The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management
What do we call Ourselves?
Hazards Risk Managers of
Course
Greg Shaw
GWU ICDRM
1
Background
2
NRP and NIMS
Consequence Management - “Predominantly
an emergency management function and
included measures to protect public health and
safety, restore essential government services,
and provide emergency relief to governments,
businesses, and individuals affected by the
consequences of terrorism.”
NRP, December 2004.
3
Dealing with Risk
“Risk management is fundamental to managing the
threat, while retaining our quality of life and living in
freedom. Risk management can guide our decisionmaking as we examine how we can best organize to
prevent, protect against, respond and recover from an
attack.”
Secretary Chertoff. Address to business leaders at New York University. April 26, 2005
4
Emergency Management and Risk
“Emergency management is most simply
defined as the discipline dealing with risk and
risk avoidance.”
Chapter 1 of the FEMA Higher Education Project electronic text Emergency and
Risk Management Case Studies Text Book – Introduction to Crisis and Risk
Management Concepts (2004)
“In the simplest terms, emergency management
is the management of risk so that society can
live with environmental and technical hazards
and deal with the disasters that they cause.”
William Waugh, Living with Hazards Dealing with Disasters
5
The Private Sector and Risk
Management
Widely recognized as a strategic function
Becoming an umbrella under which crisis
management and business continuity falls
C level responsibility
6
Dealing with Risk
“What is required is that everyday
citizens develop both the maturity and
the willingness to invest in reasonable
measures to mitigate that risk.”
Stephen Flynn. America the Vulnerable
7
Hazards Risk Management
8
Hazards
“Events or physical conditions that have the
potential to cause fatalities, injuries, property
damage, infrastructure damage, agricultural
loss, damage to the environment, interruption
of business, or other types of harm or loss. [i]”
Defining hazards this way connotes all hazards and does not
necessarily emphasize just natural, technological or human
induced (intentional/terrorist) events.
[i] FEMA. Multi Hazard Identification and Assessment. Washington, DC. 1997 .
9
Risk
Risk is the product of probability (likelihood)
and consequences of an event. [ii]:
This definition implies that risk can be controlled by managing
probability (through mitigation and preparedness) and
consequences (through mitigation, preparedness, response and
recovery).
[ii]Ansell, J. and F. Wharton. 1992. Risk: Analysis, Assessment, and Management.
John Wiley & Sons. Chichester. p100.
10
Manage
“To take charge or care of (control). [iii]”
[iii] Webster’s Encyclopedic Unabridged Dictionary. Gramercy Books. New York,
NY. 1898 Edition.
11
Hazards Risk Management
A continual process that provides a general
philosophy and a defined and iterative series of
component parts that be utilized to exercise a
level of control (management) over the risks
associated with the hazards facing a
community.
12
Hazard Risk Management
Communicate and Consult
Establish the
Context
Identify the
Risks
Analyze the
Risks
Evaluate the
Risks
Treat the
Risks
Objectives
Hazards analysis
Review controls
Evaluate risks
Identify options
Likelihoods
Rank Risks
Select the best
responses
Stakeholders
Criteria
Define key
elements
Vulnerability
analysis
Consequences
Level of risk
Develop risk
treatment plan
Implement
Monitor and Review
13
Emergency Management Australia, 2002. Emergency Risk Management