Revenue, Expense, PSAK 72 and Its Implementation in PWON REVENUE IAS 18 : Revenue is the gross inflow of economic benefits during the period arising in the course of the ordinary activities of an entity when those inflows result in increases in equity, other than increases relating to contributions from equity participants. IASB : Revenue is part of the company's income, gain is also a part of income because it has future economic benefits so that revenue and gain are considered inseparable. REVENUE RECOGNITION Revenue has been recognized at several points in the earnings cycle, for example: • • • • Recognized progressively throughout production Buat building industry for a long-term contract Recognized after production finished Disaat ada kewajiban bagi pembeli untuk ngambil barang Recognized when goods are delivered Kebanyakan pakai ini Recognized when cash received Proffessional practices (lawyer gtgt) dan installment of credit sales Kriteria Revenue Recognition : • • • Measurability of Asset Value Viewed as an inflow that increases the value of the total assets of the firm, with a concurrent increase in equity. Thus measurability of asset value is a reasonable criteria for recognising revenue. Existence of A Transaction When an external party in an arm's-length transaction expresses willingness to pay a given price for the firm's product, the transaction constitutes objective evidence of an increase in value in the firm. Substantial Completion of The Earnings Process Revenue is not generated until the firm has performed most of the activities for which the firm earns revenue. REVENUE MEASUREMENT Two criteria for revenue recognition : • • It is probable that any future economic benefit associated with the item will flow to or from the entity The item has a cost or value that can be measured with reliability. Provides specific rules for recognition and measurement of different types of revenue : Sale of Goods Recognition Criteria for Sale of Goods : • • • • • transferred to the buyer the significant risks and rewards of the ownership of the goods retains neither continuing managerial involvement to the degree usually associated with ownership nor effective control over the goods sold amount of revenue can be measured reliably probable that the economic benefits associated costs incurred or to be incurred can be measured reliably. Exception : • • • Percentage of completion method (Construction Contract) The use of the percentage of completion method for construction contracts is appropriate only when reasonably reliable estimates can be made of the extent of progress towards completion, costs, and contract revenue. At the end of production (Oil Company) selling barrels of crude might recognize revenue after the oil is packaged and ready for sale, even if it hasn’t actually been purchased by the end customer Recognised when cash is received after the sale is made (Cost Recovery Method) If a company collected 60% of a product’s sale price, it can recognize 60% of total revenue on that product Sale of Services Recognition Criteria for Sale of Services : • • • • amount of revenue can be measured reliably probable that the economic benefits stage of completion of the transaction at the reporting date can be measured reliably cost incurred for the transaction and the cost to complete can be measured reliably Other recognition • • • Interest shall be recognised using the effective interest method Royalties shall be recognised on an accrual basis in accordance with the substance of the relevant agreement Dividends shall be recognized when the shareholder’s right to receive payment is established CHALLENGES (ISSUES) FOR STANDARD SETTERS Development in Revenue Recognition and Measurements : • • • Revenue transaction have become more complex Inconsistency within the IASB framework and some standards related to it FASB and IASB have proposed some fundamental principles for revenue recognition and measurement: o recogning revenues when they arise o o measuring them at fair value at that point measuring them when they arise from an increase in assets or a decrease in liabilities, at the fair value of that change POSITIVE THEORY OF ACCOUNTING POLICY AND DISCLOSURE There are some observation that couldn’t explained by information hypothesis like : • • • Company lobby in relation to proposed accounting standards Firms made consistent patterns of accounting policy choice that related to characteristic of the firms Even before regulation stated the firm to provide their accounting reports, they already done that. Consequently, researchers developed a theory built on premises of costly contracting and monitoring. CONTRACTING THEORY Characterize the firm as a legal nexus (connection) of contractual relationship among suppliers and consumers of factors of production. The firm is seen as an efficient way of organizing economic activity to reduce contracting cost. Firm are nothing more than a collection of contracts between different parties. Firm also exist because cost to transact (or contract) will cost less than to do so individually. Example when we want an ice cream, it will cost less to buy the ice cream directly from ice cream company than buying the ingredients of the ice cream particularly from different company such as milk, cream, chocolate coating, etc. In positive accounting, it focuses on two types of contract • • Management Contract Debt Contract AGENCY THEORY An agency contract is one where one party (principal/owner) hires another party (the agent/management) to act on their behalf. The principal even delegates some decision-making authority to the agent. There is no guarantee that the agent will always act in the principal’s best interests. The difference in interests is an agency problem The agency problem gives rise to agency costs spent to overcome it: • Monitoring costs: the cost of monitoring the agent’s behaviour initially borne by the principal but passed on to the agent through an adjustment to their remuneration (price protection) • Bonding costs: the cost borne by the agent as an effort to align their interests to the principal or to guarantee they will compensate principal if they act in a manner contrary to the principal’s interest • Residual loss: the loss associated with not being able to fully align the interests of agent to the principal Main points of Agency Theory • Agents perceive that they will not be fully penalised for their divergent behaviour • • • • • • They have incentives to act opportunistically This increases residual loss In the real world, price protection and settling up are not perfect or complete, resulting in residual loss being borne partially by the principal as well as (or instead of) the agent Agency theory attributes a role for accounting Accounting is part of the monitoring and bonding mechanisms Accounting numbers are used in contract Agency Problem There are two types of agency problem: • Price protection and shareholder/manager problems It’s happens because of separation of ownership and management that leads to divergent behaviour by agents The divergences occur because : o Risk-Aversion Problem Risk aversion problem means that agent(s) would prefer lower risk than shareholder. This caused by: ▪ Different degrees of diversification affecting risk ▪ Limited liability accorded to shareholders o Dividend-Retention Problem Dividend retention problem means that agent(s) prefer to pay less dividends than what shareholder(s) prefer. This caused by: ▪ To pay their remuneration ▪ To build their empire building o Horizon Problem Horizon problem means that agent(s) have shorter time to be associated in company rather than shareholder(s). This caused by: ▪ Shareholders are interested in future cash flows ▪ Managers have a time horizon only as long as they intend to remain with the firm These problems could be solved by contracts, as manager remuneration is usually tied to firm performance in some way to motivate agent(s) to act in the shareholder(s) interest. To maintain agent(s) performance: o o • Using accounting numbers such as sales, profits, return on assets, net asset growth, cash flow, etc. By the firm’s share price. Shareholder - debtholder problems On this problem, agent is seen as the sole owner of the firm, or has interests that are totally aligned with the interests of the shareholders. Firm value is the value of debt plus the value of equity The value of equity can be increased by : 1. By increasing the value of the firm (efficient contracting) 2. Transferring wealth away from debtholders (opportunistic behaviour) o o o o o o o Excessive Dividend Payments ▪ Reduces the asset base securing the debt ▪ Shareholders have received cash but limited liability protects them from being personally liable for the debts of the firm in the event of bankruptcy ▪ The debt becomes mispriced Asset Substitution ▪ Firm invests in higher risk projects to benefit shareholders ▪ This would cause : • 1. 0 benefit to debtholders • 2. Share in possible losses ▪ Shareholders are able to diversify and have limited liability ▪ Debt becomes mispriced Underinvestment In some circumstances, shareholders have incentives not to undertake positive NPV projects because to do so would increase the funds available to the debtholders but not to the shareholders Claim Dilution ▪ Occurs when the firm issues debt of a higher priority than the debt already on issue ▪ Increase the fund available to increase value of the firm and the value of ownership interest ▪ Decreases the relative security and value of the existing debt Lenders tends to price protect ▪ Through interest rates, the withholding of funds and the length of the loan The interests of shareholders can be bonded to those of debtholder via restrictions in lending agreements ▪ Loan covenants Ex Post Opportunism VS Ex Ante Efficient Ex post opportunism : • Occurs when, once a contact is signed, agents take possible actions that transfer wealth from principals to themselves Ex ante efficient contracting : • • Occurs when agents take actions that maximise the amount of wealth available to distribute between principals and agents Ex ante is done before contracts are finalized SIGNALING THEORY Aside of contracting perspectives, there is information perspective. It’s where the managers voluntarily provide information to investors to help their decision making. If managers expected a high level of future growth by the firm, they would try to signal that to investors via the accounts. • • • Managers of firm with good result with post their result in the account Managers of firm with medium result would have incentives to report positive news and only few bad news Managers of firm with bad result would have incentives to not to report, but they also have incentives to report the result to increase their credibility. The result that the firm will report more than what investor demanded. POLITICAL PROCESS Positive accounting theory also models the political process involving the relationship between the firm and other parties interested in the firm, such as government, trade unions and community groups. In political market, that there is generally less demand, and therefore less incentive, for the production of information. High information cost also will arise because in political environment the probability that one individual’s action will affect that person’s wealth is small. Often firms try to avoid public attention that is costly to them financially in terms of public perception and reputation. This resulted some of them reduce their reported profit to prevent any policy that may charged to them. Conservatism, Accounting Standard, and Agency Cost Security Act • • • • To influence the development of conservative accounting statements. Traditional (prudent) conservatism in accounting means accelerating expenses and delaying revenue recognition 'anticipate no profit but anticipate all losses' Conservatism → asymmetric information requirement that imposes a higher degree of verification for revenue when compared to expenses and this generally serves to reduce reported earnings Valuation system → historical costs; revaluation → not allowed Internasional Accounting Board (IASB) • • • • The conservative bias in accounting does not reveal the real financial picture of the firm and reduces information available to investors. Recognition of gains as well as losses, are equally important. Ex ante → discouraging trophy investments Ex post → discontinuing negative cash flow investments. Conclude • Information about FV gains is not as highly demanded because : o 1. Negative price shocks are the driver for contract renegotiation o 2. Litigation is always against the non-recognition of loses o 3. By banks and providers of debt capital o 4. By restricting gain recognition it place a constraint on the ability of management to pay out compensation to themselves/shareholders • Accounting principles that reduce the reported income reduce the manager’s ability to report opportunistic accounting figures. Therefore, probability of managers and auditors being sanctioned increases (decreases) the less (more) the reported income accelerates and/or increases EMPIRICAL TEST OF THEORY TESTING THE OPPORTUNISTIC AND POLITICAL COST HYPOTHESIS • • Political cost affect only the largest of firm. Based on how they reduce their profit to avoid any policy by the government for them Managers make individual accounting policy choices that increased profit as they come closer to breaching their debt covenants TEST USING CONTRACT DETAILS There are limits for management bonuses in bonus plan such as Lower and Upper limit. Lower limit are set to make management work harder to achieve better profit. Upper limit are set by shareholder to make the profit at sustain level. REFINING THE SPECiFICATION OF POLITICAL COST • • Accounting policy and estimates might be used to manage profit downwards During election campaign, managers tend to manipulate their accounting reports to increase their chance of winning the election even it’s not align with cash-flow TESTING THE EFFICIENT CONTRACTING HYPOTHESIS Focuses mainly on the efficient selection of accounting procedures that is accounting decisions that are made up front by management and claim holders on the firm to reduce the agency cost of contracting INTEREST CAPITALISATION Example in real estate firm that finance projects by project-specific loans are more likely to capitalise interest and expense it to their customers so they bears the risks of the project. This interest capitalisation will increase managers bonus awards and would save time in negotiation with auditors and customer’s cost investigators CHANGES IN CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER • • In their final years of office CEO tend to improve short-term profit performances by cutting back R&D expenditures (Vice versa) Management contract can balance share-based and profit-based incentives to ensure attempts to transfer wealth from shareholder to manager are ineffectual thus accounting and other contracting terms can reduce agency cost when the incentives for opportunism are strong EVALUATING THE THEORY METHODOLOGICAL AND STATISTICAL CRITICISM A major criticism of positive accounting theory is that the empirical evidence is weak and inconclusive METHODOLOGICAL AND STATISTICAL CRITICISM • • • • The explanatory variables in some studies are insignificant and not of the predicted sign Predictive power (R^2) of hypothesised models is low Crude measures (such as firm size) to operationalise political costs are not well defined in a theoretical sense nor in a measurement sense. One of researcher extend the sample of previous research and they found deterioration in predictive power of the model. PHILOSOPHICAL CRITICISM A researcher stated that positive accounting theory is not accounting theory but human behaviour theory (sociological approach) ● Positivism is no longer taken seriously ● Does not prescribe and therefore doesn’t provide a means to improve accounting practices. ● Contrary to its claim. Value-laden ISSUES FOR AUDITORS • • • • • • The demand for auditing can be explained by agency theory as part of the monitoring and bonding activity and costs Accounting numbers are used in contracting to determine management compensation and as the basis of debt covenants. These accounting numbers are required by law to be audited. Auditing is now a legal requirement, but there is evidence that auditing was voluntarily undertaken in the past DeAngelo: “larger auditor are higher quality auditors because they have more to lose” ● Research shown that higher quality auditors are demanded in situations where clients wish to signal that their account are of higher quality or where there are severe agency conflicts or weak control mechanisms Industry specialist auditors are able to demand higher audit fees, because clients will choose industry specialist auditors in the cases where the risk on that part is high, example: clients will demand R&D contract with specialist auditors when firms have highly discretionary expenditures on R&D growth options. The auditors will provide assurance that the expenditure on the R&D growth options is reported correctly, and therefore, the risk of underinvestment is lower Capital Market Research Philosophy of Positive Accounting Theory Has an economic focus and seeks to answer such questions as: • • • • What are the costs and benefits of using alternative accounting methods? What are the costs and benefits of regulation and the accounting standard setting process? What is the effect of reported financial statements on share prices? Which accounting valuation models are superior in predicting future prices, returns, earnings, or cash flow? Managers have discretion to choose accounting policies that directly maximize their utility (selfinterest) or to alter the firm’s financing, investment and production policies to indirectly maximize their selfinterest Strength of Positive Theory Dissatisfaction with prescriptive standards • • • • • Prescriptions not based on upon identified, empirical observations or method Normative Standards Theories are not falsifiable Do not explain and predict accounting practice Do not assess existing accounting practices Scope of Positive Accounting Theory Development divided in two stages First Stages • • Research into accounting and the behavioral of capital market Efficient market hypothesis and capital asset pricing model Second Stages • • Explain and predict accounting practices across the firms Two central focus in second stages is particular accounting choices for opportunity reasons and firms select accounting practices for effective reasons Capital Market Research and Efficient Markets hypothesis Importance of Capital Market Research in Positive Accounting Theory 1. It attempts to determine the impact of release of accounting information on share return 2. It considers the effects of changes in accounting policy on share prices Efficient Market Hypothesis reflect microeconomics price theory ( demand and supply of information in market ) Assumption of Efficient Market • • There are no transaction costs in trading securities Information is available cost- free to all market participants • There is agreement on the implications of current information for the current price and distributions of future prices Three form of efficient market hypothesis • • • Weak o Security’s price fully reflects past price information o Cannotprofit from price cycles Semi strong o Security’s price fully reflects publicly available information o Cannotprofit from trading strategies Strong o Security’s price fully reflects all information include non public information o Cannotprofit in all way Capital Market Research - Empirical research which uses statistical method to test hypotheses concerning capital market behavior . Market model - Model that used to research of the share prices and returns in effect of both market wide and firm specific events Assumption that used in Market model • • • • Investors are risk averse Return are normally distributed and investors select their portfolio on this basis Investors have homogeneous expectation Markets are complete Abnormal return in market model - Abnormal return derived from market model of residual error variable( firm specific factors) that being concerned by capital market researchers Impact of Accounting Profits Announcements on Share Prices Direction Determine the information content that accounting profit had for the stock market. • • • Normative theorists : historical cost profit is meaningless Study by Ball and Brown tested the usefulness of the historical cost profit figure to investment decisions Arguments : o If the information contained in profit figure were useful and informative, then share prices would adjust to reflect that information. -- In a ECM, this will occur before, or very quickly after, the profit figure is released. o Unexpected increases in profits represent new information for the market. Implications of Ball & Brown (1968) Results for Financial Accounting Theory 1. There was significant information content in the historical profit figure 2. There was a continuous release of information to the market 3. Market was reasonably consistent in anticipating the information in accounting reports Magnitude If an accounting profit release has information content, the magnitude of abnormal returns will be related to the magnitude of unexpected profits. (Beaver, Clarke, and Wight) Information Asymmetry and Firm Size • • • • • The smaller the firm, the more informationis contained in accounting reports. (Differential Information). The incentive to undertake research for mispricing is greater for large firms. Liquidity and contractual constraints drives the trading in large firms. Grant : the reaction of the market to annual profit announcements was greater for smaller OTC firms • Freeman : o Large firms provide a greater variety of information o Larger firms have a higher degree of exposure o Security prices of large firms reflect profit information earlier Magnitude of Profit Releases from Other Firms ‘Information Transfer’ Research Unexpected profits for one firm in a particular industry would transfer across the industry. • • • Foster : The variance of abnormal returns for competing firms increased when another firm in the same industry made a profit announcement. Clinch and Sinclair : The last firm in the industry to announce its profits, had the smallest share price reaction Freeman and Tse : The association between late announcers’ price reactions and early announcer’s news was strongest for those with the highest profit correlations Volatility If there is information content in profit announcements, larger price changes on the announcement date should be expected. • • Grant : OTC firms experience a greater variance of abnormal returns than NYSE firms at announcement date Accounting becomes more important as the size of the firm decreases and access to other information reduced. Association Studies and Earnings Response Coefficients (ERC) • • • • Accounting profit does capture a portion of information set that is reflected in security returns Competing sources of information pre-empted annual profits information by about 70-85%. Annual accounting figures are not timely. Association Studies : measure the impact of accounting measures on share prices over a longer event window (1 year or longer) ERC is found by an ordinary leastsquares regression with returns as the dependent variable and profits as the independent variable. The informativeness or valuerelevance of profits is assessed by R2 and the slope coefficient (ERC). Factors which can affect the ERC: • • Risk and Uncertainty Risk (beta) negatively affects the ERC. Uncertainty affect either the expected future economic benefits or the discount rate. Audit Quality Audit firm quality are positively related with audit firm size and specialization. Qualified reports and SEC sanctioned auditors lead to lower ERC. • • • • • • • • • Industry Firms within a particular industry should be homogenous in terms of outcome uncertainty. Industries with the greatest outcome uncertainty would have the greatest ERCs Interest Rates Collins and Kothari : ERS and the risk free rate of interest maintain temporal negative relationship. Financial Leverage Jeter and Chaney : negative association between ERC and leverage (DER) Default, maximum debt, and optimal leverage theorem. Firm Growth Expected growth (Market to Book Value ratio) is positively related with ERC. Permanent and Temporary Profits If an amount of unexpected profit was expected to persist, abnormal returns would be expected. (Positive relationship) Non-linear Modelling Freeman & Tse : an Sshaped arctan relationship with increased ERC and higher R2 Disaggregating Profits Direct estimates of return reactions to component shocks were positively associated with persistence measures across components. Alternative : decompose profits into cash flows and accrual components. Cash Flows Early research provided inconsistent results, but should be added as an additional explanatory variable for price. Sloan : significant economic profits can be made from investing in a hedged portfolio of high and low accrual firms. Balance Sheet and Its Component Ohlson : Balance sheet together with profit, provides a higher proportion of the explanatory power for price (up to about 70- 75%) Trading strategies Post announcement drift Found by Ball and brown and Ou and Penman’s deviation of a trading rule Post announcement drift occur where abnormal returns continue after a profit announcement , so that the information content within the profit announcement is not fully incorporated into share price at the date of announcement Ou and Penman examination Current year’s financial statement accounting information could be used to forecast the sign of the following year’s profit ( this examination result of return 12,6% market adjusted in 2 year holding period Reasons behind predictability abnormal return after announcement has become significant issues • • The magnitude of it is daunting The anomaly is ubiquitous • • • Anomaly is scientifically indisputable and has been replicated consistently and with increasing precision The anomaly implies that shares market grossly fail the test of competitive economic theory Anomaly challenges the underlying of most models in modern financial economics Sloan studies in long horizon The market behaves naively in that it takes the optimistic forecast at face value. Profit manipulation related Market fails to recognise profit manipulation that inferred in the basis of predictable subsequent negative long horizon price performance Implication to financial analyst • • Affiliated analyst vs unaffiliated analyst Profit figures used by financial analyst Winner / losers and overconfidence Shares that produce extreme positive or negative returns tend to be reversed in position in the future ( long term horizon ) Mechanistic or behavioral effect Market reacts mechanistically to changes in accounting numbers, regardless of whether they are cosmetic or have cash flow implication. This theory implication means that cosmetic accounting can fool market participant ‘No effects’ Hypothesis Market ignores accounting changes which have no cash flow consequences . means that cosmetic change in accounting that had no effect of cash flow does not produce abnormal return Manipulating accounting numbers Detecting the quality and probability of accounting management Sloan and other findings The manager cosmetic changes of accruals affect the share price. The market as whole does not have sophisticated of accruals, and hence overreacts to positive income - increasing accruals . Issues for auditors • • • • Qualified audit reports and SEC sanctions against auditors create signalling about lower quality of earnings and lower earnings response coefficient The firm that audited tend to have lower cost of capital than the same firm that not audited Changes auditor to big audit firms create a lower cost of capital The share price of client’s auditor if the audit firm filled with extraordinary cases Reasons for firms that have lower cost of capital when used big audits • • • Investors value either the quality of audit work and/or the insurance protection that the big audit firms provided The company is perceived as good investment by investors , and can provided to choose big auditors Other factors outside the choice of auditors and lower cost of capitals that affect the investor perception about the compan Behavioral Research in Accounting Definition and Scope Why Behavioural Accounting Research is Important? • • • Provides valuable insights into the ways different types of decision makers Provides useful information to accounting regulators BAR leads to efficiencies in the work practices of accountants and other professionals Development of Behavioural Accounting Research • • • 1954 o Human judgement theory research started 1967 o The term BAR appeared Last 30 Years o Explosion in BAR: o Auditing o Importance of judgement o Brunswik lens model Three major research approaches • • • Brunswik Lens Model o The dominant approach Process Tracing o Build representative decision trees Probabilistic Judgement o How do people actually use and process accounting information Brunswik Lens Model • • • Used as an analytical framework and the basis for most judgement studies o Prediction o Evaluation Used to investigate the relationship o Multiple cues and decisions o Judgements or predictions Usually has good predictive powers o Removes much of the random error due to human things Valuable insights Provided by Brunswik Lens Model • • • • • • Patterns of cue use evident in various tasks The degree of insight decision makers posses regarding their pattern of use of data Weights that decision makers implicitly place on a variety of information cues The consistency of human judgement over time The relative accuracy of Decision makers of different expertise levels in predicting and evaluating a variety of tasks The circumstances under which an expert system and/or ‘model of human behaviour’ outperforms humans Process Tracing Methods • • • • • • Decision maker be given a series of case studies to analyse but asked to verbally describe each step gone through when making the decision. These verbal descriptions are recorded by researchers and then analysed to produce a ‘decision tree’ diagram to represent the decision processes of decision maker. Hypothetical decision tree for a bank loan officer Not always a good predictors of the event of interest because decision makers often have difficulty explaining all the steps they go through for tasks that decision makers do routinely and often the task become familiar that the decision processes are implicit and unconscious. Classification and Regression Trees (CART) is combination of the lens and process tracing methods to overcome the general limitations of both. CART uses statistical methods to partition (or split) the output of a decision maker’s judgements into decision “nodes” that maximise the power of the model to correctly predict the classification of different cases into the right type of decision Probabilistic Judgment • • • • Useful for looking at situations in accounting where initial beliefs about prediction or evaluation once further evidence becomes available. Correct way to revise initial beliefs is by applying Bayes’s theorem. Accountants and auditors invoke a series of ‘rules of thumb’, because of the complexity of the types of judgements they need to make and their own information-processing limitations. The use of rules of thumb or biases simplify judgement tasks, represent an efficient and effective method of dealing with complexity and the limitations of human cognitive process Lens Model Studies -- the evidence • • Examine the accuracy of humans’ predictions of business failure. Model of human behaviour is developed using a mathematical representation of an individual’s pattern of use of the cues to analysis of the consistency of judgements and compare prediction to human. • The information overload literature has implications for the presentation and disclosure issue in financial accounting, it provides evidence of lower consensus and lower decision-making consistency for individuals experiencing overload. • • • • • As the amount of information increases, initially the use of and integration of the information increases. Beyond some point, additional information results in a decrease in the amount of information integrated into the decision-making task. The judgement confidence literature found that both expert and non-expert subjects are overconfident of their ability in specific judgement tasks. Stem from these factors o Tendency for humans to seek out and overweight positive feedback o Limited nature of feedback in many instances (e.g. in failure or distress prediction of the correctness of a decision not to lend is rarely evaluated) o Interdependency of actions and outcomes (e.g the act of lending/not lending itself influences success or failure) Sums of the findings: (Libby) In many important decision-making situations, the environmental predictability of available information is low. However, even in situations where environmental predictability is relatively high, poor judgemental achievement is the norm. Both human inconsistency and misweighting of cues contribute to the poor achievement. Combining quantitative information in repetitive tasks does not appear to be a function that people perform well. Thus, in these situations, replacing people with models (e.g. environmental regression models, models of man, and equal weighting models) shows promise for increasing predictive accuracy. Process Tracing Studies – Evidence Brunswik lens models and process tracing style are different technologies with the same objective of modelling decision processes as completely as possible • • Brunswick lens model treat the decision process as a simple linear combination of the information cues Process Tracing generate a decision tree that comes from acknowledging the step-by-step nature of decision making, in which the information content of one piece of data interacts with another pieces of data The majority of these studies conclude that the Brunswik lens assumption is justified, but there is evidence to suggest that the Tracing Process method is a favorable modeling technique for representing decision making in some contexts. → because studies in business context found evidence of statistically significant interactions between information items This has also been studied by Larcker and Lessig (LL), and Selling and Shank (SS), where: • • LL found that tracing process models outperformed the statistical liner models Meanwhile SS found that when two approaches were compared in a task involving the prediction of backruptcy. This reflects that the types of decision tasks require different decision processing styles. As always, the complexity of human decision making means more in-depth research is needed, to understand what types of decision task characteristics determine the most appropriate information processing style FORMAT AND PRESENTATION OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 3 Options for Improved Decision Making • • • Changing the presentation and amount of information Educating decision makers Replacing decision makers with a model of themselves or with an ideal cue-weighting model WHY? Surprisingly little research has been undertaken in ascertaining ideal accounting presentation formats The studies have tended to examine radical changes to financial statements presentation in the form of multidimensional graphics The lens model changing the format of the information report results in an increase in one of the characteristics above, so that the accuracy of human judgment will increase Chernoff faces representing changes in financial condition The faces are constructed by mapping transformed variable onto facial features. Mathematical precision in term of nose length, brow angle, and mouth curvature, is used to represent changes in financial position from one period to the next Conclusions? MIXED RESULT This finding is of concern in today's era when many companies are turning to the internet and multimedia-style (graphic oriented and more colour) presentations to communicate with stakeholders. No well developed and tested theory PROBABILISTIC JUDGEMENT STUDIES – EVIDENCE Three rules of thumb (heuristics) : • • Representativeness items that are viewed by the decision maker a being more representative will be assessed as having a higher probability of occurrence than those that are less representative Availability the assessment of the probability of an event based on the ease with which instances of that event come to mind. • Anchoring and Adjustment general judgement process in which an initially generated or given response serves as an anchor, and other information is used to adjust that response. the consequence is the possibility of insufficient adjustment in the light of changing circumstances Representativeness: The Evidence When judging the probability that a particular item comes from a particular population of items, people’s judgement will be determined by the extent to which the item is representative of the population • • • Availability The assessment of the probability of an event is based on the ease with which instances of that event come to mind Anchoring and adjustment An initially given response serves as an anchor, and other information is used to adjust that response Expert Judgement The research involving experts judgement is concerned with examining the thought processes of experts and the determinants of expertise Accounting and Behaviour Accounting exists as a direct function of the activities of individuals or groups of individuals (defined as accounting entities). • • • • Accounting is a direct function of human behaviour and activity → influence behaviour both in methods adopted to measure and report information, and in response to the information disclosed. Accounting no longer seen as mere assembly of calculative routines, it now functions as cohesive and influential mechanism for economic and social management. (Burchell et al.) Accounting system is a fundamental component of organisation’s architecture, with senior managers consistently seeking to adapt the architecture to ensure the best structure of the firm. (Zimmerman) Factors affecting accounting system (Zimmerman): • Accounting information affects the behaviour of individuals both within an entity and external to it and the influence is two-way Limitations of BAR • • • • Frequent contradictions between the findings of similar studies. It means that human information processing is far more complex than the development of current research theories and methods. Maines argued: o Studies on the same topic have produced conflicting results, preventing conclusive guidance for policy decisions. o The experimental subjects and settings used in these studies often differ from those found in real judgment settings. o Accounting researchers have questioned whether policy should be influenced by research on individual decision makers. Major limitation of BAR is lack of single underlying theory to unify diverse research questions and findings. BAR researchers have borrowed from a multitude of disciplines and contexts and have no common framework. A single theory is unlikely in the foreseeable future. Issues for Auditors Industry specialist auditors outperform other auditors when they are in their specialist industry environment. There are complex interactions between experience and context in auditors’ reporting decisions Investors react as though they perceive auditor independence is impaired when auditors receive non-audit service revenue from their audit clients even if actual auditor independence is not affected Standard Setting: Economic & Political Issues Standard Setting: Economic Issues Regulation Information as a Commodit Demand = Information demanded by decision maker Supply = Information supplied by firms, managers, analysts, media. Two Incentives for Firms to Produce Information • • Private Incentives o Market forces motivate firms to produce information Regulatory Incentives o Information production required by regulation In practice, firms face a mixture of private and regulatory incentives to produce information Two Types of Information • • Proprietary Information o information that if released, would directly affect future cash flows of the firm. Non-Proprietary Information o Information that, if released, does not directly affect firm cash flows Ways to Characterize Information Production • • • Finner Information o Expanded note disclosure o Additional line items Additional Information o Current value accounting o MD&A Credibility o Audit increases financial statement credibility First-Best Information Production Amount that equates the marginal social benefits of information production to the marginal social costs of information production. Benefits • • • • Better-informed investment decisions Possible lower costs of capital for firms producing the Information Better-working markets due to greater investor confidence resulting from lower adverse selection and moral hazard Reduction of monopoly power Cost • • • Direct costs (preparation, releasing) Possible release of proprietary information Possible increased contracting costs A Closer Look at Market-Based Incentives The Disclosure Principle “ A simple argument can be made that suggests that a manager will release all information, good or bad.” Signalling to signal investors their company is better than the others • Accounting - relevant signals (can be multiple signals) o Accounting policy : the conservative, the better o Audit quality : the higher quality auditors hired, the better o Capital structure : the less shares issued, the better o Dividend policy : double edged sword o Forecast : the higher quality good news forecast, the better o Regulation destroys ability to signal A signal is an action taken by a high-type manager that would not be rational if that manager was low type • • • High type vs low type o High types want to separate from low Crucial aspect of a signal o Must be less costly for high types to signal Diversity may not be as bad as it suggested o Diversity of reporting practices is desirable Private Information Search • • Investors have incentive to search for information o Complements information production by firms o By limiting the time available to insiders to capitalize on inside information, the severity of the adverse selection problem is reduced Socially very costly o o o Wasteful efforts for the same information Less wasteful if search affects cost of capital Hirshleifer (1971) : Society can benefits from private information search if private information goes public Market Failure in the Production of Information EXTERNALITIES An action taken by a firm or individual that imposes costs or benefits on other firms or individuals for which the entity creating the externality is not charged or does not receive revenue. FREE-RIDING is the receipt by a firm or individual of a benefit from an externality at little or no cost. How Much Information is Enough? No one Knows, Given these complex cost-benefit considerations, we simple do not know how much regulation is enough. Numerous market-based reasons why firms want to produce information. But, numerous sources of market failure also The Adverse Selection Problem There are two version of adverse selection problem: • • The problem of insider trading Insiders, including managers, generate excessive profits by trading on the basis of their insider information. A second version arises when managers who are privy to bad news about the firm’s future do not release that information. The Moral Hazard Problem Moral hazard occurs when an entity has an incentive to increase its exposure to risk because it does not bear the full costs of that risk. Moral hazard can occur under a type of information asymmetry where the risk-taking party to a transaction knows more about its intentions than the party paying the consequences of the risk. Unanimity A characteristic of economies with markets that don't work well is a lack of unanimity, that derives from the effects of adverse selection and moral hazard. Blazenko and Scott (1986) : While the firm manager was motivated to choose an audit quality that would maximize firm market value, all shareholders would prefer a higher-quality audit. The shareholders’ reason is a higher-quality audit will add credibility to the firm’s financial statement and it will provide a form of insurance. Standard Setting: Political Issues • • • • From an economic perspective, the question of the extent of regulation of accounting and reporting standards is unsettled. Information asymmetry (and the resulting problems of moral hazard and adverse selection), which creates the demand for information production by firms, also created a demand for regulation of that information production. This is because of the problem of unanimity that may result in investors to push for regulation to remedy the perceived deficiency. To understand regulation of information production, we must look at political aspects as well as economics. Conflict and Compromise • • • • Amendment “Prudential Oversight of Accounting Principles and Standards that Pose Systemic Risk” The American Bankers Association supported the amendment Strong objection by other constituencies. The amendment was withdrawn and replaced. Distribution of the Benefits of Information, Regulation FD a complication of standard setting is the distribution of the benefits of information production among interest groups. Questions of the distribution of economic benefits are difficult, since they also involve value judgments of fairness among affected parties. Consequently, maximizing the pie is not the only consideration that standard setters face. Value judgments about who is entitled to property rights arise because individual utilities cannot in general be aggregated into a social preference ordering Criteria for Standard Setting Decision usefulness the empirical value relevance studies, the more informative about future firm performance an information system is, the stronger will be investor reaction to information produced by the system. Economic consequences standard setters should weigh the possible economic consequences of new standards as an important source of cost that will affect both the need for the standard and the willingness of constituencies to accept it. Reduction of information asymmetry market forces operate to motivate management and investors to generate information. Standard setters should be aware of these forces Consensus Standard setters, in effect, must engineer a consensus sufficiently strong that even a constituency that does not like a new standard will nevertheless go along with it Regulators Information Asymmetry More recently, the theory of regulation has formally recognized that, like everybody else, the regulator faces information asymmetry—much of the information needed by the regulator, such as financial information International Integration of Capital Markets Effects of Customs and Institutions on Financial Reporting Code law countries • • • Greater influence of families and banks in corporate governance than in common law countries Lower moral hazard problem Shows up as less timely and less conservative reporting, even if country has adopted IASB standards Implication that investors should be aware of local practices and customs when interpreting financial statements, even if country uses IASB standards Role of Auditor • • • Even high quality standards must be enforced Protection of small investors Auditors may be under great pressure from controlling interest Benefits of high quality accounting standards • • Adoption of high-quality accounting standards is potentially worthwhile, since economies with relatively weak regulatory environments may benefit from higher-quality reporting and consequent strengthening of their capital and managerial labour markets Many research about benefits of adopting high quality accounting standards is good for market Contemporary Issues in Accounting and Auditing Sustainability and Environmental Accounting Sustainability accounting is a subset of social accounting Social accounting as a combination of accounting for different things, in different media to different users, for different people Social accounting and reporting aims at observing and assimilating issue not necessarily covered by the traditional accounting function into a form that can be used for decision making by individuals not necessarily directly or only concerned with the financial success of the entity. Sustainability can be regarded as meeting the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs environmental protection and justice between peoples and generation Recent development in sustainability reporting • • • Global Reporting Initiative = an independent international organization that has pioneered sustainability reporting. The GRI Guidelines form the basis of the sustainability disclosure framework and contain principles and guidelines plus catch standards for all types of organizations Sustainability reports also increasingly being audited or reviewed by independent auditors. o More credibility = seek more assurance o Little authoritative guidance Trends in sustainability reporting assurance an important ingredient in the usefullness of company financial report is independent assurance of the reports independent assurance provides confidence to stakeholders about the credibility, relevance, and reliability of the reports. Some companies are now seeking assurance for their sustainability reports different betweet audit and review Audit: Provides a reasonable level of assurance Review: provides only a limited level of assurance Why seek assurance for sustainability report Auditing is argued to provide benefits by increasing the credibility of management-prepared financial statement and improving the quality of an entity's accounting system based on feedback from the auditing process. Applying that theory to sustainability assurance suggest that companies with the most to gain from increasing the credibility of their reports are more likely to seek assurance Sustainability assurance standards there is limited authoritative guidance for assurance engagment on sustainability reports and carbon emissions information. ISAE 3000, Assurance Enggagements Other that Audits or Reviews of Historical Financial Information provides some general guidance but does not addres specific issue in sustainability and carbon emissions reports. aa1000as provides guidance on sustainability assurance reports that evaluate an entity adhere to the AA1000 Acountability principle and the quality of publicly disclosed information on sustainability performance Corporate reporting on the SDGs: what are the challenges and opportunities? Improving Data Quality and Addressing Gaps • • • Deeper Connections o Overall, deeper connections between material topics with SDG targets and corporate priorities are needed. Opportunities o There are opportunities to further explore the links between SDG priorities and the contributions of companies in the countries and jurisdictions where they operate. Positive Contributions o Corporate reporting on the SDGs often focuses on positive contributions that companies make to the SDGs, with a lack of transparency and accountability for negative impacts. Reporting That Has Impact • • • • • SDG Priorities o Identifying SDG priorities throughout the value chain is a complex undertaking, as is demonstrating the cause-and-effect relationship between SDG contributions and business performance. Challenge o Moreover, because of the interconnected and interdependent nature of the SDGs, companies need to identify and take account of synergies and trade-offs between positive and negative impacts. Challenge o Efforts to quantify impacts on the SDGs and contextualize them (for example, considering the social thresholds and planetary boundaries) needs strengthened. Move Beyond o That is why it is necessary to move beyond assessing activities and outputs, and focus on how to disclose outcomes and impacts. Crucial o This is crucial as it enables businesses to manage their performance and demonstrate accountability for their impacts. Making Reporting Relevant to Stakeholders • • Opportunity o There is increasing interest from a wide range of stakeholders in business contribution to the SDGs, including how companies are aligning products, services and business strategy with the SDGs. Opportunity o • Policy makers, investors, consumers, labor organizations and civil society all increasingly demand that companies show transparency through providing quality data and balanced reporting. Challenge o Different stakeholders have different expectations and data requests. Business can take to provide more strategic and relevant information Developments Related to the Use of XBRL in Digital Financial Reporting XBRL (EXTENSIBLE BUSINESS REPORT LANGUAGE) Universal electronic communication languange that is used for the transmission and exchange of business information. Allows financial information to be presented in an interactive way that in turn allows individual items of data to be extracted by software to produce reports custom designed by individual users. WHY IS XBRL APPLIED? • • • Improving the efficiency, comprehensiveness, and reliability of data collection process. Increasing the competitiveness of the data products offered by stock exchange to investors. Improving the information's transparency and quality WORKFLOW OF XBRL Benefits of XBRL XBRL Development in Indonesia Stock Exchange Issues Related to XBRL Whether the current auditing approach of reconciling a paper version of XBRL-related documents to the information in the official SEC filing is sufficient. • • • Plumlee and Plumplee suggest that the provision of XBRL information is an extension of the traditional reporting paradigm that will alter the way financial and non-financial data can be used. This paradigm shift requires auditors to consider much deeper questions than mere reconciliation of output. These questions include: What constitutes an error in XBRL What does materiality mean when individual pieces of financial data will be used outside the context of the financial statements? Materiality is traditionally assessed as the impact of users' decision, and quantitative guidelines suggest that the item is to be considered in an isolation and in aggregate, and in proportion to the relative base, such as profit. If the data are accessible in isolation or in new combinations, these materiality guidelines cannot be interpreted in the same way. Plumlee and Plumlee join Haka in calling for more research to understand the advantages and disadvantages of XBRL and its impact on the future of financial reporting and auditing The Development of Earnings Management Research: A Review of Literature From Three Different Perspectives Earnings Management Purposeful intervention in financial reporting, designed to reach earnings targets by varying accounting practices. However, it is an action which takes place without necessarily violating accounting regulations, and which takes advantage of the possibilities of choice in accounting policy. The action may mislead stakeholders, causing them to make decisions on the basis of financial re-ports that they would not have made otherwise. The Developments From Three Main Perspectives • • • Chronological o The evolution of earnings management and determining the most key milestones in understanding the phenomenon of earnings management. Methodological o Focuses on the problem of measuring earnings management, and the development of new ways to detect and measure earnings management. Cross-country o The evolution of interests on issue of earnings management from the point of view of the origin of the sample (the country of origin of the sample). Chronological Perspective Study of Jones (1991) • She uses discretionary accruals as a measure for the scope of earnings management. It is a different, much more precise methodology, as the previous studies used total ac-accruals as a proxy. • • • • • • • She separates the total accruals on the discretionary part (manageable) and non-discretionary (nonmanageable) part of accruals Her study tests whether firms that would benefit from import relief (for example, tariff increases and quota reductions) attempt to decrease earnings through earnings management during import relief. It is also a new insight into the development of earnings management literature. Her results of empirical tests reports support the initial hypothesis suggesting that managers make incomedecreasing accruals during import relief investigations. Earnings management is an issue which has been influenced by many factors and circumstances. Different topics on earnings management have been shown which are related to the present situation of the markets, such as: o Why managers manage earnings o Which factors may influence the managers’ decision to opt for earnings management o How effectively they measure the manipulation o How the concept is defined. The major intensification of studies is between 2006 and 2010. Moreover in the previous five years (2001–2005) the tendency on improvement on research on earnings management was also observed. All these investigations lead to underlining the importance of reporting information and the strong demand for quality information. Methodological Perspective McNichols (2000) distinguishes three main research designs commonly used in the literature: • • • • • • • Aggregate accruals o Attempt to identify discretionary accruals based on the relation between total accruals and hypothesized explanatory factors. Model a Specific accrual o Focus on industry settings in which a single accrual is sizable and requires substantial judgment. Examine the statistical properties of earnings o Focus on the behaviour of earnings around a specified benchmark, such as zero or a prior quarter’s earnings, to test whether the incidence of amounts above and below the benchmark are distributed smoothly, or reflect discontinuities due to the exercise of discretion. Possibly the main advance in measuring earnings management is provided by Jones (1991). Her model is still one of the most popular accrual estimation models in earnings management research. She relaxes the assumption that non-discretionary accruals are constant. She estimates nondiscretionary accruals as a regression which includes change in sales and the level of property, plant and equipment as explanatory variables. Later studies demonstrated and explained some limitations of the Jones model. This perspective is related to the use of different models to detect earnings management • • We pointed out the important limitations of the different models to help future researchers opt for the most appropriate model for their particular research environment, as the perfect model for measuring earnings management does not exist. Authors increasingly tried to use other metrics for measuring the discretionary part of accruals Country Perspective The country analysis is a new perspective presented. This section comprises a very useful set of country of origin bibliographical references for earnings management investigators. Leuz et al. (2003), for example, state that earnings management is more pervasive in countries where the legal protection of outside investors is weak.