FIBONACCI HISTORY HISTORY Fibonacci, also known as Leonardo Bonacci, Leonardo of Pisa, or Leonardo Bigollo Pisano, was an Italian mathematician from the Republic of Pisa, considered to be "the most talented Western mathematician of the Middle Ages“. Types of Fibonacci 1. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT 2. FIBONACCI EXTENSION FIBONACCI SEQUENCE FIBONACCI SEQUENCE The sequence of numbers, starting with zero and one, is created by adding the previous two numbers. The ratios arise from the following number series: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89,144, 233, 377, and so on. After the first few numbers in the sequence, if you measure the ratio of any number to the succeeding higher number, you get .618. FIBONACCI LEVELS FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT LEVELS • 0.236 , 0.382, 0.5 • 0.618 , 0.786, 1 FIBONACCI EXTENSION LEVELS • • • • • • 0 0.382 0.618 1 1.382 1.618 FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT • After a big price moves in one direction, the price will retrace or return partway back to a previous price level before resuming in the original direction. • Traders use the Fibonacci retracement levels as potential support and resistance areas. • Traders use the Fibonacci extension levels as profit taking levels. • In order to apply Fibonacci levels to your charts, you’ll need to identify Swing High and Swing Low points. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT How to use FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT • Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate the possible support and resistance levels where price could potentially reverse direction • Fibonacci retracement levels are considered a predictive technical indicator since they attempt to identify where price may be in the future FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT Finding FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT Levels • In order to find these Fibonacci retracement levels, you must find the recent significant Swing Highs and Swings Lows. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT What happens when FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT fail? Fibonacci retracements do NOT always work. They are not foolproof. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT LESSON: • Fibonacci retracement levels give you a higher probability of success, like other technical tools, they don’t always work. You don’t know if price will reverse to the 38.2% level before resuming the trend. • Sometimes it may hit 50.0% or the 61.8% levels before turning around. • Remember, the market will not always resume its uptrend after finding temporary support or resistance, but instead continue to go past the recent Swing High or Low. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + SUPPORT and RESISTANCE • One of the best ways to use the Fibonacci retracement tool is to spot potential support and resistance levels and see if they line up with Fibonacci retracement levels. • If Fibonacci levels are already support and resistance levels, and you combine them with other price areas, then the chances of price bouncing from those areas are much higher. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + SUPPORT and RESISTANCE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + SUPPORT and RESISTANCE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + SUPPORT and RESISTANCE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + TREND LINE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + TREND LINE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + TREND LINE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + CANDLESTICKS • When combining the Fibonacci retracement tool with candlestick patterns, we are looking for exhaustive candlesticks. • If you can tell when buying or selling pressure is exhausted, it can give you a clue of when price may continue trending. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + CANDLESTICKS FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + CANDLESTICKS FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + CANDLESTICKS FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT + CANDLESTICKS FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS HOW TO USE FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS • Fibonacci extension is a tool that traders can use to establish profit targets or estimate how far a price may travel after a retracement/pullback is finished. • Extension levels are also possible areas where the price may reverse. • Fibonacci extensions measure the impulse waves in the direction of the trend. FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS HOW TO USE FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS HOW TO USE FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS HOW TO USE FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS HOW TO USE FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS LIMITATIONS: • There is no way to know which exact Fibonacci extension level will provide resistance. Any of these levels may or may not act as support or resistance. • Determining which Swing Low to start from in creating the Fibonacci extension levels. • You will have to use your discretion in using the Fibonacci extension tool. You will have to judge how much longer the trend will continue. FIBONACCI and STOP LOSS Place Stop Loss just pass the next Fibonacci Level FIBONACCI and STOP LOSS Place Stop Loss just pass the next Fibonacci Level • The problem with this method of setting stops is that it is entirely dependent on you having a perfect entry. • Setting SL just past the next Fibonacci retracement level assumes that you are confident that the S/R area will hold. • The market might shoot up, hit your stop, and eventually go in your direction. FIBONACCI and STOP LOSS Place Stop Loss past recent Swing High/Low • When the price is an uptrend and you’re in a long position, you can place a stop loss just below the latest Swing Low which acts as a potential support level. • When the price is in a downtrend and you’re in a short position, you can place a stop loss just above the Swing High which acts as a potential resistance level. FIBONACCI and STOP LOSS Place Stop Loss past recent Swing High/Low KEY TAKEAWAYS Fibonacci retracement levels connect any two points that the trader views as relevant, typically a high point and a low point. The percentage levels provided are areas where the price could stall or reverse. The most used ratios include 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. The levels that seem to hold the most weight are the 38.2%, 50.0%, and 61.8% levels. KEY TAKEAWAYS Fibonacci retracement levels can be viewed as potential support and resistance areas. Like the retracement levels, the key Fibonacci extension levels are: 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, as well as the 100%, 138.2% and 161.8% extensions. Traders use the Fibonacci extension levels as potential support and resistance areas to set profit targets. KEY TAKEAWAYS The Fibonacci extensions show how far the next price movement could move following a pullback. A Swing High is a candlestick with at least two lower highs on both the left and right of itself. A Swing Low is a candlestick with at least two higher lows on both the left and right of itself. CHEAT SHEET 0.382 – Most common Fibonacci Retracement Level. Price will often come back just to test this level before continuing its trend. This level tends to indicate a strong and healthy trend. 0.500 – This level is important even though it is not a technical Fibonacci level. Price tends to respect the 38.2 and 61.8 more then this level, but this level can be a strong psyche barrier for price. CHEAT SHEET 0.618 – Most popular retracement level for entries due to the risk to reward ratio given by this deep retracement – continuation opportunity. Slower but steady trend continuation compared to 38.2%. 0.786 – Useful for its indication of a potential harmonic pattern. A pullback to this point indicates that the trend is weakening, and you should take caution. CHEAT SHEET -0.272 – The negative 27.2% is a Fibonacci extension level, which functions to indicate continuation targets. Price will often react strongly from this level and potentially reverse. This is the conservative target. -0.618 – This functions to indicate continuation targets. Price will often react strongly from this level and potentially even reverse entirely. This is the aggressive target. DISCUSSION END