LABOR ECONOMICS LECTURE NOTES Chapter 1 Introduction Prepared by: DANIEL MPANDE [BBA/ECONOMICS_UNZA. MBA FIN_UNZA] Contents CHAPTER 1 ...............................................................................................................................2 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................2 1.1 Labor Economics: Some Basic Concepts ..........................................................................2 The Models and Predictions of Positive Economics .....................................................................2 1.2 OVERVIEW OF THE LABOR MARKET .......................................................................4 1.3 The Labor Market: Definitions, Facts, and Trends .................................................................4 1.4 How the Labor Market Works ............................................................................................. 10 The Demand for Labor .............................................................................................................. 11 The Supply of Labor ................................................................................................................. 14 The Determination of the Wage: Equilibrium ............................................................................ 15 1.5 Applications of the Theory .................................................................................................. 17 1|Page CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION Labor economics is simply an economic analysis to the behavior of, and relationship between, employers and employees. The employment relationship, then, is one of the most fundamental relationships in our lives, and as such, it attracts a good deal of legislative attention. Knowing the fundamentals of labor economics is thus essential to an understanding of a huge array of social problems and programs, both in Zambia and elsewhere. 1.1 Labor Economics: Some Basic Concepts Labor economics is the study of the workings and outcomes of the market for labor. More specifically, labor economics is primarily concerned with the behavior of employers and employees in response to the general incentives of wages, prices, profits, and nonpecuniary aspects of the employment relationship, such as working conditions. These incentives serve both to motivate and to limit individual choice. The focus in economics is on inducements for behavior that are impersonal and apply to a wide range of people. Positive Economics: is economic theory to analyze ―what is‖; Scarcity: The pervasive assumption underlying economic theory is that of resource scarcity; when the demand for a resource at zero price exceeds the supply Rationality A second basic assumption of positive economics is that people are rational—they have an objective and pursue it in a reasonably consistent fashion. The Models and Predictions of Positive Economics Behavioral predictions in economics flow more or less directly from the two fundamental assumptions of scarcity and rationality. Workers must continually make choices, such as whether to look for other jobs, accept overtime, move to another area, or acquire more education. Employers must also make choices concerning, for example, the level of output and the mix of machines and labor to use in production. Economists usually assume that when making these choices, employees and employers are guided by their desires to maximize utility or profit, respectively. 2|Page However, what is more important to the economic theory of behavior is not the particular goal of either employees or employers; rather, it is that economic actors weigh the costs and benefits of various alternative transactions in the context of achieving some goal or other. Anytime we attempt to explain a complex set of behaviors and outcomes using a few fundamental influences, we have created a model. Models are not intended to capture every complexity of behavior; instead, they are created to strip away random and idiosyncratic factors so that the focus is on general principles. Normative Economics: is an economic analysis to judge ―what should be.‖ Markets and Values: there is a class of transactions in which there are no losers. Policies or transactions from which all affected parties gain can be said to be Pareto-improving because they promote Pareto efficiency. A transaction can be unanimously supported when: a. All parties who are affected by the transaction gain. b. Some parties gain and no one else loses. c. Some parties gain and some lose from the transaction, but the gainers fully compensate the losers. Thus, the role of the labor market is to facilitate voluntary, mutually advantageous transactions. Hardly anyone would argue against at least some kind of government intervention in the labor market if the market is failing to promote such transactions. In neoclassical economics, market failure is a situation in which the allocation of goods and services by a free market is not Pareto efficient, often leading to a net loss of economic value. Common Types of Market Failures Types of market failures include negative externalities, monopolies, inefficiencies in production and allocation, incomplete information, inequality, and public goods. 3|Page Why do markets fail? Ignorance: First, people may be ignorant of some important facts and thus led to make decisions that are not in their self-interest. Transaction Barriers: Second, there may be some barrier to the completion of a transaction that could be mutually beneficial. Externalities: Market failure can also arise when a buyer and a seller agree to a transaction that imposes costs or benefits on people who were not party to their decision. For us to have confidence that a particular transaction is a step toward Pareto efficiency, the decision must be voluntarily accepted by all who are affected by it. Public Goods: A special kind of externality is sometimes called the ―free rider problem.‖ Price Distortion: A special barrier to transaction is caused by taxes, subsidies, or other forces that create ―incorrect‖ prices. Prices powerfully influence the incentives to transact, and the prices asked or received in a transaction should reflect the true preferences of the parties to it. 1.2 OVERVIEW OF THE LABOR MARKET Every society—regardless of its wealth, its form of government, or the organization of its economy—must make basic decisions. It must decide what and how much to produce, how to produce it, and how the output shall be distributed. These decisions require finding out what consumers want, what technologies for production are available, and what the skills and preferences of workers are; deciding where to produce; and coordinating all such decisions. The process of coordination involves creating incentives so that the right amount of labor and capital will be employed at the right place at the required time. The market that allocates workers to jobs and coordinates employment decisions is the labor market. 1.3 The Labor Market: Definitions, Facts, and Trends Every market has buyers and sellers, and the labor market is no exception: the buyers are employers, and the sellers are workers. A labour market is the place where workers and employees interact with each other. In the labour market, employers compete to hire the best, and 4|Page the workers compete for the best satisfying job. A labour market in an economy functions with demand and supply of labour. The Labor Force and Unemployment Labor force refers to all those over 15 years of age who are employed, actively seeing work, or expecting recall from a layoff. Those in the labor force who are not employed for pay are the unemployed. People who are not employed and are neither looking for work nor waiting to be recalled from layoff by their employers are not counted as part of the labor force. The total labor force thus consists of the employed and the unemployed. LF = labor force = U + E There are four major flows between labor market states: 1. Employed workers become unemployed by quitting voluntarily or being laid off (being involuntarily separated from the firm, either temporarily or permanently). 2. Unemployed workers obtain employment by being newly hired or being recalled to a job from which they were temporarily laid off. 3. Those in the labor force, whether employed or unemployed, can leave the labor force by retiring or otherwise deciding against taking or seeking work for pay (dropping out). 4. Those who have never worked or looked for a job expand the labor force by entering it, while those who have dropped out do so by reentering the labor force. Labor force participation rate: is the number of persons in the labor force as a percentage of the working-age population (those aged 16 and above). Unemployment is a term referring to individuals who are employable and actively seeking a job but are unable to find a job. Unemployment rate: The ratio of those unemployed to those in the labor force 5|Page Transitions in the LM Sectors, Industries and Occupations An interesting lens to analyse the labour market is in terms of the type of activity/work individuals are involved with. At the highest level we can divide economic activity into three sectors: primary, secondary and tertiary. o Primary sector: extractive processes that create or harvest raw materials, eg forestry, fishing, farming, mining o Secondary sector: where these resources are processed. Sometimes we refer to this as manufacturing o Tertiary sector: retail/delivery of the above and other services 6|Page At a lower level we have industries and occupations. Industries are comprised of firms doing similar work, for e.g. the textiles industry. Within industries we have occupations, which are jobs or sets of tasks within the firms of an industry. So, again, like with LFP we have a nested structure: o Sector>Industry>Occupation o For eg, weaving is an occupation in the textiles sector, which in the secondary sector. More definitions: wealth, income, earnings, wages • There are several terms we use to describe the monetary returns to work and other assets. • Wealth is a stock or accumulation of assets. A common measure is net worth. • Income is a flow variable representing a change in wealth of a particular rate. Income in turn can be broken down by source, for example income from a primary job, interest income, rental income etc. • Earnings are the income someone receives from paid work. Earnings can be from selfemployed work or from working from someone else. • Wages are the earnings rate per unit of time (eg K120 per hour). • Sometimes we will use wages and earnings interchangeably The term wages refers to the payment for a unit of time, whereas earnings refer to wages multiplied by the number of time units (typically hours) worked. Thus, earnings depend on both wages and the length of time the employee works. 7|Page Wages: Nominal vs real The wage rate is the price of labour per working hour, which could be measured in nominal and/or real terms: • Nominal wage –what workers get paid per hour in current dollars/kwacha. • Real wages –nominal wages divided by some measure of prices (usually the consumer price index –CPI). How to calculate the CPI and inflation rate: 8|Page First we need to know how much of each good were purchased each year and what the prices were: 1984 Price 1984 Quantity Hamburger $.80 40 Jeans $24 1 Movie Ticket $5.00 4 Then find total expenditure by multiplying price times quantity and adding them: Expenditure = (.80 x 40) + (24 x 1) + (4 x 5) = $75 $32 + $24 + $20 = $75 Now, 20 years later, we have new prices: 2004: Hamburger Jeans Movie Ticket $1.20 $30 $7.00 Assume that the market basket (the amount purchased) stays the same in 2004 as it was in 1984 and the only thing that’s changed are prices. Now what does that market basket cost in 2004? Use 1984 prices and 2004 quantities. ($1.20 x 40) + ($30 x 1) + ($7 x 4) = $106 $48 + $30 + $28 = $106 To find the CPI in any year, divide the cost of the market basket in year t by the cost of the same market basket in the base year. The CPI in 1984 = $75/$75 x 100 = 100 The CPI is just an index value and it is indexed to 100 in the base year, in this case 1984. To find the CPI in 2004 take the cost of the market basket in 2004 and compare it to the same basket in 1984: CPI in 2004 = $106/$75 x 100 = 128.0 Now we can calculate the inflation rate between 1984 and 2004: (128 – 100) /100 = 28/100 = 28% So prices have risen by 28% over that 20 year period. If the period was 1984 to 1985 we would say that inflation was 28% in 1985. 9|Page Real wages help estimates the real values of wages/earnings over time and expresses nominal wages in terms of a standardised bundle of goods one can obtain, eg, if inflation is high, one can only get a relatively low bundle of good and vice versa. Another distinction can be drawn between gross and net wages • Gross are the wages before any deductions and tax • Net is the amount you get on payday, which has deductions and income tax automatically taken out. Deductions could be for medical aid or pension for example • Why is the distinction important? Effective tax rate Incidence of the tax 1.4 How the Labor Market Works The model of the labor market begins and ends with an analysis of the demand for and supply of labor. On the demand side of the labor market are employers, whose decisions about the hiring of labor are influenced by conditions in all three markets. On the supply side of the labor market are workers and potential workers, whose decisions about where (and whether) to work must take into account their other options for how to spend time. • Firms demand for labour from different labour markets • Workers supply their labour services This model inherently focusses on the level of employment and the wage rate. However, there are other factors in the terms of employment (such as working conditions, hours, bonuses, etc) and the levels of employment that are also relevant. 10 | P a g e The Demand for Labor Firms combine various factors of production—mainly capital and labor—to produce goods or services that are sold in a product market. Their total output and the way in which they combine labor and capital depend on three forces: i. Product demand ii. The amount of labor and capital they can acquire at given prices. iii. The choice of technologies available to them. When we study the demand for labor, we are interested in finding out how the number of workers employed by a firm or set of firms is affected by changes in one or more of these three forces. We start with firms, that combine capital (K), labour (L) and a technology set (T) to produce. They also face a market-level demand (QD) for their product. The cost of labour is wages (W) and the cost of capital is a representative price or rental rate (rk). The quantity of labour a firm demands is inversely related to the wage rate; higher wages lead firms to demand less labour LD = f (W, QD, T, rk) We will talk about the relationships between the variable Labor Demand Schedule for a Hypothetical Industry Wage Rate (K) Desired Employment Level 3.00 250 4.00 190 5.00 160 6.00 130 7.00 100 8.00 70 11 | P a g e Labor Demand Curve (MOVEMENT ALONG CURVE) What would happen to the quantity of labor demanded if the wage rate were increased? 1. First, higher wages imply higher costs and, usually, higher product prices. Because consumers respond to higher prices by buying less, employers would tend to reduce their levels of output and employment (other things being equal). This decline in employment is called a scale effect—the effect on desired employment of a smaller scale of production. 2. Second, as wages increase (assuming the price of capital does not change, at least initially), employers have incentives to cut costs by adopting a technology that relies more on capital and less on labor. Desired employment would fall because of a shift toward a more capital-intensive mode of production. This second effect is termed a substitution effect, because as wages rise, capital is substituted for labor in the production process. What happens to labor demand when one of the forces other than the wage rate changes?(SHIFT IN DEMAND CURVE) i.e Change in product demand. 12 | P a g e First, suppose that demand for the product of a particular industry were to increase, so that at any output price, more of the goods or services in question could be sold. Suppose in this case that technology and the conditions under which capital and labor are made available to the industry do not change. Output levels would clearly rise as firms in the industry sought to maximize profits, and this scale (or output) effect would increase the demand for labor at any given wage rate. (As long as the relative prices of capital and labor remain unchanged, there is no substitution effect.) i.e Change in Capital price. First, when capital prices decline, the costs of producing tend to decline. Reduced costs stimulate increases in production, and these increases tend to raise the level of desired employment at any given wage. The scale effect of a fall in capital prices thus tends to increase the demand for labor at each wage level. The second effect of a fall in capital prices would be a substitution effect, whereby firms adopt more capital-intensive technologies in response to cheaper capital. Such firms would substitute capital for labor and would use less labor to produce a given amount of output than before. With less labor being desired at each wage rate and output level, the labor demand curve tends to shift to the left. 13 | P a g e A fall in capital prices, then, generates two opposite effects on the demand for labor. The scale effect will push the labor demand curve rightward, while the substitution effect will push it to the left. The demand for labor can be analyzed on three levels; particular firm, industry demand curve and market demand curve The Supply of Labor Workers on the other hand supply their labour. The amount of labour supplied increases with the wage offered. So there is a positive relationship between wages and labour supply. Ls = f(W, other factors e.g work environment) As with demand curves, each supply curve is drawn holding other prices and wages constant. If one or more of these other prices or wages were to change, it would cause the supply curve to 14 | P a g e shift. As the salaries of insurance agents rise, some people will change their minds about becoming paralegals and choose to become insurance agents. The Determination of the Wage: Equilibrium The wage that prevails in a particular labor market is heavily influenced by labor supply and demand, regardless of whether the market involves a labor union or other nonmarket forces. • So we have a system where both LD and Ls depend on the W. • Lets assume they both react to wage changes in a linear way. We will graph with W on the y-axis and Q on the x-axis: 15 | P a g e The Market-Clearing Wage: The wage rate at which demand equals supply A couple of things to understand about the diagram: • Ls and Ld are lines made up of combinations of W and Q • If W changes, this will lead to a movement along a given line. This is the standard way we analyse labour using equilibrium – labour reacts to price. • Other factors mentioned before will come into play in a more advanced setting The market-clearing wage, , thus becomes the going wage that individual employers and employees must face. In other words, wage rates are determined by the market and ―announced‖ to individual market participants. Figure above graphically depicts market supply and demand in panel (a), along with the supply and demand curves for a typical firm (firm A) in that market in panel (b). All firms in the market pay a wage of , and total employment of L equals the sum of employment in each firm. A couple of things to understand about this theory: • Holding (T, ,) constant, a sufficient number of jobs can always be created by letting the wage fall far enough. • It doesn’t say anything about if this is feasible or realistic. • Its attraction is that it a simple tool for modeling the labour market. 16 | P a g e 1.5 Applications of the Theory Who Is Underpaid and Who Is Overpaid? Above-Market Wages We shall define workers as overpaid if their wages are higher than the market-clearing wage for their job. Because a labor surplus exists for jobs that are overpaid, a wage above market has two implications; i. First, employers are paying more than necessary to produce their output (they pay WH instead of We); they could cut wages and still find enough qualified workers for their job openings. ii. Second, more workers want jobs than can find them (Y workers want jobs, but only V openings are available). If wages were reduced a little, more of these disappointed workers could find work. A wage above market thus causes consumer prices to be higher and output to be smaller than is possible, and it creates a situation in which not all workers who want the jobs in question can get them. Below-Market Wages Employees can be defined as underpaid if their wage is below marketclearing levels. At below-market wages, employers have difficulty finding workers to meet the demands of consumers, and a labor shortage thus exists. They also have trouble keeping the workers they do find. If wages were increased, output would rise and more workers would be attracted to the market. Thus, an increase would benefit the people in society in both their consumer and their worker roles. 17 | P a g e Figure below shows how a wage increase from WL to We would increase employment from V to X (at the same time wages were rising). TO BE CONTINUED…………. Prepared by: DANIEL MPANDE [BBA/ECONOMICS_UNZA. MBA FIN_UNZA] 18 | P a g e