Introduction to Market Research The Scientific Method Research as defined is a careful consideration of study regarding a particular concern or a problem using scientific methods. As future marketing professionals, marketing students must equip themselves with the knowledge of research in marketing. In structure, if not always in application, the scientific method is simple and consists of the following steps: 1. Observation. This is the problem-awareness phase, which involves observing a set of significant factors that relate to the problem situation. 2. Formulation of hypotheses. In this stage, a hypothesis (i.e., a generalization about reality that permits prediction) is formed that postulates a connection between seemingly unrelated facts. In a sense, the hypothesis suggests an explanation of what has been observed. 3. Prediction of the future. After hypotheses are formulated, their logical implications are deduced. This stage uses the hypotheses to predict what will happen. 4. Testing the hypotheses. This is the evidence collection and evaluation stage. From a research project perspective this is the design and implementation of the main study. Conclusions are stated based on the data collected and evaluated. Marketing research is about collecting information. Fundamental research seeks to extend the boundaries of knowledge in a given area and doesn’t necessarily solve your immediate problems. Applied research gathers information to solve a specific problem or set of problems. Problem Solving Research covers a) Segmentation researches determine the basis of segmentation, establish market potential and responsiveness for various segments, select target markets and create lifestyle profiles: demography, media, and product image characteristics b) Product Researches includes test concept, determine optimal product design, package tests, product modification, brand positioning and repositioning, test marketing, and control score tests c) Pricing research covers the importance of price in brand selection, pricing policies, product line pricing, price elasticity of demand, initiating and responding to price changes d) Promotional research includes optimal promotional budget, sales promotion relationship, optimal promotional mix, copy decisions, media decisions, creative advertising testing, claim substantiation, evaluation of advertising effectiveness e) Distribution Research determines the types of distribution, attitudes of channel members, intensity of wholesale and resale coverage, channel margins and location of retail and wholesale outlets The Basic Research Process Stage 1: Problem Formulation. Formulating research starts with a problem that management is facing. This problem needs to be understood, the cause diagnosed, and solutions developed. However, most management problems are not always easy to research. Stage 2: Method of Inquiry The scientific method is the standard pattern for investigation. It provides an opportunity for you to use existing knowledge as a starting point and proceed impartially. The terminology is similar to the stages in the research process. Stage 3: Research Method Experimental research gives you the advantage of controlling extraneous variables and manipulating one or more variables that influences the process being implemented. Non-experimental research allows observation but not intervention. You simply observe and report on your findings. Stage 4: Research Design The research design is a plan or framework for conducting the study and collecting data. It is defined as the specific methods and procedures you use to acquire the information you need. Stage 5: Data collection techniques Interviews require you to ask questions and receive responses. Common modes of research communication include interviews conducted face-toface, by mail, by telephone, by email, or over the internet. This broad category of research techniques is known as survey research. These techniques are used in both non-experimental research and experimental research. Stage 6: Sample design Marketing research project will rarely examine an entire population. It’s more practical to use a sample—a smaller but accurate representation of the greater population. Focusing on Research Design Exploratory Studies An exploratory study forces marketers to focus the scope of a project. It helps marketers anticipate the problems and variables that might arise in a project. Exploratory studies generally encompass three distinct methods: 1. Literature search. This means marketers go to secondary sources of information: the internet, the public library, company or government records. These sources are usually easy and inexpensive to access. 2. Expert interviews. After the literary search, the next step is to interview experts. These experts might include company executives or consumers. They would also talk to people who used similar products. The team would seek out professionals who have careers relating to the research project. 3. Case studies. Every research project will have pitfalls. Thus, case studies become a vital tool because they allow marketers to examine another business’s managerial problems and solutions. If another study deals with similar issues, marketers can avoid these pitfalls by learning from its mistakes. Case studies include histories of other projects and simulations of possible alternatives. A good “What if?” can save a lot of time and resources Descriptive Studies Who are marketers selling to? An exploratory study helped marketers establish what marketers are selling, but the descriptive study will help marketers find the market and understand the customer. Since marketers will not be able to sell to everyone, a descriptive study is necessary to focus the project and resources. Causal Studies Even though descriptive studies describe and sometimes predict relationships, results, or events, marketers may want to know why. If marketers can discover the reasons behind the solutions, then marketers can assemble the own predictive models. Such models can be used in the future. As a marketing researcher, knowing why will make the job easier. Causal studies try to find out the relationship between a specific cause and a specific effect. FIGURING OUT CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS 1. Associative variation. This involves taking two variables and seeing how often they are associated. The more they show up in studies, the more likely they are related. Associative variation can be broken down into two distinctions: association by presence and association by change. Association by presence measures how closely presence of one variable is associated with presence of another. However, association by change measures the extent to which a change in the level of one variable is associated with a change in the level of the other. 2. Sequence of events. In order to establish a cause/effect relationship, marketers must first establish that the causal factor occurred first. For example, in order for salesperson training to result in increased sales, the training must have taken place prior to the sales increase. If the cause does not precede the effect, then there is no causal relationship. 3. Absence of other possible causal factors. Marketers must also demonstrate that other factors did not cause the effect. Once marketers have proved this, marketers can logically conclude that the remaining factor is the cause. For example, if we can control all other factors affecting the sales item, then we have to conclude that the increase in sales comes from training. Sources of Marketing Information There are four major sources for finding marketing information. These four sources include: 1. Secondary sources. Secondary information is information that someone else researched for a solution to a problem other than yours. Even though this information wasn’t intended for the project, it could provide valuable insights. 2. Respondents. Information from respondents plays a huge role in research. Customers’ verbal and behavioral responses provide useful information. 3. Natural and Controlled Experiments. Natural experiments are just what they would seem. The investigator only measures results, having no control over the elements of the experiment. 4. Simulation. Experimentation can be expensive and time-consuming. It might be more cost effective to create a simulation model instead of doing real-world experiments. Simulations are effective when the project has a scope larger than regular experiments can cover. Environmentally rich models (containing complex interactions and nonlinear relationships) are usually too difficult to solve by standard analytical methods such as calculus or other mathematical programming techniques. Rather, the analyst views a simulation model as a limited imitation of the process or system under study and attempts to run the system on a computer to see what would happen if a particular set of conditions were put into effect. Simulations are often developed for marketing systems, and include marketingmix elements (new- product, price, advertising, and sales-force variables). A. Respondent Selection Errors 1. Population Specification Error. This type of error occurs when the researcher selects an inappropriate population or universe from which to obtain data. The more homogeneous the population (meaning people who are similar), the smaller the sampling error, and as sample size increases, sampling error decreases. If a census were conducted (i.e., all elements of the population were included) there would be no sampling error. 2. Selection Error. This is the sampling error that occurs when a sample is selected by a nonprobability method. Selection error often reflects people who are easily reached, are better dressed, have better kept homes, or are more pleasant. These types of samples rarely represent the desired population. Having clear, written procedures that specify how to select respondents can help to reduce selection error. 3. Frame Error. A sampling frame supposedly represents all the members of the population. It is usually a listing of the respondent’s marketers want to sample. A perfect frame identifies each member of the targeted population once, but only once, and does not include members outside of that specific population. 4. Survey Non-Response Error. This error occurs when respondents and nonrespondents are too different. The respondents should accurately represent the population marketers want to sample. If nonrespondents are not equally distributed across the population, marketers will not have an accurate sample. 5. Surrogate Information Error. In some research situations, the needed information cannot be obtained. Instead, marketers may accept substitute data that will act as a surrogate for the required information. The need for substitute information arises from either the inability or unwillingness of respondents to provide the information requested.