STAT 316-04 Statistics and Probability for Science and Engineering Spring 2022 Instructor: Shawn Handran, Ph.D. C O U R S E O V E R V I E W Basic probability rules, distributions, reliability. Descriptive, inferential statistics, correlation, regression. Prerequisites: MATH 131. Credit Restrictions: Not open for credit for those taking STAT 330. L E A R N I N G O U T C O M E S This course will train you to be able to: 1. Analyze and interpret data to make appropriate statistical inferences 2. Understand probability distributions for modeling and estimating populations 3. Use estimation and hypothesis testing for inference and decision making 4. Use linear regression for tests of association and predictive modeling 5. Use statistical analysis tools effectively Perhaps H. G. Wells was right when he said ‘statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write’! Samuel S. Wilkes C O U R S E I N F O R M A T I O N CLASS TIME: TuTh 4:15 - 5:30 PM Instruction mode: Synchronous Zoom until in-person instruction resumes in room Science N207. Please follow University/County Public Health requirements. Meetings consist of lecture and data analysis activities. Attendance is not graded, however, you must attend on activity days to receive credit for the activity. OFFICE HOURS: TuTh 5:30 PM or by appointment Instructor email: shawn.handran@csueastbay.edu Please do not hesitate to email me if you have any questions, and especially if you fall behind or are facing any difficulties. Because the penalty for cheating is severe, and because cheating suggests desperation, seek help before you risk irreparable damage to your career and your self-respect. C O U R S E E X P E C T A T I O N S INSTRUCTOR EXPECTATIONS As your instructor, I pledge to: Be prepared with relevant learning experiences Be respectful of all students Assess all students fairly and equitably Abide by the University code on academic policies STUDENT EXPECTATIONS As a student, you pledge to: Be prepared and engaged for all classes and activities Be respectful of others Actively contribute to learning activities and projects Abide by the University code on academic integrity A S S E S S M E N T C O U R S E M A T E R I A L S Textbook/Courseware: Montgomery and Runger, Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers 7e and WileyPlus $69. Required calculator: TI-84 or equivalent graphing calculator Required software: Minitab 19 (free access via App Stream): O F Final Exam 20% L E A R N I N G Online Homwork 30% Mindterm 2 20% Data Analysis Projects 10% https://www.csueastbay.edu/its/virtualcomputing/appstream-catalog.html Midterm 1 20% Y O U R I N S T R U C T O R WELCOME TO STATISTICS! I hope this will be one of the most interesting classes you take in your college career. Statistics is for everyone who encounters data in their daily lives, which is almost everyone. I am a part-time adjunct instructor of statistics and I also teach high school AP Statistics and STEM courses in Fremont. I am a neuroscientist by training and conducted my thesis research at Washington University in St. Louis, and my post-doctoral studies at Harvard Medical School. I love data and hope to convince you by the end of this course that statistics is awesome! C O U R S E S C H E D U L E * CONTENT (SECTION) DATE 1/18 Class logistics, syllabus, WileyPlus, Ch 1 Data 1/20 Ch 2.1-2.2 Probability, counting methods 1/25 Ch 2.3-2.5 Axioms, conditional probability Ch 2.6-2.9 Multiplication rule, independence, activity (tent.) Ch 3.5 Binomial distributions, activity 2/3 2/8 Ch 3.6,3.8 Geometric & Poisson distributions Ch 4.5 The Normal distribution, activity 2/10 Ch 4.6-4.7 Normal approximation, exponential distributions F O R activity Ch 6.3-6.4 Frequency distributions, boxplots, mini-project Ch 6.1-6.2 Descriptive statistics, stemplots, Ch 7.1-7.3 Estimation & the Central Limit Theorem, activity Ch 8.3-8.4 CI for variance, CIs using z-distribution, activity 3/22 Ch 9.2 Test for a mean using z-distribution 3/24 3/29 - 3/31 Midterm 2: Descriptive & Inferential Statistics Spring Break: No classes Ch 9.5-9.7 Z-tests for a proportion, Chi-square GOF, activity I N F O Computer requirements: Internet access using a modern browser (Chrome, Edge, Safari). Calculator requirements: Scientific or graphing calculator; TI-84 or equivalent. Loaner TI-84 calculators are available from the Math Department. Statistical tables and online tools may be used for homework. Tables are provided for exams, but cell phones/mobile technology not permitted for use on exams. Platforms we will use in this class: WileyPlus, Blackboard, Minitab, Statkey, Google G Suite Apps, and other online statistical analysis tools. 4/5 4/7 4/12 activity Ch 10.6-10.7 Inference for difference in proportions, mini-project 4/14 4/19 4/21 4/26 Ch 11.1-11.3 Linear regression activity 4/28 Ch 11.7-11.9 Correlation, transformations 5/3 Ch 15.1-15.7 Statistical quality control 5/5 Final exam: Thursday May 12, 5:30-7:30 PM 5/12 *Schedule subject to change and adjustment as needed. Syllabus may be updated due to covid-related changes to instruction mode. K E Y S T E C H N O L O G Y 3/10 3/17 Ch 9.1 Hypothesis tests, statistical errors, power Ch 11.4-11.6 Inference for slope, 3/3 3/15 Ch 8.5-8.7 CI methodology, Bootstrap CIs Ch 10.4-10.5 Pooled samples, Paired samples, equal variance 1. Respectful: our classroom is a safe space to share 2. Equitable: everyone's participation and ideas are valuable 3. Committed to the Pioneer Community: we learn together 4. Moving our Statistical Thinking Forward: we work to figure things out 2/24 3/8 Ch 8.1-8.2 Confidence intervals, t-distributions Ch 10.1-10.2 Inference for difference in means, 2/22 3/1 Ch 6.5-6.7 Time series, probability plots Ch 9.8 Chi-square contingency tests L E A R N I N G 2/15 2/17 Midterm 1: Probability Ch 9.3-9.4 T-tests for a sample mean, tests for variance A G R E E M E N T S 1/27 2/1 Ch 3.1-3.3 Discrete probability distributions T O S U C C E S S The following disciplines will help ensure a successful outcome and enhance your experience in this course. 1. Attend class and take notes: be focused during class and take notes during lectures 2. Engage in the classroom activities and labs: contribute to class activities and technology exercises 3. Do the WileyPlus assignments promptly: complete assignments proactively and establish weekly routines 4. Seek help from others: use e-textbook resources, form study groups, ask the instructor for assistance 5. Practice, practice, practice: use statistical language, do optional practice problems in the e-textbook, get familiar and comfortable with statistical tables and tools W I L E Y P L U S P L A T F O R M D A T A A N A L Y S I S P R O J E C T S JOIN WILEYPLUS THROUGH BB LINK Projects consist of analyzing datasets obtained from the textbook, Click on the WileyPlus link in the Course Materials section of Blackboard. Follow the instructions and use your CSUEB email when registering. or in some cases, by searching for public datasets online. Projects are intended to build proficiency in Minitab and similar statistical HOMEWORK with a GoReact video explanation. Late work is not accepted and Take multiple attempts on problems. Note there is a small deduction per incorrect attempt. Assignments have due dates, but are open after due date with late deductions (so be sure to collect as many points as possible!). REAL LIFE APPLICATION The homework problems help you put what you are learning in class into practice using real life data scenarios. These problems also are a good way to prepare for exams. software. Each student performs & submits their own work, along scored zero unless student has a valid and documented reason. E X A M S All midterms and the final exam are in-person paper exams and consist of data scenarios similar to homework and practice questions. Showing work is required. In the event of return to remote instruction, remaining exams will be conducted online in the WileyPlus platform. Each student agrees to complete exams without assistance from another person and adhere to the policy on academic dishonesty no matter what mode of exam is used. A D D I T I O N A L I N F O R M A T I O N ACCOMODATIONS If you have a documented disability and wish to discuss academic accommodations, or if you would need assistance in the event of an emergency evacuation, please contact me as soon as possible. Students with disabilities needing accommodation should speak with Accessibility Services at: https://www.csueastbay.edu/accessibility/ EMERGENCY INFORMATION Link to textbook ENHANCED E-TEXTBOOK RESOURCES The e-textbook has practice problems and video solutions for select problems. There are also optional problems in the Resources section of WileyPlus for additional practice. Practice problems with revealed answers Video solutions of select problems California State University, East Bay is committed to being a safe and caring community. Your appropriate response in the event of an emergency can help save lives. Information on what to do in an emergency situation (earthquake, electrical outage, fire, extreme heat, severe storm, hazardous materials, terrorist attack) may be found at: http://www.csueastbay.edu/af/departments/riskmanagement/ehs/emergency-management/index.html DISCRIMINATION, HARASSMENT, AND RETALIATION Title IX and CSU policy prohibit discrimination, harassment and retaliation, including Sex Discrimination, Sexual Harassment or Sexual Violence. CSUEB encourages anyone experiencing such behavior to report their concerns immediately. CSUEB has both confidential and non-confidential resources and reporting options available to you. Non-confidential resources include faculty and staff, who are required to report all incidents and thus cannot promise confidentiality. Faculty and staff must provide the campus Title IX coordinator and or the DHR Administrator with relevant details such as the names of those involved in an incident. For confidential services, contact the Confidential Advocate at 510-885-3700 or go to the Student Health and Counseling Center. For 24-hour crisis services call the BAWAR hotline at 510-845-7273. For more information about policies and resources or reporting options, please visit the following websites: https://www.csueastbay.edu/riskmanagement/complaint.html and http://www.csueastbay.edu/titleix STUDENT CONDUCT Thank you for reading the entire syllabus. To earn full credit, send an email to the instructor stating that you found the hidden question, and state your favorite ice cream flavor. The University is committed to maintaining a safe and healthy living and learning environment for students, faculty, and staff. Each member of the campus community should choose behaviors that contribute toward this end: http://www.csueastbay.edu/studentconduct/student-conduct.html