Rev Account Stud (2010) 15:70–105 DOI 10.1007/s11142-008-9081-4 Propping through related party transactions Ming Jian Æ T. J. Wong Published online: 20 September 2008 Ó Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2008 Abstract Based on a sample of Chinese listed firms from 1998 through 2002, this paper documents that listed firms prop up earnings by using abnormal related sales to their controlling owners. Such related sales propping is more prevalent among state-owned firms and in regions with weaker economic institutions. We also find that these abnormal related sales are not entirely accrual-based but can be cashbased as well, and they serve as a substitute rather than complement to accruals management for meeting earnings targets. Since these abnormal related sales can be cash-based, there is significant cash transfer via related lending from listed firms back to controlling owners after the propping. However, no cash transfer via related lending is found to be associated with accruals earnings management. Keywords Propping Related party transactions Corporate governance Controlling shareholders JEL Classifications G3 M4 1 Introduction Using a sample of listed firms in China, we study how institutions and firm organizational structures in a transitional economy shape the ways firms use related M. Jian (&) Division of Accounting, Nanyang Business School, Nanyang Technological University, S3-B1b-75, Nanyang Avenue, Singapore 639798, Singapore e-mail: amjian@ntu.edu.sg T. J. Wong School of Accountancy, Faculty of Business Administration, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong e-mail: tjwong@cuhk.edu.hk 123 Propping through related party transactions 71 party transactions to manage earnings. This paper is motivated by recent research on economic institutions and accounting properties (Ball et al. 2000; Bushman et al. 2004; Fan and Wong 2002; Leuz and Oberholzer-Gee 2006). In contrast to prior studies that attempt to draw broad inferences from data across many countries, this paper utilizes the intricate institutional structures of a particular country and the variation of the institutions across provinces within the country. In addition, by analyzing related party transactions as a form of earnings management, this paper complements prior research such as Leuz et al. (2003) and DeFond et al. (2007), who focus primarily on the relationship between accruals and earnings management. Specifically, we address the following five questions in this paper. Do Chinese firms use related sales to the controlling owner to prop up earnings?1 Are such sales transactions entirely accrual-based or can they also be cash-based? Are they a complement or substitute to discretionary accruals in earnings management? If cash sales are involved, is this type of propping associated with subsequent cash transfers back to the controlling owner? Do political and economic institutions shape firms’ related sales propping behavior? China offers a natural setting for a study of the questions above for three reasons. First, as in many other emerging markets, the capital, product, and labor markets in China are underdeveloped. As a result, firms in these markets organize into groups to form internal markets to lower transaction costs (Khanna and Palepu 2000). Further, the restructuring process before the initial public offering of listed stateowned enterprises (hereafter SOEs) creates corporate groups with frequent related party transactions between the listed subsidiaries and the parent companies, which serve as the controlling owners. Second, the bright-line rules for share issuance and delisting in China allow us to identify clear evidence of earnings management incentives. Chinese securities regulators have set two earnings targets that regulate firm listings. In particular, a firm must report at least 0% return on equity (ROE) to maintain its listing status and 10% (6% after 2001) ROE to issue new shares. These targets create incentives for controlling owners to assist listed firms in managing ROEs. We expect that more income-inflating transactions are associated with reported ROEs that are only slightly above the earnings targets. Third, the weak legal and market institutions in China implies a higher frequency of propping (Cheung et al. 2006) and increases the power of our tests. The significant variation in the degree of market development and government intervention in business activities across China’s thirty provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities (excluding Hong Kong and Macau SAR) allows us to examine the cross-sectional effects of legal and market institutions on propping. Our evidence shows that Chinese listed firms use related sales to their controlling owners to prop up earnings. We find that the levels of related sales and operating profits from related sales are abnormally high when firms have incentives to manage earnings. Moreover, using a method similar to that described in Bertrand et al. 1 We use ‘‘propping’’ to describe the scenario whereby a controlling owner uses its own resources to manage the listed affiliate’s earnings. This is different from accruals management in which the controlling owner or another affiliated firm is not involved in the listed firm’s earnings management. 123 72 M. Jian, T. J. Wong (2002), we document that when there are incentives to meet earnings targets, related sales are used to dampen the effects of negative industry shocks on listed firms’ earnings. Further analysis shows that discretionary related party accounts receivable is not significantly positive when firms have incentives to meet earnings targets. This suggests that the high abnormal related sales documented in our study are not purely a result of abnormal accrued sales, which would generate significantly positive discretionary related accounts receivable; rather, the abnormal related sales can also be cash sales from the listed firms to their controlling owners. This explains why we find that related sales propping is associated with subsequent cash transfers from the listed firms back to the controlling owners, while accruals management is not associated with any such cash transfers. We also find that propping through related sales serves more as a substitute than as a complement to earnings management through accruals. More specifically, the evidence shows that when the related sales propping option is available or when it is actually used for earnings management, firms engage in significantly less accruals earnings management in meeting earnings targets. Finally, we find evidence that the level of propping through related party transactions is significantly affected by the quality of institutions in the regions in which the firms operate. This paper contributes to the earnings management literature in a number of ways. First, it identifies a unique form of profit manipulation (Healy and Wahlen 1999). Although quite a lot of anecdotal evidence suggests that firms do use related party transactions to manage earnings, to date there has been very little large sample research that investigates related party transactions as an earnings management tool.2 Second, we show that cash-based related sales are likely to be a popular method to manage earnings for firms that typically engage in related sales transactions. Thus, future earnings management research that investigates earnings management or accounting quality in emerging economies, where group firms and related party transactions are prevalent, should not focus only on accruals but also on cash-based transactions. Third, by using clearly defined transactions such as related sales and clear earnings benchmarks, our evidence extends the work of Roychowdhury (2006), who examines real earnings management. Fourth, this paper makes use of a setting where corporate insiders manage earnings to meet clear earnings targets. However, the opportunistic incentives arise not from compensation as in Healy (1985) but from capital market pressures that have an impact on insiders’ wealth. Finally, we extend the income-shifting literature by providing evidence of earnings management through related transactions for purposes other than taxation (Gramlich et al. 2004; Klassen et al. 1993). 2 For example, it was reported (Security Market Week, April 6, 2002) that Tianjin Nankai Guard, a company listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, was facing operating difficulties. This firm reported enormous profits in the years before 2001 with 99.9% of its sales from related party transactions. When the new accounting rule about related party transactions was implemented on December 21, 2001, any such sales with a mark-up of more than 20% above book value could no longer be counted towards profits in the income statement. This new standard has significantly undermined Tianjin Nankai Guard’s accounting performance since 2001. 123 Propping through related party transactions 73 This study also extends a few lines of research in economics and finance. First, it complements Bertrand et al. (2002), who document that group structures in India facilitate wealth expropriation by controlling shareholders with low cash-flow rights in a group subsidiary. It shows that in contrast to India, groups in China facilitate cash-based earnings management via related party transactions. Second, the current work extends Friedman et al. (2003) by providing direct evidence of a form of propping and a subsequent cash transfer that is not necessarily designed for wealth extraction from outside shareholders. Third, by examining a large sample of related party transactions between controlling owners and listed firms, this study complements a number of recent studies on internal markets and intra-group transactions (Khanna and Palepu 2000; Khanna and Yafeh 2005, 2007). The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Sect. 2 provides a discussion of the hypotheses. Sect. 3 presents the sample and empirical results. A number of robustness checks are reported in Sect. 4. Finally, conclusions are presented in Sect. 5. 2 Hypothesis development 2.1 Earnings management incentives We consider two situations in which the controlling owner has incentives to prop up its listed firm through related party transactions. First, the controlling owner may want to inflate earnings to avoid reporting losses. Compared with the loss avoidance studies of Leuz et al. (2003) and Bhattacharya et al. (2003) that analyze countries other than China, earnings management incentives are much stronger among Chinese listed firms because reports of losses will lead to heavy government scrutiny or delisting.3 The second situation in which the controlling owner has strong incentives to engage in propping is during rights issue offerings. After the initial public offering (hereafter IPO), rights issue offerings are an important source of funds for listed firms in China. Thus, maintaining a firm’s listing status and qualification for rights issues is an important objective for controlling owners. Even for the SOEs, central and local governments as the ultimate controlling owners have strong incentives to help listed firms maintain their listing status (Bai et al. 2005) and qualify for raising more funds, as such firms are better able to help relieve unemployment problems and enhance the infrastructure development of the ministries where the firms belong or of the regions where the firms operate (Li and Zhou 2005). Due to the high information costs in controlling the allocation of key resources, government regulators have instituted bright-line rules for rights issues, but they still face difficulties in reducing earnings management (Watts and Zimmerman 1986). 3 According to Article 157 of China’s Company Law, if a listed company sustains losses for three consecutive years, it will be temporarily delisted by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) and subjected to ‘particular transfer’ (the stock can only be traded in the stock exchange on Fridays) and other transfer constraints. If it sustains losses for two consecutive years, it will have ‘ST’ (special treatment) prefixed to its name as a warning. 123 74 M. Jian, T. J. Wong From 1996 to 1998, companies were required to have a minimum of 10% ROE (9% in protected industries including agriculture, energy, raw materials and infrastructure) for the three consecutive years before the offering (CSRC Notice No. 17, 1996). In 1999, the requirement was modified to an average ROE of at least 10% as well as a minimum of 6% in each of the three years before the offering (CSRC Notice No. 12, 1999). The rule was further modified and made effective in March 2001 to an average net ROE of at least 6% in the three years before the offering. To adjust for potential reporting abuse, securities regulators calculate ROE as the lower of ROE or ROE before nonrecurring items. Many prior studies provide evidence of Chinese listed companies managing their earnings to reach the 10% benchmark (Chen and Yuan 2004; Chen 1998; Chen et al. 2000b; Haw et al. 2005; Jiang and Wei 1998). 2.2 Do Chinese firms prop through related sales? We hypothesize that controlling owners inflate Chinese listed firms’ revenues and earnings through related sales to qualify for rights issues or to avoid delisting.4 Chinese firms have ample opportunities to use related sales for earnings management because related party transactions are very common. One reason for their prevalence is that SOEs rely heavily on internal markets for materials, products, labor, and capital. Before China’s economic reforms, these markets were non-existent as the central government directed all aspects of SOEs’ operations. Another reason is that close to 80% of the listed firms in China were previously production units that had been carved out from their parent SOEs, which serve as the controlling owners after the listing (Aharony et al. 2000). After the carve-out and IPO, the listed subsidiaries continue to engage in frequent related party transactions with their parent SOEs. Following Khanna and Yafeh (2005), we use related sales to proxy for propping because they are one of the most frequent types of related party transactions in our sample. The high frequency of these transactions allows sellers to inflate earnings simply by shifting next period’s related sales to the current period. Compared with real activities manipulation such as aggressive price discounts to increase sales or deferral of R&D projects discussed in Roychowdhury (2006), accelerating related sales are likely to be less costly to the manipulating firm. Also, the high volume of these transactions can increase the power of our tests. We hypothesize that the level of related sales is abnormally high when firms try to meet earnings targets. We note that firms could use other types of related party transactions such as asset injections as an alternative way to achieve propping, but such transactions are much more infrequent and thus more easily detected. According to the CSRCs 1999 4 There is plenty of anecdotal evidence of related sales propping. For example, Tianjin Nankai Guard Co., Ltd. reported a significant drop in earnings in 2003 (decrease by 100.41%, from a RMB 70 million net profit in 2002 to a RMB 289,000 loss in 2003). In 2002 (2001), the listed firm sold almost RMB 88 (RMB 272) million worth of products to its parent company’s subsidiary, which amounted to 92% (84%) of total sales. The drop in profit in 2003 was due to two factors. First, the listed firm had to recognize bad debt of RMB 57 million as its parent’s subsidiary experienced financial difficulty and failed to pay back the accounts receivable. Second, the sales to the same related party decreased to less than RMB 127,000. 123 Propping through related party transactions 75 regulations for rights offerings, infrequent items such as gains and losses from investments and sales of fixed assets are no longer allowed to be included in the calculation of ROE, which suggests that government regulators regard nonrecurring items as potential earnings management tools. In the diagnostic checks reported in Sect. 4, we examine other operating items, such as related purchases, and nonoperating items, such as asset or cash injections. The results do not support the notion that firms use these items for propping around the time of share issuances and delistings. 2.3 Is earnings management via related sales entirely accrual-based? A typical way for a focused (nongroup) firm to inflate earnings is to accelerate credit sales to customers (Teoh et al. 1998). It is difficult to increase cash sales because customers are not willing to cooperate when cash is involved. However, we argue that when group firms attempt to accelerate related party sales, they are not necessarily bound to use accrued sales; they can also use cash sales or a combination of the two to manage earnings. Thus, Chinese listed firms are likely to consider cash-based related sales for propping for two reasons. First, similar to the arguments for real earnings management by Graham et al. (2005), Chinese listed firms will consider using cash-based related sales to manage earnings because they can reduce the excessive accruals that draw auditors’ attention. Despite the presumably weak monitoring role of Chinese auditors due to the country’s weak legal environment, they are likely to pay attention to excessive accrued sales that increase accounts receivable and bad debt. Consistent with this conjecture, recent research on Chinese listed firms shows that total receivable over total assets is positively associated with audit fees and auditors’ propensity to issue modified opinions (Chen et al. 2007; Wang et al. 2008). Second, it is less costly for Chinese listed firms, which are typically group firms, to engage in cash-based related transactions. Compared with a sales transaction of a focused firm with an unaffiliated firm, a Chinese firm can more easily accelerate cash sales to an affiliated firm within the same group because it can transfer cash back from the seller through related lending. Although this subsequent cash transfer will increase the seller’s other receivable accounts, as credit sales do, it can be carried out over a few years, thereby reducing any sharp increases in receivables. Further, the group structure allows the subsequent cash transfer to be effected not only via the seller but also through a number of other affiliated firms within the group. Related lending between parent SOEs and their listed subsidiaries was permitted during our sample period from 1998 through 2002 as long as the listed firms properly disclosed such transactions to the public.5 Based on these two reasons, we conjecture that the Chinese listed firms are likely to increase earnings via cash-based or a combination of cash- and accrual-based related party sales. However, this remains an empirical issue because it is hard to 5 In 2003 the CSRC promulgated Notice No. 56 urging listed companies to reduce related lending to their affiliated firms. In 2005, CSRC issued an opinion requiring listed firms and their parent companies to eliminate related lending by the end of 2006. 123 76 M. Jian, T. J. Wong directly ascertain whether the use of cash-based related sales is more cost effective than that of pure accrual-based related sales in managing earnings. 2.4 Do related sales and accruals used for earnings management serve as complements or substitutes? In the previous section, we argued that related sales can be cash-based, that is, they need not be entirely accrual-based. If Chinese firms can use cash-based related sales to achieve their earnings management targets, does this reduce their propensity to use not only accrued sales but also total accruals to manage earnings? This is an empirical question that has two opposing predictions. On the one hand, we expect an affirmative answer because, as we argued in the previous section, accrual-based related sales management, when compared with cash-based related sales management, sends a stronger alarm to auditors because of the potential risks of bad debt exposure. This substitution effect between cash-based related sales and accrual-based related sales may actually extend to other accruals management items. This is consistent with the finding in Graham et al. (2005) that to avoid scrutiny, managers choose real earnings management that burns up real cash flows over accrual earnings management that draws the attention of the auditors. The managers’ preferences for the mix between taking accounting versus real actions to manage earnings are a function of the costs of the real actions and the level of regulators’ and auditors’ enforcement against accrual management. Thus, to the extent that the subsequent cash transfer is not excessive and does not attract auditors’ scrutiny as much as accruals management, cash-based related sales can substitute not only accrued related sales management but also total accruals management. On the other hand, although cash-based related sales reduce firms’ incentives to manage earnings through accrual-based related sales, firms will still use other accruals to supplement the earnings management. One reason is that the subsequent cash transfer or related lending transactions associated with cash-based related sales, if excessive, will increase firms’ total receivables and trigger auditors’ scrutiny, thus putting a limit on the amount the firm can use toward earnings management.6 In addition, Leuz et al. (2003) find that firms in countries with weaker investor protection have a higher propensity to manage earnings through accruals than those with stronger investor protection. This suggests that companies in China, where investor protection is relatively weak, will have a strong tendency to engage in accrual-based earnings management. 2.5 Propping and subsequent cash transfers We argued in Sect. 2.3 that in contrast to cash sales in an arms-length transaction, cash paid to the seller in cash-based related sales can be transferred back to the buyer through other related party dealings. To test this conjecture, we use related 6 Although no firm was penalized by securities regulators for excessive related lending during our sample period, three firms (company ID 600698, 000766, and 000925) were scrutinized for not providing adequate disclosure about their related lending. 123 Propping through related party transactions 77 lending as our measure of cash transfers from the listed firm to its largest shareholder. Related lending is defined as the net amount between the loans lent to related parties minus the loans borrowed from related parties. To eliminate the effects of related sales and purchases on the net amount of related lending, we exclude accounts receivable and accounts payable from the calculations. Results that are obtained using alternative measures of related lending are discussed in the robustness checks section. We use related lending to proxy for cash transfers because compared with other related party transactions that allow the largest shareholder to transfer cash back from the listed firm, these transactions are more direct and frequent. Also, the largest shareholder receives favorable terms in this type of cash transfer: related lending interest rates reported in the footnotes of our sample firms’ financial statements show that only 16.26% of the related loans earned interest revenue, of which the average interest rate was 0.55%. This rate was significantly lower than the typical bank rates of 5–10% per year over the sample period.7 2.6 The effects of political and economic institutions The economic institutions of a country or region can determine its firms’ accounting properties (Ball et al. 2000; DeFond et al. 2007; Leuz et al. 2003). In our context, the level of market development and the degree of government involvement in a region can shape its firms’ decisions to trade in external markets or form their own internal markets. Thus, weak market development and heavy government intervention is expected to lead to more frequent related party transactions, giving rise to more opportunities for propping. China offers a good setting to test the relation between market institutions and accounting properties because the levels of market development and government intervention vary significantly across the 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities. To test whether economic institutions play a role in influencing the propping activities of listed firms in China, we include four institutional variables in our analyses: Market Development Index and Deregulation Index, which measure the level of the regions’ market development, and Unemployment and Fiscal Surplus, which measure the incentives of government intervention in the markets (see Sect. 3.1 for a more detailed description of the indexes). We expect that there is more propping in regions with weaker market development and more government intervention. 3 Empirical results 3.1 Sample and data Chinese listed companies have been required to disclose related party transactions since 1997. This disclosure was incomplete and irregular in the first year (Yuan 7 Information on the bank lending rates provided by the National Bureau of Statistics of China can be found in http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/yb2004-c/indexch.htm. 123 78 M. Jian, T. J. Wong 1998), but more systematic thereafter. Most companies report in a special footnote to their financial statements the identity of their related parties, the relation with these related parties (for example, percentage of shares held), and the types and amounts of related party transactions. Due to the complexity of some Chinese corporate groups, footnote disclosures of these connected dealings can be very complicated. For instance, Shanghai Dragon Corporation reported more than 140 transactions with more than 100 related parties in 2002 alone. Based on the financial statement footnotes on related party transactions, we manually collect and classify each transaction by the nature of the transaction and the related party involved. Generally, the major related parties are the shareholders (or companies in the shareholder’s group), the subsidiaries and the associated companies of the listed companies. Some other related parties include the subsidiary’s minority shareholders and the listed companies’ ex-shareholders. We classify related party transactions into 17 different types of transactions. The firmyear frequency and the average value for each transaction are as follows: sales (47.29%, RMB 303 million), purchases of goods and products (44.50%, RMB 5.5 billion), accounts receivable and payable (37.07%, RMB 1 billion), loans to and from related parties and other receivables and payables (51.32%, RMB 1.8 billion), service revenues (12.53%, RMB 78 million) and expenses (22.08%, RMB 66 million), interest income (14.57%, RMB 11 million) and expenses (3.6%, RMB 18 million), asset purchases (10.44%, RMB 136 million) and sales (5.69%, RMB 75 million), stock purchases (7.95%, RMB 6.8 billion) and sales (5.56%, RMB 51 million), rent revenues (11.90%, RMB 10 million) and expenses (28.63%, RMB 35 million), joint investments (2.73%, RMB 83 million), and loan guarantees to related parties (24.87%, RMB 1.4 billion) and from related parties (23.49%, RMB 3.6 billion). The average total assets of these firms are RMB 1.96 billion. Our sample period covers 1998 through 2002. All financial and stock return variables are obtained from the China Securities Market and Accounting Research (CSMAR) Database. We use two market indexes and two regional variables to capture the cross-region variation in institutional development. The first market index is the Market Development Index, which was developed by Fan and Wang (2003). This index has been widely used in economics research on China, including that by Li et al. (2006) and Gwartney et al. (2005). The second market index is the Deregulation Index, which was developed by Demurger et al. (2002) using the number of special economic zones developed in a region as a proxy for market development. The two regional variables are Unemployment and Fiscal Surplus, obtained from the China Infobank. We use the Big 10 auditors and the corporate pyramidal structure as proxies for good governance. Past research has used Big 10 auditors based on the total assets of audit clients to capture the auditor quality. DeFond et al. (1999) find that Big 10 auditors in China are more stringent based on their propensity to issue modified opinions. Big 10 auditors’ tougher requirements on disclosure and more stringent modified opinion threshold can serve as a deterrent against propping. This is a credible threat because Chinese companies with modified reports must explain the nature and underlying reasons for the receipt of a modified report directly to the 123 Propping through related party transactions 79 CSRC (Chen et al. 2000a), and such disclosure can result in sanctions, delisting or loss of qualifications for rights issues. Our second corporate governance proxy is the number of pyramidal layers (firms) between the ultimate controlling owner and the listed firm, obtained from Fan et al. (2007). Since the Chinese government, as the largest owner in many former SOEs, cannot sell its controlling stakes to the public, it sets up pyramidal layers as a constraint on direct intervention by the government. The government has incentives to commit to such arrangements because decentralization (less intervention) increases efficiency through collocation of decision rights and knowledge. The commitment not to intervene through the setting up of pyramidal layers is credible because the added corporate layers increase bureaucratic costs for controlling the firm at the bottom of the pyramid (Williamson 1964). Unlike the typical pyramid that increases the divergence between voting and cash-flow rights and thereby induces the controlling shareholder to expropriate from minority shareholders, this leveraging effect does not exist in Chinese state-owned firms because all the upper layers (above the listed firm) of the pyramid are 100% controlled by the government. To the extent that a higher degree of government intervention induces more earnings management through related party transactions, we conjecture that firms with more pyramidal layers will engage in less related sales propping. After excluding firm-years with missing market prices and controlling ownership types, our final sample consists of 5,015 firm-year observations. Panel A of Table 1 shows that our sample is quite representative, covering 94–99% (average 97%) of the population of CSMAR A-share firms from 1998 through 2002. The sample is evenly distributed over the 22 CSRC industry classifications. Panel B of Table 1 reports that the Chinese listed firms are controlled by three general types of ultimate shareholders. The largest category is local government firms (64%), followed by nonstate firms (21%) and central government firms (15%). Among the three groups, the local government firms have the lowest growth (lowest MARKET-TO-BOOK) and the weakest governance (lowest percentage of Big 10 auditor appointments and fewest pyramidal layers), and they are generally from the most regulated regions, with the least developed markets. We also divide our sample into firms that have related sales in any of the years during the sample period (RPS [ 0) and those that have none in the sample period (RPS = 0). Panel C of Table 1 shows that a majority of the firms have related sales during the sample period, making up 65% of the firm-year observations (N = 3,237). Firms that have related sales during the sample period tend to be larger in size and have lower leverage and market-to-book ratios, and they are in regions with slightly higher unemployment and inferior market institutions and fiscal conditions.8 They also have a higher percentage of central government firms and a lower percentage of nonstate firms. Panel A of Table 2 reports summary statistics on related sales with various types of related parties in the three general categories of firm ownership. Specifically, 57 8 Similarly, when the sample is partitioned into firms in good and bad regions based on the Market Development Index median, the good regions have fewer firms that have related sales (62%) while the bad regions have more (67%). 123 123 25 26, 27 28, 29, 30 36 32, 33, 34 35, 36, 37 38 39 49 15, 16, 17 40, 41, 42, 44, 45, 46, 47 48 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 67 65 43, 70, 80, 82, 83 Furniture Manufacturing Paper and Allied Products; Printing Petroleum, Chemical, Plastics, and Rubber Products Manufacturing Electronics Metal, Non-metal Machinery, Equipment, and Instrument Manufacturing Medicine and Biological Products Other Manufacturing Utilities Construction Transportation and Warehousing Information Technology Wholesale and Retail Trades Banking & Financial Institutions Real Estate Public Facilities and Other Services 20 22, 23 Textile, Apparel, Fur and Leather Mining Food & Beverage 01, 02, 07, 08, 09 10, 12, 13, 14 Farming, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishing SIC equivalent CSRC industry classifications Panel A: Firms in the sample Table 1 Sample descriptiona 28 28 1 84 43 25 13 31 7 37 129 74 27 92 17 1 32 38 6 18 1998 Year 33 29 1 84 46 31 17 35 11 44 143 88 29 104 19 1 40 46 9 18 1999 39 30 1 92 55 39 18 41 14 55 164 99 31 121 23 2 53 52 13 27 2000 39 34 1 94 57 45 18 43 15 62 170 104 35 128 24 2 61 57 15 28 2001 40 32 1 95 56 44 18 43 15 61 167 103 34 127 23 2 60 53 16 28 2002 179 153 5 449 257 184 84 193 62 259 773 468 156 572 106 8 246 246 59 119 Subtotal 180 159 32 466 260 190 84 194 64 266 793 481 157 581 107 8 249 249 60 125 All 99 96 16 96 99 97 100 99 97 97 97 97 99 98 99 100 99 99 98 95 Coverage (%) 80 M. Jian, T. J. Wong 13.10 0.71 5.56 0.22 2.10 6.29 1.23 3.33 -0.05 SIZE LEVERAGE MARKET-TO-BOOK BIG 10 LAYERS Market Development Index Deregulation Index Unemployment Fiscal Surplus -0.03 3.30 1.24 6.36 2.00 0.00 4.69 0.51 13.11 0.05 0.85 0.80 1.30 0.63 0.42 3.19 0.68 1.07 -0.04 3.08 1.27 6.35 2.75 0.30 5.61 0.50 13.41 -0.03 3.30 1.24 6.24 3.00 0.00 4.76 0.31 13.33 Median Mean Mean Median CENTRAL (N = 729) 98 937 916 79 9 1999 LOCAL (N = 3,219) Panel B: Firm characteristics by ownership type 99 826 A-share firms available in CSMAR % Covered 814 75 8 1998 Year Subtotal STD 78, 79, 84 Communication and Cultural Industries Conglomerates SIC equivalent CSRC industry classifications Panel A: Firms in the sample Table 1 continued 0.03 1.13 0.80 1.21 0.70 0.46 3.16 0.56 1.15 STD 98 1,087 1,060 81 10 2000 96 1,152 1,103 75 10 2002 -0.04 3.36 1.37 6.48 2.21 0.28 7.13 0.94 12.60 Mean -0.03 3.40 1.43 6.65 2.00 0.00 6.10 0.64 12.58 Median 48 389 0.05 0.90 0.83 1.42 0.83 0.45 3.83 0.90 1.08 STD 5,015 Nonstate firms (N = 1,067) 96 1,164 1,122 79 11 2001 Subtotal 97 95 94 -0.04 3.30 1.27 6.34 2.22 0.25 5.90 0.73 13.04 Mean -0.03 3.30 1.24 6.36 2.00 0.00 4.92 0.50 13.03 Median 0.05 0.91 0.81 1.31 0.72 0.43 3.40 0.73 1.11 STD Coverage (%) All (N = 5,015) 5,166 410 51 All Propping through related party transactions 81 123 123 0.65 5.83 0.25 2.26 6.27 1.19 3.32 0.64 64% 17% 19% LEVERAGE MARKET-TO-BOOK BIG 10 LAYERS Market Development Index Deregulation Index Unemployment Fiscal Surplus LOCAL CENTRAL Nonstate firms 0.64 3.30 1.24 6.36 2.00 0.00 4.78 0.46 13.13 39% 37% 48% 0.15 0.91 0.76 1.30 0.67 0.43 3.41 0.67 1.10 26% 10% 64% 0.65 3.26 1.40 6.47 2.14 0.25 6.03 0.86 12.83 0.71 3.30 1.24 6.40 2.00 0.00 5.14 0.60 12.83 44% 30% 48% 0.16 0.92 0.88 1.32 0.79 0.43 3.37 0.82 1.11 STD This table presents the sample distribution by industry membership and calendar year in Panel A. Summary statistics of firm characteristics across three ownership types are presented in Panel B. Panel C reports summary statistics of firm characteristics for firms that have related sales during the sample period (RPS [ 0) and those that do not (RPS = 0). SIZE is the natural logarithm of total assets at year-end. LEVERAGE is the total debt over total assets at year-end. MARKET-TO-BOOK is the market value divided by book value of total equity at year-end. BIG 10 is an indicator variable that equals one if the firm’s auditor is one of the 10 largest accounting firms based on client assets in China and zero otherwise. LAYERS represents the number of layers between the listed company and its ultimate shareholder. Market Development Index is the integrated market index developed by Fan and Wang (2003), which measures the progress of institutional transformation in China’s 30 provinces (excluding Tibet due to lack of data) and identifies the differences in institutions and economic policies among various regions. Deregulation Index is the index from Demurger et al. (2002), which measures the amount of preferential treatment granted to the region by the central government from 1978 to 1998, and proxies for the degree of deregulation in China. The higher the index, the less regulated is the region. Unemployment is the unemployment rate in different provinces in China obtained from China InfoBank. Fiscal Surplus is the difference between provincial financial revenue and expenses, divided by provincial GDP. LOCAL refers to the subsample of firms whose ultimate shareholder is the local government. CENTRAL refers to the subsample of firms whose ultimate shareholder is the central government. Nonstate firms refers to the subsample of firms whose ultimate shareholder is NOT the government a 13.16 SIZE Median Mean STD Mean Median Raw RPS = 0 (N = 1,778) Raw RPS [ 0 (N = 3,237) Panel C: Firm characteristics by related sales group Table 1 continued 82 M. Jian, T. J. Wong 0.06 6.37 Others ALL 0.14 5.74 Others ALL 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.76 0.59 1.77 0.73 0.00 13.34 13.30 0.28 0.47 0.11 0.00 13.28 53 11 17 13 3 42 48 7 10 7 2 40 8.79 3.05 0.13 0.42 0.18 0.00 2.31 8.99 0.06 0.12 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Median 10.54 0.58 1.52 0.67 0.00 10.17 16.26 0.28 0.47 0.11 0.00 16.28 STD 50 11 17 13 5 38 57 7 12 9 5 48 Freq (%) 5.39 0.22 0.56 0.26 0.00 4.36 3.32 0.07 0.11 0.02 0.00 3.13 Mean 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Median 13.94 0.78 1.77 0.84 0.00 13.50 9.60 0.31 0.46 0.10 0.00 9.59 STD Nonstate firms (N = 1,067) 49 15 19 14 5 36 37 8 9 5 3 27 Freq (%) 5.27 0.16 0.51 0.21 0.00 4.39 6.11 0.06 0.11 0.02 0.00 5.91 Mean 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Median All (N = 5,015) 13.41 0.63 1.74 0.75 0.00 12.99 13.21 0.28 0.46 0.11 0.00 13.19 STD 52 12 17 13 4 40 47 7 10 7 2 38 Freq (%) This table reports the magnitude and frequency of related sales and related lending of the firms in our sample. We divide the firms by the types of their ultimate shareholders (LOCAL: the subsample of firms whose ultimate shareholder is the local government, CENTRAL: the subsample of firms whose ultimate shareholder is the central government. and Nonstate firms: the subsample of firms whose ultimate shareholder is not the government), and the types of related parties (Largest shareholder, 2nd largest shareholder, Subsidiaries, Associated companies, and Others) involved in the related party transactions. Related sales include the sales of products and provision of services. Related lending is total receivables net of total payables. Total receivables include other receivables, loans, and other advanced payment to related parties and total payables include other payables, loans, and other prepayment from related parties. Accounts receivable and payable are excluded to eliminate the effects of related sales and purchases. Both related sales and related lending are deflated by total sales of the listed firm in the same year times 100% a 0.21 0.52 Associated companies 2nd largest shareholder Subsidiaries 4.87 0.00 Largest shareholder Panel B: Related lending 0.02 0.11 Associated companies 2nd largest shareholder Subsidiaries 6.18 0.00 Largest shareholder Panel A: Related sales Freq (%) Mean STD Mean Median CENTRAL (N = 729) LOCAL (N = 3,219) Table 2 Descriptive statistics of related sales and related lendinga Propping through related party transactions 83 123 84 M. Jian, T. J. Wong and 48% of the central and local government firms, respectively, have related sales, while only 37% of the nonstate firms report such dealings. The majority of these intra-group trades involve the largest shareholder, with 48% of central government firms and 40% of local government firms. Related sales with the second-largest shareholder are much less frequent, ranging from 2% for local government firms to 5% for central government firms. Subsidiaries and associated firms do have reasonable amounts of related sales with the sample firms, but their impact on the listed firms’ earnings will be cancelled out during consolidation. Thus, we only focus on related sales with the largest shareholder in our final analysis.9 Panel B of Table 2 presents summary statistics on the related lending variable. Similar to related sales, intra-group lending is very frequent among the three types of firms, with local firms having the highest frequency (53%) and nonstate firms the lowest (49%). Also, most of the lending is done with the largest shareholders. Finally, the relations among all the variables used in the study are presented in the Pearson correlation matrix in Appendix 1. 3.2 Propping through related sales In this section, we use two tests to analyze whether Chinese listed firms use related sales in earnings management. In the first test, we examine if the level of related sales and their associated operating profits are abnormally high when there is an incentive to manage earnings. In the second test, we use an approach similar to the one in Bertrand et al. (2002) to investigate whether related sales are used to reduce negative industry shocks when firms have incentives to meet earnings targets. Before providing more detailed results of the two tests, we first discuss how we measure abnormal related sales and abnormal related lending. 3.2.1 Measuring abnormal related party transactions Similar to accounting accruals, the level of related party transactions can either be normal or abnormal for the firm. We use an OLS regression model to remove any normal components of related party transactions that are associated with industry classifications and firm characteristics such as size, measured by the natural logarithm of total assets; leverage, measured by total debt over total assets; and growth, measured by market-to-book equity. The residual term is our measure of abnormal related party transactions. We run two sets of year-by-year (1998–2002) regressions, one each for sales and lending as dependent variables. The range and 9 The summary statistics of abnormal related party transactions with the largest shareholders (not reported) show that central government firms tend to have higher abnormal related sales (mean = 0.01) than local (mean = 0) and nonstate firms (mean = -0.01), while they have a similar level of abnormal related lending as local government firms. For the subsample of firms with an incentive to manage earnings, both central and local government firms have positive abnormal related sales (mean = 0.04 and 0.01, respectively) while nonstate firms have an average of -0.02 abnormal related sales. Moreover, local government firms tend to have higher abnormal related lending than central government and nonstate firms in this subsample. 123 Propping through related party transactions 85 number of significant coefficients for the five years of regressions are reported in Appendix 2. The related sales models have an adjusted R-square ranging from 0.08 to 0.11. Both the coefficients on SIZE and LEVERAGE are statistically significantly positive and negative, respectively, in all the five years. The petrochemicals, metal, machinery, utilities, mining, and furniture manufacturing industries are found to have more related sales. Compared with related sales, the firm characteristic and industry classification variables have much less explanatory power for related lending, with adjusted R-squares ranging from 0.001 to 0.03. As a robustness check, we find similar results after including state ownership as a determining factor for normal related party transactions. We have also used gross and industry-adjusted related party transactions as alternative measures for all our main analyses and the results remain the same. 3.2.2 Test on abnormal related party sales and associated operating profits In this section, we examine whether related sales and the associated operating profits are abnormally high when Chinese firms have a strong incentive to manage earnings. First, we test the abnormal related sales level by regressing it on INCENTIVE, firm ownership and the governance variables. INCENTIVE equals one when the firm’s ROE is at the margin of qualifying for a rights issue (9–11% for protected industries and 10–12% for others before 2001; 6–8% afterwards), when the firm’s ROE is just above zero (0–2%), or when the firm seeks to have a rights issue in the following year and zero otherwise. All regressions are run using a pooled sample of five years with standard errors clustered by firm to control for serial correlation. In Table 3, column 1 reports the benchmark model with only INCENTIVE as the test variable. The coefficient on INCENTIVE is positive and statistically significant, which suggests that there is a higher level of abnormal related sales around these narrow ROE ranges.10 This evidence supports our conjecture that firms use related sales to inflate earnings to meet securities regulators’ share issuance and delisting ROE thresholds. Next we add LOCAL, CENTRAL and their interactions with INCENTIVE as explanatory variables to the regression model in column 2. The coefficients on both interaction terms are significantly positive, showing that local and central government firms are more likely to have abnormal related sales when earnings are close to the securities regulators’ earnings targets. For example, on average, the central government firms inflate their related sales more than nonstate firms do by 2.8% of total sales when they have to meet the earnings targets, which amounts to RMB 31 million of abnormal related sales. State firms engage in propping more 10 We conduct the following robustness check: (1) randomly select two 2% ROE intervals from a feasible ROE range in our sample, i.e., [-25%, 25%], set INCENTIVE equal to one for firm-years whose ROEs fall in these intervals and zero otherwise; (2) regress abnormal related sales on the pseudo-INCENTIVE. We repeat the above steps 1,000 times and find that the coefficient on pseudo-INCENTIVE is significant at the 10% level in only approximately 10% of the regressions. This suggests that the model in Table 3 is well specified and its results are unlikely to be spurious. 123 86 Table 3 M. Jian, T. J. Wong Earnings management through related salesa Panel A: Abnormal related sales, propping incentives and firm-level factors INCENTIVE 1 2 3 4 0.009 -0.003 0.010 0.011 (2.66)*** (0.73) (1.05) (1.16) 0.000 0.001 0.002 (0.03) (0.24) (0.25) -0.006 -0.013 -0.013 (0.48) (1.07) (1.09) -0.007 -0.006 (1.04) (0.93) 0.011 0.011 LOCAL CENTRAL BIG 10 LAYERS (3.00)*** (3.00)*** 0.012 0.011 INCENTIVE 9 LOCAL 0.013 (1.99)** (1.85)* (1.66)* INCENTIVE 9 CENTRAL 0.028 0.033 0.033 (2.35)** INCENTIVE 9 BIG 10 INCENTIVE 9 LAYERS (2.72)*** (2.65)*** 0.002 0.001 (0.30) (0.11) -0.006 -0.007 (1.73)* (1.71)* Previous year’s ROS 0.00 (2.42)** Intercept -0.008 -0.008 -0.029 -0.030 (2.14)** (1.49) (3.13)*** (3.11)*** N 5,015 5,015 5,015 4,597 Adjusted R2 0.004 0.010 0.010 0.010 a This table presents results on whether firms inflate related sales when there are earnings management incentives. The dependent variable of the regression is abnormal RPS, which is the residual term from the annual regression of overall related sales on SIZE, LEVERAGE, MARKET-TO-BOOK, and industry dummies (see Appendix 2 for details). The independent variables include INCENTIVE, which equals one when the firm’s ROE is at the margin of qualifying for a rights issue (9–11% for protected industries and 10–12% for others before 2001; 6–8% afterwards), when the firm’s ROE is just above zero (0–2%), or when the firm is going to seek a rights issue in the following year and zero otherwise; LOCAL, which equals one when the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the local government and zero otherwise; CENTRAL, which equals one when the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the central government and zero otherwise; BIG 10, which equals one when the firm’s auditor is one of the 10 largest accounting firms based on client assets in China and zero otherwise; LAYERS, which represents the number of layers between the listed firm and its ultimate shareholder; and Previous year’s ROS, which is the return on sales of the firm one year before the related party transaction occurs. The results presented in columns 1–4 use OLS regression and the absolute robust t-statistics are based on standard errors clustered by firm as shown in parentheses * Significant at 10%; ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%, two-tailed tests 123 Propping through related party transactions 87 Table 3 continued Panel B: Operating profit margin generated by abnormal related sales, propping incentives, and firm-level factorsb 1 2 3 4 0.008 -0.003 -0.007 -0.008 (1.94)* (1.57) (0.33) (0.35) LOCAL -0.007 -0.006 -0.005 (1.32) (1.36) (1.27) CENTRAL -0.002 -0.006 -0.005 (0.85) (1.34) (1.20) 0.003 0.003 (1.01) (1.03) 0.007 0.007 INCENTIVE BIG 10 LAYERS (1.11) (1.12) 0.016 0.016 INCENTIVE 9 LOCAL 0.017 (1.99)** (1.95)* (1.89)* INCENTIVE 9 CENTRAL 0.006 0.005 0.005 (1.97)* (1.83)* INCENTIVE 9 BIG 10 (2.65)*** -0.006 -0.006 (0.99) (0.96) INCENTIVE 9 LAYERS 0.003 0.003 (0.28) (0.33) Previous year’s ROS -0.002 (0.99) Year Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Intercept -0.009 -0.004 -0.019 -0.020 (2.20)** (1.53) (1.41) (1.46) N 5,015 5,015 5,015 4,597 Adjusted R2 0.005 0.010 0.007 0.006 b This panel reports the regression results on whether operating profits generated by abnormal related sales are significantly higher when there are incentives for earnings management. The dependent variable in the regression is the operating profit generated by abnormal related sales (abnormal related sales multiplied by the firm’s operating profit margin) divided by the firm’s total equity at the year-end. The independent variables include INCENTIVE, which equals one when the firm’s ROE is at the margin of qualifying for a rights issue (9–11% for protected industries and 10–12% for others before 2001; 6–8% afterwards), when the firm’s ROE is just above zero (0–2%), or when the firm is going to seek a rights issue in the following year and zero otherwise; LOCAL, which equals one when the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the local government and zero otherwise; CENTRAL, which equals one when the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the central government and zero otherwise; BIG 10, which equals one when the firm’s auditor is one of the 10 largest accounting firms based on client assets in China and zero otherwise; LAYERS, which represents the number of layers between the listed firm and its ultimate shareholder; and Previous year’s ROS, which is the return on sales of the firm one year before the connected transaction occurs. The results presented in columns 1 to 4 use OLS and the absolute robust t-statistics are based on standard errors clustered by firm as shown in parentheses * Significant at 10%; ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%, two-tailed tests 123 88 M. Jian, T. J. Wong because compared with nonstate firms, there are more intra-group trades between the listed firms and their parent SOEs (see Table 2), which gives them greater capacity to hide their propping in normal related sales. The coefficients on the interaction terms with LOCAL and CENTRAL remain positive and statistically significant when the governance variables, BIG 10 and LAYERS (column 3), and the firm performance variable, the previous year’s return on sales (ROS) (column 4), are added. The ROS variable controls for the possibility that government-controlled firms are weaker and need more propping to avoid delisting or to qualify for rights offerings or both. The coefficient on LAYERS is significantly positive, while the coefficient of INCENTIVE 9 LAYERS is negative and statistically significant in columns 3 and 4. This suggests that firms with more complex layering structures generally have more related sales, but these layers serve as a deterrent for controlling shareholders to use related sales to manage earnings. Turning to the analysis of operating profits generated by abnormal related sales, we rerun the regressions in Panel A of Table 3 using operating profits from abnormal related sales divided by total equity as the dependent variable. Since we do not know the exact profit margins for related sales, we use the companies’ average profit margins from related and nonrelated sales in computing the profits from related sales. In this test, we cannot distinguish between whether listed firms increase related sales profits by raising (1) the volume of related sales or (2) the operating margin. To the extent that the firms inflate the profit margins of nonrelated sales to meet earnings targets, we would have to interpret our results with caution. However, it should be easier for the firms to inflate profit margins of related sales transactions than arms-length sales transactions. The results reported in Panel B of Table 3, column 1, show that the operating profits associated with related sales increase when there is an incentive to manage earnings. When the interaction terms INCENTIVE 9 LOCAL and INCENTIVE 9 CENTRAL are included in columns 2–4, their coefficients are positive and statistically significant. For example, the results in column 2 indicate that central government firms inflate operating profits more than nonstate firms do by 0.6% of total equity, which amounts to RMB 5.9 million of operating profits. Perhaps state firms’ higher frequency of related sales compared to nonstate firms (Table 2, Panel A) provides the former more opportunities to use related sales for earnings management. 3.2.3 Test on related sales and earnings shocks In the second test, we use a method similar to that described by Bertrand et al. (2002), who use group firms’ sensitivity to industry earnings shocks to measure the extent of wealth extraction by the controlling owner. In our test, we use the Chinese firms’ sensitivity to industry earnings shocks to analyze the extent of earnings management. We predict that if Chinese firms engage in earnings management, they will be less sensitive to negative industry shocks. First, as a baseline regression, we regress the listed firms’ change in ROS (DROS) on the change in industry average ROS based on the industry classifications in 123 Propping through related party transactions 89 Table 4 Related sales and earnings shocksa Pooled sample Subsamples 1 2 INCENTIVE = 1 3 INCENTIVE = 0 4 0.367 0.675 0.668 0.570 (2.48)** (3.47)*** (3.00)*** (2.05)** DRPS 0.053 0.023 0.079 (1.25) (0.49) (1.28) NEGATIVE SHOCK -0.017 -0.034 -0.009 (1.38) (2.48)** (0.51) NEGATIVE SHOCK 9 DIND_ROS -0.203 2.131 -0.733 (0.18) (1.72)* (0.50) DIND_ROS 9 DRPS 2.822 1.148 4.300 (1.17) (0.54) (1.24) 0.067 0.295 -0.083 (0.64) (2.25)** (0.70) -12.772 -31.040 0.286 DIND_ROS NEGATIVE SHOCK 9 DRPS NEGATIVE SHOCK 9 DIND_ROS 9 DRPS (1.06) (2.96)*** (0.02) 0.019 -0.005 0.031 (6.27)*** (5.21)*** (1.06) (5.89)*** -0.111 -0.099 0.036 -0.147 (7.69)*** (6.36)*** (1.70)* (7.10)*** MARKET-TO-BOOK 0.003 0.003 0.001 0.004 (4.20)*** (3.10)*** (1.36) (3.63)*** Intercept -0.285 -0.274 0.036 -0.433 SIZE 0.020 LEVERAGE (6.20)*** (5.10)*** (0.58) (5.75)*** N 4,601 3,883 1,328 2,555 Adjusted R2 0.020 0.010 0.020 0.020 a This table presents the results on whether related sales are used to damp negative industry ROS shocks on firms’ change in ROS. The dependent variable in the regressions is the firm’s change in ROS (DROS), which is the ROS of the current year minus the ROS of the prior year. The independent variables include the following: DIND_ROS, which is the change in industry average ROS (excluding the test firm’s DROS) based on the industry classifications in Table 1; DRPS, which is the change in abnormal related sales; NEGATIVE SHOCK, which equals one when DIND_ROS is negative and zero otherwise; SIZE, which is the natural logarithm of total assets at year-end; LEVERAGE, which is total debt over total assets at yearend; and MARKET-TO-BOOK, which is the market value divided by book value of total equity at yearend. We run the regressions using the pooled sample in columns 1 and 2. We also partition the pooled sample into two subsamples based on INCENTIVE = 1 in column 3 and INCENTIVE = 0 in column 4. INCENTIVE equals one when the firm’s ROE is at the margin of qualifying for a rights issue (9–11% for protected industries and 10–12% for others before 2001; 6–8% afterwards), when the firm’s ROE is just above zero (0–2%), or when the firm is going to have rights issue in the following year and zero otherwise. The results presented in columns 1–4 use OLS and the absolute robust t-statistics are based on standard errors clustered by firm as shown in parentheses * Significant at 10%; ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%, two-tailed tests 123 90 M. Jian, T. J. Wong Table 1 (DIND_ROS), and other firm-specific variables including SIZE, LEVRAGE, and MARKET-TO-BOOK.11 The results of column 1 in Table 4 show the coefficient on DIND_ROS is significantly positive suggesting that industry shocks do have a significantly positive effect on firms’ earnings. Next, we perform the main test by adding to the regression NEGATIVE SHOCK, which is equal to one when DIND_ROS \ 0 and zero otherwise, and DRPS, which is the firm’s change in abnormal related sales for the year. If related sales can damp the effect of negative industry shocks on firms’ earnings, the coefficient on NEGATIVE SHOCK 9 DIND_ROS 9 DRPS will be significantly negative. That is, the firms use abnormal related sales (DRPS [ 0) to mitigate the effect of negative industry shocks on their earnings. Since we expect that firms have more incentives to use related sales to mitigate negative industry shocks when they have to meet earnings targets, we run the regression using the full sample in column 2 as well as subsamples separated into firm-years that have incentives for meeting share issuance and delisting earnings targets (INCENTIVE = 1) in column 3 and those that do not (INCENTIVE = 0) in column 4. The results in column 3 show that the coefficient on NEGATIVE SHOCK 9 DIND_ROS 9 DRPS is significantly negative. For example, a one-standard deviation change in abnormal related sales (8.19%) can more than undo the negative industry shock on firm-specific ROS when there is an incentive to manage earnings. None of the interaction terms is significant in the full sample (column 2) and in the subsample with INCENTIVE = 0 (column 4). In summary, the results suggest that related sales management can mitigate the effect of negative industry shocks on firms’ earnings. This evidence is statistically significant when firms have incentives to manage earnings but is statistically insignificant otherwise. 3.3 Related sales and accruals management 3.3.1 Is related sales propping entirely accrual-based? Next, we test whether earnings management through related sales is purely accrualbased or whether it can also be cash-based. We use the cross-sectional Jones (1991) model to measure discretionary related party accounts receivable by regressing the change in related party accounts receivable on the change in related sales. If the listed firm inflates accrued related sales, we would expect to find high discretionary related party accounts receivable. In the pooled regressions reported in Table 5, column 1, we do not find that the change in accounts receivable generated by related sales is abnormally high when there is an incentive to manage earnings. This evidence indicates that the abnormal related sales documented in Table 3 are likely to be cash-based, or a combination of cash- and accrual-based. 11 We exclude the tested firms’ DROS in calculating DIND_ROS. However, the results remain unchanged if we include the tested firms’ DROS in the calculation. 123 Propping through related party transactions 91 Table 5 Related sales and accruals earnings managementa Discretionary related receivable Pooled Discretionary total accruals Raw RPS = 0 3 Pooled RPS [ 0 RPS B 0 Pooled 1 Raw RPS [ 0 2 4 5 6 7 0.001 0.239 0.297 0.309 0.218 0.265 0.233 (1.59) (3.61)*** (2.84)*** (4.30)*** (4.26)*** (5.83)*** (7.08)*** 0.000 0.005 -0.026 -0.002 0.043 0.016 0.018 (0.04) (0.19) (0.77) (0.07) (1.64) (0.66) (0.95) 0.001 0.034 0.012 0.019 -0.010 0.061 0.043 (0.73) (0.90) (0.24) (0.62) (0.23) (1.80)* (1.54) 0.000 0.000 0.018 0.020 0.055 0.014 0.021 (0.12) (0.02) (0.60) (1.12) (1.42) (0.82) (1.38) 0.000 0.053 0.026 0.045 0.052 0.020 0.027 (0.93) (3.37)*** (0.74) (2.11)** (2.15)** (1.15) (1.95)* INCENTIVE 9 LOCAL 0.000 0.004 -0.049 -0.013 -0.029 -0.038 -0.030 (0.05) (0.12) (1.30) (0.44) (0.85) (1.43) (1.45) INCENTIVE 9 CENTRAL 0.000 -0.005 -0.097 -0.021 0.018 -0.075 -0.049 (0.54) (0.10) (1.80)* (0.56) (0.36) (2.14)** (1.69)* INCENTIVE 9 BIG 10 0.000 -0.009 -0.024 -0.025 -0.042 -0.024 -0.025 (0.14) (0.31) (0.73) (1.06) (1.00) (1.31) (1.49) INCENTIVE 9 LAYERS 0.000 -0.045 -0.041 -0.045 -0.060 -0.021 -0.029 (1.26) (1.85)* (1.08) (1.97)** (2.28)** (1.18) (2.04)** Previous year’s 0.000 ROS (1.05) 0.039 0.001 0.005 0.019 0.000 0.001 (1.58) (0.52) (1.26) (2.67)*** (0.01) (0.49) LEVERAGE 0.000 0.019 -0.003 0.008 0.005 0.007 0.006 (0.46) (1.20) (0.20) (0.75) (0.45) (1.18) (1.10) 0.000 -0.016 -0.022 -0.018 -0.028 -0.011 -0.016 (1.40) (0.77) (2.25)** (1.33) (3.38)*** (2.73)*** (4.17)*** 0.000 0.010 -0.003 0.005 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 (1.06) (1.91)* (1.03) (1.46) (0.16) (0.57) (0.55) INCENTIVE LOCAL CENTRAL BIG 10 LAYERS SIZE MARKET-TOBOOK D_RPS 0.046 INCENTIVE 9 D_RPS Intercept 0.033 (1.42) (2.27)** -0.062 -0.035 (1.85)* (2.02)** 0.000 -0.129 0.093 -0.094 0.102 -0.045 -0.002 (0.11) (0.49) (0.63) (0.51) (0.72) (0.75) (0.03) N 4,593 2,944 1,649 4,593 1,238 3,355 4,593 Adjusted R2 -0.010 0.010 0.040 0.010 0.070 0.034 0.026 123 92 M. Jian, T. J. Wong Table 5 continued a This table provides results for two separate tests: (1) whether firms use purely accrual-based related sales for earnings management and (2) whether related sales and accruals earnings management are complements or substitutes. The first test uses discretionary receivables from related parties (the residual of the annual regression model in which related party accounts receivable is regressed on related sales) as the dependent variable in column 1; the second test uses discretionary total accruals as the dependent variable in columns 2–7. In the regressions of the second test, we examine the pooled sample in columns 4 and 7, and the two subsamples based on whether the firm has opportunities to use related sales for earnings management, with raw RPS [ 0 (firms with related sales in at least one year during the sample period) in column 2, and raw RPS = 0 (firms without any related sales during the sample period) in column 3. In the second partition we examine the subsamples based on whether the firm has used related sales in earnings management during the year, with RPS [ 0 (firms-year with positive abnormal related sales) in column 5, and RPS B 0 (firms without positive abnormal related sales) in column 6. The independent variables in the regressions of both tests include the following: INCENTIVE, which equals one when the firm’s ROE is at the margin of qualifying for a rights issue (9–11% for protected industries and 10–12% for others before 2001; 6–8% afterwards), when the firm’s ROE is just above zero (0–2%), or when the firm is going to seek a rights issue in the following year and zero otherwise; LOCAL, which equals one when the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the local government and zero otherwise; CENTRAL, which equals one when the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the central government and zero otherwise; BIG 10, which equals one when the firm’s auditor is one of the 10 largest accounting firms based on client assets in China and zero otherwise; LAYERS, which represents the number of layers between the listed firm and its ultimate shareholder; Previous year’s ROS, which is the return on sales in the prior year; SIZE, which is the natural log of total assets at the year end; LEVERAGE, which is the total debt over total assets at year-end; and MARKET-TO-BOOK, which is the market value divided by book value of total equity at year-end. An additional independent variable is used for the second test: D_RPS equals one if the firm reports related sales in any year over the sample period and zero otherwise in column 4; D_RPS equals one if the firm reports positive abnormal related sales during the year and zero otherwise in column 7. The results presented in columns 1–7 use OLS and the absolute robust t-statistics are based on standard errors clustered by firm as shown in parentheses * Significant at 10%; ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%, two-tailed tests 3.3.2 Earnings management via related sales versus total accruals Given that Chinese firms can use cash-based related sales to manage earnings, does this lower their propensity to inflate earnings via total accruals? To answer this question, we use two approaches, partitioning the sample based on (1) whether firms have opportunities to use related sales for earnings management and (2) whether they have actually used related sales in earnings management. In the first approach, the first subsample (raw RPS [ 0) includes firms that have related sales in at least one year during the sample period, indicating they are likely to have the option to inflate earnings through related sales. The second subsample (raw RPS = 0) includes firms that do not have any related sales during the sample period, suggesting that managing related sales is unlikely an option. To test formally whether having the option to manage earnings through related sales affects accruals management, we regress discretionary total accruals on INCENTIVE and the control variables used in Table 3 for the first (raw RPS [ 0) and second (raw RPS = 0) subsamples of firms separately and then pooled together using a dummy (D_RPS) to test for the difference in the coefficients on INCENTIVE. D_RPS equals one when firms belong to the first subsample and 123 Propping through related party transactions 93 zero otherwise. Discretionary total accruals are computed using the cross-sectional modified Jones Model in Dechow et al. (1995). As reported in Table 5, the coefficient on INCENTIVE is 0.297 for RPS = 0 in column 3, which is higher than the coefficient on 0.239 for RPS [ 0 in column 2. In the pooled regressions in column 4, the coefficient on INCENTIVE 9 D_RPS is negative and statistically significant, further suggesting that discretionary total accruals are less significantly used when related sales are an available earnings management option. In the second test, we partition the sample into two groups based on firms’ actual related sales management level. More specifically, we divide the sample into firm-years that have positive abnormal related sales (RPS [ 0) and those that do not (RPS B 0). We rerun the regression in columns 2–4 using this new partition. The results reported in columns 5–7 suggest that when related sales management is used, firms have are less likely to use total accruals to manage earnings. In summary, the two approaches provide evidence that related sales activities do affect firms’ propensity to manage accruals to meet earnings targets. This provides support to the argument that related sales serve as a substitute rather than a complement to total accruals earnings management. 3.4 Related sales, cash transfers and economic institutions 3.4.1 The association between propping and subsequent cash transfers We now turn to our analysis of the relation between related sales and subsequent cash transfers. We argue that cash-based related sales can be achieved in the group context because cash can be transferred back to the buyer via related transactions. Thus, we predict that related sales earnings management is positively associated with cash transfers via related lending. Table 6, column 1, reports the regression results of whether abnormal related lending is associated with PROP, which is a dummy variable that equals one when INCENTIVE equals one and abnormal related sales are greater than zero in the current or prior year and zero otherwise. The results show that related sales earnings management is associated with related lending. The significantly positive coefficient on PROP 9 LOCAL indicates that the relation between propping and cash transfers is more pronounced in local government firms than in nonstate firms. This is consistent with the results in Table 3 that, compared with private owners, local governments as controlling owners engage in more cash-based related sales management and thus transfer more cash back from the listed firms. However, the coefficient on PROP 9 CENTRAL is significantly negative, despite the prior results in Table 3 that abnormal related sales are higher among central government firms than nonstate firms. The weaker link between propping and cash transfers suggests that central government firms have more resources for cash-based earnings management and do not need to transfer the cash back. In contrast to related sales management, further analysis shows that subsequent cash transfers are not associated with accruals earnings management. More 123 94 M. Jian, T. J. Wong Table 6 Relation between propping and subsequent cash transfersa Related sales Discretionary total accruals Pooled sample Subsamples 1 Raw RPS [ 0 2 Raw RPS = 0 3 RPS [ 0 4 RPS B 0 5 -0.036 0.053 -0.009 -0.011 0.019 (1.29) (1.62) (0.41) (0.28) (0.80) 0.008 0.010 0.017 0.017 0.008 (0.99) (0.94) (1.49) (0.94) (1.02) 0.006 -0.007 0.026 -0.020 0.008 (0.58) (0.57) (1.55) (0.99) (0.76) BIG 10 -0.003 -0.013 0.014 -0.010 -0.007 (0.52) (1.75)* (1.24) (0.66) (1.15) LAYERS -0.001 0.005 -0.002 0.017 -0.002 (0.18) (0.76) (0.34) (1.49) (0.45) PROP 9 LOCAL 0.049 -0.022 -0.002 0.027 -0.009 (2.02)** (1.02) (0.11) (1.56) (0.61) -0.035 -0.032 -0.019 0.020 -0.010 (1.70)* (1.42) (0.83) (0.67) (0.59) PROP 9 BIG 10 -0.017 -0.013 0.004 0.023 0.005 (1.30) (1.02) (0.22) (1.06) (0.45) PROP 9 LAYERS 0.018 -0.010 0.008 -0.015 -0.002 (1.55) (0.92) (0.90) (1.02) (0.29) Previous year’s ROS -0.003 -0.014 -0.002 0.003 -0.003 (1.10) (2.14)** (0.94) (0.17) (1.09) Rights issue dummy -0.006 -0.013 0.004 -0.020 0.001 (0.91) (1.60) (0.38) (1.50) (0.11) Change in debt -0.031 -0.026 -0.032 -0.032 -0.033 (3.26)*** (1.83)* (2.46)** (1.87)* (2.97)*** Year Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes -0.001 PROP LOCAL CENTRAL PROP 9 CENTRAL Intercept Subsamples 0.001 -0.002 -0.016 -0.030 (0.08) (0.12) (0.84) (0.89) (0.05) N 4,593 2,944 1,649 1,238 3,355 Adjusted R2 0.020 0.010 0.020 0.010 0.005 a This table presents regression results of whether abnormal related lending is associated with earnings management through related sales and through discretionary total accruals. We regress abnormal related lending on PROP, ownership and corporate governance variables and their interaction terms. The dependent variable, abnormal RPL, is the residual term from the regression of net related lending (excluding related accounts receivables and related accounts payables) on SIZE, LEVERAGE, MARKETTO-BOOK, and industry dummies (see Appendix 2 for details). In testing the relation between related lending and related sales (column 1), we set PROP equal to one if the listed firm has propping incentives (INCENTIVE = 1) and the abnormal related sales are greater than zero in the current or previous year and zero otherwise. In testing the relation between related lending and discretionary total accruals (columns 2–5), we partition the sample into two subsamples based on (1) whether the firm has opportunities to use related sales for earnings management, with raw RPS [ 0 (firms with related sales in at least one year 123 Propping through related party transactions 95 Table 6 continued during the sample period) in column 2, and raw RPS = 0 (firms without any related sales during the sample period) in column 3; (2) whether the firm uses related sales in earnings management in the year, with RPS [ 0 (firms-year with positive abnormal related sales in the year) in column 4, and RPS B 0 (firms without positive abnormal related sales in the year) in column 5. Moreover, in this set of regressions we set PROP equal to one if the listed firm has propping incentives (INCENTIVE = 1) and the discretionary total accruals are greater than zero in the current or previous year and zero otherwise. Other independent variables for the regressions include: LOCAL, which equals one if the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the local government and zero otherwise; CENTRAL, which equals one if the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the central government and zero otherwise; BIG 10, which equals one if the firm’s auditor is one of the 10 largest accounting firms based on client assets in China and zero otherwise; LAYERS, which represents the number of layers between the listed firm and its ultimate shareholder; Rights issue dummy, which equals one if the listed firm has a rights issue in the year and zero otherwise; Change in Debt, which is the change in total debt of the listed firm in the current year, divided by total sales of the firm in the year; Previous year’s ROS, which is the return on sales of the firm in the prior year; and Year Dummies for calendar years 1998–2002. The results presented in columns 1–5 use OLS and the absolute robust t-statistics are based on standard errors clustered by firm as shown in parentheses * Significant at 10%; ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%, two-tailed tests specifically, when the sample is partitioned based on raw related sales (Table 6, columns 2 and 3) or abnormal related sales (Table 6, columns 4 and 5), we fail to document that abnormal related lending is significantly associated with PROP, which equals one when INCENTIVE equals one and discretionary total accruals are greater than zero in the current or prior year and zero otherwise. 3.4.2 Propping and economic institutions The results reported in Table 7 suggest that the level of market development plays a role in influencing whether related sales are used for propping. The interactions between INCENTIVE and the two market institution variables in columns 1 and 2 are statistically significant in the regressions. The coefficient on INCENTIVE 9 Market Development Index is negative and statistically significant with a t-value of 1.75. A one-standard deviation increase in the Market Development Index can cause the abnormal related sales to decrease by 0.53% of total sales (RMB 5.9 million), while it can further reduce the abnormal related sales by 0.79% (RMB 8.9 million) when there is an incentive to meet earnings targets. Similarly, the coefficient on INCENTIVE 9 Deregulation Index is negative with a t-value of 1.81 in the regression. Results in columns 3 and 4 show that the effects of government interventions on propping are not as pronounced as those of the market institutions. The coefficients on INCENTIVE 9 Unemployment and INCENTIVE 9 Fiscal Surplus have the expected signs, but they are not statistically significant. In summary, the economic institutions of a region in China do influence propping and the way in which firms manage their earnings. This further supports prior research that demonstrates the effects of institutions on accounting and the necessity of paying attention to institutional development when comparing accounting properties or qualities across countries or regions. 123 96 M. Jian, T. J. Wong Table 7 Propping and institutional factorsa INCENTIVE Market Development Index 1 2 3 4 0.029 0.016 0.021 0.039 (2.12)** (2.19)** (1.69)* (1.88)* -0.004 (1.52) Deregulation Index -0.012 (3.32)*** Unemployment 0.005 (0.53) Fiscal Surplus -0.036 (1.69)* INCENTIVE 9 Market Development Index -0.006 (1.75)* INCENTIVE 9 Deregulation Index -0.008 (1.81)* INCENTIVE 9 Unemployment 0.015 (1.21) INCENTIVE 9 Fiscal Surplus -0.052 (1.59) Previous year’s ROS 0.010 0.005 0.015 0.010 Year dummy (0.61) (0.31) (0.94) (0.63) Yes Yes Yes Intercept 0.011 Yes 0.015 0.001 0.021 (0.96) (1.77)* (0.07) (1.34) N 4,567 4,567 4,567 4,567 Adjusted R2 0.010 0.010 0.001 0.010 a This table presents the regression analysis of institutional effects on propping. We regress abnormal related sales (Abnormal RPS) on INCENTIVE, institutional factors, and their interaction terms. INCENTIVE equals one when the firm’s ROE is at the margin of qualifying for a rights issue (9–11% for protected industries and 10–12% for others before 2001; 6–8% afterwards), when the firm’s ROE is just above zero (0–2%), or when the firm is going to seek a rights issue in the following year and zero otherwise. Other independent variables include: Market Development Index, which measures the progress of institutional transformation in China’s 30 provinces (excluding Tibet due to lack of data) and identifies the differences in institutions and economic policies among various regions (Fan and Wang 2003); Deregulation index, which measures the degree of deregulation in these different provinces (Demurger et al. 2002); Unemployment, which is the unemployment rate in the different provinces in China; Fiscal Surplus, which is the fiscal surplus divided by GDP for the province in which the firm is located; and Previous year’s ROS, which is the firm’s return on sales in the prior year. The results presented in columns 1–4 use OLS and the absolute robust t-statistics are based on standard errors clustered by firm as shown in parentheses * Significant at 10%; ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%, two-tailed tests 123 Propping through related party transactions 97 4 Robustness checks We perform four sets of robustness checks. First, we use gross and industry-adjusted related sales and related lending for all the regressions.12 In addition, we include two additional ownership variables, LOCAL and CENTRAL, as independent variables in the regressions to determine normal related sales and lending (similar to Appendix 2). All of our main results remained qualitatively the same. Second, we vary the range of ROE around the earnings targets as a robustness check. Our main results remain qualitatively the same if we use the following two sets of ranges: (1) 0–1.5 and 9–10.5% for protected industries and 10–11.5% for other industries before 2001, and 6–7.5% afterwards, and (2) 0–2.5 and 9–11.5% for protected industries and 10–12.5% for other industries before 2001, and 6–8.5% afterwards. As mentioned in footnote 10, we also try to replicate the regression with pseudo-incentives randomly generated in the feasible ROE range, and the results suggest that our tests are well specified. Third, we use other related party items to proxy for propping. In addition to related sales, we use related purchases as another propping mechanism. Controlling owners can reduce their listed firms’ cost of goods sold through granting significant purchase discounts. However, when related purchases, instead of related sales, are used in the Table 3 regressions, the coefficient on INCENTIVE becomes statistically insignificant. This suggests that Chinese listed firms tend to not use related purchases for propping. One potential explanation is that, since the last-in-first-out cost flow assumption is not allowed in China, the parent companies might choose other more ‘timely and efficient’ ways to prop up listed firms. Another possible reason is that propping through reducing the listed firm’s cost of goods sold may result in a decrease in the total amount of related purchases. The parent company could simply reduce the per-unit charge while maintaining the total quantity sold to the listed firm, thereby lowering the total amount of related purchases. This would work against finding a positive correlation between related purchases and the earnings management incentive. Firms can also use asset or cash injections for propping. These include sales of assets and shares, exemptions for rent or other charges, and debt-asset swaps. However, there is no strong evidence that firms use asset or cash injections to inflate earnings to meet listing or rights issue earnings targets. One possible reason for not finding results with asset injections is that these one-time items can be easily detected by securities regulators and thus are not commonly used to meet the government’s earnings targets. Also, the frequency of these transactions is low (around 10% occurrence in our sample), which lowers the power of our tests. To ensure that the relation between related sales and related lending is not spurious (that is, firms with more related party transactions have more related sales and related lending), we regress abnormal related lending on abnormal related sales, INCENTIVE and the interaction between the two variables. The coefficients on abnormal related sales and the interaction term are both positive and statistically 12 An industry-adjusted related party transaction is the gross figure minus the industry mean figure of the same year based on the CSRC industry classification. 123 98 M. Jian, T. J. Wong significant, which show that the positive relation between abnormal related sales and abnormal related lending is particularly high when there is an incentive for earnings management. This provides evidence that the relation is not driven by spurious correlations. We also rerun regressions in column 1 of Table 6 using PROP based on lagged related sales. That is, the dependent variable is the abnormal related lending in year t, while the independent variable, PROP, equals one when INCENTIVE equals one and abnormal related sales are larger than zero in year t - 1 (lag one period). The result remains qualitatively the same. Note that in our definition of related lending, we exclude the possibility of cash transfers through trade credits (accounts receivable and payable) because these items are likely to be associated with related sales or purchases. As a diagnostic check, we repeat the analyses by including these two items in the related lending calculations. All the main results in Tables 6 remain qualitatively the same. Fourth, both of our test variables, related sales and related lending, are highly skewed. To address this potential problem, we winsorize the two variables at the top and bottom 5% to avoid extreme values in all of our regressions. In addition, we rerun all regressions using rank regressions. All major results remain unchanged. 5 Conclusion This study uses a sample of firms listed in China from 1998 through 2002 to provide evidence of propping through related party transactions. China offers a natural setting for studying the shifting of resources between controlling owners and listed firms due to its underdeveloped capital, product, and labor markets; bright-line rules for share issuance and delisting; and weak legal and market institutions. Our evidence shows that controlling owners of Chinese listed firms engage in propping through related sales. The increase in related sales is associated with higher operating profits, and related sales are used to damp negative industry earnings shocks when listed firms have incentives to manage earnings. By using such intercompany trades to meet securities regulators’ earnings targets, the controlling owners help the listed firms maintain their listing status or qualify for rights issues. Propping through related sales can be effected through cash-based, rather than entirely accrual-based, transactions. Related sales and discretionary accruals are found to be substitutes for earnings management. When firms generally have sales transactions with their related parties or they have positive abnormal related sales, they have a weaker tendency to use discretionary accruals to meet earnings targets. However, we find that firms have a stronger tendency to use discretionary accruals to inflate earnings when they do not have related sales or when they have not engaged in related sales management. Also, cash-based propping through related sales is associated with the transfer of cash back to the controlling owner through related lending. Since discretionary accruals management does not involve cash transfers, such earnings management activity is not linked with subsequent cash transfers. Finally, we document that the degree of propping is significantly lower in regions with stronger economic institutions than in those with weaker economic institutions. 123 Propping through related party transactions 99 Acknowledgements This paper, previously titled ‘‘Earnings Management and Tunneling through Related Party Transactions: Evidence from Chinese Corporate Groups’’, has benefited from discussions with seminar participants at the Chinese University of Hong Kong, the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Nanyang Technological University of Singapore, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, the University of Hong Kong, the 2003 European Finance Association Conference, the 2004 Asian Finance Association Meeting, the 2004 American Accounting Association Annual Meeting, and the 2005–2006 Global Issues in Accounting Conference at University of North Carolina—Chapel Hill. We especially appreciate comments from Kee-Hong Bae, Robert Bushman, Kalok Chan, Kevin Chen, Joseph Fan, Chul Park, Joseph Piostroski, Gordon Richardson, Woody Wu, and Tianyu Zhang. Any errors are our own. We thank Tianyu Zhang for providing the pyramid data. We also acknowledge the financial support of the Direct Allocation Grant at the Chinese University of Hong Kong and Singapore Ministry of Education Academic Research Fund Tier 1, Grant number of project SUG 1/04. Appendix 1 Correlation matrix This table presents the correlation matrix for all variables used in Tables 3 through 7. The variables include: Abnormal RPS, which is the residual term from the regression of related sales on SIZE, LEVERAGE, MARKET-TO-BOOK, and industry dummies (see Appendix 2 for details); Abnormal RPL, which is the residual term from the regression of net related lending (excluding related party accounts receivables and related party accounts payable) on SIZE, LEVERAGE, MARKETTO-BOOK, and industry dummies (see Appendix 2 for details); Operating profit from abnormal RPS, which equals abnormal RPS multiplied by the firm’s average operating profit margin, divided by the firm’s total equity at year-end; discretionary related receivable, which is the residual term of the annual regression model in which related party accounts receivable is regressed on related sales; discretionary total accruals from the cross-sectional modified Jones Model in Dechow et al. (1995); the firm’s change in ROS (DROS), which is the ROS of the current year minus the ROS of the prior year; DIND_ROS, which is the change in industry average ROS (excluding the tested firm’s change in ROS) based on the industry classifications in Table 1; NEGATIVE SHOCK, which equals one when DIND_ROS is negative and zero otherwise; DRPS, which is the change in abnormal related sales; INCENTIVE, which equals one when the firm’s ROE is at the margin of qualifying for rights issue (9–11% for protected industries; 10–12% for other industries before 2001; 6–8% afterwards), when the firm’s ROE is just above zero (0–2%), or when the firm is going to seek a rights issue in the following year and zero otherwise; PROPRPS, which equals one if the listed firm has propping incentives (INCENTIVE equals one) and abnormal related sales are greater than zero in the current or previous year and zero otherwise; PROPacc, which equals one if the listed firm has propping incentives (INCENTIVE equals one) and discretionary accruals are greater than zero in the current or previous year and zero otherwise; LOCAL, which equals one when the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the local government and zero otherwise; CENTRAL, which equals one when the firm’s ultimate shareholder is the central government and zero otherwise; BIG 10, which equals one when the firm’s auditor is one of the 10 largest accounting firms based on 123 123 0.00 0.40 0.04 0.67 0.04 0.02 0.06 -0.03 0.06 -0.05 -0.08 NEGATIVE SHOCK DRPS INCENTIVE PROPRPS PROPacc LOCAL CENTRAL BIG 10 LAYERS Market Development Index Deregulation Index 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 LEVERAGE SIZE MARKET-TO-BOOK Previous year’s ROS 0.01 0.01 DIND_ROS Fiscal Surplus 0.00 0.01 DROS 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 Discretionary total accruals Unemployment 0.03 0.06 Discretionary related receivable -0.02 -0.10 0.21 -0.19 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.08 -0.01 0.02 -0.03 0.01 0.02 -0.01 0.03 0.02 0.07 1 0.12 Abnormal RPL Operating profit from abnormal RPS Abnormal RPS Abnormal RPL Appendix 1 -0.01 0.04 -0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.01 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 -0.01 0.07 -0.01 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.02 1 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 -0.01 1 Operating profit from Discretionary abnormal RPS related receivable 0.01 0.02 -0.04 0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.01 0.10 0.02 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 1 Discretionary total accruals 1 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.64 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.01 -0.16 -0.03 0.01 0.16 -0.25 -0.07 0.03 -0.02 -0.12 0.00 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.03 -0.03 0.01 0.04 -0.01 0.03 0.08 -0.02 0.06 0.57 0.02 0.02 0.09 1 DROS DIND_ ROS -0.02 0.06 -0.08 0.02 0.04 -0.17 0.05 0.04 -0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.03 1 NEGATIVE SHOCK 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.28 0.12 1 0.01 0.20 0.02 0.06 0.01 -0.14 -0.01 -0.01 -0.32 0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 -0.01 0.03 0.02 1 DRPS INCEN TIVE 0.04 -0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.01 0.03 -0.10 -0.07 0.05 -0.04 0.05 0.03 0.07 1 0.07 -0.07 0.01 -0.08 -0.06 -0.02 -0.10 -0.09 0.02 -0.06 0.02 -0.03 1 0.01 -0.13 0.07 -0.04 -0.06 0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.22 -0.07 -0.55 1 PROPRPS PROPacc LOCAL 100 M. Jian, T. J. Wong 0.01 Rights Issue Dummy -0.05 0.01 Previous year’s ROS Change in debt -0.04 MARKET-TO-BOOK 0.13 -0.13 LEVERAGE SIZE 0.05 0.00 Deregulation Index Fiscal Surplus 0.00 Market Development Index -0.10 0.31 Unemployment 0.05 -0.03 -0.04 0.03 0.04 0.15 0.01 0.11 0.05 0.20 0.20 0.06 1 BIG 10 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.06 0.02 0.03 -0.03 0.08 0.07 1 LAYERS Operating profit from abnormal RPS CENTRAL -0.13 LAYERS -0.03 Change in debt 0.00 Abnormal RPL BIG 10 0.01 Rights Issue Dummy Abnormal RPS Appendix 1 continued -0.07 -0.06 -0.02 0.03 0.12 0.01 0.74 -0.08 0.84 1 Market Development Index 0.03 0.01 Discretionary related receivable -0.05 -0.08 -0.02 0.05 0.11 0.09 0.42 -0.12 1 Deregulation Index 0.04 0.03 1 0.01 -0.11 -0.02 -0.11 0.04 0.04 -0.05 0.05 -0.10 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.16 -0.06 1 Fiscal Surplus -0.15 -0.05 0.03 DROS DIND_ ROS Unemployment Discretionary total accruals 1 0.35 -0.13 -0.03 0.17 -0.44 -0.04 0.01 0.03 -0.44 1 SIZE -0.01 0.03 0.03 0.14 0.02 0.00 1 -0.09 -0.06 -0.08 0.09 0.03 1 Previous year’s ROS 0.13 0.14 0.01 1 Rights Issue Dummy -0.04 0.01 PROPRPS PROPacc LOCAL MARKET TO-BOOK DRPS INCEN TIVE LEVERAGE 0.00 0.06 NEGATIVE SHOCK Propping through related party transactions 101 123 102 M. Jian, T. J. Wong client assets in China and zero otherwise; LAYERS, which represents the number of layers between the listed firm and its ultimate shareholder; Market Development Index, which measures the progress of institutional transformation in China’s 30 provinces (excluding Tibet due to lack of data) and identifies the differences in institutions and economic policies among various regions (Fan and Wang 2003); Deregulation index, which measures the degree of deregulation in these different provinces (Demurger et al. 2002); Unemployment, which is the unemployment rate in different provinces in China; Fiscal Surplus, which is the fiscal surplus divided by provincial GDP for the province in which the firm is located; LEVERAGE, which is total debt over total assets at the year-end; SIZE, which is the natural logarithm of total assets at the year-end; MARKET-TO-BOOK, which is market value divided by book value of total equity at the year-end; Previous year’s ROS, which is the return on sales of the firm one year before the related party transaction occurs; Rights issue dummy, which equals one if the listed firm has a rights issue in the year and zero otherwise; and Change in Debt, which is the change in total debt of the listed firm in the current year, divided by the total sales of the firm over the year. The numbers shown in the table are the Pearson correlation coefficients. If the absolute value of the coefficient is higher than 0.04, it is significant at the 1% level. 123 Propping through related party transactions 103 Appendix 2 Abnormal related party transaction regressions Independent variables Dependent variables Related sales coefficients Min LEVERAGE Max Related lending coefficients # of Sig -0.186 -0.155 5 SIZE Min -0.070 Max # of Sig 0.116 2 0.019 0.028 5 -0.049 -0.013 3 MARKET-TO-BOOK -0.001 0.013 3 -0.008 0.011 2 Industry dummy -0.006 0.059 0 -0.136 0.073 1 Mining 0.066 0.225 4 -0.123 0.043 0 Food & Beverage 0.019 0.076 1 -0.075 0.028 0 Textile, Apparel, Fur and Leather 0.028 0.087 3 -0.063 0.153 1 Furniture Manufacturing 0.082 0.769 2 -0.136 0.517 1 Paper and Allied Products; Printing 0.043 0.121 2 -0.071 0.156 1 Petroleum, Chemical, Plastics, and Rubber Products Manufacturing 0.056 0.108 5 -0.090 0.076 3 Electronics 0.021 0.055 0 -0.066 -0.029 0 Metal, Non-metal 0.109 0.158 5 -0.080 0.098 2 Machinery, Equipment, and Instrument Manufacturing 0.067 0.100 5 -0.053 0.026 0 Farming, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishing Medicine and Biological Products Other Manufacturing Utilities N Adjusted R2 0.017 0.118 3 -0.031 0.075 0 -0.035 0.107 1 -0.048 0.178 1 0.148 0.267 5 -0.099 -0.025 1 Construction -0.007 0.038 0 -0.106 0.033 0 Transportation and Warehousing -0.046 -0.001 0 -0.113 0.066 1 Information Technology -0.008 0.040 0 -0.120 -0.022 2 0.007 0 Wholesale and Retail Trade -0.015 Banking & Financial Institutions -0.098 -0.017 0 -0.106 0.000 0 Real Estate -0.011 -0.109 0.101 1 0.042 0 -0.135 -0.017 4 Public Facilities and Other Services -0.030 0.018 0 -0.073 -0.043 0 Communication and Cultural Industries -0.037 0.049 0 -0.136 0.106 0 Conglomerates -0.332 -0.221 5 0.183 0.783 4 816 0.080 1124 0.110 816 0.001 1122 0.030 123 104 M. 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