JHGCC Case Solving Toolbox About the Toolbox Although the Toolbox is a collection of useful guidelines and frameworks, it must be noted by the reader that these are meant to assist in the case solving process. These tools are meant to serve as a foundation for case solvers, and the Toolbox does not contain a “right” way to solve a case. Thus, there is a process, but there is no formula! We hope you enjoy! NOTE: This Toolbox is a collection of useful tips, tools, advice and frameworks that have proven useful for several different case solvers and winners in the past. If you like the content of this toolbox, please refer to our website: jhgcc.org. JHGCC Case Solving Toolbox Introduction Structuring an Approach: This section describes how to structure the problem solving part of your solution. Presentation: How to set up your presentation and make sure that the end product looks nice, neat, and professional. Tips: This section describes some of the things that can be done before the case launch and insiders' tips from previous participants. Additional reading: External sources and readings. Content • • • • Structuring an Approach…………………………………………..….pp 4-8 Presentation ……………………………………..………………….....….pp 9-24 Tips………………………………………………………………………….…pp 25-27 Additional Reading……………………………………………………...pp 28 Problem Solving Introduction Structuring of the problem-solving process is very important. Teams will be given a short period of time to solve a complex problem; a systematic approach will help prioritize and structure the task at hand. This section is about exactly how to do that. Hypothesis-driven problem solving: This section describes one of the most time efficient ways to attack a problem. MECE approach: The MECE approach is widely used within the management consulting industry and for good reason; this framework ensures that the whole problem solution space is tested. Issue tree: Issue trees are often combined with the MECE approach in order to prioritize and break down the problem. Rubric: This section describes the importance of doing a rubric. Content • • • • Hypothesis-driven problem solving MECE approach Issue tree Rubric Hypothesis-driven problem solving Description Stating initial hypothesis Hypothesis-driven problem solving is all about forming a hypothesis and then testing whether one is right or wrong about the initial hypothesis. As an example, look at the figure on the right. The sample hypothesis posits that changing the quality of the product will lead to an increase in the price and thus the profitability of the product sold. Data required to test the hypothesis Initial Hypothesis First the initial hypothesis is stated, this is then followed by an analysis which can lead to either confirming or refuting the initial hypothesis. After this, a series of new hypothesis can then be formed, here are two examples: 1) Do not look for profit by changing quality since the analysis shows that neither in-or decreasing quality will change profitability. or 2) Check if reduction of quality instead will lead to increased profitability. Research, analysis, and conclusion Formation of next step hypothesis Confirm Hypothesis Conclusion Falsify/Refute Hypothesis New Hypothesis Analysis Relevant framework to test the hypothesis Increasing quality of The product by 5-10% Will lead to a 2% Increase in profit/item Confirm or refute Looking at price sensitivity, consumer demand, capital Investments needed And uptake rates. After analysis we refute the hypothesis. Increasing quality will not increase profit/item. Reducing quality by 20% will lead to 5% increase in volume and 10% increase in price/item. . MECE Description MECE stands for Mutually Exclusive and Collectively Exhaustive and is a tool commonly used within the management consulting industry. The framework makes it easier to break complex problems down into smaller, more simple problems. If the “breakdown” is MECE, the team ensures that all the sub-issues collectively exhaust to the total solution space and that the sub-issues are mutually exclusive (no sub-issues are overlapping). By structuring a problem this way, the team ensures that they do not miss any possible solution options. It will also distribute the work among the team members without duplication of any work, thus the limited time will be used more efficiently. Imagine the JHGCC executives are trying to learn how satisfied the case competition participants are on the JHGCC healthcare case competition. The JHGCC executives are investigating the feedback they received from a survey. They have two approaches in mind: 1. Non-MECE The executives segment the surveys by programs (MBAs, MPHs, etc.) 2. MECE The executives segment the surveys by gender (Male and Female) ** the reason that the first approach is not MECE because it is not mutually exclusive, as a student can be both a MBA and a MPH student. Hypothesis-driven problem solving Description The issue tree deconstructs an issue into its sub-issues and the sub-issues into its sub-issues and so forth. Should our client acquire XXX company A complete issue tree makes identification of possible solutions easier and guides the problem-solving process. Is XXX an attractive business In this example an issue tree is constructed around an acquisition of a company XXX, so in order to know help the client to decide whether the acquisition should be made, a MECE issue tree can be constructed. The overall issue is acquisition. On the next level, the problem is broken-down into 3 levels – the business’ attractiveness, synergies and the acquisition deal. Please note that not only these 3 buckets are MECE, but all the sub-buckets are MECE. For example, revenue and cost are the only drivers of profit and they are not overlapping - henceforth the issue tree is MECE at this level. Probability of XXX (Internal) Revenue Synergies to our client Market of XXX (External) Cost Price of each product? Fixed cost What is the volume of sales? Variable Cost Revenue synergy? What is the deal of this acquisition What is the price of acquiring XXX What is the market position of XXX? Cost Synergy? How long can our client break-even Is this a growing market? Any resources that our client can leverage from XXX? What is the ROI? Opportunities cost Any other companies that fit our client’s needs (for example, higher ROI) better? Description Hypothesis-driven problem solving (a rubric) Early in the process it is important to do a rubric for your solution. As seen in the figure, the rubric is supposed to make sure that the proposed solution is both creative, has sound analysis to back it up, is feasible and has impact. If all these five elements are in place the team could have a winning solution. The rubric is also a good opportunity for the team to stop working, take a step back and ask the question: ”Is this solution something that the company might actually consider?” Again, there is not one way to get it right, but many ways to get it wrong. An example of a creative, but nonfeasible solution, could be to open a store on Mars. An example of a solution that have all elements but creativity, could be to optimize all current operations by 2%. Neither solution are winning solutions due to their complete lack of one of the five elements. So, make sure that at least these four are somewhat present. Creativity • A novel solution will always make you standout (as long as you can back up your solution) Analysis • Insights, insights and insights! The ‘so what’ is the gold of your analysis Impact • How impactful is your solution? You should focus on the most impactful solution first. Because you only have 2 weeks to solve the case. (Prioritization!) Feasibility • Always put yourself into your client’s shoes Thoughtfulness • What separates a best team from a good is that when your client questions your solution, the best team can response with: we actually thought of that… Presentation Description This section entails everything you need in order to convey your solution in a compelling and convincing way. There are two major parts of a good storyline: 1) Structure of content – telling the right things. 2) Structure of argumentation – telling it the right way. If you have these two elements you have a good storyline. This section first describes and exemplifies a logical way to structure the content of your presentation. That is which analysis and finding to present in which order. Then, this section describes the two most used argumentation structures, the inductive and the deductive which is then exemplified. Lastly, in the final part of this section everything is put together in an example of a good case solution storyline. Content • Storyline………………………………………..pp 10-14 • Structure of content • Structure of argumentation • Inductive vs. deductive reasoning • Putting it all together • • The executive slide………………..………..pp 15 PowerPoint do’s and don'ts…..............pp 16-21 How to structure your content in a logical way Description An often-used structure of the content in the presentation is based upon what the reader expects to come next. On the right is an example of how to structure the different parts of your solution. This flow ensures that the structure of the solution is easy to follow for the reader/listener. These four parts are based upon what you are telling the reader, as seen on the right. First the overall situation of the company is presented. Then, the implication (problem) of that situation is identified. In the third part of the story, the solution to the problem is presented. In the solution part it is also vital to present the arguments as to why the team has settled on that solution. Lastly, the impact of the solution should be presented. • Who is our client? • What does our client do? Setting the •… Stage • What is the client’s objective? • What is the cause? Identify the •… Problem Solution • Argument 1 • Argument 2 •… • By doing ABC, our client will achieve 1, 2, 3… Impact How to structure your content in a logical way Description Having secured that the structure of the content in the presentation is good, the team must also make sure that the storyline follows a strong logical argument. That is, how to structure the four elements. This means that it should be easy for the reader to follow the logical flow of why the next slide looks like it does. E.g., setting the stage: ”the company's revenue is stalling due to maturity in market”. The next slide identifies the problem of the situation. Broadly speaking there are two possibilities for how to build the logical argumentation of a good storyline. A good story in a solution almost always follows either the inductive or the deductive method. Solution Arguments Arguments Solution Inductive method 1.Tell your recommendation upfront 2.Give your reasonings Deductive method 1.Show your analysis 2.Give recommendation based on your analysis Note While the deductive method can be powerful if used correctly, it is recommended that the team uses the inductive story lining. The reason being that if using the deductive reasoning, the team must be absolutely sure that the reader will agree on the results and the logic of the argumentation or else the complete argument for the solution could fall apart. The inductive also has the advantage that it follows the logic of: First tell them what you're going to tell them, tell them, and then tell them what you told them. Example of inductive storyline We recommend that … • • • • The company should expand their business to China... ...By first targeting the coastal region... ...And pack items in smaller packages... ...Resulting in a net turnover growth of USD 1bn in 2015 NOTE: This box is basically what to tell on the executive slide … because … (supportive analysis and conclusions) • Reasons for going to China 1. Because the market potential is huge. 2. The growth is strong. 3. Current markets are mature. 4. There are certain risks, but they are limited. 5. We will be able to boost revenue by USD 1bn by moving into China. 6. Which is more than other considered possibilities. • Reasons to consider product modifications 1. Cultural differences make Chinese consumers seek different value propositions. 2. Small is beautiful in China. 3. Current consumer trends support ”smaller”. • Why to target the coastal region 1. Large share of population. 2. Fastest growing region. 3. Highest share of net wealth people. • Wrap up • Financial analysis of revenue growth by 2015 Example of deductive storyline Looking at… (analysis and conclusions) 1. The market potentials 2. The growth rates 3. Current markets potential 4. Risks involved 5. Revenue possibilities in different markets • China comes up as the most lucrative market 1. Distribution of population and their net wealth 2. Growth across Chinese regions • The coastal area is where the Chinese expansion should start 1. Cultural differences - Value propositions needed - Spending patterns - Consumer trends • Packaging in smaller bundles is needed • Financial analysis of revenue growth by 2015 • Wrap up … leads us to recommend that … • • • • The company should expand their business to China... ...By first targeting the coastal region... ...And pack items in smaller packages... ...Resulting in a net turnover growth of USD 1bn in 2015 NOTE: Again, this box is basically what to tell on the executive slide Putting it all together: Telling a story during the progression of the presentation Key focus areas: • • Logic of pression through the presentation should be easy to follow. By reading only the headers, the reader should be able to understand case solution. See the example below. Executive Slide We recommend the company to expand their business to China and gain USD 1bn in revenue because home markets are under pressure. … Although Chinese customers are different … • Resistance towards western brands due to 1. Reason 1 2. Reason 2 … Our solution will grow topline by USD 1 bn Home market is weak … • We see weak growth • Increased competition • Weak spending due to financial crisis • 1. 2. 3. … They can be won by adapting product … Given consumer behavior, best way to enter is: Enter Adapt Expand Wrap up Tell them what you told them … So other revenue sources are needed … 1. Germany 2. Norway 3. The Netherlands 4. China China is the best option • • • • … China is the most promixing market … High growth Large market Weak customer loyalty Resistance towards western brands … And will make further expansions possible. • Start in major cities • Expand to coastal region • 500 stores by 2015 So while still taking risks into account … • Risk 1 • Risk 2 • Risk 3 • How to mitigate risks Note: This presentation is not a solution for how you need to structure (or design) your presentation, but only meant as an illustrative example. The executive slide Description It is recommended to put an executive slide in the beginning of your presentation, since this supports the inductive reasoning. The executive slide should... – Answer the objective of the client – Make the reader able to understand your solution and why you have reached your conclusions. – Be the introductory slide for the presentation presented to the judges, should the team reach the finals. – Tell the same story as all the headlines of the presentation. PowerPoint Do’s & Don’ts Introduction This following sub-section is a collection of do’s and don’ts regarding the visual setup of your slides. Since you only have 10 slides, it is vital that nothing is lost in translation, meaning do not succumb to the usual PowerPoint mistakes. The following examples are not an exhaustive list of all PowerPoint mistakes but a collection of some of the most common mistakes that can easily be avoided. By making sure that your slides look more like the ”do”-examples and less like the ”don’t”- examples you increase the possibility for the reader to understand the slides as it was intentionally meant to be understood. On the right you will find a list of the following slides. Overview • • • • • Notation on graphs……………………........................pp 17 Key takeaway in header……………………………….…..pp 18 Less is more in graphs…………………..………………….pp 19 Less is more in effects………………………………..……..pp 20 Supporting the message…………………...……………...pp 21 Remember notations on your graphs Do Note: Only include data labels if they are needed to prove your point. Also remember to include your source in the bottom of the slide. This adds credibility to your presentation. Don’t Make sure to put the key takeaway from your slides in the header Don’t Do The demand for shipments varies rapidly throughout the year. Shipment Demand Analysis 5.5 6 Monthly Volume in 2019 5.6 4.9 4 2.5 3.2 3 2.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 Month 9 10 11 12 Shipment volume in millions Shipment volume in millions Monthly Volume in 2019 5.5 6 5.6 4.9 4 2.5 3.2 3 2.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 Month 9 10 11 12 Less is more when it comes to data presentation Don’t Do Chart Title Quantity VS. Payment 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1200 1000 971 952 920 911 902 854 Axis Title 800 600 Sum of Quantity Sum of Quantity 400 Count of Payment 200 Linear (Sum of Quantity) 170 178 174 152 160 166 Electronic accessories Fashion accessories Food and beverages Health and beauty Home and lifestyle Sports and travel Sum of Quantity 971 902 952 854 911 920 Count of Payment 170 178 174 152 160 166 0 Product Line Note: Design your graph so the reader can quickly and easily read it. . Count of Payment Axis Title Less is more when it comes to colors and effects Do … and it looks unprofessional. Don’t Make sure only things that back up the message of the slide is included Do Note: Images should only be included if they help to make a point clearer. Don’t Tips Description This section describes some the most important practicalities that lies outside the actual problem-solving process and case solution. That being said, the practicalities included and described in this section has a high probability of making the 2 weeks of case solving easier. If ignored, there is a high probability of making the case solving hours more difficult. Time management: Due to the time pressure, a good plan will ensure that the team makes the most of the available time. Quotes from the insiders: This section includes some insiders’ tips for what things the team would be like to have under control before the actual case launch. Overview • • Time management…………………….......................pp 23 Quotes from the insiders………………………..……..pp 24 Draw up a time plan before the case launch Description The time plan does not have to be as specific as this one, but a rough time plan will certainly prove helpful as it will help the team to not spend too much time on unnecessary tasks. E.g., analysis of market irrelevant for the case solution, spending too much time on date search etc. Also the team should note that the time plan will almost certainly not be held, as unavoidable events will happen during the case solving. However, making a time plan will keep reminding the team that time is precious and spending it unwisely is not recommended. Lastly, this time plan is not the golden rule as to how to allocate the 2 weeks but only an example. The golden rule that does persist is, the more specific the time plan, the more it helps throughout the process. Week 1 Brainstorming Initial Hypothesis Data Research Retest Hypothesis Week 2 Develop Solution Gather Slides Final Version Rehearse Quotes from the insiders “Practice makes perfect. It was so evident that the more training cases we did, the better we got.” “Set up the master slide before the case launches. We wasted at least 3 hours setting up and agreeing on the layout.” “Reorganize your arguments, starting with the most powerful one.” “Cite your data” “Know your data sources. Having the best data available is a competitive advantage.” “It is very wise to save some time in the end for iteration, going through every slide asking the questions: What do we want to tell with this slide and will the reader understand it.” “Assign team roles and know each others relative strengths and weaknesses. Having the discussion before the launch as well as a time manager saved us time.” “Remember to buy snacks, snacks, snacks & more snacks.” Additional reading Online Here we have listed external sources and additional reading that is also useful for the case solving team. • Choosing the right kind of chart: http://extremepresentation.typepad.com/files/ choosing-a-good-chart-09.pdf • www.caseinterview.com • www.bcgperspectives.com • Data sources: http://www.eiu.com/ http://research.thomsonib.com/ Offline • How to structure your argument: Barbara Minto – The pyramid principle • Presentation design advice: • Gary Reynolds – Presentation Zen • Nancy Duarte - Slideology