Investment analysis and Portfolio Management Chapter four Stock and equity valuation (Tools and techniques used by investors to find out the true value of equity) Firms obtain their long-term sources of equity financing by issuing common and preferred stock. The payments of the firm to the holders of these securities are in the form of dividends. The common stockholders are the owners of the firm. It represents equity in a corporation. They have the right to vote on important matters to the firm such as the election of the Board of Directors. They have a residual claim against the assets and cash flows of the firm. The priority of the claims against the assets of the firm belonging to debt holders, preferred stockholders and common stockholders differ. The owners of the firm's debt securities have the first claim against the assets of the firm. This means that the debt holders must receive their scheduled interest and principal payments before any dividends can be paid to the equity holders. The preferred stockholders have the next claim. They must be paid the full amount of their scheduled dividends before any dividends may be distributed to the common stockholders. 4.1 Characteristics of Stock The term issued refers to the shares issued to the stockholders. A corporation may re-acquire some of the stock that it has issued. The stock remaining in the hands of stockholders is then called outstanding stock. Upon request, corporations may issue stock certificates to stockholders to document their ownership. Printed on a stock certificate is the name of the company, the name of the stockholder, and the number of shares owned. The stock certificate may also indicate a dollar amount assigned to each share of stock, called par value. Stock may be issued without par, in which case it is called no-par stock. Chapter four; Stock and equity valuation RIFT VALLEY UNIVERSITY Page 1 Investment analysis and Portfolio Management The most important characteristics of common stock as an investment are its residual claim and its limited liability features. Residual claim means stockholders are the last in line of all those who have a claim on the assets and income of the corporation. Limited liability means that the most shareholders can lose in event of the failure of the corporation is their original investment. Shareholders are not like owners of unincorporated businesses, whose creditors can lay claim to the personal assets of the owner—such as houses, cars, and furniture. They are not personally liable for the firm’s obligations: Their liability is limited. The major rights that accompany ownership of a share of stock are as follows: 1. The right to vote in matters concerning the corporation. 2. The right to share in distributions of earnings. 3. The right to share in assets on liquidation. These stock rights normally vary with the class of stock. 4.2 Balance sheet methods/ techniques Balance sheet methods are the methods which utilize the balance sheet information to value a company. These techniques consider everything for which accounting in the books of accounts is done. Book Value: In this method, book value as per balance sheet is considered the value of equity. Book value means the net worth of the company. Net worth is calculated as follows: Net Worth = Equity Share capital + Preference Share Capital + Reserves & Surplus – Miscellaneous Expenditure (as per B/Sheet) – Accumulated Losses. Chapter four; Stock and equity valuation RIFT VALLEY UNIVERSITY Page 2 Investment analysis and Portfolio Management Liquidation Value: In this method, liquidation value is considered the value of equity. Liquidation value is the value realized if the firm is liquidated today. A better measure of a floor for the stock price is the firm’s liquidation value per share. This represents the amount of money that could be realized by breaking up the firm, selling its assets, repaying its debt, and distributing the remainder to the shareholders. Liquidation Value = Net Realizable Value of All Assets – Amounts paid to All Creditors including Preference Shareholders. Replacement Cost: Here, the value of equity is the replacement value. is a term referring to the amount of money a business must currently spend to replace an essential asset like a real estate property, an investment security, a lien, or another item, with one of the same or higher value. It means the cost that would be incurred to create a duplicate firm is the value of the firm. This concept assumes that interest in valuing a firm is the replacement cost of its assets less its liabilities. This idea is popular among economists, and the ratio of market price to replacement cost is known as Tobin’s q, after the Nobel Prize–winning economist James Tobin. In the long run, according to this view, the ratio of market price to replacement cost will tend toward 1, but the evidence is that this ratio can differ significantly from 1 for very long periods of time. Equity Value = Replacement Cost of Assets – Liabilities. If the role of management is to increase the shareholder value, then managers can make better decisions if they can predict the impact of those decisions on the firm's value. By observing the difference in the firm's equity value at different points in time, one can better evaluate the effectiveness of financial decisions. A rudimentary way of valuing the equity of a company is simply to take its balance sheet and subtract liabilities from assets to arrive at the equity value. However, this book value has little resemblance to the real value of the Company. First, the Chapter four; Stock and equity valuation RIFT VALLEY UNIVERSITY Page 3 Investment analysis and Portfolio Management assets are recorded at historical costs, which may be much greater than or much less their present market values. Second, assets such as patents, trademarks, loyal customers, and talented managers do not appear on the balance sheet but may have a significant impact on the firm's ability to generate future profits. So while the balance sheet method is simple, it is not accurate; there are better ways of accomplishing the task of valuation. Intrinsic value versus market price The most popular model for assessing the value of a firm as a going concern starts from the observation that the return on a stock investment comprises cash dividends and capital gains or losses. If a stock is priced “correctly,” it will offer investors a “fair” return, i.e., its expected return will equal its required return. Chapter four; Stock and equity valuation RIFT VALLEY UNIVERSITY Page 4 Investment analysis and Portfolio Management 4.3 Dividend discount model An asset’s value is determined by the present value of its future cash flows. A stock provides two kinds of cash flows. First, most stocks pay dividends on a regular basis. Second, the stockholder receives the sale price when they sell the stock. In valuing the common stock, we have made two assumptions: o We know the dividends that will be paid in the future. o We know how much you will be able to sell the stock for in the future. These assumptions will define the path of the future cash flows so that we can derive a present value formula to value the cash flows. If we make the following assumptions, we can derive a simple model for common stock valuation: Your holding period is infinite (i.e., you will never sell the stock so you don’t have to worry about forecasting a future selling price). The dividends will grow at a constant rate forever. Note that the second assumption allows us to predict every future dividend, as long as we know the most recent dividend and the growth rate. Thus, in order to value common stocks, we need to answer an interesting question: Is the value of a stock equal to 1. The discounted present value of the sum of next period’s dividend plus next period’s stock price, or 2. The discounted present value of all future dividends? Chapter four; Stock and equity valuation RIFT VALLEY UNIVERSITY Page 5