Price Action Principles - Trading a Range Module 1 Market Structure & Fibonacci @Mindset_BTC Disclaimer Please note that any trades shown in the following content are for educational purposes only; Any risk taken in following trades or setups that are shown for educational purposes is entirely borne by you, with no assignment of responsibility placed on me, MindsetBTC; I am not a financial adviser, and as such, will not provide advice that could be construed as specific in nature. Rather, this advice is intended to be general in nature as an education and entertainment resource; I do not recommend the purchase of any trading pair, investment, ticker, or any other financial instrument that could appreciated or depreciate, and as such, will not be held liable for users investments, good or bad; Do not blindly follow trading calls by anyone. Instead, do your own research; Past performance is not a guarantee of future results; and; This content is strictly provided for educational & entertainement purposes (in case I didn't mention this already) Acknowledgement I would like to acknowledge the people who have had a massive influence on me as a trader, some of whom I would call mentor, others who have inspired me to take action against no one else other than myself in improving and learning everyday The 2017/18 Market - you gave me the hunger to learn how to trade after getting my arse kicked by you! Crypto Cred - your videos and educational content are what set me off down the rabbit hole of learning how to trade Trader Mayne - after finding your Discord, and observing through your public streams and charts etc that we had a similar learning experience with trading, I dusted off my 2017/18 trading wounds and got back into the saddle Rektproof - a PA legend who truly inspired me to take action through his public content and approach to trading. Truly. Emporer BTC - No thanks are enough. He gave me a 'voice' to share my passion of trading and eduction with you all, and am forever grateful for this Inner Circle Trader - the man is truly a legend who I learned many concepts from, many of which are shared in this educational series. Many hundreds, if not thousands of hours spent digesting his material has helped me put this course together for you Quick Intro - A Bit About Myself I'm not a trading guru or god. I'm just a guy who has a self perceived incredible hunger to learn all that I can about trading and succeed in this field I feel that the reward and opportunity that the space creates and offers is truly amazing in return for the (small ask!) of thousands of hours of charting and learning All I did was simply look to find answers for each of the hundreds of problems that I faced each and every day after being introduced to the trading world. If I couldn't find the answer immediately, I made sure that I did (even if it cost me time or money to understand) The reason that I'm sharing this course with you is quite selfish in nature for two reasons; a) I like to help people and get a kick out of it (which is probably a good thing) b) Presenting a course like this helps to firmly solidify my own learnings over the years on paper. I retain much more of my own knowledge when I utilise it in guiding others like this (so not really too bad either) I'm still learning too...everday. I'll never stop. The day that you think you know it all is the day that complacency comes and kicks your arse, and you lose whatever edge it is that you think you had. The Goal of This Course It's to explore, in depth, each individual relevant puzzle piece, that are in my opinion, critical in gaining a framework of understanding with regard to Price Action trading, particularly, trading a range As a recap, we'll be exploring the below in the form of modules: Market Structure & Fibonacci (this module) Orderblocks & Breakers Value Area Trading & Volume Profile Tools Ranges & Liquidity Targets Trade Management Putting it All Together With that being said, let's get into the course Agenda: What is Price Action? Market Structure Swing Highs & Swing Lows Market Structure Breaks Bullish / Upward Trends Bearish / Downward Trends Bullish Reversals B̀€earish Reversals Fibonacci Tool Set up Background Execution Potential Take Profits Self Learning Conclusion What is Price Action? What is Price Action - Technical Perspective Firstly, let's kick off with asking ourselves what Price Action (PA) is from a TECHNICAL PERSPECTIVE My personal interpretation of PA from a TECHNICAL perspective is as follows: PA, being fractal in nature, is the way that the market unfolds and is established as and after areas of supply and demand are experienced. These tested areas of supply and demand then become formed and actual support and resistance; These support and resistance levels can then be drilled down further into swing highs and swing lows (which I personally define as market structure) These swing highs and lows in turn, are the building blocks that create and form the micro levels of market structure on the low time frames, which then go on to replicate on higher time frames thus forming the macro (as price is fractal in nature). In my opinion, if you can train yourself to recognise market structure on a low time frame, then you will already have a grasp of these concepts on the higher timeframes I believe that these principles work on and in any timeframe & market as a note also. See below marked up chart as an example of the above What is Price Action - Emotional Perspective What is Price Action (PA) is from an EMOTIONAL PERSPECTIVE? My opinion is that it is simply the print out, on a chart, of every human emotion that is experienced in the market Think: Disbelief, Hope, Optimism, Belief, Thrill, Euphoria, Complacency, Anxiety, Denial, Panic, Anger, Depression, & Disbelief The chart on the right will replicate (to a certain extent) from the 1min chart to the monthly chart and anywhere in between This is why I feel that PA principles work in any market humans are involved.... and we, are predictable in nature Based on the above, in my opinion - our job as traders is: (2) 1) To recognize how the dynamics of human emotion play out in the market from a technical & fractal perspective in order to use this to our own advantage; 2) In doing so, we MUST be able to manage and control our own emotions; 3) We control our emotions through a practised & solid technical understanding of market dynamics 4) We CONTINUALLY strive to learn & develop our technical understanding of market dynamics to improve only upon ourselves as traders (1) Traders Feedback Loop (4) (3) The Raw Reality of Trading If you haven't realised by now, here's a bit of a reality check for you: Someone has to lose in order for you to gain For every liquidation or loss, someone wins There are no two ways about it, trading is a zero sum game Think about that - you're up against some of the smartest minds out there, bots, algo's, and whatever else that can place a trade If you haven't put in the effort and hours, you are at a severe disadvantage already, and the odds are firmly against you You HAVE to put in the hours in order to be statistically more likely to be successful in this game So that's why you're here right? Well, let's get into it. Market Structure Market Structure (Theory) Market structure can basically be defined as the series of swing highs and swing lows and all the price action in between that can be found in the following scenarios: upward trend, downward trend, or in a ranging environment Bear in mind that market structure is fractal and can be found replicating itself across all timeframes (1H chart, 15M chart, 1M chart). There can be multiple scenarios of market structure occuring across all of these timeframes which you need to be aware of. Eg - the 1H chart could be in a downtrend, but the 15M chart is showing signs of a bullish uptrend Swing Highs & Lows Swing High Defined as when price makes a clear high, but is flanked by two consecutive lower high candles Swing Low Defined as when price makes a clear low, but is flanked by two consecutive higher low candles Market Structure Breaks (MSB's) A Market Structure Break (MSB) in my opinion, is where a previous swing high or swing low (applies to all timeframes) is run past / violated / trade above, through, or below to cause a change or shift in trend or market sentiment MSB's are one of the key components that make up the basis of this course Bullish Market Structure Break For a bullish MSB at a reversal point, price would run up through a previous swing high, where we would expect retracement back to support prior to price rallying off For a bullish MSB as a trend continuation, we expect price to keep beating previous swing highs in the newly formed or ongoing trend Bearish Market Structure Break For a bearish MSB, price would retrace through a previous swing low, where we would expect retracement up to resistance prior to price selling off For a bearish MSB as a trend continuation, we expect price to keep beating previous swing lows in the newly formed or ongoing trend Market Structure (Example) Uptrend, Downtrend, and Ranging examples in Market Structure as shown in the example to the right The green parallel channels represent up trends, where price experienced successive Market Structure Breaks to the upside (MSB's) The red parallel channels represent down trends, where price experienced successive Market Structure Breaks to the downside (MSB's) The blue rectangle represents a range in between an overall HTF up trend and down trend You can see how key Market Structure Breaks are in the formation of trends Bullish (Upward Trend) Upward Trend Where each peak and trough is successively higher than the previous occurences; Essentially, when higher swing lows and higher swing highs are successively occurring, the trend is considered intact; that is until this structure or continued formation is broken (see bearish reversal later in the document) Bullish (Upward Trend) As shown in the chart on the right, you can see how swing high market structure is continually beaten to form an uptrend Each successive swing high is broken, and price continues upwards in a very strong fashion Bearish (Downward Trend) Downward Trend Where each peak and trough is successively lower than the previous occurences; Essentially, lower swing lows and lower swing highs that are successively occuring, where the trend is considered intact until this structure or continued formation is broken (see bullish reversal later in the document) Bearish (Downward Trend) As shown in the chart on the right, you can see how swing low market structure is continually beaten to form a down trend Each successive swing low is broken, and price continues downward in a very strong fashion Bullish Trend Reversal Bullish Reversal Where a downtrend has occurred, but after a rally in price, recent market structure is retested, whereby we experience: 1) A successful test of support; and; 2) The most recent swing high market structure from said impulse move must also be broken, with price continuing in the new trend direction to confirm that the trend has in fact changed / reversed. Bullish Trend Reversal Example BTC Bearish Trend Reversal Bearish Reversal Where a uptrend has occured, where recent market structure is then retested, which we then experience: 1) A failed test of resistance; and; 2) The most recent swing low market structure must also be broken, with price continuing in the new trend direction to confirm that the trend has in fact changed / reversed. Bearish Trend Reversal Example ETH Fibonacci Tool Fibonacci Tool As this course is all about building the component understandings of how to trade a range, it's only logical that we explore how to set up a specific type of Fibonacci to then utilise on the market structure that we've just covered (as we wouldn't have covered the base foundation layer of what exactly we are anchoring the Fib Tool to otherwise). The way that I personally trade sees me utilise the Fibonacci Tool to justify my trade entries, and these are: Range Based Set Ups (we cover these in a later module) & Entry Fibs, covered here (note that these are based on ICT's fib system - see acknowledgements at the start of this module) Let's take a look at the Entry Fibs though as I call them 2 Entry Fib Setup 1) First Select the 3rd item down on the left hand side menu Then select "Fib Retracement" 2) Open up the settings of the Fib Retracement Tool (second image to the right), then enter the Fib levels in, and make sure that the box is checked for them too Note that I personally prefer to have no background, I don't select the reverse or price options, and that I have levels selected, with labels on the right, but in the middle 1 Entry Fib Background Let's delve into the background of the fibs Here we show the full suite of fibs in coloured boxes These can be broken down per the below: Anchor levels being the '1' and the '0' (light orange, and teal respectively) The trade entry levels of 0.618, 0.702, & 0.786 (yellow) And the target levels of 0.28, 0,-0.27, -0.618 & -1 (green, blue, purple, pink) One thing to note with these Fib levels are that they are percentages of a move, ie if pulling a fib from a swing low to a high (100% to 0%), and price retraces to the 0.702 level. This in essence means that price has retraced by 70.2% from where you had pulled your fib set up to and from Bullish Fib Set Up Bearish Fib Set Up Entry Fibs - Anchor Levels The Anchor fib levels form the backbone of every set up that you establish using this particular fib tool In terms of how we utilise the Anchor Levels, we do the following: At a swing low if bullish, or a swing high if bearish, this is where we anchor the '1' level At a swing high if bullish, or swing low if bearish, we place the '0' level In doing so, the rest of your levels will fall in suit as they are auto placed by the tool Bullish Fib Set Up Bearish Fib Set Up Entry Fibs - Anchor Levels - Bullish Example Entry Fibs - Anchor Levels - Bearish Example Entry Fibs - Entry Levels The Entry Level Fibs are where you...enter your trade In terms of how we utilise the entry level fibs: After pulling the Anchor Levels and determining a fib setup, we then expect price to retrace to these levels where we *could* then enter I say could, because this isn't a foolproof method; we do need to see other forms of confluence before entry My advice is to set an alert before these levels are hit, and to check that your trading plan still makes sense with regard to how the market looks compared to when you initially thought that your trading idea could play out Bullish Fib Set Up Bearish Fib Set Up Entry Fibs - Entry Levels - Bullish Example Entry Fibs - Entry Levels - Bearish Example Entry Fibs - Target Levels The Target Levels are where I personally take profits at over the course of a trade, but to be clear, this is determined by my trading plan that can be unique or uniform depending on how the market is looking to me. These levels won't always be hit, you need to manage your trades! We have: 0.28 level This level is selected as this can be the inverse of the 0.618 level of a counter move, where we could encounter trouble and a trade head South so to speak (see counter targets example below) 0 Level This can be an objective in itself wholly, or partially, and is aiming for an anchored swing high / low -0.27 -0.27 is the same ratio as 0 to 0.28, and as such, works as a logical profit taking area -0.618 -0.618 is the same ratio as 0 to 0.618, and as such, works as a logical profit taking area -1 The -1 level, is a measured move as ICT calls it, where if price reaches this level, is a 200% extension from the 0 to 1 level (Anchor Levels) ie 2 x the distance from 1 to 0 Bullish Fib Set Up Bearish Fib Set Up Entry Fibs - Entry Levels - Bullish Example Note: These targets won't always work, you need to manage your trade accordingly! Entry Fibs - Entry Levels - Bearish Example Note: These targets won't always work, you need to manage your trade accordingly! Entry Fibs - Entry Levels Counter Trade Targets, 1 of 2 There is a certain relationship that has a clear impact from a counter trade target when using the Entry Fib system that you should be aware of: This relationship revolves around the 0.28 level vs the 0.618 level in terms of moves in opposite directions when using the tool In the below slide, you will see three numbered charts: Chart 1 shows a trader who is looking to enter a short, they pull their fibs from the swing high to the swing low, and look for the Entry Level of the fibs, where they enter a trade Chart 2 shows a trader who is looking to get long, they pull their fibs from the swing low to the new swing high, and they are looking for the Entry Levels Chart 3 shows how these two traders levels interact. Chart 1's 0.28 level falls in just about the same spot as Chart 2's Entry Level fibs (0.618, 0.702, 0.786) If there is enough buying pressure at these Entry Levels in favour of the trader in Chart 2, then the trader in Chart 1 may be in a bit of trouble if they haven't taken profits and managed their trade accordingly This is the logic behind the profit taking at the 0.28 level. Entry Fibs - Entry Levels Counter Trade Targets, 2 of 2 1 2 3 Potential Take Profits Potential Take Profit Levels Ok, so now we've covered a bit of ground here, from the logical understanding of market structure, to then using the Fib tool on said market structure, to now using the Fib Tool as an indicative area to take profits at. I wanted to keep this as sequentially logical as possible for you all, and hope you appreciate this: When trading this method, a suggest take profit regime is per the below (note that it's up to you to work out what is best for you in terms of comfortability and what your level of experience is) TP 1 at 0.28 level, 10% of position size TP 2 at 0 level, 25% of position size NOTE: After TP 2 is hit, I will usually bring my SL to BE. I'm firmly of the belief in protecting my capital at all costs, and not interested in full moves without locking profits in. This is the way I play it, I rightfully respect anyone elses approach, but this works for me. TP 3 at -0.27 level, 20% of position size TP 4 at -0.618 level, 20% of position size TP 5 at -1 level, 25% of position size Theoretical TP 6 could be to let you final TP run with a trailing SL for the full effect of a move Note how with the above, there aren't any hopes and dreams. It's a structured, logical approach. Some may not agree with this, but in my opinion, especially for those of you looking to learn how to trade, this could help in locking more profits in than you lose in terms of hoping that full trades play out Potential Take Profit Levels - Bullish Set Up Potential Take Profit Levels - Bearish Set Up Self Learning So that's a wrap on Lesson 1. Now that we've completed this module, please go ahead and practice identifying where and how: Trends form, up and down Market Structure Breaks form and the reaction of the market after these after a reversal, and during a trend continuation (spend a bit of time really hammering it home for yourself with regard to how the market reacts after MSB's) Reversals; bullish and bearish form Ranges occur; where price trade sideways, rather than immediately up or down Fibonacci Tool, set up, and execution Potential Take Profit Areas In the next module, we'll be exploring how Order Blocks (OB's) come into the mix. Once we've built a level of understanding around OB's, we'll then use the fib tool again to adopt a trading entry method that complements this understanding. Conclusion This concludes our initial foray into the component parts that for me, make up each and every part of trading a range. This is a bit of information to digest, hence the reason why the course is delivered weekly; so that you can build upon the theory, and then execute from a practical perspective. You can of course use these individual techniques in your own trading of course, and I truly hope that you've found some value in what I've shared here. End goal of this course (recap) It's to explore, in depth, each individual relevant structure that are in my opinion critical in gaining a framework of understanding with regard to Price Action trading, particularly, trading a range In order to do so, we'll be exploring the below in the form of modules: Market Structure (this module) Orderblocks & Breakers Value Area Trading & Volume Profile Tools Ranges & Liquidity Targets Trade Management Putting it All Together Thanks for sticking around. Stay hungry, and say hi to the old chook for me. - Mindset Contact Twitter @MINDSET_BTC Telegram T.ME/MINDSET_BTC Youtube https://www.youtube.com/c/MindsetBTC