Climate Studies introduction to climate science Chapter 7 Atmosphere-Ocean Relationships © American Meteorological Society Background photo: Jean-Baptiste Dodane Introduction • The ocean is a major player in Earth’s climate system, operating from days to millennia and from local to global – Covers about 71% of Earth’s surface – Average albedo only 8% – Influences radiational heating and cooling of the planet – Main source of water vapor – Major regulator of the concentration of CO2 • Ocean and atmosphere work together in governing climate Mean State of the Ocean Circulation • Surface ocean currents are wind-driven, so ocean surface waters mirror long-term planetary-scale atmospheric circulation. • Gyres - large-scale systems of rotating currents – Subtropical gyres driven by trade winds and the westerlies, following clockwise movements in NH – Subpolar gyres driven by counterclockwise surface winds and sub-polar low pressure systems in NH • Western Boundary Current - Currents that are warm, deep and fast flowing on the west side of ocean basins and carry water from the tropics poleward, faster than the eastern counterpart Mean State of the Ocean Circulation Warm current: Gulf Stream, Kuroshio, Norwegian, E. Australia Cold current: Canary, California, Peru, W. Australia Ekman Spiral • A steady wind causes surface waters to move at an angle of 45° to the right of the wind in the Northern Hemisphere (due to Coriolis effect) • Each successively lower layer moves more toward the right and at a slower speed • Through a depth of about 100 to 150 m (330 to 500 ft.), the net water movement will be at 90° to the right of the wind direction Ekman Spiral - A model of the direction and speed of the threedimensional current pattern of surface ocean caused by a steady horizontal surface wind. Figure 7.2 The Ekman spiral Upwelling and Downwelling • Coastal upwelling - occurs where Ekman transport moves surface waters away from the coast and surface waters are replaced by water that wells up from below • Coastal downwelling occurs where Ekman transport moves surface waters toward the coast, the water piles up and sinks • Upwelling or downwelling depends on wind directions Upwelling and Downwelling Relatively cold, upwelling waters along the coast of central and northern California in response to the Ekman transport caused by winds predominantly blowing from the north. Figure 7.7 Upwelling • Upwelling waters originate below the pycnocline (the water layer where the density gradient is greatest), and brings colder water to the surface • Coastal upwelling transports dissolved nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus compounds) from the ocean depths into the photic zone – Supports the growth of phytoplankton • The world’s most productive fisheries are in areas of coastal upwelling – About half the world’s total fish catch comes from upwelling zones – Where ocean absorbs CO2 via the biological pump Downwelling • In zones of coastal downwelling, the surface layer of warm, nutrient-deficient water thickens as water sinks. –Reduces biological productivity –Transports heat, dissolved materials, and dissolved CO2 and oxygen to greater depths – Where the ocean absorbs CO2 via the ‘dissolution’ pump Thermocline The deep ocean is dominated by cold, high density, water. Warm, low density water is confined to the surface. Surface water is separated from deep water by a narrow zone in which density changes rapidly with depth – the pycnocline or thermocline. Thermocline is the transition zone between the surface water and deep water below). Figure 7.9 A temperature-depth ocean water profile. The thermocline is a layer of water where the temperature changes rapidly with depth. This temperature-depth profile is what you might expect to find in low to middle latitudes. Thermohaline Circulation • Thermohaline circulation - deep-ocean circulation • It is driven by variations in density (thermo meaning heat and haline referring to salinity) • The density of sea water depends on a combination of temperature and salinity. • Stratification of the ocean controlled by temperature difference between warm surface waters and cold deep waters – At high latitudes, salinity is control • Deep circulation contributes to poleward heat transport – Varies from years to millennia, modulating climate. 13 Thermohaline Circulation: NH • Northern Hemisphere: Deep water forms in the North Atlantic in late winter when the surface water reaches its lowest temperature and greatest density • Open ocean convection - primary mechanism of deep water formation in the Northern Hemisphere where cold winds chill the surface water to the extent that its density becomes greater than that of the water beneath it, creating an unstable water column and driving overturning Thermohaline Circulation: SH • In the Southern Hemisphere, deep waters form at several locations around the Antarctic continent, primarily in the Weddell Sea • Much of the deep water formation occurs underneath floating sea ice. Water is cooled by cold winds acting on openings (leads) in the sea ice cover and becomes denser during formation of sea ice – Brine rejection - salt left behind during the freezing of seawater increases the salinity of water immediately below the freezing interface • Water made denser by cooling and brine rejection sinks along the continental slope of Antarctica into the deep ocean. 16 Thermohaline Circulation • Currents are weak but the volume of deep waters is much greater so the magnitude transported is similar to surface water • The large scale overturning is driven by sinking of cold, dense, water at high latitudes. • Time scale of the overturning: ~ 1000 years Atlantic meridional overturning circulation • The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is characterized by a northward flow of warm, salty water in the upper layers of the Atlantic, and a southward flow of colder, deep waters that are part of the thermohaline circulation. • The AMOC is an important component of the Earth’s climate system, and is a result of both atmospheric and thermohaline drivers. • AMOC carries up to 25% of the northward global atmosphere-ocean heat transport in the northern hemisphere • AMOC is the largest carbon sink in the Northern Hemisphere. “They infer that the slowdown in the AMOC was probably a response to warming caused by anthropogenic greenhouse-gas emissions. A possible mechanism could be enhanced melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which adds fresh water to the surface ocean and reduces the density of the water that drives deep convection.” https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-04086-4 El Niño, La Niña and the Southern Oscillation • For more than a century, scientists have been aware of short-term (inter-annual) variations in climate at many locations worldwide. • El Niño and La Niña – Readily apparent in the tropical Pacific Ocean with variations on a quasi-periodic basis – Cause weather extremes in many other parts of the world. • ENSO: relationship between El Niño and the Southern Oscillation • ENSO is coupled atmosphere-ocean changes: changes in the ocean drive changes in the atmosphere that then feedback and further alter the ocean Historical Perspective • Originally, local fishermen in Peru and Ecuador named annual, wind-driven warm ocean current, accompanied by poor fishing, El Niño because it coincided with Christmas – Typically brief, El Niño persists for 12 to 18 months every 3 to 7 years – Scientist us the term “El Niño” for only anomalies Neutral Conditions in the Tropical Pacific Figure 7.13 Schematic block diagram showing atmosphere-ocean conditions in the tropical Pacific during normal (neutral) ENSO episodes. Red indicates areas of highest SSTs. Neutral Conditions in the Tropical Pacific • Prevailing winds blow from the south or southeast along the west coast of South America – Most of the time Ekman transport drives warm surface waters westward – Upwelling of cold, nutrient-rich waters along the west coast, replacing the warm, nutrient-poor surface waters that are transported offshore, supporting a diverse marine ecosystem and highly productive fishery. • Equatorial upwelling produces a strip of relatively low SSTs along the equator – “cold tongue” Neutral Conditions in the Tropical Pacific • Trade winds drive warm surface waters westward toward Indonesia and northern Australia. – Increases the depth of the thermocline from 50 m (165 ft.) in the eastern tropical Pacific to 150 m (490 ft.) in the western – Raises sea level in the western tropical Pacific to about 60 cm (2 ft.) higher than in the east El Niño (Warm Phase) • El Niño - air pressure gradient across the tropical Pacific weakens – In the western Pacific the trade winds slacken, SSTs drop, sea level falls and the thermocline rise – In the eastern tropical Pacific, SSTs rise, sea level climbs and the thermocline deepens El Niño (Warm Phase) • Relaxing trade winds, weaken the westward flow of the equatorial currents, even reversing direction • The thick layer of warm surface water drifts eastward, until deflected toward the north and south by the continental landmasses – May take several months for higher SSTs to reach the west coasts of North and South America El Niño (Warm Phase) • Warm surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific reduces upwelling of nutrient-rich waters along the coast of Ecuador and Peru. – Phytoplankton populations decline and the commercial fish harvest plummets – In the 1970s, Peru’s fishing industry account for about 20% of the total global catch of anchovies – 1972-73 El Niño, and over-fishing, the Peruvian fishery failed and has not recovered • Warmer surface waters stress coral reefs living in shallow tropical waters. – During unusually high SSTs, corals expel their colorful zooxanthellae and appear white, known as coral bleaching – Extended bleaching can kill coral polyps and corals, destroying habitats for a wide variety of marine organisms El Niño (Warm Phase) • El Niño influences the intensity, frequency and spatial distribution of tropical cyclones – Because of the extensive area of warmer water over the eastern tropical Pacific, their hurricanes can travel farther north and west • Teleconnection - linkage between changes in atmospheric circulation occurring in widely separated regions of the globe, often over thousands of kilometers – Higher than usual SST over the central and eastern tropical Pacific heats and destabilizes the troposphere – Deep convection generates towering thunderstorms that help drive atmospheric circulation, governing the course of jet streams, storm tracks and moisture transport by winds at higher latitudes. La Niña (Cold Phase) • La Niña - period of unusually strong trade winds – Colder than usual surface waters over the central and eastern tropical Pacific, with exceptionally vigorous upwelling – Somewhat warmer than usual surface waters over the western tropical Pacific – SST anomalies are essentially opposite those observed during El Niño La Niña (Cold Phase) • Across middle latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, winds tend to be more meridional during La Niña – Steering cold air masses toward the south and warm air masses toward the north. • An extreme meridional flow pattern can cause weather hazard – If a cutoff high persists over the same area, the weather remains dry and the probability of drought increases. – Caused the severe summer drought in central U.S. during the La Niña of 1988. ENSO Index • SSTs are drawn from an area of the tropical Pacific that includes the equatorial cold tongue, bounded by longitude 120 °W and 170 °W, latitude 5 °N and 5 °S • El Niño is characterized by a positive SST departure from normal greater than or equal to 0.5 Celsius degree, averaged over three consecutive months. • La Niña is characterized similarly, but by a negative SST departure from ENSO Index • ENSO Index - based on six variables measured in the tropical Pacific: sea-level air pressure, zonal (eastwest) component of surface wind, meridional (northsouth) component of surface wind, surface air temperature, sky cloud cover and sea-surface temperatures. Can also be referred to as the Multivariate ENSO Index. Event Occurrence El Niño Weak 1952, 1953, 1958, 1969, 1976, 1977, 2004, 2006 Moderate 1951, 1963, 1968, 1986, 1987, 1991, 1994, 2002, 2009 Strong 1957, 1965, 1972, 1982, 1997 La Niña Weak 1950, 1954, 1956, 1964, 1967, 1971, 1974, 1983, 1984, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2008, 2011 Moderate 1955, 1970, 1998, 2007 Strong 1973, 1975, 1988, 1999, 2010 • ENSO Alert System - launched by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center – watch when conditions in the equatorial Pacific are favorable for the development of El Niño or La Niña within the next three months – advisory when El Niño or La Niña conditions have developed and are expected to continue • During the second half of the 20th century, El Niño conditions prevailed 31% of the time and La Niña occurred 23% Ocean as a Carbon Sink: biological pump • Biological component of the carbon cycle in the ocean – Through photosynthesis algae fix carbon in the ocean from CO2 and produce oxygen – Other organisms construct shells and exoskeletons from carbon then die and shells precipitate to the ocean bottom and form sedimentary rock CO2 dissolution in the ocean: Ocean Acidification • CO2 + H2O ⇌ H2CO3 • H2CO3 is a weak acid • Ocean acidification change in the ocean’s chemistry due to absorption of excessive amounts of anthropogenic CO2 H2O ⇌ H+1 + OH-1 pH - measure of the hydrogen and hydroxyl ion concentration, ranging from 014 with 7 as neutral, above 7 as basic and below 7 as acidic Ocean Acidification • For 300 million years, ocean pH has been marginally basic, about 8.2 – It’s now 8.1, for a 25% to 30% increase in acidity – Removes the essential “building blocks” for shell formation, and organisms suffer Sea-Level Rise Two mechanisms: • Thermal expansion of seawater: Water always contracts when its temperature drops and expands when temperature rises. • Global warming trend causes melting of landbased polar ice sheets and mountain glaciers The latest IPCC report (AR5) noted with high confidence that the rate of sea level rise since the mid-19th century has been larger than the mean rate during the previous two millennia Sea-Level Rise • The glass on the left is half filled with water • Adding ice cubes (center), simulates glacier moving from land to sea – The water level immediately rises to near the top of the glass – When glacial ice leaves the land and enters the ocean, causing a rise in sea level • The floating ice cubes melt (right), simulates floating ice shelves – The water level is unchanged – Melting of floating ice shelves do not alter sea level