NOTRE DAME OF DADIANGAS UNIVERSITY Integrated Basic Education Department Senior High School Lagao, General Santos City Statistics and Probability Quarter: Midterm Week No.: 1 Damean’s Beat: Quality Education NDDU’s 4Cs: ☐ Christian Leaders Competent Professionals ☐ Community-Oriented Citizens ☐ Culture-Sensitive Individuals Teacher/s: Arvin Eric A. Caga Ever Joy P. Hinampas Rachel Lou P. Paranga Date: 2021.01.11 – 2021.01.16 21st Century Skills: Critical Thinking Computing/ICT Literacy ☐ Communication ☐ Creativity ☐ Collaboration ☐ Cross Cultural Understanding ☐ Career and Learning Self Reliance WEEK: 1 I. Topic: Key Concepts of Random Variables Figure 1.1 Variable Qualitative Quantitative Discrete 2023.01.18 10:57:46 AM Continuous Definition Statistics is a science of collecting, presenting, analyzing and interpreting data to arrive at an effective decision. It as a way of transforming raw data into useful, significant information. Data are the quantities (numbers) or qualities (attributes) measured or observed that are to be collected and/or analyzed. Data set is a collection of data. Variable is a characteristic or attribute that has no specific numerical values. Random variable (X) is variable whose possible values are determined by chance. Qualitative variable is when the characteristics of data is Non-numeric. One whose categories are simply used as labels to distinguish one group from another. Example : color, status of a person, the type of the car a person owns Quantitative Variable is when the characteristics of data are numeric, which can be discrete or continuous data. One whose categories can be measured and ordered according to quantity. Example : number of children in the family, age Discrete variables have a finite number of possible values that can be counted. The word counted means that they can be enumerated using the numbers 1, 2, 3, etc. Continuous variables can assume an infinite number of values in an interval between two specific values. These are obtained from data that can be measured rather than counted. They can be decimal and fractional values. Example 1.1 Determine whether the random variable X or Y is discrete or continuous variable. 1) X = number of birds in a nest Answer: Since the number of birds can be counted, then it is a discrete variable. 2) Y = the weights in kg of randomly selected dancers after taking up aerobics Answer: Since the weight is measured rather than counted, then it is a continuous variable. 3) Y = number of defective light bulbs among the randomly selected light bulbs Answer: Since the number of defective light bulbs can be counted, then it is a discrete variable. 2023.01.18 10:57:46 AM 4) X = the height of daisy plants in the backyard Answer: Since the height is measured rather than counted, then it is a continuous variable. 5) Y = the hourly temperature last Saturday Answer: Since the temperature is measured rather than counted, then it is a continuous variable. Example 1.2 Identify the possible values of the random variable for each scenario. 1) Number of absent students in a class with 50 students Possible Values: 0,1,…,50 2) Temperature of a baby with fever Possible Values: 37.1° C - 40 ° C 3) Weight of a person Possible Values: 40 kg – 45 kg 4) Number of members in a family Possible Values: 3,4,5,… 5) Number of malls in a city Possible Values: 0,1,2,… Definition Discrete Probability Distribution is the listing of all possible values of a discrete random variable along with their corresponding probabilities. The probabilities are determined theoretically or by observation. PROPERTIES 1) The probability of each value of discrete random variable is between 0 and 1 inclusive. 0 ≤ P (x) ≤ 1 2) The sum of all probabilities is 1. ∑ P (X) = 1 2023.01.18 10:57:46 AM Example 1.3 1) A coin is tossed thrice. Let the variable X be the number of heads. A) Identify the probability distribution for each random variable and its table; and B) verify if the two properties are satisfied. Solution: 1st toss 2nd Toss 3rd Toss Outcome Number of Heads (X) H HHH 3 T HHT 2 H HTH 2 T HTT 1 H THH 2 T THT 1 H TTH 1 T TTT 0 H H T H T T TOTAL NUMBER OF OUTCOMES = 8 Probabilities for the values of X can be determined as follows: No Head TTT 1 8 HTT 1 8 1 8 1 Head THT 1 8 3 8 TTH 1 8 2 Heads HHT HTH THH 1 1 1 8 8 8 3 Heads HHH 1 8 3 8 1 8 Note The total number of outcomes serves as the denominator, thus it is equal to 8. 1 3 3 Hence, the probability of getting no head is 8, one head is 8, two heads is 8, and three 1 heads is 8. 2023.01.18 10:57:46 AM A) Probability Distribution: 1 𝑃 (0) = 8 3 𝑃(1) = 8 3 1 𝑃(2) = 8 𝑃 (3) = 8 Probability Distribution Table: Number of heads (X) Probability P(x) 0 1 8 1 3 8 2 3 8 3 1 8 Note In constructing the probability distribution, identify the outcomes and the probability of each outcome. B) Properties: 1st Property: Since all the individual values of probability are from 0 to 1, then the first property is satisfied. Note 1 P(0) and P(3): 0 ≤ 8 ≤ 1 is true. 3 P(1) and P(2): 0 ≤ 8 ≤ 1 is true. 2nd Property: ∑ P(X) = 1 𝑃(0) + 𝑃 (1) + 𝑃 (2) + 𝑃(3) = 1 1 3 3 1 +8+8+8 =1 8 1=1 Since the summation of all probabilities is 1, then the second property is satisfied. 2023.01.18 10:57:46 AM 2) The spinner is divided into 10 sections. Let X be the score where the arrow will stop (numbered as 1, 2,3 and 4) A) Find the probability that the arrow will stop at 1, 2,3 and 4. B) Construct the discrete probability distribution of the random variable X. 3 1 2 2 1 Solution: A) P(1) = P(2) = P(3) = P(4) = 2 1 3 4 2 3 10 4 10 2 10 1 10 Note Since the total number of outcomes is 10, then the value of the denominator is 10. From the figure above, you can see that there are three “1” in the wheel, thus the 3 probability that the arrow will stop at “1” is . The same logic will be applied in getting 10 the probability that the arrow will stop at “2”, “3” and “4”. B) Number on Spinner (X) Probability P(x) 2023.01.18 10:57:46 AM 1 3 10 2 4 10 3 2 10 4 1 10 Example 1.4 Consider the following tables and identify if it is a discrete probability distribution. Otherwise, identify the property or properties that are not satisfied. 1) X P(X) 0 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.2 3 0.3 Solution: 1st Property: Since all the individual values in P(X) are from 0 to 1, then the first property is satisfied. 2nd Property: ∑ P(X) = 1 𝑃(0) + 𝑃 (1) + 𝑃 (2) + 𝑃(3) = 1 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.3 = 1 1=1 Since the summation of all probabilities is 1, then the second property is satisfied. Conclusion: Therefore table 1 is a discrete probability distribution since the 2 properties are satisfied. 2) X P(X) 2 0.2 3 0.5 4 0.4 5 0.4 6 -0.5 Solution: 1st Property: Since P(6) = −0.5 is not from 0 to 1, then the first property is NOT satisfied. 2nd Property: ∑ P(X) = 1 𝑃(2) + 𝑃 (3) + 𝑃 (4) + 𝑃(5) + 𝑃(6) = 1 0.2 + 0.5 + 0.4 + 0.4 − 0.5 = 1 1=1 Since the summation of all probabilities is 1, then the second property is satisfied. Conclusion: Therefore table 2 is NOT a discrete probability distribution since the first property is not satisfied. 2023.01.18 10:57:46 AM VI. References/Materials: Blumman, A.G., (2004). Elementary Statistics, A Step by Step Approach, Fifth Edition. Published by McGraw – Hill Companies Inc. pp. 6-8 Mann, P.S., (2010). Introductory Statistics. Seventh Edition. John Wiley & Sons: Hoboken pp. 192 - 193 2023.01.18 10:57:46 AM