Chapter 5: IS-LM Model Calculation exercises Summary of the IS relation Previously in the simple Keynesian cross model The goods market assumptions 1. Closed economy, therefore Z is equal to C(Y-T) +I +G 2. The price level is fixed P fixed • Equilibrium in the goods market is when production (output) Y, is equal to the demand for goods, Z. This equilibrium condition is called the Investment- savings (IS )relation. • In the simple Keynesian cross model, the interest rate did not affect the demand for goods. The equilibrium condition was given by: Summary of the IS relation When we allow the interest rate to affect the goods market: • Investments become endogenous and depend on the level of sales (+) and the interest rate (-) such that in the investments behave like consumption: • The investment function becomes: Summary of the IS relation • The new equilibrium condition in the goods market becomes : • The equation shows the equilibrium condition in the goods market, and it relates production Y to the interest rate. Mainly that: • For a given value of the interest rate, demand is an increasing function of output, because: • An increase in production/output leads to an increase in income increases in disposable income and therefore consumption. • An increase in output also leads to an increase in investment. Summary of the IS relation • We can use the equilibrium conditions to derive the IS relation by tracing how equilibrium in the goods market changes as the interest rate changes i.e., how does the equilibrium level of demand and output change when we vary the interest rate. • We can trace where the 45-degree line and demand (Z) curve will intersect at the different levels of interest rates. • We then can plot the different equilibrium points associated with the given level of the interest rate (i) to derive the IS curve. Summary of IS relation • Properties of the IS curve: • The derived IS curve shows all values of Y and i where the goods market is in equilibrium. • Equilibrium in the goods market implies that an increase in the interest rate leads to a decrease in output, which is why the IS curve is downward facing. • An increase in the interest rate decreases the demand for goods at any level of output, leading to a decrease in the equilibrium level of output. • Changes in factors that decrease the demand for goods, given the interest rate, shift the IS curve to the left, decreasing output • Changes in factors that increase the demand for goods, given the interest rate, shift the IS curve to the right. Summary of the LM relation Liquidity-Money LM relation assumptions: 1. Price level is fixed 2. Central bank controls money supply: • The CB controls the money supply by buying or selling bonds in the bonds market i.e, in Open Market Operations. • The assets of the central bank are the bonds it holds. The liabilities are the stock of money in the economy. • An open market operation in which the central bank buys bonds and issues money increases both assets and liabilities by the same amount. • In an expansionary open market operation, if the central bank buys R 10 million worth of bonds, it will increase the money supply by R10 million. • In a contractionary open market operation, if the central bank sells R 10 million worth of bonds, it will decrease the money supply by R 10 million. Summary of the LM relation • Equilibrium condition in the financial markets is that money supply equal money demand: • The equilibrium condition relates the interest rate to output. • The interest rate is determined by the equality of the supply of and the demand for money, • The demand for money is dependent on income (+) and the interest rate on bonds (-) Summary of the LM relation Summary of the LM relation Properties of the LM curve: • LM curve slopes upwards because the equilibrium in financial markets implies that, for a given real money supply, an increase in the level of income, which increases the demand for money, leads to an increase in the interest rate. • An increase in the money supply shifts the LM curve down. • A decrease in the money supply shifts the LM curve up. Summary of IS-LM Model Why do we think about shifts of the IS curve to the left or to the right, but about shifts of the LM curve up or down? The reason: ● We think of the goods market as determining Y given i, so we want to know what happens to Y when an exogenous variable changes. Y is on the horizontal axis and moves right or left. ● We think of financial markets as determining i given Y, so we want to know what happens to i when an exogenous variable changes. i is on the vertical axis and moves up or down. Summary of IS-LM Model IS relation: Y = C(Y − T ) + I(Y, i) + G LM relation: M/P = YL(i) IS-LM model is a system of two equations in two unknowns, Y and i. Summary of IS-LM Model • Factors that shift the IS curve: • Changes in autonomous consumer expenditure • Changes in government spending • Changes in taxes • Changes in interest rates don’t cause shifts in the IS curve, they cause movement along the IS curve. • Factors that shift the LM curve • Changes in money supply (Ms) • Autonomous changes in money demand (we have assumed this is zero) Mathematical derivation of IS and LM relations Remember: IS relation: Y = C(Y − T ) + I(Y, i) + G LM relation: M/P = YL(i) Two equations and two unknowns, Y and i. Deriving the IS curve Question 1 : The following equations describe an economy: C = 100 + 0.8Y; I = 50-25i; G = 50; T=50. Derive the equations for IS curve and represent it graphically. Deriving the IS curve • Answer 1 • Equilibrium in the goods market is when output (Y) is equal to demand (Z): Y=Z Y= C(Y-T) + I+G Y= 100 + 0.8 (Y-50)+ 50-25i+ 50 Y=200+0,8Y-40-25i Y-0.8Y= 160-25i Y(1-0.8)=160-25i 0.2Y=160-25i Y=800-125i IS Function Deriving the LM Equation Question 2: Given the following data about the financial market of the economy: Md = Y – 25i ; Ms = 200 Rands. Deriving the LM equation • Answer 2: • Equilibrium in the financial market is when: Ms=Md 200=0.2 Y – 25i 200+25i=Y LM function Finding values of Y and i Use the IS and LM functions derived in question 1 and 2 to find the equilibrium level of out put and the interest rate. IS function: Y=800-125i LM function : 200+25i=Y Answer: Set IS=LM 200+25i =800-125i 600=125i+25i 600=150i 4=i equilibrium interest rate Y=800-125i Y=800-(125)4 Y=800-500 Y=300 Equilibrium output