DON HONORIO VENTURA STATE UNIVERSITY Bacolor, Pampanga College of Business Studies Bachelor of Science in Business Administration (Major in Accounting) Academic Year 2022-2023 2nd Semester INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND TRADE (BA FIN 102) Chapter 2: International Trade Theories Learning Objectives: At the end of the lesson, the students should be able to: 1. Understand international trade. 2. Compare and contrast different trade theories. 3. Determine which international trade theory is most relevant today and how it continues to evolve. Topic Outline: International Trade Theories Classical or Country Based Trade Theories Mercantilism Absolute Advantage Comparative Advantage Factor Proportions Theory Modern or Firm-Based Trade Theories Country Similarity Theory Product Life Cycle Theory Global Strategic Rivalry Theory Porter’s National Competitive Advantage Theory Free Trade Opposition to Free Trade Types of Trade Barriers Tariffs Non-Tariffs College of Business Studies International Business and Trade Page 1 International Trade Theories International trade theories are simply different theories to explain international trade. Trade is the concept of exchanging goods and services between two people or entities. International trade is then the concept of this exchange between people or entities in two different countries. People or entities trade because they believe that they benefit from the exchange. They may need or want the goods or services. While at the surface, this many sound very simple, there is a great deal of theory, policy, and business strategy that constitutes international trade. To better understand how modern global trade has evolved, it’s important to understand how countries traded with one another historically. Over time, economists have developed theories to explain the mechanisms of global trade. The main historical theories are called classical and are from the perspective of a country, or country-based. By the mid-twentieth century, the theories began to shift to explain trade from a firm, rather than a country, perspective. These theories are referred to as modern and are firm-based or company-based. Both of these categories, classical and modern, consist of several international theories. Classical CountryBased Theories Modern FirmBased Theories Mercantilism Country Similarity Absolute Advantage Product Life Cycle Comparative Advantage Hecksher-Ohlin Theory (Factor Proportions Theory) Global Strategic Rivalry Porter's National Competetive Advantage Classical or Country Based Trade Theories Mercantilism – 16th century This theory stated that a country’s wealth was determined by the amount of its gold and silver holdings. In its simplest sense, mercantilists believed that a country should increase its holdings of gold and silver by promoting exports and discouraging imports. In other words, if people in other countries buy more from you (exports) than they sell to you (imports), then they have to pay you the difference in gold and silver. The objective of each country was to have a trade surplus, or a situation where the value of exports are greater than the value of imports, and to avoid a trade deficit, or a situation where the value of imports is greater than the value of exports. By doing so, a country would accumulate gold and silver and, consequently, increase its national wealth, prestige, and power. The flaw with mercantilism was that it viewed trade as a zero-sum game. (A zero-sum game is one in which a gain by one country results in a loss by another.) It was left to Adam Smith and David Ricardo to show the shortsightedness of this approach and to demonstrate that trade is a positive-sum game, or a situation in which all countries can benefit. College of Business Studies International Business and Trade Page 2 Absolute Advantage – Adam Smith, 1776 This theory focused on the ability of a country to produce a good more efficiently than another nation. On this theory it was reasoned that trade between countries 0shouldn’t be regulated or restricted by government policy or intervention. He stated that trade should flow naturally according to market forces. In a hypothetical two-country world, if Country A could produce a good cheaper or faster (or both) than Country B, then Country A had the advantage and could focus on specializing on producing that good. Similarly, if Country B was better at producing another good, it could focus on specialization as well. By specialization, countries would generate efficiencies, because their labor force would become more skilled by doing the same tasks. Production would also become more efficient, because there would be an incentive to create faster and better production methods to increase the specialization. A country enjoys an absolute advantage over another country in the production of a product if it uses fewer resources to produce that product than the other country does. Example: The English, by virtue of their superior manufacturing processes, were the world’s most efficient textile manufacturers. The French, due to the combination of favorable climate, good soils, and accumulated expertise, they had the world’s most efficient wine industry. The English had an absolute advantage in the production of textiles, while the French had an absolute advantage in the production of wine. Thus, a country has an absolute advantage in the production of a product when it is more efficient than any other country in producing it. Comparative Advantage – David Ricardo, 1817 David Ricardo took Adam Smith’s theory one step further by exploring what might happen when one country has an absolute advantage in the production of all goods. According to Ricardo’s theory of comparative advantage, it makes sense for a country to specialize in the production of those goods that it produces most efficiently and to buy the goods that it produces less efficiently from other countries, even if this means buying goods from other countries that it could produce more effectively itself. The challenge to the absolute advantage theory was that some countries may be better at producing both goods and, therefore, have an advantage in many areas. In contrast, another country may not have any useful absolute advantages. To answer this challenge, the theory of comparative advantage was introduced. This theory reasoned that even if Country A had the absolute advantage in the production of both products, specialization and trade could still occur between two countries. Comparative advantage occurs when a country cannot produce a product more efficiently than the other country; however, it can produce that product better and more efficiently than it does other goods. The difference between these two theories is subtle. Comparative advantage focuses on the relative productivity differences, whereas absolute advantage looks at the absolute productivity. A country enjoys a comparative advantage in the production of a good is that good can be produced at a lower cost in terms of other goods. College of Business Studies International Business and Trade Page 3 Factor Proportions Theory - Hecksher-Ohlin, 1900s In the early 1900s, two Swedish economists, Eli Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin, put forward a different explanation of comparative advantage. They argued that comparative advantage arises from differences in national factor endowments (by factor endowments they meant the extent to which a country is endowed with such resources such as land, labor and capital). They focused their attention on how a country could gain comparative advantage by producing products that utilized factors that were in abundance in the country. Their theory is based on a country’s production factors—land, labor, and capital, which provide the funds for investment in plants and equipment. They determined that the cost of any factor or resource was a function of supply and demand. Factors that were in great supply relative to demand would be cheaper; factors in great demand relative to supply would be more expensive. This theory stated that countries would produce and export goods that required resources or factors that were in great supply and, therefore, cheaper production factors. In contrast, countries would import goods that required resources that were in short supply, but higher demand. Unlike Ricardo’s theory, the Heckscher-Ohlin theory argues that free trade is beneficial and that the pattern of international trade is determined by differences in factor endowments, rather than differences in productivity. Example: The United States has long been a substantial exporter of agricultural goods, reflecting in part its unusual abundance of arable land. In contrast, China excels in the export of goods produced in labor intensive manufacturing industries such as textiles and footwear. This reflects China’s relative abundance of low-cost labor. The United States, which lacks abundant low cost labor, has been a primary importer of these goods. Note that it is relative, not absolute, endowments that are important; a country may have larger absolute amounts of land and labor than another country, but be relatively abundant in one of them. Modern or Firm-Based Trade Theories Country Similarity Theory – Steffan Linder, 1961 Linder’s theory proposed that consumers in countries that are in the same or similar stage of development would have similar preferences. In this firm-based theory, Linder suggested that companies first produce for domestic consumption. When they explore exporting, the companies often find that markets that look similar to their domestic one, in terms of customer preferences, offer the most potential for success. Linder’s country similarity theory then states that most trade in manufactured goods will be between countries with similar per capita incomes, and intraindustry trade will be common. This theory is often most useful in understanding trade in goods where brand names and product reputations are important factors in the buyers’ decision-making and purchasing processes. Product Life Cycle Theory – Raymond Vernon, 1960s Vernon’s theory was based on the observation that for most of the 20th century a very large proportion of the world’s new products had been developed by U.S. firms and sold first in the U.S. market (e.g. mass produced automobiles, televisions, instant cameras, photocopiers, personal computers, and semiconductor chips). To explain this, Vernon argued that the wealth and size of the U.S. market gave U.S. firms a strong incentive to develop new consumer products. In addition, the high cost of U.S. labor gave U.S. firms an incentive to develop cost saving process innovations. College of Business Studies International Business and Trade Page 4 Just because a new product is developed by a U.S. firm and first sold in the U.S. market, it does not follow that the product must be produced in the United States. It could be produced abroad at some low-cost location and then exported back into the United States. However, Vernon argued that most new products were initially produced in America. Apparently, the pioneering firms believed it was better to keep production facilities close to the market and to the firm’s center of decision making, given the uncertainty and risks inherent in introducing new products. Also, the demand for most new products tends to be based on non-price factors. Consequently, firms can charge relatively high prices for new products, which obviates the need to look for low-cost production suites in other countries. The theory, originating in the field of marketing, stated that a product life cycle has three distinct stages: (1) new product, (2) maturing product, and (3) standardized product. The theory assumed that production of the new product will occur completely in the home country of its innovation. Global Strategic Rivalry Theory – Paul Krugman and Kelvin Lancaster, 1980s Their theory focused on MNCs and their efforts to gain a competitive advantage against other global firms in their industry. Firms will encounter global competition in their industries and in order to prosper, they must develop competitive advantages. The critical ways that firms can obtain a sustainable competitive advantage are called the barriers to entry for that industry. The barriers to entry refer to the obstacles a new firm may face when trying to enter into an industry or new market. The barriers to entry that corporations may seek to optimize include: research and development, the ownership of intellectual property rights, economies of scale, unique business processes or methods as well as extensive experience in the industry, and the control of resources or favorable access to raw materials. Porter’s National Competitive Advantage Theory – Michael Porter, 1990 For Porter, the essential task was to explain why a nation achieves international success in a particular industry. Why does Japan do so well in the automobile industry? Why does Switzerland excel in the production and export of precision instruments and pharmaceuticals? Why do Germany and the United States do so well in the chemical industry? These questions cannot be answered easily be Heckscher-Ohlin theory, and the theory of comparative advantage offers only a partial explanation. Porter’s theory stated that a nation’s competitiveness in an industry depends on the capacity of the industry to innovate and upgrade. His theory focused on explaining why some nations are more competitive in certain industries. To explain his theory, Porter identified four determinants/broad attributes of a nation that he linked together. The four determinants are (1) local market resources and capabilities, (2) local market demand conditions, (3) local suppliers and complementary industries, and (4) local firm characteristics. Factor endowments – a nation’s position in factors of production such as skilled labor or the infrastructure necessary to compete in a given industry. Demand conditions – the nature of home demand for the industry’s product or service. College of Business Studies International Business and Trade Page 5 Relating and supporting industries – the presence or absence of supplier industries and related industries that are internationally competitive. Firm strategy, structure, and rivalry – the conditions governing how companies are created, organized, and managed and the nature of domestic rivalry. Porter speaks of these four attributes as constituting the diamond. He argues that firms are most likely to succeed in industries or industry segments where the diamond is most favorable. He also argues that the diamond is a mutually reinforcing system. The effect of one attribute is contingent on the state of others. Example: Porter argues that favorable demand conditions will not result in competitive advantage unless the state of rivalry is sufficient to cause firms to respond to them. Free Trade A free trade agreement is a pact between two or more nations to reduce barriers to imports and exports among them. Under a free trade policy, goods and services can be bought and sold across international borders with little or no government tariffs, quotas, subsidies, or prohibitions to inhibit their exchange. Opposition to Free Trade The Sovereignty Argument Lowest Common Denominator Argument Trade Reciprocity Types of Trade Barriers International trade is carried out by both businesses and governments—as long as no one puts up trade barriers. In general, trade barriers keep firms from selling to one another in foreign markets. Trade barriers are government-induced restrictions on international trade. The major obstacles to international trade are: Tariffs A tariff is a specified tax levied by a nation on imported goods. It may be a charge per unit, such as per barrel of oil or per new car; it may be a percentage of the value of the goods, such as 5 percent of a ₱5,000,000 shipment of shoes; or it may be a combination. No matter how it is assessed, any tariff makes imported goods more costly, so they are less able to compete with domestic products. Specific Tariff - levied as a fixed fee based on the type of item, such as a ₱50,000 tariff on a car. Ad-Valorem Tariff - levied based on the item's value, such as 10% of the value of the vehicle. Non-Tariffs Non-tariffs barriers are tools used by the government to restrict trade besides tariffs. College of Business Studies International Business and Trade Page 6 Quotas - a restriction placed on the amount of a particular good that can be imported. Export Controls - U.S. laws and regulations that regulate and restrict the release of critical technologies, information, and services to foreign nationals, within and outside of the United States, and foreign countries for reasons of foreign policy and national security. Dumping/Anti-dumping - Dumping is when a country sells exports below market value just to gain share. - Anti-dumping duty is a protectionist tariff that a government places on imports thought to be significantly underpriced. Embargoes and Boycotts - a complete ban against importing or exporting a product. College of Business Studies International Business and Trade Page 7