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CH 9 CORRLATION

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ACN 6312.003 - Research Methods In Behavioral And Brain Sciences - Part I - F21
Week 11: (11/1 - 11/7): Correlations
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Lecture Outline 9: Correlation
Contact Tracing
Correlations
Aims
Measuring Relationships
Scatterplots
Covariance
Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient
Nonparametric measures
Spearman’s Rho
Kendall’s Tau
Interpreting Correlations
Causality
Partial Correlations
REMEMBER: Association Claims
Association claims argue that one level of a variable is likely to be associated
with a particular level of another variable.
Association claims involve at TWO (or more) MEASURED VARIABLES.
Variables that are associated are correlated.
Ex: Correlational Research: Observing what naturally goes on in the world
without directly interfering with it.
Conducting correlation analysis: Basics
What is a correlation?
It is a way of measuring the extent to which two variables are related.
It measures the pattern of responses across variables.
Perfect Correlations
No Correlation
Negative Correlation
Curvilinear
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Curvilinear
Measuring relationships
We need to see whether as one variable increases, the other increases, decreases
or stays the same.
This can be done by calculating the Covariance.
We look at how much each score deviates from the mean.
If both variables deviate from the mean by the same amount, they are
likely to be related.
Pearson Coefficient of Correlation
Pearson Correlation Coefficient
Revision of variance
The variance tells us by how much scores deviate from the mean for a single
variable.
It is closely linked to the sum of squares.
Covariance is similar – it tells is by how much scores on two variables differ from
their respective means.
A Sweet Example: Some data about toffees and advertisement
A Sweet Example: Some data about toffees and advertisement
Sum of Deviation Products
When a correlation is positive
Most high X values are paired with high Y values
Most low X values are paired with low Y values
Sum of Deviation Products
When a correlation is negative
Most high X values are paired with low Y values
Most low X values are paired with high Y values
Covariance
Calculate the error between the mean and each subject’s score for the first
variable (x).
Calculate the error between the mean and their score for the second variable (y).
Multiply these error values.
Add these values and you get the cross product deviations.
The covariance is the average cross-product deviations:
Covariance: Plain Example
Problems with covariance
It depends upon the units of measurement.
E.g. The covariance of two variables measured in Miles might be 4.25, but
if the same scores are converted to km, the covariance is 11.
One solution: standardise it!
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Divide by the standard deviations of both variables.
The standardised version of covariance is known as the correlation coefficient.
It is relatively affected by units of measurement.
Pearson Coefficient of Correlation
Computing the Pearson Coefficient of Correlation (interval or ratio data only!)
The correlation coefficient
The correlation coefficient:
Sweet Example
The correlation coefficient:
Plain Example
Pearson Coefficient of Correlation
r
Always between -1 and + 1
Pearson Coefficient of Correlation
The sign of r shows the direction of the correlation
- signifies a negative correlation
+ signifies a positive correlation
The value of r shows the strength or magnitude of the correlation
Absolute value
Correlation Coefficients: Strength of Relationship
Things to know about the correlation
It varies between -1 and +1
0 = no relationship
It is an effect size
±.1 = small effect
±.3 = medium effect
±.5 = large effect
Coefficient of determination, r2
By squaring the value of r you get the proportion of variance in one
variable shared by the other.
Not cause and effect, but variation shared between two variables
(we used this as effect size for t-tests)
Correlation and causality
The third-variable problem:
In any correlation, causality between two variables cannot be assumed
because there may be other measured or unmeasured variables affecting
the results.
Direction of causality:
Correlation coefficients say nothing about which variable causes the other
to change
Correlation and Causation
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REMEMBER: How Do Experiments Support Causal Statements?
Experiments can meet the three causal rules:
1. Covariance: Is there a relationship?
2. Temporal precedence: Time-Order Relationship - IV must precede DV
3. Internal validity: elimination of alternative explanations
The effect should never occur without the presence of the cause.
Correlations in SPSS
Conducting correlation analysis: Assumptions
An anxiety example
Anxiety and Exam Performance
Participants:
103 students
Measures
Time spent revising (hours)
Exam performance (%)
Exam Anxiety (the EAQ, score out of 100)
Gender
Violations of Assumptions: Normality
Correlation using SPSS Statistics
Reporting the results
REMEMBER: Levels of measurement
Categorical (entities are divided into distinct categories):
Binary variable: There are only two categories
Nominal variable: There are more than two categories
Ordinal variable: The same as a nominal variable but the categories have a
logical order
Continuous (entities get a distinct score):
Interval variable: Equal intervals on the variable represent equal
differences in the property being measured
Ratio variable: The same as an interval variable, but the ratios of scores on
the scale must also make sense
Nonparametric correlation
Spearman’s rho
Pearson’s correlation on the ranked data
First Rank Data
Lowest score a rank of 1, second lowest 2, etc (Section 7.4.1)
Nonparametric correlation
Kendall’s tau
Better than Spearman’s for small samples
Tied Ranks (multiple “3rd places” for example…)
Nonparametric correlation
World’s biggest liar competition
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68 contestants
Measures
Where they were placed in the competition (first, second, third, etc.)
Creativity questionnaire (maximum score 60)
Correlation output Spearman’s rho
Correlation output Kendall’s tau
Partial and Semi-Partial Correlations
Partial correlation:
Measures the relationship between two variables, adjusting for the effect
that a third variable has on them both
Semi-partial correlation:
A measure of the relationship between two variables while adjusting for
the effect that one or more additional variables have on one of those
variables. If we call our variables x and y, it gives us a measure of the
variance in y that x alone shares
Partial and Semi-Partial Correlations
Partial correlation:
Measures the relationship between two variables, adjusting for the effect
that a third variable has on them both
Semi-partial correlation:
A measure of the relationship between two variables while adjusting for
the effect that one or more additional variables have on one of those
variables. If we call our variables x and y, it gives us a measure of the
variance in y that x alone shares
Doing partial correlation
Partial correlation output
Correlation Example
Correlation Example
Correlation Example
We asked intro psychology students how many servings of fish they have a year
and what their midterm exam grade was
Correlation Example
We asked intro psychology students how many servings of fish they have a year
and what their midterm exam grade was
Correlation Examples from Class
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