Warrants and CBBC Bodie, et al. (2021) Ch. 20 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 1 Warrant premium Warrant premium窩輪溢價for call is the difference between the cost of obtaining one share of stock by buying and exercising the call warrants($Co x CR +$X) and buying one share in the stock market at the current spot price ($So), as a percentage of current spot price. Warrant premium for call = (Co × CR+X)−So So × 100% where Co x CR = cost of CR units of call warrants required to buy one share of stock X = exercise price paid to buy one share of stock by exercising CR units of warrants So = current market price of one share of stock 2 Gearing Effective gearing實際槓桿; 有效槓桿 for call is the price elasticity of a derivative, equal to the percentage change of the price of call warrants used to buy one share of stock ∆($Co × CR) / ($Co × CR) in response to percentage change in current spot price of one share of stock ∆($S)/$So . effective gearing for a call = where ∆(Co× CR) ∆S × So Co×CR ∆(Co× CR) = Delta 對沖值 ∆S So = gearing ratio槓桿比率 Co×CR 3 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 4 5 Warrant premium (Co × CR+X)−So So Warrant premium for call = Example: call warrant on Alibaba ($0.023 x 100 +$211.11)−$162.20 × $162.20 = $2.30+$211.11−$162.20 × $162.20 = $213.41−$162.20 $162.20 = $51.21 $162.20 × 100% 100% 100% × 100% × 100% = 0.315721 x 100% = 31.5721% If current stock price rises by 31.5721%, to $213.41, the cost of buying and exercising CR units of stock warrants is the same as buying one stock in the stock market Gearing ∆(Co× CR) ∆S effective gearing for a call = Example: call warrant on Alibaba 0.1338 × × So Co×CR $162.20 $0.023×100 = 0.1338 x 70.5217 = 9.4358 If stock price of Alibaba rises by $1, $(Co x 100) increases by $0.1338 or $Co increases by $0.1338/100 = $0.001338 or up to $0.023+$0.001338 = $0.024338 per one warrant. Investors earn $0.001338 x 10,000 warrants per lot = $13.38. If Alibaba rises by 1%, $(Co x 100) increases by 9.4358% or price of one warrant ($Co) rises to $0.023 x (1+9.4358%) = $0.02517. Investors earn ($0.02517 - $0.023 = $0.00217) x 10,000 warrants per lot = $21.7023 per lot. 7 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 8 9 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 Warrant premium Warrant premium for call = Example: call warrant on HSI ($0.019 x 7,000 +$29,188)−$25,415.69 $25,415.69 = $133+$29,188−$25,415.69 $25,415.69 (Co × CR+X)−So So × 100% × 100% × 100% = $29,321−$25,415.69 $25,415.69 × 100% = $3,905.31 $25,415.69 × 100% = 0.153657 x 100% = 15.3657% When HSI rises by 15.3657%, to 29,321, the cost of buying and exercising the CR units of the index warrants is the same as buying the HSI. Gearing ∆(Co× CR) ∆S effective gearing for a call = Example: call warrant on HSI 0.0995 × × So Co×CR $25,415.69 $0.019×7,000 = 0.0995 x 191.09541 = 19.01399 If price of HSI rises by 100 points, $(Co x 7,000) increases by $9.95 or $Co increases by $9.95/7,000 = $0.0014214 or up to $0.019 + $0.0014214 = $0.0204214 per one warrant. Investors earn $0.0014214 x 10,000 warrants per lot = $14.214 If HSI rises by 1%, $(Co x 7,000) increases by 19.01399% or price of one warrant rises to $0.019 x (1+19.01399%) = $0.022613. Investors earn ($0.022613 - $0.019 = $0.003613) x 10,000 warrants per lot = $36.13. 11 Warrant premium Warrant premium窩輪溢價 for put is the difference between the amount of selling one share of stock by selling one share in the stock market at the current spot price ($So) and buying the put and exercising the put ($X - $Po x CR), as a percentage of current spot price. Warrant premium for put = So−(X−Po × CR) So × 100% where Po x CR = cost of CR units of put warrants required to sell one share of stock X = exercise price received for selling one share of stock by exercising CR units of warrants 12 So = current market price of one share of stock Gearing Effective gearing 實際槓桿; 有效槓桿 for put is the price elasticity of a derivative, equal to the percentage change of the price of put warrants used to sell one share of stock ∆($Po × CR) / ($Po × CR) in response to percentage change in current spot price of one share ∆($S)/$So . effective gearing for a put = where ∆(Po× CR) ∆S × So Po×CR ∆(Po× CR) = Delta 對沖值 ∆S So = gearing ratio槓桿比率 Po×CR 13 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 14 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 15 Warrant premium So−(X−Po × CR) So Warrant premium for put = Example: put warrant on Alibaba $162.20−($173.88−0.243 x 100) $162.20 = = $162.20−$149.58 × $162.20 $12.62 $162.20 × 100% × 100% 100% × 100% = 0.077805 x 100% = 7.7805% When current stock price decreases by 7.7805%, to $149.58, the amount of buying and exercising the CR units of put warrants received is the same as selling one stock in the stock market. 16 Gearing ∆(Po× CR) ∆S effective gearing for a put = Example: put warrant on Alibaba −0.5639 × × So Po×CR $162.20 $0.243×100 = −0.5639 x 6.674897 = 3.76397 If stock price of Alibaba falls by $1, $(Po x 100) increases by $0.5639 or $Po increases by $0.5639/100 = $0.005639 or up to $0.243+$0.005639 = $0.248639 per one warrant. Investors earn $0.005639 x 10,000 warrants per lot = $56.39. If Alibaba falls by 1%, $(Po x 100) increases by 3.76397% or price of one warrant rises to $0.243 x (1+3.76397%) = $0.252146. Investors earn ($0.252146 - $0.243 = $0.009146) x 10,000 warrants per lot = $91.46. 17 18 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 19 Warrant premium Warrant premium for put = Example: put warrant on HSI So−(X−Po × CR) So $25,415.69−($27,600−0.29 x 10,000) × $25,415.69 = $25,415.69−($27,600−$2,900) × $25,415.69 = $25,415.69−($24,700) × $25,415.69 × 100% 100% 100% 100% = $715.69 $25,415.69 × 100% = 0.028159 x 100% = 2.8159% When HSI decreases by 2.8159%, to 24,700, the amount of buying and exercising the put warrants received is the same as selling the HSI. 20 Gearing ∆(Po× CR) ∆S effective gearing for a put = Example: put warrant on HSI −0.7536 × × So Po×CR $25,415.69 $0.29×10,000 = −0.7536 x 8.7640 = 6.6046 If HSI falls by 100 points, $(Po x 10,000) increases by $75.36 or $P increases by $75.36/10,000 = $0.007536 or up to $0.29+$0.007536 = $0.297536 per one warrant. Investors earn $0.007536 x 10,000 warrants per lot = $75.36. If HSI falls by 1%, $(Po x 10,000) increases by 6.6046% or price of one warrant rises to $0.29 x (1+6.6046%) = $0.30915. Investors earn ($0.30915 - $0.29 = $0.01915) x 10,000 warrants per lot = $191.50. 21 Callable Bull/Bear contracts Callable bull/bear contracts (CBBC) 牛熊證, like other derivatives, track the performance of an underlying asset without requiring investors to pay the full price to own the actual asset. CBBC are issued either as Bull牛 or Bear熊contracts, allowing investors to take bullish or bearish positions on the underlying assets基礎資產. CBBC, like covered warrants, are issued by a third party, usually an investment bank. CBBC, like stocks and warrants, are listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong (SEHK)香港聯合交易 所有限公司, are then traded on the cash market, and are settled in cash 現金結算. 22 Features of CBBC The delta of a CBBC is close to one in absolute value. Thus, if the underlying asset increase in value by $1, a Bull contract 牛證 increases in value x conversion ratio 兌換比率 (CR) or entitlement ratio 合約權益比率, generally by approximately the same amount. A Bear contract 熊證 generally decreases in value x CR, by approximately the same amount. Hence, price movement of CBBC tends to track the price of underlying asset closely. Also, unlike warrants, CBBC are issued with the condition that during their lifespan, they will be called 收回 by the issuers when the price of the underlying asset reaches 觸及 the Call Price 收回價 and then the CBBC will expire immediately 打靶. 23 Features of CBBC Such an event is referred to as a Mandatory Call Event (MCE) 強制收回事件. Thus, CBBC have a Call Price and a Mandatory call feature For Bull contracts, the Call Price must be either equal to or above the strike price 行 使 價 . For Bear contracts, the Call Price must be either equal to or below the strike price. Investors in CBBC will bear the risk of call because they may lose all the investments in CBBC. 24 Categories of CBBC There are two categories of CBBC, namely Category N CBBC N類牛熊證, and Category R CBBC R類牛熊證. A Category N CBBC refers to a CBBC where its Call Price is equal to its strike price. The CBBC holder will not receive any cash payment once the price of the underlying asset reaches or goes beyond the call price, i. e. when the CBBC is called 收回. For a Category N CBBC, no residual value剩餘價值 will be paid by the issuers once the price of the underlying asset reaches or goes beyond the Call Price, i.e. when the CBBC is called 收回. . 25 Categories of CBBC – – A Category R CBBC refers to a CBBC where its Call Price is different from its strike price. For a Category R Bull contract, the Call Price is above the strike price. Price of an underlying asset > Call Price > strike price For a Category R Bear contract, the Call Price is below the strike price. Price of an underlying asset < Call Price < strike price The Category R CBBC holder may receive a small amount of cash payment, called residual value 剩餘價值, once the price of the underlying asset reaches or goes beyond the Call Price, i.e. when the CBBC is called 收回. 26 . Theoretical Price of CBBC Price of a CBBC includes intrinsic value 內 在 值 and funding cost 財務費用. CBBC must be deep in the money 深入價内 and thus has no time value. Like options and warrants, intrinsic value is equal to (S – X)/CR x contract multiplier for a Bull contract and is equal to (X – S)/CR x contract multiplier for a Bear contract. The funding cost of a CBBC includes the issuer’s financing or stock borrowing costs, and the issuer’s profit margin. Formula for funding cost per share of CBBC = (strike price / CR) x funding rate x (days to maturity / 365) x contract multiplier 27 Theoretical Price of CBBC – – – Example of a Bull contract: So = $100; X = $90; Call price= $92; maturity= 3 months, CR=10 to 1; funding interest rate=2% Intrinsic value per share of Bull = (S – X)/CR = ($100- $90)/10 = $1.0 Funding cost per share of Bull = ($90/10) x 2% x (90/365) = $0.0443 Theoretical price per share of the Bull contract at issue = $1.0 + $0.0443 = $1.0443 28 Theoretical Price of CBBC Example of a Bear contract: So = $70; X = $90; Call price= $82; maturity= 3 months, CR=10 to 1; funding interest rate=2% – Intrinsic value per share of Bear = (X – S)/CR = ($90- $70)/10 = $2.0 – Funding cost per share of Bear = ($80/10) x 2% x (90/365) = $0.0394 – Theoretical price per share of the Bear contract at issue = $2.0 + $0.0394 = $2.0394 29 Value of CBBC before expiry – – – The value of CBBC before expiry depends upon whether it is a bull or a bear contract, or it is a Category N or R CBBC. Example of a Category N Bull contract: So = $100; X = $85; Call price= $85; maturity= 2 months, CR=10 to 1; funding interest rate=2% Intrinsic value per share of Bull = (S – X)/CR = ($100-85)/10 = $1.5 Funding cost per share of Bull = ($85/10) x 2% x (60/365) = $0.0279 Theoretical price per share of the Bull contract at issue = $1.5 + $0.0279 = $1.5279 30 Value of CBBC before expiry – – – – If St rises to $110 before expiry. the price per share of the Category N Bull contract is equal to $2.5 + 0.028 = $2.528. The stock price rises by 10%, but the price per share of the bull contract increases by 65.4450%! If the stock price falls to or even below the Call Price $85 (also = X) before expiry, the Category N Bull contract will be called, and no residual value is received. Hence, investors receive nothing. 31 Value of CBBC before expiry – – – – Example of a Category N Bear contract: So = 5,000; X = 5,500; Call price = 5,500; maturity = 2 months, CR = 100 to 1; funding interest rate=2% Intrinsic value per share of Bear = (X – S)/CR = (5,500-5,000)/100 x $1 = $5.0 Funding cost per share of Bear = (5,500/100) x 2% x (60/365) x $1 = $0.1808 Theoretical price per share of the Bear contract at issue = $5.0 + $0.1808 = $5.1808 If the stock price falls to 4,400 before expiry, the price per share of the Category N Bear contract is equal to $11.0 + $0.1808 = $11.1808. The stock index falls by 12%, but the price per share of the bear contract increases by 32 115.8122%! Value of CBBC before expiry – – If the stock index rises to or even above the Call Price 5,500 (also = X) before expiry, the Category N Bear contract will be called, and no residual value is received. Hence, investors receive nothing. 33 Value of CBBC before expiry – – – – Example of a Category R Bull contract: So = $100; X = $85; Call price= $90; maturity= 2 months, CR=10 to 1; funding interest rate=2% Intrinsic value per share of Bull = (S – X)/CR = ($100-85)/10 = $1.5 Funding cost per share of Bull = ($85/10) x 2% x (60/365) = $0.0279 Theoretical price per share of the Bull contract at issue = $1.5 + $0.0279 = $1.5279 If the stock price rises to $110 before expiry. the price per share of a Category R Bull contract is equal to $2.5 + 0.028 = $2.528. The stock price rises by 10%, but the price per share of the bull contract increases by 34 65.4450%! Value of CBBC before expiry – – – If the stock price falls to the Call Price $90 before expiry, the Category R Bull contract will be called, and the holder may receive the residual value. The residual value per share is max (St – X, 0)/CR, where St is the settlement price. The settlement price of a Bull contract must not be lower than the minimum trade price of the underlying asset after the Mandatory Call Event (MCE) and up to and including the next trading session. If the stock price fell to Call Price $90 at 10:30am (morning session), the minimum trade price of the stock, over the period from 10:30am to 12:00pm, and from 1:00pm up to 4:00pm (the next trading session), was $87. $87 is the settlement price St which is higher35 than $85 = X. Value of CBBC before expiry – – – – The residual value is equal to Max(St – X, 0 )/CR = ($87-85)/10 = $0.2 If the stock price fell to Call Price $90 at 10:30am (morning session), the minimum trade price of the stock, over the period from 10:30am to 12:00pm, and from 1:00pm up to 4:00pm (the next trading session), was also $90. $90 is the settlement price St which is equal to the Call Price and higher than $85 = X. The residual value is the highest equal to Max(St – X, 0) /CR = ($90-85)/10 = $0.5 36 Value of CBBC before expiry – – – If the stock price fell to Call Price $90 at 10:30am (morning session), the minimum trade price of the stock, over the period from 10:30am to 12:00pm, and from 1:00pm up to 4:00pm (the next trading session), was $85. $85 is the settlement price St which is equal to X = $85. The residual value is the lowest equal to Max(St – X, 0) /CR = ($85-85)/10 = $0.0. If the stock price fell to Call Price $90 at 10:30am (morning session), the minimum trade price of the stock, over the period from 10:30am to 12:00pm, and from 1:00pm up to 4:00pm (the next trading session), was $84 < X. The residual value is equal to Max(St – X, 0) /CR = $0.0 37 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 38 Value of CBBC before expiry – – – – Example of a Category R Bear contract: So = 5,000; X = 5,500; Call price= 5,300; maturity= 2 months, CR=100 to 1; funding interest rate=2% Intrinsic value per share of Bear = (X – S)/CR x contract multiplier = (5,500-5,000)/100 x $1 = $5.0 Funding cost per share of Bull = (5,500/100) x 2% x (60/365) x $1 = $0.1808 Theoretical price per share of the Bear contract at issue = $5.0 + $0.1808 = $5.1808 If the stock index falls to 4,400 before expiry. the price per share of the Category R Bear contract is equal to $11+ $0.1808 = $11.1808. The stock index falls by 12%, but the price per share of the bear contract increases by 115.8122%! Value of CBBC before expiry – – – If the stock price rises to the Call Price 5,300 before expiry, the Category R Bear contract will be called, and the holder may receive the residual value. The residual value per share is Max(X – St, 0)/CR, where St is the settlement price. The settlement price of a Bear contract must not be higher than the maximum trade price of the underlying asset after the Mandatory Call Event (MCE) and up to and including the next trading session. If the stock index increased to Call Price 5,300 at 3:30pm (afternoon session), the maximum trade price of the stock index, over the period from 3:30pm to 4:00pm, and from 9:30pm up to 12:00pm the next day (the next trading session), was 5,400. 5,400 is the settlement 40 price St which is lower than 5,500 = X. Value of CBBC before expiry – – – – The residual value is equal to Max(X – St, 0)/CR x contract multiplier = (5,500-5,400)/100 x $1 = $1.0 If the stock index increased to Call Price 5,300 at 3:30pm (afternoon session), the maximum trade price of the stock index, over the period from 3:30pm to 4:00pm, and from 9:30pm up to 12:00pm the next day (the next trading session), was 5,300. 5,300 is the settlement price St which is lower than 5,500 = X. The residual value is the highest equal to Max(X – St, 0)/CR x contract multiplier 41 = (5,500-5,300)/100 x $1 = $2.0 Value of CBBC before expiry – – – If the stock index increased to Call Price 5,300 at 3:30pm (afternoon session), the maximum trade price of the stock index, over the period from 3:30pm to 4:00pm, and from 9:30pm up to 12:00pm the next day (the next trading session), was 5,500. 5,500 is the settlement price St which is equal to X = 5,500. The residual value is the lowest equal to Max(X – St, 0)/CR x contract multiplier = (5,500-5,500)/100 x $1 = $0.0 If the stock index increased to Call Price 5,300 at 3:30pm (afternoon session), the maximum trade price of the stock index, over the period from 3:30pm to 4:00pm, and from 9:30pm up to 12:00pm the next day (the next trading session), was 5,600 > X. The residual value is equal to Max(X – St, 0) / CR x contract multiplier = 0.0 x $1 = $0. Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 43 Valuation of CBBC at expiry CBBC can be held until maturity if not called before expiry, or sold on the Stock Exchange before expiry. For a Bull contract, the cash settlement at normal expiry T, will be Max(ST – X, 0)/CR where ST is the settlement price as determined on the valuation day, X is the strike price. For a Bear contract, the cash settlement at normal expiry T, will be Max(X – ST, 0)/CR where ST is the settlement price as determined on the valuation day, X is the strike price. For CBBC with a Hong Kong stock as underlying, the settlement price of the CBBC will be the closing price of the underlying on the last trading day. 44 Valuation of CBBC at expiry For CBBC with a Hong Kong stock index (Hang Seng Index HSI or Hang Seng China Enterprises Index HSCEI) as underlying, the settlement level of the CBBC will be the same as the index level for settling the relevant expiring index futures on the settlement day of the index futures contract 45 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 46 Value of CBBC at expiry – – Example of a Category R Bull contract: So = $100; X = $85; Call price= $90; maturity= 2 months, CR=10 to 1; funding interest rate=2% If the stock price closes at $120 on the last trading day, the cash settlement amount per share of Bull contract is equal to Max(ST – X, 0)/CR = ($120-85)/10 = $3.5 Example of a Category R Bear contract: So = 5,000; X = 5,500; Call price= 5,300; maturity= 2 months, CR=100 to 1; funding interest rate=2% If the stock index closes at 4,400 on the settlement day of the CBBC and the index futures contract, the cash settlement amount per share of Bear contract is equal to Max(X – ST, 0)/CR x contract multiplier = (5,500-4,400)/100 x 47 $1 = $11 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 48 Examples of CBBC Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 49 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 50 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 51 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 52 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 53 Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets, 8th Ed, Ch 9, Copyright © John C. Hull 2013 54