REVIEWER IN CCMS CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION Introduction Management science is s tool used by managers and administration in the performance of their most vital task; making crucial decisions. Common management decisions, such as inventory management, forecasting, project management, and operational efficiency, require an objective basis when choosing best solutions. MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Refers to the process of administering and controlling the affairs of the organization by creating an environment that will contribute to achieving the business goals effectively and efficiency. Managers need successfully execute the ff function: 1. 2. 3. 4. Planning Organizing Leading Controlling The management science approach views that precise decision are product of the ff: 1. Analysis of the circumstances that can be measured 2. Verification of the quantifiable relationship 3. Test to determine the presence of cause and effect relationship among factors or variables. Definition of management science 1. Operation Research is defined as the scientific process of transforming data into insights to make better decisions. 2. Quantitative analysis is the process of collecting and evaluating measurable and verifiable data, such as revenues, market shares, and wages to understand the behavior and performance of a business. 3. According to Lancaster University, management science can be defined as a concept that is “concerned with developing and applying models and concepts that help to illuminate issues and solve managerial problems”. The approach is essentially interested in looking at an organization and finding ways it can manage itself better and improve its productivity. 4. Management science, an approach to decision-making based on the scientific method, makes extensive use of quantitative analysis. Special Characteristics of Management Science 1. A primary focus on management decision making 2. The application of the scientific approach to decision making 3. The examination of the decision situation from a broad perspective 4. The use of methods and knowledge from several disciplines 5. A reliance on formal mathematical models 6. The use of technology such as computers, software or applications AREAS OF application Inventory Controlmeans managing your inventory levels to ensure that you are keeping the optimal amount of each product. Proper inventory control can keep track of your purchase orders and keep a functional supply chain. Systems can be put in place to help with forecasting and allow you to set reorder points, too. Facility Design-is the overall layout of your facility -- including the equipment, work stations, offices, fixtures, machinery, and more. Product-mix determination-also known as product assortment, refers to the total number of product lines a company offers to its customers. The four dimensions to a company's product mix include width, length, depth and consistency. Portfolio analysis for securities The analysis of various tradable financial instruments is called security analysis. Security analysis helps a financial expert or a security analyst to determine the value of assets in a portfolio. Scheduling and sequencing-is the order of processing a set of tasks over available resources. Scheduling involves sequencing'' task of allocating as well as the determination of process commencement and completion times i.e., time-tabling. Transportation planning-is a cooperative process designed to foster involvement by all users of the system, such as businesses, community groups, environmental organizations, the traveling public, freight operators, and the general public, through a proactive public participation process. Design of management information systems-is a formal method of making available to management, the accurate and timely information to facilitate the decision-making process. Allocation of scarce resourcesapportionment of productive assets among different uses. Resource allocation arises as an issue because the resources of a society are in limited supply, whereas human wants are usually unlimited, and because any given resource can have many alternative uses. Investment decisions or capital budgeting- is the process by which investors determine the value of a potential investment project. Project management-focuses on planning and organizing a project and its resources. This includes identifying and managing the lifecycle to be used, applying it to the user-centered design process, formulating the project team, and efficiently guiding the team through all phases until project completion. New product decisions- are based on how much the organisation has to adjust the product on the standardisation - adaptation continuum to differing market conditions. Manpower or sales force management decisions- The main objective of sales force management is to optimise the performance of the sales and marketing teams. We could even say that sales force management is a strategy to increase business sales since it also relates to performance and results. Market research decisions-This process provides a simple way to get the information you need to address any problem using the marketing Research. Research and development decisions- includes activities that companies undertake to innovate and introduce new products and services. It is often the first stage in the development process. The goal is typically to take new products and services to market and add to the company's bottom line. Pricing decisions- is a process whereby a business sets the price at which it will sell its products and services, and may be part of the business marketing plan. Distribution decisions-refer to all decisions that ensure the efficient delivery of goods and services to the end user. Credit policy analysis-evaluates the riskiness of debt instruments issued by companies or entities to measure the entity's ability to meet its obligations Machine setup problems in productions-During the manufacturing process, there are many production issues that can occur: poor quality, long lead times, high on-hand inventory, supply chain interruptions, etc. These things all affect the product you’re putting out there, which in turn affects the public’s perception of your brand. Research and development effectiveness -measured according to your company's strategy and project constraints. FEATURES OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Management science is characterized as a managerial decision-making's focal point because of the following: 1. the implementation of the scientific approach 2. the use of a systematic process to solve problems 3. the use of an interdisciplinary approach 4. the utilization of mathematical tools 5. the use of some software application As a crucial management responsibility, decision-making includes the following steps: Step 1. Defining a problem Step 2. Collecting information Step 3. Identifying alternatives Step 4. Weighing the alternatives Step 5. Selecting the best possible option Step 6. Planning and implementing Step 7. Reviewing and evaluating the outcome It consists of systematic observation, measurement, experiment, and the formulation of questions or hypotheses The steps in a scientific method consist of the following: Step 1. Formulate the question or hypothesis. Step 2. Collect data. Step 3. Test hypothesis. Step 4. Draw a conclusion. Systems are divided into three welldefined parts: Inputs Competitive Models. Competitive models (or game theory) present an analytical framework on the behavior of competing players in the achievement of their conflicting goals. Network Models. Network models are employed for proper management of interrelated activities or "networks," such as large construction projects. These models apply techniques that will improve the coordination of subtasks while providing ways to use resources efficiently. Dynamic Programming Models. Dynamic programming models deal with the optimization of multistage decision situations. These models solve the original problem by subdividing it into sub-problems that will be worked out sequentially. Processes Outputs Outside the system exist elements in the environment: social, political, legal, physical, economic, and technological. TOOLS OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Allocation Models. Allocation models are used for problems involving the allocation of resources to obtain optimal effectiveness. Inventory Models. Inventory models determine the best inventory model and the best time to place an order. Queuing Models. Queuing models or waiting lines demonstrate how to achieve an ideal balance between providing an appropriate level of service and the waiting time of a customer in a queuing system. Markov Analysis. Markov analysis describes and forecasts the possible outcome of a system that undergoes transition over time. Decision Analysis Models. Decision analysis models are employed for managerial situations involving the selection of an optimal course of action given potential return and the corresponding probabilities of the states of nature. Forecasting. Forecasting involves the prediction of the future under various scenarios. LESSON 2.3 Feasible and Infeasible Solutions. A feasible solution requires that all conditions and constraints given on the problem are satisfied Defiance of said constraints would cause the unacceptability of the solution. Thus, the said solution is considered infeasible. Optimal and Non-Optimal Solutions. The best among all feasible solutions is called an optimal solution. All possible feasible solutions have to be examined before an optimal solution will be chosen. A nonoptimal solution is a feasible solution that is not considered optimal. Unique and Multiple Solutions. If there will be a single optimal solution, it will be classified as a unique solution. On the other hand, if there will be more optimal solutions, then there are "multiple solutions." Greater flexibility is presented by the latter case, which is considered more favorable by management. SOLUTION TO SITUATION UNDER UNCERTAINTY THE CRITERION OF EQUAL PROBABILITY (LAPLACE) CHAPTER 3 DECISION THEORY DECISION THEORY deals with methods in determining the optimal course of action when a number of alternatives are available and their consequences cannot be forecast with certainty. Solution to Decision under Risk CRITERION OF PESSIMISM (MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM) CRITERION OF OPTIMISM (MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM) COEFICIENT OF OPTIMISM (HURWICZ CRITERION) CRITERION OF REGRET (SAVAGE’S CRITERION)