WHOLE BRAIN LEARNING SYSTEM OUTCOME-BASED EDUCATION GRADE SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL Statistics and Probability LEARNING MODULE QUARTER WEEK 11 4 1 1 MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY QUARTER 4 WEEK 1 Understanding Hypothesis Testing Development Team Writers: Editors/Reviewers: Michael G. Calipjo Jerick S. Paltong Ma. Teresa R. Pascual Vanessa A. Miguel Gerson Jeremy C. Antonio Myla Fei Martinez Gregorio P. Agatep, Jr. Illustrator: Jeshimon C. Patoc Layout Artist: Vanessa A. Miguel Management Team: Vilma D. Eda Arnel S. Bandiola Lourdes B. Arucan Juanito V. Labao Marlyn S. Ventura 2 What I Need to Know In this module, you will learn the fundamentals of hypothesis testing. It includes definitions of terms and illustr ations of those terms that will help you fully understand the concept of hypothesis testing. This module also contains lessons on identifying the parameter to be tested in real-life problems. Most Essential Learning Competencies (MELCs) The learner: 1. illustrates: (a) null hypothesis; (b) alternative hypothesis; (c) level of significance; (d) rejection region; and (e) types of errors in hypothesis testing. OBJECTIVES: At the end of the module, the student must be able to: 1. illustrate (a) null hypothesis; (b) alternative hypothesis; (c) level of significance; (d) rejection region; and (e) types of errors in hypothesis testing; 2. identify the parameter to be tested given a real-life problem; and 3. formulates the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses on a population mean. 3 What I Know Directions: Read the questions carefully and choose the correct answer. 1. Which of the following best describes hypothesis testing? A. It is a test of an educated guess to come up with a sound decision. B. It is the examination of evidence to prove or disprove an argument. C. It is a test of evidence to pronounce whether an argument is true or false. D. It is a statistical method used in making decisions using experimental data. 2. Which of the following statements is incorrect? A. A hypothesis is a statement that is testable based on observed data. B. An alternative hypothesis is a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions. C. A hypothesis is a statement that may or may not be true, and it is developed for testing. D. An alternative hypothesis is a statement of the existence of a relationship or difference between two measured phenomena. For numbers 3-5, refer to the problem below. An athletic trainer for women’s sprint has developed a new training program to improve the running time in 100 m dash. It has been determined before that the mean running time is 15 seconds. 3. How will you write the null hypothesis in symbols? A. 𝜇 = 15 B. 𝜇 ≠ 15 C. 𝜇 < 15 D. 𝜇 > 15 4. Which of the following is the most appropriate alternative hypothesis? A. The mean running time in a 100 m dash is equal to 15 seconds. B. The mean running time in a 100 m dash is lesser than 15 seconds. C. The mean running time in a 100 m dash is not equal to 15 seconds. D. The mean running time in a 100 m dash is greater than 15 seconds. 5. What kind of test must be applied? A. One-tailed test B. Two-tailed test C. It cannot be determined D. Whether it’s a one-tailed or a two-tailed test, it will give the same result. 4 6. Which of these alternative hypotheses is suited for a two-tailed test? A. The height of papaya trees treated with compost fertilizer is taller than the standard 15 feet. B. The number of calories for a serving of banana is unaffected whether it is latundan or lacatan. C. Ticket sales in MOA Arena for Season 81 UAAP Games are higher than the Season 82 average of 20 000 tickets. D. The amount of bad smoke coming from gasoline-fueled cars is higher than the amount of bad smoke from diesel-fueled cars. 7. What is the level of significance for? A. It leads the analyst to reject or not to reject the null hypothesis. B. It refers to the range of values that leads to the rejection of the null hypothesis. C. It is the probability of making the right decision to reject the null hypothesis when it is incorrect. D. It is a measure of the strength of the evidence present in the sample before rejecting the null hypothesis and concludes that the effect is statistically significant. 8. Which of the following best describes a Type I error? A. When one decides to reject the null hypothesis when it is true. B. When one decides not to reject the null hypothesis when it is true. C. When one decides to reject the null hypothesis after found to be false. D. When one decides not to reject the null hypothesis though it is found to be false. 9. Refer to the choices in number 8. Which of those is/are the correct decision/s? A. A only B. A & B C. B & C D. B, C & D 10. Who among these researchers has made the correct decision? A. Mr. Co concluded that the social networking site Weverse is better than VLive when in fact, it is no better. B. Ms. Nakeeta rejected the null hypothesis; the mean height of Cluster S has no difference to that of Cluster Z, when in fact, it has. C. Mr. Nahk failed to reject the null hypothesis, and it was found out later that there was not enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. D. Both B and C 5 Lesson 1 UNDERSTANDING HYPOTHESIS TESTING What’s In While browsing the internet, Mika came across a news page about the World Health Organization (WHO) vaccination rollout in its fight against COVID-19. She saw this photo of the comparison (set in percentages) of the effectiveness of the different COVID-19 vaccines available as of February 2021. Photo is taken from https://www.statista.com/chart/23510/estimated-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccine-candidates/ Figure 1. The estimated effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccines from late-stage clinical trials. She became interested as to how the different manufacturers arrived at these conclusions. She then thought of a question, “What were the fundamental assumptions used by the manufacturers?”. 6 What’s New To answer the question, “What were the fundamental assumptions used by the manufacturers?” this lesson will discuss the important topics in hypothesis testing like hypothesis, level of significance, types of errors in hypothesis testing, and rejection region. Additionally, probabilities of committing Type I and Type II errors will also be introduced. Figure 2. A wordle consisting of keywords and terms that you will learn from this module. In conducting statistical studies, researchers always start with what they wish to investigate. They postulate or conjecture something about the population. This conjecture is put in the form of a statistical hypothesis. What Is It What is a statistical hypothesis? A statistical hypothesis is a statement regarding an unknown population parameter. It may or may not be true, and it is developed for testing. There are two types of hypotheses: the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis. 1. The null hypothesis, denoted by 𝑯𝒐 , is a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions and population means. It represents what the researcher doubts to be true. It is the hypothesis that is either rejected or not rejected. 2. The alternative hypothesis, denoted by 𝑯𝟏 , is a claim that is contradictory to 𝐻𝑜 . It is an operational statement of the conjecture that the researcher believes to be true and wishes to investigate. It is what we conclude when we reject 𝐻𝑜 . 7 Mathematical Symbols Used in 𝑯𝒐 and 𝑯𝟏 : 𝑯𝒐 𝑯𝟏 not equal (≠) equal (=) less than (<) more than (>) Note!! 𝑯𝒐 is usually stated using the equal sign “=” since when we test 𝑯𝒐 the assumption is that the parameter being tested is equal to a given specific value. Meanwhile, 𝑯𝟏 is usually stated in “≠”, “<” or “>” signs since it is considered as contradictory to the 𝑯𝒐 . Illustrative Examples: Directions. Identify whether the given statement is a null hypothesis or an alternative hypothesis. Explain your answer. 1. There is a significant difference in the academic performances of Grade 11-Gold and Grade 11-Silver students during the school year 2020-2021. Answer: This is an alternative hypothesis because it states a difference in the academic performances of the two groups of students. 2. Grades in school do not predict a student’s success in the future. Answer: This is a null hypothesis since it states no relationship between school grades and future success. 3. The average height of the male members in Team Mudo is shorter than the average height of the male members in Team Muli. Answer: This is an example of an alternative hypothesis because it states a difference in the average height of the male members in each team. In this case, one team’s average height is shorter than the other. 4. The number of calories for a serving of banana is unaffected whether it is latundan or lacatan. Answer: This is an example of a null hypothesis since it states that there is no relationship between the kind of banana to its calorie content. The keyword is ‘unaffected.’ 8 Here are illustrations of null and alternative hypotheses derived from real-life problems. Directions: Write the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses in each problem. 5. A generic brand of antihistamine drug markets a capsule with a 50 mL dose. The manufacturer is worried that the machine that fills the capsules has come out of calibration and is no longer creating capsules with the appropriate dosage. In words, In symbols, The machine did not come out of calibration and still filling the 𝑯𝒐 : The dosage on the antihistamine 𝑯𝒐 : 𝜇 = 50 capsule is equal to 50 mL. capsules with a 50 mL dose The machine came out of calibration and is not filling the 𝑯𝟏 : The dosage on the antihistamine 𝑯𝟏 : 𝜇 ≠ 50 capsules with 50 mL doses capsule is not equal to 50 mL. anymore. 6. A social scientist proposed that playing soft music during a test will favorably change the test result. In the past, the mean test score was 73. In words, In symbols, The test result will still be the same whether they do or do not play soft 𝑯𝒐 : The mean test score is equal to 73. 𝑯𝒐 : 𝜇 = 73 music during the test. The result will be relatively better if they play soft music during the test. 𝑯𝟏 : The mean test score is greater than 𝑯𝟏 : 𝜇 > 73 (”favorably” indicates higher mean 73. score) What is Hypothesis Testing? Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used in making statistical decisions using experimental data. It is an assumption that we make about the population parameter. The methodology employed by the statistician depends on the nature of the data used and the reason for the analysis. Since the null and alternative hypotheses are contradictory, you must examine evidence to decide if you have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis or not. The evidence is in the form of sample data. After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make a decision. There are two options for a decision. They are “reject 𝐻𝑜 ” if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or “do not reject 𝐻𝑜 ” or “fail to reject 𝐻𝑜 ” if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis. We do not “accept the null hypothesis” because we don’t have all the data about the population. Instead, we make use of a sample that represents the characteristics of the population. Thus, the sample does not provide enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, but that does not prove that the null hypothesis is true. There is still a lot of data about the 9 population we do not have, so the null hypothesis could still be wrong; hence, we say “fail to reject.” Failing to reject a hypothesis should not be confused with acceptance. Other Important Definitions: A statistical test is done to decide whether the null hypothesis should be rejected or not. The numerical value obtained from a statistical test is called the test statistic. Level of significance refers to the degree of significance in which we accept or reject the null hypothesis. It is a measure of the strength of the evidence present in the sample before rejecting the null hypothesis and concludes that the effect is statistically significant. 100% accuracy is not possible for accepting or rejecting a hypothesis, so we therefore select a level of significance that is usually 5% or 0.05. Rejection Region (RR), also known as the critical region, refers to the range of values that leads the statistician to reject the null hypothesis. On the other hand, the non-rejection region (NRR) is the set of values of the test statistic for which the null hypothesis is not rejected. One-tailed test. A test of statistical hypothesis where the region of rejection is on one side only of the sampling distribution. Two-tailed test. A test where the region of rejection is on both sides of the sampling distribution. The alternative hypothesis dictates whether a particular test is a one-tailed or two-tailed test. Alternative hypotheses that are stated using the ≠ sign imply two-tailed tests. Alternative hypotheses that are stated using the < or > sign imply one-tailed tests. These are illustrations of a two-tailed test and a one-tailed test. *Two-tailed test Figure 3. A two-tailed test is designed to show whether the mean of a sample is significantly greater than and significantly less than the mean of a population. 10 *Negative one-tailed test *Positive one-tailed test Photos are taken from http://sciences.usca.edu/biology/zelmer/305/hypo/tails/ Legend: Rejection region (RR) Non-rejection region (NRR) Figure 4a and 4b. A one-tailed test is a test in which the critical area of a distribution is onesided so that it is either greater than or less than the mean of a population, but not both. Types of Errors in Hypothesis Testing 1. Type I Error is the error of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. Type I error is denoted by alpha (𝜶). In hypothesis testing, the normal curve that shows the critical region is called the alpha region. The significance level predetermines the probability of committing a Type I error in hypothesis testing. 2. Type II Error is the error committed when we decide not to reject the null hypothesis when in fact, it is false. Type II error is denoted by beta (𝜷). In hypothesis testing, the normal curve that shows the acceptance region is called the beta region. The probability of not committing a Type II error is called the power of the test, and it is equal to 1 − 𝛽. The power of the test is the probability that we make the right decision when the null hypothesis is not correct; we rightly reject it. There are four possible outcomes when testing a statistical hypothesis. 𝑯𝒐 is true 𝑯𝒐 is false Fail to reject 𝑯𝒐 Correct decision Type II error (𝛽) Reject 𝑯𝒐 Type I error (𝛼) Correct decision 11 Illustrative Examples: Directions: Identify whether the decision is correct or not. If it is not correct, identify whether the error is a Type I or a Type II error. 1. 𝐻𝑜 is true and we fail to reject it. Answer: It is a correct decision. 𝐻𝑜 is true 𝐻𝑜 is false Fail to reject 𝐻𝑜 Correct decision Type II error (𝛽) Reject 𝐻𝑜 Type I error (𝛼) Correct decision 2. 𝐻𝑜 was rejected and it was found out to be false. Answer: It is a correct decision. 𝐻𝑜 is true 𝐻𝑜 is false Fail to reject 𝐻𝑜 Correct decision Type II error (𝛽) Reject 𝐻𝑜 Type I error (𝛼) Correct decision 3. 𝐻𝑜 was rejected and it was found out to be true. Answer: It is not a correct decision. A Type I error (α) was committed. 𝐻𝑜 is true 𝐻𝑜 is false Fail to reject 𝐻𝑜 Correct decision Type II error (𝛽) Reject 𝐻𝑜 Type I error (𝜶) Correct decision 4. 𝐻𝑜 is false and we fail to reject it. Answer: It is not a correct decision. A Type II error (β) was committed. 𝐻𝑜 is true 𝐻𝑜 is false Fail to reject 𝐻𝑜 Correct decision Type II error (𝜷) Reject 𝐻𝑜 Type I error (𝛼) Correct decision Statistical Decision for Hypothesis Testing In statistical analysis, we have to make decisions about the hypothesis. These decisions include deciding if we should reject the null hypothesis or if we should decline to reject the null hypothesis. If the test statistic falls within the rejection region, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis; otherwise, decline to reject the null hypothesis. The critical values separate the rejection region from the non-rejection region. This method of making decisions in a statistical study is called the critical value approach. Another way of making decisions in a statistical study is through the use of the probability value (written as 𝑝 − 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒). The rule is: if the 𝑝 − 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 is less than the significance level, we reject the null hypothesis; otherwise, do not reject the null hypothesis. 12 What’s More ACTIVITY 1. Hype Up Your Hypothesis! Directions: Determine whether each statement is a null or an alternative hypothesis. Explain your answer in 1-2 sentences. If it is an alternative hypothesis, determine if it is one-tailed or two-tailed. 1. The amount of radiation a desktop computer emits has no difference to that of a cellphone. ____________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________ 2. The validity of passports in other countries is shorter than the validity of passports issued in the Philippines. ____________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________ 3. Korean music and industry are gaining more popularity than Western music nowadays. ____________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________ ACTIVITY 2. Guess My Type! Directions: Provide an explanation for the situations below. 1. The researcher failed to reject the null hypothesis, and it was found out later that there was not enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. Was this a correct decision? ____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________ 2. It was concluded that the social networking site Facegram is better than Instabook when in fact, it is no better. What Type of error was committed? __________________________________________ __________________________________________ __________________________________________ 13 What I Have Learned • A statistical hypothesis is a statement regarding an unknown population parameter. It may or may not be true, and it is developed for testing. There are two types of hypothesis, namely: a. Null hypothesis (𝑯𝒐 ) is a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions and population means. It is the hypothesis that is either rejected or not rejected. b. Alternative hypothesis (𝑯𝟏 ) is a claim that is contradictory to 𝐻𝑜 . It is what we conclude when we reject 𝐻𝑜 . • Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used in making statistical decisions using experimental data. There are two types of errors committed in hypothesis testing: Type I error or Type II error. a. Type I Error is the error of rejecting the null hypothesis when in fact, it is true. Type I error is denoted by alpha (𝜶). b. Type II Error is the error of failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is false. Type II error is denoted by beta (𝜷). • In statistical analysis, we have to make decisions about the hypothesis. These decisions include deciding if we should reject the null hypothesis or if we should decline to reject the null hypothesis. 14 Lesson 2 UNDERSTANDING MORE ELEMENTS IN HYPOTHESIS TESTING What’s In What does the photo on the right depict? ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Hint: It is defined as a method that is used in making decisions using experimental data. Photo is taken from https://4-pics-1word.com/4-pics-1-word-cheats-4-letters/4pics-1-word-blood-pressure-doctor/ What’s New Testing is done to prove that a claim is true or not. If we explore the results of a carefully designed experiment that has already been analyzed to a defined population, then we are making a statistical inference. Such inference involves, among other aspects, statistical decision that certain population differs with respect to a measured variable. What Is It Identifying the Parameter to be Tested Given a Real-life Problem Illustrative Examples: 1. WTFood Inc. is claiming that their baking time for quick-to-bake ready mix pies (product A) is less than the average for a similar product (product B). Jan Miranda, a cooking guru, and food vlogger, has been offered by the company to advertise product A. To her experience, she has been doing the same stuff for years, and it takes her 10 minutes to bake a pie. She wishes to make sure that the claim of the company is true before she accepts the offer. Let us help Jan Miranda by formulating statistical hypotheses. 15 Let us consider three possible scenarios. Scenario 1: Jan Miranda would like to find out if there is a difference between the mean baking time of the quick-to-bake ready-mix pie (product A) and the mean baking time of a similar product (product B). We can represent our null and alternative hypotheses as follows: In words, In symbols, 𝑯𝒐 : The mean baking time for quick-to-bake ready-mix pies 𝑯𝒐 : 𝜇 = 10 (product A) is 10 minutes. 𝑯𝟏 : The mean baking time for quick-to-bake ready-mix pies 𝑯𝟏 : 𝜇 ≠ 10 (product A) is not 10 minutes. If 𝜇 ≠ 10, then it can mean either 𝜇 > 10 or 𝜇 < 10, and both cases should be considered when we make our decision. Since the alternative hypothesis is two-sided or nondirectional, then this is a two-tailed test. Scenario 2: Jan Miranda would like to determine if the mean baking time of the quick-to-bake readymix pies (product A) is less than the mean baking time of a similar product (product B). We can represent our null and alternative hypotheses as follows: In words, In symbols, 𝑯𝒐 : The mean baking time for quick-to-bake ready-mix pies 𝑯𝒐 : 𝜇 = 10 (product A) is 10 minutes. 𝑯𝟏 : The mean baking time for quick-to-bake ready-mix pies 𝑯𝟏 : 𝜇 < 10 (product A) is less than 10 minutes. Since the alternative hypothesis is one-sided or one-directional, then this is a one-tailed test. Likewise, the alternative hypothesis represents what the company is claiming; that is, the mean baking time is less than the known value. Scenario 3: Jan Miranda would like to determine if the mean baking time of the quick-to-bake readymix pies (product A) is greater than the mean baking time of a similar product (product B). We can represent our null and alternative hypotheses as follows: In words, In symbols, 𝑯𝒐 : The mean baking time for quick-to-bake ready-mix pies 𝑯𝒐 : 𝜇 = 10 (product A) is 10 minutes. 𝑯𝟏 : The mean baking time for quick-to-bake ready-mix pies 𝑯𝟏 : 𝜇 > 10 (product A) is greater than 10 minutes. 16 This also a one-tailed test since the alternative hypothesis is one-sided or onedirectional. The alternative hypothesis represents the case wherein the mean baking time is greater than the known value. Question: Which of the three scenarios would be most appropriate in Jan Miranda’s case? Answer: Since she wants to verify if indeed the mean baking time of the product is less than a known value, then Scenario 2 would be the most appropriate for Jan Miranda’s concern. ___ 2. The Department of Health (DOH) would like to determine if exposure of pregnant women to electronic devices tends to adversely affect the size of the head circumference of newborn babies. It is known that the mean head circumference of a newborn is 35 cm. Let the random variable be the head circumference of a newborn. As stated in the problem, we can have the null hypothesis as 𝜇 = 35. However, there is no explicit mention of the alternative hypothesis; what is stated is that there is a tendency to affect newborn babies’ head circumference adversely. The “adverse effect” implies that the head circumference is statistically different from the known mean of 35 cm. Thus, we can conclude that this is a two-tailed test and that our alternative hypothesis is 𝜇 ≠ 35. In words, 𝑯𝒐 : The mean head circumference of newborn babies is 35 cm. 𝑯𝟏 : The mean head circumference of newborn babies is not 35 cm. 3. In symbols, 𝑯𝒐 : 𝜇 = 35 𝑯𝟏 : 𝜇 ≠ 35 In a production line for computer external hard drives, the quality control engineer hypothesizes that the number of defects can be optimized during the manufacturing process if robots are used instead of human beings. Currently, the mean number of defective drives per 1000 is 12. The random variable here is the number of defectives per 1000 units produced during the manufacturing process if robots are used instead of human beings. From the problem, we can easily write our null hypothesis; it is 𝜇 = 0.012 (from 12 in 1000 or 12 ). 1000 Note that the term “optimum” means the most favorable outcome. Hence, in a production line wherein we are talking of the number of defects, the “most favorable outcome” would be to have the number of defects less than the known value. Thus, our alternative hypothesis is 𝜇 < 0.012. In words, In symbols, 𝑯𝒐 : The mean number of defectives produced during the manufacturing process if robots were to be used instead 𝑯𝒐 : 𝜇 = 0.012 of human beings is 12 per 1000 units. 17 𝑯𝟏 : The mean number of defectives produced during the manufacturing process if robots were to be used instead 𝑯𝟏 : 𝜇 < 0.012 of human beings is lesser than 12 per 1000 units. What’s More ACTIVITY 3. Don’t You Ever Miss! Directions: Supply the missing term/s in the paragraph below. A (1)_________________ is a statement regarding an unknown population parameter. It is developed for the purpose of (2)__________________. There are two types of (your answer in no. 1), the (3)________________________ and the (4)______________________. A hypothesis is subject to testing called (5)________________________. It is a method that is used to arrive at sound decisions. In this method, there two types of error that a researcher may commit. (6)_____________ is the error of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true while (7)____________ is the error of not rejecting the null hypothesis when it is false. • What I Can Do Activity 4. Hypothesis Pa More! Directions: For each of the following, identify the random variable/s and formulate the null and alternative hypotheses (in words and symbols). 1. The federation of private school teachers has developed a new evaluation instrument that they claim has higher reliability by producing less error in evaluation. In the past, the mean number of errors in the evaluation was 20%. 𝐻0 : ____________________________________________ 𝐻1 : ____________________________________________ Photo is taken from https://www.routledge.com/Handbookon-Teacher-Evaluation-with-CD-ROM/StrongeTucker/p/book/9781930556584 2. In an advertisement, a certain brand of shampoo is claiming that the use of this product will make the hair grow faster. It is known that the mean length of growing hair over thirty days is 2 cm . 𝐻0 : ____________________________________________ 𝐻1 : ____________________________________________ Photo is taken from https://stylecaster.com/beauty/besthair-growth-shampoos/ 18 ACTIVITY 5. Feed Me... Meow~ Directions: Do what is asked. Write your answer on a separate sheet of paper. 1. Jam, a cat lover, has five pet cats at home. She feeds them organic cat food because she claims that feeding the cats with cat food had an impact on the cats’ lifespan. According to a study, the mean lifespan of cats is 12 years. a. State the null hypothesis (in words and symbols) b. State the alternative hypothesis (in words and symbols) c. Is the test one-tailed or two-tailed? Explain in 1-2 sentences. Photo is taken from https://www.123rf.com/photo_25246690_funnychild-boy-feeding-cats-kittens.html For item d, use the decision below as your reference. The null hypothesis was not rejected, and it was found out later that feeding cats with organic food do not impact a cat’s lifespan. d. Explain whether the decision was correct or not. 2. Use the photo on the right as your reference. a. Formulate a null hypothesis (in words and in symbols). b. Formulate an alternative hypothesis (in words and in symbols). c. Is the test one-tailed or two-tailed? Explain in 1-2 sentences. d. Identify the parameter to be tested. Photo is taken from https://open.spotify.com/album/2QOB3wEL7prrvbWfZoMMkv 19 Assessment Directions: Read the questions carefully, then choose the best answer from the given choices. 1. Which of the following does not describe hypothesis testing? A. It is a test of an educated guess to verify conclusions. B. It is a statistical method that is used in making decisions. C. It is the examination of the pieces of evidence to prove or disprove an argument. D. It is a test of the pieces of evidence to pronounce whether an argument is true or false. 2. Which of the following statements is true? A. A hypothesis is a non-testable statement and is only used for arguments. B. An alternative hypothesis is a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions. C. A hypothesis is a statement that may or may not be true, and it is developed for the purpose of testing. D. A null hypothesis is a statement of the existence of a relationship or difference between two measured phenomena. For numbers 3-5, refer to the problem below. An athletic trainer for men’s hurdle race has developed a new training program to improve the running time in the standard long hurdle race. It has been determined before that the mean running time is 48 seconds. 3. How will you write the null hypothesis in symbols? A. 𝜇 = 48 B. 𝜇 ≠ 48 C. 𝜇 < 48 D. 𝜇 > 48 4. How will you write the alternative hypothesis in symbols? A. 𝜇 = 48 B. 𝜇 ≠ 48 C. 𝜇 > 48 D. 𝜇 < 48 5. What kind of test must be applied? A. One-tailed test B. Two-tailed test C. It cannot be determined D. Whether it’s a one-tailed or a two-tailed test, it will give the same result 6. Which of the following best describes a Type II error? A. When one decides to reject the null hypothesis when it is true. B. When one decides not to reject the null hypothesis when it is true. C. When one decides to reject the null hypothesis after found to be false. D. When one decides not to reject the null hypothesis though it is found to be false. 20 7. Refer to the choices in number 6. Which of those is/are the correct decision/s? A. A only B. A & B C. B & C D. B, C & D 8. What is the level of significance for? A. It leads the statistician to reject or not to reject the null hypothesis. B. It refers to the range of values that leads to the rejection of the null hypothesis. C. It is the probability of making the right decision to reject the null hypothesis when it is incorrect. D. It is a measure of the strength of the evidence that must be present in the sample before rejecting the null hypothesis and conclude that the effect is statistically significant. 9. Which of these alternative hypotheses is suited for a two-tailed test? A. The height of papaya trees treated with compost fertilizer is taller than the standard 15 feet. B. The number of calories for a serving of banana is unaffected whether it is latundan or lacatan. C. Ticket sales in MOA Arena for Season 81 UAAP Games are higher than the Season 82 average of 20 000 tickets. D. The amount of bad smoke coming from gasoline-fueled cars is higher than the amount of bad smoke from diesel-fueled cars. 10. Who among these researchers has made a mistake in decision-making? A. Ms. Cua concluded that the social networking site Weverse is better than VLive when in fact, it is no better. B. Mr. Gonzalez rejected the null hypothesis, the mean height of Cluster S has no difference to that of Cluster Z, when in fact, it has. C. Mr. Nam failed to reject the null hypothesis, and it was found out later that there was enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. D. All of the above 21 Answer Key 22 References Arceo, Virginia R., et.al. Math in Today’s World Statistics and Probability. Phoenix Publishing House. Quezon City, 2018. “How Effective Are The COVID-19 Vaccines?”, Niall McCarthy. Accessed March 19, 2021. https://www.statista.com/chart/23510/estimated-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccinecandidates/ “Hypothesis Testing”, Course Hero. Accessed March 19, 2021. https://www.coursehero.com/file/p7befb78/HYPOTHESIS-TESTING-Hypothesis-testing-is-astatistical-method-that-is-used-in/ “Hypothesis”, Course Hero. Accessed March https://www.coursehero.com/file/88449964/HYPOTHESISdocx/ 19, 2021. “Introductory Statistics”, Open Stax College. Accessed March 20, https://opentextbc.ca/introstatopenstax/chapter/null-and-alternative-hypotheses/ 2021 “Hypothesis Testing”, Christina Majaski. Accessed https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hypothesistesting.asp 2021. March 20, “Hypothesis Testing”, Statistics Solutions. (2013). Retrieved from https://www.statisticssolutions.com/academic-solutions/resources/directory-ofstatistical-analyses/hypothesis-testing/ Accessed March 21, 2021. https://www.statisticssolutions.com/hypothesis-testing/ “Setting the Hypotheses”, Penn State Eberly College of Science. Accessed March 21, 2021 https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat100/lesson/10/10.1 “One- and Two-Tailed Tests”, Derek Zelmer. http://sciences.usca.edu/biology/zelmer/305/hypo/tails/ Accessed March 21, 2021 “Failing to Reject the Null Hypothesis”, Jim Frost. Accessed April 30, 2021 https://statisticsbyjim.com/hypothesis-testing/failing-reject-nullhypothesis/#:~:text=Failing%20to%20reject%20the%20null%20indicates%20that%20our%2 0sample%20did,leads%20to%20the%20convoluted%20wording! “What ‘Fail to Reject’ Means in a Hypothesis Test”, Courtney Taylor. Accessed May 1, 2021 https://www.thoughtco.com/fail-to-reject-in-a-hypothesis-test-3126424 ”Two-Tailed Test”, Adam Hayes. Accessed https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/two-tailed-test.asp ”One-Tailed Test”, Will Kenton. Accessed https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/one-tailed-test.asp May on May 2, 2, 2021 2021 23 For inquiries or feedback, please write or call: Department of Education – Schools Division of Laoag City Curriculum Implementation Division (CID) Brgy. 23 San Matias, Laoag City 2900 Contact Number: (077) 771-3678 Email Address: laoag.city@deped.gov.ph