ADMS 4590 COMPREHENSIVE CASES AND MULTI -SUBJECT ACCOUNTING PROBLEMS Session 9 USING THE CPA WAY IN QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS WHAT ARE THEIR STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES STAKEHOLDERS QUANT QUAL RECOMMEND /CONCLUDE Note CPA WAY: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS QUATNITATIVE ANALYSIS ASSESS THE SITUATION - What is the purpose of the analysis - What information is available - What tool do you need ANALYZE THE ISSUE INTERPRET THE RESULTS PLANNING Key facts/figures in your plan What do the stakeholders need to know Biases (ie anticipated costs) Missing information – discount rate, missing costs Select the Tool - See next slide QUANTITATIVE TOOLS – SOME EXAMPLES ISSUE ISSUE TYPE OF ANALYSIS Capital budgeting Should the company purchase the new asset? Discounted cash flow/ net present value (NPV) Financing analysis Product analysis Should it expand Internal rate of return Does the company have enough cash to Undiscounted cash flow purchase the asset? If it expands will it analysis be viable Which product should be added or dropped? CM analysis Break even Constrained resource analysis Short term Financial Reporting What is revised NI Adjustments related to FR analysis CPA WAY: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS QUATNITATIVE ANALYSIS ASSESS THE SITUATION INTERPRET: • KEY CONCLUSION ANALYZE THE ISSUE • MISSING INFORMATION INTERPRET THE RESULTS - Use word file and reference to excel exhibit - State key conclusion - State assumptions and missing information - Sensitivity analysis • SENSITIVITY/UNCERT AINTY • ASSUMPTIONS CPA WAY: QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS What are the strategic objectives of the users? Risks/Rewards Pros/Cons Examples of objectives: - Improving profitability - Expanding the business - Maintaining quality - Going public - Factors that can’t be quantified - Risk examples: lack of expertise, production constraints, quality issues - Rewards examples: Synergies, competitive advantage - EXPLAIN WHY IT IS A RISK OR A REWARD Conclude on the analysis - Results of quant plus qual - Link recommendation back to users and objectives - Try to identify ways to mitigate risk identified COMPOSTING TOILETS TAKE UP - Prepare an outline for the case - Importance of ranking in the case R1 –WHICH PRODUCT IS GOING TO BE THE BEST FOR MF TO MARKET (GC 500 AND GC 600) Quantitative Analysis - Profitability analysis - See exhibit I for a CM/profitability analysis - Assumptions: Assumes USD exchange rate remains constant - Missing information: Extra administrative costs associated with having supplier in Mexico - Conclude: Based on the quantitative analysis: Profit of the GC 500 will be $641,500 Profit for the GC 600 would be $419,000 From a profitability standpoint, CTI should produce the GC500 Exhibit I Purpose: Determine estimated profitability of the two composters. QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS – GC500 OR GC600 Market sales Share of market # of anticipated sales Sales Price Cost of Sales DM DL Packaging Total costs GP per unit GC500 500000 0.025 12500 200 85.5 24.1 109.6 90.4 GC600 Notes 500000 0.0225 11250 300 125.4 65.1 25.5 216 84 Royalties 12 16.66667 1 Fixed costs Marketing cost Amortization of machine Total per unit profit Total Market for the goods Total profit 26 28.88889 2 1.08 1.2 3 51.32 37.24444 12500 11250 641500 419000 Conclusion: Based on the results of our analysis the GC500 product is more profitable to produce and sell the GC 600 product. R1 –WHICH PRODUCT IS GOING TO BE THE BEST FOR MF TO MARKET (GC 500 AND GC 600) GC 500 Pros GC 500 Cons - More reliable sales estimates since it is less that $250, less risk in sale projections - Less competition in the segment, will be easier to attain desired market share - USD fluctuations could negatively/positively affect the product cost - Use of Mexican manufacturer, could result in instability of supply, - Use of Mexican manufacturer, have a negative impact on customer perception (made in Canada supplier) - Current Canadian supplier may become dissatisfied and may affect quality and production of other products. R1 –WHICH PRODUCT IS GOING TO BE THE BEST FOR MF TO MARKET (GC 500 AND GC 600) GC 600 pros GC 600 Cons - Don’t need to outsource to Mexico and have the instability in supply, customer perception will remain in tact - Sales estimates are less reliable since GC 600 is priced over $250, greater risk that the projections are not correct - A lot of competition in this segment which could impact projected sales levels - GC 600 is larger and heavier, since it is sold to seniors it will be more difficult to use R1 –WHICH PRODUCT IS GOING TO BE THE BEST FOR MF TO MARKET (GC 500 AND GC 600) Recommend: - Produce GC500 for the following reasons: - more profitable -> better support the objective to have sufficient cashflows - less risk in terms of the projected sales figures - Mitigation strategy to reduce risk for outsourcing to Mexico -> negotiate with Canadian supplier, find out how much more costly it would be to produce in Canada R2 – PREPARE A CASH FLOW FORECAST IN ORDER TO DETERMINE WHETHER THIS INVESTMENT WILL GENERATE SUFFICIENT POSITIVE CASH FLOWS TO COMPLETE THE EXPANSION PLANS. -See Exhibit II -Assumptions: proceeded with GC 500, estimated sales are projected -Missing Information: Changes in fx, unexpected costs due to move to Mexico -Conclusion: The cash flow demonstrates that we will generate sufficient cash flow to cover 45% of the investment Exhibit 2 Purpose: To prepare a projected cash flow forecast 2023 Operating CM for CT210 231,030 CM for CT310 1,163,162 CM for CT410 1,273,474 Margin for GC500 1,130,000 Total margins 3,797,667 2024 235,651 1,186,426 1,464,495 1,130,000 4,016,572 Advertising Mktg GC500 Gen & admin Design & eng. Royalties Salaries Engineer salary Additional sales mgrs Additional commissions Total outflows Net operating inflows - 337,807 325,000 422,258 274,160 150,000 867,429 180,000 150,000 152,475 2,859,130 938,537 Tax @ 30% After tax cash flows - 281,561.07 656,975.84 Investing cash flows Machine -GC500 Total investing -135000 -135000 Financing cash flows Loan interest -100000 Total cash inflow 421,976 Cumulative cash flow - 362,795 325,000 453,494 274,160 151,250 884,778 180,000 150,000 172,110 2,953,587 1,062,984 - 318,895.26 744,088.94 -100000 644,089 Notes 240,364 1,210,154 1,493,785 1,130,000 4,074,303 1 2 3 4 370,051 325,000 462,564 274,160 152,513 902,474 180,000 150,000 179,570 2,996,332 1,077,971 5 per case fact 5 15% increase from last year 6 no change, increase 2% for inflation 7 323,391.44 assume 30% 754,580.02 -100000 1,000,000x 10% interest 654,580 1,720,645 Cash required for expansion Conclusion: 2025 2500000 45% 1125000 (2.5 million @ 45%) Cumulative cash flow will generate $1.7 million, which will cover the $1.125 million needed. FINAL EXAM - TIMED OPEN BOOK INDEPENDENT CASE EXAM 2.5 hours – 1 longer 2 hour case or 2 short 1 hour cases (30 minutes buffer for uploading, printing and tech issues) How to study: Complete all cases since midterm with time constraint, review pre-midterm cases Complete the “other” role of the group project Complete the “mock” exam and debrief Review technical competency areas: Financial reporting, Management Accounting have a heavier focus but will integrate audit, finance, strategy and governance. We have now integrated several technical areas since the midterm, Practice your ranking Review FR, MA, Finance, Audit, Strategy and governance technical areas covered Collaboration is strictly prohibited CASES COVERED POST MIDTERM CASE Assessment Opportunities Cinepro 1 MA Quant analysis of the film festival profitability 2 MA Qaul analysis of the film festival 3 S&G Board governance 4 S&G Performance measures for the film festival 5 FR issues (revenue recognition, impairment, assets held for sale) Bobbin Family Farms 1 MA Quantitative analysis – breakeven on the teashop 2 MA Qualitative analysis on teashop 3 MA Quantitative analysis – NPV on Wind turbine 4 ASSR – procedures to test revenue from Toby’s 5 FR issues – Rev rec, ARO, convertible debt Environmentally Friendly Diapers 1 MA Quant analysis – NPV of organic diaper line 2 MA Qual – organic diaper line 3 FR issues – A/R, Inventory, rev rec, tax expense 4 ASSR– Controls 5 ASSR – inventory count, independence threat 6 Big picture – will the loan covenant be satisfied CASES COVERED POST MIDTERM CASE Assessment Opportunities Group Case Project FR – Sig influence, impairments, capitalization of costs, componentization, intangible assets ASSURANCE ROLE ASSR – RMM ASSR – Materiality & approach ASSR – Substantive Procedures / for acquisition ASSR – WIRS PM ROLE MA – Critique supplier bonus agreement & prepare revised calculation (cost analysis) MA – New contract with Chinese customer MA – Quant on contract with Royal Lobster MA – Qual on contract with Royal Lobster Composting Toilets MA – Quant on profitability of Garden composters MA – Qual on profitability of Garden Composters FIN – Qaunt projected cash flow TAX – Tax issues QUESTIONS