Mr. Johnny L. Mancawan CDA- II, BENRO Weather and Climate Weather is the present state of the atmosphere at a certain place and time 1 Climate is the average condition of the atmosphere (weather) for a period of time over a locality Philippines mean temperature 0.8 Difference ( C) from 1971-2000) Annual mean temp 0.6 Smoothed series (5 year running mean) 0.4 0.2 0 -0.2 Period -0.4 Rate 1981-2010 (last 30 yrs) 1951-2010 (60 years) Years -0.6 - 0.0164 - 0.0108 C/year Source: CAD/PAGASA/DOST -0.8 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year An increase of 0.648°C from 1951-2010 (60 years) Climate/Weather Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get. Characterized by variability and extremes. A resource A hazard A global common Image from the EUMETSAT / IODC programme, Meteosat-5 19/03/2006 Colour composite image provided by Meteo-France Presentation Outline: 1.The Science of Climate Change 2.Impact to Agriculture 3. Adaptation & Mitigation Saving the environment could be this century’s biggest challenge OUR PRECIOUS PLANET Visualization of the increase in global average temperature between 1850-2020 global warming? What is the greenhouse effect? Greenhouse Gas Carbon Dioxide Methane Nitrous Oxide Greenhouse Gas Balance Environment Greenhouse Gas Balance Environment Greenhouse Gas Enhance greenhouse effect Balance Environment Greenhouse Gas Enhance greenhouse effect Unbalance Environment Greenhouse Gas Global warming Sources of Greenhouse Gas Carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide Industries Carbon dioxide Vehicles Cutting and burning of trees Carbon dioxide Coal Power plant Household Gas Stove Methane Lowland rice Cow manure Piggery waste Garbage waste Nitrous oxides Fertilizers Processing Biofuel Frying meat at high temperature Industrial processess How ozone is produce Greenhouse Gas Ozone Layer Greenhouse Gas Ozone Layer Greenhouse Gas Ozone Layer What cause the Ozone layer depletion? Aerosols Refrigeration and air conditioning Industrial solvent cleaning and dry Cleaning. Semiconductor and electronics Fire extinguishers Foam Insulation and padding Increase in CO2 & Carbon compound Emission Increase in Green House Gases(GHG) Increase in Global Temperature GLOBAL WARMING CLIMATE CHANGE Climate Change - is any change in climate over a period of time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere. (IPCC, 2007) Impact of Global Warming & Climate Change Tropical Typhoons s. Visited by an average 19 to 20 TYPHOONS EVERY YEAR Tracks of tropical cyclones that formed in the Western North Pacific (WNP) during the period 1948-2010 (1641 TC and 1154 or 70% entered or formed in the Philippine Area of Responsibly (PAR) (Data used: JMA Data set) Typhoon Yolanda Typhoon Yolanda Typhoon Yolanda Typhoon Yolanda Typhoon Sendong Typhoon Sendong Typhoon Sendong Typhoon Pablo Typhoon Pablo Typhoon Lawin (Oct. 31, 2016) LANDSLIDES MUD FLOWS Drought POLAR ICE CAPS MELTING POLAR ICE CAPS MELTING No more snow Disaster Losses in Agriculture Average Annual Agricultural Damage: P12.43 B 70.3% 4.5% Typhoons Earthquake Flooding/Flashfloods Volcanic Eruption Average annual disasters losses in agriculture by hazard types Source: NDCC in Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction into Development: Challenges and Experience in the Philippines, Charlotte Benson, 2009. Drought Others 3 factors that affect plant growth Climatic Factors • • • • • Temperature Sunlight Wind Humidity Rainfall 1.5 Anomaly 5 year running mean Temperature Anomalies (°C) 1.0 Linear (5 year running mean) 0.5 0.0 y = 0.0109x - 0.2423 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 Year Increase in annual mean temperature by 0.61oC during the last half century. (PAGASA, 2010) 01 06 Temperature • Regulates most plant processes – germination, flowering, photosynthesis, transpiration, respiration, breaking of seed dormancy, etc. Temperature Effect/Impact to Corn 300 C above -increasingly impair cell division and amyloplast replication in maize kernel 350 C above -lethal to pollen viability 350 C -reduce kernel growth rate and final kernel size 330 C -380 C -rate of photosynthesis is high https://skyros.locean-ipsl.upmc.fr/~ESCAPE/luo2011.climaticchange.pdf Corn Temperature increase by 10 C Deepak Ray July 31, 2019 Mean temperature around 29°C throughout the growing period Corn yield decrease by 10 percent RICE Sensitivity to Heat Stress Sensitivity to Heat Stress LOW HIGH Panicle development Leaf, tiller and root development MEDIUM Pollination Grain filling Rice Temperature increase by 10 C Peng et.al (2004) Mean temperature around 22°C throughout the growing period Rice yield decrease by 15 percent Temperature • High air temperature generally affect transpiration (cooling & water uptake). • Photosynthesis rapidly decreases (closure of stomata). Temperature o Increase demand of water. o Longer dry season is favorable to pests & diseases. • Quality of fruits affected. • Excessively low temperatures can also cause limiting effects on plant growth and development. For example, water absorption is inhibited when the soil temperature is low because water is more viscous at low temperatures and less mobile. High temperature will affect pollination Drought/(Hulaw) Forest & Grass Fire Sunlight Sunlight is needed to produce food from the leaves. Sunlight is needed to transport food from leaves to roots of plants. Sunlight is needed for normal growth in plants: - Lack of sunlight will cause lighter color of leaves than green, will result to low production of flowers which result to few or no fruits produce. Sunlight • Duration of sunlight controls flowering in many plants. Relative Humidity • High RH will cause slow transpiration, transport of nutrients from roots is affected. • High air humidity favors many plant diseases and insect pests Wind • Strong wind result to leaf defoliation, leaf tearing, stem breakage, loss of flowers & small fruits. Wind • After storm, risk of disease incidence increase, particularly bacterial disease. • Strong wind at pollination time induces sterility. o excess soil moisture. - Cause flooding, water lagging or ponding. - Slow down or stop gas exchange between soil & atmosphere- oxygen deficiency. - Water lagging reduces nutrient uptake. o Occurrence of moisture stress during flowering & pollination is harmful to most crops. o Heavy rainfall will cause soil erosion which will cause decrease soil fertility & affect nutrient requirements of plants. o Long period of maturity. Rising Temperature & Changes in Rainfall Pattern Crop Yield Decrease Threatens Food Security IPCC AR4 (2007): The key findings “Global warming unequivocal” “aims to reduce countries’ and communities’ vulnerability to climate change by increasing their ability to absorb impacts”. Example of adaptation strategies Dry Season Wet Season Changing Production System: Mixed Cropping Changing Production System: Organic Farming Monday, September 27, 2021 Planting of Dragon Fruit Dragon fruit can adapt to climate change. Temperature - Can thrive in high temperature (prefer temperature of 21-31 degrees C but can also withstand temperature as high as 38-40 degrees C. - Drought tolerance Water - Need only moderate amount of water (less thirsty crop). Improved crop varieties o Using crops, varieties resistant to stress environments. • Drought-tolerant • Resistant to stresses e.g. water logging, pests. Modifying farm management practices (e.g. changing crops, adjusting planting calendar, changing planting density, etc.) Monday, September 27, 2021 Planting of high yielding varieties. appropriate fertilizer application. Agroforestry Plant hedgerows or small wooded plants on sloping arable land. Mulching 1. International Level (Geneva, 1979) Geneva Protocol – (1979) discuss on Global Warming Kyoto Protocol (Kyoto, Japan) – (Dec. 1997) Greenhouse Effect and reduction of greenhouse gas emission Montreal Protocol (Montreal, Quebec, Canada) – (Dec. 2015) – formulate the Montreal Action Plan upon the expiration of Kyoto protocol Parish Climate Accord (Parish) - to reduce the greenhouse gas emission, the Philippines committed to reduce by 70 percent its carbon emissions by 2030. 2. National Government Climate Change Act of 2009 (Republic Act No, 9729), on October 23, 2009 RA 9003 – Ecological Solid Waste Mgt. 3. Local Government Units plant trees, encourage others to plant trees and participate in tree planting activities. • Rainforest are the lungs of the world because they absorb vast amount of carbon dioxide and produce one fourth of the earth’s oxygen supply. In one year, an average tree inhales twelve (12) kilograms of carbon dioxide (CO2). The amount emitted by a car during an 11,000 miles or an 18,000 kilometers trip. A tree exhales enough oxygen to keep a family of four breathing for a year. save trees by using both side of paper. 1% 4% 3% 5% 12% Paper 50% Food & other organic Plastic 25% 1 ton of paper– 17 mature trees - 24,000 gallons of water - 1,255 pounds of CO2 released advocate the use of renewable energy such as those from hydrodams, wind, solar radiation. encourage industries to conduct waste water treatment. do waste segregation, recycling & adopt appropriate waste disposal practices. Recyclable products are usually made out of things that already have been used. It usually takes less energy to make recycled products than to make new ones. The less energy we use, the better. By recycling half of your household waste, you can save 2,400 pounds of carbon dioxide annually. do waste segregation, recycling & adopt appropriate waste disposal practices. Unplug electrical appliances when not in use. According to studies abroad, 75% of electricity consumed at home is stand by power to keep electronics running while they are off. save energy by using CFL & LED energy efficient appliances. minimize use of motor vehicles for short distance travels. Where We Stand and What it Means Even if the Philippines stops emitting CO2 there will be little effect on global warming. We should reduce emissions for its other benefits: cleaner air,less oil dependence, cheaper energy. We need to adapt by reducing our vulnerability and reducing our carbon footprint. Key Message Agriculture is highly exposed to climate change, as farming activities directly dependent on climate conditions. But, agriculture too contributes to the release of greenhouse gas to the atmosphere. However, agriculture can also help to provide solutions to the overall climate change problem. Laging tandaan, “ang taong laging handa, sakuna’y walang panama” Daghan Salamat