction Hippocampal neurogenesis (HN) is the process by which new principal neurons are generated in the dentate gyrus (DG) and are functionally integrated into the hippocampal circuitry in the adult mammalian brain (Molina-Navarro & Garcia-Verdugo, 2016). Despite 3 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 4 of 51 the enormous amount of research in this topic, there are still many open questions regarding the functional significance of HN (Gonçalves et al., 2016). One of the hypotheses considers that the functional role of HN is to aid in computational process called pattern separation. Pattern separation consists in disambiguating similar inputs to produce dissimilar outputs (Treves et al., 2008). Such computational process has long been implicated as a function of the DG within the hippocampal formation, so it was suggested that HN played a role on the disambiguation of inputs by the DG (Wiskott et al., 2006). Over the last decade, many researchers have attempted to evaluate this hypothesis, ablating HN and submitting the animals to tests that evaluate behavioral pattern separation. Those behavioral testes evaluate the capacity of the animals to discriminate between similar spatial stimuli that demand different behavioral responses. Such behavioral pattern separation is, in theory, dependent on the computational process of pattern separation in such a way that impairment in the computational pattern separation would be expected to cause a corresponding impairment in behavioral pattern separation. Most of the results of studies evaluating the effect of HN ablation on behavioral pattern separation have supported the pattern separation hypothesis and as a consequence, the hypothesis gained increase acceptance in the field (Hvoslef-Eide &Oomen, 2016). Despite that, some contradictory findings exist in the literature (Cushman et al., 2012; Groves et al., 2013). Furthermore, an evaluation of the consistency of the results regarding HN and pattern separation in hindered by a pervasive problem: the over reliance on statistical p values (Nuzzo, 2014). When testing hypothesis, the criterion used to reject the null hypothesis in most of the literature in biological sciences is the p value, but evaluating the consistency of the literature based on the p value of the different studies is a treacherous task because equal p-values does not implicate equal effects (Borenstein, 2009). In fact, one would not expect a high level of consistency in the literature of HN and pattern separation, given the variation between studies in many potentially relevant factors such the employed animal 4 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 5 of 51 Hippocampus model (rat or mice), its strain, sex and age, methods of HN ablation and behavioral paradigm used to access pattern separation. To gain a better understanding of the role of HN on pattern separation it is necessary to look beyond the individual studies and beyond the simple dichotomy of being or not being statistically significant. It is important to look at the whole data, using more informative measures about the effects found on each study and evaluate the consistency of those effects across studies, as well as the patterns which may point to possible sources of variation (Borenstein, 2009). In the present study, it was performed a systematic review and a metaanalysis of the studies evaluating the effect of HN ablation on behavioral pattern separation in rodents. After the relevant studies were found through a systematic search of the literature, the data from those studies were combined to yield a quantitative synthesis of the literature. Moreover, since the metric used to combine the results was the effect size, not the p-value, it was possible to better evaluate the consistency between results of different studies. It was observed that, despite the presence of two outliers, the bulk of the data is surprisingly consistent and indicate a strong effect of HN on behavioral pattern separation. The results are discussed in the light of the other behavioral effects of HN ablation, the limitations of behavioral tests other lines of evidence about the mechanistic basis of the effects of HN on behavior. 2. Methods Systematic literature search The literature search was conducted on July 20th, 2016. Four databases were search: PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus and Science Direct. The search string for each database was elaborated based on the research question and using the tutorial elaborated by Leenaars et al. (2012) as a general guideline. The research question was: “what is the effect of HN ablation 5 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 6 of 51 on behavioral pattern separation in mammals?” Therefore, the search strings were based on terms related to “adult neurogenesis”, “hippocampus”, “dentate gyrus”, “behavioral pattern separation” and, specifically in the case of PubMed, there were terms regarding animal models. There was also a term to exclude review articles and, in Scopus, there were terms to exclude publications from unrelated research topics. The search was limited to publications from 2009 onwards, since the first report of HN ablation and behavioral pattern separation (Clelland et al., 2009) was published that year. Additionally, all studies in the four databases that cited Clelland et al. (2009) were included for selection (except Science Direct, in which the study from Clellandet al. (2009) was not indexed). The complete search string for each database can be found inSupplementary Table 1 (Table S1). Inclusion criteria We included in the meta-analysis all studies which evaluated the effect of HN ablation on behavioral tests of pattern separation in juvenile/adult healthy mammals. Additionally, specific criteria were employed to decide on the inclusion of different ablation methods and different behavioral tests of pattern separation as discussed below. Regarding the method of HN ablation, we included studies which performed the ablation by either focal X-ray irradiation of the hippocampus or by transgenic/pharmacogenetic methods and excluded those who used cytostatic agents or whole brain irradiation. The rationale for this choice was the fact that ablating HN using cytostatic agents or whole brain irradiation has very low selectivity and widespread side effects (Drew et al., 2016a). It is true that both focal X-ray irradiation and transgenic/pharmacogenetic methods also have side effects, but those seem to be more restricted than the side effects of the excluded methods. For example, comparing focal X-ray irradiation and whole brain irradiation, it is clear that the 6 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 7 of 51 Hippocampus former has all the collateral effects of the latter plus other effects on brain regions not targeted by focal X-ray irradiation. A similar point can be made regarding chemostatic agents and genetic methods. Side effects of some genetic methods include ablation of neurogenesis in the sub ventricular zone and ablation of gliogenesis (both of which occur in some, but not all genetic models). Cytostatic agents in general can cause both those effects and also cause other nonspecific DNA modifications and epigenetic alterations. Furthermore, as cytostatic agents are usually administered systemically, they also affect many other systems throughout the body of the animal, most notably the immune and digestive systems. Were also excluded transgenic or knockout models that ablated neurogenesis but also model neuropathological states (e.g., Guo et al., 2011; Park et al., 2015b). The criteria for inclusion of behavioral tests was the accordance of the test design with the general definitions of a pattern separation behavioral test given by Kirwan and Stark (2007) and Hagen et al. (2014). We included behavioral tests which exposed the animals to two highly similar contexts with small spatial changes between them, requiring the animal to present a different behavioral response in each context. The reason for adopting such criteria is that the goal of included studies should be to evaluate behavioral pattern separation, that is, a behavior dependent on the computational process of pattern separation. Since computational pattern separation consists in disambiguation of similar stimuli, allowing similar memories to be stored without interference, the structure of behavioral tests described above is a logical choice as it forces the animal to compare between similar contexts based on its memory and to present a response specific to context in which the animal is inserted at the moment. Based on this criterion and considering only the behavioral tests used in the studies that met the other selection criteria, the included behavioral tests were: contextual fear discrimination, delayed non-matching-to-place in the radial arms maze, spatial metric processing, and spontaneous location recognition tests. 7 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 8 of 51 Study selection The references found through the systematic search were loaded into the reference manager software JabRef 3.6 (JabRef development team, 2016). They were screened by two independent investigators (TFAF and AMB or NRM) in three steps: (a) screening by title, (b) screening by abstract and finally, (c) full text reading. In the first two steps, were excluded papers which: (1) were off topic, (2) were not original papers, (3) did not perform in vivo studies with mammals, (4) used animal models of disease, (5) evaluate the effects of drugs or toxins or (6) did not report behavioral data. Therefore, studies selected for the third step were those which dealt with behavioral effects of neurogenesis manipulation in healthy mammals. Studies in which any of these criteria could not be evaluated based on the abstract were also selected for full text reading. In the third step accordance with the specific inclusion criteria regarding the behavioral tests and methods of HN ablation was evaluated. Data extraction After the selection process, relevant data from the selected studies were extracted to a LibreOffice spreadsheet. Such data included sample sizes, means and standard deviations/errors from the pattern separation behavioral tests, the sex, species, and strain of the animals used in the study, the method of neurogenesis ablation, the behavioral test used, the outcome measure, the time between ablation and behavioral testing and the duration of the behavioral test. When any relevant data was not reported in the text, the data in question was requested to the authors; in the absence of reply, the data was marked as unknown. In case of means and standard deviation/error, when data was not presented in the text, it was extracted from the graphs using the software PlotDigitizer (Rohatgi, 2016). 8 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 9 of 51 Hippocampus Quality assessment Included studies were submitted to risk of bias assessment by SYRCLE’s risk of bias tool (Hooijmans et al, 2014). This tool consists of ten questions, each of which addresses a different form of bias that may affect the reliability of the results from the study. The questions were adapted from a risk of bias tool for evaluation of clinical trials. Although there may be sources of bias specific for this area of research and even sources of bias specific for each of the different methods used, the questions included in the risk of bias tool evaluate sources of bias that are expected to be important for all animal studies. Therefore, the SYRCLE’s risk of bias tool evaluates study quality based on certain common sources of bias, almost universal within animal studies. This means that fulfilling the criteria evaluated by the SYRCLE’s risk of bias tool may not guarantee absence of bias, but not fulfilling it would implicate its presence. Importantly, during study evaluation, missing data was considered as not performed (e.g. no mention of blinded animal caregivers was interpreted as not performed). The questions, as well as the kind of bias evaluated by each question (along with a brief definition for each kind of bias), can be found in Table S2 on the Supplementary information. More information about the risk of bias tool can be found at Hooijmans et al (2014). Meta-analysis Given the differences in behavioral tests used to assess pattern separation, the chosen measure of effect size was the standardized mean difference (SMD) calculated using Hedge’s g (Hedges &Odkin, 1985). The effect size from the different studies was combined into a 9 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 10 of 51 summary effect size (accompanied by confidence interval) using the inverse variance method with the random effects model, with τ being estimated by the restricted maximum likelihood estimator (Borenstein, 2009). Presence of heterogeneity was evaluated by the Cochran’s Q method and the percentage of observed variation corresponding to true heterogeneity was calculated using the I² measure (Vesterinenet al, 2014). To evaluate possible sources of heterogeneity in the results, a stratified meta-analysis was planned a priori (Vesterinenet al, 2014). Factors considered in this analysis would be sex, species and strain of the animals used in the study, the method of neurogenesis ablation, the behavioral test used, outcome measure, time between ablation and behavioral testing, the duration of the behavioral test and the methodological quality of studies. The stratified meta-analysis ended up not being performed because a sensitivity analysis carried out before it was able to pinpoint the sources of heterogeneity. The sensitivity analysis in question was not planned a priori, as its execution was only suggested after a visual inspection of the results of the first analysis; it consisted in the exclusion of two data sets followed by the calculation of new estimate of summary effect and heterogeneity. Another sensitivity analysis (planned a posteriori, before the first metaanalysis but after the data extraction) was performed to evaluate the effect of the inclusion of different time points in the meta-analysis. In this sensitivity analysis, we aggregated data, when available, from the multiple days of behavioral testing within studies to compute a combined effect size using the procedure outlined in Borenstein (2009b). As a conservative measure, we assumed the correlation between multiple time points to be 1. All statistical analysis was performed on R (R development core team, 2008) and all the codes used, as well as the data used in the analysis, are in the Supplementary Information as Annex 1. Publication bias 10 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 11 of 51 Hippocampus The original plan was to assess the possibility of publication bias and its impact on the results using funnel plot and funnel plot-based methods such as Egger regression and trimand-fill (Borenstein, 2009a). Unfortunately, those methods could not be applied due to the small number of studies. As an alternative, Orwin’s fail-safe N (Orwin, 1983) was employed to evaluate the robustness of results to the addition of hypothetical unpublished studies. This method consists in calculating the number of hypothetical studies with a give effect size needed to add so as to reduce the unweighted summary effect size to a given target effect size (usually set at a value that would indicate a small or irrelevant effect). It is important to highlight that the method works with the unweighted summary effect, or equivalently, the summary effect obtained when all studies are given the same weight. This is different from the summary effect in the main analysis – although not by much in this case, since the variance of the studies included in the meta-analysis (and therefore their weights) was similar. 3. Results We identified a total of 13,317 articles through the literature search (PubMed=2,371 plus 323 that cited Clelland et al. (2009); Web of Science=3,187 plus 547 that cited Clelland et al. (2009); Scopus=5,841 plus 592 that cited Clelland et al. (2009); Science Direct=456) (Figure 1). After removing the duplicates 10,706 articles remained for the first screening. After carefully reading the titles, 10,192 articles were excluded for being off topic, being review papers, not being in vivo studies, using animal models of disease or evaluating the effects of drugs or toxins. The 514 articles left were then submitted to careful abstract reading and 428 articles were then excluded (156 were not original research papers, 24 did not dealt with 11 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 12 of 51 mammals, 33 did not report behavioral data and 215 did not report neurogenesis ablation). We then read the full text of the remaining 86 articles and 75 of those were excluded (39 did not met the criteria for the pattern separation test and 36 did not met the criteria for the method of HN ablation). Of the remaining 11 articles, two (Nakashiba et al., 2012 and Wu and Hen, 2014) were later excluded because they did not report a comparable outcome measure (see details in the next section). The other nine articles were then included in the analysis; two of those articles (Clelland et al., 2009 and Cushman et al., 2012) had two independent datasets within them and those datasets were treated as separate studies in the meta-analysis, yielding a total of 11 data sets. Characteristics of included studies The main characteristics of each selected study are summarized in Table 1. The general structure of all the studies was the same, with animals with and without HN being submitted to behavioral tests of pattern separation. Despite the generality of design, there were differences between the studies in all the factors evaluated. For example, there were seven different methods of HN ablation used, with varying side effects ranging from temporary hippocampal inflammation in the case of focal X-ray irradiation (Monjeet al., 2003) to collateral ablation of neurogenesis in the olfactory bulb (e.g., Pan et al., 2012; Kesner et al., 2014) or ablation of gliogenesis (e.g., Groves et al., 2013) in some of the transgenic models. Seven of the studies used contextual fear discrimination as the behavioral test, other four studies used delayed non-matching-to-place in radial arms maze (DNMTP), and special metric processing and spontaneous location recognition were used in one study each. The outcome measure used to estimate the effect size was the percentage of correct responses in the DNMTP test and the discrimination ratios in the other tests. Two of studies that used 12 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 13 of 51 Hippocampus contextual fear discrimination to assess pattern separation (Nakashiba et al., 2012 and Wu and Hen, 2014) did not report a discrimination ratio, reporting only the percentage of time the animals spent freezing in each context. Given the nature of contextual fear discrimination test, comparison of effects between studies was only possible with a single outcome measure that encompassed the behavior of the animals in both contexts to which they were exposed, since the capacity of the animal to discriminate between the different contexts can only be measured by considering the behavior in one context relative to the behavior on the other context. For that reason, that data from Nakashiba et al. (2012) and Wu and Hen (2014) were excluded from the analysis. Importantly, the conclusion of those two studies, based on the % of freezing time data, support a negative effect of HN ablation on behavioral performance in tests of pattern separation and, therefore, are in accordance (at least in the direction of the effect) with the results from the meta-analysis based on the remaining studies. Most of the studies used behavioral tests with a duration of multiple days. Some of them presented outcome data combined from all testing days, others presented data from individual days or blocks of days and some presented data only for the last day of testing. In the studies that reported data from individual days or blocks of days the discrimination ratios tended to change over time, sometimes showing improvements consistent with learning (Sahay et al., 2011; Cushman et al., 2012; Tronel et al., 2012). In fact, in those studies that reported data from individual days but did not report discrimination ratios (Nakashiba et al., 2012; Wu and Hen, 2014), it was possible to see a pattern of improvement in discrimination with time (as indicated by increasingly different percentage freezing in the different contexts). There is evidence that HN affects learning (reviewed in Deng et al., 2010) and, consistent with those data, control animals seem to achieve the capacity to discriminate between contexts faster than HN ablated animals (Nakashiba et al., 2012; Wu and Hen, 2014). This implies that, at least in the contextual discrimination test (used by all the above mentioned studies), there is 13 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 14 of 51 an effect of HN ablation on the time needed to learn to discriminate between the different contexts. Of course, given the putative effect of HN on the computational process of pattern separation it is expected that animals without HN find the task more difficult since the neural representations of the different contexts stored in the hippocampus of those animals would have a greater level of superposition. This greater superposition in the neural representations that constitute the memories of the different contexts would cause those animals to take a longer time to learn to discriminate between the two contexts (that is, would lead to an impairment in behavioral pattern separation). However, learning deficits have also been found on tasks that do not involve behavioral pattern separation (Winocur et al, 2006; Dupret et al, 2008), so they may be caused by mechanisms other than impairment in computational pattern separation. Also, given the similarities in the structure of the other behavioral tests (since all follow the general structure that serves as the inclusion criteria) it would be reasonable to expect behavioral patterns consistent with learning impairment in other tests as well. To minimize interference of a possible learning delay in HN ablated animals, whenever possible we used only results from the last day of testing in the meta-analysis. Some of the studies did not provide individualized data (Clelland et al, 2009; Groves et al, 2013), but fortunately such studies have behavioral tests of very long duration, which may have dampened the delayed learning effect. To evaluate the effect of this decision on the results, we performed a sensitivity analysis in which the effect size of those studies that reported outcome from multiple time points (Sahay et al., 2011; Cushman et al., 2012; Tronel et al., 2012) was calculated from the aggregated data of all time point. Study quality The results of the application of SYRCLES’s risk of bias tool are summarized in Table 2. As expected, both the percentage of qualified studies in most criteria and the unweighted 14 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 15 of 51 Hippocampus score of individual studies were low. Two factors may have contributed to those results. One is the fact that some criteria evaluated are still not common practice in animal studies, such as the use of an algorithm for random allocation of the animals within the experimental groups (Hooijmans et al, 2014), which in some cases may not even possible to carry out (e.g., when studies make use of some genetic methods to ablate neurogenesis). The other factor is the poor reporting quality in animal studies (Kilkenny et al., 2009). In most studies, there were various criteria that could not be adequately judged due to lack of information in the material and methods section. Since unreported qualitative missing data was presumed as not performed, the overall results possibly underestimate the quality of studies. Another relevant point is the presence of unclear answers to two of the questions in the risk of bias tool. The first one asks if the animals used in the study were similar at relevant baseline characteristics. This questions is impossible to address, since parameters such as the natural levels of neurogenesis in the animals cannot be evaluated without killing them. Since this is a methodological limitation, it was marked as unclear for all studies. Another question which contained unclear responses was the one regarding justification for incomplete data. In this question, studies were evaluated as unclear when there was doubt of whether there were incomplete data in the study (e.g., in cases of uneven number of animals in control and treatment groups, which may or may not reflect the exclusion of animals from the experiment). Interestingly, two of the studies had an unusually high individual score (Cushman et al., 2012 and Kesner et al., 2014). This was due to the transgenic ablation method used by those studies. In those studies, it was only possible to know whether an animal had reduced HN or normal HN after histological analysis, which had to be done after behavioral testing. Therefore, all procedures were carried out blind to the genotype of the animals, resulting in a positive score in various criteria and thus a higher overall score. 15 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 16 of 51 Effect of HN ablation on behavioral pattern separation The results of the first meta-analysis are show in the forest plot in Figure 2. The magnitude of the effect size was interpreted following Cohen’s general guidelines, defining a standardized mean difference of 0.2, 0.5 and 0.8 as a small, medium, and large effect, respectively (Cohen, 1988). The results show a moderate-to-strong negative effect of HN ablation on behavioral performance (SMD = -0.718), but although the result reached statistical significance (p = 0.0013), the 95% confidence interval was wide and spanned both values which indicate a very strong effect (upper limit = -1.156) and values that pointed to very weak effect (lower limit = -0.281). Furthermore, there was a moderate heterogeneity (p = 0.0078, I² = 58.2%) and the 95% prediction interval was extremely wide. Visual inspection of the data shows nine of the eleven data points clustered on the left of the forest plot, with only two data points further on the right, suggesting that those two results may be the cause of heterogeneity in the data. A sensitivity analysis performed by excluding these two data points confirmed this was in fact the case, as the results of the new analysis without the data from Cushman et al (2012; male dataset) and Groves et al (2013) had no detectable heterogeneity (p = 0.9223, I² = 0%) and the calculations became equivalent to a fixed effects model (Figure 3). The second analysis had a higher effect size (SMD = -0.999, p<0.0001) and a narrower 95% confidence interval (-1.305; -0.692), showing a strong and consistent negative effect of HN ablation on behavioral pattern separation. Also, due to the presence of the outlying studies the normal distribution model does not fit the data well (p=0.014 with Shapiro-Wilk test), something that is also corrected by the removal of the two outliers (p=0.73 with Shapiro-Wilk test). Importantly, removing the two leftmost data points do not eliminate detectable heterogeneity (Figure 4; p = 0.0110, I²=59.6%) and does not lead to normality (p=0.006 with Shapiro-Wilk test). 16 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 17 of 51 Hippocampus To evaluate the effect in the results of the choice of time points to be included, we performed a second sensitivity analysis. The results are shown in Figures 5, 6 and 7. Figure 5 shows the results with all eleven data sets included. The summary effect was slightly smaller than the summary effect of the corresponding analysis with outcomes of the final day of testing. Also, the confidence interval was slightly narrower (SMD= -0.667, with a 95% confidence interval of -1.05 to -0.29, p = 0.0005) and the data met the normality criteria (p=0.38 with Shapiro-Wilk test). The heterogeneity was also smaller, but still significant (p=0.0499, I²= 45.44%), and the prediction interval was still wide. The qualitative assessment is like the previous analysis: a moderate but variable effect with a fair degree of heterogeneity. Visual inspection of the data in Figure 5 shows now three data points clustered on the right of forest plot, the same two as in Figure 2, but now accompanied by the other data set from Cushman et al. (2012). As expected, removing those data sets from the analysis completely removes any detectable heterogeneity (Figure 6; p = 0.8131, I²= 0%; other details in the legend) and produces a stronger and more consistent effect, very similar to the effect of the analysis including only data from the final day of test (SMD= -0.9622, 95% confidence interval from -1.29 to -0.64, p<0.0001). Importantly, removing the three leftmost data points (Figure 7) do not fully removes detectable heterogeneity, as it becomes no longer statistically significant (p = 0.1322) but remains detectable (I² = 37.15%), suggesting that there was heterogeneity but the test did not have enough power to detect it at the significance level of 0.05. To evaluate the possibility that the effects observed are due to publication bias, we performed a series of variations of Orwin’s fail-safe N (Orwin, 1983). The results of the tests are summarized in Table 3. The target effect size was set at -0.2 (which implies a very small effect) and the result shows the number of studies with a given effect size that needs to be added to reduce the summary effect to the target effect size. The number of studies with null 17 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 18 of 51 effect sizes needed to achieve the target effect size is more than three times the number of available studies in the literature in both the meta-analysis with data from final day of test and meta-analysis with aggregated data. The smaller numbers of studies need to reach the target effect were found when adding, instead of neutral studies, studies with effect sizes equal to those of the excluded outliers. In the smallest of all fail-safe Ns, one would need five more studies with the same extreme result as Cushman et al. (2012; male dataset) to reduce the unweighted summary effect size of the analysis with outliers (i.e., already contain one such extreme effect) to -0.2. Considering that in eleven studies with fourteen data sets only two studies reported improvement in pattern separation with ablation of HN, and of those two, only one dataset of one study had such an extreme effect size, it seems very unlikely that there are another 5 or 7 results like that of Cushman et al. (2012) that were not published, especially since this result was statistically significant, and therefore one would not expect that other results alike remained unpublished. Overall, then, the results seem robust. 4. Discussion The results show the literature supports a moderate-to-strong effect of HN ablation on behavioral pattern separation, with most studies reporting a consistently strong effect, except by two studies that reported effects in the other direction (that is, showing improvement in behavioral pattern separation with HN ablation). Many questions arise from the data presented here. First, what is the neurobiological significance of these results? This question involves understanding the mechanisms underlying behavioral pattern separation and how the behaviors evaluated in the studies analyzed here relate to other behaviors that are shown to be impaired by HN ablation. Before discussing those questions, though, two important features 18 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 19 of 51 Hippocampus of the results must be addressed: one is the inconsistency observed in part of the data and the other is the unexpected consistency of the remaining data. The outliers One look at the characteristics of the studies (Table 1) whose data were inconsistent with the rest of the literature (Cushman et al., 2012; Groves et al., 2013) reveals that there is no pattern to be found regarding any of the factors that were to be evaluated as possible sources of heterogeneity. Not only both studies share all their characteristics with at least one other study, they also share almost no characteristics with each other. It is interesting to note that the most extreme dataset (Cushman et al., 2012; male dataset) was the one that suffered the greatest reduction in effect size when data was aggregated (from SMD=0.974 to SMD=0.230), probably due to a strange fluctuation in the discrimination ratio of control and HN ablated animals throughout the testing days (for the graphs regarding those data, see Cushman et al., 2012). The significance of those fluctuations remains unknown, and a similar evaluation of the data from Groves et al. (2013) could not be made since this study only show the outcome combined across all 12 days of testing. Moreover, it is also interesting to see that the female data set from Cushman et al. (2012) was consistent with the rest of the literature (although with a smaller effect size than average), but became less consistent with the leftmost studies (with an almost null effect size) when data from all time points were aggregated. This was likely since discrimination ratios of control and HN ablated animals in this experiment increased steadily in parallel, only becoming significantly different in the last two days of testing, where the discrimination ratio of HN ablated animals showed a sudden decrease (for the graphs regarding those data, see Cushman et al., 2012). A possible explanation suggested by Groves et al. (2013) is that the unexpected result in their test may be due to the test not being challenging enough, causing the performance of 19 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 20 of 51 both groups not to be statistically different, with the result in the opposite direction being a statistical fluctuation. Although that may be a satisfactory explanation for the small effect size observed by Groves et al. (2013) and some consideration regarding the difficulty of the test may also hold for the data on female mice in Cushman et al. (2012), it is harder to consider this possibility regarding the data from male mice in Cushman et al. (2012), since their effect size was substantially larger. The explanation proposed by Cushman et al. (2012) relies on a role for HN encoding time into memories (Aimone et al., 2006). This hypothesis suggests that memories formed close in time would be bound together by the activity of the cohort of adult born neurons maturing at the time of encoding. Therefore, removing HN would remove this source of similarity between the representations of the two similar contexts presented in the test, resulting in improved discrimination by the animal. Although the hypothesis proposed by Cushman et al. (2012) do make sense, it leads to an expectation of similar results in other studies, at least in those using male mice (considering the possibility of a sex-specific effect). The problem is that all the other studies that used male mice found results in the opposite direction (Sahay et al., 2011; Tronel et al., 2012; Pan et al., 2012; Nakashiba et al., 2012; Wu and Hen, 2014). In summary, that is a lack of possibly informative patterns in the data and therefore a lack of satisfactory hypotheses that could explain both data. As more studies are produced, it is possible that other studies with similar results show up in the literature, allowing us to see some pattern that may explain those results. The consistent results Given the various important differences between the studies included in the metaanalysis, one would not expect a high degree of consistency in the effect sizes reported in each study. In fact, it is well known that different ablation methods differ in their collateral 20 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 21 of 51 Hippocampus effects (Drew et al., 2016a) and that different rodent species and (at least in mice) different strains have different natural levels of HN (Snyder et al., 2009; Kempermann et al., 1997). Furthermore, it would be expected that different behavioral tests of pattern separation varied in their sensibility and specificity in detecting behavioral correlates of pattern separation. Variations within each experimental paradigm would also be expected to affect the outcome. Yet, the results showed that seven out of nine studies included in the meta-analysis had no detectable heterogeneity in their results, despite all the differences between them. Importantly, this does not mean the studies are homogeneous, just that the heterogeneity was too small to be detected in this study. Two factors that limit the power of the test to detect heterogeneity are the number of studies and the precision of the individual studies (as it is easier to detect a difference between two values when one has a precise estimate of what those values are). Therefore, it is likely that there is some heterogeneity but it is not expected to be high as it could not be detected based on the studies analyzed here. Publication of more studies (preferably with higher statistical power) may allow the detection of influences from one or more relevant study factors on the effect of HN on behavioral pattern separation. In summary, the results point to a robust effect of HN on behavioral pattern separation. Even if one includes the outliers the effect is still moderate-to-strong and although the predictive value of the meta-analysis becomes reduced due to widening of the prediction interval and changes in statistical distribution, it would still be expected that the mean effect of a sufficiently large number of new studies to be moderate-to-strong. The question remains as to the neurobiological significance of those results. For that matter, the first step is to understand what is really being evaluated by behavioral pattern separation tests. The significance of behavioral pattern separation 21 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 22 of 51 The behavioral tests of pattern separation where designed to be dependent on the computational process of pattern separation. Of course, the behaviors evaluated in the tests do not depend solely on computational pattern separation, but involve a myriad of other computational and cognitive processes. Therefore, the results of such tests can only show consistency with impairment in pattern separation but can never show unambiguously that pattern separation was impaired (Aimone, 2016). The reason for this is that other cognitive processes may be affected by a given intervention and thus impair the behavioral performance of the animals. This creates confounding variables that hamper the interpretation of results at a biological level. Here, the most clear confounding variable is memory. The behavioral tests of pattern separation require that animals discriminate between similar memories. A prerequisite to be able to discriminate between similar memories is, of course, to form those memories in the first place. An animal cannot give the appropriate response to the appropriate context if it does not remember the contexts or the responses. In fact, considering that the difference in performance between the control group and HN ablated group increases with time in at least part of the studies (as evidenced by the dilution of the effect size when data from all time points are aggregated), it is possible the effects observed are caused by impaired memory function in the HN ablated group as much as they are caused by a difference between the two groups in their capacity to discriminate similar contexts using their memories. This possibility is strengthened by various studies pointing to an effect of HN ablation on different kinds of memory (reviewed in Deng et al., 2010), although the real effect of HN ablation on memory is far from clear. A meta-analysis performed a few years ago (Groves et al, 2013) evaluated the literature regarding the effect of HN ablation on the performance at Morris water maze probe trial and at cued and contextual fear conditioning. The results showed a moderate-to-strong effect, although none of them reached statistical significance at the 0.0125 alfa level. The 95% 22 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 23 of 51 Hippocampus confidence intervals reported ranged from moderate to very strong effects in all three behavioral tests, but the prediction intervals were not reported (although they presumably ranged from almost null effects to very strong effects). Therefore, the reason the effects did not reach statistical significance is probably because the effect was too variable between studies. In fact, heterogeneity was high for all three tests and the authors were not able to link the heterogeneity to any of a number of factors evaluated. Furthermore, the biological interpretation of those data is hampered by one additional factor: the authors included all kids of HN ablation methods. As discussed before, although no HN ablation method is even close to be completely selective, methods such as cytostatic agents and whole brain irradiation have particularly low selectivity. Therefore, their inclusion may inflate the summary effect size and its confidence interval, making the analysis less conservative, and they may also affect the estimated heterogeneity. The conclusion that can be drawn from the analysis discussed above is that the effect of HN ablation on memory dependent behaviors varies substantially across the experimental literature and cannot be fully confirmed nor fully discarded yet. The possibility of HN ablation affecting memory creates an unsolvable problem whose root is impossibility to distinguish, based the behavior of the animals, which computational processes is being impaired, pattern separation or memory formation. Even though computational pattern separation at the DG is distinct from memory storage at CA3, behavioral pattern separation is not easily dissociated from learning. Therefore, the data in the present study raises the possibility of impaired computational pattern separation, but nothing more than that. Another point not always considered is the fact that some studies also report an effect of HN ablation on anxiety-related behaviors. In fact, the meta-analysis from Groves et al (2013) also evaluated behavioral tests of anxiety with findings highly similar to those of the meta-analysis of behavioral tests of memory discussed above. Such possibility is relevant to 23 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 24 of 51 this discussion because elevated anxiety may impair behavioral performance behavioral tests involving memory (Harrison et al, 2009) and is conceivable that it may impair behavioral performance in pattern separation tests as well. This is highly problematic as controlling for anxiety levels is a treacherous task and behavioral tests to assess of anxiety may themselves increase anxiety, which further complicates the situation. Knowledge obtained from behavioral tests cannot advance this discussion much further as it is not possible to disentangle the effects of each of the factors considered above. To make any more progress in this discussion other sources of information are required. Recent years have seen an accumulating amount of evidence at another line of investigation, electrophysiology (Lacefield et al., 2012; Ikar et al., 2013; Park et al., 2015a; Drew et al., 2016b), the results of which offer some insight to the question of whether or not there is a real impairment in computational pattern separation contributing to the observed impairmentin behavioral pattern separation. Electrophysiology and pattern separation Adult-born granule cells (abGCs) are known to pass through a maturation process with duration of several weeks (reviewed in Gonçalves et al., 2016). In this process, that is a critical time window in which abGC show high excitability and insensitivity to GABAergic input. In this critical period the abGCs already have functional synapses, receiving input from the perforant path and sending output to CA3 principal neurons and interneurons as well as to interneurons within the DG. The abGC in this stage of the maturation process are also known to be broadly tuned and this feature, along with the higher excitability of those cells, makes the population of maturing abGCs proportionately more active than the population of mature granule cells (GCs). 24 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 25 of 51 Hippocampus There are many hypotheses regarding the mechanism that links the special properties of abGCs to their effects on pattern separation, but one of them, known as the indirect hypothesis, has gained popularity over the last few years due to increasing experimental support (Johnston et al., 2016; Park et al., 2015a). The indirect hypothesis states that abGC contribute to the function of the DG by modulating the sparsity of the DG network. Studies have demonstrated that maturing abGC make synaptic contacts with Mossy cells and inhibitory interneurons (Ikar et al., 2013) and that stimulation of abGC activates local inhibitory circuits (Drew et al., 2016b). Moreover, increasing and ablating HN caused a decreased and increase, respectively, in neuronal activity in the DG in response to electrical stimulation (Ikar et al., 2013). Additionally, HN ablation increases spontaneous activity in the DG of anesthetized mice (Lacefield et al., 2012). All those pieces of evidence point to modulation of the sparsity of DG network as the physiological correlate of HN’s effect on behavior. The reduced sparsity of DG network activity caused by HN ablation is thought to increase the degree of superposition of neural representations, that is, decrease the efficiency of computational pattern separation. This would lead to a difficulty in discriminating similar memories, thus impairing behavioral pattern separation.Such interpretation provides physiological and computational mechanisms for the effect o HN ablation on behavioral pattern separation, but it does not explain the other behavioral effects observed in tests of memory and anxiety. Although the effects of HN ablation on those behaviors are still under debate, we would like to note that the mechanism for pattern separation described above could be easily extended to account for all behavioral effects observed and even to suggest a possible reason why those effects are inconsistent. Mature GC activity is shaped by lateral inhibition (Sloviter and Brisman, 1995) and feedback inhibition (Leutgeb et al., 2007; Danielsson et al., 2016), both dependent on the inhibitory circuits of the DG. Therefore, at any given moment, only a small proportion of the 25 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 26 of 51 GC population will be active. According to the indirect hypothesis, when abGCs are removed, the activity of lateral and feedback inhibitory circuits is reduced, increasing the activity of the DG (Piatti et al, 2013). Those effects would increase the number of active cells at any given moment, thus increasing the overlap between the representations of similar inputs leading to impaired pattern separation (both computational and behavioral). One additional consequence of the reduction in the inhibitory tonus of DG is that any given pattern of activity forwarded to CA3 would now contain a noise created by the increased activity in the network. The addition of noise would be expected to decrease the amount of information the neural representation has about the stimuli being represented (Borst and Theunissen, 1999). The formation of low information content memories and the attempt to recover such memories from low information representations is expected to impair not only behaviors dependent on fine discrimination between similar memories, but also any behavior that relies on memory– but only if the task is sufficiently demanding regarding the level of detail to remembered. Also, as the activity of the ventral hippocampus seems to be associated with anxiety-related behaviors (Fanselow and Dong, 2010), the generation of noise due to increased activity in the ventral part of DG could generate anxiety-related behavioral effects. Such effects may vary in severity depending on factors such as the levels of stress and anxiety imposed to the animals, as higher stress load would lead to higher activity in the ventral DG which would be further exacerbated by the decreased activity of inhibitory circuits (Glasper et al., 2012). In fact, other authors have already argued for a dependence of the behavioral effect of HN ablation on the difficulty of the behavioral test (Cameron and Glover, 2014) and there is also evidence for dependence of the effect on the stress load (Snyder et al, 2011). Thus, we suggest the mechanism discussed above may explain at least part of the variability found in the literature regarding the effect of HN ablation on memory and anxiety as variations in the difficulty of behavioral tasks and stress levels of the animals may modulate the severity of the behavioral 26 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 27 of 51 Hippocampus effects. Importantly, the fact that no heterogeneity could be detected in this study may be because the behavioral test used in the studies analyzed here is one of the most demanding on memory and this may have been the dominating factor determining the severity of behavioral impairment observed. 5. Concluding remarks The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrated that, overall, the literature point to a robust effect of HN in behavioral pattern separation. Nonetheless, we must not forget the two studies with results in the opposite direction. Although no pattern could be found to connect both studies and offer a possible explanation for their results, they may still have important implications for role of HN on pattern separation and memory. Additionally, their presence in the literature creates heterogeneity in the results, which is reflected in the width of the prediction interval of the analyses with outliers (Figure 2and Figure 5) compared to the corresponding analyses without the inconsistent results (Figure 3and Figure 6, respectively). Furthermore, specifically in the analysis of data from last day of testing (Figure 2), the presence of the outlying results affects the distribution of the data in such a way that it does not fit well with the normality assumption, making its estimate of precision from that particular analysis even less predictive (although there are evidence of meta-analysis methods being robust to violations of the normality assumption; Kontopantelis and Reeves, 2010). Therefore, if one considers only the consistent results, next studies in this topic would be expected to yield results within the narrow prediction intervals observed in Figure 3and Figure 6, but when one considers the studies of Cushman et al. (2012) and Groves et al. (2013), predictions about results of future studies in this topic become way less certain and span an interval far wider. As more studies are performed, we might find some 27 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 28 of 51 pattern that allow us to understand such sporadic discrepancies. There is also another factor that limits the detection of heterogeneity sources, which is the low statistical power of primary studies that leads to effect estimates with poor precision that may hide variation between studies (Borrenstein, 2009a). Therefore, that is need not only for more studies, but also for more precise studies, with larger sample sizes and higher statistical power. Moreover, given the reports of effects of HN ablation on other types of behavioral tests and the limitations intrinsic to any behavioral test, it is not possible to state with confidence that the impairment observed in behavioral pattern separation is in fact caused by impairment in computational pattern separation. Those considerations make it clear that to elucidate the mechanism behind the effects of HN ablation on behavior, further studies using other approaches will also be necessary. The results of such studies will have to be carefully integrated with behavioral data if we want to achieve a satisfactory explanation for the mechanisms of HN’s effect on behavior. In this line, we interpreted the behavioral data in light of electrophysiological studies and argued here that behavioral pattern separation may not reflect the main effect of HN ablation. When the phenomenon is analyzed at another level, behavioral pattern separation seems to be just one of many behavioral manifestations of the same underlying physiological process: the decreased activity of inhibitory circuits caused by HN ablation. Thus, it raises the possibility that what seems to be a plethora of different effects at the behavioral level may be the result of a single effect at the physiological level. 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Summary of study characteristics. Note: the extent of ablation in different studies was evaluated using different markers, which are indicated between parenthesis. dnWnt: dominant negative Wnt; rtTA: tetracycline controlled transativator; Cre: Cre recombinase; CreER: tamoxifen dependent Cre recombinase; GFAP: glial fibrillary acidic protein; Cre; DNMT1: DNA cytosine-methyltransferase 1; TK: thymidine kinase; DCX: doublecortin; CldU: chlorodeoxyuridine; BrdU: bromodeoxyuridine. Table 2. SYRCLE’s risk of bias tool results. Each criterion corresponds to a measure that should have been taken to avoid a possible source of bias in the study (for details, see Table S2 on the Supplementary information). A “yes” evaluation implies no risk of bias in the criterion evaluated and a “no” evaluation implies risk of bias in that criterion. An “unclear” evaluation, as its name suggests, implies that the risk of bias the criterion in question could not be evaluated. The table also show the percentage of studies qualified in each criterion and the unweighted score of each study, which would be used in the stratified meta-analysis. This unweighted score is computed by the sum of the grades in each criterion, with a “yes” counting as 1 point, a “no” counting as -1 and “unclear” counting as 0. 33 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 34 of 51 Figure 2. Forest plot of the first meta-analysis. The plot shows, from left to right, the study IDs, their effect sizes (with squares proportional to the study weights), the study weight and the SMD with its 95% confidence interval. Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 10) = 23.9096, p-value = 0.0078; I² = 59%; tau² = 0.32; 95% prediction interval from SMD = 1.910 to SMD = 0.474. Combined N=118 control and 113 experimental manipulation. Figure 3. Forest plot for the sensitivity analysis. Forest plot for the meta-analysis without the data from Cushman et al. (2012; male dataset) and Groves et al. (2013). Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 8) = 3.1839, p-value = 0.9223; I² = 0%; tau² = 0; 95% prediction interval = 95% confidence interval (SMD = -1.305 to SMD = - 0.692). Combined N=118 control and 113 experimental manipulation. Combined N=99 control and 93 experimental manipulation. Figure 4. Forest plot for the sensitivity analyses. Forest plot for the meta-analysis without the two leftmost data points (Niiboriet al., 2012; Beckinschteinet al., 2014). Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 8) = 19.8213, p-value = 0.0110; I² = 60.5%; tau² = 0.32; 95% prediction interval from SMD = -1.789 to SMD = 0.626. Combined N=99 control and 97 experimental manipulation. Figure 5. Forest plot for the meta-analysis with aggregated data from all test days. Forest plot for the meta-analysis with all studies included. Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 10) = 18.3125, p-value = 0.0499; I² = 45.4%; tau² = 0.184; 95% prediction interval from SMD = -1.589 to SMD = 0.255). N=118 control and 113 experimental manipulation. 34 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 35 of 51 Hippocampus Figure 6. Forest plot for the meta-analysis with aggregated data from all test days. Forest plot for the meta-analysis without data from Cushman et al. (2012) and Groves et al. (2013). Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 7) = 3.7050, p-value = 0.8131; I² = 0%; tau² = 0; 95% prediction interval equals 95% confidence interval (from SMD = -1.289 to SMD = 0.635). Combined N=87 control and 82 experimental manipulation. Figure 7. Forest plot for the meta-analysis with aggregated data from all test days. Forest plot for the meta-analysis without three leftmost data points (Clelland et al., 2009, IR dataset; Niibori et al., 2012; Beckinschtein et al., 2014). Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df= 7) = 11.1511, p-value = 0.1322; I² = 37.2%; tau² = 0.118; 95% prediction interval from SMD = -1.223 to SMD = 0.332. Combined N=90 control and 87 experimental manipulation. Table 3. Fail-safe summary. The table shows the results of Orwin’s fail-safe N for the metaanalysis with data from the last day of testing and with aggregated data from all testing days (for the studies that reported such data), both with and without heterogeneous studies. The values shown here represent the number of studies one would need to add to the analysis to reduce the unweighted summary effect size to -0.2. Of note, the unweighted summary effects were very like the summary effects obtained in the meta-analyses in all four cases. Specifically, the unweighted summary effect sizes for the meta-analysis with last day data were SMD=-0.736 with all studies and SMD=-1.052 without outliers. For the meta-analysis with aggregated data, the unweighted summary effect sizes were SMD= -0.693 with all studies and SMD=-1.016 without outliers. 35 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 37 of 51 Hippocampus Figure 1. Flow chart representing the process of study selection. 142x187mm (600 x 600 DPI) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 38 of 51 Table 1 – part 1 Reference n (C | T) Species Strain/Genetic background Sex Age at ablation Method of Extent of ablation ablation Clelland et al., 2009 9 | 10 mice C57Bl/6 female 8 weeks Focal X-ray IR 100% (DCX) Clelland et al., 2009 14 | 12 mice C57Bl/6 female 8 weeks dnWnt ~56% (DCX) Sahay et al., 2011 7|9 mice Baxf/f (C57Bl/6 w/ 129SvEv) male 10 weeks Focal X-ray IR ~95% (DCX) Tronel et al., 2012 15|15 mice C57BL/6JxCBA male 8 weeks Nestin-rtTA/Bax ~33% (CldU) Pan et al., 2012 10|10 mice C57BL/6 male 10-12 weeks Nestin- ~55% (NeuroD) CreER/ERK5 Cushman et al., 2012 8|11 mice C57Bl/6, BALB/C hybrid male At birth mGFAP-Cre- ~90% (BrdU+NeuN) DMNP1 Cushman et al., 2012 12|11 mice C57Bl/6, BALB/C hybrid female At birth mGFAP-Cre- ~90% (BrdU+NeuN) DMNP1 Niibori et al., 2012 11|8 mice C57Bl/6NTacfBr, 129Svev both 8 weeks hybrid John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. TK+/Nestin ~95% (NeuroD) Page 39 of 51 Hippocampus Nakashiba et al., 2012 14|14 mice C57Bl/6 male 9-12 weeks Focal X-ray IR ~97% (BrdU) Groves et al., 2013 11|9 rat Sprague Dawley -- 8 weeks TK+/GFAP 98.3% (DCX) Bekinschtein et al., 8|8 rat Long-Evans male 7-8 weeks dnWnt ~40% (DCX) Wu & Hen, 2014 28|28 mice C57Bl6/J male 8 weeks Focal X-ray IR 100% (DCX) Kesner et al., 2014 13|10 mice C57Bl/6, BALB/C hybrid male At birth mGFAP-Cre- 100% (BrdU) 2014 DMNP1 Table 1 – part2 Reference Time between Behavioral test Outcome mesure Duration of test Outcome report ablation and testing Clelland et al., 2009 2 months DNMP in Radial arms maze % correct choice 15 days Combined (all days) Clelland et al., 2009 2 months DNMP in Radial arms maze % correct choice 15 days Combined (all days) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Sahay et al., 2011 4 months Contextual fear discrimination Page 40 of 51 Freezing ratio ((A- 5 days Individual days 13 days Individual days B)/(A+B)) Tronel et al., 2012 9 weeks Contextual fear discrimination Freezing ratio (A/(A+B)) Pan et al., 2012 10 weeks DNMP in Radial arms maze % correct choice 5 days Last day only Cushman et al., 2012 3-5 months Contextual fear discrimination Freezing ratio 17 days Individual days 17 days Individual days (A/(A+B)) Cushman et al., 2012 3-5 months Contextual fear discrimination Freezing ratio (A/(A+B)) Niibori et al., 2012 4 weeks Contextual fear discrimination Freezing ratio (A-B) 3 days Last day (1day-test) Nakashiba et al., 2012 6 weeks Contextual fear discrimination % freezing 17 days Individual days Groves et al., 2013 9 weeks DNMP in Radial arms maze % correct choice 12 days Combined (all days) Bekinschtein et al., 4 weeks Spontaneous location recognition Discrimination ratio 8 days Combined (all days) 14 days Individual days ((A-B)/(A+B)) 2014 Wu & Hen, 2014 6 weeks Contextual fear discrimination % freezing John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 41 of 51 Kesner et al., 2014 Hippocampus 8-9 weeks Metric spatial processing Discrimination ratio ((A-B)/(A+B)) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. 1 day Last day (1day-test) Hippocampus Page 42 of 51 Table 2 – part 1 Criteria Reference Random allocation Animals similar at Allocation Random Blinded Random outcome sequence baseline concealment housing investigators assessment Clelland et al, 2009 No Unclear No No No Yes Sahay et al, 2011 No Unclear No No No No Tronel etal, 2012 No Unclear No No No No Pan et al, 2012 No Unclear No No No No Cushman et al, Yes Unclear Yes Yes Yes Yes Niibori et al, 2012 No Unclear No No No No Nakashiba et al, No Unclear No No No No No Unclear No No No No 2012 2012 Groves et al, 2013 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 43 of 51 Bekinschetein et al, Hippocampus No Unclear No No No No Wu and Hen, 2014 No Unclear No No No No Kesner et al., 2014 No Unclear Yes Yes Yes Yes 2014 Qualified studies 0 0 18.18181818 18.18181818 18.18181818 27.27272727 (%) Table 2 – part 2 Criteria Reference Blinded result collection Incomplete data Unbiased conclusions Other justification Unweighted study score Clelland et al, 2009 No Yes No No -5 Sahay et al, 2011 Yes No Yes No -5 Tronel etal, 2012 Yes Unclear Yes No -4 Pan et al, 2012 Yes Unclear Yes No -4 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Page 44 of 51 Cushman et al, 2012 Yes Unclear No No 2 Niibori et al, 2012 No Unclear Yes No -6 Nakashiba et al, 2012 Yes Yes Yes No -3 Groves et al, 2013 No No Yes No -7 Bekinschetein et al, No Yes Yes No -5 Wu and Hen, 2014 Yes No Yes No -5 Kesner et al., 2014 Yes Yes Yes No 5 2014 Qualified studies (%) 63.63636364 36.36363636 81.81818182 John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. 0 Page 45 of 51 Hippocampus Figure 2. Forest plot of the first meta-analysis. The plot shows, from left to right, the study IDs, their effect sizes (with squares proportional to the study weights), the study weight and the SMD with its 95% confidence interval. Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 10) = 23.9096, p-value = 0.0078; I² = 59%; tau² = 0.32; 95% prediction interval from SMD = -1.910 to SMD = 0.474. Combined N=118 control and 113 experimental manipulation. 99x71mm (600 x 600 DPI) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Figure 3. Forest plot for the sensitivity analysis. Forest plot for the meta-analysis without the data from Cushman et al. (2012; male dataset) and Groves et al. (2013). Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 8) = 3.1839, p-value = 0.9223; I² = 0%; tau² = 0; 95% prediction interval = 95% confidence interval (SMD = -1.305 to SMD = - 0.692). Combined N=118 control and 113 experimental manipulation. Combined N=99 control and 93 experimental manipulation. 91x61mm (600 x 600 DPI) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 46 of 51 Page 47 of 51 Hippocampus Figure 4. Forest plot for the sensitivity analyses. Forest plot for the meta-analysis without the two leftmost data points (Niiboriet al., 2012; Beckinschteinet al., 2014). Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 8) = 19.8213, p-value = 0.0110; I² = 60.5%; tau² = 0.32; 95% prediction interval from SMD = -1.789 to SMD = 0.626. Combined N=99 control and 97 experimental manipulation. 91x61mm (600 x 600 DPI) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Figure 5. Forest plot for the meta-analysis with aggregated data from all test days. Forest plot for the metaanalysis with all studies included. Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 10) = 18.3125, p-value = 0.0499; I² = 45.4%; tau² = 0.184; 95% prediction interval from SMD = -1.589 to SMD = 0.255). N=118 control and 113 experimental manipulation. 91x60mm (600 x 600 DPI) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 48 of 51 Page 49 of 51 Hippocampus Figure 6. Forest plot for the meta-analysis with aggregated data from all test days. Forest plot for the metaanalysis without data from Cushman et al. (2012) and Groves et al. (2013). Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df = 7) = 3.7050, p-value = 0.8131; I² = 0%; tau² = 0; 95% prediction interval equals 95% confidence interval (from SMD = -1.289 to SMD = -0.635). Combined N=87 control and 82 experimental manipulation. 91x60mm (600 x 600 DPI) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Hippocampus Figure 7. Forest plot for the meta-analysis with aggregated data from all test days. Forest plot for the metaanalysis without three leftmost data points (Clelland et al., 2009, IR dataset; Niibori et al., 2012; Beckinschtein et al., 2014). Additional information: heterogeneity: Q(df= 7) = 11.1511, p-value = 0.1322; I² = 37.2%; tau² = 0.118; 95% prediction interval from SMD = -1.223 to SMD = 0.332. Combined N=90 control and 87 experimental manipulation. 91x60mm (600 x 600 DPI) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved. Page 50 of 51 Page 51 of 51 Hippocampus Table 3 Analysis with last day test outcome All No ouliers studies Adding neutral studies 30 39 Adding Groves et al., (2013) 10 13 5 7 Adding Cushman et al., (2012, male data set) Analysis with aggregated data All No ouliers studies Adding neutral studies 27 33 9 11 13 15 36 44 Adding Groves et al., (2013) Adding Cushman et al., (2012, male data set) Adding Cushman et al., (2012, female data set) John Wiley & Sons This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.