OBJECTIVE The objective of the lab session was to model a watershed using the software HEC-HMS and generate the outflow hydrograph at the outlet. And also to calibrate the model using the river gauge data provided getting an output of the peak flow, time to peak and the peak shift with the observed streamflow data. INTRODUCTION Sustainable management of limited fresh water sources is a major challenge and is extremely important for the people living in the world. Failure to manage the water sources in an effective manner will adversely affect the society and the economy of the country. Management of water resources in a basin essentially requires understanding of dynamics of basin water and assessment of basin water availability for development use. Hydrological modeling is a commonly used tool to estimate the basin’s hydrological response due to precipitation. Various types of hydrological models from black box models which require less basin data to physically based models which require large amount of basin data have been developed. The Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) is designed to simulate the complete hydrologic processes of dendritic watershed systems. The software includes many traditional hydrologic analysis procedures such as event infiltration, unit hydrographs, and hydrologic routing. HEC-HMS also includes procedures necessary for continuous simulation including evapo-transpiration, snowmelt, and soil moisture accounting. The software features a completely integrated work environment including a database, data entry utilities, computation engine, and results reporting tools. A graphical user interface allows the user seamless movement between the different parts of the software. HEC-HMS needs three input components such as: The basin model The meteorological model, The control specifications. The basin model is the representation of real-world objects with parameters describing their behavior. The basin model elements are sub basin, reach, junction, source, reservoir, reach, point of intersection of river reaches, input flow point to basin system, outlet of the basin system, reservoir, and diversion for a reach, respectively. The metrological model is responsible for preparing the boundary conditions that act on the watershed during a simulation. Meteorological data analysis is performed by the meteorological and includes shortwave radiation, precipitation, evapo-transpiration, and snowmelt. Not all of these components are 1 required for all simulations. Simple event simulations require only precipitation, while continuous simulation additionally requires evapo-transpiration. The time span of a simulation is controlled by control specifications and control specification is used to describe the time period and time step for simulation. Control specifications include a starting date and time, ending date and time, and a time interval. METHODOLOGY From the data provided the catchment was modelled on the software Figure 1: Catchment Model- Watershed AB01 The below figure shows the model of the watershed AB01 in HEC-HMS software. Figure 2: Model of Watershed AB01 2 RESULTS The following table shows the input parameters. There are 4 parameters which need to be provided to run the model Basin Models Meteorological Models Control Specifications Time-series Data Table 1: Sub-catchment parameters Sub-catchment ID Area(km2) Initial abstraction(mm) Soil Group Lag Time (min) SB1 34.41 1.7 A 78 SB2 25.2 1.4 A 25 SB3 29.63 2.3 C 42 SB4 24.2 1.8 D 48 Table 2: Model Control Specifications Loss method SS Curve number method Transform Method SCS unit hydrograph method Catchment cover status Grass cover < 50% Muskingum k 1.5 (Hours) Muskingum x 0.15 3 Figure 3: Hydrograph CALIBRATION OF THE COMPUTED RESULTS Table 3: Sub catchment parameters Sub-catchment ID Initial abstraction Curve number Lag Time (min) (mm) SB1 2.5 68 120 SB2 2.8 84 85 SB3 1.2 89 110 SB4 1.0 39 40 Table 4: Model Control Specifications Reach Muskingum k (hours) Muskingum x Reach1 1.0 0.5 Reach 2 1.4 0.45 Reach 3 2.7 0.5 Reach 4 1.0 0.4 4 Reach 5 1.3 0.5 Reach 6 2.0 0.5 Reach 7 0.1 0.5 RESULTS AFTER CALIBRATION Figure 4: Adjusted Hydrograph Figure 5: Obtained values 5 Computed Results Observed Results 3.5 3.5 Volume (m ) 0.67 0.67 Date/Time of Peak(hr) 01 Apr 2016 / 15:00 01 Apr 2016 / 15:00 Peak Discharge(m3/s) 3 Table 5: Global Summary Table 6 DISCUSSION HEC-HMS software helps us easily calculate and analyze the precipitation rates and the software helps us prepare hyetographs and hydrographs which helps us to predict the future precipitation rates. A total of six hydrologic routing methods are included for simulating flow in open channels. Routing with no attenuation can be modeled with the lag method. The traditional Muskingum method is included for simple approximations of attenuation. Most parameters for methods included in sub basin and reach elements can be estimated automatically using optimization trials. Observed discharge must be available for at least one element before optimization can begin. Parameters at any element upstream of the observed flow location can be estimated. Rainfall is the only source of water and there are no trans basin diversions into or out of the basin. The soil moisture accounting loss method uses five layers to represent the dynamics of water movement above and in the soil. Layers include canopy interception, surface depression storage, upper groundwater, and lower ground water. During this lab session, I had to go through 26 trial runs to get the both computed results and the computed results similar. Computed Results Observed Results Peak Discharge(m3/s) 3.5 3.5 Volume (m3) 0.67 0.67 Date/Time of Peak(hr) 01 Apr 2016 / 15:00 01 Apr 2016 / 15:00 The adjustable parameters are the: Muskingum X Muskingum k Initial abstraction SCS Curve Numbers When changing the Muskingum X I could observe a change in both graphs and also the volume changes slightly. When altering the SCS curve number the graph had a huge change as well as the volume changed a drastically. The land surface elevation can vary dramatically from headwaters to outlet. Soil properties change from one place to another place. Land use also changes with location but also changes over time. Each of the hydrologic processes can be modeled at varying levels of detail. . All of these issues jointly 7 produce uncertainty in the simulated watershed response. The uncertainty analysis allows parameters to be represented with a probability distribution function. Previously when the Muskingum k and Muskingum x was: Muskingum k 1.5 (Hours) Muskingum x 0.15 I obtained the results shows below And when the values were calibrated to the values shown in Table 4, I observed certain changes in the volume and peak discharge. (Figure 5).We can observe that the peak discharge of the computed values between both cases had varied by 0.3 and the mean Abs error reduced by 0.1 . A simulation run is created by combining a basin model, meteorological model, and control specifications. Run options include a precipitation or flow ratio, capability to save all basin state information at a point in time, and ability to begin a simulation run from previously saved state information. Most parameters for methods included in sub basin and reach elements can be estimated automatically using optimization trials. Observed discharge must be available for at least one element before optimization can begin. Parameters at any element upstream of the observed flow location can be estimated. There are few limitations in the software when analyzing the results. Every simulation system has limitations due to the choices made in the design and development of software. Limitations that arise in this program are due to two aspects of the design: simplified model formulation, and simplified flow representation. Simplifying the model formulation allows the program to complete programs very quickly while producing accurate and precise results. Simplifying the flow representation aids in keeping the compute process efficient and reduces duplication. 8 CONCLUSION The watershed AB01 was modeled using the software HEC-HMS which helps us to determine the effect of increasing urbanization on peak flood runoff over future periods. The software was used to get the final output of peak discharge, volume, date and time of peak. The models created can be used to test the impacts of land use changes, rainfall predictions, and channel modifications. REFERENCE Gabrecht, J., Martz, L.W., 1999. Digital elevation model issues in water resources modeling. In: Proceedings of the 19th ESRI international user conference. San Diego, California, p254–257. HEC, 2010c. HEC-RAS User’s Manual Version 4.1. Hydrologic Engineering Center. Combs, J.L., Perry, A.C., 2003. The 1903 and 1993 Floods in Kansas – The Effects of Changing Times and Technology. 9