Table of Contents Historical Overview 2 Resources 3 Socio-Economic Assessment - 3-5 GDP and Economical Growth Unemployment GNI Key Companies - China’s Largest Companies Key Industries - 5 5-6 Oil Manufacturing Agriculture International Presence - 6-7 Exports and Imports Current Account Deficit - FDI Structure 7-8 Key Strengths 8 Key Weaknesses 8 Opportunities 8 Legal System 8-9 Institutional Environment 9 Infrastructure 9 Business Climates 9 Bibliography 1 10-11 Historical Overview China is the home to the oldest world civilizations. Its filled with art, political science and philosophical point of views. China was ruled by various rulers for most of its history. The first ruler is believed to be Xia dynasty, which established around 2250 BC. The Shang or Yin rulers acquired power around the fourteenth century BC. The Han ruler/dynasty, which lasted a long time from 206 BC to 220 Advertisement, was quite possibly the most impacting in China's set of experiences. A large part of the way of life today was made during the Han Line. In the early 1900s, the people of China wanted to reform. Mao Zedong set up the People groups Republic of China on October 1, 1949. This new government was firmly aligned with the Soviet Association and demonstrated its administration after Soviet socialism. In 1958, Mao Zedong left on another arrangement called the Great Leap Forward. this arrangement exploded backward, and China encountered an awful starvation including a lot of starvation and early deaths. Over the years, China would face political and monetary economical problems. After a slow recovery, China is now the second largest economy in the world. 2 Resources China has large land resources that includes a diversity of various mineral rare-earth, fossil fuel, water, agriculture, and aquaculture resources. Due to the climate conditions, China has managed to reserve most of the major minerals. It is estimated that China’s natural resources is worth over $23 trillion. The global market has always been influenced by China’s demand and supply for minerals. In fact, about 25% of China’s trades are through mineral trading. Ever since the Opening and Reform period in 1978, China have been a success with their continuous development in agriculture sector. (Blaettler, 2020) Aquaculture (2015) 65.2 million tonnes of food fish 47.6 million tonnes from aquaculture 17.6 million from capture Fossil Fuels (China’s energy consumption in exajoules in 2019) coal petroleum and other liquids hydroelectricity natural gas nuclear other renewable sources 82 28 11 11 3 7 Water Agriculture Total Renewable water resources = 2,840 billion m/year Supply of farm produce: Grain sowing area will be maintained at above 106.7 million ha, and gross production above 540 million tons; Gross output of cotton, sugar and oil will reach 7 million, 140 million and 35 million tons in respective; vegetables and fruits supply will increase steadily; meat, poultry/egg, milk, and aquatic products will total no less than 85 million, 29 million, 50 million and 60 million respectively; compliance rate of farm produce in regular quality and safety inspection will be above 96%. Water resources per capita = 1,971 billion Minerals (2019) Metal (Aluminium) produced estimated at 23 million metric tons (mt) Cerium = 9,104 mt Dysprosium = 156.4 mt Europium = 13.3 mt Lanthanum = 19,397.3 mt Neodymium = 835 mt Other Elements = 12,704 mt Socio-Economic Assessment GDP and Economical Growth China, being a communist market economy is right now positioned the world's second biggest economy by nominal GDP and the largest in terms of purchasing power parity, proving itself substantiating itself with its huge populace of 1,442,920,741 people and counting. China is driven by the fast development of its industrial and education sectors by increasing labor supply in order to improve the political framework, achieving a very high surplus and almost rivaling with the US. As indicated by the chart, China’s GDP started to decrease from the first quarter of 2014 to the last quarter to 2018 all the way from 3 7.3%, fluctuating its way to a 6.6%. We can see that most of China’s GDP is clustered around a 6.0% GDP, showing its stability. In the first quarter of 2019, because of the woman population working, there was an upturn in the GDP by 0.8% but is predicted to fall in the coming quarters. GDP is the measure of all incomes and outputs in the economy of a given country. Its total expenditures equal to all goods and services over a specific period. Economic growth is the increase in the inflation adjusted market value of goods and services produced in the economy. China’s GDP is anticipated to fall even significantly all the way to 5.8% if China does not deal its FDI well, as expressed in the figures. Unemployment The unemployment rate is not a perfect indicator of the health of the labor market since certain people distort their work status in surveys. However, the unemployment rate is still a valuable indicator of the workforce market and economy since it shows an estimate of the general condition. Looking at the diagram below, China’s unemployment rate has been decreasing from 2016 to 2019 in general. According to the Trading Economics, the highest unemployment rate in that timeline was 4.05 % in July 2016 and has diminished to 3.8% in January 2019. This shows that the labor market and the economy in China is progressing well. It’s easier for the unemployed to find a job when the unemployment rate is low since organizations want to expand their operations, they will need to hire more workers to improve their use in resources more efficiently and effectively. This includes hiring the less educated, inexperienced, disabled individuals, etc. Now since China is a developing country, new developed technology will be introduced, therefore it will need new staff members to control the technology, which can result in a decrease in the unemployment rate much more than what it currently is. The graph of the left shows the unemployment rate from 2016-2018. According to the Trading Economics,983 thousand was the highest number of unemployment in July 2016 and over the years it has diminished to 968 thousand in July 2018. 4 Unemployment Compared to other Countries The unemployment rate for China is low in comparison to the other countries. The average unemployment rate amongst 24 other countries in the table is 6.5% in 2018 compared to the unemployment rate in China which is 3.8%. However, this does not imply that it’s a problem. If the rate continues to decline, then the employers will be forced to increase salary payment to hold on to their current workers. The drawback from having a low rate is that it could lead to an increase of interest-rates. GNI China’s overall growth in GNI in 2019 was $14,555.44 billion, which is an 8.85% increase from 2018. GNI per capita was $10,410. GNI basically measures value produced by a country’s economy in a given year, whatever the source of its value is made local production or earnings abroad. Key Companies China’s Largest Companies (Reiff, 2021) China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. (SNP) - producer and distributor of a variety of petrochemical and petroleum products PetroChina – Oil and gas company Ping An Insurance – Financial Services Company China Railway Group – Transportation of Infrastructure Key Industries OIL One of the biggest factors of the Chinese economy is its import and export in oil. China is the biggest merchant of oil and the fourth greatest manufacturer of oil. After the United States forced constraints on Iran, the prices of oil had a significant downfall by approximately 20%, which was considered as a rare event. As the prices dropped, China exceeded the US and became the largest importer of oil. Since then, the Chinese economy has been monitored by 5 the oil traders as it is headed into a massive recession. December 2017, China’s raw oil was accounted to be at 97.667 Barrel/Day. Manufacturing China is known for their increase of production and assembling goods for it to be sold. Chinese goods include, electronics, toys, rails cars, aircrafts, and many others. There is no country that can match China when it comes to product availability. With technology advancing, China has set itself a goal to upgrade their machinery so that its able to produce major machine goods. A $3,868.46 billion output from manufacturing goods in 2018, which is a significant 11.8% increase from 2017. The manufacturing sector has contributed to an estimated 39% of China’s GDP and have managed to employ 28.2%. Agriculture According to the World Bank, an estimated 24.7% have been employed in the agriculture sector which has contributed to 7.1% of the overall GDP. China is at the top of the market for producing cereals, rice, cotton, potatoes, and tea. It also dominates in the livestock industry, specifically towards pork, sheep, and fish production. International Presence Exports in 2018 - $2.49 trillion Imports in 2018 - $2.13 trillion Majority of their trade was between them, US, and Hong Kong. $480 billion goods exported to the US in 2018, which is 19% of all their exports, and imported $156 billion, a 7.3%. However, with Hong Kong, China exported $303 billion in 2017, which is 12.2% of the accumulated number of exports and imported $9 billion (0.4% of total imports). The graph on the right highlights China’s exports and imports between them, US, Hong Kong, and other countries. 6 Current Account Deficit Current account in any country is a history of their trades with the other countries in the world and it is one of the major instruments used by a country in order to evaluate their foreign trade. The net balance of trade is inclusive to the current account (the exports minus imports of goods and services), net earnings and net transfer payments at a certain period. A negative balance in this account is called a current account deficit. This happens when the amount of goods and services a country imports are more than the value it exports. In the case of China, they do not have a current account deficit but instead, they have a current account surplus. However, throughout the years, their current account surplus has been declining and is anticipated to further decrease in the coming years. Projections Current account balance Trade balance Exports Imports Services balance Income balance Current transfers 2013 1.5 3.7 22.3 18.6 -1.3 -0.8 -0.1 2014 2.2 4.1 21.3 17.2 -2.0 0.1 0.0 2015 2.7 5.1 19.1 14.0 -1.9 -0.4 -0.1 2016 1.8 4.4 17.7 13.4 -2.1 -0.4 -0.1 2017 1.4 4.0 18.4 14.5 -2.2 -0.3 -0.1 2018 0.9 3.3 17.5 14.3 -2.1 -0.2 -0.1 2019 0.8 3.1 17.0 13.9 -2.0 -0.1 -0.1 2020 0.8 2.9 16.4 13.5 -2.0 -0.1 -0.1 2021 0.7 2.7 15.7 13.0 -2.0 0.0 -0.1 2022 0.5 2.5 14.9 12.5 -1.9 0.0 -0.1 2023 0.4 2.3 14.2 11.9 -1.9 0.0 -0.1 FDI Structure Over the past few years, China has been reported to have an improved economy throughout 2019 to 2020 which has resulted in a 4% FDI, up to $163 billion. 19 It’s currently reported to be the largest FDI receiver. Reasons for that was the continuous inflow worth $163 billion to support the Chinese economy from the coronavirus outbreak. Specific factors that has driven China’s investment is the capital availability, competitiveness, regulatory environment, stability, local Chinese market, business climate and its openness to regional and international trade. Key Strengths China’s strength outweighs their weaknesses when it comes to the benefits their foreign investors receiver. Having a significant population of 1.4 billion people can help promote higher internal marketing, and due to their economical growth, they are one of the top economies that have a high purchasing power. China has been advantageous when it comes to their low labour costs, creating opportunities for investment without having to worry about 7 labour expense. They have had more success in gaining opportunities with western provinces, for instance, Sichuan province. Key Weaknesses Although China has many strengths, they have their weaknesses. Firstly, their lack of transparency and have little control over intellectual property rights protection has affected their FDI. Secondly, there is a high ageing population in China, this means that there will be a significant number of people who are unable to work due to their age. Also, they are more likely to save money and not spend it on consumer goods which can lower inflation. Furthermore, China’s production exceeds their capacity in multiple sectors. This can lower profits for certain businesses and the economy itself. Opportunities There are many opportunities that China can exploit which can assist in their overall economical growth and GDP. One of the opportunities is utilizing on the technological advancement that man kind has built. This helps produce higher-valued goods and can promote in the manufacture of higher technological products. In addition, the employment in the agriculture sector is likely to decrease due to the future generation’s preferences of the type of job people seek, people will want to gain work experience in cities, leaving the agriculture sector open. China could target this and begin to increase some mechanized machines that is able to practice crop and livestock management, this could lower the labour costs even further. Lastly, with the vast amount of capital that China has accumulated, developing a more advanced and effective monetary system is a major opportunity. Legal System The Chinese legal system is known as the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and its defined by the higher ups as a “socialist legal system”. The system is based around the model of a civil law. The highestranking law within China is the Constitution of the People’s Republic of China. The current version was implemented in 1982 with further revisions in 1988, 1993, 1999, and 2004. There are four levels of the court system in China: the grassroots, intermediate, higher and supreme people's courts, in addition to special courts such as the military, maritime, railway and forestry courts. Institutional Environment The rule of law is known as a principle of international human right norms and standards that is equally enforced which everyone must follow, this includes people, institutions, and entities, public and private. China is planning on building a rule of law. The plan is set in the same direction as a socialist rule with Chinese characteristics. It emphasizes on following a people-centered philosophy and focusing on problem solving in order to achieve a modern socialist country. It is predicted that the rule of law is set to take shape by 2025 and would be fully developed by 2035. 8 Infrastructure The liberal economic policies in the 1980s have boosted China’s wealth. However, the country still suffers from poor transportation, communication, and energy resources. Therefore, China is set to begin infrastructure projects that are worth approximately $131 billion. Due to the outbreak of coronavirus and its effect on the economy, China decided to continue its growth by increasing its investment on future infrastructure projects. One of the projects is to build a high-speed railway and an urban transit that connects Hong Kong, Macau, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Foshan, Zhongshan, Dongguan, Huizhou, Jiangmen and Zhaoqing. This network aims to cover 4,700 km within Guangdong province and costs around $73.5 billion. Other projects have a similar goal by connecting other provinces from every direction. Business Climate China has stayed an essential beneficiary of the world's objective of FDI lately. FDI accounts for 27% of the value-added production, 4.1% of domestic tax revenue, and 58% of foreign trade. More 190 countries from around the world finance in China, which includes 450 of the Worlds Fortune 500 companies. Member Priorities Survey, completed a survey that most US companies finance in China to provide the Chinese domestic market, not export back to the United States. Conclusion China is on a continuous path to a growing market that is infused with rapid development. It has large land resources that includes a diversity of various mineral rare-earth, fossil fuel, water, agriculture, and aquaculture resources that they can utilize on when trading. As a communist market economy, China right now is positioned as the world's second biggest economy by nominal GDP and the largest in terms of purchasing power parity, proving itself substantiating itself with its huge population. The unemployment rate for China is low in comparison to the other countries. However, this does not imply that it’s a problem. If the rate continues to decline, then the employers will be forced to increase salary payment to hold on to their current workers. The drawback from having a low rate is that it could lead to an increase of interest-rates. One of the biggest factors of the Chinese economy is its import and export in oil. China is the biggest merchant of oil and the fourth greatest manufacturer of oil. Other industries include China’s increase of production and assembling goods for it to be sold. Chinese goods include, electronics, toys, rails cars, aircrafts, and many others. There is no country that can match China when it comes to product availability. Many of China’s GDP was the contribution of the agriculture industry. 9 Bibliography International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. (2018). People’s Republic of China. International Monetary Fund. Current account. (2019, April 09). Retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_account Banton, C. (2019, April 10). How the Total Value of Goods Affect the Current Account Deficit. Retrieved from https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/currentaccountdeficit.asp Tan, W. (2019, February 13). China is going to need more foreign money as its trade surplus dries up, Morgan Stanley says. Retrieved from https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/13/china-economymorgan-stanley-predicts-chinas-account-deficit-in-2019.html What China's Current Account Deficit Means For Investors. (2018, December 06). Retrieved from https://www.valuewalk.com/2018/12/chinas-current-account-deficit/ China's first current account deficit for 17 years 'could signal shift'. (2018, May 05). Retrieved from https://www.scmp.com/news/china/economy/article/2144761/chinas-first-current-accountdeficit-17-years-could-signal China Inflation Rate. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://tradingeconomics.com/china/inflation-cpi China Consumer Price Index (CPI). (n.d.). Retrieved from https://tradingeconomics.com/china/consumer-price-index-cpi China Unemployment Rate. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://tradingeconomics.com/china/unemployment-rate China Unemployed Persons. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://tradingeconomics.com/china/unemployedpersons China GDP Growth Rate. (n.d.). Retrieved from https://tradingeconomics.com/china/gdp-growth China inflation soars on African swine fever epidemic. (2019, April 11). Retrieved from https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3005646/chinas-african-swine-feverepidemic-drives-inflation China crude oil: Exports. (2019, April 9). Retrieved from https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/china/crude-oil-exports Oil breaking $60 is likely due to China. (2018, November 19). Retrieved from https://www.oilandgas360.com/oil-breaking-60-is-likely-due-to-china/ Reiff, N. (2021, January 14). 10 biggest Chinese companies. Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://www.investopedia.com/10-biggest-chinese-companies-5077387 2012, W. (2019, October 16). China: Mining, minerals and fuel resources. Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://www.azomining.com/Article.aspx?ArticleID=53 Blaettler, K. (2020, December 22). A list of CHINA'S natural resources. Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://sciencing.com/list-chinas-natural-resources-5375735.html China water. (n.d.). Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://www.worldometers.info/water/china-water/ Country analysis executive summary. (n.d.). Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/China/china.pdf 10 Https://www.usi.edu/media/3654697/Business-Environment-China.pdf. (n.d.). China issues plan on BUILDING rule of law. (n.d.). Retrieved February 23, 2021, from http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-01/10/c_139656578.htm Legal research Guide: China. (2012, May 03). Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://www.loc.gov/law/help/legal-research-guide/china.php What is the rule of law - United nations and the rule of law. (n.d.). Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://www.un.org/ruleoflaw/what-is-the-rule-of-law/ China was largest recipient of FDI in 2020: Report. (2021, January 24). Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-fdiidUSKBN29T0TC Perkowski, J. (2012, November 19). Opportunities in China: The next 10 years. Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackperkowski/2012/11/19/opportunities-in-china-thenext-10-years/?sh=49fa48e02df2 Is China the world's Top trader? (2020, August 25). Retrieved February 23, 2021, from https://chinapower.csis.org/tradepartner/#:~:text=The%20World's%20Top%20Traders%20(2018)&text=The%20value %20of%20China's%20exports,the%20rest%20of%20the%20world.&text=In%202018 %2C%20China%20exported%20%242.49,the%20US%20and%20Hong%20Kong. FAO.org. (n.d.). Retrieved February 23, 2021, from http://www.fao.org/china/fao-inchina/china-at-aglance/en/#:~:text=Supply%20of%20farm%20produce%3A%20Grain,%2C%20poultry %2Fegg%2C%20milk%2C 11