Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Geoscience Frontiers journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/gsf Research Paper Environmental fate and health exposures of the geogenic and anthropogenic contaminants in potable groundwater of Lower Ganga Basin, India Indrani Mukherjee a,⇑, Umesh Kumar Singh b a b Integrated Science Education and Research Centre (ISERC), Institute of Science, Visva-Bharati University, Santiniketan, Birbhum 731235, West Bengal, India Department of Environmental Science, School of Earth, Biological and Environmental Sciences, Central University of South Bihar, Gaya 824236, Bihar, India a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 23 July 2021 Revised 9 November 2021 Accepted 22 January 2022 Available online 26 January 2022 Handling Editor: E. Shaji Keywords: Cokriging Health risks Principal component analysis Cluster analysis Nitrate contamination Fluoride contamination a b s t r a c t The study evaluated the sources and controlling factors of the groundwater contaminants in an agroeconomic region of Lower Ganga Basin using principal component analysis (PCA), multivariable linear regressions (MLR), correlation analysis, and hierarchical cluster analysis, and evaluated the public health risks using the Latin Hypercube Sampling, goodness-of-fit statistics, Monte Carlo simulation and Sobol sensitivity analysis based on the 1000 samples collected in two sampling cycles (N = 1000). The study reveals that the dissolution of fluoride-bearing minerals and semi-arid climate regulate the fluoride concentrations (0.10–18.25 mg/L) in groundwater. Extensive application of inorganic nitrogenous fertilizers and livestock manure mainly contributed to elevated nitrate levels (up to 435.0 mg/L) in groundwater. The health risks analysis indicates that fluoride exposure is more prevalent in the residents of each age group than the nitrate and both contaminants exhibited higher non-carcinogenic health risks on the infant and child (minor) age groups compared to adolescents and adults. Based on the cokriging interpolation mapping, the minor residents of 17.88%–23.15% of the total area (4545.0 km2) are vulnerable to methemoglobinemia whereas the residents of all age-groups in 38.47%–44.45% of the total area are susceptible to mild to severe dental/skeletal fluorosis owing to consumption of untreated nitrate and fluoride enriched groundwater. The Sobol sensitivity indices revealed contaminant levels, groundwater intake rate and their collective effects are the most influential factors to pose potential health risks on the residents. Artificial recharge and rainwater harvesting practices should be adopted to improve the groundwater quality and the residents are advised to drink purified groundwater. Ó 2022 China University of Geosciences (Beijing) and Peking University. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). 1. Introduction Groundwater is the substantial source of potable water for 50% of the world’s population and the world’s 2.5 billion individuals are exclusively reliant on groundwater to meet day-today water requirements (Kawo and Karuppannan, 2018; Ravi et al., 2020; Soujanya Kamble et al., 2020). Aquifers of the arid/ semi-arid regions are under tremendous stress due to the overextraction of groundwater, mainly to fulfil the irrigation water supply demands which affect the climate resilience process of the aquifers. In addition to the geogenic sources, such anthropogenic activities have significantly augmented the groundwater contamination. Being the world’s largest consumer of groundwater, India is ⇑ Corresponding author. already facing over-exploitation of the aquifers along with imperiled groundwater in many regions where fluoride, nitrate, iron and other heavy-metals are identified as the major groundwater contaminants (Mohanakavitha et al., 2019a; Balamurugan et al., 2020a; Mukherjee et al., 2021). Agricultural practices with intensive inorganic nitrogenous fertilizers, pesticides and herbicides have been identified as the foremost cause of nitrate (NO 3 ) abundance in groundwater on a global scale. In addition, untreated sewage and industrial wastewater discharges, septic system leakage, livestock waste, application of poultry manure for fish farming, nitrifying bacterial activities, landfill leachate, atmospheric deposition and eutrophication phenomena are also responsible for nitrate prevalence in potable groundwater (Torres-Martínez et al., 2020, 2021a, b). Amplified human interference left alluvial plains more vulnerable to nitrate contamination and imperiled the groundwater resources for human consumption (Mukherjee and Singh, E-mail address: indranimukherjee.envs@gmail.com (I. Mukherjee). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2022.101365 1674-9871/Ó 2022 China University of Geosciences (Beijing) and Peking University. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 On the other hand, toxicity caused by fluoride on the residents such as mild to severe dental anomalies, crippling deformities, osteoporosis and death incidents in a few villages of this region had been reported by a health survey conducted in 1995 where the recorded maximum fluoride level in groundwater was 13.6 mg/L (Roy et al., 2018). The lack of alternative sources of drinking water has compelled the residents of this region to consume raw groundwater and, as a result, the individuals are directly exposed to the groundwater contaminants. Therefore, an understanding of the sources and influencing factors for augmentation of groundwater NO and their health exposure analysis 3 and F on the residents may be useful in developing sustainable strategies for curbing the derogation of groundwater resources from the combined problems of NO 3 and F contamination. To our knowledge, such extensive source appointments and public health risks analyses of NO contamination at the LGB has not been 3 and F undertaken in the past. Several previous studies from China (Wu et al., 2014; Ren et al., 2021), Pakistan (Khan et al., 2021), South America (Blarasin et al., 2020), Canada (Loomer et al., 2019), West Africa (Egbi et al., 2020), South Africa (Elumalai et al., 2020), Brazil (Silva et al., 2021), Egypt (Masoud and Ali, 2020), Italy (Zanotti et al., 2022) and India (Mohanakavitha et al., 2019b; Balamurugan et al., 2020b; Panneerselvam et al., 2020) have adopted chemometric methods, namely Principal component analysis (PCA), Cluster analysis (CA) and correlation coefficients to identify the sources of the groundwater contaminants. However, the studies were conducted based on a smaller sample size and physicochemical parameters compared to the present study. Furthermore, the studies have adopted the Pearson’s correlation coefficients which evaluates the linear relationship among the groundwater facies. In reality, groundwater facies usually follow non-normal distribution and contain outliers. Therefore, correlation analysis based on the nonparametric methods would be more accurate for groundwater facies with a larger sample size and physicochemical parameters (Marín Celestino et al., 2018). Considering the large sample sizes, the present study has opted for the Spearman’s correlation coefficients method over the Kendall’s s coefficients method (both are nonparametric methods). The present study also applied the PCA integrated with multiple linear regression (MLR) to quantify the contamination sources. Some studies have performed the PCAMLR analysis to identify the contribution of the different sources of PAHs in street dust (Feng et al., 2020), the atmosphere (Soleimanian et al., 2020), and different sources of the pollutants in river water (Meng et al., 2020) and a limited number of studies performed this analysis on groundwater data to identify the contamination sources (Wu et al., 2020; Li et al., 2021a). The studies found the PCA-MLR to be an effective approach to quantify the contribution of the contamination sources. Several studies have also performed the non-carcinogenic human health risks analysis (HHRA) using the USEPA HHRA method for the exposure of fluoride (Li et al., 2019b; Balamurugan et al., 2020c; Haji et al., 2021b; Karunanidhi et al., 2021), nitrate exposure (Panneerselvam et al., 2021), both nitrate and fluoride (Adimalla and Li, 2019; Adimalla et al., 2019; Ji et al., 2020; He et al., 2021) and other contaminants (He et al., 2019; Wang et al., 2021; Wei et al., 2021) in groundwater. Previous studies have appointed the deterministic method using a mean value of the population-related input parameters. Such an approach ignores the differences between individuals which usually leads to errors and uncertainties in the evaluation. HHRA using a probabilistic approach based on the Monte Carlo Simulations (MCS), can overcome this problem and produce more realistic results by reducing the errors and uncertainties (Mukherjee et al., 2020). A few studies have analyzed the public health risks related to fluoride or nitrate exposure in groundwater using the 2021a). Chronic consumption of nitrate contaminated potable water has been hypothesized as the genesis of methemoglobinemia (blue baby syndrome), hypertension and thyroid dysfunctions in infants, toddlers and pregnant women (Zhang et al., 2018; Adimalla et al., 2019; He and Wu, 2019; Li et al., 2019a). Moreover, numerous cross-sectional evidence associated it with two types of birth defects and fifteen types of cancers (Schullehner et al., 2018; Ward et al., 2018; Essien et al., 2020; Stayner et al., 2021). Similarly, the occurrences of fluoride (F) in potable groundwater cause different types of dental and skeletal deformities (fluorosis) in humans including pitting and mottling of teeth, ligaments calcification, osteoporosis, osteosclerosis, crippling, abdominal pain, tingling sensations and calcification of blood vessels (Mukherjee and Singh, 2018a, 2018b). Based on recent estimations, about 0.2 billion people globally are under the dreadful fate of fluoride related health impairments, and India and China are among the two worst-affected countries. In India, about 66 million individuals including 6 million children have been affected by fluoride toxicity and about 411 million individuals are vulnerable to fluorosis due to consumption of fluoride-contaminated potable groundwater (Mukherjee and Singh, 2018c; Rasool et al., 2018). Fluoride may get mobilized in groundwater from diverse geogenic sources (such as fluoride-bearing minerals, marine aerosols and volcanic eruptions) and anthropogenic sources (such as usage of fluoridecontaining irrigation water and application of phosphate fertilizers), and different geochemical processes (e.g., weathering of fluoride-containing minerals, ion exchange/reverse ion exchange, mixing and adsorption/desorption) and meteorological factors (e.g., evaporation and precipitation), drive the enrichment of fluoride in groundwater systems (Adimalla and Li, 2019; Li et al., 2019b; He et al., 2020, 2021; Ji et al., 2020; Mukherjee and Singh, 2020a). Igneous (e.g., granitic-gneiss and pegmatite), sedimentary and metamorphic rocks usually contain significant amounts of fluoride-bearing minerals such as amphiboles, fluorite, muscovite, fluorapatite, topaz and hornblende. Several studies concluded that weathering of such host rocks is primarily responsible for mobilizing fluoride into the groundwater systems of most fluoride-endemic regions worldwide (Aravindan et al., 2011; Haji et al., 2021a). The present survey area is a typical agroeconomic semi-arid tract of the Lower Ganga Basin (LGB) in India, with a geographical area of 4545 km2 of which 70.54% is under cultivation, and 52.54% and 15% of the total area is underlain by the alluvial and granitic-gneiss aquifers (Mukherjee and Singh, 2020b). Extensive usage of irrigation groundwater along with inorganic fertilizers and manure have underpinned the agricultural activities of this region. Based on a report published by the agriculture department of this region, 54.58% of the total area under cultivation is covered by irrigation, primarily with groundwater. More than 36,786 MT nitrogen, 17,656 MT phosphate and 10,364 MT potash fertilizers are applied to the agricultural fields each year with a rate of 128 kg/ha/yr, cumulatively (birbhum.nic.in). Extensive livestock (cattle, buffalo, sheep, goat, pig, duck etc.) farming, poultry farming and fish farming practices with poultry-manure and improper sanitary and domestic waste/wastewater management practices have also been reported in this region (Mukherjee and Singh, 2021a). Furthermore, one closed iron-mining site, one thermal power plant (produces 2.02 MT combustion residues/year which it releases to the environment), one mini-steel plant, seven hot-springs and several pottery and bricks industries, and sponge iron plants are situated within the survey area. Therefore, it is expected that local lithology, climatic conditions and anthropogenic influences control the groundwater hydrogeochemistry of the region. Nitrate concentration in groundwater up to 182 mg/L has been reported in this survey area which is four times greater than the national standard limit set by the BIS (BIS, 2012; Mukherjee and Singh, 2018b, 2020a). 2 Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh nomic area is 1430.5 mm, with about 75%–78% of the rainfall concentrated during the monsoon season. The aquifers of the survey region get primarily recharged from the monsoon rainfall. The annual potential evaporation is 1400–1600 mm which is greater than the average yearly precipitation. The relative humidity of the survey area varies between 43% and 83%. MCS (Zhang et al., 2017; Shalyari et al., 2019; Bazeli et al., 2020; Nakazawa et al., 2020). The present study has applied the MCS and Sobol Sensitivity Analysis (SSA) methods to assess the combined exposure of groundwater fluoride and nitrate on the residents and has aimed to achieve higher accuracy in the evaluation by applying the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) method and goodness-of-fit (GoF) statistics. Previous studies related to groundwater contaminants analysis usually applied inverse distance weighting, spline or ordinary kriging methods for interpolation (Aravindan and Shankar, 2011; Shankar and Nafyad, 2020) and the application of the cokriging method is still inadequately explored. The cokriging method predicts the variability of a parameter based on the multivariant statistical analysis and the correlated parameters. This technique has been applied in other research areas and resulted in better prediction accuracy over conventional kriging and other methods (Li et al., 2006; Wang et al., 2018; Yang et al., 2021). The study has attempted to evaluate (i) the spatio-seasonal variations of ground water NO 3 and F using the cokriging method, (ii) the sources and factors driving the enrichment of NO 3 and F using the chemomet ric approaches, (iii) the potential health risks of NO in 3 and F potable groundwater through direct ingestion using the MCS method, and (iv) the sensitive parameters of the risk assessment models using the SSA method. 2.1.2. Geology Different heterogeneous geological units compose the local geology of the study area. The Archaean rocks are exposed on the southern and western parts of the survey region and comprised of granite-gneisses, biotite-schists, calc-granulites and granite with pegmatites and quartz veins (Fig. 1b). The Dubrajpur formation of the Lower Jurassic age comprising of conglomerates, coarsegrained to medium-grained gritty and ferruginous sandstone, grey siltstone, mottled shale and thin coal bands, are exposed as elongated patches in the south-eastern part overlying the Archaean rocks with an unconformity or fault. The Rajmahal volcanic rocks of the Middle Jurassic to Lower Cretaceous age are exposed on the northern and western parts and composed of medium and fine-grained basalts, amygdaloidal, vesicular and intertrappean sediments. The ballistic flow rests either on the Dubrajpur formation of the Upper Gondwana age or the Lower Gondwana sediments. The Tertiary formation mainly overlies the Rajmahal volcanic rocks and Archaean rocks in places and is comprised of sandstone and clay beds. Laterite, mostly of the vesicular type, occurs as a cap rock over the basalts and Tertiaries. Platy laterite is also recorded in a few places and, in addition, the lateritic gravel of detrital nature has an extensive presence. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. Description of the survey region 2.1.1. Location and climate LGB is situated in the northeast of India. The survey area covers a segment of 87°050 2500 E–88°010 4000 E longitudes and 23°320 3000 N– 24°350 0000 N latitudes (Fig. 1a). This region is categorized by the subtropical subhumid (dry) climatic conditions with a yearly mean temperature of 25.9 °C. The mean yearly rainfall in this agroeco- 2.1.3. Hydrogeology The hydrographical system comprises numerous rainfed and nonperennial streams (Fig. 1b). Groundwater prevails under an unconfined state in the subsurface aquifers whereas it prevails under a semi-confined to confined state in the deep aquifers Fig. 1. (a) Study area and sampling locations, (b) geological units, (c) land use and land cover, (d) spatial distribution of fluoride during PRM, (e) spatial distribution of fluoride during POM, (f) spatial distribution of nitrate during PRM and (g) spatial distribution of nitrate during POM. 3 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 ammonium (NH+4), and other anions, and the inorganic-cations, separately. The filtered samples for inorganic-cation analysis were preserved with ultrapure 6 N-nitric acid (NIST-CRM) at pH < 2 and the samples for nitrate and nitrite analysis were preserved with 99.5% pure boric acid (NIST-CRM). Filtered raw water samples were used for the remaining anions and NH+4 analysis. Electrical Conductivity (EC), redox potential (Eh), temperature and pH were measured on-site using a 371 Systronics water analyzer, equipped with EC, ORP, temperature, and pH probes after calibrating using appropriate standard solutions/procedures. Each preventative course of action was followed during collection, carriage, preservation and analysis of the samples, as outlined by APHA (2012) to prevent sample ageing and cross-contamination. (Mukherjee and Singh, 2020b). Monsoon precipitation is the principal source of groundwater recharge. Discharge from the Massanjore and Bakreswar reservoirs, Tilpara, Deocha, Baidana and Kendisala barrages/weirs, and Mayurakshi-Dwarka, MayurakshiBakreshwar and Bakreshwar-Kopai canals also supplement groundwater recharge in the respective catchment area. Groundwater develops through open wells in the weathered zones and bore wells in the deep aquifers with a yield potential rate of 3.5– 9.5 m3/hr and up to 20 m3/hr in places. Groundwater appears under an unconfined state in the residuum of Gondwana sandstones yielding to the tune of 5.0–15.0 m3/hr and under a semiconfined state in the secondary porosity zone below the weathered residuum of 12.0–20.0 m thickness. The bore wells taping fracture zones (depth = 100 m) in the Gondwana sandstones have a yield potentiality of 10–25 m3/hr (Ray and Shekhar, 2009). Groundwater appears within 5–15 mbgl in the weathered mantle of granitic-gneissic aquifers overlain by the 8–10 m thick laterite layers at places which formed the shallow aquifers of yield potentiality of up to 10 m3/hr. Groundwater develops under a confined state through bore wells in the potential fracture zones of the granitic aquifers down to a depth of 70–100 mbgl with a groundwater discharge rate of 10.0–20.0 m3/hr (Mukherjee and Singh, 2022). Groundwater also develops within 12 mbgl in the porous zone of the weathered mantle of the intertrappean basaltic aquifers (Rajmahal Trap) where the groundwater discharge rate of the abstraction wells is of the order of 12 m3/hr. The groundwater discharge rate of the potential fractures in basaltic aquifers in the depth of 65–80 mbgl is 5–20 m3/hr. Groundwater develops in the unconfined state in the near-surface aquifers and a semiconfined to confined state in the deep aquifers of the Tertiary sediments capped by laterites and Quaternary alluvium at places with a yield potentiality rate of up to 50 m3/hr. However, unconsolidated and semi-consolidated Tertiary sediments appear at a depth of 100–400 mbgl and when overlain by older alluvium have yield potentiality of 80–100 m3/hr (Mukherjee et al., 2019). Groundwater occurs both in the unconfined and confined states within a depth of 600 mbgl in the unconsolidated/recent alluviums with a large yield prospect of 150 m3/hr (Mukherjee and Singh, 2021b). The annual replenishable groundwater resource of the survey area has been estimated as 1.285 bcm with recharge from rainfall being 0.84 bcm during the monsoon and 0.21 bcm during the nonmonsoon seasons. Recharge from other sources is 0.076 bcm during the monsoon and 0.161 bcm during the non-monsoon periods. Considering the natural discharge of 0.119 bcm, the net annual groundwater availability has been assessed as 1.166 bcm; out of which 0.401 bcm groundwater is extracted annually (0.362 bcm for irrigational use and 0.039 bcm for industrial and domestic use) resulting in 34% of stages of groundwater development. Furthermore, the net groundwater availability for future use has been estimated as 0.726 bcm. The basaltic and granitic aquifer regions have been declared as drought-prone and southeastern, central and northern alluvial aquifer regions have been declared as semicritical zones considering poor groundwater development in these regions (CGWB, 2019). 2.3. Laboratory analysis Analysis of Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, K+ and Fe were performed by a Spectro Arcos multiview ICP-OES analyzer in automated mode for the + inorganic-cation samples. Analysis of F, Cl, NO 3 , NO2 , NH4, 3 2 PO4 , SO4 and Br was performed by an 883 Basic IC plus (Metrohm) with an anion column (Metrosep A Supp 5–250/4.0) for the anions and with a Metrosep C 6–250/2.0 microbore cation column for NH+4 (Table 1). TA, CO2 3 and HCO3 of each anion sample were measured by the titrimetric method using 0.02 N hydrochloric acid (NIST-CRM; 7647-01-0; Thermo Fisher Scientific; USA), phenolphthalein indicator (77-09-8; Thermo Fisher Scientific; USA) and methyl orange indicator (67-56-1; Thermo Fisher Scientific; USA). 2.4. Quality control and assurance The quality assurance was attained through the execution of stringent laboratory practices and quality control measures during the preparation of the standards and samples, instrument calibration and sample measurements. NIST-CRMs and standard instruments were used to analyze the groundwater samples and to achieve quality control measures. Millipore ultrapure water was used for procedural blanks. The procedural, spiked and spiked sample blanks were measured in duplicate after the measurements of every 10 actual samples to assess the measurement accuracy and reproducibility. Recoveries of the ions were 95.5%–102.2% (±5%). Multi-component reference material (1643d; NIST SRM; Thermo Fisher Scientific, USA), ammonium standard (Certipur; 119812; Merck; Germany) and IC multi-element standard V CertipurÒ (Merck; Germany) were used as standard/stock solutions for the cations and anions analyses. The limits of detection (LODs) of the target ions were 0.0023, 0.0042, 0.0161, 0.0039, 0.019, 0.014, 0.066, 0.005, 0.031, 0.004, 0.002 and 0.002 mg/L for F, Cl, NO 3, + 2+ + 2+ 3 + SO2 4 , PO4 , Br , Na , Mg , K , Ca , Fe and NH4, respectively. Analytical accuracy of the samples was ensured using the ion charge balance which was within the standard limit of ±5% for all samples. 2.5. Source appointments by chemometric analysis Considering the non-normal nature with outliers and extreme values of the groundwater facies, the Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test was performed to appraise the significance of seasonal variances. The study employed several multivariate chemometric approaches such as correlation coefficients (r), Principal Component Analysis– Multilinear Regression (PCA-MLR) and Q-mode and R-mode Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering Analysis (AHCA, using Ward’s linkage method, Euclidean distance and dendrogram) to identify the interrelationship among the hydrochemical facies and their hypothetical sources (Wu et al., 2014, 2020; Li et al., 2021a; Ren et al., 2021). Before multivariate analysis, the normality of all the facies was examined using Kolmogorov-Smirnov’s nor- 2.2. Field sampling and in-situ analysis For this study, 1000 groundwater samples (Nsample = 500 2) were collected in new and pre-cleaned high-density polyethylene (HDPE) sterile containers from 500 distinct wells (Nwell = 500) in the pre-monsoon (PRM) and post-monsoon (POM) periods of 2017–2018 (Fig. 1a). Prior to sample collection, the stagnant water was pumped out from each well until the field parameters were stabilized. The samples were sifted using a 0.45 lm Millipore filter and collected in triplicate to analyze nitrate (NO 3 ), nitrite (NO2 ), 4 Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Table 1 Physico-chemical parameters of groundwater of the study area. Parameter Unit Temperature pH °C – Electrical Conductivity (EC) Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) Total Hardness (TH) lS/ – 6.5– 8.5 – cm mg/L 500 mg/L 150 Calcium (Ca ) mg/L 300 Magnesium (Mg2+) mg/L 100 Sodium (Na+) 2+ mg/L 200 + Potassium (K ) mg/L 10 Total iron (Fe) mg/L 0.30 Carbonate (CO2 3 ) mg/L – mg/L 200 Chloride (Cl ) mg/L 200 Sulfate (SO2 4 ) mg/L 250 Fluoride (F) Bicarbonate (HCO 3) mg/L 1.00 (NO 3) mg/L 45.0 Nitrite (NO 2) mg/L 3.00 Ammonium (NH+4) mg/L – mg/L – Bromide (Br ) mg/L – Silica (SiO2) mg/L – Nitrate Phosphate (PO3 4 ) y MAC PRM Best fitted statistical distributiony POM Range Mean ± SD % SEMAC* Range Mean ± SD % SEMAC* 26.0–35.6 6.49–8.65 30.9 ± 2.32 7.73 ± 0.34 61.56– 5438 38.8– 3427 2.80– 1300 12.0– 455.0 1.00– 87.48 1.20– 690.0 0.30– 140.1 BDL to 16.0 BDL to 36.0 24.4– 1141 3.40– 1311 BDL to 186.7 0.10– 18.25 BDL to 435.0 BDL to 14.92 BDL to 9.78 BDL to 54.75 BDL to 91.50 BDL to 48.00 – 0.20 18.7–31.0 6.49–8.45 20.5 ± 1.18 7.74 ± 0.34 723.7 ± 582.8 – 456.0 ± 367.2 25.8 236.0 ± 156.0 62.2 55.40– 6961 35.7– 4386 4.31– 1426 8.00– 440.0 3.15– 77.60 4.33– 578.0 0.40– 171.8 BDL to 17.6 BDL-48.0 62.59 ± 50.15 1.00 17.32 ± 12.45 0.00 66.04 ± 73.67 5.20 11.25 ± 23.21 27.6 0.88 ± 1.78 52.6 2.62 ± 7.59 – 235.9 ± 122.5 58.8 112.5 ± 145.8 13.8 15.60 ± 21.30 0.00 1.19 ± 2.03 25.6 29.72 ± 40.95 16.6 0.29 ± 0.21 0.00 0.28 ± 0.16 – 2.67 ± 1.84 – 1.63 ± 5.47 – 12.58 ± 10.33 – 30.5– 1305 1.55– 911.7 BDL to 216 0.03– 16.50 BDL to 486.7 BDL to 16.76 BDL to 13.17 BDL to 72.0 BDL to 78.13 BDL to 48.00 Type Parameter(s) – 0.00 Lognormal Weibull meanlog ± sdlog = 3.37 ± 1.1 Shape = 26.12, Scale = 7.89 872.9 ± 793.0 – Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 6.38 ± 0.61 676.0 ± 299.6 52.6 Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 5.92 ± 0.61 245.9 ± 115.1 71.6 Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 5.29 ± 0.60 68.99 ± 38.07 1.00 Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 3.99 ± 0.66 18.14 ± 10.39 0.00 Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 2.63 ± 0.69 70.52 ± 71.49 5.40 Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 3.82 ± 0.83 15.73 ± 24.21 43.2 Weibull Shape = 0.713, scale = 8.456 0.65 ± 0.47 38.0 Logistic Location = 0.57, scale = 0.58 7.15 ± 20.2 – Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 0.96 ± 0.02 288.7 ± 188.5 64.2 Logistic Location = 227.1,scale = 61.9 133.1 ± 153.7 18.2 Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 4.10 ± 1.16 Logistic Location = 11.68,scale = 9.12 20.93 ± 24.75 0.00 1.02 ± 0.87 23.4 Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 1.19 ± 0.95 15.60 ± 21.27 24.0 Logistic Location = 14.79,scale = 13.6 0.38 ± 0.25 0.00 Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 0.09 ± 0.21 0.43 ± 0.29 – Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 0.15 ± 0.25 5.86 ± 2.24 – Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 0.56 ± 0.54 1.28 ± 4.26 – Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 0.49 ± 1.70 10.28 ± 9.97 – Lognormal meanlog ± sdlog = 2.33 ± 2.29 * MAC: Maximum Admissible Limit based on BIS (2012) and WHO (2017). Evaluated based on the GoF statistics on the average values. the kth source of the ith parameter, and Skj denotes the influence degree of the kth source on the jth sample (Balamurugan et al., 2020c; Feng et al., 2020). The parameter with greater loading possesses more importance in the particular component irrespective of the sign. The component loadings were characterized as strong, moderate and weak corresponding to their absolute loading values of >0.75, 0.75–0.50 and 0.50–0.30, respectively. The MLR was performed based on the obtained component scores to evaluate the %contribution of each groundwater contamination source (%Ci). The analysis was set up by considering the total standardized concentration Cij of ith groundwater facies in the jth sample (Ci) as the dependent parameter and Skj as the independent parameter, as expressed by Eqs. (2) and (3). mality test (K-S test). As the groundwater facies defied the assumption of normality, the study analyzed correlations among the parameters using nonparametric statistics using the ‘corx’ package in R-platform. The initial datasets for PCA were standardized through transformation to reduce the influence of high values and different units among the parameters and obtain their normal distributions. The datasets were tested for appropriateness of applying PCA using the Kaiser Meyer Olkin (KMO) test of sample adequacy with cutoff greater than 0.5 and Bartlett’s test of sphericity at q 0.05. The physicochemical parameters which had attained the appropriateness tests were considered for further analysis after performing communality checks, and the parameters with communality 0.5). The principal components (PCs) were extracted from the scree plot based on an eigenvalue >1 and adjusted by orthogonal varimax rotation to attain rationalized rotated components. The PCs are the linear combination of the input parameters, as expressed by Eq. (1). C ij ¼ X aik Skj Cj ¼ X Bk Skj ð2Þ C ij ð3Þ k Cj ¼ X i ð1Þ k Where Bk is the coefficient of the regression for the ith factor which represents the overall contribution rate of kth contamination source to the entire survey region. The Bk values were obtained by the fit- Where Cij denotes the z-score standard concentration of the ith parameter of the jth sample, aik denotes the influence degree of 5 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 ting linear regression in R-platform and the %Ci values were calculated by Eq. (4) (Wu et al., 2020; Haghnazar et al., 2022). X %C i ¼ Bk = Bk 100 divided into four groups according to age, namely adults (>21 yr), teenagers (11–21 yr), children (1–10 years) and infants (<1 yr). The characterization of the health hazards was performed by measuring the Chronic Daily Intake (CDI) of nitrate and fluoride-based on Eq. (11), and comparing them with their respective threshold limits/reference doses (RfD), which is demonstrated as the hazard quotient (HQ) (Eq. (12)). Furthermore, the overall non-carcinogenic risks of F and NO 3 is evaluated by the hazard index (HI), as expressed by Eq. (13) (Wu and Sun, 2016; He et al., 2019; Li et al., 2021b; Wang et al., 2021; Wei et al., 2021). ð4Þ Furthermore, the parameters were standardized using z-scores before performing the AHCA. The study had employed R-mode AHCA to obtain the optimal groups of parameters and Q-mode AHCA to obtain the optimal groups of the samples with analogous and heterologous characteristics. Moreover, a dendrogram was constructed for a visual representation of the analysis. The aptness tests of the datasets for PCA, PCA and AHCA were conducted using the ‘psych’ and ‘cluster’ packages in R software. 8 < CDIF ¼ ðCF IREFEDÞ : CDI NO3 2.6. Spatio-seasonal analysis 8 < NO 3 ¼ ðBWATÞ ðCNO 3 ð11Þ IREFEDÞ ðBWATÞ CDIF HQ F ¼ RfD F ð12Þ The spatial variances of F and in groundwater systems were evaluated based on the cokriging method wherein several correlated auxiliary parameters can jointly estimate the geospatial variability of a primary parameter. To surpass the prediction accuracy over the traditional kriging techniques, the cokriging contemplates the geospatial auto-correlation of the primary parameter and the spatial cross-correlation between the primary parameter and the better sampled auxiliary parameters (up to three). This method can accurately estimate a parameter even at the regions with poor data coverage. The kriging method estimates a parameter at an unmeasured location based on Eqs. (5)–(7) (Xie et al., 2018; Murugesan et al., 2020; Smith et al., 2020). The variables to determine the CDIs and HQs are explained in Tables 1 and 2. When the estimated HQs or HI values are > unity, the noncarcinogenic risks to public health are significant (USEPA, 1989). The health risks analyses were performed based on the Monte Carlo method in R-platform (‘EnvStats’ package) with 50,000 iterations and the LHS technique where the statistical distribution pattern of F and NO 3 levels were evaluated using the GoF statistics. n X Z 0 xp ¼ ki Z ðxi Þ ð5Þ 2.8. Sobol sensitivity analysis ki cðxi ; yj Þ l ¼ cðxi ; xÞ ð6Þ Sobol indices is a variance decomposition-based approach to perform the global sensitivity analysis of a model with n input parameters (Sobol, 2001; Saltelli et al., 2010), as expressed by Eq. (14). ki ¼ 1 ð7Þ : HQ NO 3 CDINO ¼ RfDNO3 3 HI ¼ HQ NO3 þ HQ F ð13Þ i¼1 n X i¼1 n X y ¼ f ðxÞ ¼ ðx1 ; x2 ; x3 ; ::::; xn Þ 2 Rn i¼1 The overall variance of the model output V(y) can be expressed by Eq. (15) where Vi represents the variance of the ith parameter (Eq. (16)), Vij represents the partial variance of ith and jth parameters (Eq. (17)). Where Z’(xp) and Z(xi) are the estimated (kriged) and measured values of a parameter at locations xp and xi, respectively; ki is the associated weight; l is the Lagrange multiplier; c(xi, xj) is the variogram of a vector with origin and extremity at xi and xj, respectively. However, cokriging estimates a parameter based on Eqs. (5), (8) and (9), where u and v are the primary and auxiliary parameters, respectively (Cellmer and Zrobek, 2017). nm v X X kim cmv ðxi ; xj Þ lv ¼ cuv ðxj ; xÞ VðyÞ ¼ kim ¼ i¼1 1; when m ¼ u 0; when m–u ð8Þ ð9Þ cuv ðhÞ ¼ 1 2NðhÞ ðm1 XÞ m X i¼1 j¼ðiþ1Þ V ij þ ::: þ V 1:::m ð15Þ V i ¼ V xi Exi ðyjxi Þ ð16Þ h i V ij ¼ V xij Exij yjxi ; xj V i V j ð17Þ 1¼ ½Z u ðxi Þ Z u ðxi þ hÞ½Z v ðxi Þ Z v ðxi þ hÞ Vi þ The Eq. (15) can be normalized as Eq. (18) where each term represents the variance up to the mth order and are called Sensitivity Indices (SIs), xi represents all parameters of the parameter-space except xi. V xi Exi ðyjxi Þ denotes the variance of the expected value of y conditional on the values of all input parameters of the parameter space except xi. Before performing the cokriging analysis, cross semivariograms were determined based on Eq. (10). The geostatistical analysis was accomplished using ArcGIS software (v10.5) based on the ordinary cokriging method and the results were crossvalidated. NðhÞ X n X i¼1 m¼1 i¼1 nm X ð14Þ ð10Þ n X i¼1 i¼1 V i =VðyÞ þ ðm1Þ X m X i¼1 j¼ðiþ1Þ V ij =V ðyÞ þ ::: þ V 1:::m =V ðyÞ ð18Þ The variance contribution of the individual parameter of the model is represented by the first term of Eq. (18) and is known as the firstorder sensitivity index (FOSI) of the ith variable. The influence of the interaction between the ith and jth variables (xi and xj) on the overall output variance is represented by the second term of Eq. (18), also known as the second-order sensitivity index (SOSI). The overall 2.7. Non-carcinogenic human health risks The probable non-cancer health risks of F and NO 3 due to direct ingestion of groundwater was evaluated for the inhabitants 6 Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Table 2 Exposure risks assessment input parameters for Monte Carlo Simulations and estimated risk levels associated with groundwater fluoride and nitrate. Population Simulation parameters Scenario CDI (mg/kg-bw/d) HQ HI Name Description Unit Distribution Value Nitrate Fluoride Nitrate Fluoride Infants IR EF ED BW AT Ingestion rate Exposure frequency Exposure duration Body weight Average time L/d d/yr yr kg d Lognormal Triangular Fixed Lognormal Fixed 0.61 ± 0.27 Min: 180, max: 364, mode: 345 1 7.04 ± 1.49 365 Minimum Average 50th %ile 95th %ile Maximum 0.794 1.720 1.630 4.640 13.99 0.006 0.138 0.102 0.374 0.398 0.50 1.08 1.02 2.90 8.74 0.10 2.30 1.70 6.23 6.63 0.60 3.38 2.72 9.13 15.4 Children IR EF ED BW AT Ingestion rate Exposure frequency Exposure duration Body weight Average time L/d d/yr yr kg d Lognormal Triangular Fixed Lognormal Fixed 1.25 ± 0.57 Min: 180, max: 364, mode: 345 6 16.68 ± 1.48 2190 Minimum Average 50th %ile 95th %ile Maximum 0.432 1.443 1.254 2.785 9.900 0.002 0.118 0.096 0.216 0.254 0.27 0.90 0.78 1.74 6.19 0.03 1.97 1.60 3.60 4.23 0.30 2.87 2.38 5.34 10.4 Teens IR EF ED BW AT Ingestion rate Exposure frequency Exposure duration Body weight Average time L/d d/yr yr kg d Lognormal Triangular Fixed Lognormal Fixed 1.58 ± 0.69 Min: 180, max: 364, mode: 345 6 46.25 ± 1.18 2190 Minimum Average 50th %ile 95th %ile Maximum 0.189 0.428 0.357 1.802 6.668 0.001 0.061 0.052 0.169 0.193 0.12 0.27 0.22 1.13 4.17 0.02 1.02 0.87 2.82 3.22 0.13 1.28 1.09 3.94 7.38 Adults IR EF ED BW AT Ingestion rate Exposure frequency Exposure duration Body weight Average time L/d d/yr yr kg dy Lognormal Triangular Fixed Lognormal Fixed 1.95 ± 0.64 Min: 180, max: 364, mode: 345 6 57.03 ± 1.10 9125 Minimum Average 50th %ile 95th %ile Maximum 0.075 0.377 0.338 1.517 5.440 0.001 0.033 0.025 0.099 0.124 0.05 0.24 0.21 0.95 3.40 0.02 0.55 0.42 1.65 2.07 0.06 0.79 0.63 2.60 5.47 influence of the ith parameter on V(y) is termed as the total-order sensitivity index (TOSI) and is represented by Eq. (19). Ex i ½V ðyjx i Þ VðyÞ V x i Ex i ðyjx i Þ ¼ VðyÞ VðyÞ V x i Ex i ðyjx i Þ ¼1 VðyÞ About 1.20% of PRM samples and none of the POM samples were plunged into the Cl-Na+ zone signifying the influence of potential evaporation on the groundwater systems of the study area or signifying a longer residence time. About 5.6% and 5.8% of + samples were plunged into the HCO 3 -Na zone during the preand post-monsoon periods which might be associated with the base ion exchange phenomena. About 24.6% of PRM and 32.4% of POM samples were plunged into the mixed water-type zone (Cl2+ 2+ + 2+ SO2 and HCO 4 -Mg -Ca 3 -Na -Ca ), indicating the effects of chemical weathering processes/rock-water interactions, ion exchange/reverse ion exchange and human-induced activities. POM samples plotted in these zones also indicates recently recharged water during the monsoon period. The diagrams also revealed that the alkali elements such as Na+ and K+ surpassed alkaline earth elements such as Ca2+ and Mg2+ in 83.2% of PRM samples and 85.6% of POM samples whereas the weak acids such as CO2 and HCO and 3 3 surpassed the strong acids such as Cl 2 SO4 in 79.0% of PRM samples and 69.0% of POM samples. TOSI ¼ ð19Þ SI >0.1, 0.1–0.01 and <0.01 indicate highly sensitive, moderately sensitive and insensitive parameters or interaction between the parameters. The sensitivity analysis was conducted on the Python platform (v3.9) with SciPy (v1.6.3) and SALib (v1.3.13) libraries. 3. Results and discussion 3.1. Characterization of groundwater facies The seasonal concentrations of the groundwater facies exhibited wide and significant variations suggesting that the hydrogeochemistry is heterogeneous and controlled by different processes (Table 1). Nevertheless, the groundwater of the survey area is found to be largely palatable and near-neutral to weakly alkaline, although shallow groundwater at certain places showed orangebrown slime with a bad odor and taste due to the presence of iron bacteria. The cations composition of groundwater is dominated by Ca2+ followed by Na+ and Mg2+ whereas the HCO 3 is the most abundant anion followed by Cl and SO2 during both seasons. 4 The samples are mainly freshwater to brackish water and soft to moderately hard (Supplementary Data Fig. S1). Piper’s diagram (Piper, 1944) was adopted to determine the overall characteristics of the groundwater systems (Fig. 2a, b). Approximately 68.0% PRM and 60.2% POM samples fall in the zone 2+ 2+ of HCO type indicating the supremacy of HCO type 3 -Ca 3 -Ca groundwater across the study area, primarily in the shallow aquifers. Percolated meteoric groundwater usually contains high proportions of calcium and bicarbonate contents whereas many hidden faults, fractures and lineaments are located throughout the survey region, particularly in the granitic-gneissic aquifers of the geothermal area (Mukherjee and Singh, 2018a, b). Thus, the predominance of Ca2+-HCO 3 type groundwater in deep aquifers implies mixing of percolated meteoric groundwater with deep circulating groundwater with a long rock-water interaction time. 3.2. Cooccurrences of nitrate and fluoride Cooccurrences of nitrate and fluoride in groundwater systems of the survey area have been depicted using the cokriging method (Fig. 1), based on the correlation matrix described in Supplementary Data Table S1. The concentration of nitrate was Below Detection Limit (BDL) in 15.2% of PRM samples and 14.7% of POM samples, where the fluoride concentration of these samples was less than the required minimum level of fluoride in potable water (>BDL and 0.5 mg/L) to prevent dental decay. The samples were classified as Ca2+-HCO 3 water type, representing deep confined aquifers. Fluoride and nitrate cooccurred in the remaining samples during both seasons. Fluoride was recurrently detected at <0.5 mg/ L in 55.8% of wells majorly representing groundwater of Ca2+-HCO 3 type where nitrate concentration varied within BDL and MAC. Co-occurrences of fluoride and nitrate had exceeded their preintervention limits defined by BIS in 16.6% of PRM samples and 21.0% of POM samples where the highest nitrate concentration was detected in a shallow alluvium aquifer of agriculture LULC type and the highest fluoride level was detected in the deep alluvium aquifer overlain by a laterite/lateritic layer. Elevated nitrate levels were detected significantly in shallow wells of the agricultural 7 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 Fig. 2. (a) major groundwater facies during PRM based on Piper’s diagram, (b) major groundwater facies during POM based on Piper’s diagram, (c) dendrogram of the R-mode AHCA for the PRM dataset, (d) dendrogram of the R-mode AHCA for the POM dataset, (e) dendrogram of the Q-mode AHCA during PRM dataset, and (f) dendrogram of the Qmode AHCA during POM dataset. regions of the survey area, and fluoride concentrations of >2.5 mg/L were detected in the deep fractured granitic-gneiss parts of the study area (Fig. 1d, e). Based on the groundwater facies, groundwater of Na+-HCO 3 type exhibited fluoride concentration >10 mg/L whereas it was within 2.5–10 mg/L in groundwater of Na+-Cl and mixed water types and BDL–3.8 mg/L in groundwater Ca2+2+ 2 HCO 3 and Ca -Cl -SO4 water types. On the other hand, a higher nitrate level (>45 mg/L) was detected in groundwater other than Ca2+-HCO 3 water-type. 3.3. PCA-MLR Before carrying out the PCA-MLR, the aptness tests for PCA were conducted on the PRM and POM datasets to appraise the sphericity 8 Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh and sampling adequacy. The q-value of Bartlett’s sphericity test on the PRM and POM datasets were almost zero (q < 0.05) signifying that the PCs are mutually independent and the physicochemical parameters exhibited adequate correlations to evaluate the component loadings. Moreover, the values of the KMO test for the PRM and POM datasets were 0.73 and 0.72 (>0.65, 1) indicating that the samples were adequate to conduct PCA-MLR. CO2 and 3 temperature exhibited communality < 0.5. Therefore, both parameters were discarded from further analysis (Table 3) and the PCAMLR was performed based on nineteen hydrogeochemical observations (Nparam = 19) of 500 groundwater samples each season (Nprmsample = Npom-sample = 500). Based on the Scree plots, the first four PCs (PC1 to PC4) were extracted as they exhibited an eigenvalue > 1 for both seasonal datasets (Supplementary Data Fig. S2) and cumulatively explained 78.33% and 79.25% of the total variances of the PRM and POM datasets (Table 3). PC1 has explained about 45.7% and 51.4% of the total variances of the PRM and POM datasets, respectively and is predominantly weighted by TH, TDS, Na+, Ca2+, Mg2+, F and HCO 3 , and moderately weighted by SiO2, Cl, pH, SO2 4 and Fe during both the seasons. This describes the ionic strength resulting from the rock– water interactions, dissolution and weathering of silicate and carbonate minerals and evaporites. This further indicates that weathering of minerals is a prominent process in regulating the hydrogeochemistry of the survey region. The soils of the survey region are moderately reactive. Therefore, a greater positive component loading for HCO 3 in the post-monsoon period indicates the interactions of meteoric water with soils during in-filtration and the recharge of the groundwater systems with meteoric water. PC2 has explained about 18.8% and 20.6% of the total variances during the pre- and post-monsoon periods. The component has + exhibited moderate to strong positive loadings of PO3 4 , Br , K , 2 Cl , NO3 , Eh and SO4 , and positive loading with F , NO2 and NH+4 which suggest that the anthropogenic activities (e.g., excessive use of pesticides and fertilizers, domestic and septic tank effluent, livestock waste and inappropriate sanitation practices) have influenced the hydrogeochemistry of groundwater. PC1 (representing weathering of minerals) and PC2 (representing anthropogenic influences) have both exhibited significant positive loading of K+, indicating that the occurrence of K+ in groundwater is associated with the anthropogenic sources and dissolution/weathering of muscovite and feldspar present in the granite rocks. PC3 has explained about 7.26% and 5.05% of the total variances during PRM and POM seasons. The component showed positive loadings for pH, K+, Na+, F and HCO 3 and weak negative loadings for TH, SiO2, Ca2+ and Mg2+ signifying that the reverse cation exchange reactions also govern the solute acquisition of these ions. The positive loading for F as well as pH, Na+ and HCO 3 and negative loading for Ca2+ reveal the aqueous geochemistry of calcite+ fluorite. The positive correlation of F with pH, HCO 3 and Na , 2+ and negative correlation of F with Ca also explain the same phenomena (Supplementary Data Table S1). PC4 has explained 6.57% and 2.20% of the total variability during the pre- and postmonsoon seasons. The component loadings of Cl and F on PC4 are positive and significant and the loadings were relatively higher in the pre-monsoon period than in the post-monsoon period and the positive correlations of F with Cl indicate the influence of evaporation on shallow groundwater and mixing of brackish shallow water with deep groundwater of the survey region. The MLR analysis revealed the minerals dissolution and weathering as the key sources of groundwater facies accounting for 64% and 65.7% of the overall contribution during the pre- and post-monsoon periods, respectively whereas the anthropogenic sources viz. pesticides, fertilizers, domestic and septic tank effluent, livestock waste and inappropriate sanitation practices accounted for 23.5% and 26.3% of the overall contribution. In addition, the ion-exchange/reverse ion-exchange reactions, and evaporation/mixing phenomena accounted for 6.8% and 5.7% of the overall contribution during the PRM season and 5.1% and 2.9% of the overall contribution during the POM season. 3.4. Source appointments by AHCA 3.4.1. R-mode AHCA The study considered 21 parameters, namely EC, TDS, pH, Eh, 2 3 TH, Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, K+, Fe, NH+4, CO2 3 , HCO3 , SO4 , Cl , PO4 , F , NO3 , NO2 , Br and SiO2 of the seasonal datasets for R-mode HCA. The Dendrograms (Fig. 2c, d) exhibited three major clusters during the pre- and post-monsoon periods, respectively. The first cluster (RC1) showed associations among pH, Eh, EC, TDS, Na+, CO2 3 , SO2 4 , HCO3 , Cl , Fe, SiO2 and F indicating the influence of the geogenic anomalies, especially minerals weathering to control the hydrochemical compositions of groundwater. These parameters have significantly contributed to the groundwater TDS. This cluster Table 3 Varimax rotation component matrix of the parameters during the PRM and POM seasons. Parameter PRM Communality pH 0.684 Eh 0.568 TDS 0.968 TH 0.896 Ca2+ 0.805 2+ Mg 0.692 Na+ 0.724 + K 0.578 NH+4 0.634 HCO 0.758 3 Cl 0.591 NO 0.538 3 2 SO4 0.645 F 0.797 3 PO4 0.563 Br 0.508 NO 0.543 2 SiO2 0.762 Fe 0.553 Eigen value Variance (%) POM Validation PC1 PC2 PC3 PC4 Communality Validation PC1 PC2 PC3 PC4 KMO = 0.73, Bartlett’s test: chi– sq = 2013.5, q = 0, df = 59 0.504 0.278 0.978 0.838 0.764 0.602 0.756 0.292 –0.02 0.797 0.513 –0.09 0.632 0.754 0.206 0.415 –0.01 0.506 0.611 5.725 45.70 0.220 0.570 0.182 0.170 0.101 0.080 –0.09 0.405 0.322 0.042 0.521 0.709 0.532 0.224 0.520 0.501 0.356 –0.16 0.211 1.665 18.80 0.164 0.027 0.027 –0.12 –0.20 –0.16 0.118 0.112 –0.01 0.139 0.004 –0.01 0.023 0.103 0.033 –0.06 –0.03 –0.21 –0.33 1.136 7.26 –0.19 0.020 0.100 0.052 0.071 –0.01 0.013 –0.01 0.009 0.053 0.182 0.004 0.001 0.118 –0.02 0.003 –0.06 0.007 0.030 1.038 6.57 0.760 0.298 0.988 0.875 0.837 0.704 0.721 0.614 0.664 0.728 0.714 0.639 0.582 0.704 0.602 0.583 0.668 0.686 0.615 Eigen value Variance (%) KMO = 0.72, Bartlett’s test: chi– sq = 3122.8, q = 0, df = 59 0.517 0.172 0.981 0.925 0.871 0.789 0.812 0.270 0.004 0.811 0.517 0.032 0.527 0.756 –0.22 0.027 –0.02 0.551 0.605 5.878 51.40 –0.22 0.553 0.087 0.165 0.021 0.154 –0.06 0.522 0.431 0.085 0.509 0.745 0.504 0.243 0.512 0.525 0.214 –0.01 0.252 1.654 20.60 0.149 –0.02 0.105 –0.15 –0.18 –0.11 0.159 0.137 0.054 0.133 0.101 0.031 –0.21 0.109 –0.31 0.007 0.001 –0.12 0.047 1.225 5.05 0.001 –0.03 –0.01 0.01 –0.07 0.015 0.045 –0.31 –0.03 0.113 0.001 0.018 0.071 0.104 –0.05 0.070 0.087 –0.08 0.050 1.003 2.20 9 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 reveals that fluoride reported in the groundwater of the survey area is primarily of geogenic origin. The second cluster (RC2) is associated with TH, Ca2+ and Mg2+ and indicates that the groundwater hardness is governed by the mineral dissolution process. + + The third cluster (RC3) comprises PO3 4 , Br , K , NH4, NO3 and NO 2 and indicates the influences of the anthropogenic anomalies and nitrification processes. ð20Þ KMg3 ðAlSi3 O10 ÞF2 þ2OH ! KMg3 ðAlSi3 O10 ÞðOHÞ2 þ2F ð21Þ CaF2 þ2OH ðfluoriteÞ ð22Þ ðmuscoviteÞ ðphlogopiteÞ ! CaðOHÞ2 þ 2F dissolution CaF2 þ 2HCO3 ! ðhostrockÞ ðgroundwaterÞ CaCO3 # þ2F þ CO2 þ H2 O ð24Þ ðgroundwaterÞ ðgroundwaterÞ hydrolysis ! 1:5Al2 Si2 O5 ðOHÞ4 þKþ þ 2F þ HCO3 ð25Þ ðkaoliniteÞ NaMg3 AlSi3 O10 ðOH; FÞ2 þ7CO2 þ 7:5H2 O ðbiotiteÞ hydrolysis ! 0:5Al2 Si2 O5 ðOHÞ4 þNaþ þ 3Mg2þ þ 2F ðkaoliniteÞ þ 2H4 SiO4 þ7HCO3 ðorthosilicic - acidÞ ð26Þ Moreover, positive correlations of F with NO 3 indicate an influence of anthropogenic activities, especially intensive use of phosphate fertilizers in the agricultural field, in enriching the concentrations of F and NO 3 (Table 3). During reverse cation exchange, calcium and magnesium of groundwater replace sodium and potassium of the mineral matrix. As a result, it demotes the concentrations of calcium and magnesium in groundwater with the simultaneous dissolution of Na+, K+ and F. Therefore, positive correlations of F with rNa+/rCa2+ (rprm = 0.23; rpom = 0.26), rNa+/rMg2+ (rprm = 0.11; rpom = 0.10) and (rNa+ – 0.65rCl)/(rCa2+ + rMg2+) (rprm = 0.28; rpom = 0.21) indicate enrichment of fluoride in groundwater also through the reverse cation exchange mechanism where r indicates measurements in meq/L (Xiao et al., 2021). The significantly higher positive correlations between F and Cl during the pre-monsoon period (r = 0.13) compared to the post-monsoon period (r = 0.11) indicates the effects of evaporation also responsible for fluoride and nitrate enrichment in groundwater. The occurrence of nitrate in groundwater systems is usually considered an anthropogenic indicator. About 66.4%–85.2% of samples exhibited nitrate concentration > 3 mg/L signifying the influences of different anthropogenic sources on groundwater systems of the study area. A significant positive correlation of NO 3 with Cl during both seasons indicates the effects of domestic wastewater infiltration and septic tank leakage to enrich the concentrations of nitrate and chloride in groundwater (Table 3). NO 3 has also exhibited positive correlations with K+ and Ca2+ implying the excessive usage of inorganic and organic fertilizers as pollution sources of nitrate, whereas it has displayed a negative correlation + with NO 2 and positive correlation with NH4 indicating contribution of nitrification and denitrification process to control its enrichment. Fluoride levels in groundwater are controlled by the lithology and climatic condition of an area including weathering of the host rocks, anion and cation exchange processes, residence time and evaporation. The lithology data of the sampled wells indicate the presence of fluorite, and different micas such as biotite and muscovite in the aquifer systems. A positive correlation of fluoride with pH indicates (rprm = 0.32; rpom = 0.28) the mobilization of F from these minerals with hydroxyl ion (OH) in an alkaline environment as indicated by Eqs. (20)–(22) (Mukherjee and Singh, 2018c). ðphlogopiteÞ ð23Þ ðmuscviteÞ 3.5. Nitrate and fluoride contamination circumstances ðbiotiteÞ CaCO3 # þ2F KAl3 Si3 O10 ðOH; FÞ2 þCO2 þ 2:5H2 O 3.4.2. Q-mode HCA The study has excluded the physicochemical parameters which exhibited poor correlations with other parameters and performed the Q-mode HCA based on the parameters TH, TDS, Na+, K+, Ca2+, 2 Mg2+, HCO 3 , Cl , SO4 and NO3 of 500 samples for both seasons. The dendrogram indicated five prominent clusters of the samples (Fig. 2e, f). The first cluster (QC1) consists of 57.0% of PRM and 58.2% of POM samples and represented relatively a less contaminated cluster, whereas the second cluster (QC2) contains 7.2% of PRM and 16.8% of POM samples, the third cluster (QC3) contains 22.6% of PRM and 19.2% of POM samples, the fourth cluster (QC4) contains 3.8% of PRM and 0.2% of POM samples and the fifth cluster (QC5) contains 9.4% of PRM and 5.6% of POM samples. QC2, QC3, QC4 and QC5 indicated low, moderate, high and very high contamination of groundwater concerning fluoride, nitrate and TDS. KMg3 ðAlSi3 O10 ÞF2 þ2OH ! KMg3 ðAlSi3 O10 ÞðOHÞ2 þ2F dissolution CaF2 þ CO3 2 ! ðhostrockÞ ðgroundwaterÞ 3.6. Health risks assessment The health hazards associated with the direct consumption of contaminated groundwater concerning fluoride and nitrate became a vital issue in the arid/semi-arid segments of India (Mukherjee et al., 2021). The analytical results revealed the ele vated levels of NO 3 and F in the groundwater of the survey area at places. As health morbidities associated with NO in 3 and F potable water are chronic, the study considered the average value of both seasons in each sampling location to perform the GoF analysis which indicated logistic and lognormal distributions to better describe the variability of NO 3 and F concentrations in groundwater of the survey area, respectively (Table 1). Based on the Monte Carlo simulations, populations of each age group intake higher nitrate on a daily basis, compared to fluoride under the minimum, maximum, average and 95th-% exposure conditions (Table 2). The HQ values of nitrate and fluoride exposures indicate greater noncarcinogenic health risks to the infant and child populations which reduce with increasing age (infant > child > teen > adult) under all exposure conditions (Table 2). The results further indicate that HQ for fluoride was greater than unity for infant, child and teen-age groups under the average, 95th-% and maximum exposure scenarios whereas it was > 1 for the adult age group under the 95th-% and maximum exposure scenario. On the other hand, HQ values for nitrate exceeded unity for infants under the mean, 95th-% and maximum, for children and teens under the 95th-% and maximum, and adults under the maximum exposure conditions, implying infants and children of the survey area are at potential risk of dental and skeletal fluorosis Fluoride also exhibited significant positive correlations with Na+ (rprm = 0.58; rpom = 0.41), K+ (rprm = 0.12; rpom = 0.11) and HCO 3 (rprm = 0.57; rpom = 0.55), and a negative correlation with Ca2+ (rprm = 0.15; rpom = 0.38) indicating rock-water interaction mechanisms such as weathering of fluoride-containing minerals and hydrolysis to enrich the fluoride levels in groundwater as indicated by Eqs. (23)–(26). 10 Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Fig. 3. (a) FOSI and TOSI of the exposure models for infants, (b) FOSI and TOSI of the exposure models for children, (c) FOSI and TOSI of the exposure models for teens, (d) FOSI and TOSI of the exposure models for adults, and (e) SOSI of the exposure models. approach (represents only the average scenario), for the residents of Dali county (Li et al., 2021b), Wuqi County (He and Wu, 2019; He et al., 2019), Guanzhong Plain (Wu and Sun, 2016; Zhang et al., 2018) and Hancheng City (Ji et al., 2020) of the Shaanxi Province in China, Yercaud of the Salem District (Balamurugan et al., 2020b; Panneerselvam et al., 2021), Sulur taluk of the Coimbatore district (Karunanidhi et al., 2021) of Tamil Nadu in India, Showt city of the West Azerbaijan province in Iran (Yousefi et al., 2019) and Lower Volta River Basin of Ghana (Egbi et al., 2020). These studies also reported greater non-cancer risks of groundwater fluoride and/or nitrate on the minor age groups (10 yr) compared to and the infants are considerably susceptible to methemoglobinemia due to consumption of untreated groundwater. In the probabilistic health risks assessment, 50th-% and 95th-% statistics represent the typical individual and the conceivable worst-case exposure scenarios. Considering the total HI values, infants, children and teens are vulnerable under both exposure scenarios and the adult population is vulnerable under the worst-case exposure conditions to the combined adverse non-carcinogenic effects of nitrate and fluoride. Non-cancer health risks due to exposure to fluoride and/or nitrate in groundwater were assessed, based on the deterministic 11 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 the monsoon recharge (Fig. 1). Therefore, groundwater quality of certain regions of the survey area can be improved through artificial recharge using percolation ponds, check dams and riverbank filtration and rainwater harvesting using percolation tanks and recharge pits. Groundwater recharge through the existing dugwells and rejuvenation of the existing ponds has also been reported as a cost-effective measure to dilute the concentrations of the groundwater contaminants (Mukherjee and Singh, 2018c, 2021b). On the other hand, higher concentrations of the groundwater contaminants were recorded at certain areas during the postmonsoon period than in the pre-monsoon period (Fig. 1). Therefore, treatment techniques such as adsorption or ion exchange, reverse osmosis, electrodialysis, biochemical denitrification and catalytic reduction/denitrification can be adopted to remove the excess fluoride and nitrate from groundwater. Substitution of the groundwater sources with piped water supply systems can be an effective mitigation measure to address the public health issues caused by the harmful waterborne contaminants, specifically fluoride and nitrate for the survey region. To supply safe drinking water to the residents, a comprehensive piped water supply scheme has been commissioned by the groundwater management bodies for the survey region but the coverage is still poor (wbphed.gov.in). the teen and adult age groups. Nonetheless, the results of the present study are consistent with the health risks assessment of NO 3 or F in potable water based on the probabilistic method on the residents of Iranshahr city, Sistan, and the Baluchistan province in Iran (Shalyari et al., 2019), Central Java, Indonesia (Sadler et al., 2016) and Behbahan city, Khuzestan Province, Iran (Badeenezhad et al., 2021). The current study has reported higher exposure of groundwater fluoride and nitrate on the residents compared to the aforementioned studies. 3.7. Sobol sensitivity analysis (SSA) SSA was conducted with a sample size of 1 105 (6 105 model iterations) to recognize the impact of the health risk predictor parameters in the estimation of the non-carcinogenic risks (Fig. 3). It exemplifies the utmost significant parameters that influence the outcomes of the health risk analysis. The FOSIs and TOSIs of the nitrate and fluoride risks assessment for all age groups imply that their concentrations in groundwater are the most influential risk predictor parameter (SI 0.1). IR has also been recognized as an important parameter for fluoride exposure on the inhabitants of all age groups considering TOSI, and in view of FOSI, it is moderately sensitive (SI = 0.1–0.01) for minor age groups and highly sensitive (SI > 0.1) for teen and adult populations. However, IR exhibited moderate to high influence on every population group for nitrate exposure considering FOSI and TOSI, respectively. The sensitivity of EF and BW are moderate for fluoride exposure and insignificant for nitrate exposure on the minor populations considering FOSI, and in view of TOSI, their sensitivities are moderate for both exposures on the minor populations. On the other hand, both the parameters are insensitive on the teen and adult residents considering FOSI of both exposures. EF was found to be moderately sensitive and BW was found to be insensitive in light of TOSI for both the age-groups and exposures. The SOSI which determines the pairwise influence of the parameters on the outcomes of the risk assessment models (Fig. 3), explained that the combination of nitrate and fluoride concentrations in groundwater with IR has significant influences on the exposure risks (SOSI > 0.1) of all populations, whereas the pairwise interactions of contaminant (F and NO 3 ) levels with BW and EF are moderately sensitive for fluoride and nitrate exposures on the minor populations. In addition, the combined sensitivity of C and EF is also moderate for nitrate exposure on the teen and adult populations. The influences of the remaining pairwise parameters are insignificant for both exposures on each population group. 4. Conclusions The residents of this agroeconomic, semi-arid and rural region are extensively dependent on groundwater and are compelled to intake untreated groundwater due to poor socio-economic conditions. The present study employed different chemometric methods to evaluate the sources and influencing factors of groundwater contaminants and appraised the health risks on the inhabitants using the probabilistic approach. The following conclusions have been attained. (i) A greater part of the survey area was identified as endemic to the cooccurrences of elevated NO 3 (>50 mg/L) and F (>1.5 mg/L) in groundwater mainly of mixed, Na+-HCO 3 and Na+-Cl-types, although groundwater of Ca2+-HCO 3type with nitrate 50.0 mg/L and fluoride 2.50 mg/L was prevalent in the PRM and POM periods. Nitrate and fluoride levels exceeded their maximum permissible limits for human consumption in about 23.4%–25.6% and 16.6%–24.0% of samples. Nitrate at higher concentrations was prevalent in the shallow groundwater whereas higher fluoride was prevalent in the shallow, medium and deep groundwater. (ii) The results of the Spearman’s rank correlation, PCA-MLR and AHCA revealed incipient chemical weathering and a semiarid climate followed by reverse-ion exchange and mixing phenomenon to control the hydrogeochemical profile of fluoride, whereas intensive cultivation with high nitrogenous fertilizers and pesticides, domestic and septic tank effluent, livestock waste and inappropriate sanitation practices were identified for NO 3 enrichment. Based on the MLR analysis, the chemical weathering/dissolution of minerals, anthropogenic sources, ion exchange/reverse ion exchange processes and evaporation/mixing processes accounted for 64%–65.7%, 23.5%–26.3%, 5.1%–6.8% and 2.9%–5.7% of the overall contribution for the groundwater contaminants. (iii) Based on the public health risks assessment and cokriging interpolation of fluoride and nitrate, minor populations from approximately 17.88%–23.15% of the total area are susceptible to methemoglobinemia whereas the populations of every age group in about 38.47%–44.45% of the total survey area are susceptible to mild to severe fluorosis (dental and 3.8. Mitigation measures The analysis of the contamination sources and public health risks indicate that the survey region, especially the deteriorated areas require the adoption of sustainable management practices of the groundwater resources in order to improve the groundwater quality and health profile of the residents. Several non-treatment measures such as blending groundwater of poor quality with good quality water, diluting the groundwater contaminants through artificial recharge techniques and rainwater harvesting can be adopted for the survey area. A study conducted by Bhagavan and Raghu (2005) revealed that the construction of check dams was able to reduce the fluoride concentrations in groundwater and improve the public health conditions of the Anantapur District, Andhra Pradesh, India. Gowrisankar et al. (2017) also reported that artificial recharge through the construction of check dams was able to improve the groundwater quality of Krishnagiri District, Tamil Nadu State, India. The spatio-seasonal variations of fluoride indicated lower fluoride levels during the post-monsoon period at a few places of the study area due to the dilution effects during 12 Geoscience Frontiers 13 (2022) 101365 I. Mukherjee and Umesh Kumar Singh skeletal) due to intake of untreated groundwater. Compared to teenagers and adults, the populations of minor age groups are found to be more vulnerable to nitrate and fluoride exposures (infants > children > teens > adults). (iv) The Sobol sensitivity analysis indicates that the concentration of the contaminants, ingestion rate of the potable groundwater and their combined effects are the most influential parameters for the potential non-cancer health risks on the residents. Therefore, the study recommends the inhabitants drink purified groundwater. Moreover, frequent monitoring and public awareness campaigns should be conducted in the survey area along with the adaptation of artificial recharge and surface water storage practices to improve the groundwater quality. Regulation of the extreme use of fertilizers in the farming lands and adaptation of the scientific sanitary and domestic waste management practices are also advisable for the survey area to improve the groundwater quality. Appendix A. Supplementary data Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2022.101365. References Adimalla, N., Li, P.Y., 2019. 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Differential analysis of FA-NNC, PCAMLR, and PMF methods applied in source apportionment of PAHs in street dust. Environ. Monit. Assess. 192, 727. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-020-08679-3. Gowrisankar, G., Jagadeshan, G., Elango, L., 2017. Managed aquifer recharge by a check dam to improve the quality of fluoride-rich groundwater: a case study The study aimed to attain a greater accuracy in public health risks assessment for the exposures of the groundwater contaminants using the higher sizes of seasonal samples, quality control and assurance procedures, MCS with higher simulations, LHS, GoF statistics and SSA. However, it still might have encountered a trivial but unavoidable inaccuracy in the estimation as, in reality, groundwater contaminants do not follow any theoretical statistical distribution pattern exactly. Furthermore, the study has adopted the USEPA provided default values of RfDs for the groundwater contaminants which might not be accurate for the present survey region and might have introduced certain imprecisions in the analysis. A dose–response analysis of the groundwater contaminants on the inhabitants of the study area is required to calculate the RfDs of the contaminants and to improve the public health risks analysis. Despite these constraints, the methodologies, results, analysis and findings of the present study are reliable and were able to obtain reproducible results with higher accuracy. Therefore, the study may be useful for groundwater management and to improve the public health of the study area and other geographical areas with similar geological and climatic conditions and can be referred to by future domestic and international studies. The study recommends analyzing the spatio-seasonal variability of the groundwater contaminants using different interpolation methods, including the cokriging method, and determining the best interpolation technique based on their interpolation accuracy level and cross-validation results. The study further recommends conducting pilot studies to improve the quality of groundwater using the managed aquifer recharge structures and conducting health surveys on the residents to understand the exposure status. Analysis of the microbial activities in the groundwater systems and isotopic investigation of groundwater facies is also recommended to endorse the findings of the present study. Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. Acknowledgements The first author (IM) would like to acknowledge Ms. M. 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