Strategic Financial Management REVISION LECTURES – STRATEGIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT TOPICS COVERED: - Foreign Exchange Risk Management - Derivatives- Options & Futures - Currency option & Futures - Interest Rate Risk Management Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management FOREIGN EXCHANGE EXPOSURE & RISK MANAGEMENT Topics to be covered: Understanding whether to work with Bid or Ask Purchasing power parity Interest rate parity Swap rate & Swap Points Cross rate calculation Arbitrage (Triangular & Interest rate) Hedging Techniques: - Forwards - Futures - Money Market Hedge - Leading & Lagging Cash Management Nostro Account / Vostro Account / Loro Account Cancellation / Extension / Early Delivery / Delayed delivery of Forward Contracts Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Understanding whether to work with BID OR ASK Q.1 ABC Ltd (India) has imported goods from John Ltd (USA) and the invoice amount is $2,50,000. The spot rate is quoted as ₹ / $ = 71.50 / 71.60. Calculate the Rupee outflow for ABC Ltd (India) to settle the above payable. A.1 The Indian company has imported goods and has a payable in dollars. Hence the Indian company will be looking to buy dollars. The dollar buying rate will be 1$ = ₹ 71.60. Hence Rupee outflow to buy $250000 @ 1$ = ₹ 71.60 will be $250000 x ₹ 71.60 = ₹ 179,00,000. Q.2 Noida Ltd (India) has exported goods worth $500,000 to Texas Ltd (USA). The spot rate is being quoted as $ / ₹ = 0.0133 / 0.0145. Calculate the rupee inflow for Noida Ltd on account of the export transaction. A.2 The Indian Company has exported goods and has a receivable of $500,000. The company will be looking to sell $ and buy Rupee. Since the quote given is that of Rupee and we are looking to buy Rupees the relevant rate for buying rupees will be 1Rs = $0.0145. Hence Rupee inflow by selling $500000 @ 1Rs = $0.0145 will be ₹ 3,44,82,759. Q.3 Dallas Ltd (USA) has imported machinery worth ¥ 500,00,000 from Yuto Ltd (Japan). The spot rate is being quoted as ¥ / $ = 120.10 / 120.60. Calculate the dollar outflow for Dallas Ltd to settle the payable. A.3 Here US company has imported machinery from Japanese company and has a payable of ¥ 500,00,000. Hence the company will be looking to buy ¥ and sell Dollars. The rate quoted is of dollars and hence the rate for selling dollars will be 1 $ = ¥ 120.10. Hence dollar outflow to buy ¥ 500,00,000 @ 1 $ = ¥ 120.10 = $4,16,320 Purchasing Power Parity Q.4 The inflation rates in India and UK are 10% and 4% per annum respectively. If the spot rate is 1 £ = ₹ 95 find the 6 month forward rate using Purchasing Power Parity. A.4 Spot Interest rate (p.a.) 6 month forward rate Or Or Interest Rate Parity 1 £ = ₹ 95 4% 10% £ 1.02 = ₹ 95 + 5% £ 1.02 = ₹ 99.75 £ 1 = ₹ 97.79 Q.5 The interest rates in India and USA are 8% p.a. and 3% p.a. respectively. If the spot rate is 1$ = ₹ 72.10, find the 3 month forward rate using Interest rate parity. A.6 Spot Interest rate (p.a.) 6 month forward rate Or Or 1 $ = ₹ 72.10 3% 8% $ 1.0075 = ₹ 72.10 + 2% $ 1.0075 = ₹ 73.542 $ 1 = ₹ 72.99 Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Swap rate / Swap Points Q.6 Spot rate ₹/$ 3-month swap points Calculate the 3 month Forward Rate. A.6 Notice that the swap bid (17) is lower than swap ask (20). This implies that the swap points have to be added to the spot rate to arrive at 3-month forward rates. Hence 3-month forward rate will be ₹ / $ = 71.2551/71.5445 Q.7 Spot rate ₹/$ 3-month swap points Calculate the 3 month Forward Rate. A.7 In this case notice that swap bid (20) is greater than swap ask (17). This implies that the swap points have to be reduced from the spot price to arrive at the forward price. Hence 3-month forward rates will be ₹ / $ = 71.2514 / 71.5408 Q.8 Spot rate ₹/$ 6-month swap points Calculate the 6 month Forward Rate. A.8 In this case notice that the swap bid (125) is smaller than swap ask (140). This implies that the swap points have to be added to the spot rate to arrive at the forward rate. Hence 6-month forward rate will be ₹ / $ = 71.2659/71.5565 Q.9 Spot rate 3-month swap rate A.9 This is a case of swap rate because the swap bid and swap ask are expressed in decimals which represent a rate. The treatment however remains the same – since swap bid (0.1400) is greater than swap ask (0.1450) the swap rates have to be added to the spot rate to arrive at the forward rate. Hence 3-month forward rate will be ₹ /$ = 71.3934 / 71.6875 ₹/$ = = 71.2534/71.5425 17/20 71.2534 / 71.5425 20/17 = 71.2534 / 71.5425 125/140 = 71.2534 / 71.5425 0.1400/0.1450 Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Cross Currency Rate Calculation Q.10 Given quotes ₹ / £ = 96.20 € / £ = 1.20 Find the ₹ / € quote. A.10 Notice in this case we require £ / € - but the given quote is € / £. Hence, we need to convert the given quote of € / £ into a £ / € quote i.e. 1/1.20 ₹ / € = 80.17 Q.11 ₹ / $ = 71.10 / 71.25 $ / £ = 1.27 / 1.35 Find the cross-currency rate of ₹ / £. Given quotes A.11 For finding bid (we use the above equation but we will use the bid figures) For finding ask: (we use the same equation as above but now we will use the ask figures) Hence ₹ / £ = 90.297 / 96.1875 Bankers Margin on Quotes Q.12 Given the following interbank rate and the margins calculate the merchant rates: Spot ₹/$ = 75.25 / 75.45 Bankers margin 0.02% / 0.05% Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management A.12 Spot ₹/$ Bankers margin Hence Merchant (Retail rate) = = = 75.25 / 75.45 (-) 0.02%/ (+) 0.05% 75.23 / 75.49 Arbitrages Q.13 From the following data identify whether any arbitrage exists: Spot 1$ = ₹ 75.00 Interest rate per annum 3% 7% 3-month forward rate 1$ = ₹ 75.60 You may assume borrowing of $100 or ₹ 100, as the case may be, to prove the arbitrage. A.14 Step 1: Using IRP we find the theoretical forward rate: Spot 1$ = ₹ 75.00 Interest rate p.a 3% 7% 3 Month forward rate using IRP ( ) Or $1.0075 = ₹ 76.3125 Or $1 = ₹ 75.74 Step 2: Compare the theoretical forward rate with the actual forward rate 3 Month theoretical forward rate 1$ = ₹ 75.74 Actual 3 Month forward rate quoted 1$ = ₹ 75.90 Step 3: Identify the overvalued currency From Step 2 we can clearly see that dollar is overvalued against the rupee Note: As per IRP dollar should be worth only ₹ 75.74. But it is being quoted at ₹ 75.90 thereby making it overvalued. Step 4: Arbitrage strategy – Borrow in undervalued currency and Invest in overvalued currency In this case arbitrage profits can be made by borrowing in Rupees (which is undervalued) and Invest in dollars (which is overvalued). So let us presume a borrowing of ₹ 100. Day 1 Borrow ₹ 100 for 3 Months at an interest rate of 7% p.a. Sell ₹ 100 spot at 1$ = ₹ 75 and obtain $1.3333 Invest $1.3333 at 3% p.a for 3 months which $1.3433 will amount to $1.3333(1+ )= Enter into a 3 Month forward contract to sell $1.3433 @ 1$ = ₹ 75.90 Day 90 Investment matures and we receive Deliver $1.3433 under the forward contract at the contracted rate of 1$ = ₹ 75.90 and receive $1.3433 ₹ 101.96 Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Repay Borrowings of ₹ 100 together with interest of 7% p.a. for 3 months i.e. Rs ( ) Hence arbitrage profit per ₹ 100 (₹ 101.75) ₹ 0.21 Point to Ponder: We are borrowing at 7% and investing at 3% and still making profits. This proves that interest rate arbitrage in case of foreign exchange is not as simple as borrowing at lower rate and investing at higher rate. Q.14 The following quotes are available: Mumbai ₹/$ 76.50 London ₹/£ ₹ 94.00 New York £/$ ₹ 0.85 Find the arbitrage profits that can be made on $100,000. A.14 Since the question requires finding profit on $100,000 it is to be presumed that $ is the home currency. We freeze one quote which has the home currency – In this case we can free the Mumbai quote of ₹ /$ = ₹ 76.50. (Alternatively you could have also frozen the other quote which contains dollar i.e. the New York quote of £ / 4 = 0.85. Irrespective of which dollar quote you froze, the final answer will still be the same). Now using the ₹ / £ and £ / $ quote we derive the ₹ / $ quote using the concept of cross currency quotes: ₹/$=₹/£x£/$ ₹ / $ = 94 x 0.85 = ₹ 79.90. Since the derived quote of ₹ / $ = 79.90 is not equal to frozen quote of ₹ / $ = 76.50 arbitrage profits can be made by buying $ at ₹ 76.50 (Mumbai) and selling the same at ₹ 79.90 (in the derived market) as under Sell 1$ in New york @ 1$ =£ 0.85 and obtain £ 0.85 Sell £ 0.85 in London @ 1gbp = ₹ 94 and obtain ₹ 79.90 Sell ₹ 79.90 in Mumbai @ 1$ = ₹ 76.50 and obtain $1.04 Hence by selling 1$ at the beginning you are able to obtain $1.04. Therefore arbitrage profit per 1$ is $0.04. Hence arbitrage profit per $100,000 = $4000. Hedging Techniques Q.15 Amar Industries Ltd has today (1-1-2019) exported goods with an invoice value of $1,00,000 due in 3 month time i.e., on 31-3-2019. Upon enquiry it has received the following rates: Spot ₹/$ = 71.40 / 71.60 3 month forward ₹/$ = 73.10/73.20 The following quotes on the exchanges prevail on 1-1-2019 for dollar futures having a contract size of $50,000: Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Future expiry month January 2019 February 2019 March 2019 Price quoted on the exchange on 1-1-19 for futures contract 71.95 / 72.05 72.80/72.90 73.25/73.40 Margin money per contract ₹50,000 ₹55,000 ₹60,000 Evaluate whether the company should enter into a forward contract or futures contract given the following additional information: Spot rate on 31-3-2019 ₹/$ 72.30 Interest rate applicable for Amar Industries Ltd is 12% p.a. You may assume that all the futures contracts expire on the last day of the respective months. A.15 a. Forward contract: Rupee inflow if the company enters into a forward contract to sell $1,00,000 3 months forward @ 1$ = ₹ 73.10 will be : $100,000 x ₹ 73.10 = ₹ 73,10,000 b. Futures contract: The company is an exporter and has a dollar receivable, it will be looking to sell dollars and buy rupees. Since the futures being traded are dollar futures, the company will sell the dollar futures. Further, the receivable is due on 31-3-2019 – hence the company will sell the March futures. Since the lot size is $50,000, the company will sell 2 lots of March 2019 futures @ 1$ = ₹ 73.25. On the due date i.e. on 31st March 2019, the futures contract will be squared off at the price at which the futures contract will be trading on the exchange on 31st March 2019. Now, in this question the price at which the March futures is trading on the expiry date is not given. However, since we know that on the maturity date the price of futures will be equal to the spot price, we can solve the problem on the assumption that the price of March futures on 31st March 2019 will be 1$ = ₹ 72.30 (which is the spot price on 31st March 2019). Date 1-1-2019 31-3-2019 31-3-2019 Transaction Sell 2 contracts of March dollar futures @ Square off (i.e. Purchase) 2 contracts of March dollar futures @ Profit on futures per 1$ Total profits on futures = 2 contracts x $50,000 x ₹ 0.95 [A] Rupee inflow by selling $100,000 spot @ 1$ = ₹ 72.30 [B] Total Rupee inflow [C] = [A] + [B] Less: Interest on Margin @12% p.a. for 3 months on ₹ 1,20,000 [D] Net Inflow on account of undertaking futures [C] –[D] 1$ = ₹ 73.25 1$ = ₹ 72.30 ₹ 0.95 ₹ 95,000 ₹ 72,30,000 ₹ 73,25,000 (₹ 3,600) ₹ 73,21,400 Hence it is beneficial to opt for futures contract since the rupee inflow is higher as compared to futures. Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Q.16 Jaipur Industries Ltd has an import payable obligation of $200,000 due in 3 month time i.e. on 31-082019. It is confused as to whether to opt for forward contract or to use futures to hedge its foreign exchange risk. The following rates prevail today i.e., 1-06-2019: Spot ₹/$ = 70.45 / 70.65 3 month forward rate ₹/S = 71.59 / 71.77 3 months futures (lot size $50,000) expiring on August 31st are being dealt today (i.e. 1-6-2019) @ 1$ = ₹ 71.60/71.76. Advise Jaipur Industries Ltd whether it should hedge its foreign exchange risk by using forwards or futures given the following additional information: Spot rate on 31-08-2019 ₹/$ = 73.05/73.10 August futures is trading on 31-8-19 on the exchange at 1$ = ₹ 73.06 / 73.11. Future contracts are subject to margin requirement of ₹ 25,000 per contract and the cost of capital to Jaipur Industries Ltd is 9% p.a. A.16 a. Forward contract: Rupee outflow to settle the payable of $200,000 if a forward contract is entered into @ 1$ = ₹ 71.77 will be : $200,000 x ₹ 71.77 = ₹ 1,43,54,000. b. Futures contract The company is an importer and has a dollar payable - it will be looking to buy dollars and sell rupees. Since the futures being traded are dollar futures, the company will buy the dollar futures. Further, the receivable is due on 31-8-2019 – hence the company will buy the August 2019 futures. Since the lot size is $25,000, the company will buy 8 lots of August 2019 futures @ 1$ = ₹ 73.11. On the due date i.e. on 31st August 2019, the futures contract will be squared off at the price at which the futures contract will be trading on the exchange on 31st August 2019. Now, in this question the price at which the August futures is trading on the expiry date is given. Hence the August futures will be squared off (i.e. sold) on August 31st at 1$ = ₹ 73.06. Date Transaction 1-6-2019 Buy 8 contracts of August dollar futures @ 1$ = ₹ 73.11 31-8-2019 Square off (i.e. Sell ) 8 contracts of August dollar futures @ 1$ = ₹ 73.06 Loss on futures per 1$ ₹ 0.05 Total Loss on futures =8 contracts x $25,000 x ₹ 0.05 [A] (₹ 10,000) 31-8-2019 Rupee outflow for buying $200,000 spot @ 1$ = ₹ 73.10 [B] (₹1, 46,20,000) Total Rupee outflow [C] = [A] + [B] (₹1, 46,30,000) Interest on Margin @9% p.a. for 3 months on ₹ 2,00,000 [D] (₹ 4,500) Net outflow on account of undertaking futures [C] +[D] (₹1, 46,34,500) Hence it will be beneficial for the company to enter into a forward cover, as the outflow is lower. Q.17 Pushpak Ltd has an export receivable of £ 100,000 due 3 month time i.e. 31st March 2020. The company has decided to hedge its foreign exchange exposure by using futures contract. The following information is available to it today (1-1-2020): Spot £ /₹ = 0.0105174 3 Months March futures are trading at £ /₹ =0.010384 (Lot size: ₹ 24,07,500) Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Margin requirement: ₹ 10,000 per lot. Find the total inflow to the company based on the following additional information: Spot as on 31-3-2020 ₹ / £ = 0.010636 st On 31 March 2020, the March futures are also trading at ₹ / £ = 0.010636 The relevant interest rate applicable for Pushpak Ltd is 10% p.a. A.17 The company is an exporter and has a dollar receivable - it will be looking to sell dollars and buy rupees. Since the futures being traded are Rupee futures (lot size is given in rupees – hence the conclusion that futures being traded are rupee contracts), the company will buy the rupee futures. In order to determine the number of contracts of rupee future the company should purchase, we first need to find the rupee equivalent exposure value of £ 100,000 at the future rate of 1 ₹ = 0.010384. Rupee equivalent exposure value of £ 100,000 @ 1Rs. = £ 0.010384 = ₹ 96,30,200 Size of each lot = ₹ 24,07,500 Therefore, no of lots to be purchased: 96,30,200 / 24,07,500 = 4 lots Date Transaction 1-1-2020 Buy 4 contracts of March Rupee futures @ 1 ₹ = £ 0.010384 31-3-2020 Square off (i.e. Sell ) 4 contracts of March rupee futures @ 1 ₹= £ 0.010636 £ 0.000252 Profit on futures per 1 ₹ Total profits on futures = 4 contracts x ₹24,07,500 x £ £ 2426.76 0.000252 [A] 31-3-2019 Rupee inflow by selling $102426.76 spot @ 1 ₹ = £ 0.010636 ₹ 96,30,196 [B] Less: Interest on Margin @10% p.a. for 3 months on ₹ 40,000 (₹ 1,000) [C] Net Inflow on account of undertaking futures [B] –[C] ₹ 96,29,196 Q.18 Venus Ltd, an Indian company, has exported good having an invoice value of $200,000 to Halloween Ltd of USA due in 3 months’ time. The spot rate is being quoted at ₹ / $ = 75.00 / 75.10. The 3-month forward rate is quoted as ₹ / $ = 75.30 / 75.40. The interest rates for deposits and borrowings in India and USA are as under: Country Deposit rate (p.a.) Borrowing rate (p.a.) India 7% 10% USA 3% 6% Advise which of the following method of hedging is most beneficial to Venus Ltd: a. Forward contract b. Money Market Hedge A.18 If Forward contract is entered into: Receivable $200,000 Due in 3 months 3 Month forward rate for selling dollars 1$ = ₹ 75.30 Rupee Inflow if forward contract is entered into for selling $200,000 @ 1$ = ₹ 75.30 will be ₹ 1,50,60,000. Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management If Money Market Hedge (MMH) is executed: Since we have a receivable in dollars (asset) to create a MMH we need to create a liability (i.e. Borrow) in dollars. Amount to be borrowed Present Value of $200,000 @ 6% p.a for 3 months = $197044.33 Rupee inflow by selling $197044.33 spot @ 1$ = ₹ 75 = Add: Interest earned @ 7% p.a for 3 months = Total Rupee Inflow under MMH ₹ 1,47,78,324.75 ₹ 2,58,620.68 ₹ 1,50,36,945.43 Conclusion: Rupee inflow under forward contract ₹ 1,50,60,000 Rupee inflow under Money Market Hedge ₹ 1,50,36,945.43 Hence it is beneficial to opt for forward contract since the rupee inflow is higher under Forward contract. Q.19 A.19 Bronx Ltd (USA) has imported electronic goods from Otto Ltd (Germany) with an invoice value of € 100,000 due in 6 months. The spot rate is quoted at $/ € =1.13 / 1.15. The 6-month forward rate is being quoted as $/ € = 1.20 / 1.22. The interest rates of USA and Germany are as below: Country Deposit rate (p.a.) Borrowing rate (p.a.) USA 3% 5% German 1% 2% Bronx Ltd (USA) is contemplating whether to enter into a forward contract or execute a Money market hedge to protect itself from exchange risk. Advise. If forward contract is entered into Payable € 100,000 Due in 6 months Dollar outflow for Bronx Ltd (USA) if forward contract is entered into to buy € 100,000 6 month forwards @ 1 € = $1.22 will be: $1,22,000 If Money Market Hedge (MMH) is executed Since we have a payable in euros (liability) to execute MMH we need to create an asset (i.e. invest) in euros. Amount to be invested in euros Present value of € 100,000 @1% p.a for 6 months = € 99502.49 Dollar outflow to buy € 99502.49 spot @ 1 € = $1.15 will be $1,14,427.86 Add: Interest cost @ 5% p.a for 6 month $ 2,860.70 Total dollar outflow under Money market hedge $ 1,17,288.56 Conclusion: Dollar outflow under forward contract $1,22,000.00 Dollar outflow under Money Market Hedge $1,17,288.56 Hence Money Market Hedge is preferable since the dollar outflow under MMH is lower than the dollar outflow under forward contract. Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Q.20 Renuka Industries Ltd is supposed to make payment of $ 1,00,000 today when the spot rate is ₹/$ = 70/72. One month forward is available at $ 1 = Rs. 71.80/72.10 and the penal interest for late payment would at 12% p.a. Company’s cost of capital is 15%. The company is in a dilemma as to whether make the payment today or to have it lagged by one month. You, as the financial advisor to the company are required to advise the company suitably showing the calculations justifying your advice. A.20 [A] Rupee outflow if the payment is made today: Rupee outflow to settle the payable of @100,000 @ 1$ = ₹ 72 Add: Interest cost on the outflow @ 15% p.a. for 1 month Total outflow ₹ 72,00,000 ₹ 90,000 ₹ 72,90,000 [B] Rupee outflow if the payment is lagged by one month: Amount payable Add: Penal interest for lagging @12% p.a. for 1 month Total payable Rupee outflow to settle the above at 1$ = ₹ 72.10 $100,000 $1,000 $1,01,000 ₹ 72,82,100 Conclusion: It is beneficial to make the payment after 1 month, since the rupee outflow in such a case is lower than the rupee outflow of making the payment today. Q.21 Pawan Products Ltd (PPL) has imported goods from Madison Ltd (USA) invoice value being $ 75 lakhs and payable in 3 months’ time. The spot rate is quoted at ₹ / $ = ₹ 71.80 / ₹ 72.05 and 3-month forward rates are quoted at ₹ / $ = 73.10/73.45. Interest rates applicable to Pawan Products Ltd are as under: India USA Deposit rate Borrowing Deposit rate Borrowing rate rate 3 Months 10% 13% 4% 6% The company can lead the payment (i.e. make the payment early), although, in such an event it will get a discount of 3% The company is considering 3 alternatives for hedging: a. Enter into a forward contract. b. Execute a Money Market Hedge c. Opt for Leading the payment A.21 Payable Due in $75, 00,000 3 months a. Forward contract entered Rupee outflow to settle the payable of $ 75,00,000 if forward contract is entered @ 1$ = ₹ 73.45 will be ₹ 55,08,75,000. b. Money Market Hedge (MMH): Since we have a payable, to execute a Money Market Hedge, we need to invest in dollars. Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Amount to be invested PV of $75,00,000 @ 4% p.a. for 3 months $74,25,742.57 Rupee outflow to buy $74,25,742.57 spot @ 1$ = ₹ 73.45 = ₹ 54,54,20,792.10 Add: Interest @ 13% p.a. for 3 months = ₹ 1,77,26,175.74 Total rupee outflow under MMH = ₹ 56,31,46,967.80 Or say (rounded off) ₹ 56,31,46,968 c. Leading Amount payable $75,00,000 Less: Leading discount 3% $ 2,25,000 Net Payable $72,75,000 Rupee outflow if above payment made today @ 1$ = ₹ 73.45 = ₹ 53,43,48,750 Add: Interest on above @ 13% p.a. for 3 months = ₹ 1,73,66,334 Total rupee outflow under leading = ₹ 55,17,15,084 Conclusion: Rupee outflow under forward contract ₹ 55,08,75,000 Rupee outflow under Money Market Hedge ₹ 56,31,46,968 Rupee outflow under Leading ₹ ₹ 55,17,15,084 Hence the taking a forward contract would be the cheapest option for the company. Cash Management Q.22 Jyoti Industries Ltd a company based in India has subsidiaries in U.S. and U.K. The subsidiaries have forecasted that they will be having surplus funds for the next 30 days as under: U.S. $12.5 million U.K. £ 6 million Following exchange rate information is obtained: $/₹ £/ ₹ Spot 0.0215 0.0149 30 days forward 0.0217 0.0150 Annual borrowing/deposit rates (Simple) are available. India 6.4%/6.2% USA 1.6%/1.5% UK 3.9%/3.7% The Indian operation is forecasting a cash deficit of ₹ 500 million. (i) Calculate the cash balance at the end of 30 days period in ₹ for each company under each of the following scenarios ignoring transaction costs and taxes: (a) Each company invests/finances its own cash balances/deficits in local currency independently. (b) Cash balances are pooled immediately in India and the net balances are invested / borrowed for the 30 days period. (ii)Which method do you think is preferable from the parent company’s point of view? Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management A.22 Option A: Each Company invests / finances its own cash balances / deficits Capital Interest Interest for 1 rate month India (₹ 5,00,000) 6.4% p.a. (₹ 2667) USA $12,500 1.5% p.a. $15.625 UK £ 6,000 3.7% p.a. £ 18.50 Net cash balance at the end of 30 days in Rupees Total (₹ 5,02,667) $12,515.625 £ 6,018.50 Option B: If cash balances are pooled immediately Cash deficit in India Cash balance brought in from: USA: $12,500 @ 1 ₹ = $0.0215 ₹ 5,81,395 UK : $6,000 @ 1 ₹ = £ 0.0149 ₹ 4,02,685 Net Surplus after pooling immediately Add: Interest earned @ 6.2% p.a. for 1 month Net cash balance after 30 days (figures in ‘000) Exchange Balance in rate Rupees (₹ 5,02,667) 1₹=$0.0217 ₹ 5,76,757 1₹=£0.0150 ₹ 4,01,233 ₹ 4,75,323 (₹ 5,00,000) ₹ 9,84,080 ₹ 4,84,080 ₹ 2,501 ₹ 4,86,581 Hence it is advisable to opt for Option B i.e. pool the cash balance immediately as it will result in higher balance in rupees at the end of 30 days. Nostro / Vostro / Loro Q.23 Assume your bank is maintaining a Nostro Account in Euro with Deutsche Bank, Frankfurt Opening Balance (Nostro A/c) € 20,000 Opening Position (over bought) € 15000 The following transactions were carried out: TT Purchased € 1,50,000 Draft Issued € 20,000 Outward TT Remittance € 1,25,000 Purchase of Bill payable at Milan € 2,75,000 Forward sales € 2,75,000 Export Bill realised € 45,000. What steps should be taken if the bank wishes to maintain a credit balance of € 70,000 in the Nostro account and an overbought position of A.24 Statement of Exchange Position Particulars Opening Position (over bought) TT Purchases Issue of Draft TT Remittances Bill Purchased Forward sales Total Purchase (Long Position) € 15,000 € 1,50,000 Sales (Short Position) € 20,000 € 1,25,000 € 2,75,000 € 4,40,000 € 2,75,000 € 4,20,000 Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Balance – over bought (*) TT Sale Spot € 20,000 € 20,000 After the TT sale spot of € 20,000, the balance in Statement of exchange position will be NIL i.e. the position will be square. Nostro A/c (Euro) Particulars Amount Particulars Particulars By Opening Balance 20,000 To TT Remittance 1,25,000 By TT Purchases 1,50,000 To TT Sale (Spot) to get the By Export bill realised 45,000 balance to the desired level of 70000 € (*) 20,000 To Bal c/d 70,000 2,15,000 2,15,000 Point to ponder: Always balance and achieve the target balance for NOSTRO ACCOUNT first and then balance the Statement of exchange position. Q.24 You as a dealer in foreign exchange have the following position in Pounds as on 31-8-2019. Balance in Nostro A/c (Credit) £ 1,00,000 Opening position (over bought) £ 50,000 Bill on London Purchased £ 80,000 TT forward sale £ 60,000 Forward purchase contract cancelled £ 30,000 TT Remittance £ 75,000 Draft on London Cancelled £ 30,000 What steps are to be taken if it is desired to maintain a credit balance of £ 30,000 in the Nostro Account and keeping an overbought position of £ 10,000. A.24 Statement of Exchange Position Particulars Purchase (Long Position) Opening Position (over bought) £ 50,000 Bill on London Purchased £ 80,000 TT Forward sale Forward purchased cancelled TT Remittance Draft on London cancelled £ 30,000 Total £ 1,60,000 Balance – over sold (*) TT Purchase Spot £ 5,000 Sales (Short Position) £ 60,000 £ 30,000 £ 75,000 £ 1,65,000 £ 5,000 After the TT purchase spot of £ 5,000, the balance in Statement of exchange position will be NIL i.e. the position will be square. However, since it is desired to keep a overbought balance of £ 10,000, the bank should enter into a forward purchase for £ 10,000. The forward purchase will make the balance Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management in exchange statement an overbought balance – but it will not affect the Nostro A/c since it is a forward purchase and there is no cash movement today Nostro A/c (Pounds) Particulars Amount Particulars Particulars By Opening Balance 1,00,000 To TT Purchase (Spot) to get the To TT Remittance 75,000 balance to the desired level of 5,000 30,000£ (*) To Bal c/d 30,000 1,05,000 1,05,000 Point to ponder: Always balance and achieve the target balance for NOSTRO ACCOUNT first and then balance the Statement of exchange position. Cancellation /Extension / Early Delivery / Delayed Delivery of Forward Contracts Q.25 On 15th January 2019 you as a banker booked a forward contract for $ 300,000 for your import customer deliverable on 15th March 2019 at Rs. 75.1250. On due date customer requests, you to cancel the contract. On this date quotation for $ in the inter-bank market is as follows: Spot 1 $ = 75.5000 / 6000 Spot / April 3000 / 3200 Spot / May 3300 / 3500 Assuming that the flat charges for the cancellation is Rs. 100 and exchange margin is 0.10%, then determine the cancellation charges payable by the customer. A.25 It is given that the customer is an importer. Hence the customer would have entered into a forward contract to buy $300,000 (i.e banker to sell) @ 1$ = ₹ 75.1250. Simultaneously the bank would have entered into a 15th March forward contract to buy $250,000 to keep his position square. Upon the customer seeking cancellation on the due date (on 15th March 2019), the bank will sell $300,000 spot @ 1$ = ₹ 75.50 minus Margin 0.10% = ₹ 75.4245. The Bank has purchased the dollars @ 1$ = ₹ 75.1250 and the same has been sold off at 1$ = ₹ 75.4245. Hence the resultant profit of $300,000 x (₹ 75.4245-₹ 75.1250) = ₹89850 + ₹ 100 = ₹ 89,950 will be to the account of the customer. Q.26 An exporter has entered into a 3-month forward contract to sell Singapore dollars S$ 50,000 at the rate of Rs. 52.2500. However, after 2 months your customer comes to you and request cancellation of the contract. On that date quotation for Singapore dollars in the market is as follows: Spot 1 S$ = Rs. 52.6000 / 6500 1 month forward 1 S$ = Rs. 52.7500 / 8200 Determine the cancellation charges payable by the customer. Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management A.26 The exporter has entered into a 3 month forward contract to sell S$ 50,000 (i.e. banker to buy) @ 1S$ = ₹ 52.25. Simultaneously the bank would have entered into a 3 month forward sell to keep its position square. Upon the customer seeking cancellation after 2 months (i.e. 1 month before the due date), the bank will enter into a 1 month buy forward @ 1S$ = ₹ 52.82. Hence the bank has sold Singapore dollars @ 1S$ = ₹ 52.2500 and purchased the same at 1S$ = ₹ 52.82. The resultant loss of S$50,000 x (₹ 52.25 – ₹ 52.82) = ₹ 28,500 will be to the account of the customer. Q.27 Manish Traders is an export house based in Mumbai. It has an export receivable of $10,000 due in 2 month time It enters into a forward contract to sell the export receivables @ 1$ = ₹ 72.52 and the banker simultaneously covered himself in the interbank market at ₹ 72.59. However, on the due date, after 2 months the exporter approaches the bank with a request for extension of the forward contract by one month. On this date quotation of $ in the market was as follows: Spot ₹ 72.68 / 72.72 1 month forward ₹ 72.64 / 72.74 Determine the extension charges payable by the customer assuming exchange margin of 0.10% on buying as well as selling. A.27 The customer being an exporter has entered into a forward contract to sell dollars @ 1$ = ₹ 72.52 (bank to buy dollars). The banker simultaneously would have entered into a 2 month forward contract to sell dollars to keep its position square. Upon the customer seeking extension on the due date, the bank will first have to cancel the original contract. To do this, the bank will buy spot @ 1$ = ₹ 72.74 + 0.10% = ₹ 72.81. Hence the banker has sold dollars @ 1$ = ₹ 72.52 and then purchased the same @ 1$ = ₹ 72.81. The resultant loss of $10,000 x (₹ 72.52 – ₹ 72.81) = ₹ 2900 will be to the account of the customer. The above completes the cancellation process. Now, since the customer seeks to extend the contract by 1 month, a fresh 1 month forward contract will be entered wherein the customer (being an importer) will buy 1 month forward @ 1$ = ₹ 72.74 + Margin 0.10% = ₹ 72.81. Q.28 An exporter who is due to receive $10,000 in 3-month time from now i.e.1-4-19 enters into a forward contract today (1-1-2019) to sell the dollars @ 1$ = ₹ 75.80. After a month (on 1-2-19) the exporter delivers the dollars received under the said contract and requests the banker to settle early delivery. The rates prevailing on 1-2-19 are as under: Spot ₹/$ 75.75 / 75.90 2 months forward ₹ / $ 75.85 / 75.95 The Prime lending rate of interest may be assumed at 12% p.a. Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management A.28 The customer, being an exporter, has entered into a 3 month forward contract to sell $10,000 @ 1$ = ₹ 75.80 (i.e. bank to buy). The banker, simultaneously, would have entered into a 3 month forward contract to sell the dollars to maintain a square position. On 1-2-19 upon the customer effecting the early delivery, the banker will take delivery of the dollars and sell it spot @ 1$ = ₹ 75.75. It will simultaneously also enter into a 2 month forward contract to buy dollars @ 1$ = ₹ 75.95. This sale of dollars spot at ₹ 75.75 and buying it 2 month forward at ₹ 75.95 will result in a swap loss of $10000 x (₹ 75.75 – ₹ 75.95) = ₹ 2000 which will be recovered from the customer. On 1-2-19 , the bank sells the dollar at ₹ 75.75 but it will have to pay the customer the contracted rate of ₹ 75.80. This results in blockage of funds to the extent of $10000 x (₹ 75.80 – ₹ 75.75) = ₹ 500. On this funds blockage, the bank will charge interest @12% p.a. for 2 months i.e. ₹ 10. CA Final – M2019 (Similar question) Others Q.29 An Indian company obtains the following quotes (₹ / $) Spot 35.90 / 36.10 3-month forward rate 36.00 / 36.25 6-month forward rate 36.10 / 36.40 The company needs dollar funds for 6 months. Determine whether the company should borrow in dollars or rupees given the following interest rates: 3-month Interest rate ₹: 12%, $: 6 % 6-month interest rate ₹: 11.50% $: 5.5% Also determine what should be the rate of interest after 3 months to make the company indifferent between 3 months borrowing and 6 months borrowing in case of: a. Rupee borrowing b. Dollar borrowing Note: For the purpose of calculation, you take units of dollar and rupee as 100 each CA Final: N-2018 A.29 a. If the company borrows in $ Assume the company borrows $100.00 Add: Interest @ 5.5% p.a for 6 months $2.75 Amount repayable after 6 months $102.75 Applicable 6 month forward rate ₹ 36.40 Cash outflow in Indian Rupees ₹ 3740.10 b. If company borrow equivalent amount in Indian rupees then outflow would be as under: Equivalent amount ₹ 36.10 x 100 ₹ 3610.00 Add: Interest @ 11.50% p.a for 6 months ₹ 207.58 Cash outflow in Indian Rupees ₹ 3817.58 Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management Hence it will be beneficial to borrow in dollars since it results in a lower rupee outflow. (ii) Let “i” be the interest rate of rupee borrowing which makes the borrowing indifferent between 3 months and 6 months: (1+0.03)(1+i) = (1+0.0575) Solving the above we get i = 2.67% for 3 months or 10.68% p.a. Similarly for the dollar borrowing: (1+0.015)(1+i) = (1+0.0275) Solving the above we get i= 1.232% for 3 months or 4.93% p.a. Q.30 K Ltd. currently operates from 4 different buildings and wants to consolidate its operations into one building which is expected to cost ` 90 crores. The Board of K Ltd. had approved the above plan and to fund the above cost, agreed to avail an External Commercial. Borrowing (ECB) of GBP 10 m from G Bank Ltd. on the following conditions: • The Loan will be availed on 1st April, 2019 with interest payable on half yearly rest. • Average Loan Maturity life will be 3.4 years with an overall tenure of 5 years. • Upfront Fee of 1.20%. • Interest Cost is GBP 6 months LIBOR + Margin of 2.50%. • The 6-month LIBOR is expected to be 1.05%. K Ltd. also entered into a GBP-INR hedge at 1 GBP = INR 90 to cover the exposure on account of the above ECB Loan and the cost of the hedge is coming to 4.00% p.a. As a Finance Manager, given the above information and taking the 1 GBP = INR 90: (i) Calculate the overall cost both in percentage and rupee terms on an annual basis. (ii) What is the cost of hedging in rupee terms? (iii) If K Ltd. wants to pursue an aggressive approach, what would be the net gain/loss for K Ltd. if the INR depreciates/appreciates against GBP by 10% at the end of the 5 years assuming that the loan is repaid in GBP at the end of 5 years? Ignore time value and taxes and calculate to two decimals. A.30 Calculation of overall cost Interest & Margin (A) Hedging Cost (B) Total (A+B) One-time fee: 1.20% Avg duration = 3.4% Per annum cost = 1.20%/3.4 Total Cost 7.55+0.35 3.55% 4% 7.55 0.35% 7.90% Overall Cost in Rupee terms@ GBP 1 = 10,000,000 X 7.90% X 90 = ₹ 71,100,000 Foreign Exchange Exposure and Risk Management (ii) Cost of Hedging in Rupee terms ₹ 13,60,000 x 90 = ₹ 12,24,00,000 or ₹ 12.24 crores Profit or loss under aggressive approach If INR Depreciates by 10% Re loss per £ = 90 x 10% Total loss on £ 10 mn Less: Cost of hedging saved Net Loss ₹9 ₹ 90 mn (₹ 36 mn) ₹ 54 mn If INR Appreciates by 10% Re gains per £ = 90 x 10% Total gain on £ 10 mn Add: Cost of hedging saved Net Gain ₹9 ₹ 90 mn ₹ 36 mn ₹ 126 mn