Problem Set 1 Asset Pricing 1 Stefanie Schraeder 31 October 2022 Notes for the solution - No sample solution! Important Notes: • The solutions to the problem set have to be HANDWRITTEN and READABLE. • Solutions have to be uploaded on Moodle before Monday 7 November 2022 8am. • Solutions have to be developed by each student individually! • Formulas, which were not derived in the lecture, cannot be used without derivation. • If you are stuck at some point, please make a reasonable assumption and continue with the rest of the exercise. • Round your results to four digits after the decimal point, percentages to two digits after the decimal point. Exercise: Consider thecase of three assets (A,B, and C). The corresponding expected returns are 0.07 1 0.5 0.4 1 0.5 µ= 0.10 and the correlation matrix is Π = 0.5 . 0.06 0.4 0.5 1 The return variances of the asset returns are σA2 = 0.04, σB2 = 0.09, σC2 = 0.04. The risk-free rate is rf = 0.02. a) Determine the covariance matrix. 0.04 0.03 0.016 Σ = 0.03 0.09 0.03 0.016 0.03 0.04 b) For a required expected return µ̄ = 0.09, determine the portfolio return volatility as 1 a square root of a polynomial function of λC . (For this subquestion, do not use matrix notation) λA = 1 − λB − λC 0.09 = (1 − λB − λC ) · 0.07 + λB · 0.10 + λC · 0.06 0.02 = 0.03λB − 0.01λC λB = 32 + 31 λC λA = 1 − λB − λC = 1 − 23 − 31 λC − λC = 13 − 43 λC σP2 F = 0.04 · 1 3 − 43 λC 2 + 0.09 · 2 3 + 31 λC 2 + 0.04 · λ2C + 2 · 0.03 · 1 3 − 43 λC · 2 3 + 13 λC +2 · 0.016 · 13 − 34 λC λC + 2 · 0.03 · 32 + 13 λC · λC [4 · (1 − 8λC + 16λ2C ) + 9 · (4 + 4λC + λ2C ) + 36 · λ2C + 6 · (2 − 8λC + λC − 4λ2C ) = 0.01 9 +3.2 · (3λC − 12λ2C ) + 6 · (6λC + 3λ2C )] = 0.01 [(4 + 36 + 12) + (−32 + 36 − 48 + 6 + 9.6 + 36)λC + (64 + 9 + 36 − 24 − 38.4 + 18)λ2C ] 9 0.52 = 9 + 0.076 λC + 0.646 λ2C 9 9 2 = 0.0578 + 0.0084λC + 0.0718λ qC Thus, the volatility is σP F = 0.0578 + 0.0084λC + 0.0718λ2C c) For a required expected return µ̄ = 0.09, determine the portfolio weights and the volatility of the portfolio with the lowest return volatility. (For this subquestion, do not use matrix notation) Minimizing the volatility with respect to λC leads to the first order condition: ∂σP F 1 · (0.0084 + 0.14369λC ) = 0 = 0.5 √ 2 ∂λC 0.0578+0.0084λC +0.0718λC λC = −0.0084 = −0.0585 0.14369 4 1 λA = 3 − 3 λC = 0.4113 λB = 23 + 31 λC = 0.6472 √ σP F = 0.0578 − 0.0084 · 0.0585 + 0.0718 · 0.05852 = 0.2399 d) Generalize your finding in c) for a general required expected return µ̄ and use it obtain the volatility of the overall minimum variance portfolio. (For this subquestion, do not use matrix notation) λA = 1 − λB − λC µ̄ = (1 − λB − λC ) · 0.07 + λB · 0.10 + λC · 0.06 µ̄ − 0.07 = 0.03 · λB − 0.01λC λB = µ̄−0.07 + 13 λC 0.03 µ̄−0.07 λA = 1 − 0.03 − 31 λC − λC = 0.10−µ̄ − 43 λC 0.03 σP2 F = 0.04 · +2 · 0.03 · 0.10−µ̄ 0.03 0.10−µ̄ − 0.03 µ̄−0.07 + 0.03 − 43 λC 2 4 λ 3 C 1 λ 3 C 2 · + 0.09 · µ̄−0.07 0.03 µ̄−0.07 0.03 + 13 λC 2 + 0.04 · λ2C + 13 λC + 2 · 0.016 · 0.10−µ̄ 0.03 − 43 λC λC +2 · 0.03 · · λC 0.01 = 9 (400 + 40000µ̄ + 64λ2C − 8000µ̄ − 320λC + 3200µ̄λC + 90000µ̄2 + 441 + 9λ2C − 12600µ̄ +1800µ̄λC − 126λC + 36λ2C + 6000µ̄ − 420 + 60λC − 60000µ̄2 + 4200µ̄ − 600µ̄λC − 2400µ̄λC +168λC − 24λ2C + 96λC − 960µ̄λC − 38.4λ2C + 1800µ̄λC − 126λC + 18λ2C ) 2 = 0.01 · (421 + 70000µ̄2 + 64.6λ2C − 10400µ̄ − 248λC + 2840µ̄λC ) 9 = 0.0718λ2C + λC · (−0.2756 + 3.1556µ̄) + 0.4678 + 77.7778µ̄2 − 11.5556µ̄ We determine the optimal portfolio weights, by differentiating with respect to λC . This leads to the first order condition: 0.1436λC − 0.2756 + 3.1556µ̄ = 0 λC = 1.9192 − 21.9749µ̄ + 13 (1.9192 − 21.9749µ̄) = −1.6936 + 26.0084µ̄ λB = µ̄−0.07 0.03 λA = 1 −B −λC = 1 − 1.9192 + 21.9749µ̄ + 1.6936 − 26.0084µ̄ = 0.7744 − 4.0335µ̄ The resulting minimum volatility as a function of the required expected return is σP F = h 0.04 · (0.7744 − 4.0335µ̄)2 + 0.09 · (−1.6936 + 26.0084µ̄)2 + 0.04 · (1.9192 − 21.9749)2 +0.06·(0.7744 − 4.0335µ̄)·(−1.6936 + 26.0084µ̄)+0.032·(0.7744 − 4.0335µ̄) (1.9192 − 21.9749µ̄) +0.06 · (−1.6936 + 26.0084µ̄) · (1.9192 − 21.9749µ̄)]0.5 We want the overall minimum volatility portfolio. Thus, we differentiate with respect to µ̄ to find the minimum: ∂σP F = 0.5 · σP1F (−0.2499 + 1.3015µ̄ − 7.9286 + 121.7586µ̄ − 3.3739 + 38.6317µ̄ ∂ µ̄ +1.2085 + 0.4099 − 12.5886µ̄ − 0.5446 − 0.2477 + 5.6727µ̄ + 2.9949 + 2.2330 −68.5838µ̄ = 0 5.4984 = 86.1921µ̄ µ̄ = 0.0638 The corresponding portfolio weights are: λC = 1.9192 − 21.9749 · 0.0638 = 0.5172 λB = −1.6936 + 26.0084 · 0.0638 = −0.0344 λA = 0.7744 − 4.0335 · 0.0638 = 0.5172 The corresponding volatility of the minimum variance portfolio is: σM V P = (0.04 · 0.51722 − 0.06 · 0.5172 · 0.0344 + 0.032 · 0.51722 0.5 +0.09 · 0.03442 − 0.06 · 0.5172 · 0.0344 + 0.04 · 0.51722 ) = 0.1671 e) Agent 1 has the preference µP F − 0.5 · σP2 F . Calculate the optimal investment in the risky assets. maxλ (µ − 0.02)T λ − 21 λT Σλ FOC: (µ − 0.02)T − λT Σ = 0 −1 λ1 = Σ (µ − 0.02) 34.7222 −9.2593 −6.9444 Σ−1 = −9.2593 17.2840 −9.2593 −6.9444 −9.2593 34.7222 0.05 (µ − 0.02) = 0.08 0.04 34.7222 −9.2593 −6.9444 0.05 0.7176 λ1 = −9.2593 17.2840 −9.2593 · 0.08 = 0.5494 −6.9444 −9.2593 34.7222 0.04 0.3009 f) Determine agent 1’s optimal investment in the risk-free asset and determine the portfolio weights of the tangency portfolio. 3 λ0,1 = 1 − 0.7176 − 0.5494 − 0.3009 = −0.5679 0.7176 0.4577 1 1 λT = 1.5679 λ1 = 1.5679 0.5494 = 0.3504 0.3009 0.1919 g) Provide the formula for the capital market line. µT = λTT · µ = 0.0786 T σT2 = λ qT ΣλT = 0.0374 σT = σT2 = 0.1934 µ −r µ = rf + TσT f σ = 0.02 + 0.0586 σ 0.1934 = 0.02 + 0.3030σ h) Determine the risk-aversion coefficient b2 of the agent 2, who holds the tangency portfolio exactly. λ2 = λT = 1 λ. b2 1 From f) we know λT = 1 λ. 1.5679 1 Thus, b2 = 1.5679 i) The price vector of the assets is p = (50, 100, 200)T . How many units of each asset does investor 1 hold, if his/her total wealth is 1000 EUR. λA,1 ·1000 = 717.6 = 14.3520 pA 50 λB,1 ·1000 549.4 θB,1 = pB = 100 = 5.4940 λc,1 ·1000 θc,1 = pc = 300.9 = 1.5045 200 θA,1 = k) In total there are 4 investors in the economy, each having 1000 EUR wealth. The net investment in the risk-free asset is 1000 EUR. Calculate the market capitalization of each of the three risky assets. The total investment in the risky assets is 4000 EUR - 1000 EUR = 3000 EUR. CapA = 3000 · 0.4577 = 1373.0000 CapB = 3000 · 0.3504 = 1051.2000 CapC = 3000 · 0.1919 = 575.8000 4