Name: Ahsan Irfan ERP: 25928 Class No: 70281 Assignment # 5 Teacher: Dr Ateeb Q1 a) The aggregate demand curve shows the quantity of products and services that the economy demands at different levels of price. An increase in consumer confidence results in higher consumption at different price levels. The aggregate demand curve is shifted to the right by this increased consumption. A rise in consumer confidence indicates that consumers like the product and are willing to purchase more of it. The demand at that price rises as the customer requests more, increasing the overall demand and shifting the curve to the right. The equilibrium output and equilibrium price level of the good or service will similarly grow as a result of the AD curve's shift to the right. b) When the government reduces the income taxes, it means that people will be giving out a lesser part of their income to the government in the form of taxes. It will increase the amount of disposable income, that is income available to spend with the consumers. The higher amount of disposable income will lead to consumers spending more of their money and asking for more products and services. This increase in demand will also increase the aggregate demand and the AD curve will shift outwards or rightwards. Q2 a) The inflation target rate is increased by the Fed. It is widely known that, over the long run, the expansion of the money supply is the primary determinant of inflation. We are aware that the FED determines the total amount of reserves in the banking system using open market transactions. Bonds are purchased by FED banks through open market transactions. This is an illustration of expansionary monetary policy. We depict the supply curve as a vertical line since the federal bank determines the amount of reserves, which is based on Fed monetary policy. b) Oil prices drop sharply. Even though sharp decline is good news for oil importers, it is bad news for oil exporters such as Iraq, Venezuela. The effect of oil price shock on aggregate supply is a mere impact than a simple rise in the cost of output. If oil prices decline it ultimately helps to reduce the cost of living. Which is primarily caused due to oil-related transport costs. This shows that a fall in oil prices will shift the short-run aggregate supply to the right and thereby increases the real GDP. Q3. As inflation increases, the aggregate demand curve shifts into the inflationary portion of the aggregate supply curve, where consumer demand for goods and services has risen above firms' capacity to satisfy it. As shown in the diagram below As a result of increase in inflation level, the value of dollar depreciates leading to higher prices for exported goods and hence a decrease in exports as consumers abroad will substitute their consumer goods for low priced alternatives produced within their country. Q4 Here in diagram, economy will move to above the full employments after the 18 months. since economic conditions would not be same over the 18 months. So policy might not produce desirable impacts on the economy. Q5 a) Permanent increase in oil prices is a permanent supply shock. SRAS shifts upwards leading to a rise in prices. LRAS also shifts lefts as the shock is permanent, it leads to fall in potential output. Since there is no stabilizing policy the short run impact is an increase in price level and fall in output. b) In the long run also, SRAS shifts upwards and LRAS shifts left. When there is stabilizing policy of tightening monetary policy, money supply decreases, AD shifts left. This controls the inflation, but output is at a permanently lower level. Q6 a) Benefit - Output increases and unemployment falls Cost - Rate of inflation increases. b) Benefit - in long-run equilibrium, the economy will be at potential output with a lower rate of inflation. Cost – in short-run equilibrium, the economy will be at recessionary gap with a higher unemployment rate Q7 a) A decline in the consumer spending will shift the Aggregate demand curve of the economy leftwards to AD1 due to decline in consumption expenditure. b) as the diagram depicts the short run equilibrium of the economy, the SRAS will shift from point E1 to E2 and thus both output and prices will in the short run c) i) An adverse inflation shock in the economy will shift the SRAS curve to SRAS1 and this will reduce the output level further Y3 ii) In this case, in order to stabilize the economy, expansionary fiscal policy should be followed by government which will shift the AD1 curve rightwards to AD2 and new equilibrium can be restored at point E4 where output is at the natural level Q8 False. Although the economy does have some self-correcting mechanisms that can aid in its return to equilibrium, depending exclusively on these mechanisms may not be sufficient to guarantee steady economic growth. One such mechanism that can assist in restoring the economy to its potential production level is the market's capacity to modify prices and wages in response to shifts in supply and demand. Long-term advancements in productivity and technology can also support increased economic growth and lower unemployment. The self-correcting mechanisms of the economy do, however, have some limitations. First of all, it may take some time for these adjustments to take hold, resulting in extended stretches of high unemployment and slow development before the economy self-corrects. Second, due to market imperfections such externalities, monopolies, and information asymmetry, which can hinder markets from producing efficient results, self-correction mechanisms might not always function as intended. Finally, economic shocks may be too severe for self-correction mechanisms to handle on their own, which can result in recessions and protracted periods of economic stagnation. Therefore, making active use of stabilization measures like fiscal and monetary policy can aid in reducing economic turbulence and promoting steady growth.