Journal Pre-proof Modeling megech watershed aquifer vulnerability to pollution using modified DRASTIC model for sustainable groundwater management, Northwestern Ethiopia Daniel Asfaw, Daniel Ayalew PII: S2352-801X(19)30231-0 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2020.100375 Reference: GSD 100375 To appear in: Groundwater for Sustainable Development Received Date: 9 September 2019 Revised Date: 2 March 2020 Accepted Date: 16 March 2020 Please cite this article as: Asfaw, D., Ayalew, D., Modeling megech watershed aquifer vulnerability to pollution using modified DRASTIC model for sustainable groundwater management, Northwestern Ethiopia, Groundwater for Sustainable Development (2020), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.gsd.2020.100375. This is a PDF file of an article that has undergone enhancements after acceptance, such as the addition of a cover page and metadata, and formatting for readability, but it is not yet the definitive version of record. This version will undergo additional copyediting, typesetting and review before it is published in its final form, but we are providing this version to give early visibility of the article. Please note that, during the production process, errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain. © 2020 Published by Elsevier B.V. Graphic Abstracts Modeling Megech Watershed Aquifer Vulnerability to Pollution Using Modified DRASTIC model for Sustainable Groundwater Management, Northwestern Ethiopia Abstract Ensuring access to improved sources of water and safe drinking water for all has been the Nation’s concern. Groundwater is one of the valuable sources of freshwater. However, groundwater resources especially in shallow aquifers are susceptible to contamination. In this regard, the quality of groundwater in the study watershed has deteriorated due to industrial effluents and domestic wastes of Gondar city, and extensive use of fertilizers for agriculture purpose. Once the groundwater gets polluted, treatment is very difficult and expensive. Therefore, the most effective and realistic solution is to protect groundwater from contamination. Assessing the level of groundwater vulnerability is crucial for effective groundwater management. With this in mind, the aim of this study is to assess the aquifer vulnerability of Megech watershed to pollution using modified DRASTIC model. The modified DRASTIC model uses eight attributes including, depth to water table, net recharge, aquifer media, soil media, topography, impact of vadose zone, land use land cover, and hydraulic conductivity of aquifer. These layers were integrated using Raster calculator tool in a GIS environment. Fifteen groundwater composite samples were also collected and used to validate the model. The results of vulnerability analysis reveal that more than 85% of the groundwater of the study watershed is under medium to high vulnerability to water pollution. Aquifers highly vulnerable to pollution (5.74%) are mainly found in urban areas while majority of the aquifers (80.34%) which are moderately vulnerable are dominantly found in the cultivated lands. In the highly vulnerable part of the aquifer, the concentration of nitrate (17/mg) and total coliform (21/mg) exceeded WHO permissible limit which agrees with the vulnerability map. Effective management of groundwater resources has now become a critical issue. Thus, the study will be helpful for the proper management and protection of the available groundwater resources in the study watershed. Keywords: Modified DRASTIC model, Groundwater, Pollution, Sustainable management, Megech watershed 1 1. Introduction Groundwater is a major source of water for human activities (Cassardo & Jones, 2011; Salman, Arauzo, & Elnazer, 2019). A quarter of the world population relies on aquifers for their drinking water supply (Dochartaigh et al., 2000; Davie, 2008). In developed countries, such as England and USA groundwater covers 30% (Liu et al., 2011) and 25% (Madler, 2017; Cheryl et al., 2018) of their freshwater demand, respectively. Sub Saharan African countries depend highly on groundwater for domestic water supply and livestock rearing (FDRE Ministry of Water Resources (FDRE MWR, 2011). In Ethiopia, for instance, more than 90% of water demand for industries and domestic use, and about 80% of total national water supply are covered by water drawn from the aquifer (FDRE MWE, 2013; Seifu, 2013). However, recently with rapid population growth, urban expansion and industrialization, groundwater resources have been threatened and it has become a serious environmental problem (Bushra, 2011; Shirazi et al., 2012). This is evidenced by studies conducted in USA (EPA, 2016), China (Wu & Sun, 2016), India (Atiqur, 2008; Jaseela et al., 2016) and, Ghana, Zimbabwe, South Africa and Kenya (Yongxin & Brent, 2006). Similar studies were also conducted in Ethiopia (Kahssay et al., 2005; Yongxin & Brent, 2006; Abate, 2010; FDRE MWE, 2013; Seifu, 2013; Abiy et al., 2016; Akale et al., 2017; Sahele, Zewdie, & Narayanan, 2018) and confirmed the presence of contamination and vulnerability of aquifers to pollution. Groundwater contamination causes a persistent impact on the adequate and safe water supply, and health of the societies. In turn, it leads to permanent loss of agricultural productivity and industrial activities (Akhtar, Tang, & Mohamadi, 2014; Pawari & Sagar, 2015). Moreover, as the contaminated water discharged into the surface water, it damages the aquatic ecosystem. The impact of groundwater pollution is severe in developing countries and rural communities which rely on untreated groundwater (Tuinhof et al., 2011). This imposes a burden on the government’s attempt to meet the UN 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) especially access to safe drinking water for all which is central to goal six (FAO, 2015; UN, 2015). Therefore, proper and early groundwater resource management is vital to preserve the natural quality of this resource. However, comprehensive information about the actual status of groundwater vulnerability is not available because of the complex nature of groundwater, 2 insufficient data, and lack of skilled manpower (Oke & Fourie, 2017). Studies conducted in Megech watershed and its environs (Singh, 2005; Mengesha et al., 2013; Damtie et al., 2014; Misganaw, 2015; Akale et al., 2017; Akale et al., 2018) showed that the area has experienced a high concentration of nitrate and microbes. Even though these studies presented the status of groundwater quality and level of pollutant concentration, they did not show the spatial distribution and, prioritise and delineate areas according to their vulnerability level for proper management and resource allocation. In this regard, intrinsic aquifer vulnerability model is vital in providing information about the vulnerability of groundwater to pollution within a short period and minimum cost over extensive areas (Shirazi et al., 2012; Jang et al., 2017). DRASTIC aquifer vulnerability model is the most commonly used and environmentally compatible vulnerability assessment model which considers the hydrological, geological, and topographic nature of the aquifer (Aller et al., 1987; Gogu & Dassargues, 2000; Shirazi et al., 2012; Kumar, Bansod, Debnath, Kumar & Ghanshyam, 2018). The model was implemented in studies conducted in Lake Tana sub basin, Dire Dawa and other parts of the country (Abiye, 2008; Tilahun & Merkel, 2009; Abiy et al., 2016). Recently, DRASTIC model has been modified by integrating it with Artificial Neural Network (ANN) (Baghapour et al., 2016), Multi Criteria Analysis - Analytical Hierarchical Process (MCA- AHP) model (Jovanovic et al., 2006; Mogaji, Lim & Abdullar, 2014; Al-Abadi, AlShamma’a & Aljabbari, 2017; Saida, Tarik, Abdellah, Farid & Hakim, 2017; Jesiya & Gopinath, 2019). The modified model also considers anthropogenic influence (Singh et al., 2015; Zafane et al., 2017; Ahmed et al., 2018). However, most studies (Singh et al., 2015; Zafane et al., 2017; Ahmed et al., 2018) did not properly represente the human factor in their analysis like other parameters of the DRASTIC model. The influence of land use land cover (LULC) on groundwater contamination is also another parameter which gets lesser attention by most researchers. Studies (Saha & Alam, 2014; Ebrahimi, 2015; Muhammad et al., 2015; Al-Abadi et al., 2017; Ramaraju & Krishna, 2017) for instance did not consider the impact of LULC on the aquifer vulnerability and its contribution to the groundwater contamination. However, the impact of LULC is indispensable in aquifer vulnerability study since a change in land use has potential impact on groundwater vulnerability to contamination (Dávila, Schüth, De León-Gómez, Hoppe, & Lehné, 2014). 3 Megech watershed has experienced significant LULC change. It is also drained by different streams that cross agricultural and urban areas which collect contaminates from agricultural lands, nearby industries, landfills and urban swages. On the other hand, groundwater is the main source of fresh water supply in the study watershed including Gondar city and other small towns such as Dembia, Kola Diba, and Tseda. Therefore, assessing aquifer vulnerability to pollution at the watershed level is timely for sustainable groundwater management and priorities for intervention. The present study is an attempt to assess the vulnerability of Megech watershed aquifer to pollution with spatial variation using the modified DRASTIC model. 2. Materials and Methods 2.1. Description of the study area Megech watershed is located in the Northwestern highlands of Ethiopia, in Amhara National Regional State. It is part of Lake Tana sub-basin which extends from the southern fringes of Northern Central Massif near Semeine Mountains National Park to the northern shore of Lake Tana. The study watershed is drained by Megech and Little Angereb rivers. Geographically, Megech watershed is located between 12o16′ to 12o45′ North latitude and 37o22′ to 37o38′ East longitude (Figure 1). Figure 1. Location map of Megech watershed Megech watershed consists Gondar city, and part of Gondar Zuria, Dembia, Wegera and Lay Armhacho woredas (districts). Its elevation ranges from 1785 to 2978 meters above sea level and has a total area of 664.74 square km. The watershed has experienced mean annual maximum and minimum temperature ranging from 26 to 28.8 °C and 9.9 to 14.2 °C, respectively. Rainfall of the watershed and its surrounding region is characterized by a unimodal pattern that falls in the summer (Kiremt) season which extends from June to September. The mean annual rainfall of the watershed ranges from 973.9 to 1100 mm. The geological structure of the watershed is dominantly formed by two major geological structures, the Termaber and Aiba basalts (Figure 2). The Termaber basalt covers majority of the watershed. The lowland along the periphery of the Lake Tana is covered by thick Quaternary 4 alluvial and lacustrine deposits, and colluvium (Workineh et al., 2011). Based on the lithology and structural formation, the watershed has three major aquifer systems: the Tertiary Volcanics (mostly including the Aiba and Termaber basalts), the Quaternary basalt aquifer and the Quaternary alluvial and colluvium deposits (SMEC, 2007; Workineh et al., 2011). Soil is the result of geological and geomorphic processes that describe the hydrogeological nature of an area. According to FAO (2006) soil classification, Luvisols, Fluvisols, Leptosols, Vertisols, Cambisols, Xerosols, Regosols and Nitisols are major soil groups in the study watershed. Figure 2. Geology map of Megech watershed 2.2. Data type and sources In order to assess vulnerability of the aquifer in Megech watershed, eight datasets from different sources as described in Table 1 were used. Global Positioning System (GPS), pH meter, and total dissolved substance (TDS) meter were used to collect water samples while ERDAS1 Imagine 2015 and ArcGIS 10.5.1 were used to process the collected data. The spatial resolution of data used in this study varies from 10m Sentinel satellite imageries to 30m DEM, however, nearest neighbor resampling technique (Canty, 2009) was employed to bring all the data layers involved in the analysis into the cell size of 30m by 30m. Hence, the spatial resolution of each parameter in the analysis and the final aquifer vulnerability map of the watershed was 30m by 30m. Information associated with depth to water table (D) was obtained from borehole data. A total of 27 wells and springs which are distributed in and near the study watershed were utilized for identifying specific depths of the water table. The site of wells and springs were identified via geological triangulation method (MacDonald, Davies, & Dochartaigh, 2002). Based on their spatial coordinates and depth attributes a point shapefile was created. Subsequently, using inverse distance weight (IDW) interpolation technique (Paramasivam & Venkatramanan, 2019) the spatial distribution of depth to the water table was generated. The depth to the water table varies from 3.15 to 105 meters. Net recharge media (R) was also computed from 30 years (1988 – 2018) mean annual rainfall of five meteorological stations by using Equation (3) and ordinary 1 Earth Resources Data Analysis System software used to process and analyze satellite images 5 kriging interpolation method (Kalkhan, 2011) was employed to generate the spatial distribution of R media. Table 1. Data sets, type and data sources Data type Description Sources Meteorological data 30 years Rainfall and Temperature National Metrological Agency DEM (STRM) SRTM (30 * 30 meters resolution) USGS website: http://www.usgs.gov/ Satellite image Sentinel-2 (10 * 10 meters resolution) USGS website: http://www.usgs.gov/ Borehole data Groundwater table (Point data) Amhara Design and Control, and Central Gondar Zone Water and Energy Offices Water sample Point data (Field and laboratory analysis) Field survey and laboratory examination Soil map 1:20,000 (Vector format) Geological map 1:50,000 scale (Toposheet) ANRS Bureau of Environmental Protection, Land Administration and Use (BoEPLAU) Geological Survey of Ethiopia 2.3. Data analysis and model description Modified DRASTIC model DRASTIC model was developed under the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) in association with the National Water Well Association (Aller et al., 1987). It was developed based on the concept of all major geological and hydrological factors that affect and control in and out movement of groundwater (Merchant, 1994; Shirazi et al., 2012; Zafane et al., 2017). It was used to evaluate an area more than 40.5 hectares. As per Aller et al. (1987), DRASTIC model takes into account seven physical parameters from the geological and hydrological environment that controls and determines the groundwater pollution potential. However, change in LULC from natural vegetation into agricultural activity, industrial activity, and settlement generates waste and pollutant chemicals that contaminate poorly maintained springs and boreholes (Eldrandaly et al., 2005; Dávila et al., 2014). Therefore, in order to relate the impacts of human activities to the aquifer vulnerability analysis, LULC was incorporated as one parameter. DRASTIC model was modified so as to consider LULC change and expressed as modified DRASTIC model (DI) (Dávila et al., 2014; Singh et al., 2015; Ahmed et al., 2018; Hosseini & Saremi, 2018) and described mathematically as: 6 = ∑ ∗ (1) Where: DI - modified DRASTIC model, w=weight of parameter ith r= rate of parameter ith i= parameter 2.4. Weight and rate of modified DRASTIC model parameters The relative weights and ratings assigned to parameters based on their phylogenetic relations to the contaminants. Accordingly, the relative weight assigned ranges from 1 to 5 (Aller et al., 1987; Saha & Alam, 2014; Baghapour et al., 2016; Majolagbe et al., 2016; Hosseini & Saremi, 2018; Kumar et al., 2018). This shows the relative importance and susceptibility of a parameter to contaminants. The most significant and more susceptible parameter is weighted to 5 whereas the least significant and less susceptible parameter is weighted to 5 (Table 2). Based on the level of susceptibility, each parameter also classified into sub classes (range) and assigned value of rate which ranges between 1 (least important) and 10 (most important) (Aller et al., 1987; Baghapour et al., 2016; Ramaraju, 2017; Ahmed et al., 2018). This indicates the relative importance and susceptibility of the sub classes of each parameter to contaminants (Atiqur, 2008; Zafane et al., 2017). 7 Table 2. Range, rate and weight of modified DRASTIC model parameters for Megech Watershed (D) Depth of Water Table (m) Parameters (R) Net Recharge (mm/year) (T) Topography / Slope (%) (S) Soil Media (A) Aquifer Media (I) Impact of Vadose Zone (Lu) Land Use Land and Cover (C) Hydraulic Conductivity (m/sec) Range Rate 4.6 -6.8 6.8-9.1 9.1-12.1 12.1- 15.2 15.2-22.9 22.9-26.7 26.7-30.5 30.5+ 254+ 235-254 Basalt (Tarmaber and Aiba) Alluvial and Colluvial 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 10 9 9 Nitosols Leptosols Regosols Xerosols Fluvisols Cambisols Vertisols 0-2 2-4 4-6 6-8 8-10 10-12 12-14 14-16 16-18 18+ Loamy Sand clay loam Clay loam Clay 10 10 9 8 5 3 2 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 5 4 3 1 0.00015-0.00033 4 0.00005-0.00015 1 Cultivated land Urban area Grazing land Waterbody Forest and Plantation tree 10 8 4 2 1 Weight 5 4 3 8 8 References (Aller et al., 1987; Shirazi et al., 2012; Abiy et al., 2016; Jaseela et al., 2016; Moslem & Ashournia, 2017) (Aller et al., 1987; Al-abadi et al., 2017; Ramaraju & K. Krishna, 2017) (Aller et al., 1987; Alwathaf & Mansouri, 2011; Shirazi et al., 2012; Dávila et al., 2014; Singh et al., 2015; Saida et al., 2017; Oroji, 2018) 2 (Aller et al., 1987; Shirazi et al., 2012; Dávila et al., 2014; Jarray et al., 2017; Moslem & Ashournia, 2017; Oroji, 2018) 1 (Aller et al., 1987; Atiqur, 2008; Baghapour et al., 2016; Ersoy & Gültekin, 2013; Moslem & Ashournia, 2017) 5 (Atiqur, 2008; Voudouris et al., 2010; Alrawabdeh et al., 2014; Ewusi et al., 2016; Shukla et al., 2013; Baghapour et al., 2016; Souleymane & Zhonghua, 2017; Kumar & Thakur, 2017; Mfonka et al., 2018) 3 (Elizabeth, 1994; Healy & Scanlon, 2010; Dávila et al., 2014;Malik & Shukla, 2019) 5 (Rupert, 2001; Abdelmadjid & Omar, 2013; Al-rawabdeh et al.,2014; Singh et al., 2015; Baghapour et al., 2016; Ouedraogo et al., 2016; Kumar & Thakur, 2017; Thapa et al., 2018; Wu, Li, & Ma, 2018; Nazzal et al., 2019) 2.5. Vulnerability index and vulnerability class After a thematic layer for each parameter was prepared, Equation 1 was used for the analysis and the result of the model was categorized into different vulnerability levels based on the vulnerability index (Table 3). Table 3. Vulnerability index and vulnerability class in modified DRASTIC model: Vulnerability category Very low Low Moderately High Very high Vulnerability index score <100 100-145 145-190 190-235 >235 Source: (Aller et al., 1987; Singh et al., 2015; Baghapour et al., 2016) 2.6. Model validation and sensitivity analysis Groundwater vulnerability map is the result of eight hydrological, geological and anthropogenic related parameters. Conducting sensitivity analysis is imperative to identify the most effective vulnerability parameters so as to plan for sustainable aquifer crisis management (Moslem & Ashournia, 2017; Thapa et al., 2018). Moreover, it avoids subjectivity and, identifies important and influential parameters from the model (Shirazi et al., 2012; Baghapour et al., 2016; Djémin et al., 2016). It also measures the robustness associated with the model output with manipulated input variables and the influence of individual input parameters on the model’s output by estimating the change in output map with each change in input parameters. In this study, single parameter sensitivity analysis method was used to identify relevant parameters in assessing the intrinsic vulnerability of Megech watershed aquifer. It was developed by Napolitano & Fabbri (1996) to detect sensitive parameters from the analytical model. This method was applied in different studies (Hamby,1994; Djémin et al., 2016; Moslem et al., 2017; Zafane et al., 2017; Oroji, 2018; Thapa et al., 2018;Wu et al., 2018; Hasan et al., 2019;Tomer, Katyal, & Joshi, 2019).Thus, the impact and effective weight of each parameter was determined by using Equation 2. = ∗ 100 (2) Where: W= the actual weight of the parameter Pr = the rating of the parameter P Pw = the weight of the parameter P 9 V = intrinsic vulnerability index Subjecting aquifer vulnerability maps to validation assessment is vital for producing reliable and valid aquifer vulnerability maps (Mogaji et al., 2014; Majolagbe et al., 2016). Even though, there are a number of physicochemical and biological parameters that indicate water quality, the concentration of nitrate (NO3) and microbes are the most common groundwater contaminants which deteriorate water quality and cause health problems (Tadesse, 2014; Water Aid, 2016). These contaminants are commonly generated by human activities (agricultural intensification, sewage discharge, septic tank, landfill, and industrial and municipal) and therefore used for validating aquifer vulnerability maps (Abdelmadjid & Omar, 2013; Dávila, et al., 2014; Mogaji et al., 2014; Boufekane & Saighi, 2018). Different studies (Tilahun & Merkel, 2009; Alwathaf & Mansouri, 2011; Shirazi et al., 2012; Allah, Gharekhani, Khatibi, Sadeghfam & Asghari, 2017; Jang et al., 2017; Moslem & Ashournia, 2017; Hosseini & Saremi, 2018; Thapa et al., 2018; Chamanehpour, Sayadi, & Yousefi, 2020) have employed these parameters for validating the groundwater vulnerability maps. In groundwater, the physiochemical substances vary very slowly over time thus, a single sample per year is adequate for groundwater quality analysis (WHO, 2008). Therefore, as this study focuses on groundwater, a one-time sample was taken from water wells and springs. The samples were collected purposely from the highly vulnerable and moderately vulnerable part of the watershed. In the study watershed, a total of 31 water wells and springs were identified and of which 9 of them were located in the highly vulnerable and 22 were in the moderately vulnerable part of the watershed. Since the water sources were located in a similar vulnerability level, composite sampling technique (Heald, 2009) were used to collect water samples. Therefore, six water samples from highly vulnerable and nine water samples from moderately vulnerable, totally fifteen composite samples from 31 water wells and springs were collected. The water samples were taken from the identified wells and springs after 6 – 10 minutes of pumping (fetched up) and collected in a clean plastic bottle and kept in the cold box, and were transported to Angereb Dam Water Laboratory and Debre Tabor University Chemistry Laboratory within 48 hours. The samples were analyzed for nitrate (NO3-), TDS (Total dissolved substance) and total coliform (Tcf) in the laboratory and the pH was determined using portable 10 pH meter in in-situ (on the site) because its status change as it was transported. Finally, the result was compared with the drinking water quality standard described in Table 4. Table 4. Drinking water quality standard based on FAO, WHO and MoH standard Standard Physio- chemical parameters pH FAO WHO 6.5-8.5 6.5-8.5 Ethiopia(MoH) 6.5 – 8.5 TDS (mg/l) 1000 500 1000 NO3 (mg/l) 10 10 10 NO2 (mg/l) 3 3 3 Total Coliform (cfu/100ml) 0 0 0 Source: (FAO, 1995; WHO, 2004, Mogaji et al., 2014; Tadesse, 2014; MoH, 2014) 3. Results and Discussion 3.1. Result Depth to Water Table (D) Depth to water table determines the depth through which a contaminant travels before reaching the aquifer, and it determines the contact time with the surrounding media (Aller et al., 1987; Jang et al., 2017). Thus, a greater chance for attenuation occurs as the depth to water table increases because the deeper water table implies longer travel times and less vulnerable to contamination (Khemiri et al., 2013). The depth to water table was generated from 27 wells and springs distributed in the watershed with a maximum depth of 105 meters and a minimum depth of 3.15 meters. Since the depth to water table changes depending on the time (season) of the year in response to recharge and discharge (Vongphachanh, Ball, & William, 2017; Arya, Vennila & Subramani, 2018), the measurement was taken at dry or pre-rainy season of the year. The depth to water table was classified into ranges defined by the DRASTIC model and assigned rates ranging from 1 (minimum impact on vulnerability) to 10 (maximum impact on the vulnerability) as shown in Table 2 and Figure 3a. Net Recharge (N) Net recharge is the amount of surface water that infiltrated into the ground and reaches the groundwater (Chitsazan & Akhtari, 2009). It indicates the amount of water from precipitation that is available for vertical transport, dispersion, and dilution of pollutants from a specific point of application (Aller et al., 1987). Recharged water serves as a medium for transporting contaminants within vadose zone to the aquifer. The higher the recharge the more vulnerable is 11 the groundwater (Hasan et al., 2019). Data for the net recharge was not available, thus, it was derived from mean annual rainfall where 30 years (1988-2018) of five meteorological stations were considered. Net recharge of each station was computed based on the model of Chaturvedi equation (Chaturvedi, 1973): = 6.75 ( − 14) . (Eq. 3) Where R= Net recharge and p= mean rainfall (mm/year) The model was developed for tropical regions based on water level fluctuations and rainfall depth. It was implemented in several studies (Adelana, Olasehinde, & Vrbka, 2006; Misstear, Brown, & Daly, 2009; Aliran et al., 2013; Mogaji et al., 2014). The result showed that the net recharge value of the watershed ranges from a minimum of 236.55 mm/year to a maximum of 308.126 mm/year. Figure 3b shows the rate of net recharge of Megech watershed. Figure 3. modified DRASTIC model (a) Depth to water table (b) Net recharge, and (c) Aquifer media maps Aquifer Media (A) Aquifer media refers to a rock in the ground that serves as water storage (Ersoy & Fatma, 2013). It indicates materials property which controls pollutant attenuation processes based on the permeability of each layer (Jang et al., 2017). The attenuation characteristic of the aquifer material is reflected by the mobility of the contaminants through aquifer media. Megech watershed is dominated by Tarmaber and Aiba basalt deposit and, Alluvial and Colluvial sediment deposit (Workineh et al., 2011). Thus, its aquifer is an unconfined (fractured) aquifer and hydrologically very good source of groundwater (Paul, Giordano, Keraita, Ramesh & Rao, 2012; Seifu, 2013; Asrie & Sebhat, 2016; Landtschoote, 2017). As shown in Table 2 and Figure 3c, the watershed aquifer media is grouped into two categories and rated according to the attenuation nature of the layers. Soil Media (S) In the modified DRASTIC model, the soil media represents the capabilities of soil to infiltrate water and contaminants vertically down to the unsaturated zone. It transports the contaminant and water from the soil surface to the aquifer. This is based on the permeable character of the 12 soil which inherited from the parent material and materials constitute (Al-Abadi, et al., 2014). Soils with clay and silt particles increase the travel time of pollutants. Nitosols, Liptosols, Regosols, Xerosols, Fluvisols, Vertisols and Cambisols are major soils of the watershed. Based Figure 4. modified DRASTIC model (a) Soil media (b) Topography media, and (c) Impact of vadose zone media maps on the permeability, the soils of the study watershed were rated as shown in Table 2 and Figure 4a. Topography Media (T) Topography refers to the slope of an area. It controls the likelihood of a pollutant to be transported by runoff or to remain on the ground where it may infiltrate into the surface (Aller et al., 1987; Voudouris et al., 2010; Souleymane & Zhonghua, 2017). The gentler the slope (slope of 0 – 2 %) the higher retaining capacity of water and/or pollutants while the steeper the slope (slope of +18 %) have lower retention capacity of water and/or pollutants (Souleymane & Zhonghua, 2017). As shown in Figure 4b and Table 2, the slope of the study watershed was rated from 0 (slope of +18 %) to 10 (0 -2%). Impact of vadose zone Media (I) Vadose zone is the unsaturated zone materials lying below the soil horizon and above the water table. It determines the attenuation characteristics of contaminants (Aller et al., 1987; Atiqur, 2008).The movement of the contaminants to the saturated zone is controlled by this parameter. According to Aller et al. (1987) and Maria (2018) if clay content of the vadose zone is higher, the pollution potential is lower while with an increase of silt and sand concentration, the pollution potential of the vadose zone increases. Based on this notion, impact of vadose zone of Megech watershed was derived from the distribution of soil textures. Accordingly, the watershed is dominantly covered by clay loam (358.18 sq.km) and clay (255.32 sq.km) soils. The remaining part of the watershed is covered by sand clay loam and loam soils. Based on the soil texture characteristics, the impact of vadose zone was rated from 1 to 5 classes as shown in Table 2 and Figure 4c. Hydraulic Conductivity (C) 13 Hydraulic conductivity is described as the ability of aquifer materials to transmit water, in turn, controls the rate of groundwater and contaminant material flow under a given hydraulic gradient (Khemiri et al., 2013). It depends on the amount and interconnection of void spaces within the aquifer. It controls the contaminant migration and dispersion from the injection point within the saturated zone. Hydraulic property of the watershed was determined based on the average soil texture properties (Rawls, Brakensiek, & Saxton, 1982; Smedema & Rycroft, 1983;Oosterbaan & Nijland, 1994; Davie, 2008; Healy & Scanlon, 2010; Dávila et al., 2014; Zekaiz, 2015; Malik & Shukla, 2019). Table 5. Megech watershed hydraulic conductivity based on soil texture Average value of Hydraulic Standard Hydraulic Soil Texture Conductivity (m/s) conductivity (m/s) (C) Hydraulic Loam 0.000156 0.00015-0.00033 Conductivity Sandy clay loam 0.00000631 (m/sec) Clay loam 0.00000254 0.00000015-0.00005 Clay 0.00000128 Source: (Elizabeth, 1994; Healy & Scanlon, 2010; Dávila et al., 2014). Clay and clay loam soils consist more fine soil particles that are characterized by low porosity and less permeable. Thus, the watershed has low hydraulic conductivity (Table 2) and low pollution potential. On the other hand, sand and loam soil texture classes have less clay particle content implying more permeable and relatively higher vulnerability potential to pollution (Figure 5a). Figure 5. Megech watershed (a) Hydraulic conductivity media and (b) Land use land cover maps Land Use Land Cover (Lu) LULC of Megech watershed was prepared from Sentinel 2 satellite image based on Anderson land use classification system (Andorson, Hardy, Roach, & Witmeer, 1983). The watershed was classified into five major LULC classes namely water body, built-up area (settlement), cultivated land, grazing land and, forest and plantation tree (Table 6 and Figure 5b). LULC has a strong impact on the surface and groundwater quality (Al-rawabdeh et al., 2014; Singh et al., 2015; Baghapour et al., 2016; Ouedraogo et al., 2016). This shows the impact of human activities to aquifer vulnerability. 14 Table 6. Megech watershed LULC classes Land use land cover (Lu) Land use class Area (sq.km) % share Cultivated land Urban area Grazing land Waterbody 544.34 17.09 28.11 0.77 81.89 2.57 4.23 0.12 Forest and Plantation 74.43 11.19 Aquifer vulnerability map All thematic layers of the parameters were rated according to their relative importance and their susceptibility to contaminants. These layers were multiplied by their weight (Table 2) which were assigned according to their significance and contribution to contamination (Aller et al., 1987; Baghapour et al., 2016). The analysis of intrinsic aquifer vulnerability was computed by summing the product of each parameter using Equation (1). According to the result shown in Figure 6a, the total vulnerability index value of the study watershed ranges from 102 to 202. The higher the value of the DRASTIC index, the greater is the aquifer vulnerability for pollution (Witkowsk et al., 2007; Dávila et al., 2014; Djémin et al., 2016; Abiy & Melesse, 2017). Thus, the aquifer of the study watershed is vulnerable to contaminants (Table 3). Figure 6. Megech watershed (a) modified DRASTIC Index map and (b) Aquifer vulnerability map As shown in Table 7 and Figure 6b, the values of the modified DRASTIC aquifer vulnerability index were classified into three classes such as low, moderate and highly vulnerable zones. Out of the total area of the study watershed, about 9256.41ha (13.92%) is in the low vulnerable zone with a DRASTIC index ranging between 102 and 145. Moderate vulnerable zone with a DRASTIC index ranging between 146 and 190, and highly vulnerable zone with DRASTIC index ranging between 191 and 202 cover about 53,404.83ha (80.34%) and about 3813.22ha (5.74%), respectively. The aquifers at a high vulnerability level are mainly found in built-up areas (settlement) of Gondar city and Gondar Zuria woreda (district) where industrial effluents from factories and domestic wastes significantly polluting the groundwater. Moderately 15 vulnerable areas (80.34%) are dominantly found in cultivated lands of the southern part (Dembia and Gondar Zuria woredas) of the watershed. Table 7. Megech watershed aquifer vulnerability level and vulnerable area (ha) Aquifer vulnerability level Low vulnerable Index 102 - 145 Area (ha) 9256.41 % share 13.92 Moderately vulnerable 146 – 190 53,404.83 80.34 Highly vulnerable 191 - 202 3813.22 5.74 66474.46 100 Total For the assessment of the impact of individual parameters towards an aquifer vulnerability, a single parameter sensitivity analysis was performed. The single parameter sensitivity analysis compares the effective and theoretical weights thereby evaluates the degree of the influence of an individual parameter for the vulnerability of groundwater. In Megech watershed, effective weights of net recharge (26.20%) and land use land cover (18.24%) were higher than their theoretical weights (14.29 and 17.86%, respectively) (Table 8). This implies that net recharge and land use land cover are the most influential parameters in the aquifer vulnerability analysis followed by Aquifer media (A) and Groundwater depth (D) with an effective weight of 17.91% and 17.18%, respectively (Table 8). Table 8. Statistics of single parameter sensitivity analysis for modified DRASTIC model Parameter Theoretical weight Theoretical weight (%) D R A S T I C Lu 5 4 3 2 1 5 3 5 17.86 14.29 10.71 7.14 3.57 17.86 10.71 17.86 Effective weight (%) Max 16.13 21.51 14.52 7.53 5.38 6.45 1.61 26.88 Mean 17.18 26.20 17.91 7.72 5.14 5.64 1.99 18.24 Min 20.17 33.61 22.69 10.08 2.52 4.20 2.52 4.20 SD 10.37 0.00 0.00 8.25 12.12 9.31 0.00 59.95 Groundwater physicochemical and biological properties of the study watershed were examined through 15 composite samples taken from 31 wells and springs. The result of physicochemical and biological properties is presented in Table 9. 16 Table 9. Physio-chemical and bacteriological analysis result for water samples DI vulnerabilit y map High Moderate Samples No = 15 NO3(mg/l) TDS (mg/l) pH Total Coliform (cfu/100ml) Urban (4) min 6.8 max 8.3 !" 7.55 Cultivated (3) 6.3 7.9 7.8 145 243 204 2.0 21 17 3 Urban (4) 6.2 8.3 7.2 164 307 271 1.08 11 9 4 Cultivated (4) 6.4 8.1 7.6 149 472 391 2.10 13 12 0 min 170 max 401 !" 302 min 0.19 max !" 17 14 21 As shown in Table 9, the average pH value ranges between 6.2 and 8.3 with an average value of 7.8. This indicates that the pH value in the study watershed is within WHO and FAO permissible level for drinking (Table 4). The geographical distribution of TDS, NO3 and total coliforms were compared with vulnerability maps. Attempts have been made to validate the DRASTIC model using the TDS, NO3 and total coliforms concentration in groundwater. The TDS values for the water samples taken from highly and moderately vulnerable areas ranged from145 mg/l to 472 mg/l which was below the concertation level expected in potable water (Table 9). However, the concentration of TDS was higher in the moderately vulnerable part of the aquifer. The average concentration of nitrate (NO3) was 21 mg /l in cultivated land of the highly vulnerable part of the aquifer and 11 mg /l in an urban area of moderately vulnerable part of the watershed (Table 9). Similarly, 21/100ml total coliforms were found from samples taken from highly vulnerable and 4/100ml in samples taken from moderately vulnerable parts of the watershed. The highest level of nitrate concentration and the total number of coliforms coincide with the results of the modified DRASTIC vulnerable index which demonstrates the deterioration of groundwater quality of the watershed and validates the use of the DRASTIC model in the study watershed with the given data set. In line with this result, Gondar city water and sanitation service office report showed that 60/100ml and 9/100ml total bacteria, and 3/100ml fecal coliform was found in the water (water before distribution) from Angereb dam and, 6/100ml up to 9/100ml fecal coliform from boreholes. The report confirmed that groundwater of Gondar city (highly vulnerable urban area) is at risk of pollution. 17 3.2. Discussion In the present study, the modified DRASTIC model was used to assess the degree of vulnerability to pollution of groundwater in the Megech watershed. DRASTIC Vulnerability Index values range were arranged into different classes; low (102-145), moderate (146-190) and high (191-202). The areas under the high vulnerability level (5.74%) are mainly in built-up (settlement) areas where Gondar city and Gondar Zuria woreda (district) were identified as a maximum protection area that requires extreme protection. The majority of the study watershed is characterized by moderate vulnerability level which is mainly associated with cultivated land that demands high protection (Witkowsk et al., 2007). The result of the present study is in harmony with the result of Singh et al. (2015) who conducted a study in Lucknow city, India using a modified DRASTIC model (DRASTICA) where anthropogenic influence exhibited a significant contribution for groundwater pollution. Likewise, a groundwater vulnerability assessment conducted in Algeria (Khemis Miliana Plain) using DRASTIC-Lu model showed the influence of human activities on groundwater pollution (Zafane et al., 2017). Similar studies by Al-rawabdeh et al. (2014); Dávila et al. (2014) and Gómez, Gutiérrez, Nájera, Núñez, and Herrera, (2017) also confirmed the strong influence of human activities on the groundwater quality manifested via LULC change in the vulnerability analysis. A groundwater vulnerability evaluation was conducted in India, Kerala region near solid waste disposal site using DRASTIC model and was reported the DRASTIC index values ranged between 120 to 243, where the eastern and southeastern part of the dumping site was highly vulnerable to contaminants due to the lower slope of the terrains which allows percolation of contaminants into the groundwater (Jaseela et al., 2016). Another study conducted in southern Côte d’Ivoire (Djémin et al., 2016) reported a vulnerability index values ranging from 95 to 187 where about 63.93% of the areas are under very high to highly vulnerable zone which is mainly in the central part of the region. Similarly, Moslem and Ashournia (2017) reported that a large extent (48.64%) of Guilan aquifer in Iran is highly vulnerable to pollution. Analogous to the results of the present study, Ebadati, Motlagh, and Behzad (2012); Al-Abadi et al. (2017); Souleymane and Zhonghua (2017); Hasan et al. (2019) reported a groundwater map with three vulnerability classes ranging from very high to low vulnerable to pollution. The 18 vulnerability class ranging from moderately to the very highly vulnerable part of the region categorized as an extreme protection region. Voudouris et al. (2010) and Wu et al.(2018) reported that the shallower part the aquifer and Beihai City fall within high and very high vulnerability zones in which intensive rain and slope of the terrain were influencing factors in the vulnerability analysis. Bhuvaneswaran and Ganesh (2019) also reported that shallow groundwater level, permeability of vadose zone and high rate of net recharge resulted in high vulnerability of groundwater in Uppar Odai sub-watershed of India. In the Megech watershed, high vulnerability is associated with the built-up (settlement) area. Contrary to this finding, a research conducted in Lahore, Pakistan by Muhammad et al. (2015) reported that low vulnerability is associated with the dense human settlements and low water level areas while high vulnerability which covers 28.8% of the region associated with agricultural areas. Previous studies conducted in Megech watershed (Mengesha et al., 2013; Damtie et al., 2014; Getahun et al., 2014; Misganaw, 2015; Feleke et al., 2018) using laboratory method confirmed that groundwater (wells and springs) and surface water (rivers, reservoirs and tap water) of Gondar city have experienced high risk of pollution. This is because the city has suffered from discharges from human activities (industrial effluent, landfill, sewages) which contributes to the pollution and contamination of the groundwater. This report coincides with the result of the modified DRASTIC model where built-up (urban) areas are delineated as a highly vulnerable part of the study watershed. Similarly, a study conducted in Guna -Tana watershed using water quality experiment techniques revealed that agricultural activity is the major contributor to the higher concentration of nitrate in the groundwater (Akale et al., 2017; 2018). This is in line with the notion that excessive agricultural activities generate pollutants for contaminating groundwater (Paul et al., 2012; Zafane et al., 2017; Gómez et al., 2017). Merchant (1994) also indicated that human activity which discharges contaminants to the surface and infiltrates down to the aquifer has a significant contribution to groundwater pollution. In this regard, Hosseini and Saremi (2018); Baghapour et al. (2016) and Nazzal et al. (2019) were incorporated LULC as a parameter and found that the modified DRASTIC model performed better in delineating groundwater vulnerability to pollution. Dávila et al. (2014) also compared 19 the conventional DRASTIC model with the modified DRASTIC model and came up with a better result for the modified DRASTIC model. According to the result from single parameter sensitivity analysis, net recharge (N) and land use land cover (Lu), were identified as parameters which have a significant influence on Megech watershed aquifer vulnerability analysis. Similarly, other parameters such as geology, soil, and land use (Abiy et al., 2016), depth to water table (Moslem & Ashournia, 2017), vadose zone and depth to water table (Djémin et al., 2016; Mfonka et al., 2018; Tomer, Katyal, & Joshi, 2019), aquifer media and vadose zone (Thapa et al., 2018), depth to water table (Oroji, 2018), rainfall recharge, aquifer media, soil type, and topography (Wu et al., 2018) were identified as significant parameters in groundwater vulnerability analysis. This implies that accurate and detailed information about these significant parameters needs to be obtained for aquifer vulnerability analysis. All these revealed that the results of the modified DRASTIC model are viable and representative of the groundwater vulnerability of the study watershed. Likewise, Shirazi, Imran, and Akib (2012); Anornu and Kabo-bah (2013); Djémin et al. (2016); Jang et al. (2017) were found the model appropriate for groundwater vulnerability assessment and it serves as a tool for monitoring human activities for the sustainable conservation of groundwater quality. 4. Conclusions Groundwater is a promising source of freshwater. However, point and non-point sources of pollutants generated from human activities degrade the quality of groundwater which bring socio-economic and health problem. This water quality issue became one of the 17 sustainable development goals of the UN. This is to be achieved by 2030 where reducing pollution and minimizing the release of hazardous chemicals is a prior task to realize universal and equitable access to safe water. Proper planning and directing efforts for groundwater management requires delineating vulnerable areas and identifying the source of contaminants. Therefore, this study implemented a modified DRASTIC model to delineate and identify the spatial extent of Megech watershed aquifer vulnerability to pollution. Apart from the conventional DRASTIC model, the modified DRASTIC model incorporated LULC as a parameter to consider the impact of human activity on the groundwater pollution. 20 The result of the study showed that Megech watershed aquifer vulnerability ranges from a lower vulnerable level (102–145) to a highly vulnerable level (191–202). Moderately vulnerable covers 81.24% (53,404.83 ha) and highly vulnerable covers 5.74% (3813.22 ha) of the total watershed aquifer. The central part of the watershed which covered by built-up (settlement) areas is highly vulnerable for pollution. The majority of the watershed which is dominated by cultivated land is moderately vulnerable to pollution. The sensitivity analysis of the model revealed that net recharge (R) and LULC (Lu) were the highest contributors for groundwater contamination in the study watershed. Therefore, planners and local administrates should give priority for the highly vulnerable part (Gondar city) of the watershed to manage the groundwater so as to meet the Millennium development goal. Information on the current status of contamination of groundwater might be used as an early warning for the responsible authorities to take judicious measures to prevent further stress on this invaluable resource. In this study, the combined use of DRASTIC model and geographical information system (GIS) demonstrated as an effective method for groundwater vulnerability assessment. Furthermore, this study suggests similar studies to be conducted in different agroclimatic and management conditions. Acknowledgement The authors are grateful to the Amhara Construction and Design Monitoring Office, Gondar town Water and Sanitation Office and Angereb Dam Laboratory officers for their cooperation and provision of data. We extend our gratitude to Debre Tabor University Chemistry Laboratory and Mr. Desalew for providing us the water sample collecting kits and instruments. The authors would like to thank Mr. Getachew Workneh, Mr. Getu Tesema, Mr. Kibru Engida and Mr. Endalk A. Mr. Seid Kemal for their professional comments and editing the paper. Finally, we would like to express our gratitude to the editors and the anonymous reviewers for their insightful review and useful comments. References Abate, E. Y. (2010). Anthropogenic Impacts on Groundwater Resources in the urban Environment of Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (University of Oslo). 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Highlights Vulnerability of Megech watershed aquifer to pollution was assessed Modified DRASTIC model which incorporates land use was used The model was validated using groundwater quality data from wells Highly & moderately vulnerable areas fall in built-up & cultivated lands respectively The concentration of NO3 & Total Coliform exceeds WHO permissible level