Peters/Fowler 1 1AC V2.5 Whomever our opponents may be, please do not open our case until we have begun speaking. Peters/Fowler 2 The United States’ current use of small arms sales as a diplomatic tool causes several problems and requires reform. The conflict in the Donbass region of Ukraine puts millions of lives at risk and empowers extremist terror groups and while tens of thousands of lives have been lost as a result, we, as a nation, have the capability to end this conflict. It is for these reasons that we affirm the resolution: Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially reduce Direct Commercial Sales and/or Foreign Military Sales of arms from the United States. Peters/Fowler 3 Harms The continuation of the Ukrainian conflict puts millions of civilian lives at risk Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, 2019, https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/New%20UN%20Human%20Rights%20Report%20on%20Ukraine_Full%20text reporting period = February 16 to May 15, 2019 “When the shelling starts at night, I put him to bed and tell him it is just rain drops falling.” - A woman on how she explains the hostilities to her four-year-old grandchild in Oleksandrivka 23. During the reporting period, _ENG.pdf hostilities continued to affect, directly or indirectly, the lives of 3.9 million civilians residing in the conflict zone of eastern Ukraine.17 Regular exchanges of fire across the contact line continue to expose those residing nearby to a constant threat of death or injury, while their civilian property and critical civilian infrastructure continued to be damaged, often in disregard for the principles of distinction, proportionality and precaution. In addition to the threat of shelling, civilians continued to be at risk from mines and explosive remnants of war. OHCHR continued to observe the presence of militaryk personnel or objects within, or near, populated areas on both sides of the contact line. Over the reporting period, OHCHR documented nine cases in which Ukrainian forces established a presence in, or near, residential areas. For instance, in Verkhnotoretske (Donetsk region), OHCHR observed trenches belonging to Ukrainian forces approximately 15 metres from the nearest inhabited house.18 Over the reporting period, the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine (OSCE SMM) identified at least 10 cases of military positions or weapons in or near residential areas in territory controlled by ‘Donetsk people’s republic and ‘Luhansk people’s republic’. For instance, in Verkhnoshyrokivske (formerly Oktiabr) in Donetsk region, OSCE SMM observed three tanks close to a probable mortar position next to houses. US small arms escalate the conflict in Ukraine Shabbir, 6/6/2019 (Fahad, US must stop acting recklessly, engaging in disputes on russian border - state senator., Sputnik, retrieved from ProQuest) WASHINGTON, June 6 (Sputnik) The United States has become very irresponsible as it engages in disputes on the Russian border and should stop such provocative actions given the chance that something can go wrong and trigger a thermonuclear war, Virginia State Senator Richard Black told Sputnik. In May, the US Senate Armed Services Committee approved a draft 2020 defense budget that allocates $300 million for security aid to Ukraine. Russia has repeatedly warned the United States that sending arms to Ukraine will only fuel the conflict, destabilize the country and lead to more bloodshed​.​ "We really have become very reckless in getting involved in disputes that are right on the Russian border," Black said. "The president and our government need to always be mindful that while we may be overwhelmingly powerful in term of our economy and controlling the banking system and so forth that Russia has nearly the same number of nuclear weapons that we have. We should not be reckless and should not be provocative on the Russian border. Because there is always a chance that something goes wrong." Black said there is a chance, however small, that a thermonuclear war may be inadvertently triggered in which every major city in United States and Russia would be destroyed. "Is that worth being reckless? I don’t think so," the United States always starts out by saying it will provide non-lethal aid to partner states, but then almost immediately begins to provide weapons and in that way creates a constituency for war. "That is just a way these things are done," Black said. "The problem is once you start providing Javelin anti-tank missiles, which is what we are talking about in large measure, you develop a constituency that lobbies for war. The more weapons you provide, the more weapons manufacturers want war." Black said. Black said Peters/Fowler 4 Small arms sales embolden the Ukranian military without increasing fighting capacity Milakovsky 2017 August 28, 2017 Brian Milakovsky works for humanitarian organizations in eastern Ukraine “The Real Danger of Sending U.S. Arms to Ukraine” https://nationalinterest.org/feature/the-real-danger-sending-us-arms-ukraine-22088?page=0%2C1 In 2015, after spending several months in the frontline zone I wrote that Ukraine desperately needs a “lousy peace” and not an arms race. Two years and several thousand deaths later, the idea of supplying Ukraine with U.S. arms has resurfaced. As a humanitarian worker whose greatest desire is to see the intolerable misery of Ukrainian civilians come to an end, I grapple with these questions: Would American arms increase the price of Russian aggression, causing Moscow to scale back its military project in the Donbass and saving civilian lives? Or would they incite a new round of escalation and a flood of new arms into the region? The stakes of this question are incredibly high for Donbass civilians. With both sides placing their heavy artillery adjacent to residential areas (according to the head of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) monitoring mission in the region), every escalation means more death and destruction for a population already traumatized by three years of war and civil strife. I get no pleasure from the idea of Ukrainian soldiers, the men and women I see every day at checkpoints, being outgunned by Russian-armed separatists and the barely concealed Russian army. But while I hope that anti-tank Javelin rockets be used to hold Russian aggression at bay and save civilian lives, I believe we must consider other scenarios of how the addition of U.S. arms could affect this conflict. Russian aggression is the fundamental cause, and every move Ukraine makes (defensive or offensive) is inherently a reaction to it. But this does not necessarily mean that Russia is the source of each new spike of violence in the conflict zone. I travel to frontline towns several times a week, and frequently ask residents which side starts the exchanges of artillery that crisscross above their heads. The general answer is “sometimes this side, sometimes that.” You can get the same conclusion from following the technically detailed but judgment-free patrolling reports by the OSCE. There is reason to believe that the two largest escalation events so far in 2017 began with a “creeping offensive” by Ukrainian forces to improve their positions along the frontlines. This is an understandable move for soldiers pinned under enemy fire in vulnerable positions, but it may have triggered the massive firefights near the Svitlodarsk Bulge and between the warring sides in Avdiivka and Donetsk that took a dozen civilian lives and spread destruction on both sides of the front. Importantly, almost none of the advances were sustained. A Ukrainian battalion commander told Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty how his soldiers snuck into a no-man’s-land village outside Svitlodarsk called Novoluhanske and set up positions near the main employer, a pig farm. That night the separatists understood what had happened and began shelling the Ukrainian forces—and the farm, which was badly damaged as shelling continued into May. Just a small stretch of gardens separates the farm from the village, which itself has come under fire. I have spent much time in that area. In the winter of 2014–15 residents lived through the hellish “artillery duel” when the separatists and Ukrainian army pounded each other’s towns with shells and rockets. Later I helped re-equip a bombed and looted kindergarten and replace the shrapnel-scarred roof of the community center. The idea of death flying into these towns again, after they have slowly pieced together a normal life and gathered money from parents to hold the kindergarten pageant, overwhelms me. I am not suggesting that the Ukrainian forces as the sole guilty party in the continuing violence, especially considering Russia’s fundamental aggression. But whereas the creeping offensive was well discussed in Ukrainian media and even bragged about, I worry whether advocates are considering it when they calculate how U.S. arms will be used. And while we might recognize the basic moral right of the Ukrainian army to reclaim occupied land, our government has also repeatedly stated its commitment to the Minsk accords, which commit Ukraine and the separatist forces to (thus far unsuccessful) de-escalation. Many voices in the government and press have been telling the Ukrainian people for three years that U.S. arms will be a game changer. One parliamentarian and military volunteer claimed that “with American weapons, we’ll push the Russians back to Siberia.” Also, a military commander recently told the Daily Signal, “If the U.S. sends Given these claims, Kyiv might feel it must capitalize on the arms transfers to shift the balance on the front. The Pentagon is considering providing Ukraine with Javelin anti-tank rockets, which are considered defensive. But such weapons could be used to cover an advance into the separatist-held territories defended by Russian tanks. Some might hope that a Ukrainian advance would bring a conclusion to the war. But that is unlikely to be the result of any such offensive, be it creeping or galloping. In August, 2014 the Ukrainian army drove deep into the so-called “People’s Republics,” cutting Donetsk off from Luhansk and beginning to encircle them along the Russian border. The civilian casualties were awful as both sides reduced villages and city districts weapons, it would completely change the war the next day.” Peters/Fowler 5 to rubble. I thought to myself, “This is horrific, but if it brings this war to an end, maybe it’s for the best.” the tide was turned by massive, direct Russian military intervention, which threw back the Ukrainian forces and culminated in the death of hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers at the Ilovaisk encirclement. Five months later Russia’s direct involvement again shifted the military balance, allowing the separatists to occupy the strategic and nearly destroyed cities of Debaltseve and Vuhlehirsk. It didn’t. Most observers agree that Elena Racheva from the independent Russian newspaper Novaya Gazeta interviewed soldiers and civilians on both sides of the frontlines. She reported on Would a Ukrainian advance produce a different outcome today? A year ago mutual military buildup and the itchy desire of frontline troops on both sides to go on the offensive. This would set off a bloodbath, she wrote, “And if war returns, no one that I talked to will remain the alive.” Evgeny Shibalov, an activist who provided emergency humanitarian assistance to his neighbors in Donetsk before being deported by the separatist authorities, related to me that in thime first artillery exchanges on the outskirts of Donetsk ambulance records showed one military death to twenty-five civilians. As the sides have settled into more defined positions that civilian casualty ratio has dropped considerably. But Shibalov is deeply unnerved by frequent talk in Kyiv and the Ukrainian media about emulating Operation Storm, a military operation conducted by the NATO-backed Croatian and Bosnian forces that drove Serbian separatists from the Krajina region. The modest arms transfers proposed by the Pentagon are unlikely to inspire the Ukrainian army to make such a bold assault, but any significant move to redraw the frontline could incite the kind of massive civilian casualties not seen since the terrible summer of 2014. We also must consider how Moscow will interpret the “language of force.” Proponents of arming Ukraine claim it will send home more dead Russian soldiers, thus demonstrating to Putin that he cannot prop up the separatists with impunity. Seeing this U.S. resolve, he will reduce Russian provocations in Ukraine. But perhaps if we are underestimating the tolerance of Putin and his elite for the death of their soldiers and the numerous Ukrainian and Russian “volunteers” in the frontline trenches. I lived in Russia for the first year and a half Putin had staked his legitimacy with the Russian public on this confrontation with America. Military defeat or even significant military setback for the separatists would be defeat for Moscow, only compounded onto a geopolitical scale. I fear that Putin’s understanding of the language of force will be entirely different. Regardless of the actual impact of Javelin rockets, he could regard U.S. arms transfers as a symbolic test of who dictates conditions in the Donbass warzone. He could counter with a new wave of military hardware to demonstrate his resolve. The result could be a miniature arms race with lots of artillery being fired symbolically into the homes of living, breathing Donbass civilians. And that means death and of the Ukraine crisis and experienced the totality of Moscow’s information campaign. I left believing shattered lives, destroyed homes and livelihoods, and descent into basement bomb shelters and root cellars—where hope for a normal life rots in the dark. Two years of working in frontline communities has shown me that while the current status quo is awful, civilians have so much to lose. I visited the towns near the Svitlodarsk bulge for the first time in March 2015. Gaping windows, cratered walls and smashed storefronts greeted the eye everywhere. Many whitewashed little houses were blasted into rubble. Today, with the efforts of Ukrainian volunteers, international NGOs and competent administrators the scars of war are barely visible. Small factories and workshops are re-opening and looking for workers. In Stanytsia Luhanska, the rural suburb of Luhansk that was ruthlessly shelled by both sides, small farmers are returning from refuge elsewhere in Ukraine or Russia, filling in bomb craters in their massive gardens and repairing destroyed greenhouses. They sell their tomatoes and cucumbers through the “border crossing” to Luhansk, using the proceeds to fix their homes and repay debts accrued from two years without a harvest. “Of course we want to live like we did before the war,” I constantly hear. “But the way it is now, we can survive. Just so that the war doesn’t come back.” I know many proponents of sending arms to Ukraine sincerely believe it will check Russian aggression and save lives. If the sales go forward and it indeed helps reduce violence in the frontline zone, I will be delighted to have been wrong. But if this move instead triggers escalation and subjects Donbass civilians to a new round of death and misery, will proponents still be paying attention? http://theconversation.com/ukraine-us-arms-sales-making-big-business-money-while-or dinary-people-pay-the-price-114238 Peters/Fowler 6 Inherency Small arms sales to Ukraine are actively increasing Mike Eckel, Christopher Miller, June 11, 2019 20:57 GMT, Next Up For U.S. Weapons Supplies To Ukraine? Possibly Surface-To-Air Missiles, https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-us-missiles-russia/29994114.html Over the five years of grinding war that has pitted Ukrainian forces against Russia-backed fighters, the United States has provided hundreds of millions of dollars in military gear: night-vision goggles, flak jackets, vehicles, counter-battery radars, among other things. Last year, after years of internal debate that preceded his administration, President Donald Trump began supplying Ukraine with sophisticated anti-tank missiles known as Javelins (small arms) -- a move that some feared would antagonize Moscow. Now, U.S. lawmakers are moving to up the ante again, with legislation that would authorize supplying Kyiv with surface-to-air missiles. The effort comes in an amendment being attached to legislation providing funding for the Defense Department; the amendment removes existing language prohibiting the sale of such missiles, known as man-portable air-defense systems, or MANPADS. Sponsored by the two top lawmakers on the House Foreign Affairs Committee -Democrat Eliot Engel and Republican Michael McCaul -- the measure, which is expected to pass easily, does not mean that the weapons will be supplied right away. Any final decision would have to go through multiple approval processes at various U.S. agencies, including the U.S. Defense Department. Peters/Fowler 7 Plan Plank 1: The United States federal government will substantially reduce Direct Commercial Sales and Foreign Military Sales from the United States by prohibiting the sale of small arms to Ukraine Plank 2: The Department of State (DoS) will enforce this plan in conjunction with the Department of Defense (DoD) Plank 3: This plan will be funded via a 0.001% surtax on corporate income tax (This will procure approximately 2.05 million dollars) Any surpluses or deficits in this tax will be adjusted for each fiscal year Plank 4: As the affirmative, we claim fiat, right to clarify, and legislative intent. Peters/Fowler 8 Advantage: Fascism Small arms sold to Ukraine are funneled to the Azov Battalion, a neo-Nazi branch of the country’s national guard Max Blumenthal, November 17, 2018, https://consortiumnews.com/2018/11/17/blowback-us-funded-ukraine-neo-nazis-mentor-us-white-supremacists/ Last month, an unsealed FBI indictment of four American white supremacists from the Rise Above Movement (RAM) declared that the defendants had trained with Ukraine’s Azov Battalion, a neo-Nazi militia officially incorporated into the country’s national guard. The training took place after the white supremacist gang participated in violent riots in Huntington Beach and Berkeley, California and Charlottesville, Virginia in 2017. The indictment stated that the Azov Battalion “is believed to have participated in training and radicalizing United States-based white supremacy organizations.” After a wave of racist violence across America that culminated in the massacre of twelve Jewish worshippers at a Pittsburgh synagogue, the revelation that violent white supremacists have been traveling abroad for training and ideological indoctrination with a well-armed neo-Nazi militia should cause extreme alarm. Not only are white supremacists from across the West flocking to Ukraine to learn from the combat experience of their fascist brothers-in-arms, they are doing so openly — chronicling their experiences on social media before they bring their lessons back home. But U.S. law enforcement has done nothing so far to restrict the flow of right-wing American extremists to Azov’s bases. There is one likely explanation for the U.S. government’s hands-off approach to Azov recruitment: the extremist militia is fighting the United States has directly armed the Azov Battalion, forking over anti-tank rocket launchers and even sending a team of Army officers to meet in the field with Azov commanders in 2017. Though Congress passed legislation this year forbidding military aid to Azov on the grounds of its white supremacist ideology, the Trump administration’s authorization of $200 million in offensive weaponry and aid to the Ukrainian military makes it likely new stores of weapons will wind up the extremist regiment’s hands. When queried by reporters about evidence of American military training of Azov personnel, multiple U.S. army spokespersons admitted there was no mechanism in place to prevent that from happening. Today, Azov boasts combat experience, unlimited access to light weapons, and supporters honeycombed throughout the upper echelons of Ukraine’s military and government. No longer just a militia, the organization has developed into a political juggernaut that can overpower Ukraine’s government. Two years ago, the group flexed its muscle on the streets of Kiev, bringing out pro-Russian separatists as a front-line proxy of Washington. In fact, 10,000 supporters to demand that the government bend to their will or face a coup. “With its military experience and weapons, Azov has the ability to blackmail the government and defend themselves politically against any opposition. They openly say that if the government will not advance an ideology similar to theirs, they will overthrow it,” Ivan Katchanovski, a professor of political science at the University of Ottawa and leading expert on Ukraine’s far-right, commented to me. He continued, explaining: Currently the organizations that are fascist are stronger in Ukraine than in any other country in the world. But this fact is not reported by Western media because they see these organizations as supportive of the geopolitical agenda against Russia. So condemnations are limited to violence or human rights abuses.” The revelations of collaboration between violent American white supremacists and a neo-Nazi militia armed by the Pentagon add another scandalous chapter to a long history of blowback that dates back to the 1950’s, when the CIA rehabilitated several Ukrainian Nazi collaborators as anti-communist assets in the Cold War. an axis of fascism that stretches across the Atlantic, from the Ukrainian capital of Kiev to the sun-washed suburbs of Southern California, where some of the most rabid modern white supremacist gangs were born. The almost unbelievable story exposes Peters/Fowler 9 Solvency Small arms sales to Ukraine are making diplomatic resolution impossible Daniel DePetris, NOVEMBER 28, 2017 / 9:36 AM, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-depetris-ukraine-commentary/commentary-why-the-u-s-shoul dnt-send-arms-to-ukraine-idUSKBN1DS1XZp The National Security Council is reported to be on the verge of recommending the export of $47 million worth of defensive arms to Ukraine. The package will reportedly include a cache of Javelin anti-tank missiles, weapons that would reliably and efficiently disable the hundreds of tanks that the Russian-supported separatists in the country’s east have acquired since the conflict began. To advocates who believe that sending weapons to the Ukrainian government will bloody Russia’s nose and send President Vladimir Putin a message, this pending decision couldn’t have come soon enough. Arming Kiev is a popular prescription supported by top military officers and many lawmakers in both parties. Popular, however, doesn’t mean smart. Opening up America’s stockpile to Ukraine is not in Washington’s national security interest. In fact, it is bound to make a conflict that is mostly frozen into a more deadly one and it complicates any reasonable chance of a diplomatic resolution. While it may be uncomfortable to admit, the political orientation of Ukraine and how Ukrainians choose to manage (or mismanage) their economy and political system doesn’t directly affect the United States. As Rajan Menon and William Ruger wrote in Foreign Affairs magazine last month , “Ukraine matters more to Russia than it does to the United States.” To Washington, Ukraine is a post-Soviet state whose oligarchic politics and systemic corruption have severely handicapped the country’s economic outlook. U.S. security interests in Europe are not wedded to whether Kiev succeeds in establishing a more democratic and accountable form of government. At best , Ukraine is a peripheral country that the United States doesn’t have a treaty obligation to defend if its territory is invaded. To Putin, however, Ukraine is an integral puzzle in his grand strategy of making Russia as relevant a global player as it was during the Cold War. A wholesale Westernization of Ukrainian politics, from associations with the European Union (EU) to a possible membership in NATO, would destroy that ambition and ruin a significant portion of Putin’s political legacy. Indeed, the possibility of Ukraine increasing its trade relationship and political direction with the United States and Europe was enough of a national security threat to Putin that he was willing to deploy Russian soldiers, paratroopers, and special forces on Ukrainian territory to carve out a zone of influence there. Putin’s belief that a Russian-friendly Ukraine is a national security imperative for Moscow won’t be changed by a couple dozen anti-tank missiles from the United States. The second concern for the Trump administration is how Putin might respond to any escalation. As former National Security Council official Charles Kupchan argued in the Washington Post: “The notion that Russian President Vladimir Putin would give up his hold on Donbass [Eastern Ukraine] if a few more Russians come home in body bags is to dramatically misread the Kremlin.” Yet this false assumption is what undergirds the arguments from proponents of lethal assistance to the Ukrainians. It’s impossible to understand why some U.S. legislators are so confident that Moscow will react in the way they expect. The three-and-a-half year long war has shown that Russia is ruthless in escalating its involvement and investment in the conflict to prevent a military victory for Kiev. In fact, to expect that Moscow would respond to more Russian casualties by suing for a peace settlement is to ignore completely how Putin has behaved since Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine. When separatist units in Donetsk and Luhansk were losing ground to pro-Kiev forces early in the war, Russia came to their rescue. In the summer of 2014, when pro-Ukrainian troops were retaking towns that Kiev previously lost, columns of Russian tanks, artillery, heavy weapons, and soldiers crossed the border into Ukraine to ensure that there were no more Ukrainian territorial advances in strategic areas. When the stalemated battle in the city of Ilovaisk was Peters/Fowler 10 slowly moving Kiev’s way, conventional Russian soldiers and weapons were fast-tracked to the frontline in what would turn out to be one of the deadliest days for Ukrainian troops in the war. Months later, when the separatists were in jeopardy of retreating from the strategic town of Delbatseve, Russian tanks were deployed and quickly forced an undermanned, disorganized, demoralized, and tired contingent of Kiev forces to withdraw. There’s no reason to think that Putin would respond less violently now if Washington sent defense shipments to Ukraine. The most negative impact of additional U.S. involvement is that it will likely spoil Moscow’s willingness to cooperate on a Ukrainian peacekeeping proposal. While Moscow has insisted that the 2014 and 2015 Minsk protocols are the only way the war in Ukraine can end peacefully, Putin has openly acknowledged that there may need to be greater international involvement if that peace is to be sustainable. He broached the subject of deploying U.N. troops along the contact line this September and even agreed to explore greater access to peacekeepers in separatist-controlled territory after a call with German Chancellor Angela Merkel. The concept is now being discussed within the Trump administration and between the U.S. and Russian special envoys to the conflict, suggesting sincerity on the Russian side. A White House authorization to send equipment to Kiev could stop that dialogue . It’s difficult to understand why the United States would escalate the war when there may finally be an opening to explore a U.N.-enforced cessation of hostilities that could lead to a political settlement to the conflict. The Russians could respond to increased U.S. involvement in Ukraine in other ways too. Moscow could, for example, use its veto power in the U.N. Security Council to block U.S.-led efforts to stop North Korea’s nuclear program. Putin could expand military and intelligence cooperation with Iran to undermine the Trump administration’s policy of containing Iranian expansionism. The costs to the U.S. of turning Ukraine into a proxy war against Russia overshadow the benefit of increasing Moscow’s casualty count. Sending arms to Kiev will do very little to help resolve the conflict. Sometimes the best course of action for the White House is not to get more involved on issues peripheral to American grand strategy . President Zelensky is ready for peace talks, and ending small arm sales allows these to occur Samantha Raphelson, September 7, 2019 5:18 PM ET, https://www.npr.org/2019/09/07/758652882/russia-and-ukraine-conduct-prisoner-exchange-rene wing-hopes-for-talks Russia and Ukraine conducted a major prisoner swap on Saturday that released 70 people who had been imprisoned in both countries, a deal aimed at easing tensions sparked by Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea. While several obstacles still stand in the way of peace negotiations between the two countries, the exchange renews hopes that Moscow and Kiev will hold talks. France and Germany have been working behind the scenes to make such a summit happen. It was an emotional scene at Ukraine's Boryspil International Airport on Saturday, when 35 Ukrainian prisoners stepped off an aircraft and were reunited with their loved ones, as NPR's Lucian Kim reports. Meanwhile, a Russian plane carrying 35 people who were previously detained by Ukraine landed in Moscow. the agreed mutual release of persons held in Russia and Ukraine as a positive signal that should be followed by other important steps to break the impasse in the current situation in Russia-Ukraine relations," the Russian Foreign Ministry said in a statement. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who greeted the released prisoners at Kiev's main airport, said he is ready to schedule talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss a possible resolution to the ongoing dispute. Zelensky pledged to take all possible steps "to finish this horrible war" in Russian-controlled "We view eastern Ukraine, where violence has killed 13,000 people since 2014. The Ukrainian president, who was elected in May, has vowed to end the persistent clashes between Russian-backed separatists and Ukrainian rebels. Peters/Fowler 11 For Russia, participating in the prisoner exchange could mean a rollback of European sanctions that have been leveled against the country for its role in the conflict, Ukrainian political analyst Vadim Karasev told The Associated Press. Trump congratulated Ukraine and Russia on the prisoner exchange, tweeting that it could be "a first giant step to peace." President Peters/Fowler 12 Conclusion In conclusion, our plan ends the conflict in Ukraine,saving millions of lives, deescelates tension between nations, and prevents the growth of fascist terror groups. For these reasons, we urge a ballot in affirmation.