SEVERSTAL CASE STUDY ANALYSIS INTRODUCTION BRIEF OVERVIEW The Severstal case study provided an overview of the global steel industry, seen as highly dynamic, volatile and fragmented. Severstal is a Russian steel producer which developed an international strategy by overseas acquisition in USA, Italy, Africa and CIS countries. Its vision was to become one of the major players in its industry through a global presence. The company was founded in 1955 as Cherepovets Steel Mill under government ownership, privatized in 1993 and registered as Severstal as an open stock company. Severstal’s core businesses are steel and related products. World Steel Association (2008) reported Severstal as the third largest steel producer in Russian and number fourteen in the world and their revenue reaching USD 22 Billion. However, it was reported also, that the post Great Recession business environment had a detrimental impact on global steel. This resulted in high levels of volatility and uncertainty to which Severstal responded by pursuit of a new strategic direction by consolidation and divestment in some of its international markets. According to Johnson, et al. (2011) strategic planning consists of the three elements of analysis, choice and implementation which are not rigid. This implies a dynamic process allows emergent strategies to be pursued regardless of the stage in strategic planning, a view also supported by Mintzberg (1987). The discussion follows Johnson, et al. (2011) to analyze strategy as pursued by Severstal using the relevant frameworks and models, provide recommendation and conclusion which shall answer the following question; Appreciation of broader and industry environments. Strategic options available for the organization to succeed in the long term. 1. APPRECIATION OF BROADER AND INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT 1.1 the Broader and industry environment of Severstal 1.1.1 The Broader environment of Severstal Various authors modeled an approach to macro environment, PESTEL model. Severstal macro environment is as follows; a. Political i. The majority of assets of Severstal are in Russia, a political risk is such, historically in Russia, and political conditions can be highly volatile. ii. This can negatively impact the domestic business and investment climate with a direct impact on Severstal. iii. There was nothing in the suggested change of government in Russia can be sudden and radical, relative political stability creates confidence in the markets. iv. Severstal enjoys a good relationship with the Russian government which could also otherwise suggest political interference. v. USA and Eurpean Union established new trade barriers, this can have an adverse impact on business for Severstal, for example, operational and financial results. vi. Majority of Severstal production and operations are based internationally in regions and countries with a stable political system. b. Economic i. Steel industry experiences production output or supply which follows the economic cycles of the global economy (GDP). ii. September 2008 proved a major turning in GDP, the global financial crisis and subsequent economic downturn had a sever effect on the industry and market, demand for steel fell by 60%, prices fell by 70% to 2002 levels. iii. The global demand for steel and related raw materials and a slow the economic growth, this economic downturn was a sharp decline in 2008 and 2009 to less than 1% of global GDP at the bottom of the cycle, a contrast of +5% GDP growth the previous year. iv. Economic downturn created excess capacity in the market as the global output in the same period remained above 1200 million metric tonnes, the demand-supply imbalance from the slow economic growth resulting in plummeting steel prices with potential to severely eroding profit margins. v. The steel market is very cyclical with short peak to peak periods and large demand variations exist between regional markets. vi. World Steel Association (2008) expected a challenging market well into 2015 with sluggish growth from 2017 and beyond. vii. By the end of 2015, Severstal reported net profits of USD 1.7 Billion on revenues of USD 6.3 Billion, an improved financial performance from 2014 and 2013 and substantially better that the recessionary years. There was confidence about the company’s future despite the difficult recent years. c. Socio-Economic i. Ageing populations in the developed countries, China and Russia, will likely contribute to reducing steel demand in the long term. ii. Economic recovery post recession created a shift in wealth distribution post recessionary years and industry experts projected an annual increase of about 5% in global construction, automotive and other transportation markets by 2021, based on growth in Asia-pacific, Africa and the Middle East. iii. Automotive manufacturers wanted to see steel producers having a greater role in the production of their vehicle with early stages of car assembly taking place within the steel mills hence concentrating industries nearer their customers. iv. In 2002, Severstal purchased Rougue, rebranded Dearborn, in USA which was a supplier to the Ford and became part of Severstal North America. v. As a multinational company, Severstal lacked shared common management knowledge when integrating newly acquired assets. vi. Also, at broader organizational level, there was lack of shared understanding and culture. There was also lack of shared understanding on how to incorporate management competences and create synergies. vii. Projections are 70% of the global population is predicted to live in cities by 2050 sustaining steel demand. d. Technological i. The steel industry is requires substantial capital investment. New technology and innovation is required to develop the market position by implementing new efficient methods of production. ii. Steel is an alloy and is one of the mostly widely used materials with main applications within the construction, shipping, automotive and energy markets. Its success as a product is observed to be based on strong, resilient, versatile and recyclable properties. iii. World Steel Association (2008) suggested steel as a product faces competition faces competition from other environmentally friendly materials and interrelated substitutes, there also is an observation of a strong track record of material technology development and process innovation that led to improved properties and cost effeciencies. e. Ecological i. Severstal is involved in an industry which may be hazardous to the environment and require conmpliance with stringent regulatory requirement. ii. Compliance by Severstal with environment laws and regulations is a significant factor and requires financial resources to be commited that impose additional costs in the form of pollution controls. iii. World Steel Association(2008) has promoted a common strategy among producers globally to promote product stewardship. Steel is 100% recyclable. iv. Severstal continue to invested in corporate social responsibility and sustainability as part of its strategy to raise global awareness of the Severstal brand. f. Legal i. Perceived barriers to investment in USA have been the powerful trade unions and occasional federal protectionist measures. ii. Most governments have introduced new trade barriers and antidumping regulations of cheap steel to protect their markets. iii. Steel industry is under pressure to improve energy efficiency and cut harmful emissions. United Nations Conference on Climate Change 2015 in particular produced a Paris Agreement which legally binds atleast 55 countries, including Russia and China, aims to reduce carbon emissions by 9% by 2030 and global warming to no more than 2°C by 2100. iv. Severstal has invested mainly in liberal market economies such as USA, also attractive for its high demand for steel, it also listed in the Russian Stock Exchange and London Stock Exchange leading to inward foreign direct investment. v. Severstal invested substantially in promoting its international image with a strong on corporate governance. 1.1.2 The industry environment of Severstal Various studies on strategic management affirmed that different industries can sustain different levels of profitability which is partly explained by the industry structure. Porter (1991) provided a framework that models an industry as being influenced by five forces, this offered a clear path towards a firm seeking competitive advantage over rival firms. He concluded that industry attractiveness depends on competition rivalry, threat of new entrants, threat of substitutes, bargaining power of buyers, and bargaining power of suppliers. A discussion follows on the industry environment of Severstal based on the Porter Five Forces model. a. Competition rivalry According to World Steel Association (2008), global steel industry is fragmented, the competitors are numerous, fragmented and roughly of equal power and size. The study also suggested global market segments are not dominated by one single producer as all major international steel players constantly seek the most appropriate strategy to enter the next prospective market. World Steel Association (2008) expected a challenging market well into 2015 with sluggish growth from 2017 and beyond. Steel products have low product differentiation and with a few niches in the automotive industry where producers made fabricated custom parts that offer differentiated products where majority of demand is bulk steel. Also, producers prefer acquisition as compared to organic growth due to tough environmental regulations which often act as barriers to obtaining planning permission and access to finance for construction of new steel plants. This created high exit barriers due to high capital investment. b. Threat of new entrants According to World Steel Association report of 2014, AccelorMittal is dominant at ranked at number 1 with an output twice of its next competitor Nippon Steel and Sumitomo Metal Corp. However, a concentration of suppliers seems to be in China which also account for more that 45% of global steel demand as of 2015 World Steel Association report. The industry structure suggest high entry barriers dominated economy of scale effect and experience curve effect that give incumbents a cost advantage. The incumbency advantage would therefore lower any threat by new entrants. New entrants in the global steel industry are seen as South Korea and Russia and more recently China and India. c. Threats of substitutes There are not many substitutes for steel especially in construction and rail as steel has superior performance compare to close substitutes as aluminum as it offers better performance advantages that customer value. As indicated on the study, steel has a strong track record of material technology development and process innovation that led to improved properties and cost efficiencies. Steel is seen to offer a comparative customer value. d. The threat of buyers There are many key buyers of steel and car manufacturers are seen as the leading buyers of steel in the world. As a key player, in 2002 Severstal also purchased Rougue, rebranded Dearborn, in USA which was a supplier to the Ford and became part of Severstal North America. This provided Severstal a significant strategic advantage as sole supplier by removing threat of backward vertical integration by Ford creating high switching costs. However, low buyer profits then have a direct impact on Severstal profit margins. e. Threat of suppliers Even though it was earlier suggested global steel industry is fragmented, with numerous competitors and roughly of equal power and size, China seem to seem to have concentrated supplier advantage as majority of major suppliers are from China. China also accounted for more that 45% of global steel demand as of 2015 (World Steel Association) which suggest China also has supplier completion threat by forward vertical integration as local suppliers are given preference. 2. STRATEGIC OPTIONS AVAILABLE FOR THE ORGANIZATION TO SUCCEED IN THE LONG TERM 2.1 Strategic options Various studies indictated central corporate strategy choice is which area a company should grow. Ansoff (1957) provided a matrix as a useful tool for identifying and classifying the range of strategic options available to a firm and thus used in the strategic planning process. The Ansoff matrix classifies strategies according to whether they involve new or existing products and new or existing markets. This also help to analyze the risk associated with each option. 2.1.1 Market Penetration This strategy was seen as the least risky of the Ansoff’s options (Baird & Thomas, 1985). It’s a strategy by which a firm seeks to increase the sales of its existing products in existing markets (Kumar, Scheer & Kotler, 2000). For example, Severstal may increase usage of its existing steel products to existing customers by lower price offers and in the process increasing its market share especially when the market is growing like China and South Korean markets. However, it may be also argued that the ease which this strategy can be pursued depend on the nature of the market and the position of competitors (Hart, 1995). In Severstal’s case, an indication is the industry experienced a constant cycle of global consolidation and fragmentation, and opportunistic short term counter attack strategic, suggesting already there is a possible existence of hypercompetition. This strategy therefore if not carefully executed, has potential to leave Severstal in a far worse position than before. Market penetration seem to work well when the overall market is growing, an organization wants to confine its interest to existing product and market and other companies are leaving the market which a position of Levitt (1993). In the case of Severstal, it can be suggested that for the strategy to be of significance, it might choose to pursue improvements in productivity to make a greater volume of products without disproportionate increase in costs, including modification or rationalization of steel production methods. 2.1.2 Market Development When an organization’s product reaches maturity in the current market, it is suggested they find new markets for their existing product (Berry, 1995). An implication by Berry (1995) is this is a marketing strategy to enhance the organizations current level of income by increasing sales of an already existing product. Kumar, et al. (2000) based on their earlier view on market penetration further suggested, opening additional geographic markets through regional, national or international development, attracting other market segments through developing product version that appeal to these segment market. In the case of Severstal, a consideration can be that there are potential opportunities for market development in the steel industry including a possibility of repositioning, exploiting new uses for steel or spreading into new geographical areas. Pursuit of this strategy involves operations structured to produce a particular product and it may be costly to switch technologies in future in case of a change as argued by Hill (1988). 2.1.3 New Product Development This involves a process of having a new concept or product feature to be marketed to existing customers increasing growth where there is decline of existing products in current market segments to boost market share (Berry, 1995). For example, in Severstal’s case, to solve a need in the market it may pursue this strategy by proving solution customer needs by developing new solutions for its existing customers in the steel industry. It was suggested this strategy is followed if there is relatively high market share, growth potential, changing customer needs and demand of new product (Chandler & Hanks, 1994). Further, downside was also viewed that the process of creating a product line is expensive, potentially unprofitable, and there is high chance of product failure. 2.1.4 Diversification A study by Crawford (2008) found product diversification strategy to involve creating a new customer base product which expands the market potential of the original product. This would include brand extensions or new brands, sometimes product modification that can create a new market by introducing new uses for the product. Diversification was also seen to follow two distinct forms, related and unrelated diversification; a. Related Diversification This could be in the form of vertical or horizontal integration; i. Vertical integration Taking over a supplier (backwards integration) or buyer (forward integration). For example, Servestal acquired Rouge in USA which was its customer hence forward integrated. Advantages of this were seen to be cost efficiencies due to combined operations and greater internal control, enhance ability to differentiate, assure supply and it creates barriers controlling suppliers and locks out competitors (Porter, 2011) in the study on global competition. Disadvantages were also advanced that it may not be cheaper as this may require economies of scale, larger capital investment, and reduced flexibility to switch suppliers and carries high exit barriers argued by Snow, et al. (2000). This could possibly be the rationale behind closure on the Severstal North America subdivisions in 2014. ii. Horizontal integration Another option was development into activities that are competitive and complementary to current activities (Boschma, 2012). In the case of Severstal, this could be taking over a competitor to achieve geographical advantage, develop a full product range for the market including exploitation byproducts of steel. b. Unrelated or conglomerate diversification Diversification may also involve venturing into unrelated strategic business units with a common corporate parent (Porter, 2011). Advantages were seen to be increased business strategy flexibility, potential for increased profitability and cross subsidization, better access to capital markets and spreading of the risk across portfolios. Disadvantages were that there are no synergies, potentially with no additional benefit for shareholders and lack of management focus. 3. Recommendations i. Servestal should pursue market penetration as a strategic option In the PESTEL analysis, economic downturn of 2008 slow economic growth for the period 2008 and 2009, which created oversupply in the market and droven down steel prices. The Global economy has since recovered and global steel demand still remains high. Projections that 70% of the global population is predicted to live in cities by 2050 is a major trend that cannot be ignored to benefit from first mover advantages. In the case of Severstal, market share globally remains high hence suitable for this strategic option, this can be purely export oriented without necessarily requiring global acquisitions. These conditions are favored in the Ansoff matrix as also the less risky option. ii. Severstal has to mitigate on threat on new entrants With a few firms continuing to dominate the world steel market, ArcelorMittal, Nippon Steel and concentrated suppliers for China, new entrants have a potential to change the structure of the industry as the dominant incumbents retaliate especially if this gives rise to hypercompetition. Historically, any excess capacity tends to create supplydemand imbalance and this erodes profit margins. 4. 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