PSYC 2002 Introduction to Statistics in Psychology Week 1a: Course Introduction John Logan (updated: 2023-01-07) Course Overview 2 / 19 Course blurb for PSYC 2002 B PSYC 2002 covers the basics of data analysis. It will build on the descriptive statistics covered in PSYC 2001 but the major focus is on inferential statistics. Inferential statistics encompass a variety of procedures for deciding if results obtained in a study are due to chance or not. You will learn how to use these statistics as well as learn their underlying conceptual basis. You also will learn how to use Excel and a dedicated statistical package called Jamovi to do statistical calculations and visually present data. 3 / 19 Why is statistics a required course? 4 / 19 Psychological Facts & Theories psychological science produces facts and theories 1. facts are produced by collecting measurements about psychological phenomena, and by running experiments to establish the root causes of the phenomena 2. theories are working explanations of a set of facts; they describe how causal forces work to produce the psychological phenomena 5 / 19 Facts depend on Evidence "facts" about psychology are only as good as the evidence for them facts can be relied upon when the evidence for their existence is indispustable (clear-cut); there are many reliable findings in psychology but, you should not believe every 'fact' you hear! some findings in psychology are unreliable (other researchers can't reproduce them), some are faked(!) and, others are downright silly 6 / 19 Theories must explain evidence the whole point of theories is to explain evidence, or the credible facts about a psychological phenomena of interest many good, strong, theories in psychology exist and are capable of explaining many aspects of psychological phenomena BUT you should not believe every theory you hear about in psychology! Some "theories" do not explain the facts; some "theories" aren't theories at all, they are just someone's opinion 7 / 19 So...how can we trust the facts and theories in Psychology? You need to learn how to evaluate the evidence 8 / 19 All psychology needs statistics 1. psychologists run experiments to test research questions and claims 2. the experiments produce measurements, or evidence 3. statistics are used to evaluate the evidence does the evidence support the claim? does the evidence not support the claim? 9 / 19 When you hear a scientific claim... 1. you could accept the claim because "a Scientist said it was true" 2. you could evaluate the evidence for claim and decide for yourself if the evidence warrants the claim Just because a scientist makes a claim, doesn't make it true 10 / 19 The case of power-posing 11 / 19 Can a powerful pose change your life? 12 / 19 High vs. low power poses 13 / 19 The evidence for power posing 14 / 19 Power posing embraced by media Amy Cuddy gave a TED Talk (viewed by 48 million people) arguing that power posing can change your life link to TED talk 15 / 19 The problem only a single study, with inconsistent evidence many other labs tried to reproduce the findings, but they failed to replicate the hormone change component of the study and found inconsistent results for the behavioural component of the study http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/dana_carney/ranehill.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/18/magazine/when-the-revolutioncame-for-amy-cuddy.html 16 / 19 Current state of power posing 17 / 19 Lessons learned Lesson 1: don't believe everything you hear, even if it's published in a scientific journal Lesson 2: to understand psychological science, you must understand how to evaluate evidence produced by psychological science Lesson 3: statistical analysis cannot rescue a not-so-good experimental design 18 / 19 Next... W1b: Statistics as a tool Crump: Chapter 1 19 / 19