Carbon Cycle Lab You will experiment with how humans affect the cycle and what could happen between now and 2100. Access the Carbon Cycle Simulator below to complete this lab activity. https://www.learner.org/series/the-habitable-planet-a-systems-approach-to-environmental-science/carbon-lab/ Pay attention to the atmospheric CO2 levels as you adjust the variables between the atmosphere, the biosphere, oceans, and the crust. This model is similar to models presented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Between the years 1850 and 2006, atmospheric concentrations have risen from 290 parts per million (ppm) to over 380 ppm - a level higher than any known measurement on Earth in more than 30 million years. Carbon Cycle Step 1 Click “Step 1” or Review: Run the simulation to 2110 with the default settings. You will need to click the Run Decade button to move the simulation forward 10 years As you click through, make sure you record data on gaseous and sink carbon for the years 2010, 2060 and 2110. Step 1 Data Lesson 1: Step 1 Gaseous Carbon Ocean Water Fossil Fuels Biosphere Gaseous Carbon To Year Atmosphere Ocean Surface Deep Ocean Oil and Gas Coal Soil Terrestrial Plants 2010 (720) 391 ppm CO2 1000+0 38000+0 500 3500 1800+200 700 2060 (1105) 610 ppm CO2 1000+123 38000+270 0 3114 1800+242 766 2110 (2502) 1381 ppm CO2 1000+383 38000+1348 0 0 1800+378 950 Step 1 Analysis • If only one half of the flora in the world existed in 2100 (perhaps due to deforestation), what do you predict the atmospheric carbon level would be? How would you change the simulation to reflect this? For plant to get their desire nutrition they need the process called photosynthesis. Where it needs the CO2 in the air as a food source which in turn lowers the amount of CO2 that is left in the atmosphere. When half of the flors exist in the world you are then increasing the atmospheric amount. When being reflected in the simulation you will need to reset the Deforestation counter. • What is the relationship between increased carbon in the ocean and increased carbon in the soil? How else might carbon be transferred to soil? This is like a direct correlation when you increase carbon in the ocean in turn carbon will also increase in the soil. It can also be transfers by water runoff and fertilizers. • Using the data generated by the simulation, determine the mathematical relationship between the percentage increase in fossil fuel consumption and the increase in atmospheric carbon. Is the relationship linear? The relationship is in fact not linear. Every 100 years we have a 2.5% increase of fossil fuel with a decrease of 83%. While the atmospheric carbon sprockets to 68%. Carbon Cycle Step 2 Click “Step 2” or Review: To find out where all the carbon really goes, run the simulation again, this time recording one decade at a time. Record the total amount of carbon in the atmosphere and other carbon sinks. Note that 1 ppm of atmospheric CO2 is equivalent to 2.1 GT (Gigatons) of carbon. As you record your data, keep in mind that this is a simulation of real life. Step 2 Data Lesson 1: Step 2 Total Carbon Emissions Gaseous Carbon Ocean Water Fossil Fuels Biosphere Gaseous Carbon To Year Smokestack Atmosphere Ocean Surface Deep Ocean Oil and Gas Coal Soil Terrestrial Plants 2010 390 720 1000+0 3800+0 500 3500 1800+200 700 2020 417 755 1000+36 38000+21 442 3456 1800+202 708 2030 450 815 1000+52 38000+58 368 3400 1800+208 719 2040 490 889 1000+71 38000+110 274 3328 1800+217 732 2050 550 983 1000+94 38000+180 153 3236 1800+228 747 2060 610 1105 1000+123 38000+270 0 3114 1800+242 766 2070 735 1332 1000+169 38000+389 0 2678 1800+259 791 2080 892 1616 1000+225 38000+552 0 2120 1800+281 824 2090 1097 1988 1000+289 763 0 1406 1800+309 864 2100 1370 2484 1000+364 38000+1030 0 491 1800+342 909 2110 1381 2502 1000+383 38000+1348 0 0 1800+378 950 Step 2 Analysis • What is the relationship between an increase in fossil fuel consumption and increased carbon in terrestrial plants? How might this change flora populations? What impact could twenty years at this level of consumption have on flora? We see a positive impact especially for the flora population 20 years down the line. With an increase in fossil fuel consumption and carbon in terrestrial plant we see a yield of a positive relation between the two. • What is the relationship between an increase in total carbon concentration (the smokestack) and increased carbon in the ocean surface? How might this change marine life populations? What impact could fifty years at this level of emissions have on marine fauna? On marine flora? With an increase in carbon in both the ocean and concentration yield bad things for the health of the atmosphere. With this increase the marine biology population will see changes 50 years down the line. • In addition to circulating through the carbon cycle, where else might excess carbon be found? In fifty years, where would you be most likely to see excess carbon? Carbon will be practically everywhere from the ocean, soil and even the atmosphere. In about 50 years we should have an excess fo carbon in the soils. • Which areas are most highly (and quickly) affected by an increase in carbon emissions (and increase in fossil fuel consumption)? How would these effects manifest themselves? What are the dangers/benefits to these areas? Carbon effects mostly the atmosphere and soil. Carbon increasing in the atmosphere could lead to making it harder of humans to breathe on earth. On the positive ends of thing we will see plants grow since the temperature won’t be completely freezing.